USD/CHF AI Live Scan, 1-hour chart, Tuesday, 6 October 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/CHF 1-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:03 UTC
Recovery from Friday low, compressing under resistance · RSI 56 · price 0.8321
Higher lows since Monday beneath a flat 0.8320–0.8326 cap.
USD/CHF bottomed at 0.8227 in Friday's NY session after the soft US payrolls. Since then it has built higher lows at the 0.8277 mon low and the 0.8298 tue low beneath a 0.8320 cap, which produced a rejection in both the London and NY sessions on Tuesday, leaving 0.8326 as the week high. That cap also lines up with the 61.8% retrace of Thursday's slide from the 0.8382 16m high, and price is pressing it again in Asia. RSI(14) sits near 56, and price holds above the ema20 at about 0.8315.
Support: 0.8315, 0.8298, 0.82774
Resistance: 0.83263, 0.8382
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.8326 week high clears the 0.8320 cap and the 61.8% fib, opening the path toward the 0.8382 16m high
Failure to hold the 0.8298 tue low breaks the higher-low trendline and returns focus to the 0.8277 mon low
Repeated H1 closes back below the ema20 near 0.8315 would point to another rejection at the cap
FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher lows since Monday's open under flat highs at 0.8324–0.8326.
Friday's soft payrolls dragged USD/CHF to 0.8227. Since Monday's Asia-session open the pair has printed higher lows off the 0.8277 week low, but every push into 0.8324–0.8326 has been rejected, including Tuesday's NY-session spike. That cap is the week high and sits at the 61.8% retracement of the Thursday–Friday drop. Price is pinned just above EMA(20) and EMA(50) near 0.8314/0.8310, with RSI(14) flat around 51 and ATR under 10 pips, which leaves a compressed range under the cap as the USD pullback and geopolitical USD demand offset each other.
Support: 0.83048, 0.8298, 0.82774
Resistance: 0.83263, 0.83824
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.83263 week high clears the 61.8% fib cap and opens the path toward the 16m high zone at 0.8382
Loss of the 50% fib at 0.8305 and the 0.8298 tue low breaks the higher-lows trendline, putting the 0.8277 week low back in focus
FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read; a data-dependent tone fits the extended DXY pullback
21:04 UTC
Recovery off Friday low, stalling below week high · RSI 52 · price 0.83162
Higher lows since Monday, flat highs near 0.8326.
Thursday's London-open spike to the 16m high at 0.8382 unwound into Friday's soft-payrolls low at 0.8227. Since the 0.8284 weekly open, the pair has printed higher lows, with Tuesday's NY dip holding 0.8298. The week high at 0.8326, near the 61.8% retrace of the Thursday-Friday drop, rejected London and NY tests today even as the broader USD eased, and price is now oscillating around a flat ema20 with RSI(14) near 52.
Support: 0.8314, 0.8298, 0.8284
Resistance: 0.8326, 0.8382
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.8326 week high breaks the cap and puts the 16m high at 0.8382 back in view
Loss of the higher-lows line and the 0.8298 tuesday low would expose the 0.8284 weekly open
FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Thursday's 0.8382 16m high gave way to a 155-pip slide into Friday's soft-NFP low at 0.8227. Since Monday's open the pair has printed higher lows (0.8277 week low, then 0.8298 on Tuesday), but supply has capped three attempts at 0.8324–0.8326, the week high and the 61.8% fib of that drop, in Monday's NY session, at Tuesday's London open and again in Tuesday's NY session. Price is holding just above the ema20 near 0.8314, and above EMA(50), with RSI(14) flat near 51 and USD drifting softer on the post-payrolls Fed repricing.
Support: 0.8314, 0.8298, 0.8277
Resistance: 0.83263, 0.8372, 0.83824
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.8326 week high breaks the 61.8% fib cap and opens the 0.8372 prior high, then the 16m high at 0.8382
Loss of the ema20 at 0.8314 returns price to the middle of the week's range
Break of the 0.8298 higher low and the rising trendline turns the read back to range toward the 0.8277 week low
FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
19:03 UTC
Recovery from Friday low, stalling at 61.8% fib · RSI 49 · price 0.83121
Higher lows since the weekly open, capped by a 0.8298–0.8326 range.
Friday's soft NFP extended the slide from Thursday's 0.8382 16m high to a 0.8227 low. Since the weekly open the pair has printed higher lows. Three attempts at 0.8324–0.8326 have been rejected: Monday's NY session, Tuesday's London open, and again into today's NY open. That week high sits on the 61.8% fib of the Thursday–Friday drop, the same 0.8320 cap flagged in the macro read. Price is now flat on EMA(20) with RSI(14) near 49, rotating inside a 0.8298–0.8326 range with the 50% fib at 0.8305 and Tuesday's low at 0.8298 as the floor.
Support: 0.83048, 0.8298, 0.82774
Resistance: 0.83263, 0.8365, 0.83824
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.8326 week high breaks the 61.8% cap and opens the path to the 0.8365 range top and the 0.8382 16m high
Failure to hold the 0.8298 tue low and the higher-low line exposes the 0.8277 mon low
Repeated closes below the 50% fib at 0.8305 would shift the read from range to rejection
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read via US yields
Higher lows since Monday under a flat cap at 0.8326.
Thursday's slide from the 0.8382 16m high ran into Friday's NFP miss and bottomed at the 0.8227 nfp low. Since Monday's open the pair has printed higher lows at the 0.8277 mon low and the 0.8298 tue low. Rallies have stalled at 0.8324–0.8326, the tue high and the 61.8% retracement of that drop, which rejected in London this morning and again in NY. Price is now pivoting on the ema20 near 0.8313 with RSI(14) flat near 48 as DXY slips back under 102.00.
Support: 0.8298, 0.8277, 0.8227
Resistance: 0.8313, 0.8326, 0.8382
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.8326 tue high clears the 61.8% cap and opens the path toward the 0.8382 16m high
Break of the rising trendline and the 0.8298 tue low ends the higher-low sequence and exposes the 0.8277 mon low
Loss of the 0.8277 mon low puts the 0.8227 nfp low back in view
Repeated H1 closes below the ema20 at 0.8313 would show the Monday recovery losing traction
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read via US yields
17:03 UTC
Rebound from Friday low, stalling under 0.8325 · RSI 53 · price 0.83142
Higher lows pressing a flat cap at the week high.
USDCHF has rebuilt from Friday's NFP-driven friday low at 0.8227 (29K vs 90K miss), printing higher lows from Monday's Asia-session week low at 0.8277 through Tuesday's London dip. Upside has stalled three times at 0.8324–0.8326, the week high and the 61.8% fib of the Thu-Fri drop. The latest was a rejection at Tuesday's NY open as easing oil and yields weighed on USD. Price sits just above EMA(20) near 0.8312 with RSI(14) around 53, compressing between the rising trendline and the week high cap.
Support: 0.8298, 0.82774, 0.82271
Resistance: 0.83263, 0.83824
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.8326 week high clears the 61.8% fib cap and opens the path toward 0.8370 and the 16-mth high at 0.8382
Break below the 0.8298 tuesday low ends the higher-low sequence and the rising trendline, exposing the 0.8277 week low
Loss of the week low puts the 0.8227 friday low back in focus
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read, alongside oil and yield moves
Higher lows into a flat cap, compression after Thu–Fri decline.
The week's dominant move was Thursday's London-session reversal from the 0.8382 16m high and Friday's flush to the 0.8227 nfp low on the soft payrolls print. Since then the pair has built higher lows from the 0.8284 week open to the 0.8298 tue low, but London and NY rallies on Tuesday were both rejected at the 0.8324–0.8326 range cap, which sits on the 61.8% retracement of the Thu–Fri decline. The geopolitics-driven USD bid noted in the digest has lifted the pair without clearing that cap; price now sits just under a flat EMA(20) near 0.8311 with RSI(14) in the mid-40s.
Support: 0.8298, 0.8284, 0.8227
Resistance: 0.8311, 0.8326, 0.8382
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.8326 range cap breaks the compression and exposes the 0.8382 16m high
Failure to hold the 0.8298 tue low breaks the rising-lows line and puts the 0.8284 week open back in play
Loss of the week open shifts focus back to the 0.8227 nfp low
Holding below ema20 near 0.8311 keeps price in the lower half of the range
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC (~26h) could materially shift this read
15:03 UTC
Recovering from Friday low, capped below range top · RSI 51 · price 0.83104
Higher lows pressing into a flat 0.8324–0.8326 ceiling.
USDCHF has rebuilt from Friday's NFP-driven nfp low at 0.8227 with a run of higher lows (0.8285 monday low, 0.8298 higher low in Tuesday's London session), helped by a geopolitics-driven USD bid. Supply has capped three tests of the 0.8324–0.8326 range top since Monday's NY session. That ceiling lines up with the 61.8% retracement of the Thu-Fri drop and the 0.8320 former-support zone. Price is chopping around EMA(20) with RSI(14) near 51 and ATR(14) about 10 pips, a compression between the higher-low trendline and the range top rather than a directional trend.
Support: 0.8298, 0.8285, 0.8227
Resistance: 0.8326, 0.8382
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.8326 range top opens the path back toward the 0.8382 16m high set Thursday
Break of the 0.8298 higher low and the higher-low trendline exposes the 0.8285 monday low, then the 0.8227 nfp low
Reaction to Bowman's 14:45 UTC remarks and FOMC Minutes (Wed 18:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
A deeper global bond selloff, which has recently lifted CHF, would test the higher-low sequence
Higher lows compressing under a flat 0.8320–0.8326 cap.
Thursday's slide from the 0.8382 16-month high bottomed at 0.8227 after Friday's soft NFP. The rebound since the weekly open at 0.8284 has stalled at the 61.8% retracement near 0.8323, with rejection at the 0.8326 week high in Tuesday's London session and again at the 0.8320 cap into the NY open. Higher lows on Monday (0.8285) and Tuesday (0.8298) keep price compressing above EMA(20) with RSI(14) near 59, as the geopolitical USD bid presses the cap.
Support: 0.8314, 0.8298, 0.82842
Resistance: 0.83263, 0.83723, 0.83824
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.8326 week high breaks the 0.8320 cap and the 61.8% retracement, opening the 0.8372 thu high and the 0.8382 16m high
Failure to hold the 0.8298 higher low breaks the rising trendline and puts the 0.8284 weekly open back in focus
Sustained trade back below EMA(20) near 0.8314 would weaken the compression read
Fed's Bowman at 14:45 UTC today and FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher lows since Monday, capped at 0.8320–0.8326.
Since Monday's weekly open at 0.8284 the pair has retraced half of the Thursday–Friday drop from the 16m high at 0.8382 to the 0.8227 Friday low. The dollar has held a bid on record yields and geopolitical demand despite Friday's soft NFP. Supply has capped two attempts at the 61.8% retracement, at 0.8324 in Monday's NY session and at today's 0.8326 week high in London, while the NY open dip to the 0.8298 day low held rising support. Price sits just under the ema20 near 0.8311 with RSI(14) around 47, a mid-range consolidation.
Support: 0.8298, 0.8284, 0.8227
Resistance: 0.8311, 0.8326, 0.8382
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.8326 week high clears the 61.8% cap and opens the path to 0.8365, then the 16m high at 0.8382
Close below the 0.8298 day low breaks rising support and exposes the weekly open at 0.8284
Holding below the ema20 near 0.8311 keeps the consolidation read intact
Fed's Williams (13:05 UTC) and Bowman (14:45 UTC) today, then FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC, could materially shift this read
Lower high at 0.8326 below Thursday's 0.8382; Monday's rising line broken.
Thursday's London-open spike to 0.8382 reversed into a 155-pip slide that ended at Friday's NFP low of 0.8227 after the 29K payrolls miss. The yield- and haven-driven rebound since Monday's open stalled at the 0.8326 week high, right on the 61.8% fib of that drop. Today's London session has slipped back below the ema20 (~0.8311) and through the rising line from Monday's low, with price sitting on today's low at 0.8298 and RSI(14) easing to 44.
Support: 0.8298, 0.8284, 0.8227
Resistance: 0.8311, 0.8326, 0.8382
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.8284 weekly open (near the 38.2% fib) exposes the 0.8227 nfp low
Reclaim of the ema20 and a close above the 0.8326 week high would negate the lower-high read and bring the 0.8382 thu high back into view
Fed's Williams (13:05 UTC) and Bowman (14:45 UTC) today, then FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC, could materially shift this read
Higher lows since Monday open; highs compressing under 61.8% retracement.
USDCHF has rebounded from the post-NFP low at 0.8227 in Friday's NY session, printing higher lows from Monday's Asia open into Tuesday's Asian range. The rebound has stalled at the 61.8% retracement of the Thursday–Friday drop: Monday's NY high and Tuesday's London high both stopped near the 0.8326 week high. Price is now sitting on a flat EMA(20) near 0.8313 with RSI(14) around 56, a squeeze the digest ties to yield-driven USD demand meeting CHF's fiscal-haven bid.
Support: 0.8313, 0.8302, 0.8284
Resistance: 0.8326, 0.8335, 0.8382
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.8326 week high and the 61.8% level breaks the wedge top and opens the 0.8335 thu break area, with the 0.8382 16m high above
Close below the higher-low line and the 0.8302 tue low would end the rising-low sequence and expose the 0.8284 weekly open
Holding the ema20 at 0.8313 keeps the compression intact into the NY session
ADP (12:15 UTC), Williams (13:05 UTC) and Bowman (14:45 UTC) during NY hours could shift Fed hike pricing and this read
FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the main event risk for a break of the week high or the weekly open
10:03 UTC
Recovery from Friday low, stalling below week high · RSI 52 · price 0.8311
Higher lows since Monday under a flat 0.8326 cap; compressed range.
Thursday's slide from the 0.8382 high ran into a 0.8227 Friday low on the weak NFP print. Since then price has built higher lows off the 0.8284 weekly open, with the Asia and NY sessions doing most of Monday's lifting as firm US yields and haven demand backed the dollar. The bounce has been rejected twice at the 0.8323–0.8326 zone, which is the 61.8% fib of the Thursday–Friday decline and the London-open week high. Price now sits on a flattening EMA(20) near 0.8312 with RSI(14) near 52 and ATR(14) around 8 pips, compressed between the 0.8302 Tuesday low and the week high.
Support: 0.8302, 0.8284, 0.8227
Resistance: 0.8326, 0.8382
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.8326 week high clears the 61.8% fib cap and opens the path toward the 0.8382 Thursday high
Break of the 0.8302 Tuesday low and the higher-lows trendline undercuts the recovery structure, exposing the 0.8284 weekly open
Loss of the 0.8284 weekly open re-exposes the 0.8227 Friday low
ADP (12:15 UTC), Fed's Williams (13:05) and Bowman (14:45) today, then FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC, could materially shift this read
Higher lows since Friday's low, highs compressing under 0.8326.
USD/CHF is recovering from Friday's NFP-hour low at 0.8227. It has printed higher lows at 0.8285 during Monday's London session and at the 0.8302 swing low in Tuesday's Asian range, with closes holding above EMA(20) near 0.8312 and RSI(14) around 60. Momentum is fading into the 61.8% retracement of the Thursday-Friday drop near 0.8323, where both Monday's NY high and today's London-open week high at 0.8326 stalled, matching the 0.8320 cap flagged in market commentary. Record US yields and haven demand for USD are keeping the pair above the weekly open at 0.8284.
Support: 0.8312, 0.8302, 0.8284
Resistance: 0.8326, 0.8366, 0.8382
What it said to watch
An H1 close above the 0.8326 week high clears the 61.8% fib of the Thursday-Friday drop and opens the 0.8366 range top, then the 0.8382 16m high
A break of the higher lows trendline and the 0.8302 swing low would turn the recovery into a range back toward the 0.8284 weekly open
ADP (12:15 UTC), Fed's Williams (13:05 UTC) and Bowman (14:45 UTC) could reprice October-hike odds and shift this read
FOMC Minutes on Wed at 18:00 UTC are the week's main event risk for the USD leg
Higher lows since Friday's NFP low, capped near 0.8326.
The 155-pip slide from Thursday's 0.8382 16-month high bottomed at 0.8227 on Friday's weak NFP and has since been retraced through higher lows: 0.8277 on Monday, then 0.8302 for the Tuesday low. That rising trendline, now near 0.8309, is carrying the recovery. Price holds above EMA(20) and EMA(50), helped by USD haven demand and firm US yields, but London's push this morning stalled at a 0.8326 week high, which sits on the 61.8% retracement of the Thursday-Friday drop.
Support: 0.8309, 0.8302, 0.8277
Resistance: 0.8326, 0.8365, 0.8382
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.8326 week high clears the 61.8% retrace and opens the 0.8365 range top, then the 0.8382 16m high
Break of the trendline near 0.8309 and the 0.8302 tuesday low would end the higher-low sequence and expose the 0.8277 monday low
ADP (12:15 UTC), Fed's Williams (13:05 UTC) and Bowman (14:45 UTC) today could shift October hike odds and this read
FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC are the main scheduled risk for the week
Higher lows since Friday NFP low; testing Monday high below Thursday peak.
USD/CHF has recovered about 95 pips from Friday's post-NFP low at 0.8227 and has printed higher lows from the Sunday open through today's Asia session, with pullbacks holding the EMA(20) near 0.8313. The rebound is now pressing 0.8320–0.8324, where the monday high meets the 61.8% retracement of the Thursday-Friday decline from 0.8382, the same zone the CHF haven bid capped on Monday. RSI(14) near 58 shows firm momentum that is not yet stretched, as long-end US yields keep the dollar near YTD highs.
Support: 0.8313, 0.8302, 0.8277
Resistance: 0.8324, 0.8365, 0.8382
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.8324 monday high and 61.8% fib opens the 0.8365 range top, then the 0.8382 thu high
Break of the 0.8302 swing low and the higher-low trendline exposes the 0.8277 monday low
Repeated rejection at 0.8320–0.8324 keeps this a retracement inside the Thursday-Friday decline
ADP 12:15 UTC, Fed's Williams 13:05 UTC and Bowman 14:45 UTC could shift USD during NY hours; FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC
Higher lows since Friday, compressed under the Monday high.
Thursday's 16m high at 0.8382 gave way to a 155-pip slide that bottomed at the 0.8227 nfp low during Friday's NY session after the 29K payrolls miss. Since Monday's weekly open at 0.8284, firm USD demand near YTD highs has built higher lows. The rebound stalled at the 0.8324 monday high, the 61.8% retracement of the drop and the former 0.8320 support area. Price has been compressed in a 0.8302–0.8324 band since Monday's NY hours, holding just above EMA(20) near 0.8312 with RSI(14) flat around 53 and the 50% fib aligned with the Tuesday asia low.
Support: 0.83024, 0.82842, 0.82271
Resistance: 0.83239, 0.83824
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.8324 monday high clears the 61.8% fib and opens the path toward the 0.8382 16m high
Failure to hold the 0.8302 asia low and the higher-lows trendline exposes the 0.8284 weekly open
Loss of the weekly open puts the 0.8227 nfp low back in focus
ADP (12:15 UTC), Williams (13:05) and Bowman (14:45) today could shift October hike odds and this read
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC are high-impact for USD
05:03 UTC
Rebound from Friday low, stalling near 61.8% · RSI 55 · price 0.83158
Higher lows under a flat 0.8324 cap.
Thursday's London reversal from the 0.8382 16m high carried into Friday. The NFP miss (29K vs 90K) printed the 0.8227 nfp low. Monday's rebound came in two legs, Asia and NY, on firm USD and record-high US 10y yields, but the NY push stalled at the 0.8324 monday high, which sits on the 61.8% retracement of the Thu-Fri drop and just above the 0.8320 cap flagged in the digest. Since Monday's London dip, lows have stepped higher into Tuesday's 0.8302 asia low, with price back above the ema20 near 0.8311 and RSI(14) flat around 55.
Support: 0.8311, 0.8302, 0.8227
Resistance: 0.8324, 0.8382
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.8324 monday high clears the 61.8% retracement and opens the path toward the 0.8382 16m high
Break of the rising-lows line and the 0.8302 asia low turns the rebound into a lower high and exposes the 0.8227 nfp low
Repeated closes back below the ema20 near 0.8311 would signal the Monday cap is still being respected
US ADP (12:15 UTC), plus Fed's Williams (13:05) and Bowman (14:45) today, could shift October hike odds and test the cap
FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC are the main scheduled risk to this read
Higher lows since Friday's low, capped below 0.8324 with lower highs from 0.8382.
Thursday's 0.8382 prior high gave way to a 155-pip slide through NY hours and Friday's NFP miss, which bottomed at the 0.8227 Friday low. Monday's rebound from the 0.8284 weekly open built higher lows at the 0.8285 London low and the 0.8302 Asian low. The NY-session push stalled at the 0.8324 Monday high, a rejection at the 61.8% retracement and the 0.8320 former-support area. Tuesday's Asian session is compressing 0.8302–0.8318 around EMA(20), with RSI(14) flat near 50 as USD holds YTD highs on yields.
Support: 0.83024, 0.82854, 0.82271
Resistance: 0.83239, 0.83824
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.8324 Monday high breaks the lower-highs line and reopens the 0.8365–0.8382 prior high zone
Failure to hold the 0.8302 Asian low breaks the higher-lows line and exposes the 0.8285 London low
Loss of the 0.8285 London low puts the 0.8227 Friday low back in focus
Fed's Williams (13:05 UTC) and Bowman (14:45 UTC) today, and FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC, could materially shift this read
Higher lows capped near 61.8% retrace of Thu–Fri drop.
Thursday's London-open reversal from the 0.8382 week high, followed by the 29K NFP miss, drove the pair to a 0.8227 nfp low in Friday's NY session. Since Sunday's open, price has built higher lows at 0.8277, 0.8285 and the 0.8302 asia low. Monday's NY high at 0.8324 stalled at the 61.8% retrace, just above the 0.8320 cap flagged in the CHF digest. Price is back above EMA(20) near 0.8309 with RSI(14) holding mid-50s, consistent with a recovery that is stalling under resistance.
Support: 0.83024, 0.82854, 0.82271
Resistance: 0.83239, 0.83345, 0.83824
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.8324 monday high clears the 61.8% retrace and opens the 0.8334 breakdown area, then the 0.8382 week high
Loss of the higher-low line and the 0.8302 asia low (50% retrace) exposes the 0.8285 higher low
Failure below 0.8285 puts the 0.8227 nfp low back in view
ADP 12:15 UTC and Williams/Bowman 13:05/14:45 UTC today, plus FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC, could shift this read via October hike pricing
Higher lows since Friday's low, capped below Monday high.
Rejected from the 0.8382 cycle high into Thursday's London open, the pair slid 155 pips to the 0.8227 friday low around the NFP miss. It has since built higher lows through this week's open. Monday's NY rally stalled at the 0.8324 monday high, right at the 61.8% fib of that drop and just above the 0.8320 cap flagged on USD yield strength. Tuesday's Asia session is compressing above EMA(20) at 0.8302–0.8311, with RSI(14) holding near 53.
Support: 0.83024, 0.82774, 0.82271
Resistance: 0.83239, 0.8335, 0.83824
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.8324 monday high clears the 61.8% fib cap and opens the 0.8335 breakdown area
Failure below the 0.8302 asia low and the higher lows trendline breaks the recovery sequence, exposing the 0.8277 weekly low
A move back under the weekly low brings the 0.8227 friday low back into focus
Fed's Williams (13:05 UTC) and Bowman (14:45 UTC) today, then FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC, could materially shift this read via October hike pricing
01:04 UTC
Recovery from NFP low, stalling below week high · RSI 55 · price 0.83072
Higher lows since Monday under a 0.8324 cap; compressing at the 50% retracement.
USD/CHF has retraced from Friday's post-NFP low at 0.8227. Monday's Asia-session jump on safe-haven USD demand set up a run of higher lows above the 0.8277 week low. Supply capped the pair twice during NY hours at the 0.8324 week high, which is the 61.8% retracement of last week's 0.8382–0.8227 drop. Price now sits on the 50% level, flat against the ema20 and EMA(50) near 0.8306 with RSI(14) around 55, and the higher-low trendline is meeting the lower highs from Monday's cap.
Support: 0.8305, 0.8277, 0.8227
Resistance: 0.8324, 0.8365, 0.8382
What it said to watch
H1 close below the ema20 near 0.8305 and the higher-low trendline exposes the 0.8277 week low
Failure to hold the 0.8277 week low puts the 0.8227 nfp low back in play
A close above the 0.8324 week high (61.8% fib) and the lower-highs line opens the 0.8365 range top and the 0.8382 16m high
Fed's Williams (13:05 UTC) and Bowman (14:45 UTC) today, then FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC, could materially shift this read via Oct hike pricing
00:03 UTC
Rebound from Friday low, capped at 61.8% retracement · RSI 58 · price 0.83136
Higher lows since Friday's NFP low; Monday high at 0.8324 holding as a lower high vs 0.8382.
Thursday's reversal from the 0.8382 16m high deepened through London and NY hours, and Friday's NFP miss (29K vs 90K) printed the 0.8227 Friday low before demand stepped in. Since Sunday's weekly open at 0.8284 the pair has carved higher lows. It rallied in Asia Monday on safe-haven USD demand, then stalled at the 0.8324 Monday high into the NY open, right at the 61.8% fib of the Thursday–Friday drop and near the 0.8320 former-support area. Price is now drifting just above EMA(20) at 0.8306, which sits on the 50% retracement, with RSI(14) cycling in the high 50s.
Support: 0.8306, 0.82842, 0.82271
Resistance: 0.83239, 0.83824
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.8324 Monday high clears the 61.8% fib and opens the path back toward the 0.8382 16m high
Failure to hold EMA(20)/50% fib near 0.8306 and a break of the higher-lows line expose the 0.8284 weekly open
A move below the weekly open puts the 0.8227 Friday low back in focus
Fed's Williams (13:05 UTC) and Bowman (14:45 UTC) Tue, then FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC, could shift Oct hike pricing and this read