USD/CHF AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Tuesday, 13 October 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/CHF 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:46 UTC
Sideways after a failed push lower, grinding up into range top · RSI 59 · price 0.83285
0.8320–0.8333 range since NY's V-rebound off 0.8313; early Asia sits at the 50% retrace.
USD softness into CPI dragged the pair from the 0.8345 day high to the 0.8313 NY low, a false break that reversed straight back into a 0.8320–0.8333 range. Early Asia has held above the 0.8320 rollover low and is pressing 0.8329, the 50% fib, with range top 0.8333 aligned with the 61.8%.
Support: 0.8320, 0.8313
Resistance: 0.8333, 0.8345
What it said to watch
Close above 0.8333 range top opens the path back toward the 0.8345 day high
Loss of the 0.8320 rollover low exposes the 0.8313 NY low
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read; core 0.2% m/m is the consensus
23:31 UTC
Sideways after London selloff, mild Asia recovery · RSI 55 · price 0.83281
0.8322–0.8333 range above 0.8313 day low; higher low printed in early Asia.
USDCHF slid from the 0.8345 asia high through London to a 0.8313 day low in the first hour of NY. A sharp rejection there carried price back to the 0.8333 ny high, and the pair has ranged below it since as USD drifted softer into CPI. Early Asia is holding a late low near 0.8322, around the 50–61.8% retrace of the NY rebound, with ATR(14) compressed near 2 pips.
Support: 0.83221, 0.83131
Resistance: 0.8333, 0.83448
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8333 ny high breaks the post-NY range top, with the 0.8345 asia high above it
Failure to hold the 0.8322 late low exposes the 0.8313 day low
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC (core f/c 0.2% m/m) could materially shift this read; Fed Bowman speaks at 09:40 UTC
23:16 UTC
Sideways after NY rebound, low momentum · RSI 55 · price 0.83277
Tight range 0.8322–0.8333 beneath the 61.8% retracement.
Early Asia session is trading inside the 0.8322 swing low to 0.8333 range top band that has held since the NY rebound off the 0.8313 session low. The range top coincides with the 61.8% fib of the drop from the 0.8345 Asian high, after the move lower tracked the softer USD following Williams' comments. RSI(14) is neutral near 55, and price is flat ahead of US CPI.
Support: 0.8322, 0.8313
Resistance: 0.8333, 0.8345
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the 0.8333 range top (61.8% fib) opens the path back toward the 0.8345 Asian high
Failure to hold the 0.8322 swing low exposes the 0.8313 session low
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC (core f/c 0.2% MoM) could materially shift this read; Bowman speaks at 09:40 UTC
Tight post-NY band 0.8323–0.8333 below the Asia high; lower highs intact from 0.8345.
London took the pair from the 0.8345 Asia high to a 0.8313 day low as USD softened on Williams' one-more-hike framing. An early-NY rebound stalled at the 0.8333 NY high, the 61.8% fib of the drop. NY and the rollover have since compressed into 0.8323–0.8333, with RSI(14) at 55 and ATR(14) near 2 pips as the Asia session opens.
Support: 0.83233, 0.83131
Resistance: 0.8333, 0.83448
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8333 ny high and fib 61.8% puts the 0.8345 asia high back in play
Loss of the 0.8323 ny low reopens the 0.8313 day low
Fed Bowman at 09:40 UTC could break the Asian compression
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC (core f/c 0.2% MoM) is the main risk to this range read
The NY-session drop to the 0.8313 day low was rejected and retraced to the 0.8333 NY high. Price has since compressed between a 0.8323 range floor, near the 50% fib of that rebound, and a run of lower highs capping around 0.8328 into early Asia. RSI(14) sits near 52, price is pinned to EMA20/50 and ATR is about 2 pips, a coiled tape as USD softness pauses ahead of Wednesday's US CPI.
Support: 0.83233, 0.83209, 0.83131
Resistance: 0.83278, 0.83334
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8328 breaks the lower highs line and puts the 0.8333 NY high back in play
Failure to hold the 0.8323 range floor exposes the 61.8% fib at 0.8321, then the 0.8313 day low
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC (core f/c 0.2% MoM) and Fed Bowman at 09:40 UTC could materially shift this read
V-rebound off session low, now a tight 0.8322–0.8333 range.
Asia and London sold off from the 0.8346 day high to a 0.8313 session low in early NY, where a sharp rejection lifted price to the 0.8333 NY high, the 61.8% fib of the day drop. Since then the pair has held a tight range between the 0.8322 range floor and 0.8333 into the Asia open, with the 0.8320 print at rollover a thin-liquidity spike. Price sits on EMA50, RSI(14) is neutral near 56 and the fib 50% at 0.8330 is the first cap, with USD softer but range-bound ahead of US CPI.
Support: 0.8322, 0.8313
Resistance: 0.8330, 0.8333, 0.8346
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8333 ny high / 61.8% fib breaks the range and opens the 0.8346 day high
Failure to hold the 0.8322 range floor exposes the 0.8313 session low
Fed Bowman at 09:40 UTC and US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read; a core beat vs 0.2% would be the main upside catalyst
22:16 UTC
Sideways-to-softer, lower highs since NY · RSI 45 · price 0.8325
Tight 0.8322–0.8333 range after NY day-low sweep.
USD softness on lower crude and pre-CPI caution pushed price to a 0.8313 day low early in NY, where the move swept and reversed into a NY rebound to the 0.8333 NY high. Since then, lower highs have pressed price toward the 0.8322 late low in thin Asia-open trade, with RSI(14) neutral near 45 and ATR at about 2.7 pips. The Asian high at 0.8346 marks the top of the 24h window.
Support: 0.8322, 0.8313
Resistance: 0.8333, 0.8346
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8322 late low exposes a retest of the 0.8313 day low
Break above the lower highs line and the 0.8333 NY high reopens the path toward the 0.8346 asian high
Price holding inside the 38–62% zone of the NY rebound keeps the range read intact
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC (~14h) and Fed Bowman at 09:40 UTC could materially shift this read
22:01 UTC
Lower through Asia/London, flat since NY rebound · RSI 46 · price 0.8325
Tight range 0.8322–0.8333 below NY high, inside day's 0.8313–0.8346 span.
Asia and London ground lower from the 0.8346 Asian high to a 0.8313 day low at the NY open. Price then rebounded sharply to the 0.8333 NY high, which capped twice as CHF firmed on a softer USD after Williams' one-more-hike remarks. Since 18:00 UTC the pair has drifted in a 0.8322–0.8333 range. RSI is neutral at 46 and price sits near the 38–50% retrace of the NY rebound.
Support: 0.83221, 0.83131
Resistance: 0.83334, 0.83461
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8322 late low exposes the 0.8313 day low
Close above the 0.8333 NY high breaks the range and opens 0.8346, the Asian high
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC (core f/c 0.2% m/m) likely sets the next directional leg
Fed Bowman at 09:40 UTC during London could move the range edges early
0.8323–0.8333 post-NY range, lower highs pressing the floor.
Softer USD on lower crude and Williams' 'one more hike' remarks drove the London-to-NY slide from the 0.8346 Asia high to a 0.8313 day low, which was swept and snapped back to a 0.8333 range top. Since then lower highs at 0.8333 and 0.8328 are compressing price onto the 0.8323 range floor, near the 50% retracement of the rebound. A rollover spike printed 0.8320, the round number below. RSI(14) at 44, ATR 2.7 pips, price below both EMAs.
Support: 0.8323, 0.8320, 0.8313
Resistance: 0.8328, 0.8333, 0.8346
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8323 range floor exposes the 0.8320 round number, then the 0.8313 day low
M15 close above the 0.8328 lower high breaks the lower-highs line and returns focus to the 0.8333 range top
Fed Bowman at 09:40 UTC and US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC (~15h) could materially shift this read
21:31 UTC
Intraday downtrend, flattening into range · RSI 41 · price 0.83248
V-rejection off 0.8313 day low, capped at 0.8333 range top; drifting in lower half.
USDCHF bled from the 0.8345 asian high through London to a 0.8313 day low in early NY, then snapped back as USD softened ahead of CPI. The recovery stalled at the 0.8333 range top, near the 61.8% retrace of the asian high–day low fib. After NY close it sits at 0.8325, just above the 0.8323 pm low and below EMA20/50, with RSI near 41 and ATR around 3 pips. The broker-midnight spike to 0.8320 was a thin-liquidity print.
Support: 0.83233, 0.83131
Resistance: 0.8333, 0.83448
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8323 pm low exposes the 0.8313 day low
M15 close above the 0.8333 range top reopens the 0.8345 asian high
Fed's Bowman at 09:40 UTC and US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC (core m/m f/c 0.2%) could materially shift this read
21:16 UTC
Sideways after NY rebound, mild lower highs · RSI 41 · price 0.83248
NY range 0.8323–0.8333 with lower highs off the ny high.
CHF firmness after Williams' dovish remarks drove USDCHF to a 0.8313 day low in early NY. Price rebounded to the 0.8333 ny high, which then capped two attempts, and lower highs have since compressed price toward the 0.8323 ny low, near the 50% fib of that rebound. The rollover dip to 0.8320 came on a thin bar and did not hold.
Support: 0.83233, 0.83131
Resistance: 0.83334, 0.83457
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8323 ny low exposes the 0.8313 day low
Close above 0.8333 ny high breaks the lower-high sequence and opens the 0.8345 asian high
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC (core m/m f/c 0.2%) and Bowman at 09:40 UTC could materially shift this read
21:02 UTC
Intraday downtrend, stalled into range · RSI 40 · price 0.83256
Lower highs from Asia high, NY low rejected, 0.8323–0.8333 range since.
The pair bled lower from the 0.8346 Asia high through London as CHF firmed on a softer USD, then dropped to a 0.8313 NY low before a sharp rejection back to the 0.8333 NY high, the 61.8% fib. Since then it has held a 10-pip range between the 0.8323 range floor and the NY high, with late-NY volume thinning and price at the 38.2% fib.
Support: 0.83233, 0.83131
Resistance: 0.83334, 0.83461
What it said to watch
Close below the 0.8323 range floor reopens the 0.8313 NY low
Close above the 0.8333 NY high / 61.8% fib breaks the lower-high sequence toward the 0.8346 Asia high
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC (core m/m f/c 0.2%) could materially shift this read
20:46 UTC
Down from Asian high, now flat and compressing · RSI 43 · price 0.83264
Lower highs through London into a 0.8313 low; late-NY range 0.8323–0.8333.
USD/CHF faded from the 0.8345 Asian high through London to a 0.8313 session low in the first hour of NY, then rebounded to 0.8333. That high is the 61.8% fib of the day's drop and drew rejection twice. Late NY is compressing into a 0.8323–0.8333 range just below flat EMAs. RSI(14) is at 43 and the pair is heavy on pre-CPI USD softness.
Support: 0.83233, 0.83131
Resistance: 0.8333, 0.83452
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8333 range top (61.8% fib) reopens the 0.8345 Asian high
Failure to hold the 0.8323 range low exposes the 0.8313 session low
Bowman at 09:40 UTC could break the Asian range
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC (core 0.2% m/m f/c) is the main risk to this range
20:31 UTC
Down-drift, flattening into a tight range · RSI 42 · price 0.83257
Post-sweep range 0.8323–0.8333, minor lower highs since 17:00 UTC.
USD/CHF bled lower from the asia high at 0.8345 through London. Early NY swept to the ny low at 0.8313 before a sharp reclaim, with CHF firm against a USD trimmed into CPI. The ny high near 0.8333 has capped price since, the evening low at 0.8323 is holding, and late-NY trade is drifting with lower highs below both EMAs.
Support: 0.83233, 0.83131
Resistance: 0.83334, 0.83448
What it said to watch
M15 close below the evening low at 0.8323 reopens the ny low at 0.8313
Close above the ny high at 0.8333 breaks the lower-high sequence and points back toward the asia high at 0.8345
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC (core 0.2% m/m f/c) could materially shift this read
Thin Asia session liquidity likely keeps the 0.8323–0.8333 range intact until data
V-rebound off 0.8313 day low capped at 61.8% fib; 10-pip NY range.
The Asia-to-London selloff from the 0.8346 asian high bottomed at the 0.8313 day low early in NY, as a softer USD and Williams' one-more-hike framing lifted CHF. The rebound met rejection at the 61.8% selloff fib near 0.8333 (ny high), and price has held a 0.8323–0.8333 range into the close. RSI(14) is near 45 and price sits on flat EMA20/50.
Support: 0.8323, 0.8313
Resistance: 0.8333, 0.8346
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8333 ny high / 61.8% selloff fib breaks the range and exposes the 0.8346 asian high
Failure to hold 0.8323 ny low puts the 0.8313 day low back in play
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC (core 0.2% m/m f/c) is the main catalyst for a range break; Bowman at 09:40 UTC comes first
0.8323–0.8333 range since early NY, higher lows off 0.8313.
London slipped below the Asian range low, and the slide ran to a 0.8313 session low in early NY before a sharp rejection. Since then price has been boxed between the 0.8323 swing low and the 0.8333 NY high as CHF holds firm on Williams' one-more-hike signal. Late-NY trade is quiet, with ATR under 3 pips and price flat around the EMAs.
Support: 0.8323, 0.8313
Resistance: 0.8333, 0.8345
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8333 NY high breaks the range and opens the 0.8345 Asia high
Failure to hold the 0.8323 swing low exposes the 0.8313 session low and breaks the higher-low line
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the swing factor for this range; Bowman at 09:40 UTC could stir London trade first
19:46 UTC
Sideways after an intraday flush and rebound · RSI 46 · price 0.83259
NY-session range 0.8323–0.8333 after a false break below the Asian low.
London extended below the 0.8325 Asian low to a 0.8313 session low. A sharp rejection into the NY open lifted price to 0.8333 and marked a false break. Since then, late NY has compressed between the 0.8323 NY low and the 0.8333 range top, with price sitting near the 38.2% retrace of the rebound, RSI(14) neutral at 46, and pre-CPI caution keeping ranges tight.
Support: 0.83233, 0.83131
Resistance: 0.83334, 0.83448
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8323 NY low breaks the higher-low sequence and reopens the 0.8313 session low
Close above the 0.8333 range top puts the 0.8345 Asian high back in play
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC and Bowman at 09:40 UTC could materially shift this read
19:31 UTC
Intraday downtrend paused, ranging since NY rebound · RSI 47 · price 0.83254
NY range 0.8323–0.8333 after sweep of London low.
USD/CHF ground lower through London to a session low at 0.8313 early NY, then snapped back to the 0.8333 NY high as yields and oil eased. It has since been capped there, holding a 0.8323–0.8333 range late in the NY session. Price is sitting on the 38.2% fib of that rebound, with RSI(14) neutral near 47.
Support: 0.83233, 0.83131
Resistance: 0.83334, 0.83461
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8323 ny low reopens the 0.8313 session low
Close above the 0.8333 ny high breaks the NY range and exposes the 0.8346 asian high
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC (core f/c 0.2% m/m) could materially shift this read
19:01 UTC
Downtrend paused, ranging in late NY · RSI 46 · price 0.83245
Lower highs from 0.8346; NY range 0.8323–0.8333 below 61.8% retrace.
Lower highs from the 0.8346 Asia high ran into a session low at 0.8313 into the London-NY transition, as Treasury yields dipped and DXY pulled back. The NY open bounce met rejection twice at the 0.8333 NY high, the 61.8% retrace, and late NY is pressing the 0.8323 NY low with RSI(14) neutral near 46.
Support: 0.83233, 0.83131, 0.8300
Resistance: 0.83334, 0.83461
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8323 NY low exposes the 0.8313 session low, then the 0.8300 round number
Close above the 0.8333 NY high and 61.8% fib breaks the lower-high sequence toward the 0.8346 Asia high
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC (core f/c 0.2% m/m) is the next catalyst that could materially shift this read
18:46 UTC
Intraday downtrend paused, ranging in late NY · RSI 46 · price 0.8326
Lower highs from the Asian high, NY range 0.8323–0.8333 above the session low.
The slide from the 0.8345 Asian high ran through London and bottomed at the 0.8313 session low in early NY. The rebound stalled at the 0.8333 NY high, which is also the 61.8% fib retracement, with rejection there more than once. The late NY low at 0.8323 held as the dollar squared positions into Wednesday's CPI, and price now sits near the 38.2% level with RSI(14) neutral around 46.
Support: 0.8323, 0.8313
Resistance: 0.8333, 0.8345
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8333 NY high, the 61.8% level, breaks the NY range and exposes the 0.8345 Asian high
Failure to hold the 0.8323 late NY low and the rising support line puts the 0.8313 session low back in play
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC (core f/c 0.2% m/m) could materially shift this read; Bowman remarks and the Beige Book follow
Lower highs from the Asian high; NY-open bounce capped at the 61.8% fib, afternoon range floor slipping.
USD/CHF bled lower from the 0.8345 Asian high through London and printed a 0.8313 session low early in NY hours. The rebound stalled at the 0.8333 range top, which is also the 61.8% fib, as pre-CPI squaring trimmed USD. Late NY has slipped to a 0.8323 pm low and is sitting on the 38.2% fib with RSI(14) near 46.
Support: 0.83233, 0.8320, 0.83131
Resistance: 0.8329, 0.8333, 0.83448
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8323 pm low extends the lower-low sequence toward the 0.8320 round number and the 0.8313 session low
Recovery above the 50% fib at 0.8329 puts price back inside the afternoon range; the 0.8333 range top has rejected twice
A break above the 0.8345 Asian high would invalidate the intraday downtrend read
Fed's Bowman (09:40 UTC) and US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Day low 0.8313 rejected; NY range 0.8325–0.8333 with higher lows.
USD/CHF slid from the 0.8346 Asia high through London to a 0.8313 day low at 13:15 UTC as yields and oil eased. A sharp rejection then lifted it into a tight late-NY range, 0.8325–0.8333, capped at the 61.8% retrace with higher lows underneath and RSI(14) flat near 51.
Support: 0.83246, 0.83131, 0.8300
Resistance: 0.83334, 0.83461
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8333 nyrange high and 61.8% retrace opens the 0.8346 asia high
Loss of the 0.8325 nyrange low and the higher-lows line re-exposes the 0.8313 day low, then the 0.8300 round number
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the key catalyst; a soft core print would pressure the 0.8300 round number
The slide from the 0.8345 Asia high ran into the NY open, then saw a sharp rejection at the 0.8313 day low as US yields and oil eased. The rebound has stalled at the 0.8333 range top, near the 61.8% fib. Late NY trades inside 0.8325–0.8333 on rising lows, sitting at the 50% fib with RSI(14) neutral near 51.
Support: 0.83246, 0.83131
Resistance: 0.83334, 0.83457
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8333 range top breaks the 61.8% fib cap and exposes the 0.8345 asia high
Loss of 0.8325 range low breaks the rising-lows line and reopens the 0.8313 day low
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC, with Bowman at 09:40 UTC beforehand, could materially shift this read; core vs 0.2% is the key trigger
17:46 UTC
Range after V-reversal from session low · RSI 57 · price 0.83309
NY range 0.8325–0.8334 above reclaimed Asian low; minor higher lows.
USD/CHF ground lower through London as Treasury yields and oil eased, slipping below the Asian low near 0.8326 to a session low at 0.8313 before a sharp V-reversal around the NY open. Late NY is now ranging between the 0.8325 range low and the 0.8334 NY high with RSI(14) near 57, leaving the break of the Asian low a false break so far.
Support: 0.8325, 0.8313, 0.8300
Resistance: 0.8334, 0.8345
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8334 NY high exposes the 0.8345 Asia high
Loss of the 0.8325 range low reopens the 0.8313 session low, with the 0.8300 round number below
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the main catalyst for this range; US Budget Statement 18:00 UTC is low impact
Lower highs from 0.8346 into a 0.8313 low; V-rebound now boxed in 0.8325–0.8334.
USDCHF bled lower through Asia and London from the 0.8346 asia high to a 0.8313 day low just before the NY open, as easing yields pulled the dollar back. A sharp rejection there lifted price into a 0.8325 range low to 0.8334 session high box. Late in NY hours it sits at 0.8330, near the 50% retrace, with the 61.8% capping at the session high.
Support: 0.8325, 0.8313
Resistance: 0.8334, 0.8346
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8334 session high clears the 61.8% retrace and exposes the 0.8346 asia high
Failure to hold the 0.8325 range low reopens the 0.8313 day low
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the range-break catalyst; Monthly Budget Statement 18:00 UTC today is minor
V-recovery from 0.8313 day low, higher lows below 0.8333 cap.
Asia and London ground lower from the 0.8345 Asian high to a 0.8313 day low in the first hour of NY as Treasury yields eased. The day low was rejected and price recovered sharply. Late NY now presses the 0.8333 NY high, which coincides with the fib 61.8% retrace of that decline, with higher lows building from 0.8325.
Support: 0.83255, 0.83205, 0.83131
Resistance: 0.8333, 0.83448
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8333 clears the NY high and fib 61.8%, opening the path to the 0.8345 Asian high
Loss of the 0.8325 higher low breaks the NY recovery structure and exposes the 0.8320 London low, then the 0.8313 day low
US core CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the next catalyst for a break of the 0.8313–0.8345 session range
17:02 UTC
Recovering from day low, pressing NY high · RSI 61 · price 0.83329
V-reversal off 0.8313, higher lows inside 0.8325–0.8333.
London extended below the 0.8325 Asian low to a 0.8313 day low early in NY. Price then snapped back in a V-recovery as CHF failed to build on the broader USD dip. Late NY is pressing the 0.8334 ny high on higher lows off the 0.8325 ny base, about 60% back into the move down from the asian high.
Support: 0.8325, 0.8313
Resistance: 0.8334, 0.8346
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8334 ny high opens the 0.8346 asian high
Failure of the 0.8325 ny base breaks the higher-low sequence and puts the 0.8313 day low back in play
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the main catalyst for the range; the 18:00 UTC Budget Statement is minor
London lower-lows to 0.8313, V-rebound at NY open, now 0.8325–0.8333 range.
London ground out lower-lows to a 0.8313 session low as yields eased. That low drew a sharp rejection into the NY open, retracing to the 0.8333 NY high. Since then price has compressed between the 0.8325 NY range low and that high, holding near the 38.2% of the NY rebound fib as London closes.
Support: 0.83248, 0.83131, 0.8300
Resistance: 0.8333, 0.83452
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.8325 ny range low reopens the 0.8313 session low, with the 0.8300 round number beneath
Close above the 0.8333 ny high exposes the 0.8345 asia high
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC, especially core vs 0.2% m/m f/c, could break the range either way; Monthly Budget Statement 18:00 UTC today is minor
16:16 UTC
Intraday downtrend paused after NY rebound · RSI 55 · price 0.83265
Lower highs into 0.8313 low, now boxed 0.8325–0.8333.
USDCHF slid from the 0.8346 Asian high through London to a 0.8313 session low just before the NY open as softer yields weighed on USD. The NY rebound stalled at the 0.8333 NY high, the 61.8% retrace of that slide. Price is now compressing in a 0.8325–0.8333 band mid-NY session, straddling EMA20 with RSI(14) near 55.
Support: 0.83248, 0.83131, 0.8300
Resistance: 0.8333, 0.83461
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8333 NY high (61.8% retrace) opens the 0.8346 Asian high
Failure to hold the 0.8325 NY range low exposes the 0.8313 session low, then the 0.8300 round number
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the next scheduled catalyst for a break of the 0.8313–0.8333 band
16:02 UTC
Intraday downtrend paused, basing after NY rebound · RSI 54 · price 0.83265
V-reversal off session low, now a tight 0.8325–0.8333 range.
London extended the Asia-session slide below the Asian low to a 0.8313 session low as yields and oil eased. A sharp rejection in the first hour of NY lifted price back to the 0.8333 NY high. Since then price has held a tight range between the 0.8325 range low and 0.8333, sitting on the ema20 with RSI(14) near 54 and ATR(14) around 5 pips.
Support: 0.8325, 0.8321, 0.8313
Resistance: 0.8333, 0.8345
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8325 range low exposes the 61.8% fib of the NY rebound at 0.8321, then the 0.8313 session low
M15 close above the 0.8333 NY high breaks the post-rebound range and brings the 0.8345 Asian high back into view
US Monthly Budget Statement at 18:00 UTC is minor. Wed US CPI (core f/c 0.2% m/m) is the main catalyst and may keep the range compressed into the release
Lower highs from 0.8345 broken by a V-rebound; late-NY band 0.8325–0.8333.
Asia and London carved lower highs from the 0.8345 Asian high into a 0.8313 NY low at the NY open. That sweep was rejected sharply, reclaiming 0.8300 to the 0.8333 NY high, while USD drifted on softer yields and oil ahead of CPI. Price is now holding a 0.8325–0.8333 band, with the pullback low sitting at the 38–50% fib of the NY rally.
Support: 0.83248, 0.83131
Resistance: 0.8333, 0.83457
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8325 pullback low and the rising support line exposes the 0.8313 NY low
Close above the 0.8333 NY high puts the 0.8345 Asian high back in play
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC (core 0.2% m/m f/c) is the main catalyst for a break of this band
15:16 UTC
Intraday downtrend, interrupted by NY rebound · RSI 51 · price 0.83265
London lower-high chain broken; 0.8325–0.8333 post-rebound range.
Softer yields and oil weighed on USD through Asia and London, taking price from the 0.8345 Asian high to a 0.8313 session low around the NY open. That low drew a sharp rejection and a rebound to 0.8333. The rebound high is capping, and price is holding the 0.8325 pullback low near the 38.2% of the NY rebound, with RSI(14) neutral around 51.
Support: 0.83255, 0.83131, 0.8300
Resistance: 0.8333, 0.83457
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8325 pullback low exposes the 0.8313 session low
M15 close above the 0.8333 rebound high opens the path to the 0.8345 Asian high
Break of 0.8313 brings the 0.8300 round number into play
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC, with core the swing factor; it could materially shift this read
Lower highs from Asian high; V-rebound capped at 61.8% retrace.
Lower highs from the 0.8346 Asian high ran to a 0.8313 session low into the NY open. A 20-pip rebound then stalled at 0.8333, where the London high meets the 61.8% retrace, as softer yields and oil kept USD capped. Price is sitting on the 0.8325 swing low, RSI(14) neutral near 51, ATR(14) about 5 pips.
Support: 0.83255, 0.83131, 0.8300
Resistance: 0.83335, 0.83461
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8334 london high voids the lower-high read and exposes the 0.8346 asian high
Failure to hold the 0.8325 swing low reopens the 0.8313 session low, then the 0.8300 round number
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC (core vs 0.2% f/c) is the main catalyst that could break the range
14:46 UTC
Intraday downtrend interrupted by sharp NY reversal · RSI 54 · price 0.83295
Lower highs through Asia/London, NY low swept then V-shaped reclaim.
The Asia-to-London grind of lower highs ran into a sweep of the 0.8313 ny low at the NY open. Price then snapped back through the descending trendline to the 0.8333 ny high, as CHF failed to extend gains despite softer yields. The pullback held the 0.8325 retest low at the 38.2% fib of the reversal, and price is now consolidating near 0.8330.
Support: 0.83245, 0.83131
Resistance: 0.8333, 0.83445
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8333 ny high opens the 0.8345 prior range floor from yesterday's session
Loss of the 0.8325 retest low puts the reversal into question and brings the 0.8313 ny low back into view
US Monthly Budget Statement at 18:00 UTC is second-tier; US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the range-break trigger for this read
14:31 UTC
London downtrend, NY rebound off the low · RSI 51 · price 0.83269
Lower highs through London; session low rejected, rebound stalled at London high.
USDCHF ground lower through London as Treasury yields and oil eased and DXY slipped. Early in NY it set a 0.8313 session low, which was rejected. The rebound broke the London downtrend line but stalled at 0.8333, the NY high and London top, and price is now pulling back to the fib 38.2% near 0.8325.
Support: 0.8320, 0.83131
Resistance: 0.8333, 0.83457
What it said to watch
A close back below the 0.8320 round number reopens the 0.8313 session low
Acceptance above the 0.8333 ny high exposes the 0.8346 asian high
Holding the fib 38.2% around 0.8325 keeps the rebound off the session low intact
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the range-break trigger; a renewed rise in yields beforehand could shift this read
14:16 UTC
Intraday downtrend interrupted by sharp NY reversal · RSI 57 · price 0.83301
London lower-low chain to 0.8313 reversed; price back inside Asian range.
London broke below the 0.8327 Asian low and ground down to a 0.8313 session low. The first hour of NY then produced a 17-pip V-reversal back above the 0.8330 round number, retracing about 50% of the 0.8345–0.8313 decline with USD held firm into Wednesday's CPI. The 0.8334 London high is the nearest cap.
Support: 0.8330, 0.83269, 0.83131
Resistance: 0.83344, 0.83448
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8334 London high opens the 61.8% fib and the 0.8345 Asian high
Slip back below the 0.8327 Asian low turns the reversal into a lower-high under resistance
Loss of the 0.8313 session low resumes the London downtrend
Existing Home Sales 14:00 UTC; US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the larger catalyst for this read
Lower highs from Asia into NY, V-shaped reversal off the NY low.
USD/CHF slid from the 0.8345 Asian high through London as DXY eased with yields and oil. It broke the 0.8325 London low and printed a 0.8313 NY low, where it met a sharp rejection. A two-bar NY rebound then broke the descending trendline and reclaimed 0.8330, leaving price between the 50% and 61.8% fib of the Asian high-to-NY low drop, just under the 0.8334 London high. RSI(14) has recovered to 56.
Support: 0.8325, 0.8313
Resistance: 0.8334, 0.8345
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8334 London high (near the 61.8% fib) shifts focus to the 0.8345 Asian high
Loss of 0.8325 (London low, EMA20 area) reopens the 0.8313 NY low
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the main catalyst; Existing Home Sales 14:00 UTC and the 18:00 UTC Budget Statement are second-tier
13:46 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs intact into NY · RSI 28 · price 0.83149
Lower-high chain since London open; Asian and London lows broken.
USD/CHF has printed lower highs since the 0.8334 London high, with London breaking the Asian range low near 0.8327. The NY open bounce hit 0.8324 at the 50% fib and was rejected, then made a fresh session low at 0.8313 as yields and oil eased and DXY slipped. RSI(14) near 28 is stretched but not extreme.
Support: 0.83131, 0.8300
Resistance: 0.83237, 0.83344
What it said to watch
M15 close above the ny open high at 0.8324 and the lower-high trendline would break the lower-high chain
Failure to hold the 0.8313 session low exposes the 0.8300 round number, last week's repeatedly tested support
Recovery above the 0.8334 london high would void the intraday downtrend read
Existing Home Sales 14:00 UTC is second-tier; US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the next major catalyst
Lower highs and lower lows from 0.8349, Asian and London lows broken.
USD/CHF is grinding lower from the 0.8349 high. It has lost the 0.8327 Asian low and the 0.8325 London floor as softer yields pull DXY off its highs. The NY open bounce stalled at the 0.8324 lower high, and price is back near the 0.8317 session low with RSI(14) near 33.
Support: 0.83166, 0.8300
Resistance: 0.83237, 0.83344
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8324 lower high breaks the descending trendline and the lower-high chain
Failure to hold the 0.8317 session low leaves the 0.8300 round number as the next reference
Range re-entry above the 0.8334 london high would negate the intraday downtrend read
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the main catalyst, so pre-release positioning could compress the range
London range broken lower, LH/LL chain into NY open.
Supply capped the London high at 0.8334 twice before the pair broke the 0.8325 Asian low, carving lower highs into a 0.8317 session low in the first hour of NY. The drift tracks softer yields and a retreating DXY. RSI(14) sits near 36 with no oversold extreme, and bars stay compact at about 3.7 pips ATR.
Support: 0.83166, 0.8300
Resistance: 0.83251, 0.83344
What it said to watch
Holding below the 0.8325 asian low and the lower-high trendline keeps the downtrend read intact
Break of the 0.8317 session low exposes the 0.8300 round number
M15 close back above the 0.8334 london high negates the range break
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the main catalyst; Treasury yield swings set intraday direction until then
Lower highs from 0.8348; London range broken lower.
Lower-high sequence from Monday's 0.8348 NY high. The 0.8325–0.8334 London range gave way into the NY open as the dollar eased with yields and oil, printing a session low at 0.8317. RSI(14) near 32 is soft but not extreme.
Support: 0.83166, 0.8300
Resistance: 0.8325, 0.8334
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.8325 london low reframes the break as a false break
Break of the 0.8317 session low extends the lower-low chain toward the 0.8300 round number
Reclaim of 0.8334 london high breaks the lower highs trendline structure
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
12:46 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs since 09:15 UTC · RSI 35 · price 0.83219
London range low broken, pressing session low into NY open.
USD/CHF gave up the 0.8325 london low late in London and is sitting on the 0.8320 session low into the NY open, with a chain of lower highs capping every bounce since the fade from the 0.8334 london high. The move tracks the softer-yield, DXY-pullback backdrop; RSI(14) near 35 is soft but not stretched, and ATR(14) is about 3.4 pips.
Support: 0.8320, 0.8300
Resistance: 0.8325, 0.8334
What it said to watch
An M15 close back above the 0.8325 london low and the lower-highs line would negate the intraday downtrend read
Failure to hold the 0.8320 session low opens the 0.8300 round number, the support zone flagged repeatedly last week
Bowman at 14:55 UTC and Existing Home Sales at 14:00 UTC could jolt yields during NY hours; US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the larger catalyst
12:31 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs since London open · RSI 38 · price 0.83227
LH/LL chain below broken Asian range; fresh session low 0.8320.
USD/CHF broke below the 0.8327–0.8334 Asian range during London, capped by a lower-high trendline from 0.8334. Each bounce stalled lower, the last lower high at 0.8327, as DXY eased on softer yields and oil. Price is just off a fresh session low at 0.8320 heading into the NY open, with RSI(14) near 38 and not stretched.
Support: 0.83204, 0.8300
Resistance: 0.83268, 0.83344
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.8327 lower high breaks the lower-high trendline and neutralises the decline
Failure to hold the 0.8320 session low exposes the 0.8300 round number, the 0.8295 band floor
Recovery through the 0.8334 London high returns price to the 50% retrace of the 0.8348–0.8320 drop
US Existing Home Sales 14:00 UTC is minor; US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the larger catalyst
Lower highs/lower lows; Asian range low broken in London.
Lower highs since the 0.8345 Asia-open high. London broke the Asian low at 0.8327, capped rallies at the 0.8334 London high and printed a 0.8321 session low as softer yields and oil weighed on USD. Price sits below the 0.8325 floor into the NY open, RSI(14) near 36 and not stretched.
Support: 0.8321, 0.8300
Resistance: 0.8327, 0.8334
What it said to watch
Close back above the 0.8327 asian low returns price to the Asian range and neutralises the break
Failure to hold the 0.8321 session low extends the lower-low chain toward the 0.8300 round number
Close above the 0.8334 london high breaks the lower-high sequence and the london leg downtrend
ADP 4-week average (12:15 UTC) and the NY open could shift the intraday read
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the main catalyst for a range break either side
Lower highs and lower lows since London open, below Asian range.
The daily open gapped lower, Asia sold off from above 0.8340, and London broke the Asian low. The London leg from the 0.8334 london high has printed lower highs into a 0.8321 session low as DXY eases off 18-month highs. Price is pinned near the lows into the London-NY transition, below both EMAs with RSI(14) at 35 and not yet oversold.
Support: 0.8321, 0.8300
Resistance: 0.8327, 0.8334, 0.8346
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the 0.8327 lower high breaks the descending trendline and stalls the lower-high sequence
Loss of the 0.8321 session low exposes the 0.8300 round number, cited in the digest as repeatedly tested support
Only a reclaim of the 0.8334 london high reopens the 0.8346 gap fill
ADP 4-week average at 12:15 UTC could jolt the NY open; US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the larger catalyst
11:46 UTC
Downtrend, grinding lower in London · RSI 39 · price 0.83237
Lower highs below Asian low, new session low at 0.8321.
London broke the Asian low at 0.8326 and printed a session low at 0.8321. A lower-high trendline from 0.8334 is capping each bounce as easing US yields and oil keep USD soft. RSI(14) sits near 39, with no extreme, and the decline from Monday's 0.8349 high has yet to retrace to the 38.2% fib.
Support: 0.83209, 0.8300
Resistance: 0.83258, 0.83344
What it said to watch
An M15 close back above the 0.8326 Asian low would turn the break into a false break
Failure to hold the 0.8321 session low exposes the 0.8300 round number
A close above the lower-high trendline and the 0.8334 London high voids the lower-high chain
The NY open and the ADP 4-week average at 12:15 UTC could shift this read; US CPI follows Wednesday 12:30 UTC
11:31 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs since Asia · RSI 41 · price 0.83252
London range broken lower, retesting floor from below.
An early-Asia slide from 0.8345 to 0.8327 set the tone, then London held a 0.8325–0.8334 range before breaking lower after 10:00 UTC to a session low at 0.8321 as yields and oil eased. Price is now retesting the 0.8325 range floor from below, with RSI(14) at 41 and lower highs intact.
Support: 0.83209, 0.8300
Resistance: 0.8325, 0.83276, 0.83344
What it said to watch
Rejection at the 0.8328 lower high keeps the sequence of lower highs intact. An M15 close above the 0.8334 London high negates the range break.
Holding below the 0.8325 range floor and breaking the 0.8321 session low exposes the 0.8300 round number.
The ADP 4-week average (12:15 UTC) and the NY open could shift this read. US CPI on Wed at 12:30 UTC is the larger risk.
Lower highs and lower lows; London broke below the Asian range.
Mid-London, USD/CHF is stepping lower within the 0.8349–0.8321 sell-off. Lower highs have formed since the 0.8345 asian high and the 0.8334 london high, and price has broken the 0.8327 asian low to tag a 0.8321 session low as softer US yields trim the dollar. The last bar's lower wick shows some demand at the low, while the lower-highs trendline still caps price and the 0.8300 round number sits below.
Support: 0.83209, 0.8300
Resistance: 0.83269, 0.83344, 0.83448
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.8327 asian low puts price back inside the London range and weakens the break
M15 close above 0.8334 london high breaks the lower-highs trendline and the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.8321 session low extends the lower-low chain toward the 0.8300 round number
ADP 4-week average at 12:15 UTC and the NY open could shift this read; US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the larger risk
Lower highs since the 0.8346 asian high; London range 0.8325–0.8334 breached marginally.
USD/CHF printed a fresh session low at 0.8324 late in the London session, edging under the 0.8325–0.8334 morning range. The move extends a run of lower highs from the 0.8346 asian high, with the latest lower high at 0.8330, as DXY eases on softer Treasury yields. RSI(14) near 42 shows no extreme, and ATR is a tight ~3.7 pips ahead of the NY open.
Support: 0.83242, 0.8300
Resistance: 0.83302, 0.83344, 0.83461
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8324 session low opens the 0.8300 psych level
Reclaim of the 0.8330 lower high and the falling trendline breaks the lower-high chain
Move back above the 0.8334 london high negates the range break
ADP 4-week average at 12:15 UTC and Existing Home Sales at 14:00 UTC could jolt the thin range
Wednesday's US CPI is the main event risk for this structure
10:46 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs since NY peak · RSI 37 · price 0.83247
London range floor at 0.8325 just broken to a fresh session low.
USD/CHF has made lower highs from yesterday's NY prior high at 0.8349. Late London just slipped below the 0.8325 range floor to a session low at 0.8324 as softer US yields weigh on the dollar. Above, the 0.8334 London high lines up with the 38.2% fib of the decline and the descending trendline from the Asia open.
Support: 0.83242, 0.8320
Resistance: 0.83251, 0.83344, 0.83486
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.8325 range floor would mark the break as false
Holding below the 0.8324 session low exposes the 0.8320 round number
Reclaim of the 0.8334 london high and descending trendline breaks the lower-high sequence
ADP 4-week average at 12:15 UTC and the NY open could shift this read; US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the larger event risk
10:31 UTC
Down from Monday highs, now flat · RSI 46 · price 0.83286
London range 0.8325–0.8334 below Asia lower highs.
Monday's NY push stalled at the 0.8349 prior high. Asia then unwound it from the 0.8346 Asia high as DXY eased off its 18-month peak, and London is boxed in a 0.8325–0.8334 range. The range top lines up with the 38.2% fib of the drop and has rejected four attempts, while the 0.8325 session low has held twice.
Support: 0.8325, 0.8300
Resistance: 0.8334, 0.8346, 0.8349
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8325 session low extends the lower-low sequence toward the 0.8300 round number
M15 close above the 0.8334 range top breaks the London range, with the 0.8346 Asia high next
US ADP 4-week average (12:15 UTC) and Existing Home Sales (14:00 UTC) during NY hours could break the range; Wed CPI is the larger catalyst
10:16 UTC
Drifting lower, now flat in a tight range · RSI 47 · price 0.83289
London range 0.8325–0.8334 below Asia breakdown; lower highs since rollover.
USD/CHF slid from Monday's 0.8349 prior high through Asia as the DXY eased off its 18-month high. London has held it in a 0.8325–0.8334 range, mid-session. Four probes of the 0.8325 london low under the 0.8327 Asian low were each bought back, a false break so far. Price sits marginally below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 47, a 38.2% retrace of the decline from 0.8349 still not reclaimed.
Support: 0.8325, 0.8300
Resistance: 0.8334, 0.8349
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8325 london low ends the false-break read and exposes the 0.8300 round number
M15 close above the 0.8334 london high breaks the range and brings the decline's 38.2% near 0.8334–0.8340, then the 0.8349 prior high, into play
US ADP 4-week avg at 12:15 UTC and Existing Home Sales at 14:00 UTC during NY hours could break the session range
US CPI on Wed 12:30 UTC; pre-CPI positioning may keep the range compressed into NY
10:02 UTC
Range after Asia sell-off, momentum flat · RSI 44 · price 0.83285
London range 0.8325–0.8334 below the Asia lower high.
The Asia session sold off from the 0.8345 asia high to 0.8327 as DXY eased off its 18-month high. London open swept the Asian low into the 0.8325 prior low and reclaimed it, but price has since chopped inside 0.8325–0.8334. The london high sits just under the 50% retrace of the asia drop. RSI(14) is near 44 and price is under both EMAs, with no break in play mid-London.
Support: 0.8325, 0.8300
Resistance: 0.8334, 0.8345, 0.8349
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8325 prior low exposes the 0.8300 round number
M15 close above the 0.8334 london high (50% of asia drop) reopens the 0.8345 asia high and the 0.8349 prior high
ADP 12:15 UTC and the NY open could break the London range; US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the larger swing risk
09:46 UTC
Pullback from Monday high, now flat · RSI 48 · price 0.83297
Lower highs since rollover; London range 0.8325–0.8334.
USDCHF has unwound most of Monday's NY rally to the 0.8349 prior high, carving lower highs from the 0.8345 asia high as the dollar eased off 18-month highs. Price retraced only about 20% of that drop. London has held a tight 0.8325–0.8334 range, with the 0.8325 london low and the 0.8327 asia low absorbing repeated tests and the 0.8334 session high capping. RSI(14) is near 48 and price sits just below both EMAs, so there is no momentum extreme.
Support: 0.83269, 0.83251
Resistance: 0.83344, 0.83457, 0.83486
What it said to watch
An M15 close below the 0.8325 london low breaks the session range and extends the lower-low sequence
A close above the 0.8334 session high clears the lower-highs trendline and puts the 0.8345 asia high back in play, with the 0.8349 prior high above
Second-tier US data today (ADP 12:15 UTC, Existing Home Sales 14:00 UTC) may only stretch the range; Wed US CPI is the main catalyst
09:16 UTC
Sideways after Asia drop, momentum flat · RSI 50 · price 0.83299
Tight range 0.8325–0.8334 since Asia, London low sweep reclaimed.
The Asia drop ran from the 0.8345 asian high to 0.8327 as DXY eased off 18-month highs. Early London traded through that low to the 0.8325 london low and recovered, leaving a 0.8325–0.8334 range. RSI(14) sits flat near 50 with ATR around 4 pips, and no directional setup is in play.
Support: 0.8325, 0.8300
Resistance: 0.83344, 0.83448, 0.83486
What it said to watch
An M15 close below the 0.8325 london low would turn the false break into a range break toward the 0.8300 round number
A close above the 0.8334 london high reopens the 0.8345 asian high and the 0.8349 prior high
US CPI on Wed 12:30 UTC is the key catalyst; today's ADP (12:15 UTC) and Existing Home Sales (14:00 UTC) are second-tier
09:03 UTC
Short-term downtrend, stalled into a range · RSI 43 · price 0.83287
Asia lower-high/lower-low leg, then London range 0.8325–0.8334.
Asia sold off from the 0.8346 Asia high to 0.8327 as the dollar eased off its 18-month high. Mid-London, price is holding a 0.8325–0.8334 range: the london low has been tested three times and held, while the range top caps near the 38.2% of the Asia drop. Price sits in the lower half, below both EMAs, with RSI(14) near 43.
Support: 0.8325, 0.8323
Resistance: 0.8334, 0.8346
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8325 london low exposes Monday's 0.8323 prior low and breaks the range
M15 close above the 0.8334 range top (Asia drop 38.2%) reopens 0.8346
US ADP 4-week average at 12:15 UTC is second-tier; Wednesday's US CPI is the main risk to this range
08:47 UTC
Intraday downtrend, flattening into a range · RSI 49 · price 0.83324
Lower highs from 0.8349, London range 0.8325–0.8334 after Asian-low false break.
Pair slid from Monday's 0.8349 high through Asia as the dollar eased off 18-month highs. London then dipped below the Asian low to the 0.8325 London low and snapped back. Price is pressing the 0.8334 London high, which lines up with the 38.2% fib, and the session is mid-range chop on a ~4 pip ATR.
Support: 0.8325, 0.8322
Resistance: 0.8334, 0.8345
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8334 london high opens the 0.8345 asia high
Failure to hold the 0.8325 london low exposes the 0.8322 monday low
US ADP (12:15 UTC) is second-tier; US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the catalyst that could materially shift this read
Lower highs 0.8349 → 0.8345 → 0.8334; London chopping at session low.
USD/CHF has printed lower highs since Monday's 0.8349 high and slid from the 0.8345 asian high as the dollar eased off 18-month highs on softer yields and oil. The first hour of London is chopping between the 0.8325 london low and the 0.8334 london high, which lines up with the 38.2% fib of the decline. RSI(14) is near 44 and price sits under both EMAs.
Support: 0.8325, 0.8320
Resistance: 0.8334, 0.8345, 0.8349
What it said to watch
A close below the 0.8325 london low exposes Monday's 0.8320 prior low
A recovery above the 0.8334 london high / 38.2% fib reopens the 0.8345 asian high, with the 0.8349 monday high above
US ADP 4-week average at 12:15 UTC could jolt the range; Wednesday's CPI (12:30 UTC) is the bigger risk to this read
Lower highs since rollover; London false break below Asian low.
Monday's NY rally to the 0.8349 ny high has fully unwound, with Asia grinding lower in a chain of lower highs from the 0.8345 asian high as DXY eased on softer yields and oil. London open pushed through the Asian low to a 0.8325 session low, but buyers stepped in there three times and price is now coiling below the 0.8334 london high near EMA20.
Support: 0.83251, 0.83205, 0.8300
Resistance: 0.83344, 0.83448, 0.83486
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8334 london high breaks the Asian lower-high trendline and opens a retest of the 0.8345 asian high
Failure to hold the 0.8325 session low exposes the 0.8321 prior low and the 0.8300 round number
US ADP 4-week average (12:15 UTC) and Existing Home Sales (14:00 UTC) during NY hours could shift this read
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the main catalyst; pre-data positioning may keep ranges compressed
07:46 UTC
Downtrend from NY high, basing near lows · RSI 43 · price 0.83292
Lower highs since 0.8349; early London false break of Asian low.
Lower highs from yesterday's 0.8349 NY high carried through Asia as the USD eased off its highs. Early London dipped below the Asian low to a 0.8325 session low and snapped back, while the 0.8334 London high caps at the 38.2% fib of the slide. RSI(14) sits near 43 and ATR is about 3.5 pips, so the London range is still tight.
Support: 0.83251, 0.83158
Resistance: 0.83344, 0.83461, 0.83486
What it said to watch
Close above the 0.8334 London high breaks the lower-high chain and opens the 0.8346 Asian high, then the 0.8349 NY high
Failure to hold the 0.8325 session low extends the downtrend toward the 0.8316 prior low
Fed Waller (07:45 UTC, now) could materially shift this read via yields
Lower highs since 0.8349; tight 0.8325–0.8334 range after London open probe.
Asia session extended the slide from the 0.8349 prior high and the 0.8346 asia high to 0.8327. London open swept below that to a 0.8325 london low before long lower wicks rejected it. Price sits at 0.8331, under the 0.8334 range cap that lines up with the 38.2% fib, as USD pauses off 18-month highs ahead of Waller and Wednesday's US CPI.
Support: 0.8325, 0.8311, 0.8300
Resistance: 0.8334, 0.8346, 0.8349
What it said to watch
Waller at 07:45 UTC could break the 0.8325–0.8334 range either way
An M15 close above the 0.8334 range cap opens the 0.8346 asia high and the 0.8349 prior high
Failure to hold the 0.8325 london low exposes the 0.8311 window low and 0.8300 psych
ADP 12:15 UTC and Wednesday's US CPI are the next scheduled catalysts for the range
07:02 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs since Monday NY · RSI 41 · price 0.8328
LH/LL chain from 0.8349; London open testing session low.
USD/CHF has stepped lower from the 0.8349 Monday high through Asia as DXY eased off 18-month highs. The 0.8334 lower high sits on the falling trendline. Price is now at the London open, back near the 0.8326 session low after a brief sweep below it, with RSI(14) at 41.
Support: 0.8326, 0.8300
Resistance: 0.8334, 0.8345, 0.8349
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8326 session low extends the lower-low chain and puts the 0.8300 round number in play
Close above the 0.8334 lower high and the falling trendline breaks the intraday LH/LL structure; 0.8345 asia high and 0.8349 monday high sit above
Fed's Waller at 07:45 UTC could materially shift this read; Wed US CPI is the larger risk
06:46 UTC
Pullback from Monday high, now flat · RSI 48 · price 0.83309
Tight 0.8327–0.8334 range after Asia lower-highs.
Asia faded from the 0.8346 asia high to the 0.8327 session low after the rollover gap, as DXY eased off 18-month highs. Price has since compressed in a 0.8327–0.8334 range into London open. The session low held twice, and the range top at the 38.2% drop fib keeps capping.
Support: 0.8327, 0.8300
Resistance: 0.8334, 0.8346, 0.8349
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8334 range top re-opens the asia high at 0.8346, then the 0.8349 prior high
Failure to hold the 0.8327 session low exposes the 0.8300 round number
Fed's Waller at 07:45 UTC could break the pre-London range
ATR near 2.6 pips: compressed conditions ahead of ADP at 12:15 UTC
Lower highs through Asia, session low swept and reclaimed.
Monday's London-NY rally on oil and hawkish Fed talk topped at the 0.8349 prior high. Asia has printed lower highs under a falling trendline from the 0.8345 Asian high as DXY eased on profit-taking. A sweep of the 0.8327 session low closed back at 0.8329 ahead of London open, with RSI(14) neutral near 47.
Support: 0.83269, 0.8300
Resistance: 0.83337, 0.83448, 0.83486
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8334 lower high breaks the falling trendline and puts the 0.8345 Asian high back in play
Acceptance below the 0.8327 session low extends the lower-low chain toward the 0.8300 round number
Fed's Waller at 07:45 UTC, early in London, could materially shift this read
Reclaim of the 0.8349 prior high would negate the overnight downtrend structure
06:02 UTC
Downtrend since Asia open, lower highs intact · RSI 39 · price 0.83274
Asia lower-high sequence; testing range low at 0.8327 ahead of London.
Monday's London-NY rally from 0.8302 to the 0.8349 monday high, driven by the oil and geopolitics USD bid, has been unwound through Asia as DXY took profits. Lower highs from the 0.8346 asia high kept the drop orderly, and the current bar is pressing the 0.8327 range low, about 45% back into Monday's move, with RSI(14) near 39 and roughly an hour before London open.
Support: 0.83272, 0.83252, 0.83196
Resistance: 0.83337, 0.83457, 0.83486
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8327 range low confirms the break and puts the fib 50% at 0.8325 and fib 61.8% near 0.8320 in focus
Reclaiming the 0.8334 range top and the asia lower-highs line negates the breakdown read
Fed's Waller at 07:45 UTC, early London session, could materially shift this read
Wed US CPI (12:30 UTC) is likely to compress ranges into the event
05:46 UTC
Short-term down from NY high, Asian pullback stabilising · RSI 46 · price 0.8332
Higher lows off the Asian low, capped below 0.8334; late Asia session inside a 0.8327–0.8346 Asian range.
Asia session reversed Monday's NY rally to the 0.8349 prior high. After a rollover gap down from the 0.8346 gap top, USD/CHF slid to an Asian low at 0.8327 as the DXY eased off 18-month highs. Since then price has printed higher lows along a recovery line but stalls at the 0.8334 bounce high, just under the 38.2% retracement of the Asian drop. RSI(14) is neutral near 46 and ATR is about 2 pips heading into London open.
Support: 0.83274, 0.8300
Resistance: 0.83337, 0.8346, 0.83486
What it said to watch
A break of the 0.8327 Asian low breaks the recovery line and brings the 0.8300 round number into view.
An M15 close above the 0.8334 bounce high and the 38.2% fib puts the 0.8346 gap top and the 0.8349 prior high back in play.
Fed's Waller at 07:45 UTC, shortly after London open, could materially shift this read; US CPI on Wed 12:30 UTC is the larger event risk.
05:16 UTC
Asia leg lower, now flat near the lows · RSI 50 · price 0.83324
Tight 0.8327–0.8333 box with higher lows off the Asian low.
Monday's London/NY rally topped at 0.8349. Asia then sold off from the 0.8346 Asian high to a 0.8327 Asian low as DXY eased on profit-taking. Since 02:30 UTC price has printed higher lows inside a 0.8327–0.8333 box, still just under EMA20, with RSI(14) near 50 and ATR at a thin 2.5 pips ahead of London open.
Support: 0.83296, 0.83274
Resistance: 0.83333, 0.83386, 0.83461
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8333 rebound high opens the 0.8339 shelf and the 38.2% of the Asia drop fib near 0.8335
Loss of the 0.8330 higher low and the 0.8327 Asian low extends the Asia leg toward 0.8290–0.8300
Reclaim of the 0.8346 Asian high would neutralise the overnight sell-off
Fed's Waller at 07:45 UTC, in the first hour of London, could expand the range; US CPI Wednesday 12:30 UTC
05:03 UTC
Pullback from Monday high, basing late Asia · RSI 44 · price 0.83322
Higher lows off Asian low, capped by 0.8333 base top.
Monday's London-NY rally topped at the 0.8349 monday high. After the rollover gap, Asia unwound from the 0.8346 asian high to a 0.8327 asian low on light USD profit-taking. Late Asia is printing higher lows, the latest at 0.8330, under a 0.8333 base top, just above the 23.6% retrace of the Asian selloff; RSI(14) sits near 44 and ATR(14) is under 3 pips.
Support: 0.83296, 0.83274
Resistance: 0.83333, 0.83457, 0.83486
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8333 base top opens the 38.2–50% retrace of the Asian selloff at 0.8334–0.8337
Loss of the 0.8330 higher low and the higher-lows trendline turns the base back into a pullback
A break of the 0.8327 asian low confirms a lower-low and exposes the 0.8290–0.8300 support zone
A reclaim of the 0.8346 asian high puts the 0.8349 monday high back in play
London open and Fed's Waller at 07:45 UTC could break the Asian range; US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the larger event risk
Higher lows off 0.8327 Asian low, capped at 0.8334 London pivot.
Monday's London-NY rally ran from the 0.8302 Monday low to the 0.8349 Monday high, helped by the oil-driven USD haven bid. Asia retraced about 45% from the 0.8346 Asian high to the 0.8327 Asian low, holding above the fib 50% at 0.8325. Higher lows have since lifted price back to the 0.8334 London pivot, just under EMA20. Late Asia is compressed into the London open, with RSI(14) near 46 and ATR around 3 pips.
Support: 0.83274, 0.83252, 0.83017
Resistance: 0.83339, 0.83461, 0.83486
What it said to watch
Close above the 0.8334 london pivot reopens the 0.8346 asian high and 0.8349 monday high
Loss of the higher lows line and the 0.8327 asian low exposes the fib 50% at 0.8325, then the 0.8302 monday low
Fed's Waller at 07:45 UTC, early London, could materially shift this read
US CPI on Wed at 12:30 UTC is the larger event risk, with the core print the swing factor
Asia lower-low at 0.8327, small higher-low base since.
Monday's London-NY rally topped at the 0.8349 prior high. Asia gave back about 19 pips to the 0.8327 asia low as DXY eased, and price is now basing at 0.8328–0.8333, just under the 38.2% retrace of the Asia drop near 0.8335. RSI(14) is around 44 and ATR about 3 pips, typical of quiet late-Asia conditions ahead of London open.
Support: 0.83274, 0.83205
Resistance: 0.83386, 0.83485
What it said to watch
A close above the 0.8339 asia pivot, which also clears the 38.2% fib, ends the Asia lower-high sequence and puts the 0.8349 prior high back in view
A break of the 0.8327 asia low and the hl line resumes the Asia decline, with the 0.8320 london shelf as the next reference
Fed's Waller at 07:45 UTC, shortly after London open, could materially shift this read
Asian lower highs/lower lows off 0.8346, basing 0.8327–0.8333.
Monday's London-NY rally stalled at the 0.8349 prior high. The Asian session has since unwound about 19 pips from the 0.8346 Asian high to a 0.8327 Asian low as USD eased ahead of Wednesday's CPI. Price is now basing just under the 0.8334 breakdown level and below both EMAs, with RSI(14) near 36 and the fib 38.2% at 0.8335 overhead.
Support: 0.83274, 0.8325
Resistance: 0.8334, 0.83461, 0.83486
What it said to watch
Close back above the 0.8334 breakdown level would put the fib 50% at 0.8337 and the 0.8346 Asian high back in play
Failure to hold the 0.8327 Asian low exposes Monday's 0.8325 swing low and the 0.8300 area
Fed's Waller at 07:45 UTC, shortly after London open, could materially shift this read
04:02 UTC
Intraday downtrend, basing near Asian low · RSI 33 · price 0.83298
Lower highs and lower lows through Asia; tight consolidation above 0.8327.
Monday's London-NY rally to the 0.8349 prior high, on broad USD strength from oil and Fed-hike pricing, has been unwound in Asia. Price is printing lower highs below the descending line off the rollover gap and is now consolidating just above the 0.8327 Asian low, with RSI(14) near 33. The 0.8325 London swing low sits just beneath, and ATR is compressed around 3.4 pips.
Support: 0.83274, 0.8325, 0.8300
Resistance: 0.83334, 0.83403, 0.83486
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8327 Asian low extends the lower-low chain toward the 0.8325 swing low and the 0.8300 round number
Close above the 0.8333 lower high and the Asian downtrend line breaks the Asian sequence, and the 0.8340 breakdown level sits near the 50% fib of the decline
Reclaiming 0.8349 prior high would negate the Asian pullback entirely
London open at 07:00 UTC and Fed's Waller at 07:45 UTC are the next likely catalysts for range expansion
03:47 UTC
Intraday pullback, lower highs through Asia · RSI 35 · price 0.83318
Lower-high/lower-low sequence off 0.8349; shallow bounce from 0.8327.
USDCHF has slipped from Monday's 0.8349 NY high through Asia as DXY eases. The Asia decline from the 0.8346 asian high set lower highs down to a 0.8327 asian low, and the bounce is stalling at the 23.6% fib under the 0.8334 lower high. Price sits below both EMAs, RSI(14) ~35, ATR(14) ~3 pips, with London open about 3h away.
Support: 0.83274, 0.8325, 0.8300
Resistance: 0.83342, 0.83408, 0.83461
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8334 lower high, then the 0.8341 breakdown level (50–61.8% fib of the Asia decline), would end the Asia lower-high sequence
Loss of the 0.8327 asian low exposes Monday's 0.8325 swing low, then 0.8300 psych
Fed's Waller at 07:45 UTC, shortly after London open, could reset the session range
Reclaim of the 0.8346 asian high returns focus to Monday's 0.8349 high
03:16 UTC
Intraday downtrend, bounce off Asian low · RSI 36 · price 0.83305
Lower highs and lower lows through the Asia session.
The Asia session has unwound Monday's NY push. Price slid from the 0.8349 Monday high through the 0.8340 rollover low to an Asian low at 0.8327, a clean lower-high/lower-low chain as DXY eases ahead of Wednesday's CPI. Price is now holding near 0.8330 under the descending trendline and below both EMAs, with RSI(14) near 36 and the Asia decline barely retraced.
Support: 0.83274, 0.8325, 0.8300
Resistance: 0.83342, 0.83402, 0.83486
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the 0.8334 breakdown level and the descending trendline would break the Asian lower-high chain.
Failure to hold the 0.8327 Asian low exposes the 0.8325 London low and the 0.8300 round number.
A reclaim of the 0.8340 rollover low (61.8% of the Asia decline) would neutralise the intraday downtrend.
Fed's Waller at 07:45 UTC during the London session could materially shift this read.
Lower highs and lower lows through the Asia session.
Monday's London-NY rally formed a double top near 0.8349, and Asia has unwound about 20 pips from the 0.8345 asia high as the dollar eases into CPI week. Price is holding just above the 0.8327 asian low at the 38.2% fib of Monday's rally, capped by a lower high at 0.8334, with RSI(14) near 31.
Support: 0.83274, 0.83237, 0.8300
Resistance: 0.83342, 0.83448, 0.83486
What it said to watch
Close below the 0.8327 asian low extends the lower-low chain toward the 50% fib at 0.8324
Reclaiming the 0.8334 lower high breaks the Asia sequence of lower highs
Acceptance under 0.8324 brings the 0.8300 round number, the digest's support zone, into view
Fed's Waller at 07:45 UTC, around the London open, could shift this read
Lower highs from 0.8346 Asia high, testing 38.2% fib.
The Asia session has unwound Monday's late gains. Price slid from the 0.8346 Asia high to a 0.8327 Asia low through a chain of lower highs as USD eases ahead of Wednesday's CPI. Price now sits on the 38.2% retracement of Monday's 0.8298–0.8349 rally, with RSI(14) near 30.
Support: 0.83274, 0.8325, 0.83233
Resistance: 0.83342, 0.83461, 0.83486
What it said to watch
A close back above the 0.8334 lower high breaks the Asia lower-high chain
A break of the 0.8327 Asia low exposes Monday's 0.8325 London low and the fib 50% at 0.8323
Recovery through the 0.8346 Asia high and 0.8349 Monday high would restore the uptrend read
Fed's Waller at 07:45 UTC, near London open, could materially shift this read
Asia lower highs and lower lows after breaking Monday's NY range.
Monday's USD-led rally ran 51 pips from 0.8298 to the 0.8349 monday high on oil and hawkish Fed pricing. Mid-Asia session, price broke below the NY range at 0.8340 and is printing lower lows into 0.8328, the 38.2% fib of that rally, with RSI(14) near 27. The broken low at 0.8334 now sits overhead, with the London swing low at 0.8325 and the fib 50% at 0.8323 just below.
Support: 0.8325, 0.8323, 0.8300
Resistance: 0.8334, 0.8349
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.8325 swing low and fib 50% at 0.8323 exposes the 0.8300 round number, Monday's Asian base
Recovery back above the broken low at 0.8334 would neutralise the Asia range break
Monday high at 0.8349 caps the structure; a close above it resumes the rally leg
Fed's Waller at 07:45 UTC, around London open, could shift USD pricing and this read
Lower highs and lower lows in Asia; 0.8340 floor broken.
Monday's broad USD bid took the pair from 0.8296 to a prior high at 0.8349 through London and NY. Asia has since broken the 0.8340 asia floor on falling highs and set a session low at 0.8330, with RSI(14) near 28 and the 38.2% fib of the rally at 0.8328 sitting just above the 0.8325–0.8327 prior range.
Support: 0.8330, 0.8326, 0.8300
Resistance: 0.8340, 0.8346, 0.8349
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.8340 asia floor negates the range break; the 0.8346 asia high caps above that
Failure to hold the 0.8330 session low exposes the prior range and 38.2% fib at 0.8326–0.8328, then the 0.8300 round number
Fed's Waller at 07:45 UTC and any oil or US-yield moves on Middle East headlines could shift this read
USDCHF rallied from 0.8293 to a day high at 0.83486 late in the NY session on broad USD strength from oil and hawkish Fed talk. It then gapped lower at rollover and has printed lower highs through the Asia session. The 01:00 UTC drop broke the 0.8341 broken low and set a session low at 0.83342, with price parked on the 23.6% retracement of Monday's rally and RSI(14) near 32.
Support: 0.83342, 0.8330, 0.83275
Resistance: 0.8341, 0.83461, 0.83486
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.8341 broken low negates the Asia breakdown; session high at 0.83461 caps above
Failure to hold the 0.83342 session low exposes the 0.8330 round number and the 38.2% fib at 0.83275
A break of the lower highs line through 0.8346 reopens the day high at 0.83486
Fed's Waller at 07:45 UTC and Wednesday's US CPI could materially shift this read
Asian range break lower, lower highs since the Monday high.
A broad USD bid on the oil shock and hawkish Fed talk carried Monday's London-NY leg from 0.8294 to 0.8349. Three tests of that Monday high met rejection, and after the rollover gap the Asia session has broken its 0.8340 broken floor to a 0.8334 session low. Price now sits on the 23.6% fib of the rally, RSI(14) near 31.
Support: 0.8334, 0.8326
Resistance: 0.8340, 0.8346, 0.8349
What it said to watch
Holding below the 0.8340 broken floor keeps the Asian range break intact; a reclaim toward the 0.8346 asian high negates it
Failure at the 0.8334 session low exposes the 0.8326 london base near the 38.2% fib
Monday high at 0.8349 remains the cap; a close above it puts the 0.8365 range top in view
Fed's Waller at 07:45 UTC (London open) could materially shift this read ahead of Wednesday's US CPI
Asian session broke below the rollover low; testing the 61.8% retrace of the NY leg.
Monday's London and NY rally ran to a 0.8349 prior high on broad USD strength from oil and Fed hike pricing, then stalled. After a gap at the daily open, the Asian session has carved lower highs from the 0.8346 Asian high and slipped through the 0.8340 rollover low to a 0.8334 Asian low, sitting on the 61.8% retrace of the NY leg with RSI(14) near 39.
Support: 0.83342, 0.83265
Resistance: 0.8340, 0.83457, 0.83486
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.8340 rollover low negates the Asian range break
Failure to hold the 0.8334 Asian low and the 61.8% retrace exposes the 0.8327 swing low
A break of the lower-highs line near 0.8345 and the 0.8346 Asian high puts the 0.8349 prior high back in play
Fed's Waller at 07:45 UTC, early in the London session, could reset the intraday read ahead of Wednesday's CPI
01:02 UTC
Uptrend stalled, drifting lower in Asia · RSI 44 · price 0.83399
Tight Asian range below session high, testing range floor.
London open lifted USDCHF out of Monday's Asian range, and the rally topped at the 0.8349 session high during NY hours. Broad USD strength on oil and hawkish Fed talk drove the move. Since the rollover gap low at 0.8338, Asia has held a 3-6 pip range between 0.8340 and 0.8346, and price is now pressing the asian low with RSI(14) near 44 and price below both EMAs.
Support: 0.8340, 0.83375, 0.83265
Resistance: 0.8346, 0.83486, 0.8365
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8340 asian low opens the gap low at 0.8338, then the 0.8327 NY swing low near the 38.2% of the london rally fib
Reclaim of the 0.8346 asian high puts the 0.8349 session high back in play; above that sits the 0.8365 UOB range top
Fed's Waller at 07:45 UTC, around London open, could reprice Fed hike odds and break the Asian range
Tight Asian range 0.8340–0.8346 under Monday's 0.8349 high.
Monday's rally ran from 0.8293 through London and NY on broad USD strength and the oil bid, stalling at the 0.8349 prior high. Early Asia is holding a 6-pip band between the 0.8340 asian low and the 0.8346 asian high, only a shallow pullback of the Monday rally. RSI(14) is flat near 50 and ATR is about 2.7 pips.
Support: 0.8340, 0.8332
Resistance: 0.8346, 0.8349, 0.8365
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8349 prior high reopens the 0.8365 range top
Loss of the 0.8340 asian low exposes the 0.8332 london high area and a deeper Monday rally retrace
Fed's Waller at 07:45 UTC, near London open, could break the Asian range
Unscheduled Middle East or oil headlines remain the main USD/CHF driver ahead of Wednesday's US CPI
Tight 0.8338–0.8349 band below the session high; rollover gap filled.
Monday's London-NY rally from 0.8293 ran on broad USD strength from oil and Fed-hike pricing, then stalled at the 0.8349 session high. The rollover gap to the 0.83375 gap low filled quickly. Early Asia is holding the 0.8340 asian low near 0.8343, with RSI(14) flat around 49 and ATR(14) contracting to about 2.6 pips.
Support: 0.8340, 0.83375, 0.8330
Resistance: 0.8349, 0.8365
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8349 session high reopens the 0.8365 range top (UOB range ceiling)
Break below the 0.83375 gap low exposes the 0.8330 london shelf, near the 23.6% Monday rally fib
Fed's Waller at 07:45 UTC, around London open, could break the Asian range
Unscheduled Middle East or oil headlines could shift this read; the oil-yield correlation has been strong
00:17 UTC
Uptrend, stalled into a tight range · RSI 45 · price 0.83438
Monday higher-high chain capped at 0.8349; flat 0.8340–0.8349 box since mid-NY.
London open broke Monday's 0.8300 Asian range and the pair climbed about 55 pips into a 0.8349 session high in NY. The move came on broad USD strength from the oil shock and hawkish Fed talk. Price has since compressed between 0.8340 and 0.8349, and the rollover gap down to the 0.8338 gap low was quickly filled. Early Asia is probing the 0.8340 asia low with RSI(14) near 45 and ATR down to roughly 3 pips.
Support: 0.8340, 0.83375, 0.8330
Resistance: 0.83486, 0.8365
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8340 asia low exposes the 0.8338 gap low, then the 0.8330 london shelf near the 38.2% of the Monday rally fib
Close above the 0.8349 session high resumes the uptrend, with the UOB 0.8365 range top the next reference
Fed's Waller at 07:45 UTC lands near London open and could break the overnight range
Unscheduled Middle East or oil headlines remain the main driver of USD/CHF ahead of Wednesday's US CPI
00:02 UTC
Uptrend paused, early Asia drifting lower · RSI 40 · price 0.83414
London/NY higher-high chain to 0.83486, flat late NY, lower highs since rollover.
London cleared the Asian range top near 0.8300, and NY extended the higher-high chain to a 0.83486 day high on broad USD strength from oil and hawkish Fed talk. Late NY then went flat at 0.8344–0.8349. After the rollover gap to 0.83375, early Asia has printed a lower high at 0.83461 and is pressing the 0.8340 session low, just below EMA20/50.
Support: 0.8340, 0.83375, 0.8327
Resistance: 0.83461, 0.83486, 0.8365
What it said to watch
Close below the 0.8340 session low and 0.83375 rollover low exposes the fib 38.2 near 0.8327
Recovery through the 0.83461 lower high and the 0.83486 day high resumes the higher-high chain toward the 0.8365 range top
Fed's Waller at 07:45 UTC, near London open, could materially shift this read