USD/CHF gapped lower into the 12:30 GMT US CPI print (headline -0.4%), plunging from ~0.8116 to 0.8063 before recovering to consolidate around 0.8090. Asia session is quiet and range-bound between 0.8068 and 0.8098, RSI(14) neutral near 46.
Support: 0.8068, 0.80631
Resistance: 0.80985, 0.8100
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.8063 confirms lower-low continuation
Break above 0.8098 opens path back toward 0.8116
US PPI Wed 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
23:46 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 46 · price 0.80916
Sharp drop then tight basing near lows.
USDCHF cratered ~50 pips off 0.8116 on the soft US CPI miss, printing a 0.80605 low before recovering. Price has since coiled in a tight 0.8087-0.8099 range through the quiet Asia hours, holding below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) neutral near 46.
Support: 0.8087, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.80993, 0.81109
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80993 session high opens the path back toward 0.81109 pre-cpi
Wed PPI + Warsh testimony are the next USD-side catalysts for this pair
23:32 UTC
Downtrend stalled, now flat · RSI 47 · price 0.80921
Post-drop base, tight consolidation.
USDCHF cratered ~500 pips into the NY session on the soft US CPI print, dropping from ~0.8110 to 0.80631 before basing and recovering to ~0.8098. Price has since coiled in a tight 0.8089–0.8098 band through the thin Asia session, RSI(14) neutral near 47.
Support: 0.8089, 0.80631
Resistance: 0.80985, 0.8109
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80985 breaks the consolidation range
Loss of 0.80890 reopens the 0.80631 swing low
US PPI Wed 12:30 GMT could shift this read
23:31 UTC
Downtrend from CPI drop, now flat · RSI 50 · price 0.80921
Tight consolidation after impulsive selloff.
USDCHF gapped ~47 pips lower on the soft US June CPI print and has since coiled in a tight Asia-session range around 0.8090. Volatility has collapsed post-drop, price pinned between the 0.80890 base and the 0.80985 session high with RSI flat near 50.
Support: 0.8089, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.80985, 0.8110
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.81100 negates the CPI-drop structure
Break below 0.80605 drop low extends the decline
US PPI + Warsh testimony later today can break the consolidation
23:17 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 47 · price 0.80933
Sharp break lower, then tight range.
The soft US June CPI knocked USD across the board — USDCHF gapped down ~50 pips off 0.8110 into 0.8063, unwinding the prior YTD-high push. Since the drop it has consolidated in a 0.80846–0.80985 band, RSI(14) back to neutral, and the last few bars are thin, low-volume late-session prints.
Support: 0.80846, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.80985, 0.81107
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80985 opens the path back toward 0.81107 broken support
Loss of 0.80846 range low re-exposes the 0.80605 drop low
US PPI Wed 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
23:16 UTC
Sharp down leg, now flat · RSI 48 · price 0.80933
Post-CPI drop base-building near 0.8093.
USDCHF was knocked off its 0.8150 YTD area by the soft US June CPI, gapping down through 0.8110 to a 0.80631 low before basing around 0.8093. Price has since gone flat in thin late-Asia hours, ATR compressed to ~3 pips with the range pinned between 0.80890 and 0.80970.
Support: 0.8089, 0.8063
Resistance: 0.8097, 0.8109
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80890 reopens the 0.80630 cpi low
Close above 0.80970 / 0.81090 signals recovery of the drop
US PPI Wed 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
23:02 UTC
Downtrend, basing after drop · RSI 52 · price 0.80943
Consolidation mid-recovery off crash low.
USD/CHF slammed ~50 pips lower into a single drop bar to 0.8060 as soft June CPI undercut the dollar. Price has since based between 0.8089 and 0.8099; RSI(14) neutral near 52 and ATR ~25 pips signal no fresh momentum, just consolidation mid-recovery.
Support: 0.8089, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.80985, 0.8110
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80985 session high extends the retrace toward the 0.8110 pre-crash zone
Loss of 0.8089 range floor reopens the 0.8060 crash low
US PPI Wed 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
23:02 UTC
Sharp drop, now flat · RSI 53 · price 0.80943
Post-drop consolidation above 0.8068.
USDCHF collapsed from ~0.8115 to 0.80631 on the 12:30 GMT soft US CPI print, then based and ground back to a 0.8068–0.8098 consolidation. Price is idling near 0.8094 in thin Asia hours, RSI mid-range with no directional impulse left in the tape.
Support: 0.8068, 0.80631
Resistance: 0.8098, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Close above 0.8100 pivot reopens the pre-drop area
Loss of 0.8068 recovery base re-exposes the 0.80631 spike low
PPI cluster Wed 12:30 GMT is the next material catalyst for this read
22:47 UTC
Downtrend post-CPI, now flat · RSI 48 · price 0.80936
Recovered off lows, ranging 0.8084–0.8099.
USDCHF gapped ~50 pips lower into 0.8063 on the soft June CPI print at 12:30 GMT, then based and recovered to 0.809. Price has spent the Asia session pinned in a tight 0.8084–0.8099 range around EMA20, RSI(14) neutral near 48.
Support: 0.8084, 0.8063
Resistance: 0.80985, 0.8110
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.80985 opens the path back toward 0.8110 pre-CPI area
Loss of 0.8084 re-exposes the 0.8063 cpi low
Wed 12:30 GMT US PPI cluster is the next macro catalyst
22:47 UTC
Down then flat, recovery stalling · RSI 52 · price 0.80936
Sharp drop, then consolidation into recent high.
USDCHF sold off sharply from ~0.8116 to 0.80605 on the soft US June CPI print, then retraced roughly 60% and has since gone quiet, consolidating between 0.80890 and 0.80985 through thin Asia-hours flow. RSI(14) is neutral near 52 and ATR has compressed to ~6 pips as the recovery stalls under the recent high.
Support: 0.8089, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.80985, 0.8109
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80985 opens the path back to 0.81090
Failure to hold 0.80890 re-exposes the cpi low at 0.80605
Wed PPI + Warsh testimony are the next USD catalysts
22:31 UTC
Down then flat, consolidating · RSI 49 · price 0.80932
Tight range above the CPI spike low.
USD/CHF was slammed from 0.8148 to 0.8063 on the soft June US CPI print, then clawed back to 0.809. Since then it has coiled in a tight 0.808–0.810 band through Asian hours on thin volume, RSI(14) back to neutral near 49.
Support: 0.8089, 0.80631
Resistance: 0.80985, 0.8110
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80985 opens a push toward 0.81100
Loss of 0.80890 re-exposes the 0.80631 spike low
Wed PPI cluster is the next scheduled catalyst
22:17 UTC
Recovery off drop low, now flat · RSI 53 · price 0.80958
Range-bound near post-drop high.
A sharp mid-window sell-off drove USDCHF from ~0.8110 to 0.8060 as soft US CPI pressured the dollar, then the pair consolidated in a tight 0.8060–0.8099 band. Volume thinned into late session with price pinned near the range top and RSI(14) neutral around 53.
Support: 0.80605, 0.8069
Resistance: 0.80985, 0.8110
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8099 range top opens room back toward 0.8110 pre-drop area
Loss of 0.8060 range low confirms a fresh lower low
PPI Wed 12:30 GMT could reset this range
22:17 UTC
Sharp drop, now basing · RSI 54 · price 0.80958
Impulsive leg lower then tight consolidation.
The soft US June CPI print at 12:30 GMT drove USDCHF ~50 pips lower to 0.8060, breaking the prior range. Price has since recovered and coiled around 0.8090–0.8099, sitting at roughly the 61.8% retrace of the drop with RSI back near neutral.
Support: 0.8090, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.80985, 0.8100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81000 reopens the pre-drop zone
Failure to hold 0.80900 exposes the 0.80605 swing low
PPI cluster Wed 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
22:02 UTC
Recovered off lows, consolidating · RSI 55 · price 0.80956
Downside break, then base near 0.8090.
USDCHF gapped lower at 12:30 UTC on the soft US CPI print, tagging 0.8060 before buyers stabilised it into a 0.8089-0.8099 base. Price is flat into the Asia session, pinned at the top of that range near the 0.80993 session high.
Support: 0.8089, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.80993, 0.81109
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80993 session high extends the recovery toward the 0.81109 pre-drop zone
Loss of 0.80890 range low re-exposes the 0.80605 spike low
Core PPI and Warsh testimony Wed could materially shift this read
22:02 UTC
Sharp drop, now recovering into consolidation · RSI 54 · price 0.80956
Post-CPI selloff recovered into a tight range near range top.
USD/CHF collapsed from 0.8110 to 0.8060 on the soft June US CPI (headline -0.4%), then clawed back and consolidated 0.8085-0.8098 through the NY session. Thin Asian liquidity now has price pressing the 0.80985 range top at 0.80956, RSI back near neutral.
Support: 0.8085, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.80985
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80985 opens the path back toward 0.8110
Failure to hold 0.8085 exposes the 0.80605 post-CPI low
Warsh testimony Wed 14:00 GMT could materially shift the USD read
USDCHF broke down through 0.8110 on the soft US CPI-driven dollar selloff, spiking to 0.8063 before a grind back up. Price now consolidating in a tight 0.8085–0.8099 band into late NY hours, RSI(14) mid-range near 49 with the session high at 0.8099 capping.
Support: 0.8085, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.80993, 0.8113
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80993 session high reopens the breakdown point at 0.8113
Loss of the 0.8085 range floor puts the 0.8063 crash low back in play
Core PPI and Warsh testimony Wed could shift the USD read
USDCHF flushed from 0.811 down to a 0.80605 session low as the soft US June CPI undercut the dollar, then based and clawed back toward 0.809. Price is now flat around 0.80909 on very thin late-session volume, holding under the 0.80985 recovery high.
Support: 0.80707, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.80985, 0.81107
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80985 opens the path back to 0.81107
Failure to hold 0.80707 reopens the 0.80605 session low
Wed PPI and Warsh testimony could materially shift this read
21:32 UTC
Downtrend, now flat · RSI 46 · price 0.80903
Post-drop consolidation above session low.
USDCHF dropped sharply from 0.8116 to 0.8060 on broad USD softness after the soft CPI read, then based and clawed back to 0.8099. Price has coiled tightly around 0.8090 into the late session, RSI(14) neutral near 46 and ATR compressed to ~6 pips.
Support: 0.80846, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.80993, 0.8116
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80993 session high opens the path back toward the 0.81160 pre-drop shelf
Loss of 0.80605 session low resumes the down leg
Warsh testimony and Core PPI Wed 12:30/14:00 GMT could materially shift this read
21:32 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating after selloff · RSI 49 · price 0.80903
Sharp breakdown then tight range.
USDCHF broke down hard to 0.8063 during NY hours as the soft US June CPI undercut the dollar. Since then price has coiled in a tight 0.8087–0.8099 range into the Asia session, RSI(14) flat near midline with no fresh direction.
Support: 0.8087, 0.8063
Resistance: 0.80993, 0.8109
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80993 session high reopens the 0.8109 breakdown zone
Loss of 0.80870 range floor exposes the 0.8063 drop low
US Core PPI and Warsh testimony Wed could shift the USD read
21:17 UTC
Downtrend post-CPI, now flat · RSI 49 · price 0.80903
Based after impulsive drop, ranging.
USDCHF broke hard from 0.8110 to 0.80605 on the soft US CPI print around 12:30 UTC, then buyers based near 0.8065-0.8073 and lifted price back to 0.809. Now consolidating in a 0.8089-0.8099 range on thin late-NY/Asia liquidity, RSI(14) neutral.
Support: 0.80891, 0.80686, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.80993, 0.81109
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80993 opens the path back toward the 0.81109 pre-CPI level
Failure to hold the 0.80686 base reopens the 0.80605 cpi low
US PPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift the USD read
A sharp NY-hours drop off the soft US CPI print flushed USDCHF from 0.8112 to the 0.80605 drop low, before a recovery back into a tight 0.80890–0.80993 range. Price now sits mid-range at 0.80915, RSI(14) neutral near 46 and capped below the 0.80993 range top and 0.8100 psych pivot.
Support: 0.8089, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.80993, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Close below 0.80890 range low reopens the 0.80605 drop low
Close above 0.80993 range top / 0.8100 psych pivot invalidates the consolidation read
Wed 12:30 UTC US core PPI + Warsh testimony could materially shift this read
The soft US June CPI print gutted USDCHF, driving a fast slide from 0.8110 to the 0.80605 spike low during NY hours. Since then price has recovered and consolidated between 0.80690 and the 0.80990 recent high, now sitting near the top of that range with RSI neutral around 52.
Support: 0.8069, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.8099, 0.8109
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80990 recent high opens a retest of the 0.81090 prior swing
Failure to hold 0.80690 range low reopens the 0.80605 spike low
US PPI (Wed 12:30 UTC) and Warsh testimony could materially shift this read
20:47 UTC
Sharp drop, now basing · RSI 48 · price 0.80936
Downside break then tight consolidation.
USDCHF sold off ~50 pips into 0.80605 on the 12:30 UTC CPI miss, breaking the prior 0.8130s range. Price has since based and recovered into a tight 0.8085-0.8099 consolidation through the NY session, RSI back to neutral. Session high capping at 0.8099 just under the 0.8100 pivot.
Support: 0.8085, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.8099, 0.8100
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.8085 range floor reopens 0.80605 drop low
Reclaim of 0.8100 pivot would negate the consolidation
Wed 12:30 UTC US PPI and Warsh testimony could reprice this move
USDCHF was slammed lower during NY hours (12:30 UTC) as the softer US inflation backdrop unwound dollar longs, printing a session low at 0.80605 before a steady recovery to 0.80993. Price is now consolidating between 0.80846 and 0.80993 with RSI back to neutral; the drop has been about 62% retraced.
Support: 0.80846, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.80993, 0.8115
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80993 opens the path back toward the 0.8115 pre-drop area
Failure to hold 0.80846 exposes the 0.80605 session low again
US PPI and Warsh testimony (Wed 12:30/14:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
USD/CHF was sold sharply mid-window (~0.8110 down to 0.80605) on the soft US CPI-driven dollar long unwind, then ground steadily back toward the session high at 0.80993. Price now sits at 0.80956, pressing that high with RSI cooling into the upper-50s; EMA50 still overhead near the pre-drop shelf.
Support: 0.8087, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.80993, 0.8109
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80993 opens the path back to the 0.81090 pre-drop shelf
Failure to hold 0.80870 risks a retest of the 0.80605 session low
USD-side catalysts (Warsh testimony, PPI) can reset this read
20:32 UTC
Sharp drop, now consolidating near recovery highs · RSI 55 · price 0.80956
Post-drop range, higher lows off 0.8060.
USDCHF was hammered ~50 pips into 0.80605 during NY hours as soft US CPI triggered a dollar long unwind, then clawed back to 0.80993. Price has since gone flat, ranging 0.8089-0.8099 with RSI(14) cooling to mid-range; session high still capping.
Support: 0.8089, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.80993, 0.8113
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80993 opens the path back toward 0.8113 pre-drop area
Loss of 0.8089 range floor exposes the 0.8060 swing low
Wed US PPI (12:30 UTC) and Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) could reset this read
20:17 UTC
Sharp drop, now basing · RSI 51 · price 0.80946
Recovered off 0.8063, ranging near lows.
USDCHF broke down hard through the 0.8110 floor to 0.80631 mid-window on the USD long unwind following soft US CPI, then clawed back into a 0.8087-0.8099 range. RSI(14) has normalised to ~51 as price stalls just below the 0.80993 session high; ATR compressed to ~8 pips through the recovery.
Support: 0.8087, 0.8063
Resistance: 0.80993, 0.8110
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80993 opens a retest of the 0.81100 prior floor
Failure to hold 0.80870 reopens the 0.80630 crash low
PPI (Wed 12:30 UTC) and Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) could reprice the USD side
20:16 UTC
Downtrend, basing after sharp drop · RSI 54 · price 0.80946
Impulse lower then rounded recovery, consolidating below session high.
USDCHF broke down hard mid-session, dropping from ~0.8115 to 0.8061 as the soft US CPI print unwound dollar longs. Price has since based and ground back to 0.8099, now consolidating in a tight 0.8087–0.8099 range with RSI cooled to mid-50s.
Support: 0.8087, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.80993, 0.81109
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80993 session high opens the path back toward 0.81109 pre-drop shelf
Failure to hold 0.80870 base risks a retest of the 0.80605 session low
US PPI + Warsh testimony Wed could materially shift this read
20:02 UTC
Downtrend from CPI break, now consolidating · RSI 56 · price 0.80955
Sharp break lower then recovery, tight range near highs of bounce.
Soft US June CPI (-0.4% MoM) triggered a single-bar drop from 0.8116 to 0.8063 during NY hours, undercutting the prior YTD-high grind. Price has since clawed back and is consolidating tight between 0.8089 and 0.8099, well below the reclaimed EMA50; RSI(14) mid-range near 56.
Support: 0.8089, 0.80631
Resistance: 0.80985, 0.8111
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80985 opens the path back toward 0.8111 pre-drop level
Loss of 0.8089 range floor reopens the 0.8063 cpi low
Warsh testimony tone remains a near-term swing risk for the USD side
Sharp break lower then grind back, consolidating near recovery high.
USDCHF cratered from 0.8110 to 0.8063 on the 12:30 GMT US CPI miss, then recovered through the NY session to consolidate around 0.8090-0.8099. RSI(14) cooling near 56 as the bounce stalls just under the 0.8099 recovery high.
Support: 0.8090, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.80993, 0.8112
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80993 opens the path back toward 0.81120 pre-CPI area
Loss of 0.80900 range base re-exposes the 0.80605 session low
Wed PPI (12:30 GMT) and Warsh testimony could re-price this move
The soft June US CPI miss triggered a sharp ~50 pip drop to 0.80631 during the NY session; buyers stepped in and price recovered to consolidate 0.807-0.809. Move has retraced about half the drop, capped just under 0.80993 with RSI back near neutral.
Support: 0.80631, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.80993, 0.8110
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80993 opens path back toward the pre-drop 0.81100 zone
Loss of 0.80631 cpi low resumes the downside leg
Warsh testimony tone could reprice USD and shift this read
19:47 UTC
Downshift post-CPI, now flat · RSI 51 · price 0.80922
Consolidation after sharp breakdown.
US CPI at 12:30 GMT missed hard across the board and dumped USDCHF ~50 pips into a 0.80631 low, breaking the prior 0.8130s structure. Price has since recovered and is consolidating in a 0.80846–0.80993 band through the NY afternoon, RSI(14) back near neutral.
Support: 0.80846, 0.80631
Resistance: 0.80993, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Close below 0.80846 range low reopens the 0.80631 cpi low
Close above 0.80993 session high breaks the consolidation top
Wed PPI (12:30 GMT) could reprice the USD side and shift this read
Sharp break lower then consolidation above session low.
The soft US June CPI print at 12:30 GMT drove a sharp break from 0.8110 to a session low of 0.80605, franc bid as September-hike odds unwound. Price has since ground back up and is consolidating just under the 0.80985 recovery high, RSI(14) mid-range near 56.
Support: 0.8073, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.80985, 0.8110
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80985 recovery high extends the bounce toward the 0.81100 pre-cpi shelf
Loss of 0.80730 recovery low reopens the 0.80605 session low
PPI Wed 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
19:31 UTC
Recovering after CPI-driven drop, now flat · RSI 48 · price 0.80916
Sharp down-leg then base near 0.809.
USDCHF was knocked off 0.8116 to a 0.80605 session low on the soft US June CPI miss, then clawed back to consolidate around 0.809. Price is holding a rounded base between 0.8087 and the 0.80985 session high, RSI(14) neutral near 48.
Support: 0.8087, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.80985, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.80985 / 0.8100 would extend the recovery leg
The 12:30 GMT US CPI miss slammed USDCHF from 0.8110 to 0.8063 in a single bar, breaking the intraday range. Price has since recovered and consolidated between 0.8085 and the 0.8099 session high, with RSI(14) back to neutral near 47 after the flush.
Support: 0.80846, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.80993, 0.8100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8100 pivot would extend the recovery
USDCHF collapsed ~50 pips into 0.8063 on the 12:30 GMT US CPI miss (core MoM flat vs +0.2% f/c), abandoning the YTD-high area. Price has since based and recovered to 0.8090, sitting near the 50% retrace of that drop; supply capped the bounce at the 0.80993 session high.
Support: 0.8063, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.80993, 0.81109
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80993 opens the path back toward 0.81109
Failure to hold 0.80605 session low resumes the CPI-driven downside
US PPI Wed 12:30 GMT could re-shape the USD read
19:02 UTC
Sharp drop then recovery, consolidating · RSI 55 · price 0.80909
Post-CPI range above 0.8060 low.
The soft US June CPI print at 12:30 GMT slammed USDCHF from ~0.8110 to 0.8060 in a single bar during NY hours, unwinding the hawkish-Fed bid. Price has since recovered and consolidated between 0.8060 and 0.8099, RSI(14) reset to mid-range around 55; session high at 0.80993 remains the cap.
Support: 0.80686, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.80993, 0.81109
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80993 opens the path back toward 0.81109 pre-drop level
Failure to hold 0.80605 session low confirms a fresh lower-low
PPI Wed 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
19:02 UTC
Sharp drop, now consolidating · RSI 54 · price 0.80909
Post-drop range near recovery highs.
USD/CHF collapsed from 0.8110 to 0.8063 on the soft June US CPI print (core MoM flat vs +0.2% f/c) during NY hours. Since then it has recovered and is consolidating between the 0.8085 range floor and the 0.8099 session high, RSI(14) back near neutral after the flush.
Support: 0.8085, 0.80631
Resistance: 0.8099, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Close above 0.8100 psych level reopens pre-drop levels
Break below 0.8085 range floor puts the 0.80631 cpi low back in play
PPI Wed 12:30 GMT could reprice the USD leg
18:47 UTC
Recovering after sharp CPI-driven drop · RSI 61 · price 0.80959
Rounded base, grinding higher off session low.
USDCHF cratered on the 12:30 UTC soft US June CPI print, gapping from 0.8110 down to a 0.80605 session low. Since then price has carved a rounded base and ground back to 0.80959, retracing roughly 60% of the drop; RSI(14) has recovered into the low 60s with the session high at 0.80985 capping so far.
Support: 0.80846, 0.80727, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.80985, 0.81109
What it said to watch
close above 0.80985 session high opens 0.81109 pre-drop pivot
loss of the recovery line near 0.80846 stalls the rounded-bottom read
Wed 12:30 UTC US PPI could reset the USD side of this pair
18:46 UTC
Recovering after sharp drop · RSI 61 · price 0.80959
Basing above session low, higher lows.
Soft US June CPI at 12:30 UTC triggered a sharp USD selloff, dropping USDCHF through 0.8110 to a session low of 0.80605. Since then price has ground back up in a rounded base, buyers stepping in near the swing low around 0.80915, now pressing the session high at 0.80993 and the 0.81000 round number.
Support: 0.80915, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.80993, 0.8100, 0.81107
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81000 opens the path back toward the 0.81107 pre-drop area
Failure to hold 0.80915 threatens a revisit of the 0.80605 session low
Wed PPI (12:30 UTC) could materially shift the USD read
USDCHF collapsed ~50 pips into the NY session on the soft US June CPI miss, sweeping to 0.80605 before buyers stepped in. Price has since consolidated in a tight 0.8085-0.8098 band, RSI(14) back to mid-range near 58.
Support: 0.80845, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.80985, 0.8110
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80985 opens the path back toward the 0.81100 pre-CPI shelf
Failure to hold 0.80845 re-exposes the 0.80605 post-CPI low
Wed 12:30 UTC US PPI could materially shift this read
Base building above session low, testing session high.
USDCHF collapsed to 0.80605 on the soft US June CPI miss, then recovered steadily through the NY session and is now grinding into the session high at 0.80985. RSI(14) near 58 as the base holds above 0.80678; 0.81000 round number caps overhead.
Support: 0.80678, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.80985, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80985 opens the path back toward 0.81000
Loss of 0.80678 higher low reopens the session low at 0.80605
Wed PPI (12:30 UTC) and Warsh testimony could reshape this read
18:17 UTC
Downtrend, base forming after CPI drop · RSI 55 · price 0.80917
Sharp break lower then recovery into consolidation.
US June CPI miss at 12:30 UTC collapsed USDCHF ~50 pips in one bar to a 0.8060 crash low, breaking the prior 0.8110 range. A double bottom at 0.80605 held twice and price has ground back to 0.8092, now consolidating below the 0.80985 session high with RSI(14) recovered to mid-range.
Support: 0.80708, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.80985, 0.81109
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80985 session high opens the path back toward the 0.81109 pre-crash zone
Loss of the 0.80605 double-bottom confirms a fresh lower low
PPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
18:16 UTC
Sharp drop, now basing · RSI 49 · price 0.80917
Range break lower, recovering into consolidation.
Soft US June CPI triggered a vertical M15 flush through 0.8110 to 0.80605, RSI dumping into oversold on the impulse. Since then price has based and recovered to 0.809, grinding higher lows and stalling just under the session high at 0.80985.
Support: 0.8073, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.80985, 0.81109
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80985 extends the recovery toward the 0.81109 pre-drop base
Failure to hold 0.80730 reopens the 0.80605 session low
Wed PPI (12:30 UTC) and Warsh day-two testimony could reprice the USD side
18:02 UTC
Recovering off CPI-driven low · RSI 59 · price 0.80932
Sharp break down, grinding higher into session highs.
Soft US June CPI dumped USDCHF ~50 pips in one bar to 0.80605, franc bid as hike odds got pared. Price has since ground back up in a rounded recovery and is consolidating just under the 0.80985 session high, RSI(14) mid-range.
Support: 0.8073, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.80985, 0.81109
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80985 opens the path back toward 0.81109 pre-drop level
Failure to hold 0.80730 reopens the 0.80605 CPI low
Warsh testimony and US PPI (Jul 15) could reprice the USD side of this move
18:02 UTC
Recovering after CPI-driven drop · RSI 56 · price 0.80932
Consolidating below session high off the low.
Soft US June CPI at 12:30 UTC slammed USDCHF from 0.8110 to a 0.80605 session low as hike odds got pared. Price has since climbed back and is consolidating just under the 0.80985 session high, RSI mid-range near 56 after the washout.
Support: 0.80686, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.80985, 0.81109
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80985 opens the path toward the pre-cpi 0.81109 area
Failure to hold 0.80686 reopens the 0.80605 session low
Warsh testimony and US PPI (Jul 15) could reshape the USD side
17:47 UTC
Recovery uptrend after CPI drop · RSI 57 · price 0.80925
Higher lows off 0.8060 base, capped below session high.
USDCHF dropped ~50 pips into 0.8060 on the soft June US CPI print at 12:30 UTC, with USD sold across the board. A double bottom near 0.8060 held and price has ground back to 0.8093 on higher lows, but the 0.80985 session high still caps the recovery; RSI(14) mid-range.
Support: 0.80708, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.80985, 0.8110
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80985 extends the recovery toward the 0.8110 pre-drop shelf
Failure to hold the 0.8060 double bottom opens fresh lows
US PPI (Jul 15 12:30 UTC) and Warsh testimony (Jul 15 14:00 UTC) could reset this read
17:47 UTC
Recovering off CPI-driven flush · RSI 60 · price 0.80925
Sharp drop then basing, higher lows.
The soft US June CPI print sent USDCHF flushing from 0.8110 down to 0.8060 during NY hours. Price has since based and ground back up in a higher-low chain toward the 0.80985 swing high, RSI(14) around 60. Recovery capped just under 0.8100 psych level.
Support: 0.80846, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.80985, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80985 opens the path back toward the 0.8100 round number
Loss of 0.80846 higher-low reopens 0.80605 session low
Warsh testimony and PPI batch Jul 15 could materially shift this read
Soft US CPI knocked USDCHF ~50 pips lower into NY hours, printing a low at 0.8060. A double bottom near that cpi low held and price has ground back to 0.8092, retracing over half the drop; RSI mid-range at 56.
Support: 0.80846, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.80985, 0.81109
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80985 session high opens the path back to 0.8110
Loss of 0.8060 cpi low resumes the post-CPI decline
Warsh testimony and US PPI (Jul 15) could materially shift this read
Consolidation above session low after impulse down.
USDCHF cratered from 0.8113 to 0.80605 on the soft US June CPI miss that undercut hike odds, then based and clawed back toward 0.8098. Recovery is grinding higher-lows but stalling under the 0.80985 session high; RSI(14) mid-range at 56.
Support: 0.80605, 0.80707
Resistance: 0.80985, 0.81109
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80985 session high opens the path back toward 0.81109 pre-drop shelf
Loss of 0.80707 swing low re-exposes the 0.80605 session low
Warsh testimony (Jul 15 14:00) and PPI batch (Jul 15 12:30) could reprice USD and shift this read
17:16 UTC
Sharp drop, now recovering · RSI 61 · price 0.8097
Base built after CPI-driven flush, higher lows into NY.
USDCHF flushed ~50 pips on the soft US June CPI print, bottoming at 0.8061 before basing around 0.8085 through NY. Price has since ground back to the recent high at 0.8097 on a chain of higher lows; the 0.8110 pre-crash zone caps overhead.
Support: 0.8085, 0.8061
Resistance: 0.8097, 0.8110
What it said to watch
Close above 0.8110 would recover the pre-crash range
Failure to hold 0.8085 base reopens 0.8061 session low
Warsh testimony (Jul 15 14:00) and PPI batch could reshape this read
17:16 UTC
Recovery off session low · RSI 61 · price 0.8097
Basing above 0.8060 after sharp drop.
USDCHF gapped lower into NY hours on the soft US CPI miss, dumping from 0.8113 to a 0.8060 session low, then carving a rounded base. Price has ground back to 0.8097 with RSI(14) near 61; the 0.8110 pre-drop shelf is the immediate cap.
Support: 0.8069, 0.8060
Resistance: 0.8110, 0.8130
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.8110 negates the CPI-driven drop
Loss of 0.8060 session low reopens downside
Warsh testimony / PPI Jul 15 could reset the USD read
17:03 UTC
Sharp drop then recovery, stabilising · RSI 55 · price 0.80862
Post-CPI selloff, consolidating off lows.
The soft US June CPI print at 12:30 GMT smashed USDCHF from 0.8110 to a 0.80605 session low in a single candle during NY hours. Price has since clawed back to 0.8086 and is consolidating below the 0.80944 session high, RSI(14) cooling back to mid-50s from the flush.
Support: 0.80605, 0.8070
Resistance: 0.80944, 0.8110
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80944 opens the path back to the 0.81100 pre-CPI level
Failure to hold 0.80605 reopens the downside
Warsh testimony / Fed-speaker reaction to the CPI miss could shift this read
17:02 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 55 · price 0.80862
Post-drop consolidation above session low.
The soft US June CPI print gutted USD/CHF, spiking it from 0.8110 down to a 0.80605 session low. Price has since clawed back into a 0.8065–0.8094 recovery range, printing 0.80862 with RSI back near neutral. Session high at 0.80944 is the near-term cap to watch.
Support: 0.80605, 0.8070
Resistance: 0.80944, 0.81109
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.80944 opens the path back toward 0.81109
Loss of 0.80605 resumes the CPI-driven decline
US PPI tomorrow 12:30 GMT could revive the USD bid and shift this read
16:47 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 55 · price 0.80876
CPI flush then higher lows into consolidation.
USD/CHF cratered ~50 pips into 0.8060 on the soft US June CPI miss during NY hours, printing a double bottom at 0.80605/0.80631. Price has since ground back to 0.8090 along a rising recovery base, now stalling under the 0.80944 session high.
Support: 0.8069, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.80944, 0.81109
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80944 opens the path back toward the 0.81109 pre-cpi low
Failure to hold 0.80690 reopens the 0.80605 day low
US PPI tomorrow 12:30 GMT could revive the hawkish USD trade and shift this read
16:46 UTC
Downtrend, recovering · RSI 53 · price 0.80876
Post-CPI breakdown, building higher lows.
USD/CHF collapsed through 0.8110 on the soft US June CPI print, spiking to a session low at 0.80605. Buyers stepped in twice near the low and price has since ground back to 0.80944 before easing to 0.80876; a chain of higher lows is forming off the low.
Support: 0.80605, 0.80678
Resistance: 0.80944, 0.81109
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.80605 confirms a fresh lower low
Close back above 0.81109 unwinds the CPI breakdown
US PPI tomorrow 12:30 GMT could revive the USD bid
16:32 UTC
Recovery off session low, momentum building · RSI 61 · price 0.80876
Double bottom at 0.8060, higher lows into NY.
USDCHF cratered ~50 pips on the 12:30 GMT soft US CPI miss, bottoming at 0.8060 before a double bottom held into the NY session. Price has ground back to 0.8088, reclaiming EMA20 while still below EMA50; RSI recovered off oversold into the low 60s.
Support: 0.8073, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.80944, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80944 session high opens the path back toward 0.8100
Loss of 0.80605 confirms a fresh lower low
US PPI tomorrow 12:30 GMT could revive the hawkish USD trade
16:31 UTC
Downtrend, recovering · RSI 56 · price 0.80876
Sharp drop then grinding higher lows off session low.
USDCHF cratered ~50 pips into 0.8063 on the soft US June CPI miss, then rounded off that low through the NY session to reclaim 0.8080. Recovery is holding a rising sequence of higher lows; 0.8094 session high caps for now, RSI(14) back near 56.
Support: 0.80689, 0.80631
Resistance: 0.80944, 0.81109
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.8069 rising support reopens the 0.8063 cpi low
Close above 0.8094 extends the recovery toward the 0.8110 pre-drop shelf
PPI tomorrow could revive the hawkish USD trade and shift this read
16:17 UTC
Sharp drop, base building · RSI 54 · price 0.80896
Double bottom at 0.8060 after CPI break, recovering.
USDCHF collapsed from 0.8110 to 0.8060 on the soft US June CPI as the dollar was sold across the board during NY hours. A double bottom near 0.8060 held twice and price has since ground back to 0.8090, RSI(14) recovered to the mid-50s. Recovery still capped below the session high at 0.80944.
Support: 0.80605, 0.8071
Resistance: 0.80944, 0.8100, 0.81109
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80944 opens the path back toward 0.81000
Failure to hold 0.80605 resumes the downside break
US PPI Jul 15 12:30 UTC and Fed speakers could reshape this read
16:16 UTC
Recovery off session low · RSI 57 · price 0.80896
Double bottom at 0.8060, higher lows since.
USDCHF gapped sharply lower into the NY session on the soft US June CPI, breaking to 0.80605 before buyers stepped in twice to form a double bottom near 0.8060. Price has since ground back to 0.80896 on a chain of higher lows, now testing the underside of the 0.80944 session high with RSI near 57.
Support: 0.80605, 0.80678
Resistance: 0.80944, 0.8110
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80944 session high opens the path to 0.81100 pre-drop area
Failure to hold the 0.80605 session low confirms a fresh lower-low
US PPI Jul 15 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
16:02 UTC
Sharp drop, recovering · RSI 49 · price 0.80917
Double bottom off session low, grinding higher.
USDCHF cracked lower on the soft June US CPI print, the 12:30 UTC bar dumping from 0.8110 to 0.8063 and breaking the intraday range. Price has since based twice near 0.8060 and clawed back to 0.8092; RSI(14) back to neutral after the oversold flush.
Support: 0.80605, 0.80689
Resistance: 0.80929, 0.8110
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80929 session high opens the path back toward 0.8110
Loss of 0.80605 confirms fresh session low and resumes the CPI leg down
US PPI Jul 15 12:30 UTC (core YoY f/c 5.2%) could reset this read
16:02 UTC
Downtrend, base forming after CPI drop · RSI 47 · price 0.80917
Sharp break lower, consolidating above lows.
Soft US June CPI hit at the NY session open, slamming USDCHF from 0.8110 to 0.80605 in a single M15 candle. Buyers stepped in twice near 0.806 and price has since recovered to 0.809; the 0.80929 session high is the immediate cap.
Support: 0.80605, 0.8070
Resistance: 0.80929, 0.8111
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.81110 pre-drop level would negate the breakdown
Loss of the 0.806 double bottom confirms fresh lows
Fed speakers and Warsh testimony today could re-shift USD tone
15:46 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising after CPI drop · RSI 47 · price 0.80847
Range break lower, now consolidating with higher lows.
USD/CHF collapsed off 0.8110 on the soft US June CPI print at 12:30 UTC, tagging 0.80605 before buyers stepped in. Price has since consolidated 0.8065–0.8089 during the NY session, grinding out higher lows into the 0.80888 session high.
Support: 0.80689, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.80888, 0.81109
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80888 opens the path back toward the 0.81109 pre-drop shelf
Failure to hold 0.80605 confirms a fresh lower low
US PPI on Jul 15 12:30 UTC could re-ignite the USD side of the read
15:46 UTC
Downtrend after sharp CPI drop, now basing · RSI 43 · price 0.80847
Impulsive leg lower then consolidation 0.806-0.809.
USD/CHF collapsed roughly 470 pips off 0.8116 on the soft US June CPI print at the 12:30 UTC release, printing a spike low at 0.80631. Price has since based between the 0.80605 session low and the 0.80888 session high, with RSI(14) recovering from oversold near mid-40s.
Support: 0.80605, 0.80631
Resistance: 0.80888, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.81000 pivot would neutralise the CPI-driven leg lower
M15 close below 0.80605 session low extends the decline
Fed speakers through today could re-shift the USD read
15:31 UTC
Downtrend, basing after breakdown · RSI 44 · price 0.80795
Sharp breakdown then consolidation above session low.
USDCHF broke down hard from 0.8110 to 0.8060 on the soft US June CPI print at 12:30 UTC, wiping out the prior YTD-high grind. Price has since based between 0.80605 and 0.80840, currently mid-range at 0.80795 with RSI(14) recovering off oversold near 44.
Support: 0.80605, 0.8068
Resistance: 0.8084, 0.8110
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.80840 would target the 0.81100 breakdown gap
Loss of 0.80605 confirms a fresh lower low
Fed speakers this afternoon (Barr, Goolsbee, Cook) could re-inject volatility
15:31 UTC
Sharp downshift, now ranging · RSI 42 · price 0.80795
Range after impulsive drop.
USDCHF cracked from 0.8110 to 0.8063 on the 12:30 UTC CPI miss as USD longs unwound. Since then it has chopped in a 0.8060–0.8085 range, RSI(14) recovering off the impulse low.
Support: 0.80605
Resistance: 0.80848, 0.8110
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80848 needed to challenge the 0.81100 pre-drop zone
Break of 0.80605 confirms a lower low and range break down
Fed speakers this afternoon (Barr, Goolsbee, Cook) could re-shift the USD read
USDCHF cracked ~50 pips lower into the 12:30 UTC June CPI miss, dropping from 0.8110 to a 0.8060 session low as the soft print undercut Fed-hike bets. Price is now consolidating 0.8060-0.8085 well below EMA20/50, with the 0.80848 post-CPI high capping bounces.
Support: 0.80605, 0.80631
Resistance: 0.80848, 0.8110
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.81100 would invalidate the breakdown read
Loss of 0.80605 session low extends the leg lower
Fed speakers this afternoon (Barr 16:40, Goolsbee 17:00 UTC) could re-shape the USD move
15:16 UTC
Downtrend after CPI-driven break · RSI 38 · price 0.80702
Breakdown then low-range consolidation.
The soft June US CPI print at 12:30 UTC triggered a vertical drop, slicing through the 0.8110 base to a 0.80605 session low. Price is now consolidating 0.80605-0.80848 during NY hours with RSI recovering off oversold; the prior 0.8130 shelf is well overhead.
Support: 0.80605, 0.8070
Resistance: 0.80848, 0.81109
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80848 needed to challenge the 0.81109 breakdown level
Loss of 0.80605 confirms a lower-low and extends the drop
Fed speakers this afternoon (Barr, Goolsbee, Cook) could re-shift the USD read
Sharp down-leg then consolidation near session low.
USD/CHF gapped lower into the NY session as the soft June CPI print (core YoY 2.6% vs 2.8%) gutted the hawkish-Fed bid, driving a drop from 0.8110 to 0.80605. Price has since consolidated 0.8060–0.8085, holding just above the session low with RSI recovering from oversold.
Support: 0.80605, 0.8050
Resistance: 0.80848, 0.8110
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80848 post-cpi high would unwind part of the drop
Break of 0.80605 session low extends the down-leg toward 0.8050
Fed speakers this afternoon (Barr, Goolsbee, Cook, Bowman) could re-price the USD side
15:02 UTC
Sharp downdraft, now consolidating · RSI 40 · price 0.8077
Range break lower, base forming near session low.
Soft US June CPI (core YoY 2.6% vs 2.8%) gutted the hawkish-Fed bid and dumped USDCHF ~50 pips in a single NY bar to 0.8060. Price has since stabilised in a 0.8071-0.8081 band, RSI(14) recovering off sub-30 but still capped below prior structure.
Support: 0.8060, 0.8071
Resistance: 0.8081, 0.8100, 0.8111
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.8100 psych would repair the post-CPI breakdown
Loss of 0.8060 cpi low extends the down-leg
Fed speakers this afternoon (Barr, Goolsbee, Cook, Bowman) could reprice the USD side and shift this read
Range break lower, consolidating above session low.
USDCHF gapped ~50 pips lower off the 12:30 GMT US CPI miss, breaking the 0.8110 base and printing 0.80605. Price has since consolidated in a tight 0.80605–0.80840 band through NY hours, RSI(14) recovering from oversold to ~40 without reclaiming the broken level.
Support: 0.80605, 0.80631
Resistance: 0.8084, 0.81109
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80840 challenges the post-CPI breakdown
Failure to hold 0.80605 confirms a fresh lower low
Fed speakers this afternoon could add volatility to the consolidation
14:46 UTC
Sharp breakdown, now consolidating · RSI 41 · price 0.80713
Post-CPI leg lower, ranging above session low.
USDCHF cratered from the 0.8110 area to 0.80605 on the soft June US CPI print, wiping out the prior session's grind. Price has since stabilised between 0.80605 and 0.80848, RSI(14) recovering off oversold as the spike digests.
Support: 0.80605, 0.80629
Resistance: 0.80848, 0.81109
What it said to watch
Fed speakers this afternoon (Barr, Goolsbee, Cook, Bowman) could re-shift the USD read
Reclaim of 0.80848 would repair some of the post-CPI damage
Loss of 0.80605 confirms a lower low and reopens downside
14:31 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising after sharp drop · RSI 39 · price 0.80757
Post-breakdown consolidation.
USD/CHF collapsed from 0.8110 to 0.8060 on the soft June US CPI print, gutting the hawkish-Fed bid. Price now consolidating 0.8063-0.8085, holding just above the session low with RSI(14) recovering off oversold.
Support: 0.80605, 0.80631
Resistance: 0.80812, 0.80848
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.80850 negates the breakdown read
Break of 0.80605 opens fresh session lows
Fed speakers this afternoon could shift the USD read
14:31 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating after drop · RSI 42 · price 0.80757
Sharp breakdown then basing above session low.
USD/CHF broke down ~50 pips from 0.8110 into 0.8060 on the soft June US CPI miss, snapping the prior grind toward YTD highs. NY session now consolidating 0.80605–0.80848, RSI(14) recovering off oversold; price holding below EMA20/50 after the break.
Support: 0.80605, 0.80631
Resistance: 0.80848, 0.81109
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.80605 session low confirms lower-low continuation
M15 close back above 0.80848 post-cpi high negates the breakdown read
Fed speakers this afternoon and Warsh testimony could reshape this read within the next few bars
USDCHF cratered from the 0.8110 shelf to 0.80605 on the soft US June CPI print, a single M15 candle covering ~500 pips as the hawkish-Fed premium unwound. Since the spike price has consolidated 0.8060–0.8085, RSI(14) recovering off oversold; the 0.80840 bounce high caps for now.
Support: 0.80605, 0.80686
Resistance: 0.8084, 0.8110
What it said to watch
Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) is imminent and could materially shift this read
Reclaim above 0.80840 would ease the downside continuation read
Failure to hold 0.80605 confirms a fresh lower-low
Consolidation above 0.8130 collapsed on the soft US June CPI print, USD/CHF dropping close to 500 pips intraday to a session low of 0.80605 as the hawkish-Fed narrative unwound. Price is now stabilising between 0.8060 and 0.8085, RSI(14) recovering off oversold; the pre-drop range is now overhead resistance.
Support: 0.80605, 0.80644
Resistance: 0.8084, 0.8110
What it said to watch
Fed Chair Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
M15 close below 0.80605 extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 0.80840 needed to challenge the pre-drop 0.81100 zone
14:02 UTC
Sharp downtrend, now stabilizing · RSI 33 · price 0.80713
News-driven breakdown, consolidating near lows.
USD/CHF collapsed off 0.8110 on the 12:30 UTC soft US CPI print, tagging 0.80631 before stabilizing in a 0.8071-0.8085 band through NY hours. RSI(14) is depressed near 33 after the flush; price is capped by the post-cpi high at 0.80848.
Support: 0.80631, 0.80707
Resistance: 0.80848, 0.81109
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80848 needed to challenge the pre-drop 0.81109 shelf
Break below 0.80631 cpi low extends the down leg
Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
14:02 UTC
Sharp downdraft, now consolidating at lows · RSI 34 · price 0.80713
Range breakdown, basing above 0.8063.
USD/CHF collapsed roughly 45 pips in a single M15 bar into 0.8063 as the soft June US CPI print knocked the hawkish-Fed premium out of the Dollar. Price has since based in a tight 0.8071-0.8084 range; RSI(14) recovering off the post-drop washout but still soft below 40.
Support: 0.80631, 0.80707
Resistance: 0.80838
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80838 would ease the breakdown; failure keeps the base capped
Loss of 0.80631 spike low reopens downside
Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) tone could materially shift this read
13:47 UTC
Downtrend, sharp post-CPI leg · RSI 34 · price 0.80725
Range break lower, now consolidating.
USDCHF collapsed through the 0.8110 base on the soft US June CPI print at 12:30 UTC, tagging a session low of 0.80631 before stabilising in a tight 0.8071-0.8085 band. RSI(14) is holding the low-30s after the drop; price sits well below EMA20/50 with no reclaim of the breakdown yet.
Support: 0.80708, 0.80631
Resistance: 0.80848, 0.81109
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.80848 would ease the post-CPI breakdown pressure
Failure to hold 0.80708 reopens the 0.80631 spike low
Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USD/CHF broke sharply out of the 0.8110-0.8150 consolidation as the soft June US CPI print undercut the USD rally, spiking to a session low at 0.80631 before stabilising near 0.8072. RSI(14) sits oversold around 33 after the flush, and price is basing under the 0.80838 post-drop high.
Support: 0.80631, 0.80708
Resistance: 0.80838, 0.81109
What it said to watch
Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Reclaim of 0.80838 would signal recovery from the breakdown
NY session sliced through the 0.8110 support after the soft US CPI print undercut the dollar, dumping USD/CHF to a 0.8063 spike low with RSI(14) around 31. The bounce stalled at 0.8085 and price is now consolidating near 0.8070, well below EMA20/50.
Support: 0.8063
Resistance: 0.8085, 0.8110
What it said to watch
Warsh testimony (14:00 GMT) is the immediate catalyst and could materially shift this read
Reclaim of 0.8110 would repair the breakdown
Failure to hold the 0.8063 spike low opens further downside
USDCHF broke down ~50 pips into 0.8063 on the 12:30 GMT soft US CPI print, unwinding the hawkish-Fed bid. Price is basing between 0.8063 and 0.8085 with RSI(14) lifting off oversold; pre-drop shelf at 0.8110 caps any recovery.
Support: 0.80631, 0.80708
Resistance: 0.80848, 0.81109, 0.81482
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.8110 would negate the breakdown read
Loss of 0.8063 confirms continuation lower
Warsh testimony (14:00 GMT) could materially shift this read
13:16 UTC
Downtrend after news breakdown · RSI 34 · price 0.80819
Sharp breakdown, spike low reclaimed.
USDCHF snapped lower on the 12:30 GMT soft US CPI print, breaking a full session of consolidation around 0.8130 and spiking to 0.80631 before reclaiming to 0.80819. RSI(14) cooling off oversold as buyers stepped in at the spike low; 0.80848 bounce high caps the recovery so far.
Support: 0.80631, 0.80686
Resistance: 0.80848, 0.81107
What it said to watch
Warsh testimony 14:00 GMT could materially shift this read
USDCHF broke down sharply as the soft US June CPI print saw the dollar sold across the board; the spike swept the session low to 0.80631 before buyers stepped in toward 0.808. Price sits ~30 pips below the 0.81107 breakdown with RSI(14) rebounding near 37 off short-term extremes.
Support: 0.80631, 0.80679
Resistance: 0.80848, 0.81107
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.81107 would invalidate the breakdown read
Failure to hold 0.80631 spike low opens further downside
Warsh testimony (14:00 GMT) could materially reshape the USD tape
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC printed soft, unwinding hawkish-Fed bets and dropping USDCHF ~50 pips out of the 0.8130-0.8150 range to a session low of 0.80631. Price has since bounced to 0.8080; RSI(14) near 29 after the flush, with buyers stepping in off 0.80631.
Support: 0.80631, 0.8050
Resistance: 0.80807, 0.8110
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.81100 invalidates the breakdown read
Sustained break below 0.80631 opens further downside
Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC and Fed speakers could reshape this read
Soft US June CPI (12:30 UTC) triggered a sharp USD leg down, dropping USDCHF from 0.8110 to a spike low of 0.80631 before a snapback to 0.80807. RSI(14) oversold near 32 as price stabilises around 0.8078; the 0.80807 bounce high caps for now.
Support: 0.80631
Resistance: 0.80807, 0.8110, 0.8115
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.81100 would neutralise the CPI drop
Failure to hold 0.80631 spike low extends the leg down
Fed Chair Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC could reshape this read
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC triggered a vertical ~50-pip drop, slicing USD/CHF out of its 0.8110-0.8148 range and clearing the 0.8100 pivot to a session low at 0.8063. RSI(14) is stretched near 29 after a single impulsive bar; price is parked below both EMAs at 0.8069.
Support: 0.8063, 0.8050
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.8110
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 0.8100 pivot would neutralise the downside break
Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC plus multiple Fed speakers could extend or reverse this move
Failure to hold 0.8063 opens the 0.8050 sma support
12:46 UTC
Sharp breakdown, momentum down · RSI 20 · price 0.8069
Range broken to downside.
USDCHF cratered ~50 pips on the last bar, slicing through the 0.8100 pivot into 0.8063 as a softer US CPI print offered the dollar during NY hours. The pair had ranged 0.8130-0.8148 all session before the release; RSI(14) now deeply oversold after the vertical drop.
Support: 0.80631, 0.8050
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.8115
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 0.8100 pivot would negate the breakdown
Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC could extend post-CPI volatility
Failure to hold 0.80631 opens 0.8050 area
12:32 UTC
Downtrend, sharp CPI-driven leg · RSI 26 · price 0.80741
Range broken to downside.
US June CPI (12:30 UTC) printed soft/in-line and USD was offered — USD/CHF sliced the 0.81100 pivot and spiked to 0.80631 before closing 0.80741. The prior 0.8130-0.8148 consolidation gave way cleanly; RSI(14) oversold near 26.
Support: 0.80631, 0.8050
Resistance: 0.8110, 0.8130
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.81100 would negate the downside break
Fed Chair Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC could reshape this read
US June CPI (12:30 UTC) landed soft, unwinding hawkish-Fed bets and offering the dollar; USDCHF sliced through the 0.81100 pivot in one bar, spiking to 0.80631 before closing 0.80741. RSI(14) around 31 after the vertical drop, ATR blown out to ~23 pips by the CPI candle.
Support: 0.80631, 0.8050
Resistance: 0.8110, 0.8130
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.81100 would repair the broken range
Failure to hold 0.80631 confirms downside continuation
Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC could re-shape this read
12:16 UTC
Downtrend, momentum leading lower · RSI 38 · price 0.81151
Lower highs, lower lows off session high.
USDCHF rolled over from the 0.81480/0.81516 session high and has printed a steady chain of lower highs into 0.81122, price below EMA20/50. RSI(14) near 37, not yet stretched; the 0.8100 pivot flagged in the digest sits just below as the next reference.
Support: 0.81122, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81282, 0.8148
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC — highest-impact event, could reset this read within the next bar
Break and hold below 0.81122 exposes the 0.8100 psych pivot
Reclaim of 0.81282 breaks the lower-high sequence
12:16 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 35 · price 0.81151
Lower highs, lower lows.
USDCHF has sold off through the NY session from the 0.8148 swing high, printing a steady chain of lower highs and lower lows down to 0.81122; price now sits at 0.81151 pressing the 0.8100 pivot. RSI(14) near 34 and price below both EMAs confirm the downside momentum ahead of US CPI.
Support: 0.81122, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81244, 0.8130, 0.81482
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC could sharply reprice USD and override this read
A reclaim of 0.81244 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.81122 opens the 0.8100 psych pivot
12:02 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs · RSI 37 · price 0.81162
Descending highs off 0.81516, pressing session lows.
USDCHF ground lower through the NY-transition, printing lower highs from 0.81482 and now testing the session low at 0.81122 with the 0.8110 pivot just beneath. RSI(14) near 37 as the dollar drifts off its two-week high ahead of US CPI at 12:30 UTC.
Support: 0.81122, 0.8110, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.8130, 0.81482
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Break below 0.8110 pivot exposes 0.8100 round number
Reclaim of 0.8130 prior swing negates the lower-high sequence
USDCHF drifted lower through NY hours off the 0.81482 session high, now pressing the session low at 0.81122 with the 0.8100 pivot just below. Sequence of lower highs holds and price sits under both EMAs; US June CPI at 12:30 UTC is the near-term driver.
Support: 0.81122, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81282, 0.81482
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read within the next bar
M15 close below 0.81122 exposes the 0.8100 pivot
Close back above 0.81282 breaks the lower-high sequence
USDCHF has faded from the 0.8152 session high in a clean chain of lower highs, now pressing the 0.8110 pivot at 0.8117 with RSI(14) near 39. Selling stepped in repeatedly at 0.8130; move is USD-driven with June CPI due at 12:30 UTC.
Support: 0.8110, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.8130, 0.8148
What it said to watch
Close below 0.8110 pivot opens the path to the 0.8100 psych level
Reclaim above 0.8130 swing high breaks the lower-high chain
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
11:46 UTC
Intraday downtrend, off session high · RSI 40 · price 0.81165
Lower highs and lower lows since London peak, near session low.
USDCHF faded from the 0.81516 session high through NY hours, printing lower highs into 0.81165, the current session low. RSI(14) sits near 39 with price below EMA20/50; move is USD-side drift ahead of US CPI, with the 0.8100 pivot the next reference below.
Support: 0.81165, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81482, 0.81516
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (<1h) is the primary driver — can materially shift this read
Loss of 0.81165 exposes the 0.8100 pivot
Reclaim of 0.81482 negates the lower-high chain
11:31 UTC
Intraday downtrend off overnight high · RSI 45 · price 0.81204
Lower highs since 0.81516, testing session low.
USDCHF rolled off the overnight high at 0.81516 and London hours sold it down to 0.81178 before a shallow bounce; price now drifts near 0.812, capped by a chain of lower highs. RSI(14) sits mid-range with no extreme, and the pair remains a USD-side trade with no Swiss catalyst.
Support: 0.81178, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81301, 0.81485
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC (~1h) could materially shift this read
M15 close below 0.81178 confirms a lower low toward 0.8100
Reclaim above 0.81301 negates the lower-high sequence
11:31 UTC
Downtrend off session high, now flat · RSI 43 · price 0.81204
Lower highs, basing near session low.
USDCHF rolled off the 0.81516 session high through the NY-to-Asia handover and now consolidates 0.8118-0.8130, price below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-40s. Swiss PPI deepened to -2.1% YoY but the Franc has no story of its own; direction sits with the USD leg into US CPI.
Support: 0.81178, 0.8110
Resistance: 0.8130, 0.81516
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~60m) could materially shift this read
M15 close below 0.81178 confirms a lower low toward 0.8100
Reclaim of 0.81300 negates the lower-high sequence
11:17 UTC
Pulled back off highs, now flat · RSI 47 · price 0.81246
Lower highs off 0.8151, basing at 0.8118.
London session faded the rally that peaked at 0.8151, selling into 0.8118 before buyers steadied it. Price now consolidating 0.8120–0.8130 with RSI mid-range, coiling ahead of US CPI.
Support: 0.81178, 0.8110
Resistance: 0.81301, 0.81482
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~75min out) could materially shift this read
Close below 0.8118 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 0.8130 needed to challenge the 0.8148 prior high
Lower highs since 0.8150 rejection, consolidating above 0.8118.
London session rejected the 0.8150 session high and slid to a 0.8118 session low, price now consolidating in the 0.812-0.813 band below EMA20. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 47 with no momentum extreme; CHF is a pure USD-side trade into US CPI.
Support: 0.81178, 0.8110
Resistance: 0.8130, 0.8148
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~75m) could materially shift this read
M15 close above 0.81300 opens the path back to 0.81480 session high
London session dragged USDCHF from the 0.81516 session high down to 0.81178 as the dollar softened into June CPI. Buyers stepped in twice around 0.8118, forming a double bottom, and price has recovered to 0.8129 with RSI back near mid-range.
Support: 0.81178, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81454, 0.81516
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Loss of 0.81178 confirms a lower-low and reopens the 0.8100 pivot
Leg lower off session high, bouncing off double bottom.
London session drove a leg lower from 0.8148 to 0.8118 before buyers stepped in twice around 0.8118, and USD/CHF has recovered to 0.8129 as the dollar softened into US CPI. Price is capped just under the 0.8130 round number after rejection at the session high 0.81516.
Support: 0.81178, 0.8110
Resistance: 0.8130, 0.81412, 0.81516
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81300 opens path back to 0.81412 swing high
Loss of 0.81178 confirms a lower low and exposes the 0.81100 pivot
US CPI at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Lower high at 0.8148, low at 0.81198, bounce underway.
USDCHF sold off from the 0.8148 area through the London-NY transition, printing a session low at 0.81198 before buyers stepped in; price now recovering to 0.81264 but still capped below EMA20. Swiss June PPI came in soft (-2.1% YoY) yet the pair remains a USD-side trade ahead of US CPI.
Support: 0.81198, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.8134, 0.81455
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT could drive the USD leg and break this range
Reclaim of 0.81340 needed to challenge the 0.81455 swing high
London pushed USDCHF to a session high 0.81516 before it faded through the afternoon to 0.81178. Price is now consolidating near 0.81260, holding below the 0.81340 broken shelf with RSI back near mid-range.
Support: 0.81178, 0.8110
Resistance: 0.8134, 0.81475, 0.81516
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.81340 negates the down leg
Failure to hold 0.81178 opens the 0.81100 pivot
US June CPI at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Sold off from session high, double bottom forming.
USDCHF sold off from the 0.8152 session high through NY hours, printing lower lows to 0.8118 where demand stepped in twice, forming a double bottom. Price is recovering toward the 0.8135 ema20 in early London, RSI(14) near 42.
Support: 0.8118, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.8135, 0.8148
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8135 would break the sequence of lower highs
Loss of the 0.8118 double bottom re-exposes the 0.8100 pivot
US CPI at 12:30 GMT could drive the USD leg and reshape this read
10:31 UTC
Pullback after intraday rally · RSI 44 · price 0.8124
Consolidating below faded session high.
USDCHF ground higher through London to 0.8152 then faded across NY hours, RSI cooling back below 50. Price now consolidating 0.8118-0.8130 after rejection near the 0.8148 swing high; Swiss PPI deepened to -2.1% YoY but the pair remains a USD-side trade.
Support: 0.8118, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.8130, 0.8148
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT then Warsh testimony at 14:00 GMT could materially shift this read
Break below 0.8118 session low exposes the 0.8100 pivot
Reclaim of 0.8148 swing high needed to resume the intraday rally
10:17 UTC
Pulled back off highs, lower highs forming · RSI 44 · price 0.81235
Rolled over from double top, testing session lows.
USDCHF rolled over from a double top near 0.8148 through the London session, sliding to 0.81178 before a shallow bounce back to 0.81235. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 44 and price is below both EMAs; a lower-high sequence caps the recent decline.
Support: 0.81178, 0.8110
Resistance: 0.8130, 0.8148
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.81178 extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 0.81300 negates the lower-high structure
US CPI at 12:30 GMT is the near-term USD-side driver
USDCHF sold from the 0.81482 session high through the NY hours toward 0.812 as the dollar eased into June CPI. Buyers stepped in twice near 0.81178-0.81199, giving a shallow bounce to 0.81235; price stays below EMA20/50 with RSI cooling near 43.
Support: 0.81178, 0.8110
Resistance: 0.8130, 0.8137, 0.81482
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
M15 close below 0.81178 confirms a lower-low continuation
Reclaim of 0.81300 negates the intraday downtrend read
10:02 UTC
Downtrend, intraday leg lower · RSI 36 · price 0.81196
Lower highs and lower lows from 0.8148.
USDCHF rolled over from 0.8148 through the London session, printing a clean chain of lower highs into a 0.81178 session low with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-30s. The pair drifts on the USD leg, and US CPI at 12:30 GMT is the near-term catalyst.
Support: 0.81178, 0.8110
Resistance: 0.8130, 0.8148
What it said to watch
Break of 0.81178 session low confirms continuation toward the 0.81100 pivot
Reclaim of 0.81300 breaks the descending lower-high sequence
US CPI at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
10:02 UTC
Downtrend, rolling off session high · RSI 41 · price 0.81196
Lower highs, testing session low.
USDCHF rolled over from 0.81482 through the London session, grinding down to a session low at 0.81178 as the dollar squared up ahead of US CPI. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) cooling near 40; the pair is drifting back toward the 0.8110 pivot flagged as the key level.
Support: 0.81178, 0.8110
Resistance: 0.8130, 0.81482
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.81100 pivot confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 0.81300 needed to neutralise the sequence of lower highs
US CPI at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this USD-side read
09:46 UTC
Rolled over, downtrend on recent leg · RSI 38 · price 0.8123
Lower highs into a session low at 0.8120.
USDCHF ground higher to a session high at 0.8152 late in yesterday's session, then rolled over through the London session, breaking down to a lower low at 0.8120 with RSI(14) in the mid-30s. Price now hovers just above the 0.8120 session low ahead of US CPI.
Support: 0.81198, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.8140, 0.81516
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT (~3h) is the dominant near-term driver for this read
M15 close below 0.8120 session low extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of the 0.8140 battleground would neutralise the downside pressure
09:46 UTC
Downtrend, rolling off session high · RSI 38 · price 0.8123
Lower highs, broke below 0.8135 consolidation.
USDCHF rolled off the 0.8148 session high through London, breaking below the 0.8135 consolidation floor and stalling at the 0.8120 session low, RSI(14) cooling near 37. Price is easing from a two-week high as the dollar softens ahead of US CPI, with SNB intervention risk a known cap on any Franc-led downside extension.
Support: 0.8120, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.8135, 0.8148
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT (~3h) is the dominant near-term driver and can reset this read
Loss of 0.8120 session low opens the 0.8100 pivot
Reclaim of 0.8135 prior floor negates the breakdown
09:31 UTC
Pullback off session high · RSI 34 · price 0.81233
Lower highs, breaking below intraday range.
London session faded the 0.8135–0.8148 range and broke down toward the session low at 0.81198, price now below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 34. Rejection at 0.8148 marked the last lower high before the drop; USD easing back from a two-week high ahead of US CPI.
Support: 0.81198, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81482
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT (~3h) is the dominant near-term driver for this read
Loss of 0.81198 confirms the lower low and opens the 0.8100 pivot
Reclaim of 0.81482 invalidates the breakdown and restores the range
09:31 UTC
Intraday pullback, momentum down · RSI 40 · price 0.81233
Range broken to the downside, lower highs into session low.
London session rolled the 0.8137–0.8148 consolidation over, selling from 0.81482 down to a 0.81198 session low, RSI(14) sub-40. Price has bounced shallowly to 0.81233 but sits below EMA20/50; USDCHF slipped off its two-week high as the dollar eased ahead of US CPI.
Support: 0.81198, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81482
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.81198 opens the 0.8100 pivot
Reclaim of 0.81482 negates the downside range break
US CPI at 12:30 GMT (~3h) could materially shift this read
USDCHF sold off through London hours, breaking the 0.8137 consolidation base and pressing into 0.8120 as the dollar eased from two-week highs. RSI(14) near 31 shows the leg lower is stretched but not yet at an extreme; a chain of lower highs from 0.8148 stays intact.
Support: 0.81198, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.8137, 0.81475
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.81198 session low confirms the next lower-low toward the 0.8100 pivot
Reclaim of 0.81370 prior range would neutralise the intraday downtrend
US CPI at 12:30 GMT (~3h) could materially shift this read
09:16 UTC
Rolled off session highs, momentum down · RSI 32 · price 0.81209
Lower highs, testing session low.
USDCHF was rejected at the 0.8148 area during the London session and sold off sharply into 0.8120, printing a clean lower-high chain with RSI(14) near 31. Price now sits on the session low at 0.81198 ahead of US CPI in ~3h.
Support: 0.81198, 0.8110
Resistance: 0.8148
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.811 pivot extends the decline
Reclaim of 0.8148 negates the pullback
US CPI at 12:30 GMT (~3h) could materially shift this read
USDCHF rolled off the 0.81482 swing high through London hours and broke the 0.8140 shelf, dropping to a session low at 0.81214 with RSI(14) near 34. Pullback comes despite a heavy CHF backdrop, price now leaning on the lows into the US CPI print.
Support: 0.81214, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.8140, 0.81482
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~3.5h out) can materially shift this read
M15 close back above 0.81400 broken shelf negates the breakdown
Loss of 0.81214 session low confirms continuation lower toward 0.8100 psych
USDCHF stalled at 0.81516 (a fresh 2wk high) then broke down hard through the 0.8135-0.8148 range during London hours, dropping ~65 pips into 0.81214 with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-30s. The move fits the SNB-driven CHF theme but sellers now hold price below EMA20/50 ahead of the US CPI print.
Support: 0.81214, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81485, 0.81516
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC in ~30min could materially shift this read
Break below 0.81214 exposes the 0.8100 psych level
Reclaim of 0.81485 range top negates the downside break
08:47 UTC
Uptrend rolling over, momentum down · RSI 34 · price 0.81235
Lower highs, pullback off session high.
USDCHF rejected the 0.8148-0.8150 supply during London and rolled over, slicing back through the 0.81340 broken support to print a session low at 0.81214, RSI(14) cooling to the mid-30s. SNB Franc-selling had underpinned the earlier push to a two-week high, but the pair is now unwinding into the US CPI print.
Support: 0.81214, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.8134, 0.81486
What it said to watch
US CPI 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
close back above 0.81340 negates the lower-high sequence
break of 0.81214 session low opens the path toward 0.8100
USDCHF rallied to a 2-week high at 0.81516 then rounded over; the 0.8135-0.8148 range broke down in the last 90 minutes into London hours, dropping to 0.81214 with RSI(14) cooling to ~42. CHF stayed heavy on SNB selling but the pair is now retracing under both EMAs ahead of US CPI.
Support: 0.81214, 0.8120
Resistance: 0.8135, 0.8148, 0.81516
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~3h) can materially shift this read
Reclaim above 0.8135 negates the range breakdown
Failure to hold 0.81214 exposes the 0.812 psych level
08:32 UTC
Uptrend rolling over, momentum turning down · RSI 38 · price 0.81264
Lower high off session top, consolidation broken lower.
USDCHF rolled over from the 0.8148-0.8152 session high after a steady grind up, breaking the overnight 0.8137-0.8148 consolidation to the downside and printing a session low at 0.81263. RSI(14) has cooled below 40 as price sits at both EMA20 and EMA50 underside; US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the near-term binary for the USD leg.
Support: 0.81263, 0.8134, 0.8120
Resistance: 0.8148, 0.81516
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Reclaim of 0.8137 puts the broken consolidation back in play
Sustained break below 0.81263 extends the lower-low sequence
08:32 UTC
Uptrend fading, pulling back · RSI 38 · price 0.81264
Rally to 0.8151 rolled into lower highs, fresh breakdown.
USDCHF pushed to a session high 0.81516 during London, then rolled into a 0.8135-0.8148 range and broke down in the last hour to 0.81264 as the Dollar softened ahead of US CPI. RSI(14) cooling near 37 with price back under EMA20/50; pullback holding around the 38.2% retrace of the 0.808-0.8151 leg.
Support: 0.81263, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81455, 0.81516
What it said to watch
Close below 0.81263 opens the 0.8100 pivot
Reclaim of 0.81455 negates the pullback
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
08:17 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 43 · price 0.81308
Consolidation floor broken, first lower high in place.
USDCHF rallied to a session high at 0.81516 then chopped in a tight 0.8135–0.8148 consolidation through the London morning; the last bar snapped the floor to a session low of 0.81296 with RSI(14) cooling into the low 40s. Pair is trading the USD leg — a clean lower high at 0.81482 — ahead of US CPI, with SNB intervention risk keeping any CHF strength capped.
Support: 0.81296, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81482, 0.81516
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close back above 0.81482 negates the downside break
Failure to reclaim 0.8135 keeps pressure toward the 0.8100 pivot
08:17 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 41 · price 0.81308
Rejection at highs, breaking lower into session low.
USDCHF rallied through the London session to a 0.81516 high, then rolled over with supply capping around the 0.81480 swing. The last bars broke lower to a fresh session low at 0.81296 with RSI(14) cooling near 40; pair trading the dollar leg into US CPI.
Support: 0.81296, 0.8100, 0.8050
Resistance: 0.8148, 0.81516
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Loss of 0.81296 session low extends the pullback
Reclaim of 0.81480 swing high negates the rejection
08:02 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 48 · price 0.81359
Higher highs into London, shallow pullback off session high.
USDCHF ground higher through the Asian and London sessions to a two-week high at 0.81516, with CHF soft and the pair trading the USD leg into US CPI. Price has since rejected the 0.8148 area twice and is easing back toward 0.8134, RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s.
Support: 0.8134, 0.81322
Resistance: 0.81482, 0.81516
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the near-term binary and could materially shift this read
Loss of 0.8134 opens the 0.81322 session low
Reclaim of 0.8148 puts the 0.81516 day high back in play
08:02 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 0.81359
Consolidation below session high after rally.
USDCHF rallied through the earlier session into a 0.81516 high, then rolled over; price is drifting back to 0.8136 in mid-London trade with RSI cooling near 44. Lower highs are printing below 0.8150 as the pair coils ahead of US CPI at 12:30 UTC.
Support: 0.81322, 0.8130
Resistance: 0.81482, 0.81516
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the near-term binary and could shift this read
M15 close below 0.81322 confirms a lower low and breaks the consolidation floor
Reclaim of 0.81482 puts the 0.81516 session high back in play
USDCHF rallied to a session high of 0.81516 (2-week high) as the firm Dollar into US CPI kept the pair bid, then settled into a 0.81330–0.81516 range through the London session. Price now hovers at 0.81421, mid-range with RSI(14) neutral near 53.
Support: 0.8133, 0.81365
Resistance: 0.81482, 0.81516
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 0.81516 opens continuation of the session high break
Loss of 0.81330 confirms a lower-low and breaks the range base
07:46 UTC
Range after earlier grind higher · RSI 54 · price 0.81421
Consolidating in upper 0.8132–0.8152 band.
USDCHF ground higher through the Asia-into-London window to a session high at 0.81516, then rotated back into a 0.8132–0.8152 range. Price rebounded from the 0.81322 swing low and is holding mid-range near 0.8142 with RSI(14) neutral around 54; no clean directional setup in play.
Support: 0.81322, 0.8130, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81485, 0.81516
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81516 reopens the session-high break
Failure to hold 0.81322 swing low confirms a lower-low
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~5h out) could materially shift this read
Consolidating below session high after impulsive Asia-London run.
USDCHF climbed from Asian lows near 0.8075 to a session high of 0.81516, then pulled back to 0.8132 before recovering to 0.8142 into early London; SNB Franc-selling flows keep the pair supported. RSI(14) has cooled to the low-50s and price is now chopping in a tight range under 0.8150.
Support: 0.81365, 0.81322, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81475, 0.81516
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81516 resumes the uptrend
Loss of 0.81322 breaks the rising-low sequence
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~5h) is the dominant catalyst
07:31 UTC
Uptrend stalling, now consolidating · RSI 53 · price 0.81422
Range near session highs after HH sequence.
USDCHF climbed from 0.8075 through London to tag a 0.81516 session high, then eased into a 0.81330–0.81480 range during NY hours as the SNB-capped, USD-firm backdrop holds the pair near two-week highs. RSI(14) has cooled to mid-range; price is oscillating around its EMAs with no clean directional push into US CPI.
Support: 0.8133, 0.8105
Resistance: 0.8148, 0.81516
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 0.81516 reopens the upside
Loss of 0.81330 confirms a lower low and breaks the range
07:16 UTC
Uptrend, pushing back to highs · RSI 62 · price 0.81461
Higher lows, session high retest.
USDCHF holding an uptrend into the London open, recovering from the 0.81330 swing low back to the session-high zone around 0.81486 as SNB Franc-selling keeps a soft CHF bid. RSI(14) mid-60s, no extreme, with price above both EMAs.
Support: 0.8133, 0.81322, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81486, 0.81516
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 0.81516 extends the leg toward fresh session highs
Loss of 0.81330 breaks the higher-low chain
07:16 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 62 · price 0.81461
Higher lows into session-high retest.
USDCHF ground higher through the Asian range and into London, printing higher lows before consolidating between 0.81322 and the 0.81516 session high; SNB-supported dollar strength keeps the pair pinned near 2-week highs. Price is now recovering off 0.81340 and pressing back toward the session high, RSI(14) mid-60s.
Support: 0.8134, 0.81322, 0.8126
Resistance: 0.81516, 0.81486
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81516 opens continuation; failure caps the range
Loss of 0.81322 breaks the higher-low chain
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF ground higher through the July 13 sessions to a session high at 0.81516, then eased into a 0.8132–0.8147 range. Buyers stepped back in on the London open, lifting price to the range top at 0.81466 with RSI(14) near 59 and ATR a thin ~4 pips.
Support: 0.8132, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81466, 0.81516
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the binary catalyst — could materially shift this read
Close above 0.81516 session high opens continuation
Failure to hold 0.8132 range low confirms a lower low
Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC adds a second-wave risk
07:02 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 58 · price 0.81466
Range below session high after up-leg.
USDCHF ground higher through the July 13 sessions on broad USD strength and SNB Franc-selling, peaking at 0.81516 before settling into a 0.8132–0.8151 range through the Asian session. Early London is nudging price back toward the session high, RSI(14) mid-range near 58 with no extreme in play.
Support: 0.81322, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81516
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8151 opens continuation toward fresh highs
Loss of 0.8132 exposes the 0.8100 pivot
US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the day's binary catalyst and could reset this read
Consolidation below session high after impulsive rally.
USDCHF ran from 0.8077 to a session high at 0.8151 overnight on broad USD strength from the Hormuz risk premium, then pulled back to 0.8132 and is now consolidating around 0.8141 in the Asian session. RSI(14) mid-range; the up-leg has stalled but the pullback low held.
Support: 0.8132, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.8151
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the binary catalyst that can break this consolidation either way
M15 close above 0.8151 session high extends the up-leg
Loss of 0.8132 swing low opens the path back to the 0.8100 pivot
06:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 54 · price 0.8141
Consolidating just below session high.
USDCHF ground higher through the prior session to a 0.8152 high before stalling, USD firm on Hormuz risk premium. Price now consolidating around 0.8141 above 0.8132, RSI(14) neutral near 54 after the earlier push.
Support: 0.8132, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.8146, 0.8152
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the binary catalyst for this pair
Close above 0.8152 session high opens continuation
Failure to hold 0.8132 swing low confirms a lower-low
USDCHF climbed through the London-NY session yesterday to a two-week high at 0.81516, then eased into a range. Price is now holding 0.81322-0.8146, recovering off the swing low with RSI back near 55; the broader 0.8100 pivot sits well below.
Support: 0.81322, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.8146, 0.81516
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT (~6h) is the key catalyst and could break this range either side
Close above 0.8146 reopens the 0.81516 two-week high
Loss of 0.81322 swing low would confirm a lower low
USDCHF climbed to a session high at 0.81516 before drifting back to 0.81322, and is now recovering toward 0.8143 as the pair grinds higher near two-week highs. SNB intervention keeps the Franc soft, but price is consolidating just under the high ahead of US CPI at 12:30 GMT.
Support: 0.81322, 0.8110
Resistance: 0.81516, 0.81461
What it said to watch
Close above 0.81516 resumes the uptrend leg
Close below 0.81322 confirms a lower low
US CPI at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
USDCHF ran up through the NY session to a two-week high at the 0.81516 session high, then drifted into a 0.81328–0.81516 consolidation through Asia as SNB-capped Franc kept the pair firm. Price is grinding back toward the 0.81460 swing high with RSI(14) mid-range; no fresh structure in play.
Support: 0.81328, 0.8130
Resistance: 0.8146, 0.81516
What it said to watch
Close above 0.81516 session high reopens the topside leg
Loss of 0.81328 session low confirms a deeper pullback toward 0.81300 round
US CPI at 12:30 GMT (~6h) is the primary catalyst and could break this range
06:16 UTC
Uptrend stalling, now consolidating · RSI 52 · price 0.81407
Consolidation below session high after a clean rally.
USDCHF rallied through the London-NY hours to a 0.81516 session high, then drifted back to 0.8134 and is now consolidating near 0.8140, with SNB intervention risk keeping the franc soft. RSI(14) sits mid-range around 52, momentum from the earlier leg has faded and price is coiling below the session high.
Support: 0.8134, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81516, 0.8149
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT (~6h out) is the primary catalyst and could override this range read
M15 close above 0.81516 reopens the leg higher
Loss of 0.8134 swing low exposes the 0.8100 pivot
06:02 UTC
Uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 46 · price 0.81372
Rally to session high, now consolidating off it.
USDCHF ran up through the London-NY session to a 0.8151 session high before drifting lower into Asia and settling around 0.8137. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s and price sits below EMA20/50, with buyers so far holding the 0.8132 swing low.
Support: 0.81322, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81412, 0.81516
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.81322 confirms a lower low and deepens the pullback
Reclaim of 0.81516 session high would resume the rally
US CPI at 12:30 GMT (~6h out) is the primary catalyst and can shift this read
0.8100 pivot is the deeper downside marker cited in flow
Rally topped at the two-week high 0.81516 before fading, and price has spent the Asian session grinding in a tight 0.8132–0.8146 range with RSI(14) neutral near 45. No fresh direction into London — the pair is coiling below the session high ahead of US CPI.
Support: 0.8132, 0.8126, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.8146, 0.81516
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT is the primary catalyst and could break this range either side
Close above 0.8146 reopens the 0.81516 session high
Break below 0.8132 exposes the 0.8126 pivot
05:47 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pullback in play · RSI 43 · price 0.81338
Rally to session high, now consolidating above rising support.
Grind higher through the prior session peaked at the 0.81516 session high before rejection, RSI(14) since cooled to ~43 on the pullback. Price now consolidating near 0.81340 above rising support, holding the 2-week high territory the SNB-capped Franc has ceded. US CPI in ~7h is the dominant catalyst.
Support: 0.81322, 0.8118
Resistance: 0.81516, 0.8146
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.81322 session low breaks rising support and opens the prior swing at 0.8118
Recovery above the 0.81516 session high resumes the uptrend
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~7h) could materially shift this read
05:46 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 41 · price 0.81338
Fade from session high, holding above 0.8130.
USDCHF rallied to a session high of 0.81516 through the Asian session then faded, now drifting around 0.81340 with RSI(14) mid-range and ATR compressed near 3.6 pips. SNB intervention has kept the Franc soft at these 2-week highs; price is basing above 0.81322 into early London.
Support: 0.81322, 0.8130
Resistance: 0.8146, 0.81516
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.81300 confirms a lower low and breaks the base
Reclaim of 0.81460 reopens the 0.81516 session high
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~7h) is the dominant catalyst and can reset this read
05:31 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pullback in play · RSI 44 · price 0.81357
Consolidation below session high after rejection.
USDCHF rallied through the prior session to a high at 0.81516, then faded into an Asia-session consolidation between 0.8132 and 0.8140. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 44 with price holding below EMA20 as momentum cools ahead of US CPI.
Support: 0.81322, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.8140, 0.81516
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~7h) could materially shift this read
Close back above 0.8140 reopens the 0.81516 session high test
USDCHF rallied from 0.8075 to a session high of 0.81516 through the London-NY hours as the dollar stayed firm on hawkish-Fed pricing, then rolled over into a tight Asian-session range around 0.8135. Price is holding a shallow pullback above the 0.81322 swing low, with RSI(14) neutral near 43 and price back under EMA20/50.
Support: 0.81322, 0.8130, 0.81131
Resistance: 0.8146, 0.81516
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~7h) is the dominant catalyst and could break this range
M15 close below 0.81322 confirms a lower-low and opens the 0.8113 fib zone
Reclaim of 0.81460 puts the 0.81516 session high back in play
London-NY buying lifted USDCHF to a 0.8152 session high before the Asia session trimmed gains back toward 0.8135. Now ranging 0.8132–0.8146 with RSI(14) cooled to the mid-40s; US CPI in ~7h is the next catalyst.
Support: 0.8132, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.8146, 0.8152
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.8132 swing low confirms a lower-low and breaks the intraday uptrend
Reclaim of the 0.8152 session high reopens the up-move
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC (~7h) could materially shift this read
USDCHF rallied off the 0.80746 base through the NY session to a session high at 0.81516, then faded to 0.81322 and is now consolidating around 0.8136 with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s. Price sits below EMA20/50 after the pullback; the prior 0.8146 shelf is the first cap.
Support: 0.81322, 0.8130
Resistance: 0.81516, 0.8146
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81516 resumes the up-leg
loss of 0.81322 opens the 0.8130 round level
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~7h) could reset this read
05:02 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 0.81386
Faded from session high, consolidating upper range.
USDCHF rallied to a session high of 0.81516 before fading, with the Franc pressured by USD strength and SNB intervention capping haven bids. Price now drifts around 0.8138 below EMA20, holding above the 0.81322 swing low after a shallow pullback; ATR is compressed near 3-4 pips.
Support: 0.81322, 0.8126, 0.81126
Resistance: 0.8146, 0.81516
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.81322 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 0.81460 reopens the 0.81516 session high
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
05:02 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 46 · price 0.81386
Rejection off session high, drifting lower.
USDCHF ran to a 0.81516 session high overnight on a firm Dollar into US CPI, then rejected and drifted lower through the Asian session. Price is consolidating around 0.8138 above the 0.8132 swing low, RSI(14) cooled to the mid-40s and price sits just under EMA20/50.
Support: 0.8132, 0.8126, 0.8113
Resistance: 0.8146, 0.81516
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8151 resumes the uptrend
Loss of 0.8132 opens the deeper retrace toward 0.8113/0.8100
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
04:47 UTC
Uptrend stalled, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 0.81377
Consolidating below session high after fade.
USDCHF pushed to a session high 0.81516 overnight on the firm USD, then faded into the Asia session and is consolidating 0.8135–0.8138. RSI(14) mid-range near 43 with price back below EMA20; a tight 3–4 pip ATR reflects thin pre-London flow.
Support: 0.81322, 0.81232
Resistance: 0.81463, 0.81516
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.81463 reopens the 0.81516 session high
Loss of 0.81322 confirms a lower low
US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst for the pair
04:47 UTC
Uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 44 · price 0.81377
Rally to session high, now consolidating on pullback.
USDCHF ran the NY session up to a 0.81516 session high before rejecting and pulling back to 0.8137, in line with the firm-USD/soft-CHF backdrop and SNB-capped Franc. Price is now drifting in a tight Asian-session range above the 0.81322 swing low, RSI(14) cooled to the mid-40s with ATR compressed near 3 pips.
Support: 0.81322, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81516, 0.8146
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Reclaim of 0.81516 session high reopens the upside leg
Loss of 0.81322 swing low confirms a deeper pullback toward the 0.8100 pivot
04:32 UTC
Uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 44 · price 0.81368
Pullback from session high in quiet Asian session.
USDCHF ran up to a session high of 0.81516 into the Asia open on the firmer Dollar/SNB-intervention narrative, then drifted lower through the quiet Asian session with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s. Price is holding above the 0.81322 swing low, capped by a series of lower highs off 0.81516.
Support: 0.81322, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.8146, 0.81516
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.81322 confirms a lower low, opening the 0.8100 pivot
Reclaim of 0.81460 needed to retest the 0.81516 session high
US CPI 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
04:32 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 43 · price 0.81368
Rally rejected at session high, now consolidating.
USDCHF rallied to a session high of 0.81516 on firm USD and SNB-capped Franc, then rejected and drifted lower through Asian hours to consolidate near 0.8137. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s and price sits back below EMA20 with the pullback shallow so far.
Support: 0.81322, 0.8110
Resistance: 0.8146, 0.81516
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81516 reopens the session-high test
Failure to hold 0.81322 confirms a lower low toward the 0.8110 pivot
US CPI 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
04:17 UTC
Uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 43 · price 0.81363
Pullback from session high, lower highs forming.
USDCHF rallied through the Asian session to a 0.81516 high near midnight UTC, riding a firmer dollar on hawkish Fed/oil headlines, before rolling over into a shallow pullback. Price now drifts around 0.8136 below EMA20, RSI(14) cooled to the low-40s as the move loses steam ahead of London.
Support: 0.81322, 0.8110
Resistance: 0.8145, 0.81516
What it said to watch
US CPI 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF ran from 0.8077 to a session high of 0.8152 on broad USD firmness, then rejected and rolled into a series of lower highs; price now drifts at 0.8136 below the short EMAs in Asia. Franc has no domestic driver — the tape is a dollar story ahead of US CPI (12:30 UTC) and Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC).
Support: 0.81322, 0.8120, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.8146, 0.81516
What it said to watch
US CPI 12:30 UTC and Warsh 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Close back above 0.81460 reopens the 0.8152 session high
Loss of 0.81322 swing low confirms a deeper retrace toward the 0.8120 prior high
London-NY drove USDCHF up to a two-week high at 0.81516 before the Asian session faded it back to 0.8136, RSI(14) cooling into the mid-40s. Price now sits below EMA20/50 after rejection at the 0.8146-0.8151 zone, with SNB capping CHF strength keeping the broader tone supported.
Support: 0.81322, 0.8126, 0.8110
Resistance: 0.8146, 0.81516
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.81322 confirms a lower low and deepens the pullback
Reclaim of 0.81460 reopens the 0.81516 session high
US CPI 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
04:02 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 0.81359
Rally topped, lower highs forming.
Rally through the London-NY session peaked at 0.81516 before fading; Asian hours are drifting lower with price now 0.8136, back below EMA20 as RSI(14) cools off the highs. USD/CHF is a pure dollar-side story here with the Swiss calendar empty — session low at 0.81322 is holding so far.
Support: 0.81322, 0.8130
Resistance: 0.8146, 0.81516
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.81322 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 0.81460 needed to re-approach the 0.81516 session high
US CPI 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
03:46 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 0.81347
HH/HL chain into 0.81516, now retracing.
USDCHF ran a clean NY-session uptrend to a session high at 0.81516 before rolling over in Asian hours; price now sits at 0.81347 after a rejection off the highs, RSI(14) cooling to the low-40s. Dollar-side firmness on hawkish Fed pricing and SNB capping the franc underpins the broader bid, but the intraday leg has stalled below the swing high.
Support: 0.81322, 0.8120
Resistance: 0.8146, 0.81516
What it said to watch
Hold of 0.81322 swing low keeps the higher-low structure intact; loss of it confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 0.81460 swing high reopens the path to the 0.81516 session high
US CPI and Warsh testimony later today could materially shift this read
USDCHF ran from the 0.8075 Asian low to a NY session high of 0.8151, extending above the 0.8126 two-week high as USD firmed and SNB intervention capped any franc bid. Price has since faded to 0.8135, RSI(14) cooling toward 43 and slipping below the EMAs; 0.81322 swing low is the first pullback shelf.
Support: 0.81322, 0.8126, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.8146, 0.81516
What it said to watch
Close below 0.81260 breaks the higher-low chain and reopens 0.8100
Reclaim of 0.81460 puts the 0.81516 session high back in play
US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst that could redefine this read
03:32 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 41 · price 0.8136
Lower highs off session peak after rally.
USDCHF rallied through the prior session from 0.8075 to a session high 0.81516, in line with the firmer dollar and SNB-capped franc, then rolled over into the Asia session. Price now drifts at 0.8136 below EMA20, RSI(14) cooling to ~41 as buyers failed to reclaim 0.8146.
Support: 0.81344, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.8146, 0.81516
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.81344 exposes the 0.8100 pivot
Reclaim of 0.8146 puts the 0.81516 session high back in play
US CPI / Warsh testimony later today could override this intraday read
03:31 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 41 · price 0.8136
Asia fade off session high, lower highs building.
USDCHF ran to a session high of 0.8152 through London-NY then faded into Asia, printing lower highs back to 0.8136 with RSI(14) near 40. Dollar-side story only — SNB caps franc strength while the tape drifts on US CPI/Warsh aftermath; the 0.8135 session low is the near-term floor.
Support: 0.8135, 0.8110, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.8152, 0.8148
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.8135 opens the path to 0.8110
Reclaim of 0.8152 session high resumes the uptrend leg
USDCHF ground higher through London-NY, topping at 0.81516 (2-week high) before rolling over into Asia; RSI(14) cooling off with price back under the EMA20. Pullback so far shallow, holding above the 0.81344 session low as the dollar-side story dominates a franc with no domestic catalyst.
Support: 0.81344, 0.8110, 0.80746
Resistance: 0.81516, 0.8146
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.81344 opens deeper retrace toward the 0.81100 pivot
Reclaim of 0.81516 session high resumes the uptrend
US CPI at 12:30 UTC plus Warsh testimony could override this intraday read
03:16 UTC
Pullback after uptrend · RSI 42 · price 0.81367
Lower highs off session high, retracing.
USDCHF ran to a 2-week session high at 0.81516 through the London-NY window on broad USD firmness, then met rejection near 0.8150 and rolled over into Asia hours. Price now sits at 0.81367, printing lower highs with RSI(14) cooling into the low 40s.
Support: 0.81344, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81516, 0.8150
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.81344 confirms a lower low and extends the pullback
Reclaim of 0.8150 reopens the 0.81516 session high
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF ran to a session high 0.8151 through the NY session, printing a 2-week area high, then drifted back to 0.8137 in Asian hours with RSI(14) cooling near 42. Sellers rejected 0.8151 and price has slipped below EMA20; the 0.8134 swing low is the near pivot for the pullback.
Support: 0.81344, 0.8100, 0.80772
Resistance: 0.81516, 0.8146
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.8134 opens the path toward the 0.8100 pivot
Reclaim of 0.8151 resumes the intraday uptrend
US CPI / Warsh testimony are the dominant upcoming catalysts and could reshape this read
03:02 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 41 · price 0.81365
HH/HL chain into 0.8151, now retracing.
USDCHF ran through the NY session from 0.8077 to a session high of 0.8151, clearing the 0.8126 2-week high before stalling. Price has faded to 0.81365 through Asia hours with RSI(14) cooling to ~41, now testing the 0.8134 swing low as the pullback develops.
Support: 0.8134, 0.8126, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81516
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.8151 resumes the uptrend
Failure to hold 0.8134 exposes the 0.8126 prior high
US CPI (12:30 UTC) and Warsh testimony are the day's catalysts and can reset this read
NY session drove USD/CHF up to a 0.81516 session high, clearing the 0.8126 two-week pivot as SNB franc-selling amplified the move; price has since faded through Asia hours to 0.81369 with RSI(14) cooled near 40. Buyers no longer making higher highs — pullback holding above the 0.81344 session low for now.
Support: 0.81344, 0.8126, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.8146, 0.81516
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.81344 opens a retest of the 0.81260 prior high
M15 close back above 0.81460 puts the 0.81516 session high back in play
US CPI at 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony could materially shift this read
02:46 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 0.81369
Higher highs into session high 0.81516, now retracing.
London-NY drove a clean run from 0.80746 to a session high of 0.81516; Asia hours are now unwinding that leg, price back to 0.81369 with RSI cooling into the mid-40s. Pullback stalling near the 23.6% retrace, above the 0.81344 session low.
Support: 0.81344, 0.8110
Resistance: 0.8146, 0.81516
What it said to watch
Close below 0.81344 opens a deeper pullback toward the 0.81222 fib
Reclaim of 0.81460 puts the 0.81516 session high back in play
US CPI 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony later today could reset this read
02:31 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back off highs · RSI 43 · price 0.81353
Higher highs into 0.8151, now retracing.
USDCHF ran from 0.8077 to a session high at 0.81516 through the London-NY grind, then rejected and rolled back to 0.8135 into Asia, dropping below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) cooling near 43. Move is a pullback within the day's uptrend after clearing the 0.8100 ceiling flagged as pivotal.
Support: 0.81349, 0.8130, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81516, 0.81485
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.81349 opens a deeper pullback toward 0.8130
Reclaim of 0.81516 resumes the intraday uptrend
US CPI 12:30 UTC then Warsh testimony could break USD out of its range
02:31 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 43 · price 0.81353
HH/HL chain intact, retracing off session high.
Steady London-NY grind lifted USDCHF off 0.80746 to a session high 0.81516, with USD firm on haven bids and SNB capping the Franc. Asia hours are pulling back, now near the 23.6% zone around 0.81350 with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s.
Support: 0.81349, 0.81222, 0.8110
Resistance: 0.81516, 0.8146
What it said to watch
Hold above 0.81222 (38.2% fib) keeps the higher-low structure intact
M15 close above 0.81516 reopens the session-high break
US CPI 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
02:17 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 0.81379
Post-breakout pullback from session high.
USDCHF broke above the twice-rejected 0.8100 prior ceiling and ran to a session high of 0.81516 through the London-NY hours, in line with a firmer Dollar. Price is now fading into the Asia session toward 0.8138, back below the EMA20 with RSI cooling to the mid-40s after the rejection at 0.8150.
Support: 0.8123, 0.8110
Resistance: 0.81516, 0.8146
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.81460 (ema20) would re-engage the up-move; failure keeps the pullback in play
Loss of 0.81230 swing low exposes the 0.8100 prior ceiling as retest support
US CPI at 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC could materially reshape this read
02:16 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 0.81379
Easing off NY session high.
NY session drove USD/CHF through the twice-rejected 0.8100 ceiling to a session high at 0.81516 on the Dollar's haven bid. Asia hours are now easing the pair back toward 0.81380, dipping below the EMA20 as momentum cools.
Support: 0.8130, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.8146, 0.81516
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.81516 resumes the advance
Close below 0.81300 opens a retest of the broken 0.8100 ceiling
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could break the Dollar's range and reprice this move
USDCHF ground higher through the NY session to a 0.81516 high, capped by the SNB-defended 0.8100+ zone, and has since drifted into an Asia-session consolidation around 0.8141. Momentum has cooled with price slipping below EMA20 while the 0.8100 round number holds well below as support.
Support: 0.8141, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81516
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81516 reopens the grind higher
Loss of 0.81410 range floor confirms deeper pullback
USDCHF ran from 0.8075 to a session high at 0.81516 through the NY session as the Dollar held its haven bid, then stalled. Asia hours are consolidating just above 0.8140 with RSI(14) cooled back to the mid-40s; range floor 0.81405 still holding.
Support: 0.81405, 0.8130, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81516
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.81405 opens the path back to 0.81300
Reclaim of 0.81516 needed to resume the uptrend
US CPI at 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USD/CHF ground up from 0.80772 through London-NY to a 0.81516 session high, then rolled into a tight Asian-session consolidation around 0.8144, with CHF a passenger to the Dollar. Momentum has flattened; the pair is holding above the 0.81413 swing low but has stalled short of the 0.81516 top.
Support: 0.81413, 0.8130, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81516
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81516 extends the up leg
Failure to hold 0.81413 opens the path back to 0.813 prior high
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF cleared the twice-rejected 0.8100 ceiling through the NY session and extended to a 0.81516 session high, then stalled into an 0.8140-0.8152 Asian range with momentum flattening. Price holds above EMA20/50 but RSI has cooled off the highs as the drive lost pace.
Support: 0.8140, 0.8100, 0.8077
Resistance: 0.81516, 0.81486
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81516 reopens the upside beyond the session high
Loss of 0.81400 breaks the Asian range and exposes the 0.8100 prior ceiling
US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the dominant driver and could reset this read
USDCHF cleared 0.8100 psych and ran to a session high at 0.8152 during the prior NY session, now flattening into Asia hours between 0.8142 and 0.8152. RSI(14) has cooled to mid-range as the drive stalls; the Franc is a passenger with an empty Swiss calendar.
Support: 0.8142, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.8152, 0.8149
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8152 extends the rally
Failure to hold 0.8142 opens a deeper pullback toward the 0.8100 psych
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift the USD side of this read
Higher highs into consolidation near session high.
USDCHF pushed through 0.8100 during the London-NY hours and printed a session high at 0.81516, clearing the prior repeated rejections at the figure. Price is now consolidating in the Asia session between 0.8141 and 0.8152 with RSI(14) easing off its highs.
Support: 0.81413, 0.8117, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81516, 0.8146
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.8141 opens a pullback toward the 0.8117 swing
Close above 0.81516 extends the breakout leg
US CPI at 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony could reshape this read
Consolidation below session high after impulsive leg up.
USD/CHF ground higher through the Asia session, clearing the 0.8100 area and stalling at a 0.81516 session high before settling into a tight 0.8140–0.8146 consolidation. The Franc is a passenger to firm dollar/haven flows with an empty Swiss calendar; RSI(14) has cooled off the highs into the mid-50s.
Support: 0.81405, 0.8130, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81516, 0.81463
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81516 extends the leg up
Failure to hold 0.81405 opens a pullback toward the 0.81300 pivot
0.8100 remains a heavily rejected level per recent history
US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the session's dominant USD driver
USDCHF cleared the well-defended 0.8100 cap through the NY session and pushed to a 0.81516 session high, purely a passenger on dollar haven bids given the empty Swiss calendar. Price is now drifting sideways in the quiet Asian session between 0.81405 and the highs, RSI back near neutral after the run.
Support: 0.81405, 0.8130, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81516, 0.81492
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.81405 support opens a deeper pullback toward the 0.81300 swing low
M15 close above 0.81516 extends the session high
US June CPI (12:30 UTC) and Warsh testimony could materially shift the dollar-driven read
USDCHF broke cleanly above the 0.8100 pivot through the NY session and rallied to 0.81516 as the dollar held a haven bid on Strait of Hormuz headlines. Price is now consolidating 0.8140-0.8152 into thin Asia trade, RSI cooling toward neutral with EMA20 flattening overhead.
Support: 0.8140, 0.8130, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81516
What it said to watch
Break above 0.81516 session high extends the up-leg
Loss of 0.81400 range floor opens 0.81300 swing low
US CPI (12:30 UTC) later today is the dominant USD catalyst
Higher highs, higher lows; consolidating near session high.
USD/CHF ground higher through the London-NY sessions, clearing the 0.8100 pivot and printing a session high at 0.81516 as the dollar caught haven bids on Iran/Hormuz headlines. Now stalling into early Asia around 0.8145, RSI(14) cooling off from the highs while price holds above EMA20/50.
Support: 0.81413, 0.8130, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81516
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.81413 puts the recent low sequence at risk of a lower-low
Reclaim and close above 0.81516 extends the session high
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read as CHF trades as the dollar residual
00:46 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 58 · price 0.81441
Broke 0.8100 pivot, ranging under session high.
USDCHF broke the 0.8100 pivot through the London-NY run and extended to a session high at 0.81516, aided by broad USD haven demand. Asian session is now consolidating in a tight 0.81433–0.81516 band, RSI cooling off the highs.
Support: 0.81433, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81516, 0.81485
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the near-term catalyst and could break this consolidation
M15 close above 0.81516 extends the breakout toward 0.8108+
Loss of 0.81433 opens a retest of the 0.8100 pivot
USDCHF ground higher through the London-NY window off the 0.80746 low, tagging a session high at 0.81516 before stalling. Price is now consolidating just under EMA20 in quiet Asian hours, RSI cooled back to mid-range; the 0.8100 pivot cited by the SNB-capped range sits well below.
Support: 0.8140, 0.8123, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81516, 0.8146
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81516 extends the higher-high sequence
Loss of 0.81400 swing low opens a retest toward the 0.8100 pivot
US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the flagged catalyst that can shift this read
USDCHF ground higher through the Asia session off the 0.80772 low, nudging above the 0.8150 pivot on the last bar. Momentum is slowing — ranges have compressed and volume is thin into the early hours, with the 0.8147 base holding as the floor of the recent consolidation.
Support: 0.8147, 0.8140, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81516
What it said to watch
Sustained close above 0.81516 confirms the break of the session high
Failure to hold 0.8147 puts the 0.8140 swing low back in play
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session drove USDCHF off the 0.80772 low through the 0.8100 pivot to a session high at 0.81516 on renewed USD haven demand. Asia has since gone quiet, grinding sideways just below the high on thin volume with RSI(14) around 63 — no extreme.
Support: 0.8145, 0.8100, 0.80772
Resistance: 0.81516
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81516 extends the session high; failure to hold 0.8145 opens a pullback toward the 0.8100 pivot
US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the flagged catalyst and could materially shift this read
USDCHF ground higher through the London-NY sessions, clearing the 0.8100 pivot and stalling into the session high at 0.81492. Asia hours are quiet on thin overnight volume, coiling in a 0.8145-0.8149 band with RSI cooling from the push.
Support: 0.81405, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81492, 0.8150
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81500 extends the breakout leg
Loss of 0.81405 signals the up-move losing traction
US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the flagged catalyst for the next leg
USDCHF broke cleanly above the 0.8100 pivot during the NY session and ran to 0.81492 on broad USD haven demand, with the SNB-capped Franc offering no domestic offset. Now grinding in a tight 0.81440–0.81492 band through thin Asia hours, RSI(14) cooling off the highs.
Support: 0.8144, 0.81174, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81492
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.81440 range floor signals a pullback toward 0.81300
Sustained break above 0.81492 session high extends the move
US CPI (12:30 UTC) is the flagged catalyst and can reshape this read
HH/HL chain intact, consolidating near session high.
USDCHF rallied through London/NY from 0.80746 to a 0.81492 session high, cleanly breaking the 0.8100 pivot flagged as the range signal on broad USD haven demand. Price is now pinned 0.81400–0.81492 in thin Asia-session trade, RSI(14) cooled to mid-range, ATR compressed to ~3 pips.
Support: 0.8140, 0.8100, 0.80746
Resistance: 0.81492
What it said to watch
Loss of the 0.81400 range floor would break the intraday HL chain
Sustained close above 0.81492 extends the session-high breakout
US CPI (12:30 UTC) and Warsh testimony are the twin catalysts that could break this consolidation
00:02 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling into Asia · RSI 58 · price 0.81468
Grind higher, consolidating just below session high.
USDCHF ground higher through London-NY up to 0.81492 as broad USD safe-haven demand lifted the dollar leg, clearing the 0.8100 pivot cleanly. Price is now coiling in a tight 0.8140–0.8149 band through quiet Asia hours with RSI cooling off from the highs.
Support: 0.8140, 0.8130, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81492, 0.8150
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 0.81492 opens the path to the 0.8150 psych level
Loss of 0.8140 range floor signals a deeper pullback toward 0.8130
US CPI (Tue 12:30 UTC) and Warsh testimony are the twin catalysts that could break this quiet range