Lower highs and lower lows, now basing near session lows.
NY session drove USD/CHF sharply off 0.8114, breaking the 0.8060 shelf and printing a 0.80338 low as the soft US PPI kept the dollar heavy. Asian hours are quiet — pair now consolidating 0.8042–0.8053, RSI(14) recovering off the lows with no fresh direction.
Support: 0.80417, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.80533, 0.8060, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80533 targets the 0.80600 prior pivot
Break below 0.80338 swing low resumes the downtrend
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC is the next high-impact USD catalyst
23:46 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating at lows · RSI 44 · price 0.80457
Sharp NY selloff, tight Asian range at lows.
USDCHF sold off from 0.8114 to a 0.8035 low through the NY session as soft US PPI kept the dollar heavy. Late Asia is now consolidating a tight 0.8042–0.8053 band on thin volume, RSI(14) parked in the mid-40s with price below both EMAs.
Support: 0.80417, 0.80351
Resistance: 0.80533, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Close below 0.80417 opens a retest of the 0.80351 swing low
Close above 0.80533 breaks the Asian range and eyes the 0.8100 psych pivot
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF sold off ~80 pips from 0.81145 through the London-NY session down to 0.80338, with soft US PPI keeping the dollar heavy. Price has since gone quiet in Asia, consolidating in a tight 0.80420-0.80530 band with RSI(14) flat around 45.
Support: 0.8042, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.8053, 0.8072, 0.8100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80530 range top would break the consolidation upside
Failure to hold 0.80420 reopens the 0.80338 session low
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC is the next USD catalyst and could shift this read
USDCHF rolled over from 0.8114 through the London-NY session as soft US PPI kept the dollar heavy, bottoming at 0.80338. Price is now consolidating a tight 0.8042–0.8053 band into the Asia session, RSI(14) recovered off the lows but stalled mid-range.
Support: 0.8042, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.8053, 0.8072
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8053 range top negates the basing read
Break below 0.80338 session low confirms a lower low
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC is the next USD catalyst
23:17 UTC
Downtrend, now basing · RSI 46 · price 0.80479
Selloff then tight range.
USDCHF sold off through the London-NY session from 0.8114 to a session low of 0.8035 as a softer USD followed the cool CPI/PPI prints. Asia hours are now ranging thinly between 0.8042 and the 0.8053 range top, RSI(14) mid-range near 46 with no fresh momentum.
Support: 0.80415, 0.80351
Resistance: 0.8053, 0.8069
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80530 range top opens 0.80690
Failure to hold 0.80415 swing low exposes the 0.80351 session low
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC is the week's key USD catalyst and could reset this range
USDCHF sold off through the NY session from 0.8114 to a 0.80338 low as a softer USD leaned on the pair, then stabilised into a tight 0.80417–0.80533 range through the low-liquidity Asia hours. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 45 with no momentum edge; price is pinned just under EMA20.
Support: 0.80417, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.80533, 0.8069
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80533 range top opens 0.80690
Break below 0.80338 swing low resumes the downtrend
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC is the key USD catalyst that could shift this read
USDCHF sold off from 0.8114 to 0.8035 during NY hours as soft US PPI kept the dollar heavy, then recovered to consolidate around 0.805. Asia session is thin and rangebound between 0.8042 and 0.8053, ATR compressed to ~6 pips, RSI(14) neutral near 47.
Support: 0.80417, 0.80351
Resistance: 0.80533, 0.8069
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80417 reopens the 0.80351 day low
Close above 0.80533 challenges the descending resistance off 0.8114
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC is the week's key USD catalyst and could break this range
USDCHF sold off from 0.8114 through the NY session as softer US PPI kept the dollar heavy, bottoming at 0.80351. Price has since stalled into a tight 0.80417–0.80533 Asian range, RSI back near neutral around 46.
Support: 0.80417, 0.80351
Resistance: 0.80533, 0.80581
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80417 confirms a fresh lower low and reopens 0.80351
Reclaim of 0.80533 needed to challenge the descending structure
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC is the key USD catalyst for this pair
USDCHF sold off through the US session from 0.8114 to 0.80338 as soft US CPI/PPI kept the dollar offered. Price has since based, carving higher lows and now consolidating 0.80417–0.80530; RSI(14) recovered from oversold to mid-40s.
Support: 0.80417, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.8053, 0.80725
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.80530 range top would extend the recovery toward 0.80725
M15 close below 0.80338 confirms a fresh lower low
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC is the week's key USD catalyst
22:46 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising · RSI 45 · price 0.80493
Sold off then basing near 0.8050.
USDCHF unwound from 0.8114 to 0.8035 through the NY session as a softer USD backdrop weighed, and has since gone flat, basing between 0.8042 and 0.8053 on thin Asia-session volume. RSI(14) has recovered off its lows to mid-40s; price is pinned just above EMA20 but capped under EMA50.
Support: 0.80417, 0.80351
Resistance: 0.80533, 0.8066
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80533 opens the path back toward 0.8066
Loss of 0.80417 reopens the 0.8035 swing low
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC is the key USD catalyst and could break this base
22:32 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising near lows · RSI 45 · price 0.80492
Sold off then consolidating above session low.
USD/CHF sold off through the NY session into 0.80351, the session low, as soft US PPI kept the dollar heavy. Price now consolidating in thin Asia trade between 0.80417 and the 0.80533 range top, with RSI recovered off its oversold reading.
Support: 0.80417, 0.80351
Resistance: 0.80533
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80533 breaks the consolidation range top
Loss of 0.80351 session low confirms a lower low toward 0.8000
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
22:31 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising · RSI 48 · price 0.80492
Sold off then consolidating near lows.
NY session drove a sharp leg lower from 0.8114 to the 0.80351 session low as soft US CPI/PPI prints kept the dollar pressured, though the SNB cap on franc strength limited follow-through. Price has since based between 0.8035 and 0.80533 through the low-volume NY-Asia transition, now sitting at 0.80492 with RSI back near neutral.
Support: 0.80351, 0.8042
Resistance: 0.80533, 0.80581
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80533 session high reopens 0.80581 swing high
Break below 0.80351 session low confirms a fresh lower low
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
22:17 UTC
Downtrend, stalling near lows · RSI 47 · price 0.80497
Sold off through NY, now consolidating above session low.
NY session drove USD/CHF ~80 pips lower from 0.8114 to a 0.8034 low, with USD soft after this week's cool CPI/PPI prints. Price has since stabilised, consolidating 0.8042-0.8053 into thin late-session trade; RSI back near neutral.
Support: 0.80417, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.80533, 0.80582
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80533 opens the path back toward 0.80582
Failure to hold 0.80417 reopens the 0.80338 session low
US Retail Sales (Thu 12:30 GMT) could materially shift this read
USDCHF sold off through the NY session from 0.8114 to a 0.8034 session low as the soft US CPI/PPI misses kept the dollar pressured. Price is now consolidating in a tight 0.8042–0.8053 range into the Asia open, RSI(14) recovered off the lows toward 46.
Support: 0.80338, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.80533, 0.8090
What it said to watch
close below 0.80338 confirms a lower low and opens the 0.8000 round number
reclaim of 0.80533 range top needed to challenge the 0.8090 prior swing
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
22:02 UTC
Downtrend, stalling late · RSI 42 · price 0.80472
Lower highs and lows, thin overnight consolidation.
USDCHF sold off from 0.81145 to a session low of 0.80338 through the NY session as soft US PPI kept the dollar heavy. A shallow bounce stalled at the 0.80530 swing high; price now drifts around 0.80472 on thin overnight volume with the SNB backstop capping any franc strength.
Support: 0.8042, 0.80338, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8053, 0.8066, 0.8100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80530 swing high would challenge the downtrend read
Break below 0.80338 session low confirms continuation to 0.8000 psych
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could reset this read
USDCHF sold off from 0.8114 through the NY session as the soft-data USD unwind extended, printing a low at 0.8035. Price has since drifted sideways between 0.8035 and 0.8053 into thin late-NY/Asia hours; RSI(14) near 41, ATR compressed to ~7 pips as volume dries up.
Support: 0.8035, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8053, 0.8072, 0.8100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8053 would break the sequence of lower highs
Failure to hold 0.8035 opens continuation toward the 0.8000 psych level
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could reset this intraday read
21:47 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising at lows · RSI 41 · price 0.8042
Lower highs into 0.8035 low, now consolidating.
USDCHF sold off from 0.8114 to 0.8035 through the London-NY session as the dollar stayed heavy after this week's soft PPI/CPI prints. Late-session, low-volume trade now holds a tight 0.8035-0.8053 range with RSI(14) recovering off its lows.
Support: 0.8035, 0.8034
Resistance: 0.8053, 0.8072, 0.8100
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.8035 confirms lower-low continuation
Reclaim of 0.8053 needed to challenge the 0.8072 swing
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USD/CHF sold off through the NY session from 0.8114 to a session low at 0.80338 as the soft-dollar theme extended after the PPI miss. The bounce to 0.8053 was rejected and price has slipped back to 0.8042 into the Asia session, RSI cooling in the mid-40s.
Support: 0.80338, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8053, 0.8069, 0.8100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80530 negates the latest lower high
Break of 0.80338 opens the path toward 0.8000
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF sold off through the NY session from 0.8114 to a 0.8034 session low, dip-buying near cool-USD levels shallow. The bounce to 0.8053 was rejected and thin post-NY bars have drifted back to 0.8042, keeping the lower-high, lower-low chain intact.
Support: 0.80338, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.80533, 0.8066, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Close back above 0.80533 needed to break the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.80338 session low opens the path toward the 0.8000 round number
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
21:16 UTC
Downtrend, near session lows · RSI 42 · price 0.8042
Lower highs, lower lows into late NY.
USDCHF broke down from the 0.8110 shelf through NY hours as soft US PPI kept the dollar heavy, sliding to a session low at 0.8035. A shallow bounce stalled at 0.8055 and price is back near lows on thin late-session volume, holding a chain of lower highs.
Support: 0.8035, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8055, 0.8090
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.8055 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.8035 confirms continuation toward 0.8000
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF sold off through the NY session from 0.8114 to a 0.8035 session low as the soft US CPI/PPI story kept the dollar heavy. A bounce toward 0.8053 was rejected and price has since faded back to 0.8042; RSI(14) mid-40s, no reversal signal yet on thin late-session liquidity.
Support: 0.80351, 0.80435
Resistance: 0.80533, 0.8069, 0.8090
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8053 challenges the lower-high sequence
Break of 0.8035 confirms the next lower-low
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could reset this intraday read
NY session drove USD/CHF down from the 0.81145 high to a session low of 0.80351 as soft US data kept the dollar heavy. Price has since ground back to 0.8052 and is coiling in a tight 0.80435–0.80533 range late in the session, RSI(14) recovering off oversold to mid-40s with no fresh momentum.
Support: 0.80435, 0.80351
Resistance: 0.80533, 0.8072
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80533 range top opens the path back to the 0.80720 swing high
Failure to hold 0.80435 range base exposes the 0.80351 session low
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USD/CHF sold off through NY hours from 0.8114 to a session low at 0.80351 as softer US data kept the dollar heavy. Dip-buyers stepped in late, basing around 0.8050 with RSI(14) recovering off oversold; price now pressing the 0.80533 session high.
Support: 0.80435, 0.80351
Resistance: 0.80533, 0.8072
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80533 opens the path to 0.80720
Failure to hold 0.80435 re-exposes session low at 0.80351
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could shift this read
NY session drove USD/CHF ~80 pips lower from 0.8114 to a 0.8035 session low as soft US data weighed on the dollar. Price has since stabilised and is consolidating tight between 0.8043 and 0.8055 into the Asia handover, RSI(14) recovering off oversold with the 0.8055 range top capping.
Support: 0.80435, 0.80351
Resistance: 0.8055, 0.8070
What it said to watch
Sustained close above 0.80550 session high opens the path back to 0.80700
Loss of 0.80351 session low confirms a fresh lower-low
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs and lows, base forming at session low.
USDCHF sold off through the NY session from 0.8114 to a 0.8034 low as broad USD weakness followed the soft US PPI print. Price has since stabilised into a tight 0.8051–0.8053 consolidation, RSI(14) recovering off oversold toward 46; the session low still holds.
Support: 0.80435, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.80533, 0.80723
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80723 would break the intraday lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.80338 confirms continuation lower
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
20:32 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising · RSI 47 · price 0.80523
Lower highs / lower lows, basing near session low.
NY session sold USDCHF off from 0.8114 to a 0.80351 session low as soft US PPI extended dollar weakness, before dip-buyers steadied it around 0.8052. Price is now compressing under the 0.80533 recent high with RSI(14) back near neutral.
Support: 0.80437, 0.80351
Resistance: 0.80533, 0.8072
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80533 opens the 0.80660/0.80720 swing highs
Failure to hold 0.80437 re-exposes the 0.80351 session low
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
20:31 UTC
Downtrend, stabilizing after sell-off · RSI 47 · price 0.80523
Lower highs and lower lows, basing near lows.
Sharp NY-session sell-off dragged USDCHF from 0.8115 to a 0.80338 low as soft US PPI reinforced the disinflation read on the dollar. Price has since recovered to 0.80523, pressing the 0.80533 session high; RSI(14) has lifted back to mid-range from oversold.
Support: 0.80338, 0.80435, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.80533, 0.8069, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Sustained break below 0.80338 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.80690 swing needed to challenge the descending highs
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF sold off through the NY session, sliding from 0.8114 to a 0.80351 low as soft US PPI kept the dollar pressured. Price has since stalled in a 0.8043–0.8053 consolidation, RSI(14) recovering from oversold near 42; the 0.8035 low is holding as immediate support.
Support: 0.80351, 0.8042
Resistance: 0.8053, 0.8060, 0.8080
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.80351 session low confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 0.8060 needed to challenge the 0.8080 shelf
Fed's Musalem 23:30 UTC could shift USD tone in the next bars
USDCHF sold off through the NY session from the 0.8114 high to a 0.80351 session low as the soft US PPI print kept the dollar heavy. Price has since bounced to 0.8053, reclaiming the short EMA20 but still capped under the descending sequence of lower highs; RSI(14) recovering from oversold.
Support: 0.80435, 0.80351, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8069, 0.8100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8069 breaks the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 0.80351 confirms a fresh lower low
USDCHF sold off through the NY session after soft US PPI, sliding from 0.8114 to a session low at 0.80338 having failed to hold above the 0.8100 pivot. Price is now correcting higher into late NY, back to 0.80517 with RSI(14) recovering from the low-30s; the recent 0.80533 session high caps the bounce so far.
Support: 0.80338, 0.80435
Resistance: 0.80533, 0.8066
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.80533 opens the path back toward 0.8066
Failure to hold 0.80338 confirms a fresh lower low
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
20:02 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 47 · price 0.80517
Lower highs into session low, early recovery.
USDCHF sold off through NY hours from 0.8114 to a 0.80338 session low as the greenback extended its CPI/PPI-driven slide. A double bottom near 0.8034 has since drawn dip-buyers, lifting price to 0.80517 with RSI(14) recovering from oversold; the 0.80533 swing high caps the bounce so far.
Support: 0.80338, 0.80435
Resistance: 0.80533, 0.8069, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Sustained close above 0.80533 opens 0.80690
Failure to hold 0.80338 session low confirms a fresh lower low
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
19:46 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 43 · price 0.80516
Lower highs and lower lows, bouncing from 0.8035.
USDCHF sold off hard through the NY session, breaking 0.8100 and 0.8060 as soft US PPI extended the dovish USD repricing, printing a low at 0.8035. Price is bouncing into 0.8052 with RSI(14) recovering off oversold; the descending sequence of lower highs is still intact.
Support: 0.80351, 0.80435
Resistance: 0.80524, 0.8060, 0.80723
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.8060 prior support would ease the downside pressure
Failure to hold 0.8035 swing low confirms continuation lower
SNB intervention headlines capping CHF strength could shift this read
Lower highs into a session low, first bounce underway.
USD/CHF sold off through NY hours after soft US PPI extended the CPI-driven dovish repricing, printing a session low at 0.80338 before a shallow bounce to 0.80516. RSI(14) has lifted off oversold; price still trades below EMA20 and EMA50 with the descending high sequence intact.
Support: 0.80338, 0.80435
Resistance: 0.8066
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80660 breaks the descending-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.80338 confirms a fresh lower low
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USD/CHF sold off hard through NY hours after the soft US PPI print, breaking down from 0.8114 to a 0.80338 session low. RSI(14) near 37 as a shallow bounce stalls below 0.80474; price remains well under EMA20/50.
Support: 0.80338, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.80474, 0.8066
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80338 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.80660 needed to challenge the downtrend structure
USD/CHF sold off through the NY session, breaking below 0.8100 and extending to a session low at 0.80338 as soft US PPI reinforced the dovish USD repricing. Price is stabilising around 0.80456 late in the session, RSI(14) lifting off its lows but structure still a chain of lower highs.
Support: 0.80338, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.80474, 0.80581, 0.8072
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80581 swing high would question the intraday downdraft
Failure to hold 0.80338 session low confirms a fresh lower low
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF sold off through the NY session, sliding from a 0.81145 session high to a 0.80351 low as broad USD weakness followed the soft PPI print. Price is basing near 0.80428 with a shallow bounce off the low; RSI(14) recovering from oversold, still below EMA20/50.
Support: 0.80351
Resistance: 0.80475, 0.8066
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80475 bounce high would ease the downside pressure toward the 0.80660 swing pivot
Loss of the 0.80351 session low confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift the USD read
USDCHF broke down through the NY session from the 0.8114 high, sliding to a 0.80351 session low as soft US PPI kept the dollar heavy. A shallow bounce to 0.80474 has faded back to 0.80428, RSI(14) recovering off oversold but structure still printing lower lows.
Support: 0.80351, 0.8030
Resistance: 0.80474, 0.8066
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80474 bounce high needed to stall the lower-low sequence
Break of 0.80351 session low extends the leg toward 0.80300 round number
SNB intervention headlines could cap franc strength and lift the pair
USDCHF sold off through the NY session from the 0.8114 high, chained lower lows as the dollar stayed on the back foot after the soft PPI print. Price now 0.80452, bouncing off the session low at 0.80338 with RSI(14) near oversold at ~31.
Support: 0.80338, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.80581, 0.8072
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80581 would ease the intraday selling pressure
Break of 0.80338 session low opens the path toward 0.80000
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could reset the USD read
USD/CHF sold off hard through the NY session, breaking the 0.8100 pivot and 0.8060 support as the soft US PPI print kept the dollar on the back foot; price cut to 0.80351 with RSI(14) near 33. Only a shallow bounce to 0.80452 so far, still deep below EMA20/50.
Support: 0.80351, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.80581, 0.8072, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80581 needed to stall the lower-low sequence
Sustained trade below 0.80351 opens the path toward 0.8000
Fed's Musalem speaking ~23:30 UTC could shift this read
18:46 UTC
Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 26 · price 0.80402
Clean lower highs, lower lows.
USD/CHF sold off hard through the NY session, extending the broad dollar slide after soft US CPI/PPI trimmed Fed hike bets, with the 0.8114 top giving way to a run of lower lows. Price is printing fresh session lows at 0.80338 with RSI(14) oversold near 26; no sign of demand stepping in yet.
Support: 0.80338, 0.8030
Resistance: 0.8049, 0.8066
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.80660 would break the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 0.80300 opens the path toward the 0.80000 handle
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session sold USDCHF hard off the 0.8114 high down to a fresh session low at 0.80338, with USD broadly soft after the weak PPI print. Sequence of lower highs and lower lows intact, RSI(14) oversold near 24 with no bounce yet; the 0.8100 pivot now caps well above price.
Support: 0.80338, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8066, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 0.80660 prior low would ease the selling pressure
Failure to hold 0.80338 session low confirms continuation lower
Break of 0.80000 round number opens further downside
USD/CHF broke down through the 0.8100 pivot during NY hours and sold off in a clean lower-highs/lower-lows chain as soft US PPI extended dollar weakness, printing a fresh session low at 0.80350. RSI(14) is deeply oversold near 22, so a pause or bounce would not be unusual, but no reversal structure is in place yet.
Support: 0.8035, 0.8030, 0.8020
Resistance: 0.8049, 0.8066, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80490 would ease the immediate downside pressure
Failure to hold 0.80350 confirms continuation toward 0.80300/0.80200
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF sold off hard through the NY session, breaking down from the 0.81145 day high in a clean lower-high, lower-low sequence to a fresh session low at 0.80350. Broad USD weakness after the soft US PPI print is driving it; RSI(14) is oversold near 24 but price keeps printing lower lows with no reclaim yet.
Support: 0.8035, 0.8030
Resistance: 0.8049, 0.8066, 0.81145
What it said to watch
M15 reclaim above 0.80490 swing would ease the downside pressure
Failure to hold 0.80350 session low confirms continuation lower
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift the USD read
USDCHF rolled over from the 0.81145 NY session high and sold off steadily to a fresh session low at 0.80383 as soft US PPI extended broad dollar weakness. RSI(14) near 23 flags an oversold stretch, but each bounce has been capped and price closes pinned just above the low.
Support: 0.80383, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.80581, 0.8072, 0.8110
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80581 swing high would ease the downside pressure
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
18:16 UTC
Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 25 · price 0.80429
Chain of lower highs / lower lows, range break lower.
USD/CHF sold off hard through the NY session, breaking the 0.8100 pivot and printing successive lower lows into 0.80383 as soft US CPI/PPI unwound Fed hike bets. RSI(14) is oversold near 25 with price stacked below EMA20/50 — momentum firmly to the downside, no bounce yet in play.
Support: 0.80383, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8062, 0.8072, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80620 swing would ease the lower-high pressure
Loss of 0.80383 session low extends the leg toward 0.80000 round number
SNB intervention headlines could cap or reverse the franc-strength move
18:02 UTC
Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 23 · price 0.80433
Clean lower highs/lows after 0.8100 break.
USD/CHF rejected 0.8114 and cascaded through the 0.8100 pivot into the NY session, printing a fresh session low at 0.8043 as soft US PPI extended the post-CPI dollar selloff. RSI(14) is deep oversold near 23 with no bullish divergence yet; the descending sequence of lower highs remains intact.
Support: 0.8043, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8066, 0.8073, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80660 needed to break the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.8043 opens the path toward the 0.8000 round number
Thursday US Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
NY session selloff extended, USD/CHF breaking down from the 0.81145 session high in a clean lower-high, lower-low chain to 0.80430 as soft US PPI kept the dollar offered. RSI(14) sub-25 flags a short-term oversold stretch but the trend structure remains intact with no bounce yet.
Support: 0.8040, 0.8030
Resistance: 0.8058, 0.8072, 0.81145
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80580 needed to ease the downtrend structure
Fed Beige Book at 18:00 UTC could shift this read
Failure to hold 0.80400 round number opens 0.80300
USDCHF sold off through the NY session, breaking down from the 0.8114 top and shedding roughly 60 pips as the dollar stayed heavy after soft US PPI. RSI(14) is oversold near 24 with price probing the session low at 0.80483; no bounce structure in play yet.
Support: 0.80483, 0.8040
Resistance: 0.8066, 0.8090
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80660 would ease the downside impulse and stall the lower-low sequence
Sustained break below 0.80483 opens 0.80400
US Retail Sales Thursday could materially shift this read
NY session drove a sharp breakdown from 0.8114 through the 0.8100 pivot, in line with the soft US PPI print weighing on the dollar. Price prints a fresh session low at 0.80483 and sits at 0.80509 with RSI(14) near 27, short-term stretched but not yet reversing.
Support: 0.80483, 0.8040
Resistance: 0.8066, 0.8080
What it said to watch
A close back above 0.80660 breaks the lower-high chain and eases downside pressure
Failure to hold 0.80483 opens the 0.80400 round number
Fed Beige Book at 18:00 UTC could add intraday volatility
USDCHF broke down from the 0.8114 session high into NY hours after the soft US PPI print pressured the dollar, printing a fresh low at 0.80552 with RSI(14) near 27. A clean lower-high/lower-low chain; bounces have been capped around 0.80700.
Support: 0.80552, 0.8050
Resistance: 0.8070, 0.8085, 0.81145
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.80700 would break the lower-high chain
Break below 0.80552 extends the lower-low sequence toward 0.80500
NY session sold the pair off from the 0.81145 session high, breaking the earlier 0.8090–0.8114 range with a soft US PPI print keeping USD offered. Price now sits at the session low 0.80553 with RSI(14) near 27, a chain of lower highs still intact.
Support: 0.80552, 0.8050
Resistance: 0.80723, 0.8090, 0.81145
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.80723 breaks the run of lower highs
Failure to hold 0.80552 exposes the 0.80500 psych level
Fed Beige Book at 18:00 UTC could shift the USD read
17:16 UTC
Downtrend, at session lows · RSI 36 · price 0.80622
Lower highs, lower lows since NY open.
USDCHF rejected the 0.81145 session high and sold off through the NY session after soft US PPI reinforced the disinflation read and knocked the dollar broadly lower. Clean chain of lower highs and lower lows; price is now probing the session low at 0.80605 with RSI(14) in the mid-30s, not yet stretched.
Support: 0.80605, 0.8050
Resistance: 0.8073, 0.8090, 0.81145
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80605 extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 0.80730 needed to stall the intraday downtrend
Thursday 12:30 UTC US Retail Sales could materially shift this read
NY session reversed hard off the 0.81145 session high, shedding ~55 pips into 0.80605 with USD staying heavy after the soft PPI read. Lower-high chain intact, RSI mid-30s and no base built yet at the lows.
Support: 0.80605, 0.8050
Resistance: 0.8072, 0.8090, 0.81145
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.80720 breaks the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.80605 session low opens 0.80500
Thursday US Retail Sales could reshape the USD leg
17:02 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising near lows · RSI 42 · price 0.80673
Lower highs, lower lows after breakdown.
NY session sold the pair off from 0.81145 to 0.80634 as soft US PPI extended dollar weakness. Price is now consolidating 0.80634–0.80730 just off the low, RSI(14) near 42 after the flush.
Support: 0.80634, 0.8060
Resistance: 0.8073, 0.8092, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80730 would ease the downside pressure toward 0.80920
Break below 0.80634 confirms a fresh lower low
Thursday US Retail Sales could materially shift this read
NY session drove a sharp selloff from 0.8114 to a 0.80646 low as soft US CPI/PPI kept the dollar on the back foot. Price is now basing around 0.8067 with RSI(14) recovering off the lows; sellers capped the last bounce at 0.80730.
Support: 0.80646, 0.8060
Resistance: 0.8073, 0.8090, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close below 0.80646 extends the lower-low sequence toward 0.80600
Reclaim of 0.80730 would neutralise the intraday downtrend
Thursday 12:30 UTC US Retail Sales could materially shift this read
16:47 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 42 · price 0.80719
Lower highs and lower lows.
NY session rejected the 0.81145 session high and sold off ~50 pips in a chain of lower lows to a session low at 0.80646, in line with the soft US CPI/PPI misses weighing on the dollar. Price is bouncing modestly into 0.80719 with RSI(14) recovering off the low 30s; the 0.80800 psych level caps the rebound. ATR ~6 pips.
Support: 0.80646, 0.8060
Resistance: 0.8080, 0.81145
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.80800 psych would challenge the downtrend
Failure to hold 0.80646 session low opens 0.80600 round number
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs / lower lows after rejection at session high.
USD/CHF rejected the 0.81145 session high in early NY and sold off ~50 pips as soft US PPI weighed on the dollar, bottoming at 0.80646. RSI(14) recovering from a stretched low; a minor bounce to 0.80719 remains capped near 0.80770.
Support: 0.80646, 0.8077
Resistance: 0.8088, 0.81145
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80880 would break the sequence of lower highs
Loss of 0.80646 opens continuation lower
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session sold USD/CHF hard from the 0.81145 session high, breaking the 0.8100 pivot on soft US PPI and extending to 0.80634. Price is now consolidating just off the lows near 0.80662 with RSI(14) climbing off oversold.
Support: 0.80634, 0.8060
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.81145
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 0.8100 pivot would invalidate the breakdown read
Failure to hold 0.80634 confirms continuation to the 0.8060 area
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Breakdown from 0.8114, lower highs/lows into session low.
USDCHF broke down from 0.8114 into the 12:30 UTC US session, sliding to a session low of 0.80646 as soft US PPI pressured the dollar. RSI(14) near 32 after the drop; price now stabilising around 0.8066 with 0.80770 the first pivot capping the bounce.
Support: 0.80646, 0.8060
Resistance: 0.8077, 0.8090
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.80770 negates the latest lower-high push
Failure to hold 0.80646 opens a test of the 0.80600 psych level
USDCHF broke down through 0.8100 during NY hours after soft US PPI pressured the dollar, sliding from the 0.81145 swing high to a fresh session low at 0.80646. Price is grinding along the lows with RSI(14) near 33; the descending sequence of lower highs remains intact.
Support: 0.80646, 0.8060
Resistance: 0.8077, 0.8092, 0.81145
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80770 pullback zone would ease the downside pressure
Break of 0.80646 session low opens the 0.80600 psych area
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF broke sharply lower from the 0.81145 session high through the NY session, shedding roughly 50 pips into 0.80646 as soft US CPI/PPI trimmed Fed hike bets. RSI(14) around 34 with a shallow bounce off the session low; supply capped each retest near 0.80770.
Support: 0.80646, 0.8060
Resistance: 0.8077, 0.80926, 0.81145
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80770 would ease the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.80646 confirms fresh lower low toward 0.80600
US Retail Sales tomorrow 12:30 UTC could reset this read
USDCHF sold off hard through the NY session, breaking from the 0.8114 high down to 0.80646 after the soft US PPI print unwound hawkish Fed pricing. RSI(14) near 27 signals short-term stretched but the lower-high/lower-low chain remains intact; the 0.8100 pivot flipped to resistance.
Support: 0.80646, 0.8060
Resistance: 0.8077, 0.8090, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Break below 0.80646 extends the down-leg toward 0.80600
Reclaim of 0.80900 would neutralise the breakdown read
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
16:02 UTC
Downtrend, extended · RSI 33 · price 0.80665
Chain of lower highs and lower lows since NY open.
USD/CHF rolled over from the 0.81145 session high after the 12:30 UTC soft US PPI print, breaking the 0.80800 shelf and printing a fresh low at 0.80646 into NY hours. RSI(14) near 33 and holding just above the low, sellers still in control with no reversal signal yet.
Support: 0.80646, 0.8060
Resistance: 0.8080, 0.80927, 0.81145
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80800 would neutralise the breakdown read
Close below 0.80646 confirms continuation toward 0.80600
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs / lower lows after breakdown from 0.8114.
USD/CHF broke down through NY hours from the 0.8114 high, slicing the 0.80955 level and printing a session low at 0.80646 as soft US CPI/PPI kept the dollar offered. RSI(14) is deeply oversold near 15 and ATR sits around 7 pips, so downside is stretched into current 0.8067; the 0.8100 pivot noted repeatedly overhead now caps.
Support: 0.80646, 0.8060
Resistance: 0.80738, 0.80955, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 0.80955 breakdown level would neutralise the leg lower
Loss of 0.80646 session low opens the 0.8060 psych area
SNB franc-selling headlines historically cap CHF strength
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could shift this read
15:46 UTC
Downtrend, momentum firm · RSI 32 · price 0.8067
Impulsive breakdown, lower lows.
USD/CHF broke down hard from the 0.81145 session high, shedding ~50 pips into NY hours as broad USD selling followed the soft US PPI miss. Price is carving fresh lows near the 0.80646 swing low with RSI(14) around 31; last bar a shallow bounce.
Support: 0.80646, 0.8060
Resistance: 0.8080, 0.8092, 0.81145
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80800 intraday would ease the breakdown pressure
Loss of 0.80646 swing low confirms continuation toward the 0.80600 round number
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF rolled over hard through the NY session, breaking down from the 0.8114 double top and shedding ~50 pips into 0.8065 as soft US PPI kept the dollar heavy. RSI(14) near 26 shows the move is stretched, but no reversal signal yet — price is pinned at the session low.
Support: 0.80646, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8088, 0.81145
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80880 would ease the intraday breakdown pressure
Sustained break of 0.80646 opens the path toward the 0.8000 psych level
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session sold off hard from the 0.81145 high, slicing through 0.8092 support as soft US PPI kept the dollar heavy. Price now pinning the 0.8065 session low with RSI(14) oversold near 27; steep, one-directional leg with little pause.
Support: 0.8065, 0.8050
Resistance: 0.8092, 0.81145
What it said to watch
Close back above 0.8092 would neutralise the lower-high chain
Break and hold below 0.8065 session low opens further downside toward 0.8050
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF rolled over from the 0.81145 session high and broke the 0.8090 shelf during NY hours, sliding to 0.80671 as the dollar extended losses on the soft US PPI print. RSI(14) is deeply oversold near 22 and price is stalling into the 0.80671 low; the drop stretched well beyond the ~7 pip ATR.
Support: 0.80671, 0.8060
Resistance: 0.8090, 0.8100, 0.81145
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80900 would neutralise the breakout and put price back inside the prior range
Failure to hold 0.80671 confirms continuation toward 0.80600
US Retail Sales (Thu 12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
Lower highs and lower lows after breakdown from 0.8114.
USDCHF broke down hard from the 0.8114 session high into the NY session, shedding ~45 pips to a session low at 0.80671 as the dollar extended losses on soft US PPI. RSI(14) is pressed into oversold near 27 with the decline still stair-stepping lower highs; 0.80880 pivot now caps.
Support: 0.80671
Resistance: 0.8088, 0.80955, 0.81145
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.80880 pivot would neutralise the downside momentum
Failure to hold 0.80671 confirms continuation to the next leg lower
Fed Beige Book at 18:00 UTC could shift the USD read
USDCHF sold off sharply through the NY session from the 0.81145 high, sliding under 0.80880 as the soft US PPI print pressured the dollar. Price is carving fresh session lows at 0.80719 with RSI(14) near 30, short-term stretched but no bounce confirmed.
Support: 0.80719, 0.8066
Resistance: 0.8088, 0.8110
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80719 confirms a lower low and opens 0.80660
Reclaim of 0.80880 needed to ease downside pressure
SNB intervention risk into the lows per context could cap CHF strength
15:02 UTC
Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 28 · price 0.80728
Breakdown from session high, lower lows.
USDCHF rolled over hard from the 0.81145 session high, shedding ~40 pips into the NY session as soft US PPI kept the dollar heavy. Price is printing successive lower lows at 0.80719 with RSI(14) near 27 — momentum stretched but no bounce confirmed.
Support: 0.80719, 0.8060
Resistance: 0.8088, 0.8100, 0.81145
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80880 would ease the downside pressure
Failure to hold 0.80719 opens the 0.80600 support
US Retail Sales tomorrow 12:30 UTC could reset this read
14:46 UTC
Downtrend, sharp reversal off session high · RSI 32 · price 0.8076
Failed break above 0.8114, lower highs into session low.
USD/CHF pushed to a session high 0.8114 during London then sold off sharply on the soft US PPI print, cutting straight through 0.8092 to sit at the session low 0.8076. RSI(14) near 31 shows momentum stretched to the downside; the failed push above 0.8114 stands as a false break.
Support: 0.8076, 0.8060
Resistance: 0.8092, 0.8114
What it said to watch
Close below 0.8060 confirms continuation toward 0.8000
Reclaim of 0.8092 needed to re-challenge session high 0.8114
Warsh testimony aftermath could extend USD long-liquidation
NY session drove a sharp reversal from the session high at 0.81145 as USD sold off broadly after soft US PPI reinforced disinflation. Price broke below the 0.8100 pivot and is now printing lower lows into 0.8076 with RSI(14) near 31.
Support: 0.8076, 0.8060
Resistance: 0.80926, 0.8110, 0.81145
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.80926 would stall the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 0.8076 confirms continuation toward 0.8060
Warsh testimony aftermath could shift USD tone this session
Reversal off session high, breakdown through pivot.
USD/CHF rolled over from the session high at 0.81145 and sliced the 0.8100 pivot in a sharp NY-session leg down to 0.80782, soft US PPI weighing on the dollar. RSI(14) near 35 with price below EMA20/50; now sitting just above the swing low.
Support: 0.80782, 0.8080
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.81145
What it said to watch
Close below 0.80782 confirms a lower low and extends the downtrend
Reclaim of the 0.8100 pivot would neutralise the breakdown
Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) could shift the dollar tone
Breakdown from 0.8114 back below EMA cluster, testing session low.
NY session rejected the 0.81145 session high and sold off sharply through the 0.8092 EMA cluster, in line with a softer USD after the weak US PPI print. Price now sits just above the 0.80782 session low, RSI(14) near 38 without reaching oversold.
Support: 0.80782, 0.8060
Resistance: 0.8092, 0.81145
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80920 negates the breakdown read
Loss of 0.80782 opens the path toward 0.80600
Warsh testimony / US Retail Sales risk could reprice USD and shift this read
USD/CHF rejected the 0.81145 session high and dropped ~35 pips through the 0.80955 shelf as soft US PPI kept the dollar heavy, RSI(14) cooling near 41. Pair is basing around 0.8084 after tagging the session low at 0.80782.
Support: 0.80782, 0.80629
Resistance: 0.80955, 0.8107, 0.81145
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.80955 negates the intraday breakdown
Loss of 0.80782 confirms a lower low toward 0.80629
Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) tone could shift the USD read sharply
Rejection at session high, break below 0.8100 pivot.
NY session pushed to a session high at 0.81145 then reversed sharply, slicing back below the 0.8100 pivot to 0.80782 as the dollar stayed soft after the weak US PPI print. Price now hovers at 0.80841 mid-range, RSI(14) recovering from the drop but still sub-50 with EMAs capping overhead.
Support: 0.80782, 0.80629
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.81145
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 0.8100 pivot reopens the 0.81145 session high
Failure to hold 0.80782 confirms a lower low
Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
NY session pushed above the 0.8100 pivot to 0.81145 then reversed hard, closing the move back under 0.8100 — a false break tied to the softer USD tone post-CPI/PPI. Price now 0.80824, hovering just above the 0.80782 session low with RSI(14) cooled to the low-40s; Warsh testimony is live at 14:00 UTC.
Support: 0.80782, 0.8070
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.81145
What it said to watch
Warsh testimony live at 14:00 UTC — could sharply shift this read
Loss of 0.80782 session low confirms continuation lower
Rejection at session high, break back below 0.8100.
USDCHF pushed to a session high of 0.81145 during the NY session then was sharply rejected, dropping through the 0.8100 psych pivot into 0.808 ahead of Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC). RSI(14) cooled from overbought toward 40 as price now sits back below EMA20/50; soft US CPI/PPI keeps the dollar offered.
Support: 0.80782, 0.80629
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.81145
What it said to watch
Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC is the key near-term USD driver and can shift this read
Loss of session low 0.80782 confirms the lower-low and opens 0.80629 swing low
Reclaim of the 0.8100 psych pivot would negate the breakdown back toward 0.81145 session high
13:47 UTC
Uptrend stalled, pullback in play · RSI 43 · price 0.80875
Rejection at session high, lower highs forming.
NY session pushed to a session high of 0.81145 before a sharp rejection dumped the pair ~19 pips back below the 0.8100 pivot, extending the run of false breaks at that level. Now consolidating near 0.8088 with RSI cooled to the low-40s.
Support: 0.80849, 0.8080
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.81145
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.8100 revives the higher-high structure toward 0.81145
Loss of 0.80849 swing low opens 0.8080
Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Rejection at session high, consolidating below 0.8100.
NY session pushed through the 0.8100 pivot to a 0.81145 session high before a sharp rejection dumped price back below 0.8100, now consolidating near 0.8088. The soft US CPI/PPI backdrop keeps USD offered, and RSI(14) has cooled to the low 40s after the drop.
Support: 0.80849, 0.8080
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.81145
What it said to watch
Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close back above 0.8100 reopens the 0.81145 session high
Loss of 0.80849 exposes the 0.8080 swing low
13:31 UTC
Up leg rejected, rolling over · RSI 42 · price 0.80917
False break of 0.8100 then sharp fade.
USDCHF pushed through the 0.8100 pivot to a session high of 0.81145 during NY hours, then reversed hard back below 0.8100 — a false break, with the soft US CPI/PPI misses keeping the dollar offered. Price now sits near 0.80917, holding the 0.80849 session low; RSI(14) cooled from the highs into the low-40s.
Support: 0.80849, 0.8080
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.81145
What it said to watch
Fed Chair Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could reprice USD within the next bar
Reclaim and close above 0.8100 pivot revives the up leg toward 0.81145
Sharp reversal off session high, back below pivot.
Price rallied through the NY session to a 0.81145 session high then reversed hard, one bar dumping ~160 pips back below the 0.8100 pivot — a clean false break of the level that has repeatedly rejected here. Move fits broad USD weakness after the soft PPI print; RSI(14) has cooled to the low-40s as price consolidates around 0.80917.
Support: 0.80849, 0.80801
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.81145
What it said to watch
Reclaim and close above 0.8100 reopens the 0.81145 session high
Loss of 0.80849 confirms a lower low and exposes 0.80801
Warsh testimony ~14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
13:17 UTC
Intraday rally rejected, rolling over · RSI 41 · price 0.80893
Sharp reversal off session high, back below 0.8100 pivot.
NY session drove USD/CHF to a 0.81145 session high before a sharp rejection dumped price back under the 0.8100 pivot to 0.80893, a false break above the well-worn 0.8100 level. RSI(14) has cooled to the low-40s and price now sits below both EMAs; move fits the broader USD softness after the cool PPI print.
Support: 0.80849, 0.8080
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.81145
What it said to watch
Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Reclaim of the 0.81000 pivot needed to negate the rejection
Loss of 0.80849 session low opens toward 0.80800
13:16 UTC
NY rally rejected, momentum flipping down · RSI 40 · price 0.80893
False break of 0.8100, sharp pullback to session lows.
NY session pushed to a 0.81145 session high then reversed hard, slicing back below the 0.8100 pivot in a single bar — a false break with USD broadly offered post-soft PPI. Price now sits at 0.80893, having retraced almost the entire London-NY rally, RSI(14) cooling into the high-30s.
Support: 0.80849, 0.8081
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.81145
What it said to watch
Reclaim and M15 close above 0.8100 revalidates the upside toward 0.8152
Loss of 0.80849 confirms a lower-low and extends the pullback
Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Sharp rejection off session high, micro higher-low chain broken.
NY session pushed to 0.81145 then reversed hard, a false break of the 0.8100 pivot that failed twice into the same high. Price snapped back below EMA20/50 to 0.80911 with RSI cooling into the low 40s as the USD stayed offered post soft PPI.
Support: 0.80889, 0.80815, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.81145
What it said to watch
Close below 0.80889 confirms a lower low after the session-high rejection
Reclaim of the 0.8100 pivot needed to revive upside; repeated false breaks there
Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could shift the USD-side read within the hour
13:02 UTC
NY uptrend broken by sharp rejection · RSI 43 · price 0.80911
Session high rejected, pulling back below psych.
NY session extended the London rally to a session high 0.81145, printing a twin top near 0.8114 before a sharp 16-pip rejection candle knocked price back below the 0.8100 psych pivot. RSI(14) cooling to ~42 as the pullback finds interim footing at 0.80889.
Support: 0.80889, 0.80835, 0.80812
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.81145
What it said to watch
Reclaim and close above 0.8100 reopens the 0.81145 session high
Failure to hold 0.80889 exposes 0.80835 prior swing
Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session pushed USDCHF to 0.81145 before a sharp rejection dumped price back to 0.8095 on the 12:30 UTC PPI release. The 0.8100 pivot was false-broken again — repeated failures at this level — and price is now sitting on the 0.8090 swing area with RSI cooling to the mid-40s.
Support: 0.8090, 0.8080, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.81145
What it said to watch
Reclaim and close above 0.8100 reopens the 0.81145 session high
Loss of 0.8090 exposes the 0.8080 prior range
Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could shift this read
12:46 UTC
NY rally rejected, momentum flipping down · RSI 47 · price 0.80948
Sharp reversal off session high back into range.
NY session pushed USDCHF to a 0.81145 session high before a sharp rejection on the 12:30 UTC PPI batch dumped price ~19 pips back to 0.80948, unwinding the day's rally to the 61.8% retrace. The 0.8100 pivot has flipped back to resistance and price is now sub-EMA20/50.
Support: 0.8090, 0.80801, 0.8073
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.81145
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.8100 reopens the 0.81145 session high
Loss of 0.80900 exposes the 0.80801 swing low
Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF ground higher through the NY session, breaking the 0.8100 pivot and printing a session high at 0.81145, supported by the softer US CPI-driven dollar backdrop yet capped by known SNB franc-selling. The last bar pulled back to 0.81062 with RSI easing off from mid-60s; the 0.8100 pivot is now the retest reference.
Support: 0.8100, 0.80838, 0.8076
Resistance: 0.81145, 0.8152
What it said to watch
Close back below 0.8100 pivot re-opens the 0.80838 swing low and negates the breakout
Clean close above 0.81145 session high extends toward the 0.8152 prior-high zone
Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) is the day's catalyst and could shift this read
NY session extended the London push, clearing the 0.8100 pivot cited as a repeated false-break zone and tagging a session high at 0.81145 as soft US CPI kept the dollar offered. Last bar sold back to 0.81062 with RSI cooling from the highs; 0.8100 now the near support holding the higher-low chain.
Support: 0.8100, 0.8090, 0.80838
Resistance: 0.81145, 0.8110
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.8100 pivot breaks the higher-low chain and reopens 0.80900
Close above 0.81145 session high extends the intraday move
Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
12:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum steady · RSI 66 · price 0.81117
Higher highs, higher lows since London.
USDCHF cleared the 0.8100 pivot during NY hours after repeated false breaks earlier, printing a session high at 0.81142 with RSI(14) firm near 66, not yet extreme. Price is holding above 0.8100 while the dollar stays broadly offered post-CPI; the higher-high chain off the 0.8081 London low remains intact.
Support: 0.81046, 0.8100, 0.8090
Resistance: 0.81142, 0.8126
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.8100 reopens the 0.8090 consolidation
US PPI batch (12:30 UTC) and Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
A close above 0.81142 extends the intraday breakout
Higher highs since London, holding above 0.8100 pivot.
NY session extended the London bid, breaking and holding above the 0.8100 pivot with the dollar broadly heavy after yesterday's soft US CPI, though SNB CHF-selling is capping any deeper franc bid. Price stalled at the 0.81142 session high, RSI cooling from mid-60s; structure remains a chain of higher lows.
Support: 0.8100, 0.80812, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.81142
What it said to watch
US PPI batch at 12:30 UTC could jolt this read within the next bar
Loss of 0.8100 pivot on a close negates the breakout and reopens 0.80812
Clean close above 0.81142 extends the higher-high sequence
Higher highs off 0.8060 low, stalling under session high.
USDCHF sold off to 0.8060 on yesterday's soft US CPI, then recovered through the London-NY session and cleared the 0.8100 pivot, printing a session high at 0.81126. Price is now consolidating just under that high with RSI(14) cooling from mid-60s; SNB CHF-selling has capped franc strength, keeping the pair bid.
Support: 0.81046, 0.8100, 0.80855
Resistance: 0.81126, 0.8152
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.8100 pivot reopens the 0.80855 swing low
Clean close above 0.81126 session high extends toward 0.8152
US Core PPI at 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session pushed USDCHF above the 0.8100 pivot — which had seen repeated false breaks — tagging the session high at 0.81126 before easing to 0.81093, RSI(14) cooling from the push. Higher-low chain intact off the 0.8083 base; move held despite soft US CPI, with SNB capping any franc strength.
Support: 0.8100, 0.80833, 0.80631
Resistance: 0.81126, 0.8152
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81126 opens the path toward 0.8152
Loss of the 0.8100 pivot re-exposes the 0.8083 swing low
Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD-side read
11:47 UTC
Uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 60 · price 0.81103
Higher highs off session low, testing 0.8100 pivot.
USD/CHF ground higher through the London session to a session high at 0.81126 after soft US CPI kept the dollar offered, RSI(14) cooling near 60. Price is holding just above the 0.8100 psych pivot — a level with repeated false breaks — with rally lows around 0.80863 respected and the session low at 0.80631.
Support: 0.8100, 0.80863, 0.80631
Resistance: 0.81126, 0.8152
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81126 opens the path to the 0.8152 ytd zone
Loss of the 0.8100 psych pivot risks another false break back toward 0.80863
US PPI at 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
11:46 UTC
Intraday uptrend, momentum slowing near session high · RSI 63 · price 0.81103
Higher highs/higher lows off the 0.8081 base, breakout above 0.8100 pivot.
USDCHF ground higher through the London hours after basing near 0.8081, clearing the 0.8100 pivot that had produced repeated false breaks. Price stalled at the 0.81126 session high with RSI cooling from the low-70s; last bar flat at 0.81103 as PPI risk looms.
Support: 0.8100, 0.81046, 0.80812
Resistance: 0.81126, 0.8152
What it said to watch
Close below 0.8100 negates the breakout and puts price back inside the prior range
Close above 0.81126 session high opens the path toward 0.8152
US PPI at 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher lows off session low, testing session high.
USDCHF has clawed back the post-CPI flush, recovering from the 0.80605 session low through NY and into London to tag 0.81126, RSI(14) around 61. Price cleared the sticky 0.8100 pivot and is holding above it after a shallow pullback to 0.81046 — retest of the round number so far respected.
Support: 0.8100, 0.81046, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.81126
What it said to watch
Clean M15 close above 0.81126 opens the path toward 0.8152
Loss of the 0.8100 pivot reopens 0.80605 session low
US Core PPI at 12:30 UTC could shift this read within the next bar
Higher lows off session low, back above 0.8100 pivot.
USDCHF has clawed back the full early-session drop, reclaiming the 0.8100 pivot and pressing session highs at 0.81126 as the soft US CPI USD offer stabilised. RSI(14) mid-60s and price holding above EMA20/50; a chain of higher lows off 0.80605 remains intact.
Support: 0.81046, 0.80881, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.81126, 0.81168
What it said to watch
US PPI cluster at 12:30 UTC (~1h) could reprice USD and shift this read
Clean M15 close above 0.81126 extends the recovery toward 0.81168
Higher highs off the overnight base, cleared 0.8100 pivot.
USDCHF spent the Asian session basing near 0.8090 after yesterday's soft US CPI knocked the pair to 0.8060, then ground higher through London to clear the 0.8100 pivot that had repeatedly false-broken. Price now trades 0.8107 just under the 0.81126 session high, RSI(14) around 61 with room before extremes.
Support: 0.8100, 0.80838, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.81126, 0.81215, 0.8152
What it said to watch
Clean M15 close above 0.81126 opens the path to 0.8152
Loss of 0.8100 back into the range invalidates the breakout read
US Core PPI at 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
11:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum steady · RSI 61 · price 0.8107
Higher highs off session low, testing 0.8100 pivot.
USDCHF ground higher through NY hours, clearing the 0.8100 pivot that saw repeated false breaks and printing a session high at 0.81126 before easing to 0.8107. Steady grind off the 0.80838 swing low, RSI(14) near 60 — no extreme. SNB intervention caps franc gains while soft US CPI keeps the dollar two-way.
Support: 0.8100, 0.80838, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.81126, 0.81215
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81126 opens the path back toward 0.8152
Loss of the 0.8100 pivot puts price back into the prior range
US Core PPI 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher highs and higher lows off CPI low, breakout above 0.8100 pivot.
USDCHF has ground back above the 0.8100 pivot through the London-NY hours after yesterday's CPI-miss flush to 0.8063, printing a clean higher-high chain into 0.8113. RSI(14) around 64 — firm but not stretched — with price holding above EMA20/50; the pivot broken yesterday as resistance is now being tested as support.
Support: 0.8100, 0.8076, 0.8063
Resistance: 0.8113, 0.8127
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.8100 negates the breakout and reopens the 0.8076 swing low
US Core PPI at 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF ground higher through the London session, clearing the 0.8100 pivot after repeated false breaks there and printing a session high at 0.81126 before easing to 0.8108. Move follows the soft US CPI knock to the dollar, though SNB CHF-selling keeps the range constructive; RSI(14) cooling off its highs as the last bar stalls.
Support: 0.8100, 0.80838, 0.80631
Resistance: 0.81126, 0.8152
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.8100 negates the breakout and re-opens 0.80838
Clean close above 0.81126 extends toward 0.8152
US PPI 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
10:47 UTC
Uptrend, momentum building · RSI 66 · price 0.81093
Higher highs, reclaimed 0.8100 pivot.
London-session grind higher reclaimed the 0.8100 pivot and printed a session high at 0.81126 after basing near 0.80838. Soft US CPI knocked the pair earlier in the window but the dollar has clawed back through the day; RSI(14) elevated near 66 but not yet stretched.
Support: 0.8100, 0.80838, 0.80631
Resistance: 0.81126, 0.81152
What it said to watch
A clean M15 close above 0.81126 opens the 0.81152 resistance
Loss of the 0.8100 pivot reverts to the 0.80838 swing-low base
PPI at 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could shift this read
USDCHF sold off sharply on yesterday's soft US CPI print, bottoming at the 0.80605 swing low, then built a chain of higher lows off the 0.8088 session base. Price has now reclaimed the 0.8100 pivot — a repeated false-break zone — and tagged a session high at 0.81126 with RSI(14) around 66.
Support: 0.81005, 0.8088, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.81126, 0.8152
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81126 session high opens the path toward 0.8152 prior high
Loss of the 0.8100 pivot reverts price into the 0.8088-0.8100 consolidation
US PPI at 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
10:32 UTC
Uptrend, recovery leg extending · RSI 67 · price 0.81098
Higher highs after full retrace of early drop.
USDCHF clawed back the early NY-hours flush to 0.80631 and has ground higher through the London session, breaking cleanly above the 0.8100 pivot that saw repeated false breaks. Price sits at 0.81098 with RSI ~67, holding just under the 0.81126 session high; the recovery leg off 0.80631 is fully retraced.
Support: 0.8100, 0.80984, 0.80842
Resistance: 0.81126, 0.81291
What it said to watch
Sustained hold above 0.8100 pivot keeps the higher-high structure intact; slip back below 0.80984 swing low negates it
US PPI at 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
10:31 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into pivot · RSI 66 · price 0.81098
Higher highs / higher lows off spike low.
USDCHF recovered steadily from the early-window spike low at 0.8063 and NY hours reclaimed the 0.8100 pivot, printing a fresh session high at 0.8113 with RSI(14) near 66. The 0.8100 area, which repeatedly capped price earlier, is now being tested from above.
Support: 0.8100, 0.80838, 0.80631
Resistance: 0.81126, 0.81256
What it said to watch
Sustained hold above 0.8100 keeps the higher-high structure intact; slip back under it re-enters the prior range
Close above 0.8113 session high opens the path toward 0.8126
US PPI at 12:30 UTC (~2h) could materially shift this read
Higher lows since CPI spike low, breaking 0.8100 pivot.
USDCHF spiked down to 0.8063 on the soft US CPI print yesterday, then ground steadily higher into NY, reclaiming the 0.8100 pivot with a fresh session high at 0.8110. RSI(14) is hot near 67 and price sits above both EMAs; the recovery is intact so long as 0.8099 holds.
Support: 0.8099, 0.80838, 0.80631
Resistance: 0.81105, 0.8130
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.8100 pivot flags a false break
Loss of 0.80838 swing low negates the higher-low chain
US PPI 12:30 UTC + Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could shift this read
10:16 UTC
Uptrend, breakout in progress · RSI 67 · price 0.81095
Higher highs, cleared 0.8100 pivot.
USDCHF pushed through the 0.8100 pivot into the London session, extending a steady grind off the earlier flush to 0.80631. RSI(14) at ~67 is hot but not extended; the day-long consolidation under 0.8090-0.8100 has resolved higher after soft US CPI kept the dollar heavy but SNB caps franc gains.
Support: 0.8100, 0.8094, 0.80631
Resistance: 0.81105, 0.81301
What it said to watch
Clean M15 close holding above 0.8100 keeps the breakout intact toward 0.8115+
Loss of 0.8100 pins price back into the 0.8090 range
US PPI at 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
10:02 UTC
Intraday recovery, momentum building · RSI 73 · price 0.8109
Higher lows off cpi low, breaking 0.8100 pivot.
USDCHF has clawed back the CPI-driven flush that dumped it to 0.8063 yesterday, grinding up through the 0.8100 pivot into London hours with RSI(14) hot near 73. Price is now holding above 0.8100 — a level flagged for repeated false breaks — after a steady chain of higher lows off the base.
Support: 0.8100, 0.80833, 0.80631
Resistance: 0.81253, 0.8152
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.8100 negates the breakout and returns price to the base
US PPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Reclaim of 0.81253 opens the path toward the 0.8152 zone
10:02 UTC
Intraday uptrend, momentum hot · RSI 74 · price 0.8109
Higher highs since consolidation, breakout above 0.8100.
USDCHF broke above the 0.8100 pivot after hours of consolidation in the 0.8085-0.8100 band, RSI(14) running hot near 74. USD stayed offered after yesterday's soft US CPI, but the pair has clawed back the earlier spike low at 0.8063 and now presses the session high at 0.8109 with SNB intervention still capping franc strength.
Support: 0.8100, 0.80838, 0.80631
Resistance: 0.81092, 0.8152
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.8100 pivot on a close would flag a false break
Clean hold above 0.8100 keeps the path open toward the 0.8152 prior high
Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF has ground back to the 0.8100 pivot after yesterday's soft-CPI flush to 0.8063, printing a chain of higher lows through the London session. RSI(14) mid-60s with price above EMA20/50; first tag of 0.8107 drew a minor rejection, and 0.8100 is the level repeatedly faded here.
Support: 0.8100, 0.80862, 0.80631
Resistance: 0.8107, 0.81301
What it said to watch
Clean M15 close above 0.8107 validates the 0.8152 zone
Failure to hold 0.8100 reopens 0.80862 swing low
PPI 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could shift this read
USDCHF sold off ~50 pips into the 0.80605 low on yesterday's soft US CPI print (12:30 UTC), then based around 0.8080 and has ground back up through the 0.8100 pivot into London hours. Buyers stepped in repeatedly above 0.80800, with price now probing the session high at 0.81070.
Support: 0.80984, 0.80801, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.8107, 0.81127
What it said to watch
Clean M15 close above 0.81070 opens the path to the 0.81127 pre-CPI high
Loss of 0.80984 breaks the higher-low chain
PPI at 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
09:32 UTC
Uptrend, recovery leg extending · RSI 66 · price 0.81046
Rising lows, testing 0.8100 pivot.
USDCHF has recovered the full CPI-driven drop to 0.8063 and is now pressing the 0.8100 pivot, a level that has produced repeated false breaks. RSI(14) near 66 as price grinds higher on rising intraday lows through the London session.
Support: 0.8100, 0.8090, 0.8063
Resistance: 0.81046, 0.8118
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.8100 confirms another false break at the pivot
Sustained hold above 0.81046 opens the path toward 0.8120
US PPI at 12:30 UTC could re-arm the USD move and shift this read
09:32 UTC
Recovery off the lows, momentum firm · RSI 66 · price 0.81046
Higher lows since the CPI sweep, testing 0.8100 pivot.
The CPI-driven spike down swept to 0.80605 before reversing, and price has chained higher lows back to the 0.8100 pivot, printing a fresh session high at 0.81046. RSI(14) near 66 — firm but not extended; the 0.8100 area has seen repeated false breaks and is being tested again.
Support: 0.8100, 0.8090, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.81046, 0.8152
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8100 pivot validates the push toward 0.8152 prior high
US PPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Loss of the 0.8090 consolidation zone negates the higher-low chain
USDCHF has clawed back the CPI-driven flush from yesterday's 12:30 UTC print (spike low 0.80605) and is now pinned at the 0.8100 pivot after tagging 0.8104 and slipping back. London-session grind is stair-stepping higher off the 0.80942 swing low; RSI(14) mid-60s, no extreme.
Support: 0.80942, 0.80838, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.81004, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Clean M15 close above 0.81004 opens the path back toward 0.8152
Failure to hold 0.80942 breaks the higher-low chain
US PPI at 12:30 UTC (~3h out) could materially shift this read
Higher lows since the CPI slide, capped at 0.8100.
USDCHF has ground back to the 0.8100 pivot after yesterday's CPI-driven slide to 0.8063, printing higher lows through the Asia and London sessions. RSI(14) around 63 with price stalling just under the round number that has seen repeated false breaks.
Support: 0.8094, 0.80838, 0.80631
Resistance: 0.81004, 0.8104
What it said to watch
Clean M15 close above 0.8100 validates a push toward the 0.81040 session high
Loss of 0.80940 breaks the higher-low chain and reopens 0.80838
US PPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF sold off to 0.8063 on the soft US CPI print, then built a rounded base and has ground higher through London to press the 0.8100 pivot, RSI(14) near 63. A chain of higher lows off 0.8088 holds; the 0.8100 pivot has capped repeatedly, session high just above at 0.8104.
Support: 0.8088, 0.8063
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.8104
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8100 pivot opens the path toward 0.8152
Failure to hold 0.8088 swing low negates the recovery structure
US PPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF cratered ~70 pips to 0.80605 on yesterday's soft US CPI print, then carved a steady chain of higher lows through the Asia and early London sessions. Price is now pressing the 0.8100 pivot, RSI(14) mid-60s; the level has been a repeated false-break zone.
Support: 0.8080, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.8104, 0.8110
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8100 pivot reopens upside toward 0.8152
Failure to hold 0.8080 session low breaks the higher-low chain
US PPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher lows since the CPI-driven drop, pressing pivot.
USDCHF flushed to 0.80605 early in the window on the soft US CPI aftermath, then built a rounded base and ground back up in a chain of higher lows into the 0.8100 pivot, where the digest flags repeated false breaks. Price is now retesting that pivot with RSI(14) around 63 and ATR compressed near 6 pips.
Support: 0.8090, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.8109
What it said to watch
Clean M15 close above 0.8100 validates the higher-high structure toward 0.8152
Failure to hold 0.809 higher lows reopens the 0.80605 session low
US Core PPI 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could reprice USD and shift this read
USDCHF sold off sharply on the 12:30 UTC US CPI miss yesterday, printing 0.80605, then based around 0.8090 through Asia and is now grinding back up to test the 0.8100 pivot on a chain of higher lows. RSI(14) ~64, firm but not stretched; ATR only ~5 pips so ranges are compressed.
Support: 0.80838, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.81013, 0.8100, 0.81301
What it said to watch
Clean M15 close above 0.8100 pivot opens the path toward 0.8152; the level has seen repeated false breaks
Loss of 0.80838 swing low breaks the higher-low sequence
US PPI 12:30 UTC / Warsh 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
London session grinding back toward the 0.8100 pivot after yesterday's 12:30 UTC CPI print drove a ~50 pip drop to 0.80605. Price has clawed higher through a tight range; 0.8100 remains the key cap, tested and rejected repeatedly.
Support: 0.80812, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.81006, 0.8110
What it said to watch
Clean M15 close above 0.8100 validates path toward 0.8152
Failure to hold 0.80812 reopens the 0.80605 cpi low
USDCHF sold off sharply to 0.80631 early in the window on the soft US CPI print, then consolidated and built a chain of higher lows back to the 0.8100 pivot. Price is pressing session highs at 0.81006 during London hours, with 0.8100 the repeatedly-tested cap.
Support: 0.80863, 0.80631
Resistance: 0.81006, 0.8100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8100 pivot opens the path toward 0.8152
Loss of 0.80863 swing low re-exposes the 0.80631 sweep low
US PPI 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could shift this read
08:16 UTC
Recovering off spike low, grinding to pivot · RSI 62 · price 0.80997
Base built after sharp drop, higher lows into 0.8100.
USDCHF cratered ~50 pips into the London session on the soft US CPI print, bottoming at 0.80605 before basing around 0.8086. NY-transition bid has ground price back to the 0.8100 pivot with RSI(14) firming into the low-60s; the round number has repeatedly capped and is the level in play.
Support: 0.80838, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.81006, 0.81152
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8100 validates upside toward 0.8152
loss of 0.80838 base reopens the 0.80605 spike low
US PPI at 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could reprice USD and shift this read
08:16 UTC
Recovery grind, momentum building · RSI 66 · price 0.80997
Higher lows into 0.8100 pivot after CPI flush.
London session grinding back toward the 0.8100 pivot after yesterday's soft US CPI flushed price to 0.8063. Chain of higher lows from 0.8083, RSI(14) mid-60s and not yet stretched; 0.8100 remains the level to watch for rejection or a clean break.
Support: 0.80942, 0.80833, 0.80631
Resistance: 0.81006, 0.8110
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8100 validates upside toward 0.8152
Failure to reclaim 0.8100 keeps the 0.8083–0.8100 consolidation intact
SNB intervention headlines could cap any push higher
Consolidation after CPI drop, edging toward pivot.
USDCHF swept down to 0.80605 on yesterday's soft US CPI, then based and ground back up; now consolidating 0.8083–0.8099 and pressing the 0.8100 pivot into the London session. RSI(14) mid-60s, ATR compressed to ~4 pips ahead of US PPI at 12:30 UTC.
Support: 0.80833, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.80993, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Clean M15 close above 0.81000 pivot validates the 0.80993 session high break
Failure to hold 0.80833 session low reopens the 0.80605 swing low
US PPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF gapped ~50 pips lower to 0.8060 on yesterday's soft US CPI print, then based and rounded back up through the London session. Price now presses the 0.8100 psych pivot after a chain of higher lows off 0.80812; RSI(14) mid-60s, not yet stretched.
Support: 0.80812, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.80987, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Clean M15 close above 0.8100 validates the recovery toward 0.8152
Failure to hold 0.80812 reopens the 0.80605 drop low
US PPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF slid ~70 pips to 0.8060 after the soft US CPI print, then clawed back and is now grinding into the 0.8100 pivot with RSI(14) near 63. Higher lows have built since the drop; the 0.80987 session high and round 0.8100 cap the recovery for now.
Support: 0.80838, 0.8073, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.80987, 0.8100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8100 opens the path back toward prior YTD highs near 0.8150
Failure to hold 0.80838 exposes the 0.8060 swing low
US PPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift the USD leg
07:46 UTC
Recovering off CPI low, edging up · RSI 61 · price 0.80971
Range 0.8083–0.8099, testing top.
Sharp drop to 0.80631 on yesterday's soft US CPI print, then a grinding recovery that has held a 0.8083–0.8099 range through Asia into the London morning. Price is now pressing the session high just under the 0.8100 pivot, RSI(14) around 61, with no clear break yet.
Support: 0.80833, 0.80631
Resistance: 0.80987, 0.8100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8100 reopens the path to 0.8115+
Failure to hold 0.80833 breaks the recovery structure
US PPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
London session grinding higher toward the 0.8100 pivot after yesterday's CPI-driven flush to 0.8060. Price has ranged 0.8084-0.8098 for hours, RSI(14) firming near 62 as buyers step in on dips; the pivot caps the top for now.
Support: 0.8084, 0.8060
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.8098
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8100 resumes the uptrend, exposing 0.8150
Failure to hold 0.8084 session low reopens the CPI low at 0.8060
US PPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift the USD leg
USDCHF gapped ~50 pips lower on yesterday's soft US CPI print, bottoming at 0.80605, then carved a rounded recovery and has ground back toward the 0.8100 pivot. Last bars pushed to a session high near 0.80985, RSI(14) mid-60s; price is capped just under psychological 0.8100.
Support: 0.8084, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.80985, 0.8100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8100 resumes the prior uptrend toward 0.8150
Failure at 0.80985 session high keeps price boxed under 0.8100
US PPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
07:17 UTC
Pullback, now consolidating · RSI 49 · price 0.80899
Tight range below 0.8100 after CPI drop.
USD/CHF sold off sharply on the soft US CPI print, cracking to a 0.80605 session low before recovering. Since then it has consolidated in a tight ~15-pip band below the 0.8100 pivot, RSI(14) flat near 50 and ATR compressed to ~5 pips.
Support: 0.8080, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.8095, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 0.8100 pivot reopens upside toward YTD highs
Failure to hold the 0.80605 session low confirms a deeper pullback
US PPI at 12:30 UTC could break this consolidation
Post-CPI slide flushed to 0.80605 yesterday, then recovered and stalled; pair has ranged 0.8080-0.8098 below the 0.8100 pivot through Asia and into London. RSI(14) neutral near 49 and ATR compressed to ~6 pips — no expansion in play.
Support: 0.8080, 0.80631
Resistance: 0.80985, 0.8100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8100 pivot reopens the prior uptrend toward 0.8150
Failure to hold 0.80800 exposes the 0.80631 cpi low
US PPI 12:30 UTC could break the range either way
07:02 UTC
Down then flat, consolidating · RSI 46 · price 0.8091
Tight range below 0.8100 after CPI drop.
Yesterday's soft US CPI miss sank USDCHF ~0.4% below the 0.8100 pivot, spiking to 0.80605 before a slow recovery. Price now grinds in a tight 0.8080-0.8096 band, RSI(14) neutral near 46 and ATR compressed to ~3 pips — Asian-session drift, no setup in play.
Support: 0.8080, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.8096, 0.8100
What it said to watch
A close back above 0.8100 reopens the path toward the YTD-high zone
Loss of 0.8080 range floor exposes the 0.80605 cpi low
US PPI at 12:30 UTC could break this range
07:02 UTC
Downtrend easing, now flat · RSI 46 · price 0.8091
Consolidation below 0.8100 pivot.
USD/CHF sank ~50 pips to 0.8060 on yesterday's soft US CPI, then based and recovered into a tight 0.8083–0.8099 range. Price now drifts at 0.8091 through the London session, repeatedly rejected under the 0.8100 pivot.
Support: 0.8083, 0.8060
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.8099
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8100 reopens the path toward 0.8152
Failure to hold 0.8083 exposes the 0.8060 cpi low
US PPI at 12:30 UTC could break this range
06:47 UTC
Range after CPI drop · RSI 46 · price 0.80872
Consolidation inside post-drop range.
USD/CHF dropped ~50 pips to 0.8063 on yesterday's soft US CPI print, then settled into a 0.8063–0.8099 range through the London-NY sessions. Price now sits mid-range at 0.8087, RSI(14) neutral near 46 with the 0.8100 pivot still capping.
Support: 0.8080, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.80985, 0.8100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8100 exposes 0.8152/0.8171
loss of 0.80605 confirms a lower low
Core PPI at 12:30 UTC could break the range
06:46 UTC
Down leg, now flat · RSI 44 · price 0.80872
Consolidation below 0.8100 after CPI drop.
USDCHF gapped ~50 pips lower yesterday on the soft US CPI print, then based and clawed back to reject the 0.8100 pivot around the session high at 0.80985. Since then it has chopped in a tight 0.80812–0.80985 range and is drifting to the lower half at 0.80872, RSI(14) mid-40s.
Support: 0.80812, 0.80631
Resistance: 0.80985, 0.8100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8100 pivot exposes 0.8152 YTD zone
Loss of 0.80812 swing low confirms a fresh lower low toward 0.80631
Core PPI at 12:30 UTC could break this range
06:31 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 45 · price 0.80885
Range after sharp drop, mid-range.
USDCHF sold off hard on yesterday's soft US CPI and has since chopped sideways below the 0.8100 pivot, now pinned around the 50% fib of that drop near 0.80885. Tight consolidation between the 0.80812 session low and 0.80985 post-drop high; RSI(14) neutral, ATR compressed to ~4 pips.
Support: 0.80812, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.80985, 0.8100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81000 reopens 0.8152 and negates the consolidation
Failure to hold 0.80812 exposes the 0.80605 spike low
Core PPI at 12:30 UTC (~6h) could break this range
06:31 UTC
Down then flat, consolidating · RSI 46 · price 0.80885
Range post-drop below 0.8100.
USDCHF sold off sharply during yesterday's NY session on the soft US CPI print, tagging 0.80631 before recovering. It has since gone flat, ranging 0.8080-0.8098 through the Asian session and into London open, capped below the 0.8100 pivot with RSI near neutral.
Support: 0.8080, 0.80631
Resistance: 0.80985, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Core PPI at 12:30 UTC could break the 0.8080-0.8098 range
M15 close above 0.8100 pivot exposes 0.8152
Failure to hold 0.80800 reopens the 0.80631 cpi low
06:16 UTC
Down then ranging, momentum flat · RSI 45 · price 0.80868
Consolidation under 0.8100 after CPI break lower.
USDCHF gapped ~55 pips lower at the 12:30 UTC CPI print yesterday, sliding from 0.8116 to 0.8060, and has ground sideways since. Asia session is coiling in a tight 0.8080–0.8099 range under the 0.8100 pivot, RSI(14) flat near 45.
Support: 0.8080, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.80985, 0.8100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8100 invalidates the range and exposes 0.8152
Loss of 0.8080 opens a retest of the 0.80605 cpi low
Core PPI at 12:30 UTC could break this consolidation
USDCHF gapped ~50 pips lower on yesterday's soft US CPI print and has since gone sideways, ranging 0.8080–0.8095 through the Asia session with ATR compressed near 3 pips. Price sits mid-range at 0.80868, holding around the 50% retrace of the CPI drop; no directional impulse in play.
Support: 0.8080, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.8095, 0.8100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8100 psych pivot re-engages the prior uptrend toward 0.8152
Break below 0.8080 range floor exposes the 0.80605 cpi low
US Core PPI at 12:30 UTC could break this range decisively
06:02 UTC
Consolidation after CPI-driven drop · RSI 43 · price 0.80877
Range-bound below 0.8100 pivot.
USDCHF sold off sharply through 0.8100 on yesterday's soft US CPI print, bottoming at 0.80605 before recovering into a tight 0.8080–0.8095 band. The Asian session has been quiet and low-volume, with price drifting to the lower half of the range near 0.8088.
Support: 0.8081, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.8095, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Close above 0.8100 pivot exposes 0.8152
Break below 0.80810 range low opens 0.80605 cpi low
Core PPI at 12:30 UTC could break this range
06:02 UTC
Sideways after sharp drop · RSI 45 · price 0.80877
Range-bound below 0.8100 pivot.
USDCHF dropped ~50 pips off 0.8116 during the 12:30 UTC US CPI miss yesterday, then based near 0.8060 and clawed back to the 0.8080-0.8098 band. Price has ranged flatly through the Asia session, RSI(14) mid-40s and no momentum, capped below the 0.8100 pivot.
Support: 0.8080, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.80985, 0.8100
What it said to watch
close above 0.8100 reopens 0.8152/0.8171 and ends the range read
failure to hold 0.8080 exposes the 0.8060 post-cpi low
Core PPI at 12:30 UTC could break this range either way
05:46 UTC
Sideways after sharp drop · RSI 46 · price 0.80884
Ranging post-CPI slide, mid-range.
Soft US CPI drove a sharp slide below 0.8100 mid-session, after which price has ranged 0.8081–0.8098. Currently sitting mid-range near 0.8088 with RSI(14) neutral; range top at 0.80985 and the 0.8100 psych pivot cap above.
Support: 0.80812, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.80985, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Close above 0.8100 psych pivot exposes 0.8152 resistance
Failure to hold 0.80812 swing low opens the 0.80605 session low
Core PPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF cratered to 0.8063 on yesterday's soft US CPI print, then recovered to grind sideways in a 0.8083–0.8096 band through the Asia session. Price now sits near the lower edge at 0.8088 with RSI(14) neutral and ATR compressed to ~4 pips.
Support: 0.80831, 0.80686, 0.80631
Resistance: 0.80956, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Close above 0.8100 psych pivot reasserts the prior bullish structure toward 0.8150
Break below 0.8083 range low reopens the 0.8069 cpi low
Core PPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF gapped ~50 pips lower to 0.80605 on yesterday's soft US CPI print, then recovered and has coiled in a tight 0.8085-0.8098 band through the Asia session, holding the 38.2% retrace of the drop. RSI(14) sits neutral near 47 and ATR has compressed to ~5 pips; no setup in play into the London open.
Support: 0.8085, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.8098, 0.8100
What it said to watch
reclaim of 0.8100 psych pivot reopens 0.8150 YTD highs
loss of 0.8085 range low exposes the 0.80605 cpi low
US PPI at 12:30 UTC and Fed speak could break this range
05:31 UTC
Downtrend cooling into consolidation · RSI 49 · price 0.80915
Post-drop range under 0.8100.
Sharp leg down from ~0.8116 to a session low at 0.80605 on the soft US CPI aftermath, then price recovered and has consolidated between 0.8085 and 0.8096, capped just under the 0.8100 pivot. RSI(14) sits neutral near 49 with ATR compressed to ~5 pips, no active intraday setup.
Support: 0.8085, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.8096, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.8100 pivot reopens the path toward 0.8150 YTD highs
Loss of 0.8085 range low exposes the 0.80605 session low
US PPI 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could break this range
05:17 UTC
Sideways after CPI-driven drop · RSI 52 · price 0.80923
Consolidation below 0.8100 pivot.
USDCHF plunged through 0.8100 on the soft US CPI print, tagging 0.80605 before recovering, and has since coiled between 0.8081 and 0.8099. Price is pinned just under the 0.8100 pivot with RSI(14) neutral near 52 and volatility fading into the Asian session.
Support: 0.8081, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.80993, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.8100 reopens the 0.8150 YTD-high area
Break below 0.8081 exposes the 0.80605 cpi low
US PPI + Fed speak from 12:30 UTC could shift this read
05:16 UTC
Range after sharp drop · RSI 52 · price 0.80923
Consolidation below 0.8100 pivot.
Pair gapped ~500 pips lower on yesterday's soft US CPI print, bottoming at 0.80605, then recovered and has ranged 0.8080-0.8099 through the Asia session. Repeated rejection under the 0.8100 psych pivot; RSI(14) neutral near 52.
Support: 0.8080, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.80985
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.8100 exposes the 0.8150 YTD high area
Failure to hold 0.8080 swing low reopens the 0.80605 spike low
US PPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this range read
05:02 UTC
Sideways after sharp drop · RSI 54 · price 0.80933
Range-bound below 0.8100 pivot.
USDCHF sold off below 0.8100 on yesterday's soft US CPI (12:30 GMT bar collapsed from 0.8110 to 0.8069) and has since consolidated 0.8080–0.8099 through the Asian session. ATR has compressed to ~4 pips into the London pre-open, RSI neutral near 54; the 0.8100 pivot caps and 0.8080 floors the range.
Support: 0.8080, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.80993, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.8100 reopens 0.8150 YTD-high zone
M15 close below 0.8080 exposes the 0.80605 cpi low
US PPI at 12:30 GMT and Warsh testimony 14:00 GMT can break the range
05:02 UTC
Flat, consolidating post-CPI drop · RSI 53 · price 0.80933
Range-bound after sharp NY leg lower.
USDCHF cratered ~500 pips during yesterday's NY session on the soft US June CPI, bottoming at 0.80631, then based and recovered into a tight range. Asian/early-London hours have been quiet, coiling around 0.8093 with sub-0.8100 the ceiling and 0.8080 holding as the floor.
Support: 0.8080, 0.80631
Resistance: 0.80985, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.8100 psych pivot reopens 0.80985 swing high and beyond
Loss of 0.80800 session low exposes the 0.80631 cpi low
US PPI / Warsh testimony later today could break this range
04:47 UTC
Down then flat, consolidating · RSI 49 · price 0.8091
Range post-CPI drop, sub-0.8100.
USDCHF gapped down to 0.8065 on yesterday's soft US CPI print during NY hours, then based and ground back to 0.8090. Asia session is flat, ranging 0.8081-0.8096 with the 0.8100 pivot capping; RSI(14) neutral near 49, ATR compressed to ~4 pips.
Support: 0.8081, 0.8065
Resistance: 0.8096, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.8100 reasserts the prior bullish structure toward 0.8152
Break below 0.8081 opens a retest of the 0.8065 cpi low
US PPI 12:30 GMT and Warsh testimony 14:00 GMT could shift this range
04:46 UTC
Range-bound after CPI drop · RSI 49 · price 0.8091
Consolidation, 0.8080-0.8098 range.
Soft US June CPI knocked USD/CHF sharply to 0.80605 yesterday, after which the pair recovered and has ranged 0.8080-0.8098 through the Asian session. RSI sits near 50 and ATR is a thin ~4 pips; no setup in play with price pinned just under the 0.8100 pivot.
Support: 0.8080, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.8098, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.8100 exposes 0.8150 YTD high area
Loss of 0.8080 opens a retest of the 0.80605 cpi low
US PPI 12:30 GMT and Warsh testimony 14:00 GMT could materially shift this read
04:32 UTC
Range-bound below 0.8100 after CPI drop · RSI 48 · price 0.80903
Consolidation, mid-range in quiet Asian session.
USDCHF gapped ~50 pips lower on yesterday's soft US CPI, bottoming at 0.80605, and has since coiled into a 0.8080–0.8098 range. Asian session is thin (fading volume, ATR compressed to ~5 pips) with price idling around 0.8090, RSI neutral near 47 — no setup in play.
Support: 0.8080, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.80985, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.8100 reasserts the prior bullish structure toward 0.8150
M15 close below 0.8080 opens the 0.80605 cpi low
US PPI 12:30 GMT and Warsh testimony 14:00 GMT can materially shift the tape into London/NY
Asian session grinding in a tight 0.80812-0.80985 range after yesterday's soft US CPI knocked the pair from ~0.8115 down to a session low of 0.80605. RSI neutral near 47 and ATR compressed to ~5 pips; price capped below the 0.8100 pivot with no setup in play.
Support: 0.80812, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.80985, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 0.8100 pivot reopens 0.80985 range high and 0.8150 YTD area
Break below 0.80812 range low exposes the 0.80605 session low
US PPI at 12:30 GMT and Warsh testimony at 14:00 GMT can force a range break
USDCHF gapped ~55 pips lower into 0.8063 on yesterday's soft US CPI print, then based and has been ranging 0.8080–0.8099 through the Asia session. Price is grinding back toward the 0.80990 range high with the 0.8100 pivot capping just above; RSI(14) neutral near 55, ATR compressed to ~4 pips.
Support: 0.8080, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.8099, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 0.8100 pivot reopens the path toward YTD highs
Failure to hold 0.80800 range low reopens the 0.80605 cpi low
Core PPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF gapped lower off the soft US CPI print at 12:30 UTC yesterday, sliding to 0.80631 before buyers absorbed the move. Since then price has ranged 0.80800–0.80990 through the NY and Asia sessions with RSI(14) flat near 53, currently pinned at 0.80925 mid-range.
Support: 0.8080, 0.8063
Resistance: 0.8099, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.81000 pivot reasserts the pre-CPI bullish structure toward 0.8150
Loss of 0.80800 range low re-exposes the 0.80630 cpi low
US PPI at 12:30 UTC could break this range decisively
Pair sold off sharply on the soft US June CPI print (~12:30 UTC), tagging 0.80605 before basing. Since then it has ground back into a 0.80800–0.80985 range, with the current early-Asia bar edging toward the range high; RSI(14) mid-40s to mid-50s, no extreme. The 0.8100 pivot flagged in the CHF read still caps overhead.
Support: 0.8080, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.80985, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.8100 would reassert the prior bullish structure toward 0.8150
Failure to hold 0.80800 exposes the 0.80605 cpi low
US PPI cluster at 12:30 UTC is the key near-term swing factor
04:02 UTC
Down then flat, consolidating after CPI drop · RSI 52 · price 0.80908
Range post-breakdown, holding above session low.
Soft US CPI drove a ~50-pip flush from 0.8110 to 0.80631, since recovered into a tight 0.80800–0.80970 range. Price idling at 0.80908 near the 0.382 retrace of the drop, RSI(14) neutral around 52 — no setup in play.
Support: 0.8080, 0.80631
Resistance: 0.8097, 0.8110
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80970 opens the path back toward 0.81100
M15 close below 0.80800 exposes the 0.80631 cpi low
USDCHF gapped lower into 0.8060 on yesterday's soft US CPI print, then settled into a tight 0.8060-0.8099 range. Asian session is grinding back toward the range top at 0.80985, RSI near 55 with no extreme; the 0.8100 pivot caps above and defines the near-term structure.
Support: 0.8080, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.80985, 0.8100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81000 reasserts bullish structure and exposes 0.8150 YTD highs
Failure to hold 0.80800 reopens the 0.80605 session low
US PPI cluster (12:30 UTC) is the key near-term USD swing factor
03:46 UTC
Downtrend stalling, now ranging · RSI 54 · price 0.80933
Post-CPI drop then consolidation.
USDCHF gapped ~50 pips lower on the soft US June CPI print, bottoming at 0.80605 before recovering into a tight 0.8080–0.8098 range. Price is holding the upper half of that range at 0.80933 through the Asian session with RSI(14) neutral near 54 and ATR compressed around 4 pips.
Support: 0.8080, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.80985, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.8100 reopens the path toward 0.8150 YTD highs
Failure to hold 0.8080 exposes the 0.80605 session low
US PPI at 12:30 UTC is the key near-term driver for the dollar leg
USDCHF sold off hard through 0.8100 on the soft US CPI print during NY hours, tagging 0.80605, then spent Asia consolidating in a 0.8065–0.8099 band. Price is grinding back toward the 0.8100 pivot with RSI(14) neutral near 56, range high at 0.80990 still capping.
Support: 0.8080, 0.80631
Resistance: 0.8099, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.81000 pivot reopens the path toward 0.8152 YTD highs
Loss of 0.80800 range low exposes the 0.80631 cpi low
US PPI + Warsh testimony at 12:30/14:00 UTC could break this range
03:32 UTC
Recovery off CPI low, now flat · RSI 55 · price 0.80926
Range after impulsive drop.
Sharp CPI-driven drop yesterday from 0.8116 to 0.8063 broke the 0.8100 pivot, then price based and clawed back to a ~62% retrace near 0.8095. Asian session is quiet, ranging 0.8080-0.8099 with RSI(14) neutral around 55; 0.8100 still capping.
Support: 0.8080, 0.80631
Resistance: 0.80985, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.8100 would reassert the pre-CPI structure
Break below 0.8080 exposes the 0.80631 cpi low
US PPI at 12:30 UTC could re-price the USD leg
03:17 UTC
Consolidating after sharp drop · RSI 51 · price 0.80915
Range post-CPI flush, holding near rebound highs.
Consolidating 0.80800–0.80985 through the Asia session after the CPI-driven flush through 0.81100 during NY yesterday, which bottomed at 0.80605. RSI(14) neutral near 51 and ATR ~35 pips; price sits at the upper edge of the post-drop range with no fresh direction.
Support: 0.8080, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.80985, 0.8110
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80985 rebound high opens the path back toward the 0.81100 pre-drop level
Loss of 0.80800 session low exposes the 0.80605 crash low
US PPI at 12:30 UTC could break this range
03:16 UTC
Range after sharp CPI drop · RSI 55 · price 0.80915
Consolidating 0.8080-0.8099 post sell-off.
USDCHF slid hard through 0.8100 on yesterday's soft US CPI, printing a 0.8060 low, then stabilised. Price has chopped in a 0.8080-0.8099 band through the Asia session, RSI back to mid-range near 55 with ATR compressed to ~6 pips.
Support: 0.80801, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.80993, 0.8100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8100 reasserts the pre-CPI structure toward 0.8115
Failure to hold 0.8080 reopens the 0.8060 CPI low
US PPI + Warsh testimony (12:30/14:00 UTC) could break this range
USDCHF sold off ~50 pips into the NY session on the soft US CPI miss, then bounced to 0.8099 before fading. Asian session is drifting lower on thin volume, printing lower highs and ranging 0.8080-0.8090; 0.8100 pivot rejected on the way down.
Support: 0.8080, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.8090, 0.8100
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80800 exposes the 0.80605 cpi low
Reclaim of 0.80900 session high, then 0.81000 psych pivot, would reset the range
US PPI 12:30 GMT and Warsh testimony 14:00 GMT could materially shift this read
USD/CHF gapped ~470 pips lower during the NY session on the soft US CPI print, then based near 0.8060 and recovered into the 0.8098 area. Asia hours have been quiet, drifting off the recovery high and now ranging 0.8080–0.8098, capped by the 0.8100 pivot with RSI mid-range.
Support: 0.8080, 0.80631
Resistance: 0.80985, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.8100 pivot exposes 0.8152 higher
Failure to hold 0.8080 range floor opens 0.80631 swing low
US PPI cluster 12:30 GMT + Warsh testimony could reprice the USD side
02:47 UTC
Downtrend post-CPI, now flat · RSI 43 · price 0.80854
Consolidating below broken 0.8100.
USDCHF broke sharply below 0.8100 on yesterday's soft US CPI, bottoming at 0.80631 before recovering into a tight Asia-session range of roughly 0.8080-0.8098. Price now drifts mid-range at 0.80854, RSI(14) neutral near 42; the 0.8100 psych pivot caps the upside.
Support: 0.8080, 0.80631
Resistance: 0.80985, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.8100 exposes 0.8150 area above
Loss of 0.8080 range low reopens the 0.80631 cpi low
US PPI 12:30 GMT and Warsh testimony 14:00 GMT could shift this read
02:47 UTC
Downtrend cooling, now ranging · RSI 43 · price 0.80854
Consolidation below 0.8100 after sharp drop.
USD/CHF gapped sharply lower on the soft US CPI print, tagging 0.8060 before recovering into a tight consolidation just under the 0.8100 pivot. Asia session is drifting toward 0.8080 with RSI(14) mid-range and successive highs capping at the 0.8095 range top.
Support: 0.8080, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.8095, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.8100 pivot exposes 0.8150 YTD-high area
Loss of 0.8080 asia low reopens 0.8060 swing low
US PPI 12:30 GMT and Warsh testimony 14:00 GMT could shift this read
02:32 UTC
Downtrend easing into range · RSI 45 · price 0.80886
Consolidation below 0.8100 after CPI breakdown.
USDCHF gapped ~50 pips lower on the soft US CPI print, tagging 0.80631 before recovering into a tight Asian-session range around 0.8090. The 0.8100 pivot has capped the bounce; price is coiling between 0.8080 and 0.8099 with RSI mid-range and ATR compressed to ~5 pips.
Support: 0.8080, 0.80631
Resistance: 0.8099, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.8100 exposes 0.8150 YTD highs
Failure to hold 0.8080 reopens the 0.80631 crash low
US PPI + Warsh testimony later today could reprice this range
02:32 UTC
Downtrend post-CPI, now flat · RSI 47 · price 0.80886
Sharp drop then range near lows.
USDCHF cratered ~50 pips into the 0.8063 spike low as soft US CPI knocked the dollar, then bounced and has churned in a tight 0.8080–0.8098 band through the Asia session. Price sits just under 0.8100, the pivot flagged post-CPI, with RSI(14) neutral near 47.
Support: 0.8080, 0.80631
Resistance: 0.80985, 0.8100
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.8100 exposes 0.8150 YTD highs
Loss of 0.8080 reopens the 0.8063 spike low
US PPI 12:30 GMT and Warsh testimony 14:00 GMT could reset this read
Range after CPI-driven breakdown, drifting to lower edge.
USDCHF gapped ~85 pips lower on the June US CPI miss and has since based between 0.8080 and 0.8095. Asia session is drifting back toward the range floor with RSI(14) soft near 40; sellers capping each bounce below the 0.80950 range top.
Support: 0.80801, 0.80631
Resistance: 0.8095
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80801 opens the path to 0.80631
Reclaim of 0.80950 negates the drift lower and reasserts the range
US PPI at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
02:16 UTC
Downtrend post-CPI, now consolidating · RSI 42 · price 0.80873
Range after breakdown, edging toward lows.
USDCHF cratered ~50 pips on the soft US CPI miss, then consolidated between 0.80812 and 0.80993 for the last several hours. Price is now grinding back toward the session low with RSI(14) around 42 and holding below EMA20/50.
Support: 0.80812
Resistance: 0.80948, 0.80993
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80812 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.80993 negates the breakdown read
US PPI 12:30 GMT and Warsh testimony 14:00 GMT could materially shift this read
02:02 UTC
Range after sharp drop, drifting lower · RSI 43 · price 0.80862
Consolidation below 0.8100, lower highs.
USDCHF dropped ~50 pips on the US CPI miss around 12:30 GMT, printing 0.80605 before recovering to 0.80985 and rolling over. Now drifting lower into Asia hours near 0.80862, holding above the 0.80801 session low with lower highs capping since the 0.80985 rejection.
Support: 0.80801, 0.80631
Resistance: 0.8090, 0.80985
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80801 opens a retest of the 0.80631 cpi low
reclaim of 0.80900 needed to re-challenge the 0.80985 recovery high
US PPI later at 12:30 GMT could reignite USD volatility
02:02 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating after drop · RSI 41 · price 0.80862
Range above CPI-driven low, edging lower.
A sharp downside break on yesterday's soft US CPI drove USDCHF from 0.8110 to 0.8063, then price recovered into a 0.8090-0.8095 range through the NY-Asia handover. It is now edging back toward the 0.8080 session low with RSI(14) cooling near 40.
Support: 0.8080, 0.80631
Resistance: 0.8095, 0.80985
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.8080 opens the 0.80631 cpi low
Reclaim of 0.8095 range top negates the downside drift
US PPI at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
01:47 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 43 · price 0.80865
Range after sharp CPI-driven drop.
Quiet Asia session. USD/CHF gapped lower into 0.806 on yesterday's soft US CPI, then recovered and coiled in a 0.808–0.810 range; last few bars have drifted down toward the session low at 0.80801 with RSI in the low 40s. Range top at 0.80985 has capped every push higher.
Support: 0.80801, 0.80631
Resistance: 0.80985, 0.81109
What it said to watch
Close below 0.80801 opens the spike low at 0.80631
Reclaim of 0.80985 puts price back into the range mid
US PPI 12:30 GMT and Warsh testimony 14:00 GMT could break the range
01:47 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 42 · price 0.80865
Sharp drop then range, edging to session lows.
USDCHF gapped ~50 pips lower on the June US CPI miss, then consolidated in a 0.8060-0.8099 range for most of the session. Price is now drifting back toward the 0.80800 session low after repeated rejections at the 0.80950 range top.
Support: 0.8080, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.8095, 0.8099
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80800 reopens the 0.80605 drop low
Reclaim above 0.80990 negates the drift lower
US PPI at 12:30 GMT could snap USD momentum either way
01:32 UTC
Downtrend, drifting lower after CPI drop · RSI 38 · price 0.80829
Consolidation rolling over toward session lows.
USDCHF dumped ~50 pips on the soft US CPI print during NY, bottoming at 0.80605, then consolidated 0.8080–0.8099. Asia session is grinding back toward the lows, RSI(14) near 38 with price back below EMA20.
Support: 0.80801, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.8090
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80801 opens the path to the 0.80605 post-cpi low
Reclaim of 0.80900 consol top negates the downside drift
US PPI 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Sharp break lower, then rangebound with a lower drift.
USD/CHF collapsed through 0.810 on the soft US June CPI print at the 12:30 UTC bar, bottoming near 0.80605. Price stabilised into a 0.808–0.8099 range through the Asia session and is now drifting back toward the session low at 0.80801, RSI(14) mid-40s.
Support: 0.80801, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.80915, 0.80985
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.80915 range top negates the lower drift
Break below 0.80801 session low reopens the 0.80605 cpi low
US PPI and Warsh testimony later today are the main USD catalysts
01:17 UTC
Downtrend from CPI, now consolidating · RSI 41 · price 0.80811
Post-drop range, drifting to lows.
Soft US CPI at 12:30 UTC yesterday knocked USDCHF sharply from 0.8148 to 0.806; price has since consolidated 0.806–0.8099. Asia session is drifting back to the lower end of that range near 0.8081, RSI(14) around 41.
Support: 0.80686, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.8095, 0.80993
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80605 confirms a range break lower
Reclaim of 0.80950 puts price back mid-range
US PPI 12:30 UTC / Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could reset this read
Consolidating below NY spike, holding 50% retrace.
NY session spiked down to 0.80631 then bought back to 0.80993; Asia trade has drifted quietly lower, sitting on the 50% retrace near 0.80812. RSI(14) mid-range at ~38 and ATR compressed to ~4 pips in thin overnight flow.
Support: 0.80806, 0.80631
Resistance: 0.8097
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80806 session low reopens the 0.80631 spike low
Reclaim of 0.80970 session high needed to unwind the intraday drift
US PPI 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could break the compression
01:02 UTC
Downtrend post-CPI, now consolidating · RSI 42 · price 0.80838
Range after sharp breakdown, drifting to lower bound.
Soft US June CPI slammed USDCHF from ~0.8112 down to 0.8063 during NY hours yesterday, unwinding the YTD-high rally. Price has since consolidated 0.8060-0.8099; the quiet Asia session is now drifting back toward the lower bound with the last bar at 0.80838.
Support: 0.80833, 0.80708, 0.80631
Resistance: 0.80948, 0.80993
What it said to watch
Close below 0.80708 opens the path toward the 0.80631 spike low
Reclaim of 0.80948 needed to challenge the 0.80993 session high
US PPI at 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
01:02 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating after breakdown · RSI 42 · price 0.80838
Range-bound above post-CPI low.
USD/CHF gapped sharply lower from ~0.8110 to 0.8060 as the soft US June CPI unwound hawkish Fed pricing and hit the dollar broadly. Price has since consolidated 0.80605–0.80993 and is now easing back toward the lower half of that range with RSI(14) around 42.
Support: 0.80708, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.80948, 0.80993
What it said to watch
Close below 0.80605 (cpi low) extends the breakdown
Close above 0.80993 (swing high) negates the range read
US PPI and Warsh testimony later today are the main USD catalysts
00:47 UTC
Downtrend cooled, now ranging · RSI 44 · price 0.80898
Tight base after impulsive drop.
USDCHF collapsed from 0.8110 to 0.8063 on the soft US CPI print at the 12:30 UTC bar, then based and chopped in a tight 0.8087–0.8099 band through the quiet Asia session. RSI sits mid-range and ATR is compressed near 3 pips — no expansion in play.
Support: 0.8087, 0.80631
Resistance: 0.8099, 0.8110
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80990 session high needed to threaten the pre-drop 0.81100 zone
Loss of 0.80870 session low opens a retest of the 0.80631 cpi spike low
London open likely ends the Asia-range compression
00:31 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 42 · price 0.80875
Consolidation after sharp drop.
USDCHF gapped sharply lower off 0.8110 into 0.8063 on the soft US CPI-driven USD sell-off, then based and recovered to 0.80993. Price has since coiled in a tight 0.8087–0.8095 consolidation through the quiet Asia session, RSI(14) neutral near 42 and probing the range low.
Support: 0.8087, 0.80631
Resistance: 0.80993, 0.8095
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80870 range low opens the path back toward 0.80631
Reclaim of 0.80993 session high needed to exit the consolidation
US PPI at 12:30 GMT and Warsh testimony could materially shift this read
00:31 UTC
Downtrend cooling into consolidation · RSI 42 · price 0.80875
Sharp drop then tight range, edging to lows.
USDCHF gapped lower off 0.8110 in a single impulsive M15 candle as the soft US CPI unwound the hawkish-Fed bid, then based and recovered to 0.80985. Since NY hours it has consolidated 0.8087–0.8098 and is now pressing the session low with RSI(14) mid-40s.
Support: 0.8087, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.80985, 0.8135
What it said to watch
Break below 0.8087 session low reopens the 0.80605 swing low
Reclaim of 0.80985 range high negates the lower-high structure
US PPI cluster later today could shift the USD side of this read
00:16 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 46 · price 0.80899
Sharp drop then flat range near lows.
USDCHF dumped from 0.8145 to a 0.80605 spike low as the soft US June CPI unwound long-USD positioning, then recovered and has consolidated in a tight 0.80891–0.80985 band for the last several hours. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 46 with ATR compressed to ~13 pips; price hugging EMA20 with no directional impulse.
Support: 0.80891, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.80985, 0.8093
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80985 breaks the consolidation ceiling
Break below 0.80891 reopens the 0.80605 drop low
US PPI 12:30 GMT could reset the USD side of this read
00:16 UTC
Down then flat, momentum stalled · RSI 43 · price 0.80899
Tight consolidation after sharp drop.
USDCHF broke lower into the 0.8063 spike on the soft US June CPI print, then rebounded to 0.809 and has coiled in a 0.8089-0.8097 range through the Asia session. Volatility has collapsed, RSI(14) mid-40s, ATR near 4 pips — no fresh direction, price pinned just under EMA20/50.
Support: 0.80891, 0.80631
Resistance: 0.80972
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80972 breaks the Asia range top
Loss of 0.80891 reopens the 0.8063 cpi low
US PPI 12:30 GMT could break the coil
00:02 UTC
Downtrend post-CPI, now flat · RSI 48 · price 0.80907
Sharp breakdown then tight consolidation near lows.
The soft US June CPI at 12:30 GMT drove USDCHF down ~50 pips from 0.8110 into 0.8063. Price has since consolidated in a 0.8064–0.8099 range; the thin Asia session leaves it drifting near 0.8090 with RSI(14) neutral around 47.
Support: 0.80707, 0.80631
Resistance: 0.80993, 0.8109
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80993 range top opens the path back toward pre-cpi 0.81090
Loss of 0.80707 swing low re-exposes the 0.80631 cpi low
US PPI cluster at 12:30 GMT Wed is the next catalyst and could break this range
00:02 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 47 · price 0.80907
Flat range after impulsive drop.
USD/CHF was knocked off the 0.8150 YTD-high area by the soft US June CPI print, gapping down through a ~50-pip candle to 0.8063 before recovering. Since then it has coiled in a tight 0.8089–0.8098 band through the thin Asian session, RSI(14) neutral near 47.
Support: 0.80891, 0.80631
Resistance: 0.80985, 0.81127
What it said to watch
Close below 0.80891 reopens the 0.80631 cpi low
Reclaim of 0.80985 swing high needed to break the range higher
US PPI cluster 12:30 GMT could break this consolidation