USDCHF ran from 0.8045 to a session high of 0.80970 during NY hours before rejection there, and has since drifted back to ~0.8085 into thin late-session trade. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s and price is hugging the EMAs; ranging 0.8083–0.8092 with no fresh momentum.
Support: 0.80826, 0.80805, 0.8071
Resistance: 0.8092, 0.8097
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80826 opens the 0.8071 50% retrace
Reclaim of 0.80920 reopens the 0.80970 session high
Fri 14:00 UTC UoM sentiment could shift the USD leg
23:47 UTC
Uptrend faded, now flat · RSI 47 · price 0.80848
Tight consolidation below session high.
USDCHF rallied through the NY session to a high of 0.80970 before fading into a tight consolidation around 0.80848 in quiet late-NY/early-Asia hours. RSI(14) neutral near 47 and ATR compressed to a few pips; no setup in play with the dollar sitting near multi-week lows.
Support: 0.80805, 0.8071
Resistance: 0.8097, 0.80948
What it said to watch
Break below 0.80805 opens the 0.80710 fib zone
Reclaim of 0.80970 session high resumes the intraday climb
UoM sentiment (14:00 UTC Fri) could break the low-vol drift
23:32 UTC
Uptrend faded, now flat · RSI 47 · price 0.8085
Pullback from session high, consolidating.
NY session drove USDCHF up to a 0.80970 session high before fading, with the dollar sitting near multi-week lows on trimmed Fed-hike bets. Price now consolidates around 0.8085 in quiet late-session hours, holding above the 0.80805 pullback low.
Support: 0.80805, 0.80654
Resistance: 0.8092, 0.8097
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80920 reopens the 0.80970 session high
Break below 0.80805 exposes the 0.80654 swing low
SNB intervention or Mideast headlines could shift the read
USDCHF ran to a session high of 0.8097 through the NY session before fading to 0.8080, and is now pinned in a tight 0.8080-0.8092 range in thin late-Asia trade. Momentum has flattened, RSI(14) neutral near 46; the dollar sits near multi-week lows on softer Fed-hike pricing while SNB intervention risk caps franc gains.
Support: 0.8080, 0.8067
Resistance: 0.8092, 0.8097
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8097 reopens the session high
Loss of 0.8080 confirms a lower low toward 0.8067
UoM Consumer Sentiment (Fri 14:00 UTC) could shift the USD leg
23:17 UTC
Intraday uptrend stalling, pullback into range · RSI 46 · price 0.80854
HH/HL chain up to session high, now consolidating below it.
London-NY hours drove USD/CHF up to a session high of 0.80970 on the soft-USD drift, before the move rolled over and faded into a quiet late-Asia consolidation around 0.8085. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s and price is back below EMA20; buyers held twice at 0.80805 but the session-high momentum has drained.
Support: 0.80805, 0.80674
Resistance: 0.80885, 0.8097
What it said to watch
Reclaim and close above 0.80885 keeps the 0.80970 session high in play
Loss of 0.80805 exposes the 0.80674 swing low
UoM Consumer Sentiment (Fri 14:00 UTC) could shift the USD leg of this read
Range after intraday rally, consolidating in thin Asia.
USDCHF rallied through the London-NY window to a session high of 0.8097, then faded to 0.8085 and has gone flat in thin Asia trade, RSI(14) neutral near 46. Move fits USD steadying off multi-week lows after soft CPI/PPI while SNB intervention risk caps CHF strength. Price is now pinned just under EMA20 between 0.8080 support and 0.8092 prior high.
Support: 0.80805, 0.80666
Resistance: 0.8092, 0.8097
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80920 reopens the 0.80970 session high
USDCHF ground higher through London/NY to a session high at 0.80970 before rejecting and easing back, with the dollar steadying off its multi-week low after mixed US data. Price is now consolidating around 0.80865 in thin Asian trade, holding above the 0.80805 pullback low.
Support: 0.80805, 0.8072
Resistance: 0.8097, 0.8092
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80970 reopens the path higher
Loss of 0.80805 swing low confirms a lower-low into 0.80720
UoM sentiment/inflation expectations (Fri 14:00 UTC) is the next USD catalyst
23:02 UTC
Uptrend, momentum faded · RSI 50 · price 0.80865
Pullback from session high, now consolidating.
NY session drove USD/CHF up to a 0.80970 session high as the dollar bounced off lows on strong Philly Fed and jobless claims, then rejection there capped the move. Thin Asia session now consolidating between 0.80805 and 0.80920, RSI(14) back to neutral near 50.
Support: 0.80805, 0.8084
Resistance: 0.8097, 0.8092
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80970 session high reopens upside toward 0.8100
Break below 0.80805 session low signals a deeper pullback
UoM Sentiment/inflation expectations Fri 14:00 UTC is the key USD catalyst
Intraday HH/HL chain topped at 0.8097, now ranging.
USDCHF ran up through the London-NY session to a high of 0.8097 as the dollar firmed off its lows on strong Philly Fed and claims, then pulled back and stalled near 0.8086. Asian session is thin and quiet, price coiling just under EMA20 with RSI hovering mid-range.
Support: 0.80805, 0.8084
Resistance: 0.80925, 0.8097
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80970 session high resumes the intraday uptrend
Break below 0.80805 session low confirms a lower low
UoM Consumer Sentiment Fri 14:00 UTC is the week's key USD catalyst
22:46 UTC
Uptrend stalling into consolidation · RSI 50 · price 0.80868
Range after NY rally, holding above session floor.
USDCHF rallied through the NY session to a high of 0.80970, then rolled over into a tight range as the dollar steadied off its multi-week low. Price now sits ~0.80868 in thin Asian-hours trade, holding above the 0.80805 session floor with RSI(14) flat near 50.
Support: 0.80805, 0.80841
Resistance: 0.8097, 0.80948
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80805 confirms a lower low and breaks the range floor
Reclaim of 0.80970 reopens the session high
UoM Consumer Sentiment Fri 14:00 UTC is the week's key USD catalyst
USDCHF ground higher through the London-NY session from 0.8045 to a session high 0.80970, was rejected there, and has since drifted into a tight consolidation around 0.8085 in thin late-session trade. USD steadied off its multi-week low as resilient US claims and Philly Fed data offset the softer CPI/PPI read; RSI(14) has cooled back to mid-range.
Support: 0.80805, 0.8084
Resistance: 0.8097, 0.80942
What it said to watch
Close below 0.80805 session low turns the intraday structure lower
Reclaim of 0.80970 session high resumes the advance
UoM Consumer Sentiment Fri 14:00 UTC is the key USD catalyst
22:31 UTC
Uptrend stalling near highs · RSI 48 · price 0.80859
Consolidation below session high after impulsive run.
London-NY session drove USDCHF from 0.80450 to a 0.80970 session high before rolling into a tight consolidation around 0.80840-0.80900; the dollar found footing off lows after resilient US claims and Philly Fed data. RSI(14) has cooled back to neutral and price is now hugging the EMA20 into the Asia session.
Support: 0.80805, 0.80654
Resistance: 0.8097, 0.8100
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80805 confirms a lower-low and breaks the rising trendline
Break above 0.80970 reopens the path toward the 0.81000 handle
SNB intervention headlines remain the key brake on any CHF-driven leg lower
22:16 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back · RSI 43 · price 0.80844
HH to 0.8097 then lower highs into pullback.
USDCHF ground higher through the London-NY window to a session high at 0.80970, then rolled over and drifted back to 0.80844 on thin late/Asia volume. RSI(14) has cooled to the low 40s and price is back below EMA20; the recent up-leg from 0.80447 is holding a rising support line.
Support: 0.80805, 0.8074
Resistance: 0.8092, 0.8097
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80805 exposes the 0.80740 swing low
Reclaim of 0.80920 needed to retest the 0.80970 session high
UoM Consumer Sentiment Fri 14:00 UTC is the key USD catalyst
USDCHF climbed through the London-NY session from 0.8045 to a session high of 0.8097, aided by the dollar bouncing off lows after strong Philly Fed and jobless-claims prints. Price has since faded to 0.8084 and is drifting in quiet late-session trade, RSI(14) cooling to the low-40s with 0.8080 holding as near-term support.
Support: 0.80805, 0.8074
Resistance: 0.8094, 0.8097
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80805 exposes 0.80740 and negates the intraday HL chain
Reclaim of 0.80940 reopens the 0.80970 session high
UoM Sentiment + inflation expectations (Fri 14:00 UTC) is the week's key USD catalyst
22:02 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 0.80834
Pullback from session high, consolidating.
NY session drove USDCHF up to a session high of 0.80970 before sellers capped it and price rolled back to consolidate near 0.80834, RSI(14) cooling into the mid-40s. The grind higher tracks a soft-USD backdrop after cooler US CPI/PPI, though SNB intervention risk keeps a lid on franc strength. Price now sits between 0.80805 and 0.80970 with no fresh impulse.
Support: 0.80805, 0.8072
Resistance: 0.8097, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Close below 0.80805 exposes the 0.80720 swing low
Reclaim of 0.80970 session high reopens the path toward 0.81000
UoM inflation expectations Fri 14:00 UTC is the week's key USD catalyst
22:02 UTC
Uptrend faded, pulling back · RSI 43 · price 0.80834
Consolidating below session high after HH chain stalled.
USDCHF climbed through the NY session to a high of 0.80970 before rolling over, RSI(14) cooling to the low 40s as the move ran out of steam. Price now drifts around 0.80834 on very thin late-session volume, capped below EMA20 and holding just above the 0.80805 session low.
Support: 0.80805, 0.8074, 0.80654
Resistance: 0.8092, 0.8097
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80805 exposes 0.80740 and confirms a lower-low
Reclaim of 0.80920 revives the intraday uptrend
UoM inflation expectations Fri 14:00 UTC is the key USD catalyst that could reset this read
21:47 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back from highs · RSI 43 · price 0.80851
Higher highs into session high, now consolidating.
USDCHF ground higher through the NY session from 0.8045 to a session high 0.8097, then faded into the quiet late-session hours on the soft-USD tone, now consolidating near 0.8085. RSI(14) has cooled off the highs and price has slipped back below EMA20 as the pullback tags the 23.6% fib of the rally.
Support: 0.80805, 0.8066
Resistance: 0.8097
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.80805 opens the deeper fib toward the 0.80660 swing low
Reclaim of 0.80970 session high resumes the intraday advance
UoM inflation expectations Fri 14:00 UTC is the week's key USD catalyst
21:47 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back · RSI 46 · price 0.80851
Session high rejected, drifting lower.
NY session drove USD/CHF to a session high 0.80970 before rolling over; Asian hours have drifted back to 0.80851 on thin volume, price now below EMA20. RSI(14) cooled to the mid-40s as the pullback holds above the 0.80805 dip.
Support: 0.80805, 0.80754, 0.80447
Resistance: 0.8092, 0.8097
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.80920 revives the push toward 0.80970
Loss of 0.80805 exposes the 0.80754 session low
UoM inflation expectations Fri 14:00 UTC could shift the USD leg
21:31 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 43 · price 0.80841
HH into session high, now retracing.
USDCHF climbed through the London-NY sessions to a session high 0.80970 before rejecting and grinding back to 0.80841 in thin late-session trade, RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s. USD sits near a multi-week low on receding Fed-hike bets; last few bars are near-flat on minimal volume.
Support: 0.80835, 0.80795, 0.8076
Resistance: 0.8094, 0.8097
What it said to watch
Close below 0.80795 confirms deeper pullback toward 0.80760
Reclaim of 0.80940 reopens the 0.80970 session high
UoM inflation expectations Fri 14:00 UTC is the key USD catalyst
21:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 47 · price 0.80841
Recovery off 0.8042, stalling below session high.
NY session ground USD/CHF up from 0.8042 to a session high of 0.8097, then faded into the late-NY/Asia handover with the dollar sitting near a multi-week low on trimmed Fed-hike bets. Price is parked at 0.80841 on thin end-of-day volume, RSI cooling back to the mid-40s after the rejection near 0.8097.
Support: 0.80788, 0.80654
Resistance: 0.8097, 0.80929
What it said to watch
Close above 0.8097 session high resumes the recovery
Break below 0.80788 swing low negates the up-move
UoM inflation expectations Fri 14:00 UTC is the key USD catalyst
NY session pushed USD/CHF to a session high of 0.8097 before rejection there, and price has since drifted back to 0.8085 on thin late-session volume as the dollar steadied off its one-month low. RSI(14) has cooled to mid-40s and price has slipped under the EMA20; the broader intraday climb still holds while 0.8075 is respected.
Support: 0.8075, 0.80654, 0.8042
Resistance: 0.8097, 0.80885
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80750 confirms a lower-low and opens 0.80654 then the 0.8042 march high
Reclaim of 0.80970 session high resumes the uptrend
Michigan Consumer Sentiment Fri 14:00 UTC could shift the USD leg
21:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 46 · price 0.80846
Consolidating below session high after intraday rally.
NY session drove USDCHF off 0.8042 to a session high 0.80970, aided by an intraday dollar bounce, but momentum stalled into late hours with price now consolidating 0.8084-0.8090 below EMA20. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s as the pullback holds above the ascending intraday support.
Support: 0.80838, 0.8075
Resistance: 0.8097
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.80970 resumes the upside push
Failure to hold 0.80838 opens a slide toward 0.80750 swing low
SNB intervention headlines the key brake on any CHF strength
21:03 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 47 · price 0.8086
Consolidating below session high after topping at 0.80970.
USDCHF ground higher through the NY session, topping at 0.80970 before cooling back to 0.8086 as the dollar firmed on the strong Philly Fed and claims beats. RSI has eased to mid-range and price now sits just below EMA20, holding above the rising session support and the 0.8085 low.
Support: 0.8085, 0.8080
Resistance: 0.8097, 0.8092
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.8085 session low opens 0.8080 psych
Reclaim of 0.80970 session high needed to resume the advance
UoM Consumer Sentiment Fri 14:00 UTC could shift the USD leg
21:03 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 45 · price 0.8086
HH/HL chain stalling below session high.
USDCHF climbed steadily from 0.8042 through London-NY to a session high at 0.8097 before rejection set in, RSI(14) cooling from overbought back near 45. Price has slipped under EMA20 to 0.8086 and is consolidating just above the intraday base, dollar-side softness after cooler US CPI/PPI keeping a lid on the advance.
Support: 0.8085, 0.8065, 0.8042
Resistance: 0.8097, 0.8100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8097 reopens the path to the 0.8100 psych level
Failure to hold 0.8085 exposes the 0.8065 swing low
SNB intervention headlines remain the key brake on any CHF-led leg lower
USDCHF ground higher through the London-NY window to a session high at 0.80970 before rejecting and easing back to 0.80862, dipping under EMA20 as RSI cooled to the mid-40s. The pair holds above the rising support line off the day's lows; soft US CPI/PPI kept the dollar heavy while a Mideast-driven safe-haven CHF bid caps the upside.
Support: 0.80835, 0.80758
Resistance: 0.8097, 0.8100
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80835 breaks the recent higher-low chain
Reclaim of 0.80970 reopens the path to the 0.81000 round number
Michigan sentiment Fri 14:00 UTC could shift the USD leg
USDCHF ground higher through the session to a high of 0.80970 before easing back to 0.80862, with the dollar sitting near a one-month low but finding a modest safe-haven floor from Mideast/energy risk. Price now consolidates below the session high, RSI(14) cooling toward neutral and slipping under EMA20.
Support: 0.80838, 0.8080, 0.8075
Resistance: 0.8097, 0.80885
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80800 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
Reclaim of 0.80970 reopens the upside toward 0.8100
UoM Consumer Sentiment (Fri 14:00 UTC) is the next USD-side risk
Consolidating just below session high after HH/HL climb.
USDCHF ground higher through the NY session from the 0.8042 base to a session high at 0.8097, then stalled and is now coiling in a tight 0.8087–0.8092 range with RSI(14) back near neutral. Price is pinned just under the highs with the dollar sitting close to a one-month low; no fresh momentum since the pullback off 0.8097.
Support: 0.80872, 0.8075
Resistance: 0.8097, 0.80948
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80970 session high reopens the uptrend leg
Loss of 0.80872 range low would break the consolidation and expose 0.80750 prior low
Fed's Jefferson (23:00 UTC) could inject fresh USD volatility
NY session extended the up-leg from the 0.8042 low to a session high at 0.80970 before stalling, RSI(14) cooling back to neutral. Price now coiling in a 0.8088–0.8091 range as the move loses steam late in the NY day.
Support: 0.80838, 0.80793
Resistance: 0.8097, 0.80939
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80838 breaks the higher-low chain
Reclaim of 0.80970 reopens the intraday push higher
UoM sentiment/inflation expectations Fri 14:00 UTC could shift the USD leg
Higher highs into consolidation near session high.
NY session drove USDCHF off 0.8065 up to a session high at 0.8097 as the dollar steadied on firm US data, then stalled and drifted back to 0.8088. Price is consolidating just under the high with RSI(14) cooling toward mid-range; the intraday sequence of higher lows is intact.
Support: 0.80835, 0.80754, 0.80654
Resistance: 0.8097, 0.8100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80970 opens the path to the 0.8100 psych level
Loss of 0.80835 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and exposes 0.80754
SNB intervention headlines remain the key brake on any franc-led move
NY session drove USDCHF up to a session high of 0.80970 before rejection, with the pair now consolidating in a tight 0.8087-0.8092 band as RSI cooled to the mid-50s. The bounce off the June-low zone tracks broad USD stabilising near a one-month low after firm US data steadied but did not rescue the dollar.
Support: 0.80838, 0.80794, 0.80654
Resistance: 0.8097, 0.80948
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80970 resumes the intraday uptrend toward the 0.8100 area
Loss of 0.80794 rising support confirms a lower low and breaks the consolidation
Fed's Jefferson speaks 23:00 UTC — could shift the USD read
NY session drove the HH/HL sequence up to a session high at 0.8097 before easing back to 0.8088, with the pair grinding sideways into the late-NY hours. Move fits the soft US CPI/PPI repricing that has kept USD near a one-month low; momentum is flattening but the rising structure off the 0.8042 base holds.
Support: 0.80835, 0.8072, 0.80417
Resistance: 0.8097
What it said to watch
Close below 0.80720 breaks the rising sequence of higher lows
Break and hold above 0.80970 session high resumes the uptrend
UoM sentiment/inflation expectations Fri 14:00 UTC could shift the USD leg
USDCHF ground higher through London-NY from the 0.8042 base to a session high at 0.8097, aided by a modest safe-haven floor. Late NY has stalled into a tight 0.8087-0.8097 consolidation, RSI cooling to mid-range as momentum flattens near the highs.
Support: 0.8087, 0.80754, 0.80666
Resistance: 0.8097, 0.80942
What it said to watch
Close below 0.8087 breaks the micro consolidation and exposes 0.80754
Close above 0.8097 resumes the intraday uptrend
SNB intervention headlines remain the dominant local risk to CHF
Higher highs and higher lows, consolidating below session high.
USD/CHF ground higher through the London-NY session to a session high at 0.80970 before stalling, RSI(14) easing off the top as the dollar steadies near a multi-week low. Price is now consolidating in a tight 0.80870-0.80920 band above the rising-lows line, holding the intraday uptrend.
Support: 0.80872, 0.80838
Resistance: 0.80948, 0.8097
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80838 breaks the higher-low sequence and voids the uptrend read
Reclaim of 0.80970 session high opens continuation higher
UoM Michigan sentiment Fri 14:00 UTC could shift the USD leg
USDCHF climbed through the NY session off the 0.8042 low to a session high at 0.8097 as a soft-USD backdrop faded on a firmer data pulse. Price is now consolidating in a tight 0.8087–0.8097 band, RSI cooling off its highs; the higher-low chain remains intact above 0.80836.
Support: 0.80836, 0.8075
Resistance: 0.8097, 0.8100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8097 opens the path to the 0.8100 handle
Loss of 0.80836 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
Fed's Jefferson speaks 23:00 UTC — could shift the USD leg
Higher highs and higher lows, consolidating below session high.
NY session drove USD/CHF up to a session high at 0.80970 before stalling; price is now consolidating around 0.809 with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-50s. The higher-low chain off the 0.80447 London low remains intact, dollar underpinned near multi-week lows on soft US inflation data.
Support: 0.80872, 0.8080, 0.80654
Resistance: 0.8097, 0.8100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80970 opens the path to the 0.81000 round number
Failure to hold 0.80872 breaks the higher-low chain
UoM Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations Fri 14:00 UTC could shift the USD leg
USDCHF ground higher through the NY session to a session high at 0.80970 before stalling, the dollar steadying near multi-week lows after soft US inflation data. Price is now consolidating around 0.80905 above the 0.80838 pivot, RSI cooling from the highs.
Support: 0.80838, 0.80758, 0.80666
Resistance: 0.8097
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80970 extends the HH chain
Failure to hold 0.80838 exposes the 0.80758 ny low
SNB intervention headlines remain a cap on any CHF-driven leg
NY session drove a steady climb from the 0.80654 low to a session high at 0.80970, USDCHF holding Wednesday's dollar softness but bid on Middle East safe-haven flows. Price is now consolidating 0.80870-0.80920 late in the NY session with RSI cooling from the highs; the session-high cap at 0.80970 remains intact.
Support: 0.80835, 0.8072, 0.80654
Resistance: 0.8097, 0.8100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80970 opens the path to the 0.81000 psych level
Loss of 0.80835 swing low signals the intraday climb stalling
Fri 14:00 UTC UoM inflation expectations could shift the USD read
Higher highs into session high, now consolidating.
NY session ground higher through the day to a session high at 0.80970 before easing back to 0.80891, RSI(14) cooling to the low-50s. USD steadied off its one-month low after firm US jobless claims and a Philly Fed beat; pair now consolidating just under the session high with the rising swing-low sequence intact.
Support: 0.80838, 0.80765, 0.80654
Resistance: 0.8097, 0.8100
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80838 breaks the rising higher-low sequence
Reclaim of 0.80970 session high reopens the path toward 0.81000
UoM sentiment + inflation expectations Fri 14:00 UTC could shift the read
USDCHF ground higher through the NY session from the Asian range near 0.8042 to a session high of 0.80970 as the dollar steadied off multi-week lows. Price is now consolidating around 0.8088 with RSI cooling from the highs; the 0.8100 round number caps the top of the move.
Support: 0.8075, 0.8066, 0.8054
Resistance: 0.8097, 0.8100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80970 exposes the 0.8100 round number
Loss of 0.80750 swing low breaks the intraday higher-low chain
UoM sentiment + inflation expectations Fri 14:00 UTC could shift this read
19:02 UTC
Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 51 · price 0.8088
Higher highs into session peak, now consolidating.
USDCHF ground higher through the London-NY session, printing a session high at 0.80970 before stalling as broad USD softness held. Price is now consolidating near 0.8088 with RSI(14) back to neutral around 51; the 0.80765 swing low is the nearest structure holding the up-leg.
Support: 0.80765, 0.80654, 0.80417
Resistance: 0.8097, 0.8090
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80765 breaks the rising support and confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 0.80970 session high reopens the up-leg
Fri 14:00 UTC UoM sentiment / inflation expectations could shift the USD read
USDCHF ground higher through the NY session, the dollar recovering off weekly lows after a strong jobless-claims print and Philly Fed beat, tagging a session high of 0.80970. Price is now consolidating near 0.80890 with RSI(14) easing off, holding above a rising intraday support line.
Support: 0.80838
Resistance: 0.8097
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80970 extends the uptrend
Loss of 0.80838 swing low breaks the HL chain
Fri 14:00 UTC UoM inflation expectations could shift the USD read
Chain of higher highs/lows, stalling under session high.
USDCHF ground higher through the London-NY session, peaking at 0.80970 before stalling; the pair is now consolidating just below that session high with RSI cooling from mid-60s. The bid reflects a steadier dollar after in-line US retail sales and strong jobless/Philly Fed prints, even as USD holds near multi-week lows.
Support: 0.80838, 0.8075
Resistance: 0.8097, 0.8100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80970 opens the path to the 0.81000 round number
Loss of the 0.80838 swing low would break the higher-low chain
UoM inflation expectations Fri 14:00 UTC could shift the dollar read
NY session extended the grind higher to a session high at 0.80970 before easing back to 0.80899, RSI(14) cooling from the highs. USD firmed on safe-haven bids per the geopolitical backdrop; price now consolidating just above the 0.80838 breakout with buyers defending 0.80872.
Support: 0.80872, 0.80838, 0.80795
Resistance: 0.8097
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80838 breaks the rising intraday structure
Reclaim of 0.80970 opens continuation higher
Fri UoM inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) could shift this read
Higher highs and higher lows, pulling back from session high.
USDCHF ground higher through the NY session, printing a session high at 0.80970 before easing to 0.80899, with the bid tied to safe-haven/oil flows as the soft-dollar tape stays two-way. RSI(14) has cooled from the highs and price is now testing the rising channel from the 0.80654 base; 0.80838 is the first structural support below.
Support: 0.80838, 0.80795, 0.80654
Resistance: 0.8097
What it said to watch
Break above 0.80970 extends the intraday uptrend toward 0.8100
Loss of 0.80838 threatens the higher-low chain, exposing 0.80795
Fri UoM inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) could shift this dollar read
Higher highs/higher lows, pulling back from session high.
NY session extended the climb to a session high at 0.8097 before rejecting, with price now drifting back toward 0.8088 as RSI(14) cools from the highs. USD found a safe-haven bid on Middle East headlines even as US retail sales landed in line, keeping the intraday higher-low chain intact.
Support: 0.80794, 0.80654, 0.8060
Resistance: 0.8097, 0.8100
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80794 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
Higher highs into NY, pulling back from session high.
USDCHF trended up through the NY session, peaking at 0.80970 before rejection stalled the advance; USD found a safe-haven bid on Iran headlines while data landed in line. Price now consolidating around 0.80883 above rising EMAs, RSI(14) cooling from the highs near 57.
Support: 0.80838, 0.80794, 0.80654
Resistance: 0.8097, 0.80948
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.80838 swing low opens the path to 0.80794
Close above 0.80970 session high resumes the up-leg
Fri Michigan sentiment/inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) could shift the USD read
USDCHF ground higher through the NY session, breaking above the 0.8075 area and printing a session high at 0.8097 as the dollar firmed on Middle East safe-haven flows despite the week's soft US CPI/PPI. Minor pullback to 0.8087 held; RSI(14) around 62 with the chain of higher lows intact.
Support: 0.8080, 0.8072, 0.8063
Resistance: 0.8097, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.80800 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
Close above 0.80970 session high opens the 0.8100 round number
Fri Michigan sentiment (14:00 UTC) could shift the USD read
USDCHF ground higher through the NY session to a session high of 0.80970, a USD-safe-haven bid on Iran headlines overriding the week's soft-data drag. Price has since eased to 0.80889 with RSI cooling from the highs; the rising intraday structure off 0.80654 remains intact.
Support: 0.80794, 0.80654
Resistance: 0.8097, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.80794 pullback low breaks the higher-low chain
Close above 0.80970 session high opens the 0.81000 psych level
Fresh Iran/Hormuz headlines could shift the safe-haven read intraday
Higher highs, higher lows into fresh session highs.
NY session drove USDCHF up through 0.8085 to a fresh session high at 0.8097, extending a clean HH/HL chain after firm US data (jobless claims beat, Philly Fed surge). Last bar stalled just under 0.8097 with RSI(14) cooling from the mid-60s; the 0.8080 pivot is holding on the pullback.
Support: 0.8080, 0.80765, 0.80624
Resistance: 0.8097, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 0.8100 opens continuation higher
Loss of 0.80765 breaks the rising-low chain and threatens the uptrend read
17:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling near session high · RSI 62 · price 0.80917
Higher highs and higher lows through NY session.
USDCHF ground higher through the NY session to a session high at 0.80970 as in-line US retail sales and a beat on jobless claims steadied the dollar. Price is cooling into the close near 0.80917, RSI(14) easing off from the highs but the HH/HL chain intact.
Support: 0.80795, 0.80765, 0.80654
Resistance: 0.8097, 0.8100
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80765 breaks the higher-low chain
Break above 0.80970 opens the 0.81000 psych level
Michigan sentiment Fri 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
17:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum strong · RSI 69 · price 0.80927
Chain of higher highs and higher lows into session high.
USDCHF ground higher through the NY session to a session high at 0.80970, USD firmer on mixed-to-firm US data (Philly Fed surge, jobless claims beat) plus a Middle East safe-haven bid. Price holds above EMA20/50 with an intact higher-low chain; RSI(14) near 69 is hot but not yet extreme.
Support: 0.80838, 0.80765, 0.80654
Resistance: 0.8097, 0.8100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81000 extends the breakout
Failure to hold 0.80838 breaks the higher-low chain
Michigan sentiment Fri 14:00 UTC could shift USD direction
17:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum slowing near session high · RSI 69 · price 0.80927
Chain of higher highs and higher lows.
NY session ground USDCHF steadily higher off the 0.80654 low to a session high at 0.80970, with the dollar catching a safe-haven bid despite the week's soft US data. Price has stalled just under 0.80970 with RSI(14) cooling from the high 70s; the last two bars printed inside doji-like ranges.
Support: 0.80838, 0.80794, 0.8074
Resistance: 0.8097, 0.8100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80970 opens the path to the 0.81000 psych level
Loss of 0.80838 breaks the higher-low chain and voids the uptrend read
NY session extended the grind higher, breaking above 0.80885 to fresh session highs near 0.8097 as the dollar firmed on safe-haven demand despite a dovish-Fed lean. RSI(14) around 72 — hot but not extreme for this trend; each dip has been bought since the London-NY transition low at 0.80666.
Support: 0.80835, 0.80666, 0.8040
Resistance: 0.8097, 0.8100
What it said to watch
A close above 0.8100 opens the path toward 0.8150
Loss of 0.80835 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
USDCHF ground higher through the NY session, printing a fresh session high at 0.8097 with price now pinned near 0.8095 just under the 0.8100 psych level. Move fits the softer-dollar backdrop giving way to a safe-haven bid; RSI(14) around 70 shows momentum hot but not yet extreme.
Support: 0.80838, 0.80765, 0.80654
Resistance: 0.8097, 0.8100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8100 psych extends the higher-high sequence
Break below 0.80838 swing low breaks the rising sequence
Fed's Schmid (17:25 UTC) could inject volatility into thin late-session flow
17:02 UTC
Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 71 · price 0.80941
Higher highs, higher lows into session high.
USDCHF ground higher through the NY session, taking out prior highs to print a session high at 0.80948 as the dollar clawed back off weekly lows on safe-haven flows. RSI(14) near 71 — hot but consistent with the trend; buyers defended each dip along the 0.80765/0.80838 shelf.
Support: 0.80838, 0.80765, 0.80654
Resistance: 0.80948, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80948 opens the 0.81000 psych level
Loss of 0.80838 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
Fed's Schmid (17:25 UTC) could shift dollar tone into the close
NY session drove USDCHF to a session high at 0.80948, extending the intraday uptrend off the 0.80351 base with RSI(14) near 70. Dollar caught a safe-haven bid despite the soft-inflation dovish lean, keeping the higher-low chain intact from the London-NY transition.
Support: 0.80838, 0.80765, 0.80666
Resistance: 0.80948, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Close above 0.81000 extends the breakout toward the 0.8152 area
Failure to hold 0.80765 breaks the rising swing-low chain
RSI above 70 is hot but normal in trend; loss of 0.80838 signals momentum cooling
Chain of higher highs / higher lows into session high.
NY session extended the USD safe-haven bid, lifting USDCHF off weekly lows through 0.80838 to a fresh session high at 0.80939, RSI(14) hot near 71. Price is pressing the highs with the last bar stalling just under 0.80939 — the round 0.8100 is the next area to watch above.
Support: 0.8080, 0.80654, 0.8054
Resistance: 0.80939, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Rejection at 0.80939 / 0.8100 would cap the session high
Loss of 0.80800 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
Fed's Schmid (17:25 UTC) could shift the USD read intraday
16:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 68 · price 0.80925
Higher highs and higher lows, session breakout.
NY session extended the grind higher, USD/CHF breaking to a session high at 0.80939 with a USD safe-haven bid offsetting the week's soft-inflation drift. Price is holding just under the high, RSI(14) hot near 68 but consistent with the trend; the higher-low chain off 0.80658 is intact.
Support: 0.80794, 0.80658
Resistance: 0.80939, 0.8100
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80794 breaks the higher-low chain
Break and hold above 0.80939 opens the 0.81000 handle
UoM sentiment/inflation expectations Fri 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
USDCHF ground higher through the NY session and broke the prior swing high into 0.80929, the dollar firming on a blowout Philly Fed (41.4 vs 13) and low jobless claims. RSI(14) near 72 flags a hot but not extreme read; the breakout above 0.80838 is holding on the last bars.
Support: 0.80838, 0.8075, 0.80654
Resistance: 0.80929
What it said to watch
A close back below 0.80838 negates the breakout and puts 0.80750 back in play
Fed speakers Logan/Schmid on the wire could shift the near-term USD read
USD/CHF ran higher through the NY session, the dollar firming after a blowout Philly Fed (41.4) and low jobless claims. Last bar broke the 0.80838 session high to print 0.80929, RSI(14) hot near 71.
Support: 0.80838, 0.80754, 0.80666
Resistance: 0.80929, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.80838 breakout level negates the upside push
Fed speakers Logan/Schmid/Jefferson today could shift the USD read
A push through 0.81000 extends the intraday advance
USDCHF ground higher through the NY session, tagging 0.80885 before fading — a modest dollar bounce on safe-haven flows and a blowout Philly Fed, against the week's softer-inflation backdrop. RSI(14) cooled off the high to mid-50s as the pullback held above the 0.80765 swing low.
Support: 0.80765, 0.80654
Resistance: 0.80885, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Close back above 0.80885 reopens the path toward 0.8100
Loss of 0.80765 breaks the rising-low chain
Fed speakers (Logan, Schmid) later today could shift the intraday read
USD/CHF ground higher through the NY session to a session high at 0.80885, the dollar firming on a blowout Philly Fed (41.4) and low jobless claims that offset the week's softer-inflation narrative. Price is now consolidating around 0.80839 just below the high, RSI cooling from the push.
Support: 0.80765, 0.80659, 0.80351
Resistance: 0.80885, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80885 opens the path to 0.81000
Failure to hold 0.80765 confirms a lower-low and stalls the intraday climb
Fed's Jefferson (23:00 UTC) could shift the USD read
NY session drove USDCHF off the 0.80338 low up to a session high at 0.80885 before rejection trimmed it back to 0.80794, tracking the modest USD bounce on safe-haven flows. Higher-low chain intact; pullback holding above the 0.80750 session pivot.
Support: 0.8075, 0.8066, 0.80595
Resistance: 0.80885, 0.80838
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80885 resumes the uptrend toward 0.8100
Loss of 0.80660 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
Fed speakers Logan/Schmid (16:30/17:25 UTC) could shift the USD tone
USDCHF ground higher through the NY session off the 0.8035 lows to a session high of 0.80885 as the dollar firmed modestly, now easing back to 0.80794. RSI(14) cooling from mid-60s after rejection at 0.80885; the higher-low chain off 0.80674 still intact.
Support: 0.80765, 0.80674, 0.8060
Resistance: 0.80838, 0.80885
What it said to watch
Close below 0.80674 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
Break above 0.80885 extends the NY leg
Fed speakers (Logan 16:30 UTC) could shift dollar tone
Higher highs into NY, pulling back from session high.
NY session extended the recovery off the 0.8044 base to a session high at 0.80885 before easing back to 0.80801, RSI(14) cooling from the highs. The USD bounce fits the safe-haven bid noted in the digest; price still holds above EMA20/50 with the rising intraday support intact.
Support: 0.8075, 0.8066
Resistance: 0.80885, 0.8100
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80750 breaks the rising support and threatens a lower-low
Reclaim of 0.80885 opens the path toward the 0.8100 round number
Fed speakers Logan (16:30 UTC) and Schmid (17:25 UTC) could shift the USD tone
Higher highs into NY, pulling back from session high.
NY session drove USD/CHF up off the London low near 0.8035, tagging 0.80885 twice before pulling back to 0.80800 — a modest USD bounce on safe-haven/oil flows despite the soft-CPI backdrop. RSI(14) cooling from the rally as the session high caps for now.
Support: 0.8075, 0.8066, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.80885, 0.8100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80885 opens the path to 0.8100
Failure to hold 0.80750 confirms a lower-low and stalls the NY rally
Fed speakers (Logan, Schmid) into the US afternoon could shift this read
USDCHF ground higher through the NY session off the 0.8035 morning low, tagging a session high at 0.80885 as the dollar bounced from multi-week lows on Middle East safe-haven flows. RSI(14) near 69 and cooling into the current bar; price holding above a rising intraday support line off the London lows.
Support: 0.8075, 0.80654, 0.80552
Resistance: 0.80885, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80885 opens the path toward the 0.81000 round number
M15 close below 0.80654 breaks the rising support and the higher-low chain
Fed speakers Logan (16:30 UTC) / Schmid could shift the USD tone this session
USDCHF ground higher through the NY session, printing a session high at 0.80885 as the soft-USD drift paused on Middle East safe-haven flows. RSI(14) near 63 leaves room before extremes; the 0.8075 pullback low has so far held as demand reappeared.
Support: 0.8075, 0.8066, 0.80438
Resistance: 0.80885, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Break above 0.80885 session high opens the path toward 0.81000 psych
Failure to hold 0.8075 swing low reopens 0.80660 prior high
Fed speakers (Logan 16:30 UTC, Schmid 17:25) could shift the dollar tone this session
15:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 68 · price 0.8083
Higher highs into session high.
USDCHF ground higher through NY hours from the 0.80654 breakout base to a session high at 0.80885, a firmer-USD reaction to the big Philly Fed beat and low claims that offset the broader soft-Dollar tone. Price now sits at 0.8083 just under the high with RSI(14) near 68 — hot but not extended. The 0.8075 pullback low held on the last dip.
Support: 0.8075, 0.80654, 0.8042
Resistance: 0.80885, 0.8100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80885 opens the 0.8100 round number
Failure to hold 0.8075 signals a deeper pullback toward the 0.80654 base
Fed's Logan (16:30 UTC) could shift near-term USD tone
NY session drove USDCHF off the 0.8035 session low in a clean chain of higher highs to a session high at 0.8088, with price recovering intraday despite the broadly soft dollar tone. RSI(14) is hot near 67 but not yet extreme; price sits just under the highs at 0.8083.
Support: 0.8075, 0.8054, 0.8035
Resistance: 0.8088, 0.8100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8088 opens the path toward 0.8100 psych
Loss of 0.8075 swing low would break the intraday higher-high chain
Fed speakers (Logan/Schmid/Jefferson) later today could shift the dollar read
15:02 UTC
Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 71 · price 0.80864
Higher highs, higher lows through NY session.
USDCHF ground higher through the NY session off the 0.8035 low, printing a fresh session high at 0.80885 with RSI(14) around 71. The intraday recovery firmed after mixed-to-firm US data (Philly Fed a big beat), cutting against the broader soft-USD week; price is pressing the session high into the current bar.
Support: 0.80654, 0.8060
Resistance: 0.80885, 0.8090
What it said to watch
Sustained close below 0.80654 breaks the higher-low chain
Break above 0.80885 opens the 0.809 psych area
Fed's Logan (16:30 UTC) could shift near-term USD tone
15:02 UTC
Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 68 · price 0.80864
Higher highs into session high.
USDCHF recovered off the 0.80338 low and ground higher through the NY session on a broadly soft USD, breaking above prior highs to print 0.80885. Price sits at the session high with RSI(14) near 68 — hot but not extreme; higher-low chain intact from 0.80660.
Support: 0.8075, 0.8066
Resistance: 0.80885, 0.8090
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80750 breaks the higher-low chain
Sustained break above 0.80900 opens further upside
Fed speakers (Logan 16:30 UTC) could shift the USD tone
Higher highs and higher lows since the mid-window low.
USDCHF ground higher through the NY session, breaking prior intraday range to print a fresh session high at 0.80863 — a USD bounce off multi-week lows after firm US data (Philly Fed, claims beat). Price sits just under the high with RSI(14) hot but not extended; buyers held every dip along the rising sequence from the 0.80338 low.
Support: 0.8075, 0.80666
Resistance: 0.80863, 0.8090
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80750 breaks the rising higher-low sequence
Sustained push through 0.80863 opens 0.80900
Fed speakers (Logan/Schmid/Jefferson) later today could shift this read
14:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum hot · RSI 71 · price 0.80849
Higher highs into session high.
USDCHF ground higher through the NY session to a fresh session high at 0.80863, RSI(14) running hot near 71 as buyers pushed past the 0.80750 shelf. Move runs against the broadly soft-USD tone, aided intraday by firm US data (Philly Fed, claims beat). Uptrend intact while 0.80750 holds.
Support: 0.8075, 0.80654, 0.8058
Resistance: 0.80863, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.80750 intraday low would stall the higher-high chain
Rejection at 0.80863 session high vs a clean break toward 0.81000
Fed speakers (Logan/Schmid/Jefferson) later today could shift USD tone
USDCHF ground higher through the NY session off London lows at 0.80351, printing a clean HH/HL chain up to a session high at 0.80838 as the dollar stayed soft after this week's CPI/PPI misses. RSI(14) elevated near 66 but not extreme; current bar sits just under the session high with buyers stepping in on each pullback.
Support: 0.8075, 0.8066, 0.8052
Resistance: 0.80838, 0.8100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80838 opens the path toward the 0.81000 round number
Failure to hold 0.80660 breaks the HL chain and questions the uptrend
Fed speaker Logan (16:30 UTC) could shift the USD read
14:31 UTC
Intraday uptrend, steady · RSI 67 · price 0.80827
Higher highs, higher lows off London low.
USDCHF ground higher through the NY session off the London low at 0.80338, printing a session high at 0.80838 on a chain of higher lows. RSI(14) elevated near 67 but not extreme; the bounce is a dollar short-cover story with DXY still soft near multi-week lows post-CPI/PPI.
Support: 0.80666, 0.80582, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.80838
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80838 extends the session high break
Failure to hold 0.80666 breaks the higher-low chain
Fed speakers (Logan 16:30, Schmid 17:25 UTC) could shift this read
USDCHF has recovered off the London low at 0.80338 and pushed to a new session high at 0.80834 during NY hours — a USD short-cover bounce even as the broader dollar sits soft post-CPI/PPI. Structure is a clean HH/HL chain; RSI(14) near 70 is hot but normal for this leg, with the 0.80750 breakout level now acting as the nearest support.
Support: 0.8075, 0.80654, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.80838, 0.8100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80838 session high extends the up-leg toward 0.81000
Failure to hold 0.80750 breakout level opens a retest of the 0.80654 swing low
Fed speaker Logan (16:30 UTC) could shift this read within the next few hours
USDCHF ground back up through the NY session to a session high near 0.80838 after basing at 0.80338 in London, RSI(14) around 67 and not yet stretched. Move fits the broader USD-soft backdrop but the intraday chain of higher lows keeps momentum tilted up; price is pressing the top of the range now.
Support: 0.8075, 0.80654, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.80838, 0.8100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80838 extends the session high and opens 0.8100
Failure to hold 0.8075 breaks the higher-low chain
Fed speaker Logan (16:30 UTC) could shift this read
14:02 UTC
Uptrend, momentum steady · RSI 60 · price 0.80787
Higher lows off session low, pressing session high.
USDCHF ground higher through the NY session, tagging the session high at 0.80829 as the dollar found a bid on the Philly Fed and claims beats. Buyers stepped in repeatedly off the rising support from the 0.80338 session low; RSI(14) holding mid-range with room before overbought.
Support: 0.8066, 0.80552, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.80829, 0.80854
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80829 opens 0.80854
Failure to hold 0.80660 breaks the rising support line
Fed speaker Logan (16:30 UTC) could shift the dollar read
USDCHF ground back up through the NY session to a session high at 0.80829, recovering the full drop from the 0.80338 low as the soft-dollar tone paused on safe-haven flows. Price holds above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 68 — hot but not extreme; the HH/HL chain off 0.80674 stays intact.
Support: 0.80674, 0.80552, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.80829
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80829 extends the uptrend leg
Loss of 0.80674 breaks the higher-low chain
Fed speaker Logan (16:30 UTC) could shift dollar tone
Higher lows off 0.80338 base, testing session high.
NY session lifted USDCHF off the 0.80654 swing low to a session high at 0.80829, with the pair now consolidating just under it as RSI cools. The recovery from the 0.80338 base holds a chain of higher lows, in line with the soft-dollar backdrop being offset by safe-haven CHF flows.
Support: 0.80654, 0.8058, 0.80435
Resistance: 0.80829, 0.80865
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80829 opens the path to 0.80865
Loss of 0.80654 negates the intraday recovery and higher-low chain
Fed speaker Logan (16:30 UTC) could shift this read
USDCHF ground higher all session off the intraday base at 0.8034, with NY pushing to a session high of 0.80829 before easing to 0.80792; RSI(14) elevated near 64 but not extreme. The grind fits the soft-USD backdrop after this week's inflation misses, with safe-haven CHF flows keeping the recovery measured.
Support: 0.80654, 0.8058
Resistance: 0.80829, 0.80865
What it said to watch
Sustained break above 0.80829 opens the day high at 0.80865
Failure to hold 0.80654 breaks the rising-low sequence
Fed speakers (Logan 16:30 UTC) could shift the USD read intraday
USDCHF recovered from the 0.80338 session low through the London-NY grind, spiking to a session high of 0.80829 into NY midday on in-line retail sales, before rejection dragged it back to 0.80749. RSI cooling from the push; broader backdrop keeps USD soft at multi-week lows after this week's PPI miss.
Support: 0.80654, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.80829, 0.80889
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80829 opens the path to 0.80889
Loss of 0.80654 breaks the higher-low chain
Fed speakers (Logan 16:30 UTC) could shift this read
Higher highs off session low, pullback from session high.
NY session extended the grind up off the 0.80338 low and tagged a session high at 0.80829 before rejecting back to 0.80749; RSI(14) cooling from the spike. The bid tracks a soft dollar after this week's PPI/CPI misses, with SNB intervention talk capping franc strength.
Support: 0.80654, 0.8058, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.80829, 0.80889
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80829 reopens the 0.80889 window high
Loss of 0.80654 breaks the rising-low chain
US Fed speakers (Logan 16:30, Schmid 17:25 UTC) could shift this read
USDCHF ground higher through the NY session off the London low near 0.8035, printing a session high at 0.80829 before pulling back to 0.80769 — a soft dollar (cool PPI) keeping the pair pinned to weekly lows. Last bar rejected the session high with RSI(14) cooling from the low-60s; the higher-low chain off 0.80650 is still intact.
Support: 0.8065, 0.8042
Resistance: 0.80829, 0.8100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80829 session high opens the path to 0.81000 psych
Failure to hold 0.80650 swing low breaks the intraday higher-low chain
Fed speakers later today could shift the dollar read
13:16 UTC
Intraday uptrend off London lows · RSI 62 · price 0.80769
Higher lows since 0.8034, recent HH at 0.80829.
NY session drove USDCHF up from London lows near 0.8034 to a session high of 0.80829, the last bar wicking and closing back at 0.80758 — rejection at the top. Recovery runs against a soft-USD backdrop after cool CPI/PPI, but the intraday chain of higher lows is intact above 0.8065.
Support: 0.80654, 0.8060, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.80829, 0.8088
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80829 opens 0.80880
Failure to hold 0.80654 negates the higher-low chain
Fed speakers (Logan 16:30 UTC) could shift the USD read
13:02 UTC
Intraday recovery, momentum building · RSI 66 · price 0.80805
Higher lows off day's low, breaking session shelf.
NY session pushed USDCHF off the 0.80654 swing low to a session high at 0.80822, clearing the 0.80720 shelf. RSI(14) ~66, hot but not extreme. The recovery runs against the soft-USD backdrop, consistent with safe-haven/SNB flows cushioning the pair near the weekly low.
Support: 0.8072, 0.80654, 0.80552
Resistance: 0.80822, 0.80793
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80822 extends the leg higher
Failure to hold 0.80720 negates the breakout and reopens 0.80654
Higher lows off session low, breaking recent range top.
USDCHF ground higher through the NY session off the 0.80338 session low, and the last three bars pushed through the session high at 0.80822 with a soft USD backdrop after cool US PPI. Higher-low chain intact; RSI(14) around 66, firm but not stretched.
Support: 0.80654, 0.8058, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.80822, 0.80927
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 0.80822 opens the path toward the 0.80927 prior high
Loss of the 0.80654 swing low breaks the intraday higher-low chain
Friday UoM inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) could shift the USD read
USD/CHF has ground higher through the NY session, carving higher lows off the 0.80338 window low despite a soft dollar after cool US PPI — safe-haven CHF demand offset by SNB intervention keeps the pair two-way. The last bar spiked to a session high of 0.80793, breaking the 0.8072 consolidation cap; RSI(14) around 66, not yet stretched.
Support: 0.80654, 0.8058, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.80793, 0.8085
What it said to watch
close above 0.80850 opens the path toward the 0.809 prior-high shelf
failure to hold 0.80654 swing low negates the recovery structure
Fed speakers (Logan/Schmid) today could shift the dollar read
Higher lows off London low, breaking consolidation.
NY session lifted USD/CHF off the London low near 0.8035 to a fresh session high at 0.8079, clearing the 0.8068–0.8074 consolidation on the last bar. Recovery runs against a soft-USD backdrop but the pair is being cushioned near its weekly low by safe-haven demand; RSI mid-60s, not yet stretched.
Support: 0.80654, 0.80583, 0.8042
Resistance: 0.80793, 0.80927
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80793 opens the path to the 0.80927 prior high
Failure to hold 0.80654 swing low threatens a retest of the 0.8042 support cluster
Higher-low chain off session low, consolidating below session high.
USDCHF bottomed near 0.80338 during the London session and ground higher to a 0.80752 session high, a rebound helped by renewed USD safe-haven flows into soft-USD conditions. Price now consolidates around 0.80693 with RSI neutral; the recent shallow pullback holds above the 0.80654 higher low.
Support: 0.80654, 0.80583, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.80752
What it said to watch
Close below 0.80654 breaks the near-term higher-low chain
Break above 0.80752 session high resumes the advance
Fed speakers and Middle East/oil headlines could shift the read intraday
USDCHF ground back from the 0.8035 window low through London on post-PPI dollar softness, capping at the 0.80752 session high before fading into 0.8066-0.8069. RSI(14) cooled to the midline as the shallow pullback holds above the 0.80654 swing low.
Support: 0.80654, 0.80581, 0.80351
Resistance: 0.80725, 0.80752
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC is the imminent catalyst and could reshape this read
Loss of 0.80654 swing low reopens 0.80581
Close above 0.80752 session high extends the recovery leg
Higher lows off session low, capped below session high.
USDCHF sold off from 0.8111 to a session low at 0.80351 in early hours, then ground back up in a chain of higher lows, tagging 0.80752 before easing to 0.80697. RSI(14) sits neutral near 52 as price consolidates below the session high; US Retail Sales lands at 12:30 UTC, minutes away.
Support: 0.80654, 0.8058, 0.80351
Resistance: 0.80752
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC is the near-term catalyst and can reset this read
Close above 0.80752 opens continuation of the recovery leg
Higher lows off session low, capped near session high.
USDCHF bottomed at the London session low 0.80338 after the soft US PPI print and ground back up through NY to a session high 0.80752. Price is now consolidating just under that high near 0.807, RSI(14) cooling toward neutral as the recovery stalls.
Support: 0.80624, 0.8051, 0.8042
Resistance: 0.80752, 0.8100
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC is imminent and could reset this read
M15 close above 0.80752 resumes the intraday recovery toward 0.8100
Break below 0.80624 exposes the 0.80510 range base and 0.80420 pivot
12:02 UTC
Recovery off lows, stalling · RSI 48 · price 0.80669
Based at session low, higher lows into NY.
USDCHF based at the 0.80357 session low mid-window and ground higher through London into NY, tagging 0.80752 before fading back to 0.80669 as post-CPI/PPI USD softness kept a lid on the bounce. RSI(14) cooling to ~48 as price slips back under the EMA20; recent higher lows still intact above 0.80654.
Support: 0.80654, 0.8058, 0.80357
Resistance: 0.80752, 0.8069
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC (~30 min) could materially shift this read
Loss of 0.80654 breaks the higher-low chain and reopens 0.80580
M15 close above 0.80752 session high resumes the recovery
Higher-low chain off session low, pulling back from range top.
USDCHF bottomed near 0.8035 during London on the post-PPI dollar slide, then ground back up to a session high of 0.80752 through NY hours; price is now retreating to 0.80669 with RSI back at neutral. Rejection at 0.80752 caps the recovery while the higher-low chain off 0.8035 remains intact.
Support: 0.80654, 0.80583, 0.80351
Resistance: 0.80752, 0.8080
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close below 0.80654 breaks the higher-low chain
Close above 0.80752 reopens the path toward 0.80800
USDCHF has clawed back from the 0.8035 low through the NY session, printing higher lows into a 0.80752 session high before stalling; RSI(14) cooled to ~52 as price slipped back to 0.80669 under EMA20. Recovery driven by intraday USD safe-haven demand offsetting the post-PPI softness.
Support: 0.80583, 0.80547, 0.8042
Resistance: 0.80752
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC (~45m) could materially shift this read
Higher lows off session low, stalling at session high.
USDCHF ground higher through the London session off the 0.80351 session low, tagging 0.80752 before easing back to 0.80669 as the dollar stayed pinned near multi-week lows on soft PPI. Rejection at the session high has cooled RSI to ~50, with price slipping back to EMA20.
Support: 0.80583, 0.80437, 0.80351
Resistance: 0.80752, 0.8080
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC (~45m out) can materially shift this read
M15 close above 0.80752 extends the recovery toward 0.80800
Loss of 0.80583 breaks the higher-low chain and re-opens 0.80437
USDCHF sold off from 0.8112 to a session low at 0.8035 on the post-CPI/PPI USD softness, then carved higher lows off a base at 0.8042 through the London-NY hours. Price is now pressing the session high at 0.8075, RSI mid-range near 58 with room before stretched.
Support: 0.8060, 0.8042, 0.8035
Resistance: 0.8075, 0.8100
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC (~65 min) could materially shift this read
M15 close above 0.8075 opens the path toward 0.8100
Failure to hold the 0.8060 rising support breaks the higher-low chain
USDCHF has ground higher through the European session off the 0.8035 day low, printing higher lows and now testing session-high supply at 0.80752, RSI(14) cooling near 58. US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC is roughly an hour out and can materially shift this into the NY open.
Support: 0.80688, 0.8042, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.80752, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80752 opens the path toward the 0.8100 psych level
Loss of 0.80688 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and exposes the 0.8042 pivot
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could override the intraday structure
USDCHF has ground higher through the London session in a tight ascending channel, recovering from the 0.80351 session low on the broad post-PPI USD softness fading intraday. Price is stalling just under the 0.80752 session high with RSI(14) mid-band; grind, not thrust.
Support: 0.80561, 0.8042, 0.80351
Resistance: 0.80752
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 0.80752 session high extends the HH chain
Loss of 0.80561 swing low breaks the ascending structure
USDCHF ground back up from the session low at 0.8034 to retest 0.8075, roughly a 50% retrace of the earlier drop from 0.8114. Dollar firming off multi-week lows on the safe-haven bid despite soft US PPI; buyers stepped in repeatedly through the London-NY grind, keeping a rising sequence intact.
Support: 0.8065, 0.8050, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.80752, 0.8080, 0.81145
What it said to watch
close above 0.80752 session high opens the path to 0.80800 round number
failure to hold 0.80650 swing low breaks the rising sequence
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF is grinding higher through the Asia-into-London session, retracing roughly half the earlier slide to the 0.80351 range low as post-PPI dollar softness stalls. Price now presses the 0.80752 session high with RSI(14) around 62; a clean higher-low chain holds above 0.80577.
Support: 0.80652, 0.80577, 0.80351
Resistance: 0.80752, 0.80865
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close below 0.80577 breaks the higher-low chain
Break and hold above 0.80752 opens the path toward 0.80865 prior high
Higher lows off session base, capped at prior swing.
USDCHF has climbed steadily off the 0.80351 session low, printing a chain of higher lows and now pressing the session high at 0.80752 — exactly the 50% retracement of the earlier drop from 0.81145. RSI(14) near 63 is firm but not extreme; the post-PPI dollar softness explains the broader heaviness, with the intraday bid tied to safe-haven demand.
Support: 0.8068, 0.80583, 0.8042
Resistance: 0.80752, 0.80808, 0.8088
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80808 extends the higher-low sequence toward 0.80880
Failure to hold 0.80680 breaks the higher-low chain
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF has ground steadily higher off the 0.80351 base carved earlier in the session, firming on renewed USD safe-haven bid after the soft PPI-driven slide. Price sits near the session high 0.80752 with RSI(14) around 63, still short of overbought; the 0.80671 minor low and rising support beneath are holding.
Support: 0.80671, 0.80583, 0.8042
Resistance: 0.80752, 0.8080
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC (~2h) could materially shift this read
Loss of 0.80583 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
USDCHF bottomed at 0.8034 mid-window and has ground higher in a clean HH/HL chain into 0.8075, the pair firming off lows on renewed USD safe-haven bid despite soft post-PPI Dollar tone. Price sits above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 64, session high at 0.80752 the immediate cap.
Support: 0.80671, 0.80583, 0.8042
Resistance: 0.80752, 0.8092
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.80671 recent hl would break the intraday HL chain
Break of 0.80752 session high opens the path toward 0.80920 prior high
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF has ground higher through the London morning off the 0.80351 session low, printing a clean HH/HL chain and now pressing the 0.80746 session high. RSI(14) near 66 — hot but not extended; the pair firmed off lows on renewed USD safe-haven demand tied to Middle East headlines.
Support: 0.80677, 0.80583, 0.80351
Resistance: 0.80746, 0.8080, 0.80953
What it said to watch
Loss of the rising hl at 0.80677 breaks the intraday uptrend structure
A close above the 0.80746 session high opens 0.80800 psych then 0.80953 prior high
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read within the next few bars
USDCHF has ground higher through the London session, printing a chain of higher lows from the 0.8035 base to a session high at 0.80746 as post-PPI dollar softness stabilised. RSI(14) near 66, price above both EMAs; the pair is pressing the session high heading into US Retail Sales.
Support: 0.8070, 0.8058, 0.8048
Resistance: 0.80746, 0.8080
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC (~2h) could materially shift this read
Close above 0.80746 session high extends the recovery toward 0.80800
Failure to hold 0.80580 breaks the higher-low chain
USDCHF sold off from 0.811 to a 0.8035 day low yesterday on post-PPI dollar softness, then ground back up through the Asia session and into London, now pressing the 0.80746 session high. RSI(14) around 61 with a clean higher-high, higher-low chain off the base; US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC is the next test.
Support: 0.8065, 0.80552, 0.80417
Resistance: 0.80746, 0.8080
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80746 session high opens the path toward 0.80800 psych
Failure to hold 0.80650 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF sold off from 0.8114 into a 0.80338 session low, then based around 0.8042-0.8055 and has ground back up to a session high at 0.80746 on renewed USD safe-haven bid per the digest. Price sits above EMA20/50 with a chain of higher lows; RSI(14) around 63, firm but not stretched.
Support: 0.8055, 0.8044, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.80746, 0.8080, 0.8088
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC (~2h) could reset the intraday read
M15 close above 0.80800 psych extends the recovery toward 0.80880
Failure to hold 0.80550 breaks the higher-low chain
10:02 UTC
Recovering, uptrend off lows · RSI 63 · price 0.80721
Higher lows since London low, grinding up.
USDCHF bottomed at 0.80338 mid-window and has ground steadily higher through the London session to 0.80721, printing higher lows as post-PPI USD softness paused. RSI(14) neutral-firm near 63, no extreme; session high at 0.80746 is the immediate cap.
Support: 0.80656, 0.80552, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.80746, 0.8080
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 0.80746 opens 0.80800
Failure to hold 0.80656 breaks the higher-low chain
10:02 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 63 · price 0.80721
Recovery off session low, HH/HL chain.
USDCHF based at the Asian-range low of 0.80338 and ground higher through London on broad USD softness, now testing the session high at 0.80746 with RSI(14) around 63. Steady higher-low chain intact; SNB CHF-selling continues to cap franc strength.
Support: 0.80652, 0.80451, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.80746, 0.8080
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 0.80746 opens the path toward 0.80800
Loss of 0.80652 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
09:47 UTC
Intraday recovery, uptrend off day low · RSI 66 · price 0.80719
Higher highs / higher lows since London low.
USDCHF recovered off the day low at 0.80351 and has built a clean higher-high/higher-low chain into the London-NY transition, breaking above the 0.8050-0.8065 base as the post-PPI dollar slide firmed on safe-haven bid. Price now presses the session high at 0.80746 with RSI(14) hot near 66 but short of extreme.
Support: 0.80652, 0.8058, 0.80351
Resistance: 0.80746, 0.8080
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80746 opens the path toward the 0.808 psych level
Close below the 0.80652 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF carved a session low at 0.80351 in the Asia-into-London window and has ground higher in a tight channel to the session high at 0.80746, firming off lows despite the soft-USD backdrop from yesterday's PPI miss. RSI(14) in the mid-60s, ATR compressing to ~4 pips as price coils just under the high.
Support: 0.8060, 0.80351
Resistance: 0.80746, 0.8080
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80746 opens the path to the 0.80800 round number
Loss of the 0.80600 minor pivot exposes the 0.80351 session low
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF carved a base at 0.8034 mid-window and has stair-stepped higher through the Asian session into the London open, now probing the 0.80726 session high with RSI(14) around 64. Recovery follows the broad post-PPI dollar slide; upside remains capped near recent highs while SNB CHF-selling is noted as limiting franc strength on the other side.
Support: 0.80583, 0.8042, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.80726, 0.8081
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80726 session high opens the path toward 0.80810
Loss of 0.80583 higher low breaks the rising sequence
USDCHF has ground higher through Asia and London off the 0.80338 NY-afternoon low, printing a chain of higher lows after the earlier sub-0.8060 flush on post-PPI USD softness. Price is now tapping the session high at 0.80725 with RSI(14) mid-60s; the recovery has retraced roughly half of the 0.81145-0.80338 decline.
Support: 0.8058, 0.8042, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.80725, 0.8091
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80725 opens the path toward 0.80910
Loss of 0.80580 breaks the higher-low chain
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC (~3h) could shift this read
Higher-low chain since session low, testing recovery high.
USDCHF sold off through London to a session low at 0.80338 as post-PPI dollar softness dominated, then ground back up on renewed safe-haven USD bid tied to Middle East tensions. Price now tests the recovery high at 0.80725, sitting on the 50% retracement of the earlier drop with RSI(14) in the low 60s.
Support: 0.80561, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.80725, 0.80854
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 0.80725 extends the recovery toward 0.80854
USDCHF sold off from 0.8114 to a 0.80351 low, then ground back up through the London session on a clean higher-low chain, with a fresh session high at 0.80725 and RSI in the mid-60s. USD is softer after the PPI miss but firming intraday on Middle East safe-haven flows, keeping the recovery contained under 0.80955.
Support: 0.80583, 0.80505, 0.80351
Resistance: 0.80725, 0.80955, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80725 session high opens the path toward the 0.80955 drop origin
Failure to hold 0.80583 breaks the higher-low chain
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC (HIGH) could materially shift this read
Rounded base after NY selloff, higher lows forming.
Pair sold off from 0.8114 into a 0.8035 session low during NY hours on post-PPI USD softness, then rounded and ground back to 0.8069 through the Asian range and London. Higher lows are building but the recovery is still capped below the 0.8072 session high; safe-haven bid tied to Middle East headlines is blunting franc gains.
Support: 0.8058, 0.8042, 0.80351
Resistance: 0.80716, 0.8080, 0.8100
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC (~3h) could materially shift this read
Close above 0.80716 session high opens the path to 0.8080
Failure to hold 0.80580 swing low exposes the 0.8042 pivot
08:47 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 61 · price 0.80687
Higher lows since the 0.80351 base.
USD/CHF is recovering off the 0.80351 session low carved after yesterday's soft US PPI-driven selloff, with higher lows tracing a rising support line into London hours. Price has broken the 0.8064 minor cap to reach 0.80687, retracing yesterday's decline; RSI(14) near 61 and back above EMA20/50.
Support: 0.8042, 0.80351
Resistance: 0.80723
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80723 swing high extends the recovery leg
Loss of 0.80420 pivot reopens the 0.80351 session low
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF carved a session low at 0.80351 mid-window after the wedge break, then ground higher through Asia and into early London to 0.80691 as the dollar found safe-haven bid. Higher-low structure intact, RSI(14) mid-range near 61, price pressing the session high.
Support: 0.80574, 0.8048, 0.80351
Resistance: 0.80691, 0.8080
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80691 extends the recovery toward 0.80800
Loss of 0.80574 higher low reopens the 0.80351 session low
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could reshape this read
USDCHF slid through yesterday's NY session on post-PPI USD softness, bottoming at 0.80351 before basing into the Asia range and grinding higher through London. Price now sits at 0.80661 with a chain of higher lows off 0.80552; RSI mid-range at ~57 and session high at 0.80691 the immediate cap.
Support: 0.80552, 0.8042, 0.80351
Resistance: 0.80691, 0.80953
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80691 opens the path back toward 0.80953
Failure to hold 0.80552 threatens the 0.80420 pivot and 0.80351 session low
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF carved a rounded base at 0.80351 during the Asia-London transition and has ground higher, now pressing the session high at 0.80691 with RSI mid-range. The bounce follows this week's soft US inflation prints; SNB CHF-selling is capping franc strength on the offset.
Support: 0.8056, 0.80437, 0.80351
Resistance: 0.80691, 0.80723
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80691 opens the path toward 0.80723
Failure to hold 0.8056 reopens the 0.80351 session low
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF sold off from 0.8114 through the prior NY session and bottomed at 0.8034 as post-PPI dollar softness dominated, then based and ground higher through Asia into London, now testing 0.8068. RSI(14) back near 60 off the lows; recovery is holding a rising support line but the 0.8072 swing caps for now.
Support: 0.8058, 0.8042, 0.8034
Resistance: 0.8072, 0.8090
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.8042 pivot reopens the 0.8034 session low
Reclaim of 0.8072 swing high needed to extend the recovery
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Rounded base after sharp drop, higher lows building.
USDCHF sold off ~80 pips from 0.8114 to a session low of 0.8034 during yesterday's US session as soft PPI weighed on the dollar, then based and carved higher lows overnight. Price is grinding back toward the 50% fib retrace at 0.8074, now holding above the 0.8058 range base with RSI mid-range.
Support: 0.8058, 0.8042, 0.8034
Resistance: 0.8074, 0.8080
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 0.8080 drop origin extends the recovery
Loss of 0.8058 range base reopens the 0.8042 pivot
08:02 UTC
Prior downtrend, now basing · RSI 54 · price 0.80611
Range after sell-off, higher lows building.
USDCHF sold off from 0.8114 into 0.8034 through the NY session on the soft US PPI print, then based and recovered into a 0.805–0.806 range with the 0.8042 pivot reclaimed. RSI(14) mid-range near 54, price holding above EMA20 and EMA50; 38.2% retrace of the down-leg aligns with the 0.80645 session high.
Support: 0.80552, 0.8042, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.80645, 0.8073
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80645 opens the 0.80730 prior high
Loss of the 0.8042 pivot reopens the 0.80338 range low
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
08:02 UTC
Recovering after selloff, now consolidating · RSI 55 · price 0.80611
Higher lows off 0.8034 low, capped near 0.8065.
USDCHF sold off sharply through the London-NY session yesterday to 0.8034 on the soft US PPI print, then rounded up into a grind, now consolidating 0.8055–0.8065. RSI(14) neutral near 55; the 0.8042 pivot has held as support since the reclaim.
Support: 0.8055, 0.8042, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.80647, 0.8090
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80647 opens the path to 0.8090
Failure to hold 0.80550 exposes the 0.8042 pivot again
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
07:47 UTC
Downtrend paused, now ranging · RSI 50 · price 0.80595
Consolidation off session lows.
USDCHF sold off through the US session yesterday, dropping from 0.8114 to 0.8035 as soft US PPI trimmed Fed hike bets. Price has since recovered and is coiling between 0.8055 and 0.8065 through the London morning; RSI(14) sits neutral near 50 with ATR compressed around 5 pips.
Support: 0.80552, 0.8042, 0.80351
Resistance: 0.80645, 0.8072
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.8042 pivot reopens the 0.80351 swing low toward 0.8000
Reclaim of 0.80645 recent high shifts the intraday tone higher
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could break the range either way
07:47 UTC
Recovery off lows, now flat · RSI 50 · price 0.80595
Consolidation after rounded bottom.
USDCHF sold off from 0.8114 into the NY session on soft US PPI, bottoming at 0.8035, then rounded higher through Asia to consolidate near 0.8060. RSI(14) neutral around 50 and ATR(14) ~3 pips; the 0.8055–0.8065 range is holding into the London morning.
Support: 0.80552, 0.8042, 0.80351
Resistance: 0.80647, 0.8073
What it said to watch
Break below 0.80552 range low opens the 0.8042 pivot and session low at 0.8035
Close above 0.80647 session high resumes the recovery leg
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
07:32 UTC
Downtrend, now recovering into consolidation · RSI 47 · price 0.80587
Based after selloff, ranging 0.8055-0.8065.
USDCHF sold off ~80 pips from 0.8114 to 0.8035 through the NY session as soft US PPI weighed on the dollar. Asia based overnight and London has clawed back to 0.806, now consolidating in a tight 0.8055-0.8065 band with RSI(14) neutral near 47.
Support: 0.8055, 0.8035
Resistance: 0.8065, 0.8072
What it said to watch
Close above 0.8065 opens the path back toward 0.8072 prior high
Failure to hold 0.8055 reopens the 0.8035 swing low
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
07:32 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising after selloff · RSI 49 · price 0.80587
Recovered off session low, now consolidating.
USD/CHF shed ~80 pips from 0.8114 through the London-NY session after the soft US PPI print, bottoming at the 0.80351 swing low before recovering to consolidate around 0.8060. RSI(14) sits neutral near 49 with price pinned to EMA20; the recent high at 0.80647 caps the bounce.
Support: 0.80417, 0.80351
Resistance: 0.80647, 0.8073
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Break above 0.80647 recent high opens 0.80730 prior high
Loss of 0.80417 session low reopens the 0.80351 swing low
Consolidation above session low after impulsive drop.
London/NY dumped USDCHF from 0.8114 to 0.8035 as the dollar stayed soft on the CPI/PPI misses and CHF firmed. Asia has since coiled tightly between 0.8057 and 0.8065, low volume, RSI(14) neutral near 52 — no directional development yet.
Support: 0.8057, 0.80351
Resistance: 0.8065, 0.8080
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8065 opens the 0.8080 shelf
Loss of 0.8057 re-exposes the 0.80351 window low
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could break this range
USDCHF sold ~80 pips through yesterday's NY session after the soft US PPI print, bottoming at 0.8035. London has ground back to 0.8059 with RSI(14) recovered to mid-range; the 0.8045–0.8065 band is holding as buyers stepped in above 0.8042.
Support: 0.8042, 0.8035
Resistance: 0.8065, 0.8080
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 0.8065 extends the recovery toward 0.8080
Failure to hold 0.8042 re-exposes the 0.8035 session low
07:02 UTC
Downtrend cooling into consolidation · RSI 49 · price 0.80589
Range after NY-session sell-off, holding above 0.8035 low.
USDCHF slid from 0.8114 through the NY session yesterday after soft US PPI, bottoming at 0.8035 before a shallow recovery. Since then it has consolidated 0.8042–0.8065 through Asia into the London open, RSI(14) flat near 49 with ATR compressed to ~5 pips.
Support: 0.80417, 0.80351, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.80645, 0.8073, 0.80842
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80645 opens the 62% fib at 0.80842
Loss of 0.80417 re-exposes the 0.80351 swing low
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could break the range
USDCHF sold off sharply during the NY session to 0.80338 as the dollar stayed soft post-PPI, then based and clawed back into a tight 0.80547–0.80647 range through Asia. London open finds price stalled near the 38.2% retrace of that drop; RSI(14) flat around 49, ATR compressed to ~3.5 pips.
Support: 0.80547, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.80647, 0.8080
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80647 extends the recovery toward 0.80800
Loss of 0.80547 re-exposes the session low at 0.80338
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could break this range
Based at 0.8035, grinding higher below 0.8067 pivot.
USDCHF slid ~80 pips from 0.8114 into 0.8035 as the dollar stayed soft post-CPI/PPI, then based through the low-volume Asian session and ground back to 0.806. Price is now consolidating just under the 0.8067 pivot ahead of London, RSI back near neutral.
Support: 0.8042, 0.8035, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8067, 0.8100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8067 opens the path back toward 0.8100
Failure to hold 0.8042 re-exposes the 0.8035 session low and 0.8000
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher lows after NY selloff, capped near range top.
USDCHF sold off through NY hours to 0.8035 as soft US PPI kept the dollar heavy, then rounded higher through Asia and into London to 0.8062. Price is grinding against the 0.80647 range top, RSI cooling near 58 with a chain of higher lows off the base.
Support: 0.8058, 0.8042, 0.8035
Resistance: 0.80647, 0.8067, 0.8100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8067 opens the path back toward 0.8100
Loss of 0.8058 range floor re-exposes 0.8042 and the 0.8035 swing low
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session sold USDCHF from 0.8114 to a 0.80351 window low on soft US data, then a base formed around 0.8042. Asian and early London hours have grinded price back to 0.80602, holding just under the 0.80647 session high with RSI(14) mid-range.
Support: 0.80547, 0.80417, 0.80351
Resistance: 0.80647, 0.8072, 0.80805
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80647 opens the path to 0.80720
Failure to hold 0.80547 exposes the 0.80417 base low
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
06:32 UTC
Recovering after selloff, now flat · RSI 53 · price 0.80602
Consolidation above session low.
USD/CHF sold off from 0.811 to a 0.80338 swing low after the soft US PPI print at yesterday's NY open, then rounded higher and is now consolidating 0.8055–0.8065 through the Asia-London transition. RSI(14) neutral near 53, ATR ~22 pips; the recovery is holding a rising support line off the session low.
Support: 0.80547, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.80647, 0.8073
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80647 session high opens 0.80730 prior high
Loss of 0.80547 exposes the 0.80338 swing low
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
06:17 UTC
Down then recovering, now flat · RSI 53 · price 0.80588
Consolidation above session low after sell-off.
USD/CHF sold off ~80 pips through the window as soft US PPI kept the dollar heavy, basing twice near 0.8035 before a grind back to the 0.80647 recovery high. Price is now consolidating around 0.8059 with RSI(14) neutral; the recovery high caps and the 0.80417 base is holding below.
Support: 0.80417, 0.80351
Resistance: 0.80647, 0.8073
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80647 extends the recovery leg toward 0.80730
Failure to hold 0.80417 re-exposes the 0.80351 session low
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift the USD leg
06:17 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising after sell-off · RSI 52 · price 0.80588
Ranging after breakdown, holding 0.8055-0.8065.
USD/CHF was sold from 0.8114 down to 0.80338 on the soft US PPI/CPI double-miss, then ground back to 0.8060. Now consolidating in a tight 0.8055-0.8065 band, RSI(14) neutral near 52 with ATR compressed to ~5 pips.
Support: 0.80547, 0.8042, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.80647, 0.8073, 0.8100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80647 opens the path back toward 0.80730
Failure to hold 0.80547 reopens 0.80420 then the 0.80338 swing low
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
USDCHF sold off from 0.81145 after the June PPI miss at 12:30 UTC, bottoming at the 0.80351 day low. Price has ground back up through the quiet Asia session, reclaiming EMA20/50 and stalling into the 0.80647 session high; RSI sits neutral-firm near 61 and ATR is compressed to ~4 pips.
Support: 0.80547, 0.80417, 0.80351
Resistance: 0.80647, 0.8073
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80647 session high opens the path toward the 0.80730 prior high
Failure to hold 0.80547 swing low reopens the 0.80417 session low
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could reset this recovery read
USDCHF flushed from 0.81145 to a 0.80351 session low around the 12:30 UTC PPI miss, then carved higher lows through the quiet overnight session and now sits at 0.80613 into the London open. Price is stalling at the 0.80647 session high, roughly the 38% retrace of the sell-off, with RSI(14) mid-range and ATR compressed near 3.5 pips.
Support: 0.80561, 0.8049, 0.80351
Resistance: 0.80647, 0.8073
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 0.80647 session high extends the recovery toward 0.80730
Loss of 0.80561 swing low reopens the session low at 0.80351
Rising channel off the low, still below session supply.
USD/CHF sold off to 0.80351 during yesterday's London-NY session as the soft US PPI miss kept the dollar heavy. The Asian session has clawed back in a shallow rising channel to 0.80617, with RSI(14) mid-range near 58 and ATR compressed around 5 pips; session supply at 0.80645 still caps.
Support: 0.80561, 0.8048, 0.80351
Resistance: 0.80645, 0.8072
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80645 opens the path to 0.80720
Failure to hold 0.80561 reopens the down-leg toward 0.80351
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
05:46 UTC
Recovery off day low, momentum slowing · RSI 58 · price 0.80617
Higher lows since 0.80338, capped near 0.80645.
USDCHF slid through the NY session to a day low at 0.80338 as soft US PPI kept the dollar heavy, then carved a rounded base and ground higher through Asia to 0.80617. Recovery has stalled just under the session high at 0.80645, RSI cooling off the bounce.
Support: 0.80547, 0.8042, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.80645, 0.80736
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80645 opens the path toward 0.80736
Loss of 0.80547 breaks the higher-low chain back toward 0.8042 range base
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
05:32 UTC
Recovery grind after NY sell-off, momentum flat · RSI 54 · price 0.80599
Consolidating near 0.806 after basing at 0.8034.
USDCHF sold off from 0.8114 through the NY session on post-PPI dollar softness, bottoming at the 0.8034 session low before a steady recovery grind into Asian hours. Price now consolidates near 0.806 at the 38.2% retrace of that drop; RSI(14) neutral and ATR compressed to ~4 pips in quiet pre-London trade.
Support: 0.80547, 0.80417, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.80645, 0.8072
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80645 session high opens path toward the 0.80720 swing high
Failure to hold the 0.80547 recovery low breaks the ascending structure
Break of the 0.8042 pivot re-exposes the 0.80338 session low
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
05:32 UTC
Recovery off lows, consolidating · RSI 55 · price 0.80599
Based after selloff, ranging near 0.806.
USDCHF sold off from 0.81145 to a 0.80351 low through the NY-Asia window as post-PPI dollar softness dominated, then based around 0.8042 and recovered into London open. Now consolidating near 0.806, holding above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range; 0.80645 caps for now.
Support: 0.8056, 0.80417, 0.80351
Resistance: 0.80645, 0.80725
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80645 opens the path back toward 0.80725
Failure to hold 0.80560 reopens the 0.80417 base
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
05:17 UTC
Recovery off lows, consolidating · RSI 53 · price 0.80599
Higher lows from 0.8035, grinding into session high.
USDCHF sold off ~80 pips through the NY session to 0.8035 as soft US PPI extended post-CPI dollar weakness, then based and clawed back to 0.806. Asian session is quiet — a rounded recovery grinding higher lows into the 0.80645 session high, RSI neutral near 53 and ATR compressed to ~5 pips.
Support: 0.8056, 0.8042, 0.8035
Resistance: 0.80645, 0.8070
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80645 session high opens the path toward 0.8070
Loss of 0.8056 session low exposes the 0.8042 pivot, then 0.8000
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher lows since window low, stalling below session high.
USDCHF carved a rounded bottom off the 0.80351 window low made during yesterday's post-PPI dollar slide, then ground back up in a chain of higher lows through the quiet Asian session. Price is now consolidating just under the 0.80645 session high, RSI(14) mid-range near 54 and ATR compressed to ~6 pips.
Support: 0.80547, 0.8042, 0.80351
Resistance: 0.80645, 0.8067
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80645 session high opens the path to the 0.8067 jul-14 low
Loss of the 0.80547 rising support puts the 0.8042 pivot back in play
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF sold off through the NY session from 0.8114 to a 0.80338 session low on soft US PPI/CPI-driven dollar softness. Price has since ground back to 0.8060 and is ranging 0.8055–0.80645 in thin Asian trade, holding a chain of higher lows; RSI(14) neutral near 54.
Support: 0.8055, 0.8042, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.80645, 0.8072
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80645 range high opens the path back to the 0.8072 swing high
Failure to hold 0.8055 range low re-exposes the 0.8042 pivot and 0.80338 session low
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF sold off ~80 pips during NY hours after soft US data, bottoming at 0.80351 before a quiet Asian-session grind lifted it back to 0.80603. RSI(14) is neutral near 57 and ATR is thin at ~4.5 pips; recovery is stair-stepping higher lows but still capped under the 0.80645 session high.
Support: 0.8042, 0.80351
Resistance: 0.80645
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80645 session high extends the recovery toward 0.80730
Failure to hold 0.80420 range low reopens the 0.80351 session low
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could sharply shift USD direction
US-session downleg, Asian-session base building higher lows.
USD/CHF sold off from 0.81145 through the US session on the soft PPI print, bottoming at 0.80338. Asian hours have ground higher in a rounded recovery, reclaiming 0.806 with RSI(14) mid-50s; the 38.2% retracement of the downleg near 0.80645 is the immediate area to watch for rejection or break.
Support: 0.80547, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.80645, 0.8073
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80645 (38.2% fib) opens 0.80730
Loss of 0.80547 rising support voids the recovery read
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could shift USD direction
USDCHF recovered off the 0.80351 intraday low carved during the London selloff and has ground back to the session high near 0.80645, dip-buyers re-emerging in line with the soft-USD backdrop and SNB-capped franc. Asia session now coiling tight (0.80547–0.80645) with RSI neutral and ATR down to ~4.5 pips.
Support: 0.80547, 0.8042, 0.80351
Resistance: 0.80645, 0.8073
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 0.80645 session high opens the path to 0.80730 prior swing
Loss of 0.80547 session low exposes 0.80420 range base
USDCHF sold off from 0.81145 through the NY session to a 0.80351 low, then based and ground back up overnight to 0.80627 — roughly the 38.2% retrace of that down leg. RSI(14) neutral around 56 with buyers stepping in repeatedly along a rising intraday support line; recent high at 0.80645 caps for now.
Support: 0.8058, 0.8048, 0.80351
Resistance: 0.80645, 0.8090, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Sustained move above 0.80645 opens the path back toward 0.8090
Failure to hold 0.8058 exposes 0.8048 then the 0.80351 session low
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC is the day's key catalyst and could shift this read
04:31 UTC
Recovery off lows, momentum building · RSI 62 · price 0.80627
Micro higher highs after downtrend base.
USDCHF sold off from 0.8114 to 0.8035 through the prior session, then rounded a base and ground higher through Asia, retracing ~35% of the drop to 0.80627. RSI(14) mid-60s and price above both EMAs; session high at 0.80645 is the immediate cap.
Support: 0.8056, 0.8049, 0.80351
Resistance: 0.80645, 0.8073
What it said to watch
Break above 0.80645 session high opens 0.80730 prior swing
Failure to hold 0.80560 swing low re-exposes the 0.80490 base
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC is the day's key catalyst and could reset this read
04:17 UTC
Recovering after NY selloff · RSI 53 · price 0.80597
Higher lows off day low, grinding into prior range.
USDCHF was sold from 0.81145 through the NY session down to a 0.80351 day low as soft US PPI trimmed Fed bets, then based and ground back to 0.8060 across Asia on a chain of higher lows. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 53 and ATR is compressed at ~4 pips into the quiet pre-London hours; the recovery has stalled just under the 0.80645 swing high.
Support: 0.80547, 0.80351
Resistance: 0.80645, 0.8110
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80645 swing high extends the recovery toward the 0.81100 prior high
Loss of 0.80547 session low breaks the higher-low chain and reopens 0.80351 day low
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC is the day's key catalyst and could reset this read
04:17 UTC
Recovering off session lows · RSI 52 · price 0.80597
Higher lows after sharp sell-off, grinding up.
USDCHF sold off from 0.8114 to a 0.8035 session low during the prior London-NY move, then based and ground back up through the Asia session into 0.80645. Price has since eased to 0.80597 on a chain of higher lows off rising support; RSI(14) neutral near 52.
Support: 0.8056, 0.8047, 0.8035
Resistance: 0.80645, 0.8072, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Sustained close below 0.8056 breaks rising support and threatens a lower low
Reclaim of 0.80645 opens the path to 0.8072
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC is the day's key catalyst and could shift this read
Recovery leg stalling below 0.80645 after NY selloff.
USD/CHF sold off from 0.8114 to 0.8034 during NY hours as soft US PPI knocked the Dollar, then clawed back to a session high of 0.80645 before easing to 0.8058 in Asia. Bounce is holding above the ascending low chain but stalling near the 38% retrace of the drop; RSI(14) back near neutral.
Support: 0.80435, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.80645, 0.8073
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80435 reopens the 0.80338 range low
Sustained move above 0.80645 targets the 0.80730 prior swing
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF sold off from 0.8114 into 12:30 UTC as soft US data knocked the Dollar, bottoming at 0.80351. Asia hours have ground the pair back to a 0.80645 session high, now consolidating around 0.8058 with RSI(14) mid-range.
Support: 0.8047, 0.80351
Resistance: 0.80645, 0.8072, 0.8080
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80645 session high opens 0.80720 then 0.80800
Failure to hold 0.80470 swing low re-exposes the 0.80351 range low
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Rounded base off session low, pulling back from recovery high.
USDCHF sold off from 0.8114 to a session low at 0.80338 through the London-NY window as soft US PPI pressured the Dollar, then recovered across Asia to 0.80645. Price is now easing back to 0.80586 with RSI(14) neutral near 52; the recovery low chain holds above 0.80540 and SNB franc-selling keeps CHF upside capped.
Support: 0.8054, 0.80435, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.80645, 0.8073
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Loss of 0.80540 exposes the session low at 0.80338
Higher lows since 0.80351, easing off session high.
USD/CHF recovered off the 0.80351 session low — carved after yesterday's soft US PPI knocked the Dollar through NY hours — grinding higher into 0.80645 during Asian trade. Pair is now easing to 0.80586 after tagging that session high; RSI(14) neutral near 51, ATR compressed to ~4.5 pips.
Support: 0.8052, 0.8044, 0.80351
Resistance: 0.80645, 0.8072
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80520 breaks the ascending recovery structure
Break above 0.80645 session high resumes the recovery toward 0.80720
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Bounce from 0.8035, easing after rejection at 0.8064.
USDCHF sold off from 0.8114 to a session low of 0.8035 during the prior NY hours, then recovered through the Asian session to 0.8064 before easing back to 0.8055. RSI(14) is mid-range and ATR is thin at ~6 pips in low-liquidity trade; SNB franc-selling continues to underpin the pair near 0.80.
Support: 0.80447, 0.80351
Resistance: 0.80645, 0.80725
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80645 resumes the recovery toward 0.80725
Loss of 0.80447 reopens the 0.80351 session low
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF sold off from the 0.8114 session high to 0.80351 during NY hours, then ground back to a bounce high of 0.80645 through the Asian session on thin volume. That recovery is now fading, price back at 0.80553 with RSI neutral around 46.
Support: 0.8049, 0.80351
Resistance: 0.80645, 0.8077
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80645 bounce high needed to extend the recovery
Loss of 0.80490 prior range exposes the 0.80351 session low
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF ground higher through the Asian session off the 0.80351 swing low, printing higher lows into the 0.80645 session high before easing to 0.80585 while retracing the earlier drop from 0.8114. RSI(14) near 59, not extended; dip-buyers keep re-emerging as SNB-driven franc weakness caps CHF strength.
Support: 0.8044, 0.80351
Resistance: 0.80645, 0.8073
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80645 session high opens the 0.80730 prior swing
Failure to hold 0.80440 range base exposes the 0.80351 swing low
US Retail Sales (Thu 12:30 UTC) could shift the intraday read
Rounded base after NY selloff, higher lows into Asia.
NY session sold USD/CHF from 0.8114 down to a 0.80351 swing low on the soft US data flow; a rounded base then formed and the Asia session has ground back to the 0.80645 session high before easing to 0.80585. RSI mid-range, base above 0.80450 holding.
Support: 0.8045, 0.80351
Resistance: 0.80645, 0.8073
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80645 session high opens the path to 0.80730 prior swing
Loss of 0.80450 base exposes the 0.80351 swing low
SNB intervention headlines continue to cap CHF strength near the 0.8100 pivot
03:02 UTC
Recovering, higher lows building · RSI 64 · price 0.80618
Base after drop, HH/HL chain forming.
Recovered off the session low at 0.80338 through Asia hours, breaking the 0.80527 range and grinding higher toward 0.80645. RSI mid-60s with ATR only ~4 pips, reflecting thin Asian-session ranges. SNB franc-selling continues to cap CHF strength, aiding the dip-buying back above 0.806.
Support: 0.80527, 0.8042, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.80645, 0.80737
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80645 opens 0.80737
Loss of 0.80527 puts 0.80420 range low back in play
Thin Asia liquidity — ranges likely widen into London open
03:02 UTC
Recovering after NY selloff · RSI 64 · price 0.80618
Higher lows off session low.
NY session sold USDCHF from 0.81145 down to a 0.80351 low as soft US data weighed on the dollar. Asia session has ground back up in a chain of higher lows to 0.80618, retracing roughly a third of that leg; 0.80645 recovery high is the immediate cap.
Support: 0.8044, 0.80351
Resistance: 0.80645, 0.8072, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80645 extends the recovery toward the 0.80720 swing high
Loss of 0.80440 session base reopens the 0.80351 session low
Thu 12:30 UTC US Retail Sales could break the range
02:47 UTC
Recovering after NY selloff · RSI 61 · price 0.80627
Based at 0.80338, grinding higher.
USDCHF sold off from 0.8114 during NY hours to 0.80338, then based and ground higher through the Asia session to 0.80627. RSI(14) mid-range near 61 with the recovery holding above rising support off the 0.80338 swing low; next resistance sits at the 0.80720 swing high.
Support: 0.8045, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.8072, 0.8088
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80720 opens the 0.80880 prior high
Loss of the 0.80450 base floor risks a retest of the 0.80338 swing low
USDCHF sold from 0.81145 to 0.80351 through the prior session, then carved a chain of higher lows and is grinding back into 0.80640 during Asia hours, RSI(14) mid-60s. Dip-buyers re-emerged near 0.80420 with SNB known to be leaning against franc strength; recovery leg has retraced roughly a third of the down move.
Support: 0.8050, 0.80417, 0.80351
Resistance: 0.8064, 0.8077, 0.8090
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80640 opens the path to 0.80770
Failure to hold 0.80500 exposes the 0.80417 asian low
Thu 12:30 UTC US retail sales could reset this read
USDCHF sold off through the NY session from 0.8114 to 0.80338 around the 12:30 UTC data slot, then based and ground back up through Asia to test the 0.80621 session high, RSI(14) in the low 60s. Recovery is holding a chain of higher lows off the base.
Support: 0.80447, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.80621, 0.8072
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 0.80621 opens the 0.80720 prior swing
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC today (HIGH) could reshape this read
Failure to hold 0.80447 exposes the 0.80338 session low
02:17 UTC
Recovering, micro-uptrend off lows · RSI 61 · price 0.80607
Rounded base, higher lows forming.
USDCHF sold off from 0.8114 into the 12:30 UTC US data slot, bottoming at 0.80351 before dip-buyers re-emerged. Asian session has carved a rounded base above 0.80505 and is grinding higher into 0.8060, RSI(14) firming toward 61 with ATR compressed near 6 pips.
Support: 0.80505, 0.80417, 0.80351
Resistance: 0.8072, 0.8080, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Sustained close above 0.80720 swing high opens 0.80800 round number
Loss of the 0.80505 base reopens the 0.80351 swing low
0.8100 pivot remains the higher structural cap on further recovery
02:17 UTC
Recovering off lows, momentum building · RSI 64 · price 0.80607
Range break higher after down-leg.
USDCHF bottomed at 0.80351 during the US session and dip-buyers lifted it back through a tight 0.8047–0.8053 Asian range, now printing 0.8060 with RSI(14) near 64. The grind up follows soft US CPI/PPI stabilising into an SNB-capped franc; 0.8072 prior swing is the next overhead marker before the 0.8100 pivot.
Support: 0.8048, 0.80351
Resistance: 0.8072, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Sustained move above 0.8072 opens the 0.8100 psych pivot
Loss of 0.8048 session low puts the 0.8035 swing low back in play
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF sold ~80 pips from 0.8114 into 0.8035 through the prior NY session, then based and has ground higher on rising lows during Asia hours, now 0.80576. Recovery holding above the 0.8042 base low with 0.8072 the next cap; SNB's known cap on franc strength underpins the bid.
Support: 0.8042, 0.80351
Resistance: 0.8072, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Close back below 0.80420 negates the recovery and re-exposes 0.80351
Sustained break above 0.80720 opens the 0.8100 pivot
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could reassert the higher-for-longer USD bid
USDCHF sold from 0.8114 through European hours on the soft US data theme, bottoming at 0.8035 before dip-buyers re-emerged. Asian session has ground back up in a chain of higher lows to 0.80576, recovering roughly a third of the selloff on thin volume, RSI(14) mid-range near 60.
Support: 0.8048, 0.80351
Resistance: 0.8072, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80720 swing high needed to extend the recovery
Loss of 0.80480 recovery base reopens the 0.8035 session low
0.8100 psych pivot caps the broader range; repeated false breaks noted there
01:46 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 58 · price 0.80545
Basing after NY selloff, higher lows.
USDCHF sold off through NY hours from 0.8114 to a 0.8035 session low after the 12:30 UTC US data slot, in line with the soft PPI backdrop. Asia session has ground back to 0.8054 on thin volume, printing higher lows off the base; RSI(14) recovered to the mid-50s.
Support: 0.80417, 0.80351
Resistance: 0.80563, 0.8080, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80563 session high extends the recovery toward 0.8080 prior high
Loss of 0.80417 swing low re-exposes the 0.80351 session low
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC is the day's catalyst and could materially shift this read
USD/CHF sold off from 0.8114 to 0.8035 during the NY session on soft US data, then based and is grinding higher through thin Asia hours, last 0.8055. Higher lows off 0.8035 with RSI back in the mid-50s, but the recovery is capped so far near the 0.8056 session high.
Support: 0.80447, 0.80351
Resistance: 0.80563, 0.8072, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80563 opens the path to 0.8072
Failure to hold 0.80447 rising support reopens the 0.8035 low
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
01:32 UTC
Downtrend, basing after selloff · RSI 56 · price 0.80534
Range after impulsive leg down.
Pair topped at 0.81145 then sold off sharply through the 12:30 UTC US data slot, extending to a 0.80351 swing low. Asia session has it consolidating in a 0.80417–0.80544 range, RSI(14) recovering near 56 with the session high still capping the bounce.
Support: 0.80417, 0.80351
Resistance: 0.80544, 0.8069
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80544 session high opens 0.80690 prior high
Failure to hold 0.80417 range low reopens the 0.80351 swing low
US data/Fed-speak in the coming NY session could reprice the range
01:32 UTC
Downtrend, basing after selloff · RSI 56 · price 0.80534
Tight Asian range above prior swing low.
NY hours sold USDCHF from 0.8114 down to 0.8034 as the soft US PPI miss weighed, then the pair based and recovered. Asian session is now coiled in a tight 0.8047–0.8054 range on thin volume, price pressing the session high with RSI mid-range.
Support: 0.8047, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.80544, 0.80646
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80544 session high opens the 0.80646 fib 38.2 zone
Failure to hold 0.8047 asian low reopens the 0.80338 swing low
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC is the day's catalyst and could break this range
01:17 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 47 · price 0.80509
Sideways range after selloff.
USD/CHF sold off through the London-NY window from 0.8114 to 0.80351 as the post-CPI/PPI dollar slide weighed. Price has since stabilised, ranging 0.8042–0.8053 in the quiet Asia session with the 23.6% retrace at 0.80533 capping the bounce.
Support: 0.80417, 0.80351
Resistance: 0.80533, 0.80691
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80533 range high opens the 0.80691 swing pivot
Loss of 0.80417 reopens 0.80351 session low
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
01:17 UTC
Downtrend, now stalling · RSI 48 · price 0.80509
Sold off then consolidating near lows.
USDCHF sold off through London-NY hours from the 0.81145 peak to 0.80351, shedding roughly 80 pips as post-CPI/PPI dollar softness weighed. The Asia session has since gone quiet, ranging 0.80417–0.80533 with RSI(14) back to neutral; the recovery has stalled just under the session high.
Support: 0.80417, 0.80351
Resistance: 0.80533, 0.8069
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.80533 opens the path back toward 0.80690
Loss of 0.80351 confirms a fresh lower low
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC is the next macro catalyst for this pair
01:02 UTC
Downtrend, now flat · RSI 46 · price 0.80478
Consolidating above session low.
USDCHF sold off through London-NY from 0.8114 to 0.8035 as PPI reinforced the soft CPI read, then stalled. Asia session is thin and ranging 0.8042-0.8053, holding just above the swing low with RSI(14) recovered off the lows near 46.
Support: 0.80417, 0.80351
Resistance: 0.80533, 0.8066
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80533 breaks the Asian range and opens 0.8066
Failure to hold 0.80351 confirms a fresh lower low
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
01:02 UTC
Downtrend, now flat · RSI 46 · price 0.80478
Tight consolidation after sell-off.
USDCHF sold off from 0.8114 to 0.8034 through the NY session as the dollar faded post-CPI/PPI, then stalled. Asia hours are thin and rangebound between 0.80417 and 0.80530, RSI(14) neutral near 46; no setup in play.
Support: 0.80417, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.8053, 0.8070
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80530 range top opens 0.80700 prior pivot
Downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 47 · price 0.80503
Range after impulsive leg down.
USDCHF sold off from 0.8114 to 0.8034 during the London-NY session as soft US PPI weighed on the dollar, then stalled. Asia has coiled into a tight range between 0.80417 and 0.80533, RSI(14) flat near 47 with no directional impulse.
Support: 0.80417, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.80533, 0.8070
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80533 opens the path back toward 0.80700
Loss of 0.80417 exposes the 0.80338 swing low
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could break the range read
00:46 UTC
Prior downtrend, now flat · RSI 50 · price 0.80503
Consolidation near session lows after sell-off.
NY-session sell-off dragged USDCHF from 0.8114 to 0.8034, then price stalled into a tight Asia-session range around 0.8045-0.8052 on thin volume. RSI(14) has recovered to neutral near 50 as the pair sits just above EMA20 but below EMA50.
Support: 0.80447, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.80519, 0.8100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80519 range top would end the consolidation read
Break below 0.80338 session low reopens the downside
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC ahead — key USD driver into later sessions
00:31 UTC
Downtrend, now flat · RSI 44 · price 0.80476
Consolidating near session low after NY selloff.
USDCHF slid through NY hours from 0.8114 to a 0.8034 session low as soft US CPI/PPI trimmed Fed hike bets and pressured the dollar. Asia session has since gone flat, coiling in a tight 0.8045-0.8053 band with RSI(14) neutral near 44.
Support: 0.80338
Resistance: 0.80533, 0.8072
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80533 reopens the path toward 0.80720
Break below 0.80338 confirms a fresh lower low
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could break this consolidation
00:31 UTC
Downtrend faded, now flat · RSI 46 · price 0.80476
Consolidation after intraday selloff.
USDCHF sold off from 0.8114 through the London-NY hours down to 0.8034 after soft US inflation trimmed Fed bets, then stabilised. Thin Asian session now grinding a tight 0.8042-0.8053 range, RSI(14) neutral near 46 and ATR compressed to ~4 pips.
Support: 0.8042, 0.8034
Resistance: 0.8053, 0.8065
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8053 opens 0.8065
Failure to hold 0.8042 exposes the 0.8034 session low
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could break this range
00:16 UTC
Downtrend, stabilizing · RSI 45 · price 0.80454
Lower highs into a shallow range.
USDCHF sold off from 0.8114 to a 0.80338 session low after soft US inflation trimmed Fed hike bets, then recovered but capped at 0.80533. Price is drifting near 0.8045 in thin Asia trade, holding below EMA20/50 with no fresh momentum.
Support: 0.80338, 0.80417
Resistance: 0.80533, 0.8072
What it said to watch
Sustained break below 0.80338 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Close above 0.80533 reopens the 0.80720 pivot
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
00:16 UTC
Downtrend, now flat · RSI 43 · price 0.80454
Sold off then consolidating near lows.
USDCHF rolled over from the 0.8114 peak to a 0.8035 session low, then bounced to 0.8053 before drifting back to 0.8045. Quiet Asian session now, coiling in a tight 0.8042-0.8053 band with RSI(14) mid-40s and ATR compressed near 5 pips.
Support: 0.80417, 0.80351
Resistance: 0.80533, 0.8090
What it said to watch
close back above 0.80533 bounce high reopens the 0.8090 prior range
loss of 0.80417 recent low exposes the 0.80351 session low
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could break the consolidation
USDCHF sold off from 0.81145 through 0.8050 during NY hours, printing a 80-pip leg into a 0.80338 low. Price is now basing in thin Asia trade between 0.80417 and 0.80533, RSI(14) recovered off its lows to ~44 but price holds below EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 0.80417, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.80533, 0.8073
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80533 opens the path back to 0.80730
Failure to hold 0.80417 exposes the 0.80338 swing low
US Retail Sales ~12h out (12:30 UTC) is the next high-impact USD catalyst
00:02 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 47 · price 0.80467
Based after NY selloff, tight range.
NY session drove a sharp selloff from 0.8114 to a 0.8034 session low as soft US PPI kept USD heavy. Price has since based in a tight 0.8042–0.8053 band through thin Asian hours, RSI mid-range with no directional push.
Support: 0.80417, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.80533, 0.8069
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80533 range top opens the 0.80690 swing high
Failure to hold 0.80338 session low extends the down leg
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC is the next USD catalyst