USD/CHF slid from this week's high near 0.8151 to 0.8034 as soft US CPI/PPI trimmed Fed-hike bets and dragged the dollar toward its monthly low. Since Wednesday's low the pair has carved a rounded recovery back above EMA20 and EMA50, now consolidating in the 0.808-0.809 zone with RSI(14) cycling back through the mid-50s. Higher lows have held since the 0.80338 base.
Support: 0.8060, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.80948, 0.8110
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.80948 opens the path toward 0.81100
Failure to hold 0.80600 exposes the week low at 0.80338
UoM Consumer Sentiment (Fri 14:00 UTC) is the week's key USD catalyst and could shift this read
22:02 UTC
Downtrend, momentum stalling into a base · RSI 51 · price 0.80836
Recovered off week low, consolidating below weekly open.
USDCHF sold off from the 0.8151 area early this week after cooler US CPI/PPI trimmed Fed-hike bets, bottoming at 0.80338 mid-week before basing. Price has ground back to 0.808 on rising lows but remains capped below the weekly open at 0.80994 and the 0.80948 recent high. RSI(14) is cycling around the midline as the tape flattens into the late session.
Support: 0.80547, 0.80338, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.80948, 0.80994, 0.8112
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.80948 opens the path toward the 0.81120 swing high
Failure to hold 0.80547 range low re-exposes the 0.80338 week low
UoM inflation expectations Fri 14:00 UTC is the week's key USD catalyst and could shift this read
USDCHF sold off from the week high at 0.8150 into a 0.8034 low as soft US CPI/PPI trimmed Fed-hike bets and pressured the dollar leg. Price has since recovered but supply capped the bounce near 0.8095 — the 50% retrace of the week's decline — and is now consolidating just above EMA(20), with RSI(14) hovering mid-range around 46.
Support: 0.8043, 0.80338, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.80948, 0.81145, 0.81516
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.80948 (50% fib) opens the path back to 0.81145
Failure to hold 0.8043 prior support exposes the 0.80338 week low and 0.8000 psych level
UoM inflation expectations Fri 14:00 UTC is the week's key USD catalyst and could shift this read
Week-long decline based at 0.8034, grinding back up.
USDCHF sold off from the week high near 0.8152 into Wednesday, accelerating as cooler US CPI/PPI pared Fed-hike bets, before basing at 0.8034. Since that low it has carved out higher lows back to 0.8086 and is now consolidating just under the 0.8095 session high, with RSI(14) mid-range around 53 and price back above EMA(20). The recovery has retraced close to the 38-50% zone of the week's drop.
Support: 0.8072, 0.8042, 0.8034
Resistance: 0.8095, 0.8115, 0.8150
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.8095 opens the path to 0.8115 then the 0.8150 week high
Failure to hold the rising trendline / 0.8072 ema20 exposes 0.8042 and the 0.8034 week low
UoM sentiment & inflation expectations Fri 14:00 UTC could shift the USD leg
USDCHF fell from a mid-week peak near 0.8150 to a 0.8034 week low as the dollar slid on cooler US PPI, then based and recovered with higher lows into today. Price now holds above EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) back near 56 after clearing oversold. The session high at 0.8095 has capped the bounce, while the weekly open near 0.8074 is acting as a pivot.
Support: 0.8060, 0.80742, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.80948, 0.8105, 0.81516
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.8095 opens the path to prior supply at 0.8105
Failure to hold 0.8060 reopens the 0.8034 week low
Michigan Consumer Sentiment Fri 14:00 UTC could shift the USD leg
The dominant move this week was the sharp reversal from YTD highs near 0.8150 down to 0.8034, triggered as soft US CPI/PPI trimmed Fed-hike bets and pressured the dollar. Since the low the pair has ground higher through the NY session, reclaiming EMA(20) with RSI(14) recovering back to the mid-50s. Resistance at 0.80948 capped the latest push and 0.81000 sits just above.
Support: 0.80654, 0.80435, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.80948, 0.8100, 0.81145
What it said to watch
Close above 0.81000 opens the path toward 0.81145 prior high
Failure to hold the 0.80654 higher low exposes 0.80435 swing low and the 0.80338 week low
Fri UoM Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) could shift the USD leg of this read
20:02 UTC
Downtrend, basing off lows · RSI 54 · price 0.80883
Sharp mid-week selloff, higher lows since.
USD/CHF sold off sharply mid-week, dropping from the 0.8150 area to a 0.80338 weekly low as soft US CPI/PPI trimmed Fed-hike bets and pressured the dollar. That low has held and price has since ground back up with a sequence of higher lows into 0.809, reclaiming the EMA20 with RSI(14) cycling back through the mid-range. The 0.80948 session high has capped the recovery so far.
Support: 0.8072, 0.8066, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.80948, 0.81088
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 0.80948 then 0.81088 extends the recovery off the weekly low
Failure to hold 0.80660 swing low reopens 0.80338
UoM Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations Fri 14:00 UTC could shift the USD leg of this read
Higher lows off week low after reversal from YTD high.
USD/CHF ran to YTD highs near 0.8151 early in the week then reversed hard, dropping to 0.8034 into Wednesday's NY session as soft US inflation prints pared Fed hike bets. Since then price has carved higher lows back toward 0.809, holding above EMA20, but the 0.8095 session high has capped the bounce. The broader weekly move remains lower even as the near-term base builds.
Support: 0.8060, 0.80435, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.80948, 0.81088, 0.81516
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.8095 opens the path to 0.81088 prior high
Failure to hold 0.8060 recent low reopens 0.80435 week low
UoM inflation expectations Fri 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
19:02 UTC
Downtrend, recovery off lows · RSI 56 · price 0.80879
Higher lows building off weekly low.
USDCHF slid from the week's 0.8146 high to a 0.80338 low as back-to-back soft US inflation prints pared Fed hike bets, then based and ground higher through the NY session. Price now holds above EMA20 with RSI(14) recovering into the mid-50s, but the 0.80948 session high has capped the bounce. The mid-week reversal remains the dominant structure, with the recovery still counter to that move.
Support: 0.8072, 0.8060, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.80948, 0.81126, 0.81461
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.80948 opens the path to the 0.81126 prior high
Failure to hold 0.80600 reopens the 0.80338 weekly low
UoM sentiment & inflation expectations Fri 14:00 UTC could shift this read
USD/CHF failed at YTD highs near 0.81516 early week, then sold off into Wednesday's session to a 0.80338 week low as soft US CPI/PPI unwound Fed-hike bets. Price has since carved higher lows, reclaiming EMA20 and the 0.80891 area, but the 0.80970 session high and 0.81088 week pivot have capped the recovery. RSI is cycling mid-range with no clear extension yet.
Support: 0.8063, 0.80435, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8097, 0.81088, 0.81516
What it said to watch
Michigan sentiment Fri 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 0.81088 reopens the path to 0.81516
Failure to hold the 0.80630 higher low reopens 0.80435 week low
The dominant move this week was the mid-week slide from 0.8150 to the 0.8043/0.8034 base, driven by soft US CPI/PPI paring Fed-hike bets. Price has since carved higher lows and reclaimed EMA20, but the recovery is stalling into the 0.8094 session high and the 50% retracement of the down-leg around 0.8093, which also aligns with EMA50 overhead. RSI(14) has lifted back to the mid-50s as the bounce matures.
Support: 0.8065, 0.8043, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8094, 0.8114, 0.8150
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.8094 clears the session high and opens 0.8114
Rejection at the 0.8093 area keeps the down-leg intact toward the 0.8043 week low
Loss of the 0.8065 swing low confirms a fresh lower-low
Michigan sentiment (Fri 14:00 UTC) could shift USD tone and this read
17:03 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 56 · price 0.80942
Bounce off week low, higher lows building.
The pair ran to a fresh week high near 0.8152 midweek before soft US CPI/PPI pared Fed hike bets and drove a sharp NY-session decline to 0.8034. Since that low, H1 has carved higher lows and reclaimed EMA(20) and EMA(50), retracing roughly half of the week's drop back toward the 0.8100 round number. RSI(14) has recovered off oversold to the mid-50s as the recovery grinds higher.
Support: 0.8060, 0.80338, 0.80042
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.81145, 0.81516
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.81000 round number opens the path back toward 0.81145 prior high
Failure to hold the higher-low sequence and a break of 0.80600 swing low reopens the 0.80338 week low
Fri 14:00 UTC UoM inflation expectations could shift the USD read into the next session
Higher lows since midweek base after sharp decline from 0.8150.
The week's dominant move was the slide from the 0.8150 high into the 0.80338 base midweek, driven by the soft US PPI print paring Fed hike bets. Since that low the pair has carved higher lows and reclaimed EMA(20), with RSI(14) recovering above 55 and price back at 0.80942. Prior high at 0.81088 is the first cap on this bounce.
Support: 0.8063, 0.8050, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.81088, 0.81516
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.81088 opens the path back toward the 0.81516 week high
Loss of the rising trendline and 0.80630 swing low reopens the 0.80338 week low
UoM sentiment/inflation expectations Fri 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
Basing after impulse down, higher lows off the low.
USDCHF sold off from the week high at 0.81516 to a 0.80338 week low as soft US CPI/PPI pared Fed hike bets; since that low buyers have lifted price back near 0.808 on a sequence of higher lows. The 0.80885 session high has capped the bounce, and price is retesting the 38-40% area of the week's decline; the 0.80435 swing low is the pivot for the recovery.
Support: 0.80435, 0.80338, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.80885, 0.81105, 0.81516
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.80885 session high opens the path back to 0.81105
Failure to hold 0.80435 swing low reopens the 0.80338 week low and 0.80000 psych level
Fed speakers (Logan, Schmid, Jefferson) today and Friday's Michigan sentiment could shift the USD tone
USDCHF reversed from the YTD high near 0.8150 after soft US CPI/PPI pared Fed hike bets, then slid to a weekly low at 0.80338 into the NY session. Price has since recovered above EMA(20) with RSI(14) back near 56, holding a run of higher lows off that low. Resistance at the 0.80885 day high has capped the bounce; the 0.80338–0.8100 range frames this week's structure.
Support: 0.8068, 0.80338, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.80885, 0.8100, 0.81145
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.80885 day high opens the path back to 0.8100
Failure to hold EMA20 (~0.8068) re-exposes the 0.80338 weekly low
Fed speakers (Logan, Schmid, Jefferson) today could shift the USD read
USD/CHF sold off from the week's 0.8151 high after soft US CPI/PPI trimmed Fed hike bets, sliding to 0.80338 before demand stepped in twice around 0.8040. Price has recovered through the NY session and into today, reclaiming EMA(20) near 0.8086 with RSI(14) cycling back to mid-range. The 0.80945 swing high has capped the bounce so far.
Support: 0.8063, 0.80437, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.80945, 0.81088, 0.81516
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.80945 opens the path back to 0.81088
Failure to hold 0.80437 confirms a lower low toward 0.8000
Michigan Consumer Sentiment + inflation expectations Fri 14:00 UTC could shift this read
15:02 UTC
Downtrend this week, base forming · RSI 59 · price 0.80861
Lower highs off 0.8150, higher lows off 0.8034.
USDCHF spent the week grinding lower from 0.8150, with the dominant leg down through the NY session as soft US CPI/PPI kept the dollar pinned near four-week lows. Price double-bottomed around 0.8034-0.8044 and has since carved higher lows, reclaiming EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) recovering toward 60. The 0.81088 swing high caps the bounce; 0.80600 is now the first pullback pivot.
Support: 0.8060, 0.80435, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.81088, 0.81145, 0.81516
What it said to watch
Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations Fri 14:00 UTC could shift this read
Hourly close above 0.81088 negates the lower-high structure
USDCHF has trended lower since Tuesday's peak near the 0.81516 week high, with a soft dollar after the PPI miss driving a series of lower highs. The NY session flush extended the move to a 0.80338 week low before buyers stepped in, and price has since recovered above EMA20 with RSI cycling back toward 52. The 0.81088 prior high caps the rebound; EMA50 still sits overhead.
Support: 0.80338, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.81088, 0.81516
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.81088 breaks the week's lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.80338 opens the 0.8000 psych level
Fed speakers (Logan, Schmid, Jefferson) today could shift the USD read
USDCHF ran to a fresh YTD high near 0.81516 early week before reversing hard after soft US CPI/PPI pared Fed hike bets, unwinding to a week low at 0.80338 into the NY session. Price is now bouncing back through EMA20 and stalling around the 38.2% retrace of that drop near 0.80790, with the 0.80945 swing high capping the recovery. The sequence of lower highs from the YTD peak keeps the broader H1 structure heavy despite the two-way, SNB-capped franc backdrop.
Support: 0.80437, 0.80338, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.80945, 0.8116, 0.81516
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.80945 swing high negates the corrective-stall read
Failure to hold 0.80437 swing low reopens the 0.80338 week low and 0.8000 psych
Fed speakers (Logan, Schmid, Jefferson) today could shift the USD read
Sell-off from 0.8150 stalling, higher lows off 0.8034.
USDCHF reversed off the 0.8150 YTD high mid-week and impulsed down to 0.8034 after the soft US PPI print bled Fed-hike premium out of the dollar. Price has since carved higher lows off that base and reclaimed EMA20, now retesting the 0.808 area into the NY session. RSI(14) has cycled back above 50 as the recovery holds, but the broken 0.8042 shelf and the 0.80945 swing high still cap the move.
Support: 0.8050, 0.80338, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.80945, 0.81088, 0.81516
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.80945 opens the path back toward the 0.81088 prior high
Failure to hold 0.80500 base re-exposes the 0.80338 week low
Friday UoM inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) could shift the USD read
SNB intervention signals cap franc strength and cushion downside
Recovery off 0.8034 week low, higher lows building.
USDCHF sold off from midweek's 0.8150 YTD-area high to a 0.8034 low as the dollar sat at multi-week lows following cool US PPI, then found demand and has been grinding out higher lows into the NY session. Price has reclaimed EMA(20) but stalls beneath EMA(50) around 0.8092, with RSI(14) recovering back to the mid-50s. SNB intervention posture and safe-haven flows have kept the pair cushioned above 0.8000 despite the soft-USD backdrop.
Support: 0.80513, 0.80338, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8092, 0.81088, 0.81516
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.80920 ema50 and 0.81088 prior high would confirm the bounce extending
Failure to hold the higher-low sequence and a break of 0.80513 reopens the 0.80338 week low
Friday UoM inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) could shift the USD read and this structure
USDCHF has trended lower all week off the 0.81516 peak, accelerating through the 0.8060 zone after back-to-back soft US CPI/PPI prints pressured the dollar broadly. Price printed a week low at 0.80338 before a shallow recovery into the NY session; the bounce has stalled under 0.80752 with price hugging EMA20 but capped by a falling EMA50. RSI(14) has lifted back to the mid-line, easing the earlier oversold read without reclaiming momentum.
Support: 0.80547, 0.80338, 0.8042
Resistance: 0.80752, 0.80916, 0.81145
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC (~30m out) could materially shift this read
H1 close above 0.80752 day high then 0.80916 would break the sequence of lower highs
Failure to hold 0.80547 swing low reopens the 0.80338 week low
Series of lower highs and lower lows off 0.8151, bounce off 0.8034.
USDCHF has trended lower since the midweek 0.8151 peak, with soft US CPI then a hard PPI miss (-0.3% MoM) dragging the dollar to multi-week lows and driving the pair through 0.8067. Price found demand at 0.8034 and has since recovered above EMA20 to 0.80662, but the sequence of lower highs and a sub-EMA50 position keeps the bounce corrective. The 0.80752 day high capped the latest push into the NY session.
Support: 0.80434, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.80752, 0.81088
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read within the next bar
H1 close above 0.80752 breaks the lower-high sequence and opens 0.81088
Failure to hold 0.80434 re-exposes the 0.80338 week low
USDCHF has bled lower all week from the 0.8151 area, accelerating after soft US CPI and PPI prints gutted hawkish-Fed bets and pinned the dollar near multi-week lows. Price carved a lower low at 0.80338 in the London session yesterday, then based around 0.8043 and has clawed back above EMA(20) into the current session, though EMA(50) still caps overhead. RSI(14) has recovered off oversold toward the mid-50s as the bounce matures.
Lower highs off 0.8151, higher lows building off 0.8034.
USDCHF slid off this week's 0.8151 high after back-to-back soft US inflation prints (CPI, PPI), bottoming at the 0.8034 week low before grinding back to 0.8074. Price has carved higher lows through the Asia and London sessions and reclaimed EMA(20), though EMA(50) near 0.8085 still caps the recovery. RSI(14) has lifted off its lows into mid-range.
Support: 0.80435, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.8090, 0.81088
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 0.80900 prior high opens room toward the 0.81088 swing high
Failure to hold higher lows and a break of 0.80435 session low re-exposes the 0.80338 week low
10:02 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 52 · price 0.80722
Lower highs into a base near 0.8034.
After stretching to the week high near 0.8151 midweek, USDCHF rolled over and broke the 0.8067 swing low, extending to 0.8034 as soft US CPI/PPI prints trimmed Fed hike bets. Price has since carved a rounded base and reclaimed EMA(20), now probing 0.8072 with RSI recovering back toward the midline, though it remains below EMA(50). Higher lows off 0.8034 mark a tentative recovery within the broader down leg.
Support: 0.80435, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.80985, 0.81145, 0.81516
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80985 session high would challenge the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.80435 pivot reopens the 0.80338 week low
US Retail Sales today 12:30 UTC could shift this read
10:02 UTC
Downtrend from midweek high, recovering off lows · RSI 54 · price 0.80722
Week low carved, higher-lows building.
USDCHF sold off from the weekly high near 0.81516 after back-to-back soft US CPI/PPI prints gutted Fed hike bets, printing a week low at 0.80338 before demand stepped in. Since that low the pair has built a sequence of higher-lows into 0.80722 and reclaimed EMA(20), though it trades below EMA(50) with RSI(14) recovering back toward the mid-line. The 0.80909 bounce high caps the retracement of the midweek drop for now.
Support: 0.80574, 0.80435, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.80909, 0.81088, 0.81516
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80909 would extend the recovery toward 0.81088
Failure to hold 0.80574 higher-low reopens 0.80435 then the 0.80338 week low
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF rolled over from the weekly high near 0.8151 and broke down through 0.8067 into the NY session as the Dollar sagged on soft US PPI, printing a week low at 0.80338. Price has since carved out a base and is grinding higher lows back above EMA(20), with RSI(14) recovering off its lows toward the mid-50s. The 0.8090 prior high caps the bounce for now while the broader move stays below EMA(50).
Support: 0.8051, 0.80338, 0.80437
Resistance: 0.8090, 0.8112, 0.81516
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 0.80900 opens the path back toward the 0.81120 swing high
Loss of 0.80510 puts the 0.80338 week low back in play
09:02 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 54 · price 0.80694
Lower highs into week low, bounce underway.
USDCHF sold off from Tuesday's YTD-area high near 0.81516 through the week, accelerating lower after the soft US PPI miss and printing a week low at 0.80338. Price has since recovered back above EMA(20) with RSI(14) cycling up near 54, but the 0.81126 lower high still caps the bounce and EMA(50) remains overhead. Safe-haven flows around Middle East headlines are lending the dollar support on dips.
Support: 0.8055, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.80945, 0.81126, 0.81516
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.81126 lower high would break the week's sequence of lower highs
Failure to hold the 0.8055 swing low reopens the 0.80338 week low
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
08:02 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising near lows · RSI 47 · price 0.80614
Lower highs into consolidation above week low.
USDCHF has trended lower since the 0.8152 area early in the week, sliding to a 0.8034 low after soft US CPI/PPI trimmed Fed hike bets and firmed the franc. Price has since flattened into a tight consolidation near 0.8060, holding just above the 0.8042 pivot with RSI recovering toward the mid-40s. The bounce is a shallow retrace of the down move; resistance at the 0.8065 session high has capped it so far.
Support: 0.8042, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.80645, 0.80807
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.8080 prior high challenges the descending lower-highs
Failure to hold the 0.8042 pivot reopens the 0.8034 week low
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF has trended lower since the 0.81516 peak, breaking down through 0.81 as soft US CPI/PPI trimmed Fed hike bets and left the dollar heavy. Price bottomed at the 0.80338 week low before recovering into a tight consolidation around 0.806, holding just above EMA20 with RSI(14) recovering off oversold toward the mid-50s. The 0.80645 session high has capped the bounce while lower highs from 0.81145 still frame the broader decline.
Support: 0.80435, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.80645, 0.80909, 0.81145
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 0.80645 session high challenges the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.80435 swing low reopens the 0.80338 week low
07:02 UTC
Downtrend, basing after selloff · RSI 47 · price 0.80593
USDCHF broke down from the 0.8150 area midweek as back-to-back soft US CPI/PPI prints knocked the dollar, driving a sharp leg to the 0.8034 week low. Price has since based and clawed back to 0.8059, reclaiming EMA(20) but still capped well under EMA(50); the 0.8067 prior swing low now acts as overhead pivot. RSI(14) has recovered off oversold toward the midline as the selloff stalls.
Support: 0.80435, 0.80338, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8067, 0.80909, 0.8110
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close back above 0.80909 would break the sequence of lower highs
Failure to hold 0.80435 re-exposes the 0.80338 week low and 0.8000 psych
07:02 UTC
Downtrend, basing after selloff · RSI 47 · price 0.80593
Lower highs into the week, now consolidating above week low.
USDCHF rolled over from the 0.8152 area midweek and broke sharply lower after the soft US PPI print, tagging a 0.8034 week low before basing. Price now grinds back toward EMA20 around 0.8067, which has capped the recovery, with RSI(14) recovering off the lows to a neutral 47. Structure remains a series of lower highs; the bounce off 0.8034 is holding but has not reclaimed the prior 0.8067 swing low.
Support: 0.80417, 0.80338, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8067, 0.8092, 0.8110
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80670 would ease the lower-high sequence and expose 0.80920
Failure to hold 0.80338 opens the 0.8000 psych level
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Two-leg decline off week high, basing above 0.8043.
USDCHF has trended lower all week from the 0.8151 peak, a two-leg drop accelerated by back-to-back soft US CPI and PPI prints that trimmed Fed hike bets. The pair sliced through 0.8081 support into the NY session yesterday and printed a fresh low at 0.8034 before demand stepped in near 0.8043. Price is now consolidating just under EMA20 with RSI(14) recovering off oversold toward the midline.
Support: 0.80435, 0.80338, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.80645, 0.8091, 0.81145
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC today could materially shift this read
Close below 0.8043 confirms a lower-low and reopens the 0.8000 psych level
Reclaim of 0.8091 would challenge the week's downtrend structure
06:02 UTC
Downtrend, basing near lows · RSI 47 · price 0.80614
Lower highs, range break lower, consolidating above week low.
USDCHF rolled over from the 0.8150 area midweek and broke the 0.8067 swing low as back-to-back soft US CPI and PPI prints kept the dollar heavy. Price has since been basing between 0.80338 and 0.80720, holding above the week low but capped under EMA20. RSI has recovered off oversold toward the mid-40s without reclaiming momentum.
Support: 0.80435, 0.80338, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8072, 0.80945, 0.81145
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.80720 ema20 would neutralise the downtrend read
Failure to hold 0.80338 week low confirms a fresh lower-low toward 0.8000 psych
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF has trended lower since the 0.81516 peak, breaking down through the 0.809 range as back-to-back soft US CPI and PPI prints pressured the dollar. Price sank to a week low of 0.80338 before a shallow bounce into the Asia session, now stalling near 0.80602 and holding below EMA20 and EMA50. RSI(14) is recovering off oversold but remains sub-50, with the prior 0.809 range now acting as overhead supply.
Support: 0.80435, 0.80338, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8090, 0.8110
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC today could materially shift this read
H1 close above 0.80900 negates the lower-high downtrend structure
Failure to hold 0.80338 confirms a fresh lower low, exposing 0.80000 psych
USDCHF has trended lower since midweek's 0.81516 peak, with the soft US CPI/PPI prints driving a sharp break through the rising wedge and down to 0.8034. Price has since recovered to 0.8060 but holds below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) in the mid-40s, keeping the lower-high sequence intact. The 0.8034 week low has capped the downside on two attempts.
Support: 0.80435, 0.80338, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.80945, 0.8110, 0.81516
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.80945 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.80338 opens the 0.8000 psychological level
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC today could materially shift this read
USD/CHF rolled off the YTD high near 0.8150 after soft US CPI/PPI trimmed Fed hike bets, carving a run of lower highs into the NY session and printing a fresh 0.80338 low yesterday afternoon. Price is now recovering toward 0.80645 but sits below both EMA20 and EMA50, keeping the intraday structure heavy. The SNB's known lean against franc strength has capped franc gains, so the bounce lacks conviction.
Support: 0.80338, 0.80434, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.80645, 0.8090, 0.81145
What it said to watch
Hourly close back above 0.80900 would break the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.80338 confirms continuation of the lower-low structure
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF has rolled over from the YTD high near 0.81516 after soft US CPI and PPI trimmed Fed hike bets, sliding through the 0.8100 pivot and printing a low at 0.80338. Price is now stabilizing back around 0.80585, still trading below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI recovering off oversold. The 0.8100 pivot has seen repeated false breaks this week and continues to cap the recovery.
Support: 0.80435, 0.80338, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8073, 0.8100, 0.81516
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close back above 0.81000 pivot would neutralise the downtrend read
Failure to hold 0.80338 swing low confirms a lower-low extension
03:02 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 47 · price 0.80617
Lower highs into 0.8034 low, corrective bounce underway.
USDCHF rolled over from the week's 0.8151 YTD-high area, with soft US CPI and yesterday's PPI miss trimming hike bets and driving the pair down to a 0.8034 low. A corrective bounce into the NY-Asia transition has lifted price to 0.8062, but it remains below EMA20 and EMA50 with the 0.8100 pivot repeatedly rejected. SNB franc-selling context caps deeper CHF strength.
Support: 0.80435, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.8090, 0.8100, 0.81145
What it said to watch
Sustained H1 close above 0.80900 would challenge the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.80338 confirms continuation of the down leg
Thu 12:30 UTC US Retail Sales cluster could materially shift this read
03:02 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 45 · price 0.80617
Lower highs, testing recent range low.
USDCHF has been rolling over since the midweek high near 0.8151, printing lower highs after soft US CPI and PPI trimmed Fed hike bets and knocked the dollar broadly. Demand stepped in around the 0.80338 week low, lifting price back toward 0.806, but it sits below both EMA20 and EMA50 with the 0.8100 pivot capping repeated attempts this week. RSI(14) is recovering from the 30s without reclaiming 50, keeping the corrective tone intact.
Support: 0.8043, 0.80338, 0.8060
Resistance: 0.8090, 0.8100, 0.81145
What it said to watch
Sustained H1 close above 0.81000 pivot reopens the 0.8115 lower high and 0.8150 zone
Failure to hold 0.80338 week low confirms a fresh lower-low
Thu 12:30 UTC US Retail Sales cluster could materially shift this read
02:02 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating after sell-off · RSI 40 · price 0.80574
Lower highs from week peak, capitulation then basing.
USDCHF rolled over from the 0.81516 week high in a series of lower highs, then broke down hard through 0.80700 into the NY session with a capitulation bar to 0.80338 as back-to-back soft US CPI/PPI prints pared the hawkish-Fed bid. Price has since based between 0.80338 and 0.80577 and sits below both EMA20 and EMA50, with RSI(14) recovering off oversold. The broken 0.80700 shelf now caps the tape overhead.
Support: 0.80435, 0.80338
Resistance: 0.8070, 0.8090, 0.81145
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC is the day's key catalyst and could materially shift this read
Reclaim of 0.80700 would neutralise the breakdown and open 0.80900
Loss of 0.80338 session low confirms continuation of the downtrend
USDCHF rolled over from the 0.8150 YTD-high area with successive lower highs, then broke the 0.8100 pivot into the NY session yesterday and extended to 0.80338 as soft US CPI/PPI pared Fed-hike bets. The pair is bouncing off that low but remains capped below EMA(20) near 0.8072, keeping the near-term structure heavy. RSI(14) is recovering off oversold toward the mid-40s.
Support: 0.80338, 0.80435, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8072, 0.8090, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Hourly close back above 0.8100 pivot would repair the broken structure
Failure to hold 0.80338 confirms a fresh lower low
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC is the day's key catalyst and could shift this read
USDCHF peaked near 0.8152 midweek then rolled over, with a sharp NY-session slide dumping the pair to 0.8034 before dip-buyers stabilised it around 0.8048. Soft US CPI and PPI capped the dollar, while the SNB backstop keeps franc strength in check, leaving price pinned below EMA(20) and EMA(50). RSI(14) sits in the lower half after cycling down with the decline.
Support: 0.8034, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8053, 0.8090, 0.8100
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.8090 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.8034 confirms a fresh lower low toward 0.8000
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
01:02 UTC
Downtrend from weekly high · RSI 40 · price 0.8048
Lower highs, lower lows.
USDCHF has rolled over from the weekly high near 0.8151, with the 0.8100 pivot capping the last rebound before an accelerated slide into the NY session that printed a swing low at 0.8033. Price trades below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) near 40 after the softer US CPI/PPI prints trimmed Fed-hike bets; the franc's own weakness (deep Swiss PPI deflation, SNB leaning against strength) has kept the pullback shallow, stalling around 0.8048.
Support: 0.8033, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8055, 0.8100, 0.8151
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 0.8100 pivot would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.8033 swing low confirms continuation lower toward 0.8000
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF has unwound the run to the YTD high near 0.81516, sliding through the 0.8100 pivot as the broad PPI miss kept the dollar heavy into midweek. Price is now pinned below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) sub-40, consolidating just above the 0.80435 swing low after a stall in the Asia session. The 0.8100 pivot has capped the last rebound, keeping the sequence of lower highs intact.
Support: 0.80435, 0.80305
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.81145, 0.81516
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.80435 confirms a fresh lower-low toward the 0.80305 week low
H1 close back above 0.81000 pivot would break the lower-high sequence
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
00:02 UTC
Downtrend, testing lows · RSI 39 · price 0.80467
Lower highs, probing weekly low.
USD/CHF has rolled over from Tuesday's YTD high near 0.8152, printing successive lower highs as soft US CPI and yesterday's broad PPI miss kept the dollar heavy. Price broke the 0.809 shelf during the NY session and is now grinding the 0.8034 swing low with RSI(14) near the low end of its range. SNB franc-selling remains the offset, keeping CHF strength shallow on the way down.
Support: 0.80338, 0.80305
Resistance: 0.8090, 0.8110
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.8034 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of the 0.809 shelf would neutralise the breakdown
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read