Lower highs into neckline support, now consolidating.
USDCHF has trended lower since Monday's open near 0.8000, sliding into the 0.7920-0.7930 head-and-shoulders neckline as the US-Iran peace framework sapped the dollar's safe-haven bid. Price is now compressing in the low 0.793s below both EMA20 and EMA50, with RSI(14) holding the low-40s after its midweek slide. The 0.79215 swing low is the immediate floor; rejections have capped each bounce near 0.7940.
Support: 0.79215, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.7940, 0.7949, 0.7959
What it said to watch
Clean H1 close below 0.79215 confirms a lower low and opens the 0.7900 round number
Reclaim of 0.7940 EMA20 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
FOMC (Wed) and SNB (Thu) are dominant catalysts that could override this read
US Retail Sales could move the USD leg in the next session
USDCHF has trended lower since Monday's open near 0.8000, carving a sequence of lower highs and now grinding into the 0.7900-0.7930 support zone, framed as a head-and-shoulders neckline. The slide tracks the US-Iran peace framework sapping the dollar's safe-haven bid; price sits below both the H1 EMA20 (~0.7945) and EMA50, and the last NY-into-Asia bars have flattened around 0.7930 with RSI near 42.
Support: 0.79215, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.7945, 0.79575, 0.8000
What it said to watch
Hourly close below 0.7900 confirms the neckline break and opens fresh CHF strength
Reclaim of 0.7945 ema20 would neutralise the lower-high structure
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and SNB Thu 07:30 GMT are the dominant catalysts and can reset this read
USDCHF has trended lower since Monday's 0.80127 high, with CHF firm as the US-Iran peace framework saps USD safe-haven demand. Price now bases in a tight 0.7920–0.7935 band below the 0.7944 EMA(20), RSI(14) sitting in the low-40s after the slide. The 0.7920 swing low has held into Wednesday's Fed decision, with dips contained for now.
Support: 0.79209, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.7944, 0.79597, 0.8000
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.79209 confirms a lower-low and opens the 0.7900 neckline
Reclaim of the 0.79440 ema20 would neutralise the downside drift
FOMC Wed 18:00 GMT and SNB Thu 07:30 GMT could materially shift this read
22:01 UTC
Downtrend, near support · RSI 43 · price 0.79296
Lower highs into range floor.
USDCHF has trended lower all week off the 0.8013 high as the US-Iran peace framework sapped USD safe-haven demand, dragging price toward the 0.7900-0.7930 support and the head-and-shoulders neckline flagged in the macro read. A NY-session bounce to 0.7960 stalled under the EMA20 and sold back to the 0.7920 area, leaving lower highs intact. RSI(14) sits near 42, consistent with capped rallies rather than reversal.
Support: 0.79209, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.7945, 0.79597, 0.80127
What it said to watch
Clean H1 close below 0.7900 neckline opens fresh CHF strength
Reclaim of 0.7945 EMA20 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Fed decision/dots Wed 18:00 GMT and SNB Thu 07:30 GMT are the dominant cross-drivers
21:02 UTC
Downtrend, pressing support · RSI 39 · price 0.79308
Lower highs into 0.7920-0.7930 support.
USDCHF has tracked lower-highs all week, slipping below the EMA20 and sliding toward the 0.7900-0.7930 support zone that frames the head-and-shoulders neckline. Soft US housing starts and Empire State prints were ignored as price held heavy ahead of Wednesday's FOMC. RSI(14) sits near 39 with price hugging the recent 0.7921 swing low.
Support: 0.79215, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.7945
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.7920 confirms a lower-low and breaks the neckline
Reclaim of the 0.7945 EMA20 would neutralise the downside pressure
FOMC (Wed 18:00 UTC) and Retail Sales could materially shift this read
USDCHF has trended lower since Monday's 0.8013 high, capped by a descending sequence of lower highs as the US-Iran peace framework sapped the dollar's haven bid. Price is pinned below the EMA20 (~0.7945) and consolidating just above the 0.79215 week low, the 0.7900-0.7930 head-and-shoulders neckline zone the context flags. RSI(14) near 41 reflects a paused down-leg rather than fresh acceleration.
Support: 0.79215, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.7945, 0.79575, 0.8000
What it said to watch
Clean H1 close below 0.79215 week low confirms continuation toward the 0.7900 psych level
Reclaim of the 0.79450 ema20 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
US Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) and FOMC (18:00 UTC) Wed are the defining catalysts and could materially shift this read
SNB decision Thu 07:30 GMT a further cross-driver
20:01 UTC
Downtrend, pressing support · RSI 40 · price 0.79322
Lower highs, lower lows since Monday.
USDCHF has drifted lower since Monday's open near 0.7986, carving a descending channel of lower highs and lower lows as the US-Iran peace framework sapped the dollar's safe-haven bid. Price sits below the EMA20 (~0.7942), which has capped every bounce this week, and is now grinding into the 0.7900-0.7920 swing-low support after rejection from the 0.7960 prior high. RSI(14) holds in the high 30s, in line with the prevailing downside drift.
Support: 0.7920, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.7942, 0.7960
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.7900 psych level confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 0.7942 ema20 would neutralise the channel pressure
Fed decision Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant cross-driver for the USD leg
USDCHF has ground lower all week off the 0.80127 high as the US-Iran peace framework saps the dollar's safe-haven bid, leaving price pinned below the EMA20 near 0.7945. The slide into yesterday's NY session pushed the pair onto the 0.7900-0.7930 support zone, the H&S neckline flagged in the macro read, where dips have so far been contained ahead of Wednesday's Fed decision. RSI(14) sits in the high-30s with momentum cooling rather than accelerating.
Support: 0.79215, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.7945, 0.79597, 0.8000
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.79215 confirms a lower low and opens the 0.7900 psych zone
Reclaim of the 0.7945 ema20 would neutralise the downtrend read
Fed decision Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant cross-driver and could materially shift this read
USDCHF has trended lower since Monday's 0.8012 top, the franc bid as the US-Iran framework drained dollar safe-haven demand. Price sits below EMA20/EMA50 with a chain of lower highs (0.7976, 0.7960, 0.7958) capping each bounce, and is now re-pressing the week low near 0.7921. RSI(14) sits near 40 with no bullish divergence as bounces fade into the 0.7949 recent high.
Support: 0.79209, 0.79276
Resistance: 0.7949, 0.79575
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.79209 confirms a fresh lower low and extends the downtrend
Reclaim of the 0.79490 recent high needed to break the lower-high sequence
US Retail Sales (Wed 12:30 UTC) then FOMC (Wed 18:00 UTC) are the dominant catalysts and can reset this read
USDCHF has trended lower all week off the 0.8013 high, trading below EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) holding in the 35-45 band. The franc firmed as US-Iran de-escalation drained dollar haven demand, dragging price into the 0.7950 pivot and through it; the NY session pushed the pair back toward the 0.79215 week low. Sellers have capped each bounce at successively lower highs around 0.7960.
Support: 0.79215, 0.7928
Resistance: 0.7950, 0.7960, 0.7990
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.79215 week low confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of the 0.7950 pivot would neutralise the downside read
US Retail Sales and FOMC Wed are the week's dominant catalysts and could reset this structure
Lower highs and lower lows within descending channel.
USDCHF has drifted lower through the week, carving lower highs and tagging a fresh swing low at 0.7921 in the latest NY session as broad USD caution ahead of the Fed met a firmer franc. Price sits below both EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) near 40, and the 0.7950 pivot has capped each bounce attempt. The 0.7920 channel base is the immediate floor being tested.
Support: 0.7921, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.7950
What it said to watch
FOMC + dot-plot at 18:00 UTC Wed is the dominant catalyst and can reset this read
H1 close back above 0.7950 pivot would break the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.7920 confirms channel-base breakdown toward 0.7900
SNB decision Thu 07:30 GMT a further franc-specific risk
USDCHF has drifted lower all week from the 0.7990 channel top, with each rally capped beneath the 0.7950 pivot and price trading below EMA20/EMA50 throughout. The NY session sold off again to retest the 0.7920 swing low, where buyers stepped in twice this week. RSI(14) is hovering near oversold as the franc holds firm on the drained USD safe-haven premium ahead of Wednesday's Fed.
Support: 0.7920, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.7950, 0.7990
What it said to watch
An H1 close below 0.7920 confirms a lower low and opens the path toward 0.7900
Reclaim of the 0.7950 pivot would neutralise the lower-high sequence
US Retail Sales (Wed 12:30 UTC) and FOMC + dot-plot (Wed 18:00 UTC) are the dominant catalysts and could materially shift this read
USDCHF has trended lower since the week opened near 0.8010, sliding through the channel after the US-Iran framework drained the USD safe-haven premium. Price broke below the 0.79400 shelf during the NY session and is now pressing fresh week lows at 0.79215, holding firmly under EMA20 with RSI(14) sub-40. The 0.79490 EMA20 zone has capped each pullback this week.
Support: 0.79215, 0.7920
Resistance: 0.7949, 0.79575, 0.7975
What it said to watch
Hourly close below 0.79215 confirms continuation toward the 0.7920 channel base
Reclaim of 0.79490 EMA20 zone would neutralise the lower-high structure
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC then FOMC 18:00 UTC Wed could materially shift this read
17:01 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 37 · price 0.79266
Lower highs, lower lows.
USDCHF has trended lower all week from the 0.8013 region, sliding below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) pinned in the high-30s. The dominant leg came in yesterday's and today's NY hours, breaking through prior support to fresh lows at 0.79215 as USD safe-haven demand faded on the US-Iran framework. Price is now sitting on the lows ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.
Support: 0.79215, 0.7920
Resistance: 0.7949, 0.79575, 0.7995
What it said to watch
Hourly close below 0.79215 swing low extends the lower-low sequence toward the 0.79200 channel base
Reclaim of 0.79490 ema20 would ease the downside pressure
FOMC rate decision + dot-plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this read
USDCHF has trended lower since Monday's open, carving a descending channel of lower highs after the sharp break below 0.8000 mid-week. Price slipped to fresh week lows around 0.7928 into the NY session, trading below both EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) near 37. The franc caught a bid as US safe-haven demand faded on the US-Iran framework, though both Fed and SNB risk loom.
Support: 0.79209, 0.7928
Resistance: 0.7950, 0.79597, 0.7999
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.79209 channel base confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 0.79500 pivot would challenge the downtrend read
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and SNB Thu are dominant catalysts that could reset this structure
16:01 UTC
Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 38 · price 0.79281
Lower highs, lower lows below EMAs.
USDCHF has trended lower all week, rolling off the 0.8013 high into a sequence of lower highs as fading USD safe-haven demand from the US-Iran framework kept CHF firm. Price has held below EMA(20) and EMA(50) since the Tuesday sell-off, and the latest NY-session push has broken back toward the 0.7920 channel base with RSI(14) sliding into the high 30s. The 0.7950 pivot capped the prior bounce and remains the level supply has defended.
Support: 0.7920, 0.79209
Resistance: 0.7950, 0.7959, 0.7990
What it said to watch
FOMC + dot-plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst — could materially shift this read
SNB decision Thu 07:30 GMT another franc driver
H1 close below 0.7920 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 0.7950 pivot would neutralise the down leg
15:01 UTC
Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 39 · price 0.79327
Lower highs and lower lows since week high.
USDCHF has trended lower all week from the 0.8013 high, with the franc bid as US safe-haven demand faded on the US-Iran framework. Price rejected at the 0.7959 lower high and broke down through the 0.7945-0.7950 area into NY hours, now pressing the prior low near 0.7921 with RSI sub-40 and price under both EMAs. SNB and Fed are the week's twin catalysts.
Support: 0.79209, 0.7929
Resistance: 0.7949, 0.7959, 0.8000
What it said to watch
Break below 0.79209 swing low confirms continuation of lower lows
H1 close back above 0.79490 (ema20) would neutralise the downside read
FOMC decision + dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC and SNB Thu 07:30 GMT could materially shift this read
15:01 UTC
Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 39 · price 0.79327
Lower highs, range broke down.
USDCHF rolled over into the NY session, slipping out of the 0.794-0.795 range after rejection at 0.79597 and printing a fresh session low at 0.79306. Price trades below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) sub-40, extending the week's broader grind lower from the 0.80127 peak. Twin Fed (Wed) and SNB (Thu) risk frames the next sessions.
Support: 0.79306, 0.79209
Resistance: 0.7949, 0.79575, 0.79597
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.79209 swing low confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
H1 close back above 0.79490 prior high neutralises the breakdown read
FOMC decision + dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
SNB rate decision Thu is the key franc-side catalyst
14:01 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating at lows · RSI 45 · price 0.79436
Lower highs into a base near 0.7945.
USDCHF has trended lower since mid-week, sliding off the 0.8013 high as fading US-Iran safe-haven demand kept the franc bid, then gapped lower at the week open and printed a 0.7921 low. Price is now consolidating around 0.7945, capped below the 0.7950 pivot and sitting under EMA20/EMA50 with RSI in the mid-40s. Attempts above 0.7960 have been rejected twice into the NY sessions.
Support: 0.79209, 0.7928
Resistance: 0.7950, 0.79597, 0.7995
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.7950 pivot, then 0.7960 swing high, would challenge the downtrend read
Loss of 0.7921 week low confirms a fresh lower-low
FOMC decision + dot-plot Wed 18:00 UTC and SNB Thu 07:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF has trended lower all week, breaking down from the 0.8010 area in a sharp drop and grinding to a 0.79209 floor as broad USD safe-haven demand unwound on the US-Iran deal. Price is now consolidating in a 0.7920–0.7957 band, pinned just under EMA20 with RSI(14) cycling below 50 on each bounce. The 0.7950 pivot has capped recovery attempts into the NY session.
Support: 0.7928, 0.79209
Resistance: 0.7950, 0.79575, 0.7990
What it said to watch
FOMC decision + dot-plot Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
SNB rate decision Thu 07:30 UTC adds a second CHF risk event
H1 close above 0.79575 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.79209 confirms a fresh lower low
13:02 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 47 · price 0.79496
Lower highs since last week's 0.8010 top, basing near 0.7920.
USDCHF rolled over from the 0.8010 area early last week and gapped lower into the new week's open, basing around the 0.7920 week low as the franc found a bid on fading USD safe-haven demand. Price is now consolidating just under the 0.7950 pivot, with RSI(14) hovering mid-range and price pinned to its EMA(20). The 0.79575 swing high has capped the latest bounce.
Support: 0.7945, 0.79209
Resistance: 0.79575, 0.8000
What it said to watch
FOMC rate decision Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Hourly close above 0.79575 invalidates the consolidation read
Loss of 0.7920 week low confirms a fresh lower-low
Consolidation above week low after impulsive drop.
USD/CHF rolled over from the 0.8013 high mid-week and sold into a 0.7920 base, with the franc firmer as the US-Iran deal trimmed USD haven demand. Since the weekend gap down, price has consolidated in a tight 0.7920–0.7960 band around the 0.7950 pivot, RSI(14) hovering near 50 with no fresh momentum. Pullbacks are stalling under the 0.79597 lower high while the 0.7920 floor holds.
Support: 0.79209, 0.7928
Resistance: 0.79597, 0.8000
What it said to watch
FOMC decision Wed 18:00 UTC and SNB Thu could materially shift this read
H1 close above 0.79597 lower high reopens the path toward 0.8000
Failure to hold 0.7920 week low confirms downtrend extension
12:01 UTC
Downtrend stalling, now ranging · RSI 53 · price 0.79519
Lower highs into a base near 0.7920, mid-range.
USDCHF sold off from the week's 0.80127 high during Thursday's NY session into a base around 0.7920, helped by soft US data and fading safe-haven demand. Price has since carved a 0.7940–0.7957 range and is hovering just above its H1 EMAs with RSI cycling mid-range. The 0.79573 range top has capped the latest recovery attempt.
Support: 0.79406, 0.79276, 0.79209
Resistance: 0.79573, 0.79699, 0.7995
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.79573 range top opens the path to 0.79699 prior pivot
Failure to hold 0.79406 recent low reopens the 0.79209 week low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and SNB Thu 07:30 GMT could materially shift this read
12:01 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising into range · RSI 51 · price 0.79519
Consolidation above week low after midweek selloff.
USD/CHF rolled over from the 0.8012 channel top early week down toward 0.7921 as fading US safe-haven demand on the US-Iran framework deal pressured the dollar. Price is now consolidating around the 0.7950 pivot, hugging EMA20 but capped under EMA50, with RSI mid-range. Twin Fed (Wed) and SNB (Thu) risk sits directly ahead of this read.
Support: 0.7940, 0.7928, 0.7921
Resistance: 0.7959, 0.7970, 0.8000
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 0.79590 swing high opens the path back to 0.79700
Loss of 0.79280 swing low reopens the 0.79210 week low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and SNB Thu 07:30 GMT can materially shift this read
Lower highs since Wed drop, consolidating near lows.
USDCHF rolled over from the 0.8010 area on Wednesday, the dominant down move of the week, after soft US data (Empire State, IP misses) pressured the dollar. Price has since consolidated in a 0.7920–0.7960 band, with the 0.7950 pivot capping bounces and EMA20/50 sitting overhead; RSI(14) is parked in the low-40s. Drift back toward the week low at 0.7921 keeps the broader bias heavy.
Support: 0.7928, 0.7921
Resistance: 0.7950, 0.7959, 0.8000
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.7921 confirms a fresh lower-low and extends the downtrend
Reclaim of the 0.7950 pivot would challenge the consolidation read
US Retail Sales (Wed 12:30 UTC) and FOMC/dots (Wed 18:00 UTC) can materially shift this; SNB Thu 07:30 GMT follows
USDCHF rolled off Wednesday's 0.8013 high in a steady downtrend as the franc found a safe-haven bid into the FOMC, before basing in a 0.792–0.796 range over the past two sessions. Price sits just under EMA20/EMA50 with RSI mid-40s, capping rebounds at the 0.79597 session high. The week low at 0.79209 has held twice.
Support: 0.79209, 0.7928
Resistance: 0.79597, 0.7950, 0.8000
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.79597 would break the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.79209 week low confirms downtrend continuation
FOMC/dots Wed 18:00 UTC and SNB Thu are the dominant catalysts for this read
10:01 UTC
Downtrend this week, basing · RSI 48 · price 0.79485
Base above 0.7920 after impulsive sell-off.
USD/CHF rolled over from the 0.8013 area early in the week, dropping into a 0.7920 base through the London-NY sessions as franc strength on US-Iran de-escalation outweighed firm USD. Price has since carved higher lows and recovered to 0.7960 before easing back to sit on EMA(20) near 0.7948, with RSI(14) flat around the midline. The 0.7960 swing high capped the bounce and the 0.7920 base remains the line in the sand.
Support: 0.7944, 0.79209
Resistance: 0.79597, 0.8000
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 0.7960 swing high reopens the path toward 0.8000
Failure to hold 0.7920 swing low confirms continuation of the down-leg
FOMC Wed (decision + dot plot) and US Retail Sales are the dominant near-term risks for this read
10:01 UTC
Downtrend stalling into range · RSI 49 · price 0.79485
Range after this-week decline.
USD/CHF slid from the 0.8000 channel top early week down to a 0.79209 week low as the US-Iran peace framework trimmed USD safe-haven demand and CHF stayed bid. Price has since chopped sideways between 0.7942 and the 0.79597 swing high, with RSI(14) hovering near 50 and pullbacks tracking EMA(20). The 0.79750 prior high and 0.80000 round level cap the broader recovery path.
Support: 0.7942, 0.79209
Resistance: 0.79597, 0.7975, 0.8000
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 0.79597 swing high opens room toward 0.79750 prior high
Failure to hold 0.79209 week low confirms a fresh lower-low
FOMC decision + dot plot Wed 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read
09:02 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising near lows · RSI 49 · price 0.7945
Lower highs into a base above 0.7920.
USDCHF slid through this week's sessions as the US-Iran framework drained the dollar's safe-haven bid and lifted the franc, printing a string of lower highs from 0.8013 down to a 0.7920 base. Price has since stabilised, ticking back to 0.7945 around the EMA(20) with RSI(14) recovering toward the midline. Resistance at 0.7957 caps the bounce; 0.7920 is the line in the sand for the week's low.
Support: 0.7921, 0.7935
Resistance: 0.7957, 0.7990
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.7920 confirms a fresh lower low and extends the week's slide
Reclaim of 0.7957 would open the path back toward 0.7990
FOMC + dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC and SNB Thu 07:30 UTC could materially reset this read
USDCHF has trended lower all week, sliding from the 0.8012 area to a 0.7921 base as the US-Iran peace framework drained the safe-haven dollar bid and soft US data added weight. Price is now coiling in a 0.7921–0.7957 range, pinned just under both EMAs with RSI hovering near 46. The 0.7957 session high has capped the latest bounce while 0.7921 holds the floor.
Support: 0.7921, 0.7940
Resistance: 0.7957, 0.7990, 0.8012
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 0.7957 would break the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.7921 extends the week's downtrend to fresh lows
FOMC Wed and SNB Thu are the dominant catalysts that could reshape this read
Recovery off week low, consolidating below 0.7960.
USDCHF sold off from the 0.8013 week high to a 0.7920 low as the US-Iran peace framework drained the dollar's safe-haven bid and lifted the franc. Since that low the pair has carved higher-lows back toward EMA(20), with RSI(14) recovering to mid-range; price is consolidating 0.7942–0.7960 ahead of event risk. The 0.7920 area is the line the week-low recovery rests on.
Support: 0.7942, 0.7920
Resistance: 0.7960, 0.8000
What it said to watch
Hold above 0.7942 keeps the higher-low recovery intact; loss reopens 0.7920
H1 close above 0.7960 extends the bounce toward the 0.8000 psych level
US Retail Sales today and FOMC under Warsh Wed 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read
Downtrend, stabilizing near lows · RSI 51 · price 0.7949
Weekly low holding, basing attempt.
USD/CHF leaked lower through the week, sliding from 0.8013 to a 0.7920 weekly low as the US-Iran framework deal drained the dollar's safe-haven bid and lifted the franc. Price has based off that low and reclaimed EMA(20) near 0.7942 into the European session, with RSI(14) recovering back to the mid-line. The 0.7959 session high caps the bounce, while 0.7920 remains the pivot for the week's structure.
Support: 0.7942, 0.7920
Resistance: 0.7959, 0.7978, 0.8000
What it said to watch
Fed decision / dot-plot Wed 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read
SNB rate decision Thu 07:30 GMT is a near-term risk for the pair
Hourly close above 0.7959 opens the path toward the 0.7978 fib
Loss of 0.7920 confirms continuation of the weekly downtrend
07:01 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising off lows · RSI 53 · price 0.79509
Lower highs into week low, basing above 0.7942.
USDCHF spent the week grinding lower from the 0.8013 high as the US-Iran framework deal drained the dollar's safe-haven bid, bottoming at 0.7921 — its lowest since early June. Price has since stabilised, reclaiming EMA20 with RSI(14) cycling back toward the midline, but lower highs cap the recovery near 0.7960. The session high at 0.79597 is the immediate area to watch for rejection or break.
Support: 0.7942, 0.79209
Resistance: 0.79597, 0.79728, 0.8000
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.79597 opens the path back toward the 0.79728 prior high
Failure to hold 0.79420 reopens the 0.79209 week low
US Retail Sales (Wed 12:30 UTC) and FOMC (Wed 18:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
SNB decision Thu 07:30 UTC ahead — intervention rhetoric the swing factor
USDCHF spent the week sliding from the 0.8013 high to a 0.7921 week low as the US-Iran framework deal drained the dollar's safe-haven bid and lifted the franc. Price has since carved higher lows and reclaimed EMA20 around 0.7943, with RSI lifting off oversold while the latest base printed above the prior trough — a mild bullish divergence into the recovery. The 0.7960 session high caps the bounce and the broader structure off 0.80 still leans lower.
Support: 0.79338, 0.79209
Resistance: 0.79597, 0.7973, 0.8000
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 0.79597 then 0.79730 would extend the recovery toward 0.80000
Failure to hold 0.79209 confirms a fresh lower low and resumes the downtrend
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and SNB Thu 07:30 UTC could materially shift this read
06:01 UTC
Recovering off week lows after early-week decline · RSI 56 · price 0.79575
Base building above 0.7920 after gap-down; higher lows forming.
USDCHF slid from the 0.8010 area mid-week as the US-Iran framework drained USD safe-haven demand, then gapped lower into this week's open and printed a week low at 0.7921. Price has since carved a steady recovery, reclaiming EMA(20) with RSI lifting off oversold toward the mid-50s. The 0.79636 gap area is the first cap; the 0.7980 prior support shelf overhead remains untested.
Support: 0.7942, 0.7921, 0.7980
Resistance: 0.79636, 0.7975, 0.8000
What it said to watch
FOMC decision Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 0.79636 gap high opens path toward 0.7975 swing high
Failure to hold 0.7942 pivot risks a retest of the 0.7921 week low
USDCHF rolled over from the 0.80130 week high and slid to a 0.79209 swing low as the US-Iran framework drained the dollar's safe-haven bid and lifted the franc. Price has since clawed back above the EMA20 (~0.7942) with RSI recovering off its lows, but the 0.79690 week pivot still caps. The broader structure this week remains a sequence of lower highs.
Support: 0.79209, 0.7942
Resistance: 0.7969, 0.8013
What it said to watch
Hourly close back below 0.79420 ema20 reopens the 0.79209 swing low
Acceptance above the 0.79690 week pivot would break the lower-high sequence
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and SNB Thu 07:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USD/CHF sold off this week from the 0.80127 high to a 0.79209 base as the US-Iran de-escalation drained the dollar's safe-haven bid. Price has since carved higher lows off twin touches near 0.7921 and now sits on the 38.2% retracement (~0.7956) of that decline, back above the EMA20. RSI(14) has cycled up from oversold to the high-50s as the bounce extends.
Support: 0.7942, 0.79209
Resistance: 0.7975, 0.8000, 0.80127
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 0.79750 extends the corrective leg toward 0.80000
Loss of 0.79420 re-exposes the 0.79209 week low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and SNB Thu 07:30 UTC could materially reset this read
Lower highs into 0.7921 low, now grinding higher lows.
The dominant move this week was the slide from the 0.8013 week high to the 0.7921 weekly low, triggered as the US-Iran framework drained the USD safe-haven bid. Price has since carved a rounded bottom, reclaiming the EMA20 around 0.7942 with RSI(14) lifting back toward 57. Recovery has stalled into the 0.79522 session high, which has capped the last few attempts.
Support: 0.7942, 0.79209
Resistance: 0.79522, 0.7967, 0.8013
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.79522 session high extends the recovery toward 0.7967
Loss of the 0.7942 ema20 reopens the 0.79209 weekly low
FOMC Wed (18:00 UTC) is a material risk for this read
USDCHF has trended lower all week, sliding from the 0.8002 week high toward 0.7921 as the dollar lost its safe-haven bid following the US-Iran framework and falling oil. Price has based since the 0.79209 low, carving higher lows back above EMA(20) with RSI(14) recovering off oversold. The 0.7952 session high still caps the bounce.
Support: 0.79209, 0.7942
Resistance: 0.7952, 0.7970, 0.8002
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.79520 session high opens the path back toward 0.79700
Failure to hold the 0.79420 higher low re-exposes the 0.79209 week low
FOMC decision/dots Wed 18:00 UTC and SNB Thu are the dominant catalysts for this read
USDCHF slid from the 0.8000 area to a week low near 0.79209 as the US-Iran peace framework drained dollar safe-haven demand and oil tumbled. Price has since stabilised in the low 0.795s, recovering back above EMA(20) but still capped beneath EMA(50). The 0.79520 session high has held as the immediate ceiling while demand held the 0.79410 area.
Support: 0.7941, 0.79209
Resistance: 0.7952, 0.7970, 0.8000
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.79700 negates the lower-high structure
Failure to hold 0.79410 reopens the 0.79209 week low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and SNB Thu 07:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF spent the week grinding lower from the 0.8000 area toward 0.7920 as the US-Iran peace framework drained safe-haven USD demand and soft US data added drag. A pair of lows near 0.7921 has held and price has recovered above EMA(20), with RSI(14) lifting back through 50, but the run of lower highs from 0.8013 keeps the broader structure heavy. Resistance at 0.79670 marks the line between continued basing and a deeper recovery.
Support: 0.7921, 0.7940
Resistance: 0.79522, 0.7967, 0.8000
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.79670 invalidates the lower-high structure
Loss of 0.79210 confirms the double bottom failed and resumes the downtrend
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and SNB Thu 07:30 UTC are the dominant near-term catalysts
03:01 UTC
Downtrend, basing near lows · RSI 54 · price 0.79497
Lower highs into week low, higher lows forming.
USDCHF rolled over from near 0.8013 toward a week low at 0.7920 as the US-Iran framework deal drained safe-haven flows and a softer dollar (Empire State, IP misses) added drag. Since the NY session, price has carved higher lows and reclaimed EMA20, recovering toward 0.7950 with RSI(14) lifting back through the mid-line. The 0.79669 prior range and 0.7952 session high cap the bounce so far.
Support: 0.79209, 0.79337
Resistance: 0.79522, 0.79669
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.79669 invalidates the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.79209 confirms a fresh lower low
FOMC + dot-plot Wed 18:00 UTC and SNB Thu 07:30 UTC are the dominant catalysts
02:01 UTC
Downtrend this week, stabilising near lows · RSI 53 · price 0.79489
Lower highs from 0.8013, basing above 0.7920.
USDCHF spent the week unwinding from the 0.8000/0.8013 weekly high toward a 0.7920 week low as broad USD weakness set in on the US-Iran peace framework and a fading safe-haven bid. Price has since recovered to 0.7949, sitting back above EMA20 with RSI(14) lifting off the low-40s to ~53, while the 0.79670 prior swing caps the bounce. Structure remains lower-highs until that level is reclaimed.
Support: 0.79335, 0.7922
Resistance: 0.7967, 0.7995
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.79220 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.79670 prior swing would negate the week's lower-high structure
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and SNB Thu 07:30 UTC are the dominant USDCHF catalysts and could reset this read
02:01 UTC
Downtrend this week, basing · RSI 53 · price 0.79489
Lower highs into a low-0.79 base.
USDCHF spent the week grinding off the 0.8000 weekly high down to a 0.7921 low as the US-Iran peace framework unwound the safe-haven USD bid and kept CHF firm. Price has since carved a base in the 0.7921–0.7950 band, reclaiming EMA20 while still capped just under EMA50, with RSI recovering back toward the midline. Twin lows near 0.7921 mark the floor of the week's range.
Support: 0.7942, 0.7921
Resistance: 0.7950, 0.7969, 0.8000
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.7950 then 0.7969 would break the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.7921 confirms a fresh lower-low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and SNB Thu 07:30 UTC are the dominant catalysts and can reset this read
01:02 UTC
Downtrend, basing · RSI 52 · price 0.79444
Lower highs into consolidation above week low.
USDCHF slid to 10-day lows near 0.7920 as the US-Iran peace framework unwound safe-haven dollar demand and kept the franc firm; a weekend gap lower set this week's tone. Price has based twice above 0.7920 and is grinding back toward EMA(20), with RSI(14) recovering off oversold into the low-50s. Resistance at 0.7950 capped the latest bounce, leaving the descending lower-highs intact.
Support: 0.79209, 0.79376
Resistance: 0.79493, 0.79767
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.7950 would break the lower-highs and open 0.7980
Failure to hold 0.7920 confirms continuation of the down move
Fed Wed 18:00 UTC and SNB Thu 07:30 UTC are the dominant USD/CHF catalysts ahead
01:02 UTC
Downtrend, basing after selloff · RSI 51 · price 0.79444
Lower highs, consolidating above week low.
USDCHF sold off from the 0.8010 area to a week low of 0.79219 as the US-Iran peace framework unwound the safe-haven dollar bid and CHF firmed. Price has since carved a tight range into the Asia session, reclaiming EMA(20) near 0.7938 with RSI(14) back to neutral around 50. Lower highs since the drop keep the broader structure heavy, but 0.79219 has held as a floor.
Support: 0.79219, 0.7938
Resistance: 0.7949, 0.8000
What it said to watch
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and SNB Thu 07:30 UTC are the dominant near-term catalysts for this pair
Loss of 0.79219 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
H1 close back above 0.79490 would challenge the lower-highs structure
00:01 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 50 · price 0.79448
Lower highs and lower lows, basing near week low.
USDCHF has trended lower all week, gapping down into Monday's open and pressing to a fresh week low at 0.79219 as a soft Dollar — US-Iran deal and crude crash draining safe-haven bid — weighed on the pair. Price has since reclaimed EMA20 with RSI back near 50, but the descending lower-highs structure off the 0.80127 peak remains intact. The 0.79490 session high and 0.79575 weekly open cap the recovery for now.
Support: 0.79219, 0.7928
Resistance: 0.7949, 0.79575, 0.79655
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.79575 weekly open invalidates the downtrend read
Failure to hold 0.79219 confirms a lower low
Fed decision + Retail Sales Wed and SNB Thu are the dominant near-term catalysts
USDCHF rolled over from the 0.8013 highs as the US-Iran framework and oil slide drained safe-haven USD bid, gapping lower into the new week and printing a fresh low at 0.7921. Price has since recovered back above EMA(20) with RSI(14) lifting off oversold while holding higher lows — a mild bullish divergence into the 0.7949 session high. The 0.7958 gap/weekly-open band caps the bounce so far.
Support: 0.79209, 0.7928
Resistance: 0.7949, 0.79575, 0.79636
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.79575 fills the weekend gap and challenges the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.79209 confirms continuation of the downtrend
FOMC + Retail Sales Wed and SNB Thu are the dominant USD/CHF catalysts ahead