USD/CHF AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Tuesday, 16 June 2026

Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/CHF 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.

23:46 UTC

Downtrend stalling into consolidation · RSI 44 · price 0.79277

Lower lows then flat range near session low.

USDCHF sold off through the NY session from 0.7960 to a 0.79244 session low, then flattened into thin Asia hours just under EMA20/50 at 0.7928. Price is grinding sideways inside the 0.7900–0.7930 support band the context flags as the H&S neckline, RSI(14) neutral near 43.

Support: 0.79244, 0.7920, 0.7900

Resistance: 0.79331, 0.79452

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 0.79244 session low extends the lower-low sequence toward the 0.7920 psych
  • Reclaim of 0.79331 swing high softens the downtrend read
  • FOMC decision Wed 18:00 UTC and SNB Thu are the dominant cross-drivers

23:45 UTC

Downtrend, momentum flat · RSI 44 · price 0.79277

Lower highs into session low, now consolidating.

USDCHF slid from the 0.7955 session high to a session low of 0.79215 through the NY-Asia handover, then consolidated near 0.7930 as US-Iran peace optimism kept the dollar capped. Price is drifting back to 0.79277 below EMA20/50 in thin late-session flow, pinned just above the 0.7900-0.7930 H&S neckline zone into the Fed.

Support: 0.79215, 0.7900

Resistance: 0.7933, 0.7943, 0.7955

What it said to watch

  • Break below 0.79215 opens the 0.7900 neckline area
  • M15 close above 0.79330 challenges the lower-high sequence
  • FOMC and SNB this week could materially shift this read

23:30 UTC

Downtrend, now flat · RSI 44 · price 0.79291

Consolidating above session low after slide.

USDCHF slid through the London-NY session from 0.79597 to a 0.79215 session low as a softening dollar pressed toward the 0.7900-0.7930 support zone. Price has gone flat into late Asia, holding a tight 0.79288-0.79338 range on thin volume with RSI(14) mid-40s.

Support: 0.79244, 0.79215, 0.7900

Resistance: 0.79338, 0.7945, 0.79597

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.79338 range top breaks the consolidation
  • Failure to hold 0.79215 session low resumes the downside
  • FOMC Wed is the dominant catalyst for the USD leg

23:30 UTC

Downtrend, now flat · RSI 44 · price 0.79291

Consolidating above session low.

NY hours sold USD/CHF from the 0.7957 session high down to 0.79215 as the US-Iran ceasefire kept the dollar's safe-haven bid capped. Price has since gone flat into the Asia session, coiling around 0.7929 just under the 0.79333 micro-cap, RSI(14) holding mid-40s.

Support: 0.79215, 0.7900

Resistance: 0.79333, 0.79574

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 0.79215 reopens the 0.7900 psych support
  • M15 close above 0.79333 breaks the consolidation top
  • Fed decision Wed and SNB Thu are the dominant catalysts for this cross

23:16 UTC

Downtrend, stalled into consolidation · RSI 48 · price 0.79295

Lower-lows then base above session low.

NY hours drove a slide from 0.7960 to a session low at 0.79215 as the soft US safe-haven bid kept USDCHF heavy near the 0.7900-0.7930 H&S neckline. Price recovered to 0.7933 and is now drifting in a tight 0.7929-0.7933 range in thin Asian trade, holding just below EMA20/50.

Support: 0.79215, 0.7915

Resistance: 0.79338, 0.7945

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.79215 confirms a fresh lower-low into the 0.7900-0.7930 neckline zone
  • Reclaim of 0.79338 reopens the 0.79450 swing area
  • FOMC Wed is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read

23:16 UTC

Downtrend, now flat at lows · RSI 46 · price 0.79295

Consolidating above session low after London-NY slide.

USDCHF slid through the London-NY session toward the 0.7900-0.7930 support zone, bottoming at 0.79215 before stabilising. Asia hours show tight, low-volume consolidation between 0.79290 and 0.79333, RSI(14) neutral near 46.

Support: 0.79215, 0.7900

Resistance: 0.79333, 0.7945

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.79215 extends the slide toward the 0.7900 support zone
  • Reclaim of 0.79450 would negate the lower-high structure
  • US Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) and Wed FOMC are the dominant catalysts ahead

23:01 UTC

Downtrend cooling into consolidation · RSI 46 · price 0.79295

Basing above session low after the slide.

London-NY hours drove USDCHF down from 0.7956 to a 0.79215 session low as US-Iran peace headlines sapped the dollar bid; price is now basing in a tight 0.7926-0.7934 range through quiet Asia hours. RSI(14) near 46 and price under both EMAs — no momentum, sitting just inside the 0.7900-0.7930 neckline support zone the wider read flags.

Support: 0.79215, 0.7900

Resistance: 0.79344, 0.7945

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.79450 prior-sup negates the downside read
  • Loss of 0.79215 session low opens the 0.7900 psych / neckline zone
  • US Retail Sales Tue 12:30 UTC could break the consolidation

23:01 UTC

Downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 49 · price 0.79295

Decline stalled, tight range near lows.

USDCHF slid through the NY session into the 0.7900-0.7930 support zone, printing a low at 0.79215 as US-Iran peace hopes capped the dollar. Asia hours have gone quiet, consolidating 0.7927-0.7334 with RSI(14) back to neutral.

Support: 0.79215, 0.7900

Resistance: 0.79344, 0.7946

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.79215 confirms a fresh lower-low into the 0.7900 zone
  • Reclaim of 0.79344 range top would ease downside pressure
  • Fed (Wed) and SNB (Thu) are the dominant catalysts ahead

22:46 UTC

Downtrend, now stalling · RSI 45 · price 0.79291

Post-selloff consolidation near session lows.

Sharp London-NY leg lower from 0.7960 to 0.79215 as the US-Iran peace framework capped the dollar's safe-haven bid; price has since based and is now grinding sideways through the quiet Asian session. Holding a tight 0.79215–0.79338 range below both EMAs, RSI flat near 45.

Support: 0.79215, 0.79244

Resistance: 0.79338, 0.7945

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.79215 confirms a fresh lower-low
  • Close back above 0.79338 reclaims the range top toward 0.79450
  • Fed decision + dot plot Wed 18:00 GMT is the cross-driver for the USD leg

22:45 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling · RSI 47 · price 0.79291

Lower highs into a flat consolidation.

USDCHF slid from 0.7960 to a session low of 0.79244 during NY hours, then flattened into a tight 0.7925–0.7934 consolidation as the session wound down on thin volume. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 46 after the decline; price holds below EMA20 and EMA50.

Support: 0.79244, 0.79215

Resistance: 0.79338, 0.79447

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 0.79244 session low confirms continuation of the downtrend
  • Close back above 0.79338 range top would neutralise the lower-high structure
  • Fed decision Wed 18:00 GMT is the dominant cross-driver for this read

22:31 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling · RSI 46 · price 0.79302

Lower lows then tight basing.

USDCHF sold off through the NY session from 0.7959 to a 0.79215 low, then based in a 0.79244-0.79335 range. Low-volume Asian consolidation now with RSI(14) recovered to mid-40s; price sits below both EMAs and has yet to reclaim the fib 50% near 0.79406.

Support: 0.79244, 0.79215

Resistance: 0.79335, 0.79406

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.79335 invalidates the consolidation read
  • Break of 0.79215 confirms a fresh lower low
  • Fed decision Wed 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read

22:31 UTC

Downtrend, now flat near lows · RSI 46 · price 0.79302

Lower highs, consolidating above session low.

NY session sold USDCHF off the 0.79597 high down to a 0.79215 swing low, then price stabilised and is now consolidating in a tight 0.7927–0.7933 band into the Asia handover. RSI(14) neutral near 46 after the down-leg; the 0.7900–0.7930 neckline zone is holding for now ahead of Wednesday's Fed.

Support: 0.79215, 0.7900

Resistance: 0.79338, 0.7945, 0.79597

What it said to watch

  • Clean break below 0.7900 neckline opens fresh downside
  • Reclaim of 0.79338 recent high needed to challenge the 0.7945 ema
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read

22:16 UTC

Downtrend, base building at lows · RSI 47 · price 0.79296

NY sell-off then consolidation near lows.

NY session sold USDCHF from 0.79597 down to a 0.79215 session low as the soft US safe-haven backdrop weighed on the dollar. Price has since consolidated in a tight 0.79250–0.79340 band into late session, RSI(14) recovering to mid-range; the 0.7900–0.7930 support zone flagged into Wednesday's Fed remains intact.

Support: 0.79215, 0.7910

Resistance: 0.7934, 0.7945, 0.79597

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.79215 confirms a lower low and exposes the 0.7910 neckline
  • Reclaim of 0.79340 puts the 0.79450 EMA50 zone back in play
  • Fed decision Wed 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read

22:16 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 47 · price 0.79296

Stair-step lower highs, basing near lows.

NY session sold USDCHF from 0.7957 to a 0.79215 low as US-Iran peace hopes capped the dollar's safe-haven bid. Price has since based and is consolidating 0.7925-0.7934, RSI(14) recovering toward neutral.

Support: 0.79244, 0.79215

Resistance: 0.79338, 0.7939, 0.7945

What it said to watch

  • Close below 0.79215 confirms a fresh lower-low and extends the downtrend
  • Reclaim of 0.79390 would break the lower-high sequence
  • Fed decision Wed 18:00 GMT and SNB Thu could materially shift this read

22:01 UTC

Downtrend, paused in consolidation · RSI 46 · price 0.79296

Lower highs into session lows, now ranging.

USDCHF sold off through the NY session into the 0.7920s as the US-Iran peace framework capped USD safe-haven demand, then settled into a tight 0.7924–0.7934 Asian-session range. RSI(14) sits mid-40s with ATR compressed near 2.5 pips — no momentum either way for now.

Support: 0.79244, 0.79215

Resistance: 0.79338, 0.7945

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.79338 range top opens the path back to 0.7945
  • Failure to hold 0.79215 session low confirms a lower-low
  • Fed decision Wed 18:00 GMT is the dominant cross-driver for the USD leg

22:01 UTC

Downtrend, now consolidating near lows · RSI 47 · price 0.79296

NY sell-off, basing above the swing low.

NY session sold USDCHF from 0.79597 down to a swept swing low at 0.79215 as the US-Iran framework capped USD safe-haven demand. Price has since consolidated around 0.7930 into the Asia open, holding below the 0.7945 EMA region with RSI(14) flat near 47.

Support: 0.79215, 0.7920

Resistance: 0.79345, 0.7945, 0.79597

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.79215 swing low confirms a lower-low and reopens the 0.7900 psych area
  • Reclaim of 0.79345 session high would put the down-move retrace back in play
  • Fed decision Wed 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read

21:46 UTC

Downtrend, recovery stalling · RSI 43 · price 0.79279

Lower highs and lower lows after NY decline.

USD/CHF sold off through the NY session from 0.7960 to a 0.79215 session low as the US-Iran peace framework capped the dollar's safe-haven bid. The Asia recovery faded at 0.79344 and price is slipping back to 0.79279 in thin late-session trade.

Support: 0.79244, 0.79215

Resistance: 0.79344, 0.7943

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 0.79215 confirms a fresh lower-low
  • M15 close back above 0.79344 challenges the lower-high structure
  • FOMC Wed plus SNB Thu are the defining catalysts for this cross

21:45 UTC

Downtrend, momentum flattening · RSI 42 · price 0.79279

Lower highs, holding above session low.

USDCHF drifted through the NY session from 0.7959 to a session low of 0.79215, with CHF bid as the US-Iran framework saps the dollar's safe-haven demand. Price consolidated near 0.7930 and is easing back toward the low in late NY hours, holding above the 0.7900-0.7930 neckline zone.

Support: 0.79215, 0.7915

Resistance: 0.79338, 0.7945

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.79215 extends the lower-low toward the h&s neckline
  • Reclaim of 0.79338 swing high needed to ease the downtrend read
  • Fed decision Wed could materially shift this read

21:31 UTC

Downtrend, momentum fading · RSI 40 · price 0.79271

Lower highs, lower lows; basing near lows.

USDCHF slid through the NY session from the 0.79597 session high to a 0.79215 low as the US-Iran peace framework kept the dollar's safe-haven bid capped. Price based around 0.7930 before slipping to 0.79271 in thin late-session trade; structure stays lower-high, lower-low into Wednesday's Fed.

Support: 0.79215, 0.7900

Resistance: 0.79344, 0.7945, 0.79597

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.79215 session low opens the 0.7900 neckline zone
  • Reclaim of 0.79344 swing high negates the near-term lower-high chain
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the defining catalyst for the USD leg

21:31 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing near lows · RSI 42 · price 0.79271

Lower highs/lower lows, basing above session low.

USDCHF sold off through the NY session from 0.7959 to a 0.79215 swing low as the softer US data and capped dollar weighed, then consolidated near 0.7930 before slipping back to 0.79271. Price holds below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) in the low 40s; the 0.79215 low is the line in the sand.

Support: 0.79215, 0.7900

Resistance: 0.7933, 0.7945

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.79215 confirms a lower low and opens the 0.7900 psych zone
  • Reclaim of 0.79330 recent high would stall the downtrend read
  • FOMC Wednesday is the defining catalyst and could materially shift this read

21:16 UTC

Downtrend, momentum easing · RSI 43 · price 0.79271

Lower highs/lows, now consolidating.

USDCHF sold off through the NY session, a sharp leg lower near 0.79550 dragging price into the 0.7900-0.7930 support zone the digest flags as the H&S neckline. Since then it has consolidated 0.79270-0.79330, with the late close slipping back toward the lows.

Support: 0.79215, 0.7900

Resistance: 0.7933, 0.7943, 0.79551

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.79215 confirms a lower low toward the 0.7900 neckline
  • Reclaim of 0.79330 range high would ease the downside pressure
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the defining catalyst and could reset this read

21:16 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 42 · price 0.79271

Lower highs into a low-range base near session lows.

USDCHF slid from the London high near 0.7960 to a session low at 0.79215, with USD heavy as the US-Iran peace framework caps safe-haven demand and CHF stays bid. Price has since coiled in a tight 0.7925-0.7933 base and is drifting back toward the lows; RSI(14) sits soft in the low 40s.

Support: 0.79215, 0.7900

Resistance: 0.79338, 0.7945

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.79215 extends the lower-low sequence
  • Reclaim of 0.79338 swing high needed to break the consolidation
  • FOMC Wednesday is the defining cross-driver for this read

21:02 UTC

Downtrend, basing near lows · RSI 46 · price 0.79308

Lower highs into 0.7930 consolidation.

USDCHF sold off through the NY session toward the 0.7900-0.7930 support, printing a low at 0.79215 before basing around 0.7930 into the Asia handover. RSI(14) flat mid-40s and ATR near 21 pips; price chopping just above EMA20 with EMA50 capping overhead at 0.7945.

Support: 0.79215, 0.7900

Resistance: 0.79344, 0.7945

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.79215 extends the lower-low into the support zone
  • Reclaim of 0.79344 session high needed to challenge the 0.7945 ema50
  • US Retail Sales and FOMC Wednesday could materially shift this read

21:02 UTC

Downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 46 · price 0.79308

Lower highs into session low, basing.

NY session sold USDCHF off the 0.79597 high toward a 0.79215 session low, then stalled into a tight 0.7925-0.7933 consolidation below the 0.7945 EMA. CHF stayed firm as the US-Iran framework capped the dollar's haven bid; price is now coiling just above the session low.

Support: 0.79215, 0.7900

Resistance: 0.7945, 0.79597

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.79215 confirms a lower low and opens the 0.7900 neckline
  • Reclaim of the 0.7945 ema/swing negates the consolidation lower bias
  • US Retail Sales then FOMC on Wed could materially shift this read

20:46 UTC

Downtrend, basing after slide · RSI 47 · price 0.79328

Lower high then lower low, now tight consolidation near session low.

USDCHF slid from the 0.79597 session high to a 0.79215 low through NY hours as a soft dollar leaned on Fed positioning, then based in a tight 0.7929-0.7933 range into the close. RSI(14) has recovered off the lows to mid-40s; price sits just above EMA20 but below EMA50.

Support: 0.7929, 0.79215

Resistance: 0.7945, 0.79597

What it said to watch

  • Break below 0.79215 opens the 0.7900-0.7930 support / H&S neckline
  • Reclaim of 0.79450 negates the intraday downtrend
  • FOMC Wednesday (18:00 UTC) is the defining catalyst for the USD leg

20:46 UTC

Intraday downtrend, base building · RSI 51 · price 0.79328

Consolidating above session low after selloff.

USDCHF sold off through the NY session from 0.7957 to a 0.79215 session low as a softer dollar tracked easing US-Iran tensions, then based and clawed back to consolidate around 0.7930. Price holds just above EMA20 but under EMA50, with the swing high at 0.79390 capping the bounce; RSI back near 51 after the washout.

Support: 0.79215, 0.79256

Resistance: 0.7939, 0.7945

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.79215 session low confirms a fresh lower low
  • Reclaim of 0.79390 swing high reopens the 0.79450 ema pivot
  • US Retail Sales (Wed 12:30 UTC) and FOMC could materially shift this read

20:31 UTC

Downtrend stabilising, basing · RSI 49 · price 0.79331

Consolidation above session low after NY selloff.

USDCHF sold off through the NY session from 0.7960 to a 0.79215 session low as a softer dollar capped the safe-haven bid. Price has based around 0.7925-0.7930 and is grinding back toward the 0.7945 EMA area; RSI(14) has lifted back to neutral from oversold, ATR ~22 pips.

Support: 0.79256, 0.79215

Resistance: 0.79383, 0.7945

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.79215 confirms a lower low and resumes the downtrend
  • Reclaim and hold above 0.79450 ema area neutralises the bearish read
  • US Retail Sales (Wed 12:30 UTC) and FOMC could materially shift this read

20:31 UTC

Downtrend, stabilising · RSI 51 · price 0.79331

Lower highs into tight late-session range.

NY session sold USDCHF off 0.7955 down to a session low at 0.79215 as the firmer dollar leaned on the soft-CHF backdrop, RSI(14) recovering off the lows. Price has since coiled in a tight 0.7925–0.7933 range, holding just above the EMA20 but capped under the 0.79374 swing high.

Support: 0.79215, 0.7928

Resistance: 0.79374, 0.79431

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.79374 swing high reopens the 0.79431 prior high
  • Break below 0.79215 session low confirms a fresh lower-low
  • US Retail Sales (Wed 12:30 UTC) and FOMC could materially shift this read

20:16 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling · RSI 53 · price 0.79323

Sold to 0.79215, now basing.

USD/CHF sold through the NY session to a swing low at 0.79215 as the dollar stayed heavy near the 0.7900-0.7930 support zone, then based and ground back toward 0.7933. Price is coiling in a tight 0.7925-0.7933 range late session, RSI(14) back to neutral after the slide.

Support: 0.79215, 0.7900

Resistance: 0.7943

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.79215 confirms a fresh lower low
  • Reclaim of 0.79430 prior swing negates the basing read
  • Fed decision Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

20:16 UTC

Downtrend, stabilising near lows · RSI 51 · price 0.79323

Lower lows into 0.7920, now basing.

NY session sold USDCHF from 0.7957 down to a 0.79215 session low, in line with the CHF safe-haven bid as USD softened. Price is now grinding sideways between 0.7920 and 0.7935, RSI back to neutral after the slide; 0.7945 EMA50 caps the recovery.

Support: 0.79215, 0.7928

Resistance: 0.79345, 0.7945

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.7920 confirms a fresh lower low
  • Reclaim of the 0.7945 ema50 would negate the downside grind
  • Fed decision risk could materially shift this read in the next bars

20:01 UTC

Downtrend, grinding higher off session low · RSI 50 · price 0.79323

Consolidation above session low after NY downleg.

NY session sold USD/CHF from ~0.7957 to a session low at 0.79215, then price stabilised and is grinding higher in a tight consolidation between 0.7925 and 0.7933. RSI(14) back near neutral; recovery so far shallow, holding well below the 0.79374 swing high.

Support: 0.79215, 0.79256

Resistance: 0.79374, 0.79431

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.79215 confirms a lower low and resumes the downleg
  • Reclaim of 0.79374 needed to challenge the 0.7943 prior high
  • Fed decision Wednesday could materially shift this read

20:01 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling · RSI 49 · price 0.79323

Lower highs into a base above 0.7920.

NY session sold off from 0.7957 into the 0.7900-0.7930 support zone, tagging a swing low at 0.7921 before basing. Price has ground back to 0.7932 with RSI(14) recovering off the lows to mid-range; recent high at 0.79345 caps the bounce, the 0.7945 ema sits above.

Support: 0.7921, 0.7900

Resistance: 0.79345, 0.7945, 0.7957

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.7921 confirms a fresh lower-low toward the 0.7900 psych level
  • Reclaim of 0.7945 ema would unwind the intraday downside
  • Fed decision Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant cross-driver and could reset this read

19:46 UTC

Downtrend, basing near lows · RSI 45 · price 0.79311

Lower lows into a tight base.

NY session sold USDCHF from 0.7955 down to a session low of 0.79215 as the US-Iran framework kept the dollar's safe-haven bid capped. Price has since carved a tight base between 0.79215 and 0.79330 into the late session, RSI(14) recovering toward 45 from the decline.

Support: 0.79215, 0.7900

Resistance: 0.7933, 0.7945

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 0.79330 base high would ease the downside pressure toward the 0.7945 ema
  • Break of 0.79215 session low opens the 0.7900 neckline
  • FOMC Wednesday is the defining USD-leg catalyst for this read

19:46 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling · RSI 51 · price 0.79311

Lower highs into a tight base near session low.

NY session drove USDCHF down from 0.7959 to a session low of 0.79215 as the fading USD safe-haven bid kept the dollar heavy. Price has since coiled in a tight 0.7925–0.7933 micro range with RSI back to neutral; the 0.7950 prior swing caps any recovery.

Support: 0.79215, 0.7905

Resistance: 0.7933, 0.7950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.79215 confirms a fresh lower low
  • Reclaim of 0.79330 micro range opens a push toward the 0.7950 prior swing
  • US Retail Sales and FOMC Wed are the defining catalysts for this read

19:31 UTC

Downtrend, basing after NY selloff · RSI 53 · price 0.79304

Lower lows into 0.7920, now grinding higher off the base.

NY session sold USDCHF from the 0.7955 session high down to a 0.79215 swing low, with the US-Iran deal capping the dollar's safe-haven bid. Price has since carved a rounded base and is grinding back toward 0.7930; RSI has recovered to mid-range and price sits just above EMA20 but under EMA50.

Support: 0.79215, 0.7900

Resistance: 0.7943, 0.7955

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.79215 confirms a fresh lower low, opening the 0.7900 psych level
  • Reclaim of 0.7943 prior swing would neutralise the NY downtrend
  • US Retail Sales then FOMC tomorrow, with SNB Thursday — both can materially shift this read

19:31 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling · RSI 52 · price 0.79304

Session low set, consolidating with rising lows.

NY session drove USDCHF down to a 0.79215 session low as soft US data capped the dollar ahead of the FOMC. Price is now grinding back up in tight consolidation around 0.7930, carving rising lows but still pinned below the 0.79330 micro-high.

Support: 0.79244, 0.79215

Resistance: 0.7933, 0.79431

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 0.79330 would extend the bounce toward 0.79431
  • Failure to hold 0.79244 reopens the 0.79215 session low
  • FOMC Wednesday is the defining cross-driver and could override this intraday read

19:16 UTC

Downtrend, basing near lows · RSI 48 · price 0.79308

Lower highs/lows, consolidating above session low.

NY session sold USDCHF from 0.7957 down to the 0.79215 session low as softer US data (Housing Starts 1.177M vs 1.43M) capped the dollar. Price has based in a tight 0.7926-0.7933 range over the last two hours with RSI(14) recovering off oversold; the broader leg remains down.

Support: 0.79244, 0.79215

Resistance: 0.7936, 0.79502

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.79215 confirms a fresh lower low and resumes the decline
  • Recovery through 0.79360 negates the basing read toward the 0.7950 pivot
  • US Retail Sales and FOMC Wednesday could materially shift this read

19:16 UTC

Downtrend, basing · RSI 48 · price 0.79308

Lower low at 0.79215, now consolidating.

USDCHF sold through the NY session from 0.7955 to a 0.79215 session low, soft US Housing Starts (1.177M vs 1.43M) adding to dollar pressure. Price is now basing in a tight 0.7925–0.7935 range into the close, RSI(14) recovering off intraday lows.

Support: 0.79215, 0.7920

Resistance: 0.7935, 0.7943, 0.7955

What it said to watch

  • Close below 0.79215 extends the lower-low sequence
  • Reclaim of 0.79350 range top would shift the near-term read
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC then FOMC + dot plot at 18:00 UTC tomorrow are the defining catalysts

19:01 UTC

Downtrend, base building · RSI 46 · price 0.79308

NY sell-off then tight consolidation above session low.

NY session sold USDCHF off from the 0.79575 session high down to a 0.79215 low, with broad USD caution into the Fed. Price has since coiled tight around 0.7931, basing just above the low; RSI mid-40s and ATR compressed to a few pips.

Support: 0.79244, 0.79215

Resistance: 0.7939, 0.79431, 0.79575

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.79215 extends the lower-low sequence
  • Reclaim of 0.79431 negates the breakdown
  • FOMC Wed (Retail Sales 12:30 UTC, rate decision 18:00 UTC) could materially shift this read

19:01 UTC

Downtrend, basing · RSI 48 · price 0.79308

NY selloff to session low, grinding higher off the base.

NY hours drove USDCHF down from ~0.7955 to a session low of 0.79215, then price based and ground back to 0.79308 on compressed ATR. RSI(14) has lifted off its lows to mid-range while price stalls just under EMA20; the recovery is shallow against the day's decline.

Support: 0.79215, 0.79244

Resistance: 0.7943, 0.7955

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim above 0.79430 would negate the lower-high structure from the NY selloff
  • Failure to hold 0.79215 confirms a fresh lower-low
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and SNB Thu 07:30 GMT are the dominant catalysts that can override this read

18:46 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 46 · price 0.79299

Lower lows into session base, grinding up off the low.

NY session sold USDCHF from ~0.7955 down to a 0.79215 session low, then stalled and ground back to 0.79299 in a tight base, RSI(14) lifting off the lows near 46. Price holds below EMA20/50 with no overhead test yet — basing under the 0.79330 swing pivot.

Support: 0.79215, 0.79237

Resistance: 0.7933, 0.7943

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.79430 breakdown level negates the lower-low structure
  • Failure to hold 0.79215 session low extends the downtrend
  • FOMC Wed (18:00 UTC) is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read

18:46 UTC

Downtrend, basing · RSI 46 · price 0.79299

Lower highs into a tight base above session low.

NY session sold off from 0.79575 through to a 0.79215 low, then stalled into a tight 0.7925-0.7930 base with RSI(14) recovering off the lows toward 46. Price sits just under EMA20 with supply capping at 0.79430.

Support: 0.79215, 0.79244

Resistance: 0.7943, 0.79575

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.79430 invalidates the lower-high downtrend read
  • Failure to hold 0.79215 confirms a fresh lower-low
  • US Retail Sales and FOMC tomorrow are the dominant catalysts and could reset this read

18:31 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 44 · price 0.79294

Lower high, lower low; basing off session low.

NY session sold USDCHF from ~0.7957 down to a session low of 0.79215, RSI cooling into the low-40s. Price is now basing in a tight 0.7926-0.7930 band with slow higher lows; sub-0.79360 the broader leg-lower structure stands.

Support: 0.79215, 0.79244

Resistance: 0.7936, 0.79431, 0.7950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.79360 breaks the consolidation and the descending highs
  • Failure to hold 0.79215 confirms continuation lower
  • FOMC tomorrow 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this pair

18:31 UTC

Downtrend, basing late NY · RSI 43 · price 0.79294

Lower highs and lows, stalling above session low.

NY session sold USDCHF from 0.7960 down to a session low of 0.79215, then carved a tight base around 0.7929 into the close. RSI(14) has recovered off oversold to the low-40s as the slide stalls, but price holds below EMA20/EMA50 with the lower-high chain intact.

Support: 0.79215, 0.79244

Resistance: 0.7939, 0.7943, 0.79554

What it said to watch

  • Close back above 0.79390 breaks the lower-high chain and neutralises the downtrend read
  • Loss of 0.79215 confirms continuation to a fresh session low
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and SNB Thu are the dominant catalysts that could reset this read

18:16 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling · RSI 43 · price 0.7929

Selloff into a tight basing range near lows.

USD/CHF sold off through NY hours from 0.7957 to a 0.7921 swing low, then stalled into a tight 0.7925-0.7930 basing range with RSI(14) recovering off oversold. Price holds below EMA20 and EMA50; the 0.7943/0.7950 pivot zone caps any bounce.

Support: 0.79215, 0.79244

Resistance: 0.7943, 0.7950, 0.79571

What it said to watch

  • Break below 0.79215 confirms downtrend continuation
  • M15 close above 0.7950 pivot invalidates the lower-high structure
  • US Retail Sales then FOMC tomorrow are the dominant catalysts and could materially shift this read

18:16 UTC

Downtrend, stabilising · RSI 43 · price 0.7929

Lower highs into a swept session low, now basing.

NY session sold USDCHF off the 0.7960 high down through the 0.7950 pivot, sweeping the session low at 0.79215 before stabilising near 0.7929. RSI(14) is recovering off the lows with price still pinned below EMA20 around 0.7935.

Support: 0.79215, 0.79244

Resistance: 0.7935, 0.7950, 0.79597

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 0.7950 pivot invalidates the downtrend read
  • Failure to hold 0.79215 confirms a lower low
  • US Retail Sales and FOMC tomorrow are the dominant catalysts for this pair

18:01 UTC

Downtrend, basing after sell-off · RSI 43 · price 0.7929

Lower highs / lower lows into a tight base.

NY session drove USDCHF down from the 0.7950 pivot to a session low at 0.7924, with sellers capping at the pivot earlier in the day. Price is now basing 0.7926-0.7930 and RSI(14) has recovered off the lows to the mid-40s.

Support: 0.7924, 0.7920

Resistance: 0.7936, 0.7950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.7924 extends the down-leg toward the 0.7920 channel base
  • Reclaim of the 0.7950 pivot negates the NY down-leg
  • Fed (Wed) and SNB (Thu) are the dominant catalysts and will reset this read

18:01 UTC

Downtrend, basing near session low · RSI 45 · price 0.7929

Lower highs into NY selloff, now consolidating above the low.

NY hours sold USDCHF off the 0.7958 session high down to 0.7921, a clean run of lower highs and lower lows. Price has since carved a flat base between 0.7925 and 0.7930, RSI(14) recovering off oversold to mid-40s with no momentum either way.

Support: 0.79215, 0.79244

Resistance: 0.79357, 0.7950

What it said to watch

  • Break below 0.79215 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
  • Reclaim of the 0.7950 pivot invalidates the intraday downtrend read
  • US Retail Sales (Wed 12:30 UTC) and FOMC (18:00 UTC) are the dominant near-term catalysts

17:46 UTC

Downtrend, basing late NY · RSI 41 · price 0.79282

Lower highs into session low 0.79215, now ranging.

NY session drove a clean sell-off from 0.79550 down to the session low at 0.79215, RSI(14) recovering off the lows near 41. Price is now basing around 0.7928 in a tight range below EMA20/50, with sellers capping each bounce.

Support: 0.79215, 0.7915

Resistance: 0.7936, 0.7949, 0.7955

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 0.79360 would break the lower-high chain
  • Failure to hold 0.79215 confirms continuation lower
  • US Retail Sales (Wed 12:30 UTC) and FOMC (18:00 UTC) are the dominant catalysts ahead

17:16 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 38 · price 0.79271

Lower highs and lower lows, bounce off session low.

USD/CHF sold off through the NY session from ~0.7957 to a 0.79215 low, RSI(14) sub-40 but not yet oversold. Price is now consolidating around 0.7927 just off the low after a sharp leg down, with the move running ahead of Wednesday's Fed decision.

Support: 0.79215, 0.79244

Resistance: 0.7936, 0.7943

What it said to watch

  • Close below 0.79215 confirms a fresh lower-low
  • Reclaim of 0.79360 needed to ease downside pressure
  • Wed FOMC (18:00 UTC) is the dominant catalyst and can shift this read

17:15 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 33 · price 0.79271

Lower highs and lower lows, basing near session low.

NY session sold USDCHF off from the 0.7955 area to a fresh low of 0.79215, with USD caution building ahead of the FOMC decision. Price has since flattened into a tight 0.79215-0.79275 band on fading volume, RSI(14) cooling near 33.

Support: 0.79215, 0.79244

Resistance: 0.7940, 0.79554

What it said to watch

  • Failure to hold 0.79215 confirms a fresh lower-low
  • A reclaim of 0.79400 would neutralise the NY downtrend read
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read

17:01 UTC

Downtrend, momentum extending · RSI 38 · price 0.79271

Lower highs / lower lows into late NY.

USDCHF sold off through the NY session, breaking the 0.79430 prior low and printing a session low at 0.79215 as broad USD caution and a firm franc weighed ahead of the Fed. Price is staging a shallow bounce to 0.79271 with RSI(14) near 37 — no oversold extreme, structure still a chain of lower highs.

Support: 0.79215, 0.7915

Resistance: 0.7932, 0.7943

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 0.79320 swing would stall the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 0.79215 session low confirms continuation lower
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can reset this read

17:01 UTC

Downtrend, momentum easing · RSI 37 · price 0.79271

Lower highs, lower lows; basing above session low.

NY session sold USDCHF off the 0.79550 high down through prior support to a 0.79215 session low, RSI(14) holding near 37 as the slide flushed. Last few bars have stalled and ticked up to 0.79271; broad USD caution and soft US data (Housing Starts miss) drove the leg.

Support: 0.79215, 0.79244

Resistance: 0.79357, 0.79431, 0.7955

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 0.79357 invalidates the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 0.79215 confirms continuation of the lower-low chain
  • US Retail Sales (12:30 UTC tomorrow) and FOMC (18:00 UTC) could materially shift this read

16:46 UTC

Downtrend, momentum extending · RSI 29 · price 0.79242

Lower highs, lower lows since NY open.

NY session sold USDCHF off the 0.79597 high in a clean lower-high, lower-low sequence down to a session low of 0.79215, with RSI(14) near 29. The 0.7950 pivot broke and now caps; price is pressing the lows into the close, USD caution ahead of tomorrow's Fed.

Support: 0.79215, 0.7910

Resistance: 0.7950, 0.79597

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.79215 extends the downtrend
  • Reclaim of the 0.7950 pivot needed to break the lower-high chain
  • US Retail Sales and FOMC tomorrow could materially shift this read

16:46 UTC

Downtrend, momentum extended · RSI 29 · price 0.79242

Lower highs and lower lows into session low.

NY session sold USDCHF off the 0.7955 session high down to a fresh session low at 0.79215, USD broadly firm but CHF holding bid into the twin Fed/SNB risk. Lower-high, lower-low chain intact and RSI(14) near 29 — extended but not yet sub-20.

Support: 0.79215, 0.7920

Resistance: 0.7939, 0.7955

What it said to watch

  • Failure to hold 0.79215 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
  • Reclaim of 0.7939 broken support needed to challenge the downtrend
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and SNB Thu are the dominant catalysts and could fully reset this read

16:30 UTC

Downtrend, momentum building · RSI 30 · price 0.79241

Lower highs, lower lows since NY open.

NY session sold USDCHF off the 0.7955 area, breaking below the 0.7950 pivot and printing a steady lower-low chain into 0.79241. RSI(14) near 30, momentum still pointing lower with no reaction-low base yet formed.

Support: 0.79241, 0.7920

Resistance: 0.7936, 0.7950

What it said to watch

  • A close back above 0.7950 would void the lower-high sequence
  • Failure to hold 0.79241 extends the move toward the 0.7920 channel base
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and SNB Thu are dominant catalysts that can reshape this read

16:30 UTC

Downtrend, momentum accelerating · RSI 27 · price 0.79241

Lower highs and lower lows, fresh session low.

NY session leg lower in USD/CHF, price sliding from the 0.79597 session high to a fresh low at 0.79241 as broad USD caution sets in ahead of Wednesday's Fed. RSI(14) near 27, stretched but not yet sub-20; price now probing the 0.7920 channel base flagged in context.

Support: 0.79241, 0.7920

Resistance: 0.7939, 0.79597

What it said to watch

  • Hold or break of 0.7920 channel base defines whether the decline extends
  • Reclaim of 0.79390 swing pivot would stall the lower-low sequence
  • US Retail Sales and FOMC within 24h could materially shift this read

16:16 UTC

Downtrend, NY session leg lower · RSI 37 · price 0.79284

Lower highs and lower lows, broke range floor.

USDCHF sold off through the NY session from the 0.7956 session high, breaking the 0.7940 range floor and printing a 0.79244 low before the latest bar stalled at 0.79284. RSI(14) near 36 reflects the down-leg but is not yet oversold; CHF firm as broad USD caution builds into Wednesday's Fed.

Support: 0.79244, 0.7920

Resistance: 0.7939, 0.79447, 0.7956

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 0.79390 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 0.79244 confirms continuation toward 0.79200
  • US Retail Sales + FOMC Wed are the dominant catalysts and could reset this read

16:16 UTC

Downtrend, momentum accelerating · RSI 34 · price 0.79284

Lower highs, lower lows into session low.

NY session sold the pair off from the 0.79550 swing high down to a fresh session low at 0.79244, breaking below the prior intraday range with RSI(14) near 34. USD stayed broadly firm ahead of the Fed, but USD/CHF probed the lower channel; price sits below EMA20 and EMA50.

Support: 0.79244, 0.7920

Resistance: 0.7943, 0.7955, 0.7950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.79244 confirms continuation toward the 0.7920 channel base
  • Reclaim of 0.79430 would neutralise the lower-low read
  • US Retail Sales and FOMC tomorrow could materially shift this read

16:01 UTC

Downtrend, fresh session low · RSI 31 · price 0.79284

Lower highs, lower lows since the 0.7955 leg failed.

USD/CHF sold off through the NY session, rolling from 0.7955 to a fresh session low at 0.79244 with price now pinned below EMA20/50. RSI(14) near 31 is short-term stretched but not yet extreme, and ATR(14) is elevated at ~72 pips after the wide impulse bars.

Support: 0.79244, 0.7920

Resistance: 0.7936, 0.79431, 0.7955

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 0.79360 breaks the lower-high chain
  • Failure to hold 0.79244 extends the lower-low sequence toward 0.79200
  • FOMC (Retail Sales + decision) tomorrow could materially shift this read

16:01 UTC

Downtrend, momentum building lower · RSI 32 · price 0.79284

Lower highs, lower lows into session low.

NY session sold off from ~0.79575, USD/CHF breaking lower through 0.79430 to print a session low at 0.79244 as broad USD caution faded ahead of the Fed. RSI(14) near 31 — short-term stretched but consistent with the impulsive leg; price closing on the lows.

Support: 0.79244, 0.7920

Resistance: 0.7943, 0.79575

What it said to watch

  • Close back above 0.79430 negates the lower-high structure
  • Break of 0.79244 opens the path toward 0.79200
  • US Retail Sales then FOMC tomorrow could materially shift this read

15:46 UTC

Intraday downtrend after NY reversal · RSI 41 · price 0.79363

Lower highs, lower lows since session high.

NY session rejected the 0.79551 session high and sold USD/CHF down to a 0.79306 session low, carving a clean lower-high/lower-low chain. Price has bounced modestly to 0.79363 with RSI(14) near 41; the 0.7950 pivot now caps and broad USD caution into the Fed is keeping this heavy.

Support: 0.79338, 0.79306

Resistance: 0.7946, 0.7950, 0.79551

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of the 0.79460 lower high would break the down sequence
  • Loss of 0.79306 session low extends the NY downtrend
  • US Retail Sales and FOMC in coming sessions could materially shift this read

15:46 UTC

Short-term downtrend, bounce attempt · RSI 41 · price 0.79363

Lower highs and lower lows since 0.79597.

NY session sold off from the 0.79597 day high through the 0.79500 consolidation base, printing a 0.79306 session low before a shallow bounce to 0.79363. RSI(14) recovering off lows near 41, structure remains a chain of lower highs into the Fed event.

Support: 0.79306, 0.79338

Resistance: 0.7943, 0.7955, 0.79597

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 0.79430 pivot would invalidate the lower-high read
  • Failure to hold 0.79306 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
  • FOMC tomorrow (18:00 UTC) and US Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read

15:31 UTC

Downtrend, recent break lower · RSI 38 · price 0.79369

Lower highs and lower lows after range break.

Into the NY afternoon USDCHF broke down from the 0.7948–0.7958 range, printing a session low at 0.79306 with RSI(14) sliding toward the high-30s. Price is now bouncing toward 0.79370, with the 0.79470 area capping the recovery so far.

Support: 0.79306

Resistance: 0.7947

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 0.79470 invalidates the break-lower read
  • Failure to hold 0.79306 confirms a fresh lower-low
  • FOMC decision + dot plot later today could materially shift this read

15:31 UTC

Downtrend, intraday momentum building · RSI 41 · price 0.79369

Broke below NY range, lower lows.

USDCHF rolled over during NY hours, breaking the 0.79460 floor and printing a session low at 0.79306 before a shallow bounce to 0.79369. RSI(14) near 40 after the slide; price holding below EMA20/50 with the prior range floor now capping overhead.

Support: 0.79306, 0.7930

Resistance: 0.79463

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 0.79463 invalidates the range-break read
  • Loss of 0.79306 confirms continuation of lower lows
  • FOMC decision + dot plot (18:00 UTC) could materially shift this read

15:16 UTC

Downtrend, fresh session low · RSI 34 · price 0.79329

Lower highs, lower lows since NY open.

USDCHF rolled over through the NY session, breaking the 0.79500 shelf and printing a fresh session low at 0.79306 with RSI(14) near 34. Sellers stepped in repeatedly off 0.79550-0.79570 as the franc held firm; price now trades into the 0.7920-0.7930 zone flagged ahead of the Fed.

Support: 0.79306, 0.7925

Resistance: 0.7943, 0.7950

What it said to watch

  • FOMC decision + dots at 18:00 UTC (~3h) is the dominant catalyst and can override this read
  • Loss of 0.79306 extends the lower-low sequence toward the 0.79250 psych area
  • A reclaim of 0.79500 neutralises the breakout and signals a return into range

15:15 UTC

Downtrend, fresh lower lows · RSI 36 · price 0.79329

Rolled off session high, lower highs and lows.

USDCHF rolled over from the 0.79597 session high into NY hours, breaking lower and printing a fresh low at 0.79306 as broad USD caution built ahead of the Fed. RSI(14) sits near 36, soft but not yet stretched; price is pinned below both EMAs.

Support: 0.79306, 0.7925

Resistance: 0.7943, 0.79597

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 0.79430 breaks the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 0.79306 extends the lower-low run
  • FOMC decision + dot plot (Wed 18:00 UTC) could reset this read

15:01 UTC

Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 34 · price 0.79329

Lower highs / lower lows, at session low.

USDCHF sold off sharply through the London-NY session from 0.7955 down to the session low at 0.79306, the move accelerating on a high-volume bar around 14:30 UTC. RSI(14) is in the low-30s and price trades below EMA20/50, sitting on session lows into Wednesday's FOMC.

Support: 0.79306, 0.7930

Resistance: 0.79431, 0.7949

What it said to watch

  • FOMC decision + dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Reclaim above 0.79431 would neutralise the breakdown
  • Failure to hold 0.79300 confirms continuation lower

15:01 UTC

Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 32 · price 0.79329

Lower highs into a range break, session low printing.

NY session sold USDCHF off the 0.79597 swing high, breaking below the day's 0.7945-0.7957 range and printing a fresh session low at 0.79306 with USD caution ahead of FOMC. RSI(14) near 31 and price below EMA20/50 — the move down is the active structure.

Support: 0.79306, 0.7930

Resistance: 0.7943, 0.7955, 0.79597

What it said to watch

  • Close below 0.79306 confirms continuation to the lower-low
  • Reclaim of 0.79430 negates the range-break read
  • FOMC decision + dot plot 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

14:46 UTC

Intraday rollover from session high · RSI 39 · price 0.79386

Lower highs after rejection near 0.7960.

USDCHF rejected the session high at 0.79575 and sold off through the NY session, printing a sharp drop to 0.79338 before stabilising at 0.79386. RSI(14) near 39 with price below EMA20/50 — supply capped the move toward 0.7960. Twin Fed/SNB risk this week keeps this read tentative.

Support: 0.79338, 0.7930

Resistance: 0.7949, 0.79575

What it said to watch

  • Close back above 0.79490 negates the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 0.79338 session low opens the path toward the 0.79300 round number
  • FOMC Wed could materially shift this read

14:46 UTC

Pullback off session high · RSI 41 · price 0.79386

Rejection at 0.7957, lower-low forming.

NY session pushed to a 0.7957 session high then a sharp rejection dropped price to 0.79338, with RSI(14) cooling toward 40. Price now sits mid-range at 0.79386 after the failed push, holding above the 0.79338 swing low into tomorrow's FOMC.

Support: 0.79338, 0.79249

Resistance: 0.79475, 0.79551

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.79338 confirms a lower-low
  • Reclaim of 0.79475 reopens the 0.79551 session high
  • FOMC tomorrow (18:00 UTC) could materially shift this read

14:31 UTC

Range, pullback off session high · RSI 46 · price 0.79444

Ranging below 0.7957, micro lower-high after spike rejection.

NY session spiked to 0.7957 then sold off sharply to 0.7942 on a high-volume bar, leaving a lower high and a quick rejection of the session top. Price is back mid-range near 0.7944, RSI(14) neutral around 46 with EMA20/50 capping just above.

Support: 0.7940, 0.79335

Resistance: 0.7957, 0.79597

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7957 reopens the 0.7960 swing high
  • Failure to hold 0.7940 confirms a lower-low toward 0.7935
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC (Warsh's first presser) could materially shift this read

14:30 UTC

Rolling over off session high · RSI 43 · price 0.79444

Intraday range, recent sweep and rejection.

NY session swept above 0.7955 then was rejected hard back to 0.7942 on the heaviest volume of the window, RSI(14) cooling to the low 40s. Price now grinds in a 0.7942–0.7955 range with USD broadly firm into tomorrow's FOMC.

Support: 0.79416, 0.7940

Resistance: 0.79554, 0.79597

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.7940 confirms a lower low and breaks the range base
  • Reclaim and close above 0.7955 reopens the 0.7960 session high
  • US Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) and FOMC tomorrow could override this intraday read

14:16 UTC

Range, recent rejection at highs · RSI 45 · price 0.79444

Ranging 0.7940–0.7960, lower highs forming.

NY session spiked to 0.79554 then dumped to 0.79416 on the heaviest-volume bar of the window — a sweep-and-reject at the session high. Price now sits mid-range near 0.79444 with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s; the 0.7940–0.7960 band still contains price.

Support: 0.79416, 0.7940

Resistance: 0.79554, 0.79597

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 0.79554 reopens the 0.79597 swing high
  • Loss of 0.79416 confirms a lower-low toward 0.79400
  • US Retail Sales (Wed 12:30 UTC) ahead of FOMC could shift this read

14:15 UTC

Range-bound, recent rejection · RSI 44 · price 0.79444

Intraday range, swept high then faded.

NY session spiked to 0.79575 then sharply rejected on the heaviest volume of the window, dropping to 0.79416 before stabilising near 0.7944. Price now sits mid-range between 0.79400 support and the 0.79575–0.79600 session ceiling, RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s. FOMC and US Retail Sales later today are the dominant risks.

Support: 0.7940, 0.79416

Resistance: 0.79575, 0.79597

What it said to watch

  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
  • M15 close below 0.79400 confirms a lower low
  • Reclaim and close above 0.79575 reopens the 0.79600 swing high

14:01 UTC

Ranging, no clear direction · RSI 46 · price 0.79444

Range between 0.79400 and 0.79575.

USDCHF chopped through NY hours between 0.79400 and 0.79575; the spike to 0.79571 was rejected sharply, dumping to the 0.79416 session low before a partial recovery to 0.79444. Price now sits just under EMA20/50 with RSI mid-range — no setup in play ahead of the Fed.

Support: 0.79416, 0.7940

Resistance: 0.7952, 0.79575

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.79575 invalidates the range top
  • Failure to hold 0.79400 confirms a lower-low
  • US Retail Sales (Wed 12:30 UTC) and FOMC (18:00 UTC) could materially shift this read

14:01 UTC

Ranging, slight downtick · RSI 46 · price 0.79444

Range-bound, capped near 0.7960.

USDCHF rejected the 0.79575-0.79597 session high during NY hours, then dropped sharply to 0.79416 before recovering toward the 0.7950 pivot, with the franc firm on faded USD haven demand. Price now sits mid-range at 0.79444, RSI(14) neutral near 46.

Support: 0.79416, 0.7937

Resistance: 0.79575, 0.79597

What it said to watch

  • Close below 0.79400 confirms a lower low and breaks range support
  • Reclaim above 0.79575 reopens the session high
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

13:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 57 · price 0.79547

Grinding higher, now ranging near session highs.

USDCHF ground higher through the NY session, DXY firming back toward 99.70 into tomorrow's FOMC. Price dipped to 0.7940 then recovered to retest the 0.79597 session high; now coiling near the top with RSI(14) cooling around 57.

Support: 0.7948, 0.7940

Resistance: 0.79597, 0.7955

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.79597 opens the path to the 0.7990/0.8000 zone
  • Failure to hold 0.79400 confirms a lower-low and breaks the intraday uptrend
  • US Retail Sales + FOMC tomorrow could materially shift this read

13:46 UTC

Mild uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 57 · price 0.79547

Rangebound 0.7949-0.7960, holding above recent lows.

USDCHF is grinding sideways near the 0.7955 area during the NY session, capped by the 0.79597 session high and supported above the 0.7949 swing low. Price bounced off 0.79490 into the recent recovery, holding the 0.7950 pivot ahead of tomorrow's Fed decision.

Support: 0.7949, 0.7940

Resistance: 0.79597, 0.7960

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.79597 opens the path toward the 0.7960 psych level
  • Loss of 0.79490 swing low confirms a lower-low and exposes 0.79400
  • FOMC tomorrow could materially shift this read

13:30 UTC

Recovery off lows, ranging · RSI 54 · price 0.79509

Range 0.7940-0.7960, mid-range.

USDCHF clawed back toward 0.7951 in NY hours after dipping to 0.7940, holding inside a 0.7940-0.7960 range as USD caution builds ahead of the FOMC. RSI near 54, no momentum extreme; price sits mid-range with the session high at 0.79575 capping.

Support: 0.7949, 0.7940

Resistance: 0.79575, 0.79597

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.79597 opens room to the 0.8000 area
  • Failure to hold 0.79400 confirms a lower-low
  • FOMC Wed could materially shift this read

13:30 UTC

Range, mild upward drift · RSI 54 · price 0.79509

Consolidating above the 0.7950 pivot.

USDCHF is chopping just above the 0.7950 pivot through the NY session, with USD holding firm into the FOMC. Price recovered the 0.79400 session low and stalled under the 0.79575-0.79597 swing high; RSI(14) neutral near 54, no clean directional break in play.

Support: 0.7949, 0.7940

Resistance: 0.79575, 0.79597

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.79597 opens room back toward the 0.8000 area
  • Loss of 0.79400 session low confirms a lower-low
  • FOMC tomorrow could materially shift this read

13:16 UTC

Mild uptrend, momentum flat · RSI 52 · price 0.79498

Ranging around 0.7950 pivot.

USDCHF chopping around the 0.7950 pivot through the NY session, capped near the 0.7960 session high and supported at 0.7940. Price ground higher off the early-window 0.7923 low but the latest push stalled and faded, leaving no clean break in either direction.

Support: 0.7950, 0.7940, 0.79226

Resistance: 0.79597, 0.79575

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.79597 opens the path back toward 0.8000
  • Break below 0.7940 breaks the rising support and exposes 0.79226
  • FOMC tomorrow 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

13:15 UTC

Mild uptrend, momentum flat · RSI 54 · price 0.79498

Ranging near session highs.

USDCHF is grinding in a tight 0.7940–0.7575 band through the NY session, holding the 0.7950 pivot after a dip to the 0.7940 swing low was bought back. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 54 with no extreme; price recovered from 0.7940 toward the session high at 0.79575 before easing back.

Support: 0.7950, 0.7940

Resistance: 0.79575

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.79575 session high opens the path toward 0.7600
  • Loss of 0.7940 swing low confirms a lower-low and breaks the range
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

13:01 UTC

Mild uptrend, momentum flat · RSI 52 · price 0.79498

Range, holding above 0.7940 base.

USDCHF is ranging 0.7940-0.7960 through the NY session, nudging back toward the 0.7950 pivot after a bounce off 0.7940 stalled at 0.79575. RSI(14) neutral near 52, ATR a thin ~4 pips — no intraday setup in play as traders stay defensive ahead of tomorrow's Fed.

Support: 0.7949, 0.7940

Resistance: 0.79575, 0.79597

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.79597 opens the path back toward the 0.8000 area
  • Failure to hold 0.7940 confirms a lower-low and breaks the range base
  • US Retail Sales (tomorrow 12:30 UTC) and FOMC could materially shift this read

13:01 UTC

Mild uptrend, consolidating · RSI 53 · price 0.79498

Rising lows, capped near 0.7960.

USDCHF drifted higher through the session, peaking at 0.79597 before fading back toward the 0.7950 round number as broad USD caution returned ahead of the FOMC. Buyers stepped in at 0.79402 and lifted price back to 0.79575; RSI(14) neutral near 53, no extreme in play.

Support: 0.7949, 0.79402

Resistance: 0.79575, 0.79597

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.79600 opens the path higher
  • Failure to hold 0.79402 confirms a lower-low
  • FOMC tomorrow (18:00 UTC) could materially shift this read

12:46 UTC

Rising off intraday lows, near range top · RSI 57 · price 0.79553

Day-range 0.7940-0.7960, pushing toward highs.

USDCHF recovered from a dip to 0.79400 during late London and is grinding back up toward the session high at 0.79597 as USD steadied on FOMC caution. RSI(14) mid-range near 57, price holding above the 0.7950 pivot.

Support: 0.7949, 0.7940

Resistance: 0.79575, 0.79597

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.79597 extends the recovery toward the 0.7960 zone
  • Loss of 0.79490 pivot reopens 0.79400 swing low
  • Fed/SNB risk later this week could shift this read materially

12:46 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 61 · price 0.79553

Higher lows, retesting session high.

USDCHF clawed back from the 0.79400 dip to retest the 0.79575 session high during London hours, with USD firm into the FOMC. Price holds above EMA20/50 and RSI(14) near 60 — momentum constructive but not stretched.

Support: 0.7949, 0.7944, 0.7940

Resistance: 0.79575, 0.79597

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.79597 session high opens path higher
  • Failure to hold 0.79440 swing low reopens the 0.79400 session low
  • FOMC Wed and Warsh's first statement could materially shift this read

12:31 UTC

Choppy uptrend, recovering off intraday low · RSI 58 · price 0.79537

Rising within a tight intraday range.

USDCHF recovered off the 0.7940 swing low back above the 0.7950 pivot, with the franc soft as USD caution returns into the FOMC. Price is grinding between 0.7940 and the 0.7597 session high, RSI(14) mid-range — no extreme in play.

Support: 0.7949, 0.7940, 0.7935

Resistance: 0.79554, 0.79597

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.79597 opens the path back toward the 0.7960s
  • Failure to hold 0.79400 reopens the 0.7935 intraday low
  • US Retail Sales + FOMC Wed are the binary catalysts for this pair

12:31 UTC

Grinding higher, recovery in play · RSI 61 · price 0.79537

Reclaim of 0.7950 pivot after a dip to 0.7940.

USDCHF reclaimed the 0.7950 pivot during NY hours, recovering from the 0.7940 dip as broad USD caution returned ahead of the Fed. Price is back near the 0.79597 session high with RSI mid-range; the window has carved a 0.7940–0.7960 range after the earlier grind up from 0.7921.

Support: 0.7950, 0.7940, 0.79209

Resistance: 0.79597, 0.8000

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.79597 session high opens the path toward the 0.8000 round number
  • Loss of the 0.7950 pivot reopens the 0.7940 session low
  • US Retail Sales / FOMC on Wed are the binary USD catalysts into this week

12:16 UTC

Recovering off session low, edging higher · RSI 56 · price 0.79517

Pullback bounce back above pivot.

USDCHF recovered off the session low at 0.79400 back above the 0.7950 pivot into NY hours, RSI(14) mid-range near 56. Session high at 0.79597 caps the recovery; broad USD caution ahead of Wednesday's FOMC keeps the move contained.

Support: 0.7950, 0.7940

Resistance: 0.79597

What it said to watch

  • Hold above 0.7950 pivot keeps the bounce intact
  • Loss of 0.79400 session low confirms a lower low
  • Close above 0.79597 session high reopens the 0.7960 area
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

12:16 UTC

Mild uptrend, recovering off pullback · RSI 56 · price 0.79517

Higher lows into session-high retest.

USDCHF ground higher through London into NY, tagging a session high at 0.79597 before a pullback to 0.79400 that buyers absorbed, now recovering to 0.79517 just under the 0.79520 shelf. Move tracks the broad USD caution into the Fed; RSI mid-range at 56, no extreme.

Support: 0.7940, 0.7932

Resistance: 0.7952, 0.79597

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.79597 opens path to retest the session high extension
  • Failure to hold 0.79400 confirms a lower-low and breaks the rising support
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

12:01 UTC

Mild uptrend, consolidating · RSI 57 · price 0.79517

Range, recovering off session low.

USDCHF recovered from the session low at 0.79400 back to 0.79517, holding above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range near 57. Price is rotating in a 0.79400-0.79597 range as broad USD caution holds the franc steady ahead of the Fed.

Support: 0.7940, 0.7946

Resistance: 0.79524, 0.79597

What it said to watch

  • US Housing Starts/Building Permits 12:30 UTC could nudge USD within the next bar
  • Close above 0.79597 opens the path back toward the 0.7990 channel top zone
  • Failure to hold 0.79400 confirms a lower low and reopens 0.7920

12:01 UTC

Uptrend, recovering from pullback · RSI 56 · price 0.79517

Higher lows, reclaiming 0.7950 after dip to 0.7940.

USDCHF recovered from a 0.7940 pullback during NY hours, reclaiming 0.7950 as broad USD caution returned ahead of the Fed. RSI mid-50s, no extreme; the 0.79597 session high capped earlier and is the level to watch overhead.

Support: 0.7940, 0.79209

Resistance: 0.7956, 0.79597

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.79597 opens the path back toward the 0.7990-0.8000 channel-top zone
  • Failure to hold 0.7940 confirms a lower low and reopens 0.79209
  • US Housing Starts 12:30 UTC could move the next bar; FOMC Wed is the larger risk

11:46 UTC

Range, drifting off session high · RSI 52 · price 0.79471

Rejection at 0.7960, bounce off 0.7940 base.

USDCHF rejected the early-London high at 0.7960 and drifted down to 0.7940 through the session, sitting near 0.7950 amid broad USD caution into the Fed. Now bouncing off the 0.7940 base with RSI back near 52 — no clean trend, range intact between 0.7940 and 0.7960.

Support: 0.7940, 0.79444

Resistance: 0.7953, 0.79597

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.79530 reopens the 0.79597 session high
  • Loss of 0.79400 confirms a lower-low and extends the pullback
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and SNB Thu 07:30 GMT could materially shift this read

11:45 UTC

Ranging below 0.7950 pivot, off the highs · RSI 47 · price 0.79471

Pullback from session high, lower highs into 0.794 demand.

USD/CHF pushed to a London session high of 0.79597 then faded back to the 0.794 base as broad USD caution returned ahead of the Fed. Price is now reclaiming 0.7947 but stalling under the 0.7950 pivot; intraday structure is a series of lower highs.

Support: 0.7940, 0.7937

Resistance: 0.7950, 0.79597

What it said to watch

  • Sustained close above 0.7950 pivot reopens the 0.79597 session high
  • Loss of 0.79400 confirms a lower-low and exposes 0.79370
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and SNB Thu are the dominant near-term risks

11:31 UTC

Pullback within intraday range · RSI 46 · price 0.79445

Lower highs off session high, holding 0.79400.

USDCHF stretched to a session high of 0.79597 then drifted into a pullback through the London session, carving lower highs with price now back under EMA20/50. Buyers stepped in twice at 0.79400 in the last hour, lifting price to 0.79445 as RSI(14) sits mid-range. USD firm into Wednesday's Fed with the SNB Thursday keeping this two-way.

Support: 0.7940, 0.7932, 0.79209

Resistance: 0.7953, 0.79597

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.79400 opens the path to 0.79320
  • Reclaim above 0.79530 puts the 0.79597 session high back in play
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

11:31 UTC

Range, drifting lower late · RSI 43 · price 0.79445

Session high rejected, holding 0.7940 base.

USDCHF climbed through the London session to a session high of 0.79597 before fading back toward 0.7940, where buyers stepped in on the pullback. Price now sits mid-range at 0.79445, below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) cooling into the low 40s ahead of the Fed week.

Support: 0.7940, 0.79209

Resistance: 0.7950, 0.79597

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.7950 reopens the path to the 0.79597 session high
  • Failure to hold 0.7940 confirms a lower-low toward 0.79209
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

11:16 UTC

Intraday rollover, lower highs · RSI 39 · price 0.79416

Rejected at session high, grinding lower.

USDCHF rejected the London session high at 0.79597 and bled lower through the morning to 0.79416, now testing 0.79400 with RSI(14) near 38. Move sits around the 50% retrace of the overnight 0.79209-0.79597 push; broad USD caution into the Fed is keeping the franc bid.

Support: 0.7940, 0.7937

Resistance: 0.79524, 0.79597

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.79400 opens the path to 0.79370
  • Reclaim of 0.79524 needed to negate the lower-high sequence
  • FOMC Wed could materially reset this read

11:15 UTC

Intraday pullback off session high · RSI 39 · price 0.79416

Lower highs since 0.79597, probing session lows.

USDCHF rolled over from the 0.79597 session high and is now pressing the 0.79400 session low, RSI(14) near 38. Price sits below EMA20/50 with a chain of lower highs as broad USD caution holds ahead of the Fed.

Support: 0.7940, 0.7937

Resistance: 0.7953, 0.79597

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 0.79400 confirms a lower low and opens 0.79370
  • Reclaim of 0.79530 negates the lower-high sequence
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term risk

11:01 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing near lows · RSI 40 · price 0.79416

Lower highs from 0.7959, basing near 0.7940.

USDCHF slid through the London session, carving lower highs from the 0.7959 session high down to the 0.7940 area as the broad USD bid faded into the FOMC. Price is now basing in a tight consolidation near the session low with RSI(14) around 40; the 0.7949 swing high caps any bounce.

Support: 0.7940, 0.79337

Resistance: 0.7949, 0.7953

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.79400 exposes the 0.79337 swing low
  • Reclaim of 0.79490 swing high needed to break the lower-high sequence
  • US Retail Sales (Wed) and FOMC dots are the next major USD catalysts

11:01 UTC

Rolling over, lower highs · RSI 40 · price 0.79416

Lower highs off session high, probing 0.7940.

USDCHF rejected the session high at 0.79597 and has carved lower highs through the European afternoon, now pressing the 0.7940 handle with RSI(14) cooling into the low 40s. Price sits below EMA20/50; the up-leg from 0.79209 is being retraced ahead of the NY session.

Support: 0.7940, 0.7937

Resistance: 0.7949, 0.79597

What it said to watch

  • 15m close below 0.7940 exposes 0.7937 swing low
  • Reclaim of 0.79490 pivot negates the lower-high sequence
  • US Retail Sales + FOMC tomorrow can reshape this read

10:46 UTC

Pullback off session high · RSI 43 · price 0.79446

Lower highs after rejection at 0.7960.

USDCHF ground up through the European morning to a session high of 0.7960 before rejecting, and is now pulling back toward 0.7940 with RSI(14) cooling into the low 40s. Lower highs are stacking under 0.7953 as USD consolidates ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.

Support: 0.79402, 0.7933

Resistance: 0.7953, 0.79597

What it said to watch

  • Close below 0.79400 confirms a lower low and extends the pullback
  • Reclaim of 0.79530 needed to negate the lower-high sequence
  • Wed FOMC/SEP could materially shift this read

10:46 UTC

Pullback off session high, lower highs · RSI 43 · price 0.79446

Rolled over from 0.79597, drifting into 0.7944.

USDCHF rolled off the London high at 0.79597 and has carved a chain of lower highs back into 0.7944, holding the 38.2% retrace of the prior up-leg. RSI(14) cooling near 42, price below EMA20/50; broad USD caution into Wed's FOMC keeps this two-way.

Support: 0.79402, 0.7937, 0.79209

Resistance: 0.7953, 0.79597

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.79402 confirms a lower-low extending the pullback
  • Reclaim of 0.79530 needed to re-challenge the 0.79597 session high
  • FOMC Wed (dots/SEP) is the dominant catalyst for this pair this week

10:31 UTC

Uptrend stalling, pullback underway · RSI 44 · price 0.79428

Rising lows broken; first lower high after session top.

A steady London-session grind higher topped at the 0.79597 session high before a rejection, and price is now pulling back to the 0.79424 session low. RSI(14) has cooled into the mid-40s with price slipping below EMA20, USD caution persisting ahead of midweek Fed risk.

Support: 0.79424, 0.79337

Resistance: 0.7952, 0.79597, 0.7950

What it said to watch

  • Close below 0.79424 session low exposes the 0.79337 swing low
  • Reclaim of 0.79500 psych / 0.79520 recent high needed to resume the uptrend
  • Wed US Retail Sales and FOMC could materially shift the USD read

10:31 UTC

Intraday uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 42 · price 0.79428

Lower high after 0.79597, retesting session low.

Price ground higher through the prior session to a high at 0.79597, then rejected and rolled back to retest the 0.79424 session low into London hours, slipping under EMA20/50. RSI(14) has cooled into the low 40s as the broad USD bid faded post US-Iran headlines and consolidates ahead of FOMC.

Support: 0.79424, 0.79209

Resistance: 0.7950, 0.79597

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.79424 confirms a lower-low and opens the 0.79209 swing low
  • Reclaim of 0.79500 would reassert the intraday uptrend toward 0.79597
  • FOMC Wed (dots/SEP) is the dominant USD catalyst and can override this read

10:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalling · RSI 46 · price 0.79485

Ranging near session high after pullback.

USDCHF ground higher through the London session to a session high at 0.79597, then faded back to 0.79485 — now drifting below EMA20 with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s. Holding the 0.7950 pivot the digest flags, with price boxed between 0.79444 and 0.79597; no momentum either way ahead of Wed's Fed.

Support: 0.79444, 0.7937

Resistance: 0.79597, 0.7953

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.79597 resumes the intraday uptrend
  • Close below 0.79444 confirms a lower low
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read

10:16 UTC

Uptrend, pullback underway · RSI 46 · price 0.79485

Rose to session high, now consolidating below it.

London pushed USDCHF to a session high at 0.79597 before rejection trimmed it back toward 0.7949, with USD broadly firm into Wednesday's Fed. Price now consolidating in the upper half of the day's range, RSI(14) cooled into the mid-40s.

Support: 0.79444, 0.7940

Resistance: 0.7953, 0.79597

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.79597 reopens the upside; failure to hold 0.79444 confirms a deeper pullback
  • US Retail Sales + FOMC tomorrow could materially shift this read

10:01 UTC

Uptrend stalling, pulling back from session high · RSI 46 · price 0.79485

Consolidation below 0.7960 after intraday rally.

USDCHF ground higher through London from 0.7922 to a 0.7960 session high, then stalled and is now drifting back, holding ~0.79485 as price slips below EMA20/50. Buyers stepped in at 0.7944 to defend the session low while supply caps near 0.7953; move sits inside a tightening range with USD bid into Fed risk midweek.

Support: 0.79445, 0.79219

Resistance: 0.7953, 0.79597

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 0.7944 confirms a lower-low and ends the intraday uptrend
  • Close back above 0.7953 reopens the 0.79597 session high
  • US Retail Sales + FOMC midweek are the dominant upcoming USD risk

10:01 UTC

Uptrend stalling, pullback in play · RSI 46 · price 0.79485

Rejected session high, ranging below it.

USDCHF climbed through London to a session high at 0.79597, then faded into NY hours and is now oscillating 0.7944-0.7953 around the 0.7950 pivot. RSI(14) mid-range near 46 after the rejection; price sits just under EMA20. Move tracks broad USD caution into the Fed/SNB double-header.

Support: 0.79444, 0.79403, 0.7937

Resistance: 0.7953, 0.79597

What it said to watch

  • Close below 0.79444 confirms a lower low and opens the 0.7940 fib zone
  • Reclaim of 0.79597 session high resumes the upside leg
  • FOMC Wed and SNB Thu are the dominant risks for this read

09:46 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum stalling · RSI 50 · price 0.79501

Higher highs into session top, now consolidating below it.

USDCHF ground higher through London-NY to a session high at 0.7959 before rejecting and pulling back to 0.7944, holding the 0.7950 pivot flagged into the Fed. Price now coils just under EMA20 with RSI back at neutral; no fresh extension since the 0.7959 rejection.

Support: 0.79444, 0.79209

Resistance: 0.79597, 0.8000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7959 resumes the intraday uptrend toward 0.8000
  • Failure to hold 0.7944 opens the path back to the 0.7920 day low
  • US Housing Starts at 12:30 GMT could shift USD tone this session

09:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 51 · price 0.79501

Ranging near session highs after climb.

USDCHF ground higher through London-NY yesterday from 0.7921 to the 0.79597 session high, then settled into a 0.7944-0.7960 range around the 0.7950 pivot. Latest bars bounced off 0.79444 back to 0.7950, RSI(14) neutral near 51 with no extreme in play.

Support: 0.79444, 0.7941

Resistance: 0.79575, 0.79597

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.79444 confirms a lower-low and opens 0.79410
  • Close above 0.79597 resumes the intraday uptrend
  • Fed decision + dot plot Wed could materially shift this read

09:31 UTC

Uptrend stalling, pullback underway · RSI 44 · price 0.79468

Lower highs off session top, holding above 0.7944.

USDCHF climbed through the London session to a double-top rejection at 0.7960 before fading back to 0.7947, slipping under the EMA20. Price is now consolidating just above the 0.7944 session low with RSI(14) in the mid-40s; 0.7950 pivot from the broader context capping bounces.

Support: 0.79444, 0.79418, 0.79209

Resistance: 0.79503, 0.79597

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.7944 confirms a lower-low and opens 0.7942/0.7920
  • Reclaim of 0.7950 puts the 0.7960 session high back in play
  • US Retail Sales + FOMC Wed could materially shift this read

09:30 UTC

Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 42 · price 0.79468

Fade from session high, drifting toward range mid.

USDCHF ground higher through the European session to 0.7960 then was rejected, fading into NY morning to 0.7947, with RSI(14) cooling to the low-40s. Price now sits back around the 0.7950 pivot the digest flags, just above the session low at 0.7944.

Support: 0.7944, 0.79403, 0.7942

Resistance: 0.7950, 0.79597

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.7944 opens the 0.79403 fib 50% area
  • Reclaim of 0.7950 pivot needed to retarget the 0.79597 session high
  • US Retail Sales + FOMC Wed could materially shift this read

09:16 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 44 · price 0.79453

Pullback from session high after a steady grind up.

USDCHF ground higher through the European session to a high at 0.79597, then faded back below 0.79522 with the last four bars printing lower highs and RSI(14) cooling toward neutral. Holding above the 0.79420 swing low keeps the intraday up-leg intact off the early 0.79209 base.

Support: 0.7942, 0.7937

Resistance: 0.79522, 0.79597

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.79420 confirms a lower-low and breaks the rising support
  • Reclaim of 0.79522 reopens the 0.79597 session high
  • Fed decision Wed and SNB Thu are the dominant risks this week

09:16 UTC

Uptrend stalling, rolling over · RSI 43 · price 0.79453

Session high rejected, drifting lower.

Price ground higher through the London session from the 0.79209 low to a session high at 0.79597 as the US-Iran framework drained the dollar's safe-haven bid, then rolled over and is now drifting back to 0.79453, below EMA20/50. RSI(14) cooling near 42 after the rejection.

Support: 0.7942, 0.79209

Resistance: 0.79505, 0.79597

What it said to watch

  • Close back above 0.79597 reopens the upside leg
  • Loss of 0.79420 confirms a lower low into NY hours
  • FOMC Wed and SNB Thu could materially shift this read

09:02 UTC

Uptrend, pulling back from session high · RSI 43 · price 0.79453

HH/HL chain stalling, pullback off 0.7960.

USDCHF ground higher through the Asia-into-London session to a 0.7960 high before stalling on a twin peak, with price now slipping back to 0.79453 and below EMA20. CHF firmness off the US-Iran framework caps the upside; RSI(14) has cooled to the low 40s as the pullback develops.

Support: 0.79449, 0.79418, 0.7942

Resistance: 0.79597, 0.79576

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.7942 breaks rising support and confirms a lower-low
  • Reclaim of 0.79597 session high resumes the uptrend
  • Fed decision/dot plot Wed and SNB Thu could materially shift this read

09:01 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 45 · price 0.79453

HH/HL chain stalling below 0.7960, retracing.

USDCHF ground higher through the London session off the 0.7921 low to a 0.7960 session high, with rejection there stalling the HH chain. Price has since slipped back to 0.7945, dipping below the EMA20 as RSI cools to the mid-40s; the move off the lows is being retraced.

Support: 0.79449, 0.7942, 0.79209

Resistance: 0.79597

What it said to watch

  • Close below 0.7942 puts the 0.7920 channel support back in focus
  • Reclaim of 0.7960 reopens the session-high break
  • Fed decision Wed and SNB Thu could materially shift this read

08:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 46 · price 0.79484

Pullback from session high after HH/HL climb.

Steady HH/HL climb through the Asia-London window pushed USDCHF to a session high of 0.7960 before sellers rejected and price drifted back to 0.7948, RSI cooling to mid-40s. CHF firmness off the US-Iran framework keeps the move contained; pullback holding above 0.7947 so far.

Support: 0.79467, 0.79437, 0.7935

Resistance: 0.79597, 0.79522

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.79437 confirms a lower-low and breaks the rising support
  • Reclaim of 0.79597 reopens the prior session high
  • US Housing Starts 12:30 UTC could inject intraday volatility

08:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalling · RSI 44 · price 0.79484

Rejection off session high, shallow pullback.

USDCHF ground higher through London into NY, tagging a session high at 0.79597 before sellers rejected and price eased back to 0.7948. CHF firmer this week as the US-Iran framework drained USD safe-haven bid; now consolidating just above 0.79467, RSI cooling toward neutral.

Support: 0.79467, 0.7942, 0.79209

Resistance: 0.79597

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 0.79467 opens a retest of the 0.79420 swing low
  • Reclaim of 0.79597 session high re-establishes the intraday uptrend
  • Housing Starts (12:30 UTC) could shift this read

08:31 UTC

Intraday uptrend, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 0.79478

Rising lows into 0.7960, now retracing.

USDCHF ground higher through the European morning to a session high at 0.7960 before stalling — CHF stays firm as the US-Iran deal keeps the USD safe-haven bid drained. Rejection at 0.7960 has pulled price back to 0.7948, RSI(14) cooling toward mid-range and price now under EMA20/EMA50.

Support: 0.7942, 0.79209

Resistance: 0.79597, 0.8000

What it said to watch

  • Hold of 0.79420 (9-day ema) keeps the rising-low sequence intact; failure exposes the 0.79209 swing low
  • Close back above 0.79597 reopens the move toward the 0.8000 psych level
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 GMT could shift this read

08:31 UTC

Uptrend stalling, pullback underway · RSI 43 · price 0.79478

Pulled back from session high, lower highs forming.

London session climbed to 0.79597 then rejected, with USD/CHF easing back to 0.79478 as CHF stays firm on the Iran-deal safe-haven unwind. RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s and price now under the EMA20 as the intraday advance pauses.

Support: 0.79467, 0.7942

Resistance: 0.79597, 0.7952

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.79467 confirms a lower-low and deepens the pullback
  • Reclaim of 0.79597 session high resumes the intraday uptrend
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 GMT and Wed FOMC under Warsh could materially shift this read

08:16 UTC

Uptrend stalling, pulling back off highs · RSI 43 · price 0.79494

Rising HH/HL chain, rejected at session high.

USDCHF ground higher through Asia into the London session, peaking at 0.79597 before rejecting; price has since slipped back to 0.7949, below the EMA20, with RSI(14) cooling from the high. The broader USD-soft tone after the US-Iran framework deal keeps the pair pinned near recent lows, and the recovery off 0.79209 is now retracing toward the 38.2% fib.

Support: 0.7948, 0.79418, 0.79209

Resistance: 0.79597

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.7948 reopens the 0.79418 swing low
  • Reclaim of 0.79597 re-tests the session high
  • US Retail Sales and Wed FOMC dot-plot could materially shift this read

08:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalling · RSI 45 · price 0.79494

Pullback from session high after HH/HL chain.

USDCHF ground higher through the European session toward 0.79597 before sellers capped it; price has since faded back to 0.79494 and slipped under EMA20, with RSI cooling to mid-40s. The bid has drained as soft US data and the US-Iran relief unwind keep USD heavy, but the rising-low structure off 0.79420 is still intact.

Support: 0.7948, 0.7942

Resistance: 0.79597

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.79480 confirms a lower low and breaks the rising-low structure
  • Reclaim of 0.79597 reopens the session-high break
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 GMT and FOMC mid-week could materially shift this read

08:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 46 · price 0.79494

Higher highs into session high 0.7959, now pulling back.

USDCHF ground higher through the session to a high at 0.79597 before fading back to 0.7949, with the franc broadly firmer as the US-Iran framework drained the dollar's safe-haven bid. Rejection at the session high and RSI(14) cooling to mid-40s; price now back inside the prior 0.7948–0.7959 band.

Support: 0.7948, 0.79435, 0.7921

Resistance: 0.79597

What it said to watch

  • Close below 0.7948 confirms a lower low and breaks the rising support
  • Reclaim of 0.79597 needed to resume the up-leg
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read

08:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalling · RSI 44 · price 0.79494

Pullback after NY rally to session high.

USDCHF rallied through NY hours to a session high at 0.79597 as the dollar leaked lower on the Iran-deal safe-haven unwind, then rejected and faded back to 0.7949 into early London. RSI(14) cooling near 43 and price has slipped below EMA20; the 0.79480 session low is the near-term pivot.

Support: 0.7948, 0.7942

Resistance: 0.79597, 0.79567

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.79480 opens the path to 0.79420
  • Reclaim of 0.79567 puts the 0.79597 session high back in play
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read

07:46 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 51 · price 0.79506

Higher highs into session high, now pulling back.

USDCHF ground higher off the Asian range through London, tagging a session high at 0.79597 before sellers rejected it. Price has slipped back to 0.79506, now dipping under EMA20 with RSI(14) cooled to neutral; buyers stepped in at 0.7949 on the pullback. Broader tone is soft USD on the US-Iran deal, but the intraday window has been a steady recovery.

Support: 0.7949, 0.7944, 0.7937

Resistance: 0.79597, 0.79525

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.7949 confirms a lower-low and breaks the rising support
  • Reclaim of 0.79597 reopens the upside path
  • US Retail Sales (Wed 12:30 UTC) and FOMC (Wed 18:00 UTC) ahead — material risk to this read

07:46 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 50 · price 0.79506

Higher highs into London, pulling back from session high.

USDCHF climbed through the Asian range into the London session, printing a session high at 0.79597 before fading back to 0.79506 as CHF stayed firm on the US-Iran deal draining USD's safe-haven bid. RSI(14) has cooled to mid-range and demand stepped in twice around 0.79490; the rising channel still holds.

Support: 0.7949, 0.7946, 0.7942

Resistance: 0.79567, 0.79597

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.79490 breaks the rising channel and opens 0.79420
  • Reclaim of 0.79567 reopens the 0.79597 session high
  • Fed (Wed) and SNB (Thu) are the larger directional risks beyond this session

07:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 47 · price 0.79506

Higher highs into session high, now pulling back.

USDCHF ground higher through the London session to a session high at 0.79597, then rejected and pulled back to the 0.7950 round number as the USD stabilized off post US-Iran-deal lows. RSI(14) has cooled back toward neutral and price has slipped under EMA20, but the broader intraday chain of higher lows holds above 0.7949.

Support: 0.7950, 0.7949, 0.79418

Resistance: 0.79597

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.7949 confirms a lower-low and breaks the higher-low chain
  • Reclaim of 0.79597 reopens the session high
  • FOMC Wed and SNB Thu could materially shift this read

07:30 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 49 · price 0.79506

Higher highs into pullback off session high.

USDCHF ground steadily higher through the window as the dollar stabilized off 10-day lows, peaking at 0.79597 in the NY session before pulling back to 0.7949. Price now hovers near 0.7951 after rejection at the session high, RSI cooling back to neutral around 49.

Support: 0.7949, 0.79443, 0.79209

Resistance: 0.79597

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 0.79597 session high reopens the upside leg
  • Loss of 0.79490 recent low confirms a deeper pullback toward 0.79443
  • FOMC tomorrow could materially shift this read

07:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 49 · price 0.79507

Higher highs into pullback from session high.

USDCHF ground higher through Asia into the London morning as the dollar steadied off 10-day lows following the US-Iran deal. Price was rejected at the 0.79597 session high and pulled back to 0.7949, stabilizing at 0.79507 just under EMA20.

Support: 0.7949, 0.79437

Resistance: 0.79597

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim and close above 0.79597 reopens the upside
  • Failure to hold 0.7949 confirms a lower-low and shifts the intraday read
  • Wed FOMC and Thu SNB are the dominant risk events ahead

07:16 UTC

Intraday uptrend, pulling back · RSI 46 · price 0.79507

HH/HL chain stalling at session high.

USDCHF ground higher through Asia and into London, tagging a session high at 0.79597 before the last two bars sold back to 0.79488 as CHF stays firm post US-Iran deal. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s and price has slipped below EMA20 while holding above EMA50.

Support: 0.79488, 0.79436, 0.7942

Resistance: 0.79597, 0.79522

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 0.79488 confirms a lower-low and breaks the intraday HL chain
  • Reclaim of 0.79597 reopens the session-high test
  • Wed FOMC (Warsh debut) is the dominant USD risk for this pair

07:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalling · RSI 50 · price 0.79507

Higher highs into session top, now pulling back.

USDCHF ground higher through the London session as the dollar stabilised off post US-Iran-deal lows, tagging a session high at 0.79597 before rejecting. Price has since slipped to 0.79507, dipping below EMA20 with RSI(14) flattening near 50 — pullback within the intraday uptrend.

Support: 0.79488, 0.79442, 0.7939

Resistance: 0.79597

What it said to watch

  • Hold of 0.79488 keeps the higher-low structure intact
  • Loss of 0.79442 confirms a deeper pullback
  • Reclaim of 0.79597 reopens the session high break

07:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 49 · price 0.79507

HH/HL chain, pulling back from session high.

London session ground higher from the 0.7920 base to a session high at 0.79597 before fading back to 0.7950, RSI(14) cooling toward neutral. The earlier CHF strength tied to the US-Iran deal has paused; price now sits between the recent swing low at 0.79490 and the 0.79597 high.

Support: 0.7949, 0.79437

Resistance: 0.79597, 0.79522

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.79597 resumes the intraday uptrend
  • Failure to hold 0.79437 confirms a lower-low and breaks rising support
  • Fed decision Wed 18:00 UTC and SNB Thu 07:30 UTC could materially shift this read

06:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 62 · price 0.79561

Higher highs/lows, consolidating under session high.

London morning has ground USDCHF higher off the 0.7920 range low, with price now coiling just under the 0.79597 session high as broad USD softness from the US-Iran deal fades. RSI(14) at 62 and tightening bar ranges show the uptrend losing steam into the highs.

Support: 0.79495, 0.7942, 0.79209

Resistance: 0.79597, 0.7990

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.79597 opens the path toward the 0.7990 area
  • Failure to hold 0.79495 puts the rising sequence of higher lows at risk
  • US Housing Starts 12:30 UTC and Wed FOMC could materially shift this read

06:45 UTC

Uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 59 · price 0.79561

Higher highs/lows, consolidating near session high.

USDCHF ground higher through Asia into the London session, posting a 0.79597 high before stalling. Price now consolidating in a tight 0.79531–0.79597 band as the climb cools; the broad USD slide tied to the US-Iran relief unwind keeps upside limited.

Support: 0.79531, 0.7949, 0.79437

Resistance: 0.79597

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.79597 extends the higher-high sequence
  • Loss of 0.79490 swing base breaks the rising-low structure
  • US Housing Starts (12:30 UTC) could shift this read

06:30 UTC

Uptrend, steady grind higher · RSI 67 · price 0.79584

Higher highs and higher lows since the 0.79209 low.

USD/CHF ground higher through the late-NY and Asian hours, posting a fresh session high at 0.79597 after basing around the 0.79337 low. The grind tracks a USD bounce off this week's safe-haven-unwind lows ahead of Wednesday's FOMC; RSI elevated near 67 but not yet stretched.

Support: 0.7950, 0.79443, 0.79337

Resistance: 0.79597, 0.7960

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.79597 opens the 0.79600 round number
  • Failure to hold 0.79500 breaks the higher-low sequence
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially reset this read

06:30 UTC

Uptrend, steady grind higher · RSI 67 · price 0.79584

Higher highs / higher lows since the 0.79209 low.

USDCHF has ground higher through the Asia-into-London window, recovering from the 0.79209 session low to print a fresh session high at 0.79597, RSI(14) firm near 67 but short of extreme. The advance is a tight ascending channel; price sits just under the high at 0.79584 as London develops.

Support: 0.7949, 0.7937, 0.79209

Resistance: 0.79597, 0.8000

What it said to watch

  • A close above 0.79597 extends the channel toward the 0.80000 psych level
  • Loss of 0.79490 swing low breaks the rising sequence of higher lows
  • Wed FOMC and Retail Sales are the dominant catalysts and could reset this intraday read

06:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing near highs · RSI 62 · price 0.79574

Higher highs / higher lows, capped at session high.

USDCHF ground steadily higher through the Asia-into-London window, a modest bounce in a USD softened by the US-Iran deal. Price is pinned just under the session high at 0.79590 with momentum flattening, RSI(14) easing off into the low 60s as the last few bars compress on thin range.

Support: 0.7949, 0.7944, 0.7927

Resistance: 0.7959, 0.8000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.79590 extends the higher-high sequence toward 0.80000
  • Loss of 0.79490 intraday base breaks the rising structure
  • US Housing Starts 12:30 UTC could shift the near-term read

06:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling into Asia · RSI 65 · price 0.79574

Higher highs, higher lows since 0.7921 base.

USDCHF ground higher through the London-NY hours and into Asia, marking a session high at 0.7959 as the broad USD pullback on the US-Iran deal stabilised. Structure is a clean rising channel off the 0.7921 base; RSI(14) near 65 with momentum flattening as the current Asian bars compress just under 0.7959.

Support: 0.7949, 0.7942, 0.7921

Resistance: 0.7959, 0.8000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7959 session high opens the 0.7980/0.8000 psych area
  • Loss of 0.7949 session base would break the rising-low chain
  • FOMC Wed plus US Retail Sales are the dominant catalysts that could reshape this read

06:01 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 64 · price 0.79574

Higher highs and higher lows off 0.7920.

USDCHF has ground steadily higher through Asia hours, recovering from the 0.7920 session low to print a fresh session high at 0.7959, even as the broad USD stays soft post US-Iran deal. RSI(14) elevated near 64 but not extreme; price holds above EMA20/EMA50 with shallow pullbacks getting bought.

Support: 0.7950, 0.7942, 0.79209

Resistance: 0.7959

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.7950 breaks the rising sequence
  • Loss of 0.7942 EMA20 zone questions the uptrend
  • Fed decision Wed 18:00 UTC and SNB Thu 07:30 UTC could materially shift this read

06:01 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 63 · price 0.79574

Higher highs / higher lows off 0.7920 base.

USDCHF clawed back from the 0.7920 session low to print 0.7959, recovering some of the US-Iran-deal USD selloff. Price is now consolidating just under the 0.79590 session high; RSI(14) mid-60s, no extreme.

Support: 0.7949, 0.7942, 0.79209

Resistance: 0.7959, 0.79522

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.79590 extends the higher-high sequence
  • Loss of 0.79490 breaks the rising-low chain
  • FOMC tomorrow and SNB Thu loom over this read

05:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 61 · price 0.79541

Higher highs/higher lows, stalling below session high.

USDCHF ground higher through Asia into the London open, pushing to a session high at 0.79590 before stalling; this is a short-term bounce against the broader USD-soft backdrop after the US-Iran relief move. RSI(14) is cooling from the highs near 61 as the last few bars drift back toward 0.79540, with 0.79500 holding so far.

Support: 0.7950, 0.7946, 0.79418

Resistance: 0.7959, 0.7960

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.79590 extends the intraday uptrend toward 0.79600
  • Loss of 0.79460 breaks the higher-low chain
  • FOMC Wed and SNB Thu are the dominant risks for this pair this week

05:45 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 57 · price 0.79541

Higher highs and higher lows, stalling under session high.

USDCHF ground higher off the 0.7920 base through the Asian session, tagging a session high of 0.79590 as the post US-Iran-deal CHF bid eased slightly. RSI(14) has cooled to mid-50s and the last bars are stalling near 0.7954 below the high.

Support: 0.7949, 0.7942

Resistance: 0.7959

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.79590 extends the intraday uptrend
  • Failure to hold 0.79490 opens 0.79420
  • Fed decision Wed 18:00 UTC and SNB Thu 07:30 UTC could materially reset this read

05:30 UTC

Uptrend, near session high · RSI 68 · price 0.79554

Higher highs and higher lows off the early low.

USDCHF recovered from the 0.79209 session low to print a fresh session high at 0.79590, building a clean chain of higher lows despite the broader USD-softness read. The 0.79500 prior cap now sits as support after the breakout; RSI(14) is firm near 68, hot but not stretched.

Support: 0.7950, 0.7944, 0.79209

Resistance: 0.7959, 0.7960

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back below 0.79500 would void the breakout and the higher-low structure
  • A push through 0.79590 opens the 0.79600 psych area
  • US Housing Starts 12:30 UTC could shift the intraday read

05:30 UTC

Uptrend, steady grind higher · RSI 67 · price 0.79554

Rising series of higher highs and higher lows.

USDCHF ground steadily higher through the window, taking out the 0.79500 area and printing a fresh session high at 0.79590, RSI(14) elevated near 67 but not yet stretched. The bounce comes off the broadly soft-USD backdrop after the US-Iran deal, with the pair recovering off the 0.79209 low.

Support: 0.7950, 0.7944, 0.7937

Resistance: 0.7959, 0.7960

What it said to watch

  • Close back below 0.79500 breakout level negates the higher-low chain
  • Acceptance above 0.79590 session high opens the path toward 0.79600
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and SNB Thu 07:30 UTC are the dominant near-term risks

05:15 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 70 · price 0.7956

Higher highs / higher lows off the 0.7920 base.

USDCHF ground higher through the Asia session, breaking the 0.7950 prior high and printing a fresh session high at 0.7959 with RSI(14) running hot near 70. The bid follows a hawkish-Fed-hold recovery off the 0.7920 channel support flagged earlier, but late bars are stalling just under 0.7960.

Support: 0.79483, 0.7943, 0.79209

Resistance: 0.7959, 0.7960

What it said to watch

  • Failure to hold 0.79483 reopens the 0.79430 swing low
  • M15 close above 0.79600 extends the breakout toward the channel top
  • US Retail Sales then FOMC (Wed) are the next material catalysts

05:15 UTC

Uptrend, fresh session high · RSI 71 · price 0.7956

Higher highs, higher lows.

USDCHF ground higher through the Asia-into-London window, breaking the 0.7950 shelf and printing a fresh session high at 0.7959, RSI(14) running hot near 71. Modest USD recovery off the soft-dollar tone; price now consolidating just under the high.

Support: 0.7950, 0.7942, 0.79209

Resistance: 0.7959, 0.7960

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 0.79500 breaks the higher-low chain and reverts to range
  • Close above 0.79590 opens the 0.7960 round number
  • US Retail Sales + FOMC tomorrow are the dominant risk for this pair

05:01 UTC

Uptrend, fresh session high · RSI 71 · price 0.7956

Rising HH/HL chain off session low.

USDCHF ground higher through the Asia session, posting a fresh session high at 0.7959 from a 0.7921 base — an intraday USD recovery despite the broader soft-dollar backdrop after the US-Iran framework. RSI(14) near 70 reflects the extended push; momentum hot but not stretched, structure holding higher lows.

Support: 0.7950, 0.7944, 0.7921

Resistance: 0.7959

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 0.7950 breaks the recent higher-low chain
  • Sustained move above 0.7959 extends the session high
  • US Retail Sales (Wed 12:30 UTC) and FOMC (18:00 UTC) could materially shift this read

05:01 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 68 · price 0.7956

Chain of higher highs and higher lows.

USDCHF has clawed back off the 0.7921 session low in a steady stair-step, posting a fresh session high at 0.7959 as the post-US-Iran USD safe-haven sell-off pauses. RSI(14) near 67 — hot but not extreme — and price holds above EMA20/50.

Support: 0.7949, 0.7942, 0.79209

Resistance: 0.7959, 0.7968

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back below 0.7949 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
  • Sustained move above 0.7959 session high opens 0.7968 round number
  • US Retail Sales (Wed 12:30 UTC) and FOMC (18:00 UTC) could materially shift this read

04:46 UTC

Uptrend, extended into session high · RSI 73 · price 0.79576

Chain of higher highs and higher lows since the 0.79209 base.

USDCHF ground higher through the Asia session, breaking the 0.79500 shelf and printing a fresh session high at 0.79590 as the dollar recovered ahead of Wednesday's Fed. RSI(14) near 73 and ATR a thin ~4 pips — momentum intact but stretched into the high.

Support: 0.79483, 0.79418, 0.79209

Resistance: 0.7959, 0.7965

What it said to watch

  • Close back below 0.79483 breaks the higher-low chain
  • Acceptance above 0.79590 opens the path toward 0.79650
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC + SNB Thu are the dominant catalysts and can reset this read

04:45 UTC

Uptrend, momentum building · RSI 71 · price 0.79576

Higher highs, higher lows since mid-window low.

USDCHF clawed back through the Asia session despite the broadly soft dollar post US-Iran framework, grinding from the 0.7921 low to a fresh session high at 0.7959, RSI(14) near 71. Price broke above the 0.79522 prior high and is now pressing the 0.79600 round number, with buyers defending each pullback.

Support: 0.7950, 0.7946, 0.7937

Resistance: 0.7959, 0.7960

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.79600 opens the path toward higher session levels
  • Failure to hold 0.79500 would break the rising higher-low sequence
  • Fed decision Wed 18:00 UTC and SNB Thu 07:30 UTC could materially shift this read

04:30 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 67 · price 0.79563

Higher highs, higher lows since 0.7920 base.

USDCHF ground higher through the Asian session, posting a fresh session high at 0.79567 as the post-Iran-deal USD selloff stabilises. RSI(14) elevated near 67 but not extreme; price holds above EMA20/50 with a clean chain of higher lows off the 0.7920 base.

Support: 0.7949, 0.79418, 0.79209

Resistance: 0.79567, 0.7960

What it said to watch

  • Close below 0.79418 breaks the rising higher-low sequence
  • Acceptance above 0.79600 round number extends the grind
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

04:30 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 67 · price 0.79563

Higher highs and higher lows since Asia low.

USDCHF ground steadily higher through the Asian session, posting a fresh session high at 0.79567 on the last bar as the post-Iran-deal USD selloff paused. Buyers held each dip along a rising base, RSI(14) firm near 67 but not yet stretched.

Support: 0.7949, 0.7944, 0.79209

Resistance: 0.79567, 0.7960

What it said to watch

  • Break above 0.79600 round number extends the intraday uptrend
  • Loss of 0.79490 prior consol breaks the rising-low sequence
  • FOMC (Wed 18:00 UTC) and SNB (Thu 07:30 UTC) are the dominant catalysts ahead

04:15 UTC

Grinding higher, momentum easing · RSI 62 · price 0.79503

Higher lows since 0.79209 low.

USDCHF has drifted higher through the Asian session, recovering from the 0.79209 low as the post-Iran-deal USD selloff stalls. Price is pinned just under the 0.79522 session high on thin volume; RSI(14) near 62, no extreme. Higher-low structure intact above the 0.79420 pivot.

Support: 0.79483, 0.7942, 0.79209

Resistance: 0.79522

What it said to watch

  • Break and hold above 0.79522 extends the higher-high sequence
  • Loss of 0.79420 breaks the higher-low chain
  • SNB decision (07:30 UTC) and Fed/Retail Sales risk could override this drift

04:15 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 63 · price 0.79503

Higher highs into session top, consolidating.

Grinding uptrend through the Asia session, USD broadly soft after the US-Iran framework drained safe-haven demand. Price ground from 0.79209 to a session high at 0.79522 and is now coiling just under it near 0.795; RSI elevated but not extended.

Support: 0.7945, 0.79209

Resistance: 0.79522, 0.7960

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.79522 extends the intraday leg toward 0.7960
  • Failure to hold 0.7945 breaks the higher-low chain
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and SNB Thu 07:30 UTC dominate the near-term read

04:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 60 · price 0.79503

Higher highs, higher lows since the 0.7921 low.

USDCHF ground higher overnight as broad USD softness paused, posting a steady chain of higher lows into the 0.79522 session high. Price is holding above 0.7950 with RSI(14) near 60 — firm but not stretched. The dollar leg of the move stays tethered to Wednesday's FOMC.

Support: 0.7946, 0.7942, 0.7937

Resistance: 0.79522, 0.7955

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.79522 extends the uptrend toward 0.79550
  • Loss of 0.79460 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
  • FOMC (Wed 18:00 UTC) is the dominant USD catalyst this week

04:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 62 · price 0.79503

Higher highs into session top, grinding.

USDCHF ground higher through the Asia session to 0.79503 as the post US-Iran dollar slide stabilised, printing a chain of higher lows off the 0.79209 base. RSI(14) near 62 with price stalling just under the 0.79522 session high; tight ranges into pre-London.

Support: 0.7944, 0.7932, 0.79209

Resistance: 0.79522, 0.7949

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.79522 extends the intraday uptrend
  • Failure to hold 0.79440 breaks the rising structure
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this pair

03:46 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 63 · price 0.79499

Higher lows since session-low rebound.

USDCHF recovered off the 0.79209 session low and has ground steadily higher into the Asia session, now pressing the 0.79522 session high with RSI(14) around 63. The bounce comes against a soft-USD backdrop post US-Iran deal, but the climb is shallow and orderly with no impulsive break.

Support: 0.7946, 0.79418, 0.79209

Resistance: 0.79522

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.79522 extends the ascending structure
  • Failure to hold 0.79418 breaks the higher-low chain

03:45 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 63 · price 0.79499

Higher highs and higher lows off 0.7921.

USDCHF has clawed back off the 0.7921 low through London-NY hours, posting a steady chain of higher lows into the Asia session and pressing the 0.79522 session high. RSI(14) near 63 — firm but not stretched — as the dollar steadies ahead of midweek Fed risk despite the broader post-Iran-deal softness.

Support: 0.79453, 0.79418, 0.7937

Resistance: 0.79522, 0.7955

What it said to watch

  • Break and hold above 0.79522 opens room toward the 0.7955 round number
  • Loss of 0.79453 breaks the higher-low chain and exposes 0.79418
  • FOMC midweek is the dominant catalyst that can reset this read

03:30 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling in Asia · RSI 63 · price 0.79502

Higher lows, grinding toward session high.

USDCHF recovered from the 0.79209 session low through London-NY and has ground higher into Asia, tagging a 0.79522 session high before easing to 0.79502. Move tracks the CHF coming off its post-peace-deal firmness; ranges have compressed sharply in Asia hours with RSI(14) holding mid-60s.

Support: 0.7944, 0.7940, 0.79209

Resistance: 0.79522, 0.7949

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.79522 extends the session high break
  • Loss of 0.79440 breaks the rising support sequence
  • Fed Wed and SNB Thu are the dominant catalysts ahead

03:30 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 62 · price 0.79502

Higher highs and higher lows since the 0.79209 low.

USDCHF ground steadily higher through the Asia session, pushing to a session high at 0.79522 before stalling around the 0.79500 round number, RSI(14) holding mid-60s. The move follows the broad USD pullback to 10-day lows on the US-Iran risk-on bid, but the M15 series is making clean higher lows off 0.79209.

Support: 0.7944, 0.7937, 0.79209

Resistance: 0.79522, 0.7950

What it said to watch

  • Close back below 0.79440 would break the rising-low sequence
  • Acceptance above 0.79522 opens the path toward 0.79550
  • SNB decision Thu 07:30 UTC and Fed Wed 18:00 UTC are the dominant catalysts for this pair

03:16 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 62 · price 0.79497

Higher highs/higher lows off 0.7920.

USDCHF ground higher through the Asia session to a fresh session high at 0.79522, off the 0.7920 range low, with USD broadly soft after the US-Iran relief bid. Price sits above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-60s — momentum intact but not stretched, the 0.7950 psych level capping.

Support: 0.79436, 0.7942, 0.79209

Resistance: 0.79522, 0.7950

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.79522 session high extends the up-leg
  • Failure to hold 0.79436 swing low breaks the rising structure
  • Fed Wed and SNB Thu are the dominant catalysts for the next sessions

03:15 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing near highs · RSI 62 · price 0.79497

Higher highs and higher lows off 0.79209 base.

USDCHF ground higher through the Asian session, posting a chain of higher lows off 0.79209 to a session high of 0.79522 and now holding near 0.79497. Move sits inside a tight overnight range with thin liquidity; the Fed decision Wed and SNB hold Thu are the dominant catalysts ahead.

Support: 0.7944, 0.7937, 0.79209

Resistance: 0.79522, 0.7955

What it said to watch

  • Break above 0.79522 session high opens the path toward the 0.79550 psych area
  • Failure to hold 0.79440 minor swing exposes the 0.79370 pullback low
  • FOMC Wed and SNB Thu could materially shift this read

03:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum steady · RSI 64 · price 0.79497

Higher highs, higher lows since Asian low.

USDCHF ground higher through the Asia session, tagging a fresh session high at 0.79522 with USD recovering modestly off its 10-day low; RSI(14) near 64, room left. Chain of higher lows from the 0.79209 base intact, ATR thin at ~3 pips into the quiet hours.

Support: 0.7946, 0.7942, 0.7937

Resistance: 0.79522, 0.7955

What it said to watch

  • Close back below 0.7942 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
  • Acceptance above 0.79522 session high opens the path to 0.7955
  • Fed decision Wed 18:00 UTC and SNB Thu 07:30 UTC are the dominant near-term catalysts

03:01 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 61 · price 0.79497

Rising series of higher lows into session high.

USDCHF has ground back up from the 0.79209 range low to test the 0.795 round number, recovering after the broad USD slide tied to the US-Iran relief bid and softer US data. Price holds above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) around 61 — firm but not stretched — as buyers keep defending higher lows near 0.79436 in the Asian session.

Support: 0.79436, 0.7937, 0.79209

Resistance: 0.7950, 0.79522

What it said to watch

  • Sustained M15 close above 0.79522 session high opens room toward 0.7960
  • Loss of 0.79436 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
  • Fed decision Wed and SNB Thu are dominant catalysts that could reshape this read

02:46 UTC

Uptrend, grinding into session high · RSI 64 · price 0.79498

Higher highs/higher lows off 0.79209.

USDCHF ground higher through the late session and into Asia, posting a fresh session high at 0.79522 with price holding just below at 0.79498; RSI(14) near 64, hot but not extreme. Move tracks a softer USD after the US-Iran relief bid, though CHF has firmed broadly — current action is a slow climb, not an impulsive break.

Support: 0.7944, 0.7937, 0.79209

Resistance: 0.79522, 0.7955

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.79522 extends the higher-high sequence toward 0.79550
  • Loss of 0.79440 pullback low breaks the rising channel
  • FOMC Wed and SNB Thu are dominant catalysts that can reset this read

02:45 UTC

Uptrend, momentum intact · RSI 65 · price 0.79498

Higher highs and higher lows through Asia.

USDCHF ground steadily higher through the Asia session, reclaiming 0.7950 and printing a fresh session high at 0.79522 — consistent with the digest's modest CHF-long trimming toward the 0.7950 area. Higher lows held above 0.79443, RSI(14) elevated near 65 but not yet stretched.

Support: 0.79443, 0.7937, 0.79209

Resistance: 0.79522, 0.7955

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.79522 session high opens the path to the 0.79550 round level
  • Loss of 0.79443 recent base breaks the rising chain of higher lows
  • Fed decision Wed and SNB Thu are the dominant near-term catalysts for this pair

02:30 UTC

Uptrend, grinding into session high · RSI 64 · price 0.79501

Higher highs/higher lows off 0.79209.

USDCHF ground steadily higher through the Asian session, printing a fresh session high at 0.79507 with price now hugging the top of the move. RSI(14) elevated near 64 but not stretched; the bid follows the digest's base case of CHF longs trimming into the SNB hold. The 0.79209 low anchors a clean rising structure.

Support: 0.7944, 0.7937, 0.79209

Resistance: 0.79507, 0.7955

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 0.79440 would break the rising structure off 0.79209
  • Acceptance above 0.79507 opens the 0.79550 psych area
  • SNB rate decision Thu and FOMC Wed are the dominant near-term USDCHF catalysts

02:30 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 68 · price 0.79501

Higher highs / higher lows into session high.

USDCHF ground steadily higher through the Asian session, printing a fresh session high at 0.79507 with RSI(14) near 68. The 0.7950 area matches the SNB base-case zone flagged in the macro read; price is extending after clearing the prior 0.79492 swing.

Support: 0.79442, 0.79409, 0.7937

Resistance: 0.79507, 0.7955

What it said to watch

  • Sustained hold above 0.79507 keeps the higher-high sequence intact
  • Failure to hold 0.79442 would break the rising intraday structure
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and SNB Thu 07:30 UTC are the dominant near-term catalysts

02:15 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 63 · price 0.79493

Higher lows off 0.7921, recovering toward session high.

USDCHF ground higher through quiet Asia hours, a chain of higher lows off 0.7921 lifting price back to the 0.79493 session high as the US-Iran peace-deal USD selloff stabilises. RSI(14) near 63, momentum constructive but not stretched.

Support: 0.7942, 0.7936, 0.79209

Resistance: 0.79493, 0.7950

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim and hold above 0.79500 extends the recovery
  • Loss of 0.79420 breaks the rising-low sequence
  • SNB and FOMC midweek are the dominant catalysts ahead

02:15 UTC

Recovery off lows, grinding into session high · RSI 63 · price 0.79493

Higher lows since the 0.79209 base, retesting prior session high.

Asian-session bid lifted USDCHF off the 0.79209 base back to retest the prior session high at 0.79493, with price pressing the 0.79492/0.79493 cap a second time. ATR is thin at ~4 pips and RSI sits mid-60s, leaving the move stretched but not extreme into Wed's FOMC and Thu's SNB.

Support: 0.7942, 0.7929, 0.79209

Resistance: 0.79493, 0.7955

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.79493 clears the session high and opens 0.79550
  • Rejection at 0.79493 leaves a double top; loss of 0.79420 breaks the higher-low chain
  • FOMC Wed and SNB Thu are the dominant near-term USD/CHF catalysts

02:01 UTC

Mild uptrend, grinding into prior highs · RSI 63 · price 0.79493

Higher lows off 0.79209, capped at 0.79493.

Quiet Asia session grinding higher off the 0.79209 low, now retesting the prior-day cap at 0.79493 for the third time. ATR is thin at ~2.5 pips and RSI sits mid-60s; price respecting the 0.79493 ceiling so far.

Support: 0.7942, 0.7937, 0.79209

Resistance: 0.79493

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.79493 opens room toward 0.7950
  • Loss of the 0.79420 rising-low structure reopens 0.79209
  • Fed (Wed) and SNB (Thu) are the dominant near-term catalysts for this pair

02:01 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 64 · price 0.79493

Higher highs into session high.

Asia session is grinding USDCHF higher off the 0.79209 session low, printing a fresh session high at 0.79493 on a steady chain of higher lows. RSI(14) near 64, firm but not stretched; broader USD softness on the US-Iran deal keeps the pair pinned in the lower 0.79s despite this intraday bounce.

Support: 0.79437, 0.7937, 0.79209

Resistance: 0.79493

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.79493 extends the session high; rejection there caps the bounce
  • Loss of 0.79437 breaks the rising support chain and reopens 0.79370
  • FOMC Wed and SNB Thu are the dominant catalysts ahead — both reshape this read

01:45 UTC

Range, recovered off session low · RSI 49 · price 0.7944

Consolidating near range top after rebound from 0.7920.

USDCHF rebounded from the 0.7920 channel support through the NY session as the broad USD softened on the US-Iran deal, then stalled into 0.7949. Now consolidating 0.7942-0.7949 in early Asia with RSI(14) neutral; range top capping for now.

Support: 0.7942, 0.7932, 0.7920

Resistance: 0.7949, 0.7950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7950 opens room beyond the session high
  • Loss of 0.7942 9-day ema turns focus back to the 0.7920 channel support
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term USD catalyst

01:45 UTC

Sideways, basing after recovery off lows · RSI 52 · price 0.7944

Range, holding upper third.

USDCHF recovered off the 0.7921 session low and is now coiling between 0.7942 and 0.7949, with sellers capping each push into 0.7949. CHF firmed on the US-Iran peace deal while broad USD softness keeps the pair near 10-day lows; price action is flat into the Asia session.

Support: 0.7942, 0.7932, 0.7921

Resistance: 0.7949, 0.7950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7950 opens room back toward 0.7960
  • Loss of 0.7942 reopens the 0.7932/0.7921 lows
  • FOMC Wed and SNB Thu are the dominant catalysts and could reset this range

01:31 UTC

Recovered off lows, ranging near session high · RSI 54 · price 0.79457

Higher lows since mid-window low, capped at 0.7949.

USDCHF bottomed at 0.79209 mid-window then recovered to tag the session high at 0.79493, with the pair now coiling in a tight 0.7942–0.7949 band into the Asia session. The bounce fits a softer USD at 10-day lows after the US-Iran framework deal, with CHF firm; RSI(14) sits mid-range near 54.

Support: 0.7942, 0.7937, 0.79209

Resistance: 0.79493

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.79493 opens the path back toward 0.7950
  • Failure to hold 0.79420 reopens the 0.79209 session low
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term USD/CHF catalyst

01:30 UTC

Recovered off lows, now ranging · RSI 56 · price 0.79457

Consolidating near session high after bounce from 0.7921.

USDCHF ground higher through late Asia after recovering from the 0.7921 swing low, now ranging 0.7942–0.7949 on thin volume. RSI(14) sits mid-range with price holding above EMA20/50; the 0.7949 session high caps and 0.7950 psych sits just above.

Support: 0.7942, 0.79209

Resistance: 0.7949, 0.7950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7950 opens the path higher
  • Loss of 0.7942 reopens the move toward the 0.7921 range low
  • Wed FOMC and Thu SNB are the dominant catalysts ahead and could reset this read

01:16 UTC

Recovered off lows, now ranging · RSI 52 · price 0.79445

Consolidation in upper half of intraday range.

USDCHF recovered from the 0.79209 session low — a double bottom near 0.7921 — back to 0.79493 before stalling, and is now ranging 0.79420–0.79493 through thin Asia hours. RSI(14) neutral near 52 with price pinned to EMA20; the broader bid sits on the fading USD safe-haven trade after the US-Iran deal.

Support: 0.7942, 0.7937, 0.79209

Resistance: 0.79493, 0.7950

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.79493 extends the recovery toward 0.7950
  • Failure to hold 0.79420 reopens the 0.79370 swing low
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and SNB Thu 07:30 UTC are the dominant near-term catalysts

01:15 UTC

Recovered off lows, now flat · RSI 54 · price 0.79445

Range-bound near session top.

Asia session grinding sideways around 0.7944 in thin volume after recovering from the London/NY lows; a double bottom near 0.7921 held twice and price has retraced the full move. Session top at 0.79493 caps the upside.

Support: 0.7942, 0.7937, 0.79209

Resistance: 0.79493, 0.7945

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.79493 extends the recovery toward 0.7950
  • Loss of 0.79420 reopens 0.79370 and the 0.79209 base
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and SNB Thu 07:30 UTC are the dominant near-term catalysts

01:01 UTC

Recovery off lows, momentum flattening · RSI 54 · price 0.79445

Ranging near session highs after bounce from 0.7921.

Quiet Asia session drift, USDCHF pinned near 10-day lows as the US-Iran peace deal keeps the safe-haven dollar bid unwound. Price recovered from 0.7921 and is now consolidating in a tight 0.79420-0.79490 band with RSI hovering mid-range; no setup in play.

Support: 0.7942, 0.7937, 0.7921

Resistance: 0.7949

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.79490 opens room back toward 0.7950
  • Loss of 0.79370 reasserts the downside toward the 0.7921 range low

01:01 UTC

Ranging, recovering off lows · RSI 52 · price 0.79445

Intraday range, range top capping.

USDCHF carved a fresh session low at 0.79209 during the prior NY hours then recovered into the 0.7949 session high, with CHF firm on the US-Iran peace deal unwinding safe-haven dollar demand. Now drifting in a thin Asian session, pinned just under the range top near 0.7945; RSI(14) neutral around 52.

Support: 0.7937, 0.7928, 0.79209

Resistance: 0.79493, 0.7945

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.79493 opens room back toward 0.7950
  • Loss of 0.79370 reopens the 0.79280/0.79209 lows
  • Wed FOMC and Thu SNB are the dominant catalysts ahead, well beyond this window

00:45 UTC

Recovery off lows, near range top · RSI 57 · price 0.79468

Range with rising intraday lows.

USDCHF spent the day ranging 0.7920–0.7949, with the safe-haven CHF bid easing after the US-Iran framework deal. Asia hours have crept back to the session high near 0.79493, where price stalled twice; RSI(14) mid-range with rising intraday lows holding.

Support: 0.7942, 0.7932, 0.79209

Resistance: 0.79493

What it said to watch

  • Sustained M15 close above 0.79493 opens the path back toward 0.7950
  • Loss of 0.79420 reopens the lower half of the range toward 0.79209
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and SNB Thu 07:30 UTC are the dominant catalysts ahead

00:45 UTC

Recovered off lows, drifting at range top · RSI 58 · price 0.79468

Intraday range, retesting session high.

USDCHF clawed back from the 0.7921 session low to retest the 0.7949 session high, the dollar pinned at 10-day lows after the US-Iran peace deal unwound safe-haven flows. Price now sits near the range top with momentum flat; no fresh break in play between 0.7921 and 0.7949.

Support: 0.7942, 0.7932, 0.79209

Resistance: 0.79493

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.79493 opens room beyond the session high
  • Loss of 0.79420 ema20 reopens the 0.79320 mid and 0.79209 low
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and SNB Thu 07:30 UTC are the dominant near-term catalysts

00:31 UTC

Recovered off lows, ranging at session high · RSI 57 · price 0.79459

Double bottom near 0.7921, higher into 0.7949.

USDCHF based out twice near 0.7921 during the NY session and climbed back to the 0.7949/0.7950 area, in line with the broader CHF-firm/USD-soft backdrop easing intraday. Asian hours are quiet on thin volume, holding just under the 0.79493 session high with RSI mid-range.

Support: 0.79409, 0.79348, 0.79209

Resistance: 0.79493

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.79493 extends the recovery toward 0.7950+
  • Loss of 0.79409 reopens the 0.79348 swing and the 0.79209 session low
  • Fed (Wed) and SNB (Thu) are the dominant catalysts ahead — not in this window but will reshape the read

00:31 UTC

Ranging, mild upward drift · RSI 54 · price 0.79459

Recovered off session low, coiling under session high.

Thin Asia-hours trade, price coiling around 0.7946 just below the 0.79493 session high after recovering from the 0.79209 low. RSI(14) neutral near 54, no momentum extreme; range floor at 0.79420 has held on the pullbacks.

Support: 0.7942, 0.7932, 0.79209

Resistance: 0.79493, 0.7950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.79493 opens a test of the 0.7950 psych level
  • Loss of 0.79420 range floor reopens 0.79320 swing low
  • Liquidity returns with London open; current bars are thin Asian-session prints

00:15 UTC

Ranging, mild recovery off lows · RSI 57 · price 0.79447

Intraday range, holding near top.

Thin Asia-session tape with USD/CHF chopping 0.7920–0.7949 after the US-Iran deal sapped safe-haven flows and pinned the dollar near 10-day lows. Buyers stepped in around 0.7920 mid-window and price has drifted back to the session-high zone, now coiling tightly at 0.7945 on very light volume.

Support: 0.7942, 0.79209

Resistance: 0.79493, 0.7950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7950 opens the path toward 0.8000
  • Loss of 0.7920 confirms a lower-low and reopens the downside
  • Fed decision Wed and SNB Thu are the dominant near-term catalysts for this pair

00:15 UTC

Rangebound, drifting toward top · RSI 56 · price 0.79447

Range, price near upper boundary.

USDCHF chopped between 0.79209 and 0.79493 through the session, with price now grinding just under the session high on thin Asian-hours volume. RSI(14) mid-range near 56; no clean directional break in play as the broader move waits on Wed's Fed and Thu's SNB.

Support: 0.7937, 0.79209

Resistance: 0.79493, 0.7945

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.79493 opens room beyond the session high
  • Loss of 0.79370 mid-range puts the 0.79209 low back in focus
  • Fed (Wed) and SNB (Thu) are the dominant near-term catalysts for this pair

00:01 UTC

Mild uptrend, momentum flat · RSI 57 · price 0.79447

Recovery off 0.7920 low, coiling near session high.

USD/CHF clawed back off the 0.7920 swing low through the London-NY session and is now coiling tight around 0.7945-0.7949 on thin Asian-hours volume. RSI(14) sits mid-range with momentum flat; the broader risk-on, soft-USD theme keeps the recovery shallow. SNB and Fed Wednesday are the dominant near-term catalysts.

Support: 0.7942, 0.7932, 0.79209

Resistance: 0.79493, 0.7950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.79493 opens path toward the 0.7950 psych level
  • Failure to hold 0.79420 risks a revisit of the 0.7920 swing low
  • US Retail Sales + FOMC Wed could materially shift this read

00:01 UTC

Recovery off lows, momentum flat · RSI 54 · price 0.79447

Ranging near session highs after bounce.

USDCHF based twice near 0.79210 mid-window and recovered into 0.79450/0.79493, where it's now drifting sideways in thin Asia hours. Price holds above EMA20/50 but RSI(14) near 54 shows momentum stalling at the range top.

Support: 0.7942, 0.7937, 0.79209

Resistance: 0.79493, 0.7945

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.79493 opens the path higher
  • Failure to hold 0.79420 reopens 0.79370
  • SNB Thu / Fed Wed are the dominant catalysts ahead — both >24h out

All markets that day · Today’s USD/CHF Live Scan in the terminal