USD/CHF ripped out of the 0.7920–0.7935 range during NY hours on the firm post-FOMC dollar, tagging 0.80154 before the 0.8000 psych barrier rejected price. Pair now consolidating tight at 0.7995, RSI cooling from the spike with the 0.7988 swing low holding.
Support: 0.79884, 0.79507, 0.79253
Resistance: 0.8000, 0.80154
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8000 reopens 0.80154 session high
Loss of 0.7988 swing low confirms a lower-low and unwinds the breakout
SNB decision 07:30 UTC and US claims 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF ripped from the 0.7925 base to 0.8015 during the NY session on the firmer-USD/hawkish-Fed read, then stalled at the 0.8000 barrier. Price is now consolidating in a tight 0.7988–0.8005 band, RSI cooling off the rally; the 0.8000 psych level capping for now.
Support: 0.79884, 0.7959, 0.79253
Resistance: 0.8000, 0.80154
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8015 extends the breakout leg
Loss of 0.7988 session low opens 0.7960
SNB rate decision Thu 07:30 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session saw a sharp USD bid rip USDCHF off 0.7925 to a session high of 0.80154, consistent with the firm post-FOMC dollar. Price was rejected at the 0.8000 round number and is now consolidating 0.7988-0.7998 just beneath it, RSI cooling from the impulse.
Support: 0.79884, 0.79507, 0.7925
Resistance: 0.8000, 0.80154
What it said to watch
Sustained close above 0.8000 round number reopens the 0.80154 session high
Loss of 0.79884 session low signals the consolidation rolling over
SNB decision Thu 07:30 UTC and Fed jobless claims 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Sharp breakout then sideways drift under round number.
USDCHF ripped ~90 pips during NY hours off the 0.7925 base to a session high of 0.80154 on the firmer-USD/SNB-unwind read, then was rejected at the 0.8000 round number. Price is now drifting sideways around 0.7990–0.7997, holding above the 0.79884 swing low with RSI(14) cooled back to neutral.
Support: 0.79884, 0.79477
Resistance: 0.8000, 0.80154
What it said to watch
SNB rate decision Thu 07:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF ripped from the 0.7925 base during NY hours, tagging 0.80154 before stalling at the 0.8000 round barrier — a USD-firm move into the SNB/Fed window. Price is now consolidating tightly between 0.7988 and 0.8000 through Asia hours with RSI cooled to the high-50s and ATR compressed to ~6 pips.
Support: 0.7988, 0.7967, 0.7925
Resistance: 0.8000, 0.80154
What it said to watch
SNB rate decision 07:30 UTC and jobless claims 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 0.8000 re-opens the 0.80154 session high
Failure to hold the 0.7988 range low exposes the 0.7967 spike base
23:16 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 56 · price 0.79967
Post-spike consolidation under 0.8000.
USDCHF gapped higher off 0.7925 on the hawkish FOMC hold, tagging 0.80154 before stalling at the 0.8000 round number. Price has since coiled in a tight 0.7988–0.8000 band, RSI cooling toward neutral after the impulse.
Support: 0.79884, 0.7950, 0.79253
Resistance: 0.8000, 0.80154
What it said to watch
SNB rate decision at 07:30 UTC (~8h) could materially shift this read
Sustained M15 close above 0.8000 reopens 0.80154
Loss of 0.7988 exposes the 0.7950 spike mid
23:01 UTC
Sharp rally, now consolidating · RSI 56 · price 0.79967
Breakout off 0.7925, capped under 0.8000.
NY session ripped USDCHF off 0.7925 to 0.80154 on broad USD strength post-FOMC, then sellers rejected the 0.8000 round barrier. Price is now consolidating just under it around 0.7997, holding above the 0.7988 pullback low into the Asia handover.
Support: 0.7988, 0.7960, 0.7925
Resistance: 0.8000, 0.80154
What it said to watch
SNB rate decision Thu 07:30 UTC could materially reshape this read
A clean close above 0.80154 reopens the session-high break
Loss of 0.7988 pullback low signals consolidation rolling over
USD/CHF rocketed off 0.7925 on the firm USD bid, tagging 0.80154 before sellers capped it at the 0.8000 barrier. Price now coils just below 0.8000 (~0.7997), RSI(14) cooled to the mid-50s after the impulse.
Support: 0.79884, 0.79253
Resistance: 0.8000, 0.80154
What it said to watch
SNB rate decision at 07:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF ripped out of the 0.7920-0.7935 range during late NY hours, spiking to 0.80154 on the firm post-FOMC dollar before getting rejected at the 0.8000 barrier. Price is now consolidating around 0.7998 in early Asia, holding above the 0.7988 swing low.
Support: 0.7988, 0.7950
Resistance: 0.8000, 0.80154
What it said to watch
SNB rate decision Thu 07:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Reclaim and close above 0.8000 reopens the 0.80154 session high
Failure to hold 0.7988 confirms a deeper retrace of the breakout
USDCHF tore higher through the NY session on the hawkish-hold FOMC repricing, ripping from 0.7925 to a 0.80154 high before stalling at the 0.8000 barrier. Price has since consolidated in the high-0.799s, holding above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) cooling off the spike toward neutral.
Support: 0.7988, 0.7950
Resistance: 0.8000, 0.80154
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 0.8000 reopens the 0.80154 spike high
Loss of 0.79880 session low signals deeper retrace toward pre-spike zone
SNB rate decision 07:30 UTC and US Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session ripped USDCHF ~90 pips off 0.7925 to 0.80154 on the hawkish-hold USD bid, breaking the 0.8000 psych level before being rejected back below it. Asia is now consolidating in the 0.7988-0.8000 band, holding the breakout while the 0.8000 round number caps upside.
Support: 0.7988, 0.7950, 0.7925
Resistance: 0.8000, 0.80154
What it said to watch
Hold of 0.79880 keeps the breakout structure intact; a close below opens 0.7950
M15 close above 0.80154 reasserts the upside
SNB rate decision 07:30 UTC and US jobless claims 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF ripped through 0.8000 during NY hours on the hawkish-hold USD bid, tagging 0.80154 before fading back below the figure. Price now consolidating around 0.7997, RSI cooled from spike extremes into the high-50s; 0.8000 capping the topside and 0.79884 holding the recent pullback.
Support: 0.79884, 0.79253
Resistance: 0.8000, 0.80154
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80154 reopens the upside extension
Loss of 0.79884 signals deeper retrace toward the breakout base
SNB rate decision 07:30 UTC and Fed afterglow could materially shift this read
The hawkish FOMC dot-plot surprise during NY hours triggered a near-vertical USD bid, ripping USDCHF from 0.7925 through the 0.8000 barrier to a 0.80154 session high. Price has since faded back below 0.8000 and is consolidating around 0.7995 with RSI(14) cooling from the spike; the 0.79888 pullback low is holding so far.
Support: 0.79888, 0.7950
Resistance: 0.8000, 0.80154
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.79888 pullback low signals a deeper retrace of the FOMC move
Reclaim of 0.8000 round number reopens the 0.80154 session high
SNB rate decision Thu 07:30 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session ripped higher on the hawkish FOMC dot-plot revision, USDCHF gapping from 0.7925 to a session high of 0.80154. Price was rejected at the 0.8000 round number on the pullback and is now consolidating around 0.7995 with RSI(14) cooling off its peak into the low 50s.
Support: 0.7988, 0.79688
Resistance: 0.8000, 0.80154
What it said to watch
SNB rate decision Thu 07:30 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 0.80154 reopens the upside extension
Failure to hold 0.79880 deepens the pullback toward 0.79688
USDCHF rocketed off 0.7925 into the NY session on the hawkish FOMC dot-plot revision, tagging 0.80154 before stalling at the 0.8000 psych level. Price has consolidated in a tight 0.7988–0.8006 band since, RSI(14) easing back toward 60 from overbought.
Support: 0.7988, 0.7925
Resistance: 0.8000, 0.80154
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 0.80154 reopens the upside extension
Loss of 0.79880 signals the post-FOMC pop is fading
SNB decision Thu 07:30 UTC and US jobless claims could materially shift this read
A hawkish FOMC dot-plot revision drove a vertical NY-session spike from 0.7925 to 0.80154, clearing the 0.8000 barrier. Price was rejected at the session high and has since cooled back below 0.8000 to 0.7995, RSI(14) easing off the spike highs.
Support: 0.7988, 0.7950
Resistance: 0.8000, 0.80154
What it said to watch
Failure to reclaim 0.8000 keeps the rejection read intact
Hold of 0.79880 spike low defines post-FOMC base
SNB rate decision Thu 07:30 UTC could materially shift this read
The hawkish FOMC dot-plot revision spiked USD/CHF off the 0.7925 base to 0.80154, a clean break of the prior intraday range. Price has since faded back under the 0.8000 round number and is holding the 0.79885 session low, with rejection at 0.80154 capping the advance.
Support: 0.79885, 0.7951, 0.7925
Resistance: 0.8000, 0.80154
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.8000 reopens the 0.80154 session high
M15 close below 0.79885 opens the path toward 0.79510
SNB rate decision Thu 07:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF ripped off the 0.7925 base into the NY session on the hawkish FOMC dot-plot revision, tagging 0.80154 before sellers capped it at the 0.8000 round figure. Price has since drifted back to 0.7991 and is consolidating just under the barrier, RSI(14) cooling from overbought.
Support: 0.79884, 0.79477
Resistance: 0.8000, 0.80154
What it said to watch
Sustained reclaim above 0.8000 reopens the 0.80154 session high
Loss of 0.79884 swing low signals deeper retrace toward the 0.79477 spike low
SNB rate decision Thu 07:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF rocketed off 0.7925 on the hawkish FOMC dot-plot revision, breaking the day's range and tagging a session high of 0.80154 before being rejected at the 0.8000 round number. Price has since faded to 0.7990 with RSI cooling from overbought; the 0.8000 barrier caps and the 0.7988 session-area support is holding so far.
Support: 0.7988, 0.79253
Resistance: 0.8000, 0.80154
What it said to watch
Sustained close above 0.8000 reopens the 0.80154 session high
Close back below 0.7988 session low signals deeper unwind of the FOMC breakout
SNB rate decision Thu 07:30 UTC could materially shift this read
The hawkish FOMC dot-plot revision drove a vertical USDCHF impulse from the 0.7925 pre-spike base to a session high of 0.80154, before rejection at the 0.8000 psych barrier. Price is retracing toward the 0.797 fib-50 zone with RSI(14) cooling off the spike peak.
Support: 0.7970, 0.7925
Resistance: 0.8000, 0.80154
What it said to watch
SNB rate decision Thu 07:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Reclaim of 0.8000 reopens the session high at 0.80154
Failure to hold 0.797 exposes the pre-spike base at 0.7925
The hawkish FOMC dot-plot revision sparked a sharp USD bid, ripping USD/CHF out of the 0.7920–0.7935 range up to 0.80154 in NY hours. Price has since faded, rejected at the 0.8000 round number and now holding 0.79897; RSI cooling off its post-spike extreme.
Support: 0.79888, 0.79507
Resistance: 0.8000, 0.80154
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 0.79888 opens the deeper retrace toward 0.79507
Reclaim of 0.8000 reopens the path to the 0.80154 session high
SNB rate decision Thu 07:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF rocketed off 0.7925 on the hawkish FOMC dot-plot revision during NY hours, tagging a session high of 0.80154 before the 0.8000 psych level rejected price back to 0.7990. RSI(14) cooling from overbought as the impulse consolidates; 0.7950 breakout shelf is the first reference below.
Support: 0.7988, 0.7950, 0.7935
Resistance: 0.8000, 0.80154
What it said to watch
Sustained loss of 0.7988 then 0.7950 breakout would unwind the FOMC spike
Close above 0.8000 psych reopens the 0.80154 session high
SNB rate decision Thu 07:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USD/CHF rocketed from 0.7925 to 0.80154 on the hawkish FOMC dot-plot revision, then stalled and rejected the 0.8000 round number. Price now consolidating around 0.7997 with RSI(14) cooling off the spike.
Support: 0.7990, 0.7925
Resistance: 0.8000, 0.80154
What it said to watch
Close back below 0.7990 pullback low opens room toward the 0.7925 spike base
Reclaim of the 0.80154 session high needed to extend the breakout
SNB rate decision Thu 07:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Post-FOMC range break, consolidating below 0.8000.
The hawkish FOMC dot-plot revision ripped USD/CHF out of the 0.7925-0.7935 pre-decision range, driving it to a session high of 0.80154 on a volume spike. Price has since been rejected at the 0.8000 barrier and is pulling back to 0.7997, with RSI cooling from overbought.
Support: 0.79939, 0.79704
Resistance: 0.8000, 0.80154
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.79704 fib 50% would unwind much of the FOMC leg
Sustained reclaim of 0.8000 barrier opens the path back to 0.80154
SNB decision Thu 07:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF ripped from 0.7925 to 0.80154 on the hawkish FOMC dot-plot surprise during NY hours, clearing and reclaiming the 0.8000 barrier in a single impulse. Price is now coiling just under 0.8000 with RSI(14) cooling off the highs; the prior 0.792-0.793 range is fully broken.
Support: 0.7988, 0.79477
Resistance: 0.8000, 0.80154
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.79880 would open a deeper retrace of the FOMC leg
Sustained hold above 0.8000 keeps the breakout structure intact
SNB rate decision Thu 07:30 UTC could materially shift this read
The hawkish FOMC dot-plot revision spiked USDCHF off 0.7925 through the 0.7950 EMA to a 0.80154 session high during NY hours. The 0.8000 barrier is capping on the retest, price hovering just below after rejection; RSI has cooled from overbought into the low-60s.
Support: 0.7988, 0.7950, 0.7925
Resistance: 0.8000, 0.80154
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80154 reopens upside through the 0.8000 barrier
Failure to hold the 0.79880 swing low signals retracement of the FOMC spike
SNB rate decision Thu 07:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF was pinned around 0.7920–0.7935 through the Asia/early-NY session before a vertical FOMC reaction — hawkish hold and lifted dot plot — ripped the pair through the 0.8000 barrier to 0.8015. RSI(14) near 79 reflects the impulse; price is now consolidating just above the reclaimed 0.8000 level with ATR badly inflated by the spike bar.
Support: 0.8003, 0.8000, 0.7967
Resistance: 0.8015
What it said to watch
Hold above 0.8000 keeps the breakout retest intact; a close back below reopens the prior 0.7920 range
Close above 0.8015 extends the post-FOMC leg
SNB rate decision Thu 07:30 UTC and US claims/Philly Fed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF ripped from 0.7925 through the 0.8000 barrier on the hawkish Fed hold and strong US retail sales, a level that had repeatedly rejected price earlier. Now consolidating 0.8003-0.8015 just above 0.8000, with RSI(14) hot near 74 and easing.
Support: 0.8000, 0.7967, 0.7950
Resistance: 0.80154
What it said to watch
Hold above 0.8000 keeps the breakout intact; a close back below reopens 0.7967
SNB rate decision Thu 07:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Hawkish Fed hold and a blowout Retail Sales print drove a vertical NY-session break of the 0.8000 barrier, pair spiking from ~0.7925 to a 0.80154 session high. Price now consolidating just above the recaptured 0.8000 level with RSI hot near 72 but ticking lower off the highs.
Support: 0.8000, 0.79507, 0.79253
Resistance: 0.80154
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.8000 would put the breakout back in question
Sustained hold above 0.8000 keeps the path toward 0.80154 open
SNB decision Thu 07:30 UTC and US claims/Philly Fed 12:30 UTC could reset this read
20:15 UTC
Uptrend, fresh breakout · RSI 72 · price 0.80029
Range break to new highs, minor pullback.
USDCHF ripped from 0.7925 to 0.80154 during the NY session as the Fed's hawkish hold and a hot retail sales print fired up the dollar, clearing the 0.8000 barrier that had capped price earlier. RSI(14) near 72 after the run; price now consolidating just above 0.8000 having tagged the session high at 0.80154.
Support: 0.8000, 0.79507, 0.79253
Resistance: 0.80154
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 0.8000 puts the 0.79507 spike low back in focus
SNB rate decision Thu 07:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF ripped through the 0.8000 barrier during NY hours after the Fed's hawkish hold and hot Retail Sales, clearing a multi-day rejection level with a single 80-pip impulse candle. Price has stalled just below the 0.80154 session high with RSI(14) hot near 74; the last three bars are pulling back modestly while 0.8000 holds.
Support: 0.8000, 0.79507, 0.7925
Resistance: 0.80154
What it said to watch
SNB rate decision Thu 07:30 UTC could materially shift this read
A close back below 0.8000 reopens the 0.7950 area and signals the breakout failing
Price coiled in a 0.7915–0.7935 range through the Asia/London hours, then ripped from 0.7925 through the 0.8000 barrier on the hawkish Fed hold and strong US retail sales. NY session is now consolidating just above 0.8000 below the 0.80154 session high, RSI(14) hot near 74.
Support: 0.8000, 0.7988, 0.79507
Resistance: 0.80154
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.8000 reopens the 0.79880 spike base and unwinds the breakout
Close above 0.80154 extends the FOMC leg
SNB rate decision Thu 07:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF spiked out of the 0.7920-0.7935 range on the hawkish FOMC hold, breaking the 0.8000 barrier that had capped earlier this week and printing a session high at 0.8008. RSI(14) is stretched near 84 after the vertical move; the prior 0.8000 barrier now flips to first support.
Support: 0.8000, 0.7950, 0.7925
Resistance: 0.8008
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 0.8000 reopens the 0.7950 mid-spike zone
RSI above 80 signals an over-extended impulse prone to retracement
SNB decision Thu 07:30 UTC and Warsh presser could materially shift this read
NY session ripped vertically off the 0.7925 base through the long-rejected 0.8000 barrier after the hawkish FOMC hold and hot retail sales, printing a session high at 0.8008. RSI(14) is hot near 84 and ATR has expanded sharply, so the move is extended into new territory above 0.8000.
Support: 0.8000, 0.7950, 0.7925
Resistance: 0.8008
What it said to watch
SNB rate decision Thu 07:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Pullback into 0.8000 — area to watch for retest as support
Loss of 0.7950 would unwind the breakout
19:31 UTC
Sharp uptrend, vertical · RSI 81 · price 0.79927
Range break, impulsive leg higher.
USDCHF broke vertically out of the 0.7920–0.7935 NY range after the hawkish FOMC hold and hot US retail sales, ripping to 0.79967 and now pressing the 0.8000 barrier. RSI(14) near 81 is hot and the move is well extended off the 0.79250 breakout base.
Support: 0.7950, 0.7925
Resistance: 0.79967, 0.8000
What it said to watch
Rejection at the 0.8000 barrier would cap the breakout and risk a fade toward 0.79500
SNB rate decision Thu 07:30 UTC and presser 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF exploded off the 0.7925 floor into the NY session after the hawkish FOMC dot-plot shift and hot retail sales, tagging 0.79967 just shy of the 0.8000 barrier. RSI(14) is stretched above 80 and price is well extended from its EMAs after a multi-hour 0.7910–0.7935 range broke decisively.
Support: 0.79507, 0.79253
Resistance: 0.79967, 0.8000
What it said to watch
0.80000 barrier — area to watch for rejection or break
Failure to hold 0.79507 would unwind the breakout impulse
SNB decision Thu 07:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Range break to the upside, now consolidating near highs.
USDCHF exploded out of a tight 0.7925-0.7935 NY range on the hawkish FOMC hold and Retail Sales beat, spiking ~45 pips to 0.7975 before settling near 0.7970. RSI(14) is hot near 78 and price sits well above EMA20/50; the 0.79507 pullback low has held since the breakout.
Support: 0.79507, 0.7925
Resistance: 0.7975, 0.8000
What it said to watch
SNB rate decision Thu 07:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Loss of 0.79507 would mark the first lower-low after the spike
Close above 0.79750 opens the path toward the 0.80000 barrier
USDCHF exploded out of a 24h 0.7925-0.7935 range during NY hours, tagging 0.79750 on the hawkish Fed hold and strong US retail sales. RSI(14) near 78 shows the move is stretched; first pullback held the 0.79477 spike low before reclaiming the highs.
Support: 0.79477, 0.79253, 0.7933
Resistance: 0.7975, 0.8000
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.79477 would fade the breakout back toward the 0.7930 base
0.80000 barrier — area to watch for rejection or break
SNB rate decision Thu 07:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USD/CHF detonated out of a 0.7925–0.7935 range on the hawkish FOMC hold and Retail Sales beat, ripping ~45 pips to print 0.7975 before settling near 0.7970. RSI(14) is hot near 73 after the spike, and price is now consolidating between 0.7948 and the session high.
Support: 0.7948, 0.79253
Resistance: 0.7975
What it said to watch
Hold above 0.7948 keeps the breakout intact; a close back under 0.79253 negates it
SNB decision Thu 07:30 UTC and Warsh presser could materially shift this read
19:01 UTC
Sharp breakout, momentum hot · RSI 76 · price 0.79695
Range break to the upside, new session high.
USDCHF was pinned in a 0.7920-0.7935 range through the Asia and London hours before the hawkish Fed hold and strong US retail sales beat triggered a vertical NY-session breakout, spiking to 0.7975. Price has since cooled to 0.79695 with RSI(14) elevated near 76; the 0.79507 pullback low marks the post-breakout reaction floor.
Support: 0.79507, 0.79253, 0.7920
Resistance: 0.7975, 0.8000
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 0.79507 would signal the breakout is fading back toward the 0.79253 range top
A close above 0.7975 opens the path to the 0.8000 barrier
SNB rate decision Thu 07:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF tore out of the 0.7920–0.7935 NY range with a 44-pip vertical candle to 0.79688 on the hawkish Fed hold and strong US retail sales, now holding ~0.7966. RSI(14) near 73 after the impulse; the spike low at 0.7955 marks the immediate breakout base.
Support: 0.7955, 0.79253
Resistance: 0.79688, 0.8000
What it said to watch
Hold above the 0.7955 spike low keeps the breakout intact
0.8000 barrier above — area to watch for rejection or break
SNB rate decision Thu 07:30 UTC could materially shift this read
18:45 UTC
Sharp breakout, momentum hot · RSI 78 · price 0.79655
Range break above 0.7935, new session high.
USDCHF coiled in a tight 0.7918-0.7935 range through Asia and London before a vertical breakout on the hawkish Fed hold and the 0.9% Retail Sales beat, spiking ~44 pips to a session high at 0.7968. RSI(14) is stretched near 78 post-spike; the prior range top at 0.7935 now flips to first support.
Support: 0.7935, 0.79253
Resistance: 0.7968, 0.8000
What it said to watch
SNB rate decision Thu 07:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Loss of 0.7935 range top would signal the breakout failing
0.8000 psych barrier — area to watch for rejection or break
18:31 UTC
Sharp breakout from range · RSI 80 · price 0.79657
Range broken to upside on Fed spike.
USDCHF coiled in a tight 0.7910-0.7935 range through the session before the FOMC decision spiked the pair ~44 pips to 0.79688 on the single 18:00 UTC bar, snapping the range top. RSI(14) is hot near 80 and price sits well above EMA20/50; the move is fresh and untested.
Support: 0.7933, 0.7925
Resistance: 0.79688, 0.8000
What it said to watch
A pullback that holds the broken range around 0.79330 would confirm the breakout; loss of it reopens the 0.79250 pre-fed low
0.80000 psych barrier is the next upside reference — area to watch for rejection or break
SNB decision 07:30 UTC tomorrow could materially shift this read
USD/CHF spent the day ranging 0.7920-0.7935 then exploded ~40 pips to 0.7969 on the hawkish-hold FOMC bid, breaking clean out of the range. RSI(14) is hot near 78 after a single impulse candle; the prior range top at 0.7935 now flips to first support.
Support: 0.7935, 0.79253
Resistance: 0.79688, 0.8000
What it said to watch
Warsh presser (18:30 UTC) still live — can extend or unwind this spike
A pullback into 0.7935 tests whether the broken range top holds as support
0.8000 barrier overhead — area to watch for rejection or break
USDCHF coiled between 0.7920 and 0.7935 through the NY session, then ripped to 0.79623 on the Fed decision (released now) in a single impulsive bar, RSI(14) into overbought near 79. The prior range top at 0.7930 now sits as support; the 0.8000 barrier that capped the pair earlier in the week is the next overhead level.
Support: 0.7930, 0.79253, 0.79121
Resistance: 0.79623, 0.8000
What it said to watch
Warsh presser (18:30 UTC) is the live volatility driver — could extend or reverse this spike
Failure to hold 0.7930 would negate the range break
SNB decision Thu 07:30 UTC could materially shift this read
0.8000 barrier — area to watch for rejection or break
18:16 UTC
Range broken higher on FOMC spike · RSI 83 · price 0.79617
Range break, single-bar expansion.
Price chopped inside 0.7920–0.7935 through the NY session, then exploded to 0.79623 on the Fed decision, snapping the range top in a single bar; RSI(14) hot above 80. The hawkish-hold USD bid lifted the pair off its one-week low, with 0.79350 now the flipped pivot.
Support: 0.7935, 0.79253, 0.79099
Resistance: 0.79623, 0.8000
What it said to watch
Warsh presser 18:30 UTC could extend or unwind the FOMC spike
SNB decision Thu 07:30 UTC is the next major driver for CHF
Failure to hold 0.79350 reverts price back into the prior range
0.80000 barrier above — area to watch for rejection or break
The Fed decision detonated the closing bar, with USD/CHF spiking ~37 pips off 0.7925 to 0.79617 and breaking the day-long 0.7925-0.7935 consolidation. RSI(14) jumped into the high-70s on the single bar; the spike high at 0.79623 is now the immediate reference. Move reflects USD firming on the hawkish hold after a flat, contained session.
Support: 0.7930, 0.79253, 0.79099
Resistance: 0.79623, 0.8000
What it said to watch
Warsh presser (18:30 UTC) is the bigger vol driver and could extend or unwind this spike
Failure to hold 0.79300 fills the breakout candle and neutralises the move
A push through 0.79623 opens the path to the 0.80000 barrier
18:01 UTC
Range resolved higher on FOMC · RSI 78 · price 0.79617
Intraday range broken to upside.
Price ground inside a tight 0.7910–0.7935 range through the NY session, then ripped to 0.79617 on the Fed decision, breaking the range top decisively. RSI(14) spiked toward 78 on the move; the prior range top at 0.7935 now sits as the first reference below.
Support: 0.7935, 0.7925, 0.79099
Resistance: 0.79623, 0.8000
What it said to watch
Warsh press conference 18:30 UTC is the bigger vol driver and could reverse this spike
Failure to hold above 0.7935 voids the breakout and returns price into the range
0.8000 barrier above — area to watch for rejection or break
17:46 UTC
Recovered off lows, consolidating · RSI 55 · price 0.79323
Higher lows into session-high cap.
USD/CHF recovered from the 0.79099 London low to grind back under the 0.79354 session high, with the spike to 0.79397 rejected and price coiling tightly into the FOMC decision. RSI(14) is mid-range near 55 and the pair sits just above both EMAs in pre-FOMC limbo.
Support: 0.79289, 0.79219, 0.79099
Resistance: 0.79354, 0.79397
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC (~15min) likely to break this 0.79289-0.79354 consolidation
Close above 0.79354 session high opens 0.79397 spike high
Loss of 0.79289 range low exposes the 0.79219 swing low
Consolidating near session highs after V-recovery.
USDCHF recovered from the 0.79099 session low and is consolidating tight between 0.7929 and 0.79354 into the NY session, RSI(14) mid-range near 56. The 0.79397 spike high capped the rally; price is coiling just under session highs.
Support: 0.7929, 0.79219, 0.79099
Resistance: 0.79354, 0.79397, 0.8000
What it said to watch
Fed decision + dot plot at 18:00 UTC and Warsh presser 18:30 UTC will materially shift this read
M15 close above 0.79397 opens the path back toward the 0.8000 barrier
USDCHF recovered off the session low at 0.7910 through NY hours and is now consolidating just below 0.7940, RSI(14) near 56. The pair was rejected at 0.8000 earlier this week; price is holding higher lows but capped under the session high into the Fed decision.
Support: 0.7920, 0.7910
Resistance: 0.7935, 0.7940
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC and Warsh presser 18:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 0.7940 opens room back toward 0.7950
Failure to hold 0.7920 reopens the 0.7910 session low
USDCHF sank to 0.79099 mid-window then recovered through the London-NY session to consolidate near 0.7933, capped by the 0.79397 session high. RSI(14) mid-range with momentum flattening into the Fed decision. FOMC + dot plot at 18:00 UTC lands in roughly 30 minutes.
Support: 0.7920, 0.79099
Resistance: 0.79397, 0.79354
What it said to watch
FOMC decision/dots at 18:00 UTC then Warsh presser 18:30 UTC will override this intraday read
Close above 0.79397 extends the recovery toward 0.7950
Failure to hold 0.79200 reopens the 0.79099 session low
Consolidating near session highs after V-recovery.
USDCHF carved a session low at 0.79099 during London hours then ground back up through NY, spiking to 0.79397 before settling into a tight 0.7929-0.7934 consolidation. Price holds above EMA20/50 with RSI near 57, but the pair sits flat into the FOMC decision (18:00 UTC) — the dominant near-term driver.
Support: 0.7929, 0.79121, 0.79099
Resistance: 0.79344, 0.79397
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC and Warsh presser will materially shift this read
M15 close above 0.79397 reopens the path toward the 0.7950 area
Loss of 0.7929 consolidation base exposes 0.79121 session low
17:15 UTC
Choppy recovery, stalling at range top · RSI 56 · price 0.79327
Intraday range, higher lows into session high.
USDCHF dipped to 0.7910 around the London-NY transition then recovered to 0.7933, now coiling at the top of the intraday range into the FOMC decision. Buyers stepped in on higher lows off 0.79099, but price is capped at the 0.79340 range top with a brief 0.79397 spike rejected.
Support: 0.7929, 0.7922, 0.79099
Resistance: 0.7934, 0.79397
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC plus Warsh presser at 18:30 UTC will dominate the next bars
M15 close above 0.79340 opens the path to the 0.79397 spike high
Failure to hold 0.79290 reopens the 0.79220 swing low
USDCHF carved a double bottom near 0.7910 mid-window and recovered through NY hours back to the 0.7934 range top, with a spike to 0.79397 rejected. Price now coils just under that cap, RSI cooling from the recovery push, into the FOMC decision.
Support: 0.7920, 0.79099
Resistance: 0.7934, 0.79397
What it said to watch
FOMC at 18:00 UTC (~1h) could materially shift this read
Close above 0.79397 opens the path higher
Failure to hold 0.79200 reopens the 0.7910 session low
USDCHF bottomed at 0.79099 mid-window and ground back into a 0.7929-0.7934 range through NY hours, with a wick to 0.79397 quickly rejected. Price now coiling just under 0.79344, RSI mid-range, sitting above EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 0.7929, 0.79219, 0.79099
Resistance: 0.79344, 0.79397
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC (~1h) and Warsh presser at 18:30 will likely override this read
M15 close above 0.79397 extends the recovery leg
Loss of 0.7929 reopens 0.79219 and the 0.79099 session low
16:46 UTC
Range, recovered off lows · RSI 56 · price 0.79326
Intraday range, choppy.
USDCHF spent the NY session recovering off the 0.79120 session low, then swept the 0.79397 spike high before rejecting back to 0.7932. RSI(14) is neutral near 56 and price holds above EMA20/50 inside the 0.7912-0.7940 range, with FOMC the dominant near-term driver.
Support: 0.7929, 0.7922, 0.7912
Resistance: 0.79343, 0.7940
What it said to watch
FOMC at 18:00 UTC (~1h out) plus Warsh presser will likely override this intraday structure
M15 close above 0.79400 spike high extends the recovery
Loss of 0.79290 pivot reopens the 0.79220 swing low
16:45 UTC
Recovery off session low, flat into FOMC · RSI 56 · price 0.79326
Consolidating below session high.
USDCHF recovered from the 0.79099 session low and spiked to 0.79397 during NY before that high was rejected back to 0.79306. Price now sits coiled around 0.79320 holding above EMA20/50 as traders sit on hands ahead of the FOMC decision.
Support: 0.7928, 0.79099
Resistance: 0.79343, 0.79397
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC (~75min) will likely break this consolidation
M15 close above 0.79397 reopens the path toward 0.79500
Higher lows since London trough, capped under 0.7940.
USDCHF carved a London low near 0.7910 and recovered through NY to 0.7933, building a chain of higher lows. A spike to 0.79397 was rejected and price slid back, leaving the pair coiled just under 0.7934 with RSI flattening near 56. Pre-FOMC drift dominates after strong US Retail Sales failed to lift the dollar.
Support: 0.79219, 0.79099
Resistance: 0.7934, 0.79397
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC + Warsh presser 18:30 UTC could materially shift this read within the next bars
M15 close above 0.79397 confirms a break of the session high
Loss of 0.79219 breaks the higher-low chain and reopens the 0.7910 day low
USDCHF recovered through the NY session from the 0.7910 session low, printing higher lows back to 0.7933 as the dollar's safe-haven bid eased. Price is now consolidating just under the 0.7940 spike high; RSI(14) mid-range with no extreme.
Support: 0.7929, 0.7922, 0.79099
Resistance: 0.7934, 0.79397
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC plus Warsh presser could materially shift this read in the next bars
Close above 0.79397 extends the recovery; loss of 0.79220 reopens the session low at 0.79099
V-recovery off 0.7910, consolidating below 0.7940.
USDCHF carved a session low at 0.7910 during the London-NY transition and recovered into 0.7930, with a spike to 0.79397 rejected back inside the range. Now consolidating, RSI(14) mid-range, with FOMC at 18:00 UTC the dominant near-term risk.
Support: 0.7920, 0.7910
Resistance: 0.7940, 0.7950
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 0.7940 opens the path back toward the 0.7950 area
USDCHF carved a low at 0.79099 then recovered through the NY session, with a spike to 0.79397 rejected back into the 0.7910-0.7940 range. Price now mid-range near 0.7930, RSI(14) neutral around 54 as traders sit pre-FOMC.
Support: 0.79219, 0.79099
Resistance: 0.79397, 0.79338
What it said to watch
FOMC decision in ~2h (18:00 UTC) can materially shift this read
M15 close above 0.79397 breaks the range top
Loss of 0.79219 reopens the session low at 0.79099
16:01 UTC
Recovery off lows, ranging · RSI 55 · price 0.7930
Range with rising lows into NY session.
USDCHF clawed back from the 0.7910 session low through the NY session to consolidate near 0.7930, RSI(14) mid-range. Recovery holds a chain of rising lows but the 0.79397 session high capped the latest push, leaving price boxed between 0.7910 and 0.7940.
Support: 0.79219, 0.79099
Resistance: 0.79397, 0.8000
What it said to watch
FOMC at 18:00 UTC (~2h) could materially shift this read
M15 close above 0.79397 reopens the path toward the 0.8000 barrier
Loss of 0.79219 rising-low support exposes the 0.7910 session low again
16:01 UTC
Recovered off lows, now flat · RSI 55 · price 0.7930
Consolidating below session high.
NY session bounced off the 0.7910 session low and recovered into a 0.7920–0.7940 range as the US-Iran de-escalation kept a lid on the dollar. A spike to 0.79397 was rejected and price has settled back near 0.7930; no setup in play ahead of the Fed.
Support: 0.79215, 0.79099
Resistance: 0.79344, 0.79397
What it said to watch
FOMC at 18:00 UTC (~2h) could materially shift this read
M15 close above 0.79397 breaks the session high
Failure to hold 0.79215 reopens the 0.7910 session low
Higher lows since 0.79099, capped at session high.
USDCHF clawed back through the NY session off the 0.79099 low to print a session high spike at 0.79397, which was promptly rejected back to 0.7933. Price now sits mid-range on a chain of higher lows, with FOMC the imminent driver after a USD-soft, safe-haven-fade backdrop into the print.
Support: 0.79219, 0.79099
Resistance: 0.79397, 0.8000
What it said to watch
FOMC at 18:00 UTC (~2h) could materially shift this read
Reclaim and hold above 0.79397 opens the path back toward the 0.8000 barrier
Loss of 0.79219 breaks the higher-low chain and reopens 0.79099
USDCHF recovered off the 0.79099 session low through the NY session, building higher lows toward 0.7934 with a spike to 0.79397 rejected. RSI(14) near 58, no extreme. FOMC at 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term risk and can override this intraday structure.
Support: 0.7925, 0.7919, 0.79099
Resistance: 0.7934, 0.79397
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 0.79397 extends the recovery; failure to hold 0.79250 reopens 0.79190
USDCHF has clawed back from the session low at 0.7910 to the 0.7930s as the dollar sits soft pre-FOMC. A spike to 0.79397 was rejected and price slipped back to 0.79316; still capped under the session high, range top intact.
Support: 0.7922, 0.7910
Resistance: 0.79397, 0.7934
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC plus Warsh presser could materially shift this read
M15 close above 0.79397 opens the path back toward 0.7950
Failure to hold 0.79220 reopens the 0.7910 range low
USDCHF clawed back a second-day slide off the 0.79100 session low as the dollar's safe-haven premium eroded pre-FOMC. NY hours spiked to 0.79397 and were rejected, pulling back to 0.79316 with RSI(14) mid-range; rising lows intact above 0.79220.
Support: 0.7922, 0.7910
Resistance: 0.79397, 0.7934
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC plus Warsh presser could materially shift this read within the next bars
M15 close above 0.79397 reopens the path toward 0.79400+
Failure to hold 0.79220 confirms a lower-low back toward the 0.79100 session low
15:16 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 58 · price 0.79315
Rising lows since low, rejected at session high.
USDCHF recovered through the NY session off the 0.79099 session low, spiking to 0.79397 before being rejected back to 0.7931, RSI(14) cooling from the move. Dollar stays soft pre-FOMC after the US-Iran de-escalation sapped safe-haven demand; rising lows hold the near-term bid.
Support: 0.7920, 0.79099
Resistance: 0.79397, 0.7940
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC (~3h out) can override this intraday read
M15 close above 0.79397 reopens the path toward 0.7940
Loss of 0.7920 breaks the rising-low chain back toward 0.79099
USDCHF spiked to a session high of 0.79397 on the last bar then closed back at 0.79306 — rejection at the highs after a second-day slide on fading US-Iran safe-haven flow. Buyers stepped in near 0.79100 twice through the London-NY transition, building higher lows back toward the 0.79340 swing.
Support: 0.7922, 0.79099
Resistance: 0.7934, 0.79397
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC plus Warsh presser could materially shift this read
M15 close above 0.79397 invalidates the rejection and reopens the session high
Failure to hold 0.79220 reopens the 0.79100 session low
USDCHF carved a double bottom near 0.7910 during London hours and recovered to ~0.7932 as the dollar stayed soft pre-FOMC. A spike to 0.79397 was rejected and price has settled mid-range; RSI(14) neutral around 56.
Support: 0.7922, 0.7910
Resistance: 0.79397, 0.79335
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC (~3h) could materially shift this read
M15 close above 0.79397 extends the recovery toward 0.7950
Failure to hold 0.79220 reopens the 0.79100 session low
USDCHF drifted lower through London to a session low at 0.79100 as the US-Iran de-escalation kept the safe-haven franc firm, then NY hours recovered the pair to 0.793. A spike to 0.79397 was rejected back to 0.79306, leaving price mid-range with RSI near neutral.
Support: 0.7925, 0.7910
Resistance: 0.79335, 0.79397
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79397 invalidates the range-high rejection
Failure to hold 0.79250 reopens the 0.79100 session low
FOMC at 18:00 UTC (~3h) could materially shift this read
14:46 UTC
Recovering off session low, now flat · RSI 52 · price 0.79288
Range after rebound, mid-range.
USDCHF rebounded off the session low at 0.79099 to tag the session high at 0.79336, now consolidating mid-range near 0.79288 with RSI(14) neutral. USD safe-haven bid stays soft after the 0.8000 rejection; price is coiling into the FOMC.
Support: 0.7922, 0.79099
Resistance: 0.79336, 0.7940
What it said to watch
Close above 0.79336 (session high) opens the path to the 0.79400 day high
Close below 0.79220 (swing low) reopens the 0.79099 session low
FOMC at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF based at 0.7910 mid-window and recovered into a 0.7920-0.7934 range, RSI(14) neutral near 54. Dollar is heavy as US-Iran de-escalation saps safe-haven flow, with price pinned ahead of the FOMC decision.
Support: 0.7922, 0.79099
Resistance: 0.79336, 0.79409
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC + Warsh presser 18:30 UTC will dominate the next bars
M15 close above 0.79336 reopens the path to 0.79409
Loss of 0.79220 puts the 0.7910 session low back in play
Recovered off session low, ranging below swing high.
USDCHF leaked to a session low at 0.7910 during NY hours then recovered, now consolidating 0.7925–0.7933 with RSI(14) back near neutral. The pair stays capped under the 0.7933 swing high as the broader USD-driven slide pauses ahead of the Fed.
Support: 0.7920, 0.7910
Resistance: 0.7933, 0.7946
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC + Warsh presser in ~3.5h can materially shift this read
Close above 0.7933 opens the path back toward the 0.7946 prior high
Failure to hold 0.7920 support reopens the 0.7910 session low
USDCHF sold off through London to a session low at 0.79099, then recovered through NY to 0.79335 and is now consolidating around 0.79290 above EMA20/50. Pair remains pinned below the 0.7920-0.7930 area cited as the broader rejection zone after the 0.8000 cap. FOMC decision and dot plot at 18:00 UTC sit just ahead.
Support: 0.7922, 0.7910
Resistance: 0.79335, 0.7946
What it said to watch
FOMC + dot plot at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close below 0.79220 reopens the 0.79100 session low
Close above 0.79335 needed to extend the recovery toward 0.79460
14:15 UTC
Downtrend earlier, now consolidating · RSI 49 · price 0.79255
Range after session low rebound.
USD/CHF drifted lower through London to a session low at 0.79121 as the US-Iran de-escalation kept the dollar's safe-haven bid soft, then rebounded to 0.79335 before settling back near 0.7925. Now ranging 0.7920–0.7935 with RSI(14) flat near 49.
Support: 0.7920, 0.79121
Resistance: 0.79335, 0.79447
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC plus Warsh presser could materially shift this read
USDCHF chopping around 0.7925 after the second-day slide bottomed near 0.7910, where buyers stepped in twice to form a double-bottom base. Price has reclaimed the 0.7920s but stalls under the 0.79335 swing high, leaving the read range-bound into the FOMC.
Support: 0.7919, 0.7910
Resistance: 0.79335, 0.79445
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 0.79335 swing high reopens 0.7945
Loss of 0.79100 session low confirms a fresh lower low
14:01 UTC
Ranging, no clear direction · RSI 49 · price 0.79255
Intraday range, mid-band.
USDCHF coiling around 0.7925 through the NY session, holding inside a 0.7910–0.7935 range after rejection at the 0.8000 barrier earlier in the week. Price bounced off the 0.79099 session low and stalled at 0.79335, RSI hovering near neutral with traders sidelined ahead of the FOMC.
Support: 0.79186, 0.79099
Resistance: 0.79335, 0.79463
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC (~4h out) can break this range either way
Close above 0.79335 opens the path back toward 0.7946
USDCHF leaked lower through the London session to a 0.79100 session low, twice holding there before NY bought it back to 0.79335 — a soft USD into the Fed. Price now chops around 0.7925, RSI neutral near 48, caught inside the 0.79100-0.79335 range.
Support: 0.7920, 0.7910
Resistance: 0.79335, 0.79447
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC and Warsh presser 18:30 UTC will likely break this range
M15 close below 0.79100 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 0.79335 opens the path back toward 0.79447
Session low set, higher lows building into a range.
USDCHF carved a session low at 0.7910 during London hours, then ground back up through the NY morning to range between 0.7920 and 0.7935. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 55 and price is back above both EMAs, but the FOMC decision in roughly 4h keeps moves contained.
Support: 0.7920, 0.79099
Resistance: 0.7935, 0.7947
What it said to watch
FOMC at 18:00 UTC (~4h) can override this intraday read
Close above 0.7935 session high opens the path back toward 0.7947
USDCHF carved a session low at 0.7910 during London as the US-Iran safe-haven unwind pressured the dollar, then recovered to 0.7933 and is now consolidating near 0.7929 — roughly the 50% retrace of the 0.7949–0.7910 leg. RSI(14) neutral around 52, ATR a thin ~5 pips with traders sidelined into the Fed.
Support: 0.7922, 0.7910, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.79335, 0.7940
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC and Warsh presser 18:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 0.79335 reopens the 0.79400 area
Loss of 0.79100 confirms a fresh session low toward 0.7900
13:31 UTC
Downtrend stalling into range · RSI 47 · price 0.79258
Consolidation above session low.
USDCHF slid off the early 0.7955 high to a session low at 0.7910 as the US-Iran safe-haven unwind kept the dollar pinned after rejection at the 0.8000 barrier. Price has since chopped back to 0.7926, ranging roughly 0.7910–0.7935 with RSI(14) flat near 46.
Support: 0.7919, 0.7910
Resistance: 0.79335, 0.7943
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7910 confirms a lower low
Close above 0.7935 breaks the range top
FOMC + dot plot at 18:00 UTC and US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
13:31 UTC
Downtrend stalling, ranging near base · RSI 49 · price 0.79258
Consolidation above 0.7910 base after NY bounce.
USD/CHF carved a base near 0.7910 through London as the Iran-peace safe-haven unwind weighed, then bounced to a session high of 0.7933 in NY before drifting back to mid-range near 0.7926. RSI sits neutral around 49 and price is pinned in a tight 0.7921–0.7933 band ahead of the FOMC.
Support: 0.7921, 0.7910
Resistance: 0.79335, 0.7943
What it said to watch
FOMC decision + dot plot at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF bottomed at 0.79100 during the NY session and recovered to 0.79335 before fading back to 0.79237, leaving price pinned between EMA20 and EMA50. Two-day slide reflects the US-Iran peace safe-haven unwind capping the dollar after rejection at 0.8000; traders are sidelined ahead of FOMC.
Support: 0.7910, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.79335, 0.7949
What it said to watch
FOMC decision + dot plot at 18:00 UTC, Warsh presser 18:30 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 0.79335 swing high reopens upside toward 0.79490
Loss of 0.79100 session low confirms continuation lower toward 0.79000
13:15 UTC
Down then ranging, momentum flat · RSI 46 · price 0.79237
Consolidation after bounce off 0.7910.
USD/CHF slid through the European hours to a session low at 0.7910 as the US-Iran safe-haven unwind kept the dollar pinned, then recovered to 0.79335 before fading back to 0.7924. Price is now chopping mid-range, hugging the EMAs ahead of the FOMC.
Support: 0.7910, 0.7919
Resistance: 0.79335, 0.7949
What it said to watch
FOMC decision + dot plot at 18:00 UTC (~5h) could materially shift this read
Close above 0.79335 reopens the path toward 0.79490
Failure to hold 0.79100 confirms a lower-low
13:01 UTC
Downtrend, paused into FOMC · RSI 46 · price 0.79237
Session low recovered, now ranging mid.
USD/CHF leaked lower through London to a session low of 0.79099 as the US-Iran peace unwind sapped the USD haven bid, then recovered to 0.79335 in NY hours. Price has since drifted back to 0.79237 and is ranging, RSI(14) neutral near 46.
Support: 0.7919, 0.79099, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.79335, 0.79447
What it said to watch
FOMC decision + dot plot at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 0.79335 reopens the session high
Loss of 0.79099 confirms a lower-low and reopens 0.7900
USDCHF slid to a London session low at 0.79099 then bounced to 0.79335 before fading back to 0.79237, sitting on the EMA20 mid-range. Move tracks the safe-haven USD unwind into the Fed; price is now coiling sub-0.7935 with RSI(14) neutral near 46.
Support: 0.79099, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.79335
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79335 reopens the 0.7950 area
Loss of 0.79099 confirms a fresh lower low toward 0.7900
FOMC at 18:00 UTC plus SNB tomorrow can override this intraday read
USDCHF carved a double bottom near 0.7910 through the London-NY transition and has recovered toward 0.7930, with USD soft into FOMC. RSI(14) mid-50s, no extreme; price holding above EMA20 after reclaiming the 0.7920 swing low.
Support: 0.7920, 0.7910
Resistance: 0.7935, 0.7957
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 0.7935 swing high extends the recovery toward 0.7957
Loss of 0.7910 session low reopens the downside
12:46 UTC
Intraday recovery off lows · RSI 56 · price 0.7929
Higher lows since 0.7910 base.
USD/CHF carved a base around 0.7910 through the NY session and recovered to 0.79335 before easing back to 0.7929, with broad USD softness into the Fed underpinning the bounce. Higher lows intact; session high at 0.79335 is the immediate cap.
Support: 0.7919, 0.79099, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.79335, 0.7950
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.79190 reopens the 0.79099 session low
Reclaim of 0.79335 extends the recovery toward 0.7950
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC could materially reset this read
USDCHF carved a session low at 0.79100 during NY hours, double-tapped near 0.79120, then bounced ~25 pips to a recent high at 0.79335 as the US-Iran haven unwind kept the dollar soft. Price now consolidating near 0.79300, holding above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) recovering to mid-range ahead of US Retail Sales and the FOMC.
Support: 0.7910, 0.7919
Resistance: 0.79335, 0.7943
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 0.79335 recent high opens the path back toward the 0.79430 prior high
Failure to hold the 0.79100 session low confirms a lower-low
12:31 UTC
Intraday recovery off day low, momentum modest · RSI 56 · price 0.79297
Higher lows building after a downtrend bottomed near 0.7910.
USDCHF bottomed near 0.7910 and ground back to 0.79335 through the London-NY transition, holding a chain of higher lows as the US-Iran haven unwind keeps the franc broadly firm. Price now hovers at 0.79297 below the session high; RSI near 56, no extreme. Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) and the FOMC dots (18:00 UTC) are the dominant catalysts ahead.
Support: 0.7920, 0.79099, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.79335, 0.7955
What it said to watch
Close above 0.79335 extends the recovery toward 0.79550
Loss of 0.79200 re-exposes the 0.79099 day low
FOMC at 18:00 UTC will override this intraday read
USDCHF sold off through London to a 0.79099 session low, then the NY session recovered to 0.79335 before stalling, leaving price at 0.79279 with USD soft pre-FOMC. A double bottom near 0.7910 and a string of higher lows are holding; RSI(14) back near mid-range as the bounce cools.
Support: 0.7919, 0.79099
Resistance: 0.79335, 0.79575
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79335 extends the recovery toward 0.79575
Failure to hold 0.79190 reopens the 0.79099 session low
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC can override this read
12:16 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 61 · price 0.79279
Session low swept, micro higher-lows building.
USDCHF sold off through London to a 0.79099 session low — its second tag near 0.79100 — before buyers stepped in and lifted price to 0.79335 into early NY, RSI(14) recovering to ~60. Pair is holding above EMA20/50 after rejecting the 0.8000 barrier, with broad USD softness from US-Iran de-escalation behind the slide.
Support: 0.79099, 0.79139
Resistance: 0.79335, 0.79431
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could jolt this range within minutes
FOMC 18:00 UTC is the dominant risk and can invalidate any intraday read
USDCHF based at the 0.79099 session low through the London session and is grinding higher, tagging a swing high at 0.79335 before easing to 0.79279 — consistent with the soft-USD digest as the US-Iran deal drains haven demand. RSI(14) mid-range near 55, ATR thin around 7 pips ahead of US Retail Sales and the Fed.
Support: 0.7920, 0.79099
Resistance: 0.79335, 0.7949
What it said to watch
Close above 0.79335 opens the path to 0.79490
Failure to hold 0.79200 reopens the 0.79099 session low
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
12:01 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 54 · price 0.79279
Double bottom at 0.7910, higher highs into noon.
USDCHF based twice at the 0.7910 session low through the London session and recovered to 0.79335, where the last bar saw rejection and a fade to 0.79279. Pre-FOMC limbo keeping moves contained; US Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) is the next near-term catalyst.
Support: 0.7910, 0.7919
Resistance: 0.79335, 0.7949
What it said to watch
Close above 0.79335 swing high extends the recovery toward 0.79490
Close below 0.79100 session low confirms a lower-low and reopens downside
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC then FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF leaked lower through London to a session low at 0.7910, where buyers stepped in twice to form a double bottom, then recovered to 0.7929. The franc has stayed firm with US-Iran peace optimism draining the dollar's haven bid; RSI back near 59 as the bounce extends toward the 0.79338 swing high.
Support: 0.7919, 0.79099
Resistance: 0.79338, 0.7949
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.79338 opens the path back toward 0.79490
Loss of 0.79099 confirms a fresh lower-low and ends the recovery
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs into 0.7910 base, short-term recovery underway.
USD/CHF slid through the window to a 0.7910 session low as US-Iran peace optimism drained the dollar's safe-haven bid, then carved a double bottom and recovered to 0.7929, reclaiming EMA20/50. RSI(14) near 60, room before overbought; price now testing the 0.79330 prior pivot.
Support: 0.7919, 0.7910
Resistance: 0.7933, 0.7943
What it said to watch
Close above 0.79330 opens the path back toward 0.79430
Loss of 0.79190 re-exposes the 0.79100 session low
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
11:31 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 56 · price 0.79259
Session low printed, higher-lows forming.
USD/CHF bottomed at 0.79100 in late London and recovered toward 0.79280 into early NY as the dollar stayed soft on US-Iran de-escalation. Buyers held near the 0.79123 swing low and price is now testing the 0.382 retracement of the 0.79575–0.79100 drop, RSI(14) lifting off the low.
Support: 0.79123, 0.7910
Resistance: 0.7928, 0.7933
What it said to watch
Close above 0.79280 recent high opens 0.79330 swing high
Failure to hold 0.79100 session low confirms continuation lower
Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
11:30 UTC
Downtrend, recovering into NY · RSI 56 · price 0.79259
Lower lows then bounce off session low.
USDCHF ground lower through the window to a session low at 0.79099 before buyers stepped in twice, lifting price back to 0.79278 in the NY session as US-Iran de-escalation kept the safe-haven dollar offered. RSI(14) near 56 with price now back above both EMAs; recovery still capped below the 0.79330 prior swing.
Support: 0.7919, 0.79099
Resistance: 0.79278, 0.7933
What it said to watch
FOMC at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 0.79330 negates the lower-high structure
Failure to hold 0.79099 confirms a fresh lower low
11:16 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 51 · price 0.79224
Lower highs into 0.79099 base, now consolidating.
USDCHF extended a second leg lower into 0.79099 during London hours as US-Iran peace optimism drained USD haven demand, then recovered to consolidate near 0.79224. RSI(14) back near 50 off the low; price chopping between 0.79190 and the 0.79248 recent high.
Support: 0.7910, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.79248, 0.7933
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC and the Fed decision at 18:00 UTC can override this intraday read
M15 close above 0.79248 breaks the consolidation and exposes 0.79330
USDCHF sold off through the Asia/London window from 0.7955 to a 0.7910 base, with US-Iran haven unwind keeping the dollar soft into the Fed. NY session has stabilised in a 0.7910–0.7925 band, RSI(14) back to neutral at 51 after the late-London bounce off 0.7910. Double tap of 0.7910 held; recent high 0.79248 caps for now.
Support: 0.79099, 0.79121, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.79248, 0.79331, 0.79473
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79331 invalidates the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.79099 confirms a fresh lower low toward 0.7900
Fed decision 18:00 UTC and Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
11:01 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising near lows · RSI 51 · price 0.79224
Lower highs into 0.7910 base, basing.
USDCHF leaked lower through the London open to a 0.79099 session low — a second day of losses as the US-Iran peace optimism drains the dollar's haven bid after the 0.8000 rejection. Price has since recovered toward 0.79250 with RSI back near neutral; the basing above 0.7910 is holding ahead of US Retail Sales and the FOMC.
Support: 0.79099, 0.79186
Resistance: 0.7925, 0.7933
What it said to watch
Close below 0.79099 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.79330 would neutralise the intraday downtrend
FOMC at 18:00 UTC and US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC can materially shift this read
11:01 UTC
Downtrend, basing near lows · RSI 49 · price 0.79224
Lower highs into 0.7910 base, consolidating.
USDCHF slid through London toward a 0.79099 base as a softer dollar (US-Iran peace optimism, pre-FOMC caution) kept the pair pressured after the 0.8000 rejection. Price has stabilised, twice holding the 0.7910 zone and bouncing to 0.79224, RSI back to neutral near 49.
Support: 0.79099, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.79248, 0.7933, 0.79575
What it said to watch
FOMC at 18:00 UTC is the dominant risk and could materially shift this read
M15 close below 0.79099 extends the downtrend
Reclaim of 0.79330 breaks the lower-high sequence
10:46 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off base · RSI 51 · price 0.79213
Lower highs into 0.7910 base, mild recovery.
USD/CHF leaked lower through London hours toward the 0.7910 session low as easing US-Iran tensions drained the dollar's haven bid. Buyers stepped in twice around 0.7910 and price has reclaimed toward 0.7920, retracing ~80% of the down leg into the 0.7924 swing high.
Support: 0.79099, 0.79121
Resistance: 0.79243, 0.7929, 0.79338
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79243 swing high opens the path to 0.7929
Loss of 0.79099 session low confirms a fresh lower-low
FOMC at 18:00 UTC and Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC can materially shift this read
USD/CHF ground down to a 0.79099 session low as easing US-Iran tensions drained the dollar's haven bid, then recovered to 0.79213 into the European morning. Price is back above EMA20 but capped under the descending highs at 0.79243; FOMC at 18:00 UTC is the swing factor.
Support: 0.79099, 0.79121
Resistance: 0.79243, 0.7932
What it said to watch
Close below 0.79099 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 0.79243 needed to break the descending highs
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF ground lower through the London-NY hours, marking a session low at 0.79099 as a softer USD bled out safe-haven premium on US-Iran peace optimism. Price has since based between 0.7912 and 0.7920, RSI(14) recovering off mid-30s; the 0.79243 swing caps the bounce.
Support: 0.79099, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.79243
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79243 negates the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.79099 confirms continuation toward 0.7900
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could reshape this read
USDCHF ground lower through the session to a 0.79099 low as the US-Iran peace optimism kept the safe-haven dollar offered into the Fed. Price has since stabilised near 0.7916 with a twin base around 0.7910; the 0.79224 bounce high caps for now.
Support: 0.79099, 0.79145
Resistance: 0.79224, 0.7929
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.79099 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.79290 prior base would neutralise the downtrend read
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
10:16 UTC
Downtrend, bounce fading · RSI 45 · price 0.79158
Lower highs, lower lows; rebound capped.
USDCHF ground lower through the London-NY session toward 0.79099 as USD softened pre-FOMC, then bounced to 0.79224 before fading back to 0.79158. Price sits below EMA20/50 with the rebound capped under 0.79224.
Support: 0.79099, 0.79121
Resistance: 0.79224, 0.7928
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79224 invalidates the lower-high read
Loss of 0.79099 confirms continuation lower
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC can shift this read sharply
USDCHF ground lower through London, sweeping the session low at 0.79099 twice before bouncing to 0.79224 as the dollar stayed soft on US-Iran de-escalation. Price now consolidates near 0.7916 below EMA20, RSI(14) recovering off the mid-40s after the dip.
Support: 0.79099, 0.7906
Resistance: 0.79224, 0.7930
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79224 invalidates the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.79099 confirms continuation toward 0.7906
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Second day of USDCHF slide stalled at 0.79099 during London hours, price chopping 0.79100-0.79224 below EMA20/50 as US-Iran haven unwind weighs on the dollar. RSI(14) near 43, no clean impulse either way into the FOMC.
Support: 0.79099, 0.79121
Resistance: 0.79224, 0.7932
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.79099 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 0.79224 neutralises the downtrend read
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC can materially shift this read
10:01 UTC
Downtrend, slowing near lows · RSI 44 · price 0.79158
USDCHF ground lower through the London session to a 0.79099 session low as the easing US-Iran haven bid kept the dollar soft, then bounced to 0.79224 before stalling near 0.7916. Price is consolidating just above the session low, RSI(14) recovering off oversold but still sub-50.
Support: 0.79099, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.79224, 0.7929
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.79099 confirms a fresh lower-low and opens 0.7900
Reclaim of 0.79224 swing high would break the descending sequence
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
09:45 UTC
Downtrend, grinding lower · RSI 41 · price 0.7914
Lower highs and lower lows, hugging session low.
USDCHF drifted lower through the European session toward the 0.7910 session low as easing US-Iran tensions sap the dollar's haven bid; RSI(14) mid-range near 41, price pinned below EMA20/50. A shallow bounce to 0.79224 was sold back, leaving 0.7900 as the next level to watch into the Fed.
Support: 0.79099, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.79224, 0.7929
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.79099 confirms continuation toward the 0.7900 psych level
M15 close back above 0.79290 would break the lower-high sequence
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF ground lower through the window, printing a session low at 0.7910 as US-Iran peace optimism keeps the dollar soft against the franc. Price is below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 43; the bounce off 0.7910 stalled at 0.7924 and is fading back toward the low.
Support: 0.7910, 0.7890
Resistance: 0.7920, 0.7924
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7910 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 0.7924 needed to challenge the descending highs
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC can override the intraday read
Lower highs into 0.7910 support, brief bounce stalling.
USDCHF extended a steady London-session slide to a session low of 0.79099 before a shallow bounce to 0.79224 that has already faded back to 0.7917, capped by the broad USD softness on US-Iran peace optimism. Price holds below EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) in the mid-40s — momentum is down but not stretched.
Support: 0.79099, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.79224, 0.7929
What it said to watch
Close below 0.79099 opens the path toward 0.7900
Reclaim of 0.79224 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
09:31 UTC
Downtrend, second day of losses · RSI 43 · price 0.79166
Lower highs, lower lows into session low.
USDCHF extended its slide through the London session, printing a session low at 0.79099 before a quick bounce to 0.79224 faded — price now drifts back near 0.79166, below EMA20/50. Move tracks the broad USD softening on US-Iran peace optimism noted in the digest; momentum is down but not stretched, RSI mid-40s.
Support: 0.79099, 0.79121
Resistance: 0.79224, 0.7933
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.79224 would break the lower-high chain
Loss of 0.79099 confirms continuation of the session downtrend
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs and lower lows, recent bounce from 0.7910.
USD/CHF extended a second day of losses toward 0.7910 as US-Iran peace optimism sapped dollar safe-haven demand. Price swept the session low at 0.79099 and bounced back to 0.79193, but the lower-high chain into NY keeps the bias structurally heavy.
Support: 0.79099, 0.79121
Resistance: 0.79224, 0.79323
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.79224 would break the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.79099 confirms a fresh lower-low
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs, lower lows; recent bounce off session low.
USD/CHF extended a second day of losses toward a session low of 0.79099 as easing US-Iran tensions sapped dollar haven demand, before a thin bounce to 0.79243 faded back to 0.79190. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI mid-40s; the bounce is stalling under 0.79243.
Support: 0.79099, 0.79121
Resistance: 0.79243, 0.7932
What it said to watch
Close below 0.79099 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.79243 negates the bounce-stall read
FOMC 18:00 UTC then SNB Thu 07:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF extended a second day lower into London hours, printing a session low at 0.79099 as US-Iran peace optimism saps dollar haven demand. The bounce off that low is stalling near the 0.79243 lower high, RSI(14) recovering but still sub-50. Fed at 18:00 UTC and SNB tomorrow are the open risks.
Support: 0.79099, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.79243, 0.79338
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79243 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.79099 confirms continuation lower toward 0.7900
FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
09:01 UTC
Downtrend, holding off lows · RSI 44 · price 0.79193
Lower highs, lower lows; bounce off 0.79099.
USDCHF extended a second leg lower through the London session, printing a session low at 0.79099 before a shallow bounce back to 0.79193 as US-Iran peace optimism keeps the dollar soft. Lower highs persist into 0.79224; structure stays heavy below the 0.79330 swing.
Support: 0.79099, 0.79121
Resistance: 0.79224, 0.7933
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79224 recent high breaks the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.79099 session low confirms continuation lower
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC then FOMC at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF ground lower through the London session, printing a fresh session low at 0.79099 before buyers stepped in for a recovery toward 0.79224, in line with the soft-USD / firmer-CHF tone. RSI(14) lifting off mid-40s as price reclaims EMA20, but the chain of lower highs remains intact below 0.79323.
Support: 0.79099, 0.79145
Resistance: 0.79224, 0.7929, 0.79323
What it said to watch
Close above 0.79224 would break the lower-high chain
Loss of 0.79099 confirms a fresh lower low
SNB decision and FOMC are imminent risk events that can reset this read
USDCHF extended its slide into the SNB hold, printing a fresh session low at 0.79099 before buyers stepped in toward 0.79224. The chain of lower highs is intact; price is recovering inside the descending structure but still trades below EMA20/50. RSI(14) lifting off its lows around 44.
Support: 0.79099, 0.79145
Resistance: 0.79243, 0.7933
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79243 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.79099 confirms a lower-low extension
Fed decision 18:00 UTC + dot plot could materially shift this read
USDCHF ground lower through London into a fresh session low at 0.79099 after the SNB hold, the pair having been rejected near 0.8000 earlier in the week. Price holds below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) at 33; the 0.79205 swing now caps as nearby resistance.
Support: 0.79099, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.79205, 0.79323
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.79205 would break the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 0.79099 confirms continuation lower
Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF ground lower through London hours, printing a fresh session low at 0.79099 as easing US-Iran tensions kept the USD soft; price holds below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 38, not yet oversold. Lower highs intact, last bounce capped at 0.79226.
Support: 0.79099, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.79226, 0.7933
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.79099 extends the lower-low sequence toward 0.79000
Reclaim of 0.79226 needed to break the lower-high chain
FOMC at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
08:16 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 37 · price 0.79122
Lower highs, lower lows.
USD/CHF ground steadily lower through the London session, breaking the 0.79145 floor to print a fresh session low at 0.79099 as CHF firmed around the SNB hold. RSI(14) sits in the mid-30s, not yet stretched, and price trades below both EMAs with the 0.7900 psych level the next reference.
Support: 0.79099, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.7919, 0.79243
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 0.7900 extends the lower-low sequence
M15 close back above 0.79243 breaks the downtrend structure
US Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) and FOMC (18:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
USD/CHF ground lower through the London session, breaking the 0.7920 support and printing a fresh session low at 0.79099 as US-Iran de-risking kept USD safe-haven demand soft. RSI(14) near 36, not yet oversold, with price holding under EMA20/50.
Support: 0.79099, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.79243, 0.7932
What it said to watch
Close back above 0.79243 would negate the latest lower-high push
0.7900 psych and the 0.7900-0.7930 support cluster — area to watch for rejection or break
Fed decision + dots at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
08:01 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 37 · price 0.79122
Lower highs and lower lows, breaking session support.
USDCHF ground lower through the London session, breaking the 0.79226 swing support and printing a fresh session low at 0.79099 as CHF firmed around the SNB hold and presser. Price holds just under the lows near 0.79122 with RSI(14) sub-40 but not yet oversold; the 0.79000 psych level is the next reference below.
Support: 0.79099, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.79226, 0.79338
What it said to watch
SNB press conference still live — could shift this read in the next bars
M15 close back above 0.79226 swing high would break the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 0.79099 session low opens the path to 0.79000 psych
08:01 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 39 · price 0.79122
Lower highs, lower lows.
USD/CHF ground lower through the NY-to-Asia handover, breaking the 0.7920 support to print a session low at 0.79099 as the US-Iran de-escalation kept the USD safe-haven bid soft. Structure stays a clean chain of lower highs and lower lows, RSI(14) near 39 with no divergence; price is hugging the lows after the break.
Support: 0.79099, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.79243, 0.79326
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.79243 breaks the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.7900 round number opens fresh downside
Fed decision/SEP 18:00 UTC and SNB risk could materially shift this read
07:46 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 34 · price 0.79133
Lower highs, lower lows.
USDCHF ground lower through the London session, breaking the 0.79175 floor to print fresh lows at 0.79099 as a soft USD and drained safe-haven demand weighed. RSI(14) near 34, not yet extreme; price pinned to the lows below EMA20/50 with no recovery attempt.
Support: 0.79099, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.79226, 0.7932
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.79226 would break the chain of lower highs
Failure to hold 0.79099 opens the 0.79000 psych level
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF ground lower through the London session, breaking the 0.79175 base to print a fresh low at 0.79099 as soft USD and US-Iran de-escalation sapped the dollar; RSI(14) near 33, not yet stretched. Sequence of lower highs intact, price pinned below EMA20/50 into the 0.7900-0.7930 support cluster.
Support: 0.79099, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.79226, 0.7932
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.79000 extends the lower-low sequence toward the H&S neckline
Reclaim of 0.79226 breaks the descending lower-high chain
Fed decision/SEP at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
07:30 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 32 · price 0.7912
Lower highs, lower lows into SNB.
USDCHF ground out a fresh session low at 0.79118 as easing US-Iran tensions kept the safe-haven USD bid drained; price holds below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 31, not yet extreme. The slide stalls just above the 0.7906 support cluster into the SNB decision.
Support: 0.7906, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.79226, 0.7933, 0.79475
What it said to watch
SNB rate decision at 07:30 UTC plus presser 08:00 UTC can materially shift this read
M15 close below 0.7906 opens the path toward 0.7900
Reclaim of 0.79226 challenges the lower-high sequence
USDCHF ground lower through London into early NY, printing a fresh session low at 0.79118 and breaking the 0.7920 shelf as easing US-Iran tensions kept the safe-haven USD bid drained. Price trades below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 31 — extended but not yet sub-20. The 0.7906 support cluster is the next test into the SNB decision.
Support: 0.7906, 0.7900, 0.7878
Resistance: 0.7920, 0.7948
What it said to watch
SNB rate decision at 07:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Close below 0.7906 opens the path to the 0.7878 neckline
USDCHF grinding lower through the session, printing a fresh low at 0.79145 before a shallow bounce stalled at 0.79243 — chain of lower highs intact as the franc holds firm into central-bank risk. RSI(14) near 39, no oversold extreme, ATR ~29 pips.
Support: 0.79145, 0.7909
Resistance: 0.79243, 0.79295
What it said to watch
SNB decision 07:30 UTC and Fed later today will dominate the next bars
Close back above 0.79243 breaks the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.79145 extends the downtrend toward the 0.7906 support
07:15 UTC
Downtrend, near session low · RSI 40 · price 0.79186
Lower highs and lower lows, fresh session low.
USDCHF ground lower through the London session in a clean lower-high chain, posting a fresh session low at 0.79145 as the softer USD tone persists. A shallow bounce to 0.79243 was sold and price sits back near the lows; SNB rate decision lands in roughly 15 minutes.
Support: 0.79145, 0.7906
Resistance: 0.79243, 0.7933
What it said to watch
SNB rate decision at 07:30 UTC (~15min) could materially shift this read
Close below 0.79145 extends the lower-low sequence toward 0.79060
USDCHF ground lower through the London session, printing a fresh session low at 0.79145 before stabilising near 0.79186, in line with the soft-USD / firmer-CHF tone after the US-Iran de-escalation. Price holds below EMA20/50 with RSI near 41 — no oversold extreme yet. Move sits just above the 0.7900 support cluster into the SNB decision.
Support: 0.79145, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.79243, 0.79328
What it said to watch
SNB rate decision 07:30 UTC could materially shift this read within the next bars
A close back above 0.79243 breaks the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.79145 opens the path to the 0.7900 psych level
USDCHF extended a second day of losses through the Asia-into-London window, sliding from 0.7957 to a session low of 0.79145 as the US-Iran de-escalation drained safe-haven USD demand. A bounce stalled at 0.79243 and price is holding near 0.79186, RSI(14) in the low 40s with no oversold reading yet.
Support: 0.79145, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.79243, 0.79323
What it said to watch
SNB decision at 07:30 UTC could materially shift this read in minutes
Close below 0.79145 confirms a fresh lower-low toward 0.79000
Reclaim of 0.79243 breaks the lower-high chain
06:45 UTC
Downtrend, late bounce · RSI 42 · price 0.79233
Lower highs and lower lows, intraday low swept.
USDCHF ground lower through the session in a chain of lower highs, sweeping the 0.79145 low before snapping back to 0.79233 as easing US-Iran tensions kept the franc bid. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) lifting off the low 40s after the bounce.
Support: 0.79145, 0.7910
Resistance: 0.7930, 0.7948
What it said to watch
SNB rate decision 07:30 UTC (~45m out) plus 08:00 press conference can override this read
Failure to reclaim 0.79300 keeps the lower-high structure intact
M15 close below 0.79145 confirms continuation toward the 0.7900 cluster
USDCHF ground lower through the Asia session, printing a fresh session low at 0.79145 before bouncing to 0.79233, with the slide tracking weaker USD safe-haven demand. Sequence of lower highs intact; RSI(14) mid-range after cooling, no momentum extreme.
Support: 0.79145, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.7930
What it said to watch
SNB rate decision 07:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Close below 0.79145 opens the path to 0.7900
Reclaim of 0.7930 needed to break the lower-high chain
USDCHF ground out of a quiet Asian range to a fresh session low at 0.79145, trading below EMA20/50 as the franc held firm into the SNB decision. RSI(14) near 34, soft but not extended; price hugs the 0.7906 200sma support zone.
Support: 0.79145, 0.7906
Resistance: 0.79255, 0.79324
What it said to watch
SNB rate decision at 07:30 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close back above 0.79255 swing high negates the range break
Loss of 0.7906 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
06:30 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 32 · price 0.79155
Lower highs, lower lows.
USDCHF ground to a fresh session low at 0.79145 on the latest bar, extending a clean chain of lower highs/lows as the franc stays firm into the SNB. RSI(14) near 32, soft but not yet stretched; price sits below the EMA cluster around 0.7948.
Support: 0.79145, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.79326, 0.7948
What it said to watch
SNB rate decision 07:30 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close back above 0.79326 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.79145 opens the path to the 0.7900 psych level
06:15 UTC
Downtrend, grinding lower · RSI 38 · price 0.7921
Lower highs, lower lows into support.
USD/CHF drifted lower through the Asian session to 0.7921, a second day of losses on the safe-haven USD unwind, holding a clean lower-high/lower-low chain. Price now presses the 0.7900-0.7930 support cluster with RSI(14) near 37; sellers have capped every bounce under the descending highs.
Support: 0.79177, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.7933, 0.79412, 0.79481
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.7933 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.79177 confirms continuation toward 0.7900
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
06:15 UTC
Downtrend, grinding lower · RSI 38 · price 0.7921
Lower highs, lower lows.
USD/CHF drifted lower through the Asia session after the 0.8000 rejection, printing a fresh session low at 0.79177 with RSI(14) near 38. Steady lower highs cap rebounds at 0.79323; price now sits in the 0.7900-0.7930 support zone flagged into the SNB decision.
Support: 0.79177, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.79323, 0.7948
What it said to watch
SNB rate decision 07:30 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close below 0.7900 extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 0.79323 breaks the descending lower-high chain
06:01 UTC
Downtrend, grinding lower · RSI 38 · price 0.7921
Lower highs, lower lows into session low.
USDCHF ground lower through the Asian session to a fresh session low at 0.79177 as the post-0.8000 safe-haven unwind continued, RSI(14) near 38 but not yet stretched. Price holds just under the 0.7926 EMA cluster with no relief bounce in play; descending highs intact from 0.79554.
Support: 0.79177, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.79326, 0.79554
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.79326 breaks the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 0.79177 opens the path toward the 0.7900 area
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could shift the USD-side read
06:01 UTC
Downtrend, grinding lower · RSI 38 · price 0.7921
Lower highs, lower lows into session low.
USDCHF drifted a second day toward ~0.7921 as the US-Iran safe-haven unwind sapped the dollar, holding below EMA20/50 with a steady lower-high chain. Price sits just above the 0.7900-0.7930 support cluster with the session low at 0.79177 freshly printed.
Support: 0.79177, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.7929, 0.7948
What it said to watch
SNB decision at 07:30 UTC (~1.5h) could materially shift this read
USD/CHF ground lower through the Asia session into fresh session lows near 0.7918 as the USD safe-haven bid kept unwinding on US-Iran de-escalation. Structure stays a clean chain of lower highs and lower lows below EMA20/50, with RSI(14) soft but not yet stretched.
Support: 0.79177, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.7925, 0.7932, 0.7948
What it said to watch
SNB decision at 07:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Break below 0.7900 extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 0.79320 prior high would break the descending structure
USDCHF ground out a steady chain of lower highs and lower lows through the Asia session, slipping to a fresh low at 0.79177 as the US-Iran safe-haven unwind kept the dollar offered. Price is pinned at the lows with RSI(14) near 38 and below both EMAs; the 0.7900-0.7930 support cluster is now in focus.
Support: 0.79177, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.7933, 0.7948
What it said to watch
Close below 0.79177 extends the lower-low sequence toward 0.7900
Reclaim of 0.79330 swing high would break the descending structure
SNB rate decision at 07:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USD/CHF extended its second-day slide through the Asian session, grinding to a fresh session low at 0.79186 after London/NY sold the pair from 0.7956 on safe-haven USD unwind. Price sits below both EMAs inside the 0.7900-0.7930 support cluster, RSI(14) soft near 37 but not yet oversold.
Support: 0.79186, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.7932, 0.7948
What it said to watch
SNB rate decision at 07:30 UTC (~2h) could materially shift this read
M15 close below 0.79186 extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 0.79320 swing high would stall the downtrend
USDCHF drifted lower through the Asia/early-London window, printing fresh session lows at 0.79186 as the US-Iran safe-haven unwind kept the dollar offered. Price sits below EMA20/50 with a clean lower-high chain capping near 0.79324; RSI(14) near 36, soft but not yet oversold.
Support: 0.79186, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.79324, 0.79434, 0.7948
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.79324 would break the lower-high chain
Loss of 0.79000 psych extends the down leg
Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC can materially shift this read
USDCHF ground lower through the Asia session into the London open, printing fresh lows at 0.7920 as the post-0.8000 safe-haven unwind continued. Price holds below the 0.7948 EMA area with RSI(14) near 38; the move stalled into a tight 0.7920–0.7933 band but lower highs remain intact ahead of the Fed.
Support: 0.7920, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.7933, 0.7948
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 0.7920 opens the 0.7900 psych level
M15 close back above 0.7933 breaks the lower-high sequence
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could shift this read pre-FOMC
USDCHF ground lower through the Asia session toward 0.7920 as the US-Iran safe-haven unwind kept the dollar soft. Price is pinned at the session low with RSI(14) holding in the high-30s; 0.7933 capped the last bounce and 0.7948 marks the prior high above.
Support: 0.7920, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.7933, 0.7948
What it said to watch
SNB decision at 07:30 UTC (~2h) could materially shift this read
M15 close below 0.7900 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.7933 swing high needed to break the lower-high chain
USDCHF extended a second day lower through London/NY and is grinding to fresh session lows near 0.7920 in Asia, with USD safe-haven demand sapped by easing US-Iran tensions. Sellers continue capping each bounce below 0.79332; price now presses the 0.7900-0.7930 support cluster. RSI(14) subdued near 37, not yet at an extreme.
Support: 0.7920, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.79332
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7920 opens the path toward the 0.7900 support zone
Reclaim of 0.79332 would break the chain of lower highs
FOMC decision and dots at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF ground a second day lower toward 0.79208 as easing US-Iran tensions sapped USD safe-haven demand, after rejection at the 0.8000 barrier. Price now sits on the 0.7900-0.7930 support zone with RSI(14) flat near 40 and price pinned below EMA20/50; ATR ~2 pips signals a slow, low-volatility drift.
Support: 0.7920, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.7932, 0.7943, 0.7948
What it said to watch
SNB decision Thu 07:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Loss of 0.79200 session low opens the 0.7900 round number
M15 close back above 0.79320 swing high would break the descending structure
USDCHF ground lower through the London-NY window into the 0.7920-0.7930 support cluster as US-Iran risk-on kept the dollar's safe-haven bid capped. Price is now flat near session lows around 0.79224, RSI(14) mid-range, coiling ahead of the FOMC decision.
Support: 0.79213, 0.7920
Resistance: 0.7932, 0.7942
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.79213 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.79320 range top negates the basing
FOMC decision/dot-plot at 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this read
USDCHF drifted lower through the NY-Asia handover, leaking toward the 0.79213 session low on thinning volume as the dollar stayed capped pre-Fed. Price is pinned below EMA20/50 and grinding sideways in a tight 0.7922–0.7933 band, RSI(14) flat near 40.
Support: 0.79213, 0.7920
Resistance: 0.79332, 0.7946
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.79213 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 0.79332 swing high needed to ease the downside pressure
Retail Sales 12:30 UTC then FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF ground lower through Asia, slipping below 0.79330 and pressing back toward the 0.79215 swing low as USD safe-haven demand stayed capped on US-Iran risk-on ahead of the Fed. Price holds under EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 38; moves are shallow on a 2.5-pip ATR.
Support: 0.79215, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.7933
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.79215 confirms a fresh lower-low toward 0.7900 psych
Reclaim of 0.79330 swing high would neutralise the downside grind
Retail Sales 12:30 UTC then FOMC later could materially shift this read
Lower highs and lower lows, drifting to session base.
USDCHF leaked lower through London-NY toward 0.7920 as a soft USD kept pressure on; price now grinding the session low in quiet Asian hours, RSI(14) mid-30s but not yet extreme. Rallies into 0.79330 have been sold; price holds below EMA20/50.
Support: 0.7920, 0.7915
Resistance: 0.7933, 0.7942
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7920 confirms a fresh lower-low and opens 0.79150
Reclaim of 0.79330 would break the lower-high chain
SNB decision in ~3h (07:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
04:16 UTC
Downtrend, momentum flat · RSI 41 · price 0.79249
Drifting lower, basing near session low.
USDCHF ground lower through the NY/Asia transition and is now coiling between 0.79219 and 0.79288, RSI(14) flat in the low 40s. Price sits below EMA20/50 with no momentum; the soft drift reflects a capped dollar into the FOMC, with the franc still bid.
Support: 0.79219, 0.7920
Resistance: 0.79288, 0.79326
What it said to watch
Close below 0.79219 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.79326 negates the downward drift
FOMC dot-plot/Warsh at 18:00 UTC could materially reset this read
USDCHF slid through the London-NY session from 0.7957 to a session low at 0.7922 as CHF stayed bid on US-Iran de-escalation and pre-Fed positioning. Price is now grinding sideways in the low 0.7920s into the Asia session, holding just above the session low with RSI(14) mid-40s and ATR compressed to ~2.6 pips.
Support: 0.7922, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.79332, 0.7942, 0.79574
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7922 confirms a fresh lower-low toward the 0.7900 neckline
Close above 0.79332 reclaims the range and eases the downside read
FOMC dot-plot + Warsh presser at 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this pair
04:01 UTC
Downtrend, momentum flat · RSI 43 · price 0.79249
Lower highs into Asia consolidation.
USDCHF sold off through NY hours from 0.7957, the down leg driven by a softer-dollar, risk-on backdrop into the Fed. Price has since gone flat, consolidating 0.7922-0.7926 through the Asia session with RSI mid-range and ATR compressed near 3 pips — no setup in play.
Support: 0.79219, 0.79244
Resistance: 0.7933, 0.7942
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.79219 confirms continuation lower
Reclaim of 0.79330 invalidates the lower-high sequence
FOMC dot-plot + Warsh presser at 18:00 UTC dominates the next session
USDCHF leaked lower through the London-NY session and into Asia, printing a session low at 0.79215 before stalling into a tight 0.7920-0.7933 coil as US-Iran risk-on keeps the USD safe-haven bid capped. ATR has compressed hard in the Asian range with RSI mid-40s — no momentum either way at the moment.
Support: 0.79215, 0.7919
Resistance: 0.7933
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.79215 extends the downtrend
Reclaim of 0.79330 challenges the consolidation top
FOMC dot-plot at 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst for the next leg
Lower highs into a tight Asian range near session lows.
USDCHF sold off through the London-NY window from ~0.7957 to 0.7921 as US-Iran risk-on kept the dollar's safe-haven bid capped. Price has since coiled into a tight 0.7922-0.7932 Asian range with ATR compressed under 3 pips, marking time ahead of Retail Sales and the FOMC decision.
Support: 0.79215
Resistance: 0.79304, 0.79338, 0.7942
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.79215 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.79304 reopens 0.79338 range top
Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs into a low-volume base near session lows.
USDCHF drifted into the Asia session pinned near the 0.79215 session low after the London-NY leg down from 0.7959, with the dollar capped by US-Iran risk-on. Price is now consolidating in a tight 0.7922-0.7933 band below EMA20/50, RSI(14) mid-40s and flat.
Support: 0.79215, 0.7920
Resistance: 0.7933, 0.7942
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.79215 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 0.79330 needed to break the lower-high chain
FOMC decision/dot-plot at 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this read
Lower highs into overnight range near session lows.
NY session drove USD/CHF down from 0.7957 to the 0.79215 session low, RSI(14) cooling alongside as US-Iran risk-on kept the dollar's safe-haven bid capped. Asia then chopped between 0.7922 and the 0.7933 swing high, and price is now drifting back toward session lows. The 0.7900-0.7930 area is the H&S neckline zone flagged into FOMC.
Support: 0.79215, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.79335, 0.7943
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.79215 confirms a lower low and exposes the 0.7900 round number
Close above 0.79335 swing high breaks the overnight range
FOMC dot-plot/Warsh at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF drifted lower through the NY-Asia handover, pressing the 0.79219 swing low with RSI(14) in the low 40s and price pinned below EMA20/50. The CHF safe-haven bid on US-Iran de-escalation has kept the pair capped; price is consolidating just above the lows after the earlier 0.7955-0.7922 leg down.
Support: 0.79219, 0.79175
Resistance: 0.79332, 0.7936
What it said to watch
Close back above 0.79332 range top would break the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.79219 confirms a fresh lower-low
Retail Sales 12:30 UTC then FOMC 18:00 UTC can override this intraday read
USDCHF ground lower through the Asian session, carving lower highs from 0.7960 down to a 0.7922 session low while USD safe-haven demand stayed capped on US-Iran de-escalation. RSI(14) mid-40s, no oversold signal; the equal lows at 0.79215 and 0.79219 mark a level demand has now tested twice.
Support: 0.79215, 0.7918
Resistance: 0.7933, 0.7943
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.79215 confirms continuation lower toward the 0.7900 area
Reclaim of 0.79330 needed to break the lower-high chain
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF leaked lower through the European session, dropping from 0.79571 to a 0.79215 session low as US-Iran de-escalation kept the dollar's safe-haven bid capped. Asian hours are quiet and low-volume, with price drifting back toward that low at 0.79257; sellers have capped each bounce below 0.79330.
Support: 0.79219, 0.7915
Resistance: 0.7933, 0.7942
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79330 would break the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.79219 confirms a fresh session low
FOMC dot-plot and Retail Sales later today could materially shift this read
03:01 UTC
Downtrend, slowing near lows · RSI 43 · price 0.79257
Lower highs, double bottom forming at session low.
USDCHF drifted lower through London-NY into Asia, printing a chain of lower highs from 0.7955 down to the 0.79215 session low. Twin lows at 0.79215/0.79219 mark a tentative double bottom, with the 0.79330 swing high capping bounces; pair coiling just above support ahead of FOMC.
Support: 0.79215, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.7933, 0.7945
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.79215 confirms a fresh lower low toward 0.7900
Reclaim of 0.79330 swing high negates the lower-high sequence
FOMC dot-plot at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 ground lower through the NY-into-Asia handover, breaking the 0.7930 consolidation and pressing fresh session lows at 0.79215. RSI(14) subdued near 41, no divergence; price holds below EMA20/50 with USD capped into the Fed.
Support: 0.79215, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.79338, 0.7942
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 0.79215 confirms continuation of the lower-low chain
M15 close above 0.79338 invalidates the descending structure
FOMC decision/dot-plot at 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
USDCHF slid through the NY session of Jun-16 then ground lower in Asia, now pinned at 0.79233 just above the 0.7900-0.7930 support cluster (H&S neckline). RSI(14) soft near 41, price holding below EMA20/EMA50 with lower highs capping each bounce.
Support: 0.79215, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.79295, 0.79355
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.79215 confirms a fresh lower low into the neckline
Reclaim of 0.79295 EMA20 would relieve the downside pressure
FOMC at 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this read
02:46 UTC
Downtrend, grinding to new lows · RSI 39 · price 0.79233
Lower highs and lower lows, pressing session low.
USDCHF drifted lower through Asia, printing fresh session lows near 0.7920 as the dollar stayed defensive into FOMC. Price trades below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) at 38; the bounce off 0.7920 to 0.7933 was rejected, leaving the 0.7900-0.7930 support zone in focus.
Support: 0.79215, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.7933, 0.7942
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.79215 confirms a lower-low and opens the 0.7900 neckline
Reclaim of 0.79330 would stall the downtrend read
FOMC at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session sold USDCHF from 0.7960 down to a 0.7921 session low, with the pair pinned at the 0.7900-0.7930 support / H&S neckline. Price has since chopped in a tight 0.7924-0.7933 Asian range and now sits at the lows, RSI(14) flat near 39. ATR is thin at ~4 pips into FOMC.
Support: 0.79215, 0.79244, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.7933, 0.7942
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.79215 confirms a fresh lower-low and probes the 0.7900 neckline
Reclaim of 0.79330 range top would neutralise the near-term decline
FOMC rate decision + dot plot 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
02:31 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating at lows · RSI 43 · price 0.79249
Lower highs into a tight base above session low.
USDCHF sold off through the NY session from 0.7960 to 0.7921 and has since coiled in a tight 0.79244–0.79330 base, pinned near the 0.7900–0.7930 support zone flagged into the Fed. Price is back at session lows with RSI(14) mid-40s, no momentum extreme; range top capping each bounce.
Support: 0.79244, 0.79215
Resistance: 0.7933, 0.7942
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.79215 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.79330 range top needed to ease downside pressure
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
02:16 UTC
Downtrend, momentum flat in Asia · RSI 43 · price 0.79257
Consolidating near session lows after NY decline.
USDCHF sold off through the NY session to 0.79215, then bounced to 0.79344 before fading back to the lows in thin Asia trade. Price now pins 0.79257 below both EMAs with RSI in the mid-40s; the bounce has retraced past its 50% level, keeping the session low in play.
Support: 0.79215, 0.79244
Resistance: 0.7933, 0.7942
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.79215 confirms a lower low and opens the 0.7900–0.7930 support cluster
Reclaim of 0.79330 swing high would neutralise the lower-high sequence
US Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) and FOMC (18:00 UTC) ahead could materially shift this read
02:16 UTC
Downtrend, near session lows · RSI 42 · price 0.79257
Lower highs, lower lows; coiling at support.
USDCHF drifted lower through NY into Asia, printing a session low at 0.7921 before stabilising around 0.7925; price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI in the low-40s. No fresh impulse — the pair is coiling just above the 0.7900-0.7930 support zone ahead of FOMC.
Support: 0.7921, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.7933, 0.7943
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7921 opens the path toward the 0.7900 neckline
Reclaim of 0.7933 swing high needed to ease downside pressure
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could reshape this read
USDCHF leaked lower through the NY session toward the 0.7900-0.7930 support cluster, printing a session low at 0.79215 before stalling. Into thin Asia-hours trade price is consolidating around 0.7926 below EMA20/50, holding just above the low with RSI(14) near 43.
Support: 0.79215, 0.79247
Resistance: 0.79338, 0.7943
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.79215 extends the lower-low sequence toward the H&S neckline
Reclaim of 0.79338 consol high would neutralise the intraday downtrend
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF slid through the London-NY session from 0.7957 to the 0.79215 session low as USD stayed capped ahead of the Fed. Asian session is now consolidating in a tight 0.79224-0.79330 band, RSI(14) flat in the mid-40s with no momentum either way.
Support: 0.79215, 0.79224
Resistance: 0.7933, 0.7942
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.79215 extends the downtrend toward the 0.7900 area
Reclaim of 0.79330 swing high neutralises the down leg
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC then FOMC 18:00 UTC can override this intraday read
USDCHF sold off through the NY session to 0.79215 then base-built around 0.7930 in thin Asian trade, with the dollar capped pre-Fed. Price is now drifting back toward the session low at 0.79224, RSI(14) hovering mid-40s; the 0.79330 swing high has capped the bounces.
Support: 0.79215, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.7933, 0.79475
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.79215 confirms a lower-low and opens the 0.7900 psych level
Reclaim of 0.79330 swing high negates the near-term lower-high sequence
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Asia session grinding lower; the pair slid off the 0.7959 high through London-NY hours into a 0.79215 base, then chopped sideways near 0.7930 before pressing the lows again. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI near 41 — soft but not extended, sellers leaning on the 0.7930 pivot while 0.79215 holds.
Support: 0.79215, 0.79247
Resistance: 0.7933, 0.7942
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.79215 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 0.79330 pivot negates the near-term downside pressure
Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC later could materially shift this read
USDCHF ground lower through London-NY toward the 0.7900-0.7930 support cluster (H&S neckline) as US-Iran peace optimism kept the dollar's safe-haven bid capped, bottoming at 0.79215 before chopping sideways into the Asia session around 0.7925. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) mid-40s, momentum flat after the sell-off.
Support: 0.79215, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.7932, 0.7942
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.79215 confirms a fresh lower-low and risks the neckline at 0.7900
Reclaim of 0.7932 pivot would break the lower-high sequence
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC tomorrow could materially shift this read
USDCHF sold through the London-NY transition from 0.7960 into the 0.7900-0.7930 support cluster as US-Iran peace optimism capped the dollar's safe-haven bid. Price has since gone flat near 0.7925, holding just above the 0.79215 session low with RSI(14) basing in the low 40s. FOMC and the dot plot are the dominant overhead catalyst.
Support: 0.79215, 0.7910
Resistance: 0.7934, 0.7942
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.79215 confirms a fresh lower low into the neckline zone
reclaim of 0.79340 swing high would break the lower-high chain
FOMC decision and Warsh presser later today could materially shift this read
01:16 UTC
Downtrend, momentum fading into Asia · RSI 41 · price 0.79251
Lower highs from NY, now consolidating above session low.
USDCHF sold off through the NY session from 0.7959 into the 0.7900-0.7930 support cluster (the noted H&S neckline), printing a low of 0.79215. Asian hours have stalled in a tight 0.7925-0.7933 range below EMA20/50, now drifting back toward the lows with RSI(14) near 41.
Support: 0.79215, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.7933, 0.7950
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.79215 reopens the path to the 0.7900 neckline
Reclaim of 0.79330 would break the lower-high sequence
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could reset this read
USD/CHF leaked lower through the NY session, the sharp drop near 13:45 UTC carrying price to 0.7924 where buyers stepped in twice, forming a double bottom into the Asia session. Price now pinned at the lows just under the EMA20, RSI(14) flat near 39 as the pair coils ahead of the Fed.
Support: 0.79243, 0.7920
Resistance: 0.7933, 0.7941
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.79243 confirms a lower-low and breaks the double bottom
Reclaim of 0.79330 needed to ease downside pressure
FOMC at 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this read
01:01 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating at lows · RSI 44 · price 0.79251
Lower highs, basing above 0.7920.
USDCHF leaked lower through the session into the 0.7900-0.7930 support cluster, dollar capped by US-Iran peace optimism and pre-FOMC caution. Price is basing between 0.79215 and 0.79330 with descending highs intact; the session low at 0.79215 has held twice.
Support: 0.79215, 0.7920
Resistance: 0.7933, 0.79375
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.79215 opens the path to the 0.7900 psych level
Reclaim of 0.79330 breaks the descending-highs sequence
Retail Sales 12:30 UTC then FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
01:01 UTC
Downtrend, basing near lows · RSI 42 · price 0.79251
Lower highs into session low, consolidating above support.
NY session sold USDCHF from 0.7959 down to the 0.79215 session low as the dollar leaked toward the 0.7900-0.7930 support cluster pre-FOMC. Asia traded a tight 0.7925-0.7333 consolidation and is drifting back to the lows into the close, price below both EMAs with RSI(14) around 42.
Support: 0.79215, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.7933, 0.7946
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.79215 exposes the 0.7900-0.7930 support cluster
Reclaim of 0.79330 swing high needed to break the lower-high chain
Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs into a low base, retesting session low.
USDCHF sold off through the NY session from 0.7959 to a low of 0.79244, then consolidated 0.7925-0.7933 through the Asia hours. Price is leaking back toward that session low with RSI(14) near 41; the 0.7920-0.7930 support zone remains the pivot.
Support: 0.79244, 0.7920
Resistance: 0.7933, 0.79475
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.79244 opens the path toward 0.7920
Reclaim of 0.79330 negates the lower-high sequence
FOMC at 18:00 UTC and US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially reset this read
00:46 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating near lows · RSI 42 · price 0.79257
Lower highs into a tight Asian range above session low.
USD/CHF sold off through the NY session to a 0.79244 low as the dollar's safe-haven bid faded, then chopped in a tight 0.7926-0.7933 range through Asia. Price is slipping back toward the session low at 0.79257 with RSI(14) subdued in the low 40s; the 0.7900-0.7930 support zone (H&S neckline) is in play.
Support: 0.79244, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.7933, 0.7945
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.79244 confirms a fresh lower low and opens the 0.7900 neckline
Reclaim of 0.79330 range top would stall the downside drift
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC and Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
00:31 UTC
Downtrend, now flattening · RSI 44 · price 0.79283
Consolidating above session lows after NY decline.
USD/CHF leaked lower through the NY session into the 0.7900-0.7930 support zone, printing a session low at 0.79215 before stabilising. Price now ranges 0.79270-0.79330 in early Asia hours, holding just under EMA20/50 with RSI neutral near 44.
Support: 0.79244, 0.79215
Resistance: 0.7933, 0.7943
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.79215 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 0.79330 range top needed to ease the downside pressure
FOMC decision later today (18:00 UTC) is the dominant catalyst for the USD leg
USDCHF sold off through the London-NY session from 0.7960 into a 0.7924 low, then flattened into a tight 0.7925-0.7933 Asian range, RSI(14) recovering to the mid-40s. Price sits just under the 0.7900-0.7930 support band flagged as the H&S neckline ahead of the Fed.
Support: 0.79244, 0.79215
Resistance: 0.79338, 0.7945
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7924 extends the lower-low into the neckline support zone
Reclaim of 0.7945 ema/pivot would neutralise the downtrend read
FOMC decision later is the dominant catalyst and could reset this range
00:16 UTC
Downtrend, now flat near lows · RSI 52 · price 0.79319
Consolidating above session low after NY-session slide.
USD/CHF sold off through the NY session to a 0.79244 low as US-Iran peace optimism kept the dollar's safe-haven bid capped, then based out in thin Asian trade. Price is now ranging 0.7925–0.7935 with RSI back to neutral, holding just above the 0.7900–0.7930 support zone into Wednesday's Fed.
Support: 0.79244, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.79344, 0.7945
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.79244 extends the lower-low sequence toward 0.7900
Reclaim of 0.79344 needed to challenge the 0.7945 ema50
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant cross-driver for this read
USDCHF sold off through the London-NY hours to a session low of 0.79215, a CHF-bid move with US-Iran peace optimism capping the dollar. Price has since stabilised in a tight 0.7929–0.7333 band through the Asia session, RSI back near neutral after the decline.
Support: 0.79215, 0.79244
Resistance: 0.7941, 0.7945
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.79215 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 0.79410 swing high needed to break the consolidation
FOMC and Retail Sales later this session could materially shift this read
00:01 UTC
Downtrend, now stalling · RSI 51 · price 0.79319
Consolidation above session low after breakdown.
USDCHF broke down through London-NY into the 0.7920s as US-Iran peace optimism kept the dollar capped, printing a session low at 0.79215. Price has since gone flat, holding a tight 0.7925-0.7934 range into the Asia session just above the 0.7900-0.7930 neckline zone, RSI hovering near 50.
Support: 0.79215, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.7934, 0.7945
What it said to watch
Close below 0.79215 confirms a lower low and presses the neckline
Reclaim of the 0.7945 ema/prior level negates the breakdown read
FOMC Wednesday is the cross-driver for the USD leg
Tight consolidation above session low after impulsive leg down.
USDCHF sold off through the London-NY transition into 0.79215 as US-Iran peace optimism kept the USD safe-haven bid capped, then stabilised. Price now grinds a tight 0.79275-0.79374 band through the Asia session, holding just above EMA20 but capped below the 0.7945 prior high; RSI flat near 47.
Support: 0.79215, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.79374, 0.7945
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.79215 confirms a fresh lower low toward 0.7900
Reclaim of 0.79374 reopens the 0.7945 prior high
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and SNB Thu are the dominant catalysts for this cross