Price broke above the 0.8000 barrier that capped twice in early June, the last bar surging ~90 pips on the hawkish FOMC dot-plot lift and hot US retail sales. Higher-low structure has held since the early-month lows near 0.7795, and price now sits above both EMAs with momentum expanding. The 0.8000 round number, previously resistance, is the first level to monitor for a retest.
Support: 0.8000, 0.7950, 0.7910
Resistance: 0.80154, 0.80107
What it said to watch
SNB rate decision Thu 07:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Failure to hold 0.8000 on a retest negates the breakout
H4 close back below 0.7950 reopens the prior range
21:02 UTC
Uptrend resuming after range · RSI 64 · price 0.80036
Broke above multi-week 0.8000 cap.
USDCHF tagged the 0.8000 barrier repeatedly through the last two weeks before the hawkish FOMC repricing under Warsh drove a clean breakout, the final bar pushing to 0.80154 and closing at 0.80036. The prior 0.792-0.800 range had compressed; the last-bar expansion in ATR confirms the breakout impulse. The 0.8000 round number now flips to a retest reference below price.
Support: 0.8000, 0.7920, 0.79099
Resistance: 0.80154, 0.79956
What it said to watch
SNB rate decision Thu 07:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H4 close back below 0.8000 negates the breakout
Failure to hold 0.7920 reopens the prior range low at 0.79099
17:02 UTC
Downtrend, rolling over from 0.8000 · RSI 43 · price 0.79301
Lower highs since the 0.8000 rejection.
USDCHF topped at the 0.8000 barrier and printed a sharp 70-pip rejection candle, since when the pair has carved lower highs and slipped back toward 0.7910. Price trades below both EMA20 and EMA50 and the CHF firmness ties to a fading USD safe-haven bid after US-Iran de-escalation. The structure has rolled over from the early-week high, with demand so far holding the 0.7910 area.
Support: 0.79099, 0.7868
Resistance: 0.7950, 0.8000, 0.80127
What it said to watch
SNB rate decision Thu 07:30 UTC and FOMC could materially reshape this read
H4 close back above 0.7950 invalidates the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.7910 confirms a deeper lower-low toward the 0.7868 rally base
17:01 UTC
Uptrend stalling, rolling over after 0.8000 rejection · RSI 44 · price 0.79301
Lower highs since the 0.8013 swing high.
USDCHF was capped at the 0.8000 psych barrier with repeated rejections into 0.80127 before a sharp reversal, and price has since carved lower highs back toward the 0.7920 support zone — the franc firmed as US-Iran de-escalation sapped USD safe-haven bid. Price now sits below both EMA20 and EMA50 with ATR(14) around 18 pips, holding inside a multi-day drift lower off the highs. The 0.382 retrace of the 0.7803-0.80127 advance sits right at price.
Support: 0.7920, 0.79099, 0.78769
Resistance: 0.79758, 0.8000, 0.80127
What it said to watch
SNB decision Thu 07:30 UTC and FOMC could materially shift this read
H4 close below 0.7900 confirms a deeper leg lower
Reclaim of 0.7950 and the lower-high at 0.79758 negates the rollover
13:02 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 41 · price 0.79279
Rejected at 0.8000, lower highs forming.
Price ran into the 0.8000 barrier repeatedly through last week and was rejected, with the US-Iran peace framework draining the dollar's safe-haven premium and capping the franc cross. Since the 0.80127 high the structure has rolled over into a sequence of lower highs, slipping back toward the 0.7920 support cluster. ATR has compressed back to roughly 18 pips after the 70-pip flush off the top.
Support: 0.7920, 0.7900, 0.7872
Resistance: 0.7950, 0.8000
What it said to watch
FOMC decision and dot plot at 18:00 UTC plus SNB Thursday could materially shift this read
H4 close below 0.7900 confirms a deeper pullback toward the 0.7872 swing low
Reclaim of 0.7950 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
13:02 UTC
Uptrend stalled, rolling over · RSI 41 · price 0.79279
Double top at 0.8000, lower highs forming.
The advance off the early-month 0.7795 lows stalled into the 0.8000 barrier, where repeated rejection carved a double top near 0.80127 before the sharp drop to 0.7942. Price is now rolling over into a sequence of lower highs and sits below both EMA20 and EMA50, testing the 0.7910 swing-low support. The US-Iran peace unwind has kept the franc firm and capped USDCHF upside ahead of the Fed-then-SNB doubleheader.
Support: 0.7910, 0.7900, 0.7872
Resistance: 0.7975, 0.8000, 0.80127
What it said to watch
H4 close below 0.7900 confirms a lower-low and extends the rollover
Reclaim above 0.7975 negates the lower-high sequence
FOMC tonight (18:00 UTC) + SNB tomorrow (07:30 UTC) could materially reset this read
09:02 UTC
Rolling over, lower highs · RSI 41 · price 0.79128
Lower highs off 0.8012 peak, testing 0.7900.
USDCHF was rejected repeatedly at the 0.8000 psych barrier and has rolled into a lower-high sequence since the 0.80127 swing high, the pullback now retracing roughly half of the prior February advance. Price has lost both EMAs and is pressing the 0.7900 round number as the US-Iran peace framework drains the dollar's haven premium. ATR(14) has compressed into the high-teens, so the downside drift is orderly rather than impulsive.
Support: 0.7900
Resistance: 0.7960, 0.8000, 0.80127
What it said to watch
Fed decision 18:00 UTC today could materially shift this read ahead of the SNB Thursday
H4 close below 0.7900 confirms a lower-low extension
Reclaim of 0.7960 needed to challenge the lower-high structure
09:02 UTC
Downtrend, pullback from 0.8000 · RSI 39 · price 0.79128
Lower highs, lower lows below 0.8000.
USD/CHF rolled over after repeated rejection at the 0.8000 psych level, carving lower highs and lower lows over the past week back toward 0.7910. The decline has retraced roughly half the 0.7803-0.8013 advance, with price now trading below both EMA20 and EMA50. The US-Iran peace framework draining USD haven demand has kept the franc firm into the Fed-SNB doubleheader.
Support: 0.79099, 0.7877
Resistance: 0.8000, 0.7975
What it said to watch
H4 close below 0.7900 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of the 0.7975 lower high needed to neutralise the downside structure
FOMC (18:00 UTC) and SNB Thursday could materially shift this read
05:02 UTC
Rolling over after 0.8000 rejection · RSI 41 · price 0.79243
Lower highs off the 0.80127 swing high.
USDCHF rolled over after repeated rejection at the 0.8000 round number, carving lower highs over the past week off the 0.80127 swing high. Price has slipped back under both EMA20 and EMA50, with the soft US data run and stretched CHF longs framing the pullback. A sustained move under the 0.7920 swing low would expose the 0.7905 h&s neckline.
Support: 0.7920, 0.7905
Resistance: 0.7960, 0.8000
What it said to watch
H4 close below 0.7920 opens the path toward the 0.7905 neckline
Reclaim of 0.7960 lower-high neutralises the rolling-over read
SNB decision Thu 07:30 UTC and FOMC could materially shift this read
USDCHF topped near 0.8013 and rolled over after the 0.8000 rejection, carving a head-and-shoulders with a 0.7920-0.7930 neckline that price is now testing. Structure has printed lower highs since the peak, with both EMA20 and EMA50 now capping price overhead. The franc firmed as the US-Iran framework drained the dollar's safe-haven bid.
Support: 0.7920, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.7959, 0.8000, 0.8013
What it said to watch
H4 close below 0.7920 confirms neckline break, opening 0.7900
Reclaim of 0.7959 negates the head-and-shoulders read
SNB decision 07:30 UTC and FOMC dot-plot could materially shift this read
01:02 UTC
Uptrend stalling, rolling over · RSI 42 · price 0.79319
Topped near 0.8010, lower highs forming.
The multi-day rally peaked into a double top around 0.8010-0.8013 before a sharp rejection candle dragged price back into the 0.7900-0.7960 band, with lower highs now stacking under 0.7960. Price trades below both EMA20 and EMA50 as the prior up-leg corrects, with the 0.7900-0.7930 cluster (the H&S neckline flagged in the macro read) acting as the floor. ATR has compressed, leaving the pair coiling above support ahead of the FOMC decision.
Support: 0.7920, 0.7900, 0.7880
Resistance: 0.7960, 0.7980, 0.8010
What it said to watch
H4 close below 0.7900 breaks the neckline and opens fresh downside
Reclaim of 0.7960 reasserts the prior higher-high structure
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
01:02 UTC
Rolling over, momentum slowing · RSI 43 · price 0.79319
Lower highs since the 0.8012 peak.
Price rolled over after the 0.8012 peak and is carving lower highs, with a head-and-shoulders shape now resting on the 0.7920-0.7930 neckline cluster flagged into the Fed. The rally off 0.7872 has retraced toward the 50-61.8% zone and momentum has cooled, with ATR(14) compressing back near 19 pips. Both EMAs sit above spot, consistent with the near-term rollover.
Support: 0.7922, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.7959, 0.8012
What it said to watch
H4 close below 0.7920 confirms the H&S neckline break and opens fresh downside
Reclaim of 0.7959 negates the lower-high sequence
FOMC 18:00 UTC and SNB Thu could materially shift this read