Higher highs and higher lows, fresh 7-month highs.
USDCHF extended a multi-day uptrend to fresh 7-month highs above the 0.8100 pivot, driven by broad USD strength and a weak franc into Fed-SNB divergence. Higher-low structure remains intact since the 0.7910 base, with price riding above EMA20 and EMA50 and ATR(14) expanding as the trend runs. RSI is elevated and the move looks stretched ahead of tomorrow's US Core PCE print.
Support: 0.8100, 0.8058
Resistance: 0.81394, 0.8200
What it said to watch
Core PCE Thu Jun 25 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Loss of the 0.8100 pivot would break the rising higher-low sequence
Sustained acceptance above 0.81394 opens the path toward 0.8200
Clean H4 uptrend: USDCHF has carved higher highs and higher lows since the 0.7910 base, with the franc the weakest major on Fed-SNB divergence and a fading haven bid. Price has accepted above the 0.8100 pivot and printed a fresh swing high at 0.81394, but RSI is in overbought territory and the run is extended. ATR is moderate, consistent with a steady trend rather than a volatility blow-off.
Support: 0.8100, 0.8065
Resistance: 0.81394, 0.8150
What it said to watch
Core PCE Thu Jun 25 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Sustained acceptance above 0.81394 keeps the uptrend extending
Loss of the 0.8100 pivot would mark the first lower-high since mid-month
17:01 UTC
Uptrend, extended · RSI 71 · price 0.8126
Higher highs, higher lows; fresh 7-month highs.
USDCHF printed a fresh 7-month high at 0.8139 before easing to 0.8126, extending a one-way uptrend driven by Fed-SNB policy divergence and a broadly bid dollar. Price sits well above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI in overbought territory, signalling a stretched move rather than a fresh impulse. The 0.8100 pivot has flipped to support beneath the advance.
Support: 0.8100, 0.8066
Resistance: 0.8139, 0.8150
What it said to watch
Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Loss of 0.8100 pivot signals the overbought correction
Close above 0.8139 fresh high keeps continuation intact
17:01 UTC
Uptrend, extended and overbought · RSI 71 · price 0.8126
Higher highs, higher lows since mid-month low.
USDCHF extended a six-session climb to a fresh seven-month high at 0.8139 on Fed-SNB policy divergence and a broadly bid dollar, with price holding well above EMA20 and EMA50. The final bar printed a top wick and closed back at 0.8126, the first visible rejection of the highs as RSI sits in overbought territory. Structure stays in higher-high/higher-low form, but momentum is stretched into tomorrow's US Core PCE.
Support: 0.8100, 0.8065
Resistance: 0.8139, 0.8150
What it said to watch
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Loss of 0.8100 pivot signals an overbought correction
H4 close above 0.8139 reopens continuation toward 0.8150
USDCHF has ground higher for six sessions on Fed-SNB divergence and a soft franc, clearing the 0.8107 seven-month high and printing a fresh swing high at 0.8131. The advance sits well above EMA20 and EMA50 with ATR(14) expanding, but RSI is overbought, flagging stretched conditions. The broken 0.8107 high now acts as the first support reference.
Support: 0.8107, 0.8075
Resistance: 0.8131, 0.8150
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.8107 would put the breakout back inside the prior range
Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC — a soft print risks a sharp unwind of the crowded USD long
SNB Quarterly Bulletin today 13:00 UTC for fresh intervention signaling
13:02 UTC
Uptrend, extended and overbought · RSI 71 · price 0.81243
USDCHF has ground out a clean run of higher lows through June and pushed past the 0.8107 seven-month high, with price now extending to 0.81309 on Fed-SNB policy divergence and a soft franc. The advance is mature — RSI is in overbought territory and ATR is steady rather than expanding — leaving the structure stretched even as the trend holds. The 0.8107 prior high now acts as the first retest reference beneath spot.
Support: 0.8107, 0.8070, 0.8038
Resistance: 0.81309, 0.8150
What it said to watch
H4 close back below 0.81070 negates the breakout and points back into the prior range
Failure to hold 0.80700 swing low would mark the first lower-low of the run
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read
09:02 UTC
Uptrend, extended into highs · RSI 67 · price 0.81161
Higher highs and higher lows, breakout above ytd pivot.
USDCHF remains in a clean H4 uptrend, grinding to seven-month highs on Fed-SNB divergence after the SNB held at 0% and reiterated intervention readiness. Price has cleared the 0.8107 ytd pivot and is pressing the 0.8119 session high, but RSI is stretched and the move is extended well above EMA20/EMA50. The structural read stays constructive while 0.8107 holds on any pullback.
Support: 0.8107, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8119
What it said to watch
SNB Quarterly Bulletin 13:00 UTC could harden intervention tone and stall the advance
Thu Core PCE (12:30 UTC) is the dominant USD catalyst into the next sessions
Sustained close above 0.8119 opens path to fresh multi-month highs
Loss of the 0.8107 ytd pivot signals a failed breakout and retest of 0.8000 psych
09:01 UTC
Uptrend, extended · RSI 69 · price 0.81161
Higher highs and higher lows, near 7-month highs.
USDCHF is grinding to fresh 7-month highs near 0.8118, an unbroken sequence of higher highs and higher lows driven by Fed-SNB divergence and broad USD strength. Price holds above both EMA20 and EMA50 with the cross bullish, but RSI is pushing into overbought territory as the move stretches. ATR(14) remains moderate, the climb is steady rather than impulsive.
Support: 0.80692, 0.80209
Resistance: 0.81188, 0.8200
What it said to watch
Sustained close above 0.81188 swing high opens the path toward the 0.8200 round number
Loss of the 0.80209 prior high would break the higher-low sequence
SNB Quarterly Bulletin 13:00 UTC could harden intervention tone
Thu Core PCE (12:30 UTC) is the week's key USD catalyst
Higher highs and higher lows, coiling below 0.8100.
USDCHF has trended higher since the early-month base near 0.7810, printing a clean sequence of higher highs and higher lows on the back of Fed-SNB divergence after last week's hawkish FOMC and a passive SNB. Price is now coiling in a tight consolidation just below the 0.8100 YTD pivot, with RSI elevated as the advance stalls into the ceiling. ATR(14) has compressed against the level, a typical pre-resolution pattern.
Support: 0.79099, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.81105
What it said to watch
Sustained H4 close above 0.8100 ytd pivot opens trend extension
Rejection at 0.8100 with overbought RSI could open a pullback toward 0.7900 rally base
Thu Core PCE (12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
Higher-high/higher-low structure intact since the early-month base near 0.7900, with USD/CHF driven up by the hawkish-Fed/SNB divergence into the 0.8100 YTD pivot. Price is now coiling tightly just above that ceiling after a ~2% four-session rally, ATR holding a steady ~16-pip regime as the move flattens. The 0.8100 pivot is the defining level — repeated taps around 0.8104-0.8110 without a decisive break.
Support: 0.80692, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.81105
What it said to watch
H4 close above 0.81105 confirms a clean range break above the 0.8100 pivot
Rejection at 0.8100 opens an overbought pullback toward the 0.7900 rally base
SNB Quarterly Bulletin (13:00 UTC) and Thursday's US Core PCE could materially shift this read
01:02 UTC
Uptrend, pressing range cap · RSI 66 · price 0.80992
Higher highs and higher lows, consolidating below 0.8100.
USDCHF holds a clean higher-high, higher-low uptrend off the mid-month 0.7910 low and is now consolidating in a tight band just under the 0.8100 YTD cap, where price has stalled three times. The drift reflects the Fed-SNB policy divergence — hawkish dollar versus a Franc the SNB is leaning against. ATR is moderate and momentum is stretched into the cap, with RSI elevated near overbought.
Support: 0.80579, 0.79971
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.81064
What it said to watch
H4 close above 0.8100 cap opens the path to fresh highs
Failure to hold the 0.80579 swing low breaks the higher-low sequence
Thu Core PCE could materially shift this read
01:01 UTC
Uptrend, pressing into 0.8100 cap · RSI 68 · price 0.80992
Higher highs and higher lows since early-month base.
USDCHF holds a clean H4 uptrend, grinding into the 0.8100 YTD/Nov-2025 cap on the Fed-hawkish, SNB-dovish divergence that has left the Franc the weakest major. Higher-low structure is intact from the 0.79099 impulse low, with demand stepping in repeatedly near 0.8064. RSI is elevated near overbought as price congests just under the 0.81064 range top.
Support: 0.80644, 0.79835, 0.79099
Resistance: 0.81064, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Sustained H4 close above 0.81064 opens the path beyond the 0.8100 cap
Failure to hold 0.80644 would break the higher-low sequence
Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read