USDCHF extended a multi-day uptrend into a fresh 11-month high at 0.8139 before fading back toward the 0.8088-0.8100 pivot zone, with CHF on the back foot on Fed-SNB policy divergence and intervention talk. An in-line US PCE print didn't break the bid, but the rejection off 0.8139 and stall near prior swing levels show momentum cooling after a steep run. ATR(14) around 18 pips marks a moderate regime as price consolidates below the high.
Support: 0.8088, 0.8058, 0.7991
Resistance: 0.8139, 0.8170
What it said to watch
H4 close below 0.8088 pivot zone confirms a deeper pullback toward 0.8058
Break above 0.8139 11-mo high opens the path to 0.8170
Fri UoM inflation expectations and Fed-speak (14:00-15:30 UTC) could shift this read
USDCHF extended a multi-week uptrend to an 11-month high at 0.8140 before stalling, with the latest bars rejecting back toward 0.8096 — the dollar bid held up by hawkish-Fed repricing and SNB-driven franc weakness. Structure stays constructive with higher lows intact, but price has slipped back under EMA20 as upside momentum cools. The 0.8088-0.8100 pivot zone is the near-term floor for the rising sequence.
Support: 0.8090, 0.8064, 0.8044
Resistance: 0.8140, 0.8120
What it said to watch
H4 close below 0.8088 breaks the higher-low sequence
USDCHF extended a multi-day uptrend off the 0.79099 base, pressing an 11-month high at 0.81394 as USD stayed firm on hawkish-Fed repricing and broad CHF weakness. The latest bar rejected that high and slid back to 0.80938, dipping to the EMA20 — the first meaningful pause after a near-2% run. ATR(14) is elevated, reflecting the expanded trend rather than compression.
Support: 0.80912, 0.80444, 0.79099
Resistance: 0.81394, 0.8170
What it said to watch
H4 close below 0.80912 swing low opens the 0.80444 area
Close above 0.81394 11-mo high exposes the 0.81700 projection
Swiss CPI on Jul 2 and further Fedspeak could shift this read
Higher highs / higher lows, rejected at range top.
Clean higher-low structure since the early-month base near 0.7910, with a six-session run to 11-month highs at 0.8140 on hawkish-Fed repricing and a soft franc. The most recent bar rejected the highs and slipped back to the 0.8090 pivot zone, dipping under EMA20 for the first time in the leg while ATR(14) stays expanded. USD remains firm after in-line core PCE, but the rally into overbought territory leaves room for this pullback.
Support: 0.8090, 0.80749, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.81394, 0.8170
What it said to watch
H4 close above 0.81394 11-mo high opens path to 0.8170
Failure to hold the 0.8090 pivot zone exposes the 0.80749 swing low
Fedspeak (Williams, Goolsbee) and Fri UoM inflation expectations could shift the USD read
13:02 UTC
Uptrend, extended · RSI 64 · price 0.81326
Higher highs and higher lows, near range top.
USDCHF has trended steadily higher for three weeks, posting a clean sequence of higher highs and higher lows from the 0.7813 base toward fresh multi-month highs at 0.81394. Price rides a rising channel with EMA20 and EMA50 stacked beneath it, but RSI near overbought and the stall under 0.8140 point to fading momentum into US Core PCE. The 0.8100 pivot is the line that has flipped from cap to support during the latest leg.
Support: 0.8100, 0.80657
Resistance: 0.81394, 0.8170
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is the immediate catalyst and could materially shift this read
H4 close above 0.81394 opens the path to the 0.8170 one-year-high zone
Failure to hold 0.8100 pivot would break the higher-low channel structure
13:02 UTC
Uptrend, extended near highs · RSI 63 · price 0.81326
Higher highs and higher lows since mid-window.
USDCHF remains in a clean H4 uptrend, printing higher highs and higher lows through a six-session run that lifted price from the 0.7910 base to a fresh high at 0.81394 — driven by the hawkish-Fed dollar repricing and a soft Franc. Momentum is flattening just under the high as ATR(14) holds an expanded ~19-pip regime. Price sits above both EMAs with the 0.8100 pivot now acting as the nearest reclaimed support.
Support: 0.8100, 0.80657
Resistance: 0.81394, 0.8170
What it said to watch
H4 close above 0.81394 opens the path to the 0.8170 one-year high
Failure to hold 0.8100 would mark the first lower-low of the run
US Core PCE (12:30 UTC) is the immediate catalyst and could shift this read
09:02 UTC
Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 61 · price 0.8111
Higher highs and higher lows, extended.
Six-session uptrend intact with higher highs and higher lows, USDCHF printing an 11-month high at 0.81394 before easing back to 0.8111 as the Franc stays the weakest major on hawkish-Fed and SNB leans. Price holds well above EMA20 and EMA50, but the rally is stretched and RSI is rolling off overbought, hinting at slowing momentum. The 0.8100 pivot has flipped to near-term support.
Support: 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81394, 0.8200
What it said to watch
Core PCE today 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Sustained H4 close below 0.8100 pivot signals a correction
H4 close above 0.81394 opens the path to the 0.8200 round number
USD/CHF is at an 11-month high, six straight up-legs since the early-month base near 0.7900 on hawkish-Fed repricing and a heavily-sold Franc. Price stalled just under the 0.8139 YTD high and pulled back to the 0.8100 pivot into today's US core PCE; ATR is steady around 18 pips with the rally extended but not yet broken. Both EMAs sit below price, confirming intact trend structure.
Support: 0.8100, 0.8058, 0.7997
Resistance: 0.8139, 0.8200
What it said to watch
US core PCE today 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Sustained H4 close above 0.8139 opens the path to 0.8200
Loss of the 0.8100 pivot signals a corrective leg toward 0.8058
05:01 UTC
Uptrend, overbought into pullback · RSI 61 · price 0.81075
Higher highs / higher lows since mid-month.
USDCHF has run a clean six-day advance to a fresh 0.81394 high, the Fed-SNB divergence keeping the franc the heaviest major. Structure remains an orderly channel of higher highs and higher lows, but the latest H4 stalled and rejected from 0.81247 with RSI stretched. The 0.8100 pivot is the nearest demand shelf on any unwind.
Support: 0.8100, 0.80655
Resistance: 0.81394, 0.8150
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read
Sustained loss of 0.8100 signals a corrective pullback in the channel
H4 close above 0.81394 extends the trend toward 0.8150
Higher highs / higher lows, extended near range top.
USDCHF has run six straight sessions higher, the franc the weakest major on Fed-SNB divergence, lifting price to a fresh swing high at 0.81394 before easing back to 0.81075. Higher-low structure remains intact with price holding above both EMA20 and EMA50, but the climb is stretched and RSI is rolling off overbought as momentum slows near the highs. The 0.8100 pivot is the immediate line dividing continued strength from a corrective unwind.
Support: 0.8100, 0.80749
Resistance: 0.81394, 0.8126
What it said to watch
US Core PCE today 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read
Sustained loss of 0.8100 signals a corrective pullback from the extended trend
H4 close above 0.81394 reopens the path to fresh highs
01:01 UTC
Uptrend, extended · RSI 68 · price 0.81265
Higher highs and higher lows since mid-month.
USDCHF is in a clean H4 uptrend, posting fresh 7-month highs near 0.8139 as broad USD strength on Fed hike repricing meets the weakest major in the CHF. Higher-low structure has held since the 0.7910 base, with price extending well above EMA20 and EMA50; RSI in overbought territory flags how stretched the run is. ATR(14) has expanded alongside the breakout, consistent with trend extension rather than compression.
Support: 0.8100, 0.8069
Resistance: 0.81394, 0.8150
What it said to watch
Sustained acceptance above 0.8139 opens the path toward the 0.8150 round number
An H4 close back below the 0.8100 pivot would mark the first lower-high attempt
US Core PCE in ~12h is the dominant USD catalyst and could materially shift this read
01:01 UTC
Uptrend, extended · RSI 72 · price 0.81265
Higher highs, higher lows since mid-month.
USDCHF is in a clean multi-week uptrend, printing higher highs and higher lows from the 0.7910 base toward a 0.81394 seven-month high on Fed-SNB policy divergence and a fading franc haven bid. Price holds well above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI overbought, signalling a stretched but intact advance; the 0.8100 pivot now acts as the first reference for the run. ATR remains elevated, consistent with trend extension rather than compression.
Support: 0.8100, 0.8058
Resistance: 0.81394, 0.8150
What it said to watch
Sustained acceptance above the 0.81394 h4 high signals continuation
H4 close back below the 0.8100 pivot would mark the first lower-high attempt
Core PCE at 12:30 UTC (~12h) is the dominant USD catalyst and could shift this read