0.8271–0.8298 day range, higher low at 0.8280 after fix sweep.
Friday traded a 0.8271–0.8298 range. London set the session high at 0.8298, then the 16:00 UTC fix swept below the 0.8275 london low to the 0.8271 fix low and reversed quickly. Late NY printed a higher low at the 0.8280 ny low, near the 61.8% of the fix-low rebound, and price sits mid-range at 0.8286 in thin pre-weekend trade as USD eased on the oil slump.
Support: 0.8280, 0.82754, 0.8271
Resistance: 0.82918, 0.8298, 0.8305
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8292 rebound high puts the 0.8298 session high back in play, with the 0.8305 cap zone beyond
Loss of the 0.8280 ny low breaks the higher-low sequence and exposes the 0.8275 london low and the 0.8271 fix low
Thin Friday close: weekend oil or Middle East headlines could gap the Monday open
20:31 UTC
Sideways, lower highs since London · RSI 53 · price 0.82861
0.8271–0.8298 day range, compressing mid-range.
London capped Friday at the 0.8298 day high, and NY flushed to a 0.8271 day low before rebounding to a 0.8292 lower high as the dollar paused on the oil slump. The later dip held the 0.8280 swing low near the 61.8% of the NY rebound, and price sits at 0.8286 in thin post-NY trade on rising lows, RSI(14) neutral near 53.
Support: 0.8280, 0.8271
Resistance: 0.8292, 0.8298
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8280 swing low breaks the rising lows and puts the 0.8271 day low back in play
Close above the 0.8292 lower high reopens the 0.8298 day high
Weekly reopen may gap outside Friday's 0.8271–0.8298 range; US ADP/PCE mid-week is the main driver
20:16 UTC
Sideways, lower highs into late NY · RSI 50 · price 0.82843
0.8271–0.8298 day range; compressing near midpoint.
London's 0.8298 session high capped Friday. NY printed a lower high at 0.8292 after the 16:00 UTC London fix drop to the 0.8271 day low. Late NY is compressing on a 0.8280 late ny base, near the 38.2% of the fix-low rebound, as the dollar's 0.2% oil-driven pause keeps moves contained.
Support: 0.8280, 0.8271
Resistance: 0.8292, 0.8298
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8280 late ny base exposes the 0.8271 day low
Break above the 0.8292 lower high returns 0.8298 session high into play
Thin late-Friday liquidity; next scheduled risk is Tue JOLTS and Fed speakers
20:02 UTC
Sideways, lower highs since late NY · RSI 53 · price 0.82843
0.8271–0.8298 day range; post-NY lower highs, holding late-NY low.
USD/CHF held a 0.8271–0.8298 day range. London printed the high at 0.8298, and a sharp 16:00 UTC drop tagged the day low at 0.8271. The bounce that followed stalled at a 0.8292 lower high, and price now sits just above the 0.8280 late-NY low, flat around EMA20 with RSI(14) near 53. The dollar's Friday easing on the oil slump has capped follow-through, and trade is thin after the NY close.
Support: 0.8280, 0.8271
Resistance: 0.8292, 0.8298
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8280 late-NY low exposes the 0.8271 day low
Break of the lower-highs trendline and the 0.8292 lower high reopens the 0.8298 London high
Weekend close and gap risk; Tue JOLTS and Wed ADP/PCE could materially shift this read
19:46 UTC
Range-bound, compressing into late NY · RSI 51 · price 0.82835
0.8271–0.8298 day range; lower high 0.8292, higher low 0.8280.
London and NY were both rejected at the 0.8296–0.8298 day high. The 16:00 UTC sweep below the Asian low reversed quickly from the 0.8271 day low. The sweep rebound has since retraced toward its 61.8% near the 0.8280 swing low, and late-NY price is coiling under a 0.8292 lower high as the dollar eases on Friday's oil slide.
Support: 0.8280, 0.8277, 0.8271
Resistance: 0.8292, 0.8298
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8292 lower high breaks the descending trendline and reopens the 0.8298 day high, with the digest's 0.8305–0.8330 cap zone beyond
Failure to hold the 0.8280 swing low exposes the 0.8277 asian low and the 0.8271 day low
Thin pre-weekend liquidity after London close; nothing on the calendar before the close, and next risk is Tue JOLTS
19:31 UTC
Range, drifting lower from day high · RSI 44 · price 0.82808
0.8271–0.8298 day range, lower highs since London.
Late NY Friday: London broke the Asian range top but was rejected twice at the 0.8298 day high (double top), and NY printed lower highs at 0.8296 and the 0.8292 lower high as the dollar eased on the oil slump. Price is back on the 0.8280 swing low, about a 50% retrace of the post-flush bounce from the 0.8271 session low, below EMA20/50 with RSI near 44.
Support: 0.82796, 0.82754, 0.8271
Resistance: 0.82918, 0.8298
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8280 swing low exposes the 0.8275 prior low and the 0.8271 session low
Reclaim of the 0.8292 lower high breaks the lower-high sequence and puts the 0.8298 day high back in play
Friday close within ~2h; thin late-NY liquidity can exaggerate moves inside the range
19:16 UTC
Sideways, drifting lower into weekly close · RSI 45 · price 0.82811
0.8271–0.8298 day range with lower highs since London.
Late NY Friday: USD/CHF is holding a 0.8271–0.8298 day range. The London high at 0.8298 was rejected several times, and the lower highs since have capped at 0.8296 and then 0.8291 as the dollar eased with oil. Price has given back about half of the bounce from the 0.8271 day low and sits near the 0.8280 late low, below both EMAs.
Support: 0.8280, 0.8275, 0.8271
Resistance: 0.8291, 0.8298
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8280 late low exposes the 0.8275 NY low and 0.8271 day low
Failure at the 0.8271 day low breaks the range floor, which held twice in this window
Close above the 0.8291 lower high breaks the descending lower-highs line and reopens the 0.8298 London high
Thin liquidity into the weekly close; next week's US JOLTS, ADP and PCE could materially shift this read
19:02 UTC
Sideways, lower highs since London · RSI 42 · price 0.82811
0.8271–0.8298 day range, price in lower third after fading the NY rebound.
Late Friday NY, USD/CHF is rotating inside a 0.8271–0.8298 day range. Highs have stepped lower from the 0.8298 london high to the 0.8292 lower high, and price is back at the 50% fib of the 16:00 UTC rebound, sitting on the 0.8280 swing low. The dollar eased with oil, but the SNB-Fed rate gap kept demand under the 0.8271 day low twice in 24h; RSI(14) near 42, no break in play.
Support: 0.8280, 0.82754, 0.8271
Resistance: 0.82918, 0.8298
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.8280 swing low exposes the 0.8275 midday low, then the 0.8271 day low, a double base with the overnight low
M15 close above the 0.8292 lower high breaks the lower-high sequence and reopens the 0.8298 london high
Thin liquidity into the weekly close; next US catalysts are JOLTS on Tue and ADP/PCE on Wed
USDCHF held a 0.8271–0.8298 range through London and NY. The day high capped four tests, and the 16:00 UTC false break below the overnight low toward 0.8271 reversed within one bar. Late in the NY session the recovery stalled at a lower high near 0.8292, and price is sliding back to mid-range, retracing roughly a third of that recovery, with RSI(14) near 47. The chop fits the USD's Friday pause after its weekly rally.
Support: 0.82754, 0.8271
Resistance: 0.82918, 0.8298
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8292 lower high reopens the 0.8298 day high / range top
Acceptance above the 0.8298 range top brings the 0.8305–0.8330 resistance zone into view
Failure to hold the 0.8275 midday low exposes the 0.8271 session low; a close below it turns the earlier false break into a range break
Thin late-Friday liquidity with no scheduled events in the next 8h; next US risk is Tue JOLTS and Fed speakers
18:31 UTC
Sideways, short-term recovery from NY low · RSI 55 · price 0.82886
0.8271–0.8298 day range; higher lows off NY low.
USDCHF has spent Friday inside a 0.8271–0.8298 range as the dollar paused after its weekly run. London and NY were both rejected at the 0.8296 ny highs and 0.8298 day high. The late-NY drop to the 0.8271 ny low has been about 70% retraced on a chain of higher lows, and price now sits just under the 0.8292 late high in thin post-NY trade.
Support: 0.8286, 0.8281, 0.8271
Resistance: 0.8292, 0.8296, 0.8298
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8298 day high breaks the range top and brings the 0.8305–0.8330 resistance band into view
Rejection again at the 0.8292 late high / 0.8296 ny highs keeps the range intact
Loss of the fib 61.8 at 0.8286 and the 0.8281 higher low breaks the recovery line; below the 0.8271 ny low, the range floor gives way
Late-Friday liquidity is thin and a weekend gap is possible; US ADP and PCE on Wed 30 Sep are the next major risk
18:16 UTC
Sideways, late-NY rebound inside day range · RSI 48 · price 0.82894
0.8271–0.8298 range; flat top, higher lows since 16:00 UTC flush.
USDCHF has held a 0.8271–0.8298 range all day. The day high rejected three tests across London and NY, and the 16:00 UTC flush to 0.8271 swept the Asian and London lows before being reclaimed. Late-NY higher lows have lifted price back above the ema20 toward the 0.8292 rebound high, about 74% into the flush, as the dollar pauses after its weekly run.
Support: 0.8286, 0.8281, 0.8271
Resistance: 0.8292, 0.8297, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8297 day high breaks the range top; the 0.8300 round number and the 0.8305 digest resistance sit just above
Failure to hold the 0.8281 higher low breaks the rebound line and reopens the 0.8271 ny low
Thin late-Friday liquidity; next scheduled USD drivers are Tuesday's JOLTS and Fed speakers
18:02 UTC
Sideways, mild recovery off the lows · RSI 49 · price 0.82894
0.8271–0.8298 day range, higher lows since sweep.
USD/CHF spent the day in a 0.8271–0.8298 range, capped at the 0.8298 day high in London as the dollar paused after its weekly rally. The 16:00 UTC drop from 0.8296 hit the 0.8271 sweep low, just under the overnight low, before NY reclaimed it. Price has since retraced about 75% of that drop and sits just under the 0.8292 swing high, with RSI(14) near 49 and ATR around 7 pips in thin late-Friday trade.
Support: 0.8281, 0.8271
Resistance: 0.8292, 0.8298
What it said to watch
Fed's Hammack at 18:00 UTC: an explicit endorsement of hikes could push price through the 0.8292 swing high toward the 0.8298 day high
M15 close above the 0.8298 day high breaks the intraday range
Failure to hold the 0.8281 swing low reopens the 0.8271 sweep low
Close below the 0.8271 sweep low confirms a range break lower
Intraday range 0.8271–0.8298, higher lows since 16:00 UTC.
USDCHF has chopped inside a 0.8271–0.8298 range all day. London set the day high, NY capped twice at the 0.8296 NY high, and a flush to the 0.8271 day low just after London close was quickly reclaimed, a false break below the late-London 0.8275 low. Late NY is grinding back up on higher lows near 0.8282, about two-thirds into the day high-low fib, with RSI(14) neutral near 55 as the dollar consolidates its weekly gains.
Support: 0.8282, 0.8271
Resistance: 0.8296, 0.8298, 0.8300
What it said to watch
Fed's Hammack at 18:00 UTC could break the range if hike talk surfaces
M15 close above the 0.8298 day high exposes the 0.8300 round number
Loss of the 0.8282 higher low returns focus to the 0.8271 day low
17:31 UTC
Sideways, late-NY rebound off day low · RSI 50 · price 0.82873
0.8271–0.8298 day range, flat highs, low swept and reclaimed.
USDCHF is chopping inside a 0.8271–0.8298 day range as the dollar pauses after its weekly rally. London set the range top at 0.8298, and NY was rejected just below it at the 0.8296 ny high, short of the 0.8300 psych level. A sweep to a 0.8271 day low around London close was bought back, and price has retraced roughly 65% of the NY drop, with RSI(14) neutral near 50 and price hugging both EMAs.
Support: 0.8281, 0.8271
Resistance: 0.8296, 0.8298, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8298 range top and 0.8300 psych breaks the day range
Another rejection at the 0.8296 ny high keeps the range read intact
Loss of the 0.8281 higher low reopens the 0.8271 day low
Fed's Hammack at 18:00 UTC could jolt thin late-NY price action
USDCHF is ranging 0.8271–0.8298 under the 0.8300 psych level as USD pauses after its yield-driven week. The 0.8296 NY high capped twice before a late-NY drop swept the asian low to a 0.8271 session low. Price has since recovered about half of that drop to 0.8284, sitting just under EMA20 with RSI(14) near 51.
Support: 0.8276, 0.8271
Resistance: 0.8288, 0.8296, 0.8300
What it said to watch
Close above the 0.8288 bounce high would retrace more than 70% of the late-NY drop and re-expose the 0.8296 ny high
A clean break of the 0.8296 ny high and 0.8300 psych ends the range read
Loss of the 0.8276 asian low, then the 0.8271 session low, turns the sweep into a lower-low
Fed's Hammack at 18:00 UTC could shift this read into the Friday close
17:03 UTC
Sideways, lower highs since London · RSI 49 · price 0.82844
0.8271–0.8298 day range, NY low swept and reclaimed.
USD/CHF has chopped in a 0.8271–0.8298 range through London and NY, stalling under the 0.8300 round number as post-SNB franc selling paused alongside softer US yields and oil. Late NY swept below the 0.8275 swing low to a 0.8271 session low, snapped back and has retraced about half of that late NY drop to 0.8284. Lower highs at 0.8298 and the 0.8296 ny high cap the top, with the 0.8288 bounce high the nearest ceiling.
Support: 0.82754, 0.8271
Resistance: 0.82884, 0.82958, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8296 ny high and 0.8300 round number breaks the lower-highs sequence
Failure to hold the 0.8275 swing low reopens the 0.8271 session low
Rejection at the 0.8288 bounce high keeps the late NY drop retracement shallow
Fed's Hammack at 18:00 UTC could shift the read as Friday liquidity thins
0.8271–0.8298 range; NY high capped under day high, low swept.
Late NY session. USD/CHF has held a 0.8271–0.8298 range since London open, with lower highs from the 0.8298 day high to the 0.8296 NY high. The 16:00 UTC drop swept the 0.8276 Asian low to a 0.8271 day low before reclaiming it as USD eased with yields and oil, and price now sits mid-range below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 47.
Support: 0.8276, 0.8271
Resistance: 0.8296, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8271 day low turns the sweep into a confirmed lower-low
Close above the 0.8296 NY high breaks the lower highs and puts the 0.8300 psych level back in play
Fed's Hammack at 18:00 UTC could shift this read into the weekend close
Range 0.8275–0.8298, repeated failures at session high.
USDCHF has spent London and NY inside a 0.8275–0.8298 range, with the session high capping four probes just under the 0.8300 psych level as the USD paused after mixed-to-firm US data. The latest rejection from 0.8296 has retraced nearly the whole NY swing off the 0.8275 NY low, leaving price back inside the Asian range, below the Asian high at 0.8293, and under both EMAs.
Support: 0.82754, 0.82643
Resistance: 0.82932, 0.8298, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8275 NY low breaks the range floor and exposes the 0.8264 prior low
Reclaim of the 0.8293 Asian high reopens a test of the 0.8298 session high and the 0.8300 psych level
Hold of the 78.6% level of the NY swing fib near 0.8280 keeps the range read intact
Fed's Hammack at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read into the weekend close
16:01 UTC
Sideways, rolling off range top · RSI 45 · price 0.82793
London-NY range 0.8275–0.8298, lower highs capping below 0.8300.
USDCHF has held a 0.8275–0.8298 range through London and NY. Rejection at the range top (0.8296–0.8298) shy of the 0.8300 round number is visible, with the 15:45 UTC bar shedding 14 pips and price now back below both EMAs near 0.8279. The session low at 0.8275 is the nearest floor, with the Asia low at 0.8272 and the prior low at 0.8264 beneath; the move looks like consolidation after the post-SNB CHF slide rather than a new driver.
Support: 0.82754, 0.82717, 0.82643
Resistance: 0.82958, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8275 session low breaks the London-NY range and exposes the asia low at 0.8272, then the prior low at 0.8264
Recovery and close above the 0.8296 range top reopens a test of the 0.8300 round number
Fed's Hammack at 18:00 UTC could shift USD pricing and this read
Contracting range 0.8275–0.8298, coiling mid-range.
London pushed to a session high at 0.8298 near the 16-month top on post-SNB CHF weakness, but the psych 0.8300 capped it, and the 13:15 UTC dip found the session low at 0.8275. NY has since printed a lower high at 0.8296 (ny high) and a higher low at 0.8282 (ny low), so price is coiling mid-range at 0.8287 into the London close with RSI flat near 52 and ATR around 7 pips.
Support: 0.82823, 0.82754
Resistance: 0.82955, 0.8298, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8298 session high and psych 0.8300 breaks the lower-high sequence
Loss of the 0.8282 ny low exposes the 0.8275 session low; a break there turns the range lower
Fed's Hammack at 18:00 UTC could break the coil in either direction
Thin post-London, pre-weekend liquidity may produce false breaks of the range edges
USDCHF has held a 0.8275–0.8298 range through London and NY, stalling twice at the session high just under the 0.8300 psych as USD pauses near highs after the SNB-driven CHF slide. Swings after the 12:30 UTC durables and 14:00 UTC Michigan releases have tightened into higher lows off the 0.8275 NY low against lower highs from 0.8298. Price is pinned on flat EMAs with RSI(14) at 50.
Support: 0.8282, 0.8275, 0.8264
Resistance: 0.8298, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8298 session high and 0.8300 psych breaks the range top
Loss of the 0.8282 higher low and the rising lows line returns focus to the 0.8275 NY low, with Thursday's prior low at 0.8264 below
Fed's Hammack at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF has ranged 0.8275–0.8298 since London. The session high at 0.8298 held under 0.8300, and the NY high at 0.8295 printed a lower high that was rejected on the 14:45 UTC bar, back to the 38.2% of the London-NY drop. The stall matches the USD pause as oil eased; RSI(14) is neutral near 47, price sits below EMA20/EMA50, and the ny lows around 0.8280 have held three times.
Support: 0.8280, 0.82754, 0.82643
Resistance: 0.82955, 0.8298
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8298 session high and 0.8300 invalidates the lower highs read and breaks the range top
Failure to hold the 0.8280 ny lows exposes the 0.8275 session low, then the 0.8264 prior low from yesterday's NY sell-off
Fed's Hammack at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USD/CHF is ranging between the 0.8275 swing low and the 0.8298 London high, just below the 0.8300 round number near 16-month highs, while USD consolidates after a strong week. The NY rally from 0.8275 stalled at a lower high of 0.8295 (ny high). A rejection there pulled price back to the ~61.8% zone of the NY swing fib, holding just above the 0.8280 ny lows, with RSI(14) neutral at 48.
Support: 0.8280, 0.82754
Resistance: 0.82955, 0.8298, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8298 london high and the 0.8300 round number breaks the range top and the lower highs line
Failure to hold the 0.8280 ny lows exposes the 0.8275 swing low; a break there invalidates the range read
Fed's Hammack at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read into the weekly close
14:46 UTC
Range-bound, recovering toward the range top · RSI 56 · price 0.8294
0.8275–0.8298 London/NY range; higher lows since the NY low.
USDCHF has held a 0.8275–0.8298 range through London and NY. The dip to the NY low at 0.8275 around the durables release drew demand, and a chain of higher lows has lifted price back to the Asian high at 0.8293, just under the session high at 0.8298 and the 0.8300 psych level near the 16-month high.
Support: 0.8293, 0.8284, 0.8275
Resistance: 0.8298, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8298 session high and 0.8300 psych breaks the London range top
Loss of the 0.8284 higher low and the rising trendline returns price to mid-range
Break below the 0.8275 ny low would leave a double top at 0.8298
Fed's Hammack at 18:00 UTC could shift October hike odds and this read
14:31 UTC
Range after London high faded, compressing · RSI 46 · price 0.82843
Lower highs from 0.8298 against higher lows from 0.8275; price back inside Asian range.
London twice capped at the 0.8298 session high and slid to a 0.8275 session low. USDCHF is now coiling between 0.8280 NY lows and the 0.8293 Asian high, with a lower-high line converging on a rising-lows line. The 14:00 UTC UoM release spiked price to 0.8293, where it met rejection and faded back to 0.8284, while USD holds its consolidation tone.
Support: 0.8280, 0.82754, 0.82643
Resistance: 0.8293, 0.8298
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8293 Asian high breaks the lower-high line and puts the 0.8298 session high back in play
Loss of the 0.8280 NY lows breaks the higher-lows line and exposes the 0.8275 session low, then the 0.8264 24h low
Fed's Hammack at 18:00 UTC could shift this read, as could any US-Iran de-escalation headlines hitting oil
14:16 UTC
Range after failed push to highs, NY rebound · RSI 51 · price 0.82894
Double top at 0.8298, higher low at 0.8280, testing ny high.
London broke above the Asian range to 0.8298, near the 16-month high, but was rejected twice and left a double top. Price then slid to the NY low at 0.8275 before the constructive US durables print lifted it. A higher low at 0.8280 now has price pressing the ny high at 0.8290, around the 61.8% retrace, with RSI(14) neutral near 51.
Support: 0.8280, 0.82754
Resistance: 0.82903, 0.8298
What it said to watch
UoM sentiment and inflation expectations landing now (14:00 UTC) could reset the intraday range
M15 close above 0.8290 ny high reopens the 0.8298 double top
Break of the 0.8280 higher low exposes the 0.8275 ny low
Fed's Hammack at 18:00 UTC is a late-NY risk for the read
14:02 UTC
Range, pullback from session high · RSI 51 · price 0.82894
London double top at 0.8298, higher lows off 0.8275.
London capped twice at the 0.8298 session high, the 16-month high on the dovish-SNB CHF sell-off. It then slid to the 0.8275 session low into the NY open. Since then higher lows near 0.8280 have lifted price back to the 61.8% retrace at 0.8289, just under the 0.8290 lower high, with RSI(14) neutral and price hugging both EMAs.
Support: 0.8280, 0.82754
Resistance: 0.8290, 0.8298, 0.8300
What it said to watch
UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC land on the current bar and could break the range either way
M15 close above the 0.8290 lower high reopens the 0.8298 session high and 0.8300 round number
Failure to hold the 0.8280 higher low exposes the 0.8275 session low and breaks the recovery trendline
Fed's Hammack at 18:00 UTC could shift October hike odds late in NY hours
London double top at 0.8298 failed above the Asian range, then lower highs; 0.8275 sweep reclaimed.
London pushed just above the Asian range high to a double top at 0.8298, near the 16-month high area left by the dovish SNB, and supply capped it. Price then slid to a session low at 0.82754, which briefly swept the Asian low. It reclaimed the Asian range after the mixed US durables at 12:30 UTC. The rebound stalled at a lower high of 0.82903, near the 61.8% retracement, and price is now back at the 0.8283 pivot, just under both EMAs.
Support: 0.8283, 0.82754, 0.82717
Resistance: 0.82903, 0.8298
What it said to watch
UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read within the next bar
M15 close above the 0.82903 lower high breaks the descending trendline and reopens the 0.8298 double top
Loss of the 0.8283 pivot exposes the 0.82754 session low, then the 0.82717 overnight low
Hammack at 18:00 UTC is a second event risk for Fed hike pricing
Double top at 0.8298 with neckline 0.8283 broken; sweep of the Asian low reclaimed and price now retesting the neckline from above.
London printed a double top at 0.8298, just under the 16-month high, then broke the 0.8283 neckline. The 12:15 UTC drop swept the Asian range low to a session low of 0.8275 and was reclaimed after mixed US durables. Price now sits at 0.8286 between the 38.2% and 50% fib of the 0.8298–0.8275 leg, flat on EMA20, with RSI(14) near 44.
Support: 0.8283, 0.8275, 0.8264
Resistance: 0.8293, 0.8298
What it said to watch
UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC (1-yr f/c 4.6%) could materially shift this read in the first hour of NY
M15 close back below the 0.8283 neckline reopens the 0.8275 session low, then the Thu low at 0.8264
Recovery through the 0.8293 Asian high and the 0.8298 double top would negate the double top read and bring 0.8300 into play
Fed's Hammack at 18:00 UTC is a later risk for NY hours
13:16 UTC
Intraday downtrend from London high, bouncing · RSI 42 · price 0.82843
Lower highs and lows since 0.8298; testing descending trendline.
London capped price twice at the 0.8298 london high, near the 16-month top. Lower highs since then took price to a 0.82754 session low, which briefly undercut the Asian low before buyers stepped back in. Price now sits at the 38.2% fib of that drop and is pressing the descending trendline in the first hour of NY, ahead of the UoM inflation-expectations release.
Support: 0.8280, 0.82754, 0.82643
Resistance: 0.8286, 0.8293, 0.8298
What it said to watch
M15 close above the trendline and the 0.8286 area (50% fib) breaks the lower-high sequence and puts the 0.8293 asian high back in view
Rejection at the trendline plus a loss of the 0.8280 swing low puts the 0.82754 session low back in play
A break below the session low exposes yesterday's prior low at 0.82643
UoM 1-yr/5-yr inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC and Hammack at 18:00 UTC could reset the read; a push through the 0.8298 london high would clear the double top
13:02 UTC
Intraday downtrend from London high, bounce in progress · RSI 41 · price 0.82843
Lower highs and lower lows since the 0.8298 double top.
London printed a double top at 0.8298, just shy of the 16-month high, then broke the 0.8283 neckline and set a chain of lower highs down to the 0.8275 session low. The first-hour NY bounce is stalling at the 38.2% retrace of the London decline, near 0.8284, with price under both EMAs. The pullback comes as oil and yields ease, while hawkish-Fed pricing keeps USD firm.
Support: 0.82754, 0.82643
Resistance: 0.82858, 0.8298
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8286 lower high breaks the descending sequence and reopens the 0.8298 double top
Failure to hold the 0.8275 session low extends the lower-low chain toward the 0.8264 prior low
UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC and Fed's Hammack at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
12:46 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs since London · RSI 41 · price 0.82786
Double top at 0.8298 under 0.8300, lower highs and lows, Asian low broken.
London rejected 0.8298 twice, a double top just shy of the 0.8300 16-month-high zone. Price has since printed lower highs down to the 0.8285 lower high, cleared the Asian range floor and the asian high capped the late-Asia push, with a fresh session low at 0.8275 into the NY open and Durable Goods. RSI(14) near 41 is soft but not stretched, and the London drop fib 38.2% sits right at the lower high.
Support: 0.82754, 0.82717, 0.82643
Resistance: 0.8285, 0.82932, 0.8298
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.8285 lower high breaks the lower-highs trendline and puts the asian high at 0.8293 back in play
Failure to hold the 0.8275 session low exposes the 0.8272 rollover low, then the 0.8264 24h low
Only a close above the 0.8298 double top reopens the 0.8300 break
Durable Goods (12:30 UTC) reaction and UoM 1y inflation expectations vs 4.6% at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
12:31 UTC
Sideways-to-lower, fading from London high · RSI 44 · price 0.82829
Double top at 0.8298, lower highs pressing the session low.
London printed a double top at 0.8298, rejected twice just under 0.8300 near the post-SNB 16-month highs, and price has slipped back below the Asian high to test the 0.8280 session low. That is roughly a 70% retrace of the Asian low–session high leg, with lower highs capped by a descending trendline into the London-NY transition.
Support: 0.8280, 0.82766, 0.82643
Resistance: 0.8293, 0.8298
What it said to watch
Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC lands on the next bar and could materially shift this read
M15 close below the 0.8280 session low confirms a lower low and exposes the 0.8277 asian low, then the 0.8264 swing low
Close back above the descending trendline and the 0.8293 asian high negates the double top read; a break of 0.8300 invalidates it
UoM 1y inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC (f/c 4.6%) is a second volatility point in NY hours
Double top at 0.8298 below 0.8300; London lows at 0.8283 broken, new session low 0.8280.
London stalled twice at 0.8298, just shy of 0.8300 psych and the 16-month high, then broke the 0.8283 London lows to a 0.8280 session low. Price now sits near the 61.8% fib of the Asia-to-London rally, below a flattening ema20 and EMA50, with RSI(14) at 43 and ATR at about 5 pips into the London-NY transition.
Support: 0.8280, 0.82766, 0.82643
Resistance: 0.8289, 0.8298, 0.8300
What it said to watch
US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC and UoM at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close below the 0.8280 session low extends the double top toward the 0.8277 asian low, then the 0.8264 prev day low
Recovery above ema20 at 0.8289 and a break of the 0.8298 double top toward 0.8300 psych negates the double top read
12:02 UTC
Range, lower highs since London · RSI 44 · price 0.82849
0.8280–0.8298 box, double top at session high, price back inside Asian range.
London capped twice at 0.8298, just above yesterday's 0.8296 high, leaving a double top at the 16-month high. Price then slid back inside the Asian range and now sits near the 61.8% fib of the Asian low–session high rise, below both EMAs with RSI(14) at 44. CHF remains soft after the dovish SNB, but Friday's easing in yields and oil has stalled the USD leg, and the session low at 0.8280 is the floor under a lower-high trendline.
Support: 0.82803, 0.82766, 0.82643
Resistance: 0.82932, 0.8298
What it said to watch
Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC, then UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC, could materially shift this read
M15 close below the 0.8280 session low breaks the range floor and exposes the asian low at 0.8277, then the prior low at 0.8264
Close back above the asian high at 0.8293 and the lower-high trendline puts the 0.8298 double top back in play
Clean break of the 0.8298 double top would mark a fresh 16-month high and void the rejection read
11:46 UTC
Range after Asian rally, fading into late London · RSI 46 · price 0.82834
London range 0.8283–0.8298 with double top; price probing range base.
London capped twice at 0.8298, forming a double top just under the 16-month high area. The latest leg printed a session low at 0.8281 and has retraced ~68% of the Asian rally from the 0.8277 Asian low, with USD pausing on easing yields. Price now sits back under both EMAs at the range base.
Support: 0.8281, 0.8277, 0.8264
Resistance: 0.8293, 0.8298
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.8281 session low confirms the double top and exposes the 0.8277 Asian low, then 0.8264 thu low
Reclaim of 0.8293 Asian high returns price to the range and the 0.8298 double top
US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC and UoM sentiment/inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Double top at 0.8298 session high, neckline 0.8283 under test.
London twice failed at the 0.8298 session high, just above the 0.8296 16-month high. Price has slipped back through the 0.8293 Asian high, and the 11:00 UTC drop is pressing the 0.8283 neckline of an intraday double top, with RSI(14) near 39. The fade fits the Friday pause in the dollar as yields ease and oil dips on US-Iran talk reports.
Support: 0.82766, 0.82643
Resistance: 0.8283, 0.8293, 0.8298
What it said to watch
An M15 close below the 0.8283 neckline confirms the double top and puts the 0.8277 Asian low in play, then the 0.8264 NY low from yesterday's spike
A reclaim of the 0.8293 Asian high negates the break; the 0.8298 session high remains the rejection point
US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC and UoM sentiment/inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
11:16 UTC
Sideways at the highs, momentum neutral · RSI 49 · price 0.82922
London range 0.8283–0.8298 capped just under 0.8300.
London broke above the Asian range but was rejected twice at the 0.8298 session high, just shy of the 0.8300 psych level that caps the post-SNB run to 16-month highs. Dips to the 0.8283 london low drew buyers at 08:00 and 09:00 UTC. Price now sits mid-range at 0.8292, near the 38% retrace of the latest London swing, with RSI(14) neutral around 49 ahead of US data.
Support: 0.8283, 0.8277
Resistance: 0.8298, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8300 psych breaks the London range and the session high cap
Failure to hold the 0.8283 london low exposes the 0.8277 asian low
US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
11:01 UTC
Flat at highs, range-bound under 0.8300 · RSI 48 · price 0.82922
London range 0.8283–0.8298 above rising lows, capped twice at session high.
USDCHF cleared the Asian range top early in London, extending the post-SNB CHF weakness, but was rejected twice at the 0.8298 session high, just shy of the 0.8300 round number. Late London is compressing between the 0.8290 micro low and the session high, with rising lows from the 0.8277 Asian low still intact. RSI(14) is neutral near 48 and ATR(14) is about 5 pips.
Support: 0.8290, 0.8283
Resistance: 0.8298, 0.8300
What it said to watch
US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could break the 0.8283–0.8298 London range
An M15 close above the 0.8300 round number clears the double rejection at the session high
A close below the 0.8283 london low breaks the rising lows line and the range floor
Slipping under the 0.8290 micro low returns price to the middle of the range
London range 0.8283–0.8298 capped at the session high.
Mid-London, USDCHF is rotating inside a 0.8283–0.8298 range after the Asian push to 16-month highs on the dovish SNB read. The session high at 0.8298 has rejected price twice, alongside yesterday's 0.8296 prior high. The london low at 0.8283 has held three times. Price sits mid-to-upper range above EMA20 near 0.8291, with RSI(14) neutral at 53.
Support: 0.8283, 0.8277
Resistance: 0.8298, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8300 round number breaks the session high and range top
Loss of the 0.8283 london low exposes the 0.8277 asian low
Close back below the 61.8% of the london swing fib (~0.8288) shifts price toward the range floor
US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Rising lows since the Asian low; London range 0.8283-0.8298.
London has twice been capped at the 0.8298 session high, just under the 0.8300 round number. Dips to the 0.8283 London low held on the rising lows line from the 0.8277 Asian low, and price is back above the ema20 near 0.8291. CHF softness after yesterday's dovish SNB hold keeps the pair pressed against 16-month highs.
Support: 0.8291, 0.8283, 0.8277
Resistance: 0.8298, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8300 round number breaks the London range top
Loss of the 0.8283 london low breaks the rising lows line and exposes the 0.8277 asian low
US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
10:02 UTC
Sideways-to-firm, pressing session high · RSI 56 · price 0.82952
London range 0.8283–0.8298, equal lows at 0.8283, repeated tests of top.
The early-London false break above the prior high at 0.8296 reversed to the London low at 0.8283, where buyers stepped in twice. Price is back testing the 0.8298 session high just under the 0.8300 round number, RSI(14) neutral near 56 as USD consolidates ahead of US data.
Support: 0.8291, 0.8283, 0.8277
Resistance: 0.8298, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8300 round number clears the session high and breaks the range
Loss of 0.8291 (ema20, near 50% of the london swing) puts the london low at 0.8283 back in play
Break below the asian low at 0.8277 turns intraday structure lower
US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
09:31 UTC
Range after failed push to new high · RSI 45 · price 0.82853
False break of prior high, lower high at 0.8292, testing London low.
London open pushed through yesterday's 0.8296 high to a session high at 0.8298, but the break failed as yields eased and price slipped back inside the Asian range, leaving a lower high at 0.8292. Price is holding the 61.8% retrace of the Asia rally near 0.8285, just above the london low at 0.8283, with RSI(14) neutral at 45 and price slightly below both EMAs.
Support: 0.82826, 0.82766
Resistance: 0.8292, 0.82978
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8283 london low opens the asian low at 0.8277
Close above the 0.8292 lower high negates the lower-highs trendline and puts the 0.8298 session high back in play
US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
False break above Asian high, lower high at 0.8292, holding London low.
London open pushed through the Asian high at 0.8293 to a 0.8298 session high, just shy of 0.8300, then reversed to the 0.8283 London low. Price is back inside the Asian range, between the 50% and 61.8% retracement of the Asian rally, with RSI(14) near 45 and price sitting just under EMA20/EMA50. Easing oil and yields on the Hormuz headlines are capping the USD bid near the 16-month high, despite the dovish SNB backdrop.
Support: 0.8283, 0.82766, 0.82643
Resistance: 0.8293, 0.82978
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8283 London low exposes the 0.8277 Asian low, then yesterday's NY low at 0.8264
Recovery and close above the 0.8293 Asian high negates the false break and reopens the 0.8298 session high / 0.8300
Fed's Williams (09:15 UTC) and US Durable Goods/Core Capex (12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC are the larger event risk into the NY session
False break of prior high at 0.8298, lower high at 0.8292.
Early London pushed just through yesterday's 0.8296 high to a session high at 0.8298, short of the 0.8300 psych level. The pair was then rejected to the London low at 0.8283, and a lower high at 0.8292 has since capped the bounce. Price sits near the 50% retrace of the asian low–session high leg, with RSI(14) at 45; easing oil and yields on Hormuz headlines are the soft spot for USD.
Support: 0.8283, 0.8277
Resistance: 0.8292, 0.8298, 0.8300
What it said to watch
Williams at 09:15 UTC could shift this read within the hour
M15 close above the 0.8298 session high and 0.8300 psych would negate the false-break read
Failure to hold the 0.8283 london low exposes the 0.8277 asian low
A close back above the 0.8292 lower high reopens the session high
Durable Goods and Core Capex at 12:30 UTC are the next scheduled volatility risk
False break of prior high, back inside Asian range.
London open lifted USDCHF through yesterday's 0.8296 high to a 0.8298 session high, short of the 0.8300 psych level. The 08:00 UTC bar then reversed about 14 pips to 0.8284 as yields cooled on US-Iran Hormuz headlines. Price is back below the 0.8293 Asian high, sitting on the 06:15 swing low near the 61.8% retrace of the Asia advance.
Support: 0.8283, 0.8277, 0.8264
Resistance: 0.8293, 0.8298, 0.8300
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.8283 swing low exposes the 0.8277 Asian low, with the 0.8264 prior low below
Recovery above the 0.8293 Asian high reopens the session high at 0.8298 and the 0.8300 psych level
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC and US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher lows through Asia and London; Asian range high broken, now being retested.
London dipped to 0.8283, then broke the Asian range high at 0.8293 and set a session high at 0.8298, just shy of the 0.8300 round number. Dollar firmness and the dovish SNB kept CHF soft. Price has eased back to retest the Asian high, and the higher lows along the rising trendline are intact.
Support: 0.8293, 0.82831, 0.82766
Resistance: 0.82978, 0.8300
What it said to watch
Williams speech at 09:15 UTC, then Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC, could materially shift this read
M15 close back below the london low at 0.8283 breaks the higher lows and turns the London breakout into a false break
Loss of the asian low at 0.8277 would negate the higher-low chain from Asia
Close above the 0.8298 session high puts the 0.8300 round number in play
Asian range broken higher at London open, higher lows holding on the retest.
London broke above the Asian range top near 0.8293. The London leg from 0.8283 set a session high at 0.8298, just above yesterday's 0.8296 peak, on the hawkish-Fed and dovish-SNB divergence. Price is now retesting the breakout with a swing low near 0.8290 and the Asian trendline intact. RSI(14) sits near 55 and ATR is about 4 pips, so ranges are compressed beneath the 0.8300 round number.
Support: 0.82905, 0.82831, 0.82766
Resistance: 0.82978, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8290 swing low puts price back inside the Asian range and exposes the london low at 0.8283
Close above the 0.8298 session high opens a test of the 0.8300 round number
Break of the Asian trendline and the 0.8277 asian low would unwind the London leg entirely
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC and US durables at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
07:46 UTC
Uptrend, stalling at prior high · RSI 59 · price 0.8294
Higher lows since the Asian session, London break of the Asian high capped at 0.8296.
London opened with a push through the Asian high at 0.8293 into yesterday's 0.8296 prior high, the 16-month peak, where price has stalled for three bars just under the 0.8300 round number. Higher lows from the 0.8277 Asian low to the 0.8283 swing low keep the micro-uptrend intact on the firm USD after hawkish Fedspeak and a dovish SNB. RSI(14) near 59, ATR about 3.7 pips.
Support: 0.8293, 0.8283, 0.8277
Resistance: 0.8296, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8300 round number clears the prior high and the 16-month peak
Slip back below the Asian high at 0.8293 turns the London break into a false break
Loss of the 0.8283 swing low, near the 61.8% of the Asian low to London high leg, breaks the rising trendline
Close below the 0.8277 Asian low ends the higher-low sequence
Williams at 09:15 UTC and US durables at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
07:31 UTC
Uptrend, stalling at prior high · RSI 57 · price 0.82931
Higher lows from Asian low; Asian range high broken, capped at 0.8296.
Asia built a range from the 0.8277 asian low to 0.8293. A London dip to 0.8283 held, and the move through the Asian high then stalled at 0.8296, matching Thursday's post-SNB prior high. Weak CHF after the dovish SNB hold and hawkish Fedspeak keep the higher-low chain intact, with RSI(14) near 57 and not stretched.
Support: 0.82831, 0.82766
Resistance: 0.82964, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8296 prior high opens the 0.8300 round number
A second rejection at 0.8296 would leave a double top with Thursday's high
Break of the 0.8283 london dip breaks the rising trendline from the Asian low
Loss of the 0.8277 asian low would negate the higher-low sequence
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC and US durables at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher lows from 0.8272; London pushed above the Asian high, stalling under 0.8296.
Early European trade dipped to a 0.8283 swing low, then reversed through the Asian high near 0.8293. Price is stalling just under yesterday's 0.8296 16m high, with a higher-low chain from the 0.8277 Asian low intact as CHF stays heavy after the dovish-leaning SNB hold. RSI(14) sits in the high 50s and ATR is about 3.5 pips.
Support: 0.82831, 0.82766
Resistance: 0.82964, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8296 16m high puts the 0.8300 round number in play
Break below the 0.8283 swing low breaks the higher-low trendline and reopens the 0.8277 Asian low
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC, then Durable Goods at 12:30 and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC, could materially shift this read
Early London at 0.8293, just under the 0.8296 prior high from yesterday's post-SNB push, with the dovish-leaning SNB hold and hawkish Fed repricing keeping CHF heavy. Asia built higher lows from the 0.8277 asian low to the 0.8283 swing low, and a late-Asia push retested the high. RSI(14) sits mid-50s and ATR is about 3.5 pips.
Support: 0.8283, 0.8277
Resistance: 0.8296, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8296 prior high and 0.8300 round number breaks the retest into new highs
Failure to hold the 0.8283 swing low breaks the Asia higher-low line and exposes the 0.8277 asian low
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC and Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
06:46 UTC
Sideways-to-firm, Asia gains fading · RSI 41 · price 0.82852
Asian range 0.8277–0.8293; pullback from range top into mid-range pre-London.
Thursday's SNB hold drove a 40-pip jump off 0.8230, and the pair extended to the 0.8296 prior high during the London-NY hours as yields rallied. Asia climbed from the 0.8277 asian low to a 0.8293 asian high and met rejection there. Price has since given back half of that leg into the 0.8283 session low, just under EMA20, with London about to open.
Support: 0.82831, 0.82766, 0.82643
Resistance: 0.82932, 0.82964
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.8293 asian high reopens the 0.8296 prior high
Failure to hold the 0.8283 session low and rising lows exposes the 0.8277 asian low
Break below the asian low shifts focus to the 0.8264 post-SNB low
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC and US durable goods at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Asian range 0.8277–0.8293 capped under prior high; price at range midpoint.
Asia lifted USDCHF from the 0.8277 asian low to the 0.8293 asian high on the post-SNB CHF weakness and firm USD yields. The move stalled 3 pips under Thursday's 0.8296 prior high, and pre-London selling has taken price back to the 50% fib at 0.8285, below the ema20 and sitting on the ema50, with RSI(14) at 45 and ATR near 3 pips.
Support: 0.8280, 0.8277, 0.8272
Resistance: 0.8293, 0.8296, 0.8300
What it said to watch
Break of the 0.8280 swing low and the 0.8277 asian low turns the Asia advance into a full retrace, exposing the 0.8272 rollover low
M15 close back above the 0.8293 asian high reopens the 0.8296 prior high and the 0.8300 round number, flagged by the SNB for FX intervention
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC and US durable goods at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
06:16 UTC
Uptrend through Asia, stalling at London open · RSI 60 · price 0.82892
Tight consolidation under Asian high after Asia higher lows.
Asia lifted USDCHF from the 0.8277 Asian low to the 0.8293 Asian high, just shy of Thursday's 0.8296 prior high. The move extends the post-SNB franc weakness and firm USD yields. At the London open price is compressing in a 5-pip box above the 0.8288 micro floor, with RSI(14) near 60 and ATR around 3 pips.
Support: 0.82884, 0.82849, 0.82766
Resistance: 0.82932, 0.82964, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8296 prior high opens the 0.8300 round number
Loss of the 0.8288 micro floor exposes the fib 50% of the Asia leg near 0.8285
Break below the 0.8277 Asian low negates the Asia higher-low sequence
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC and US durable goods at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
06:02 UTC
Intraday uptrend, stalling under asian high · RSI 58 · price 0.82892
HH/HL chain through Asia, tight consolidation below 0.8293 late in Asia session.
The dovish-leaning SNB hold lifted USD/CHF about 40 pips on Thursday, and it held that gain through NY hours despite a dip to 0.8264. Asia climbed from the 0.8277 asian low to a 0.8293 asian high on a firm USD and yield backdrop. Price is now compressing in a 4-pip band just under that high, above the 0.8288 pullback low, with RSI(14) near 58 and ATR under 3 pips ahead of the London open.
Support: 0.82884, 0.82849, 0.82766
Resistance: 0.82932, 0.82964, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8293 asian high and the 0.8296 prior high exposes the 0.8300 psych level
Failure to hold the 0.8288 pullback low opens the fib 50% at 0.8285, then the 0.8277 asian low
London open expansion from the compressed Asian range could set the session direction
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC, Durables at 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
The dovish SNB hold drove yesterday's 40-pip spike off 0.8229. After the dip to the NY low at 0.8264, the pair has built higher lows through the Asia session from the Asian low at 0.8277, supported by the rising trendline. Late Asia is now compressing in a 4-pip box between the swing low at 0.8289 and the Asian high at 0.8293, just under the prior high at 0.8296, with RSI(14) near 69 and ATR at roughly 3 pips.
Support: 0.82888, 0.82766, 0.82643
Resistance: 0.82932, 0.82964, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8296 prior high opens the 0.8300 round number
Break of the 0.8289 swing low and the rising trendline turns the Asia uptrend into a range back toward the 0.8277 Asian low
London open could expand the compressed Asian range
Williams at 09:15 UTC, Durables at 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC are USD catalysts that could reset this read
Loss of the 0.8264 NY low undoes the post-SNB structure
Asian higher-low chain, capped under 0.8296 prior high.
CHF selling after yesterday's dovish SNB hold drove a 40-pip spike at 07:30 UTC. The pair set a 0.82964 prior high, and a NY flush to the 0.82643 NY low was fully bought back. The Asian upswing off the 0.82766 Asian low printed a higher-low chain to the 0.82932 Asian high. Price is now pausing just under the prior high ahead of London open, with RSI(14) near 60 and ATR(14) about 2.6 pips.
Support: 0.82869, 0.82766, 0.82643
Resistance: 0.82932, 0.82964, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.82964 prior high opens the 0.8300 round number
Loss of the 38.2% fib at 0.82869 and the rising trendline exposes the 0.82766 Asian low
Williams (09:15 UTC), durables (12:30 UTC) and UoM inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
Higher-low chain through Asia, pressing the NY high.
USDCHF has extended the post-SNB franc sell-off with a steady higher-low grind through the Asia session, from the 0.8277 asian low to a 0.8293 session high. That high sits just under the 0.8296 prior high set during NY hours. RSI(14) is near 71, and bar ranges have compressed to about 3 pips as price flattens under that level.
Support: 0.82893, 0.82766
Resistance: 0.82932, 0.82964, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8296 prior high exposes the 0.8300 round number
Break of the 0.8289 swing low and the asia trendline ends the higher-low chain
Failure back below the 0.8277 asian low shifts the read to a range
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC and US durables at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Late Asia session has ground higher in a higher-low chain from the 0.8277 asian low to 0.8293. That puts price just under yesterday's 0.8296 NY high, part of the extension after the dovish SNB hold. RSI(14) sits near 71 with ATR under 3 pips, and bars are compressing ahead of London open.
Support: 0.82766, 0.82643
Resistance: 0.82964, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8296 ny high opens the 0.8300 round number
Break of the asian uptrend line and the 0.8277 asian low returns price to yesterday's range, with the 0.8264 ny low beneath
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
04:46 UTC
Uptrend, pressing the session high · RSI 71 · price 0.82922
Higher-low chain through Asia, price at Asian high below prior high.
The SNB's dovish hold drove a 40-pip spike from 0.8230 at the decision, and the pair then extended to a 0.82964 prior high during NY hours. Late in the Asia session, a higher-low chain off the 0.82766 Asian low has lifted price to the range top, just under that prior high, with RSI(14) near 71 and ATR(14) around 3 pips.
Support: 0.82893, 0.82766, 0.82717
Resistance: 0.82964, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.82964 prior high opens the 0.8300 round number
Break of the 0.82893 swing low stalls the Asian higher-low chain
Loss of the 0.82766 Asian low, then the 0.82717 rollover low, breaks the intraday uptrend structure
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
04:31 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher through Asia · RSI 71 · price 0.82913
Higher lows since the rollover dip; price just below the prior high.
CHF remains heavy after yesterday's dovish SNB hold, with USD bid on hike pricing. Late Asia has stepped up from the 0.8277 Asian low to 0.8293, stalling just under the 0.8296 prior high set during NY. RSI(14) sits near 71 and ATR is compressed around 3 pips ahead of the London open.
Support: 0.8280, 0.82766, 0.82643
Resistance: 0.82964, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8296 prior high opens the 0.8300 round number
Failure to hold the 0.8280 swing low breaks the Asian higher-low chain and exposes the 0.8277 Asian low
Loss of the rising support from the rollover low puts the 0.8264 ny low back in view
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
04:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher in late Asia · RSI 67 · price 0.82921
Asian higher lows, NY high cleared, testing session high.
Late Asia session has built higher lows off the 0.8277 Asian low and 0.8280 Asian HL, clearing the 0.8291 NY high and pressing into yesterday's post-SNB session high at 0.8296. Price sits above both EMAs with RSI(14) near 67, not stretched. The move extends the dovish-SNB and firm-USD rate-gap theme.
Support: 0.8291, 0.8280, 0.8277
Resistance: 0.8296, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8296 session high and the 0.8300 round number extends the uptrend into London open
Slip back below the 0.8291 NY high would turn the breakout into a false break
Break of the asian hl trendline and the 0.8277 Asian low ends the higher-low sequence
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC and US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
04:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher through Asia · RSI 68 · price 0.82921
Higher lows since 0.8277 Asian low, pressing prior high.
The dovish SNB hold at 07:30 UTC Thursday lifted USD/CHF about 40 pips off 0.8229. NY dipped to 0.8264 (ny low) before recovering. Late Asia has stepped up in higher lows from the 0.8277 Asian low and cleared the 0.8284 asia pivot, putting price at 0.8292, just under the 0.8296 prior high. RSI(14) near 68 is firm but not stretched, with ATR around 3 pips ahead of London open.
Support: 0.8284, 0.82766, 0.82643
Resistance: 0.82964, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8296 prior high opens the 0.8300 round number
Loss of the 0.8284 asia pivot breaks the Asian higher-low trendline and exposes the 0.8277 asian low
Break below the 0.8264 ny low would undo the post-SNB extension
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC and US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Asian range break, higher lows into the 0.8291 swing high.
Late Asia session has pushed out of the 0.8277–0.8285 overnight range and is pressing the 0.8291 swing high, with higher lows off the 0.8277 Asian low. The 0.8296 prior high from Thursday's post-SNB rally sits just above. RSI(14) is near 67 and ATR is about 3 pips, a quiet tape extending the move driven by the SNB rate gap and a firm USD.
Support: 0.8285, 0.82766, 0.82717
Resistance: 0.82911, 0.82964
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8296 prior high extends the post-SNB higher-high sequence
Slip back below the 0.8285 range top turns the Asian break into a false break
Loss of the 0.8277 Asian low breaks the higher-lows trendline and exposes the 0.8272 rollover low
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC and US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
03:31 UTC
Grinding higher in Asia, inside post-SNB range · RSI 62 · price 0.82889
Higher lows through Asia, testing range top near 0.8290.
The dovish SNB hold lifted the pair from 0.8229 into a 0.8264–0.8296 band, bounded by the 24h high and the NY low. Late in the Asia session, price has stacked higher lows off the 0.8277 Asian low and is pressing 0.8290, just under the 0.8291 swing high, with RSI(14) near 62 and ATR only ~3 pips.
Support: 0.8280, 0.82766, 0.82643
Resistance: 0.82911, 0.82964
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8291 swing high puts the 0.8296 24h high in play
Loss of the 0.8280 higher low breaks the Asia trendline; below the 0.8277 Asian low reopens the 0.8264 NY low
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC and US durables at 12:30 UTC could expand the tight Asian range
Price sits near the 78.6% fib of the NY drop; rejection there keeps the range intact
03:16 UTC
Grinding higher, higher lows through Asia · RSI 65 · price 0.82876
Asian range high being tested, HL chain off 0.8272 swing low.
Late in the Asia session, price is pressing above the Asian high at 0.8285, extending a higher-low sequence off the 0.8272 swing low. RSI(14) is near 65. Price sits at the 61.8% retracement of the post-SNB pullback, with the NY swing high at 0.8291 and the post-SNB high at 0.8296 overhead after yesterday's dovish SNB hold lifted the pair.
Support: 0.82852, 0.82766, 0.82717
Resistance: 0.82911, 0.82964
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.8285 asian high marks a false break of the Asian range
Close above the 0.8291 ny swing high opens the 0.8296 post-snb high
Loss of the 0.8277 asian low breaks the higher-lows line; 0.8272 swing low next
Fed's Williams 09:15 UTC, then Durable Goods 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations 14:00 UTC, could materially shift this read
Higher lows 0.8272 → 0.8277, pressing asian high 0.8287.
The dovish SNB hold drove a 0.8229 → 0.8296 leg to the session high. The NY low at 0.8264 held near the 50% of the snb leg fib, and higher lows at the post-rollover swing low 0.8272 and the asian low 0.8277 now have price testing the Asian range top at 0.8287. RSI(14) is at 65 and ATR is just 3.4 pips, so the Asia session is tight, with the ny high at 0.8291 the first cap overhead.
Support: 0.82766, 0.82717, 0.82643
Resistance: 0.82911, 0.82964
What it said to watch
M15 close above the ny high 0.8291 exposes the session high 0.8296; rejection there keeps the overnight range intact
Break below the asian low 0.8277 and the rising-lows trendline puts the swing low 0.8272 back in focus
Loss of the ny low 0.8264 would break the post-SNB structure and deepen the snb leg fib retracement
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC during London hours could shift USD tone and this read
US-Iran / oil headlines remain a haven-CHF trigger that can override the rate-gap drift
Tight Asian range above rising lows, below 0.8296 session high.
The dovish SNB hold drove a 40-pip bar off 0.8229 and extended to the 0.8296 session high in NY. Since then the pair has held a narrow 0.8277–0.8285 Asian range, with higher lows from the 0.8264 NY low through the 0.8272 rollover low. RSI(14) is neutral near 56, and ATR(14) has compressed to about 3.6 pips late in Asia.
Support: 0.82766, 0.82717, 0.82643
Resistance: 0.82852, 0.82911, 0.82964
What it said to watch
A London-open break of the 0.8285 Asian high puts the 0.8291 NY high and the 0.8296 session high back in focus
Loss of the 0.8277 Asian low breaks the higher-lows line and exposes the 0.8272 rollover low
A close below the 0.8264 NY low would mean a deeper than 50% retracement of the SNB leg
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC and US durables at 12:30 UTC could shift USD tone later today
Any US-Iran or oil headline could trigger a haven CHF bid against this structure
Tight Asian range 0.8277–0.8285 under descending highs.
The dovish SNB hold at 0% lifted the pair roughly 45 pips off 0.8229 at the London open. The move extended to a 0.8296 session high in NY before a sharp drop to the 0.8264 NY low. Since then a lower high at 0.8291 and the descending highs trendline have capped price, which is compressing in a 0.8277–0.8285 Asian range above the rollover low and the 38.2% fib near 0.8271. RSI(14) is neutral at ~56, and ATR of ~3 pips reflects thin Asia session conditions.
Support: 0.82766, 0.82717, 0.82643
Resistance: 0.82852, 0.82911, 0.82964
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8285 asian high breaks the descending highs trendline and exposes the 0.8291 lower high
Loss of the 0.8277 asian low puts the 0.8272 rollover low and 38.2% fib back in play
Break of the 0.8264 NY low would retrace more than half the post-SNB leg and negate the uptrend read
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC and the London open could expand the range from current compressed ATR
02:16 UTC
Post-SNB uptrend, now consolidating below the high · RSI 58 · price 0.82832
Tight Asian range 0.8277–0.8285 inside the 0.8264–0.8296 post-spike range.
The dovish SNB hold drove a spike from 0.8229 that extended to a 0.8296 day high in NY. The pullback held at the 0.8264 swing low, near the 38.2–50% fib of that move. Asia is compressing in a 0.8277–0.8285 range with rising lows off the 0.8272 rollover low, and ATR(14) near 3 pips shows very little movement.
Support: 0.82766, 0.82717, 0.82643
Resistance: 0.82852, 0.82911, 0.82964
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8285 asian high opens the 0.8291 swing high, then the 0.8296 day high
Break of the 0.8277 asian low and the rising lows line exposes the 0.8272 rollover low
Failure below the 0.8264 swing low takes price under the 38.2% fib and weakens the post-SNB structure
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC and US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC could expand the range sharply
Tight Asian range with rising lows inside a 0.8272–0.8291 band.
The dovish SNB hold drove a rally from 0.8229 to the 0.8296 snb high during NY hours. A flush to the 0.8264 ny low followed, and price has since compressed between the 0.8272 swing low and the 0.8291 prior high. Early Asia session is holding a tight 0.8277–0.8285 Asian range with rising lows, RSI(14) neutral near 58 and ATR only about 3 pips.
Support: 0.82766, 0.82717, 0.82643
Resistance: 0.82852, 0.82911, 0.82964
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the 0.8285 asian high opens the 0.8291 prior high, then the 0.8296 snb high
A break of the 0.8277 asian low and the rising lows line exposes the 0.8272 swing low
Losing the 0.8264 ny low puts the 0.8263 yearly high retest and the 38.2% fib of the snb rally into play
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC and US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher lows since NY dip; Asian range 0.8272–0.8284.
The dovish SNB hold drove a 42-pip M15 bar off 0.8229, and the rally ran to a post-snb hi at 0.8296 during NY hours. The 16:15 UTC dip held at the 0.8264 ny low, and higher lows since then define a rising trendline. The Asian session is contained in a tight 0.8272–0.8284 range, with price pressing the asian high and holding above the 23.6% level of the SNB rally fib.
Support: 0.82766, 0.82717, 0.82643
Resistance: 0.82841, 0.82911, 0.82964
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8284 asian high opens the 0.8291 ny high, then the 0.8296 post-snb hi
Loss of the 0.8277 swing low and the rising trendline exposes the 0.8272 asian low
A break below the 0.8264 ny low puts price back at the old 0.8263 yearly high and near the 38.2% level of the SNB rally fib
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC and US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC could reset the range
01:31 UTC
Sideways after SNB rally, range compressing · RSI 46 · price 0.82779
Lower highs vs rising lows inside 0.8272–0.8284 Asian range.
The dovish SNB hold sparked a 68-pip leg from 0.8229 to the 0.8296 day high in NY. Since then, lower highs at 0.8291 and 0.8284 and rising lows at the 0.8264 swing low and 0.8272 have squeezed price into a quiet Asian range between 0.8272 and 0.8284, well above the 38.2% of the SNB leg. RSI(14) sits near 46 and ATR is about 3.5 pips; price is just under both EMAs early in the Asia session.
Support: 0.82717, 0.82643
Resistance: 0.82841, 0.82911, 0.82964
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8272 asian low breaks the rising lows line and exposes the 0.8264 swing low
Close above the 0.8284 asian high clears the lower highs line and brings the 0.8291 lower high back into view
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC, then Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC, could break the compression
Lower high under 0.8296, compressing in tight Asian range.
The dovish SNB hold drove a 42-pip spike from 0.8229, and a firm USD extended the post-SNB rally to a 0.8296 day high in the NY session. The pullback held the 0.8264 NY low, near the prior yearly high. Price has since compressed into a 12-pip Asian range of 0.8272–0.8284, sitting flat on EMA20 with RSI(14) near 55 and ATR under 4 pips.
Support: 0.8272, 0.8264
Resistance: 0.8284, 0.8291, 0.8296
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8284 asian high reopens the 0.8291 lower high and the 0.8296 day high
Loss of the 0.8272 asian low exposes the 0.8264 ny low, inside the 38.2–50% fib zone of the post-SNB rally
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC and US durables at 12:30 UTC could break the Asian range
Early Asia session is boxed in a 0.8278–0.8284 Asian range after the SNB-driven leg from 0.8229 topped at the 0.8296 day high in NY, with a lower high at 0.8291 capping since. The ny flush low at 0.8264 held between the 38.2% and 50% of the SNB leg fib. Price sits flat at EMA20, RSI(14) near 56 and ATR about 3 pips, so there is no setup in play.
Support: 0.82777, 0.82717, 0.82643
Resistance: 0.82841, 0.82911, 0.82964
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.82841 asian high breaks the Asian range toward the 0.82911 lower high
Failure to hold the 0.82777 asian low exposes the 0.82717 rollover low
Reclaim of the 0.82964 day high negates the lower-highs trendline
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC could shift the USD leg around London open
00:46 UTC
Sideways after post-SNB impulse · RSI 58 · price 0.82824
Compression inside the 0.8264–0.8296 post-SNB range, higher lows.
The dovish SNB hold drove a rally from 0.8229 to a session high at 0.8296 in the NY session. Since the NY low at 0.8264, higher lows at the 0.8272 rollover low have kept price compressed near the 23.6% level of the SNB rally fib. The Asian range is narrow at 0.8278–0.8284, with RSI(14) neutral and ATR near 3 pips.
Support: 0.82777, 0.82717, 0.82643
Resistance: 0.82836, 0.82911, 0.82964
What it said to watch
A close above the 0.8284 asia high puts the 0.8291 ny high and 0.8296 session high back in focus
Failure below the 0.8278 asia low and the 0.8272 rollover low breaks the higher-lows line and exposes the 0.8264 ny low
The 38.2% level of the SNB rally fib near 0.8270 aligns with the rollover low
Williams at 09:15 UTC and US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC could expand the range beyond the Asian box
00:31 UTC
Post-SNB uptrend, now consolidating · RSI 57 · price 0.82827
Contracting range below day high; lower high vs higher low.
The dovish SNB hold drove a 40-pip spike off 0.8229, and the pair extended to a day high at 0.8296 before chopping in a 0.8264–0.8296 range. The ny spike low at 0.8264 held just above the 50% fib of that SNB leg. Since then a lower high at 0.8291 and a higher low at the asia low of 0.8272 are compressing the range along rising lows, with early Asia drifting near 0.8283 and RSI(14) in the mid-50s.
Support: 0.82717, 0.82643
Resistance: 0.82911, 0.82964
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8291 lower high reopens the 0.8296 day high
Loss of the 0.8272 asia low breaks the rising lows and exposes the 0.8264 ny spike low / 50% fib
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC, ahead of US durables at 12:30 UTC, could shift USD pricing and break the range
00:16 UTC
Post-SNB uptrend, now flat · RSI 52 · price 0.82819
Range 0.8264–0.8296 above SNB spike base.
The dovish SNB hold drove a 40-pip spike at the London open, and USD/CHF has since held above the move's 38.2% retracement. The pair has ranged since, capped at the 0.8296 session high. The NY low at 0.8264 held just above the 50% level, and early Asia session trade is drifting mid-range near 0.8282 after a rollover low at 0.8272.
Support: 0.82717, 0.82643
Resistance: 0.82911, 0.82964
What it said to watch
Close above the 0.8291 ny high and 0.8296 session high breaks the range to the upside
Loss of the 0.8272 rollover low exposes the 0.8264 ny low and the 50% fib of the SNB spike near 0.8263
Fed's Williams (09:15 UTC) and US durables (12:30 UTC) could shift the USD leg later in the day
00:02 UTC
Post-SNB uptrend, now stalling in consolidation · RSI 52 · price 0.82819
The SNB's dovish hold at 07:30 UTC drove a 40-pip impulse off 0.8229. NY extended it to the 0.8296 session high, and a sharp drop to the 0.8264 NY dip low was bought back. Since then, lower highs at 0.8291 and a rollover low at 0.8272, near the 38.2% of the SNB impulse, frame a tight consolidation, with early Asia at 0.8282, flat EMAs and RSI(14) near 52.
Support: 0.82717, 0.82643
Resistance: 0.82911, 0.82964, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8291 lower high reopens the 0.8296 session high and the 0.8300 round number
Break below the 0.8272 rollover low exposes the 0.8264 NY dip low, just above the 0.8263 yearly high
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC, then Durables at 12:30 UTC and UoM at 14:00 UTC, could break the consolidation
US-Iran or oil headlines could trigger a sharp haven CHF bid against the SNB impulse