Monday's Asia open gapped about 8 pips below the 0.8286 Friday close to a 0.8276 gap low. The gap filled within the first hour, and a breakout bar through 0.8293 carried price to 0.8298, matching the Friday high to the pip. The rate-gap theme keeps CHF heavy, but price is stalling just under the 0.8300 round number, with RSI(14) near 63 and not stretched.
Support: 0.8293, 0.8286, 0.8276
Resistance: 0.8298, 0.8300, 0.8305
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8300 round number clears the Friday high and brings the 0.8305–0.8330 resist zone into view
Slip back below the 0.8293 breakout bar and the 0.8286 Friday close reopens the 0.8276 gap low
Thin Asia liquidity with no data in the next 8h; Tue JOLTS/Fed speakers and Wed ADP/PCE are the next scheduled catalysts
23:31 UTC
Intraday bid off the weekly open, stalling at range top · RSI 64 · price 0.82957
Weekend gap filled; price pressing Friday's 0.8271–0.8298 range high.
The weekly open gapped about 8 pips below the friday close to a 0.8276 gap low. Asia then filled the gap and ran roughly 20 pips into the 0.8298 friday high, which also capped Friday's range, and price has stalled there with RSI(14) cooling from the mid-60s. The rate-gap theme and CHF funding pressure from the dovish SNB hold explain the persistent bid, but the Friday range top is still intact.
Support: 0.8293, 0.8286, 0.8276
Resistance: 0.8298, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8298 friday high and the 0.8300 round number breaks Friday's range
Slip back below the 0.8293 breakout bar returns price inside the range; the friday close at 0.8286 lines up with the 50% fib of the Sunday rally
Failure to hold 0.8276 gap low reopens the Friday low at 0.8271
No scheduled data in the next 8h; Tue JOLTS and Fed speakers are the next scheduled risk for this read
23:16 UTC
Uptrend off the weekly open, pressing range top · RSI 68 · price 0.82971
Weekend gap lower reclaimed; price back at Friday high.
The early-Asia reopen gapped about 9 pips below the 0.82857 Friday close to a 0.82763 Sunday low. It then filled the gap and ran 21 pips to retest the 0.8298 Friday high, now the third test of that ceiling. The move fits the CHF-funding and rate-gap theme, though the digest flags USD/CHF as overbought into the cited cap at 0.8305.
Support: 0.8293, 0.82857, 0.82763
Resistance: 0.8298, 0.8300, 0.8305
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8298 Friday high and 0.8300 round number breaks the Friday 0.8271–0.8298 range, with the 0.8305 cited cap next
Slip back below the 0.8293 prior shelf keeps the range intact and exposes the 0.82857 Friday close
Loss of the 0.82763 Sunday low breaks the higher lows from Friday's NY trough
Thin early-Asia liquidity; London open is the first real test of the Friday high
Tue JOLTS and Fed speakers, then Wed ADP/PCE, are the next scheduled risk to the rate-gap read
23:01 UTC
Intraday up, pressing range top · RSI 69 · price 0.82971
Monday gap filled, rally to Friday high inside 0.8271–0.8298 range.
Monday's Asia session opened with a gap of about 9 pips below the 0.8286 friday close. The gap filled within the first hour and price extended to 0.8298, retesting the friday high that capped London twice. RSI(14) sits near 69, and the Fed–SNB rate gap keeps the pair pinned at the top of Friday's 0.8271–0.8298 range.
Support: 0.8284, 0.8276, 0.8271
Resistance: 0.8298, 0.8305
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8298 friday high breaks the range top and brings the 0.8305 cited cap into view
A drop back below 0.8284 friday close, the 61.8% of the open rally, returns price to mid-range
Loss of the 0.8276 open low exposes the 0.8271 friday low
US JOLTS (Tue 14:00 UTC) and Wed ADP/PCE are the next scheduled drivers of the rate-gap read
22:46 UTC
Intraday bid off Monday open, pressing range top · RSI 65 · price 0.82959
Gap down filled; testing top of Friday's 0.8271–0.8298 range.
Monday opened in the Asia session with a gap down to the 0.8276 monday low. The rally then filled the gap through the 0.8286 friday close and is now pressing the 0.8298 friday high, the top of Friday's range down to the 0.8271 friday low. CHF stays heavy on the dovish SNB–hawkish Fed rate gap, and RSI(14) near 65 is firm but not stretched.
Support: 0.8286, 0.8276, 0.8271
Resistance: 0.8298, 0.8305
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8298 friday high breaks the Friday range and brings the 0.8305 overhead cap into view
Slip back below the 0.8286 friday close, near the 38.2% fib of the Monday rally, turns the gap fill into a rejection at range top
Loss of the 0.8276 monday low reopens the 0.8271 friday low
Friday range 0.8271–0.8298; Sunday gap down filled, higher low at 0.8276.
The Sunday open gapped about 8 pips below the 0.8286 Friday close to a 0.8276 Sunday low. That low held as a higher low against the 0.8271 Friday low, and the gap filled within the hour. Price is back at 0.8293, just under the 0.8296–0.8298 Friday high cluster, with the SNB–Fed rate gap still keeping CHF heavy.
Support: 0.8286, 0.8276, 0.8271
Resistance: 0.8298, 0.8305
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8298 friday high breaks the Friday range and opens the path to the 0.8305 cap zone
Slip back below the 0.8286 friday close puts the 0.8276 sunday low and the higher low line back in focus
Break of 0.8271 friday low invalidates the range read
Thin early Asia session liquidity; range edges may not hold cleanly until Tokyo/London participation
22:16 UTC
Range-bound, bid off Monday gap · RSI 58 · price 0.82902
Friday range 0.8271–0.8298; weekend gap filled, price at upper half.
The Monday open gapped about 8 pips below the 0.8286 Friday close to a 0.8276 gap low. The gap has already filled, and the latest bar closed on its 0.8290 high in thin early-Asia trade. Price now sits under the 0.8293 prior highs and the 0.8298 Friday high, inside a Friday range bounded by the 0.8271 Friday low, with a dovish SNB versus Fed hike pricing keeping CHF heavy.
Support: 0.82857, 0.82763, 0.8271
Resistance: 0.8293, 0.8298, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8298 Friday high breaks the range top and brings the 0.8300 psych level and the 0.8305–0.8330 cap into play
Slip back below the 0.8286 Friday close reopens the 0.8276 gap low
Failure to hold the 0.8271 Friday low breaks the range to the downside
Asia liquidity is thin; the first scheduled US risk is Tuesday's JOLTS and Fed speakers, with no calendar events in the next 8h
Friday range 0.8271–0.8298; Monday gap down filled, price back mid-to-upper range.
The weekly open gapped about 8 pips below the friday close at 0.8286, then held a gap low at 0.8276 and filled the gap in thin early Asia trade to 0.8290. Price is back near the 61.8% of Friday's drop from the friday high at 0.8298 to the 16:00 UTC friday low at 0.8271, with the late-NY swing high at 0.8292 overhead.
Support: 0.8286, 0.8276, 0.8271
Resistance: 0.8292, 0.8298
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8292 swing high puts the 0.8298 friday high and the 0.8305–0.8330 cap flagged in the digest back in play
Slip back below the 0.8286 friday close reopens the gap low at 0.8276
Loss of the 0.8271 friday low breaks the range read to the downside
Thin Asia session liquidity; no scheduled USD/CHF events in the next 8h, JOLTS Tue and ADP/PCE Wed are the next catalysts
21:46 UTC
Range, gapped lower at weekly open · RSI 36 · price 0.82773
Friday range 0.8271–0.8298 intact; open gap below Friday close.
The weekly open gapped about 8 pips below Friday's 0.8286 close. Price is holding near 0.8277 in thin early Asia session trade, just above the 0.8276 open low. Friday's range held between the 0.8271 NY low and the 0.8298 London high near the 16-month peak, with the pair fading as oil-led USD softness set in, and price now sits in the lower third of that Friday range.
Support: 0.82763, 0.8271
Resistance: 0.82857, 0.8298
What it said to watch
A close back above 0.8286 would fill the gap and return price to mid-range
Failure to hold the 0.8276 open low exposes the 0.8271 Friday low
An M15 close below 0.8271 would break the Friday range to the downside
The Friday high at 0.8298 remains the range top; the 0.8305–0.8330 area sits beyond it
Early-week liquidity is thin until the London open; gap behaviour may not carry through
21:31 UTC
Range, drifting lower after the weekend gap · RSI 36 · price 0.82767
Friday range 0.8271–0.8298 with lower highs into the close; Sunday open gapped to the lower third.
The Sunday reopen gapped about 9 pips below Friday's 0.8286 close. That puts price just above the 0.8275 ny swing low and the 0.8271 friday low, which marked the 16:00 UTC fix spike where demand stepped in. On Friday, supply capped the market under the 0.8298 friday high through London and NY as the oil-led USD dip played out, leaving a lower-highs sequence into the close. RSI(14) is around 36 in thin early-week liquidity.
Support: 0.82754, 0.8271
Resistance: 0.82857, 0.82918, 0.8298
What it said to watch
An M15 close below the 0.8271 friday low breaks the range floor and exposes the 0.8255 support cited in the digest
A gap fill back to 0.8286 returns price to mid-range; the lower-highs line near the 0.8292 lower high sits below the 0.8298 friday high
Thin liquidity until the Asia session builds a range; JOLTS on Tue and ADP/PCE on Wed are the next major USD risk
21:16 UTC
Flat-to-lower, weekly open gap down · RSI 32 · price 0.82763
Friday range 0.8271–0.8298, lower highs into NY close.
The weekly open gapped about 9 pips below Friday's 0.8286 close, putting price on the 0.8275 swing low and just above the 0.8271 fri low. Friday's London session set the 16m high at 0.8298, and NY then printed lower highs at 0.8296 and 0.8292 as oil-led USD softness faded the rally.
Support: 0.82754, 0.8271, 0.8255
Resistance: 0.82857, 0.82958, 0.8298
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8271 fri low breaks the Friday range and brings the 0.8255 analyst supp into play
A gap fill back to 0.8286 while holding the swing low keeps the range read intact
Reclaiming the lower highs line near 0.8292–0.8296 reopens the 16m high at 0.8298
Thin Sunday-open liquidity can distort early Asia session ranges; the first hour of Asia sets the new range
21:02 UTC
Sideways, compressing into the close · RSI 46 · price 0.82857
Range 0.8271–0.8298, lower highs vs higher low late NY.
Friday closed mid-range at 0.8286. London's push to the 0.8298 day high failed to extend, and NY dipped to the 0.8271 day low as oil slid and USD eased before recovering. Late NY printed a lower high at the 0.8292 ny high and a higher swing low at 0.8280, holding the 61.8% fib of the NY recovery and compressing into the weekly close.
Support: 0.8280, 0.8271
Resistance: 0.8292, 0.8298
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8280 swing low breaks the 61.8% fib and reopens the 0.8271 day low
Break above the 0.8292 ny high puts the 0.8298 day high and the 16-month high back in play
Weekend gap risk at the Monday Asia open; JOLTS Tue and ADP/PCE Wed could materially shift this read