USD/CHF clawed back off the session low at 0.8066 after in-line US PCE deflated Fed-hike bets, and is now consolidating just under the 0.8100 pivot with RSI mid-range. The recovery printed a chain of higher lows but supply is capping each push into 0.8100.
Support: 0.8092, 0.8085, 0.8066
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.8118
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8100 pivot opens the path to the 0.8118 session high
Failure to hold 0.8092 range low reopens 0.8066 session low
US ADP + ISM Manufacturing Jul 1 are the main near-term USD catalysts
20:46 UTC
Rangebound after NY-session bounce · RSI 44 · price 0.80916
Consolidation below session high.
USDCHF recovered from NY-session lows near 0.80687 to 0.80989 as the dollar steadied after in-line US PCE, but the bounce stalled at 0.80989 and price is now easing back toward 0.80916 into late NY/Asia. Holding above the 0.80870 swing low keeps the recovery intact; momentum is neutral with RSI mid-40s.
Support: 0.8087, 0.80687
Resistance: 0.80989, 0.8100
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80870 opens a retest of the 0.80687 ny low
Reclaim of 0.80989 session high reopens the 0.81000 round number
Thin late-session/early-July liquidity can exaggerate moves
Ranging 0.8090–0.8099 after recovery off session low.
USDCHF recovered off the 0.80687 session low and ranged 0.8090–0.8099 through the NY session after in-line US PCE deflated Fed-hike bets and pressured the pair down from the 0.8140 high. Price has since eased to 0.80916, slipping back below EMA20 as the range top at 0.80989 caps.
Support: 0.8087, 0.80687, 0.8066
Resistance: 0.80989, 0.8107, 0.81118
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80989 reopens the path toward 0.81070
Loss of 0.80870 exposes the 0.80687 session low
Thin pre-US-holiday liquidity can exaggerate intraday swings
USD/CHF sold off into 0.80660–0.80690 during NY hours as in-line US PCE deflated Fed-hike bets, then buyers stepped in repeatedly to build a base and lift price back to the 0.80990 session high. Late-NY price now consolidates in a tight 0.80930–0.80990 band on thinning liquidity.
Support: 0.8087, 0.8069
Resistance: 0.8099, 0.8100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81000 psych opens path back toward 0.81118
Failure to hold 0.80870 swing low reopens the 0.80690 session low
Thin liquidity into the Asia session can exaggerate moves
Consolidating below session high after midday slide.
USDCHF sold off to a session low at 0.80660 around midday as in-line US PCE deflated Fed-hike bets, then ground back up through NY to ~0.80990. Price now consolidating in a tight 0.80930–0.80990 band, RSI mid-range with no fresh push.
Support: 0.8087, 0.8066
Resistance: 0.8099, 0.8111
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80990 opens the path back toward 0.81110
Failure to hold 0.80870 reopens the 0.80660 session low
Thin liquidity into the US holiday week can widen ranges
Higher lows into tight consolidation below session high.
USDCHF recovered from the 0.80660 session low and is consolidating in a tight 0.80930–0.80990 band, having stalled right at the 61.8% retrace of the earlier 0.81118–0.80660 slide. The pullback followed in-line US PCE deflating Fed-hike bets; RSI(14) is mid-range with no extreme in play.
Support: 0.8087, 0.8072, 0.8066
Resistance: 0.8099, 0.81118
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80990 session high opens the path back to 0.81118
Failure to hold 0.80870 swing low reopens the 0.80660 session low
No scheduled USD/CHF catalyst in the next 8h; Swiss CPI sits Jul 2
20:02 UTC
Recovered off lows, consolidating · RSI 58 · price 0.80947
Rising lows into late NY, range top capping.
USDCHF recovered the full London-NY selloff, climbing from the 0.80660 low back to consolidate just under 0.80990 into late NY, after the earlier in-line PCE print drove the dip. Price is pressing the session high with RSI(14) neutral around 58.
Support: 0.8080, 0.80687, 0.8066
Resistance: 0.8099, 0.81118
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80990 opens the path toward 0.81118
Failure to hold 0.80800 reopens the 0.80660 window low
Thin liquidity into the Friday close can distort moves
USD/CHF slid to a 0.8066 session low before a steady recovery back toward the 0.8100 round number, with in-line US PCE undercutting Fed-hike bets the broad driver. Last few hours are tight consolidation between 0.8093 and 0.8099 just under 0.8100 into thin Asia hours; RSI(14) flat near 56.
Support: 0.8090, 0.80687, 0.8066
Resistance: 0.80989, 0.8100, 0.81118
What it said to watch
Close above 0.81000 opens the path to the 0.81118 prior high
Loss of 0.80900 intraday low risks a retest of 0.80687 swing low
Swiss CPI (Jul 2) is the key Franc catalyst for the next session
Higher lows off session low, capped under session high.
USDCHF flushed to a session low of 0.80687 on the NY-hours drop, then ground back up in a higher-low chain to retest the session high near 0.80989, the broader CHF rebound fitting the post-PCE USD breather. Price now consolidates just under 0.80989 with RSI(14) mid-range; the 0.80920 pullback held on the way up.
Support: 0.8092, 0.8080, 0.80687
Resistance: 0.80989, 0.81118
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80989 opens the path to 0.81118
Loss of the 0.80800 area re-exposes session low 0.80687
Failure to hold 0.80920 breaks the higher-low chain
USDCHF recovered through the NY session off the 0.80660 low, building higher lows back toward the 0.81000 round number after the broader USD correction on cooling Fed-hike bets. RSI(14) near 59 with momentum easing into late, thin session hours; grind is intact but capped at the figure.
Support: 0.8093, 0.80687, 0.8066
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.81118
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81000 opens the path back toward the 0.81118 prior high
Loss of 0.80930 minor low breaks the higher-low chain toward the 0.80687 swing low
Liquidity thins into late session; moves may overextend
19:31 UTC
Recovering after pullback · RSI 61 · price 0.80983
Rebound off session low, testing 0.810 psych.
USDCHF recovered through the NY session from the 0.80687 session low and is now grinding into the 0.810 psych level, with RSI(14) near 61 and price back above both EMAs. The corrective bounce in CHF earlier this week stalled as the pair retraced most of its drop from the 0.81118 high.
Support: 0.8093, 0.8080, 0.80687
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.8102, 0.81118
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81020 swing high reopens the path toward 0.81118 prior high
Failure to hold 0.80930 recent low puts the 0.80800 pivot back in play
USDCHF recovered off the 0.80660 session low through the NY session and is now consolidating just under the 0.80980 session high, RSI mid-range. The broader pullback follows the USD breather post-PCE; price holds above EMA20/50 with a chain of higher lows.
Support: 0.8092, 0.8080, 0.8066
Resistance: 0.8098, 0.81118
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80980 opens the path back toward 0.81118
Failure to hold 0.80920 reopens the 0.80800/0.80660 session lows
Late NY: USDCHF recovered from the 0.80660 session low and is now stalling under the 0.80983 session high, RSI mid-range. Price is consolidating below the 0.81000 round number after the earlier slide from the 0.81118 London high.
Support: 0.8090, 0.8080, 0.8066
Resistance: 0.80983, 0.8100, 0.81118
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80983 opens the path to the 0.81000 round number and 0.81118 London high
Loss of the 0.80800 swing exposes the 0.80660 session low
Swiss CPI Thu and US ADP/ISM (Jul 1) are upcoming risk into thin liquidity
Consolidating below session high after V-recovery.
USDCHF sold off to a 0.80660 session low during NY hours as the dollar eased on benign PCE, then recovered sharply to coil just under the 0.80983 session high. Last few bars are tight between 0.80930 and 0.80980 — consolidation, RSI(14) mid-range near 58.
Support: 0.8080, 0.8066, 0.8082
Resistance: 0.80983, 0.8100, 0.81118
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80983 session high opens the path back toward 0.81000 round and 0.81118 prior high
Failure to hold 0.80800 round reopens the 0.80660 session low
Thin late-NY liquidity can exaggerate moves into the close
Rebound from 0.8066, consolidating below session high.
USDCHF swept down to 0.8066 in the NY afternoon and rebounded ~30 pips, in line with the broader USD correction post-PCE and a firmer CHF. Price is now consolidating in a tight 0.8092-0.8098 band just under the session high, RSI cooling back toward mid-range.
Support: 0.8092, 0.8080, 0.8066
Resistance: 0.80982, 0.8100, 0.81118
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80982 session high opens 0.81000 round number
Failure to hold 0.80920 range low reopens 0.80800 swing low
Higher lows since 0.80660, stalling below 0.81000.
USDCHF clawed back from the 0.80660/0.80687 session low through the NY session as the broad USD correction post-PCE eased, but the bounce is stalling just under the 0.81000 round number into thin late-Friday liquidity. RSI(14) sits mid-60s with no extreme, and the chain of higher lows since the low remains intact.
Support: 0.8085, 0.80687, 0.8066
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.8102, 0.81118
What it said to watch
Close above 0.81020 reopens the 0.81118 session high
Loss of 0.80850 exposes the 0.80687 session low
Swiss CPI Jul 2 is the next material catalyst for this pair
V-recovery from NY low, consolidating under session high.
USDCHF sold off through the NY session to a 0.8066 low as the USD corrected post-PCE and CHF caught a safe-haven bid, then recovered to 0.8095 and is now pinned just under the 0.8098 session high. Twin lows near 0.8066-0.8069 held, and price is consolidating into the late session with RSI(14) back to neutral.
Support: 0.8087, 0.8072, 0.8066
Resistance: 0.80983, 0.81118
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80983 opens the path back toward the 0.81118 day high
Failure to hold 0.80870 reopens the 0.80720 ny low
Thin late-session liquidity can exaggerate moves off the session high
NY session sold USDCHF to a 0.80660 low before a steady recovery as the USD corrected post-PCE and CHF found a safe-haven bid. Price is now coiling tightly between 0.80795 and the 0.80983 session high, RSI(14) flat near 56 with ATR compressed to ~6 pips.
Support: 0.80795, 0.8066
Resistance: 0.80983, 0.8100, 0.81118
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80983 opens the path toward 0.81000 and the 0.81118 prior high
Failure to hold 0.80795 reopens the 0.80660 session low
ADP/ISM (Jul 1) are the next USD catalysts that could break this consolidation
18:31 UTC
Recovery off NY low, momentum stabilising · RSI 56 · price 0.80942
Rebounded from session low, ranging near recovery high.
USDCHF sold off through the London-NY session to a 0.80660 base before buyers stepped in repeatedly around 0.8066-0.8069, lifting price back to the 0.80982 session high. CHF caught a corrective bid as USD eased post-PCE; pair now consolidating ~0.8094 just under that high.
Support: 0.8080, 0.8066
Resistance: 0.80982, 0.81118
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80982 opens the path to 0.81118
Failure to hold 0.80800 reopens the 0.80660 low
ADP/ISM on Jul 1 are the next high-impact USD catalysts
18:31 UTC
Recovering off day low, momentum flattening · RSI 57 · price 0.80943
Bounce from session low, consolidating below session high.
USDCHF sold into the NY session to a 0.80660 day low as DXY eased post-PCE, then recovered to ~0.80943 and is consolidating just under the 0.80980 session high. RSI(14) mid-range near 57, no extreme, and ATR has compressed to ~6 pips in late NY hours.
Support: 0.80817, 0.8066
Resistance: 0.8098, 0.81118
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80980 opens the path back toward the 0.81118 prior high
Failure to hold 0.80817 reopens the 0.80660 day low
ADP/ISM on Jul 1 are the nearest catalysts that could shift this read
18:16 UTC
Short-term recovery off day low · RSI 63 · price 0.80977
Rebound from 0.8066, chain of higher lows.
USDCHF sold off through the NY session to a 0.8066 day low as the USD corrected on cooling Fed-hike bets and soft Michigan sentiment, twin lows near 0.8066/0.8069 forming a base. Price has since ground back to 0.80977, now pressing the 0.81000 round number with RSI(14) around 63.
Support: 0.8085, 0.8066
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.81118
What it said to watch
Close above 0.81000 round number opens path to the 0.81118 day high
Loss of the 0.80850 swing pivot reopens the 0.80660 day low
18:16 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 62 · price 0.80977
Higher lows since 0.8066 base.
USDCHF carved a base around 0.8066 during NY hours and has ground ~30 pips higher, now pressing the 0.81000 round number with RSI(14) near 62. The bounce fits a broader CHF rebound as the USD corrects post-PCE; recovery holds a chain of higher lows off the session low.
Support: 0.8082, 0.80687, 0.8066
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.81118
What it said to watch
Close above 0.81000 opens path to the 0.81118 session high
Failure to hold 0.80820 reopens the 0.80687 swing low
USDCHF carved out a session low at 0.8066 during NY hours then ground back up on the broader USD correction post-benign PCE, lifting the safe-haven franc less than the dollar's pullback. Price is now pressing the 0.80982 session high with RSI(14) in the low 60s; a string of higher lows off 0.8066 keeps the recovery intact.
Support: 0.8090, 0.8066
Resistance: 0.80982, 0.8100, 0.81118
What it said to watch
Close above 0.81000 opens the path to the 0.81118 swing high
Failure to hold 0.80900 reopens the 0.80660 session low
Swiss CPI (Jul 2) and US ADP/ISM (Jul 1) are the next catalysts that could shift this read
18:01 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 62 · price 0.80977
Double bottom, higher lows building.
USDCHF carved a double bottom at 0.80660 through the NY session and has clawed back to 0.80977, sitting just under the 0.81000 psych level. The dollar's broad post-PCE pullback drove the earlier slide; price now grinding higher lows with RSI(14) recovering from oversold.
Support: 0.8085, 0.8072, 0.8066
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.8107, 0.81118
What it said to watch
Close above 0.81000 opens path to 0.81070 prior high
Failure to hold 0.80850 swing low reopens 0.80660 session low
ADP/ISM on Jul 1 could materially shift this read
17:46 UTC
Recovered off lows, ranging · RSI 55 · price 0.80951
Consolidation after NY rebound.
USDCHF sold off to 0.80660 through the NY session as the dollar corrected post-PCE, then rebounded to retrace roughly 61.8% of that drop back to ~0.80950. Price is now ranging between 0.80870 and the 0.80982 session high with RSI(14) neutral.
Support: 0.8087, 0.8072, 0.8066
Resistance: 0.80982, 0.81118
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80982 opens the path back toward the 0.81118 prior high
Loss of 0.80870 reopens the 0.80720 session low
Swiss CPI (Jul 2) and ADP/ISM (Jul 1) are the next catalysts that could shift this read
17:46 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 56 · price 0.80946
Bounce from intraday low, base building.
USDCHF sold off through NY hours to a session low near 0.80660 as the USD corrected on cooling Fed-hike bets, then carved a double base and recovered to 0.80946. Price is back above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 56; the 0.80977 session high and 0.81000 round number cap the rebound.
Support: 0.8080, 0.8066
Resistance: 0.80977, 0.8100, 0.81118
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.81000 round number opens the path back to the 0.81118 prior high
Loss of 0.80800 puts the 0.80660 session low back in play
ADP/ISM (Jul 1) is the nearest catalyst that could reshape this read
17:31 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 57 · price 0.80946
Base built at 0.8066, higher lows since.
NY session sold off to 0.8066 around midday before buyers stepped in twice at the 0.8066/0.8069 area, lifting price back to 0.80977. The CHF bounce ties to the broader USD correction on soft PCE; recovery now stalling under the session high with RSI(14) mid-range.
Support: 0.8080, 0.80687, 0.8066
Resistance: 0.80977, 0.8102, 0.81118
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80977 opens the path back toward 0.81020
Failure to hold 0.80800 reopens the 0.8066 session low
US data cluster (ADP/ISM) Jul 1 could shift this read
NY session sold USDCHF to 0.80660 amid the broad USD correction on soft PCE, printing lower highs from the 0.81118 peak. Price has since recovered ~27 pips to 0.80931 and is stalling below 0.80977; RSI back to neutral around 55.
Support: 0.8066, 0.8081
Resistance: 0.80977, 0.8100, 0.81118
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80977 opens the path to the 0.81000 round number
Failure to hold 0.80660 resumes the lower-low sequence
JOLTS/ADP next sessions could shift the USD correction read
USD/CHF sold off through NY to 0.80660 before buyers stepped in twice, carving a double bottom and recovering to 0.80931 — consistent with the soft-PCE USD correction. Micro-structure now prints higher lows with RSI(14) mid-range near 56; recent high at 0.80977 caps the bounce.
Support: 0.8080, 0.80687, 0.8066
Resistance: 0.80977, 0.81118
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80977 opens the path back toward the 0.81118 session high
Failure to hold 0.80800 reopens the 0.80687/0.80660 session lows
Renewed USD bid would pressure the recovery despite the corrective tone
17:16 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 58 · price 0.80947
Based at session low, retracing the down-leg.
USD/CHF slid through the NY session to a low at 0.80660 as the USD correction lifted the safe-haven CHF, then based twice and recovered to 0.80947, now testing the 61.8% retrace of the down-leg. Buyers stepped in around 0.80660–0.80687; price is pressing the 0.80977 swing high.
Support: 0.8080, 0.8066
Resistance: 0.80977, 0.8107
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80977 opens the path back toward 0.81070
Failure to hold 0.80800 reopens the 0.80660 session low
17:02 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 61 · price 0.80947
Based at 0.8066, rising micro-lows.
USDCHF carved a double bottom near 0.8066 during NY hours after the USD correction on in-line PCE, then recovered to stall at the 61.8% retrace around 0.8094. Rising micro-lows hold while 0.80977 caps the bounce.
Support: 0.8080, 0.80687, 0.8066
Resistance: 0.80977, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80977 opens the path back to the 0.81000 psych level
Loss of the 0.808 swing low re-exposes the 0.8066 base low
NY session drove USDCHF to a session low ~0.8066 before a steady recovery to 0.8095 as the USD corrected on in-line PCE and a firmer CHF. Buyers stepped in twice near 0.8066–0.8069 (double bottom); the session high at 0.80977 now caps the bounce.
Support: 0.8087, 0.8076, 0.8066
Resistance: 0.80977, 0.8100, 0.81118
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80977 opens the path to the 0.81000 psych level and prior high 0.81118
Failure to hold 0.80760 swing low reopens the 0.80660 session low
Higher lows off session low after sweep of 0.80660.
USDCHF bottomed at 0.80660 mid-window and has carved higher lows through NY hours, RSI(14) recovering into the upper 50s as the broad USD correction fed a CHF bounce. Price now presses the 0.80977 session high after reclaiming both EMAs; the 0.80800 pullback low is holding.
Support: 0.8080, 0.8066
Resistance: 0.80977, 0.8103
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80977 opens the path to 0.81030
Failure to hold 0.80800 reopens the 0.80660 session low
Rising support off 0.80660 keeps the corrective read intact
NY session sold USDCHF off the 0.81118 high down to a 0.80660 session low, where buyers stepped in twice to build a double-bottom base. Price has recovered to the 0.80930 session high as RSI(14) lifts off oversold; the dip fits the broad USD correction on cooling Fed-hike bets.
Support: 0.8072, 0.8066
Resistance: 0.8093, 0.8100, 0.81118
What it said to watch
Reclaim and hold above 0.8093 session high opens the path toward 0.8100
Loss of 0.8066 session low resumes the intraday downtrend
Thin late-NY liquidity can exaggerate moves into the close
NY session sold USDCHF down to 0.8066, twice rejected there before a bounce back to 0.8093 as the USD corrected on in-line PCE and CHF safe-haven demand. Price now stalls under 0.80930 with RSI recovering off oversold; the broader move remains a sequence of lower lows.
Support: 0.8069, 0.8066
Resistance: 0.8093, 0.8102
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80930 opens the path to 0.81020
Failure to hold 0.80690 reopens the 0.8066 swing low
Asia-session liquidity into early-July could thin moves
16:31 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 48 · price 0.80862
Lower highs, double bottom near 0.8066.
NY session sold USDCHF off the 0.8112 high down to 0.8066, in line with the post-PCE USD correction and a firmer safe-haven CHF. Buyers stepped in twice near 0.8066–0.8069 to form a double bottom; price now coils around 0.8086, capped under the 0.8092 bounce high.
Support: 0.80687, 0.8066
Resistance: 0.80923, 0.81118
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80923 opens the path back toward 0.8112
Loss of 0.80660 confirms a fresh lower-low
Thin early-July liquidity could amplify moves into next session
16:16 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising · RSI 50 · price 0.80862
NY sell-off, basing above session low.
USDCHF sold off through the NY session from the London high at 0.81118, with buyers stepping in around 0.8066-0.8069 twice to form a double bottom before a bounce to 0.80922. Price has since eased back to 0.8086 and is consolidating, in line with the corrective CHF rebound as the USD eased post-PCE.
Support: 0.80687, 0.8066
Resistance: 0.80922, 0.81118
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80687 confirms a lower low and reopens the session low
Reclaim of 0.80922 needed to neutralise the NY downtrend
US ADP/ISM (Jul 1) the next macro test for the USD leg
USDCHF sold off through NY hours, bottoming twice near 0.80687 before a bounce to 0.80922 and settling around 0.80836. CHF caught a corrective bid as USD eased on cooling Fed-hike odds; pair now ranging 0.80687–0.80920 with RSI back near neutral.
Support: 0.80687, 0.8076
Resistance: 0.8092, 0.81067
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80920 opens the path back toward 0.81067
Loss of 0.80687 session low confirms a fresh lower low
Double bottom off session low, consolidating below bounce high.
NY session pressed USDCHF down from the 0.81118 session high to a 0.80687 double bottom as the USD correction continued post-PCE. A bounce to 0.80922 followed; price now consolidates around 0.8082, holding above EMA20 but capped under the bounce high.
Support: 0.8080, 0.80687
Resistance: 0.80922, 0.81118
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80922 opens the path back toward the 0.81118 session high
Failure to hold 0.80687 confirms a fresh intraday lower low
NY hours drove a sweep of the session low at 0.80687 before a sharp recovery to 0.80923, CHF catching a bid as the USD corrected on cooling Fed-hike odds. Price has since faded back to ~0.8084 and is consolidating, RSI(14) neutral near 51.
Support: 0.80687, 0.80774
Resistance: 0.80923, 0.8100
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.80687 reopens the session low and confirms a lower-low
Reclaim of 0.80923 bounce high needed to extend the corrective leg toward 0.81000 psych
15:46 UTC
Downtrend, corrective bounce in play · RSI 49 · price 0.80833
Selloff to session low, snap-back, now consolidating.
NY session selloff bottomed at 0.80660 as the dollar corrected post-PCE, then a sharp bounce to 0.80920 before stalling. Price now consolidating near 0.80830, RSI(14) back to neutral after the oversold low; bounce high at 0.80920 is the immediate cap.
Support: 0.8066, 0.8072
Resistance: 0.8092, 0.8100, 0.81118
What it said to watch
Close back below 0.80660 reopens the downside leg
Reclaim of 0.80920 needed to extend the bounce toward 0.81000
Lower highs into 0.8066 low, then sharp recovery rejected at 50% fib.
NY session sold USDCHF from 0.8112 down to a 0.8066 session low before a sharp snap-back to 0.80922, which stalled exactly at the 50% retrace of the day's drop and reversed. CHF caught a bid on the broader USD correction post-PCE; price now drifting back to 0.80812 after the rejection.
Support: 0.80687, 0.8066
Resistance: 0.80922, 0.8099
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80922 (50% fib) opens the path back toward 0.80990
Loss of 0.80687 session low confirms continuation of the lower-high sequence
Swiss CPI Jul 2 is the next scheduled CHF risk beyond this window
NY session swept the session low at 0.80660 before a sharp rebound to 0.80922, where supply capped the move; the post-PCE USD correction and a firmer CHF drove the leg down. Price has since drifted back to 0.80812, sitting on EMA20 and below EMA50 as the bounce loses steam.
Support: 0.8066
Resistance: 0.80922
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80922 invalidates the lower-high read
Break below 0.80660 confirms a fresh lower low
Fed's Kashkari (15:30 UTC) and SNB intervention rhetoric could shift this read
USDCHF sold off through the NY session to a 0.80687 low before buyers stepped in, rallying back to 0.80922 then stalling — CHF firmer as the USD corrected post-PCE. Price now consolidating near 0.80840 between the session low and the 0.80922 rejection.
Support: 0.80687, 0.8080
Resistance: 0.80922, 0.8100, 0.81118
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80922 opens the path back toward 0.81000
Failure to hold 0.80687 confirms a fresh lower low
Fed's Kashkari remarks could shift USD direction in the next bars
NY session drove USDCHF down to 0.80660 as the post-PCE USD correction extended, then buyers stepped in for a sharp rebound to 0.80922 before pulling back to 0.80841. Price reclaimed EMA20 but sits below EMA50; RSI(14) recovered to mid-range off the lows.
Support: 0.80687, 0.8066
Resistance: 0.80922, 0.8100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80922 opens the path to 0.81000
Failure to hold 0.80687 confirms a fresh lower low
Lower highs into NY drop, sharp recovery off 0.8066.
NY session swept the lows to 0.8066 then recovered sharply to the 0.80922 session high, in line with the broad USD correction after in-line PCE. RSI(14) rebounding from mid-40s to ~56; the 0.8076 swing low capped the dip on the way back up.
Support: 0.8076, 0.8066
Resistance: 0.80922, 0.8108
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80922 session high reopens the path toward 0.8108
Failure to hold 0.8066 session low confirms a fresh lower-low
Fed's Kashkari (15:30 UTC) could shift the USD read intraday
NY session sold USD/CHF down to a 0.8066 sweep low before a sharp bounce back to 0.80920 as the USD corrected on cooling Fed-hike bets. Price now retesting the bounce high with RSI recovering from oversold; the 0.81000 round number is the next overhead area to watch.
Support: 0.8066, 0.8080
Resistance: 0.8092, 0.8100, 0.81118
What it said to watch
Reclaim and hold above 0.80920 bounce high opens the path toward 0.81000
Failure here and a close back below 0.80800 swing low re-exposes the 0.8066 session low
US Fed speakers (Williams/Kashkari) today could shift the USD correction
NY session drove USD/CHF to a session low at 0.8066 on the USD correction and CHF safe-haven demand, carving a double bottom near 0.8066-0.8069. A sharp recovery into 0.8091 followed, RSI lifting off oversold, with the 0.80920 recent high now capping.
Support: 0.8072, 0.8066
Resistance: 0.8092, 0.8100, 0.81118
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80920 recent high opens the 0.81000 round number, then 0.81118 day high
Failure to hold 0.80720 swing low reopens the 0.8066 session low
NY session sold USDCHF from ~0.8090 to a session low at 0.8066 as the USD corrected on cooling Fed-hike bets and a soft Michigan sentiment print. Buyers stepped in twice around 0.8066-0.8069 and price has recovered to 0.80818, RSI lifting back toward neutral. Lower highs from 0.81118 keep the intraday structure heavy.
Support: 0.8066, 0.8072
Resistance: 0.80875, 0.80918
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80875 swing high would break the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.8066 session low confirms continuation lower
US Fed speakers Williams/Kashkari today could shift the USD read
14:46 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 39 · price 0.80761
Lower highs, lower lows into NY.
USDCHF sold off through the NY session, breaking 0.808 to print a session low at 0.80660 as the USD corrected on cooling Fed-hike bets and a soft Michigan sentiment miss. Price is consolidating just above the low with RSI(14) near 38; the 0.808 prior-low now caps as resistance.
Support: 0.8066
Resistance: 0.8080
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80660 extends the downtrend
Reclaim of 0.808 negates the lower-low read
14:31 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 39 · price 0.80761
Lower highs and lower lows, fresh leg down held.
NY session drove a sharp leg lower, breaking the 0.8080 floor to a session low of 0.80660 as the USD corrected on cooling Fed-hike bets and the CHF stayed bid. Price has since stabilised, recovering to 0.80761 but holding below broken support, now acting as resistance around 0.80835.
Support: 0.8066, 0.8070
Resistance: 0.80835
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80835 swing high would neutralise the fresh downleg
Loss of 0.80660 session low confirms continuation lower
US-Iran / safe-haven headlines could shift CHF flows into next session
14:31 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 38 · price 0.80724
Lower highs and lower lows into NY.
NY session drove USDCHF through 0.8080 to a session low at 0.8066, extending the CHF bounce as the USD corrected on in-line PCE. Price is basing just above the low with RSI(14) near 37; the broken 0.8080 shelf now caps as resistance.
Support: 0.8066
Resistance: 0.8080
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.8066 opens the path toward 0.8040 correction floor
Reclaim of 0.8080 would negate the breakdown
Fed speakers Williams/Kashkari today could shift the USD read
14:16 UTC
Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 36 · price 0.80724
Lower highs and lows into NY session.
NY session drove a sharp leg lower, breaking the 0.80800 shelf and printing a session low at 0.80660 before a tepid bounce. RSI(14) near 36 after the drop; demand stepping in around 0.80660–0.80690 but price holds below EMA20/50.
Support: 0.8066, 0.80687
Resistance: 0.8080
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.80800 negates the breakdown
Failure to hold 0.80660 confirms continuation lower
Fed speakers Williams (14:30) and Kashkari (15:30) plus Michigan sentiment could shift the read
NY session drove USDCHF to fresh session lows near 0.8066, breaking the 0.808 shelf that held through London as CHF firmed on the post-PCE USD correction. RSI(14) near 31 after the impulsive drop; price below both EMAs with no bounce yet.
Support: 0.8066, 0.8040
Resistance: 0.8080
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.808 would neutralise the breakdown
Loss of 0.8066 extends the move toward the 0.804 correction floor
Fed's Williams/Kashkari remarks today could shift USD tone
14:01 UTC
Downtrend, fresh low · RSI 32 · price 0.80675
Lower highs, lower lows, breaking down.
Late NY session saw USDCHF break the 0.8072 support on a sharp impulsive candle, extending the corrective pullback from the 0.8112 high and printing a fresh session low at 0.8066. RSI(14) near 32 — soft but not yet extreme — as the franc firms on a defensive risk tone and softer USD. Price now holds below EMA20/50, with 0.8040 the next cited support below.
Support: 0.8066, 0.8040
Resistance: 0.8072, 0.8086, 0.80918
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.8072 would neutralise the breakdown
Loss of 0.8066 opens the path toward 0.8040 key support
Fed's Williams/Kashkari remarks could shift the USD leg intraday
Lower highs and lower lows, consolidating at lows.
NY session sold off through the 0.8088 base into a fresh session low at 0.80691 as the USD corrected post-PCE and risk turned defensive. Price is now basing just above that low; RSI(14) near 38 after the sharp leg, with sellers capping rebounds under 0.80803.
Support: 0.80691, 0.8040
Resistance: 0.80803
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.80803 invalidates the downside continuation read
Break below 0.80691 confirms a lower low toward 0.8040
Fed's Williams (14:30) and Kashkari (15:30) could shift the USD leg
Price chopped in a 0.8080–0.8112 range through London before breaking down sharply into the NY session, slicing to 0.80691 as the USD eased post-PCE. RSI(14) near 31 reflects the impulsive leg lower; 0.80800 now caps as the broken range floor.
Support: 0.80691, 0.8070
Resistance: 0.8080, 0.8088, 0.81118
What it said to watch
M15 reclaim above 0.80800 invalidates the breakdown read
Fed's Williams 14:30 / Kashkari 15:30 and Michigan sentiment 14:00 could shift the USD leg
Failure to hold 0.80691 opens the path toward 0.80640
13:31 UTC
Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 29 · price 0.80709
Lower highs, breakdown below 0.8080.
USDCHF sold off through the NY session, breaking below the 0.80835 shelf and printing a session low at 0.80691 as the USD corrected on in-line core PCE. RSI(14) near 28 flags short-term oversold but price remains below EMA20/50 with no reclaim yet.
Support: 0.80691, 0.8064
Resistance: 0.80835
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80835 would neutralise the breakdown read
Failure to hold 0.80691 confirms continuation toward 0.80640
Fed speakers (Williams, Kashkari) could shift USD tone this session
USDCHF broke down through 0.80835 in early NY, printing a fresh session low at 0.80691 as the dollar eased and CHF firmed on the softer-USD/risk-off read. RSI(14) near 29 — short-term stretched after the impulsive leg, with price now hugging the 0.80760 round number.
Support: 0.80691, 0.8076
Resistance: 0.80835
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80835 would neutralise the breakdown
Loss of 0.80691 extends the lower-low sequence
Fed speakers Williams 14:30 / Kashkari 15:30 UTC could shift the USD leg
13:16 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 31 · price 0.80735
Lower highs and lower lows, breaking session support.
USDCHF sold off through NY hours as the USD corrected and the franc firmed, snapping below 0.80776 to print a fresh session low at 0.80691, RSI(14) dipping into oversold near 31. Price is pinned under the broken 0.80803 level with no sign of a base yet.
Support: 0.80691, 0.8060
Resistance: 0.80803
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80803 would negate the lower-low break
Sustained close below 0.80691 opens the path toward 0.8040
Fed speakers Williams/Kashkari this session could shift the USD leg
USDCHF sold off through NY hours, breaking the intraday range and sweeping to a fresh session low at 0.80702 as the USD corrected on fading multi-hike conviction. RSI(14) near 33, momentum still pointing lower; price holds below EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 0.80702, 0.8060, 0.8040
Resistance: 0.80835
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.80835 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.80702 opens the path toward the 0.80600 round number and 0.80400 key support
Fed speakers Williams and Kashkari ahead could shift the USD leg
NY session drove USDCHF to a fresh low at 0.80702, breaking the 0.80760 floor that had held through the afternoon as the dollar softened post in-line core PCE. Decline is steady on lower highs/lows with RSI(14) near 31 — short-term stretched but in line with the move.
Support: 0.80702, 0.8066, 0.8040
Resistance: 0.80835
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80835 swing pivot would neutralise the lower-high chain
Sustained break of 0.80702 session low opens path toward 0.80400 key support
Fed Williams/Kashkari comments later could shift the USD leg
13:01 UTC
Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 33 · price 0.80714
Lower highs, lower lows.
USDCHF broke the 0.8080 pivot into NY hours, printing a fresh session low at 0.80702 as the USD corrected on in-line core PCE. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 33 — extended but not yet washed out.
Support: 0.80702, 0.8040
Resistance: 0.8085
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80850 would neutralise the lower-low read
Break of 0.80702 opens path toward 0.8040 key support
Michigan sentiment 14:00 UTC and Fed speakers could shift this read
12:46 UTC
Downtrend, grinding lower · RSI 43 · price 0.8082
Lower highs into 0.8076 base.
USDCHF ground lower through NY hours, slipping from 0.8112 to a 0.8076 base as the USD corrected on in-line core PCE. Price now chops around 0.8082 below both EMAs; the 0.8076 session low has held twice and 0.8092 caps the bounces.
Support: 0.8076, 0.8040
Resistance: 0.8092, 0.8112
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.8076 opens the path toward 0.8040 key support
Reclaim of 0.8092 swing high would relieve the lower-high sequence
Fed Williams (14:30) and Kashkari (15:30) could shift this read
USDCHF leaked lower through the NY session, printing a swing low at 0.80760 as the USD corrected on in-line core PCE, then stalled into a tight 0.80760–0.80918 range. RSI(14) sits neutral near 46 with price pinned below EMA20 and EMA50; no momentum behind the chop.
Support: 0.8076, 0.8040
Resistance: 0.80918, 0.8094
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.80760 confirms a fresh lower-low and reopens the 0.80400 area
M15 close back above 0.80918 session high breaks the consolidation
Fed Williams (14:30) and Kashkari (15:30) plus Michigan sentiment could shift the USD leg
USD/CHF leaked from 0.8132 to a 0.8076 swing low through London-NY as the franc firmed on a softer USD post in-line core PCE, and has since based in a tight 0.8076–0.8092 range. Buyers stepped in twice near 0.8076, RSI(14) recovering off lows to mid-range; the recent-high cap at 0.80918 still holds.
Support: 0.80799, 0.8076
Resistance: 0.80918, 0.8094, 0.81118
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80940 ny high opens path toward 0.81118
Failure to hold 0.80760 swing low confirms a lower-low
Michigan sentiment 14:00 UTC and Fed Williams/Kashkari speakers could shift this read
12:16 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising near lows · RSI 49 · price 0.80858
Lower highs into NY, basing above 0.8076.
USDCHF drifted lower through the London-NY transition, printing lower highs and a session low at 0.80760 as the USD softened after in-line core PCE trimmed Fed hike bets. Price has stabilised back around 0.8086, holding above the lows but capped under the 0.80918 swing high.
Support: 0.8076, 0.8080
Resistance: 0.80918
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80918 breaks the lower-high chain
Loss of 0.80760 extends the downside leg
Michigan Sentiment (14:00 UTC) and Fed speakers Williams/Kashkari could shift this read
USD/CHF leaked lower through the London-NY transition, the six-day rally off the 0.8139 high stalling as the dollar corrected on in-line PCE. Price printed a lower-low at 0.80774 then settled into a tight 0.80774-0.80940 range; RSI back near 50, ATR a thin ~5 pips.
Support: 0.8076, 0.8070
Resistance: 0.8094, 0.81074
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80760 exposes 0.8050
Reclaim of 0.80940 needed to challenge 0.81074
Michigan sentiment 14:00 UTC and Fed's Williams 14:30 UTC could shift this read
12:01 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising near lows · RSI 48 · price 0.80871
Lower highs, basing above 0.8076.
USDCHF bled from 0.8132 to a 0.8076 session low through the window as the USD corrected on in-line core PCE, then based with two equal lows near 0.8076. Price now chops around 0.8087 below EMA50, holding the lower-high structure with 0.80920 capping the bounce.
Support: 0.8076, 0.8050
Resistance: 0.8092, 0.8100, 0.81118
What it said to watch
Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC plus Fed's Williams/Kashkari could shift this read
Break of 0.80760 session low exposes 0.8050 key support
Close above 0.80920 swing high challenges the lower-high structure
USD/CHF drifted lower through the window, basing at 0.80760 during NY hours and now coiling near 0.8087 below EMA50 — the corrective tone follows the in-line core PCE that trimmed Fed hike bets. RSI sits mid-range with no extreme; price is pinned between the session low and the 0.80920 swing high.
Support: 0.8076, 0.8085
Resistance: 0.8092, 0.8100, 0.81074
What it said to watch
Close below 0.80760 exposes 0.8040 support
Reclaim of 0.80920 needed to challenge 0.81000
Fed speakers Williams 14:30 / Kashkari 15:30 UTC could shift this read
USDCHF leaked lower through London-NY, printing twin lows at 0.80760/0.80774 before a shallow bounce now near 0.80872 — the six-day rally off the 0.8139 high stalling after in-line core PCE trimmed Fed hike bets. Price now consolidates 0.80760-0.80940 with RSI back to neutral.
Support: 0.8076, 0.8080
Resistance: 0.8094, 0.81118
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80760 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.80940 swing high needed to break the lower-high sequence
Michigan sentiment 14:00 UTC + Fed speakers could shift this read
USDCHF ground out lower highs through the London session and bottomed at 0.8076, the six-day pullback off the 0.8140 high extending as the USD corrected on in-line core PCE. Price is now consolidating in a tight 0.8082-0.8086 band into NY hours, holding just above the session low.
Support: 0.8076, 0.8050
Resistance: 0.80908, 0.81118
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.8076 session low confirms a fresh lower-low and exposes 0.8050
Reclaim of 0.80908 session high would break the lower-high sequence
Michigan sentiment (14:00 UTC) and Fed speakers Williams/Kashkari could shift this read
USDCHF leaked lower through the London-NY window, printing a session low at 0.8076 before basing around 0.8082 — consistent with USD profit-taking sub-YTD highs after in-line core PCE. Price holds below EMA20/50 with RSI mid-40s; the 0.80900 pivot has capped each bounce.
Support: 0.8076, 0.8070
Resistance: 0.8090
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.8076 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.80900 neutralises the downside structure
US Michigan sentiment / inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
USDCHF ground lower through the session from 0.8135 to a session low of 0.80760, with RSI(14) cooling rather than extreme as USD lost fuel after in-line core PCE. Last several bars are consolidating in a tight 0.80760–0.80910 band just under the 0.8100 pivot.
Support: 0.8076, 0.80799
Resistance: 0.8091, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Michigan sentiment + UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
Loss of 0.80760 session low confirms continuation lower
Reclaim of 0.81000 psych pivot invalidates the downside read
USDCHF ground lower through the window from 0.8134 to a 0.8076 session low as the dollar eased after the in-line PCE print prompted profit-taking. Price is now consolidating around 0.8085 below EMA20, RSI(14) mid-range with no momentum extreme.
Support: 0.8076, 0.8070
Resistance: 0.8091, 0.8094
What it said to watch
Break below 0.80760 session low extends the down-leg toward the 0.80700 psych level
Reclaim of 0.80910 swing high needed to ease downside pressure
Michigan sentiment & UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF rolled over from 0.8134 to a 0.8076 session low through the NY session as the dollar eased on in-line core PCE and profit-taking near the multi-month highs. Price is basing just above 0.8076 with RSI(14) off the lows around 43; the 0.8090 pivot caps the bounce.
Support: 0.8076, 0.8080
Resistance: 0.8090, 0.8100, 0.81118
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80760 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of the 0.8100 pivot negates the intraday downtrend read
US Michigan inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) and Fed's Williams/Kashkari could shift the USD leg
Lower highs and lower lows, price near session lows.
USDCHF rolled over through the window from 0.8128 to a session low at 0.80760, printing a clean chain of lower highs as the dollar stalls sub-101.75 DXY post-PCE. Price now hovers at 0.80841 below EMA20/50, RSI mid-40s with no oversold extreme yet.
Support: 0.8076, 0.8070
Resistance: 0.8089, 0.8094, 0.8112
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80760 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 0.80890 needed to break the descending highs
Michigan sentiment + UoM inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could shift this read
NY session extended USDCHF lower to a 0.8076 session low as the dollar eased after an in-line PCE print, with the pair grinding through lower highs all day. Price is now consolidating in a tight 0.8076-0.8089 band, RSI(14) basing in the low 40s.
Support: 0.8076, 0.80799
Resistance: 0.8089
What it said to watch
Close below 0.8076 confirms a fresh lower-low and opens room toward 0.8060
Reclaim of 0.8089 swing high challenges the lower-high sequence
UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
10:46 UTC
Downtrend, near session lows · RSI 42 · price 0.80839
Lower highs, lower lows.
USDCHF ground lower through the London-NY transition, printing a chain of lower highs into a 0.80760 session low as USD eased off its 101.75 area highs post in-line PCE. Price is basing around 0.80840 just above that low, RSI(14) in the low 40s — no oversold extreme yet.
Support: 0.8076, 0.8070
Resistance: 0.8090
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80760 confirms a fresh lower-low and opens 0.80700
Reclaim of 0.80900 would break the descending high sequence
Michigan sentiment / UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF has stair-stepped lower through London off the 0.8134 high, building a chain of lower highs and lower lows into the 0.8076 session low. Price now hugs that low near 0.80824 with RSI(14) around 41 and EMA20/50 capping rallies overhead; the 0.8100 pivot remains the broader reference above.
Support: 0.8076, 0.80774
Resistance: 0.8089, 0.8100
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80760 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.80890 would challenge the lower-high sequence
Michigan sentiment / UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
Lower highs into session lows, basing near 0.8076.
USDCHF drifted lower through the NY session, tagging a low at 0.8076 before steadying around 0.8082 as the dollar eased post in-line PCE. Lower highs intact below 0.8090; price compressing into a tight range over the last hour with RSI mid-40s.
Support: 0.8076, 0.80799
Resistance: 0.80908, 0.8100, 0.81118
What it said to watch
Close below 0.8076 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 0.8090 then 0.8100 pivot neutralises the intraday downside
US Michigan sentiment / inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
10:31 UTC
Downtrend, near session lows · RSI 41 · price 0.80824
Lower highs, lower lows through NY.
USD/CHF ground lower through the London-NY transition, posting a session low at 0.80760 despite the firm USD backdrop after in-line PCE. Price is pinned below 0.80900 with RSI(14) around 40, no reclaim attempt yet.
Support: 0.8076, 0.8070
Resistance: 0.8090
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80900 would break the chain of lower highs
Failure to hold 0.80760 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
UoM inflation expectations / Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
USDCHF ground lower through the London session, sweeping the 0.8076 session low before a shallow bounce back to 0.8082. Lower highs intact below 0.8090; CHF stays pressured on the broader Fed-vs-SNB theme but momentum here is cooling, not extending.
Support: 0.8076
Resistance: 0.8090
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8090 breaks the lower-high chain
Loss of 0.8076 confirms continuation of the session downtrend
Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read this session
London session grinding lower in a chain of lower highs, USDCHF pulling back from the 0.8140 area as the dollar stalls after in-line PCE. Price tagged a 0.8076 session low and bounced to 0.8082; RSI(14) near 41, no extreme. Sellers capping rallies around 0.8091.
Support: 0.8076, 0.8055
Resistance: 0.8091, 0.8110
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8091 breaks the lower-high series
Failure to hold 0.8076 confirms a fresh lower low
US Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
London session has ground USD/CHF lower off the 0.8094 swing high, sweeping the 0.8076 session low before a shallow bounce to 0.8082. RSI(14) near 41, sitting below midline with the 0.8100 pivot capping prior recoveries.
Support: 0.8076
Resistance: 0.80889, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close below 0.8076 extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of the 0.80889 swing high challenges the downtrend read
Reaction at the 0.8100 pivot defines whether the bounce has legs
USDCHF ground lower through the London session, tagging a 0.8076 session low before a shallow bounce to 0.8082. Lower highs intact and RSI(14) near 41; the broader CHF-negative theme is consolidating after the run to the 0.8140 high.
Support: 0.8076, 0.8060
Resistance: 0.8090, 0.8111
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.8076 session low confirms continuation lower
M15 close back above 0.8090 intraday pivot would stall the lower-high sequence
Fed's Williams (14:30 UTC) and Michigan sentiment could shift the USD read
USDCHF rolled over through the European session, printing a fresh session low at 0.80774 after the 0.8100 pivot capped the prior bounce — CHF firming as the Fed-hike-driven USD run stalls near YTD highs. Modest bounce off the low into 0.80848, RSI(14) mid-range with no extreme; structure stays lower-highs while 0.80890 holds.
Support: 0.80774, 0.8070
Resistance: 0.8089, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Break below 0.80774 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
M15 close back above 0.81000 negates the intraday downside read
US Michigan sentiment / inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift USD tone
NY hours pressed USD/CHF down to a session low at 0.80774, breaking the 0.80850 base; price has since pared back toward 0.80835 with twin lows at 0.80776/0.80774 holding. Move runs against the broader CHF-negative backdrop, this M15 window is corrective lower from the 0.81118 swing.
Support: 0.80774, 0.8070
Resistance: 0.8089, 0.8100, 0.81118
What it said to watch
Close back above 0.80890 reopens the 0.81000 pivot
Failure to hold 0.80774 confirms a fresh lower low
Michigan sentiment / inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC and Fed Williams 14:30 could shift the USD read
Lower lows into session low, double bottom forming.
USDCHF slid through the NY session from 0.8112 down to a 0.8077 session low, where buyers stepped in twice to form a double bottom. The pullback fits USD easing from its 0.8140 11-month high; price now sits just below EMA20 with RSI(14) recovering off the low.
Support: 0.80774
Resistance: 0.80908, 0.81118
What it said to watch
Close below 0.8077 negates the double bottom and extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 0.80908 needed to challenge the descending highs
UoM Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift USD direction
London session pressed USD/CHF to a session low of 0.80774 as the dollar eased post-PCE, extending a chain of lower highs from 0.81118. Price has bounced to 0.80874 but stays below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range near 42 — no reversal signal yet, swing high at 0.80940 still capping.
Support: 0.80774, 0.8085
Resistance: 0.8094, 0.81067, 0.81118
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80940 breaks the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.80774 confirms continuation lower
UoM Michigan sentiment 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
09:16 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 44 · price 0.80874
Lower highs into session low at 0.80774, minor bounce.
London session ground USD/CHF down to a session low of 0.80774 before a shallow bounce to 0.80874, with USD easing as in-line PCE denied dollar bulls fresh fuel. Price holds below EMA20/50 in a clean lower-high sequence; RSI(14) mid-40s leaves room before any reset.
Support: 0.80774, 0.8085
Resistance: 0.8094, 0.8099
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80774 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.80990 negates the intraday downside structure
UoM Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
London hours pushed USD/CHF through the 0.8090 floor to a fresh session low at 0.80774, extending the day's lower-high chain; RSI(14) sits near 40, soft but not oversold. Price trades below EMA20/50 with the broader CHF-negative tone intact, though the move is stretched after six down days.
Support: 0.80774, 0.8070
Resistance: 0.8094
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.80940 negates the downside break
Failure to hold 0.80774 confirms the lower-low extension
Swiss CPI (Jul 2) is the key CHF catalyst and could trigger short-cover
NY session pressed USD/CHF to a fresh session low at 0.80774, extending the intraday downtrend off the 0.8135 overnight high; price is below EMA20/50 with a minor bounce to 0.80845. CHF firming as easing September Fed-hike pricing trims USD support after in-line core PCE.
Support: 0.80774, 0.8070
Resistance: 0.8094, 0.8100
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.80940 breaks the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 0.80774 opens further downside toward the 0.8070 round level
USDCHF leaked lower through the London morning, breaking the prior 0.80850 base to print a fresh session low at 0.80774 as the USD eased back from its 0.8140 highs after an in-line core PCE. RSI(14) near 37 with price pinned under EMA20/EMA50; chain of lower highs intact below 0.80900.
Support: 0.80774, 0.8075
Resistance: 0.8090, 0.8100, 0.81118
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.80900 breaks the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 0.80774 confirms continuation lower
Swiss CPI (Jul 2) is the key CHF catalyst into next sessions
USDCHF grinding lower through London hours, fading off the 0.8140 11-month high as the dollar stalls post in-line core PCE; the pair just printed a fresh session low at 0.80774 after slipping below the 0.80900 swing. RSI(14) near 34, not yet oversold, with the lower-high/lower-low chain intact.
Support: 0.80774, 0.8075
Resistance: 0.8090, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.80900 swing high would break the lower-high chain
Loss of 0.80774 session low extends the downtrend toward 0.80750 psych
Fed's Williams (14:30 UTC) and Michigan inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) could shift USD tone
08:46 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs through London · RSI 37 · price 0.80802
Lower highs / lower lows, fresh session low.
USDCHF ground lower through the London session, breaking the 0.80850 base to print a fresh session low at 0.80774 as the dollar stalled after the in-line core PCE trimmed Sept hike bets. Price sits at 0.80802 below both EMA20 and EMA50, RSI(14) near 36 but not yet oversold; the 0.80900 pivot now caps.
Support: 0.80774, 0.8070
Resistance: 0.8090
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80900 pivot would neutralise the lower-high chain
Sustained break of 0.80774 session low opens 0.80700 psych
DXY direction the dominant input — a USD bid could stall the slide
USDCHF ground lower through London hours from the 0.8134 area to a fresh session low at 0.80774, with RSI(14) near 37 and price below both EMA20 and EMA50. The chain of lower highs holds, with 0.80908 capping the latest bounce as supply caps each recovery.
Support: 0.80774, 0.8070
Resistance: 0.80908, 0.8100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80908 breaks the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 0.80774 opens the 0.80700 round number
US Michigan sentiment & inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
08:31 UTC
Downtrend, momentum building · RSI 36 · price 0.80804
Lower highs, fresh session low.
USDCHF has rolled over through the London session, carving lower highs and printing a fresh session low at 0.80776 as DXY eased off 101.75 after the in-line core PCE print. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) near 36, momentum tilted lower without yet reaching oversold.
Support: 0.80776, 0.8085
Resistance: 0.8094, 0.81118
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80940 would stall the lower-high chain
Close back above 0.81100 invalidates the downside read
UoM inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could shift USD direction
08:16 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 35 · price 0.80804
Lower highs and lower lows, session low extending.
USDCHF slid through the NY session, breaking the 0.80850–0.80940 congestion and printing a fresh session low at 0.80776 as the dollar eased off its 11-month high on post-PCE profit-taking. RSI(14) near 35 is soft but not yet extreme, and price sits just under the 0.8100 pivot flagged in the broader correction.
Support: 0.80776
Resistance: 0.80908, 0.8100
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.80776 extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 0.80908 would challenge the descent
Michigan sentiment & UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
08:16 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 39 · price 0.80857
Lower highs into a new window low at 0.80799.
USDCHF leaked lower through the European morning, breaking the 0.8100 pivot and sweeping a fresh window low at 0.80799 before a shallow bounce to 0.80857 — consistent with profit-taking off the 11-month high near 0.8140. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 39, soft but not yet oversold.
Support: 0.80799, 0.8075
Resistance: 0.8094, 0.8100, 0.81118
What it said to watch
Close back above 0.8100 pivot would negate the corrective leg lower
Loss of 0.80799 swing low confirms continuation
UoM sentiment/inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC plus Fed speakers could shift USD direction
08:01 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 38 · price 0.80857
Lower highs, lower lows; just swept 0.80799.
USDCHF ground lower through the London session, breaking the 0.8090 base and sweeping a new session low at 0.80799 before a shallow bounce to 0.80857 — consistent with the digest's pullback off the 0.8140 11-month high. RSI(14) near 38, not yet oversold; price holds below EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 0.80799, 0.8075
Resistance: 0.8094, 0.8102, 0.81118
What it said to watch
Close back below 0.80799 confirms continuation of lower lows
Reclaim of 0.80940 would break the descending lower-highs
US Michigan sentiment / inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
08:01 UTC
Downtrend, off intraday highs · RSI 42 · price 0.80857
Lower highs and lower lows, session low swept.
London session has pressed USDCHF down from the 0.8112 area, sweeping the session low at 0.80799 before a modest recovery to 0.80857. Price holds below EMA20/50 with RSI in the low-40s; move fits the digest's USD profit-taking stall off recent highs rather than CHF strength.
Support: 0.80799, 0.8070
Resistance: 0.8094, 0.8101, 0.81118
What it said to watch
15m close below 0.80799 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.81010 psych level needed to negate the downside structure
Michigan sentiment / UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
07:46 UTC
Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 33 · price 0.80824
Lower highs into a break of the 0.8085 session base.
USDCHF rolled over through the European morning, breaking the 0.8085 session base and printing a fresh low at 0.80799 — a corrective unwind off the 0.8140 11-month high as DXY stalls on profit-taking. Price holds just under the broken support with RSI(14) near 33, not yet at an extreme.
Support: 0.80799, 0.8080
Resistance: 0.8094, 0.8100, 0.81118
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.8094 session hi would neutralise the break-lower read
Failure to hold 0.808 psych opens room below the swing low
US Michigan sentiment / inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
USDCHF drifted lower through the London morning, printing a session low at 0.80850 as the corrective pullback from the 0.8140 11-month high extends. Price is now basing 0.8087-0.8091, below the 0.8100 psych pivot, RSI(14) mid-40s with no extreme.
Support: 0.8085, 0.8082
Resistance: 0.8094, 0.8100, 0.81118
What it said to watch
Close above 0.81000 pivot would negate the lower-high sequence
Break below 0.80850 confirms continuation of the corrective leg
Michigan sentiment + UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
07:31 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs · RSI 43 · price 0.80908
Descending highs and lows off 0.81348.
USDCHF drifted lower through the Asian session into London, carving lower highs from 0.81348 down to a session low at 0.80848 — a corrective dip off the 0.8140 multi-month high. RSI sits mid-range and ATR is thin near 5-6 pips; price is grinding just above the session low at 0.80908.
Support: 0.80848, 0.8080
Resistance: 0.8094, 0.81067, 0.81118
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80848 extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 0.80940 needed to ease downside pressure
UoM inflation expectations and Fed speak from 14:00 UTC could shift this read
Lower highs and lower lows since the 0.81118 swing.
USDCHF has drifted lower through the late session, carving lower highs off 0.81118 and pressing a fresh leg low at 0.80848 — the corrective pullback the CHF read flagged after the stall near the 0.8140 high. Demand has stepped in repeatedly around 0.8085 with price coiling just above it, RSI(14) mid-40s.
Support: 0.80848, 0.8080
Resistance: 0.8094, 0.81118
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80940 negates the near-term lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.80848 confirms continuation toward the 0.8080 psych level
UoM sentiment & inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC plus Fed speakers could shift the USD read
07:16 UTC
Downtrend, near session lows · RSI 43 · price 0.80864
Lower highs, floor at 0.8085 tested.
USDCHF ground lower through the London morning, printing a chain of lower highs off 0.81118 and probing the 0.8085 floor. The move is corrective off this week's 0.8140 high; RSI(14) sits mid-40s with no extreme, price pinned below EMA20/50.
Support: 0.8085, 0.80886
Resistance: 0.8094, 0.81118
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.8085 extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 0.8094 breaks the descending-highs line
US Michigan sentiment + Fed speakers from 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
USDCHF has bled lower through the London-NY transition into early London, printing a swing low at 0.8085 before a shallow bounce to 0.8092 — a corrective slide off the 0.8140 high as the USD eased post in-line PCE. Rallies have been capped under the 0.8099 pivot, with the 0.8111 swing high marking the broken structure overhead.
Support: 0.8085, 0.8080
Resistance: 0.8099, 0.8111
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80990 pivot would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.80850 confirms a fresh lower low toward 0.8080
Michigan sentiment + 1yr inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could shift USD pricing
USDCHF rolled over from the 0.8135 session high and stair-stepped lower through London-NY, printing a 0.8085 low before a shallow bounce to 0.80918 — a corrective USD pullback from overbought, per the digest. Price is pinned below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range; the 0.8100 pivot caps and 0.8085 is holding for now.
Support: 0.8085, 0.8092
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.8111
What it said to watch
Close below 0.80850 session low confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of the 0.81000 psych pivot would stall the downtrend read
UoM Michigan data 14:00 UTC could shift the USD leg
USDCHF has drifted lower through London hours, retracing the corrective pullback the digest flags as USD eases off yearly highs. A double low around 0.80850 has held twice and price is recovering toward 0.80920; intraday structure stays a sequence of lower highs.
Support: 0.8085, 0.8080
Resistance: 0.80927, 0.8100, 0.81067
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80850 confirms a lower low and opens 0.80800
Reclaim of 0.81000 round level would break the lower-high chain
UoM Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
06:46 UTC
Downtrend, at session lows · RSI 38 · price 0.80882
Lower highs into fresh session low.
USDCHF slid through the London open to session lows near 0.8085, extending the corrective pullback off the 0.8140 multi-month high as the USD eased from yearly tops despite a sticky PCE print. RSI(14) sub-40 with price under EMA20/50; the 0.8100 pivot capped the last bounce before the leg lower.
Support: 0.80848, 0.8080
Resistance: 0.80965, 0.8100, 0.81118
What it said to watch
Break of 0.80848 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.8100 pivot would neutralise the downside read
UoM Michigan data 14:00 UTC could shift the USD tone
USDCHF leaked lower through the Asia-London transition, sweeping 0.8085 before a shallow bounce to 0.80927 faded back to 0.80861; the corrective pullback from the 0.8140 high persists. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 40, not yet oversold.
Support: 0.8085, 0.8080
Resistance: 0.80927, 0.8100, 0.81118
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.80850 confirms continuation lower toward 0.80800
M15 close back above 0.80927 challenges the lower-high sequence
UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
06:31 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs · RSI 36 · price 0.80861
Lower-high sequence, fresh session lows.
USDCHF has ground lower since the 0.8135 top, printing a clean chain of lower highs and breaking the 0.8090 floor into fresh session lows at 0.8085 — consistent with the corrective USD pullback from overbought territory. Price sits at 0.80861, RSI(14) near 36 but not yet oversold.
Support: 0.8085, 0.8080
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.81118
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.81000 negates the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.80850 extends the breakdown toward 0.80800
UoM Michigan data at 14:00 UTC could shift USD direction
USDCHF drifted off the 0.81118 swing into a fresh session low at 0.8085, a corrective pullback from the 0.8140 11-month high as the dollar gave back ground despite sticky PCE. Price holds below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 40 — momentum down but not yet stretched.
Support: 0.8085, 0.8080
Resistance: 0.8101, 0.81118, 0.8114
What it said to watch
Break below 0.8085 confirms continuation of the lower-low chain
M15 close back above 0.8101 neutralises the intraday downtrend read
UoM Michigan data at 14:00 UTC could shift DXY and this pair
USDCHF grinds lower through the Asia-into-London session, stamping lower highs and lower lows from 0.8118 to a fresh low at 0.8085. The corrective slide off Thursday's 0.8140 YTD high extends as USD softens; price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 38.
Support: 0.8085, 0.8050
Resistance: 0.8110, 0.8118
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.8085 opens the path toward the 0.8050 break level
M15 close back above 0.8110 breaks the descending lower-high sequence
UoM inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could shift USD direction
USDCHF ground to fresh session lows near 0.8085 through London hours, a corrective leg off the 0.8140 YTD high after the dollar's six-day rally stalled. Price has broken under the 0.8100 psych pivot and trades below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) in the low 30s, not yet oversold.
Support: 0.8085, 0.8050
Resistance: 0.80965, 0.81118, 0.8100
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.8085 extends the leg toward the 0.8050 pivot
Reclaim of 0.8100 negates the session downtrend
US Michigan sentiment / inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF leaked lower through the London open, breaking the 0.8100 round number and printing a fresh session low at 0.8085 as the USD's six-day rally stalled post-PCE. RSI(14) near 34, momentum heavy with price pinned below EMA20/50.
Support: 0.8085, 0.8050
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.81118
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.8100 would neutralise the downside drift
Break of 0.8085 opens the path toward the 0.8050 psych level
Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could shift USD direction
USDCHF leaked lower through the late session, breaking 0.80965 and printing a fresh low at 0.80850, in line with the corrective USD pullback from the 0.8140 YTD high. Price now ticking sideways just above the low with RSI(14) near 37, not yet oversold.
Support: 0.8085, 0.8080
Resistance: 0.80965, 0.81118
What it said to watch
Close below 0.80850 confirms continuation toward 0.80800
Reclaim of 0.80965 breaks the lower-high chain
UoM inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Descending highs and lows since prior session high.
USDCHF ground lower through the late session, breaking the 0.8090 floor and printing a fresh low at 0.8085 with RSI(14) cooling near 33 but not yet oversold. The corrective pullback from the 0.8140 area extends as price holds below both EMAs.
Support: 0.8085, 0.8080
Resistance: 0.80965, 0.8111
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.80965 would break the run of lower highs
UoM inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF grinding lower through the NY-Asia transition, breaking the 0.8090 floor to print a fresh session low at 0.80850, RSI(14) sub-40 but not yet oversold. The corrective pullback from the 0.8140 YTD high extends as USD softens on slipping yields; supply capping each bounce around 0.80965.
Support: 0.8085, 0.8050
Resistance: 0.80965, 0.81118
What it said to watch
Close back above 0.80965 would break the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 0.80850 opens the path toward 0.8050
UoM inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could shift USD tone
USDCHF rolled over through the NY-Asia transition, breaking the 0.81000 pivot and pressing the session low at 0.80850 as USD softens after Thursday's yield slip. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) at 34, a clean lower-high chain in play since the 0.81118 swing.
Support: 0.8085, 0.8080
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.81118
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.81000 invalidates the lower-high read
Loss of 0.80850 opens the path toward 0.80800
UoM inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could shift this read
USDCHF rolled over through the 0.8100 pivot during the Asia-into-early-London window, printing a chain of lower lows to 0.8085 as the broad USD eased off YTD highs. RSI(14) near 35 — soft but not yet extreme — and price holds below EMA20/50.
Support: 0.8085, 0.8080
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.81118
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80850 extends the lower-low sequence toward 0.80800
Reclaim of 0.81000 negates the session down leg
UoM inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could reprice USD and shift this read
USDCHF grinding lower through the London session, printing a fresh session low at 0.8085 as the dollar's corrective unwind off Thursday's PCE continues. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 34, momentum still pointed down but not yet at extreme.
Support: 0.8085, 0.8080
Resistance: 0.8097
What it said to watch
Close below 0.8080 round number confirms continuation lower
Reclaim of 0.8097 swing high would neutralise the lower-low read
UoM inflation expectations 14:00 UTC and Fed speakers could shift this read
05:16 UTC
Downtrend, momentum building · RSI 31 · price 0.80859
Lower highs, lower lows.
USDCHF ground lower through late Asia, printing a fresh session low at 0.80858 with RSI near 30 after the 0.81118 push faded. Lower-high chain intact and 0.81000 is now capping; the dip fits the corrective pullback flagged in the USD digest off the 0.8139 YTD high.
Support: 0.80858, 0.8080
Resistance: 0.80965, 0.8102, 0.81118
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.80965 breaks the lower-high chain
0.80800 round number is the next downside reference
UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD-side read
05:02 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 34 · price 0.80859
Lower highs, lower lows into London open.
USDCHF sold off from the 0.8135 NY-session high and has ground lower through Asia, breaking the 0.80920 swing into London open to print a fresh local low at 0.80850. RSI(14) near 34 — soft but not extreme — consistent with the corrective USD pullback flagged in the digest after in-line PCE.
Support: 0.8085, 0.8092
Resistance: 0.8094, 0.8100, 0.8111
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80940 would stall the lower-low sequence
M15 close back above 0.81000 invalidates the downtrend read
UoM sentiment + Fed speakers (Williams/Kashkari) at 14:00-15:30 UTC could shift USD tone
USDCHF ground lower through the Asia session, printing a fresh low at 0.80850 after losing the 0.8090 pivot — a corrective dip off this week's 0.8140 high as DXY eased post-PCE. RSI(14) sits near 33, soft but not yet extreme; downside momentum intact while price holds below 0.80960.
Support: 0.8085, 0.8080
Resistance: 0.8096, 0.81118
What it said to watch
Break below 0.80850 extends the lower-low sequence toward 0.8080
M15 close back above 0.80960 invalidates the near-term lower-high read
UoM inflation expectations + Fed speakers (14:00 UTC) could shift the USD tone
USDCHF rolled over from the 0.8134 NY high and has ground steadily lower, printing a fresh session low at 0.80886 with RSI(14) near 33. Lower highs and lower lows are intact and price sits below EMA20/50; the corrective pullback flagged from overbought is in play.
Support: 0.80886, 0.80921
Resistance: 0.81004, 0.81067, 0.81118
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.81067 swing high breaks the lower-high chain
USDCHF faded from the 0.8135 session high and has ground to a fresh low at 0.8089, a corrective pullback from this week's 11-month top per the USD profit-taking after in-line PCE. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 37, no oversold extreme yet.
Support: 0.80894, 0.8092
Resistance: 0.81026, 0.81118, 0.8140
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80894 extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 0.8100 negates the downside break
DXY direction remains the primary driver for the Franc
USD/CHF slipped to a fresh session low at 0.80894, breaking below the 0.8095–0.8111 range that held through the prior session as the six-day rally cooled off the 0.8134 high. Price trades under the 0.8100 pivot with RSI(14) near 33 and ATR running ~4 pips; correction off overbought extremes is playing out as the digest flagged.
Support: 0.80894, 0.8092
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.81118, 0.81348
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80894 session low extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of the 0.8100 pivot negates the range break
DXY direction remains the dominant driver for the Franc
USDCHF drifting lower into the Asia session, pressing the range floor near 0.80910 after rejection at 0.81118. RSI(14) sub-45, ATR ~39 pips; broader range 0.80900-0.81120 still intact. Move fits the corrective USD pullback flagged after the six-day rally to the 0.8140 high.
Support: 0.8091, 0.80895
Resistance: 0.8108, 0.81118
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80890 breaks the range floor and confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 0.81080 needed to negate the recent rejection
04:16 UTC
Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 40 · price 0.80935
Lower highs and lower lows off 0.81348.
USDCHF rolled over from the 0.81118 swing high into the Asian session and is pressing 0.80935, with price below EMA20/50 and RSI(14) near 39. The slide is corrective within a soft-CHF backdrop after the pair's run to the 0.8140 high; 0.80895 is the nearest reference low.
Support: 0.80895, 0.80921
Resistance: 0.8101, 0.81118, 0.81348
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80895 confirms continuation lower
Reclaim of 0.81118 negates the lower-high sequence
US Michigan sentiment / Fedspeak at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
04:16 UTC
Pulling back from intraday highs · RSI 42 · price 0.80952
Consolidation rolling toward range lows.
USDCHF rejected the 0.81110 area and is fading back toward the lower end of the 0.8090–0.8111 range, consistent with the corrective USD pullback off the 0.8140 high. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 42 — no extreme, just a controlled drift lower into the Asia-London handover.
Support: 0.8092, 0.80895
Resistance: 0.8111, 0.8118
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80895 confirms a lower low and breaks the range
Reclaim of 0.81110 negates the pullback and reopens the range top
US Michigan sentiment / UoM inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) a USD catalyst that could shift this read
04:01 UTC
Rolling over from intraday highs · RSI 43 · price 0.80952
Lower high into range base.
USDCHF faded off the 0.81118 lower high into the Asia close and is drifting back toward the 0.8090 base, RSI(14) easing into the low 40s. The sharp drop from 0.8135 on yesterday's US data set the ceiling; price has chopped 0.8090–0.8111 since, with the dollar fading despite firm prints.
Support: 0.8092, 0.80895
Resistance: 0.81118, 0.81348
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80895 confirms a lower-low and reopens the base
Reclaim of 0.81118 needed to negate the lower-high sequence
DXY direction remains the dominant driver for the Franc here
USD/CHF topped at 0.81348 early in the window then faded hard toward 0.80895 as the dollar gave back PCE-day gains; price has since chopped in a 0.8090–0.8110 band. Last few bars are drifting lower again into 0.80950, retesting the session-low area with RSI(14) sub-45.
Support: 0.8092, 0.80895
Resistance: 0.8111, 0.81348
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80895 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 0.81110 negates the fade and reopens 0.81348
Swiss CPI (Jul 2) and DXY direction are the dominant external drivers
USDCHF sold off from 0.8135 into 0.8092 during the prior session and has since ranged 0.8092-0.8118, the broader move tied to USD profit-taking off DXY highs. Late-Asia trade is fading the upper edge again, with the current bar pressing range-low support at 0.80962 and RSI(14) near 41.
Support: 0.8092, 0.80895
Resistance: 0.81118, 0.81348
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80918 opens a range-low break
reclaim of 0.81118 needed to retest 0.81348
US Michigan sentiment 14:00 UTC could shift USD tone
03:46 UTC
Range after sharp drop, drift lower · RSI 46 · price 0.81021
Ranging 0.8092–0.8112 below 0.8134 swing high.
USDCHF rejected the 0.8134 swing high yesterday and dropped to 0.80895 before stabilising; price now chops between 0.8092 and 0.8112 with RSI(14) flat near 46. Corrective tone after the six-day rally to the 0.8140 area, consistent with the stretched-long USD digest read.
Support: 0.8100, 0.8092, 0.80895
Resistance: 0.81118, 0.81135, 0.81348
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81135 reopens the path toward the 0.8134 swing high
Loss of 0.80920 confirms a lower low and extends the corrective leg
DXY direction remains the primary driver; Fedspeak later could shift this read
03:31 UTC
Down-leg done, now ranging · RSI 48 · price 0.81021
Range after sharp drop off session high.
USDCHF sold off from the 0.81348 session high to 0.80895 during the prior session, then settled into a tight Asia range between 0.80990 and 0.81118. Price sits mid-range at 0.81021 with RSI flat near 48 and thin late-session volume — no setup in play.
Support: 0.8099, 0.80918, 0.80895
Resistance: 0.81118, 0.81348
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81118 reopens the path toward the 0.81348 session high
Break below 0.80990 puts the 0.80895 session low back in focus
US PCE / Fed pricing remains the dominant near-term driver per digest
03:31 UTC
Range after NY pullback · RSI 45 · price 0.81024
Consolidation off session high.
USDCHF was rejected at 0.81348 during NY hours and sold off to 0.80912 as longs booked profit ahead of US PCE. Since then it has chopped sideways in a tight 0.8096-0.8112 band through the Asia session, now mid-range at 0.81024 with ATR compressed.
Support: 0.8096, 0.80912
Resistance: 0.81118, 0.81348
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80912 reopens the downside toward the lower range
Reclaim of 0.81118 puts the 0.81348 day high back in play
US Michigan sentiment / inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC a near-term catalyst
03:16 UTC
Range-bound, no clear direction · RSI 46 · price 0.81024
Balancing inside an intraday range after NY rejection.
USDCHF is ranging 0.80920–0.81118 through the Asian session after a sharp rejection from the 0.81348 ny high during NY hours yesterday, where USD eased on pre-PCE profit-taking. Price sits at 0.81024, hugging the EMAs with RSI(14) neutral near 46 — no setup in play.
Support: 0.8100, 0.8092, 0.80895
Resistance: 0.81118, 0.81348
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81118 session high reopens the 0.81348 ny high
Break below 0.80895 swing low confirms a lower low
US Michigan sentiment + PCE-driven flow (14:00 UTC) could break this Asian range
03:16 UTC
Range, recovering off lows · RSI 53 · price 0.81049
Range after sharp PCE-driven drop.
USDCHF clawed back off the 0.8089 session low after yesterday's PCE-driven slide from 0.8135, now grinding inside a 0.8092–0.8118 range through quiet Asia hours. RSI(14) neutral near 53; the 0.8118 session high capped the latest push.
Support: 0.80918, 0.80895
Resistance: 0.81118, 0.81348
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8118 opens the path to 0.8135
Loss of 0.8092 confirms a lower-low and reopens 0.8089
US Michigan sentiment + UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
03:01 UTC
Pullback off highs, basing · RSI 53 · price 0.81049
Consolidating above 0.8100 after sharp drop.
USDCHF sold off from 0.81348 to a 0.80895 session low through the US session, then clawed back to base around 0.8100-0.8112. Thin Asia-session trade now, ranging just under the 0.81118 recent high with RSI mid-range.
Support: 0.8099, 0.80912, 0.80895
Resistance: 0.81118, 0.8125
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81118 opens the path back toward 0.81250
Failure to hold 0.80990 reopens the 0.80895 session low
US Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) could shift this read
03:01 UTC
Recovered off lows, now ranging · RSI 51 · price 0.81049
Range after NY-session selloff.
USDCHF sold off through NY hours from the 0.81348 high to a 0.80895 swing low on USD profit-taking, then clawed back to range between 0.80990 and 0.81118 through the Asia session. Price sits mid-range at 0.81049 with RSI neutral near 50 — no directional setup in play.
Support: 0.8099, 0.80895
Resistance: 0.81118, 0.81348
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81118 reopens the 0.81348 prior high
Loss of 0.80990 range floor exposes the 0.80895 swing low
US PCE / Michigan sentiment later today is the dominant USD catalyst
02:46 UTC
Recovering off NY lows, choppy · RSI 57 · price 0.81066
Range base after NY drop, grinding higher.
NY session sold USDCHF from 0.81348 down to the 0.809 area as USD longs booked profit off the 11-month highs; a base then formed and Asia has been grinding it back to 0.811. Price holds above the 0.8100 psych level with the recent 0.81118 session high the immediate cap.
Support: 0.8100, 0.8092, 0.80895
Resistance: 0.81118, 0.81348
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81118 reopens the path to 0.81348
Failure to hold 0.8100 exposes the 0.80895 swing low
US Michigan sentiment / inflation expectations later today could shift USD tone
02:46 UTC
Recovering after selloff · RSI 59 · price 0.81106
Rebound off 0.8090 base, higher lows.
Quiet Asia session grind: USDCHF sold off from 0.8135 to a 0.8090 base in the prior session, then based and clawed back to 0.8110 — roughly a 50% retrace of that drop. RSI(14) near 59 and ATR a thin ~4 pips reflecting low Asian liquidity; broader read still favours USD strength after hot US data and SNB intervention talk.
Support: 0.8100, 0.8092
Resistance: 0.8118, 0.81348, 0.8140
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8118 swing high opens the path to 0.8135
Failure to hold 0.8100 round number reopens the 0.8090 base
Michigan sentiment + UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
Sharp NY-session selloff from 0.81348 to 0.80895 on a volume spike, after which price has carved higher lows back into Asia and is now retesting the 0.81095 range top. RSI(14) mid-range near 57; the 0.8100 round number has held as the recovery base.
Support: 0.8100, 0.80918
Resistance: 0.81095, 0.81348
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81095 range top opens the path to the 0.81348 prior high
Failure to hold the 0.8100 round number reopens 0.80918 session low
UoM sentiment and Fed-speak later today (14:00 UTC+) could shift the USD read
02:31 UTC
Recovering off intraday low · RSI 58 · price 0.81106
Double bottom, higher lows building.
USDCHF rejected the 0.81348 session high and dropped hard to 0.80912, where a double bottom formed and price has since ground back up to 0.8111. The pullback fits USD easing off DXY 101.50 after in-line PCE, trimming the recent run toward the 0.8140 11-month high; recovery is intact while 0.81000 holds.
Support: 0.8100, 0.80912
Resistance: 0.81188, 0.81348
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81188 reopens the path to the 0.81348 session high
Loss of 0.81000 puts the 0.80912 double bottom back in play
USDCHF sold off from 0.81322 into a 0.80895 low during the prior session as longs booked profit off the 0.8140 11-month high, then carved a rounded base and is grinding back up to a thin Asia-session 0.81095 ceiling. Rising lows off 0.80895 hold, but the move is slow with ATR near 5 pips on light volume.
Support: 0.8099, 0.80895
Resistance: 0.81095, 0.8120, 0.81322
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81095 opens the path back toward 0.81200
Loss of 0.80990 range floor reopens the 0.80895 low
UoM Sentiment + Fed-speak (14:00-15:30 UTC) could shift the USD read
USDCHF sold off ~45 pips during NY hours after in-line US PCE trimmed Fed-hike bets, bottoming near 0.80895. Asia session has ground the drop back in a rounded recovery to 0.8107, now pressing the 0.81093 session high with RSI(14) mid-range.
Support: 0.8100, 0.8092, 0.80895
Resistance: 0.81093, 0.8117
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81093 opens the path to 0.81170
Failure to hold 0.81000 reopens the 0.80920 swing low
SNB intervention rhetoric and DXY direction remain the dominant driver
Rangebound after NY sell-off, rising lows into Asia.
USDCHF sold off from the 0.81348 session high to 0.80895 through NY hours, then ground back to 0.81068 across the Asia session on rising lows. Now consolidating between 0.81000 and 0.81140, RSI(14) neutral near 56 and volume thin into early Asia.
Support: 0.8100, 0.80895
Resistance: 0.8114, 0.81348
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81140 reopens the 0.81348 session high
Loss of 0.81000 exposes the 0.80895 session low
US Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
02:01 UTC
Recovering after pullback · RSI 55 · price 0.81068
Ranged base, grinding higher.
USDCHF dropped from the 0.81348 NY session high to 0.80918 as longs booked profit around the in-line US PCE, then based in the 0.8090s. Asia hours have ground price back to 0.81068, RSI(14) neutral near 55 and holding above EMA20/50.
Support: 0.8099, 0.80918
Resistance: 0.81093, 0.8122, 0.81348
What it said to watch
Close above 0.81093 reopens 0.81220 and the 0.81348 session high
Failure to hold 0.80990 puts the 0.80918 session low back in play
US Michigan sentiment 14:00 UTC could shift this read
Price was rejected from 0.81348 during NY and slid to a session low at 0.80895, then based and ground back to 0.81064 through the quiet Asia session. Buyers stepped in above 0.81000, carving higher lows; the 0.81082 micro high caps for now.
Support: 0.8100, 0.8092, 0.80895
Resistance: 0.81082, 0.81195, 0.81348
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81082 micro high opens 0.81195 swing high
Loss of 0.81000 round number reopens 0.80920 swing low
US Michigan sentiment 14:00 UTC could shift this read
01:46 UTC
Range after sharp drop, momentum flat · RSI 47 · price 0.81021
Basing in a tight Asia-session range above the session low.
USDCHF sold off from the 0.81348 session high to 0.80895 on the in-line US PCE reaction, then based and recovered into a tight Asia-session range near 0.81020. RSI(14) sits neutral around 47 and volume is thin; price is hugging the EMA20 with no setup in play.
Support: 0.8092, 0.80895
Resistance: 0.81084, 0.8114, 0.81348
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81084 opens the path back to 0.81140
Loss of 0.80920 reopens the 0.80895 session low
Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC could reset the intraday range
USD/CHF sold off from 0.81348 to a 0.80912 base during the prior NY session as the Dollar eased on in-line PCE, then carved a rounded recovery back to 0.8102. Thin early-Asia trade now has price ranging between 0.8092 and 0.8108 with RSI(14) neutral near 49.
Support: 0.80912, 0.80958
Resistance: 0.81084, 0.81135, 0.81348
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8108 opens the path back toward the 0.8135 prior high
Loss of 0.8092 confirms a lower low and reopens downside
US Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
01:31 UTC
Recovering off lows, consolidating · RSI 50 · price 0.81019
Basing near 0.8100 after sharp NY sell-off.
USDCHF dropped sharply from 0.8135 to the 0.8090 area during NY hours as longs booked profit around the US PCE read, then built a base. Asian session has ground price back to the 0.8100-0.8106 shelf with RSI(14) neutral near 50; 0.8108 caps for now.
Support: 0.8100, 0.8090
Resistance: 0.8108, 0.8120, 0.8140
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8108 reopens the 0.8120/0.8140 zone
Loss of 0.8090 swing low confirms a fresh lower-low
US Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
01:16 UTC
Recovery off lows, stalling · RSI 48 · price 0.81027
Consolidation above day low after NY selloff.
USDCHF sold off from the 0.81348 day high through NY hours into a 0.80895 low, then based and recovered through the Asia session. The bounce stalled at 0.81084 and price is now drifting back to 0.81027, sitting on its EMA20 mid-range with ATR compressed to a few pips.
Support: 0.8099, 0.8092, 0.80895
Resistance: 0.81084, 0.81113, 0.81348
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81084 extends the recovery toward 0.81113
Loss of 0.80990 reopens the 0.80895 day low
London open may inject the volatility absent from the current Asia range
01:16 UTC
Downtrend cooled into range · RSI 52 · price 0.81019
Ranging after sell-off, basing near 0.8092.
USDCHF sold off from the session high at 0.81348 to 0.80895 as the dollar eased on in-line US PCE and profit-taking unwound the crowded long. Price has since based around 0.8092 and chopped in a 0.8092-0.8107 range through Asia; RSI(14) neutral near 52 with no clean intraday trend.
Support: 0.8092, 0.80895
Resistance: 0.81084, 0.81223
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81084 opens the path back toward 0.81223
Failure to hold 0.8092 confirms a lower low and reopens 0.80895
UoM Michigan inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Base building after NY sell-off, consolidating sub-0.8108.
USDCHF sold off from the session high at 0.81348 to 0.80895 during NY hours as the in-line US PCE bundle prompted profit-taking on the overbought rally. Price has since ground back to 0.8106 and is now consolidating between 0.81000 and the 0.81084 recent high, having retraced roughly a third of the drop.
Support: 0.8100, 0.8092, 0.80895
Resistance: 0.81084, 0.8114
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81084 opens the path back to 0.81140
Failure to hold 0.81000 reopens the 0.80920/0.80895 session low
UoM inflation expectations later today (14:00 UTC) is the dominant USD catalyst
01:02 UTC
Ranging after NY drop · RSI 52 · price 0.81027
Consolidation inside session range.
USDCHF dropped from 0.81348 to a 0.80920 swing low during the NY session as the dollar eased on in-line PCE, then settled into a tight Asia-session range. Price is mid-range at 0.81027, holding above EMA20 with the session high at 0.81078 capping and the 0.80990 pivot underneath; ATR has compressed to ~3 pips in quiet pre-London trade.
Support: 0.8099, 0.8092
Resistance: 0.81078, 0.81134
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81078 reopens the path toward the 0.81134 prior high
Break below 0.80920 swing low confirms a lower-low and ends the range
USD/CHF sold off from the 0.8135 session high during NY hours into a low near 0.8090 on profit-taking off the 0.8140 11-month top, then ground back to 0.8105. Asia session is quiet and rangebound between 0.8092 and 0.8108 with RSI(14) neutral near 54.
Support: 0.8092, 0.8088
Resistance: 0.8108, 0.8134
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8108 opens the path back toward 0.8134
Failure to hold 0.8092 confirms a lower low
US Michigan inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) is the dominant USD catalyst
USDCHF sold off from 0.8135 to 0.8089 mid-window as USD eased post-PCE, then based and clawed back to 0.8105. Price now grinding higher lows off the 0.8089-0.8092 base, RSI(14) recovered to ~60, with 0.81085 session high the immediate cap.
Support: 0.8100, 0.8092, 0.80895
Resistance: 0.81085, 0.8120, 0.8133
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81085 opens the path back toward 0.81200
Failure to hold 0.80920 reopens the 0.80895 swing low
SNB intervention rhetoric could shift this read
00:31 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 58 · price 0.81048
Rounded base after NY decline.
USDCHF sold off through the NY session from 0.81348 to a 0.80895 low as the in-line US PCE trimmed hawkish-Fed bets. Asia has since carved a rounded base, reclaiming 0.8100 and grinding up to a 0.81084 session high; RSI(14) recovering toward 58. Move is back to ~38% of the NY drop, with the 0.80990 base holding.
Support: 0.8099, 0.80895
Resistance: 0.81084, 0.81135, 0.81348
What it said to watch
Close above 0.81135 extends the recovery toward the 0.81348 prior high
Loss of 0.80990 reopens the 0.80895 session low
Swiss CPI and JOLTS later in week are the next macro catalysts
USDCHF sold off from 0.81348 to a 0.80895 swing low after USD softened post-PCE, then carved a rounded base through the Asia session and ground back to 0.81062, a ~38% retrace of that drop. Session base at 0.80990 has held while price stalls just below the 0.81100 prior base.
Support: 0.8099, 0.80895
Resistance: 0.8110, 0.8120
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81100 opens path to 0.81200 supply
Failure to hold 0.80990 reopens the 0.80895 swing low
UoM inflation expectations later today could reprice USD
00:16 UTC
Downtrend, basing and recovering · RSI 58 · price 0.81062
Higher lows off session base.
USDCHF sold off from 0.81348 to the 0.80920 session low as longs booked profit around in-line US PCE, then based with repeated demand near 0.80920. Asia hours have ground price back to 0.81062, building higher lows; the 0.81100 prior pivot caps for now.
Support: 0.8092, 0.8098
Resistance: 0.8110, 0.81145
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81100 opens path to the 0.81145 swing high
Failure to hold 0.80920 session low confirms a fresh lower low
US Michigan sentiment / inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
USDCHF sold off from the 0.8135 session high into a 0.8090 base mid-window, carving a double bottom before grinding back to 0.81065 through Asia hours. RSI(14) neutral near 56, price reclaiming both intraday EMAs as the recovery holds higher lows.
Support: 0.8100, 0.80895, 0.80942
Resistance: 0.8110, 0.8118, 0.81348
What it said to watch
Close above 0.8110 opens the path to 0.8118 then 0.81348 session high
Failure to hold 0.8100 reopens the 0.80895 base
UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
00:02 UTC
Recovering off lows, micro-uptrend · RSI 61 · price 0.81065
Base after sharp drop, higher lows building.
NY session sold off sharply into the PCE print, dropping from 0.81348 to a 0.80895 base before grinding back. Asia is quiet — price ticking higher to 0.81065 on thin volume, RSI(14) mid-60s, holding above the 0.81000 round level with the double-bottom near 0.80912 intact.
Support: 0.8100, 0.80912, 0.80895
Resistance: 0.81084, 0.81117, 0.81195
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.80912 negates the recovery and reopens the 0.80895 low
M15 close above 0.81117 brings the drop origin back into play
Asia session grinding higher after the sharp PCE-driven drop from 0.81348 to 0.80895. A chain of higher lows has lifted price back to 0.81065, with the 0.81100 pivot the next test; RSI(14) mid-range and ATR thin in quiet Asian hours.
Support: 0.8100, 0.8092, 0.80895
Resistance: 0.8110, 0.8120
What it said to watch
Close above 0.81100 opens the path to 0.81200
Loss of 0.80920 session low reopens the 0.80895 swing low
Friday's Michigan sentiment and Fed speakers could shift this read