Lower highs since Wednesday peak; demand at 0.8066.
USD/CHF slid off Wednesday's 0.8140 11-month high after in-line US PCE deflated Fed-hike bets, bottoming twice near 0.8066 before recovering into the 0.8094 area. Price has reclaimed EMA(20) with RSI(14) cycling back toward midline, but trade is stalling right at the 38.2% retracement of the week's decline. The 0.8100 pivot, also where the descending lower-highs sit, is the level to watch above.
Support: 0.8066, 0.8040
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.8140
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.8100 pivot opens path back toward the 0.8140 week high
Failure to hold 0.8066 swing low confirms a lower-low toward 0.8040
Swiss CPI on Jul 2 is the key Franc catalyst that could shift this read
USDCHF carved a double top near the 0.81394 week high before breaking the 0.81100 neckline and unwinding the week's advance after the in-line US PCE print deflated Fed hike bets. Price has since recovered off the 0.80687 week low and is hovering just above EMA20, with RSI(14) back to neutral near 47. The bounce stalls near the 38.2% retracement of the 0.81394–0.80687 leg.
Support: 0.80687, 0.8089
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.8110, 0.81394
What it said to watch
Hourly close back above 0.81100 neckline would negate the double-top breakdown
Failure to hold 0.80687 week low confirms a lower-low
Swiss CPI Jul 2 is the key Franc catalyst that could shift this read
USDCHF ran to an 11-month high near 0.8140 midweek before correcting as the USD eased post-PCE, with two failed pushes at 0.8138 leaving a double-top look. Price has since based around the 0.8066/0.8069 week-low zone and recovered back above EMA(20), though EMA(50) overhead near 0.8104 is capping the bounce. RSI(14) has unwound from overbought back to the mid-line.
Support: 0.80687, 0.8066, 0.8040
Resistance: 0.8104, 0.8110, 0.8139
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.8110 reopens the path to the 0.8140 week high
Loss of 0.8066 confirms a lower low and exposes 0.8040 corr floor
Swiss CPI Jul 2 could materially shift the CHF read
19:02 UTC
Uptrend, in corrective pullback · RSI 52 · price 0.80966
Lower highs off 0.8140, basing near 0.8097.
USDCHF ran to a fresh 11-month high near 0.8140 mid-week before the USD correction post-PCE and a CHF safe-haven bounce capped the rally and drove a pullback. Demand stepped in around 0.8066 late Thursday and price has since recovered to consolidate near 0.8097, back above EMA(20) but still under EMA(50). RSI(14) has cycled back to neutral as the corrective leg stalls.
Support: 0.8087, 0.8066
Resistance: 0.8108, 0.81394
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.8108 reopens the path back to the 0.8140 high
Failure to hold 0.8066 confirms a lower low and extends the correction
ADP/ISM on Jul 1 and Swiss CPI Jul 2 could materially shift this read
USD/CHF ran to an 11-month high near 0.8140 midweek then rolled over, printing a week low at 0.8068 in the NY session before a bounce back to 0.8098 as the dollar eased post-PCE and CHF caught a safe-haven bid. Price has reclaimed EMA20 but sits below EMA50, with RSI cycling back through the mid-40s. The series of lower highs off 0.8140 still caps the recovery.
Support: 0.80687, 0.8088
Resistance: 0.8107, 0.81394
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.8107 reopens the path to the 0.8140 week high
Failure to hold 0.8068 confirms a lower low and extends the correction
US ADP/ISM (Jul 1) and Swiss CPI (Jul 2) could materially shift this read
18:01 UTC
Pullback from weekly high · RSI 49 · price 0.80975
Lower highs since Thursday peak, bouncing off 0.8066.
USDCHF ran to an 11-month high near 0.8139 mid-week before selling off into Friday, bottoming at 0.8066 — the slide tracking the broader USD correction after benign PCE. Price has since recovered to 0.80975, reclaiming EMA20 but still capped below EMA50, with the 0.81000 round level acting as the immediate hurdle. RSI sits mid-range around 49 after the bounce.
Support: 0.8090, 0.8081, 0.8066
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.8114, 0.81394
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.81140 reopens the 0.8139 week high
Failure to hold 0.80660 confirms a deeper correction
Swiss CPI Thu and US ADP/ISM Jul 1 could materially shift this read
USDCHF ran to a fresh 0.81394 11-month high midweek before rejection set in, with the pair correcting back to the 0.8066 swing low into Thursday as the USD eased on in-line US PCE and a safe-haven CHF bid. Friday's session has reclaimed EMA20 near 0.8090, but price still sits below EMA50 and beneath the broken 0.8108 prior high. RSI(14) has cycled back to the mid-40s off oversold, consistent with the corrective tone.
Support: 0.8066, 0.8040
Resistance: 0.8108, 0.81394
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.8108 prior high reopens the 0.81394 wk high pivot
Failure to hold 0.8066 swing low confirms a lower low toward the 0.8040 corr floor
ADP/ISM cluster Jul 1 and Swiss CPI Jul 2 could materially shift this read
Lower highs off the week high, basing above 0.8066.
USDCHF ran to a fresh 11-month high at 0.81394 mid-week on the hawkish-Fed USD bid, then rolled over into a multi-session pullback as in-line US PCE and a softer USD trimmed hike odds. Price flushed to 0.8066 in the NY session before buyers stepped in twice, and Friday's bounce has reclaimed EMA(20) at ~0.8089 with RSI(14) recovering back toward 50. The 0.8102–0.8118 band of prior lower highs now caps the rebound.
Support: 0.80687, 0.8066
Resistance: 0.8102, 0.8118, 0.81394
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.81180 reopens the path to the 0.81394 week high
Failure to hold 0.8066 confirms a lower-low and extends the correction
Swiss CPI on Jul 2 could materially shift this read
USDCHF topped near 0.81394 mid-week and has rolled over through the NY session, the dollar's first post-PCE breather after a six-day climb. Price slipped below EMA(20) and EMA(50) and tagged 0.80660 before a bounce back to 0.80920, where supply capped it. RSI(14) is sub-50 with the broader move now corrective rather than impulsive.
Support: 0.8066, 0.8040
Resistance: 0.8092, 0.8114, 0.81394
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.80920 would ease the pullback toward 0.81140
Failure to hold 0.80660 opens the 0.8040 correction floor cited as the key support
ADP and ISM Manufacturing on Jul 1 could revive the dollar bid and shift this read
USD/CHF rolled over from this week's 0.8140 high as the dollar eased a second day on in-line Core PCE, and H1 is now printing lower highs with price under both EMA20 and EMA50. Demand stepped in twice near 0.8066-0.8070 into Friday's NY session, sparking a bounce toward 0.8092 before stalling. The recovery has so far failed to reclaim the EMA20 around 0.8090.
Support: 0.8066, 0.8040
Resistance: 0.8090, 0.8140
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.8090 EMA20 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.8066 opens the path toward 0.8040
Swiss CPI on Jul 2 06:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF climbed all week to a 0.8139 high before rolling over into a corrective leg, with lower highs printed below the peak. Friday's slide bottomed at 0.8066 and snapped back to 0.809 in a single strong bar as the USD eased on in-line PCE and a soft Michigan sentiment print, lifting the safe-haven franc. Price now sits below EMA20 (~0.8095) with RSI mid-40s — the bounce is testing the prior support shelf from below.
Support: 0.8066, 0.8040
Resistance: 0.8095, 0.8114, 0.81394
What it said to watch
Hourly close back above 0.8095 (ema20) reopens the 0.8114 prior high
Failure to hold the 0.8066 week low confirms a lower-low and exposes the 0.8040 corr floor
Swiss CPI Jul 2 and US ISM/ADP Jul 1 could materially shift this read
Lower highs since Wed peak, sharp recovery off 0.8066.
USD/CHF rolled over from Wednesday's 0.8139 week high and ground lower into the NY session Friday as the dollar corrected on in-line PCE and the franc caught a safe-haven bid. Price tagged 0.8066 before a sharp snap-back to the 0.8090 area, leaving it pinned just under EMA(20) with RSI cycling out of the low-40s. The 0.8120–0.8139 zone capped the week and remains the dominant overhead structure.
Support: 0.80687, 0.8066, 0.8040
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.8119, 0.81394
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.8100/EMA(20) neutralises the down-leg from 0.8139
Failure to hold 0.8066 opens the path toward 0.8040
USDCHF rolled over from this week's 0.8140 high, with the dominant leg lower coming through Thursday and into Friday's NY hours as the USD corrected on in-line PCE. Price has broken the 0.8090 shelf and trades at session lows near 0.8066, sitting well below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) pressed into oversold. The 0.8040 area cited as key support sits just below current price.
Support: 0.8066, 0.8040
Resistance: 0.8090, 0.8114, 0.81394
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80900 broken support would neutralise the downside read
Failure to hold 0.80660 session low opens 0.8040 key support
Fed speakers and Michigan sentiment today could shift the USD leg
SNB intervention risk caps sustained CHF strength on dips
USDCHF has unwound the week's six-day rally that peaked at 0.81394 Wednesday, sliding back through Monday's open and into the NY session as the USD corrected on in-line PCE. Price trades below both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) pressing oversold, and the session low at 0.80660 now defines the floor. The pullback respects a clean sequence of lower highs since the 0.8140 top.
Support: 0.8066, 0.8040
Resistance: 0.8092, 0.8100
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.80920 would break the lower-high sequence
0.80400 key support is the next structural floor below the session low
Fed's Williams/Kashkari and Michigan sentiment could shift the USD leg
13:02 UTC
Pullback from week high, momentum down · RSI 32 · price 0.80718
Lower highs since mid-week peak, testing week lows.
USDCHF rallied to a 0.81394 week high mid-week before reversing, and the pair now sits at week lows around 0.80718 after the softer USD turn on in-line core PCE and a defensive risk tone supporting CHF. Price trades below both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) pressed into the low 30s as the decline accelerated through the last NY-to-Asia transition. Lower highs have capped each bounce since the peak.
Support: 0.8070, 0.8040
Resistance: 0.8087, 0.8100, 0.81394
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.80400 confirms continuation of the pullback
Reclaim of 0.81000 would neutralise the downside read
US Michigan sentiment today 14:00 UTC and Fed speakers could shift this read
13:02 UTC
Downtrend, accelerating into NY · RSI 32 · price 0.80718
Lower highs, lower lows off the 0.8139 peak.
USD/CHF has rolled over from Wednesday's 0.8139 week high, carving lower highs all week and breaking down through the 0.80920 EMA20 zone into NY hours as the dollar corrected on the in-line core PCE print. The last leg sliced to a fresh session low at 0.80702 with RSI(14) pressed into oversold near 31. Price sits well below both EMAs; the 0.8040 key support cited below remains the next structural reference.
Support: 0.80702, 0.8040
Resistance: 0.8092, 0.8108, 0.81394
What it said to watch
Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC plus Fed speakers could shift the USD leg this hour
Failure to hold 0.80702 opens the path toward 0.8040 key support
H1 close back above 0.80920 ema20 would neutralise the breakdown
12:02 UTC
Corrective pullback off the weekly high · RSI 42 · price 0.80866
Lower highs since the 0.8140 peak.
The six-day USD/CHF rally peaked at 0.8140 mid-week and has since rolled into a corrective pullback as the dollar eased on the in-line core PCE print. Price is back at 0.8087, below both EMA20 and EMA50, carving lower highs through the NY session with the 0.8076 swing low as the first marker. RSI(14) sits in the low-40s, reflecting the loss of upside momentum.
Support: 0.8076, 0.8050
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.8140
What it said to watch
Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC plus Fed speakers (Williams 14:30, Kashkari 15:30) could shift this read
Close below 0.8076 confirms a lower low and exposes the 0.8050 key support
Reclaim of 0.8100 round number needed to stall the corrective tone
Six-day rally to the 0.81394 week high rolled over after in-line US core PCE trimmed near-term Fed hike bets, and USDCHF has since carved lower highs back toward 0.8086. Price trades below both EMA20 (~0.8095) and EMA50 with RSI(14) holding the lower half near 40, confirming the corrective tone. The 0.80760 swing low is the line in the sand for the pullback.
Support: 0.8076, 0.8050
Resistance: 0.8095, 0.8100, 0.81394
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.8095 (EMA20) would challenge the corrective read
Failure to hold the 0.80760 swing low exposes 0.8050 key support
Michigan sentiment 14:00 UTC and Fed speakers Williams/Kashkari could shift this read
11:02 UTC
Uptrend stalling, deep pullback · RSI 40 · price 0.80841
Lower highs off week high, fading toward week low.
USD/CHF ran to a 0.81394 11-month high midweek before fading, with an in-line core PCE print yesterday draining the dollar's momentum. Price has carved lower highs since and now sits below EMA20/EMA50, slipping toward the week low at 0.80734 after losing the 0.8100 pivot. RSI(14) near 40 reflects the correction off stretched levels.
Support: 0.8076, 0.80734
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.8112
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.80760 confirms a lower low toward the 0.80734 week low
Reclaim of the 0.8100 pivot reopens the 0.81120 lower high
Michigan sentiment / inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
USD/CHF ran six sessions higher into the 0.8139 11-month high then stalled after Thursday's in-line core PCE drained the dollar's fresh fuel. Twin failures at 0.8135/0.8139 carved a double top, and the break of the 0.8100 pivot has dragged price under EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI sub-40. The decline into the NY session has tested the 0.8076 swing low, where the week's range base sits.
Support: 0.8076, 0.8073
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.8114, 0.8139
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.8100 pivot negates the double-top read
Loss of 0.8076 confirms a lower-low toward the 0.8073 week low
Michigan inflation expectations today 14:00 UTC could reshape the USD leg
10:02 UTC
Downtrend, rolling off week highs · RSI 38 · price 0.80821
Lower highs since 0.8139 peak, retesting week lows.
USD/CHF rallied to an 11-month high at 0.8139 mid-week before rolling over, carving a double top around 0.8135–0.8139 and breaking down through the 0.8100 pivot into NY hours. Price now sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) sub-40, retesting this-week lows near 0.8075 as the in-line PCE print failed to extend the dollar's six-day climb. The 0.8100 pivot, repeatedly held earlier in the week, now caps as resistance.
Support: 0.8075, 0.80734
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.8095, 0.81394
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.8075 swing low confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of the 0.8100 pivot would neutralise the breakdown read
US Michigan sentiment / inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
USDCHF rejected the 0.8139 11-month high twice and has unwound the week's advance, slipping back toward the 0.8080 area where the week opened. Price now trades below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) sub-40, as an in-line US PCE failed to extend the dollar's six-day run. The 0.8100 pivot capped the latest NY-session bounce, reinforcing the lower-high sequence.
Support: 0.80749, 0.80731
Resistance: 0.8095, 0.8100, 0.81394
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.8100 pivot would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.80749 confirms a fresh lower-low and opens 0.80731
US Michigan sentiment & inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
USDCHF ran six sessions higher into a YTD high at 0.8139 before stalling — twin peaks near 0.8135-0.8139 mark a double top, and price has since faded back below EMA(20) around 0.8100 as the in-line core PCE print starved the USD rally of fresh fuel. The current-day NY session drove the leg lower to 0.8077, leaving RSI(14) off the overbought zone in the low 40s. The 0.8100 pivot now caps as resistance after acting as support through midweek.
Support: 0.80774, 0.80718
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.81394
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.8100 / EMA(20) would negate the corrective read
Loss of 0.8077 session low confirms a lower low
Swiss CPI Jul 2 06:30 UTC is the key Franc catalyst that could shift this read
USDCHF has rolled over from Wednesday's 0.81394 weekly high after a six-day rally, with twin rejections near 0.8135–0.8139 leaving a double-top look and price now back below EMA20/50. The fade lines up with the dollar easing after an in-line core PCE print starved bulls of fresh fuel, and RSI(14) has cooled toward the high-30s. The week's open low at 0.80718 and the 0.80774 session low are the corrective downside markers being probed.
Support: 0.80774, 0.80718
Resistance: 0.8101, 0.81118, 0.81394
What it said to watch
Holding below the 0.8101 pivot keeps the corrective read intact; H1 close back above 0.8110 reasserts the uptrend
Failure to hold 0.80774/0.80718 confirms a lower low
Swiss CPI Jul 2 is the next major CHF catalyst for this pair
USDCHF ran to an 11-month high near 0.8139 mid-week before two failed pushes left a double top and the move rolled over. Price has since lost the 0.8100 pivot and sits below both EMA(20) and EMA(50), with RSI(14) cycling under 45 as the in-line US PCE print sapped fresh dollar fuel and triggered profit-taking. The 0.80799 session low is the immediate floor, with the week base at 0.80692 below.
Support: 0.80799, 0.80692
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.81394
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.8100 pivot would stall the corrective leg
Failure to hold 0.80799 opens the path to the 0.80692 week low
Michigan sentiment / UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
USD/CHF rallied to an 11-month high near 0.8139 mid-week then rolled over as DXY stalled post-PCE and the franc caught a modest bid. Price has slipped below the H1 EMA20 with RSI(14) sub-40, putting it back at session lows around 0.8080. Two attempts to reclaim 0.8118 have been capped, leaving a sequence of lower highs since the peak.
Support: 0.80799, 0.80749
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.81118, 0.81394
What it said to watch
Close below 0.8075 confirms a deeper unwind of the week's rally
Reclaim of 0.8100 EMA20 would re-open the path toward 0.8118
UoM inflation expectations / Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
07:02 UTC
Uptrend, in corrective pullback · RSI 44 · price 0.80924
Rally to YTD high then lower highs, pulling back under EMAs.
USDCHF ran from Monday's 0.8069 low to a YTD high of 0.8139 on hawkish-Fed repricing, but has since rolled over with twin peaks near 0.8135-0.8139 capping. Price has slipped back under the EMA20/EMA50 cluster into the NY session and is probing the 0.8085 area after the 0.8100 round level flipped to resistance — a corrective fade of an overbought, USD-led rally rather than a structural turn.
Support: 0.8085, 0.80692
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.8135, 0.81394
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.8100 round pivot reopens the path to the 0.8135 double top and 0.8140 ytd high
H1 close below 0.8085 recent low confirms a lower low toward 0.8069 monday low
Swiss CPI Jul 2 and Fed Williams/Kashkari today could shift this read
USDCHF carved a double top near the 0.8139 11-month high mid-week as the dollar eased off yearly tops on profit-taking despite a sticky PCE print. The neckline around 0.8100 has since given way and price has retraced almost the entire week's advance back toward Monday's open, now trading below both EMA(20) and EMA(50). Demand stepped in around 0.8085 on the latest leg, with RSI hovering in the low 40s.
Support: 0.8085, 0.80692
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.81394
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.8100 pivot would neutralise the breakdown read
Failure to hold 0.8085 swing low opens the path to the 0.80692 weekly low
UoM Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift the USD leg
06:01 UTC
Pullback from week high, momentum down · RSI 41 · price 0.80889
Lower highs since Wednesday peak, unwinding the week's rally.
USDCHF rallied to a fresh 11-month high near 0.81394 mid-week before stalling, with the six-day USD run cooling as Treasury yields slipped after in-line PCE. Price has since unwound below both EMA(20) and EMA(50), carving lower highs into the Asia session and giving back most of the week's gains to sit at 0.8089. A double-top print around 0.8135/0.8139 capped the advance and RSI(14) has cooled toward 40.
Support: 0.8085, 0.8075, 0.8069
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.8114, 0.81394
What it said to watch
Close back above 0.81000 pivot would stall the lower-high sequence
Break below 0.80750 swing low confirms continuation of the pullback
Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could materially shift USD pricing
USDCHF tagged a fresh week high at 0.81394 mid-window before rolling over and slipping back below the 0.8100 pivot into the NY session, with the dollar easing as Treasury yields slipped after in-line PCE. Price now sits below both EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) under 40, the deepest of the week's pullbacks. The 0.80850 session low is being tested for the first time since the rally began.
Support: 0.8085, 0.80692
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.81394
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.8100 pivot would reopen the path to the 0.81394 week high
Failure to hold 0.80850 exposes the 0.80692 week low
UoM data and Fed speakers (Williams, Kashkari) 14:00-15:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs off the 0.8139 week high, slipping back below EMAs.
The six-day USD/CHF rally stalled at the 0.8139 week high, with a second failure near 0.8135 leaving a double-top look and a sequence of lower highs into the NY-Asia transition. Price has slipped back below EMA20 (~0.8100) and EMA50, and RSI(14) has cooled to the low-40s as the dollar consolidated off 13-month highs after the in-line PCE print. 0.8085 is the immediate floor being tested.
Support: 0.8085, 0.80692
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.81145, 0.81394
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.8100 (EMA20) would neutralise the lower-high read
Failure to hold 0.8085 confirms a lower low and opens 0.80692 week low
US UoM sentiment / inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC plus Fed speakers could shift this read
05:02 UTC
Uptrend, momentum fading after rejection at highs · RSI 43 · price 0.80859
Pullback off week high, below EMA20.
USDCHF rallied through the week to a fresh 11-month high at 0.81394 on the hawkish-Fed repricing, but supply capped that level and price has since faded back below EMA20 and EMA50. The pullback has erased most of the impulse off Monday's 0.80692 low, with RSI(14) cooling into the low 40s and the latest NY hours pressing into 0.80850. A series of lower highs into 0.81118 marks the corrective phase, consistent with the overbought-correction read after the six-day run.
Support: 0.8085, 0.80749, 0.80692
Resistance: 0.81118, 0.8100, 0.81394
What it said to watch
Hourly close back above 0.81118 would re-engage the week's uptrend toward the 0.81394 high
Failure to hold 0.80749 confirms a lower low and deepens the correction
US UoM sentiment/inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC plus Fed speakers could shift the DXY-driven read
USD/CHF climbed for most of the week to the 0.8140 11-month high on the hawkish-Fed reprice, but momentum rolled over after a second peak near 0.8133 failed to extend. Price slipped through EMA20 and EMA50 into NY hours yesterday, fading from 0.8133 toward 0.8092, with RSI(14) back below 50. The 0.80920 swing low is now the pivot for whether this stays a corrective dip or deepens.
Support: 0.8092, 0.8085, 0.80692
Resistance: 0.8108, 0.8114, 0.81394
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.81080 (EMA20) needed to re-engage the prior advance
Failure to hold 0.80920 opens the path to the 0.80692 monday low
DXY direction remains the primary driver here; Swiss CPI (Jul 2) a CHF catalyst
USDCHF ran six straight sessions to an 11-month high near 0.81394 on the hawkish-Fed reprice, then faded back below the 0.8100 pivot as the dollar lost steam after in-line PCE. Price is now consolidating 0.8092-0.8107 below the EMA20 with RSI(14) easing into the low 40s after the rejection at the week's high. Lower highs since Wednesday's peak define the near-term corrective tone.
Support: 0.80912, 0.80765
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.8107, 0.81394
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.8100 pivot would reopen the 0.81070/0.81394 highs
Loss of 0.80912 swing low exposes the 0.80765 week low
US Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
Six straight up-sessions carried USDCHF from Monday's 0.8085 open to a 0.8139 11-month high on hawkish-Fed repricing and SNB intervention talk, before profit-taking ahead of US PCE pulled price back to 0.8089 and into a 0.8095-0.8110 consolidation. Price is hovering on the H1 EM(20) but below the EMA(50), with RSI(14) cooled to the mid-40s after the rejection at 0.8139. The 0.8090 pivot zone has so far absorbed the dip.
Support: 0.8090, 0.8085, 0.8069
Resistance: 0.8120, 0.8139
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.8120 reopens the path to the 0.8139 high
Failure to hold 0.8090 confirms a deeper pullback toward 0.8069
US Michigan sentiment + Fed speakers (14:00-15:30 UTC) could reset this read
USDCHF ran to an 11-month high near 0.8140 mid-week on hawkish-Fed repricing, then faded into Friday's NY session as in-line US PCE triggered dollar profit-taking, dropping back below 0.8100 before recovering. Price now coils around 0.8105, pinned to EMA20 with RSI(14) mid-range after the lower high at 0.81336. The 0.8100 pivot is holding for now, with the 0.80921 swing low marking the floor of the week's pullback.
Support: 0.8100, 0.80921
Resistance: 0.81336, 0.8140
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.8140 reopens the path to 0.8170
Failure to hold 0.80921 confirms a lower-low
US Michigan sentiment + Fed speakers (14:00-15:30 UTC) could shift this read
Rally capped at 0.8140, now consolidating above the pullback low.
USDCHF ran six sessions higher into the 0.8140 11-month high before in-line US PCE capped the move and triggered a pullback to 0.80895. Price has since stabilised around 0.8107, holding the rising higher-low line off Monday's 0.80690 base with RSI(14) back to neutral. The 0.81250–0.81394 zone has rejected the latest push; consolidation persists between there and the 0.80895 swing low.
Support: 0.80895, 0.8069
Resistance: 0.8125, 0.81394
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.81394 exposes 0.8170/0.8200
Failure to hold 0.80895 confirms a deeper pullback toward 0.80690
US Michigan sentiment/inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
USDCHF rallied from Monday's 0.80752 open to a 0.81394 week high before pulling back into midweek as in-line US PCE capped the Fed-hike repricing. Price has since based around the 0.81000 round number and recovered toward the 0.50 retracement of the weekly impulse, holding above EMA(20) but still under EMA(50). The prior high at 0.81150 is the immediate cap, while the swing low at 0.80912 marks the pullback floor.
Support: 0.8100, 0.80912, 0.80752
Resistance: 0.8115, 0.81394
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.81150 reopens the path to the 0.81394 week high
Failure to hold 0.80912 confirms a deeper pullback and lower low
US Michigan sentiment plus Williams/Kashkari at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
01:02 UTC
Uptrend stalled, pulling back · RSI 47 · price 0.81027
Lower highs off 0.8140, holding above 0.8090.
USDCHF extended a six-day climb to an 11-month high at 0.8140 mid-week before easing as the in-line US PCE bundle trimmed Fed-hike bets. The week's impulse off 0.8069 retraced deep into the 0.8090 swing low, and price now consolidates near 0.810 below both EMAs with a string of lower highs capping rebounds at the 0.8108 range top. RSI sits neutral near 47 after unwinding the overbought condition from the peak.
Support: 0.80912, 0.80754
Resistance: 0.81084, 0.8125, 0.81394
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.8140 11-mo high reopens the 0.8170/0.8200 path
Failure to hold the 0.8090 swing low confirms a lower low toward 0.8075 week open
UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
01:02 UTC
Uptrend stalled, pulling back · RSI 47 · price 0.81027
Lower highs off the week high, consolidating.
The six-day climb peaked at the 0.81394 week high mid-week before the post-PCE leg lower through the NY session dragged price back to 0.80921. Since then USDCHF has consolidated in a 0.8092–0.8110 band, capped by a sequence of lower highs and trading either side of EMA(20). Momentum has cooled with RSI(14) cycling around the midline after the overbought stretch into the highs.
Support: 0.80921, 0.8079
Resistance: 0.8110, 0.81348, 0.81394
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.8110 range top reopens the 0.81348 prior high
Failure to hold 0.80921 swing low confirms a lower low
UoM Michigan inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
USDCHF climbed all week off Monday's 0.8069 base to an 11-month high at 0.8140 before stalling, with the franc on the back foot on hawkish-Fed repricing and SNB intervention talk. The in-line US core PCE and DXY easing off its tops sparked profit-taking, dragging price back to 0.8092 in the NY session before a recovery into 0.8106. RSI(14) cooled to neutral while price sits back at the EMA(20) and below the EMA(50), and the move off the high has carved a lower high.
Support: 0.8092, 0.8078
Resistance: 0.8125, 0.8140
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 0.8125 reopens the path back to the 0.8140 high
Failure to hold 0.8092 confirms a lower-low and deeper retrace toward the week open
Fed's Williams/Kashkari and Michigan sentiment Fri could shift the read
00:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 50 · price 0.8106
Pullback from 0.8140 high, holding above 0.8092.
USDCHF ran six straight legs higher into the 0.8140 11-month high on hawkish-Fed repricing and broad franc weakness before stalling. Price reversed off 0.8140, dipped to the 0.8092 pivot zone in the NY session and is now consolidating around its EMA20/EMA50 with RSI back at neutral after the in-line US core PCE print. The most recent push topped at 0.8126 — a lower high — leaving the rally's momentum visibly cooling.
Support: 0.8092, 0.80692
Resistance: 0.8126, 0.81394
What it said to watch
Close above 0.8126 reopens the path to the 0.8140 high
Failure to hold 0.8092 confirms a lower-low and deeper pullback
Fed's Williams/Kashkari and Michigan sentiment Friday could shift this read