USD/CHF AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Tuesday, 27 October 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/CHF 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:32 UTC
Sideways after London push, holding near highs · RSI 53 · price 0.82886
Tight 0.8280–0.8294 range since London, rising lows.
USD/CHF broke the Asian range during London on the firm pre-Fed dollar, but 0.8292–0.8294 has rejected price five times since, with the late-NY spike to the 0.8294 session high fading into a rollover dip to the 0.8280 range floor. Early Asia is drifting near the 23.6% fib of the day range at 0.8289, with the swing low at 0.8284 underneath and ATR(14) compressed to about 3 pips.
Support: 0.8284, 0.8280
Resistance: 0.8294, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8294 session high opens the 0.8300 psych level, also the digest's key resistance
Loss of the 0.8284 swing low exposes the 0.8280 range floor; a break there ends the rising-lows sequence
Swiss ZEW at 09:00 UTC and the Fed decision Wed 18:00 UTC could materially break this compression
Higher lows from Asia, range 0.8280–0.8294 since London.
USDCHF has climbed from the 0.8273 Asian low as the dollar held firm into the Fed, but repeated highs near 0.8292–0.8294 stalled under the 0.8300 round number, with the late-NY session high at 0.8294 rejected. The thin rollover dip found demand at 0.8280, near the 61.8% retrace and the swing lows, and price has since stabilised above the 0.8284 rollover low in a quiet early Asia session.
Support: 0.82841, 0.82805
Resistance: 0.82943, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8294 session high puts the 0.8300 round number in play
Loss of the 0.8284 rollover low returns price to the 0.8280 swing lows; a break there ends the higher-low sequence
Swiss ZEW at 09:00 UTC, then the Fed decision at 18:00 UTC, could materially shift this read
23:02 UTC
Sideways, holding upper half of day range · RSI 59 · price 0.82894
0.8280–0.8294 range since London; repeated caps at 0.8292–0.8294.
London broke above the 0.8273–0.8284 Asian range and price has rotated inside 0.8280–0.8294 since. Supply capped the 0.8292–0.8294 area four times, with the late-NY session high at 0.8294, as USD stayed firm into the Fed. The rollover dip held the range low, and price is back near the top in thin early Asia trade with RSI(14) at 59.
Support: 0.8284, 0.8280, 0.8273
Resistance: 0.8294, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8294 session high opens the 0.8300 round number, the level the market context flags as resistance
Failure to hold the old asian high at 0.8284 exposes the 0.8280 range low; a break there brings the 0.8273 asian low back into play
Swiss ZEW at 09:00 UTC could jolt the London session range
Fed decision Wed 18:00 UTC, presser 18:30, could materially shift this read
22:47 UTC
Sideways, upper half of range · RSI 55 · price 0.8288
0.8280–0.8293 range since London, flat top, rising lows.
USDCHF has held a 0.8280–0.8293 range since London. The range top capped four times, and a thin late-NY spike to the 0.8294 session high reversed straight back inside, a false break near the 0.8290/0.8300 zone flagged in the macro read. Price sits at 0.8288 in a quiet early Asia session, above the post-roll low at 0.8284 and well clear of the Asian low at 0.8273, with USD firm into Wednesday's FOMC.
Support: 0.8284, 0.8280, 0.8273
Resistance: 0.8293, 0.8294, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8294 session high invalidates the false-break read and puts the 0.8300 round number in play
Loss of the 0.8284 post-roll low exposes the 0.8280 range low (61.8% fib zone)
A break of the 0.8280 range low reopens the Asian low at 0.8273
Swiss ZEW Wed 09:00 UTC and the FOMC decision Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
22:32 UTC
Intraday range, holding above prior Asian range · RSI 56 · price 0.82886
0.8280–0.8294 range through London and NY, higher low vs Asian low.
USDCHF held a 0.8280–0.8294 range through London and NY, well above the Asian low at 0.8273, as firm pre-FOMC USD kept dips shallow. A late-NY push set the day high at 0.8294, but price was rejected short of the 0.8300 round number. Early Asia is trading near 0.8289 after a rollover dip, holding above the 0.8284 minor low, which sits at the 50% fib of the Asian low-to-day high move; RSI(14) is neutral near 56.
Support: 0.8284, 0.8280, 0.82726
Resistance: 0.82943, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8294 day high breaks the range top and brings the 0.8300 round number into play
Loss of the 0.8284 minor low exposes the 0.8280 range floor (61.8% fib)
Break of the 0.8280 range floor reopens the 0.8273 Asian low
Swiss ZEW 09:00 UTC and FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC; pre-Fed positioning could keep the range compressed until then
22:03 UTC
Sideways, mild upward drift since Asia · RSI 52 · price 0.82877
0.8280–0.8294 range, repeated caps near 0.8292.
London and NY held a 0.8280–0.8294 range, capped three times near 0.8292 before a late-NY poke to the 0.8294 session high reversed at the daily rollover. Price sits mid-range near 0.8288 in early Asia, just above EMA20, with RSI(14) neutral at 52 as USD stays firm into Wednesday's FOMC. The range low at 0.8280 lines up with the 61.8% fib of the Asian low to session high move.
Support: 0.8280, 0.82726
Resistance: 0.82943, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8294 session high invalidates the range read and puts the 0.8300 round number in play
Failure to hold the 0.8280 range low exposes the 0.8273 asian low
Swiss ZEW Wed 09:00 UTC and FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
21:47 UTC
Range-bound after Asia advance, momentum neutral · RSI 47 · price 0.82847
0.8280–0.8294 range since London; higher lows intact, top failing.
London broke the asian high at 0.8284 early, and the pair has since held a 0.8280–0.8294 range on pre-FOMC USD firmness. A late NY poke to a 0.8294 session high saw rejection into the rollover. Price is now back at the asian high, which is also the 50% of the London-NY leg fib, with RSI(14) neutral near 47 and both EMAs overhead.
Support: 0.8284, 0.8280, 0.8276
Resistance: 0.8294, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8294 session high (the false break) opens the 0.8300 round number flagged in the USD digest
Failure to hold the 0.8284 asian high and 0.8280 range floor exposes the 0.8276 london low and breaks the higher-low chain
Thin Asia session liquidity ahead of the Fed decision Wed 18:00 UTC; Swiss ZEW at 09:00 UTC is a minor intraday risk
Range 0.8280–0.8293 since London, top capped repeatedly.
Price has held a 0.8280–0.8293 range since London broke above the Asian high. The range top capped three times through the NY session. A late push to 0.8294 failed into the rollover, and the spread-driven dip to the range floor was reclaimed. RSI(14) is neutral near 49 as USD holds firm into Wednesday's FOMC.
Support: 0.8280, 0.82726
Resistance: 0.82935, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the range top at 0.8294 puts the 0.8300 round number in play, the level flagged as key resistance in the macro read
Failure to hold the 0.8280 range floor exposes the asian low at 0.8273
Swiss ZEW Wed 09:00 UTC could move CHF during the London session
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant risk, and pre-event compression keeps ranges tight until then
USD stayed bid into tomorrow's FOMC, but London and NY sessions were contained between the 0.8280 range floor and a 0.8292 range top. A late-NY push printed a 0.8294 session high and was rejected under 0.8300. The rollover gap took price back to 0.8286, still above the rising lows trendline from the 0.8273 Asian low through the 0.8282 swing low.
Support: 0.8282, 0.8280, 0.8273
Resistance: 0.8292, 0.8294, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8294 session high and 0.8300 psych would end the range read
Loss of the 0.8282 swing low and the rising lows trendline would expose the 0.8280 range floor, then the 0.8273 Asian low
Swiss ZEW at 09:00 UTC during London hours
FOMC decision Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read, with the December-hike guidance the focus
Higher lows since London under a flat 0.8292 cap; late poke above rejected.
A late-NY push off the 0.8288 range top cleared the 0.8292 cap to a 0.8294 day high, but the last bar closed back at 0.8290. That is a rejection beneath the 0.8300 round number flagged into FOMC. Higher lows run from the 0.8276 London dip through the 0.8280 london low to the 0.8282 ny low, with USD firm after Tuesday's Durable Goods and Consumer Confidence beats.
Support: 0.8288, 0.8282, 0.8280
Resistance: 0.8294, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8294 day high opens the 0.8300 round number
Slip back below the 0.8288 range top returns price to the NY consolidation
Close below the 0.8282 ny low breaks the higher lows trendline; 0.8280 london low next
Swiss ZEW Wed 09:00 UTC, then FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC, could materially shift this read
Late-NY tentative breakout above 0.8292 range top on higher lows.
A late-NY leg off the 0.8282 swing low has printed a fresh day high at 0.8294. That is a tentative breakout of the 0.8292 range top, which capped London and NY three times, while the London low at 0.8280 and later higher lows underpin the structure. Firm US data and pre-FOMC dollar demand explain the bid; RSI(14) near 62 is not stretched, and ATR around 3 pips reflects thin post-NY trade.
Support: 0.8292, 0.8282, 0.8280
Resistance: 0.8294, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.8292 range top marks a false break in thin late-NY trade
Acceptance above the 0.8300 round number extends the higher-low chain
A break of the 0.8282 swing low, then the London low at 0.8280, negates the higher-low structure
Swiss ZEW Wed 09:00 UTC is minor; the FOMC decision Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant risk to this read
20:32 UTC
Intraday uptrend, capped at day high · RSI 66 · price 0.82919
Rising lows into a flat 0.8292–0.8293 cap since London.
After clearing the 0.8273–0.8284 Asian range at London open, USDCHF has built rising lows from the 0.8276 London low through the 0.8281 NY low, while the 0.8292–0.8293 day high has rejected four tests. Price is pressing that cap again after NY close, with RSI(14) near 66. The dollar remains firm on mostly strong US data into FOMC.
Support: 0.82838, 0.82808, 0.82757
Resistance: 0.82926, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8293 day high breaks the flat cap, with the 0.8300 round number next
Loss of the rising lows line near 0.8284 exposes the 0.8281 NY low, then the 0.8276 London low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC can override this structure; pre-event ranges are typically compressed, with ATR near 3 pips
20:02 UTC
Sideways after London rally, momentum flat · RSI 52 · price 0.82863
0.8280–0.8293 range since London; lower highs through late NY.
London lifted USD/CHF out of the 0.8264–0.8284 Asian range, but the day high at 0.8293 capped three tests, including the NY push after the durable goods beat. Late NY has printed lower highs off the 0.8282 NY low and is coiling near 0.8286. That level sits at the 38.2% retrace of the Asian low-day high leg, with RSI(14) neutral at 52 and ATR around 3 pips into the FOMC run-up.
Support: 0.8282, 0.8280
Resistance: 0.8293, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8293 day high breaks the three-test ceiling and puts the 0.8300 round number in play
Loss of the 0.8282 NY low exposes the 0.8280 range floor at the 61.8% retrace; a close below it confirms a range break lower
Lower highs trendline from 0.8292 caps the late-NY drift until a close above it
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant event risk; pre-Fed positioning can keep the range compressed until then
Swiss ZEW at 09:00 UTC Wed could stir the London session
19:47 UTC
Sideways after London breakout, momentum fading · RSI 44 · price 0.82845
0.8280–0.8293 range since London morning, flat top tested three times.
London lifted USDCHF out of the 0.8273–0.8284 Asian range. Price has since held a 0.8280–0.8293 range, rejected three times at the range top despite firm US durables and confidence data. Late NY trade sits mid-range near the 50% fib retrace at 0.8284, with RSI(14) at 44 and price just below both EMAs.
Support: 0.8282, 0.8280
Resistance: 0.8293, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8293 range top exposes the 0.8300 round number
A break of the 0.8282 NY low and the 0.8280 range low would reopen the Asian range
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC (statement), press conference 18:30 UTC, could materially shift this read
Quiet late-NY/Asia hours with ATR near 3 pips, so range edges are likely to hold until London
19:31 UTC
Flat after London leg higher, momentum neutral · RSI 48 · price 0.8286
Range 0.8280–0.8293 since London, three rejections at the top.
London broke the Asian range high near 0.8284 on firm USD, and NY added a lift after the durable goods and confidence beats. The 0.8292–0.8293 session high has capped three tests, while dips have held the 0.8280 range floor, which also lines up with the 61.8% of the Asian low–session high fib. Price is drifting at 0.8286, just above the late NY low at 0.8282, with ranges compressing after NY close (ATR ~3 pips).
Support: 0.8282, 0.8280, 0.8273
Resistance: 0.8293, 0.8300
What it said to watch
A close above the 0.8293 session high breaks the range top and puts the 0.8300 round number in play
Failure to hold the 0.8280 range floor (61.8% fib) shifts focus back to the 0.8273 Asian low
A slip under the 0.8282 late NY low leaves the range floor as the next test
Swiss ZEW Wed 09:00 UTC, then the FOMC decision Wed 18:00 UTC, could materially shift this read
19:17 UTC
Flat after London push higher, momentum neutral · RSI 45 · price 0.82851
Range 0.8280–0.8293 since London, higher lows under a flat top.
USD/CHF lifted out of the Asian range at London open, but the 0.8292 session high has capped three times, including the 14:00 UTC spike on the CB confidence print. Dips have held 0.8280–0.8282, the london low and ny low, at the 50–61.8% fib of the asian low leg. Late NY trade is drifting around 0.8285, with RSI(14) near 45 and price sitting on the EMAs.
Support: 0.8282, 0.8280, 0.8273
Resistance: 0.8292, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8292 session high exposes 0.8300 psych, the level flagged into FOMC
Loss of the 0.8280 london low (61.8% fib) breaks the higher-low chain and puts the 0.8273 asian low in play
FOMC on Wed at 18:00 UTC is the next catalyst; the range is likely to compress until then
19:02 UTC
Sideways after London breakout, momentum neutral · RSI 46 · price 0.82868
Session range 0.8280–0.8293 above the Asian range; flat highs, dips holding.
USD/CHF cleared the 0.8273–0.8284 Asian range at London open on the pre-FOMC dollar bid. Since then the session high near 0.8293 has capped three tests, and dips have held the 0.8280 range floor, the 61.8% retrace of the asian low–session high leg. Late NY trade is drifting mid-range near 0.8287 above a 0.8282 swing low, with RSI(14) neutral at 46.
Support: 0.8282, 0.8280, 0.8273
Resistance: 0.8293, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8293 session high breaks the range and brings the 0.8300 round number into view
A break of the 0.8282 swing low puts the 0.8280 range floor in focus; failure there reopens the asian low at 0.8273
FOMC decision Wed 18:00 UTC is the main event risk for this range; 0.8300 is the digest's key USD/CHF reference into it
18:46 UTC
Sideways after London breakout, momentum flat · RSI 51 · price 0.82869
0.8280–0.8293 range since London open, higher low at 0.8282 in late NY.
London cleared the Asian range high near 0.8284 and price has since ranged 0.8280–0.8293. The range top rejected four times despite the durable goods beat (1.8%) and firmer CB confidence. Late NY printed a higher low at 0.8282 as pre-FOMC compression sets in, with RSI(14) flat near 51 and ATR down to about 3 pips.
Support: 0.8282, 0.8280, 0.8273
Resistance: 0.8292, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8292 range top opens the 0.8300 round number
Loss of the 0.8282 higher low, then the 0.8280 range floor (61.8% of the Asian low to session high leg), exposes the 0.8273 Asian low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and Swiss ZEW Wed 09:00 UTC could materially shift this read; compression likely persists into Asia
18:32 UTC
Sideways, upper half of day's range · RSI 52 · price 0.82862
0.8280–0.8293 range since London, flat tops.
London lifted USD/CHF out of the Asian range (0.8273–0.8284) on firm USD. Since then price has been boxed in a 0.8280–0.8293 range, with the range top rejected three times through London and NY hours near the 0.8290 pre-FOMC cap despite beats in durables and housing data. Late in the NY session, price sits mid-range around 0.8286 above both EMAs, with RSI(14) neutral near 52 and ATR(14) about 3.7 pips.
Support: 0.8282, 0.8280
Resistance: 0.82926
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8293 range top breaks the flat-top rejection pattern
Failure to hold the NY low at 0.8282 puts the 0.8280 range low in play; below that, the Asian range top near 0.8284 is lost and price is back inside the Asian range
Thin liquidity after the NY close into Asia tends to keep price inside the range
Swiss ZEW Wed 09:00 UTC, then FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC, could materially shift this read
18:17 UTC
Sideways after London breakout, momentum flat · RSI 54 · price 0.82858
Range 0.8280–0.8293 above broken Asian range.
London cleared the Asian range (0.8273–0.8284) on broad USD strength. Price has since held a 0.8280–0.8293 range, with four rejections at the range top near 0.8292 (aligned with the 0.8290 cap in the digest). Late in the NY session, after London close, price sits on the EMA20 near 0.8286, and rising lows from the range floor are holding above the 61.8% fib of the Asian low-to-day high move.
Support: 0.8282, 0.8280
Resistance: 0.8292, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8293 range top breaks the range read and brings the 0.8300 round number into play
Loss of the rising lows at 0.8282 puts the range floor at 0.8280 (61.8% fib) back in focus
Close below 0.8280 range floor flips the session read toward a return into the Asian range
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC, about 24h out; pre-event positioning could compress or extend this range
18:02 UTC
Mild intraday uptrend, stalling below day high · RSI 56 · price 0.82872
Higher lows since London open, flat cap near 0.8292.
London broke above the asian high at 0.8284 on the firm USD tone. Price has since been capped three times near the 0.8292 day high, while swing lows near 0.8280 and a rising-lows line have held. Late NY is drifting mid-range around 0.8287, with RSI(14) neutral and ATR(14) near 4 pips.
Support: 0.82839, 0.8280, 0.82757
Resistance: 0.82926, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8293 day high breaks the consolidation cap and puts the 0.8300 round number in play
Loss of the rising lows and the 0.8280 swing low exposes the 0.8276 london low
Slip back under the asian high at 0.8284 would turn the London breakout into a retest
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC: positioning into the decision could compress or extend the range
17:47 UTC
Sideways, fading from session high · RSI 46 · price 0.82838
0.8280–0.8293 range since London; lower highs late NY.
London cleared the Asian range high near 0.8284. Price was then rejected three times at the 0.8292 session high, while the 0.8280 range low held through the London-NY transition on firm US data. Late NY is printing lower highs near 0.8288, with RSI(14) at 46 and price sitting just under EMA20.
Support: 0.8280, 0.8273
Resistance: 0.82876, 0.8292
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.8280 range low breaks the range and exposes the 0.8273 asian low
Close above the lower highs trendline near 0.8288 reopens a test of the 0.8292 session high
Acceptance above 0.8292 session high invalidates the range read
FOMC decision Wed 18:00 UTC; pre-event positioning may keep the range compressed
17:32 UTC
Sideways after London upside break · RSI 47 · price 0.82844
0.8280–0.8293 range, flat top tested 3x.
London lifted USD/CHF out of the Asian range, and firm US durables and confidence data took it to the 0.8293 session high, where it has met rejection three times through NY. The 0.8280 range floor has held twice. Price sits on the Asian high near the 50% retracement of the London rally, with RSI(14) neutral at 47 and price just under both EMAs.
Support: 0.82839, 0.8280, 0.82726
Resistance: 0.82926
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8280 range floor exposes the asian low at 0.8273
Close above the 0.8293 session high breaks the flat range top
Loss of the asian high and the 50% London rally fib keeps price in the lower half of the range
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read; range compression into the event is likely
0.8280–0.8293 range since London; flat highs, higher lows.
London broke above the Asian high at 0.8284 as firm US data kept USD bid. The 0.8292–0.8293 session high then capped three times into NY, while the 0.8280 range low held on a series of rising lows. Late in NY, after London close, price is drifting back toward the Asian high and the EMA50. RSI(14) sits at 43 and ATR is roughly 4.4 pips.
Support: 0.82839, 0.82801, 0.82726
Resistance: 0.82926, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8280 range low and the rising-lows trendline exposes the 0.8273 Asian low
A sustained break of the 0.8293 session high opens the 0.8300 round number
Losing the 0.8284 Asian high puts price back inside the Asian range
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC; December guidance could materially shift this read
17:03 UTC
Intraday uptrend stalling, sideways since London · RSI 50 · price 0.8286
Range 0.8280–0.8293 above Asian range, rising lows intact.
London broke above the 0.8273–0.8284 Asian range, with the firm US data run lifting the dollar. Supply then capped price three times near the session high at 0.8293 through NY. After London close price rotates in a 0.8280–0.8293 range, flat on EMA20 with RSI(14) neutral at 50, and the rising lows off the 0.8273 Asian low still hold.
Support: 0.8280, 0.8273
Resistance: 0.8293, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8293 session high opens the 0.8300 round number, in line with the 0.8290 cap flagged in the CHF digest
Break below the 0.8280 range floor and the rising lows line exposes the 0.8273 Asian low
Pre-FOMC positioning into Wed 18:00 UTC; Swiss ZEW at 09:00 UTC Wed is the nearer event risk
16:47 UTC
Intraday uptrend stalled into a range · RSI 49 · price 0.82862
0.8280–0.8293 range held since London, sitting above the Asian range.
London broke above the 0.8273–0.8284 Asian range on the firm US data run. Since then price has rotated in a 0.8280–0.8293 band: the 0.8292 session high capped four times, including the 14:00 UTC CB Confidence spike that faded, and the range floor at 0.8280 held three dips. After London close price is mid-range on the ema20, with RSI(14) neutral near 49.
Support: 0.8284, 0.8280, 0.82757
Resistance: 0.82926, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8293 session high breaks the range top and opens the 0.8300 psych level
Failure to hold the 0.8280 range floor (61.8% fib) exposes the 0.8276 london low
Loss of the 0.8284 asian high puts the range floor back in play
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC: pre-Fed caution may keep this range compressed until the decision
London-NY range 0.8280–0.8293 sitting above the Asian range.
USD/CHF cleared the 0.8273–0.8284 Asian range at London open on the broad USD bid after the run of firm US data. It has since chopped between the 0.8280 range floor and the 0.8293 session high, which rejected three tests through London and NY hours. RSI(14) is flat near 53 and ATR(14) is under 5 pips, a sign of compression ahead of the FOMC.
Support: 0.8284, 0.8280
Resistance: 0.8293, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8293 session high breaks the range and brings the 0.8300 round number into view; this aligns with the 0.8290 cap flagged in the macro read
Loss of the 0.8284 asia high returns price to the 0.8280 range floor; a close below that floor puts price back inside the Asian range
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC, with press conference at 18:30, could materially shift this read; December guidance is the swing factor
0.8280–0.8293 range after London broke the Asian range.
London broke above the 0.8273–0.8284 Asian range (asian low to asian high) as firm US data lifted USD. Since then the 0.8293 session high has rejected three tests, sitting just above the 0.8290 cap flagged into FOMC. The 0.8280 range floor has held three times through the London-NY transition, lining up with the 61.8% fib of the asian low to session high leg; RSI(14) at 56 shows no stretch.
Support: 0.82839, 0.8280, 0.82726
Resistance: 0.82926, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8293 session high breaks the triple cap and opens the 0.8300 round number
M15 close below the 0.8280 range floor breaks the equal lows and exposes the 0.8273 asian low
Loss of the 0.8284 asian high on a closing basis returns price to the prior Asian range
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the next major catalyst; pre-event positioning may keep the range compressed
London open broke above the 0.8273–0.8284 Asian range, and price has held a 0.8280–0.8293 band since. The NY session high at 0.8293, set around the strong US data run that included CB Confidence at 91.7, was rejected twice. The swing low has crept up from 0.8276 to 0.8281 along a rising trendline, and RSI(14) sits neutral near 54 just after London close.
Support: 0.8280, 0.8273
Resistance: 0.8293, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8293 session high exposes the 0.8300 round number
Break below the 0.8280 swing low and rising trendline turns the read back to the 0.8273 Asian low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the next major driver and could shift this read
15:47 UTC
Intraday uptrend, stalling below day high · RSI 61 · price 0.82892
Higher lows under flat 0.8293 cap.
London broke above the 0.8273–0.8284 Asian range, and NY has held a 0.8281–0.8293 band on the USD bid from beats in Durables, Dallas Fed and Confidence. Price was rejected at the 0.8293 day high after the 14:00 UTC CB Confidence release. Rising lows from the 0.8276 London low are pressing back toward that high, with RSI(14) near 61 and no extreme.
Support: 0.8284, 0.8281, 0.8276
Resistance: 0.82926, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8293 day high opens the 0.8300 round number
Loss of the 0.8281 range floor and the rising lows trendline puts the 0.8276 london low back in play
Acceptance back below the 0.8284 asian high would turn the NY band into a failed breakout
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC: pre-Fed positioning may keep the range tight into the event
Higher lows into flat 0.8290s cap, 0.8280–0.8293 range.
USD/CHF broke the Asian range high in London and ground higher on a firm pre-FOMC USD, but the 0.8290s have capped four times; the day high at 0.82926 printed after the 14:00 UTC data and was rejected. Higher lows near the 0.8280 range low hold the pair in a tight range into the London-NY transition, with RSI(14) neutral at 56 and price holding above the 38.2% retracement of the London move.
Support: 0.8280, 0.82757, 0.82726
Resistance: 0.82926, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.82926 day high breaks the range and opens the 0.8300 round number
Failure to hold the 0.8280 range low and the rising lows line exposes the london low at 0.8276, then the asian low at 0.8273
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the next major catalyst; pre-Fed positioning may keep the range compressed until then
15:02 UTC
Range after London leg up, fading in NY · RSI 40 · price 0.8281
0.8280–0.8293 range since 09:00 UTC, highs rejected near 0.8290.
London broke the Asian range high (0.8284) and ran to a 0.8293 session high. Through NY, highs stalled just above 0.8290 despite firm US data (Durables 1.8% vs 0.6%). Price has slipped below the ema20 to the range floor at 0.8280, the 61.8% retrace of the asian low-to-session high leg, with RSI(14) near 40.
Support: 0.8280, 0.8273, 0.8263
Resistance: 0.8285, 0.8293
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8280 range floor completes the double top and exposes the asian low at 0.8273, then the prior low at 0.8263
Reclaim of the ema20 near 0.8285 returns price to the middle of the range
Close above the 0.8293 session high breaks the 0.8290 cap
Fed decision Wed 18:00 UTC; pre-event positioning may keep the range intact into the London-NY transition tomorrow
0.8280–0.8293 range since London, rising lows intact.
USDCHF cleared the 0.8273–0.8284 Asian range at the London open on firm USD into Wednesday's FOMC, then boxed between the 0.8280 range floor and the 0.8290 cap. A push to a 0.8293 session high at 14:00 UTC (early NY) was rejected back below 0.8290. Rising lows from the London open still hold near 0.8282.
Support: 0.8280, 0.8273
Resistance: 0.8290, 0.8293
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8280 range floor breaks the rising lows and exposes the Asian low at 0.8273
Acceptance above the 0.8293 session high clears the 0.8290 cap and ends the range read
Fed decision Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant event risk for this range
14:31 UTC
Intraday uptrend stalling into range · RSI 47 · price 0.82843
London break of Asian range, then 0.8280–0.8293 box.
London lifted USD/CHF out of the 0.8273–0.8284 Asian range on firm pre-FOMC USD, but price has boxed between the 0.8280 range low and 0.8293 since mid-morning. The first hour of NY printed a marginal session high at 0.82926 that was rejected. Price now sits on the 50% level of the London leg fib, with RSI(14) near 47.
Support: 0.8280, 0.82726
Resistance: 0.82926
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.82926 session high breaks the range top and the 0.8290 cap
Failure to hold the 0.8280 range low, tested three times, puts the 0.8273 asian low in play
Fed decision Wed 18:00 UTC; positioning into it may keep the range intact
Higher lows since London open, flat top near 0.8292.
London broke above the Asian high at 0.8284 and ran to 0.8292. Since then price has held a 0.8280–0.8293 band, with a higher-lows line off the 0.8276 London low still intact. The 14:00 UTC bar, which coincided with Consumer Confidence, briefly made a marginal new session high at 0.82926 and closed back at 0.8286, a rejection just under the 0.8290 cap cited by UOB as USD firmness heads into FOMC.
Support: 0.8284, 0.8280, 0.82757
Resistance: 0.82926, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8293 session high and the 0.8290 cap opens the 0.8300 round number
Loss of the 0.8280 range floor breaks the higher-lows line and puts the 0.8276 london low in focus
Back inside the Asian range below 0.8284 would neutralise the London breakout
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and Powell's December guidance could materially shift this read
London broke above the Asian range; 0.8280–0.8292 range since mid-London, now testing the top.
London cleared the 0.8273–0.8284 Asian range off a 0.8276 london low, and the 0.8280 higher low held twice, including on the 12:30 UTC durable goods beat. Early NY is pressing the 0.8292 day high, the top of the London leg, on the broad USD bid. RSI(14) is near 62 and ATR about 4.5 pips, so momentum is firm but not stretched.
Support: 0.82839, 0.8280, 0.82757
Resistance: 0.82923, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8292 day high clears the 0.8290 cap and opens the 0.8300 round number
Failure to hold the 0.8280 higher low breaks the higher-low chain and exposes the 0.8276 london low
Consumer Confidence / New Home Sales at 14:00 UTC is the last pre-Fed data check and lands on the current bar
Holding above the asian high at 0.8284 keeps the London breakout intact; FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the larger risk
13:46 UTC
Intraday uptrend stalled into a range · RSI 56 · price 0.82877
0.8280–0.8292 range since London, flat tops below the session high.
London broke the Asian range high at 0.8284 and set a 0.8292 session high. Price has since held a 0.8280–0.8292 range, with three rejections near the top close to the widely cited 0.8290 cap and the range low defended three times. Early NY trades mid-to-upper range after firm US data (durables 1.8% vs 0.6%); RSI(14) is a neutral 56.
Support: 0.8280, 0.8273
Resistance: 0.8292, 0.8300
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the 0.8292 session high breaks the range top and brings the 0.8300 round number into view
Failure to hold the 0.8280 range low, which sits near the 61.8% of the London leg fib, exposes the asian low at 0.8273
Consumer Confidence and New Home Sales at 14:00 UTC (about 15 minutes away) could break the range
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the larger event risk for this read
London broke above the Asian high at 0.8284 and printed a session high at 0.8292. Price has since held a 0.8280–0.8292 range into the first hour of NY: higher lows hold at the 0.8276 London low and the 0.8280 range floor, while supply caps the range top near 0.8290. USD firmness ahead of Wednesday's FOMC underpins the move; RSI(14) sits at 57 and ATR(14) is about 4.5 pips.
Support: 0.82839, 0.8280, 0.82757
Resistance: 0.82916, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8292 session high breaks the range top and opens the 0.8300 round number
Failure to hold the 0.8280 range floor breaks the higher-lows chain and exposes the 0.8276 London low
A slip back below the 0.8284 Asian high would put the London breakout in question
US Consumer Confidence and New Home Sales at 14:00 UTC could test either range edge
Range 0.8280–0.8292 after London break of the Asian range high.
The London leg cleared the Asian range high near 0.8284 and tagged a 0.8292 session high, just through the 0.8290 cap, before rejection. Price has since held a 0.8280–0.8292 range into the NY open, with the range low defended twice and the second high slightly lower at 0.8290. USD firmness into Wednesday's FOMC keeps the pair elevated, and RSI(14) is flat near 53.
Support: 0.8280, 0.82726
Resistance: 0.82916, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8292 session high breaks the range and brings the 0.8300 round number into play
Failure to hold the 0.8280 range low reopens the Asian low at 0.8273
US Consumer Confidence at 14:00 UTC could jolt the range
Pre-FOMC positioning ahead of Wednesday's decision may keep ranges compressed
London broke the Asian high at 0.8284 and printed a 0.8292 session high on firm pre-FOMC USD, but the 11:30 UTC lower high at 0.8290 marked a second rejection. Dips have held the 0.8280 fib 61.8% twice, including through the mixed Durable Goods print at 12:30 UTC, leaving early NY mid-range with RSI(14) neutral near 52.
Support: 0.82839, 0.8280, 0.82726
Resistance: 0.8290, 0.82916, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8292 session high breaks the range top and exposes the 0.8300 round number
Failure at the 0.8280 fib 61.8% puts the Asian low at 0.8273 back in play
A drift back below the Asian high at 0.8284 weakens the London breakout
Consumer Confidence at 14:00 UTC could jolt the range; Wednesday's FOMC is the larger risk
London broke above the Asian range; now a 0.8280–0.8292 band with lower highs.
London broke the Asian range high at 0.8284 and printed a session high at 0.8292. Supply then capped price at a lower high of 0.8290. On the downside, dips held the fib 61.8% retracement near 0.8280 three times, including the drop around the Durable Goods release. The pair now sits mid-band ahead of NY hours, against a firm USD backdrop into the Fed, with RSI(14) neutral.
Support: 0.8280, 0.8276, 0.8273
Resistance: 0.8292, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8292 session high opens the 0.8300 round number, the top of the cited 0.8200–0.8300 range
Failure to hold 0.8280 exposes the 0.8276 london low, then the 0.8273 asian low
Consumer Confidence at 14:00 GMT could break the 0.8280–0.8292 band
Fed decision Wed 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read
12:32 UTC
Intraday up leg stalling, lower high in place · RSI 43 · price 0.82815
London range 0.8280–0.8292, price testing the range low.
Pre-FOMC USD firmness carried London through the Asian high at 0.8284 to a session high of 0.8292, at the top of the 0.8200–0.8290 range. Rejection there and a lower high at 0.8290 have pulled price back to the London low at 0.8280, the 61.8% retracement of the morning leg. RSI(14) is near 43, with price below EMA20 and sitting on EMA50.
Support: 0.8280, 0.82757, 0.82726
Resistance: 0.82839, 0.8290, 0.82916
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8280 london low completes the intraday double top and exposes the 0.8276 swing low, then the 0.8273 asian low
Holding 0.8280 and reclaiming the 0.8284 asian high returns price to mid-range, with the 0.8290 lower high capping
Close above the 0.8292 session high breaks the lower-high sequence and the 0.8290/0.8300 range top
Durable Goods (12:30 GMT) is printing into the current bar and Consumer Confidence follows at 14:00 GMT; FOMC on Wednesday could materially shift this read
London higher-low chain broken, pullback into prior swing low.
London lifted USDCHF out of the 0.8273–0.8284 Asian range to a session high at 0.8292 on the firm pre-Fed dollar, but a second push stalled at 0.8290 and the 12:00 UTC bar slipped back below the London trendline. Price now sits on the 61.8% fib of the London leg at 0.8282 and just above the swing low at 0.8280, with RSI(14) back at neutral 49.
Support: 0.8280, 0.82757, 0.82726
Resistance: 0.82916, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8280 swing low completes the double top below 0.8290 and exposes the london low at 0.8276
Loss of the asian low at 0.8273 would put price back inside Monday's range
Close above the 0.8292 session high voids the rejection read and brings the 0.8300 round number into play
US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC and Consumer Confidence at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
London breakout above Asian range, higher low at 0.8280, coiling under 0.8292.
The London open broke the Asian high at 0.8284 and printed a 0.8292 session high as USD stayed firm into Wednesday's Fed. The pullback held at the 0.8280 pullback low. Price is now coiling between the higher-low support line and a lower-high cap just under the high, with RSI(14) neutral near 56.
Support: 0.8284, 0.8280, 0.8276
Resistance: 0.8292, 0.8300
What it said to watch
US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC, around the NY open, could break the coil either way
M15 close above the 0.8292 session high opens the 0.8300 round number, the top of the multi-week range
A break of the higher-low support line and the 0.8280 pullback low puts price back toward the 0.8276 pre-ldn low and the Asian range
A close back below the 0.8284 Asian high would read as a false break of the London move
Lower-high cap from 0.8292 still capping rallies; Consumer Confidence at 14:00 UTC is the next data risk
Asian range broken higher in London; HH/HL chain pressing the session high.
London broke above the Asian high at 0.8284 and set a session high at 0.8292, running into the 0.8290–0.8300 range top as USD stays firm ahead of Wednesday's Fed. The pullback dipped just under the Asian high and held a higher low at 0.8280. Price is back near the session high late in London, with RSI(14) around 60 and no overbought reading.
Support: 0.8284, 0.8280, 0.82726
Resistance: 0.82916, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8292 session high puts the 0.8300 round number in play
Failure to hold the 0.8280 higher low breaks the rising lows chain and reopens the Asian low at 0.8273
US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC and Consumer Confidence at 14:00 UTC could shift this read in the first hours of NY
Fed decision Wed 28 Oct 18:00 UTC remains the main risk to the 0.8290–0.8300 cap
Asian range broken higher; higher lows under a lower high.
Pre-Fed USD demand carried London above the 0.8273–0.8284 Asian range from the 0.8276 London low to a 0.8292 session high, where price was rejected just under the 0.8290–0.8300 range-top zone. The pullback found a higher low at 0.8280, on the 61.8% retrace of the Asian low–session high leg, and the 0.8289 rebound printed a lower high into late London. RSI is neutral near 56 and ATR is about 4 pips.
Support: 0.82801, 0.82757, 0.82726
Resistance: 0.82916, 0.8300
What it said to watch
US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC, around the NY open, could materially shift this read; Consumer Confidence follows at 14:00 UTC
M15 close above the 0.8292 session high puts the 0.8300 round number in play
Failure to hold the 0.8280 higher low breaks the trendline and exposes the 0.8276 London low, then the 0.8273 Asian low
Wednesday's FOMC guidance on a December hike remains the larger structural risk
London broke the Asian range high; higher low at 0.8280 holding beneath the session high.
London cleared the Asian high at 0.8284 and printed a session high at 0.8292, just under the 0.8290–0.8300 range top. The pullback held a higher low at 0.8280. Price is back near 0.8287 with RSI(14) around 60 as the dollar stays firm into the FOMC.
Support: 0.82839, 0.82801, 0.82757
Resistance: 0.82916, 0.8300
What it said to watch
Close above the 0.8292 session high exposes the 0.8300 round number and range top
Loss of the 0.8280 higher low breaks the London trendline; the London low at 0.8276 sits below
US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC and Consumer Confidence at 14:00 UTC could extend or reverse the London leg
FOMC on Wed 28 Oct is the larger risk to this structure
London broke the Asian range high, higher lows intact above 0.8280.
With USD firm into the Fed, London broke above the Asian range high at 0.8284 and tagged a 0.8292 session high just under the 0.8300 round number. The pullback retraced most of the London leg to a 0.8280 pullback low, where buyers stepped in, keeping the higher lows intact as price sits back at the old Asian high.
Support: 0.8280, 0.82757, 0.82726
Resistance: 0.82916, 0.8300
What it said to watch
US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC, then Consumer Confidence at 14:00 UTC, could materially shift this read
M15 close below the 0.8280 pullback low breaks the London higher lows and exposes the 0.8276 london low, then the 0.8273 asian low
Close above the 0.8292 session high opens the 0.8300 round number, the top of the multi-week range
FOMC Wednesday keeps follow-through capped near 0.8300
London broke the Asian high, then pulled back from 0.8292 into the Asian range top.
London cleared the 0.8284 Asian high on the pre-FOMC dollar bid and printed a 0.8292 session high just under the 0.8300 round number. Price was rejected there and has slipped back below the Asian high to the 0.8280 pullback low, the 61.8% fib of the Asia low-to-session high leg, with RSI(14) cooled to 52. The rising trendline from the Asia low sits just below at 0.8278.
Support: 0.8280, 0.82757, 0.82726
Resistance: 0.8284, 0.82916, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8280 pullback low and the rising trendline exposes the 0.8276 london low, then the 0.8273 asia low
Reclaim of the 0.8284 asian high reopens the 0.8292 session high and the 0.8300 round number
US Durable Goods 12:30 UTC and Consumer Confidence 14:00 UTC can move the NY session; FOMC Wed caps conviction
Asian range break higher, higher lows intact, pullback holding 61.8%.
London broke the 0.8273–0.8284 Asian range higher on pre-Fed USD strength and printed a 0.8292 session high, with a rejection just under the 0.8290/0.8300 range top. The pullback found demand at the 61.8% fib near 0.8282, so the higher-low chain from the 0.8276 london low is intact. RSI(14) sits neutral near 56.
Support: 0.8282, 0.8276, 0.8273
Resistance: 0.8292, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8292 session high opens the 0.8300 round number, the top of the broader range
Failure to hold the 0.8282 61.8% fib exposes the 0.8276 london low; a break there breaks the higher-low chain and puts the 0.8273 asian low back in play
US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC and Consumer Confidence at 14:00 UTC could shift this read ahead of Wednesday's FOMC
10:17 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back · RSI 52 · price 0.82829
Higher lows since Asia; London high rejected below 0.8300.
London broke the 0.8284 Asian high to a 0.8292 session high on pre-FOMC USD firmness, but was rejected short of the 0.8300 round number and slipped back to the 61.8% fib at 0.8282, near EMA20. Higher lows at the 0.8273 Asian low and 0.8276 London low keep the higher-low line intact, while RSI(14) has cooled to a neutral 52.
Support: 0.82787, 0.82757, 0.82726
Resistance: 0.82839, 0.82916, 0.8300
What it said to watch
A close back above the 0.8284 Asian high reopens the 0.8292 session high and the 0.8300 round number, the top of the multi-day range
A break below the 0.8279 prior-day high and the higher-low line puts the 0.8276 London low and the 0.8273 Asian low in play
US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC and Consumer Confidence at 14:00 UTC could shift the read during NY hours
Higher lows since Asia; London broke Asian high, now pulling back.
London broke the Asian high at 0.8284 and ran to a 0.8292 session high on firm pre-FOMC USD, then met rejection just under the 0.8290–0.8300 range cap. Price is now retesting the broken Asian high, which sits at the 38.2–50% zone of the London leg fib, with rising support from the Asian lows still intact.
Support: 0.82839, 0.82757, 0.8273
Resistance: 0.82916, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.8284 Asian high undoes the breakout and opens the 0.8276 London low
Loss of rising support near 0.8273 Asian low would break the higher-low chain
Close above the 0.8292 session high exposes the 0.8300 round number range cap
US Durable Goods 12:30 UTC and Consumer Confidence 14:00 UTC could shift this read; FOMC Wednesday is the larger risk
09:47 UTC
Intraday uptrend, stalling at session high · RSI 63 · price 0.82862
London broke Asian range high; higher lows since the 07:45 UTC dip.
London cleared the Asian high at 0.8284 and ran to a session high of 0.8292, just under the 0.8290–0.8300 range cap, before the 09:30 UTC bar rejected back to 0.8286. The firm USD bid into Wednesday's FOMC fits the move. RSI(14) near 63 is not stretched, and the London low at 0.8276 anchors the higher-low sequence.
Support: 0.8284, 0.82757, 0.82726
Resistance: 0.82916, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8300 round number breaks the range cap above the session high
Slip back below the asian high at 0.8284 (50% fib area) returns price to the Asian range
Loss of the london low at 0.8276 breaks the higher-low chain and exposes the asian low at 0.8273
US Durable Goods 12:30 UTC and Consumer Confidence 14:00 UTC could shift the NY session read
FOMC Wed 28 Oct 18:00 UTC is the larger swing factor for the range cap
Higher lows, Asian range broken to upside in London.
London extended the Asian break, lifting USDCHF through the 0.8284 Asian high and the 0.8286 prior high to a 0.82915 session high as USD stays firm into Wednesday's Fed. Price is now pressing the 0.8290–0.8300 range cap with RSI(14) near 70, and higher lows at the 0.82726 Asian low and 0.82757 swing low underpin the London leg.
Support: 0.82861, 0.82757, 0.82726
Resistance: 0.82915, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8300 range cap breaks the multi-week range top
Failure to hold the 0.8286 prior high on a retest puts price back inside the Asian range
Break of the 0.82757 swing low ends the higher-low chain; below the 0.82726 Asian low the breakout read fails
US Durable Goods 12:30 UTC and Conference Board Consumer Confidence 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read during NY hours
London broke above the Asian range high; HH/HL chain since Monday's NY low.
London open pushed through the 0.8284 Asian range high to a session high of 0.8287, extending the higher-low chain from Monday's 0.8252 NY low as USD stays firm into Wednesday's Fed. RSI(14) near 65 is not stretched, and price is holding the breakout just under the 0.8290 range cap.
Support: 0.8281, 0.82757, 0.82726
Resistance: 0.8287, 0.8290, 0.8300
What it said to watch
0.8290 range cap: area to watch for rejection or break; an M15 close above opens the 0.8300 round number
A close back below 0.8284 and the 0.8281 higher low would turn the London breakout into a false break
Loss of the 0.8276 london low and the rising lows trendline breaks the HH/HL chain; the 0.8273 asian low aligns with the 38.2% of the rally fib
US Durable Goods (12:30 UTC) and Consumer Confidence (14:00 UTC) could shift this read ahead of Wednesday's Fed decision
London broke above the Asian range; price is holding on the old range top just under the range cap.
London extended the break of the Asian range and set a session high at 0.8287, just shy of the 0.8290 range cap, after demand stepped in at the london low of 0.8276. Higher lows from the asian low at 0.8273 remain intact as USD firms into Wednesday's Fed, and price is now sitting on the asian high at 0.8284.
Support: 0.8284, 0.8276, 0.8273
Resistance: 0.8287, 0.8290, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the asian high at 0.8284 turns the breakout into a false break
Failure to hold the london low at 0.8276 breaks the higher-lows chain toward the asian low at 0.8273
Acceptance above the 0.8290 range cap opens the 0.8300 round number
US Durable Goods (12:30 UTC) and Consumer Confidence (14:00 UTC) could materially shift this read; Wednesday's FOMC is the larger risk
London broke above Asian range; HH/HL chain since 0.8273.
London pushed through the Asian high at 0.8284 to a session high of 0.8287, extending the higher-low chain off the 0.8273 Asian low as USD firms into Wednesday's Fed. Price is back on the Asian high, just under the 0.8290 range cap. RSI(14) ~62, ATR ~3.4 pips.
Support: 0.82839, 0.82757, 0.82726
Resistance: 0.8287, 0.8290
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8276 swing low breaks the higher-low chain; the 50% fib of the 0.8273–0.8287 leg sits near 0.8280
Close above the 0.8287 session high puts the 0.8290 range cap in play
Failure to hold the 0.8284 Asian high reopens the Asian low at 0.8273
US Durable Goods 12:30 UTC and Conference Board confidence 14:00 UTC could shift this read; FOMC Wednesday
London breaking above the Asian range; HH/HL chain below the 0.8290 range cap.
London has pushed through the Asian high at 0.8284 to a new session high at 0.8287. The first break failed, but buyers held a higher swing low at 0.8276 along the rising lows, and price has reclaimed the level. Pre-FOMC USD firmness has kept the HH/HL chain from Monday's NY rally intact, with RSI(14) at 62 and price just below the 0.8290 range cap.
Support: 0.8284, 0.82757, 0.82726
Resistance: 0.8287, 0.8290, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8290 range cap opens the 0.8300 round number
Slip back below the 0.8284 asian high marks a second false break of the Asian range
Loss of the 0.8276 swing low and rising lows, then the 0.8273 asian low, breaks the higher-low chain
US Durable Goods 12:30 UTC and Conference Board confidence 14:00 UTC can shift USD tone into Wednesday's Fed
Higher-low chain since Monday; London open spike rejected below 0.8290.
Pre-FOMC dollar firmness has kept a higher-low chain intact from Monday's 0.8252 low through the 0.8263 ny pivot and the 0.8273 asian low. Early London's spike to a 0.8286 session high was rejected back to a 0.8276 pullback low, near the 38.2% fib of the climb from 0.8252, and price has since recovered to 0.8281. RSI(14) sits near 60, not stretched.
Support: 0.82757, 0.82726, 0.82634
Resistance: 0.82861, 0.8290, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8286 session high puts the 0.8290 range top and the 0.8300 round number in play
Failure to hold the 0.8276 pullback low and then the 0.8273 asian low breaks the higher-low trendline
Loss of the 0.8263 ny pivot would undo the Monday-to-Tuesday advance
US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC and Conference Board Confidence at 14:00 UTC could shift the read during NY hours
Wednesday's Fed decision is the larger event risk for this structure
Higher lows intact; London open swept the Asian high and rejected.
Pre-Fed dollar firmness carried USD/CHF through the Asian high at 0.82839 at the London open. The move printed a london high of 0.82861 before rejection pulled price back to 0.8278, sitting on the 61.8% fib of the Asian leg and flat to EMA20. The london low at 0.82757, the asian low at 0.82726 and the rising lows line from the ny swing low at 0.82634 keep the higher-low chain intact; RSI(14) is neutral near 53 and ATR is ~3 pips.
Support: 0.82757, 0.82726, 0.82634
Resistance: 0.82839, 0.82861, 0.8290
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the london high 0.82861 negates the rejection and exposes the 0.8290 range top
Loss of the london low 0.82757 and asian low 0.82726 breaks the rising lows chain, opening the ny swing low 0.82634
US Durable Goods 12:30 UTC and Conference Board Confidence 14:00 UTC could shift this read ahead of Wednesday's Fed decision
Asian range 0.82726–0.82839; London-open false break of the high.
The London open pushed through the Asian high at 0.82839 to a session high of 0.82861, but the move was rejected. Three lower closes have pulled price back below the 61.8% retracement of the Asian low-to-session high leg, into mid-range near 0.8277. Pre-FOMC USD firmness lifted the pair over the past day, but supply has capped it below the 0.8290 range top flagged in the CHF digest.
Support: 0.82726, 0.82634, 0.82613
Resistance: 0.82839, 0.82861, 0.8290
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the asian high at 0.82839 negates the false break read and puts the session high at 0.82861, then the 0.8290 range top, in play
Failure to hold the asian low at 0.82726 shifts focus to the 0.82634 swing low and the 0.82613 rollover low
US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC and Conference Board confidence at 14:00 UTC could break the range
Wednesday's Fed decision remains the larger risk to this structure
07:31 UTC
Grinding higher, stalling at London open · RSI 54 · price 0.82782
Higher lows through Asia; Asian-high sweep rejected.
USD firmness into FOMC lifted USDCHF through Asia on a higher-low chain off the 0.8273 asian low. The London open pushed briefly above the Asian high to a 0.8286 session high, then reversed back inside. Price now sits on the rising trendline near the 61.8% retracement of the Asia leg.
Support: 0.82726, 0.82634
Resistance: 0.82861, 0.8290
What it said to watch
M15 close below the rising trendline and the 0.8273 asian low breaks the Asian higher-low chain and exposes the 0.8263 swing low
Reclaim of the 0.8286 session high reopens the 0.8290 range top
US Durable Goods 12:30 UTC and Conference Board Confidence 14:00 UTC could shift the intraday read
Wednesday's FOMC decision is the dominant risk; positioning into it keeps ranges compressed
07:17 UTC
Uptrend, stalling below range top · RSI 66 · price 0.82813
Higher-low chain since Monday London; London open pushed to a new session high then faded.
Higher lows have stacked steadily from Monday's 0.8246 London low through the 0.8263 swing low and the 0.8273 Asian low, with USD firm on pre-FOMC short-covering. The London open printed a session high at 0.8286 but closed back near 0.8280. That is a rejection just under the 0.8290 range top, with RSI(14) near 66 and ATR(14) about 3 pips, so the drift is tight.
Support: 0.82771, 0.82726, 0.82634
Resistance: 0.82861, 0.8290
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8286 session high puts the 0.8290–0.8300 range top in play
Loss of the 0.8277 pullback low and the rising trendline exposes the 0.8273 Asian low
Break below the 0.8263 swing low ends the higher-low chain
US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC (f/c 0.6%) could materially shift this read ahead of Wednesday's FOMC
Higher lows off Asian low, pressing Asian high at London open.
London open finds USD/CHF pressing the Asian high at 0.8284 after a higher low at 0.8277 and a steady climb off the 0.8273 Asian low. This extends Monday's NY-session advance on pre-FOMC USD short-covering. RSI(14) near 61 and sub-3-pip ATR show a steady advance, not a stretched one.
Support: 0.82771, 0.82726, 0.82634
Resistance: 0.82839, 0.8290
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8284 asian high opens the 0.8290–0.8300 range top, where supply has capped the broader range
Loss of the 0.8277 higher low breaks the rising support line; a close below the 0.8273 asian low ends the higher-low chain
Below 0.8273, the 0.8263 swing low from Monday's NY session is the next reference
US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC and Consumer Confidence at 14:00 UTC could shift this read ahead of Wednesday's FOMC
06:47 UTC
Uptrend, compressing below Asia high · RSI 60 · price 0.8280
Higher lows inside 0.8273–0.8284 Asian range.
Monday's rally from 0.8240 carried through London and NY into a 0.8273–0.8284 Asian range. Price has printed higher lows since 03:15 UTC and sits at 0.8280 just before London open, under the Asia high. Pre-FOMC USD firmness has it pressing toward the 0.8290 range top, with RSI(14) near 60 and ATR(14) about 2.5 pips pointing to a compressed tape.
Support: 0.8273, 0.8263
Resistance: 0.8284, 0.8290
What it said to watch
A close above the 0.8284 Asia high brings the 0.8290 range top into play. Rejection there keeps the Asian range intact.
Losing the higher-lows trendline and the 0.8273 Asia low would mark a lower low and expose the 0.8263 swing low, near the 50% fib of the Monday rally.
US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC and Consumer Confidence at 14:00 UTC could shift the NY-session read. Wednesday's FOMC remains the main risk.
06:31 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher inside Asian range · RSI 63 · price 0.82803
Higher-low chain from 0.8252; Asian range 0.8273–0.8284.
Rising lows from Monday's 0.8252 NY low have held, and the dollar stays firm into Wednesday's FOMC. Asia set a 0.8273–0.8284 range, with the Asian low sitting near the 38.2% fib. Price is now pressing back toward the Asian high ahead of London open, RSI(14) ~63, with the 0.8290 range top just above.
Support: 0.82726, 0.82634
Resistance: 0.82839, 0.8290
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8284 asian high opens a test of the 0.8290 range top
Loss of the 0.8273 asian low and the rising lows line breaks the higher-low chain, exposing the 0.8263 swing low
US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC, during NY hours, could shift the intraday read
Wednesday's FOMC December-hike guidance is the larger risk for the 0.8290 range top
06:16 UTC
Uptrend, paused in Asian range · RSI 57 · price 0.82794
Higher lows from 0.8252; Asian range 0.8273–0.8284 holding.
A firm USD into Wednesday's FOMC carried USDCHF from 0.8236 through yesterday's London and NY sessions to a 0.8284 Asian high. Asia has since held a 0.8273–0.8284 range, with a double low at the 0.8273 Asian low near the 38.2% fib of the NY-Asia leg. Price sits at 0.8279 in late Asia ahead of London open, RSI(14) neutral at 57.
Support: 0.82726, 0.82634
Resistance: 0.82839, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8284 Asian high exposes the 0.8290 range top and the 0.8300 round number
Failure to hold the 0.8273 Asian low breaks the higher-low chain and opens the 0.8263 swing low
US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC could expand the current ~2.5-pip bar range
Wednesday's FOMC December-hike guidance could materially shift this read
Tight 0.8273–0.8284 Asian range above Monday's prior high.
Late Asia session, ahead of London open. Price sits at 0.8280 just above Monday's prior high, inside the Asian range that has held since the 01:00 UTC rejection at the 0.8284 Asian high. The 0.8273 Asian low lines up with the 23.6% fib of Monday's 0.8236–0.8284 rally. Pre-FOMC USD short-covering drove that leg, and ATR near 2.5 pips reflects thin conditions before London.
Support: 0.82787, 0.82726, 0.82634
Resistance: 0.82839, 0.8290
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8284 Asian high puts the 0.8290–0.8300 range top in play
Failure to hold the 0.8273 Asian low (23.6% fib) exposes the 0.8263 swing low near the 38.2% fib
Slipping back under the 0.8279 prior high turns the Asian range into a lid
US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC (f/c 0.6%) could break the Asian range during NY hours
Wednesday FOMC December-hike guidance is the main risk to this read
05:47 UTC
Uptrend, pausing in Asian range · RSI 56 · price 0.82791
24h higher-low chain, now compressing below Asian high.
USD/CHF climbed about 48 pips from 0.8236 through Monday's London and NY sessions as the dollar firmed into the FOMC, topping at the 0.8284 Asian high. Late Asia is compressing inside the 0.8273–0.8284 Asian range. The Asian low held the 23.6% retracement of the 24h rally, and RSI(14) sits neutral at 56 ahead of London open.
Support: 0.82726, 0.82634
Resistance: 0.82839, 0.8290
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8284 Asian high opens the 0.8290 range cap cited in the CHF digest
Loss of the 0.8273 Asian low puts the 0.8263 NY swing low and the 38.2% fib in play
US Durable Goods 12:30 UTC and Consumer Confidence 14:00 UTC could shift the read during NY hours
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC: a noncommittal December message has room to unwind the USD bounce
05:31 UTC
Uptrend, pausing in Asian range · RSI 58 · price 0.82798
Higher lows since the NY pullback; price inside a 0.8273–0.8284 Asian range.
The NY-Asia leg from 0.8252 to 0.8284 has stalled inside an 11-pip Asian range. The Asian low at 0.8273 sits on the 38.2% retracement, and the line of rising lows from the 0.8263 NY swing low remains intact. Price is pressing 0.8280 into London open on a firm-USD pre-FOMC tone, just under the 0.8290 range cap cited in the CHF digest.
Support: 0.82726, 0.82634
Resistance: 0.82839, 0.8290
What it said to watch
A break above the 0.8284 Asian high puts the 0.8290 range cap in play
Loss of the 0.8273 Asian low breaks the rising lows and exposes the 0.8263 NY swing low
US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC and Consumer Confidence at 14:00 UTC could reset the session range ahead of Wednesday's FOMC
05:17 UTC
Uptrend, pausing in late Asia · RSI 51 · price 0.82789
Higher lows intact; inside Asian range 0.82726–0.82839.
Late Asia session: USD/CHF is holding inside a 0.82726–0.82839 Asian range after Monday's ~48-pip climb from 0.8236, as USD firmed into FOMC. The Asian low sits on the 23.6% retracement of that rally fib and above the higher-low trendline from the 0.8252 NY-morning low, with RSI(14) neutral near 51 and ATR(14) around 3 pips.
Support: 0.82726, 0.82634
Resistance: 0.82839, 0.8290
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.82839 Asian high opens a test of the 0.8290 range cap flagged in the CHF read
Failure to hold the 0.82726 Asian low breaks the higher-low chain and exposes the 0.82634 NY low
London open in under 2h is likely to set the session range away from the tight Asian range
US durable goods (12:30 UTC) and consumer confidence (14:00 UTC) could materially shift this read ahead of Wednesday's FOMC
05:02 UTC
Uptrend stalled, compressing below Asia high · RSI 53 · price 0.82769
Tight Asian range 0.8273–0.8284 above Monday's higher lows.
Monday's London-NY advance from 0.8236 extended to the 0.8284 Asia high, with the rollover gap down to 0.8261 filled within the hour on firm USD into FOMC. Late Asia now sits in a 0.8273–0.8284 range, pinned under the 0.8279 prior high on a flat EMA20, RSI(14) near 53 and ATR around 3 pips. Price is still holding above the 23.6% retrace of the Monday rally.
Support: 0.82726, 0.82634
Resistance: 0.82787, 0.82839
What it said to watch
A London open break of the 0.8273–0.8284 Asian range sets the next intraday leg
Repeated rejection at the 0.8279 prior high keeps the range intact; a close above the 0.8284 asia high resumes the HH chain
Failure to hold the 0.8273 asia low exposes the 0.8263 ny low near the 38.2% retrace of the Monday rally
US durable goods at 12:30 UTC and Wednesday's FOMC could materially shift this read
04:47 UTC
Monday uptrend paused, flat in Asia · RSI 45 · price 0.82749
Asian range 0.8273–0.8284 after a rejected session high; Monday trendline lost.
Monday's London-NY climb from 0.8236 ran on a firm USD into FOMC. The early-Asia push to the 0.8284 Asian high was rejected, and price slipped below the Monday trendline. Late Asia is now a tight 0.8273–0.8284 Asian range, holding the 23.6% fib at the Asian low, with RSI(14) near 45 and price just under EMA20.
Support: 0.82726, 0.82634
Resistance: 0.82787, 0.82839
What it said to watch
A break of the 0.8273 Asian low exposes the 0.8263 NY swing low near the 38.2% fib
A London close back above the 0.8279 prior high and the 0.8284 Asian high resumes the higher-high sequence
US durable goods at 12:30 UTC and consumer confidence at 14:00 UTC could break the Asian range
Wednesday's FOMC remains the larger swing factor for USD
04:32 UTC
Uptrend, stalling in late Asia · RSI 41 · price 0.82743
Monday higher-low chain intact; Asia printing lower highs above 0.8273.
Monday's higher-low chain from 0.8236 ran into a 0.8284 Asia high at 01:15 UTC on pre-FOMC USD firmness. Since then Asia has printed a lower high at 0.8279, while the asia low at 0.8273 (23.6% fib) held twice. Price is just under EMA20/EMA50 heading into London open.
Support: 0.82726, 0.82634
Resistance: 0.82793, 0.82839, 0.8290
What it said to watch
Close below the 0.8273 asia low breaks the Asian floor and exposes Monday's 0.8263 swing low
Close back above the 0.8279 lower high voids the Asia pullback and retargets the 0.8284 asia high
Break of 0.8284 brings the 0.8290 range cap into play
US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC could shift the intraday read
FOMC on Wed is the main risk to this structure
04:17 UTC
Uptrend, pausing in Asia · RSI 44 · price 0.82741
HH/HL chain from 0.8236, Asia lower highs.
USD extended its pre-FOMC bid, building a HH/HL chain from Monday's 0.8236 low through the London and NY sessions to an early-Asia high at 0.8284. Asia has since printed lower highs and slipped under EMA20/50. The asian low at 0.8273, which is also the 23.6% fib of the move, has held on two tests.
Support: 0.82726, 0.82634
Resistance: 0.82793, 0.82839
What it said to watch
Break of the 0.8273 asian low opens the 38.2% fib and the ny swing low at 0.8263
M15 close above the 0.8279 lower high and the trendline puts the 0.8284 asian high back in play
US Durable Goods 12:30 UTC and Consumer Confidence 14:00 UTC could shift the read before London-NY transition
FOMC on Wed caps follow-through either side; ATR near 3 pips shows a compressed range ahead of London open
Lower highs below 0.8284 session high, asian low 0.8273 holding.
Monday's pre-FOMC USD grind carried the pair from 0.8236 to a 0.8284 session high early in Asia, where it met rejection and has since printed lower highs along a falling trendline. Price is sitting on the 0.8273 asian low, below both EMAs, with the 38.2% retrace of the Monday rally near 0.8266 and the ny pullback low at 0.8263 below it.
Support: 0.8273, 0.8263
Resistance: 0.8284, 0.8290
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8273 asian low exposes the 0.8263 ny pullback and the 38.2% fib of the Monday rally
Break of the falling trendline and the 0.8284 session high reopens the 0.8290 range cap
London open in ~3h is the first test of the Asian range
US Durable Goods 12:30 UTC and Consumer Confidence 14:00 UTC could shift the read ahead of Wednesday's FOMC
03:47 UTC
Uptrend stalling, Asia ranging · RSI 46 · price 0.82734
HH/HL leg from 0.8236 to 0.8284 paused; Asian range 0.8273–0.8284 below rising trendline.
USD/CHF built a London-NY HH/HL climb from 0.8236 and tagged a 0.8284 session high early in Asia as the dollar firmed into FOMC. The push met rejection, and price has slipped below the rising trendline. It now sits on the 0.8273 Asian low, which coincides with the 23.6% fib of the advance, with RSI(14) neutral near 46.
Support: 0.8273, 0.8264
Resistance: 0.8279, 0.8284
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.8273 asian low exposes the 0.8264 swing low near the 38.2% fib
Recovery through the 0.8279 ny high and back above the 0.8284 session high restores the higher-high sequence
London open is the first test of whether the Asian range holds
US durable goods later today and Wednesday's FOMC (18:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
Higher lows from the London low; Asia made a marginal higher high, then lower highs.
USDCHF's 24h rally of about 48 pips off Monday's Asian low at 0.8236 ran through London and NY on pre-FOMC USD short covering. Asia pushed above Monday's prior high at 0.8279 to a session high at 0.8284 and was rejected. Price is now compressing just above the 0.8274 swing low, with RSI(14) neutral near 52 and ATR at about 3.4 pips.
Support: 0.82736, 0.82634
Resistance: 0.82787, 0.82839
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8284 session high would resume the higher-high chain
Failure to hold the 0.8274 swing low exposes the NY swing low at 0.8263, near the 38.2% retracement of the 24h rally
Holding back below the 0.8279 prior high keeps the Asia push a rejection rather than a breakout
US durable goods and consumer confidence in NY hours, plus Wednesday's FOMC, could materially shift this read
03:17 UTC
Uptrend stalling, Asia range after failed extension · RSI 48 · price 0.82754
Monday HH/HL chain from 0.8234; Asia break above prior high rejected, lower highs since.
Monday's ~50-pip rally from 0.8234, driven by USD short-covering into the FOMC, pushed above the prior high at 0.8279 to a session high of 0.8284 in Asia. That break failed, and price has slipped back into a 0.8274–0.8284 Asian range with asia lower highs since. RSI(14) is neutral at 48, and price sits between EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 0.82735, 0.82634
Resistance: 0.82787, 0.82839
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8274 session low exposes the 23.6% of the Monday rally fib near 0.8272, then Monday's ny low at 0.8263
Close back above the 0.8279 prior high and the asia lower highs line puts the 0.8284 session high back in play
London open in ~4.75h is the first test of the Asian range
US Durable Goods (12:30 UTC) and Consumer Confidence (14:00 UTC) today; Wednesday's FOMC could materially shift this read
03:02 UTC
Uptrend, stalling in Asia · RSI 52 · price 0.82773
Monday HH/HL chain capped; price inside a tight Asian range.
Monday's roughly 50-pip climb from 0.8233 ran on pre-FOMC USD short-covering, with an NY low at 0.8252 and a later swing low at 0.8263. Early Asia pushed to a 0.8284 Asia high that was rejected within the hour. Price is now coiling mid-range between the 0.8273 Asia low and that high, with RSI(14) neutral near 52 and ATR compressed to about 3.5 pips.
Support: 0.8273, 0.82634, 0.82521
Resistance: 0.82839, 0.8290
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8284 Asia high puts the 0.8290 range cap in play, the 0.8290/0.8300 ceiling flagged in the CHF digest
Loss of the 0.8273 Asia low exposes the 0.8263 swing low, near the 38.2% retracement of the Monday rally
Break of the 0.8252 NY low would undo Monday's higher-low sequence
US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC, then Wednesday's FOMC, could expand the current compressed range
02:47 UTC
Uptrend, stalling below Asia high · RSI 52 · price 0.82774
HH/HL chain intact; inside 0.8273–0.8284 Asian range.
Monday's pre-FOMC USD short-covering built a higher-low chain from the 0.8252 pre-NY low through the 0.8263 swing low to the 0.8273 Asia low. Early Asia pushed through Monday's 0.8279 prior high to a 0.8284 Asia high but met rejection, and price is now pinned at EMA20 with RSI(14) neutral near 52.
Support: 0.8273, 0.82634, 0.82521
Resistance: 0.82787, 0.82839, 0.8290
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8284 Asia high resumes the higher-high chain toward the 0.8290 range cap
Loss of the 0.8273 Asia low breaks the higher-low sequence and puts the 0.8263 swing low in focus, near the 38.2% of the Monday rally fib
Clean break of the 0.8252 pre-NY low negates the intraday uptrend read
US Durable Goods (12:30 UTC) and Consumer Confidence (14:00 UTC) could shift this read; Wednesday's FOMC is the larger risk
HH/HL chain since Monday London, pullback after Asia high rejection.
Monday's rally broke above the Asian range at London and stretched from 0.8232 to a fresh Asia session high at 0.8284. That high was rejected back to the 0.8273 higher low, and price now sits on ema20 as USD shorts are pared into Wednesday's Fed. The 0.8290 range cap flagged in the CHF digest sits just overhead.
Support: 0.8273, 0.8263, 0.8252
Resistance: 0.82839, 0.8290
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8273 higher low breaks the HH/HL chain and exposes the 0.8263 prior low near the 50% fib
Loss of the 0.8252 NY open low invalidates the intraday uptrend read
Clearance of the 0.8284 session high brings the 0.8290 range cap into play
US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC, then Consumer Confidence at 14:00 UTC, could shift the read
The Fed decision on Wednesday is the main swing risk for the range
02:17 UTC
Uptrend, stalling below Asia high · RSI 54 · price 0.8277
Higher lows since London; Asia high rejected, holding above swing low.
USDCHF climbed from 0.8236 through London and NY as USD shorts were trimmed into the Fed. It then set an Asia high at 0.8284, met rejection there and slipped back to 0.8277. The 0.8273 swing low, near the 23.6% fib of the rally, has held twice this Asia session, with RSI(14) neutral at 54.
Support: 0.8273, 0.8263
Resistance: 0.8284, 0.8290
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8273 swing low breaks the Asia higher-low sequence and exposes the 0.8263 NY low
Acceptance above the 0.8284 Asia high brings the 0.8290 range cap into play
US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC and Wednesday's Fed decision could materially shift this read
HH/HL chain intact since yesterday's London open; Asia stalling under 0.8284.
USD short-covering into Wednesday's Fed lifted the pair about 46 pips, from 0.8232 to 0.8279, across London and NY. Mid-Asia, it printed a new asian high at 0.8284 above yesterday's NY high but met rejection, and it is now holding above the 0.8277 swing low and the asia trendline. The 0.8290 range cap and the 0.8300 round number sit just overhead.
Support: 0.8277, 0.8273, 0.82634
Resistance: 0.82839, 0.8290, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8284 asian high puts the 0.8290 range cap and 0.8300 round number in play
Break of the asia trendline and the 0.8273 higher low would end the intraday HH/HL chain
Loss of the 0.8263 ny low would erase most of yesterday's NY advance
US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC and Consumer Confidence at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read ahead of Wednesday's Fed
01:46 UTC
Uptrend, extending in Asia · RSI 63 · price 0.82815
Higher highs and higher lows; Monday NY high broken, now being retested.
Higher-high, higher-low climb from Monday's 0.8232 Asian base as USD short-covering into FOMC carried the pair through London and NY. Asia pushed to a session high at 0.8284 above Monday's 0.8279 prior high, then dipped back to retest it with rising support intact. The rollover spike to 0.8261 was a thin-market print, not structure.
Support: 0.8278, 0.8273
Resistance: 0.8284, 0.8290
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.8278 prior high turns the breakout into a false break
Loss of the 0.8273 swing low and rising support breaks the higher-low chain
Range cap at 0.8290 is the area to watch for rejection or break; supply has capped the pair there
Session high at 0.8284 needs to clear for the higher-high sequence to extend
US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC and Consumer Confidence at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read ahead of Wednesday's FOMC
01:31 UTC
Uptrend, stalling at highs · RSI 58 · price 0.82785
Higher lows since Monday's Asia low, early-Asia high rejected.
USD/CHF climbed about 50 pips from the 0.8232 Monday low through London and NY as dollar shorts were covered into FOMC. The Asia session pushed to a new high at 0.8284 and was rejected within one bar, leaving price at 0.8278 above the 0.8273 swing low. The pullback low at 0.8263 sits at the 38.2% fib of the move, and the 21:00 UTC rollover gap filled quickly.
Support: 0.8273, 0.8263, 0.8232
Resistance: 0.8284, 0.8290
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.8273 swing low breaks the intraday higher-low chain
Loss of the 0.8263 pullback low (38.2% fib) opens the 50% retrace near 0.8258
M15 close above the 0.8284 Asia high puts the 0.8290 range cap in play
US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC and Consumer Confidence at 14:00 UTC could shift this read; FOMC Wednesday is the larger risk
01:17 UTC
Uptrend, extending in Asia · RSI 74 · price 0.82833
HH/HL chain, Asia break above Monday high.
Tuesday's Asia session broke above the 0.8279 Monday high to a 0.8284 session high. That extends the HH/HL chain built through London and NY as USD shorts were trimmed ahead of the FOMC. RSI(14) near 74 is hot but not extreme, and price now sits just under the 0.8290 range cap.
Support: 0.8279, 0.8273, 0.8263
Resistance: 0.8284, 0.8290, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.8279 monday high would mark the Asian push as a false break
Rejection at the 0.8290 range cap or 0.8300 round number keeps the 0.8200–0.8290 range intact; acceptance above extends the breakout
Loss of the 0.8273 asia low and the rising trendline from the 0.8263 ny low would break the HL chain
US Durable Goods (12:30 UTC) and Consumer Confidence (14:00 UTC) could shift this read; Wednesday's FOMC is the larger swing factor
01:03 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into session high · RSI 63 · price 0.82781
Higher lows since London broke the Asian range high; rollover gap filled.
London broke Monday's Asian range high at 0.8245 and NY extended the higher-low chain to 0.8277 as the USD was bought back ahead of the FOMC. The rollover gap to 0.8261 sat right on the 38.2% retrace and pullback low, and was fully recovered. Price is now pressing the 0.8279 session high in thin Asia trade with RSI(14) at 63.
Support: 0.8273, 0.8262, 0.8252
Resistance: 0.8279, 0.8300
What it said to watch
A close above the 0.8279 session high resumes the higher-high sequence and opens the 0.8300 round number, the digest's range cap
A break below the 0.8273 Asian low puts the 0.8262 pullback low and 38.2% fib in play
Loss of the 0.8252 swing low breaks the intraday higher-low chain
US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC and Consumer Confidence at 14:00 UTC could shift this read ahead of Wednesday's FOMC
00:47 UTC
Uptrend, flattening below the day high · RSI 64 · price 0.82772
Higher lows at 0.8252 and 0.8263 under a flat 0.8277–0.8279 cap.
Pre-FOMC USD short-covering lifted the pair from the 0.8232 Asian low on Monday through London and NY to a day high at 0.8279, which has capped three tests since. The rollover dip to 0.8261 was quickly recovered. Asia is holding a tight 0.8273–0.8278 band above the 0.8263 swing low and the 0.8252 pullback low, with RSI(14) at 64 and ATR(14) near 3 pips.
Support: 0.8273, 0.8263, 0.8252
Resistance: 0.8279, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8279 day high breaks the range top and exposes the 0.8300 cap
Loss of the 0.8273 asia low returns focus to the 0.8263 swing low and fib 38.2 near 0.8261
Break of the 0.8252 pullback low ends the higher-low sequence
US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC and Wednesday's FOMC could materially shift this read
00:31 UTC
Intraday uptrend, stalling under day high · RSI 61 · price 0.8276
HH/HL chain since London; tight Asian range below 0.8279.
Pre-FOMC dollar short-covering lifted USD/CHF about 45 pips off Monday's 0.8232 Asian low. Pullbacks held at the 0.8252 london low and the 0.8263 ny low, with the thin rollover dip to 0.8261 at the fib 38.2 also bought. Early Asia is compressing in a 0.8273–0.8278 band just under the 0.8279 day high.
Support: 0.8273, 0.8263, 0.8252
Resistance: 0.8279, 0.8290
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8279 day high opens the 0.8290 range cap flagged in the CHF digest
Failure to hold the 0.8273 asia low reopens the 0.8263 ny low and the fib 38.2 area
Break below the 0.8252 london low would end the HL sequence
US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC and Consumer Confidence at 14:00 UTC, ahead of Wednesday's FOMC, could materially shift this read
00:17 UTC
Uptrend, stalling under session high · RSI 47 · price 0.8273
Higher lows since Monday Asia; triple cap at 0.8278–0.8279.
USD/CHF climbed about 47 pips from Monday's Asian low at 0.8232 as USD short-covering into FOMC carried London and NY higher, building rising lows at the London low of 0.8252 and the NY low of 0.8263. The session high at 0.8278–0.8279 has now capped three tests, the latest a rejection in early Tuesday Asia, with price slipping below EMA20 and RSI(14) back near 47.
Support: 0.8263, 0.8252
Resistance: 0.8279, 0.8290
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8279 session high opens the 0.8290 range cap flagged in the CHF read
Break below the 0.8263 NY low breaks the rising lows trendline and puts the 0.8252 London low and the Monday rally fib 50% near 0.8255 in play
US Durable Goods Tue 12:30 UTC and the Fed decision Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
HH/HL chain from Asian low, tight coil under session high.
USD short-covering into the FOMC drove a stepped higher-low advance on Monday. Price climbed from the 0.8232 Asian low through the 0.8252 london low and the 0.8263 ny pullback to a 0.8279 session high, with the rising lows trendline intact. Early Tuesday Asia is coiling in a 5-pip band just below that high after the rollover spread dip filled; the asia low at 0.8273 and the 0.8290 range cap frame the session.
Support: 0.82726, 0.82634, 0.82521
Resistance: 0.82787, 0.8290
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8279 session high opens a test of the 0.8290/0.8300 range cap
Failure to hold the 0.8273 asia low puts the 0.8263 ny pullback and the 38.2% retracement near 0.8261 in play
Break below the 0.8252 london low ends the HH/HL chain
US Durable Goods (12:30 UTC) and Consumer Confidence (14:00 UTC) could shift this read; FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the main catalyst