USD/CHF AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Friday, 31 July 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/CHF 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
20:46 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 43 · price 0.8077
Rolled off session high 0.8127, now ranging.
USDCHF rallied through the NY session to a peak at 0.8127 then rolled over, with CHF offered after the soft Swiss retail sales miss. Price has since faded back to 0.8077 and is ranging 0.8070–0.8085, holding the 61.8% retrace of the day's advance.
Support: 0.8070, 0.8055
Resistance: 0.8085, 0.8092, 0.8127
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.8070 confirms a lower low and deepens the pullback
Reclaim of 0.8085 puts the session high 0.8127 back in play
Swiss CPI Mon Aug 3 06:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs since 0.8127 peak, testing session low.
USDCHF rallied through the NY session to a high at 0.8127, then rolled over and is drifting toward the session low near 0.80725 into late NY. RSI(14) has cooled to ~42 and price sits below both EMA20 and EMA50; recent bounces have been capped by lower highs at 0.80940 and 0.80871.
Support: 0.80725, 0.8060
Resistance: 0.80871, 0.8094, 0.8100
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80725 confirms a lower low and extends the drift
Reclaim of 0.80871 needed to stall the sequence of lower highs
Swiss CPI Aug 3 06:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF was rejected at the 0.8129 session high during NY hours and has ground lower through a chain of lower highs, now pressing the 0.8072 session low. RSI(14) near 43 and ATR ~6 pips point to soft, fading momentum; CHF stayed broadly offered after the weak Swiss retail sales miss.
Support: 0.8072, 0.80591
Resistance: 0.80871, 0.80939, 0.8129
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.8072 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 0.80871 breaks the descending lower-high chain
Swiss CPI Mon 06:30 UTC could reset this read
20:17 UTC
Pulled back from session high, now flat · RSI 46 · price 0.80806
Faded off 0.8127, ranging 0.8072-0.8090.
Late NY session: USDCHF faded from the 0.8127 session high printed during the London-NY overlap back to 0.808, and is now consolidating in a 0.8072-0.8090 range with RSI neutral near 46. CHF stays broadly offered on the SNB-on-hold theme, but momentum has stalled with ATR compressing to ~6 pips.
Support: 0.80769, 0.80727
Resistance: 0.80905, 0.81127
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.8072 confirms a lower low and reopens the 0.8039 support
M15 close above 0.8090 breaks the descending highs from 0.8127
Swiss CPI Aug 3 06:30 UTC could reset this range
20:16 UTC
Pullback after NY rejection, now flat · RSI 45 · price 0.80806
Ranging below a rejected session high.
NY session pushed to a session high at 0.81270 then rejected hard, unwinding the whole leg back toward 0.80720. Price is now ranging 0.80720–0.80871 into late NY hours with RSI(14) cooled to mid-range.
Support: 0.8072, 0.8077
Resistance: 0.80871, 0.8095, 0.8127
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80871 range top reopens the 0.80950 swing high
Break below 0.80720 session low confirms a lower-low
Swiss CPI Aug 3 06:30 UTC is the next high-impact CHF risk
20:02 UTC
Pulled back off session high, now ranging · RSI 51 · price 0.80851
Consolidation between 0.8072 and 0.8090 after NY rejection.
USDCHF ran to a session high at 0.8129 during NY hours then reversed ~55 pips as DXY consolidated its reclaim of 100.00. Price now ranges between the 0.8072 swing low and the 0.8090 swing high, holding just above EMA20 near the 50% retrace of the up-move; RSI(14) neutral around 51.
Support: 0.8072, 0.8055
Resistance: 0.80907, 0.8127
What it said to watch
Break above 0.8090 swing high reopens the 0.8129 session high
Loss of 0.8072 swing low confirms a lower low toward the session low at 0.8055
Swiss CPI Mon Aug 3 06:30 UTC (HIGH impact) could materially shift this read
20:01 UTC
Pullback from intraday high, now ranging · RSI 47 · price 0.80851
Rally rejected at 0.8129, consolidating mid-range.
USDCHF spiked to a 0.8129 NY-session high mid-afternoon before rejecting hard back to 0.807, in line with the broadly bid Dollar reclaiming 100 on DXY. Since London close it has coiled between 0.80720 and 0.80905 with RSI(14) neutral near 46 — no directional setup in play into late NY.
Support: 0.8072, 0.8055
Resistance: 0.80905, 0.80968, 0.8129
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80905 range top reopens 0.80968 then 0.8100
Loss of 0.80720 swing low confirms a lower low
Swiss CPI Aug 3 06:30 UTC could reset this range on a surprise
NY session pushed to a session high of 0.8129 around midday before fading through the afternoon; price now consolidating near 0.808 into late NY with RSI(14) mid-range. Lower highs are printing off the 0.8129 peak while 0.8072 has held as the floor.
Support: 0.8072, 0.8055, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8090, 0.8129
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80720 opens the 0.8055 swing low
Reclaim of 0.80900 lower-highs line negates the pullback read
Swiss CPI Aug 3 06:30 UTC could reset this range
19:46 UTC
Pullback after rejection at highs · RSI 45 · price 0.80798
USDCHF rallied through the NY session to a session high of 0.81290 before a sharp rejection dragged it ~55 pips down to 0.80720. Price has since stabilised around 0.808 into late NY, RSI mid-40s and ATR compressing to ~6 pips — no directional setup, lower highs stacking beneath 0.80840.
Support: 0.8072, 0.8060
Resistance: 0.8084, 0.80935, 0.8129
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80840 reopens the 0.80935 lower high
Close below 0.80720 confirms a lower low and extends the pullback
Swiss CPI Mon 06:30 UTC could reset this read
19:31 UTC
Pullback from highs, now flat · RSI 45 · price 0.80827
Lower highs off 0.8129, ranging near lows.
USDCHF spiked to 0.8129 during the London-NY overlap then faded through the NY afternoon, printing lower highs into 0.80840. Price is now consolidating in a tight 0.80720–0.80840 band with RSI(14) mid-range around 44; no setup in play late in the NY session.
Support: 0.80767, 0.8072
Resistance: 0.8084, 0.80905, 0.8129
What it said to watch
Close below 0.80720 confirms a lower low and extends the pullback
Reclaim of 0.80840 re-opens 0.80905
Swiss CPI Mon 06:30 UTC (f/c -0.1% MoM) could shift this read into next session
19:31 UTC
Pullback from session high, now flat · RSI 45 · price 0.80818
Faded off 0.8127, ranging 0.8072-0.8090.
Rally into the NY session peaked at 0.8127 as USD reclaimed 100.00 on the yield/oil bounce, then faded back into a 0.8072-0.8090 range. Price is consolidating just under EMA20 into the late NY hours, RSI(14) mid-40s with no momentum extreme.
Support: 0.80767, 0.8072
Resistance: 0.80904, 0.8127
What it said to watch
Close below 0.8072 confirms a lower low and breaks the range floor
Close above 0.8090 reopens the 0.8127 session high
Swiss CPI Aug 3 06:30 UTC could shift the CHF read
Rejection at session high, consolidating above lows.
NY session drove USDCHF to a session high of 0.8127 before a sharp rejection faded price ~55 pips back to 0.8072. Late-NY trade is consolidating 0.8072-0.8090 below EMA20 with RSI cooling toward the mid-40s.
Support: 0.8072, 0.8055
Resistance: 0.80905, 0.8127
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.80905 reopens 0.8127 session high
Failure to hold 0.8072 swing low confirms a lower low
Swiss CPI Aug 3 06:30 UTC (MoM f/c -0.1%) could reset this read
19:16 UTC
Pullback from session high, now flat · RSI 46 · price 0.80818
Consolidating below descending highs after a rejection at 0.8127.
NY session pushed USDCHF to a session high of 0.8127 before rejection dragged price back to the 0.8072 session low into the late-NY hours. Now consolidating in a tight 0.8072–0.8085 band, RSI(14) mid-range near 46 with price below both EMAs.
Support: 0.8072, 0.8059
Resistance: 0.8084, 0.80905, 0.8127
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80840 recent high reopens the 0.80905 swing high
Failure to hold 0.80720 session low confirms a lower low
Swiss CPI Mon 06:30 UTC is the key near-term catalyst for this pair
19:02 UTC
Pulled back from session high, consolidating · RSI 44 · price 0.80804
Lower highs off 0.8127, holding 0.8072.
USDCHF spiked to a session high of 0.8127 during NY hours before rolling over, franc-supportive flows fading into the late session with USD holding above the DXY 100.00 pivot. Price is back at 0.80804 and consolidating in a 0.8072-0.8090 band, RSI(14) mid-range near 44 after the sharp reversal off the highs.
Support: 0.8072, 0.8065
Resistance: 0.80905, 0.8100, 0.8127
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80905 reopens the 0.81000 round number and session high
Break below 0.80720 confirms a lower low
Swiss CPI Aug 3 06:30 UTC could reset this read into next week
USDCHF spiked to a session high 0.8129 in early NY, aided by the broader USD reclaim of DXY 100, then rejected sharply back to 0.8072. Late NY has price consolidating 0.8072-0.8090 into the 61.8% retracement of the up-leg, RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s below EMA20/50.
Support: 0.8072, 0.8064
Resistance: 0.80905, 0.8100, 0.8129
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80905 reopens the 0.8100 round level
Failure to hold 0.80720 confirms a lower low
Swiss CPI Aug 3 06:30 UTC could shift the read
18:47 UTC
Pullback after NY rally · RSI 46 · price 0.80845
Rejected session high, consolidating below.
USDCHF drove to a session high of 0.81270 during NY hours on the USD reclaim of 100.00 and offered CHF, then was rejected and unwound to the 0.80720 recent low. Price is now consolidating around 0.80845, holding under the 0.80970 minor high with RSI(14) mid-range.
Support: 0.8072, 0.8060
Resistance: 0.8097, 0.8100, 0.8127
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80720 confirms a lower-low and reopens 0.80600
Reclaim of 0.80970 puts the 0.81000 psych level and 0.81270 session high back in play
Swiss CPI Mon 06:30 UTC could materially shift this read
18:46 UTC
Pulled back from session high, consolidating · RSI 48 · price 0.80845
Lower highs after rejection at 0.8129, holding above 0.8072.
NY session drove USDCHF to a session high of 0.8129 before sellers rejected the level, unwinding to 0.8072 as the broad USD bounce cooled. Price now consolidates near the 50% retrace of the up-leg around 0.8084, RSI(14) mid-range at 48.
Support: 0.8072, 0.80614
Resistance: 0.80905, 0.8109, 0.8129
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80905 reopens the path toward the 0.8129 session high
Failure to hold 0.80720 confirms a lower-low
Swiss CPI Mon Aug 3 06:30 UTC could materially shift this read
18:32 UTC
Pullback after NY rejection, momentum fading · RSI 46 · price 0.80814
Lower highs off session high, consolidating.
USDCHF spiked to the session high at 0.81290 during NY hours then got rejected, unwinding the move back into the 0.80720–0.80905 range where it now sits below EMA20. Price is hovering near the 0.5 retrace of the 0.80396–0.81290 leg, with buyers defending 0.80720 into late NY.
Support: 0.8072, 0.8060
Resistance: 0.80905, 0.81095, 0.8129
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80720 confirms a lower low and reopens 0.80600
Reclaim of 0.80905 puts 0.81095 back in play
Swiss CPI Mon 06:30 UTC could reset this range
18:31 UTC
Pullback after NY peak · RSI 47 · price 0.80822
Lower highs off 0.8129, holding above session low.
USDCHF peaked at 0.8129 during NY morning as USD reclaimed 100.00 on the yield rebound, then rolled over into a sequence of lower highs. Price is now retracing ~62% of that rally, holding above the 0.80720 session low with RSI(14) mid-range.
Support: 0.8072, 0.80591
Resistance: 0.80907, 0.8100, 0.8129
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80907 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.80720 opens the 0.80591 swing low
Swiss CPI Aug 3 06:30 UTC could reset the read
18:16 UTC
Pullback from NY high, lower highs · RSI 46 · price 0.80822
Sold off from 0.8129, basing above 0.8072.
USDCHF spiked to a session high of 0.8129 during NY hours on the firmer dollar bid, then rejected and shed ~55 pips into 0.80720 before a shallow bounce to 0.80822. Price is now capped by a lower-high chain from 0.8129 with RSI(14) mid-range; buyers held 0.80720 once.
Support: 0.8072, 0.8065
Resistance: 0.80905, 0.8100, 0.8127
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80905 breaks the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.80720 confirms a lower low toward 0.80650
Swiss CPI Aug 3 06:30 GMT is the next material CHF catalyst
18:16 UTC
Pullback from NY highs, ranging · RSI 46 · price 0.80822
Lower highs after peak, holding 0.8072.
USDCHF spiked to a session high of 0.8127 during NY hours then rejected, sliding back to 0.8072 before bouncing to 0.80822 — now sitting on the 61.8% retrace of the NY rally. Price is below EMA20/50 with RSI mid-range; supply capped the 0.8090 swing on the way back up.
Support: 0.8072, 0.8065
Resistance: 0.8090, 0.8100, 0.8127
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80900 reopens the path to 0.81000
Break below 0.80720 confirms a lower low
Swiss CPI Mon 06:30 GMT is the key near-term CHF catalyst
NY session pushed USD/CHF to a session high of 0.8129 early afternoon, then reversed and printed a lower-high sequence into the London-NY close, RSI(14) cooling to the low 40s. Price now sits at 0.80782, below EMA20 and EMA50, holding just above the 0.80720 session low.
Support: 0.8072, 0.80591
Resistance: 0.8089, 0.8097, 0.8129
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80890 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.80720 confirms a lower-low, exposes 0.80591
Swiss CPI Mon 06:30 GMT is the next material CHF catalyst
18:02 UTC
Intraday uptrend rolling over · RSI 41 · price 0.80782
Session-high rejection, lower highs into pullback.
USD/CHF swept the NY session high at 0.8129 mid-afternoon then rejected sharply, with the dollar firming on the Chicago PMI and Michigan sentiment beats. Price broke down through the 0.808-0.809 consolidation and is now testing the 0.8072 swing low, RSI(14) cooling to the low 40s.
Support: 0.8072, 0.80655
Resistance: 0.80905, 0.8129
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80720 opens the path toward 0.80655
Reclaim of 0.80905 would repair the lower-high sequence
Swiss CPI (YoY) Aug 3 06:30 GMT is a high-impact CHF catalyst
NY session drove USDCHF to a session high at 0.81290 before a sharp rejection, and price has since ground back to 0.80748 below both EMAs as the dollar comes off its recovery. A chain of lower highs from 0.80907 caps the bounce while 0.80720 marks the current session low.
Support: 0.8072, 0.8070
Resistance: 0.80907, 0.8100, 0.8129
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.80720 session low opens the round-number 0.80700 handle
Reclaim of 0.80907 swing high negates the lower-high sequence
Swiss CPI Mon 06:30 GMT is the next material catalyst for this pair
17:46 UTC
Pullback off session high · RSI 41 · price 0.80745
Lower highs since 0.8129 peak, testing 61.8% fib.
USDCHF rallied through the NY session to a 0.81290 high before rejecting hard, and has since carved lower highs down to 0.80745 — right on the 61.8% retracement of the 0.80402–0.81290 leg. RSI(14) has cooled to the low 40s as the pullback deepens.
Support: 0.8070, 0.8060
Resistance: 0.80905, 0.8100, 0.8129
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80700 61.8 fib extends the pullback toward the 0.80600 swing low
Reclaim of 0.80905 swing high stalls the lower-high sequence
Swiss CPI Mon 06:30 GMT could reset this read
17:31 UTC
Pullback from session high, momentum down · RSI 42 · price 0.80745
Lower highs since 0.8129 peak.
USDCHF spiked to a session high of 0.81290 during NY hours then rolled over, carving lower highs back down to the session low at 0.80745. RSI(14) has cooled into the low-40s with price now below both EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 0.80743, 0.8059, 0.8055
Resistance: 0.80905, 0.8110, 0.8129
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80743 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 0.80905 swing high would stall the pullback
Swiss CPI Mon 06:30 GMT is the key near-term CHF catalyst
17:31 UTC
Up early, now stalling · RSI 46 · price 0.80855
Consolidation after rejection at session high.
NY session pushed to a 0.81290 session high then got rejected, retracing back under the 0.80905 range top. Price is now consolidating between 0.80804 and 0.80905, RSI(14) neutral near 46 after cooling from the spike.
Support: 0.80804, 0.80646
Resistance: 0.80905, 0.80967, 0.8129
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80905 range top reopens 0.80967 and the 0.81290 session high
Loss of 0.80804 session low confirms a lower-low toward 0.80646
Pullback into consolidation after session-high rejection.
USDCHF rallied to a session high 0.8129 during NY hours, then faded ~45 pips into the NY afternoon and is now consolidating near 0.8085, around the 61.8% retracement of the up leg. RSI(14) cooled to the mid-40s as momentum flattened.
Support: 0.80804, 0.80591
Resistance: 0.80905, 0.8129
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.8080 opens the 0.8059 swing low
Close back above 0.80905 reopens the 0.8127 session high
Swiss CPI Mon 06:30 GMT is the key near-term catalyst
17:16 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 45 · price 0.80855
Pullback after rejection of session high.
NY session peaked at 0.81290 on the run of firm US data (ECI, Chicago PMI, Michigan beats) then rejected, unwinding to the 50% fib of the day's rally near 0.80840. Price now stalling at 0.80855 with RSI cooling to the mid-40s; the 0.80804 swing low is holding so far.
Support: 0.80804, 0.8044
Resistance: 0.8094, 0.8129
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80804 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 0.80940 minor high reopens the 0.81290 session high
Swiss CPI Mon Aug 3 06:30 GMT could reset this read
USDCHF spiked to 0.81270 at the NY open before sharp rejection dragged price back to 0.80804, with the dollar wobbly post-FOMC. Now consolidating near 0.8088 between the 0.80804 session low and the 0.80967 recent high; RSI(14) mid-range at 46 after cooling from the spike.
Support: 0.80804, 0.80646
Resistance: 0.80967, 0.8100, 0.8127
What it said to watch
Break below 0.80804 confirms a lower low and extends the pullback
Reclaim of 0.80967 / 0.81000 reopens the path to the 0.81270 session high
Swiss CPI (Aug 3) and US ISM (Aug 3) are the next material catalysts for this pair
Spiked to 0.8127 then retraced ~half, now consolidating.
USDCHF spiked to a session high 0.8127 during NY hours on firm US data (ECI, Chicago PMI beats) before being rejected and shedding ~45 pips. Price is now consolidating around 0.8088, roughly the 50% retracement of the rally, sitting under EMA20 but holding above EMA50.
Support: 0.80804, 0.80646, 0.8055
Resistance: 0.80907, 0.81002, 0.8127
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.80907 reopens the 0.8100/0.8127 session high
Loss of 0.80804 session low confirms a deeper leg down toward 0.80646
Swiss CPI Aug 3 06:30 GMT is the next material catalyst for the pair
16:47 UTC
Uptrend stalled, pulling back · RSI 48 · price 0.80874
Rejected session high, consolidating lower.
NY session drove USDCHF to a 0.81290 session high before a sharp rejection, unwinding the move back to the 0.80800 area amid the broad post-FOMC USD softness. Price now consolidates near 0.8087 below the EMA20, RSI cooled to mid-range around 48, holding the 61.8% retrace of the rally.
Support: 0.80804, 0.8065
Resistance: 0.8094, 0.8129
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80940 minor high would re-open the session high at 0.81290
Loss of 0.80804 session low confirms a lower-low and deeper pullback
Swiss CPI (YoY) Mon Aug 3 06:30 GMT is the key near-term CHF catalyst
16:46 UTC
Uptrend stalled, pulling back · RSI 46 · price 0.80903
Lower highs off session peak.
USDCHF ran through the NY session to a session high at 0.81290 before rolling over ~50 pips as the Friday dollar bounce faded, and now hovers near the 50% retrace of that up-leg around 0.80903. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s and price is trading back below EMA20; buyers stepped in twice around 0.80804 to hold the session low.
Support: 0.80804, 0.8065
Resistance: 0.80966, 0.81127, 0.8129
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80966 swing high would ease the pullback read
Failure to hold 0.80804 session low opens deeper retrace toward 0.80650
Close back above 0.81290 resumes the uptrend
Swiss CPI Mon 06:30 GMT is the next material CHF catalyst
16:32 UTC
Pullback after rejection at highs · RSI 43 · price 0.80903
Lower highs since 0.8129 peak, holding above session low.
NY session pushed USDCHF to 0.8129 near the 13-month high before a sharp rejection dragged price to a 0.80804 session low, USD offered into the Friday close after firm-but-mixed US data. Price is now consolidating around 0.809 near the 50% retrace of the intraday rally, RSI cooling to ~43.
Support: 0.80804, 0.8065
Resistance: 0.80967, 0.8100, 0.81137
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80967/0.81000 reopens the 0.81137 swing high and the 0.8129 peak
Failure to hold 0.80804 session low exposes 0.80650
Swiss CPI Mon Aug 3 06:30 GMT is the next material CHF catalyst
16:31 UTC
Pullback after intraday rally · RSI 44 · price 0.80903
Reversed off session high, consolidating near 0.809.
NY session spiked to a session high of 0.81290 then reversed nearly 50 pips as the dollar softened, and price is now consolidating around 0.809 having retraced most of the earlier rally. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 44 and price is back below EMA20.
Support: 0.80804, 0.80644
Resistance: 0.8097, 0.8129
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80804 exposes 0.80644
reclaim of 0.80970 needed to re-challenge the 0.81290 session high
Swiss CPI Mon Aug 3 06:30 GMT could reset this read
16:16 UTC
Pullback after intraday rally · RSI 43 · price 0.80833
Rejected session high, lower highs forming.
USDCHF spiked to a session high of 0.81290 around the NY data slot then rejected sharply, sliding back to 0.808 as the earlier dollar firmness faded. Price is grinding out lower highs and now sits just above the 0.80804 session low, with RSI(14) in the mid-40s.
Support: 0.80804, 0.8055
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.8129
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80804 opens the 0.80550 swing low
Reclaim of the 0.81000 round number negates the pullback read
16:16 UTC
Pulling back after NY spike · RSI 42 · price 0.80833
Lower highs since 0.8129 peak.
NY session drove USDCHF to a 0.8129 high before a sharp rejection, unwinding to 0.8083 as the dollar softened intraday. Micro-structure now prints lower highs, RSI(14) cooling to the low-40s, with sellers capping each bounce below 0.8092.
Support: 0.80804, 0.8065
Resistance: 0.8092, 0.8129
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.8080 session low exposes 0.8065
Reclaim of 0.8092 lower high needed to re-challenge 0.8129
Swiss CPI (YoY) Mon 06:30 GMT is the key near-term CHF catalyst
16:01 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 42 · price 0.80819
Rejection off session high, lower highs forming.
NY session drove USDCHF up to 0.81290 on the USD bounce off Mid-East risk, then sellers rejected the level and price unwound ~50 pips back below the 0.81000 round number. RSI(14) has cooled to the low-40s as the pair probes the 0.80800 session low.
Support: 0.8080, 0.8060
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.8129
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80800 confirms a lower-low and exposes 0.80600
Reclaim of 0.81000 would re-engage the session high at 0.81290
Swiss CPI (YoY) Mon 06:30 GMT is the key near-term catalyst
16:01 UTC
Up over window, now pulling back · RSI 43 · price 0.80819
Sharp rejection off session high, lower highs into pullback.
NY session spiked to a session high at 0.81290 then reversed hard, unwinding the whole leg back to 0.80819 — currently sitting near the 61.8% retrace of the intraday rally. RSI(14) has cooled to the low-40s and price is back below EMA20/50 as the pullback develops.
Support: 0.80804, 0.8075
Resistance: 0.8094, 0.8100, 0.8129
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80804 confirms a lower-low and extends the pullback
Reclaim of 0.80940 needed to stabilise the structure
Swiss CPI (YoY) Mon 06:30 GMT is the next high-impact CHF catalyst
NY session ran the rally up to 0.81270 before a sharp rejection dumped price back ~35 pips, USD giving back gains amid the post-FOMC dovish tone. Now sitting near the 50% retrace of the up move at 0.80914, holding the 0.80856 session low; psych 0.81000 caps the bounce.
Support: 0.80856, 0.80825, 0.80591
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.81127, 0.8127
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80825 fib exposes 0.80591 prior low
Reclaim of 0.81000 psych reopens 0.81127 prior high
Swiss CPI Mon 06:30 GMT is the next franc catalyst
Spike to session high then sharp pullback into mid-range.
NY session ripped to a 0.81290 session high before a sharp rejection dragged price back to 0.80914, now below EMA20. RSI(14) has cooled toward neutral as the spike above 0.8127 failed to hold; buyers defended the 0.80829 session low on the pullback.
Support: 0.80829, 0.80644, 0.80591
Resistance: 0.81145, 0.8129
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.80829 session low confirms a lower-low and deeper unwind
Reclaim of 0.81145 swing high reopens the 0.81290 session high
Swiss CPI Mon 06:30 GMT is the next material CHF catalyst
15:31 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back off session high · RSI 46 · price 0.80874
Spike to 0.81290 rejected, retracing into range.
NY session ran up to a session high of 0.81290 then sharply rejected, unwinding ~45 pips back to a session low at 0.80829. RSI(14) has cooled from overbought to mid-range as price sits below EMA20, now hovering near the 0.618 retracement of the intraday rally.
Support: 0.80829, 0.8055
Resistance: 0.8110, 0.8129
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.81100 reopens the 0.81290 session high
Failure to hold 0.80829 exposes the 0.80550 swing low
Swiss CPI (YoY) Mon 06:30 GMT is high impact and could reset this read
Spike to session high then rejection, pulling back.
NY session spiked to a session high at 0.81270 then reversed hard, dropping ~40 pips as USD's post-FOMC bounce faded; RSI(14) cooling to ~43 off overbought. Price now back below EMA20 around the 0.80830 swing low, with the 0.81000 round number capping.
Support: 0.80829, 0.80655, 0.8055
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.81185, 0.8127
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.81000 reopens the 0.81270 session high
Loss of 0.80829 confirms a lower low toward 0.80655
Swiss CPI (Aug 3) is the next real test of CHF direction
USDCHF ran up through the NY session to a session high of 0.8129 before a sharp rejection dropped it back to 0.8089, slicing under EMA20. RSI(14) cooled from overbought into the low-40s as price now tests intraday support at 0.80884.
Support: 0.80884, 0.8065, 0.80591
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.8129
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.8100 round number reopens the 0.8129 session high
Failure to hold 0.80884 session low exposes the 0.80650 swing low
Swiss CPI (Aug 3) could materially shift this read
15:02 UTC
Uptrend, momentum rolling over · RSI 46 · price 0.80888
NY rally rejected at session high, pulling back.
NY session drove USDCHF up through 0.8100 to a session high 0.8127, then sharp rejection dragged price back to 0.80888 as the post-FOMC USD bounce faded. RSI(14) cooled from overbought toward mid-range; price has slipped back below EMA20 while holding above EMA50.
Support: 0.80825, 0.80646, 0.8055
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.8127
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80825 fib exposes the 0.80646 swing low
Reclaim of psych 0.8100 reopens the 0.8127 session high
Swiss CPI (Aug 3) is the next scheduled catalyst for this pair
NY session drove USDCHF sharply higher to a 0.81290 session high near the 13-month peak, before rejection pulled price back to the 0.80900 psych area and the 0.80884 session low. RSI(14) has cooled from stretched levels into the mid-50s as the pullback develops; USD stabilised on firm Chicago PMI while CHF stays soft.
Support: 0.80884, 0.8075, 0.80614
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.81185, 0.8129
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.81000 psych reopens the 0.81290 session high
Failure to hold 0.80884 session low exposes 0.80750
NY session ran a clean rally off the 0.8055 base, breaking the 0.8080 consolidation as USD found a safe-haven bid backed by today's ECI, Chicago PMI and UoM beats. Session high printed 0.8129 before cooling to 0.8114, RSI(14) easing back from hot territory.
Support: 0.8104, 0.8095, 0.80884
Resistance: 0.8129, 0.8120
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.8104 breaks the rising-low structure
Reclaim of 0.8129 session high reopens the 0.82 upside cap
Swiss CPI Aug 3 06:30 GMT is the next scheduled catalyst for this pair
NY session drove a sharp leg from 0.8088 to a session high of 0.8129, clearing the 0.8100 psych level as the USD firmed on Mid-East safe-haven flows. Price has since pulled back to 0.8114, RSI(14) cooling from overbought; 0.8100 is now the retest area to watch.
Support: 0.8100, 0.80884, 0.80753
Resistance: 0.8129, 0.8110
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.8100 negates the breakout and reopens 0.80884
Sustained hold above 0.81100 keeps the session high 0.81290 in play
Higher highs / higher lows, extended into session high.
USDCHF ripped through the 0.8100 round number during NY hours, printing a session high at 0.81290 as the dollar's corrective safe-haven bounce fed a CHF funding squeeze. Price has since eased to 0.81138 with RSI(14) cooling off from the spike; the ascending leg off 0.80550 still holds above 0.81034.
Support: 0.81034, 0.8100, 0.80953
Resistance: 0.8129, 0.8127
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.81034 breaks the intraday rising structure
Reclaim and close above 0.81290 reopens the extension higher
Loss of 0.81000 round number confirms deeper retracement of the leg
14:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum strong · RSI 76 · price 0.81262
Impulsive HH/HL chain into fresh session high.
USDCHF broke higher through the NY session, running from 0.80884 to a fresh session high at 0.81270 as the Friday USD short-cover bounce extended; RSI(14) hot near 76. Price sits just under the session high after a clean impulsive leg, with the prior high at 0.81088 now acting as first support.
Support: 0.81088, 0.80953, 0.80884
Resistance: 0.8127
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.81088 prior high breaks the intraday HH/HL chain
M15 close above 0.81270 session high extends the breakout
UoM sentiment/inflation-expectations data (14:00 UTC) could swing USD legs sharply
NY session drove a clean breakout, USDCHF running from the 0.80884 swing low to a fresh session high at 0.81270 as the dollar short-cover bounce extends. RSI(14) near 76 is hot but consistent with the impulsive leg; price sits well above EMA20/50.
Support: 0.8100, 0.80884, 0.80591
Resistance: 0.8127
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 0.81000 psych level would stall the breakout and pull price back toward the 0.80884 swing low
A close back below 0.80591 session low negates the uptrend structure
Swiss CPI (Aug 3) is the main near-term catalyst that could shift this read
14:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum strong · RSI 75 · price 0.81262
Chain of higher highs, fresh breakout.
USDCHF ripped through the NY session, tagging 0.81270 as the ECI beat and firmer USD extended the rally off 0.80591. RSI(14) near 75 shows the move is short-term hot, and price is stretched above EMA20/50 after the vertical last three bars.
Support: 0.81088, 0.80953, 0.8084
Resistance: 0.8127
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.81088 prior high would signal the breakout is fading
A stall and rejection at the 0.81270 session high caps the run
Hold above 0.80953 breakout base keeps the higher-high chain intact
NY session ran a clean rally from 0.8055 to a 0.81127 session high, USD supported by the reclaim of DXY 100.00 and today's firm ECI. Last bar rejected the high sharply back to 0.8095 with RSI(14) cooling from ~70; the 0.80884 swing low is the first pullback pivot.
Support: 0.80884, 0.80753, 0.8055
Resistance: 0.81127, 0.81088
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.80884 opens a deeper pullback toward 0.80753
Reclaim of 0.81127 resumes the uptrend
Chicago PMI / UoM final (13:45-14:00 UTC) could shift USD intraday
NY session extended the intraday rally to 0.81127 before a sharp rejection dumped price back to 0.80884, closing near 0.80971 with RSI(14) cooling from overbought. The USD bounce (DXY reclaiming 100.00) and soft CHF backdrop underpin the leg, but the reject wick shows supply capping the session high.
Support: 0.80884, 0.8080, 0.80653
Resistance: 0.81127, 0.81088
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80884 breaks the rising higher-low sequence
Reclaim of 0.81127 reopens the path higher
Chicago PMI / UoM final today could shift the USD read
13:16 UTC
Uptrend, extended · RSI 69 · price 0.81094
HH/HL chain into session high.
USDCHF ground higher through the NY session, printing a clean HH/HL chain from 0.80550 up to the 0.81101 session high, aided by a firmer dollar reclaiming ground after the recent intervention-driven squeeze. Price is stalling just under the high with RSI(14) near 69 — hot but not extreme. The 0.81000 round number now sits as the first support beneath the rally.
Support: 0.8100, 0.8084, 0.8075
Resistance: 0.81101, 0.81214
What it said to watch
Close back below 0.81000 breaks the HL chain and cools the uptrend
Break above 0.81101 session high opens the path to 0.81214
Chicago PMI (13:45 UTC) and UoM final (14:00 UTC) could shift this read
13:02 UTC
Uptrend, momentum steady · RSI 66 · price 0.81063
Higher highs, higher lows into NY.
USDCHF ground higher through the NY session, extending an intraday uptrend off the 0.8039 London low as USD firmed back above 100.00 from its six-week lows. Price is pressing the 0.81101 session high with RSI(14) around 66, hot but not stretched; the 0.8100 round number now caps the immediate pullback zone.
Support: 0.8100, 0.80947, 0.80816
Resistance: 0.81101, 0.81244
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81101 opens the path toward 0.81244
Failure to hold 0.8100 breaks the rising intraday structure
Chicago PMI (~13:45 UTC) and UoM sentiment/inflation (~14:00 UTC) could shift this read within the next bars
13:02 UTC
Uptrend, momentum steady · RSI 70 · price 0.81063
Higher highs, higher lows off intraday low.
NY session extended a steady grind higher, breaking above 0.810 to a session high at 0.81101 with RSI(14) hot near 70. Buyers stepped in on each dip through the London-NY transition, holding the higher-low chain intact; USD firmer after snapping its recent losing streak.
Support: 0.80935, 0.80767, 0.80591
Resistance: 0.81101, 0.81244
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80935 breaks the higher-low chain
Break above 0.81101 opens path toward 0.81244
Chicago PMI and UoM sentiment could shift the USD read within the hour
12:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum strong · RSI 74 · price 0.81082
Higher highs and higher lows into session high.
USDCHF ground steadily higher through the NY session from 0.80591 to a fresh session high at 0.81101, in line with the USD bounce off six-week lows above 100.00. RSI(14) near 73 is hot but consistent with the trend; price is holding above the 0.8100 psych pivot.
Support: 0.8100, 0.8084, 0.80591
Resistance: 0.81101, 0.8120
What it said to watch
Chicago PMI (~13:45 UTC) and UoM sentiment/inflation expectations (~14:00 UTC) could shift this read within the next bars
M15 close back below 0.81000 breaks the higher-low chain and signals momentum fading
Rejection at 0.81101 session high keeps the range capped
12:31 UTC
Uptrend, steady grind · RSI 71 · price 0.81074
Higher highs and higher lows since the London low.
USDCHF has ground higher through the NY session, reclaiming 0.8100 as the dollar firms back above the 100.00 DXY pivot on safe-haven demand. RSI(14) near 71 — short-term hot but consistent with the trend; price sits at the session high after an intact chain of higher lows.
Support: 0.80935, 0.80776, 0.80664
Resistance: 0.81091, 0.81285
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80935 breaks the higher-low chain and stalls the uptrend read
UoM sentiment / inflation expectations at 14:00 GMT could shift the USD bid
12:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 68 · price 0.80993
Higher highs and higher lows off intraday base.
London session drove USDCHF up off 0.80550 to a session high at 0.81023 as the dollar held short-covering gains above 100.00 and CHF stayed soft; RSI(14) elevated near 68 into the NY open. Rising support tracks near 0.80800 and the swing low at 0.80550 marks the base of the current leg.
Support: 0.8080, 0.8055
Resistance: 0.81023, 0.81205
What it said to watch
Break above 0.81023 session high opens the path toward 0.81205 window high
Close below 0.80800 rising support breaks the intraday higher-low chain
US ECI 12:30 GMT and UoM sentiment 14:00 GMT could shift this read
USDCHF has ground steadily higher through the NY session, recovering the whole 0.8039 flush and now testing the session high at 0.81023 with RSI(14) hot near 72. The grind sits on USD short-covering above the 100.00 DXY pivot and structurally soft CHF; HL chain intact off 0.80840.
Support: 0.8084, 0.8065, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.81023, 0.8119, 0.81268
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81023 opens the path to the 0.81190 prior high
Loss of 0.80840 breaks the higher-low chain
UoM sentiment / inflation expectations at 14:00 GMT could shift the USD read
12:01 UTC
Uptrend, steady grind · RSI 70 · price 0.80996
Higher highs, higher lows off 0.8039.
USDCHF has ground steadily higher all session, fully recovering the NY sell-off to 0.8039 that followed the soft US GDP/PCE prints, and now presses the 0.81000 psych round number. RSI(14) near 70 confirms momentum but sits at the hot end for M15; a clean close above 0.81000 opens the prior high at 0.81200.
Support: 0.8080, 0.8065
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.8120, 0.81308
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81000 opens the path to 0.81200 prior high
Loss of the 0.80800 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
US ECI 12:30 GMT then UoM inflation expectations 14:00 GMT could shift this read
12:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 71 · price 0.80996
Higher lows since NY low, testing 0.81000.
USDCHF carved a rounded bottom after the London slide to 0.80390 and has ground back up through the NY session to 0.80996, tracking the broader USD bounce off its lows. Chain of higher lows intact, RSI(14) near 71 as price presses the 0.81000 round number.
Support: 0.8084, 0.80591, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.81227, 0.81308
What it said to watch
Sustained close above 0.81000 opens the path back to 0.81227
Loss of 0.80840 breaks the higher-low chain
US ECI 12:30 GMT and UoM sentiment 14:00 GMT could shift this read
Higher highs off session low, testing round number.
USDCHF has ground steadily higher off the 0.80390 session low, recovering the two-day intervention-driven pullback and now pressing the 0.81000 round number, RSI(14) hot near 71. The grind has held an ascending structure with shallow pullbacks through the NY session.
Support: 0.8084, 0.8065, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.8116
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81000 opens the path toward 0.81160
Failure to hold 0.80840 threatens the ascending structure
US ECI at 12:30 UTC could shift this read within the hour
USDCHF has ground steadily higher off the 0.8039 low, reclaiming the 0.80745 swing high and now pressing the 0.81000 round number, consistent with the crowded-CHF-short funding tone. RSI(14) near 71 — short-term hot but normal in this recovery leg; ATR sits around 8 pips.
Support: 0.80745, 0.80591, 0.8044
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.8116
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81000 opens the path back toward 0.81160
Loss of 0.80745 swing high would break the higher-low chain
US ECI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read within the next hour
Higher lows off session low, rising into session high.
USDCHF is grinding higher through London hours, having recovered from the 0.8039 flush earlier in the window on cautious USD demand. Price broke back above the 0.80795 prior high and is pressing the session high at 0.80951, RSI(14) ~66 and hot but not extreme.
Support: 0.80795, 0.80655, 0.8055
Resistance: 0.80951, 0.8100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80951 opens the path to the 0.81000 psych level
Failure to hold 0.80795 negates the breakout and exposes the 0.80655 swing low
US ECI / Chicago PMI today could inject USD volatility into this read
11:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding to session high · RSI 66 · price 0.80932
Higher highs, higher lows off 0.8039 base.
USDCHF has climbed steadily through the Asian and London sessions off the 0.8039 base, printing a clean higher-high/higher-low chain into a session high of 0.80951, aided by the USD safe-haven bounce back above DXY 100.00 while CHF stays structurally soft. RSI(14) near 66 — hot but not extreme; the 0.81000 round number sits just overhead.
Support: 0.8084, 0.80706, 0.80591
Resistance: 0.80951, 0.8100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80951 and 0.81000 extends the uptrend
Failure to hold 0.80706 breaks the higher-low chain
UoM sentiment / ECI data today could shift the USD tone
USDCHF sold off to 0.80390 during yesterday's NY session as suspected JPY intervention dragged the dollar broadly lower, then built a rounded base and has climbed a steady HH/HL chain back to 0.80914. Price now testing session highs into the London-NY transition, RSI(14) elevated near 68 but not yet extreme.
Support: 0.8075, 0.8059, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.8116
What it said to watch
Close above 0.81000 opens path back toward the 0.81160 prior swing
Failure to hold 0.80750 breaks the higher-low chain
US ECI / Chicago PMI later today could shift the USD read
11:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 67 · price 0.80914
Higher highs and higher lows off session low.
USDCHF has ground steadily higher through the London session, printing a fresh session high at 0.80915 and clearing the 0.80816 swing, with RSI(14) elevated near 67 but not extreme. The move fits the recovery in the dollar off its six-week low and CHF's structurally soft backdrop; rising lows off the 0.80550 base remain intact.
Support: 0.8075, 0.8059, 0.8055
Resistance: 0.80915
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.80750 breaks the rising-lows structure
Loss of 0.80590 session low confirms a lower-low
Swiss CPI Mon and US ISM Mon are the next major catalysts
USDCHF sold off sharply to 0.8039 during NY hours yesterday on soft-USD/intervention flows, then rebuilt a steady higher-low chain through Asia and into London, now pressing the session high at 0.80895 with RSI(14) around 67. Grind is orderly and ATR is compressed near 8 pips into the current push.
Support: 0.80745, 0.80591, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.80895, 0.8100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80895 opens the 0.81000 round number
Failure to hold 0.80745 breaks the higher-low chain
US ECI/UoM data today (12:30/14:00 GMT) could shift the read
USDCHF bottomed at 0.8039 early in the window after a sharp drop, then ground back up through the London session on cautious, hawkish-Fed USD demand, reclaiming 0.80816. Price now sits near the session high at 0.80895 with RSI(14) elevated around 66.
Support: 0.80745, 0.80591, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.80895, 0.81163
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80895 session high extends the recovery toward 0.8100
Failure to hold 0.80745 stalls the higher-low sequence
US ECI / Chicago PMI / UoM data (12:30-14:00 GMT) could shift the read
USDCHF has clawed back roughly half of yesterday's slide from 0.8137 to the 0.8039 day low, grinding up through the London session on hawkish-Fed dollar demand and soft franc data. Price is pressing the session high at 0.80877, RSI(14) firm near 64 with no divergence. Rising lows off the base remain intact.
Support: 0.8071, 0.8059, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.80877, 0.8100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80877 session high opens the path to 0.81000
Loss of 0.80710 pullback low breaks the rising-low sequence
US ECI/Chicago PMI at 12:30 GMT could shift this read within the next bars
10:31 UTC
Recovery after morning selloff · RSI 64 · price 0.80874
Higher lows off session low, grinding into highs.
USDCHF sold off ~100 pips into 0.80390 during yesterday's NY hours on the suspected-intervention USD flush, then ground steadily higher to retrace roughly half the drop. Price is now stalling in tight bars just under the 0.80877 session high with RSI(14) around 64, no extreme.
Support: 0.80591, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.80877, 0.8117
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80877 opens the path back toward the 0.81170 prior high
Failure to hold 0.80591 breaks the rising support and threatens a lower low toward 0.80390
US ECI / Chicago PMI later today could shift the USD read
USDCHF sold off to 0.8039 during NY hours yesterday, then carved a rounded base and ground back up through the Asian and London sessions, now pressing the session high at 0.80852. RSI(14) near 66 — hot but not extreme; USD firmer on safe-haven bid as CHF stays soft.
Support: 0.80591, 0.8055, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.80852, 0.81163
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80852 extends the recovery toward 0.81163
Failure to hold 0.8055 breaks the higher-low chain
USDCHF cratered from 0.8137 to 0.8039 during NY hours yesterday as intervention chatter dragged the dollar lower, then carved higher lows through Asia into London to reclaim 0.8085. Price now presses the session high at 0.80852 with RSI(14) in the low 60s and ATR compressed near 8 pips.
Support: 0.80745, 0.8055, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.80852, 0.8100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80852 session high opens the path to 0.81000
Failure to hold 0.80745 breaks the higher-low chain
US ECI / Chicago PMI / UoM data today (12:30-14:00 GMT) could shift this read
10:01 UTC
Uptrend, recovering off lows · RSI 61 · price 0.80846
HH/HL chain since window low, testing session high.
USDCHF has ground higher off the 0.80390 window low in a steady HH/HL chain and is now pressing the session high at 0.80852, RSI(14) around 61. The bid fits the corrective USD bounce and structurally soft CHF; rising support has held each dip through the London session.
Support: 0.80591, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.80852, 0.80816
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80852 extends the uptrend toward the 0.8090 area
Loss of rising support and a break below 0.80591 breaks the HL chain
UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
10:01 UTC
Recovery uptrend after washout · RSI 62 · price 0.80846
Higher lows since day low, back at session highs.
USDCHF sold off from 0.8137 to a 0.8039 day low early in the window, then ground back up through London into a steady higher-low recovery, now retesting the session high at 0.80852 on the geopolitics-driven USD bid. RSI(14) near 62, firm but not stretched; ATR around 10 pips.
Support: 0.80745, 0.80591, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.80852, 0.8116
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80852 extends the recovery toward 0.8116
Loss of 0.80745 then 0.80591 breaks the higher-low chain
UoM inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
USDCHF sold off sharply early in the window to a 0.8039 session low, then ground back up through London hours to retest the 0.80844 session high, near the 50% retrace of that drop. Franc stayed soft after the weak Swiss retail sales miss while a corrective USD bounce lends support.
Support: 0.80745, 0.80591, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.80844, 0.81163
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80844 session high extends the recovery toward 0.81163
Failure to hold 0.80745 swing low reopens the 0.80591 area
US ECI 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could shift this read
USDCHF sold off sharply during NY hours yesterday to a session low at 0.8039, then ground steadily higher through Asia and into London, now testing session highs around 0.8082. RSI(14) mid-60s, not stretched; the recovery leans on CHF softness and a corrective USD bounce.
Support: 0.8055, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.8082, 0.8117
What it said to watch
Close above 0.8082 opens room back toward the 0.8117 prior high
Loss of 0.8055 breaks the rising-support sequence and re-exposes 0.8039
US ECI at 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could reshape this read
09:32 UTC
Recovery uptrend after data-driven drop · RSI 55 · price 0.80768
Higher lows, grinding back toward session high.
USDCHF flushed to 0.8039 during the US data window (soft GDP/core PCE), then recovered steadily through the session in an ascending channel back toward 0.808. Price swept 0.80816 before easing; RSI(14) mid-range around 55, ATR near 9 pips.
Support: 0.8055, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.80816, 0.8100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80816 session high opens the path higher toward 0.81000
Failure to hold 0.80550 swing low breaks the ascending support and threatens the recovery
US ECI 12:30 UTC and Chicago PMI 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF sold off sharply into 0.8039 during NY hours yesterday, then carved a chain of higher lows through the Asian and London sessions back to ~0.8077, retracing roughly 38% of that drop. Price is now retesting the session high at 0.80816 with RSI(14) mid-range, no exhaustion signal in play.
Support: 0.8059, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.80816, 0.8092
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80590 breaks the higher-low chain and re-exposes the 0.8039 day low
Close above 0.80816 opens the path toward the fib 50% at 0.80920
USDCHF sold off sharply during yesterday's NY hours on the soft US GDP/PCE combo, bottoming at 0.8039, then ground steadily back up through the Asian session. London pushed to a session high at 0.80816 but was rejected, pulling back to the 0.8070 mid-range; RSI(14) neutral near 50.
Support: 0.8059, 0.8045, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.80816, 0.80795
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80816 resumes the recovery leg
Break below 0.80590 exposes the 0.8039 session low
Consolidating below session high after sharp NY drop.
USDCHF sold off sharply during NY hours yesterday on the soft US GDP/PCE combo, basing at 0.8039 before grinding back through Asia and London to a session high of 0.80816. That high was rejected and price is now consolidating near 0.807, holding above the 0.80591 swing low.
Support: 0.80591, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.80816, 0.80795
What it said to watch
US ECI/Chicago PMI/UoM (12:30-14:00 UTC) could shift the USD read this session
Close below 0.80591 reopens the 0.8039 recovery low
Reclaim of 0.80816 session high needed to extend the recovery
Rising channel off 0.8039, capped at session high.
London today pushed to a session high at 0.80816 and was sharply rejected back to 0.8056, RSI(14) cooling into the low 40s. The rising channel off the 0.8039 swing low is still intact but supply capped the move at the highs; price now sits mid-range.
Support: 0.8055, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.80816, 0.80776
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80390 confirms a lower low and breaks the recovery channel
Reclaim of 0.80816 session high reopens the path higher
US ECI/Michigan at 12:30-14:00 GMT could shift this read
Rejection from session high, back below rising support.
London grind up to the session high at 0.80816 was rejected sharply, RSI(14) cooling to 36 as price broke back below the rising support off the 0.80390 swing low. Now testing the 61.8% retrace near 0.80561 with the 0.80500 round number below; the USD/CHF pullback is positioning-driven per the SNB-on-hold backdrop.
Support: 0.8050, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.8070, 0.80816
What it said to watch
Break below 0.80500 round opens toward the 0.80390 swing low
Reclaim of 0.80700 prior swing negates the rejection
Sharp NY-session selloff yesterday drove price from 0.8124 to a 0.8039 session low on intervention-led USD weakness and CHF short covering. Since then a steady grind through Asia and London has retraced roughly 40% of that move, now pressing the 0.80816 session high with RSI(14) mid-range.
Support: 0.8064, 0.8050, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.80816, 0.8100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80816 opens the path back toward 0.81000
Loss of 0.80640 breaks the higher-low sequence and reopens 0.80500
US ECI at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Prior selloff bottomed at 0.8039 near the 50-day SMA, and a steady grind higher through Asia/London has retraced roughly half of that drop. Price is now poking the session high at 0.80802 with RSI(14) ~63, holding above EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 0.8065, 0.8050, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.80802, 0.8100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80802 extends the recovery toward 0.8100
Loss of 0.80650 breaks the higher-low chain
US ECI at 12:30 GMT could inject two-way USD volatility
08:31 UTC
Recovery uptrend after NY selloff · RSI 66 · price 0.80801
Higher lows grinding back to session high.
USD/CHF sold off through NY yesterday to a 0.8039 session low on the US GDP miss and JPY-intervention-driven dollar slide. Price has since ground steadily higher and is now retesting the 0.8080 session high, with RSI(14) elevated near 66 into the London session.
Support: 0.8064, 0.8050, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.8080, 0.8100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8080 session high opens the path to the 0.8100 psych level
Loss of the rising recovery support risks a retest of the 0.8039 session low
Swiss CPI Mon 06:30 GMT is the next major CHF catalyst
USD/CHF has ground steadily higher through the session after basing near 0.8040, the 10-day low reached on this week's intervention-driven selling. RSI(14) sits mid-60s with price holding above EMA20/50; the 0.80798 session high is the immediate cap.
Support: 0.8060, 0.8044, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.80798
What it said to watch
Sustained break above 0.80798 opens room higher within the recovery
Failure to hold 0.80600 breaks the higher-low chain toward the 0.8044 base
US Employment Cost Index at 12:30 GMT could shift this read
USDCHF dumped to 0.8039 in early London on FX-intervention-driven CHF short-covering, then carved a rounded base and ground back to 0.80755. Chain of higher lows holds; RSI(14) mid-range at ~58 with the session high at 0.80798 the immediate cap.
Support: 0.8064, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.80798, 0.81163
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80798 opens the path back toward the 0.81163 pre-drop base
Loss of the 0.80640 higher low reopens the 0.8039 session low
Grinding higher off session low, testing session highs.
USDCHF sold off hard during NY hours to the session low at 0.80390 on broad USD softness and intervention-driven flows, then ground steadily higher through Asia into London to retest the session high near 0.80789. RSI(14) sits mid-range around 54; the grind up holds above EMA20/50 with buyers stepping in repeatedly near 0.80640.
Support: 0.8064, 0.8060, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.80789, 0.8073
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80789 extends the recovery leg toward 0.80900
Loss of 0.80640 recovery low reopens 0.80390 session low
US ECI 12:30 UTC and Chicago PMI 13:45 UTC could shift this read
USDCHF based near 0.8039 after Thursday's broad USD selloff and has ground back up to a session high at 0.80789 before easing to 0.80728. The recovery is a shallow rising channel with RSI(14) around 51 — neutral, no extreme in play. Price is consolidating just under the 0.80790 session high.
Support: 0.8064, 0.8050, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.8079, 0.8116
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80790 extends the recovery leg toward the 0.8116 prior swing
Loss of 0.80640 session low reopens 0.80500 base and the 0.80390 day low
Swiss CPI Mon 06:30 GMT is the key domestic catalyst that could reset this read
Higher lows since session low, grinding into range top.
USDCHF sold off hard near 13:30 UTC yesterday from 0.8130 to a 0.8039 session low on USD softness and JPY-led intervention flows, then clawed back through the London session in a shallow rising channel to 0.80728. RSI(14) mid-range near 58 and ATR compressed to ~6 pips; buyers stepped in at 0.80600 on the latest dip while 0.80789 caps the recovery.
Support: 0.8060, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.80789, 0.80756
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80789 session high extends the recovery leg
Loss of 0.80600 breaks rising support and reopens 0.80390
US ECI 12:30 UTC could inject two-way USD volatility
Consolidating below session high after NY selloff.
USDCHF was driven to a 10-day low near 0.8039 during NY hours on JPY-intervention spillover, then ground steadily back to 0.8069. Price is now consolidating below the 0.80789 session high with RSI(14) neutral around 53.
Support: 0.8060, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.80789, 0.8084
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80789 session high opens 0.80840
Failure to hold 0.80600 swing low exposes 0.80390 10-day low
Sharp early-window drop to 0.8039 on broad USD softness and JPY-intervention spillover, then a slow grind higher into a 0.8060-0.8079 consolidation. RSI(14) sits neutral near 52 with ATR compressed to ~6 pips, no directional impulse in play.
Support: 0.80602, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.80789, 0.8087
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.8060 range low opens a retest of the 0.8039 swing low
Break above 0.8079 session high extends the recovery toward 0.8087
Swiss CPI Mon Aug 3 06:30 UTC is the next major CHF risk
Consolidating below 0.80789 after rebound from 0.8039.
USDCHF slid from ~0.8117 to a 0.8039 low during NY hours yesterday on soft US data (GDP miss, cooler Core PCE), then ground higher in a shallow channel that stalled and was rejected at 0.80789. Price now consolidates near 0.8065 below EMA20, RSI(14) neutral around 47 with ATR compressed to ~7 pips in the Asia-into-London handover.
Support: 0.80602, 0.80516, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.80789, 0.8084
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80789 reasserts the recovery channel toward 0.80840
Loss of 0.80602 exposes the 0.8039 day low
US Employment Cost Index at 12:30 UTC could reset this intraday read
Grinding higher-lows after sharp NY drop, pullback from session high.
USDCHF sold off sharply through the prior NY session to a 10-day low at 0.8039 on soft US GDP/PCE and the suspected JPY intervention, then ground back up in a rising channel through Asia and into London. Price rejected the session high at 0.80789 and has pulled back to 0.8066; RSI(14) is neutral near 47.
Support: 0.8060, 0.8039, 0.8027
Resistance: 0.80789, 0.8116
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80600 threatens the higher-low channel, exposing the 0.80390 session low
Reclaim of 0.80789 session high reopens the pre-drop 0.81160 zone
US ECI 12:30 GMT and Chicago PMI 13:45 GMT could shift this read
USDCHF slid to a 10-day low near 0.8039 during the prior NY session as soft US GDP/PCE and suspected JPY intervention hit the Dollar broadly, then ground back up in a rising channel to 0.80789 before rejecting. Price now consolidates around 0.8066, sitting below EMA20 but holding above the recovery low at 0.8060.
Support: 0.8060, 0.8039, 0.8027
Resistance: 0.80789
What it said to watch
Break below 0.8060 recovery low re-exposes the 0.8039 day low
Reclaim of 0.80789 session high reopens the upside
US ECI (12:30 GMT) and Chicago PMI (13:45 GMT) could shift this read
07:02 UTC
Recovery off lows, stalling · RSI 47 · price 0.80658
Based at 0.8039, ground back into mid-range, rejected at 0.8079.
NY session drove USD/CHF to a 10-day low at 0.8039 on soft US GDP/core PCE; Asia based around 0.8050 and London ground back up to 0.80790 before getting rejected. Price now drifting back to 0.80658, below EMA20 with RSI mid-range — recovery momentum fading into the session high.
Support: 0.8060, 0.8050, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.8079, 0.8084
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80790 session high opens the path to 0.80840
Loss of 0.80500 range base exposes the 0.80390 day low
US ECI 12:30 GMT and Swiss CPI Mon could reset this read
USD/CHF sank to a 10-day low 0.8039 during NY hours yesterday on broad USD selling after soft US GDP/PCE, then Asia and early London built a rounded base and ground back to the 0.8078 session high. Rejection there has since faded price to 0.8066 with RSI(14) cooling to mid-range.
Support: 0.8060, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.8078
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.8078 session high needed to extend the recovery
Loss of 0.8039 session low reopens the 0.8027/0.8000 zone
US ECI at 12:30 GMT could shift the USD read this session
Yesterday's NY session dumped USDCHF to a 10-day low at 0.8039 on soft US GDP/PCE; the Asia session recovered into a 0.8060-0.8079 range. London open saw rejection at the 0.80789 session high, pulling price back to the 0.80614 session low, RSI sitting mid-range near 46.
Support: 0.80614, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.80789, 0.8080
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.80789 session high opens the 0.8080 psych area
Loss of 0.80614 session low exposes the 0.8039 prior low
Swiss Retail Sales and US ECI (12:30 GMT) could shift this read
Rounded base after NY selloff, rejected at recovery high.
USDCHF was slammed to a session low of 0.8039 during yesterday's NY hours on broad USD weakness and the JPY-intervention shock, then based and ground back up to 0.80789 through the Asian session. Rejected there and pulling back into the London open; RSI(14) has cooled to neutral.
Support: 0.8060, 0.8045, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.80789, 0.8073
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80789 needed to extend the recovery; failure keeps the pullback in play
Swiss Retail Sales at 06:30 UTC could jolt CHF near the current bar
Loss of 0.80600 reopens the 0.80450 base and 0.80390 session low
USD/CHF plunged to a 0.8039 session low during NY hours on soft US data and suspected FX intervention, then ground back up through Asia to a 0.8079 session high. That high was rejected and price is pulling back toward 0.8060, RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s.
Support: 0.8060, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.80789
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80789 session high needed to extend the recovery
Loss of 0.80600 pullback low reopens the 0.8039 session low
Swiss Retail Sales (06:30 UTC) print could jolt this read
Base built above 0.8039, higher lows into rejection at 0.80789.
USDCHF was slammed to a session low of 0.8039 mid-window on the broad USD selloff tied to suspected FX-intervention flows, then ground back up in a chain of higher lows to 0.80789. The latest bar rejected that session high and slipped to 0.80655, RSI(14) cooling back to ~49; recovery leg intact while 0.8039 holds.
Support: 0.80653, 0.8039, 0.8027
Resistance: 0.80789, 0.80941
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80789 reopens the 0.80941 drop-bar high
Loss of 0.8039 session low confirms the drop is extending
Swiss retail sales at 06:30 UTC could jolt this read
06:16 UTC
Intraday uptrend, stalling at session high · RSI 51 · price 0.80673
Recovery off 0.8039 low, higher lows into London.
After yesterday's NY-session USD plunge to a 10-day low at 0.8039 on the GDP miss and intervention-driven dollar sell-off, USDCHF has ground back up through Asia into London, tagging 0.80789 before the last bar rejected sharply back to 0.80673. Momentum stalling at the session high with RSI(14) neutral near 51.
Support: 0.8050, 0.8039, 0.8027
Resistance: 0.80789, 0.80941
What it said to watch
Swiss Retail Sales at 06:30 UTC could move the pair on the next bars
Close above 0.80789 session high extends the recovery toward 0.80941
Loss of 0.80500 range low reopens the 0.8039 10-day low
USDCHF sold to a 10-day low of 0.8039 during the NY session on soft US Q2 GDP and cooler core PCE, then ground back up through the Asian range to 0.80776 into the London open. Higher lows since the base, RSI(14) firm near 63; session high at 0.80789 is the immediate cap.
Support: 0.8066, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.80789, 0.8094
What it said to watch
Break above 0.80789 extends the recovery toward the 0.80940 spike
M15 close below 0.80660 breaks the higher-low chain
Swiss Retail Sales at 06:30 UTC could shift this read
06:02 UTC
Recovery uptrend off the lows · RSI 63 · price 0.80776
Higher highs / higher lows since the 0.8039 base.
USDCHF bottomed at a 10-day low of 0.8039 yesterday as broad USD selling (soft US Q2 GDP/PCE plus suspected JPY intervention) hit the pair, and has ground higher in a shallow channel through the Asian session. Price now pressing the session high near 0.8079 with RSI(14) mid-60s, well above EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 0.8065, 0.8050, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.8079, 0.8084, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Close above 0.8084 (drop origin) opens the path back toward the 0.8100 psych level
Failure to hold 0.8065 breaks the rising channel support
Swiss Retail Sales at 06:30 UTC could shift the recovery read
USDCHF sold off to a 10-day low at 0.8039 during NY hours on broad Dollar weakness after the soft US GDP/PCE prints, then ground steadily higher through the Asian session into the London open, now testing the session high at 0.80757. RSI(14) mid-60s, no extreme; the higher-low chain off 0.8039 remains intact.
Support: 0.8064, 0.8044, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.80757, 0.8084
What it said to watch
Break above 0.80757 session high extends the recovery toward the 0.80840 prior high
Loss of 0.80640 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
Swiss Retail Sales at 06:30 UTC could shift this read
05:46 UTC
Recovery uptrend off the low · RSI 63 · price 0.80756
Higher lows since 0.8039 base, grinding up.
USD/CHF plunged to a 10-day low at 0.8039 during NY hours on the soft US Q2 GDP/PCE prints, then based and ground steadily higher through Asia into early London, now testing the session high at 0.80757. RSI(14) around 63 with the recovery near ~50% retrace of the drop; ATR(14) has compressed to ~4-5 pips.
Support: 0.8064, 0.8050, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.80757, 0.80839
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80839 extends the recovery toward the pre-drop 0.8117 shelf
Failure to hold the 0.80640 ascending support signals a lower low back toward 0.8050
Swiss Retail Sales (06:30 UTC) due within the hour — could shift the CHF read
05:32 UTC
Recovery uptrend, steady · RSI 61 · price 0.80738
Higher lows off the 10-day low, ascending.
USDCHF sold off sharply during NY hours to a 10-day low at 0.8040 on soft US GDP and cooling core PCE, then ground higher through the Asian session in a tight ascending channel to a fresh session high at 0.8075. RSI(14) near 61, momentum steady but not stretched; price is retesting the top of the recovery range.
Support: 0.8064, 0.8044, 0.8040
Resistance: 0.80754, 0.80839
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80839 opens the path back toward the pre-drop area
Loss of 0.8064 breaks the ascending higher-low chain
Swiss Retail Sales 06:30 UTC and US ECI 12:30 UTC could shift this read
A sharp NY-session selloff dumped USDCHF to a 10-day low at 0.8039 on the broad Dollar hit, then price ground steadily higher through the Asian range to test the session high at 0.80754. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 62 as the recovery leg extends without exhaustion.
Support: 0.80684, 0.8039, 0.8027
Resistance: 0.80754, 0.81163
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80754 extends the recovery leg toward 0.8116
Loss of the 0.80684 higher low breaks the ascending support and reopens 0.8039
Swiss Retail Sales at 06:30 UTC could shift this read
USDCHF got dumped to a 10-day low of 0.80390 mid-window as soft US GDP/PCE and suspected JPY intervention hit the Dollar broadly, then based and ground back to 0.80729 into London morning. Recovery is a steady HL channel with RSI(14) around 62; session high at 0.80749 still caps.
Support: 0.8064, 0.8039, 0.8027
Resistance: 0.80749, 0.80839
What it said to watch
Swiss Retail Sales 06:30 UTC could jolt this recovery
Sharp NY selloff, rounded base, slow grind higher.
NY-session selling drove USDCHF to a 10-day session low at 0.8039 on soft US GDP and cooling core PCE, then the Asian session ground back to 0.8073 in a slow rounded recovery. Price is stalling near the 23.6% fib of the drop; RSI mid-60s and ATR compressed to ~6.5 pips shows the recovery is losing steam.
Support: 0.8039, 0.8027, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8081, 0.8116
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.8081 recent high opens the path back toward 0.8116 pre-drop level
Failure to hold 0.8039 session low / 0.8027 50-day sma and 0.8000 psych extends the decline
Break of the recovery line flags the grind higher stalling
Swiss Retail Sales 06:30 UTC could move CHF within the next bars
Higher lows since NY selloff, capped below session high.
USDCHF cratered during NY hours to a 10-day low at 0.80390 on the broad USD selloff and suspected JPY intervention, then carved a rounded bottom and ground back to 0.80721 through the Asian session. Recovery is orderly but stalling into the 0.80749 recent high, holding the 23.6% retrace of the drop.
Support: 0.8054, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.80749, 0.80807
What it said to watch
Swiss Retail Sales 06:30 UTC could inject volatility into the recovery grind
Close above 0.80807 session high extends the recovery leg
Loss of 0.80540 swing low reopens 0.80390 session low
Rounded base after sharp NY sell-off, higher lows into Asia.
USDCHF collapsed through the NY session to a 10-day low near 0.8039 after soft US Q2 GDP and cooling core PCE knocked the Dollar broadly. The Asian session has since carved a rounded base, grinding back to 0.8072 with the session high at 0.80749 the immediate cap.
Support: 0.8064, 0.8039, 0.8027
Resistance: 0.80749
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80749 session high extends the recovery grind
Loss of 0.80640 recovery low reopens the 0.80390 10-day low
Swiss Retail Sales 06:30 UTC could shift this read
USD/CHF has clawed back a steady grind of higher lows off the 0.8039 session low, the mark left after yesterday's intervention-driven Dollar plunge. Price is pressing the session high at 0.80733 into the Asia-Europe transition with RSI(14) around 63; recovery structure holds while the rising support and 0.80640 swing low remain intact.
Support: 0.8064, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.80733, 0.80807, 0.80941
What it said to watch
Break above 0.80807 extends the recovery toward the 0.80941 round level
Loss of 0.80640 rising support breaks the higher-low chain
Swiss Retail Sales at 06:30 UTC and US ECI at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
USDCHF sold off hard through NY hours yesterday on soft US GDP/PCE, bottoming at 0.8039 before basing and grinding back to 0.8071 through Asia. RSI(14) near 61 with price holding above EMA20/50 as the recovery extends; momentum is steady but not hot.
Support: 0.8050, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.8072, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Swiss Retail Sales 06:30 UTC could shift this read
close above 0.8072 recent high opens path to 0.8100 round number
loss of 0.8050 swing low threatens a retest of 0.8039 session low
04:31 UTC
Recovery grind, uptrend off the low · RSI 62 · price 0.8071
Shallow rising channel from 0.8039.
USDCHF was slammed to a 10-day low at 0.8039 during NY hours yesterday as the USD sold off on soft Q2 GDP and cooler PCE plus intervention-driven JPY strength. Since then price has ground higher in a shallow rising channel through the Asia session, printing a session high at 0.8072 with RSI(14) mid-band around 61.
Support: 0.8054, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.8072, 0.8081
What it said to watch
Close above the 0.8081 bounce high extends the recovery toward 0.8090
Loss of the 0.8054 swing low reopens the 0.8039 10-day low
Swiss Retail Sales 06:30 UTC and US ECI 12:30 UTC could shift this read
Rounded base after NY flush, higher lows into Asia.
USDCHF flushed to a 10-day low at 0.8039 during NY hours as soft US GDP/PCE and suspected JPY intervention hit the Dollar broadly. Since then Asia has carved a rounded base and a slow grind of higher lows back to 0.8071, right at the session high with RSI(14) mid-range near 61.
Support: 0.8060, 0.8039, 0.8027
Resistance: 0.8072, 0.8100, 0.8116
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.8100 round number extends the recovery; rejection at 0.8072 keeps the grind capped
Loss of 0.8039 / 0.8027 50-day sma would resume the downside leg
Swiss Retail Sales at 06:30 UTC could shift this read
USDCHF cratered ~130 pips during NY hours as a soft US GDP/PCE print and suspected JPY intervention drove a broad Dollar sell-off, bottoming at the 0.80390 session low. Since then the Asian session has ground back up in an orderly chain of higher lows, RSI(14) around 61, with the recent session high at 0.80722 capping the recovery.
Support: 0.80575, 0.8064, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.80722, 0.80776
What it said to watch
Break back below 0.80640 recovery low breaks the higher-low chain
Reclaim of 0.80722 session high opens the 0.80776 bounce high
Swiss Retail Sales 06:30 UTC could inject a fresh CHF move
USDCHF was hit hard ~15h ago, dumping from 0.8172 to a session low of 0.8039 on the intervention-driven JPY-led Dollar sell-off. Price has since carved a rounded base and is grinding a chain of higher lows back to 0.807; RSI(14) near 60, no extreme. Bounce high at 0.80776 caps the recovery so far.
Support: 0.8064, 0.80502, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.80776, 0.80839
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80776 opens 0.80839 breakdown edge
Loss of 0.8064 breaks the rising-low sequence back toward 0.8039
US ECI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
04:02 UTC
Recovering after sharp selloff · RSI 61 · price 0.8069
Rounded base, higher lows into Asia.
USDCHF was slammed to a 0.8039 session low during NY hours as suspected JPY intervention and soft US Q2 GDP/PCE crushed the Dollar broadly. Price has since based and ground higher through the Asia session in a chain of higher lows, RSI(14) mid-range near 61; the 0.8072 recent high caps for now.
Support: 0.8039, 0.8027, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8072, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.8072 recent high opens the path toward 0.8100
Loss of 0.8039 session low exposes 0.8027 50d sma and 0.8000
US ECI at 12:30 UTC could spark a Dollar squeeze and shift this read
04:01 UTC
Recovering after sharp drop · RSI 63 · price 0.8069
Based near 0.8039, grinding higher.
A sharp USD sell-off during NY hours yesterday drove USDCHF from ~0.8175 to a swing low near 0.8039 on soft US GDP/PCE and suspected JPY intervention. The Asian session has based around 0.8050 and is grinding back up to 0.8069, RSI(14) recovered to ~63 with price back above both EMAs.
Support: 0.8050, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.8072, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Close above 0.8072 recovery high opens the path to 0.8100
Failure to hold 0.8050 base re-exposes the 0.8039 swing low
Swiss retail sales 06:30 UTC and US ECI 12:30 UTC could shift this read
03:47 UTC
Recovering off session lows · RSI 61 · price 0.80703
Based at 0.8039, grinding higher.
USDCHF was hammered to 0.8039 during the London-NY session as suspected FX intervention dragged the dollar broadly lower; price has since based and ground back to 0.8070 through the Asia session. RSI(14) near 61 with price holding above EMA20/50, the recovery pressing the session high at 0.8072.
Support: 0.8064, 0.8050, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.80722, 0.8078
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8072 session high opens the 0.8078 prior high
Loss of 0.8064 rising support puts the 0.8050 base back in play
Swiss Retail Sales 06:30 UTC could shift this read
USD/CHF was slammed to a 10-day low at 0.8039 on suspected Japan-intervention flows before Asia built a base near 0.8045. Since then a steady HH/HL grind has retraced back to 0.80722; RSI(14) mid-60s, room before overbought.
Support: 0.8054, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.80722
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80540 breaks the rising support and reopens 0.8039
Loss of 0.8039 exposes the 0.8027 50-day SMA and 0.8010
US ECI 12:30 GMT could shift the dollar read this session
Higher-lows chain grinding back up after intervention flush.
USD/CHF was flushed to a session low at 0.8039 as suspected Japan-intervention JPY buying dragged the dollar broadly lower. Price has since ground back up through the Asian session in a steady higher-lows channel to 0.80699, RSI in the low-60s and now stalling just under the 0.80714 session high.
Support: 0.8039, 0.8027
Resistance: 0.80714, 0.80807
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80807 prior high opens the path back toward the pre-drop 0.8100s
Failure to hold 0.8039 session low exposes the 0.8027 50-day sma
US ECI (12:30 GMT) and Chicago PMI (13:45 GMT) could shift this read
USDCHF was dumped ~130 pips to 0.8039 as suspected JPY intervention and soft US GDP/PCE dragged the dollar broadly lower, then based and ground back to 0.8069. RSI(14) firm near 62 as buyers step in on the recovery; ATR ~5 pips reflects the post-shock calm.
Support: 0.8064, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.80714, 0.80776
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80776 bounce high extends the recovery
Loss of 0.80640 base risks a retest of the 0.80390 session low
US ECI/Chicago PMI later today could reignite dollar volatility
03:16 UTC
Recovery off session low, HL chain building · RSI 62 · price 0.80687
Sharp drop then grind higher, higher lows intact.
USDCHF was slammed from 0.8175 to a 0.8039 session low during NY hours as the dollar sold off on soft US GDP and cooler core PCE. Asia has clawed price back to 0.8069 in a steady higher-low chain, RSI(14) mid-60s and not yet stretched; the 0.80807 post-drop swing high caps for now.
Support: 0.8054, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.80807, 0.8100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80807 extends the recovery toward 0.8100
Failure to hold 0.80540 breaks the higher-low chain
US ECI at 12:30 UTC could re-arm USD and shift this read
03:16 UTC
Recovery grind higher off day low · RSI 59 · price 0.80687
Higher lows building after NY drop.
Asian session grinding higher off the 0.80390 day low after yesterday's NY-session flush below 0.8100 on broad USD weakness (soft Q2 GDP, suspected JPY intervention). Recovery holding above rising support with RSI(14) mid-range near 59; sess high 0.80714 is the immediate cap.
Support: 0.8054, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.80714, 0.80776
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80776 bounce high extends the recovery leg
Failure to hold 0.80540 base re-exposes the 0.80390 day low
Swiss Retail Sales 06:30 UTC could disturb this quiet Asian grind
03:02 UTC
Recovering after sharp selloff · RSI 62 · price 0.80691
Rounded base off 0.8039, higher lows.
USDCHF sold off sharply mid-window from 0.8175 to 0.8039 as the suspected BoJ intervention dragged the broad dollar lower, then carved a rounded base through the Asia session and ground back to 0.8069. RSI(14) near 62, momentum constructive off the low but capped so far below the 0.8071 recent high.
Support: 0.8064, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.8071, 0.8081
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8071 extends the recovery toward the 0.8081 swing high
Loss of 0.8064 swing low reopens the 0.8039 session low
Swiss Real Retail Sales at 06:30 UTC could shift this read
03:02 UTC
Recovering off session lows · RSI 63 · price 0.80691
Rounded base, higher lows since NY selloff.
USDCHF was hammered from 0.8175 to 0.8039 during NY hours yesterday as broad USD selling hit on soft US GDP/PCE and suspected BoJ intervention. Since then the Asian session has carved a rounded base with higher lows, grinding back to 0.8069 and now testing the 0.8070 recent high; RSI(14) mid-60s, no extreme.
Support: 0.8059, 0.8054, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.8070, 0.80776, 0.80807
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80776 opens the path back to 0.80807
Failure to hold 0.8059 rising low breaks the recovery chain toward 0.8054
Swiss Real Retail Sales 06:30 UTC could shift this read
02:46 UTC
Recovering off session low, grinding up · RSI 63 · price 0.80682
Higher lows since NY low, base building.
USDCHF dumped ~130 pips through the NY session on soft US GDP/PCE and suspected Japanese intervention, bottoming at 0.80390. Price has since carved a chain of higher lows through Asia and recovered to 0.80682, back at the 0.80695 session high; RSI(14) firm near 63, ATR compressed to ~5 pips.
Support: 0.8054, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.80695, 0.80776
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80695 opens 0.80776
Failure to hold 0.80540 threatens a retest of 0.80390 session low
Swiss Real Retail Sales at 06:30 UTC could disrupt this Asian-session grind
02:46 UTC
Recovering, grinding higher off base · RSI 62 · price 0.80682
Higher lows after sharp NY selloff, basing above 0.8040.
USDCHF was hammered from 0.8175 down to 0.8039 during the NY session as the dollar sold off broadly on soft US data and JPY-intervention fallout. Price has since based and ground higher through the Asian session into 0.80695, retracing roughly a quarter of the drop; RSI(14) near 62 with a chain of higher lows intact.
Support: 0.8059, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.80695, 0.8078, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.8059 higher-low structure reopens the 0.8039 swing low
Close above 0.80695 session high extends the recovery toward 0.8078
Swiss Retail Sales at 06:30 UTC could shift this read
02:31 UTC
Recovering after NY selloff · RSI 63 · price 0.8066
Rounded base, grinding higher.
Pair was hammered from 0.8175 to 0.8039 during NY hours on broad USD weakness (suspected BoJ intervention plus soft US GDP/PCE), then based out and ground higher through Asia to 0.8066. RSI(14) near 63, ATR compressed to ~8 pips as thin-volume recovery tests the 0.8070 session high.
Support: 0.8058, 0.8040
Resistance: 0.8070, 0.8081
What it said to watch
Close above 0.8070 extends the recovery toward 0.8081
Failure to hold 0.8058 range base reopens 0.8040 session low
Swiss Retail Sales 06:30 UTC could shift this read
02:17 UTC
Downtrend, basing after selloff · RSI 60 · price 0.80657
Recovery grind off session low.
A sharp NY-session selloff dragged USDCHF from ~0.8172 to a 0.80390 low on the USD-wide slide (suspected BoJ intervention plus soft US GDP/Core PCE). Since then the Asia session has based above 0.80500 and ground back to 0.80657, RSI(14) near 60 with the 0.80695 session high capping the recovery.
Support: 0.8050, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.80695, 0.80776
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80695 opens the 0.80776 bounce high
Failure to hold 0.80500 reopens the 0.80390 session low
Swiss Retail Sales 06:30 UTC could shift this read
Base built after sharp selloff, higher lows forming.
USDCHF was slammed ~140 pips during NY hours to 0.8039 as broad USD weakness hit on suspected BoJ intervention and soft US data. Price has since based through the Asia session and is grinding higher off the low into 0.80695, retracing about 24% of the drop; RSI(14) recovered to the low-60s.
Support: 0.8054, 0.80396, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.80695, 0.80776, 0.80807
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80695 opens the 0.80776–0.80807 bounce highs
Loss of 0.80540 base exposes the 0.8039 session low again
Swiss Retail Sales 06:30 UTC could shift this read
USDCHF cratered to 0.80390 in the prior NY session as broad USD selling followed a suspected JPY intervention and softer US GDP/PCE; buyers based there and price has ground back to 0.8068. Asia session is printing a chain of higher lows off the 0.80490 session low, RSI(14) near 61, with the session high at 0.80695 the immediate cap.
Support: 0.80575, 0.8049, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.80695, 0.80776
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80695 session high exposes the 0.80776 prior swing
Loss of 0.80490 session low reopens the 0.80390 crash low
Swiss retail sales 06:30 UTC could shift this read
USDCHF cratered ~130 pips into the 0.8039 low on the broad USD sell-off after the suspected JPY intervention and soft US GDP/PCE, then based and clawed back through Asia. Price is grinding higher lows into the 0.80695 session high, RSI(14) near 61, ATR compressed to ~5.5 pips.
Support: 0.80575, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.80695, 0.80776
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80695 opens 0.80776
Failure to hold 0.80575 breaks the higher-low chain toward 0.8039
US ECI at 12:30 UTC could reset this intraday read
An intervention-driven USD selloff dumped USDCHF ~130 pips to a 0.8039 low during NY hours yesterday, driven by suspected Tokyo JPY action and soft US GDP/PCE. Price has since based through the Asia session and grinds higher into 0.80716 resistance, RSI(14) recovering to the low-60s.
Support: 0.8054, 0.80396, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.80716, 0.80807
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80716 opens 0.80807
Failure to hold 0.80540 exposes 0.80396 session low
Swiss Retail Sales 06:30 UTC could shift the read
01:46 UTC
Recovering after sharp sell-off · RSI 58 · price 0.80606
Basing above session low, grinding higher.
USD/CHF was dumped ~140 pips during NY hours, from 0.8175 to a 0.8039 session low, as suspected JPY intervention and soft US GDP/PCE dragged the dollar broadly lower. Since then price has based between 0.8040 and 0.8065; the thin Asia session is grinding higher and now probing the 0.8065 session high.
Support: 0.8050, 0.8044, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.8065, 0.80776
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80650 extends the recovery toward 0.80776
Failure to hold 0.80500 reopens the 0.80390 session low
Swiss Retail Sales at 06:30 UTC could shift this read
NY session sold off sharply to 0.8039 on broad USD weakness after soft US GDP and PCE, before basing. Asian session has ground back to 0.8060 in a rising-low sequence, RSI(14) mid-range and capped under the 0.80651 session high.
Support: 0.80492, 0.80396, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.80651, 0.80712, 0.80807
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80712 fib and the 0.80807 bounce high extends the recovery
Failure to hold 0.8039 session low reopens the NY selloff lows
US ECI at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this USD read
01:31 UTC
Recovering after sharp drop · RSI 57 · price 0.80606
USD/CHF sold off hard through 0.8040 during London-NY hours as the dollar bled post-Fed on soft GDP and PCE, then based and ground back toward 0.8060 through the Asia session. Now consolidating 0.8040-0.8065 on a chain of higher lows, RSI(14) neutral near 57.
Support: 0.8047, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.8065, 0.8077
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8065 opens the path to the 0.8077 bounce high
Failure to hold 0.8047 exposes the 0.8039 session low
US Employment Cost Index 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
01:16 UTC
Downtrend, basing after selloff · RSI 59 · price 0.80638
Sharp break then higher lows, grinding recovery.
USDCHF sold off hard from 0.8175 to 0.8039 during NY hours as the dollar bled post-FOMC on soft GDP and PCE. Asian session has based above 0.8039 and is grinding higher into the 0.80651 session high; RSI near 59, recovery still shallow relative to the drop.
Support: 0.8044, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.80651, 0.80776
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80651 session high extends the recovery toward 0.80776
Failure to hold 0.80440 recent low re-exposes the 0.80390 session low
US ECI (12:30 GMT) and UoM inflation expectations (14:00 GMT) could shift this read
01:16 UTC
Downtrend, basing after selloff · RSI 56 · price 0.80609
Consolidation above 0.8040 session low.
USDCHF broke sharply lower during NY hours, dropping from 0.8172 to a 0.8039 low on broad USD weakness after the soft GDP and PCE prints. Asian session has since based between 0.8040 and 0.8065, drifting slowly higher with RSI(14) recovering off the lows; the post-drop range top at 0.80651 still caps.
Support: 0.8044, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.80651, 0.80776, 0.80839
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80651 opens the path to 0.80776
Failure to hold 0.80440 reopens the 0.80390 session low
USDCHF sold off through the NY session to 0.8039 on broad USD softness post-Fed, then based and ground back up through a chain of higher lows. Now testing the session high at 0.8064, RSI(14) near 59, price back above EMA20/50 within a tight 0.8039–0.8064 recovery range.
Support: 0.8050, 0.80396, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.8064, 0.80726
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80640 session high opens 0.80726
Failure to hold 0.80500 base re-exposes the 0.80390 swing low
ECI 12:30 GMT and UoM inflation expectations 14:00 GMT could reset USD direction
01:02 UTC
Prior downtrend, basing · RSI 58 · price 0.80609
Double bottom off 0.8039, grinding higher.
USDCHF was hammered from 0.8175 to 0.8039 during the prior US session as soft GDP and cooling PCE pressed the dollar broadly. Price has since carved a double bottom near 0.8039 and is grinding higher through the low-volume Asia session, now testing the 0.8065 session high with RSI(14) mid-range.
Support: 0.8050, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.80651, 0.80776
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80651 opens the path back toward 0.80776
Failure to hold 0.80390 confirms a fresh lower low
US ECI at 12:30 GMT could reprice the dollar and shift this read
USDCHF sold off hard through 0.8080 during the prior NY session on broad post-FOMC USD softness, bottoming at 0.8039. Asia has ground back up on a chain of higher lows off rising support near 0.80490, RSI(14) recovering to the mid-50s; price now testing the 0.80640 session high.
Support: 0.8049, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.8064, 0.80776
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 break above 0.80640 opens the 0.80776 bounce high
Loss of 0.80490 rising support exposes the 0.80390 swing low
US ECI 12:30 GMT and UoM inflation expectations 14:00 GMT could reset this read
NY-session USD softness drove USDCHF down from 0.8175 to a 0.8039 spike low. Through the Asia session price has consolidated between 0.8039 and the 0.8063 session high, grinding slightly higher into the current bar with RSI mid-range.
Support: 0.8039, 0.8049
Resistance: 0.8063, 0.8073
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80630 opens the 0.80730 bounce high
Loss of 0.80390 spike low resumes the down-leg
US ECI 12:30 GMT and UoM 14:00 GMT could shift this read
00:32 UTC
Intraday down, now basing · RSI 54 · price 0.80569
Sharp NY drop, Asian range holding.
USDCHF was slammed from 0.8175 down to 0.8039 through the NY session as broad USD selling hit after soft US data. Price has since based 0.8040–0.8060 through the Asian session, grinding higher off a series of higher lows with RSI(14) recovering toward the mid-50s.
Support: 0.80425, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.80627, 0.80776, 0.8100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80627 opens a retest of 0.80776
Failure to hold 0.80390 confirms a fresh lower low
US ECI at 12:30 GMT could reset the intraday read
00:31 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating near lows · RSI 51 · price 0.80569
Post-breakdown base, tight range.
USDCHF broke down sharply through the NY session to a 0.8039 session low as the dollar softened post-FOMC and on the Q2 GDP miss. Price has since built a tight base between 0.8044 and the 0.8063 session high; the quiet Asian range shows RSI(14) recovered to neutral with no follow-through toward the 0.8080 recovery high.
Support: 0.8044, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.8063, 0.8080
What it said to watch
Break below 0.8039 session low extends the breakdown
Reclaim of 0.8080 recovery high negates the drop structure
US ECI at 12:30 GMT could reshape USD tone this session
00:17 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating off lows · RSI 56 · price 0.80593
Range after impulsive selloff.
An NY-session USD sell-off drove USDCHF from 0.817 down to 0.8039, aligning with the soft-dollar tone post-GDP miss. Since then price has ranged 0.8044–0.8063 through late US and early Asia hours, RSI(14) recovered to mid-50s with price holding above EMA20 but capped under the 0.80630 session high.
Support: 0.8044, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.8063, 0.8078
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80630 session high opens 0.80780
Failure to hold 0.80440 range floor exposes 0.80390 swing low
Swiss Real Retail Sales 06:30 UTC could shift this read
00:16 UTC
Intraday downtrend, now basing · RSI 55 · price 0.80593
Sharp sell-off then tight consolidation.
USDCHF collapsed during NY hours from 0.8172 to 0.8039 as the soft-USD/CHF-bid theme accelerated, then settled into a tight 0.8044–0.8060 range through the Asia session. Price is grinding the top of that range at 0.8059, RSI recovered to mid-50s; no fresh momentum yet.
Support: 0.8044, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.8060, 0.80807, 0.8100
What it said to watch
A close above 0.8060 range top opens the 0.80807 recovery high
Loss of 0.8044 range floor re-exposes the 0.8039 session low
Swiss Real Retail Sales 06:30 UTC could break the consolidation
00:02 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising after selloff · RSI 56 · price 0.80586
Consolidating above session low, rising minor lows.
USDCHF was slammed from 0.8175 to a 0.8039 session low during NY hours as the dollar sagged broadly (soft PCE/GDP, suspected BoJ intervention). Since then it has consolidated 0.8040–0.8080 and is grinding up on rising minor lows into Asia, now testing the 0.8060 psych level with RSI back at mid-range.
Support: 0.8044, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.8060, 0.8080
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.8060 psych then 0.8080 bounce high would extend the recovery
Loss of 0.8039 session low confirms downtrend continuation
Break of the rising support tilts structure back down
Swiss Real Retail Sales 06:30 UTC could shift this read
00:01 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising near lows · RSI 55 · price 0.80586
Based after NY selloff, grinding higher in tight range.
NY session dumped USD/CHF ~130 pips into a 0.8039 session low as the dollar stayed soft post-Fed. Since then price has based in a tight 0.8040–0.8060 range through Asian hours, grinding back to the range top at 0.8060 with RSI mid-range and ATR compressed.
Support: 0.8045, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.8060, 0.8077
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8060 range top exposes the 0.8077 bounce high
Loss of the 0.8039 session low confirms a lower low
Swiss Retail Sales 06:30 UTC could shift this read