USD/JPY AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Tuesday, 4 August 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/JPY 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:46 UTC
Recovery off session low, now flat · RSI 57 · price 157.777
Consolidating high-157.7s after bounce from 157.21.
USDJPY rebounded from the 157.21 session low back into the high-157.7s and is now drifting in thin, late-Asian trade with sub-3-pip candles. RSI(14) neutral near 57; price holds above EMA20/50 but momentum has stalled just below the 157.94 session high with the 200-DMA at 158.02 capping overhead.
Support: 157.60, 157.40, 157.21
Resistance: 157.94, 158.02
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.94 exposes the 158.02 200-dma per JPY context
Failure to hold 157.60 reopens the 157.40/157.21 lows
Japan Labour Cash Earnings + BoJ Minutes due ~1h could break the consolidation
23:32 UTC
Uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 61 · price 157.794
Recovery from range low, stalling under 200-DMA.
USD/JPY ground higher through the Asian session, recovering from the 157.21 range low back toward the 200-DMA at 158.02. Thin late-session volume now, price consolidating in the high-157s just under the 157.96 session high with RSI(14) around 60. Japan Labor Cash Earnings and BoJ Minutes are due within the hour.
Support: 157.68, 157.40, 157.21
Resistance: 157.96, 158.02
What it said to watch
M15 close above 158.02 (200-DMA) opens continuation higher
Labor Cash Earnings / BoJ Minutes within ~1h could shift this read
Failure to hold 157.68 session low risks a slide back toward 157.40
23:31 UTC
Recovery, consolidating near highs · RSI 57 · price 157.794
Higher lows off 157.21, capped below 157.95.
USDJPY recovered from the 157.21 swing low back into the high-157s and is now consolidating 157.71-157.80 in thin Asian conditions, capped just below the 157.95 session high. RSI(14) mid-range near 57 with no extreme; JPY has been giving back last week's intervention-driven rally as the yield gap reasserts.
Support: 157.71, 157.40, 157.21
Resistance: 157.95, 158.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.95 session high opens the 158.00 psych area
Loss of 157.71 range floor puts the 157.40 swing low back in play
Japan Labor Cash Earnings and BoJ Minutes within ~1h could shift this read
23:16 UTC
Recovering, consolidating near highs · RSI 56 · price 157.789
Tight range after rebound off session low.
USDJPY rebounded off the 157.21 session low and has coiled into a tight 157.70–157.83 range through the thin Asia session, holding above EMA20/50. RSI(14) sits mid-scale near 56, offering no extreme as price drifts back toward the 157.96 session high and the 158.00 psych area.
Support: 157.70, 157.46, 157.21
Resistance: 157.83, 157.96, 158.02
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.96/158.02 opens the path toward the day's upper extension
Failure to hold 157.70 range floor exposes 157.46 swing low
Japan Labor Cash Earnings and BoJ Minutes within ~1h could shift this read
23:01 UTC
Range, momentum flat · RSI 54 · price 157.73
Tight consolidation near session high after recovery off 157.21.
Thin early-Asia tape, USD/JPY pinned in a tight 157.68–157.79 band after recovering from the 157.21 US-session low. RSI(14) neutral near 54, price hugging EMA20; no setup in play while the 200-DMA at 158.02 caps overhead.
Support: 157.68, 157.52
Resistance: 157.79, 157.94, 158.02
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.94 opens the path to the 158.02 200-dma
Loss of 157.68 session low reopens 157.52 swing low
Japan Labor Cash Earnings and BoJ Minutes within ~1h could break this range
22:46 UTC
Recovered off lows, consolidating near session highs · RSI 56 · price 157.734
Tight range after V-shaped intraday recovery.
USDJPY sold from a 157.95 session high to 157.21 during the NY session, then recovered through the high-157s as JPY continued unwinding last week's intervention rally. Now consolidating a tight 157.68–157.83 range in thin Asia trade, RSI(14) neutral near 56.
Support: 157.68, 157.40, 157.21
Resistance: 157.83, 157.95
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.83 opens the path back to the 157.95 session high
Loss of 157.68 consol low reopens 157.40 swing low
Japan Labor Cash Earnings and BoJ Minutes due within ~1h could shift this read
22:46 UTC
Recovery, now flat near session highs · RSI 53 · price 157.734
Consolidating below 158.02 after V-shaped bounce off 157.21.
USDJPY carved a double bottom around 157.21 mid-window and recovered to the high-157.7s, but the last hours are thin, low-volume chop between 157.68 and 157.80. Price sits just under the 158.02 200-DMA that the macro read flags as the key intervention-sensitive pivot into US jobs data.
Support: 157.68, 157.40, 157.21
Resistance: 157.80, 157.96, 158.02
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.80 opens a test of the 158.02 200-dma
Failure to hold 157.68 exposes the higher low at 157.40
Japan Labor Cash Earnings / BoJ minutes imminent (~1h) could break the range
22:31 UTC
Recovery, momentum flat · RSI 57 · price 157.757
Higher lows off session low, consolidating below session high.
USDJPY recovered from the 157.21 session low and is now consolidating in the upper 157.7s, capped by the 157.79 session high on thin late-session volume. RSI(14) mid-range near 57, price holding above EMA20/50; no fresh push yet.
Support: 157.676, 157.55, 157.213
Resistance: 157.791, 157.942
What it said to watch
Close above 157.79 opens the path to the 157.94 day high
Failure to hold 157.68 exposes 157.55
Labor Cash Earnings and BoJ Minutes tonight could shift this read
22:16 UTC
Recovery stalling into consolidation · RSI 55 · price 157.724
Ranging below session high after bounce off day low.
USDJPY bounced from the 157.21 day low back to 157.79 and is now consolidating in a tight 157.68–157.79 band on thin late-Asia volume. Price holds above EMA20/50, RSI(14) neutral around 55 with no momentum extreme; range top capped intervention-risk narrative near 158 stays intact well overhead.
Support: 157.68, 157.55, 157.21
Resistance: 157.79, 157.95
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.79 session high opens the path to 157.95 day high
Loss of 157.68 range low exposes 157.55 swing low
Labor Cash Earnings and BoJ minutes late-session could inject volatility
22:01 UTC
Recovered off session low, ranging near highs · RSI 57 · price 157.723
Higher lows off 157.21, capped under 157.79.
USDJPY swept the 157.21 session low mid-window then recovered to stall under 157.79 during the NY-Asia transition, tape now thin with tiny closing bars. Price holds above EMA20/50, RSI(14) neutral near 57 after the bounce; a rounded recovery leaving 157.79 as the immediate cap.
Support: 157.60, 157.40, 157.21
Resistance: 157.79, 157.95
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.79 opens the path back toward the 157.95 session high
Loss of 157.60 pivot reopens the 157.40/157.21 lows
Labor Cash Earnings and BoJ Minutes due shortly could shift this read
22:01 UTC
Recovering off session low, flat late · RSI 60 · price 157.769
Rebound from 157.21 stalling near session high.
USDJPY sold to 157.21 into NY hours then recovered to 157.79, retracing roughly 78% of the drop and pressing the 157.83 session high. Late-session tape is thin and flat with RSI(14) near 60; price is coiling just under resistance rather than extending.
Support: 157.65, 157.40, 157.21
Resistance: 157.83, 157.95
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.83 opens the path to 157.95 day high
Failure to hold 157.65 reopens 157.40
Labor Cash Earnings + BoJ Minutes (23:30/23:50 UTC) could shift this read
Range 157.21-157.96, price near top after rebound.
USDJPY rebounded off the 157.21 NY low back to 157.79 and is now consolidating in the high 157.7s on thin volume into the Asia handover. Range top at the 157.95 session high still caps; 158.02 is the flagged intervention ceiling above.
Support: 157.60, 157.30, 157.21
Resistance: 157.79, 157.95, 158.02
What it said to watch
Close above 157.96 opens the path toward the 158.02 intervention ceiling
Failure to hold 157.60 exposes the 157.30 swing low
Labor Cash Earnings and BoJ Minutes tonight (23:30/23:50 UTC) could shift the read
21:46 UTC
Recovering off day low, momentum flat · RSI 54 · price 157.729
Consolidating upper end of day range.
USDJPY sold off from the 157.956 day high to 157.21 mid-session, then bounced back to the mid-157.7s along a rising support line. Now consolidating below the 157.83 recent high on thin late-session volume, RSI(14) flat near 54 and price holding above EMA20/50.
Support: 157.64, 157.21
Resistance: 157.83, 157.956
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 157.83 reopens the 157.956 day high
Loss of 157.64 breaks rising support and reopens the 157.21 day low
Labor Cash Earnings and BoJ Minutes (~23:30 UTC) could shift this read
Higher-low chain rebuilt off 157.21, consolidating under recent high.
USDJPY recovered off the 157.21 swing low during NY and rebuilt a higher-low chain, now consolidating 157.72–157.79 into the Asia handover on very thin volume. RSI(14) mid-range, no extreme; yen-firmer theme intact but the pair grinding back up while capped well below the 158 intervention-risk ceiling.
Support: 157.72, 157.40, 157.21
Resistance: 157.83, 157.95
What it said to watch
Close above 157.83 opens the session high at 157.95
Loss of 157.72 breaks the higher-low chain toward 157.40
Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC could shift the JPY tone
Higher lows off session low, capped below recent high.
USD/JPY recovered off the session low at 157.21 to stall near 157.79, capped below the 157.83 recent high into the late NY close. RSI mid-range around 60 and volume is thinning as Asia opens, leaving price consolidating in the upper 157.7s.
Support: 157.61, 157.21
Resistance: 157.83, 157.95
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.83 opens a retest of the 157.95 session high
Loss of the 157.61 higher low returns focus to the 157.21 session low
Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC could shift this read
USDJPY recovered off the 157.21 session low through the NY session, building higher lows back to 157.79 and now consolidating just under the 157.94 session high on thin late-session volume. Price holds above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range near 58 — no extreme in play.
Support: 157.61, 157.40, 157.21
Resistance: 157.94, 158.00
What it said to watch
Close above 157.94 session high opens the 158.00 psych ceiling
Failure to hold 157.61 swing low reopens 157.40 then 157.21
Labor Cash Earnings + BoJ Minutes near 23:30 UTC could shift this read
USD/JPY sold off to a 157.21 session low mid-window then recovered to 157.79, now consolidating in the mid-157.7s during late NY hours. RSI(14) neutral near 54 with price holding above EMA20/50; 157.79 session high caps and 157.64 is holding as near support.
Support: 157.64, 157.42
Resistance: 157.79, 157.83, 157.95
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.79 opens the path to 157.83/157.95
Failure to hold 157.64 reopens 157.42
Labor Cash Earnings + BoJ Minutes (23:30/23:50 UTC) could shift this read
200-day near 158.02 is a known intervention-risk ceiling on extension
Higher lows since 157.21, capped near session high.
USDJPY carved a double bottom near 157.21 mid-window and recovered to tag the session high at 157.79 during late NY hours, RSI(14) back to neutral around 54. Now consolidating just under that high with price holding above EMA20/50; the mid-157s hold as fiscal/carry keeps the yen soft.
Support: 157.60, 157.45, 157.21
Resistance: 157.79, 157.96
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.79 opens the path to 157.96 day high
Loss of 157.60 exposes 157.45 then the 157.21 session low
Japan Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC could shift this read
Higher lows since 157.21 sweep, consolidating below 157.79.
USDJPY swept the session low at 157.21 during NY hours then ground back up, printing higher lows to stall near 157.79 with RSI around 56. Price is consolidating just under the 157.79 recent high, holding above the EMA20 near 157.65.
Support: 157.65, 157.60, 157.29
Resistance: 157.79, 157.83, 157.96
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.83 opens the path to the 157.96 session high
Failure to hold 157.65 exposes 157.60 swing low and the 157.29 session low
Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC / BoJ Minutes could shift this read
20:31 UTC
Recovery, momentum flat · RSI 54 · price 157.728
Higher lows off session low, capped below session high.
USDJPY recovered off the 157.21 session low, printing higher lows through the late session and stalling below the 157.83 session high; RSI(14) sits mid-range near 54. Now consolidating 157.61–157.83 with the 158.00 psych area capping ahead.
Support: 157.61, 157.21
Resistance: 157.83, 157.96, 158.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.83 opens the path toward the 158.00 area
Loss of 157.61 breaks the higher-low sequence
Labor Cash Earnings / BoJ Minutes at 23:30-23:50 UTC could shift this read
NY session recovered off the 157.21 session low with a chain of higher lows into the mid-157.7s, RSI cooling from the push to 157.79. Session high at 157.79 is capping; price stalling into 157.72 with the 200-day intervention ceiling at 158.02 still overhead.
Support: 157.63, 157.46, 157.21
Resistance: 157.79, 157.94, 158.02
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.79 opens the path to prior high 157.94 then the 158.02 200-day ceiling
Loss of 157.63 swing low reopens 157.46 and the 157.21 session low
Labor Cash Earnings + BoJ minutes 23:30 UTC could shift this read
20:16 UTC
Recovering, near session high · RSI 61 · price 157.729
Higher lows since 157.21, capped at 157.79.
USD/JPY clawed back from the 157.21 session low to the 157.79 session high through the NY session and is now consolidating just beneath it, RSI(14) mid-60s. Higher-low structure intact but the 157.79 cap is being respected on this leg.
Support: 157.60, 157.40, 157.21
Resistance: 157.79, 157.95
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.83 opens the path to the 157.95 day high
Failure to hold 157.60 exposes the 157.40 swing low
Japan Labor Cash Earnings and BoJ Minutes at 23:30/23:50 UTC could shift this read
20:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 58 · price 157.77
Higher lows off 157.21, recovering toward session highs.
NY session has USD/JPY grinding back up toward the 200-DMA ceiling at 158.02 after basing at the 157.21 session low, tracking broad post-intervention yen softness. Chain of higher lows intact off 157.60; RSI(14) mid-range at ~58 with room before overbought.
Support: 157.60, 157.40, 157.21
Resistance: 157.95, 158.02
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.95 opens the path to the 158.02 200-dma, a level that has invited intervention rhetoric
Loss of 157.60 breaks the higher-low chain and exposes 157.40
Japan Labor Cash Earnings + BoJ Minutes at 23:30/23:50 UTC could shift this read
USDJPY carved a double bottom near 157.21 during NY hours and rallied back to the session high at 157.79 as JPY handed back post-intervention gains. RSI(14) at ~63 is firm but not stretched; the 200-DMA/158.00 zone caps overhead.
Support: 157.61, 157.40, 157.21
Resistance: 157.79, 157.96, 158.00
What it said to watch
Close above 157.79 opens the path toward the 158.00 round number
Failure to hold 157.61 breaks the higher-low chain and reopens 157.40
Japan Labor Cash Earnings / BoJ Minutes at 23:30 UTC could shift this read
NY session held a 157.21–157.96 range; price swept the session low at 157.21 then reclaimed, pushing back to 157.79 on rising lows. RSI(14) around 61, room before the session high at 157.96 and the 200-DMA pivot at 158.02.
Support: 157.60, 157.21
Resistance: 157.96, 158.02
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.96 opens the path to the 158.02 200-dma
Failure to hold 157.60 pivot reopens the 157.21 session low
ADP (Aug 5, 12:15 UTC) could shift this read
19:16 UTC
Recovering, momentum up · RSI 64 · price 157.791
Higher lows off session low, retesting NY highs.
USDJPY has clawed back the NY-session pullback from the 157.96 high to 157.21, now pressing 157.79 with RSI(14) around 64 and price above both EMA20/EMA50. Broad yen softness post-intervention keeps a bid under the pair as it retests the session high band.
Support: 157.60, 157.30, 157.21
Resistance: 157.96, 158.00
What it said to watch
Close above 157.96 opens the path to the 158.00 psych level
Failure to hold 157.60 reopens 157.30 swing low
Japan Labor Cash Earnings + BoJ Minutes (23:30/23:50 UTC) could shift this read
19:01 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 55 · price 157.657
Pullback then partial retrace within NY range.
NY session sold the 157.95 session high down to 157.21 before buyers stepped in, retracing roughly 60% back to 157.66. Price now consolidating in the upper half of the range, holding above EMA20 with RSI(14) neutral near 55.
Support: 157.40, 157.21
Resistance: 157.75, 157.95
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.75 opens the 157.95 session high
Failure to hold 157.40 reopens the 157.21 session low
ADP tomorrow (12:15 UTC) could shift this read via the USD leg
19:01 UTC
Recovering off NY session low · RSI 56 · price 157.657
Selloff then rounded recovery, capped below 157.77.
NY session sold USDJPY from the 157.94 session high down to 157.21, then buyers recovered the pair to ~157.66 into late NY, RSI(14) back to mid-range near 56. Now consolidating just under the 157.77 swing high after a rounded base off the low.
Support: 157.40, 157.21
Resistance: 157.77, 157.94
What it said to watch
Close above 157.77 opens the path back to the 157.94 session high
Loss of 157.40 reopens the 157.21 session low
Japan Labor Cash Earnings + BoJ Minutes (~23:30-23:50 UTC) could shift this read
18:47 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 59 · price 157.67
Higher lows since 157.21, 61.8% retrace reclaimed.
NY session ground back up from the 157.21 session low, reclaiming the 61.8% retrace of the earlier 157.96-157.21 drop at 157.67 on a chain of higher lows. Move fits broad JPY softness with USD/JPY working back toward the 158.02 pivot; RSI(14) mid-range, no extreme.
Support: 157.43, 157.21
Resistance: 157.77, 157.95
What it said to watch
Close above 157.77 opens the path back to session high 157.95
Failure to hold 157.43 breaks the higher-low chain and reopens 157.21
Japan Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC tonight could shift the JPY leg
18:46 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 58 · price 157.67
Higher lows since 157.21, retracing prior selloff.
USDJPY rebounded from the 157.21 session low back to 157.67, retracing roughly 62% of the earlier drop from the 157.95 session high, with JPY handing back post-intervention gains. Higher lows are building through NY hours, RSI(14) near 58, but the 157.77 swing high still caps.
Support: 157.55, 157.40, 157.21
Resistance: 157.77, 157.95
What it said to watch
Close above 157.77 opens the path toward the 157.95 session high
Failure to hold 157.55 breaks the higher-low chain toward 157.40
Japan Labor Cash Earnings and BoJ Minutes tonight (~23:30 UTC) could shift JPY
USDJPY flushed to a 157.21 session low around the NY open before buyers stepped in, carving higher lows back to 157.66 through the NY afternoon — part of the broader rebound off Monday's 155.23 intervention low. Now consolidating below the 157.75 swing high with RSI(14) mid-range; the 157.95 session high and 200-DMA at 158.02 cap above.
Support: 157.40, 157.21
Resistance: 157.75, 157.95
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.75 opens the path toward the 157.95 session high and 158.02 area
Failure to hold 157.40 swing low exposes the 157.21 session low
Japan Labor Cash Earnings + BoJ Minutes at 23:30/23:50 UTC could shift this read
USDJPY bounced off the 157.21 session low through late NY hours and is grinding back to 157.66, holding above EMA20/50 with RSI near 56, no extreme. The 157.96 range top still caps upside; broad JPY softness underpins after post-intervention longs unwound.
Support: 157.40, 157.21
Resistance: 157.96, 158.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.96 range top opens the path to 158.00 psych
Loss of 157.40 swing low reopens the 157.21 session low
Japan Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC + BoJ minutes could shift this read
Consolidating below session high after V-shaped bounce.
USD/JPY rebounded off the 157.21 session low during NY hours and is now consolidating 157.55-157.65, having retraced ~57% of the earlier drop from 157.95. RSI(14) neutral near 55; broad yen softness keeps a bid under the pair with the 158.02 200-DMA capping overhead.
Support: 157.40, 157.21
Resistance: 157.95, 158.02
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.95 session high reopens the 158.02 200-dma test
Loss of 157.40 swing low reasserts the move toward 157.21
Japan Labor Cash Earnings and BoJ Minutes late tonight could shift this read
18:01 UTC
Up then consolidating · RSI 52 · price 157.603
Range after rejection below 158.00.
USD/JPY pushed into 157.96 in the London-NY window — just shy of the 200-day MA at 158.02 flagged in the digest — and was rejected, sliding to a 157.21 session low before recovering to 157.60. Late NY now grinds sideways in a 157.40–157.76 band, RSI(14) neutral near 52.
Support: 157.40, 157.21
Resistance: 157.76, 157.96
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.96/158.02 opens the path toward the 159 zone
Failure to hold 157.40 reopens the 157.21 session low
Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC could shift this read
USD/JPY ran to a session high of 157.95 before NY sellers dragged it back to 157.21, with the yen soft as USD/JPY grinds toward the 158 area on carry/yield-gap flows. Buyers reclaimed the mid at 157.58, now pressing minor resistance at 157.63; RSI(14) neutral near 55.
Support: 157.40, 157.21
Resistance: 157.63, 157.95
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.63 reopens the path to the session high at 157.95
Loss of 157.40 exposes the session low at 157.21
Labor Cash Earnings and BoJ minutes at 23:30/23:50 UTC could shift this read
17:46 UTC
Uptrend stalled, ranging · RSI 52 · price 157.582
Pullback then recovery, mid-range consolidation.
USDJPY tagged a session high at 157.94 in late London, then pulled back into NY morning to bottom at 157.21 before recovering to ~157.58. Now consolidating between 157.40 and 157.65 with RSI(14) neutral near 52; no clean setup in play.
Support: 157.40, 157.21
Resistance: 157.65, 157.77, 157.94
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.65 then 157.77 reopens the session high at 157.94
Failure to hold 157.40 reopens the 157.21 session low
Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC and BoJ Minutes 23:50 UTC could shift this read
USDJPY rallied through London to a session high at 157.94 before an NY-session pullback swept the 157.21 lows, then buyers stepped in and price is grinding back to 157.62. Move fades last week's intervention as the 200-day MA at 158.02 sits overhead.
Support: 157.40, 157.21
Resistance: 157.94, 158.02
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.94 opens the path to the 200-dma at 158.02
Failure to hold 157.40 reopens the 157.21 session low
USDJPY near 159-160 revives intervention risk per context
Range after rejection at session high, holding above swing low.
NY session pulled back from the 157.94 session high and swept the 157.21 session low before buyers lifted price back toward 157.62. RSI(14) neutral near 53, price now consolidating mid-range with the 200-dma at 158.02 capping above.
Support: 157.40, 157.21
Resistance: 157.94, 158.02
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.94 session high opens the path to the 200-dma at 158.02
Failure to hold 157.40 swing low reopens the 157.21 session low
Labor Cash Earnings at 23:30 UTC could shift this read
USD/JPY rallied through the London-NY session to a 157.96 high before pulling back to the 157.21 session low, then recovered to 157.59 as yen stayed soft near the 200-day MA. Price is consolidating mid-range, RSI(14) neutral around 54 after the rejection off the highs.
Support: 157.40, 157.29, 157.21
Resistance: 157.73, 157.90, 158.02
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.73 reopens the 157.90 session high and 158.02 200dma
Failure to hold 157.40 reopens the 157.29 swing low
Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC could shift the JPY read
17:02 UTC
Uptrend faded, now ranging · RSI 49 · price 157.54
Pullback off session high, recovering mid-range.
USDJPY climbed to a session high of 157.95 early in NY before rolling over to 157.21 as USD longs trimmed into ISM/NFP risk, RSI(14) cooling to neutral. Price has since recovered to 157.54 and is ranging between 157.40 and 157.63, with EMA50 capping just overhead.
Support: 157.40, 157.21
Resistance: 157.63, 157.75, 157.95
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.63 reopens the 157.75/157.95 session high
Failure to hold 157.40 reopens the 157.21 session low
Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC could shift this read
17:02 UTC
Uptrend, pullback then recovery · RSI 53 · price 157.54
Consolidating below 157.94 session high after mid-session drop.
USD/JPY ran up through the London session to a 157.94 session high, stalling just under the 200-day MA at 158.02, then rolled back to 157.21 into NY hours as the carry-driven bid faded. Price is now consolidating around 157.54, RSI(14) neutral near 53; the 157.40–157.63 band is holding the recovery.
Support: 157.40, 157.21
Resistance: 157.63, 157.94
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.94 opens the 158.00 area
Failure to hold 157.40 re-exposes the 157.21 session low
Labor Cash Earnings tonight 23:30 UTC and NFP Friday could reset this read
NY session ran up to the 157.95 session high before rolling over to a 157.21 session low, with JPY broadly soft as USD/JPY grinds back toward the 158 zone. Buyers stepped back in to reclaim 157.59; price now sits mid-range between 157.40 and the 157.77 swing high.
Support: 157.40, 157.21
Resistance: 157.77, 157.95
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.95 session high extends the up-leg toward the 158 area
Failure to hold 157.40 swing low reopens the 157.21 session low
Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC could reprice JPY and shift this read
16:46 UTC
Pullback within uptrend, recovering · RSI 53 · price 157.588
Leg down from 157.96 to 157.21, now bouncing off higher lows.
USDJPY rejected the 157.95 session high during NY hours and sold off to 157.21 as broad USD momentum stalled, then bounced to sit right on the 50% retrace at 157.59. JPY stayed on the back foot with the pair holding well above Monday's 155.23 intervention low.
Support: 157.40, 157.21
Resistance: 157.63, 157.77, 157.95
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.63 reopens the 157.77–157.95 resistance band
Failure to hold 157.40 confirms a lower low toward the 157.21 session low
Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC + BoJ minutes could reprice JPY into the next bars
Pullback from session high, now consolidating mid-range.
USDJPY ran up through the London-NY session to a high at 157.95, then pulled back to tag 157.21 near the 61.8% retracement of that move before recovering. Now consolidating between 157.40 and the 157.63 swing high, RSI(14) cooled into the mid-40s and price sits below EMA20/50.
Support: 157.40, 157.21
Resistance: 157.63, 157.95
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.63 swing high reopens the 157.95 session high
Loss of 157.21 swing low extends the pullback
Labor Cash Earnings at 23:30 UTC could shift this read
16:31 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulled back and consolidating · RSI 46 · price 157.469
HH/HL chain into day high, then NY pullback holding a range.
USDJPY rallied through the London-NY window to a day high at 157.94 before a sharp NY pullback to the 157.21 swing low. Price is now consolidating around the 38.2% fib at 157.47 between 157.40 and 157.55, RSI(14) mid-range near 46.
Support: 157.404, 157.213
Resistance: 157.557, 157.633
What it said to watch
Close above 157.63 recent high reopens the 157.94 day high
Break below 157.21 swing low confirms a deeper pullback
Labor Cash Earnings + BoJ minutes at 23:30/23:50 UTC could shift this read
16:16 UTC
Pulled back off session high, ranging · RSI 47 · price 157.482
Range after rejection from day high 157.96.
USDJPY rejected the day high at 157.96 and unwound into a 157.21–157.63 range through the NY session, now hovering at 157.48 below EMA20. RSI(14) mid-40s, momentum flat after the pullback; the 157.60 area capping rallies aligns with the intervention-stalled zone.
Support: 157.40, 157.21
Resistance: 157.63, 157.96
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.63 swing high reopens the path to 157.96 day high
Loss of 157.21 session low confirms a lower-low
Labor Cash Earnings and BoJ Minutes at 23:30/23:50 UTC could shift this read
NY open flushed to the 157.21 session low then recovered along rising session support, now ranging 157.40–157.63 beneath the 157.95 session high. RSI(14) neutral near 48 and ATR ~13 pips; the pullback from the highs has stalled without a clean break either way.
Support: 157.40, 157.21
Resistance: 157.63, 157.77, 157.95
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.63 swing high opens 157.77 prior high
Failure to hold 157.40 recent low exposes the 157.21 session low
Labor Cash Earnings and BoJ Minutes at 23:30–23:50 UTC could shift this read
16:01 UTC
Pullback after session-high rejection · RSI 45 · price 157.444
Consolidating below 157.63 after failing at 157.96.
USDJPY stalled at the session high 157.96 and unwound to 157.21 before chopping into a 157.30–157.63 range; the pair retraced roughly half the day's advance as USD held around DXY 100.00. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 45 with price under EMA20/50, no directional edge in play right now.
Support: 157.30, 157.21
Resistance: 157.63, 157.77, 157.96
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 157.63 reopens the 157.77 prior high
Loss of 157.30 confirms a lower-low toward the 157.21 session low
US-Japan intervention headlines near 158.02 could shift this read
15:46 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pullback in play · RSI 44 · price 157.392
Lower high after 157.95, holding above 157.21 low.
USDJPY rallied through NY hours to a session high at 157.95 before rolling over; broad JPY weakness on fading intervention effect and carry demand underpinned the earlier grind higher. Price now sits back at 157.39 below EMA20 after a rejection at 157.63, RSI(14) cooled to the low-40s.
Support: 157.29, 157.21
Resistance: 157.63, 157.77, 157.95
What it said to watch
M15 close below 157.21 confirms a lower low and negates the pullback read
Reclaim of 157.63 bounce high reopens 157.77/157.95
Labor Cash Earnings + BoJ Minutes at 23:30/23:50 UTC could shift this read
Lower high after 157.95, holding above intraday low.
USDJPY rally stalled at 157.95 near the 200-DMA as JPY gave back post-intervention gains, then sold off through NY hours to 157.21 before a bounce that faded under 157.63. Price now consolidating mid-range around 157.39, RSI(14) neutral near 44 and back below EMA20/50.
Support: 157.213
Resistance: 157.633
What it said to watch
Close below 157.21 confirms a lower-low and extends the pullback
Reclaim of 157.63 reopens the 157.95 session high
Labor Cash Earnings + BoJ Minutes at 23:30/23:50 UTC could shift this read
Lower highs off session peak, holding above session low.
NY session pulled back from the 157.95 session high, with demand stepping in at 157.21 before a recovery to 157.55; JPY remains soft near the 200-DMA around 158.00 on carry flows. RSI(14) sits neutral near 49 after cooling from the earlier push, and a chain of lower highs is capping the bounce at 157.63.
Support: 157.21
Resistance: 157.63, 157.95, 158.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.63 reopens the path to the 157.95 session high
Failure to hold 157.21 confirms a lower-low and extends the pullback
Labor Cash Earnings and BoJ Minutes tonight (23:30/23:50 UTC) could shift this read
15:31 UTC
Pullback within uptrend, recovering · RSI 52 · price 157.554
Pulled back from session high, buyers defended 157.21.
USDJPY rejected the session high at 157.95 and slid through NY hours as JPY firmed off its earlier weakness; buyers stepped in at 157.21 and price has recovered to 157.55. Now consolidating between 157.30 and the 157.68 bounce high, RSI(14) back around 52.
Support: 157.30, 157.21
Resistance: 157.68, 157.95
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.68 reopens the 157.95 session high
Failure to hold 157.30 exposes the 157.21 session low
Japan Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC could shift the JPY read
USDJPY rallied to a session high at 157.94 before rolling over to 157.21 and is now grinding back to 157.56, sitting on its EMAs mid-range. Broad JPY weakness (carry, fiscal worries) keeps the tape bid despite last week's intervention; the drop retraced roughly half of the down leg.
Support: 157.21
Resistance: 157.94
What it said to watch
Close above 157.94 resumes the uptrend toward the 158.00 area
Failure to hold 157.21 confirms a lower low and opens 157.00
Labor Cash Earnings + BoJ Minutes tonight (23:30/23:50 UTC) could shift this read
USDJPY rallied through London to a session high at 157.95 before an NY-session selloff flushed it to the session low 157.21; price has since recovered to 157.56 with RSI(14) back near neutral. JPY continues giving back post-intervention gains, keeping the tape firm despite the pullback.
Support: 157.21
Resistance: 157.63, 157.95
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.63 bounce high reopens the path toward the 157.95 session high
Close below 157.21 session low confirms a lower low
Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC could shift this read
NY session faded the 157.95 high back to 157.21 before buyers stepped in for a 30-pip bounce as JPY gave back its intervention gains against a firm USD. RSI(14) recovered off the low toward neutral; 157.63 is capping the rebound so far.
Support: 157.29, 157.213
Resistance: 157.633, 157.77, 157.95
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.63 opens the path to 157.77
Failure to hold 157.29 confirms a lower-low toward 157.21
Japan Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC could shift the JPY read
14:46 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 49 · price 157.565
Pullback off session high, recovering.
USDJPY rejected 157.95 in the NY session and sold to 157.21 before buyers stepped in, recovering to 157.56 — roughly a 47% retrace of that leg, consistent with the broad JPY-weakness theme back toward the 158 area. RSI(14) sits near 49, momentum neutral after the cooldown.
Support: 157.29
Resistance: 157.77, 157.95
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.77 reopens the 157.95 session high toward 158.00
Failure to hold 157.29 confirms a lower low
Labor Cash Earnings + BoJ Minutes (23:30/23:50 UTC) could shift this read
14:46 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back into NY · RSI 49 · price 157.565
Pullback from session high, bounce off session low.
USD/JPY rejected the 157.95 session high in the London-NY transition and sold off to 157.21 before buyers stepped in twice near the 157.21/157.30 area to lift price back to 157.56. Broad JPY softness persists as intervention effects fade, but M15 momentum has cooled with RSI back to neutral.
Support: 157.30, 157.21
Resistance: 157.68, 157.95
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 157.68 swing high reopens the 157.95 session high
Loss of 157.21 session low confirms a lower-low and negates the bounce
Labor Cash Earnings + BoJ Minutes tonight (23:30/23:50 UTC) could reset this read
Lower highs off session high, holding above session low.
USDJPY rejected the NY session high at 157.95 and sold off to 157.21 before bouncing to 157.48, with the pair carving lower highs since. RSI(14) recovering from the low-40s as price holds above the session low; still below EMA20/50.
Support: 157.21
Resistance: 157.59, 157.95
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 157.59 invalidates the lower-high downleg
Break below 157.21 confirms a lower low
Japan Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC could shift the read
Lower highs off 157.95, holding above session low.
USD/JPY topped out around the 157.95 session high with a cluster of rejections during NY hours, then pulled back to a 157.21 session low as intervention headlines kept a lid on the mid-157s. Price is recovering to 157.48 but sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 44 — momentum has cooled from the earlier grind higher.
Support: 157.21, 157.05
Resistance: 157.58, 157.95
What it said to watch
M15 close below 157.21 confirms a lower low and opens the 61.8% fib at 157.05
Reclaim of the 157.58 swing high re-exposes the 157.95 session high
Japan Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC could shift this read into the Asia session
NY session sold the London session high at 157.95, printing a low at 157.21 before a shallow bounce to 157.43 that was capped. USD/JPY sits mid-157s below the intervention-faded rally, RSI(14) cooling near 41 with no reclaim of EMA20.
Support: 157.213, 157.00
Resistance: 157.53, 157.95
What it said to watch
M15 close below 157.21 confirms lower low, opens 157.00
USDJPY rejected the session high at 157.95 during NY hours and rolled over into a lower-high sequence, sliding to a 157.21 low before bouncing to 157.42. RSI(14) cooled to the mid-40s and price sits below EMA20/50; the mid-157s hold as the digest notes dips being bought back below the 158.00 cap.
Support: 157.21, 157.00
Resistance: 157.60, 157.95
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.60 negates the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 157.21 opens 157.00
US JOLTS/Factory Orders just released — could extend either way
14:01 UTC
Uptrend, correcting lower · RSI 44 · price 157.42
Pullback off session high, bounce underway.
NY session extended the earlier grind to a session high of 157.95 before rejecting sharply back to 157.21, with USD firm on the hawkish-Fed narrative. Price is bouncing off that low to 157.42, holding below EMA20; RSI(14) recovered from the selloff but sits sub-50.
Support: 157.21, 157.00
Resistance: 157.58, 157.95
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 157.58 negates the pullback and reopens 157.95
Failure to hold 157.21 confirms a lower low toward 157.00
JOLTS / Factory Orders at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
14:01 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back · RSI 43 · price 157.42
Rejected at session high, bounce off session low.
USDJPY climbed through the London-NY sessions to a session high at 157.95 before rejecting and selling off to a session low of 157.21 in the NY afternoon. A bounce back to 157.42 leaves price below EMA20/50 with RSI cooling to the low 40s; the 157.58 swing high now caps.
Support: 157.30, 157.21
Resistance: 157.58, 157.95
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 157.58 swing high would restore the intraday uptrend
Close below 157.30 recent low reopens the 157.21 session low
JOLTS release at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session faded a double top near 157.95 down to a 157.21 session low, RSI(14) cooling into the low-40s as USD/JPY gave back the earlier grind higher. Price now 157.319, tracking a lower-highs sequence beneath 157.58; the mid-157s consolidation below the 158.00 line persists.
Support: 157.21
Resistance: 157.58, 157.95
What it said to watch
JOLTS at 14:00 UTC could shift this read within the next bar
M15 close below 157.21 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 157.58 negates the pullback
13:46 UTC
Uptrend rolling over, pullback in play · RSI 40 · price 157.319
Session HHs into 157.95, now lower highs / lower lows.
USDJPY climbed through the London-NY session to a 157.95 session high before rolling over; the pullback has now unwound to ~157.20, the 50% fib of the whole up-move, with RSI(14) near 40. Price is below EMA20/50 after the rejection off the 157.94/157.95 cluster, consistent with the post-intervention consolidation in the mid-157s.
Support: 157.21
Resistance: 157.58, 157.95
What it said to watch
JOLTS at 14:00 UTC (~15m out) could drive the next M15 leg
M15 close below 157.21 session low confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 157.58 swing high negates the pullback read
13:31 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 40 · price 157.364
HH/HL chain intact, retracing from session high.
USDJPY ground higher through the London-NY session to a 157.95 rejection, then shed ~60 pips into the NY afternoon, now testing the 157.30 session low and the 38.2% fib of the day's advance. RSI(14) cooling near 39 as price slips below both EMAs; broader read stays a post-intervention drift back up in the mid-157s.
Support: 157.30, 157.10
Resistance: 157.58, 157.95
What it said to watch
M15 close below 157.30 breaks the session low and opens the 157.10 fib
Reclaim of 157.58 would re-engage the intraday uptrend
JOLTS at 14:00 UTC lands next bar and could shift this read
Lower high after 157.95 rejection, testing session low.
NY session rejected 157.95 and USDJPY has bled ~60 pips back to 157.36, slipping below both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) cooling to the low 40s. Price is now pressing the 157.30 session low after a clean day-long climb from 156.24.
Support: 157.30, 157.22
Resistance: 157.57, 157.95
What it said to watch
M15 close below 157.30 confirms a lower low and extends the pullback toward 157.22
Reclaim of 157.57 swing high needed to reassert the uptrend
JOLTS at 14:00 UTC could shift this read within the next bar
13:16 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 47 · price 157.53
Higher highs into NY, rejected at session high.
USD/JPY ground higher through London into NY from 156.35 to a session high at 157.95 on the rebound off Monday's 155.23 low. A flat top capped the move and price faded to 157.30 before stabilising mid-157.5; RSI(14) has cooled back to neutral with price now below EMA20.
Support: 157.30, 157.22
Resistance: 157.95
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.95 session high resumes the uptrend
Loss of 157.30 swing low opens a deeper pullback toward 157.22
US JOLTS at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
13:16 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 47 · price 157.53
Higher highs stalled at session high, retracing.
USD/JPY ground higher through the session to a rejection at 157.95 before fading to a 157.30 pullback low, now recovering to 157.53 — profit-taking after Monday's intervention-driven squeeze. RSI(14) mid-range near 47, price slipped back under the short EMAs but the intraday uptrend structure holds above 157.30.
Support: 157.30
Resistance: 157.77, 157.95
What it said to watch
M15 close below 157.30 confirms a lower low and breaks the ascending support
Reclaim of 157.77 puts the 157.95 session high back in play
US JOLTS at 14:00 UTC could shift this read within the next bars
USD/JPY climbed through the London session to a high of 157.94 before rejecting and sliding to 157.30 into the NY open, with the dollar bid off strong ISM and a firm DXY. Price is bouncing back to 157.54, holding a higher low above 157.30 while RSI(14) recovers from stretched lows near 40. JOLTS within the hour is the near-term risk.
Support: 157.46, 157.30
Resistance: 157.77, 157.94
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 157.77 reopens the path to the 157.94 session high
M15 close below 157.30 confirms a lower low and breaks the rising structure
US JOLTS at 14:00 GMT could materially shift this read
13:01 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 48 · price 157.542
Higher highs into 157.95, now correcting.
USDJPY ground higher through the London-NY sessions to a session high at 157.95 before being rejected, backing off to 157.37 as the dollar consolidated its DXY-100 bid. Now holding the mid-157.5s with RSI(14) cooled to the mid-40s; the recovery off Monday's 155.23 low is stalling below 157.75.
Support: 157.37, 157.30
Resistance: 157.75, 157.95
What it said to watch
M15 close below 157.37 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 157.75 reopens the 157.95 session high
US JOLTS at 14:00 GMT (within the hour) could shift this read
12:47 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 157.478
Higher highs stalled, first lower high printing.
USDJPY ground higher through the NY session to 157.95 before sellers rejected the level, dropping to 157.30 and bouncing to 157.58 — the first lower high after a clean intraday uptrend. Price now 157.48 below EMA20/50 with RSI cooling to the mid-40s; USD stays firm on the hawkish-Fed read into JOLTS.
Support: 157.37, 157.30
Resistance: 157.58, 157.77, 157.95
What it said to watch
JOLTS at 14:00 GMT (~1h out) could shift this read via USD
USD/JPY rallied through the London-NY transition to a session high of 157.95 before rejecting, now pulling back into the mid-157s on profit-booking after Monday's intervention squeeze. Buyers stepped in near 157.30, holding the 38.2% retrace of the 156.30-157.95 climb; RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s.
Support: 157.30
Resistance: 157.60, 157.75, 157.95
What it said to watch
M15 close below 157.30 confirms a lower low and undercuts the session low
Reclaim of 157.60 reopens 157.75 and the 157.95 session high
US JOLTS at 14:00 GMT could materially shift this read
12:32 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 47 · price 157.564
HH/HL chain broken by NY-session pullback off the high.
USDJPY climbed steadily through London into NY to a session high at 157.956, underpinned by a firm dollar after the hot US ISM print, before rejecting and shedding ~50 pips to 157.373. Buyers stepped in near 157.30/157.373 and the pair recovered back toward the 157.60 zone; RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s.
Support: 157.373, 157.30
Resistance: 157.60, 157.75, 157.956
What it said to watch
M15 close below 157.373 confirms a lower low and extends the pullback
Reclaim of 157.75 reopens the 157.95 session high
JOLTS / Factory Orders at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
12:31 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 157.564
HH/HL chain broken by session-high rejection.
USDJPY climbed through the London session from 156.24 to a session high 157.95, part of the post-intervention recovery off Monday's 155.23 low, then sold off ~65 pips into 157.30 with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s. Buyers stepped back in at 157.30, lifting price to 157.56, but the earlier highs came on fading momentum and price now sits below both EMAs.
Support: 157.30, 157.46
Resistance: 157.72
What it said to watch
M15 close below 157.30 confirms a lower low and breaks the intraday uptrend
Reclaim of 157.72 puts the 157.95 session high back in play
JOLTS at 14:00 UTC could shift this read; NFP Friday the week's main catalyst
Intervention chatter near 157.60 remains a two-way risk
12:16 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 43 · price 157.504
HH chain broken, pullback into NY.
USDJPY rallied through the London-NY session to a high of 157.95 before rejecting there and pulling back; the last three bars swept 157.30 and recovered to 157.50, right at the 61.8% retrace of the intraday advance. RSI(14) has cooled to the low 40s as the pair sits back below EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 157.30
Resistance: 157.60, 157.95
What it said to watch
M15 close below 157.30 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 157.60 puts 157.95 session high back in play
JOLTS at 14:00 UTC could shift this read within the next bars
Rising HH/HL chain broken by fast reversal off session high.
USDJPY climbed steadily through the London-NY hours to a session high at 157.95, where it was rejected twice. The last hour delivered a sharp pullback to 157.37, RSI(14) cooling from overbought into the mid-40s as price slipped below EMA20. 157.60 is the recovery/intervention pivot flagged into today's JOLTS.
Support: 157.37, 157.22
Resistance: 157.60, 157.95
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 157.60 would repair the pullback; failure keeps pressure on the 157.37 swing low
Loss of 157.37 opens the 157.22 prior low
US JOLTS at 14:00 UTC (~2h) could materially shift this read
Lower high off session peak, testing rising support.
USDJPY ran to a 157.95 session high during London before rejecting twice and sliding to 157.44, RSI(14) cooling to ~40 as the intervention-scarred 158 cap holds. The recent two hours printed lower lows, breaking back under the 157.60 recovery zone toward the 157.37 swing low.
Support: 157.37
Resistance: 157.60, 157.95
What it said to watch
M15 close below 157.37 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 157.60 negates the pullback
JOLTS at 14:00 UTC (~2h) could shift this read
11:47 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 46 · price 157.591
Higher highs into 157.95, now retracing.
USD/JPY ground higher through the Asian and London sessions to a 157.95 session high on JPY profit-taking after the intervention spike, aided by a firm dollar post-ISM. Price is now retracing, rejected at 157.95 and slipping under the 157.75 pivot, with the last bar probing the 157.53 session low area.
Support: 157.53, 157.43
Resistance: 157.75, 157.95
What it said to watch
Hold of 157.53 keeps the higher-low structure intact; a close below opens 157.43
Reclaim of 157.75 pivot puts the 157.95 session high back in play
US JOLTS at 14:00 UTC could shift this read into the NY session
11:46 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back from highs · RSI 45 · price 157.591
USDJPY ground higher through London into NY, tagging a session high at 157.95 before rejecting back to 157.53; last at 157.59. The bid reflects JPY profit-taking after last week's US-Japan intervention spike plus a firm USD on strong ISM, with the pullback now testing EMA support below.
Support: 157.526, 157.428
What it said to watch
M15 close below 157.42 confirms a lower-low and breaks the rising sequence
Reclaim above 157.95 reopens the path toward the 158 area
JOLTS at 14:00 UTC could inject fresh USD volatility
11:31 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 51 · price 157.717
Higher highs, recent pullback off session high.
USD/JPY ground higher through the NY session on JPY profit-taking post-intervention, tagging 157.96 before rejecting back toward 157.70. Pullback has dipped price under EMA20 while EMA50 still supports; RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-range.
Support: 157.43
Resistance: 157.96, 158.00
What it said to watch
JOLTS at 14:00 UTC could shift this read as the NFP tell
Close above 157.96 opens the 158.00 200-day SMA / intervention zone
Loss of 157.43 confirms a lower low and breaks the intraday uptrend
USDJPY ground higher through the London session on JPY profit-taking, tagging a session high at 157.96 before fading to 157.77; RSI(14) cooling from the mid-60s. Rejection at 157.96 stalled the run, but the rising sequence of higher lows off 157.22 remains intact.
Support: 157.60, 157.22
Resistance: 157.96, 158.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 157.60 breaks the rising higher-low chain
Reclaim of 157.96 opens the path toward the 158.00 round number
JOLTS at 14:00 UTC could shift this read within the next few bars
USDJPY ground higher through the session from the 156.24 low to a 157.96 session high on JPY profit-taking after last week's intervention spike. Price has since stalled and pulled back to 157.77, cooling into the 157.75 pivot low; the 200-day SMA near 158.00 caps the upside.
Support: 157.75, 157.61
Resistance: 157.96, 158.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.96 opens the path to the 158.00 200-day sma
Failure to hold 157.61 breaks the higher-low chain
JOLTS at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read this session
Higher highs / higher lows, stalling under 158.00.
USDJPY ground steadily higher through the London session on JPY profit-taking after last week's intervention spike, tapping a 157.96 session high before easing to 157.82. RSI(14) mid-range and momentum flattening as price stalls just under the 158.00 round number / 200-day SMA cap.
Support: 157.75
Resistance: 157.96, 158.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.96 opens the path to the 158.00 psych level
Failure to hold 157.75 confirms a lower-low and breaks the rising support
USDJPY ground higher through the London session on JPY profit-taking after last week's intervention spike, printing a clean HH/HL chain into 157.95. RSI(14) near 66 — firm but not extreme — with price hugging the top of a rising channel.
Support: 157.60
Resistance: 157.956, 158.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 157.60 breaks the higher-low sequence
158.00 area to watch for rejection near flagged intervention zone
JOLTS at 14:00 UTC could inject fresh USD volatility
10:31 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 64 · price 157.866
Rising HH/HL chain into session high.
USD/JPY ground steadily higher through the NY session, rising from 156.24 to a session high at 157.96 on JPY profit-taking after the earlier intervention spike. RSI(14) around 64 — firm but not extreme; price stalling just under 157.96 with the 158.00 psych level and 200-day area capping bounces overhead.
Support: 157.60
Resistance: 157.956, 158.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.96 opens the path to the 158.00 psych level
Loss of 157.60 swing low breaks the rising HL structure
Labor Cash Earnings tonight 23:30 UTC could shift the JPY read
158-160 zone flagged for renewed intervention risk
10:16 UTC
Uptrend, steady grind · RSI 68 · price 157.93
Higher highs, higher lows into session high.
USDJPY ground higher through the NY-Asia handover on JPY profit-taking after the intervention spike, printing a clean HH/HL chain toward the session high at 157.96. Price is now pressing the 158.00 area, RSI(14) elevated near 68 but not yet extended.
Support: 157.75
Resistance: 157.96, 158.00
What it said to watch
Sustained move into 158.00 lifts intervention risk per MoF rhetoric
Failure to hold 157.75 breaks the intraday HL chain
Labor Cash Earnings tonight 23:30 UTC could shift this read
10:01 UTC
Uptrend, extended into highs · RSI 68 · price 157.879
Higher highs and higher lows, grinding up.
USDJPY ground higher through the London session, clearing the 157.60 pivot and printing a session high at 157.96 as JPY gave back some post-intervention gains. Clean chain of higher lows intact; RSI(14) near 67, hot but not stretched, with price stalling just under the 158.00 psych level.
Support: 157.60
Resistance: 157.96, 158.00
What it said to watch
Rejection at 157.96–158.00 would cap the advance and stall the higher-high sequence
Loss of 157.60 breaks the rising support and voids the uptrend read
US JOLTS at 14:00 UTC and fresh MoF intervention rhetoric could shift this read fast
Higher highs and higher lows, pressing session high.
USDJPY has ground steadily higher through the London session, printing a fresh session high at 157.94 as JPY gives back intervention-driven gains; RSI(14) near 69, hot but not extreme for a trend. Clean chain of higher lows from the 156.24 base, price now testing the top of the intraday channel just under the 158.00 round number.
Support: 157.60
Resistance: 157.94, 158.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 158.00 round number opens continuation
Failure to hold 157.60 swing low breaks the rising structure
Fresh MoF/US intervention rhetoric could cap this advance near 158.00
USDJPY has ground higher all session off the 156.24 low, printing a clean HH/HL chain to a session high at 157.94 as yen profit-taking followed last week's joint intervention. RSI(14) around 64, room before overbought; buyers held each dip into the rising support line through the London session.
Support: 157.60
Resistance: 157.94, 158.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.94 opens the path to the 158.00 psych level, noted as 200-day SMA and intervention-cap resistance
Failure to hold 157.60 breaks the HL chain and signals a deeper pullback
JOLTS at 14:00 UTC could inject volatility into this read
09:16 UTC
Uptrend, extended into session high · RSI 66 · price 157.874
Higher highs, higher lows intact.
USDJPY ground higher through London-NY into a session high at 157.94, extending the recovery off 156.24 as USD held firm after the ISM Manufacturing beat and yen profit-taking followed last week's intervention. RSI(14) at ~66 with price hugging the top of the rising channel; higher-low structure remains clean.
Support: 157.61
Resistance: 157.94, 158.00
What it said to watch
Sustained break above 158.00 psych opens room toward the well-flagged 158 area
Failure to hold 157.61 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
Labor Cash Earnings + BoJ minutes tonight (23:30/23:50 UTC) could shift the JPY side
Higher highs / higher lows, consolidating near session high.
USDJPY ground higher through Asia into the London session, riding the USD bounce off Monday's ISM beat, printing a session high at 157.84 before stalling in a tight 157.75-157.82 band. RSI(14) near 63 shows momentum cooling as price consolidates just under the high; 158 (200-day) sits above as the next area to watch given standing intervention risk.
Support: 157.55
Resistance: 157.84, 158.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.84 session high opens the path toward 158.00
Failure to hold 157.55 swing low signals a lower-low and stalls the climb
Fresh MoF/US Treasury intervention headlines could cap upside near 158
Higher highs, higher lows; consolidating near session high.
USDJPY ground higher through the London session off the 156.24 base, printing a session high at 157.84 before stalling. Pair now consolidates in a tight 157.75-157.82 band, RSI(14) cooling from the rally as JPY holds near post-intervention levels ahead of Friday NFP.
Support: 157.61
Resistance: 157.84, 157.77
What it said to watch
M15 close below 157.61 breaks the rising-low chain
Break and hold above 157.84 session high extends the leg
Higher highs and higher lows since the 156.24 low.
USDJPY has ground steadily higher through the Asian and London sessions, printing a chain of higher lows off the 156.24 base to a session high at 157.84. Price is consolidating just under that high near 157.77 with RSI(14) around 61 — momentum intact but not stretched. The 158.00 area (cited as the 200-dma zone) is the key cap into any further push.
Support: 157.61, 157.43
Resistance: 157.84, 158.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.84 opens the path to the 158.00 psych level
Failure to hold 157.61 breaks the rising higher-low sequence, with 157.43 next
Japan wages and BoJ minutes at 23:30/23:50 UTC could shift this read
Chain of higher highs and higher lows off the 156.24 low.
USD/JPY has ground higher through the London session, printing a session high at 157.84 as the ISM-led dollar bounce holds. Price is consolidating just under that high near 157.77, RSI(14) around 63 and easing off the push; the 156.24 low anchors a clean intraday uptrend.
Support: 157.55
Resistance: 157.84, 158.00
What it said to watch
Loss of 157.55 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
Rejection at 157.84 session high or a break toward the 158.00 psych level defines the next leg
Labour Cash Earnings and BoJ Minutes at 23:30/23:50 UTC could reset the read
08:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 64 · price 157.794
Chain of higher highs and higher lows.
USDJPY ground steadily higher through Asia into the London session, printing a session high at 157.84 with RSI(14) around 63 — hot but not stretched. Buyers held the 157.47-157.61 swing lows on each dip; the ISM-driven USD bid keeps the grind intact, though 158 sits as the intervention-defended cap.
Support: 157.61, 157.47
Resistance: 157.84, 158.00
What it said to watch
Approach to 158.00 raises fresh JPY intervention risk that could snap the uptrend
M15 close below 157.61 breaks the higher-low chain
Labor Cash Earnings & BoJ Minutes 23:30-23:50 UTC could shift the read
USDJPY has ground steadily higher through the Asia-London window, printing a session high at 157.84 and holding a rising support chain off the 157.22 base. RSI(14) near 66 — firm but not stretched; the 158.00 area (200-day/intervention-defended) is the next overhead zone to watch.
Support: 157.61, 157.22
Resistance: 157.84, 158.00
What it said to watch
Loss of 157.61 breaks the higher-low chain and threatens the uptrend read
158.00 area — watch for rejection given intervention risk near 200-day
JOLTS at 14:00 UTC could shift this intraday read
07:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 64 · price 157.821
Chain of higher highs and higher lows.
USDJPY ground steadily higher off the 156.24 dip, printing a clean HH/HL chain into the current 157.84 session high as JPY firmness faded and the ISM-led USD recovery held. Price now consolidates just below 157.84 and under the 158.00 intervention-defended zone; RSI(14) mid-60s, momentum intact but not extended.
Support: 157.61
Resistance: 157.84, 158.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.84 opens the path toward 158.00 intervention zone
Failure to hold 157.61 breaks the rising-low structure
Labor Cash Earnings + BoJ Minutes at 23:30/23:50 UTC could shift this read
USDJPY has ground steadily higher through the London session, printing higher highs and higher lows toward 157.77 as the dollar recovers on the ISM beat and carry appeal reasserts. Price holds above both EMAs with RSI(14) around 60 — firm but not stretched. The 158.00 area (200-dma) stands above as the capped resistance flagged into intervention risk.
Support: 157.47
Resistance: 157.77, 158.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 157.47 breaks the rising higher-low chain
158.00 area to watch for rejection or break, given intervention risk near 160
Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC could shift this read
07:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 61 · price 157.709
Chain of higher highs and higher lows.
USD/JPY has ground steadily higher through the window, printing higher lows into early London and probing the session high at 157.77 as carry appeal reasserts toward the 158.00 200-dma. RSI(14) near 61 leaves room, and the rising-low structure remains intact.
Support: 157.42
Resistance: 157.77, 158.00
What it said to watch
Break below 157.42 breaks the rising-low structure
Close above 157.77 opens the path to the 158.00 200-dma
Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC and BoJ Minutes 23:50 UTC could shift this read
07:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 61 · price 157.713
Higher highs and higher lows, consolidating under session high.
USDJPY has ground higher through the London session off the 156.24 low, printing a clean chain of higher lows as the dollar stabilised on the hot ISM Manufacturing beat. Price is now coiling just under the 157.77 session high with RSI(14) mid-60s; 158.00 (200-day SMA) sits as the next overhead marker.
Support: 157.43
Resistance: 157.77, 158.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.77 opens the path toward 158.00
Failure to hold 157.43 breaks the rising sequence of higher lows
Fresh MoF/Treasury intervention risk sits near the 158 zone
JOLTS & Factory Orders 14:00 UTC could shift the USD leg
06:46 UTC
Uptrend, steady grind · RSI 67 · price 157.763
Higher highs / higher lows.
London session extending a clean HH/HL climb off the 156.24 low, USD firm after yesterday's ISM Manufacturing beat. Price is pressing session highs at 157.77 with RSI(14) near 67 — hot but not extreme — as it approaches the 158 200dma cap flagged as resistance.
Support: 157.47
Resistance: 157.77
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.77 opens the path to the 158 200dma cap
Failure to hold 157.47 rising support breaks the HL chain
JOLTS at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD leg intraday
06:31 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 63 · price 157.675
Higher highs, higher lows into 158 cap.
NY session extended the grind higher, printing a session high at 157.77 with RSI(14) mid-60s — hot but not stretched. Buyers held rising lows through the London-NY transition; the 158 200dma remains the near-term cap flagged as USD/JPY resistance.
Support: 157.47, 157.39
Resistance: 157.77
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.77 opens the path toward the 158 200dma
Failure to hold 157.47 breaks the higher-low chain
Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC and any fresh intervention headlines could shift this read
06:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 62 · price 157.671
Chain of higher highs and higher lows.
USDJPY has climbed steadily from the 156.24 low through NY and into the London session, printing higher lows and tagging a session high at 157.77 as the dollar steadied post-intervention. RSI(14) near 61 leaves room, but price is closing in on the ~158 200dma cap flagged as resistance.
Support: 157.47
Resistance: 157.77, 158.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 158.00 clears the 200dma cap and opens further upside
Loss of 157.47 breaks the rising-low chain
Fresh intervention headlines carry asymmetric downside risk here
Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC could inject JPY volatility
06:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 66 · price 157.713
Higher highs, higher lows into 158 cap.
USDJPY has ground higher through Asian hours, printing a clean HH/HL chain from 157.22 up to the 157.75 session high as the dollar steadied post-ISM. Price is pressing the top of the intraday channel just below the 158 200dma cap flagged as resistance; RSI(14) mid-60s, hot but not extreme.
Support: 157.47, 157.22
Resistance: 157.75, 158.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 158.00 (200dma cap) opens the path higher
Failure to hold rising support near 157.47 breaks the HL chain
USDJPY has ground steadily higher off the 156.24 low, printing higher highs into early London and pressing the 157.74 session high, with RSI(14) firm but short of extreme. Yen intervention risk keeps the ~158 200dma flagged as the upside cap.
Support: 157.47
Resistance: 157.74, 158.00
What it said to watch
Sustained push through 157.74 opens the path toward the 158.00 200dma
Loss of the 157.47 swing low breaks the rising-lows sequence
Fresh MoF/US intervention headlines could sharply reverse this read
Higher highs into session high, now consolidating.
USDJPY rallied a full figure off the 156.24 low as the dollar steadied post-ISM, printing a session high at 157.745 before stalling. Price now consolidates 157.47–157.66, RSI(14) cooled to the mid-50s after tagging overbought earlier in the run.
Support: 157.47
Resistance: 157.66, 157.745
What it said to watch
Close below 157.47 breaks the rising swing-low chain
Reclaim of 157.66 reopens the 157.745 session high
Intervention headlines remain the dominant tail risk near 158
USD/JPY ground higher through the Asian session off the 156.24 low, printing a chain of higher lows into the 157.72–157.75 session high. Price is now stalling around 157.57, RSI(14) cooling from the mid-60s as the advance loses pace just below resistance.
Support: 157.43
Resistance: 157.72, 157.75, 158.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.75 opens the path toward the 158.00 200-dma
Failure to hold 157.43 breaks the higher-low chain
JOLTS at 14:00 UTC could shift this read; ADP/ISM Services Wed are the main catalysts
Higher highs and higher lows, consolidating below session high.
USDJPY ground higher through the session from the 156.24 low to a 157.74 session high as the dollar steadied after the intervention-led plunge. Thin Asian-hours trade has price consolidating in the 157.47–157.65 band below that high, RSI(14) cooling to the mid-50s.
Support: 157.47, 157.22
Resistance: 157.74, 158.00
What it said to watch
Close above 157.74 session high opens the path toward the 158.00 200-dma / intervention zone
Loss of 157.47 swing low breaks the higher-low chain, exposing 157.22 session low
Fresh MoF/US Treasury intervention headlines could reverse the read sharply
Higher highs into consolidation below session high.
USDJPY climbed through the NY session from 156.40 to a 157.745 session high, then stalled and drifted back to 157.51 in thin Asia trade, RSI(14) cooling to the mid-50s. Price steadied after the intervention-driven plunge earlier in the week; now consolidating just below the session high with the 200-dma near 158 the next overhead marker.
Support: 157.47
Resistance: 157.745, 158.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.745 opens the path toward the 158.00 200-dma
Failure to hold 157.47 swing low confirms a lower-low
Intervention headlines remain the primary tail risk on this pair
USDJPY ground higher through the Asia session, printing a session high at 157.745 before easing back to 157.51 as the pair steadied post-intervention. Rising lows off 157.22 keep the intraday structure constructive, with RSI(14) mid-range after the pullback.
Support: 157.42, 157.22
Resistance: 157.745, 158.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 157.42 breaks the rising-low chain
Break above 157.745 opens the path toward the 158.00 200-dma
Intervention headlines remain the primary risk to this read
Higher highs / higher lows, pulling back from session high.
USD/JPY ground higher through the Asian session, tagging 157.745 before easing back to 157.50 as the bid faded. The HH/HL chain holds above the 157.43 swing low, but RSI has cooled off recent highs. Price is edging toward the 158 area flagged as intervention/200-day resistance.
Support: 157.43
Resistance: 157.745
What it said to watch
M15 close below 157.43 breaks the ascending support and confirms a lower-low
158 area is intervention/200-day resistance — zone to watch for rejection or break
USDJPY ground higher through the session from 156.24 to a 157.75 session high, then stalled and is consolidating around 157.50 with RSI(14) easing back to mid-range. Move is grinding toward the 158 zone flagged as 200-day/intervention resistance, keeping upside capped.
Support: 157.43, 157.30
Resistance: 157.75, 158.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.75 opens the path to the 158.00 intervention zone
Failure to hold 157.43 breaks the rising structure toward 157.30
Fresh MoF/Treasury intervention headlines could sharply shift this read
Higher highs / higher lows, consolidating near session high.
USDJPY ground higher through the window from 156.24 to a 157.745 session high, price now coiling just under it around 157.62 with RSI cooling from the impulse. Rally fits the USD-supported, dip-bought tone; the 158 area flagged as intervention/200-day resistance is the overhead cap.
Support: 157.43
Resistance: 157.745, 158.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 157.43 breaks the rising higher-low sequence
Approach to 158.00 interv zone — area to watch for rejection or break
Intervention headlines remain the main exogenous risk into 158
04:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 65 · price 157.653
HH/HL chain intact, near session high.
USDJPY has ground steadily higher through the Asia session, printing a clean HH/HL chain from 156.24 to a 157.75 session high, price holding above EMA20/50. RSI(14) near 65 is elevated but not stretched; the 158 area (200-day SMA) flagged by Rabobank remains the key overhead cap given lingering intervention risk after the confirmed US-Japan yen-buying.
Support: 157.34
Resistance: 157.75
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.75 opens the path to the 158 200d sma
Renewed intervention headlines near 158 could sharply reverse this read
USDJPY ground higher through the NY-into-Asia window off the 156.24 low, tagging a session high at 157.745 before stalling. Price now consolidates in the high-157.6s with RSI(14) easing from stretched, buyers still defending the rising 157.42 swing low.
Support: 157.42
Resistance: 157.745, 158.00
What it said to watch
Close above 157.745 opens the path toward the 158.00 psych/200sma zone — intervention risk flagged there
Failure to hold 157.42 swing low breaks the rising intraday structure
Labor Cash Earnings (JPY) 23:30 UTC could shift this read
03:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 62 · price 157.611
Higher highs and higher lows into session high.
USDJPY has ground steadily higher through the Asia session, extending the recovery off Friday's intervention-driven slide toward a 157.745 session high before easing to 157.61. Rising support has held each dip, with 158.00 (200-dma) the next area to watch overhead.
Support: 157.43, 157.22
Resistance: 157.745, 158.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.745 opens the path to the 158.00 200-dma
Loss of 157.43 rising support risks a lower low back toward 157.22 swing low
Labor Cash Earnings + BoJ minutes at 23:30/23:50 UTC could shift this read
USD/JPY ground steadily higher through the London-NY session, rallying from the 156.24 low to a session high at 157.745 as the dollar held firm despite confirmed US-Japan intervention. Into the early Asia session price is pulling back to 157.60, RSI cooling from the highs while holding above EMA20/50.
Support: 157.564, 157.42
Resistance: 157.745
What it said to watch
Rejection at 157.745 session high, then the round 158 level flagged as resistance
M15 close below 157.42 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
Fresh intervention headlines could air-pocket the pair lower
03:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 68 · price 157.663
Higher highs, higher lows.
USDJPY has ground steadily higher through the Asia session, recovering toward the 158 200-day SMA after last week's joint intervention drop, printing a clean HH/HL chain from 156.24 to 157.75. RSI(14) near 68 is hot but not extreme; the rising support line off 157.22 remains intact.
Support: 157.22
Resistance: 157.745, 158.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.745 opens the path toward the 158.00 200-dma
Loss of 157.22 swing low breaks the rising-support structure
Labor Cash Earnings + BoJ minutes at 23:30/23:50 UTC could reshape this tape
03:01 UTC
Uptrend, extending into Asia · RSI 65 · price 157.668
Higher highs and higher lows off mid-window low.
USDJPY grinding higher through the Asia session, recovering off the intervention-driven lows toward the 158 200-dma/intervention cap; a chain of higher lows holds a rising trendline near 157.42. RSI(14) mid-60s, hot but not extreme, with the session high at 157.745 the immediate ceiling.
Support: 157.42, 157.224
Resistance: 157.745
What it said to watch
Break above 157.745 opens the path to the 158 200-dma / intervention cap
Close below 157.42 trendline breaks the rising sequence, exposing the 157.224 swing low
Fresh intervention headlines could sharply reverse this recovery
Chain of higher highs and higher lows off the intervention low.
USDJPY has climbed steadily through the Asia session, stabilising off the ~156.24 intervention low and grinding up to 157.65 as carry reasserts toward the 200-dma near 158. Structure is a clean chain of higher highs and higher lows; RSI(14) around 66, hot but not stretched. Session high at 157.745 is the immediate ceiling.
Support: 157.34
Resistance: 157.745, 158.00
What it said to watch
Break above 157.745 opens the path to the 158.00 200-dma psych level
Loss of 157.34 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
Fresh intervention headlines could sharply reverse this drift higher
02:31 UTC
Uptrend, extending · RSI 68 · price 157.673
Higher highs, higher lows.
USDJPY ground higher through the Asia session, recovering from the intervention-driven dip and printing a session high at 157.745 as carry reasserts. RSI(14) near 68 is hot but consistent with the trend; the 200-day SMA cap near 158.00 is the next reference overhead.
Support: 157.42
Resistance: 157.745, 158.00
What it said to watch
Close above 157.745 opens the path to the 158.00 200d sma cap
Failure to hold 157.42 swing low breaks the rising support line
Fresh MoF/Treasury intervention headlines could sharply reverse this leg
02:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 67 · price 157.637
Higher highs and higher lows into session high.
USDJPY grinding higher through Asia hours, stabilising above the post-intervention lows and pressing the session high at 157.72 with RSI(14) around 67. The advance holds a clean rising sequence of higher lows off 157.20; 158.00 sits just above as the round-number and 200-day SMA cap flagged around intervention risk.
Support: 157.42, 157.20
Resistance: 157.72, 158.00
What it said to watch
Close above 157.72 opens the path to the 158.00 cap
Failure to hold 157.42 breaks the rising support
Fresh MoF/Treasury intervention headlines could reverse this read quickly
02:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 66 · price 157.60
Chain of higher highs and higher lows.
USDJPY has recovered steadily through the Asia session, printing higher lows off 156.67 and pushing to a session high at 157.67 as the dollar held firm despite intervention. Price now sits at 157.60, RSI(14) around 66 — hot but not extreme, with EMA20/50 stacked below.
Support: 157.34, 156.67
Resistance: 157.67, 158.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.67 opens the path to the 158.00 200-day area
Failure to hold 157.34 breaks the higher-low chain
Fresh intervention headlines near 158 could sharply reverse this read
Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC feeds the BoJ narrative
01:46 UTC
Uptrend, steady momentum · RSI 61 · price 157.429
Higher highs and higher lows through Asia.
USD/JPY has ground higher through the Asia session in a rising channel of higher lows, tagging a session high at 157.67 before pulling back to retest 157.22. Move fits the digest's drift back toward the 158 200-day resistance as carry reasserts post-intervention; RSI(14) around 61 leaves room before it runs hot.
Support: 157.22
Resistance: 157.67
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.67 opens the path to the 158 200-day resistance
Failure to hold 157.22 breaks the rising-low sequence
Fresh intervention headlines could sharply reverse this read
01:31 UTC
Uptrend, extended into resistance · RSI 68 · price 157.50
Chain of higher highs / higher lows.
USDJPY has ground steadily higher through the Asian session, clearing 157.05 and printing a session high at 157.67 as firm USD recovers off the intervention low. Buyers defended the 157.22 pullback and price now sits below the 157.67 top with RSI(14) elevated but not extreme; 158.00 (200-day / psych) is the next area to watch.
Support: 157.22, 157.05
Resistance: 157.67, 158.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.67 opens the path to the 158.00 200-day/psych zone
Loss of 157.22 swing low breaks the higher-low sequence
Fresh intervention headlines could sharply reverse this leg
Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC could shift JPY read
01:16 UTC
Uptrend, extending · RSI 69 · price 157.561
Chain of higher highs and higher lows.
USD/JPY has ground steadily higher through the window, breaking 157.20 and printing a session high at 157.67 as broad USD firmness plays against intervention wariness. Price now holds above rising support with RSI(14) near 69 — hot but not extreme — with the 200-day sma near 158.00 the next resistance and the flagged intervention-cap zone.
Support: 157.20
Resistance: 157.67, 158.00
What it said to watch
A push into 158.00 (200-day sma) is the zone to watch for intervention-driven rejection
Loss of 157.20 breakout level would break the higher-low sequence
Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC could shift the JPY read
01:01 UTC
Uptrend, extending in Asia · RSI 66 · price 157.54
Higher highs, higher lows.
USDJPY ground higher through the Asia session, breaking the 157.20 shelf and printing a session high at 157.66 before easing to 157.54. RSI elevated but not extreme; buyers stepped in at 157.22 on the pullback. The 200-day SMA near 158 is flagged as intervention resistance after last week's coordinated yen-buying.
Support: 157.22
Resistance: 157.66
What it said to watch
Break and hold above 157.66 opens the path toward the 158 200-day sma
Loss of 157.22 signals a lower low and stalls the Asia leg
Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC could shift the JPY read
01:01 UTC
Uptrend, extended · RSI 68 · price 157.54
Higher highs and higher lows, breakout above 157.20.
Asian session grinding higher; USDJPY broke the 157.20 overnight shelf on thin liquidity and printed a session high at 157.67, now trading 157.54 with RSI(14) near 68. The 156.80 pivot and 157.22 swing low have held on the way up.
Support: 157.22, 156.80
Resistance: 157.67, 158.00
What it said to watch
Rejection at 158.00 200-day sma remains an intervention-risk zone to monitor
M15 close back below 157.22 breaks the higher-low chain
Labor Cash Earnings at 23:30 UTC could reshape the JPY read
00:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum intact · RSI 62 · price 157.416
Higher highs and higher lows off 156.00 base.
USDJPY ran a steady HH/HL chain from the 156.00 base into the Asia session, tagging 157.67 before rejection trimmed it to 157.22 and a bounce to 157.42. RSI(14) cooling from the highs but holding above 60; price sits above EMA20 and EMA50 with the rising structure intact.
Support: 157.22
Resistance: 157.67, 157.55
What it said to watch
M15 close below 157.22 breaks the higher-low chain
Reclaim of 157.67 opens continuation higher
Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC could shift the JPY read
00:46 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 61 · price 157.416
Higher highs, higher lows; fading off session high.
Steady M15 uptrend: price ground from 156.24 up through the 157.00 round number and printed a session high at 157.668 on thin Asia-open liquidity, USD underpinned by yesterday's ISM Manufacturing beat. Now consolidating around 157.42 after the pullback held above 157.22; RSI(14) cooling near 60.
Support: 157.224, 157.00
Resistance: 157.668, 158.00
What it said to watch
Loss of 157.22 session low would break the higher-low chain
158.00 psych / 200-day area is flagged as intervention resistance — zone to watch for rejection
Reclaim of 157.668 session high reopens the path toward 158.00
USDJPY ground higher through thin late-US into Asia, breaking to a session high of 157.668 before easing back to 157.33; RSI(14) cooling from the push. Price holds above EMA20/50 but the 200-day sma near 158 remains the flagged intervention-cap zone after last week's coordinated yen buying.
Support: 157.224
Resistance: 157.668, 158.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 157.22 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
Rejection at 157.67 session high keeps the pullback in play
Approach to 158.00 200d sma raises intervention-headline risk
00:16 UTC
Uptrend, extended into Asia · RSI 68 · price 157.433
Chain of higher highs / higher lows, breakout above 157.17.
USDJPY ground higher through thin Asia hours, breaking the 157.17 consolidation and printing a session high at 157.668 before rejection dragged it back to 157.43; RSI(14) near 68, hot but not extreme. The bid tracks the resilient-USD, contained-JPY backdrop — intervention capped the pair but no follow-through has emerged below 155.
Support: 157.17, 156.90
Resistance: 157.668
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.668 opens the path toward the 158 psych level
Failure to hold 157.17 negates the breakout and reopens 156.90
Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC could inject fresh JPY volatility
00:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 68 · price 157.525
Chain of higher highs and higher lows off session low.
USD/JPY has clawed the whole window back from the 155.36 open crash to a 157.67 session high, breaking above the 157.18 consolidation shelf during Asia hours. RSI(14) near 68 is hot but not extreme; buyers stepped in repeatedly on the climb, price now holding 157.5 just under the 158 200-day.
Support: 157.18
Resistance: 157.67
What it said to watch
Close above 157.67 session high opens the path to the 158 200-day
Fresh MoF/Treasury intervention headlines could sharply cap the 158 approach
Loss of 157.18 breaks the higher-low structure
Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC could shift the read
Grind higher off intervention low, near session high.
USDJPY clawed back all session off the 155.36 open low, stacking higher-lows and reclaiming the 157.18 base to print a fresh recovery high at 157.67 into the Asia open; last close 157.525, RSI(14) near 68. The 158 200-day sits as the next overhead marker.
Support: 157.18
Resistance: 157.67
What it said to watch
Close above 158 200-day opens continuation of the recovery
Loss of 157.18 breaks the higher-low chain
Fresh MoF/US Treasury intervention headlines could spike JPY sharply