USD/JPY AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Monday, 3 August 2026

Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/JPY 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.

23:47 UTC

Intraday uptrend, recovery off lows · RSI 66 · price 157.538

Higher highs / higher lows since the intervention low.

USD/JPY ground steadily higher through the session, retracing almost all of the intervention-driven drop from 157.88 to 155.23 and printing a fresh session high at 157.55. The leg ran on thin late-session volume; RSI(14) sits near 66 as price presses toward the 158 200-day region.

Support: 157.17

Resistance: 157.55, 158.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.55 opens the path toward 158.00
  • Loss of 157.17 prior range would signal the recovery stalling
  • Fresh MoF/Treasury intervention headlines could sharply reverse this read

23:46 UTC

Recovery uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 68 · price 157.538

Higher highs / higher lows off the intervention low.

USDJPY has ground steadily higher through the Asian session, extending the recovery off the ~155.2 intervention low toward a session high at 157.55. Price broke and held above the 157.18 shelf with RSI(14) running hot near 68; the move sits well below the 158 psych/200-dma cap flagged as resistance after joint US-Japan JPY intervention.

Support: 157.18

Resistance: 157.55, 158.00

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 157.18 breakout level would flag a lower-high and stall the recovery
  • 158.00 psych/200-dma is the area to watch for rejection or break
  • Labor Cash Earnings Tue 23:30 UTC and any fresh intervention headlines could shift this read

23:31 UTC

Recovery uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 62 · price 157.37

Higher highs off intervention low, stalling at session high.

Recovery grind off the intervention flush, USD/JPY climbing to a session high at 157.43 before stalling near 157.37 in thin Asian trade. RSI(14) mid-range and ATR ~11 pips; buyers held the 157.00 shelf on the way up.

Support: 157.00, 156.90

Resistance: 157.435, 158.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.435 opens the path toward the 158.00 200-dma
  • Failure to hold 157.00 shelf reopens 156.90 swing low
  • Labor Cash Earnings Tue 23:30 UTC and any fresh intervention headline could shift this read

23:16 UTC

Recovery grind higher, momentum slowing · RSI 63 · price 157.331

Higher highs and higher lows off the intervention low.

USDJPY ground higher through the low-volume Asian session, popping above the 157.20 shelf to a session high at 157.44 before easing back to 157.33. This is a recovery off the earlier intervention-driven flush to 155.36; RSI(14) near 63 with price holding above EMA20/50, but volume thin into the current bar.

Support: 157.00, 156.83

Resistance: 157.44, 157.65

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.44 session high opens the path toward 157.65 swing high
  • Failure to hold 157.00 round would stall the grind and expose 156.83 swing low
  • Fresh US-Japan intervention headlines could sharply reverse this recovery

23:16 UTC

Recovering uptrend, thin · RSI 63 · price 157.331

Higher lows since 155.36 intervention low, breakout above 157.20.

Window opened with the confirmed US-Japan intervention flush from 157.8 to 155.36, then a steady grind of higher lows through London/NY back above 157. Thin Asian-hours flow pushed a breakout above the 157.18 consolidation to a 157.44 session high; RSI(14) mid-60s, ATR compressed to ~11 pips.

Support: 157.18

Resistance: 157.44, 158.00

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 157.18 breakout puts price back in the 156.4-157.2 range
  • 158.00 200-dma is the standing cap on this recovery
  • Fresh US-Japan intervention headlines could sharply reprice; liquidity is thin in Asian hours

23:02 UTC

Recovery uptrend, momentum thinning · RSI 61 · price 157.331

Higher-low chain off spike low.

USDJPY carved a V-recovery off the 155.36 intervention spike, grinding back through the Asia session to a 157.43 session high on very thin volume before easing to 157.33. Higher-low chain intact and RSI mid-band, but the push is happening in a low-liquidity book.

Support: 157.17, 155.36

Resistance: 157.435, 157.86

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.43 session high opens the path to 157.86 prior high
  • Failure to hold 157.17 base breaks the higher-low chain
  • 158 200-day SMA overhang and fresh MoF intervention headlines cap upside
  • Labor Cash Earnings Tue 23:30 UTC could reprice the sub-158 move

23:01 UTC

Uptrend, recovery grind · RSI 60 · price 157.331

Higher highs, higher lows off intervention low.

USDJPY has ground higher since the intervention-driven collapse to 155.36, poking a fresh session high at 157.44 in thin Asia-hours trade before easing to 157.33. RSI(14) near 60, structure intact, but the 158.00 200-day SMA remains the overhead cap flagged in the yen-intervention overhang.

Support: 157.00

Resistance: 157.44, 158.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.44 opens the path toward the 158.00 200-dsma
  • Failure to hold 157.00 round number threatens the rising higher-low structure
  • Fresh MoF/US intervention headlines could sharply reset this read

22:46 UTC

Recovering, grinding higher · RSI 65 · price 157.382

Higher lows off the flush, pressing session highs.

USDJPY has clawed back from the early intervention-driven flush to 155.22, grinding into a fresh session high near 157.44 on thin late-NY/Asia volume. Higher lows are intact and price holds above EMA20/50, but the 158 200-day SMA and intervention overhang cap the upside.

Support: 157.18

Resistance: 157.44

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 157.18 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
  • Fresh MoF/US intervention below 158 200dsma would cap upside
  • Labor Cash Earnings Tue 23:30 UTC could shift the read

22:32 UTC

Uptrend, recovering off intervention lows · RSI 66 · price 157.388

Higher highs / higher lows since the 156.24 base.

USDJPY ground higher through thin Asia-session hours, breaking the 157.18 consolidation top and printing a session high at 157.43, with RSI(14) around 66. The pair is clawing back from the joint-intervention flush that dragged it to 155.36 earlier in the window, but the recovery has thinned out on low volume near the highs.

Support: 157.18

Resistance: 157.43

What it said to watch

  • Close back below 157.18 negates the intraday breakout
  • Fresh MoF/Treasury intervention headlines could sharply cap upside
  • Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC could inject JPY volatility

22:31 UTC

Recovering after intervention flush, thin · RSI 66 · price 157.388

V-recovery off session low, higher lows.

USDJPY carved a V-recovery off the 155.45 session low set on the intervention flush, grinding back above 157.00 congestion toward the 157.60 prior high on thin late-session volume. RSI(14) sits near 66; the latest leg to 157.4 came on minimal participation, riding rising support.

Support: 157.00, 156.30, 155.45

Resistance: 157.60, 158.00

What it said to watch

  • Push toward 158.00 (200-dma) — area to watch for rejection or break
  • Loss of 157.00 congestion reopens the 156.30 swing low
  • Intervention headline risk and Wed US ADP/ISM Services could shift this read

22:16 UTC

Recovery uptrend, thin late session · RSI 71 · price 157.408

Higher lows off 155.23, pressing session high.

USDJPY has ground back up from the 155.23 intervention low to a fresh session high at 157.44, breaking out of the 157.18 consolidation base on very thin late-session volume. RSI(14) near 71 is hot but normal in this recovery leg; the 158 200-dma remains the overhead cap flagged into any bounce given the intervention overhang.

Support: 157.18, 156.90

Resistance: 157.44

What it said to watch

  • Close back below 157.18 breaks the recovery structure and reopens 156.90
  • 158 200-dma is the resistance zone to watch for rejection
  • Thin liquidity plus fresh MoF/Treasury intervention headlines could snap this read fast

22:01 UTC

Recovery, momentum fading · RSI 59 · price 157.19

Grinding higher off 155.45 base, stalling at highs.

USDJPY recovered a chain of higher lows from the 155.45 intervention base and is now pinned in a tight consolidation just under the 157.22 session high on very thin late-session volume, RSI cooling from earlier momentum. The pair stays heavy on the joint MoF/Treasury intervention overhang despite the bounce.

Support: 156.90, 156.66, 156.24

Resistance: 157.22, 157.49

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.22 opens the path to 157.49
  • Failure to hold 156.90 reopens 156.66 and 156.24
  • Fresh intervention headlines could cap any push toward 158
  • Labor Cash Earnings Tue 23:30 UTC could shift the JPY read

22:01 UTC

Recovering, grinding higher in thin trade · RSI 64 · price 157.19

Reclaimed range top after spike low, HH/HL chain intact.

USDJPY spiked down to 155.42 earlier on intervention overhang before clawing back through the 156.75 range base and pushing to the 157.22 session high. The last leg is a thin-volume Asian-session grind higher; RSI(14) around 64, room before it runs hot.

Support: 156.75, 156.24, 155.42

Resistance: 157.22, 157.87

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.22 opens the path toward 157.87
  • Loss of 156.75 reopens the 156.24 session low
  • Fresh MoF/Treasury intervention headlines could cap the recovery near 158 (200-dma)

21:46 UTC

Recovery, near session highs · RSI 63 · price 157.175

Higher lows since flash low, range top broken.

USDJPY steadied after Monday's intervention-driven flash drop to 155.36 and has since chained higher lows, breaking the 156.9–157.0 range top into a session high at 157.22. Price is holding near 157.17 on very thin late-session volume; the intervention overhang keeps the 158.00 200-dma flagged as the key cap overhead.

Support: 156.90, 155.36

Resistance: 157.22, 158.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back below 156.90 reopens the range and threatens the higher-low chain
  • 158.00 200-dma is the intervention-overhang cap — area to watch for rejection
  • Fresh MoF/Treasury intervention headlines could reset this read instantly

21:46 UTC

Recovery uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 62 · price 157.175

Grinding higher off intervention low, coiling near session high.

USDJPY collapsed to 155.36 early in the window on confirmed US-Japan joint intervention, then ground steadily higher through London-NY back to 157.20. Last bars are pressing the 157.22 session high on very thin late-session volume with RSI cooling — a tight consolidation, no fresh impulse.

Support: 156.84, 156.30, 155.36

Resistance: 157.22, 157.60

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.22 session high opens the path to 157.60
  • Failure to hold recovery support around 156.84 reopens 156.30
  • 200-day SMA near 158 flagged as a cap above
  • Labor Cash Earnings Tue 23:30 UTC and intervention headlines could shift this read

21:31 UTC

Uptrend, recovering off session low · RSI 64 · price 157.191

Higher lows since NY, pressing session high.

USDJPY has ground higher off the 156.24 session low back to the 157.22 session high, the intervention-driven slide toward 155.45 stabilising. RSI(14) near 64 and price sits above both EMAs, but the final bars printed on very thin late-session volume.

Support: 156.83, 156.24

Resistance: 157.22, 157.87

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.22 opens the path toward 157.87
  • Failure to hold 156.83 reopens the session low at 156.24
  • Fresh MoF/Treasury intervention headlines remain the primary risk

21:16 UTC

Recovery uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 62 · price 157.176

Higher lows off 155.22, grinding to session high.

USD/JPY was hammered to 155.22 during the Asia session on the confirmed joint MoF/US intervention, then recovered steadily through London and NY to press the 157.22 session high. Price is now flat around 157.18 on very thin late-session volume, RSI(14) near 62 as the climb loses pace.

Support: 156.84, 156.40

Resistance: 157.22, 157.60

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.22 opens the path to the 157.60 prior swing
  • Failure to hold the 156.84 pullback low reopens 156.40
  • Labor Cash Earnings (23:30 UTC) and fresh intervention headlines could reset this read

21:16 UTC

Recovery grind higher, momentum easing · RSI 64 · price 157.176

Micro HH/HL off intervention low, still range-bound below 157.60.

USD/JPY has clawed back from the intervention-driven spike low at 155.23 to 157.18, retracing roughly 74% of that drop, with the last few bars breaking above the 157.05 prior top. Move is happening in thin Asia liquidity (note the sub-30 volume prints), and RSI(14) near 64 shows momentum cooling into the session high at 157.22.

Support: 157.05, 156.75

Resistance: 157.22, 157.60

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.22 session high opens the path toward the 157.60 prior high
  • Loss of 157.05 prior top puts 156.75 swing low back in play
  • 158 200-dma and fresh MoF/US intervention risk cap the upside
  • Japan Labor Cash Earnings Tue 23:30 UTC could shift the JPY read

21:02 UTC

Recovery uptrend off session low · RSI 67 · price 157.169

Higher highs/higher lows after sharp dive.

USDJPY collapsed to a 155.36 session low mid-window on confirmed MoF/US intervention, then ground back up in a steady higher-high/higher-low chain to 157.17, now testing the 157.22 session high. RSI(14) near 67, hot but not extreme; the recovery has retraced most of the intervention drop.

Support: 156.84, 155.36

Resistance: 157.22, 157.60

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.22 session high opens the path to the 157.60 prior high
  • Failure to hold 156.84 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
  • 158 200-dma cap and fresh intervention headlines remain the key risk to the recovery

21:02 UTC

Recovering, grinding higher · RSI 63 · price 157.169

Higher lows off 156.24, pressing session high.

USD/JPY has clawed back from the intervention-driven collapse to 155.36 in the Asian window, building higher lows off 156.24 and now testing the session high at 157.22 into the NY afternoon. RSI(14) near 63 with room, but the 158 200-dma and fresh MoF/US intervention risk cap extension after Friday's ~$70-80bn op.

Support: 156.84, 156.24

Resistance: 157.22, 157.60

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.22 opens the path to 157.60
  • Loss of the 156.84 session base reopens 156.24 swing low
  • Any fresh intervention headline could sharply reverse this recovery

20:47 UTC

Recovering, pushing to session highs · RSI 64 · price 157.144

Higher lows off 156.24, testing range top.

Late NY grind higher: USDJPY chewed through the 156.2–157.1 range and tagged a session high at 157.22 before easing to 157.14, RSI(14) mid-60s. Recovery follows the intervention-driven flush to 155.42 early in the window; 158 (200-dma) is the broader cap flagged by the JPY-intervention story.

Support: 156.67, 156.24, 155.42

Resistance: 157.22, 157.61

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.22 opens the path toward the 157.61 swing high
  • Failure to hold 156.67 negates the recovery and reopens 156.24 swing low
  • Fresh US-Japan intervention headlines could sharply reverse this bounce

20:46 UTC

Recovering, micro-uptrend · RSI 64 · price 157.144

Higher lows off session flush, reclaiming 157.00.

USDJPY has ground higher through the NY session, reclaiming 157.00 after basing near 156.84, recovering off the intervention-driven flush to 155.36 earlier in the window. RSI(14) near 64 with ATR ~13 pips; buyers stepped in repeatedly at 156.84 and the 157.22 session high now caps the move.

Support: 156.84, 156.30

Resistance: 157.22, 157.60

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.22 opens room toward the 157.60 prior high
  • Failure to hold 156.84 consol low reopens the 156.30 swing low
  • Fresh intervention headlines — 158 remains a broader cap

20:31 UTC

Recovery uptrend, pushing session high · RSI 66 · price 157.162

Higher lows off 156.24, testing intraday top.

USDJPY ground higher through the late session off the 156.24 base, breaking the 157.05 minor cap to print 157.22 with RSI(14) near 66. USD stays firm on the ISM beat, but the 158 200-dma remains the ceiling flagged after last week's joint intervention.

Support: 156.83

Resistance: 157.22, 157.60

What it said to watch

  • Close above 157.22 session high opens the path to 157.60
  • Loss of 156.83 swing low breaks the rising-low sequence
  • 158 200-dma is the intervention-era cap to monitor
  • Labor Cash Earnings (23:30 UTC) could shift JPY tone

20:16 UTC

Recovery, grinding higher · RSI 63 · price 157.063

Higher lows since session low, 157.00 reclaimed.

USDJPY has ground higher through the NY session off the 156.24 session low, reclaiming the 157.00 round number with RSI(14) mid-range near 63. A chain of higher lows holds above EMA20/EMA50; the 158.00 200-dma remains flagged as an intervention cap.

Support: 156.83, 156.24

Resistance: 158.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 156.83 breaks the higher-low sequence
  • 158.00 area to watch for rejection given intervention flow
  • Fresh MoF/US Treasury JPY intervention headlines could shift this read

20:16 UTC

Recovery grind higher after intervention flush · RSI 64 · price 157.063

Higher lows into range top, 156.24-157.10 range.

USD/JPY reclaimed 157.00 into the late NY session, grinding back up on higher lows after the intervention-driven flush to 155.45 earlier in the window. Price now presses the 156.24-157.10 range top with RSI(14) in the mid-60s; the 158 200-dma remains the intervention cap above.

Support: 156.24, 155.45

Resistance: 157.10

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.10 range top opens path toward the 158 interv cap
  • Loss of 156.24 session low reopens the move to 155.45
  • Labor Cash Earnings (Aug 4 23:30 UTC) and any fresh intervention headlines could reset the JPY read

20:01 UTC

Recovering, momentum flat · RSI 53 · price 156.964

Range after intervention-driven drop.

USDJPY is coiling in a tight 156.67-157.08 range late in the session, holding roughly 60% of Friday's intervention-driven plunge to 155.22. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 53 with ATR ~10 pips; buyers stepped in repeatedly at 156.67 but 157.08 continues to cap.

Support: 156.67

Resistance: 157.08, 157.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.13 opens the path back toward 157.65
  • Break below 156.67 session low reopens the downside
  • ADP/ISM Services Wed and any fresh intervention headlines could reset this range

19:46 UTC

Sideways, grinding higher off Monday low · RSI 53 · price 156.889

Range 156.60–157.14 after intervention drop.

Late NY session chopping in a 156.60–157.14 range, recovering off Monday's intervention-driven flush to 155.22 but stalling below 157.14. RSI(14) neutral near 53, ATR compressed to ~14 pips — no directional impulse into the Asian handover.

Support: 156.60, 156.24

Resistance: 157.14, 157.65

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.14 opens the path to 157.65
  • Failure to hold 156.60 exposes 156.24 intraday low
  • Japan Labor Cash Earnings (Aug 4, 23:30 UTC) plus lingering intervention-headline risk could shift this read

19:31 UTC

Consolidation after intervention spike, slight down drift · RSI 47 · price 156.868

Range-bound 156.24–157.13, capped below 157.00.

USDJPY is consolidating in a 156.24–157.13 range through late NY hours after Friday's coordinated intervention crushed it to 155.36. Price faded from the 157.03 prior high back to 156.87, RSI(14) neutral near 47; sellers capped the move under the 157.00 psych level.

Support: 156.67, 156.24

Resistance: 157.03, 157.13

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.13 breaks the range top
  • Failure to hold 156.67 opens the 156.24 session low
  • Any fresh MoF/US Treasury intervention headline would override this range read

19:31 UTC

Range-bound, mild drift lower · RSI 48 · price 156.867

Consolidation after intervention plunge.

USDJPY is consolidating in a 156.67–157.08 range after Monday's intervention-driven plunge to 155.42; price is parked near the 61.8% retracement of that drop with RSI(14) neutral around 48. NY-session drift has taken it back toward the 156.67 swing low with EMA20 capping just overhead.

Support: 156.67, 156.24, 155.42

Resistance: 157.08, 157.65

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 156.67 confirms a lower-low and reopens 156.24
  • Close above 157.08 clears the session high and challenges 157.65
  • ADP Wed and any fresh MoF/Treasury intervention headline could reset this range

19:16 UTC

Ranging after sharp selloff · RSI 47 · price 156.853

Consolidation between 156.67 and 157.08.

USDJPY is coiling in a tight 156.67–157.08 band after last week's intervention-driven selloff, with price stalling just under the 157.08 session high. RSI(14) mid-range near 46 and price hugging EMA20 — no directional impulse in the current session.

Support: 156.67, 156.24

Resistance: 157.08, 157.65

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.08 opens the path back toward 157.65
  • Loss of 156.67 exposes the 156.24 swing low
  • ADP and ISM Services Wed are near-term catalysts that could break the range

19:01 UTC

Sideways after sharp drop · RSI 49 · price 156.805

Range-bound, holding above swing low.

USDJPY is consolidating between 156.24 and 157.13 through the NY session after Monday's intervention-driven plunge to 155.22. RSI(14) sits neutral near 49 and ATR is compressed around 14 pips; no directional impulse in play.

Support: 156.24, 155.45

Resistance: 157.13, 157.87

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.13 session high opens the path to 157.87
  • Loss of 156.24 swing low reopens the 155.45 monday low
  • Fresh MoF/US Treasury intervention headlines could break this range instantly

18:46 UTC

Ranging, post-intervention · RSI 46 · price 156.833

Range between 156.24 and 157.13 after intervention drop.

USDJPY is ranging 156.24-157.13 through the NY session after Friday's confirmed US-Japan intervention slammed price to 155.22. RSI(14) sits neutral near 46 and ATR is compressed around 12 pips; price is drifting back toward the mid, hugging EMA20.

Support: 156.24, 155.45

Resistance: 157.13, 157.86

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 156.24 opens the path back toward the 155.45 intervention low
  • M15 close above 157.13 session high targets the 157.86 swing high
  • Fresh MoF/US Treasury intervention headlines could break this range abruptly

18:46 UTC

Recovering after plunge, now flat · RSI 47 · price 156.833

Range post-intervention drop.

USDJPY carved a base near 156.24 after Friday's intervention-driven plunge and clawed back to 157.14, but the late NY session has stalled into a 156.60–157.14 range with price now drifting at 156.83. RSI(14) sits mid-band near 46 as momentum flattens; the 158 200-dma remains the wider cap flagged by the intervention narrative.

Support: 156.60, 156.24

Resistance: 157.14

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 156.60 exposes the 156.24 session low
  • M15 close above 157.14 recent high resumes the recovery leg
  • Fresh MoF/US Treasury intervention headlines could reset this read

18:31 UTC

Recovery off lows, momentum flat · RSI 56 · price 156.949

Consolidation below 157.00 after intervention flush.

USD/JPY clawed back from the 155.36 intervention low to consolidate just under the 157.00 figure through the NY session. Price is caught in a 156.55–157.08 range with RSI(14) mid-band near 56, no clean directional break in play.

Support: 156.55, 156.24, 155.36

Resistance: 157.08, 157.14

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.14 swing high opens room toward the 158 200-dma cap
  • Loss of the 156.24 session low reopens the downside toward 155.36
  • Fresh MoF/US intervention headlines could reprice this read

18:16 UTC

Recovering, grinding higher · RSI 56 · price 156.949

Consolidating near 157 after intervention drop.

USD/JPY clawed back to 157 after Friday's ~$70-80bn joint US-Japan intervention slammed it to 155.23; price is now consolidating just under the 157.13 session high, roughly a 61.8% retrace of the drop. RSI(14) mid-range, no extreme; buyers stepped in repeatedly around 156.24.

Support: 156.24, 155.45

Resistance: 157.13, 157.60

What it said to watch

  • Close above 157.13 session high opens the path back to 157.60
  • Failure to hold 156.24 swing low reopens the 155.45 monday low
  • Fresh MoF/US intervention headlines could cap the recovery near 158

18:16 UTC

Recovering off session low, micro-uptrend · RSI 59 · price 156.95

Higher lows into 157.00, consolidating below it.

USD/JPY bounced off the NY session low at 156.24 and ground back through a chain of higher lows toward the 157.00 psych level, now stalling just under it. Recovery comes against the confirmed US-Japan intervention theme that capped the pair below the 158 200-dma; RSI(14) mid-range at ~59 with no extreme.

Support: 156.72, 156.24

Resistance: 157.00, 157.14

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.00 opens the path to the 157.14 swing high
  • Failure to hold 156.72 higher low exposes the 156.24 session low again
  • Fresh MoF/US intervention headlines could cap upside or force another leg down
  • JPY Labor Cash Earnings Aug 4 23:30 UTC could shift this read

18:01 UTC

Recovery grind higher · RSI 63 · price 157.045

Higher-low chain off 155.42 base.

USD/JPY grinding higher through NY hours, recovering the intervention-driven plunge that bottomed at 155.42, with price now pressing the session high near 157.13 and RSI(14) in the low-60s. A steady higher-low chain has held since the 156.24 base.

Support: 156.75, 156.24

Resistance: 157.13, 157.60

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.13 opens the 157.60 recovery high
  • Loss of 156.75 breaks the higher-low chain
  • 200-dma near 158 caps upside amid ongoing intervention risk

18:01 UTC

Recovering, grinding higher off Monday low · RSI 65 · price 157.046

Higher-low chain rebuilding after intervention flush.

USDJPY has clawed back toward 157.05 in late NY hours after the confirmed US-Japan intervention flush to the 155.45 Monday low; dip-buyers stepped in and built a steady higher-low chain. Price is pressing the 157.13 prior high with RSI(14) mid-60s, still short of the 200-dma cap flagged near 158.

Support: 156.24, 155.45

Resistance: 157.135, 157.85

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.13 prior high opens the path back toward the 157.85 swing high
  • Failure to hold 156.24 swing low reopens the 155.45 Monday low
  • Fresh MoF/US Treasury intervention headlines could cap the recovery abruptly

17:46 UTC

Recovering off intervention low, now consolidating · RSI 55 · price 156.947

Range below 157.00 after sharp sell-off and bounce.

USD/JPY was hammered to 155.22 on confirmed US-Japan yen-buying intervention, then recovered and has consolidated 156.5–157.0 through NY hours. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 55, buyers stepped in around 156.24 twice while the 157.00 psych level caps rebounds.

Support: 156.60, 156.24

Resistance: 157.03, 157.14, 157.65

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.14 prior high opens the path back toward 157.65
  • Failure to hold 156.60 session low reopens 156.24 swing low
  • Fresh MoF/US intervention headlines could sharply reprice this range
  • JPY Labor Cash Earnings (Aug 4) a risk to the recovery read

17:31 UTC

Recovering after intervention drop, now flat · RSI 58 · price 156.961

Consolidation between 156.24 and 157.10.

USD/JPY tumbled to 155.22 on the confirmed US-Japan intervention before clawing back toward 157. Price has since coiled into a tight 156.24-157.10 range through the NY session, RSI(14) mid-range and last bars flat on thin volume.

Support: 156.24, 155.45

Resistance: 157.10

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.10 opens the path back toward the 158 200-dma cap
  • Failure to hold 156.24 range low reopens the 155.45 monday low
  • Fresh intervention headlines could jolt this read either way

17:16 UTC

Intraday recovery, higher lows · RSI 60 · price 156.957

Grinding up from intervention low, testing 157.00.

USD/JPY has clawed back from the 155.22 intervention low toward 157.00, printing higher lows through the NY session as dip-buyers fade the coordinated JPY-buying spike. Price sits ~61.8% of the intervention drop with RSI(14) mid-range at 60; the recovery stalls just under the 157.10 session high.

Support: 156.55, 156.24

Resistance: 157.10, 157.65, 158.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.10 opens the path toward 157.65
  • Failure to hold 156.55 exposes the 156.24 session low
  • 158.00 200-dma remains the overhead cap on any extension
  • Fresh MoF/Treasury intervention headline could reverse this grind sharply

17:16 UTC

Recovering, grinding higher off session low · RSI 61 · price 156.957

Higher lows building inside recent range.

USD/JPY has clawed back toward the 157.13 session high after the intervention-driven flush to 155.36 earlier in the window; NY hours have printed a chain of higher lows off 156.24. Price holds above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 60, but the 158 200-dma remains the overhead cap flagged by desks.

Support: 156.238, 155.45

Resistance: 157.135

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.13 session high opens the path back toward the 158 200-dma
  • Loss of 156.24 swing low breaks the higher-low sequence and exposes the 155.45 monday low
  • Renewed MoF/Treasury intervention headlines could override this micro-structure

17:01 UTC

Recovering off lows, momentum flat · RSI 56 · price 156.895

Higher lows since 155.36, consolidating near session highs.

USDJPY snapped back from the 155.36 intervention-driven low and has ground higher on a chain of higher lows, now consolidating around 156.90 into the NY session. Price is pinned just under the 157.04-157.13 swing-high band, RSI(14) mid-range with no extreme.

Support: 156.24, 155.36

Resistance: 157.04, 157.13, 157.65

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.13 opens the path toward 157.65
  • Failure to hold 156.24 breaks the higher-low chain
  • Fresh MoF/US intervention headlines remain the dominant risk and could override this read

17:01 UTC

Recovering, grinding higher off session low · RSI 57 · price 156.895

Consolidation below 157.00 after post-intervention drop.

USDJPY has ground back up from the 156.24 session low toward the 157.00 prior high after the coordinated JPY-buying intervention drove the pair to 155.22 earlier in the window. Price is consolidating in the upper half of the recent range with RSI(14) mid-band; rising intraday lows are holding but 157.00 has capped the last several bars.

Support: 156.24

Resistance: 157.03, 157.14

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.14 opens the path toward 157.65
  • Loss of 156.24 session low confirms a lower-low
  • Renewed US-Japan JPY intervention headlines could sharply shift this read

16:46 UTC

Recovering off lows, capped below 157 · RSI 56 · price 156.884

Consolidation with rising intraday lows.

USDJPY is grinding sideways in the 156.24–157.13 band after Friday's confirmed US-Japan intervention spike drove the earlier flush toward 155. NY session has carved higher intraday lows off 156.24 back to 156.88, but the 157.00 round level and 157.13 swing high are capping, with RSI mid-range at 56.

Support: 156.24, 155.42

Resistance: 157.00, 157.13

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.13 opens the path toward the 158 area
  • Failure to hold 156.24 session low reopens 155.42 intervention low
  • Fresh MoF/Treasury intervention headlines could reset this range abruptly

16:46 UTC

Recovering off spike low, grinding up · RSI 57 · price 156.873

Higher lows within a broad range.

USD/JPY is recovering from the intervention-driven spike low at 155.22, now grinding up through the 61.8% retrace near 156.87 on a chain of higher lows off 156.24. Move is capped so far below the 157.13 swing high; RSI(14) mid-range around 57, no extreme.

Support: 156.24, 155.45

Resistance: 157.13

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.13 extends the recovery toward the 158 200-dma cap
  • Failure to hold 156.24 reopens the 155.45 Monday low
  • Fresh MoF/Treasury intervention headlines could shift this read sharply

16:31 UTC

Recovering off intervention low, now ranging · RSI 54 · price 156.885

Range 156.24–157.10 after bounce from 155.22.

USD/JPY tumbled to 155.22 on confirmed US-Japan joint JPY intervention, then clawed back into a 156.24–157.10 range through the NY session. Price sits mid-range at 156.88 with RSI(14) neutral near 54; higher lows have been forming off 156.24.

Support: 156.24, 155.45

Resistance: 157.10, 157.65

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.10 extends the recovery toward the 157.65 pre-drop high
  • Loss of the 156.24 session low reopens 155.45 interv low
  • Fresh MoF/Treasury intervention headlines could override this range read

16:16 UTC

Recovering, grinding higher off lows · RSI 58 · price 156.882

Base building above 156.24, higher lows.

USDJPY has clawed back from the 155.42 intervention low, now grinding higher through the NY session with RSI(14) mid-range near 58. Price stalled at the 157.03 session high on the last push and pulled back to 156.88 on a higher low, keeping the recovery structure intact.

Support: 156.24, 155.42

Resistance: 157.03, 157.65

What it said to watch

  • Close above 157.03 session high opens path to the 157.65 swing high
  • Loss of 156.24 session low reopens the 155.42 intervention low
  • Renewed US-Japan JPY intervention headlines could sharply reprice this read

16:16 UTC

Recovery off lows, momentum slowing · RSI 54 · price 156.873

Higher lows since 155.42, capped near 157.10.

NY session grind higher off the intervention low at 155.42, price stalling into the 61.8% retrace at 156.87 with RSI(14) mid-range. Chain of higher lows holds but 157.10 swing high remains the cap.

Support: 156.24, 155.42

Resistance: 157.10, 157.65

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.10 opens the path to 157.65
  • Failure to hold 156.24 reopens 155.42 intervention low
  • Fresh MoF/US JPY intervention headlines could reset this read

16:02 UTC

Recovering off intervention low, grinding higher · RSI 61 · price 156.953

Higher lows into NY afternoon, base above 156.24.

NY afternoon: USDJPY has clawed back from the 156.24 session low toward the 157.00 psych level, a double bottom at 156.24-156.30 having held twice. RSI(14) near 61 and price above both EMAs as the pair unwinds Monday's intervention-driven plunge; the 158.00 200-dma remains the noted intervention cap overhead.

Support: 156.24, 155.45

Resistance: 157.13, 157.60, 158.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.13 opens the path back to 157.60 swing high
  • Failure to hold 156.24 session low exposes 155.45 monday low
  • ADP + ISM Services Wed and any fresh US-Japan intervention headline could shift this read

16:01 UTC

Recovering off session low, grinding higher · RSI 61 · price 156.952

Higher lows since 156.24, near recent range top.

USDJPY clawed back from the 156.24 session low in a chain of higher lows, now pressing 156.95 into recent-high resistance at 157.13, RSI(14) mid-60s. USD stayed firm on the ISM beat (55.6) while intervention risk keeps any rebound capped ahead of the 158 area.

Support: 156.24

Resistance: 157.13, 157.62

What it said to watch

  • Close above 157.13 opens the path to 157.62
  • Failure to hold 156.24 confirms a lower low
  • JPY Labor Cash Earnings (Aug 4 23:30 UTC) and fresh intervention headlines could reshape this read

15:46 UTC

Recovering off lows, micro-uptrend · RSI 60 · price 156.905

Higher lows into a 156.24–157.13 range after intervention flush.

NY session grinding higher off Monday's intervention low near 155.42, price back to 156.90 with RSI(14) mid-range at 60. Sits inside a 156.24–157.13 recovery range; 158.00 stands above as the intervention-defended 200-dma flagged in the macro read.

Support: 156.24, 155.42

Resistance: 157.13, 158.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.13 opens the path toward the 158.00 200-dma
  • Failure to hold 156.24 swing low re-exposes the 155.42 intervention low
  • Fresh MoF/Treasury intervention headlines could sharply shift this read

15:46 UTC

Intraday range, recovering off lows · RSI 54 · price 156.781

Range-bound after intervention washout, higher low forming.

NY session, USD staying firm after ISM Manufacturing beat (55.6 vs 54). USD/JPY based at 156.24 and bounced back to 156.78, holding a shallow higher low after Monday's intervention-driven washout; the 157.13 session high capped the earlier push. RSI(14) mid-range near 54, no extreme.

Support: 156.24

Resistance: 157.13

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 156.24 confirms a lower low and reopens the downside
  • Reclaim of 157.13 puts the 200-dma cap near 158.00 back in view
  • Fresh MoF/Treasury intervention headlines could spike JPY unscheduled

15:31 UTC

Ranging after intervention selloff · RSI 53 · price 156.781

NY range 156.24-156.86, buyers absorbing lows.

USDJPY is grinding in a NY-session range between 156.24 and 156.86 after last week's coordinated US-Japan intervention drove it sub-156. Buyers stepped in twice near 156.24-156.30 and price is bouncing toward the range top with RSI mid-range.

Support: 156.24, 155.45

Resistance: 156.86, 157.09

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 156.86 opens the path toward 157.09
  • Loss of 156.24 reopens downside toward the 155.45 monday low
  • Fresh MoF/Treasury intervention headlines could spike this pair either way

15:31 UTC

Downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 55 · price 156.781

Range after intervention-driven slide.

USD/JPY is ranging roughly 156.24–157.14 after Monday's confirmed US-Japan intervention slammed the pair to 155.42. NY session is bouncing off 156.24 back to 156.78, with RSI(14) neutral near 55 — no directional momentum in play.

Support: 156.24, 155.42

Resistance: 157.14

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.14 range top opens the path toward the 158 200dma
  • Loss of 156.24 swing low reopens the 155.42 monday low
  • Fresh MoF/Treasury intervention headlines could spike JPY sharply

15:17 UTC

Choppy, recovering off session low · RSI 55 · price 156.758

Range after intervention-driven drop, bouncing from demand.

USDJPY is ranging 156.24–157.13 after confirmed US-Japan intervention drove the sharp drop through 155.42 earlier. Price has recovered off the 156.24 session low into NY-afternoon hours, RSI(14) neutral near 55; recovery leg holding but capped below the 156.96 recent high.

Support: 156.24

Resistance: 156.96, 157.13

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.13 opens the path toward the 158 200-day sma cap
  • Break below 156.24 session low resumes the decline
  • Fresh MoF/Treasury intervention headlines could spike volatility either way

15:16 UTC

Recovering off session low, choppy · RSI 52 · price 156.758

Range after intervention-driven selloff.

USDJPY is grinding back up through NY hours after the intervention-driven flush to 155.36, now ranging 156.24–156.98 with RSI(14) balanced near 52. Buyers stepped in twice at 156.24/156.30; the recent high at 156.98 has capped the bounce so far.

Support: 156.24, 155.45

Resistance: 156.98, 157.09

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 156.98 opens the path to 157.09
  • Failure to hold 156.24 confirms a lower low back toward 155.45
  • Fresh MoF/Treasury intervention headlines remain the dominant unscheduled risk

15:01 UTC

Intraday downtrend, grinding · RSI 43 · price 156.583

Lower highs off 157.13, holding 156.24.

USD/JPY has round-tripped through the NY session, fading from the 157.13 session high back toward 156.24 in a chain of lower highs after Friday's intervention-driven crash to 155.42. Sellers capped the last two bounces near 156.90 while demand held the 156.24 session low.

Support: 156.238, 156.00, 155.45

Resistance: 156.90, 157.13

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 156.90 breaks the lower-high chain and reopens 157.13
  • Loss of 156.24 confirms continuation toward the 156.00 round number
  • Fresh MoF/Treasury intervention headlines could spike this read sharply

14:46 UTC

Downtrend, minor bounce · RSI 44 · price 156.661

Lower highs off 157.14, held 156.24.

USDJPY faded through the NY session from 157.14 to a swing low at 156.24 before a modest recovery to 156.66, price stuck below EMA20/50. Intervention headlines keep the dollar offered while the 158 200-day SMA caps upside; RSI(14) near 44 offers no extreme.

Support: 156.24, 155.45

Resistance: 156.99, 157.14

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 156.99 negates the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 156.24 opens the path toward the 155.45 monday low
  • Labor Cash Earnings (Aug 4 23:30 UTC) could shift the JPY read

14:31 UTC

Downtrend, lower highs · RSI 43 · price 156.517

Sequence of lower highs into session low.

USD/JPY drifted lower through the NY session, printing lower highs and tagging a session low at 156.24 before a shallow bounce to 156.53. Price sits below EMA20/50 with the pair capped well under 157, consistent with the intervention-driven yen bid; RSI(14) neutral-soft near 43.

Support: 156.24, 155.42

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 156.24 opens the path toward 155.45
  • Reclaim of 157.00 negates the lower-high sequence
  • JPY Labor Cash Earnings (Aug 4) and intervention headlines could shift this read

14:31 UTC

Consolidation, drifting lower · RSI 43 · price 156.517

Range after intervention-driven drop, lower highs into NY.

USDJPY stabilised in the 156.24–157.13 band after Monday's intervention-driven flush toward 155.45; the recovery to 157.13 has faded into the NY session on a chain of lower highs. Price sits back near range lows around 156.50 with RSI(14) mid-40s and no directional expansion.

Support: 156.24, 155.45

Resistance: 157.13

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 156.24 opens the path back toward the 155.45 monday low
  • Break and hold above 157.13 range top negates the lower-high fade
  • Fresh MoF/Treasury intervention headlines remain the dominant unscheduled risk

14:16 UTC

Downtrend, lower highs after rebound · RSI 43 · price 156.565

Rolling over from 157.13, lower-high chain into session lows.

USD/JPY rolled over during the NY session after Monday's bounce off the ~155.42 intervention low, printing lower highs from 157.13 and drifting back toward the 156.30 session low. RSI(14) sits mid-40s with no extreme; broad USD stays supported by Fed-hike bets while intervention risk caps the yen's downside.

Support: 156.30, 156.00, 155.42

Resistance: 156.88, 157.13

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 156.88 breaks the lower-high sequence
  • Break below 156.30 opens the 156.00 round number
  • US labor data later this week (JOLTS/ADP/NFP) could shift this read

14:16 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling · RSI 43 · price 156.565

Lower highs, holding 156.30.

NY session sold off into the ISM release, tagging the session low at 156.30 before a shallow bounce to 156.62; price now 156.565, back below EMA20/50. Lower highs from 157.10 keep the intraday tilt heavy while the 156.30 floor holds.

Support: 156.30, 155.42

Resistance: 157.10

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 156.30 confirms a lower low toward the 155.42 swing low
  • M15 close above 157.10 negates the lower-high sequence
  • Fresh US-Japan intervention headlines or Friday NFP could reshape this read

14:01 UTC

Downtrend, drifting lower into NY · RSI 41 · price 156.541

Lower highs, broke below intraday range.

NY session grinding lower off a lower high near 156.88, with a clean break below the 156.57 shelf down to 156.30 before a shallow bounce to 156.54. RSI(14) around 41, no extreme; USD staying broadly supported on Fed-hike pricing while JPY intervention risk caps the upside.

Support: 156.30, 156.00

Resistance: 156.88

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 156.88 negates the lower-high sequence
  • Failure to hold 156.30 confirms continuation toward 156.00
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 UTC could jolt this read

13:46 UTC

Short-term downtrend, pullback within range · RSI 37 · price 156.359

Lower highs off 157.10 session high, testing 156.30.

USDJPY rolled over from the 157.10 session high through NY hours, printing lower highs and sliding into 156.30 ahead of the ISM release; RSI(14) near 37 and price below EMA20/50. This remains a retracement of the intervention-driven bounce off 155.22.

Support: 156.30, 156.00

Resistance: 156.70, 157.10

What it said to watch

  • ISM Manufacturing at 14:00 UTC (~15min) can materially shift this read
  • M15 close below 156.30 confirms a lower-low toward 156.00
  • Reclaim of 156.70 negates the lower-high sequence

13:46 UTC

Downtrend, lower highs · RSI 40 · price 156.359

Post-bounce fade, printing lower highs into NY.

USDJPY faded from the 157.13 session high and rolled over through NY hours, now pressing the session low at 156.30 as the post-intervention bounce off 155.23 unwinds. Lower highs at 156.88 cap the tape, RSI(14) mid-30s and not yet oversold.

Support: 156.30, 155.23

Resistance: 156.88, 157.13

What it said to watch

  • ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 UTC (~15min) could materially shift this read
  • M15 close back above 156.88 breaks the lower-high chain
  • Loss of 156.30 opens the path toward the 155.23 intervention low

13:31 UTC

Downtrend, drifting lower · RSI 39 · price 156.486

Lower highs, pressing session low.

USDJPY leaked lower through NY hours after the intervention-driven slide, printing a fresh session low at 156.40 with a chain of lower highs capping near 156.96. RSI(14) at 39 sits soft but not oversold; ISM Manufacturing due in ~30min is the immediate swing factor.

Support: 156.40, 155.42, 155.36

Resistance: 156.96

What it said to watch

  • ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Close below 156.40 opens the path toward 155.45
  • Reclaim of 156.96 negates the lower-high sequence

13:31 UTC

Sideways after sharp drop · RSI 47 · price 156.747

Consolidation above session low.

USD/JPY is consolidating between 156.57 and 157.10 after the intervention-driven collapse to 155.22 earlier in the window. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 47 with price pinned just under EMA20; no directional resolution ahead of the US session.

Support: 156.57, 156.13

Resistance: 157.10, 157.86

What it said to watch

  • US ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 UTC (~30min out) could break this range
  • M15 close below 156.57 opens the path toward the 156.13 swing low
  • M15 close above 157.10 reopens the recovery leg toward 157.86

13:17 UTC

Recovery stalling, ranging · RSI 46 · price 156.747

Consolidation after intervention spike.

Coordinated JPY-buying intervention drove a violent squeeze from ~157.9 to 155.22, then price recovered and has been consolidating 156.57–157.13 through the session. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 46 with price pinned around EMA20; no directional setup while the range holds.

Support: 156.575, 155.225

Resistance: 157.135

What it said to watch

  • ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 UTC (~45min) could break this range read
  • M15 close below 156.575 reopens the path toward the 155.225 spike low
  • M15 close above 157.135 range top confirms continuation of the recovery

13:16 UTC

Recovering off spike low, now flat · RSI 47 · price 156.747

Consolidation range after sharp drop.

USD/JPY consolidating 156.57–157.14 through NY hours after the intervention-driven plunge to 155.22. RSI(14) neutral near 47; buyers stepped in at 156.57 repeatedly while 157.14 caps the recovery.

Support: 156.57, 156.30, 155.22

Resistance: 157.14, 157.60

What it said to watch

  • ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 UTC (~45min) could materially shift this USD read
  • M15 close below 156.57 opens 156.30 swing low
  • Reclaim of 157.14 recent high exposes 157.60 prior high

13:01 UTC

Downtrend stabilising, now ranging · RSI 49 · price 156.829

Consolidation above post-drop low.

USDJPY cratered to 155.36 on the coordinated intervention drop, then recovered into a 156.57–157.13 range where it has consolidated for several hours. Price sits mid-range at 156.83, RSI(14) flat near 49, ATR ~16 pips.

Support: 156.57, 155.45

Resistance: 157.13

What it said to watch

  • ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 UTC (~1h out) could break this range
  • Loss of 156.57 session low reopens the path toward the 155.45 may-6 low
  • M15 close above 157.13 session high extends the recovery leg

13:01 UTC

Ranging after sharp drop · RSI 51 · price 156.829

Consolidation inside 156.58–157.10.

USDJPY is ranging 156.58–157.10 through the NY session, consolidating after last week's intervention-driven plunge to 155.36. Price is coiling just above the session low with RSI(14) flat near 51; sellers capped attempts at 157.13 twice.

Support: 156.575, 155.363

Resistance: 157.135

What it said to watch

  • ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 UTC (~1h) could materially shift this read
  • M15 close below 156.575 confirms a lower low
  • M15 close above 157.135 breaks the range top

12:46 UTC

Recovery bounce after sharp drop, now flat · RSI 54 · price 156.862

Ranging inside 156.57–157.10 post-spike.

USDJPY swept to 155.22 on confirmed US-Japan joint intervention then recovered, now consolidating 156.57–157.10 and holding the 61.8% retrace of that plunge near 156.86. RSI(14) neutral around 53; ATR ~17 pips as the NY session settles into range.

Support: 156.57, 156.20, 155.45

Resistance: 157.10, 157.40

What it said to watch

  • ISM Manufacturing PMI ~74min out (14:00 UTC) could break this range
  • Close below 156.57 opens 156.20 then the 155.45 may-6 low
  • Close above 157.10 exposes 157.40 prior high

12:46 UTC

Recovering off intervention low, ranging · RSI 55 · price 156.862

Consolidation between 156.57 and 157.14 after sharp drop.

USD/JPY collapsed to 155.42 on confirmed US-Japan coordinated Yen buying, then clawed back into a 156.57–157.14 range through the London-NY session. Price sits mid-range at 156.86 above EMA20/50, RSI(14) neutral near 55 — no directional resolution yet.

Support: 156.575, 156.214, 155.42

Resistance: 157.135, 157.88

What it said to watch

  • ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Close above 157.14 session high opens the path to 157.88
  • Loss of 156.57 session low exposes 156.22 swing low then the 155.42 intervention low
  • Fresh MoF/Treasury intervention headlines remain the dominant wildcard

12:31 UTC

Recovering off lows, momentum flat · RSI 44 · price 156.687

Ranging above swept low, pulling back from session high.

USD/JPY was swept down to 155.22 on the confirmed US-Japan intervention then squeezed back to 157.13; price now ranges 156.5-157.1 and is drifting off the session high. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 43 with price back under EMA20.

Support: 156.57, 155.36

Resistance: 157.13

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 156.57 reopens the 155.36 sweep low
  • Reclaim of 157.13 session high resumes the recovery leg
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 UTC and fresh intervention headlines could reshape this read

12:31 UTC

Recovering off intervention low, momentum stalling · RSI 45 · price 156.687

Consolidation after sharp selloff.

USD/JPY is consolidating 156.57–157.13 after the intervention-driven flush to 155.36, with coordinated US-Japan Yen-buying dominating the tape. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 45 as the recovery bounce loses steam heading into the ISM window.

Support: 156.57, 155.42

Resistance: 157.13

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 156.57 session low opens the path toward the 155.42 May-6 low
  • Reclaim of 157.13 swing high would extend the recovery
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 UTC could break this consolidation

12:16 UTC

Downtrend cooling, consolidating · RSI 43 · price 156.629

Range-bound after intervention drop.

USD/JPY is consolidating in a 156.57–157.14 band during the NY session after last week's intervention-driven collapse to 155.22. Rejections capped the recovery near the 157.13 swing high and price has drifted back toward the session low with RSI mid-range.

Support: 156.575, 155.45

Resistance: 157.135

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.14 invalidates the consolidation read
  • Break below 156.57 opens a retest of the 155.45 monday low
  • US ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 UTC (~1.75h) could break this range

12:16 UTC

Ranging, drifting lower off recovery high · RSI 41 · price 156.636

Consolidation after intervention-driven drop.

USD/JPY is ranging 156.57–157.14 in the NY session after last week's coordinated JPY-buying intervention slammed it toward the 155.36 low. Price has faded from the 157.14 recovery high and now sits below EMA20/50, RSI(14) mid-40s — no clean directional structure in play.

Support: 156.57, 155.42

Resistance: 157.14

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 156.57 exposes the 155.42 intervention low
  • Reclaim above 157.14 needed to resume the recovery leg
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 UTC could break this range

12:01 UTC

Recovery stalling, easing back · RSI 43 · price 156.639

Consolidation after V-recovery off 155.36.

USDJPY collapsed toward the 155.36 swing low on confirmed US-Japan intervention, then V-recovered to 157.13 before rejecting and easing back to 156.64. Now consolidating just above the 156.57 session low, RSI(14) mid-range near 43.

Support: 156.57, 155.36

Resistance: 157.13, 157.61

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 157.13 reopens the 157.61 prior high
  • Loss of 156.57 session low reopens a retest of the 155.36 swing low
  • ISM Manufacturing (14:00 UTC) and any fresh MoF/Treasury intervention headlines could shift this read

12:01 UTC

Recovery off lows, momentum flat · RSI 43 · price 156.642

Consolidation above 155.42 intervention low.

USDJPY is consolidating 156.57–157.13 in London hours after coordinated Yen-buying drove the pair to the 155.42 May-6 low earlier in the window. Price has slipped off the 157.13 session high and RSI(14) sits mid-range near 42, with the recent dip stalling just above the session low.

Support: 156.57, 155.42

Resistance: 157.13

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 156.57 reopens the path toward 155.42
  • Reclaim of 157.13 session high resumes the squeeze-back
  • US ISM Manufacturing at 14:00 UTC could break the range

11:46 UTC

Recovery grind off intervention low · RSI 52 · price 156.935

Consolidation, higher lows since 155.36.

USDJPY has clawed back from the 155.36 intervention low toward 157.13 and is now consolidating between 156.66 and 157.13 through London hours. RSI(14) sits neutral near 52 with price holding above EMA20/50, a corrective grind rather than a fresh leg.

Support: 156.66, 155.45

Resistance: 157.13, 157.86

What it said to watch

  • US ISM Manufacturing at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Close above 157.13 session high opens the path toward 157.86
  • Failure to hold 156.66 swing low re-exposes the 155.45 may-6 low

11:46 UTC

Recovering off lows, consolidating · RSI 57 · price 156.942

Higher lows from 155.42, capped below 157.10.

USD/JPY collapsed to 155.42 on confirmed US-Japan coordinated Yen-buying, then clawed back into a 156.42-157.14 band where it now grinds. Buyers held 156.66 through the recovery; RSI(14) mid-range near 57 with ATR around 17 pips, so intraday moves are modest for now.

Support: 156.66, 156.42, 155.42

Resistance: 157.14, 157.60

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.14 opens the path to 157.60
  • Loss of 156.66 exposes 156.42 then the 155.42 intervention low
  • ISM Manufacturing at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
  • Fresh MoF/Treasury intervention headlines remain the dominant wildcard

11:31 UTC

Recovering off lows, now flat · RSI 50 · price 156.956

Consolidation after intervention-driven drop.

USD/JPY is consolidating between 156.4 and 157.1 after last week's coordinated-intervention collapse from ~160 to 155.45. Recovery off the 155.22 low has stalled sub-157.13, RSI(14) flat near 50 with no directional momentum into the NY session.

Support: 156.41, 155.45

Resistance: 157.13, 157.87

What it said to watch

  • ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 UTC could break this range read
  • Close above 157.13 opens the path to 157.87
  • Loss of 156.41 reopens the 155.45 intervention low
  • Fresh MoF/Treasury intervention headlines remain the dominant wildcard

11:16 UTC

Recovering off intervention low, now ranging · RSI 49 · price 156.787

Consolidation 156.30–157.14 after sharp drop.

USD/JPY spiked to 155.36 on confirmed coordinated Yen-buying intervention, then recovered into a tight range between 156.30 and 157.14. Price is mid-range at 156.79 through London hours, RSI(14) neutral near 49 with no clear intraday momentum.

Support: 156.30, 155.36

Resistance: 157.14, 157.46

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.14 range high opens 157.46
  • Loss of 156.30 reopens the 155.36 spike low
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
  • Fresh MoF/Treasury intervention headlines remain the dominant wildcard

11:16 UTC

Consolidating after sharp drop · RSI 46 · price 156.777

Range holding above session low.

USDJPY tumbled to 155.42 on confirmed US-Japan joint yen-buying, then recovered into a 156.50–157.13 range where price is now coiling. Latest bars have slipped off the 157.13 range high back toward the middle, RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s.

Support: 156.50, 155.42

Resistance: 157.13

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 156.50 range low reopens the 155.42 session low
  • Reclaim of 157.13 range high needed to extend the recovery
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 UTC could break this range

11:02 UTC

Recovered off lows, now ranging · RSI 48 · price 156.797

Consolidation above 155.45 intervention low.

USDJPY swept down to 155.42 on confirmed US-Japan joint intervention, then clawed back and has spent NY hours ranging 156.40–157.10. RSI(14) neutral near 48 after the recovery stalled below 157.10; ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 UTC is the next catalyst.

Support: 156.40, 155.45

Resistance: 157.10

What it said to watch

  • ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Close below 156.40 range floor opens the path back toward the 155.45 intervention low
  • Close above 157.10 session high resumes the recovery leg
  • Fresh MoF/Treasury intervention headlines remain the dominant wildcard

11:01 UTC

Recovery off day low, momentum flat · RSI 46 · price 156.798

Consolidation after sharp sell-off.

USDJPY sold off hard to 155.42 on confirmed US-Japan intervention, then clawed back into a 156.48–157.14 range through the London session. Price is drifting mid-range near 156.80 after rejection at the 157.14 session high, RSI(14) flat around 46.

Support: 156.48, 155.42

Resistance: 157.14, 157.87

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.14 reopens the 157.87 prior high
  • Loss of 156.48 exposes the 155.42 day low
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 UTC (~3h) could break the range

10:46 UTC

Recovering off flush, grinding higher · RSI 57 · price 156.996

Higher lows since intervention low, capped at 157.14.

USD/JPY flushed to 155.42 on confirmed Yen-buying intervention, then retraced steadily on a chain of higher lows back toward 157.00. Price now presses the 157.14 session high with RSI mid-range; the recovery holds above a rising intraday support line.

Support: 156.86, 155.42

Resistance: 157.14, 157.55

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.14 opens the path to 157.55
  • Loss of 156.86 breaks the rising support and the higher-low chain
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read

10:46 UTC

Recovery off lows, momentum flattening · RSI 55 · price 156.998

HH/HL chain, now consolidating near session high.

USDJPY swept down to 155.22 on confirmed US-Japan Yen-buying intervention, then recovered in an HH/HL chain to a 157.13 session high. Price now consolidates 156.86-157.13 with RSI(14) mid-range near 55; the intervention low remains the structural pivot below.

Support: 156.86, 156.40

Resistance: 157.13, 157.60

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.13 opens the path back to 157.60
  • Loss of 156.86 exposes 156.40
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read

10:31 UTC

Recovery, higher lows · RSI 52 · price 156.935

Higher lows off 155.42, capped below 157.13.

USD/JPY is grinding higher off the 155.42 intervention low, stacking higher lows into the 157.13 session high before stalling. RSI(14) sits neutral near 52 as the bounce cools just under 157.10; the recovery reflects short-covering after the coordinated Yen-buying leg. ISM Manufacturing at 14:00 UTC is the near-term driver.

Support: 156.56, 155.42

Resistance: 157.13, 157.62

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.13 session high opens path to 157.62 prior high
  • Loss of 156.56 swing low exposes the 155.42 interv low
  • ISM Manufacturing at 14:00 UTC could shift this read

10:31 UTC

Recovery, higher lows · RSI 56 · price 156.935

HH/HL chain off the intervention low.

USD/JPY is grinding higher off the 155.22 intervention low, printing a steady HL chain into London hours with RSI(14) mid-range near 56. Price stalled at the 157.13 session high and pulled back to 156.93; the broad move is short-covering after last week's coordinated Yen-buying rather than a fresh USD bid.

Support: 156.56

Resistance: 157.13, 157.62

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 156.56 swing low breaks the HL chain
  • Break above 157.13 session high opens 157.62 prior high
  • ISM Manufacturing at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
  • Fresh MoF/Treasury intervention headlines remain the wildcard

10:16 UTC

Recovery uptrend off lows · RSI 61 · price 156.971

Higher lows, grinding to session high.

USDJPY is recovering off the intervention-driven low at 155.25, printing a chain of higher lows through London and pressing the session high at 157.13. Move is JPY-led (confirmed US-Japan joint yen-buying) but the pair is squeezing back up on stretched shorts; RSI(14) mid-60s, no extreme.

Support: 156.56

Resistance: 157.13, 157.56

What it said to watch

  • Close above 157.13 session high opens the path to 157.56
  • Failure to hold 156.56 swing low threatens the higher-low base
  • US ISM Manufacturing at 14:00 UTC (~4h) could shift this read
  • Any fresh intervention headline can override the recovery

10:16 UTC

Recovery grind after intervention flush · RSI 59 · price 156.969

Higher lows off 155.23 low, capped near 157.14.

USDJPY is grinding higher after coordinated Yen-buying intervention slammed it to 155.23; buyers stepped in and price has built a chain of higher lows back toward the 157.14 session high, RSI(14) mid-range near 59. Recovery still capped below 157.14 with ATR near 17 pips.

Support: 156.56

Resistance: 157.14, 157.65

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.14 opens path toward 157.65
  • Failure to hold 156.56 breaks the higher-low chain
  • US ISM Manufacturing at 14:00 UTC could shift the read
  • Fresh intervention headlines a persistent JPY tailwind

10:01 UTC

Intraday recovery, higher lows · RSI 65 · price 157.093

Climbing off intervention low on rising lows.

USDJPY is grinding higher off the 155.22 joint yen-buying flush, reclaiming 157.09 and clearing the 157.04 shelf into London hours; RSI(14) mid-60s, no extreme. Buyers stepping in on a chain of rising lows since the intervention spike, with 157.14 the immediate session cap.

Support: 156.53

Resistance: 157.14

What it said to watch

  • US ISM Manufacturing at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Renewed MoF/US yen-buying intervention would cap the recovery
  • M15 close below 156.53 breaks the rising-lows structure

09:46 UTC

Recovery grind higher off intervention low · RSI 66 · price 157.093

Higher lows since 155.22, reclaiming 157.00.

USDJPY is grinding back up from the 155.22 intervention-driven spike low, breaking out of the 156.40 base and reclaiming 157.00 into the session high at 157.135. RSI(14) near 66 as the recovery extends; move is a short-squeeze bounce, not a trend flip, with the pair still well below pre-drop levels.

Support: 156.99, 156.40

Resistance: 157.135, 157.60

What it said to watch

  • Close above 157.135 opens the path toward the 157.60 prior high
  • Failure to hold 156.99 exposes the 156.40 range base
  • Fresh BoJ/US Yen-buying intervention headlines could sharply reverse this recovery
  • US ISM Manufacturing at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD leg

09:46 UTC

Uptrend, recovery off lows · RSI 70 · price 157.094

Higher highs, higher lows since 155.22.

USDJPY clawed back from the 155.22 swing low — carved after suspected US-Japan intervention drove the pair from the 160 area — grinding steadily higher to 157.09 through the session. Chain of higher highs/higher lows intact and price broke above the 156.92 prior high; RSI(14) near 70, hot but not extreme.

Support: 156.92, 156.38, 155.22

What it said to watch

  • Break below 156.38 session pivot breaks the higher-low sequence
  • US ISM Manufacturing PMI 14:00 UTC could shift this read
  • Fresh US-Japan intervention headlines would cap upside

09:32 UTC

Recovery uptrend off intervention low · RSI 64 · price 156.969

Higher lows grinding up, testing 157.00.

Asian session saw a coordinated-intervention plunge to 155.22, its lowest since May, before London bid it back steadily to test the 157.00 round number. Price has printed a clean chain of higher lows off the intervention low along a rising support line; RSI(14) near 64, room before extremes.

Support: 156.56

Resistance: 157.04, 157.45

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.04 opens the path to 157.45
  • Failure to hold 156.56 rising support ends the recovery leg
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Fresh intervention headlines could cap the rebound near 157.00

09:31 UTC

Recovery, higher lows building · RSI 67 · price 156.971

Rising-low chain off intervention low.

USDJPY is grinding back up after suspected US-Japan intervention drove it to the 155.45 low, now retracing over half of that drop with a steady higher-low chain into NY hours. Price is pressing the 157.04 session high with RSI(14) hot near 67 but not yet extreme.

Support: 156.21, 155.45

Resistance: 157.04, 157.46

What it said to watch

  • Close above 157.04 opens the path to the 157.46 prior high
  • Failure to hold 156.21 breaks the rising-low structure
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 UTC and any fresh intervention headline could shift this read

09:16 UTC

Recovery uptrend, momentum building · RSI 66 · price 156.931

Higher lows off intervention low, grinding up.

USDJPY is grinding higher off the 155.36 intervention low, breaking above the 156.50 consolidation into London hours with RSI(14) warm near 66 but not extreme. Price stalled at the 157.04 session high on the latest bar, having retraced roughly 62% of the sharp intervention drop.

Support: 156.50, 155.36

Resistance: 157.04, 157.56

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 157.04 session high opens the path toward 157.56
  • Failure to hold 156.50 puts the higher-low structure back in question
  • US ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Fresh intervention headlines could cap the recovery at any point

09:02 UTC

Recovering, micro-uptrend · RSI 64 · price 156.941

Range base broke higher off intervention low.

USDJPY is recovering from the coordinated-intervention flush to 155.22; the 156.40 range base broke higher into London hours and price is now pressing 156.98, RSI(14) mid-60s. Buyers stepped in repeatedly at the 156.40 range base before this leg up.

Support: 156.40, 156.00, 155.42

Resistance: 157.30, 157.88

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.30 opens the path toward the 157.88 session high
  • Failure to hold the 156.40 range base reopens 156.00 psych and the 155.42 session low
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 UTC (~5h) could materially shift this read

09:01 UTC

Intraday uptrend, breaking Asian range · RSI 67 · price 156.941

Consolidation break, rising lows.

Asian range held ~156.30-156.55 before London broke higher, price stepping up to 156.98 and pressing the 157.00 round number. RSI(14) elevated near 67 but not extreme; USD sits heavy near six-week lows while JPY stays supported by this week's coordinated intervention.

Support: 156.55, 156.40, 156.30

Resistance: 157.00, 157.45

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.00 opens path toward 157.45 prior high
  • Failure to hold 156.40 negates the breakout back into the asian range
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI 14:00 UTC could shift this read
  • Fresh intervention headlines can cap upside sharply

08:46 UTC

Recovering, pushing session highs · RSI 67 · price 156.91

Consolidation break higher off intervention low.

USDJPY chopped in a tight 156.40-156.55 consolidation through the Asian and early-London hours before pushing to a fresh session high at 156.92; JPY had firmed hard earlier on confirmed US-Japan intervention that drove the 155.42 low. Recovery is grinding higher off that base, RSI(14) firm near 67 but not yet stretched.

Support: 156.48, 155.42

What it said to watch

  • Close back below 156.48 breakout base returns price into the consolidation
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Any fresh intervention headline could reverse the recovery toward 155.42

08:46 UTC

Recovery uptrend off session low · RSI 63 · price 156.91

Higher lows grinding into session high.

USDJPY gapped down over the weekend and bottomed at 155.22 on the US-Japan joint intervention, then carved a rounded bottom and ground higher through the Asia and London morning sessions. Price is now testing the session high at 156.92 with RSI(14) near 63; the 156.30 range base has held on dips.

Support: 156.30, 155.42, 155.22

Resistance: 156.92, 157.46

What it said to watch

  • Close above 156.92 opens the path toward the 157.46 gap area
  • Failure to hold 156.30 range base points back to the 155.42 swing low
  • US ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Any fresh intervention headline could cap upside sharply

08:31 UTC

Recovery uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 59 · price 156.789

Higher lows off 155.42 low, testing session high.

USDJPY has ground back to 156.79 after the intervention-driven flush to 155.42, printing a steady chain of higher lows through NY and into London. Price is now pressing the session high at 156.85; RSI(14) near 59 leaves room before overbought. Move is a recovery off the confirmed US-Japan yen-buying spike, not a fresh trend leg.

Support: 156.21, 155.42

Resistance: 156.85, 157.45

What it said to watch

  • Close above 156.85 opens path toward the 157.45 gap area
  • Failure to hold 156.21 breaks the higher-low chain
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Renewed intervention headlines remain a downside risk toward 155.42

08:31 UTC

Recovery bounce, stalling · RSI 59 · price 156.789

Consolidation after Asian-session low.

USDJPY bounced off the Asian-session low at 155.22 — the confirmed US-Japan intervention level — and has ground back to 156.85, stalling at the 0.618 retrace of that drop. Price is consolidating 156.30-156.85 through the London session with RSI(14) mid-range; no directional break yet.

Support: 156.30, 155.42

Resistance: 156.85, 157.46

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 156.85 session high extends the recovery toward 157.46
  • Loss of 156.30 range low reopens the 155.42 intervention low
  • US ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD leg materially

08:16 UTC

Recovering off lows, grinding higher · RSI 61 · price 156.783

Higher lows since 155.23, testing session high.

USDJPY has clawed back to 156.78 after the intervention-driven flush to 155.23, printing a chain of higher lows through the London session and now pressing the 156.85 session high. RSI(14) around 60 with no extreme; recovery capped by the 156.85 zone which aligns with the 0.618 retrace of the 157.88–155.23 drop.

Support: 156.37, 155.42

Resistance: 156.85, 157.46

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 156.85 opens the path back toward 157.46
  • Loss of 156.37 session low reopens the 155.42 intervention low
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read

08:16 UTC

Recovering off lows, grinding higher · RSI 57 · price 156.783

Higher lows into session high test.

After the intervention-driven plunge to 155.36, USDJPY recovered and has been carving higher lows through the London session, now pressing the 156.85 session high. RSI(14) mid-range at 57 with price holding above EMA20/50; the 156.40 range base is intact.

Support: 156.40, 155.36

Resistance: 156.85, 157.87

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 156.85 opens the path to the 157.87 prior high
  • Failure to hold 156.40 range base breaks the higher-low chain
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Renewed intervention headlines near 155.36 remain a tail risk

08:01 UTC

Recovering off lows, grinding higher · RSI 58 · price 156.753

Higher lows since 155.45, capped near 156.85.

London session has USD/JPY grinding higher off the intervention-driven low near 155.45, holding a higher-low chain into a session high at 156.85. Price sits mid-range around 156.75 with RSI(14) neutral near 58; buyers stepped in at 156.32 repeatedly but the 156.85 cap is unbroken.

Support: 156.32, 155.45

Resistance: 156.85, 157.46

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 156.85 opens the path toward 157.46
  • Failure to hold 156.32 reopens the 155.45 area
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Renewed US-Japan intervention headlines remain a risk

08:01 UTC

Recovery off lows, consolidating · RSI 59 · price 156.753

Tight range after sharp drop.

Confirmed US-Japan yen-buying intervention drove USDJPY down to a 155.22 swing low before buyers recovered price into a tight consolidation, now pressing the 156.85 session high. RSI(14) near 59, ATR ~16 pips — grinding, not extended.

Support: 156.30, 155.42

Resistance: 156.85, 157.00

What it said to watch

  • Close above 156.85 session high opens the path to 157.00
  • Failure to hold the 156.30 range floor reopens the 155.42 swing low
  • US ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read

07:46 UTC

Recovering off lows, consolidating higher · RSI 61 · price 156.761

Post-sweep consolidation, micro higher lows.

Suspected US-Japan intervention drove USDJPY down to a 155.36 sweep before buyers stepped in; price has since ground back up and is consolidating 156.30–156.85 into the London session. Current bar at 156.76 sits at the top of that range with RSI(14) around 61, recovering roughly 57% of the 157.87–155.36 drop.

Support: 156.30, 155.42

Resistance: 156.85, 157.65

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 156.85 range high opens the path toward 157.65 prior high
  • Failure to hold 156.30 range low exposes the 155.42 swing low retest
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read

07:46 UTC

Recovering off intervention low · RSI 62 · price 156.761

Higher lows since 155.22, ranging 156.30–156.85.

USD/JPY is grinding higher off the 155.45 intervention low after suspected US-Japan yen-buying, now probing the session high near 156.85 with RSI(14) around 62. Price is stalling at the 0.618 retracement of the intervention drop; the 156.30 range base held through the Asia session.

Support: 156.30, 155.45

Resistance: 156.85, 157.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 156.85 opens the path to the 157.00 round number
  • Failure to hold 156.30 reopens the 155.45 intervention low
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 UTC and lingering intervention headlines could shift this read

07:31 UTC

Recovering from lows, consolidating · RSI 53 · price 156.572

Range-bound after intervention spike.

USDJPY was slammed to 155.23 on suspected US-Japan yen-buying intervention before buyers stepped in and dragged it back into a 156.30-156.85 range through the London session. RSI(14) sits mid-band near 53 with price hovering around EMA20; no directional setup in play.

Support: 156.30, 155.42

Resistance: 156.85, 157.15

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 156.85 opens the path back toward 157.15
  • Loss of 156.30 reopens the 155.42 intervention low
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 UTC plus fresh intervention headlines could shift this read

07:16 UTC

Recovering off intervention low, now flat · RSI 53 · price 156.578

Consolidation between 156.30 and 156.85.

Suspected US-Japan intervention flushed USDJPY to 155.42 earlier before a sharp recovery; London hours have since kept price boxed between 156.30 and 156.85. RSI(14) mid-range near 53 — no directional impulse, pure consolidation.

Support: 156.30, 156.00, 155.42

Resistance: 156.85, 157.00

What it said to watch

  • ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 UTC could break this range
  • M15 close above 156.85 opens the path to the 157.00 psych level
  • Failure to hold 156.30 range low exposes 156.00

07:16 UTC

Downtrend, basing after intervention · RSI 55 · price 156.578

Consolidation above the intervention low.

USDJPY is basing in a 156.30-156.85 range through the London morning after suspected coordinated intervention drove it to 155.42 last week. Price recovered off the low and is holding just below the session high, RSI(14) neutral near 55; no directional resolution yet.

Support: 156.30, 155.42

Resistance: 156.85, 157.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 156.85 session high opens 157.00 psych
  • Loss of 156.30 range low re-exposes 155.42 interv. low
  • US ISM Manufacturing at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read

07:02 UTC

Recovering off lows, grinding higher · RSI 62 · price 156.752

Higher lows building after intervention flush.

USDJPY was driven to 155.42 (May-6 low) on suspected US-Japan intervention, then recovered into a 156.30–156.55 consolidation through the London session. Recent bars broke to a 156.85 session high with RSI(14) near 62 and ATR ~15 pips; a chain of higher lows is holding.

Support: 156.30, 155.42

Resistance: 156.85, 157.88

What it said to watch

  • Close above 156.85 session high opens the pre-drop high at 157.88
  • Failure to hold the 156.30 range low reopens the 155.42 may-6 low
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read

07:01 UTC

Recovery bounce, momentum building · RSI 61 · price 156.752

Range break higher off intervention low.

USDJPY broke above the London consolidation near 156.55 and pushed to a session high at 156.85, RSI(14) around 61 with room. Move follows the intervention flush to 155.42; USD stayed soft after suspected US-Japan yen buying capped the pair.

Support: 156.30, 156.00, 155.42

Resistance: 156.85, 157.06, 157.87

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.06 opens the path toward the 157.87 rally high
  • Loss of 156.30 range low reopens the 156.00 psych level
  • US ISM Manufacturing at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read

06:47 UTC

Recovery off intervention low · RSI 62 · price 156.811

Higher lows after sweep, breaking consolidation top.

USD/JPY gapped lower over the weekend and spiked to 155.36 on suspected intervention during Asia, then ground back up through the session. Price is pushing out the 156.30–156.60 consolidation top to a fresh session high near 156.81, RSI(14) around 62.

Support: 156.32, 155.42

Resistance: 157.51

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 156.32 consol floor puts the 155.42 intervention low back in focus
  • Sustained move through 157.51 prior swing extends the recovery
  • US ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Renewed intervention headlines near 155.45 would cap any upside

06:46 UTC

Recovery off flush low, grinding up · RSI 64 · price 156.811

Base built above 155.42, breaking consolidation top.

Asian session flushed to 155.42 on suspected intervention before buyers rebuilt a 156.3–156.6 base through the last 6 hours. Price is now pushing the base floor top toward 156.81, RSI(14) ~64 and rising into the London open.

Support: 156.36, 155.42

What it said to watch

  • Sustained close above 156.60 confirms the breakout from base floor
  • Loss of 156.36 base floor reopens the path back to the 155.42 flush low
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 UTC could reprice the dollar leg and shift this read

06:32 UTC

Sharp drop, now consolidating · RSI 56 · price 156.656

Recovering off spike low, ranging 156.30-156.69.

USD/JPY was slammed to 155.22 on suspected Japanese intervention before basing and grinding back to 156.65. Price now consolidates in a tight 156.30-156.69 band with RSI(14) recovered to neutral; roughly half the intervention drop has been retraced.

Support: 156.30, 155.42, 155.22

Resistance: 156.69, 157.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 156.69 opens the path back toward the 157.00 psych level
  • Loss of 156.30 puts the 155.42 recovery base back in play
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Renewed intervention headlines would reprice the whole range

06:31 UTC

Downtrend, stabilising after sweep · RSI 56 · price 156.656

Consolidation above intervention low.

Suspected US-Japan intervention drove a vertical drop from 157.87 into a 155.22 session low, since recovered into a tight 156.30-156.69 range. Price now testing the range top at 156.69 with RSI(14) mid-50s; no directional resolution yet.

Support: 156.30, 155.42, 155.22

Resistance: 156.69, 157.06, 157.87

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 156.69 opens the path back toward 157.06
  • Loss of 156.30 range floor re-exposes the 155.42 sweep low
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Renewed intervention headlines would spike JPY and break this range

06:17 UTC

Recovering off lows, now flat · RSI 46 · price 156.42

Consolidation after sweep low.

Early Asia saw a sharp sweep down to 155.42 — the May-6 low area tied to suspected US-Japan intervention — before buyers reclaimed the figure. Price has since gone flat, ranging 156.30–156.64 with RSI(14) mid-40s and no directional impulse in play.

Support: 156.30, 155.42

Resistance: 156.64, 157.25

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 156.64 range top opens 157.25 prior high
  • Failure to hold 156.30 range floor re-exposes 155.42 sweep low
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 UTC could break this range
  • Renewed intervention headlines would override the intraday read

06:16 UTC

Downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 45 · price 156.424

Range at session lows after sharp sell-off.

USDJPY sold off hard through the Asia session to 155.36 as the dollar sits pinned near six-week lows and MoF intervention risk lingers; buyers stepped in and price recovered into a 156.30–156.64 range, now flat around 156.42. Momentum has stalled — RSI(14) mid-range, price below EMA20/50.

Support: 156.30, 155.36

Resistance: 156.64, 157.15

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 156.30 opens a retest of the 155.36 session low
  • M15 close above 156.64 breaks the range top toward 157.15
  • US ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 UTC could reset the intraday read

06:01 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling · RSI 48 · price 156.424

Consolidation after sharp selloff.

USD/JPY sold off sharply through the Asian session to a 155.36 low before buyers absorbed the move, and price now consolidates in a tight 156.37–156.64 band. RSI(14) sits neutral near 48 after unwinding the earlier oversold spike; the dollar stays heavy near six-week lows.

Support: 156.37, 155.36

Resistance: 156.64, 157.86

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 156.64 range high opens the path back toward 157.86
  • Failure to hold 156.37 range low reopens the 155.36 swing low
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 UTC could shift this read

06:01 UTC

Downtrend, paused in range · RSI 44 · price 156.424

Consolidation after sweep of lows.

USD/JPY was swept down to 155.23 in early Asian trade before recovering to 156.4, with the intervention theme keeping the pair heavy near six-week lows. Since the bounce price has coiled in a tight 156.37–156.64 range, RSI(14) in the mid-40s, no directional break.

Support: 156.37, 155.36

Resistance: 156.64

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 156.64 breaks the range top
  • Loss of 156.37 reopens the 155.36 swing low
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 UTC could shift this read

05:46 UTC

Downtrend stalling into consolidation · RSI 46 · price 156.412

Sharp drop, now ranging above the low.

USDJPY sold off hard through the Asia session to a 155.22 spike low then bought straight back, consistent with a heavy dollar near six-week lows and the lingering intervention theme. Price now consolidates 156.30–156.64, RSI(14) flat near 46 with no momentum on either side.

Support: 156.30, 155.42

Resistance: 156.64, 157.05

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 156.64 breaks the range top and reopens 157.05
  • Loss of 156.30 range floor exposes the 155.42 swing low
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 UTC could reprice USD and break this range

05:46 UTC

Recovering off lows, now flat · RSI 47 · price 156.412

Tight range after sharp selloff and bounce.

USDJPY sold off hard to 155.42 in early Asia before buyers reclaimed the level, then coiled into a tight 156.30–156.66 range. Price is pinned near 156.41, roughly the 38–50% retrace of the drop, RSI(14) neutral near 47.

Support: 156.30, 155.42

Resistance: 156.66, 157.46

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 156.66 range top opens 157.46 prior high
  • Loss of 156.30 range low exposes the 155.42 session low
  • US ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 UTC could break this range

05:31 UTC

Recovering off sharp drop, now flat · RSI 50 · price 156.46

Consolidation after Asia-session sweep.

Asia session swept down to 155.36 before buyers recovered the pair back to 156.5; price now ranges 156.20–156.65 with RSI(14) flat near 50. Broad dollar softness near six-week lows keeps a lid overhead while intervention headlines cap follow-through either way.

Support: 156.20, 155.36

Resistance: 156.65, 157.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 156.65 opens a push toward the 157.00 psych level
  • Break below 156.20 reopens the 155.36 swing low
  • US ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read

05:17 UTC

Downtrend, stabilising after sweep · RSI 46 · price 156.431

Consolidation above session low.

USDJPY swept the Asia session low to 155.36 around the intervention floor before snapping back to 156.6; price now consolidates in a tight 156.2-156.6 band, RSI(14) mid-range near 46. Dip-buyers absorbed the flush near the 158-region defended zone but momentum stays capped below 156.63.

Support: 156.18, 155.36

Resistance: 156.63

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 156.18 reopens the 155.36 sweep low
  • M15 close above 156.63 range top targets 157.0
  • ISM Manufacturing at 14:00 UTC could break the consolidation

05:16 UTC

Downtrend, stabilising into range · RSI 47 · price 156.431

Consolidation above session low.

USDJPY sold off sharply to 155.36 last session on renewed yen intervention flow, then recovered and is now boxed between 156.30 and 156.64 into Asia hours. RSI(14) sits neutral near 46 with price pinned around EMA20; no directional break in play.

Support: 156.30, 155.42

Resistance: 156.64, 157.25

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 156.64 opens the path back toward 157.25
  • Loss of 156.30 reopens the 155.42 swing low
  • US ISM Manufacturing at 14:00 UTC could shift this read

05:02 UTC

Sharp drop, now consolidating · RSI 48 · price 156.438

Range after Asia-session flush.

USDJPY flushed sharply to 155.22 during the Asia session amid ongoing intervention-driven volatility, then recovered to 156.5. Price is now consolidating in a tight 156.30–156.64 band, RSI(14) neutral near 48 and holding just above EMA20.

Support: 156.30, 155.42

Resistance: 156.64, 157.87

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 156.64 opens a path back toward the 157.87 prior high
  • Loss of 156.30 exposes the 155.42 swing low again
  • US ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read

05:01 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling · RSI 48 · price 156.438

Consolidating after intraday sweep low.

USD/JPY swept down to 155.22 amid post-intervention volatility before buyers reclaimed the 156-handle, and price is now consolidating 156.30–156.64 through the Asia session with RSI(14) flat near neutral. The recovery has retraced roughly half the 157.88–155.22 down-leg and momentum has stalled at the session high.

Support: 156.30, 155.42, 155.22

Resistance: 156.64, 157.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 156.64 extends the recovery toward 157.00
  • Failure to hold 156.30 reopens 155.42 and the 155.22 sweep low
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read

04:46 UTC

Downtrend, consolidating · RSI 44 · price 156.392

Sweep low then range recovery.

USD/JPY swept down to 155.36 during the London session on renewed yen strength, RSI(14) rebounding off the extreme. Price has since consolidated in a 156.20–156.64 band and sits just below EMA20, with the session high at 156.64 capping.

Support: 156.21, 155.363

Resistance: 156.64, 157.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 156.64 session high opens the 157.00 psych level
  • Loss of 156.20 range low reopens the 155.36 swing low
  • US ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 UTC could shift this read

04:46 UTC

Downdraft absorbed, now ranging · RSI 45 · price 156.401

Consolidation after sharp drop.

Weekend gap lower and a sharp Asian-session flush to 155.36 has been retraced, with price now coiling in a tight 156.21–156.64 range, RSI(14) mid-40s. Demand stepped in twice near 156.21 while 156.64 caps the bounce; ATR near 16 pips reflects the post-flush cooling.

Support: 156.21, 155.36

Resistance: 156.64, 157.06

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 156.64 opens the path back toward 157.06
  • Failure to hold 156.21 exposes the 155.36 swing low
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
  • 158.00 remains the flagged intervention zone above

04:31 UTC

Downtrend, stabilising after selloff · RSI 51 · price 156.517

Consolidation above the session low.

Monday Asia session opened with a sharp drop to 155.22 on yen-strength/intervention flows, then a recovery that has since stalled into a tight consolidation between 156.20 and 156.64. RSI(14) has cooled back to mid-range and price is hugging EMA20 while capped under EMA50.

Support: 156.20, 155.42, 155.22

Resistance: 156.64, 157.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 156.64 range high opens the path toward 157.00 psych
  • Failure to hold 156.20 range low re-exposes the 155.42 swing low
  • US ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 UTC could break this range

04:31 UTC

Downtrend, consolidating after bounce · RSI 53 · price 156.517

Recovery off 155.22 low, ranging 156.2-156.6.

USDJPY sold off sharply into the Asia session to a 155.22 swing low before buyers rejected the wick and pushed price back to 156.64. It has since stalled, ranging 156.20-156.64 with RSI(14) flat near 53; suspected MoF intervention remains the backdrop capping the wider recovery.

Support: 156.20, 155.42, 155.22

Resistance: 156.64, 157.15

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 156.20 reopens the 155.42/155.22 swing lows
  • Close above 156.64 range top exposes the 157.15 gap open
  • US ISM Manufacturing at 14:00 UTC could shift this read

04:17 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling · RSI 51 · price 156.457

Tight range after sharp drop.

USD/JPY sold off sharply to a 155.36 swing low before buyers recovered it to 156.5, then settled into a tight 156.2–156.6 range as post-intervention volatility faded into Asia hours. RSI(14) sits neutral near 50 with price holding under EMA20; the 155.36 low marks the session floor.

Support: 156.20, 155.36

Resistance: 156.64, 157.15

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 156.00 exposes the 155.36 swing low
  • Close above 156.64 session high opens the 157.15 gap area
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 UTC and intervention headlines could shift this read

04:16 UTC

Recovering off session low, now flat · RSI 48 · price 156.457

Tight consolidation after V-recovery.

Asia session swept down to 155.363 amid the JPY intervention overhang, then V-recovered sharply to reclaim 156.60. Price has since coiled into a tight 156.30–156.64 range, RSI(14) flat near 47 with momentum drained after the spike.

Support: 156.30, 155.36

Resistance: 156.64, 157.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 156.30 opens a retest of the 155.36 sweep low
  • M15 close above 156.64 targets the 157.00 psych level
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read

04:02 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling · RSI 46 · price 156.521

Sharp sell-off, now ranging after bounce.

USDJPY dropped sharply from 157.88 to 155.42 amid the suspected-intervention / heavy-dollar backdrop, then recovered and has coiled into a 156.20-156.65 range for the last several hours. RSI(14) is neutral near 46 and price is pinned around the EMA20 with volatility compressing after the flush.

Support: 156.20, 155.42

Resistance: 156.65, 157.00, 157.85

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 156.20 reopens the 155.42 swing low
  • M15 close above 156.65 puts the 157.00 area back in play
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI (14:00 UTC) could break this range later today

04:01 UTC

Downtrend, consolidating after drop · RSI 49 · price 156.521

Sharp leg lower, now ranging.

USDJPY dumped from 157.88 to a 155.36 spike low in Asian hours before buyers reclaimed the figure, and price has since stalled in a tight 156.20–156.64 band. The move fits the post-intervention whippy tone — sharp yen surges losing steam near the 158 floor. RSI(14) mid-range around 49, no momentum edge inside the range.

Support: 156.20, 155.36

Resistance: 156.64, 157.00, 157.88

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 156.20 reopens the 155.36 spike low
  • Close above 156.64 puts the 157.00 psych level in play
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 UTC could break this range

03:47 UTC

Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 56 · price 156.557

Consolidation after sweep low.

Early Asia swept down to 155.23 amid the MoF intervention overhang, then recovered to consolidate 156.20–156.64. RSI(14) mid-range near 56 as price grinds higher-lows off the sweep low, holding just above EMA20 but capped below the far-higher EMA50.

Support: 156.20, 155.23

Resistance: 156.64, 157.15

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 156.64 opens the 157.15 gap area
  • Loss of 156.20 range low exposes the 155.23 session low
  • US ISM Manufacturing at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read

03:46 UTC

Downtrend, bounce stalling · RSI 43 · price 156.557

Recovery off swept low, consolidating mid-range.

USD/JPY swept the 155.22 low during Asia hours then recovered into a 156.00–156.64 consolidation, currently pinned near the 50% retrace of the 157.88→155.22 drop with RSI mid-range. Intervention overhang around the MoF floor theme keeps two-way risk in play after the whipsaw lower.

Support: 156.00, 155.22

Resistance: 156.64, 157.50

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 156.64 opens the path back toward 157.50
  • Failure to hold 156.00 reopens the 155.22 low
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 UTC could shift the read via the USD leg

03:32 UTC

Downtrend, stabilising · RSI 49 · price 156.538

Sharp drop, swept 155.23, now ranging.

USDJPY sold off hard in early Asia, sweeping to 155.23 before buyers reclaimed to 156.5 as the intervention-driven whipsaw around the 158 area continues to unwind lower. Price now consolidates 156.03–156.64, sitting near the 50% retrace of the drop with RSI(14) back to neutral. ATR is elevated at ~46 pips off the flush.

Support: 156.03, 155.23

Resistance: 156.64, 157.85

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 156.64 session high opens a 157.85 pre-drop retest
  • Failure to hold 156.03 range low reopens the 155.23 sweep low
  • US ISM Manufacturing PMI today 14:00 UTC could shift this read

03:31 UTC

Downtrend, consolidating off lows · RSI 47 · price 156.538

Sharp selloff into 155.22, now ranging 156.2–156.6.

USDJPY dropped hard through the Asia session, spiking to 155.22 before buyers reclaimed toward 156.5 — roughly a 50% retrace of that leg amid JPY strength off the intervention overhang. Price is now coiling in a tight 156.2–156.6 range, RSI(14) recovering from oversold toward mid-40s, still below EMA20/50.

Support: 156.21, 155.42, 155.22

Resistance: 156.64, 157.06

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 156.64 opens the path to 157.06
  • Loss of 156.21 exposes 155.42 session low
  • US ISM Manufacturing 14:00 UTC could reshape this read via the dollar leg

03:16 UTC

Recovering off Monday-open lows · RSI 53 · price 156.573

Consolidating below 157 after sharp drop and bounce.

Monday Asia open printed a sharp drop to 155.22 before a swift recovery back above 156.50, and price is now consolidating in a tight 156.03–156.64 band. RSI(14) has cooled back to mid-range near 53; the session high at 156.64 caps the bounce so far.

Support: 156.03, 155.42, 155.22

Resistance: 156.64, 157.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 156.64 opens the path to the 157.00 round number
  • Failure to hold 156.03 consol low exposes 155.42 swing low
  • US ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read

03:02 UTC

Downtrend, bounce off session low · RSI 46 · price 156.496

Swept 155.22 low, now consolidating 156.02-156.63.

Early Asia swept down to a 155.22 session low before buyers stepped in, lifting price into a 156.02-156.63 consolidation with the 155.42 swing low holding on the retest. RSI(14) near 46 after basing, and ATR(14) ~48 pips reflects the intervention-charged volatility around this handle.

Support: 156.02, 155.42, 155.22

Resistance: 156.63, 157.00, 157.88

What it said to watch

  • Close below 155.22 session low reopens downside
  • Reclaim of 157.00 psych toward the 157.88 prior high negates the drop

03:01 UTC

Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 45 · price 156.496

Sharp sell-off, now consolidating above session low.

USDJPY sold off sharply through the Tokyo session, printing a 155.22 swing low on JPY strength before buyers stepped in for a 130-pip recovery to 156.50. Price is now consolidating in a tight 156.2–156.6 band with RSI(14) climbing back off oversold; the prior drop from 157.88 keeps supply overhead.

Support: 156.18, 155.22

Resistance: 156.63, 157.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 156.63 range top opens path toward the 157.00 gap area
  • Loss of 156.18 range low re-exposes the 155.22 swing low
  • Labor Cash Earnings (Tue 23:30 UTC) could reshape the JPY read

02:46 UTC

Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 41 · price 156.444

Sweep of session low then consolidation.

New week opened with a sharp leg down to 155.36 before buyers stepped in and dragged price back above 156.00, in line with the JPY intervention/hawkish-BoJ overhang keeping dips supported. Price is now consolidating 156.20-156.63 in early Asia hours, RSI(14) recovering from oversold near 40.

Support: 156.03, 155.36

Resistance: 156.63, 157.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 155.36 confirms a lower low and reopens the downside
  • Close above 156.63 session high targets the 157.00 area
  • Labor Cash Earnings (Tue 23:30 UTC) could reprice this JPY read

02:46 UTC

Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 43 · price 156.444

Sharp sell-off, recovery into range.

USDJPY sold off hard into the Asia session, sweeping a 155.23 session low from the 157.88 pre-drop high before buyers recovered price back to 156.44. Now consolidating 156.18–156.63 after the drop, RSI(14) lifting off oversold near 43.

Support: 156.18, 155.23

Resistance: 156.63, 157.55, 157.88

What it said to watch

  • Close back above 156.63 range top opens 157.55
  • Loss of 155.23 session low resumes the decline
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI (14:00 UTC) is the main risk later today

02:31 UTC

Downtrend, recovering off flush low · RSI 47 · price 156.495

Sweep of 155.36 then rising lows, ranging under 156.63.

USDJPY flushed sharply to 155.36 on suspected intervention-driven selling before buyers stepped in, and price has since built a chain of higher lows back toward the 156.63 session high. Now consolidating 156.0–156.6 just below EMA20, RSI(14) recovering off oversold to ~46.

Support: 156.00, 155.363

Resistance: 156.63, 157.83

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 156.63 extends the recovery toward the 157.83 prior high
  • Failure to hold 156.00 reopens the 155.36 swing low
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read

02:17 UTC

Downtrend, corrective bounce underway · RSI 49 · price 156.541

Lower lows, reclaimed 155.22 flush.

Asia session opened with a sharp flush to 155.22 amid ongoing intervention-linked JPY volatility, immediately reclaimed as buyers stepped in back toward 156.63. Price now stalling at the 50% retrace (~156.55) of the 157.88–155.22 drop, coiling in a tight 156.18–156.63 range with RSI(14) recovering to neutral.

Support: 156.03, 155.22

Resistance: 156.63, 157.06, 157.88

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 156.63 opens the path to 157.06
  • Failure to hold 156.00 re-exposes the 155.22 flush low
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read

02:16 UTC

Downtrend, bounce underway · RSI 46 · price 156.541

Flush to 155.22 then recovery.

Asia session staged a recovery after a sharp flush to 155.22; USD/JPY snapped back above 156.00 as the dollar firmed on Friday's data. Price is now holding around a 50% retrace of that drop near 156.50 with RSI(14) climbing off the selloff lows, still below both EMAs.

Support: 156.00, 155.225

Resistance: 156.68, 157.85

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 156.00 reopens the 155.22 session low
  • Reclaim of 156.68 extends the retrace toward 157.85
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 UTC could shift this read

02:02 UTC

Downtrend, flush then stabilising · RSI 44 · price 156.379

Sharp break lower, now consolidating above swing low.

USD/JPY flushed ~265 pips in the Asia session, from 157.88 to a 155.225 swing low on renewed intervention-driven JPY strength, then reclaimed the 156.00 round number. Price is now consolidating below the 156.45 session high with RSI(14) recovering from oversold; the sweep of 155.22 has been bought back so far.

Support: 156.00, 155.42, 155.225

Resistance: 156.451, 157.00, 157.88

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 156.45 session high opens a push toward 157.00
  • Loss of 155.42 recovery low reopens the 155.225 swing low
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI 14:00 UTC and intervention headlines could reset this read

02:01 UTC

Downtrend, sharp leg lower · RSI 38 · price 156.379

Lower lows, bouncing off session low.

Asia session broke sharply lower, USD/JPY dropping roughly 250 pips from 157.88 to a 155.36 session low amid intervention chatter, before buyers stabilised price near 156.35. RSI(14) recovering off the flush but still sub-40, with price pinned well below EMA20/50.

Support: 155.36

Resistance: 156.68, 157.83

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 156.68 swing high would ease the downside pressure
  • Loss of 155.36 session low confirms a fresh lower-low
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read

01:46 UTC

Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 42 · price 156.37

Sharp sell-off then recovery.

USDJPY dumped through the Asia session, sweeping to 155.225 before buyers stepped in and lifted it back to 156.37 — a move consistent with the JPY intervention theme still in play. Price sits mid-range of the drop with RSI(14) recovering off oversold; 156.66 caps the bounce so far.

Support: 155.225

Resistance: 156.66, 157.88

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 155.225 confirms a lower low
  • Close above 156.66 opens the path back toward 157.88
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI 14:00 UTC could shift this read
  • Intervention headlines remain a two-way risk near these levels

01:32 UTC

Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 38 · price 156.27

Lower lows, recovery from session low.

Sharp selloff into early Asia hours — USDJPY sliced through 156.00 and swept to 155.23 before buyers stepped in, bouncing to 156.27 amid the broader yen bid. RSI(14) recovering off oversold near 38; ATR is elevated at ~54 pips after the 130-pip impulse bars.

Support: 156.00, 155.23

Resistance: 156.68

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 156.68 swing high needed to ease downside pressure
  • M15 close below 155.23 session low confirms a lower low, extends the decline
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI today 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read

01:31 UTC

Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 41 · price 156.27

Lower highs and lows, recent sweep then recovery.

USDJPY sold off sharply into the Asia session, dropping from 157.88 to a 155.22 session low before buyers reclaimed 156.27. RSI(14) has lifted off oversold as the recovery pushes back toward the 156.66 recent high; price still trades well below the EMA20/50 after the leg lower.

Support: 155.22

Resistance: 156.66, 157.06

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 157.06 needed to challenge the prior swing
  • Failure to hold 155.22 session low confirms lower-low continuation
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 UTC could reshape the USD read

01:16 UTC

Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 37 · price 156.149

Lower lows, sharp selloff into 155.23 then recovery.

USDJPY sold off hard into 155.23 before a long lower wick recovered price to 156.15, leaving rejection at the lows. Price is now stalling under the 156.68 swing with RSI(14) lifting off oversold territory.

Support: 155.225

Resistance: 156.68

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 155.225 confirms a fresh lower low
  • Reclaim of 156.68 eases the immediate downside pressure
  • US ISM Manufacturing at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read

01:16 UTC

Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 37 · price 156.149

Sharp lower-low then partial recovery.

USDJPY sold off hard from 157.88 to 155.22 in three bars, then bounced to reclaim roughly a third of the move as the USD squeeze faded. Price is now pressing the 156.66 prior-high zone with RSI(14) recovering out of oversold; the 155.22 low is the session floor.

Support: 155.225

Resistance: 156.66, 157.00, 157.88

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 156.66 extends the recovery toward 157.00
  • Failure to hold 155.22 confirms a fresh lower-low
  • US ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 UTC could reset this read

01:02 UTC

Downtrend, sharp Asia-session sell-off · RSI 34 · price 156.206

Lower highs / lower lows, snapback off session low.

USDJPY sold off hard in the Asia session, slicing through 157 and 156 to sweep a low at 155.225 before snapping back to 156.20 — a move consistent with fresh yen strength through the flagged intervention zone. RSI(14) turning up from oversold near 33; buyers stepped in at 155.22 on the last two bars while 156.68 caps the recovery.

Support: 155.225

Resistance: 156.68

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 156.68 would neutralise the breakdown read
  • Failure to hold 155.22 confirms continuation of lower lows
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read

01:02 UTC

Downtrend, sharp selloff bouncing · RSI 34 · price 156.206

Lower low then reclaim off the low.

Asian session opened with a steep USD/JPY flush from 157.88 down to a 155.225 low, consistent with the yen-strength/hawkish-BoJ backdrop, before buyers stepped in and dragged price back to 156.20. RSI(14) near 34 lifting off oversold as the 155.225 low held; the bounce is retracing the selloff into the 156.68 swing high.

Support: 155.225

Resistance: 156.68, 157.00, 157.88

What it said to watch

  • Failure to hold above 155.225 opens further downside
  • Reclaim of 157.00 psych would neutralise the selloff read
  • Labor Cash Earnings Tue 23:30 UTC could reprice the yen and shift this read

00:46 UTC

Downtrend, momentum accelerating · RSI 19 · price 155.261

Lower lows, fresh breakdown.

USDJPY collapsed through 156.00 into the Asia session, printing a fresh low at 155.25 after two consecutive ~130-pip red bars — RSI(14) deep at 18. Momentum is one-directional with no reaction low yet holding; current bar is thin post-breakdown.

Support: 155.25, 155.00

Resistance: 156.66

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 156.66 would ease the breakdown
  • Failure to hold 155.00 opens further downside
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read

00:46 UTC

Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 22 · price 155.261

Lower highs, lower lows; fresh session low.

USDJPY sold off hard into the Asia session, cascading from 157.85 through 156.65 to a fresh low at 155.25 with RSI(14) pressed near 21. The move extends the post-intervention yen strength theme; price sits well below EMA20/50 with no reclaim of broken structure yet.

Support: 155.25

Resistance: 156.65, 157.85

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim above 156.65 needed to ease the downside pressure
  • RSI sub-20 flags stretched conditions, snapback risk into 156.65
  • US ISM Manufacturing PMI 14:00 UTC could reset this read

00:31 UTC

Downtrend, momentum accelerating · RSI 34 · price 156.537

Lower highs, lower lows; fresh session low.

USD/JPY sold off sharply into the Asia session, breaking 157.00 and printing a fresh low at 156.505 as post-BoJ yen buyers pressed. The current bar sits right on that low with RSI(14) near 34, momentum firmly down after a 130-pip impulse candle.

Support: 156.50, 156.00

Resistance: 157.06

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 157.06 would ease the downside pressure
  • Loss of 156.50 confirms continuation toward 156.00
  • US ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 UTC could reshape this read

00:31 UTC

Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 36 · price 156.537

Lower highs, broke below 157.00 into new low.

USDJPY gapped lower over the weekend and, after grinding sideways near 157.50, sold off through 157.00 in one impulsive bar to a fresh session low at 156.505, RSI(14) near 36. Price now sits well below the flagged 158.00 intervention zone with no reclaim of the broken 157.00 level yet.

Support: 156.505, 156.00

Resistance: 157.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 157.00 would ease the breakdown
  • Loss of 156.505 opens the path toward the 156.00 psych level
  • ISM Manufacturing today 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read

00:16 UTC

Intraday recovery, higher highs · RSI 63 · price 157.842

Gap-down open, HH/HL rebound toward session high.

USDJPY opened the week with a gap down to 157.15 and Monday Asia session has recovered off the 156.997 session low, stacking higher highs toward the 157.87 session high. Price sits back above EMA20 but under EMA50 following the muted post-BoJ hold; RSI mid-60s with room before overbought.

Support: 157.00

Resistance: 157.87, 158.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.87 session high opens the 158.00 psych level
  • Failure to hold the 157.00 session low reopens the gap-open lows
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 UTC could shift this read

00:02 UTC

Recovering off session low · RSI 53 · price 157.672

Higher lows after weekend gap.

Monday reopened with a gap lower to 157.15, and the Asia session has since recovered, tagging a session high at 157.87 before easing back to 157.67. Higher lows off the 157.00 area are intact with RSI(14) mid-range; price still sits under both EMAs after Friday's slide.

Support: 157.00, 156.60

Resistance: 157.87, 158.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 157.00 negates the recovery and reopens the 156.60 gap
  • Close above 157.87 extends the session recovery toward 158.00
  • US ISM Manufacturing at 14:00 UTC could reshape the USD read

00:01 UTC

Downtrend, near-term bounce · RSI 52 · price 157.672

Bounce off session low, lower highs above.

USDJPY gapped lower into the Asia session and dipped to 156.998 before buyers lifted it to a 157.87 session high, now easing back to 157.67. Move sits in the broader yen-strength backdrop after last week's BoJ hold and intervention scare; price holds a rising sequence of intraday lows but remains capped below 158.00.

Support: 156.998, 157.06

Resistance: 157.87, 158.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 157.06 reopens the 156.998 session low
  • Reclaim of 157.87 puts the 158.00 psych level in play
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI (Mon 14:00 UTC) could reprice this read

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