The week climbed steadily from Monday's ~157.17 open to a high near 158.55 into Thursday's NY session, then Friday's shock US NFP (-23K vs +80K) triggered a violent flush to 156.67 before price recovered to ~157.55. That leaves a clear lower high and price back below EMA20/EMA50 for the first time this week, now consolidating mid-drop as RSI lifts off its post-NFP lows. Bounce attempts stalled at 157.95, and the 157.30 area has capped the downside since.
Support: 157.30, 156.673
Resistance: 157.95, 158.552
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 157.95 would negate the NFP reversal read
Failure to hold 157.30 reopens the 156.67 NFP low
US CPI on Aug 12 is the dominant catalyst that could reshape this read
USDJPY spiked down from the mid-158s to 156.67 on the shock NFP miss (-23K vs +80K) before snapping back to 157.99, then fading into a tight 157.30–157.60 consolidation. Price now sits below both EMA(20) and EMA(50) after the impulse, with the 158.06 pivot capping any recovery attempts. RSI(14) has lifted off oversold toward 42 as the pair bases under the prior range.
Support: 157.30, 157.18, 156.673
Resistance: 157.95, 158.06
What it said to watch
US CPI Aug 12 12:30 GMT is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
H1 close below 157.18 opens the path back toward the 156.67 spike low
Reclaim of the 158.06 pivot would neutralise the post-NFP break lower
Any US-Japan intervention headlines could force a sharp move
19:02 UTC
Week-long grind up reversed lower after NFP · RSI 42 · price 157.545
Sharp reversal, now consolidating post-shock.
USD/JPY ground higher all week into a 158.40 pre-nfp top, then the -23K July payrolls shock at 12:30 GMT slammed it to a 156.67 spike low as the dollar was sold hard. Price has since bounced to consolidate near 157.5, capped by the 157.95 bounce high and sitting below the reclaimed 200d sma at 158.06. RSI(14) recovered off oversold but stalled sub-50, with price trading below both EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 157.18, 156.67
Resistance: 157.95, 158.06, 158.40
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 158.06 (200d sma) reopens the pre-nfp range
Failure to hold 157.18 swing low exposes the 156.67 spike low
US CPI Wed Aug 12 12:30 GMT is the decisive catalyst; a hot print risks a USD squeeze
Sharp lower-high after range break, ranging 157.30–157.95.
Price ground higher all week from Monday's 156.91 open to a 158.55 peak before the US July payrolls collapse (-23K vs +80K) hammered the dollar, driving USDJPY ~185 pips lower to 156.67 in a single NY-session bar. It has since recovered into a 157.30–157.95 consolidation, sitting below both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) around 44. The prior uptrend structure is broken; 157.30 has absorbed several dips post-shock.
Support: 157.30, 156.673
Resistance: 157.95, 158.30
What it said to watch
H1 close below 157.30 exposes the 156.67 nfp low
Reclaim of 158.30 needed to repair the broken uptrend
US CPI (Aug 12) is the decisive catalyst and could reshape this read
Sharp rejection from 158.55 week high, first lower high forming.
USD/JPY climbed steadily from Monday's 156.75 open to a 158.55 week high before the July NFP miss (-23K vs +80K) triggered a violent reversal, spiking down to 156.673 in the NY session before recovering to 157.50. Price now sits back below the 200-day SMA near 158.06 and its EMA20, having swept the prior week's structure and posted a lower high at 157.95. RSI(14) has rolled toward 43 as this week's momentum flipped from up to down.
Support: 157.18, 156.673
Resistance: 157.95, 158.06, 158.552
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 158.06 (200d sma) would repair the broken uptrend
Loss of 157.18 swing low exposes the 156.673 sweep low
US CPI on Aug 12 is the next high-impact catalyst for this pair
Sharp reversal off week highs, now consolidating below EMAs.
USD/JPY ground higher through the week to a 158.55 double top before the shock July payrolls miss (-23K vs +80K) triggered a violent leg down, spiking to the 156.67 nfp low before closing back near 157.40. Price is now consolidating in a 157.18–157.95 band, capped by the bounce high and sitting below both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI mid-40s. The prior uptrend structure is broken after that single-bar reversal.
Support: 157.18, 156.67
Resistance: 157.95, 158.55
What it said to watch
Loss of 157.18 swing low exposes the 156.67 nfp low
H1 close back above 157.95 bounce high would reassert the pre-NFP range toward the double top
US CPI on Aug 12 is the next high-impact catalyst and could reprice this read
Week rally reversed off 158.55, fading below broken uptrend.
USDJPY climbed steadily since Monday to a week high at 158.55, but the -23K US NFP miss knocked it sharply lower into the NY session, spiking to 156.67 before a partial recovery. Price now sits below EMA(20) and EMA(50) around 157.46 with RSI(14) in the mid-40s after the reset. The 200-day area near 158.06 has capped the bounce, and 157.30 is holding as the intraday floor.
Support: 157.30, 156.67
Resistance: 158.06, 158.55
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 158.06 (200-day sma) would reassert the week's uptrend
Failure to hold 157.30 exposes the 156.67 nfp low
US CPI Fri Aug 12 is the decisive test for whether the post-NFP dovish shift sticks
Price ground higher from Monday's ~157.02 open into a 158.55 week high by yesterday's NY session, holding above EMA(20) the whole way. The -23K NFP miss then triggered a ~170-pip flush that swept 156.67 before a partial recovery, leaving price back below EMA(20) around 157.46. The bounce stalled at 157.95 and the prior 158.06 shelf now caps the recovery attempt.
Support: 157.24, 156.67
Resistance: 157.95, 158.06, 158.55
What it said to watch
H1 close below 157.24 exposes the 156.67 week low
Reclaim of 158.06 needed to repair the NFP breakdown
Fed's Barkin remarks today could shift the post-NFP tone
USDJPY climbed all week from Monday's 156.67 area, reclaiming the 200-day SMA near 158.06 and peaking at 158.55 as the yen stayed soft with no intervention follow-up. The soft US NFP print (-23K vs +80K) then drove a violent sweep of the weekly low at 156.67 before a recovery to 157.95, leaving price back below both EMA20 and EMA50 and mid-way through this week's advance. The 200-day SMA at 158.06 has flipped to overhead resistance after the breakdown.
Support: 157.24, 156.673
Resistance: 157.95, 158.06, 158.552
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 158.06 200d sma would neutralise the breakdown
Failure to hold 157.24 swing low re-exposes the 156.67 weekly low
US CPI Aug 12 is the dominant catalyst for the next leg
USDJPY spent the week grinding higher above EMA(20) into 158.57, but the US NFP miss (-23K vs +80K) gutted the dollar and triggered a 170-pip spike lower on the release bar down to 156.67. Price snapped back to 157.95 in the NY session but was rejected there, closing back near 157.49 and now sitting below both EMA(20) and EMA(50). The week's uptrend structure has broken with RSI rolling off prior highs into the low 40s.
Support: 157.24, 156.673
Resistance: 157.95, 158.06, 158.572
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 158.06 would restore this week's uptrend structure
Failure to hold 157.24 exposes the 156.67 NFP low
US CPI on Wed Aug 12 could materially shift this read
USD/JPY climbed all week reclaiming the 200-DMA at 158.06 and topping near 158.57 into the NY session Friday. The July NFP shock (-23K vs +80K forecast) triggered a sharp flush to 156.67, sweeping the week's low, before a near-full recovery back to 157.93. Price now sits back below EMA20 with the 158.06 pivot capping the rebound.
Support: 157.24, 156.673, 156.592
Resistance: 158.06, 158.572
What it said to watch
H1 close above 158.06 re-opens the week high at 158.57
Failure to reclaim EMA20 keeps price pinned below the 200-dma pivot
USD/JPY climbed steadily from Monday's 156.59 open to a weekly high at 158.55 by midweek, reclaiming the 158.06 pivot as record yen shorts and no follow-up intervention kept the dollar bid. The July NFP shock (-23K vs +80K) then detonated a ~170-pip plunge to 156.67 — sweeping Monday's low — before a sharp NY-hours recovery back to 157.93. That drop severed the week's rising-low trendline, and price now sits pinned just under the 158.06 pivot.
Support: 157.24, 156.673
Resistance: 158.06, 158.552
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 158.06 pivot would repair the broken uptrend
Failure to hold 157.24 reopens the 156.67 swing low
US CPI Tue Aug 12 is the next decisive catalyst for this pair
USDJPY trended up all week from Monday's 156.56 open to 158.55, holding above the 200-DMA at 158.06 through Thursday's NY session. The soft US NFP print (-23K vs +80K) then triggered a sharp reversal, wicking to 156.67 before recovering to 157.75, dragging price back below both EMA20 and EMA50. The 200-DMA that was support now caps as resistance and the week's rising structure has broken.
Support: 157.18, 156.67
Resistance: 158.06, 158.55
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 158.06 re-opens the week high at 158.55
Failure to hold 157.18 exposes the 156.67 sweep low
US CPI Aug 12 is the decisive input and could reshape this read
USD/JPY climbed a clean higher-low channel from Monday's 156.56 open through Thursday's 158.57 high, then the -23K NFP shock (vs +80K f/c) triggered a sharp drop to 156.67 before buyers recovered price to 157.75. The reversal severed the week's rising structure and dropped price back below EMA20/50, with the 158.06 prior floor now overhead. RSI(14) rolled off the highs to the low-40s as the spike unwound the week's grind.
Support: 157.24, 156.67, 156.56
Resistance: 158.06, 158.57
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 158.06 would restore the broken up-structure
Failure to hold 157.24 re-exposes the 156.67 spike low
US CPI Tue Aug 12 12:30 GMT is the decisive catalyst for this read
Week-long rise rejected at 158.57, back below EMAs.
USD/JPY ground higher from Monday's 156.24 open through the London and NY sessions, printing a weekly high at 158.57 before a soft US NFP print sparked a sharp reversal. The final bar swept down to 156.67 and recovered to 157.33, breaking the week's rising support and dropping price back below both EMAs. RSI(14) has rolled over from overbought toward 40 as momentum flips lower.
Support: 157.18, 156.673
Resistance: 158.06, 158.572
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 158.06 prior floor would negate the reversal read
Failure to hold 157.18 prior swing opens 156.67 spike low
Fed's Bowman (Aug 8) and US CPI (Aug 12) are the next catalysts for this pair
USDJPY climbed steadily since Monday's open, reclaiming 158.00 and tagging a 158.40 week high through the NY sessions before today's NFP flipped the tape. The print triggered a sharp reversal that swept down to 156.67 and closed at 157.33, snapping the week's rising higher-lows and dropping price back below EMA20 and EMA50. RSI has cracked from the mid-60s down toward 40 as the drop unwound this week's momentum in a single bar.
Support: 157.18, 156.673, 156.49
Resistance: 158.06, 158.40
What it said to watch
Hourly close back above 158.06 (200-day sma) needed to repair the break
Failure to hold 157.18 support opens the path toward the 156.49 weekly open
Follow-through from the NFP reaction and any intervention headlines could extend the move
12:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 55 · price 158.32
Higher highs into weekly top, now consolidating.
USDJPY ground higher all week from Monday's 156.24 low, with the dominant leg coming in Thursday's NY session as spot reclaimed the 200-day near 158.06 and printed a weekly high at 158.55, in line with the soft-yen tone after weak Japanese household spending. Price has since stalled into a tight 158.30-158.55 band, dipping just under the H1 EMy20 as RSI cools off from the breakout. The 158.55 week high remains unbroken and 160.00 stands as the psychological cap flagged for intervention risk.
Support: 158.06, 157.30
Resistance: 158.55, 160.00
What it said to watch
US NFP due ~12:30 GMT is the dominant driver and could materially shift this read within the hour
H1 close above 158.55 opens the path toward the 160.00 psych level
Failure to hold 158.06 (200-day) exposes the 157.30 swing low
Consolidation under session high after week-long advance.
USDJPY has trended higher since Monday's 156.30 low, reclaiming the 200-day near 158.06 and extending to a 158.57 session high before stalling into the mid-158s. Weak Japanese household spending kept the soft-yen tone intact, but the last ~20 bars have coiled in a tight 158.2-158.5 band with RSI(14) flattening near 50 and price pinned to EMA20. The advance holds well above EMA50, but upside momentum has thinned into the US payrolls print.
Support: 158.06, 157.25, 156.30
Resistance: 158.55, 159.20
What it said to watch
US NFP due imminently (12:30 GMT) is the dominant driver — could break this consolidation either way
H1 close above 158.55 opens the path toward 159.20
Close back below 158.06 (200-day) exposes 157.25 support
160.00 flagged as intervention-risk zone if the advance extends
11:02 UTC
Uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 53 · price 158.315
Consolidation below week high after breakout.
USDJPY has trended higher since Monday's open, with the dominant leg coming in the NY session yesterday as the dollar was broadly bid on safe-haven flows and hawkish Fed repricing; price cleared the 158.06 200-DMA and printed a 158.57 week high. Since then it has been consolidating in the mid-158s, drifting back to the EMA20 as RSI(14) cools off its highs. The 158.57 cap has held two attempts and buyers keep defending above the reclaimed 200-DMA.
Support: 158.06, 157.30
Resistance: 158.57, 160.00
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
H1 close below 158.06 exposes 157.30 then the week low
Break above 158.57 opens the path toward the 160.00 intervention zone
11:01 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 55 · price 158.315
Higher highs since Monday, ranging above 158.00 breakout.
USDJPY climbed steadily from Monday's 156.24 open and cleared the 158.00 breakout during Wednesday's NY session, JPY pressured by soft June household spending (-3.3% YoY) and fading post-intervention flows. Price has since coiled in the mid-158s, capped twice at 158.55 (the week high), with RSI(14) drifting back to the mid-50s as momentum stalls. Price is holding above EMA(50) but has slipped under EMA(20) during this consolidation.
Support: 158.06, 157.25
Resistance: 158.55, 160.00
What it said to watch
US Nonfarm Payrolls at 12:30 GMT is the dominant catalyst — could materially shift this read
Close above 158.55 opens the path toward the 160.00 psych zone
Close below 158.06 breakout exposes 157.25
10:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 58 · price 158.36
Higher highs into consolidation below week high.
USDJPY has ground higher off Monday's 156.24 low, with the dominant push coming in the NY session yesterday as price cleared 157.9 and spiked to a 158.57 week high on soft Japan household spending and a firm safe-haven dollar. Since then it has consolidated in the mid-158s, holding above the 158.06 200-DMA pivot while RSI(14) eases back toward the mid-50s. The week high at 158.55 has capped the last attempt.
Support: 158.06, 157.25, 156.24
Resistance: 158.55, 160.00
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT (~2.5h) is the dominant catalyst and can materially shift this read
H1 close above 158.55 opens the path toward the 160.00 psych cap
Loss of 158.06 exposes 157.25 then the 156.24 week low
10:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 57 · price 158.36
Higher highs, consolidating below week high.
USDJPY has climbed steadily since Monday's 156.66 open, with JPY on the back foot as post-intervention flows unwind and June household spending crashed to -3.3%. Price broke and reclaimed the 158.06 200-DMA into Thursday's NY session and is now consolidating 158.30-158.50 just below the 158.55 week high. RSI(14) has cooled from the highs while price holds above EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 158.06, 157.25, 156.66
Resistance: 158.55, 160.00
What it said to watch
US NFP today 12:30 GMT is the dominant catalyst for the next bars
H1 close above 158.55 opens the path toward the 160.00 area
Loss of the 158.06 200-DMA exposes 157.25 then 156.66
09:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 57 · price 158.362
Higher highs, consolidating below week high.
USDJPY has ground higher since Monday's 156.24 low, with the dominant leg firing in Thursday's NY session as the intervention afterglow faded and soft Japan household spending (-3.3%) added pressure. Price is now consolidating in a tight 158.20-158.55 band, holding above EMA20 with RSI cycling in the mid-50s. The 158.55 week high has capped two attempts this week and remains the level to watch.
Support: 158.20, 157.66
Resistance: 158.55, 159.00
What it said to watch
US NFP + wages at 12:30 GMT (~3h) is the dominant near-term driver for this pair
H1 close above 158.55 opens the path toward 159.00
Loss of 158.20 exposes 157.66 and unwinds the consolidation
USDJPY has trended up since Monday's open, with the dominant leg coming in the NY session Thursday as the breakout cleared 158.00 and printed a 158.55 week high — JPY soft on the intervention retrace and weak household spending. Price is now consolidating mid-158s just under that high, RSI cycling in the upper half. NFP is the swing factor into the next bars.
Support: 157.25
Resistance: 158.55, 159.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 158.55 opens the path to 159.00
Failure to hold 158.06 exposes 157.25 swing low
US NFP + wages in ~4h could materially shift this read
08:01 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating at highs · RSI 61 · price 158.399
Higher highs, breakout holding above 200-dma.
USD/JPY broke through the 200-day SMA at 158.06 during yesterday's NY session and pushed to a week high at 158.57 as JPY stayed soft post-intervention. Price is now consolidating in the mid-158s, holding above EMA20 with RSI(14) cycling in the upper 50s-low 60s. The 158.06 breakout level is the near-term pivot into today's data.
Support: 158.06, 157.30
Resistance: 158.57, 160.00
What it said to watch
US NFP today 12:30 GMT is the dominant driver — could materially shift this read
H1 close back below 158.06 reopens 157.30
Close above 158.57 extends toward the 160.00 psych zone
08:01 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 58 · price 158.399
Higher highs, breakout then range.
USD/JPY broke above the 200-day SMA at 158.06 during the NY session yesterday, spiking to mid-158s on a firmer dollar as the intervention afterglow faded. Price has since consolidated in a tight 158.20–158.57 band with RSI holding the upper half. NFP later today is the dominant catalyst for the next leg.
Support: 158.20, 158.06, 157.30
Resistance: 158.57, 160.00
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the dominant driver — could materially shift this read
H1 close above 158.57 opens the path toward the 160.00 psych zone
Failure to hold 158.06 (200-dma) reopens the 157.30 swing low
Higher highs / higher lows, ranging under week high.
USDJPY has ground higher since Monday's 156.78 open, reclaiming the 200-day SMA at 158.06 on a clean breakout push through the NY session yesterday to a 158.55 week high. Price now sits above EMA20 and EMA50, consolidating in the mid-158s with RSI holding near 60. The 200-day SMA has flipped from cap to support beneath the current range.
Support: 158.06
Resistance: 158.55, 160.00
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst for the next bars
H1 close back below 158.06 200-day SMA would break the recovery structure
A push toward 160.00 revives intervention risk noted this week
USDJPY has climbed roughly three figures off Monday's 156.24 base, with the decisive leg firing during Thursday's NY session as USD firmed near DXY 100.00 on the Hormuz-driven oil/yield bid. Price reclaimed the 158.06 200-day cluster and printed a week high at 158.57 before stalling into a tight 158.30-158.55 band. RSI(14) is cycling near 60 as the advance flattens, and pullbacks are so far holding above EMA20.
Support: 158.06, 156.24
Resistance: 158.57, 160.00
What it said to watch
US NFP today 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
H1 close back below 158.06 200-sma cluster would break the recovery structure
USD/JPY has climbed steadily since Monday's open, reclaiming the 158.06 200-day SMA as the dollar rebounded on firm US jobless claims and fading JPY intervention support. Price broke above 158.06 into the NY session and stalled just below the 158.57 week high, now consolidating in a tight 158.3–158.5 band. RSI(14) has cooled off the highs while price holds above both EMA(20) and EMA(50).
Support: 158.06, 157.18
Resistance: 158.57, 160.00
What it said to watch
US NFP today 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst for the next bars
H1 close back below 158.06 exposes 157.18
Break above 158.57 week high opens the path toward 160.00
06:01 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 58 · price 158.324
Higher highs since Monday, holding above reclaimed 200-dma pivot.
USDJPY has climbed steadily since Monday's 156.24 low, clearing the 200-day pivot at 158.06 during the NY session yesterday and printing a 158.57 week high as intervention afterglow faded. Price is now consolidating in a tight 158.30-158.55 band with RSI holding the upper half. NFP at 12:30 UTC is the swing factor for this read.
Support: 158.06, 157.56, 157.18
Resistance: 158.57, 160.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 158.57 week high opens the path toward the 160.00 psych zone
Close below 158.06 200-dma exposes 157.56 then 157.18
US NFP at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
05:01 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 62 · price 158.384
Higher highs and higher lows since Monday.
USDJPY has ground higher off Monday's 156.24 low, reclaiming the 200-day SMA at 158.06 during the NY session as the dollar steadied on firmer yields and revived Fed-hike bets. Price is now consolidating just below the week high at 158.57 with RSI(14) holding in the low 60s and pullbacks finding the rising EMA(20). Momentum has flattened into the NFP window rather than reversing.
Support: 158.06, 157.56, 156.24
Resistance: 158.57, 160.00
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the swing factor for the next bars and could materially shift this read
H1 close back below 158.06 exposes 157.56 then the 157.18 area
A close above 158.57 opens the path toward the 160.00 intervention-risk zone
USDJPY has trended higher since Monday's 156.30 base, with the dominant leg during Wednesday's NY session clearing the 200-day SMA at 158.06 and printing a week high at 158.57. Price is holding above EMA(20) and EMA(50) and now consolidating in the upper 158s as intervention-afterglow yen support fades and the dollar steadies. Momentum has cooled into the range, with RSI cycling in the low 60s rather than pushing extremes.
Support: 158.06, 157.30
Resistance: 158.57, 160.00
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the near-term catalyst and could reset this read
H1 close below 158.06 200d sma exposes the 157.30 swing low
Break above 158.57 week high opens the path toward the 160.00 psych zone where intervention risk rises
04:01 UTC
Uptrend, extending · RSI 61 · price 158.401
Higher highs, consolidating near week high.
USDJPY broke through 158.00 during Thursday's NY session, extending a fourth straight day of Yen softness as the intervention afterglow fades. Price is now consolidating just under the 158.57 week high with RSI holding in the upper half and pullbacks so far respecting the 158.20 breakout level. Both EMAs sit below price and are rising, tracking the week's grind higher off Monday's 156.24 base.
Support: 158.20, 157.75
Resistance: 158.57, 160.00
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC today is the dominant catalyst for this pair
H1 close below 158.20 negates the breakout and re-opens 157.75
A close above 158.57 opens the path toward the 160.00 psych level
USD/JPY has climbed steadily since Monday's intervention low near 156.24 as the Yen extended a fourth day of softness, with the dominant leg coming in Thursday's NY session — a clean breakout above 157.85 into 158.55. Price now consolidates in a tight 158.20–158.55 band below the week high, holding well above EMA20 with RSI cycling in the 55–65 zone.
Support: 158.21, 157.85
Resistance: 158.57, 159.20
What it said to watch
US Nonfarm Payrolls at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read
H1 close above 158.57 opens the path toward the 159.20 area
Loss of 157.85 breakout would signal the leg is failing back into range
USD/JPY has been in an uptrend since Monday's 156.24 low, with the breakout above 158.20 during yesterday's session lifting the pair to a 158.57 week high. Price sits above EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) cycling in the low-60s, and the pullback into 158.20 has so far held as a retest. Renewed weakness has been tied to Japan fiscal concerns rather than broad USD strength.
Support: 158.20
Resistance: 158.57, 160.00
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the immediate cross-driver and could materially shift this read
Loss of 158.20 negates the breakout retest
Close above 158.57 week high opens the path toward the 160.00 intervention line
USDJPY has ground higher off Monday's 156.24 low, with the decisive leg breaking above 158.20 during yesterday's NY session as the Dollar snapped its two-day slide. Price is now consolidating just under the 158.57 week high with RSI(14) easing off but holding above 55, and both EMAs sit beneath price. The advance is driven more by JPY fiscal drag than USD strength, leaving the pair pinned between the 157.50 200-day EMA base and the week high.
Support: 158.20, 157.50
Resistance: 158.57, 160.00
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 158.57 opens the path toward the 160.00 intervention line
Failure to hold 158.20 exposes the 157.50 200d ema base
02:01 UTC
Uptrend, extending · RSI 62 · price 158.314
Higher highs and higher lows since Monday's low.
USDJPY has ground higher all week, rebuilding off Monday's 156.24 low as post-intervention flows unwound and the pair held above its rising EMA(20). The decisive leg came in the NY session yesterday, breaking 158.00 and printing a 158.57 week high before easing back toward 158.30. Price sits above both EMAs with RSI(14) cycling in the upper half but not yet stretched.
Support: 157.75
Resistance: 158.57, 160.00
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC (~11h) is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read
H1 close above 158.57 opens the path toward the 160.00 psych cap
Loss of 157.75 would mark the first lower low and threaten the week's uptrend
MoF verbal intervention near 158+ has repeatedly capped rallies this week
02:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum steady · RSI 62 · price 158.314
Higher highs, higher lows since Monday.
USDJPY has ground higher all week off Monday's 156.24 low, extending the post-intervention unwind and breaking above 158.00 into the latest NY session as fiscal-stimulus doubts sap yen support. Price sits above both EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) cycling in the 55-65 zone; the 158.55 week high capped the last push before a shallow pullback to 158.31. The 200-day area near 157.50 has been the base the pair keeps pinning above.
Support: 157.50
Resistance: 158.55, 160.00
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC (~11h) is the dominant driver and can reset this read
H1 close above 158.55 opens the path toward 160.00
Failure to hold 157.50 breaks the week's rising structure
MoF/intervention headlines near 158+ risk a sharp reversal toward 155.23
01:01 UTC
Uptrend, fresh breakout · RSI 68 · price 158.529
Higher highs after mid-week base.
USDJPY based around the 200-day EMA near 157.50 for most of the week before an NY-session breakout above 158.00 lifted the pair to a fresh week high at 158.57, extending the drift back up from Monday's 156.21 low. Price sits above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) elevated near 68, as post-intervention JPY gains keep getting pared on intervention skepticism. The 158.00-158.20 area now acts as the immediate pullback shelf.
Support: 158.20, 157.50
Resistance: 158.57, 159.00, 160.00
What it said to watch
US NFP today 12:30 UTC is the dominant driver and could reset this read
H1 close back below 158.00 would negate the breakout and re-open the 157.50 200-ema pivot
Hold above 158.00 keeps 159.00 psych in view, with 160.00 topside beyond
01:01 UTC
Uptrend, extended after breakout · RSI 67 · price 158.529
Higher highs into week high, consolidating under 158.55.
USDJPY has ground higher all week off the 156.20 base, clearing 158.00 in Thursday's NY session as post-intervention JPY gains were pared for a third session. Price is now consolidating in a tight sub-15-pip range just under the 158.55 week high, holding well above EMA(20) with RSI cycling in the mid-60s. The move sits inside the broader consolidation pinned above the 157.50 200-day EMA pivot flagged in the JPY read.
Support: 158.00, 157.50
Resistance: 158.55, 159.00
What it said to watch
US Nonfarm Payrolls at 12:30 UTC is the dominant driver — a soft print reopens the path back toward 157.50
H1 close above 158.55 extends the breakout toward the 159.00 psych level
Loss of 158.00 puts the 157.50 200d ema pivot back in play
00:01 UTC
Uptrend, coiling near highs · RSI 65 · price 158.456
Higher highs, break above 158.00 holding.
USD/JPY has trended higher since Monday's 155.44 low, with the decisive break above 158.00 coming in yesterday's NY session as firmer USD and Japan fiscal worries weighed on the yen. Price is coiling just under the 158.55 week high, holding above EMA20 with RSI in the mid-60s. The 158.20 breakout level is the nearest structural pivot below.
Support: 158.20
Resistance: 158.55, 160.00
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term driver and could reshape this read
H1 close back below 158.20 would negate the breakout
160.00 intervention line remains the topside magnet
00:01 UTC
Uptrend, extended · RSI 66 · price 158.456
Higher highs, breakout above 158 then consolidation.
USDJPY has ground higher since Monday's 155.44 low, with the yen bleeding back intervention gains on Japan fiscal doubts and firmer USD into NFP. The pair broke the 158.20 shelf during yesterday's NY session and printed a 158.55 week high, now coiling in a sub-30-pip band just below it. RSI(14) around 66 reflects sustained momentum without a clean divergence, and price holds well above EMA(20)/EMA(50).
Support: 158.20, 157.50
Resistance: 158.55, 160.00
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term driver and could reset this read
H1 close back below 158.20 breaks the retest shelf and reopens 157.50 pivot
Sustained trade above 158.55 opens the path toward the 160.00 intervention zone