USD/JPY AI Live Scan, 1-hour chart, Monday, 9 November 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/JPY 1-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:02 UTC
Range-bound, drifting lower since the weekly open · RSI 44 · price 157.922
Lower highs on Monday inside last week's 157.25–158.67 range.
USD/JPY gapped below Friday's 158.53 prior close at the 158.22 weekly open and has printed lower highs through Monday. The NY-session drop to the 157.67 Monday low came as oil and Treasury yields slid on US-Iran ceasefire hopes, extending the unwind of the post-NFP dollar rally. Price sits below EMA(20) and EMA(50), near the 50% retrace of the Thursday–Friday leg and inside last week's range between the 157.25 prior low and the 158.67 prior high, with RSI(14) at 44.
Support: 157.67, 157.25
Resistance: 158.22, 158.53, 158.67
What it said to watch
Tue 13:30 UTC US CPI (core MoM f/c 0.2%) could materially shift this read; Waller speaks at 09:00 UTC
An H1 close below the 157.67 Monday low extends the lower-high sequence toward the 157.25 prior low
A reclaim of the 158.22 weekly open and the lower-highs trendline neutralises Monday's drift; above that, the 158.53 prior close and 158.67 prior high form the range top
22:02 UTC
Intraday lower highs inside a 157.25–158.74 range · RSI 45 · price 157.904
Monday gap-down and lower-high sequence, retracing Friday's NFP rally.
Monday opened with a ~30-pip gap below Friday's 158.53 close and printed a string of lower highs from the 158.525 monday high through London and NY. The USD pullback on lower oil and yields drove the slide to a 157.668 monday low late in NY. Price has bounced to 157.90, near the 50% retracement of Friday's NFP leg from the 157.254 week low, and sits under both EMAs. The broader 4-day range remains intact, capped by the 158.741 4-day high. Thursday's 157.537 thu low is the next reference beneath the Monday low.
Support: 157.668, 157.537, 157.254
Resistance: 158.187, 158.525, 158.741
What it said to watch
An H1 close above the 158.187 lower high breaks Monday's lower-high sequence and reopens 158.525
Failure to hold the 157.668 monday low exposes the 157.537 thu low and the 157.254 week low
US CPI Tue 13:30 UTC, preceded by Fed's Waller at 09:00 UTC, could materially shift this read
A sustained move above the 158.741 4-day high would invalidate the range read
USDJPY has held a 157.25–158.74 range since Wednesday. Friday's NFP beat lifted the pair from the 157.25 weekly low to the 158.58 nfp high, but Monday gapped down to a 158.22 weekly open and printed successive lower highs through London and NY. Falling oil and US yields eroded post-NFP gains while hawkish BoJ minutes supported the yen, and the late-NY dip to the 157.67 monday low briefly pierced the 61.8% retracement of the NFP leg before a bounce back under EMA(20) near 158.00, with RSI(14) soft at 44.
Support: 157.668, 157.254
Resistance: 158.00, 158.216, 158.579
What it said to watch
Hourly close below the 157.67 monday low exposes the 157.25 weekly low and the range floor
Reclaim of ema20 near 158.00, then the 158.22 weekly open, would break Monday's lower-high sequence
US CPI Tue 13:30 UTC (core MoM f/c 0.2%), preceded by Fed's Waller at 09:00 UTC, could materially shift this read; a hot print brings the 158.58 nfp high and the descending lower-highs line back into play
20:02 UTC
Range-bound, Monday leg lower inside the band · RSI 37 · price 157.764
Lower highs since Monday's Asia open; 157.85 floor broken late NY.
USD/JPY has rotated inside a 157.25–158.67 band since Wednesday. Friday's NFP-driven rally to 158.58 has given back most of its gains on Monday, with USD softer on US-Iran ceasefire hopes and lower yields and the yen supported by hawkish BoJ minutes. Lower highs at 158.52 and 158.19 capped the day, and a late-NY slip through the monday floor at 157.85 printed a 157.67 session low. Price now sits on the 61.8% fib of the post-NFP move, below the 158.22 weekly open and EMA(20) near 158.00, with RSI(14) in the high 30s.
Support: 157.76, 157.67, 157.25
Resistance: 157.85, 158.00, 158.22
What it said to watch
US October CPI Tue 13:30 UTC (core m/m f/c 0.2%) could materially shift this read; Waller speaks at 09:00 UTC
H1 close back above the 157.85 monday floor and ema20 at 158.00 would turn the late-NY break into a false break
Failure to hold the 157.67 session low exposes last week's 157.25 weekly low, with 157.00/156.96 range support beyond
Reclaim of the 158.22 weekly open and the lower-high trendline near 158.19 would restore the upper half of the range
19:02 UTC
Range-bound, drifting lower since Monday open · RSI 43 · price 158.045
Lower highs Monday inside a 157.25–158.75 weekly range.
USDJPY opened the week with a ~30-pip gap below Friday's 158.53 close. It then printed lower highs through London and NY as the dollar pared its post-NFP gains on lower oil and yields and hawkish BoJ minutes kept the yen firm. The Monday low at 157.85 held twice during NY hours, near the 50% retracement of the Thursday–Friday rally from the 157.25 weekly low. Price is pinned just under EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) near 43, and the NY high at 158.19 caps the latest bounce.
Support: 157.85, 157.54, 157.25
Resistance: 158.19, 158.53, 158.75
What it said to watch
US October CPI Tue 13:30 GMT is the dominant risk: a hot core print reopens the Friday close at 158.53 and the 158.75 range top
H1 close below the 157.85 Monday low opens the 157.54 Thu NY low and the 157.25 weekly low
H1 close above the 158.19 NY high breaks the Monday lower-highs trendline
Japan Current Account tonight 23:50 UTC is a minor Asia session input
USDJPY has spent the past four sessions inside a 157.25–158.67 range. Friday's NFP-driven rally off the week low stalled below the prior high. Monday opened with a gap under the friday close at 158.53, and London-led selling pushed price to the monday low at 157.85, between the 50% and 61.8% levels of the Friday rally fib, as softer US yields and hawkish BoJ minutes weighed on the pair. Price now sits just below EMA(20) and the weekly open at 158.22, with RSI(14) in the mid-40s.
Support: 157.85, 157.25
Resistance: 158.22, 158.53, 158.67
What it said to watch
H1 close above the weekly open at 158.22 and the lower highs trendline breaks Monday's intraday downside drift
Failure to hold the monday low at 157.85 and the rising lows trendline exposes the 61.8% Friday rally fib near 157.76, then the week low at 157.25
Recovery through the friday close at 158.53 brings the 158.67 prior high back into play as the range top
US CPI Tue 13:30 UTC, with Waller at 09:00 UTC, could materially shift this read
Japan Current Account tonight 23:50 UTC is a secondary JPY risk
17:02 UTC
Range-bound, intraday lower highs since Monday open · RSI 37 · price 157.963
157.25–158.67 range since Wednesday; Monday lower highs below the opening gap.
Monday opened with a ~31-pip gap below Friday's 158.53 close. The Asia session retest of the friday close met rejection at 158.52, and each push since has topped lower, leaving price under the weekly open at 158.22 and the ema20 near 158.07 as softer USD on lower oil and yields and hawkish BoJ minutes firm the yen. Price sits near the 50% retracement of the NFP rebound fib (157.25→158.58), with the monday low at 157.85 holding through London and the NY open, inside the 157.25–158.67 range that has contained trade since Wednesday.
Support: 157.85, 157.76, 157.25
Resistance: 158.07, 158.22, 158.53
What it said to watch
H1 close below the 157.85 monday low exposes the 61.8% fib at 157.76, then the 157.25 weekly low and range floor
Recovery above the weekly open at 158.22 breaks the Monday lower-highs line and negates the intraday down-sequence
Week lower-highs line near 158.55 and the 158.53 friday close cap the range top; a close above 158.67 would be a range break
US October CPI Tue 13:30 GMT (core MoM f/c 0.2%) could materially shift this read
Trump–Qatar PM headlines (17:00 GMT) and Fed's Barkin (17:15 GMT) during NY hours
16:02 UTC
Range-bound, drifting lower since Monday open · RSI 44 · price 158.119
157.25–158.77 range compressing: lower highs vs higher lows.
USD/JPY has held a 157.25 week low to 158.77 week high range. Friday's NFP beat lifted the pair off the lows, and Monday's USD softness on risk-on flows plus hawkish BoJ minutes retraced that NFP rally to the 157.85 Monday low, between its 50% and 61.8% fib. Lower highs from 158.77 into the 158.53 Friday close, and higher lows off 157.25, are compressing the range. Price sits on a flat EMA(20)/EMA(50) near 158.10–158.13 with RSI(14) in the mid-40s, and the NY session bounce stalled just under the 158.22 weekly open.
Support: 157.85, 157.25
Resistance: 158.22, 158.53, 158.77
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 158.22 weekly open puts the 158.53 Friday close and the lower highs line back in play
Failure to hold the 157.85 Monday low exposes the higher lows line and the 157.25 week low
A move through the 158.77 week high or 157.25 week low invalidates the range read
US CPI Tue 13:30 UTC is the main range-break risk; Barkin at 17:15 UTC and Trump–Qatar talks at 17:00 GMT come first
15:02 UTC
Sideways, range compressing · RSI 51 · price 158.131
Contracting range: lower highs from 158.77, higher lows from 157.25.
USD/JPY has held a 157.25–158.77 range across the window. Lower highs from Tuesday's 158.77 prior high and higher lows from the 157.25 Friday low are squeezing price toward 158.10. Monday gapped lower from Friday's 158.53 close, capped by the 158.53 monday high in Asia, and slid through the London session as hawkish BoJ minutes and softer oil weighed on the pair. The 157.85 monday low held near the 50–61.8% retracement of Friday's NFP leg, and price has since bounced in the first hour of NY back onto the ema20 near 158.11, just under EMA(50) around 158.14 and the 158.22 weekly open, with RSI(14) neutral near 51.
Support: 158.11, 157.85, 157.25
Resistance: 158.22, 158.53, 158.77
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 158.22 weekly open lifts price back above both EMAs inside the range
Break of the 158.53 monday high clears the lower-highs line and puts the 158.77 prior high in view
Failure to hold the 157.85 monday low breaks the higher-lows line and exposes the 157.25 friday low
Trump–Qatar PM meeting at 17:00 GMT today could extend USD softness if talks progress
US October CPI Tue 13:30 GMT is the likely trigger for a range break either way
14:02 UTC
Range-bound, short-term downside since Monday open · RSI 35 · price 157.91
Lower highs inside a 157.25–158.77 weekly range.
USDJPY has held a 157.25–158.77 range across the window. Friday's NFP beat lifted price from the weekly low to 158.58, and Monday opened with a gap below the 158.53 Friday close, followed by a steady fade of lower highs from the Asia session. The London open drove the break under the 158.22 weekly open as USD softened on US-Iran peace hopes, lower oil and hawkish BoJ minutes. Price now sits below EMA(20) and EMA(50) at the 50% retracement of the NFP rally near 157.92, with RSI(14) near 35 and today's low at 157.85 directly beneath.
Support: 157.85, 157.54, 157.25
Resistance: 158.22, 158.53, 158.77
What it said to watch
H1 close below today's low at 157.85 exposes the 61.8% retracement near 157.76 and the 157.54 swing low
Break of the lower-highs trendline plus a close back above the 158.22 weekly open would neutralise Monday's fade
Failure to hold the 157.25 weekly low would mark a range break to the downside
Range top at 158.77, close to the 158.68 200dma, marks the upper boundary of the range read
Trump–Qatar PM meeting at 17:00 GMT today and US October CPI Tue 13:30 UTC could materially shift this read
13:02 UTC
Intraday downtrend inside a broader range · RSI 34 · price 157.924
Lower highs since Monday's gapped open; mid-range of 157.25–158.77.
Monday opened with a ~30-pip gap below the 158.53 friday close. Price has since printed lower highs through Asia and London, slipping under ema20 (~158.10) to a 157.85 session low as hawkish BoJ minutes and softer oil lifted the yen. The pair now sits at the 50% retracement of Friday's NFP-driven rebound from the 157.25 prior wk low to 158.58, with RSI(14) in the mid-30s. The broader 157.25–158.77 range that has held since Tuesday remains intact.
Support: 157.85, 157.54, 157.25
Resistance: 158.10, 158.22, 158.53
What it said to watch
H1 close below the 157.85 session low exposes the 61.8% retracement near 157.76 and the 157.54 thu low
Reclaim of ema20 and the 158.22 weekly open would break the Monday lower-high sequence
Break of the 157.25 prior wk low would mark a range break toward the 156.96 area
US core CPI Tue 13:30 UTC could materially shift this read; Trump-Qatar meeting (17:00 GMT) and Fed speakers today add headline risk
A move back through the 158.53 friday close would put the 158.77 range top back in play
157.25–158.77 range since Tuesday; descending highs, price testing mid-range.
USD/JPY has held a 157.25–158.77 range since Tuesday, with each rally capped at a lower high: 158.77, 158.67, the 158.58 NFP spike and Monday's 158.53 asia high. The week opened lower at 158.22 as risk-on and the hawkish BoJ minutes weighed on the pair. London then pushed price below the week open and the EMA(20) near 158.14 to a 157.85 day low, near the 50% retracement of the NFP leg, with RSI(14) at 36.
Support: 157.85, 157.69, 157.25
Resistance: 158.14, 158.22, 158.53
What it said to watch
H1 close below the 157.85 day low exposes the 157.69 fri low and the 157.25 prior wk low at the range floor
Recovery above the week open at 158.22 and a break of the lower-highs line near 158.53 would end the descending-high sequence
US CPI Tue 13:30 GMT could materially shift this read; Fed speakers Bowman 13:40 and Goolsbee 15:00 GMT come first
Japan Current Account at 23:50 UTC tonight is second-tier and unlikely to break the range on its own
157.25–158.77 range; descending highs, trading below EMA20 and the weekly open.
Monday opened about 31 pips below the 158.53 Friday close. Asia filled the gap to 158.525, met rejection there, then slid through the 158.22 weekly open into the London session as hawkish BoJ minutes and lower oil took the edge off Friday's NFP-led dollar bid. Highs have stepped lower all week, from 158.77 on Tuesday to 158.67, the 158.58 NFP spike and Monday's 158.53. Price now sits below EMA20 near 158.15, around the 50% retracement of the NFP rebound from 157.25, with the 157.88 Monday low just beneath.
Support: 157.88, 157.54, 157.25
Resistance: 158.15, 158.22, 158.53
What it said to watch
H1 close below the 157.88 Monday low exposes the 157.54 swing low and the 157.25 prior wk low at the range floor
Recovery back above the EMA20 and the 158.22 weekly open would neutralise Monday's fade
A close above the lower highs line near 158.52 and the Friday close breaks the descending-high sequence
Fed speakers during NY hours today (Bowman 13:40, Goolsbee 15:00 GMT) could shift the read ahead of Tuesday's US CPI at 13:30 GMT
US CPI Tue 13:30 GMT: a soft print pressures the pair below 158.25, while a hot core print challenges the lower highs line
Lower highs from 158.77 inside a 157.25–158.77 weekly range; Monday gap lower.
USDJPY gapped lower into Monday's open at the 158.22 weekly open, well below Friday's 158.53 close, then extended to a 157.875 monday low at London open as hawkish BoJ minutes and softer crude weighed on the dollar. Price now sits below EMA(20) and EMA(50), near the 38.2% level of the thu low–nfp high fib, while lower highs since Tuesday's 158.77 prior high keep the 157.25–158.77 range intact. RSI(14) near 38 shows momentum cooling without reaching oversold.
Support: 157.875, 157.689, 157.254
Resistance: 158.216, 158.528, 158.766
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 157.875 monday low exposes the 157.69 swing low and the 50–61.8% zone of the thu low–nfp high fib
H1 close back above the 158.22 weekly open would fill the Monday gap and bring the lower highs line near 158.50 back into focus
A break of the 158.53 friday close and the lower highs line opens the path to the 158.77 prior high
Loss of the 157.25 prior wk low would break the floor of the weekly range
Fed speakers today (Bowman, Goolsbee, Barkin) and US CPI Tue 13:30 GMT could materially shift this read
09:02 UTC
Range-bound, mild downside drift since Monday open · RSI 39 · price 158.089
157.25–158.77 weekly range, lower highs against higher lows.
USDJPY opened the week with a gap below Friday's prior close at 158.53. It slid under the weekly open at 158.22 through Asia and into the London open, as hawkish BoJ minutes and softer crude weighed, and printed today's low at 157.88. That keeps price inside the week's 157.25 week low to 158.77 week high range. Lower highs from Tuesday's peak and higher lows since Thursday's 157.25 trough are compressing price around 158.10, below EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) near 39. The pair sits close to the 38.2% retracement of the NFP rally.
Support: 157.875, 157.689, 157.254
Resistance: 158.216, 158.528, 158.766
What it said to watch
H1 close below today low at 157.88 and then the friday low at 157.69 would break the higher-lows line and reopen the 157.25 week low
Reclaiming the weekly open at 158.22 and EMA(20) would put the prior close at 158.53 and the lower-highs line back in focus
Fed speakers today (Bowman, Goolsbee, Barkin), then Waller Tue 09:00 UTC, could shift December hike pricing
US October CPI Tue 13:30 UTC is the main risk to the 157–159 range edges
Break above the 158.77 week high would end the range read
157.25–158.77 range with a lower-high sequence; Monday trading below the weekly open.
USD/JPY has rotated inside a 157.25–158.77 range since Tuesday. Each swing high has come in lower: Wednesday's 158.67, Thursday's 158.50 and Friday's post-NFP 158.58 all stalled beneath the falling trendline, as hawkish BoJ minutes and a strong Japan wage print offset the payrolls boost to USD. Monday opened with a 31-pip gap below the Friday close at 158.53, and supply returned near that level in the Asia session. The slide through the weekly open at 158.22 into the London open has taken price below EMA(20) to the 50% fib of the Thu–Fri rally near 157.92, with RSI(14) near 32.
Support: 157.92, 157.69, 157.25
Resistance: 158.22, 158.53, 158.77
What it said to watch
Hourly close below the 50% fib at 157.92 exposes the friday low at 157.69
Failure to hold 157.69 shifts focus to the 157.25 weekly low and the range floor
Reclaiming the weekly open at 158.22 and EMA(20) would neutralise the Monday slide
A close above the falling trendline and the friday close at 158.53 breaks the lower-high sequence, opening the 158.77 tuesday high
Fed speakers today (Bowman 13:40, Goolsbee 15:00 GMT) and Tuesday's US CPI at 13:30 GMT could materially shift this read
07:02 UTC
Range-bound, drifting lower after Monday gap · RSI 41 · price 158.111
157.25–158.77 weekly range with lower highs, price below weekly open.
USDJPY has held a 157.25–158.77 range since Tuesday's week high. Each rally has printed a lower high, at 158.67 Wednesday and 158.58 on Friday's NFP beat. Hawkish BoJ minutes and the hot wage print drove Thursday's NY-session slide to the 157.25 week low, and Monday opened with a ~31-pip gap below Friday's 158.53 close as the yen firmed in Asia. Price now sits under the 158.22 weekly open and EMA(20) near 158.24, with RSI(14) near 41. It is hovering at the 38.2% retracement of Friday's impulse, just above the 158.00 Friday low.
Support: 158.00, 157.92, 157.25
Resistance: 158.22, 158.53, 158.77
What it said to watch
H1 close back above the 158.22 weekly open and EMA(20) puts the gap fill toward the 158.53 Friday close and lower-highs line in play
Failure to hold the 158.00 Friday low exposes the fib 50% at 157.92, then the 157.25 week low
A break above the 158.77 week high would end the lower-highs sequence and the range read
Fed speakers today (Bowman 13:40, Goolsbee 15:00, Barkin 17:15 GMT) could shift this read before Tuesday's US CPI at 13:30 GMT
06:03 UTC
Sideways, range compressing · RSI 50 · price 158.25
Lower highs vs higher lows inside 157.25–158.77.
USDJPY has held a 157.25–158.77 range since Tuesday's week high, with Asia-session drops on the hawkish BoJ minutes and Japan's wage beat, then a Thursday NY selloff into the 157.25 week low. Friday's NFP beat helped the rebound from the week low into a 158.53 Friday close, but Monday opened with a gap of roughly 30 pips lower. The Asia session has since held 158.13–158.53, with price sitting on EMA(20) and RSI(14) flat near 50. Lower highs from the week high and higher lows from the week low are squeezing the range into a tighter band.
Support: 158.13, 158.00, 157.25
Resistance: 158.53, 158.77
What it said to watch
H1 close below the 158.13 Monday low exposes the 158.00 post-NFP low, near the 38.2% retrace of the week-low rebound
A close above 158.53 (Friday close, unfilled gap) breaks the lower-highs line and opens the 158.77 week high
A break of the higher-lows line below 158.00 puts the 157.25 week low back in play
Fed speakers Bowman, Goolsbee and Barkin today and US CPI Tue 13:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Trump–Qatar Iran talks at 17:00 GMT today: oil and risk headlines are a live JPY driver
157.25–158.77 range; lower highs since Tuesday, higher lows since Friday.
USDJPY has been capped by lower highs since Tuesday's 158.77 week high. The Asia-session drops on Wednesday and Thursday came after the hawkish BoJ minutes and risk-off demand for the yen. Friday's false break to the 157.25 week low reversed during the Asia session, and the blowout NFP extended that leg to 158.58 before the week ended at the 158.53 friday close. Monday opened with a gap lower, and the Asian range of 158.13–158.53 is holding just above EMA(20) near 158.27, around the 23.6% of the NFP leg fib, with RSI(14) flat in the mid-40s.
Support: 158.13, 157.99, 157.25
Resistance: 158.53, 158.77
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 158.53 friday close fills the Monday gap and brings the lower-highs line and the 158.77 week high into play
A break of the 158.13 monday low opens a move toward the 157.99 nfp dip low and the 38.2% of the NFP leg fib near 158.07; failure there exposes the 157.25 week low
Fed's Bowman, Goolsbee and Barkin speak during NY hours today; US CPI on Tue 13:30 UTC could materially shift this read
157.25–158.77 weekly range with descending highs; Monday gap below Friday close.
USD/JPY has rotated inside a 157.25–158.77 range since Tuesday's week high, with a lower-high trendline capping each rally. Hawkish BoJ minutes in Wednesday's Asia session and Thursday's NY selloff drove the pair down, before Friday's NFP beat lifted it off the Asia-session week low. The latest advance stalled near the 158.53 friday close. Monday's Asian session opened on a gap lower and is trading just under the EMA(20) at 158.26, holding the 23.6% of the NFP leg fib, with the 158.13 monday low and the 158.00 round number beneath; RSI(14) near 46 reflects a compressed tape.
Support: 158.13, 158.00, 157.25
Resistance: 158.26, 158.53, 158.77
What it said to watch
An H1 close above the lower-high trendline and the 158.53 friday close reopens the 158.77 week high
Failure to hold the 158.13 monday low and the 158.00 round number brings the 38.2–50% of the NFP leg fib (158.07/157.92) into view
US CPI Tue 13:30 UTC: a soft core print could pull price back toward the 157.25 week low
Fed's Bowman, Goolsbee and Barkin speak during NY hours today and could shift the read ahead of CPI
157.25–158.77 range; lower-highs line broken Friday, Monday gap lower.
USDJPY has been contained in a 157.25–158.77 range since Tuesday's week high, printing lower highs into Thursday before the week low at 157.25. The blowout NFP drove a 130-pip NFP rebound during Friday's NY hours to the 158.58 nfp high, which broke the lower-highs line. Monday's Asia session opened with a gap below the 158.53 friday close and dipped to a 158.15 asia low, and price now sits at 158.30, marginally above EMA(20) with RSI(14) flat near 51.
Support: 158.15, 158.00, 157.25
Resistance: 158.53, 158.58, 158.77
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 158.53 friday close fills Monday's gap and puts the 158.58 nfp high and 158.77 week high back in focus
Failure to hold the 158.15 asia low and 158.00 swing low opens the 61.8% retracement of the NFP rebound near 157.76
A break of the 157.25 week low invalidates the range read
Fed speakers Bowman, Goolsbee and Barkin (Mon 13:40–17:15 UTC) and US CPI Tue 13:30 UTC could materially shift this read
157.25–158.77 weekly range; lower highs since Tue, higher lows since Fri.
USDJPY has held a 157.25–158.77 range since Tuesday's week high. The hawkish BoJ minutes and haven demand produced a run of lower highs. Friday's NFP beat lifted price off the 157.25 week low through a series of higher lows, and the 157.69 higher low and 158.00 post-NFP low are now holding the Friday rally near its 23.6–38.2% retracement. The Sunday open gapped about 30 pips below Friday's close, and the gap-fill attempt stalled at 158.52; price is back under the EMA20 near 158.26, with RSI(14) flat at 50 and ATR(14) contracting to about 22 pips.
Support: 157.997, 157.689, 157.254
Resistance: 158.26, 158.579, 158.766
What it said to watch
H1 close below the 158.00 post-NFP low breaks the higher-low trendline and exposes the 157.69 higher low
Close above the 158.58 fri high breaks the lower-highs trendline and brings the 158.77 week high and the 159.00 range top back into view
Holding beneath the 158.26 EMA20 keeps the Sunday gap-fill attempt marked as a rejection
Loss of the 157.25 week low would be a range break toward the 157.00 area
US CPI Tue 13:30 UTC, preceded by Fedspeak from Mon 13:40 UTC, could materially shift this read