The Hormuz-headline flush from 157.77 to 156.85 during London hours was fully retraced through NY, leaving a chain of higher lows into 157.60. Price is now coiled between the 157.33 session low and the 157.50 psych level in thin early-Asia liquidity with Tokyo on holiday, RSI(14) mid-range at 54 and ATR near 6 pips.
Support: 157.33, 157.23, 156.85
Resistance: 157.50, 157.60, 157.77
What it said to watch
Acceptance above the 157.50 psych level opens the path back to the 157.60 ny high and 157.77 prior high
A close below the 157.33 session low breaks the higher-low chain and re-exposes 157.23 swing low
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC are the next scheduled catalyst and could invalidate this narrow-range read
23:31 UTC
Recovering off the spike low, drift higher, momentum flat · RSI 58 · price 157.46
Higher lows since 156.82, now coiling in a tight late-session range.
London-morning Hormuz headlines knifed price from the 157.75 pre-dip high down to 156.82, and NY hours fully retraced it back to the 157.60 prior high — a false break of the lower edge. Price now sits at 157.46 in thin Tokyo-holiday Asia liquidity, consolidating between the 157.36 micro pivot and the 157.51 session high with RSI(14) near 58 and ATR(14) around 4.8 pips.
Support: 157.36, 157.23
Resistance: 157.51, 157.60, 157.75
What it said to watch
Close above the 157.51 session high puts the 157.60 prior high back in play
Loss of the 157.36 micro pivot re-opens the 157.23 swing low
US flash PMIs 13:45 UTC plus Fed's Barr are the next catalysts that could break this range
Any fresh MoF/BoJ rate-check headline would hit hardest in this thin-liquidity window
Tight range after a full retrace of the NY spike low.
The NY-hours flush to the 156.85 spike low on Hormuz reopening headlines was fully unwound within two hours, and price has since coiled into a 157.33-157.51 band with volume collapsing into early Asia on the Tokyo holiday. RSI(14) at ~56 and a 6.6-pip ATR describe a market marking time above EMA20, with the range floor holding and higher lows off 157.233.
Support: 157.333, 157.233, 156.852
Resistance: 157.512, 157.60
What it said to watch
A close above the 157.512 range top exposes the 157.600 session high
Loss of the 157.333 range floor re-opens the 157.233 swing low and invalidates the rising-lows read
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC are the next scheduled catalyst; Tokyo's return also ends the thin-liquidity drift
23:01 UTC
Recovered off the London slide, momentum flat · RSI 51 · price 157.447
Higher lows since 156.82, now coiling under 157.51.
A sharp London-hours flush took price from 157.77 to the 156.82 spike low on the oil/Hormuz de-escalation yen bid, and NY hours ground the whole move back with a series of higher lows into the 157.60 session high. Since then it has been a 157.34–157.51 range, with the last handful of bars printing almost no volume into the thin Asia reopen; RSI(14) is flat near 51 and ATR(14) about 7 pips.
Support: 157.336, 157.233, 156.82
Resistance: 157.512, 157.60
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 157.51 range top re-opens the 157.60 session high
Loss of the 157.336 session low exposes the 157.233 swing low and invalidates the higher-low chain
US flash PMIs 13:45 UTC and Fedspeak could materially shift this read once liquidity returns
MoF/BoJ intervention headlines remain an unscheduled gap risk in thin conditions
22:46 UTC
Recovery off the flush, now flat · RSI 51 · price 157.452
Rotation inside 157.23–157.60 after the 157.77–156.82 drop.
The sharp NY-hours flush from 157.77 to 156.82 has been two-thirds retraced, and price has since rotated between the 157.23 session low and the 157.60 session high with RSI(14) flat near 51. Early Asia is holding 157.45 on almost no participation — ATR(14) just 6.3 pips with Tokyo still out for Silver Week.
Support: 157.23, 157.00, 156.82
Resistance: 157.60, 157.77
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 157.60 session high reopens the 157.77 prior high
Loss of the 157.23 session low puts the 157.00 round number back in focus
Tokyo's reopen and MoF/BoJ intervention headlines can gap this range in thin liquidity
US flash PMIs later today (13:45 UTC) could materially shift this read
Mid-range consolidation between 157.23 and 157.60, higher lows off 156.82.
A 95-pip flush from 157.77 into 156.82 during the London morning has since been clawed back to the 61.8% retrace, and price has spent the NY afternoon and early Asia hours chopping between 157.23 and 157.60. Now 157.44 on near-zero volume in thin Silver Week liquidity, RSI(14) mid-40s, ATR(14) around 7 pips — no structural break in play.
Support: 157.23
Resistance: 157.60, 157.77
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 157.60 ny high would extend the recovery toward the 157.77 prior high
Failure to hold the 157.23 swing low breaks the higher-low chain off the flush low
Tokyo reopen adds real flow to a range built on thin liquidity
US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 UTC are the session's main risk to this range read
22:16 UTC
Sideways after NY pullback, momentum flat · RSI 41 · price 157.355
Range between 157.33 and 157.43, lower highs from 157.60.
Ranging 157.33–157.43 in thin early-Asia trade with Tokyo shut for Silver Week; volumes have collapsed since the NY close. The 157.60 NY high capped the recovery off the 156.85 spike low and price has stalled at the 38.2% retracement of that leg, RSI(14) near 41 and just under EMA20 — dovish-BoJ, firm-USD backdrop intact but no intraday structure in play.
Support: 157.335, 157.233
Resistance: 157.428, 157.513, 157.60
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 157.43 range top would reopen the 157.51 swing high
Loss of the 157.335 range floor and then the 157.233 spike low would confirm a lower low on the day
US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 UTC are the only high-impact print and can reset this range
MoF/BoJ intervention headlines remain an unscheduled gap risk in thin liquidity
21:46 UTC
Sideways after NY pullback, momentum flat · RSI 49 · price 157.413
Post-flush recovery stalled; 157.23-157.51 range into thin post-NY hours.
A sharp London-session flush took price from 157.77 to the 156.85 flush low before the whole move was retraced into the NY high at 157.60, where supply capped the rally. Price has since drifted back into a 157.23-157.51 range on 7-pip ATR with RSI(14) mid-scale, liquidity thinning after the NY close with Tokyo still away for Silver Week.
Support: 157.233, 157.163, 156.852
Resistance: 157.513, 157.60, 157.774
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 157.513 minor high would put the 157.600 ny high back in play
Loss of the 157.233 session low exposes the 157.163 ny swing low and re-opens the flush low at 156.852
US flash PMIs 13:45 GMT plus Fed's Barr shortly after could break this range read
USDJPY faded from the 157.60 NY high into a 157.23-157.42 band and is drifting just under the EMA20 at 157.40 in thin Asia-reopen liquidity, RSI(14) flat at 47. The sharp 90-pip London flush to the 156.82 day low was fully bought back, but every push since has printed a lower high - 157.60, 157.51, then the 157.42 session high - with ATR(14) compressed to 8 pips.
Support: 157.233, 157.163, 156.82
Resistance: 157.42, 157.60
What it said to watch
A 15-minute close above the 157.42 session high breaks the lower-high sequence off 157.60
Loss of the 157.23 session low exposes the 157.16 swing low, then the 156.82 day low
Tokyo reopen restores liquidity into the Asia session and can widen the 8-pip ATR quickly
US flash PMIs at 13:45 GMT and Fed's Barr shortly after are the next scheduled risk to this range
Intervention headlines remain an unscheduled gap risk while price sits in the mid-157s
21:16 UTC
Sideways, momentum flat after NY rejection · RSI 44 · price 157.354
Lower highs under 157.60, base holding above 157.23.
Rejection at the 157.60 session high mid-NY, with the pullback carving lower highs into 157.51 and price now back under EMA20 at 157.35, RSI(14) near 44. The 08:30 GMT flush to the 157.02 area was fully retraced through London-NY before supply capped the recovery; last bars are thin and flat ahead of the Tokyo reopen, leaving a 157.23-157.51 consolidation.
Support: 157.233, 157.02
Resistance: 157.513, 157.60, 157.774
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 157.60 session high re-opens the 157.774 prior high
Loss of the 157.233 session low confirms a lower low and puts the 157.02 prior low back in play
US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 GMT are the next scheduled driver and could reset this range read
MoF/BoJ intervention headlines remain an unscheduled gap risk in thin liquidity
21:03 UTC
Sideways, momentum flat after NY fade · RSI 44 · price 157.385
Lower highs under 157.60, holding above 157.23.
London's slide to the 156.85 day low was fully retraced through NY, topping at the 157.60 ny high before price slipped back under the ema20 on a chain of lower highs. Late-NY action is now coiling 157.35–157.42 in thin Silver Week liquidity, RSI(14) ~44, ATR(14) ~7 pips — no structure in play until one side of the 157.23–157.51 band goes.
Support: 157.233, 157.163, 156.852
Resistance: 157.404, 157.513, 157.60
What it said to watch
Loss of the 157.233 session low reopens the 157.163 swing low and the 156.852 day low
Reclaim of the 157.513 swing high re-engages the 157.60 ny high and invalidates the lower-high sequence
Tokyo reopen plus MoF/BoJ intervention headlines can gap this range in thin liquidity
US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 GMT is the next scheduled driver for USD pricing
20:46 UTC
Recovery stalling, lower highs into late NY · RSI 40 · price 157.376
Broad 157.23–157.60 range after London flush and full retrace.
London opened with a push to the day high at 157.77, then a two-bar 90-pip flush to the london low at 156.85 that was fully retraced through the NY morning to 157.60 — a false break on both sides in thin Silver Week liquidity with Tokyo shut. NY afternoon has faded into a lower-high sequence below the ema20 near 157.45, holding above the ny low at 157.23; last bars are near-dormant with the session winding down.
Support: 157.23, 156.85
Resistance: 157.45, 157.60, 157.77
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 157.60 (ny high) would end the lower-highs sequence off the NY afternoon rejection
Loss of 157.23 (ny low) reopens the 157.00–156.85 london low area
US flash S&P Global PMIs Wed 13:45 GMT are the week's only high-impact print and can reset this intraday range
Unscheduled MoF/BoJ intervention headlines remain a gap risk on any renewed push toward 158.00
Lower highs from 157.60, base at 157.23 session low.
A sharp London-morning flush from 157.77 to the 157.02 london base — oil's Hormuz-driven correction briefly helping the yen — was fully retraced into the NY session, peaking at the 157.60 ny high. Since then a clean chain of lower highs (157.60, 157.55, 157.51) has capped price, with the late-NY spike to the 157.233 session low bought straight back; last close 157.388 sits just under EMA20 (157.41) and on EMA50, RSI(14) neutral at 45, ATR(14) 7.6 pips in thin post-London liquidity.
Support: 157.233, 157.02
Resistance: 157.508, 157.60
What it said to watch
M15 close below 157.233 session low confirms a lower low and reopens the 157.020 london base
Reclaim of 157.508 breaks the lower-high sequence and puts the 157.600 ny high back in play
US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 GMT and any MoF/BoJ intervention headline can gap this range read
20:16 UTC
No clear trend, mid-range after NY fade · RSI 43 · price 157.396
Higher lows off the London flush, capped under 157.60.
A sharp London-morning flush from the 157.77 day high dragged price through the 157.05 flush low before the NY session bid it back to the 157.60 ny high, where supply capped it. Price has since faded to mid-range at 157.40, holding a chain of higher lows with RSI(14) near 43 and ATR(14) around 9 pips.
Support: 157.23, 157.05
Resistance: 157.51, 157.60, 157.77
What it said to watch
A close below the 157.23 wick low breaks the higher-low chain built off the flush low
Reclaiming the 157.51 swing high is needed before the 157.60 ny high and 157.77 day high come back into play
US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 GMT are the next scheduled driver and can reset this intraday range
MoF intervention headlines remain an unscheduled gap risk on any push toward 158.00
Lower highs off 157.60 since the NY high, holding above the London low.
NY session peaked at 157.600 mid-afternoon and has since carved a chain of lower highs (157.513, 157.483, 157.409), with the late-session slide printing a session low at 157.233 before a close at 157.329 — back under EMA20 at 157.46. The bigger intraday event was the London drop from 157.774 to 156.852 as the oil correction on Hormuz de-escalation briefly firmed the yen; price is still working the upper half of that recovery.
Support: 157.233, 157.02, 156.852
Resistance: 157.46, 157.513, 157.60
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 157.233 opens the 157.020 london low as the next reference
Reclaim of EMA20 and a close above the 157.513 prior high invalidates the lower-highs read
US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 GMT and Fed's Barr could materially reset this range
Thin late-session liquidity keeps ATR near 9 pips — moves can overshoot on headlines
A 90-pip flush in the London morning took price from 157.77 to the 156.82 day low before NY ground it back to 157.60, a clear lower high versus the day high at 157.774. Price has since faded under the ema20 near 157.47 and is holding just above the 157.348 session low, with thin Silver Week liquidity keeping ranges tight — ATR(14) only ~9 pips.
Support: 157.348, 157.20, 156.82
Resistance: 157.47, 157.60, 157.774
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.60 ny high removes the lower-high sequence and re-opens 157.774
Loss of the 157.348 session low exposes 157.20 prior low, then the 156.82 day low
Sustained reclaim of the ema20 at 157.47 would neutralise the late-NY drift
US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 UTC plus Fed's Barr are the next scheduled catalysts for this range
Range between 157.35 and 157.60 after V-shaped repair of the London flush.
London's push to the 157.77 london high was erased by a fast 90-pip flush to 156.85 on the Iran/Hormuz oil headlines, and NY hours have repaired most of it before stalling at the 157.60 session high. Last four hours are a tight 157.35–157.60 consolidation into the late-NY close, RSI(14) mid-40s, ATR(14) around 7 pips — no structural resolution yet.
Support: 157.35, 157.16, 156.85
Resistance: 157.60, 157.77
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 157.60 session high reopens the 157.77 london high
Loss of 157.35 swing low confirms a lower low and puts 157.16 ny low back in play
US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 UTC plus Fed's Barr could materially shift this read
Thin Silver Week liquidity keeps spike risk elevated in both directions until Tokyo returns
Higher lows off the spike low, capped under the NY high.
London open produced a fast 95-pip flush from 157.77 to the 156.85 spike low on Iran/Hormuz oil de-escalation headlines, in thin Tokyo-holiday liquidity; NY hours have retraced almost all of it via a chain of higher lows. Price is now boxed between the 157.60 NY high, where the advance was rejected twice, and the 157.35 swing low, with RSI(14) back at a neutral 51 and ATR(14) around 8.5 pips.
Support: 157.35, 156.85
Resistance: 157.60, 157.77
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 157.60 ny high reopens the 157.77 prior high
Loss of the 157.35 swing low breaks the rising trendline off the spike low
Late-session liquidity is thin; range can hold into the Asia handover
US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 UTC are the next scheduled event capable of shifting this read
Range 157.00–157.60 after sharp lower-low, higher lows since.
A violent 90-pip flush from 157.77 to 156.85 during the London-NY window — oil/Hormuz de-escalation headlines gave JPY a brief bid — has since been retraced in a steady chain of higher lows back to 157.60. Price has slipped off that session high into late NY hours, holding above the 157.36 session low with RSI(14) mid-range near 55 and ATR(14) around 9 pips.
Support: 157.36, 157.02, 156.85
Resistance: 157.60, 157.77
What it said to watch
A close above the 157.60 session high extends the recovery toward the 157.77 prior high
Loss of 157.36 session low breaks the higher-low chain and reopens 157.02
Thin Tokyo holiday liquidity keeps spike risk elevated; US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 UTC are the next scheduled driver
MoF/BoJ intervention headlines remain an unscheduled risk to this range read
Higher lows from 156.82, capped under the 157.60 session high.
London hours saw a sharp flush from 157.74 to a 156.85 session low as the Hormuz de-escalation headlines briefly lifted the yen; NY has clawed the whole move back in a steady higher-low chain that stalled at the 157.60 session high. Last three hours are pure consolidation between 157.35 and 157.60 with RSI(14) back at neutral and ATR near 8.5 pips.
Support: 157.35, 157.20, 156.85
Resistance: 157.60, 157.74
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 157.60 session high opens the 157.74 prior high
Loss of 157.35 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and re-exposes the 157.20 pivot
US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 UTC and Fed's Barr shortly after can reset this intraday range
Higher lows off session low, pullback from NY high.
A ~90-pip London-morning flush to 156.852 on the oil/Hormuz de-escalation yen bid was fully retraced through NY, but the advance was rejected at the 157.600 ny high and price has faded to 157.361 in the late NY session. The higher-low chain off the 157.163 swing low is intact while the pullback low at 157.348 holds; RSI(14) back to neutral near 52 and ATR(14) ~9 pips in thin Silver Week liquidity.
Support: 157.348, 157.163, 156.852
Resistance: 157.60, 157.774
What it said to watch
M15 close below 157.348 pullback low, then 157.163 swing low, would break the higher-low chain and deepen the recovery retrace
Reclaim of the 157.600 ny high opens the path back to the 157.774 pre-drop hi
Unscheduled MoF/BoJ intervention or rate-check headlines remain the main gap risk in thin holiday liquidity
Higher lows off the London low, capped under the NY high.
A fast London-morning flush on the oil/Hormuz de-escalation yen bid took spot from 157.77 to the 156.82 london low, and NY hours rebuilt a higher-low chain back to a 157.60 ny high before rejection there. Late NY is fading, with price back under EMA20 at ~157.43 and RSI(14) mid-range at 53.
Support: 157.359, 157.163, 156.82
Resistance: 157.60, 157.774
What it said to watch
Loss of the 157.359 swing low breaks the NY higher-low chain and re-opens the 157.163 ny low
Reclaim of the 157.600 ny high puts the 157.774 prior high back in play
Thin Silver Week liquidity keeps MoF/BoJ headline risk live — spikes rather than clean follow-through
US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 UTC could reset this intraday range
Higher lows off day low, capped under session high.
USDJPY dumped from the 157.774 day high into a 156.850 day low through London hours as Hormuz de-escalation headlines gave the yen a brief bid, then ground back up across NY to stall at the 157.600 session high. Now consolidating 157.440–157.600 with RSI(14) near 54 and price above EMA20/EMA50; the rising-lows chain off the day low is intact, ATR(14) about 10 pips.
Support: 157.44, 157.30, 156.85
Resistance: 157.60, 157.774
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 157.600 session high reopens the 157.774 day high
Loss of the 157.440 pullback low breaks the rising-lows chain and puts the 157.300 swing pivot back in play
Thin Silver Week liquidity with Tokyo shut — MoF/BoJ intervention or rate-check headlines are the main unscheduled risk to this range read
Higher lows off 156.85 flush, capped by 157.60 session high.
A 70-pip flush out of the 08:30 UTC bar took price from the 157.77 day high to 156.85 as the sharp oil correction on US-Iran de-escalation briefly firmed the yen, but the move was fully retraced through the NY session in a chain of higher lows. Price is now consolidating 157.44–157.60 with RSI(14) near 58 and ATR(14) around 11.5 pips; the 157.60 session high is the immediate cap.
Support: 157.44, 157.30, 156.85
Resistance: 157.60, 157.77
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.60 session high extends the higher-low chain toward the 157.77 day high
Loss of the 157.44 swing low breaks the NY recovery structure and re-opens 157.30 ny pivot
Unscheduled MoF/BoJ intervention headlines in thin Silver Week liquidity remain the sharpest risk to this read
17:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling into late NY · RSI 62 · price 157.513
Higher highs and higher lows since the NY-morning flush low.
Price broke the 157.30–157.40 afternoon consolidation and pushed to a session high at 157.60 before fading back to retest 157.44, where demand stepped in; RSI(14) near 62, ATR ~12 pips. The 24h window is dominated by the sharp NY-morning flush to 156.85 and the steady grind back, consistent with post-BoJ 'dovish hike' JPY softness against a firm USD.
Support: 157.44, 157.30
Resistance: 157.60, 157.77
What it said to watch
A 15m close back below 157.44 breaks the higher-low chain and reopens 157.30
Rejection or acceptance at the 157.60 session high defines whether the prior high at 157.77 comes back into play
Thin late-NY / Silver Week liquidity leaves room for unscheduled MoF intervention headlines to spike the range
Wednesday's US flash PMIs are the next scheduled catalyst that could invalidate this intraday read
Higher highs/higher lows off the 156.82 flush low, stalling under 157.60.
NY hours have retraced the earlier flush to 156.82 in a clean HH/HL chain, but the push into 157.60 was rejected and price has given back roughly 12 pips into the close at 157.474 — still above EMA20 and EMA50. Dovish-toned BoJ hike and a firm dollar remain the backdrop; RSI(14) near 60 with ATR(14) ~12 pips shows no extreme.
Support: 157.37, 157.16, 156.82
Resistance: 157.60, 157.77
What it said to watch
Close above the 157.60 session high re-opens the 157.77 prior high
Loss of the 157.37 swing low breaks the HH/HL chain and puts the 157.16 session low back in play
Fed's Barkin speaking at 17:00 UTC could shift this read within the next few bars
16:46 UTC
Recovery uptrend off the session low · RSI 66 · price 157.579
Higher lows since 156.82, breakout from the 157.16–157.36 NY range.
A sharp two-bar flush around 08:30 UTC dumped price from 157.77 to 156.82 on the Iran/Hormuz de-escalation headlines that lifted the yen briefly; since then M15 has built an unbroken higher-low chain and NY hours have broken the 157.16–157.36 range to close at the session high of 157.60. RSI(14) at 66 is firm but not extended, ATR ~11.6 pips, with the pre-drop high at 157.774 the next area to watch for rejection or break.
Support: 157.36, 157.16, 156.82
Resistance: 157.60, 157.774
What it said to watch
Acceptance above 157.60 session high opens the 157.774 pre-drop high
Loss of 157.36 prior pivot breaks the higher-low chain and puts 157.16 range low back in play
Barkin speech at 17:00 UTC and thin Silver Week liquidity can distort the next few bars
Intervention/rate-check headlines remain a gap risk into the 158 handle
Higher highs / higher lows off the day low, ~80% of the London flush retraced.
A 90-pip flush during London hours took USDJPY from 157.774 to the 156.82 day low, and price has since ground back in a clean higher-low chain through the NY open to 157.591, now above EMA20 at 157.37 with RSI(14) at ~65. That retrace has recovered roughly 80% of the drop and leaves the 157.689 swing high as the immediate cap; Silver Week thin liquidity keeps the tape gappy, with the dovish-toned BoJ hike still the backdrop for yen softness.
Support: 157.37, 157.163, 156.82
Resistance: 157.689, 157.774
What it said to watch
Acceptance above the 157.689 swing high would expose the 157.774 prior high
A close back under EMA20 at 157.37 breaks the higher-low chain; 157.163 swing low is the next reference
Loss of 157.163 would put the 156.82 day low back in play
Fed's Barkin in ~30-60 minutes is the nearest headline risk for this read
Higher highs / higher lows off the 156.82 session low, retracing the London drop.
London morning dumped 95 pips from the 157.774 session high to 156.820, a twin low that held on the oil/Hormuz yen relief and intervention chatter flagged in the digest. NY hours have retraced ~78% of that leg in a clean HH/HL chain, with 157.56 printing into the close of the last bar and RSI(14) at 65 — hot but not extreme.
Support: 157.38, 156.82
Resistance: 157.66, 157.774
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.66 swing high puts the 157.774 session high back in play
Loss of the 157.38 micro pivot breaks the higher-low chain built off 156.82
Fed's Barkin inside the next hour is the nearest event risk to this intraday read
Higher lows since 10:00 UTC, NY reclaiming pre-flush levels.
A 95-pip flush at 08:30 UTC from the 157.77 day high into 156.82 — oil correcting on the Hormuz reopening headlines — left a double bottom at 156.82/156.85, and NY hours have ground back up in an unbroken higher-low chain, breaking the 157.39 session shelf on the last two bars to 157.50. RSI(14) ~65 with ATR(14) near 12 pips; next supply is the pre-drop base at 157.63 ahead of the day high.
Support: 157.37, 157.16, 156.82
Resistance: 157.63, 157.77, 158.00
What it said to watch
Close back below the 157.37 swing low breaks the rising-lows chain built since 10:00 UTC
Acceptance above 157.63 pre-drop base puts the 157.77 day high back in play
Fed's Barkin in ~1h; failure to hold 157.16 ny low reopens the 156.82 session low
158.00 psych area is where intervention chatter has repeatedly capped the pair
15:31 UTC
Recovering off London flush, grind higher · RSI 57 · price 157.328
Double bottom at 156.85, higher-low chain capped by 157.38.
London pushed above the asia high to 157.774 and immediately reversed, dumping ~90 pips into a 156.85 double bottom as oil corrected on the Hormuz reopening headlines. NY hours have retraced roughly half that drop in a higher-low chain, with supply capping four times at 157.36-157.38 and price now sitting on the 50% level near 157.31.
Support: 157.163, 156.852
Resistance: 157.381, 157.565, 157.774
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 157.381 ny high opens a retest of the 157.565 asia high
Loss of the 157.163 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and reopens the 156.85 dbl bottom
Fed's Barkin at 17:00 UTC lands inside NY hours and could shift this read
Intervention headlines remain an unscheduled two-way risk given the failed push toward 158.00
15:17 UTC
Recovering off the London flush, capped under 157.38 · RSI 53 · price 157.277
Higher lows since 156.85, NY range 157.16–157.38.
A 70-pip London flush from 157.774 to a 156.85 session low — consistent with the oil/Hormuz-driven JPY relief in the digest — has since been half retraced, with price grinding a chain of higher lows into the NY session and stalling at the 157.381 NY high. Now ranging 157.16–157.38 just above EMA20 but still under EMA50 at 157.31, RSI(14) neutral near 53.
Support: 157.163, 157.02, 156.85
Resistance: 157.381, 157.50, 157.774
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 157.381 ny high opens the 157.50 prior range
Loss of the 157.163 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and re-exposes 157.02 base low
Fed's Barkin at 17:00 UTC is the next scheduled catalyst inside this range
Unscheduled MoF/BoJ rate-check headlines remain a two-way risk to the recovery read
15:01 UTC
Recovery grind higher after a sharp London slide · RSI 57 · price 157.355
Double bottom at 156.85, higher lows since 09:45 UTC.
A one-bar 75-pip flush at 08:30 UTC took price from 157.774 to 156.852, with buyers stepping in twice at 156.85 to form a double bottom in thin Silver Week liquidity as oil/Hormuz headlines supported JPY. NY hours have retraced roughly half of that drop, price now 157.355 between the 50% (157.31) and 61.8% (157.42) markers with RSI(14) mid-50s and ATR(14) near 11 pips; session high 157.381 is the immediate cap.
Support: 157.163, 157.02, 156.852
Resistance: 157.381, 157.46, 157.69
What it said to watch
A 15m close above the 157.381 session high extends the retrace toward the 157.46 supply zone
Loss of the 157.163 swing low breaks the chain of higher lows and re-exposes 157.020
A revisit of the 156.85 day low would invalidate the double bottom read
Fed's Barkin at 17:00 UTC is the only scheduled event in the next few hours and can reprice the retrace
Higher-low chain off 156.82 inside an ascending channel, back inside the Asian range.
A sharp London-morning slide took 95 pips out of the pair, from 157.77 to the 156.82 london low, as Hormuz-reopening headlines knocked oil and firmed JPY; roughly half of that drop has been retraced into the NY open. Price is now pinned between the ema20 at 157.26 and the ema50 at 157.31, with the 157.36 session high capping the last two hours and price back inside the Asian range. Recovery leg is a tidy higher-high/higher-low channel off 156.82, RSI(14) back to neutral near 55, ATR(14) about 12 pips.
Support: 157.26, 157.17, 156.82
Resistance: 157.31, 157.36
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 157.36 session high clears the ema50 and extends the channel
Loss of the 157.17 swing low breaks the higher-low chain off the london low
Barkin at 17:00 UTC plus ongoing intervention chatter near 158.00 can reprice this within the next few bars
A 95-pip flush from 157.774 down to 156.82 during London hours — yen supported as crude sold off on Hormuz reopening headlines — has now been retraced roughly half, with a clean chain of higher lows into the NY open. Supply is capping at the 157.36 session high on three attempts; RSI(14) is back at neutral 50 and price sits just under EMA50 near 157.31.
Support: 157.17, 156.82
Resistance: 157.36, 157.41
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 157.36 session high opens the 157.41 fib 61.8 retrace
Loss of 157.17 breaks the higher-low chain built off 156.82
Fedspeak (Williams 14:05, Jefferson 14:20, Barkin 17:00 UTC) can reprice this intraday read
14:01 UTC
Recovering after a sharp down-leg, momentum neutral · RSI 58 · price 157.214
Range break lower, now HH/HL chain off the session low.
London morning knifed through the overnight 157.35-157.55 consolidation to a 156.82 session low as the oil correction and intervention wariness supported the yen; price has since built a HH/HL chain back to 157.36 before stalling. Into the NY open the pair sits mid-way through that drop, above EMA20 but still capped under the pre-slide prior range around 157.45.
Support: 157.02, 156.82
Resistance: 157.36, 157.45, 157.77
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 157.36 session high reopens the 157.45 prior range and the 157.77 prior high
Loss of the 157.02 pivot low re-exposes the 156.82 session low and invalidates the recovery chain
Fed speakers Williams 14:05 UTC and Jefferson 14:20 UTC land in the next bars and can reprice the front end
Unscheduled MoF/BoJ verbal or rate-check headlines remain the main two-way risk in thin Tokyo-holiday liquidity
Overnight range broken lower, higher lows since the 156.82 base.
London morning produced a ~95 pip air pocket from 157.77 to 156.82 in a single-candle flush, consistent with the live MoF intervention/rate-check headline risk flagged post-BoJ. Since then a double bottom at 156.85/156.82 has given way to a grinding sequence of higher lows into the London-NY transition, with price stalling around the 50% fib at 157.30 and the 157.36 bounce high still capping.
Support: 157.02, 156.82
Resistance: 157.30, 157.36, 157.69
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 157.36 bounce high extends the retracement toward the 157.69 prior high
Loss of the 157.02 higher low re-exposes the 156.82 session low and invalidates the recovery structure
Fed's Williams 14:05 UTC and Jefferson 14:20 UTC land just after the NY open; further MoF/BoJ headlines remain a live gap risk at this ATR of ~11 pips
13:16 UTC
Corrective recovery after London flush · RSI 56 · price 157.301
Double bottom at 156.82, higher lows since.
Price knifed from 157.77 to 156.82 in the London morning as the oil correction on Hormuz reopening headlines handed JPY a bid, then based twice at 156.82/156.85. NY hours have produced a steady chain of higher lows off that double bottom, with the last bar closing 157.301 back above EMA20 and pressing the 157.36 session high.
Support: 157.11, 157.02, 156.82
Resistance: 157.36, 157.69
What it said to watch
Close above the 157.36 session high extends the recovery toward the 157.69 swing high
Loss of 157.11 ny low breaks the higher-low chain and re-exposes 157.02 swing low
Fed speakers Williams and Jefferson within the hour are live risk for the next few bars
Higher lows off 156.82 into the 50% retrace of the London drop.
USDJPY broke out of the 157.43-157.77 holiday range with a ~75 pip flush into London hours, the digest tying the JPY bid to oil's Hormuz-driven correction, and based twice at the 156.85 double low. Price has since retraced to 157.30 — the 50% level of that drop — on a chain of higher lows, RSI(14) around 54 and ATR(14) near 13.5 pips.
Support: 157.02, 156.85
Resistance: 157.359, 157.69
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 157.359 session high extends the retrace toward the 157.69 pre-drop base
Failure to hold the 157.02 swing low re-exposes the 156.85 double low and confirms a lower low
Fed's Williams 14:05 UTC and Jefferson 14:20 UTC fall inside the next few bars and could reset this read
12:46 UTC
Downtrend off London high, momentum flat · RSI 44 · price 157.168
Lower highs since the flush, basing above 156.82.
London morning tagged the session high at 157.77 then a two-bar flush dumped ~95 pips into the session low at 156.82, in line with the oil correction on Hormuz reopening headlines and firmer BoJ hike pricing. Price has since chopped in a 156.95–157.28 band, capped by a descending sequence of lower highs from the 157.28 bounce high, with RSI(14) near 43 and ATR(14) around 16 pips.
Support: 156.95, 156.82
Resistance: 157.28, 157.45, 157.77
What it said to watch
15m close above the 157.28 bounce high breaks the lower-high sequence and reopens 157.45 prior swing
Loss of the 156.95 minor low and then 156.82 session low confirms a lower low into the NY session
Fed speakers Williams 14:05 UTC and Jefferson 14:20 UTC land just after the NY open and could reprice this range
Post-breakdown range 156.82-157.29, higher lows off the low.
USDJPY was flushed ~95 pips from the 157.77 session high to 156.82 in a single London-hours impulse, consistent with the oil-led Hormuz relief and renewed rate-check/intervention chatter flagged in the JPY read. Price has since built a 156.82-157.29 range with a double low at 156.82/156.85 and is now pressing the range top, RSI(14) back to neutral near 46 and price capped by the ema50 at 157.33.
Support: 157.02, 156.82
Resistance: 157.29, 157.33, 157.77
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.29 range top, then the ema50 at 157.33, would negate the post-flush range read
Loss of 157.02 swing low puts the 156.82 session low back in play; a break there confirms a lower low
Fed speakers Williams 14:05 and Jefferson 14:20 UTC land within the next bars and could reprice this range
Lower highs since 157.77, basing above session low.
Mid-London slide from the 157.77 session high sliced the 157.45–157.55 shelf in two bars and printed 156.82, the yen catching a bid as oil slid on the Hormuz reopening headlines. Since then price has ground back to 157.14 but stalled under the 157.22 recent high and 157.28 bounce high, RSI(14) near 43 with price below EMA20 and EMA50; a rising support line off 156.82 is intact into the London-NY transition.
Support: 157.02, 156.82
Resistance: 157.22, 157.28, 157.77
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 157.28 bounce high would end the lower-high sequence
Loss of the 157.02 swing low re-opens the 156.82 session low
Fed speakers (Williams 14:05, Jefferson 14:20 UTC) and further oil/Hormuz headlines can reset this intraday range
12:01 UTC
Downtrend after sharp London leg lower, now flat · RSI 38 · price 157.197
Impulsive break then base; lower highs into 38.2% fib.
Price broke down hard in the London morning, dropping ~95 pips from the 157.77 session high to 156.85 as oil slid on Hormuz reopening headlines and rate-check chatter did the rest. Since then USDJPY has based between the 156.85 session low and the 157.29 bounce high, with the last bars pinned to the 38.2% retracement of the drop around 157.18 and RSI(14) recovering to ~38.
Support: 157.02, 156.85
Resistance: 157.29, 157.45, 157.77
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 157.29 bounce high breaks the lower-high chain off the drop
Loss of 157.02 swing low then 156.85 session low reopens the downside leg
Fed speakers Williams 14:05 and Jefferson 14:20 UTC land right around the NY open and can shift this read
Reclaim of 157.45 (ema50) would negate the post-breakout consolidation
Lower highs since the break; chopping above the session low.
Price ran to a session high of 157.77 into the London morning before a three-bar flush to 156.85 — roughly 95 pips — as the oil correction on Hormuz-reopening headlines handed JPY a terms-of-trade tailwind. Since then USDJPY has consolidated in a 156.85–157.28 band with a chain of lower highs capping each bounce, RSI(14) near 37 and price under both EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 156.85
Resistance: 157.28, 157.77
What it said to watch
M15 close above the post-drop hi at 157.28 would break the lower-highs sequence and negate the consolidation read
Loss of 156.85 session low reopens the 156.20 area referenced as key support
Fed speakers Williams (14:05 UTC) and Jefferson (14:20 UTC) land inside the next few bars and could reprice the move
Further Iran/Hormuz oil headlines remain the live JPY driver; intervention/rate-check chatter keeps two-way spike risk elevated
Lower highs from 157.29, basing above the 156.82 session low.
A single mid-London bar wiped out the overnight grind higher, dropping ~70 pips from the 157.77 session high straight through 157.00 — consistent with the official-action risk that has been the only brake on post-BoJ yen weakness. Price has since built a lower-high chain (157.29 then 157.11) and is coiling in a 156.82–157.11 band, with 157.043 sitting under both the 157.23 ema20 and the 157.35 ema50, RSI(14) at 39 after the flush.
Support: 157.00, 156.82
Resistance: 157.23, 157.29, 157.77
What it said to watch
A 15m close back above the 157.29 rebound high and the 157.23 ema20 invalidates the lower-high chain
Failure to hold the 156.82 session low confirms a fresh lower low; 157.00 psych is the intraday pivot
ADP 4-week average at 12:15 UTC then Fed's Williams 14:05 / Jefferson 14:20 UTC land inside the next few bars and could reprice this range
ATR(14) at ~13 pips understates the post-break volatility — the impulse bar ran 70 pips
11:01 UTC
Downtrend, impulsive leg then chop · RSI 31 · price 156.984
Lower highs and lower lows since 157.77, basing above the session low.
A single M15 bar wiped ~70 pips off the London morning high at 157.77 and the pair has since built a chain of lower highs, capped at 157.29 then 157.13, with the digest flagging MoF/BoJ intervention risk as the standing brake on the yen-weakness trend. Price is pinned just under the 157.00 round number after a triple tap of 156.82-156.85, RSI(14) around 31 and ATR(14) at ~18 pips.
Support: 156.82, 156.50
Resistance: 157.00, 157.13, 157.29
What it said to watch
A 15-minute close back above 157.29 post-drop hi would break the lower-high sequence
Loss of 156.82 session low on a closing basis extends the leg toward the 156.50 psych area
Fed speakers Williams 14:05 UTC and Jefferson 14:20 UTC land inside the next few bars and can reprice this range
Unscheduled MoF/BoJ intervention headlines would invalidate the intraday read instantly
Lower highs off 157.77 after a vertical break; basing above 156.82.
Early London printed the session high at 157.77 then dropped ~95 pips in two bars into 156.82 — no scheduled release behind it, consistent with the MoF/BoJ intervention-risk premium the digest flags as the only brake on JPY weakness. Since then price has chopped in a 156.82–157.29 band with a shallow lower-high chain, RSI(14) at 34 and ATR expanded to ~18 pips per bar.
Support: 156.82
Resistance: 157.29, 157.45, 157.77
What it said to watch
A 15m close above 157.29 breaks the post-drop lower-high chain
Loss of 156.82 session low confirms continuation of the break
Reclaim of the 157.45 prior range would negate the range break entirely
Fed speakers Williams 14:05 and Jefferson 14:20 UTC land inside the next few bars and can reset this range
Three-day grind higher broken; micro chain of lower highs off 157.77 with a double-tap of 156.82/156.85.
London hours rejected 157.77 and dumped ~95 pips in two bars to 156.85 with no scheduled release behind it, consistent with the MoF/BoJ intervention risk flagged in the JPY digest. Since then price has carved lower highs into 157.28 and re-tested 156.82 before stabilising just above the 157.00 round number; RSI(14) at 33, ATR(14) 18 pips against a pre-drop norm nearer 8.
Support: 157.00, 156.82
Resistance: 157.28, 157.77
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 157.28 bounce high would neutralise the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 156.82 session low confirms a fresh lower-low and opens the air below 157.00 round number
Fed speakers Williams 14:05 and Jefferson 14:20 UTC, plus ADP at 12:15 UTC, can re-price the front end within the next bars
Any further official JPY rate-check headline would keep realised ranges near the elevated 18-pip ATR
Range break below 157.40s, chain of lower highs since the drop.
Price was grinding higher into the 157.77 session high before a single bar wiped out ~70 pips and dragged USDJPY to 156.852, the kind of abrupt yen bid consistent with the official-action risk flagged into 158. The bounce stalled at 157.289 and has since carved lower highs (157.205, 157.080) with the close back at the session low; RSI(14) near 26, ATR(14) 17 pips versus sub-10 pip bars before the break.
Support: 156.852, 156.50
Resistance: 157.08, 157.289, 157.774
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 156.852 confirms continuation and puts the 156.500 psych level in play
M15 close above the 157.080 lower high breaks the post-drop lower-high chain
Reclaim of 157.289 bounce high would negate the range break read
Fed speakers (Williams 14:05, Jefferson 14:20 UTC) and ADP 4-week average 12:15 UTC land within the next few bars
Lower highs after a 90-pip flush; consolidating above 157.00.
London hours ground higher to a 157.77 session high before a vertical two-bar flush took price to 156.85 — roughly 90 pips with no scheduled release attached, in the zone where JPY desks have been flagging official intervention risk below 158. The bounce stalled at 157.28 and price has since made lower highs (157.28, 157.21, 157.07), trading back under both the EMA20 at 157.39 and EMA50 at 157.43 with RSI(14) at 33.
Support: 157.00, 156.85
Resistance: 157.28, 157.39, 157.77
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 157.28 bounce high would negate the lower-high chain
A close below the 157.00 round number reopens the 156.85 spike low
Failure to trade back above the ema20 at 157.39 keeps the reversal structure intact
Unscheduled MoF/BoJ intervention headlines remain the main risk; ADP 4-week average 12:15 UTC and Fed's Williams 14:05 UTC are the next scheduled events
Rising sequence of higher lows snapped; price basing under a lower high at 157.28.
London morning produced a 92-pip flush from the session high at 157.77 to 156.852 with no scheduled print behind it — the abrupt, one-way type of move the intervention-risk backdrop under 158 has been flagging. Price has since stabilised between the 157.02 flush low and the 157.28 rebound high, RSI(14) down to ~33 and ATR(14) widened to ~16 pips.
Support: 157.02, 156.85
Resistance: 157.28, 157.45, 157.77
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 157.28 rebound high would put the 157.45 prior range back in play
Failure to hold the 157.02 flush low re-exposes the 156.85 spike low
Fed speakers Williams 14:05 UTC and Jefferson 14:20 UTC fall within the next few hours; ATR(14) near 16 pips means post-flush bars stay wide
Seven-hour grind higher to 157.77 erased in three bars; lower low printed at 156.85, price stalling at the 38.2% retrace.
London hours saw a violent 90-pip flush from the 157.774 session high down to a 156.852 spike low in two bars — consistent with thin Tokyo-holiday liquidity and the intervention headline risk flagged around this move. Price has since retraced to 157.20, right on the 38.2% of the drop, with the 157.289 rebound high capping and RSI(14) at 41 after the collapse.
Support: 157.134, 157.018, 156.852
Resistance: 157.289, 157.45, 157.774
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 157.134 rebound low re-exposes the 157.018 flush low and the 156.852 spike low
Reclaim of the 157.289 rebound high and then the 157.45 prior pivot would negate the reversal read
Fed speakers from 14:05 UTC and any further official FX headlines can re-price this within the next few bars
Series of higher highs to 157.774 negated by a two-bar flush; basing above 157.02.
The grind up to the 157.77 session high was erased in two bars — a ~90-pip flush into 156.852, the flash low, before price stabilised around 157.15 in thin Tokyo-holiday liquidity where intervention headlines remain an unscheduled risk. RSI(14) near 35 and price now under EMA20/EMA50, with the move above 157.55 standing as a false break and 157.45 the prior pivot overhead.
Support: 157.02, 156.85
Resistance: 157.45, 157.77
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 157.45 prior pivot would frame the drop as a sweep rather than a structural break
Loss of the 157.02 spike low reopens the 156.85 flash low
Fed speakers from 14:05 UTC into thin liquidity can re-expand the range materially
Range break lower, price rebuilding below EMA20/EMA50.
The grind up through London stalled at the session high of 157.77, then collapsed 90 pips in two bars into the 11:30 broker-time window, tagging a session low of 156.85 before snapping back to 157.15 — an outsized move against a 14-pip ATR, consistent with the intervention headline risk flagged into thin Tokyo-holiday liquidity. That break took out the rising support line off the 157.26 low and left price below both EMA20 and the ema50 at 157.45, with RSI(14) down to 36 from overbought territory.
Support: 157.02, 156.85
Resistance: 157.45, 157.69, 157.77
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the ema50 at 157.45 would repair the downside break; failure there keeps the 157.69 prior shelf as supply
Loss of the 157.02 spike low on a close reopens the 156.85 session low
Fed speakers from 14:05 UTC and any follow-up official FX headlines can re-price this move within the hour
Higher highs / higher lows since the 06:00 UTC range break.
Price broke the 157.43–157.52 Asian range top at 06:00 UTC and has built a clean higher-high / higher-low chain into London, printing a session high at 157.774 with RSI(14) near 69 — hot but not extreme. The leg fits the post-BoJ dovish-hike JPY softness flagged in the digest; 157.605 is the breakout base holding the sequence, with 158.00 psych the next overhead reference.
Support: 157.605, 157.52, 157.428
Resistance: 157.774, 158.00
What it said to watch
M15 close back under the 157.605 breakout base would break the higher-low chain
Loss of the 157.52 range top puts price back inside the Asian range
Acceptance above the 157.774 session high opens the path to 158.00 psych
Unscheduled MoF/BoJ intervention headlines remain the main two-way tail risk in thin Tokyo-holiday liquidity
Fed's Williams 14:05 UTC could shift the intraday read
08:31 UTC
Uptrend, extended into session high · RSI 74 · price 157.745
Higher highs and higher lows since London open, range break intact.
London open broke the overnight 157.26–157.56 range top with a single 17-pip bar and price has held a clean higher-high/higher-low chain up to the 157.774 session high, RSI(14) ~74 and ATR ~7.4 pips. The push fits the post-BoJ dovish-hike JPY weakness with USD firm on hawkish Fed rhetoric; the shallowest reaction so far is the 157.606 pullback low.
Support: 157.606, 157.565, 157.428
Resistance: 157.774, 158.00
What it said to watch
Acceptance above the 157.774 session high opens the path toward the 158.00 psych level
A close back under the 157.565 range top would negate the breakout read and put the 157.428 swing low back in play
MoF/BoJ rate-check or intervention headlines remain unscheduled two-way risk given the pace of this move
Fed's Williams (14:05 GMT) could reshape this read within the next bars
08:16 UTC
Uptrend, fresh impulse off European open · RSI 71 · price 157.718
Higher highs and higher lows after break of the overnight 157.22–157.50 range.
Price spent the thin Asia session boxed between 157.22 and 157.50 before a single 17-pip candle at the European open broke the range top, and the last six bars have held the upper end with a session high at 157.757. RSI(14) at 71 is hot but consistent with the post-BoJ drift higher; 157.61 is the breakout base that has so far capped pullbacks.
Support: 157.61, 157.50, 157.22
Resistance: 157.757, 158.00
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 157.61 breakout base would put the range break in doubt and re-open 157.50
Approach to the 158.00 psych level is the area to monitor for rejection given reported intervention risk
Fed speakers later today (Williams 14:05 GMT) could materially shift this intraday read
08:01 UTC
Uptrend, impulsive then stalling · RSI 72 · price 157.693
Range break at London open, higher highs and higher lows since.
London open broke the thin Asia high at 157.565 with an 18-pip impulse candle and price has since built higher lows up to the 157.757 session high, RSI(14) hot at ~72 with ATR near 7 pips. The driver remains post-BoJ yen weakness against a Fed still signalling another hike; the last three bars are flat-lining just under the session high rather than extending.
Support: 157.606, 157.565
Resistance: 157.757, 158.00
What it said to watch
Close back under 157.606 micro low would be the first break of the post-London higher-low chain
M15 close under 157.565 asia high negates the range break
157.757 session high — area to monitor for rejection or continuation toward the 158.00 round number, where intervention headlines are the live risk
Fed speakers from 14:05 GMT could reset intraday direction
07:46 UTC
Uptrend, fresh impulse after range break · RSI 70 · price 157.735
Higher highs and higher lows since the European-morning break of the overnight range.
USDJPY spent the Asia session compressed in a 157.39–157.57 band on thin Silver Week liquidity, then broke out in one 18-pip bar at the European open and extended to a session high of 157.744. RSI(14) at ~70 is hot but not extreme, and pullbacks have so far held the 157.61 break base with price clear of EMA20 and EMA50; the post-BoJ dovish-hike versus hawkish-Fed contrast remains the backdrop.
Support: 157.61, 157.52, 157.39
Resistance: 157.744, 158.00
What it said to watch
Acceptance above the 157.744 session high opens the path toward the 158.00 psych level
A close back under the 157.52 range top puts price inside the overnight range again, with 157.39 range low the next reference
Failure to hold the 157.61 break base would mark the breakout as a false break
Fed speakers from 14:05 UTC (Williams, Jefferson, Barkin) and any MoF/BoJ intervention headline can reprice this move fast in thin liquidity
Price spent the Asia hours compressed between the 157.43 range low and the 157.53 range top before a 06:00 UTC impulse broke out, extending into the London session to a 157.744 session high with the post-BoJ yen weakness still doing the work. RSI(14) near 68.5 is hot but not extreme, ATR(14) ~6.7 pips, and each pullback has held a higher low, the latest at 157.605.
Support: 157.605, 157.53, 157.43
Resistance: 157.744, 158.00
What it said to watch
A close back under the 157.53 range top would negate the breakout read
Acceptance above 157.744 session high puts the 158.00 psych level in play
Fed speakers (Williams 14:05, Jefferson 14:20 UTC) could reprice this move
Unscheduled MoF/BoJ intervention or rate-check headlines are a fast reversal risk near 158.00
07:16 UTC
Uptrend, extending on London open · RSI 68 · price 157.656
Higher highs and higher lows; prior day high taken out, now consolidating under the session high.
The London open bar broke clean through the prior day high at 157.525 and ran to a session high of 157.685, with the yen still offered after the dovish BoJ in thin Silver Week liquidity. Price is now consolidating in the top few pips of the range, RSI(14) around 68 and ATR(14) near 6.5 pips.
Support: 157.525, 157.46, 157.428
Resistance: 157.685, 158.00
What it said to watch
A 15-minute close above 157.685 session high extends the leg toward the 158.00 round number
Loss of 157.46 break base would make the London breakout a false break and put 157.428 swing low back in play
Unscheduled MoF/BoJ intervention headlines after Friday's reported rate check are the main risk to this read
US Fed speakers later today could reprice the move without any change in chart structure
07:01 UTC
Uptrend, fresh impulse into early London · RSI 71 · price 157.657
Range break higher, higher highs off 157.29 swing low.
Price spent the Asia session boxed between 157.46 and the 157.565 prior high, then broke out in one 17-pip candle into the European open, tagging a session high of 157.674 with RSI(14) at ~71. Yen stayed offered after the dovish BoJ follow-through in holiday-thinned Tokyo liquidity; the old range top at 157.46 is now well below spot and untested.
Support: 157.565, 157.46, 157.29
Resistance: 157.674, 158.00
What it said to watch
A retest that fails to hold 157.565 prior high would put the range break back in question
Acceptance above the 157.674 session high opens the path toward the 158.00 psych level
Loss of 157.46 range top would neutralise the breakout and re-engage the 157.29 swing low
Unscheduled MoF/BoJ intervention headlines remain the main gap risk as 158.00 approaches
06:46 UTC
Uptrend, fresh impulse into new highs · RSI 66 · price 157.631
Range break to a new 24h high, higher lows intact.
Price spent the Asia session grinding in a 157.42–157.565 band before a two-bar thrust broke the range top and printed a session high at 157.659 ahead of the London open. Move fits the thin-liquidity yen drift after the dovish BoJ hike; RSI(14) at ~66 is firm but not stretched, ATR ~6.5 pips.
Support: 157.565, 157.428, 157.223
Resistance: 157.659, 158.00
What it said to watch
A 15m close back under 157.565 range top would flag the break as false
Loss of the 157.428 swing low breaks the higher-low chain; 157.223 asia low the next reference
158.00 psych is the area to monitor for rejection or extension
Tokyo books remain shut — MoF rate-check or intervention headlines can invalidate this read instantly
06:31 UTC
Uptrend, fresh impulse off the range top · RSI 63 · price 157.608
Range break to a new 24h high, higher lows intact.
Thin pre-London Asia hours with Tokyo shut: price coiled 157.43–157.52 for six hours then broke the 157.565 range top in one bar to a session high of 157.644, consistent with the absence of hawkish BoJ follow-through. RSI(14) at ~63 with ATR(14) near 6 pips, so the last bar was roughly a 3x-ATR expansion and still unretested.
Support: 157.565, 157.428, 157.223
Resistance: 157.644, 158.00
What it said to watch
Acceptance above the 157.644 session high keeps the path toward the 158.00 psych level open
A close back under the 157.565 range top would mark the move as a false break
Loss of the 157.428 swing low breaks the rising support chain off the 157.223 asia low
MoF rate-check or intervention headlines in holiday-thin liquidity would invalidate this read instantly
Higher lows into a tight range under session high.
Grind higher through the Asian session in thin Tokyo holiday liquidity tagged a session high at 157.565 before price settled into a 157.428–157.525 band, with RSI(14) back to a neutral 54 and ATR(14) around 5 pips. Demand stepped in at the asia low 157.262 earlier in the window and price is holding above both EMA20 and EMA50 as Europe comes in.
Support: 157.428, 157.39, 157.262
Resistance: 157.525, 157.565
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.565 session high reopens the path toward psych 158
Loss of the 157.428 range low shifts focus to the 157.390 swing low
Unscheduled MoF/BoJ intervention risk scales up the closer price trades to 158
Higher lows into a tight upper-range consolidation.
Thin Silver Week liquidity kept the grind higher orderly: the Asia session posted a session high at 157.565 and has since coiled between the 157.42 range low and the 157.525 range top, with RSI(14) back to neutral near 49. Price is pinned on EMA20 inside the 38.2-50% retracement of the 157.262-157.565 leg, ATR(14) just 4.8 pips — no directional structure in play right now.
Support: 157.42, 157.262, 157.223
Resistance: 157.525, 157.565
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.565 extends the leg and puts psych 158 in focus
Loss of the 157.42 range low re-opens the 157.262 swing low and voids the consolidation read
Unscheduled MoF/BoJ intervention headlines remain the main gap risk into the European session
US flash PMIs tomorrow 13:45 GMT could materially reset intraday ranges
Higher lows intact, price consolidating just under the session high.
USDJPY ground from 157.00 to a 157.565 session high during the Asia session, with Tokyo shut for Silver Week keeping ranges thin and the yen soft after the dovish BoJ hike. Last five hours are pure consolidation in a 157.39–157.53 band, price pinned on EMA20 with RSI(14) back at 50 — rising support off the 157.26 asia low still unbroken.
Support: 157.389, 157.262
Resistance: 157.565, 158.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 157.565 session high extends the Asia leg toward the 158.00 psych level
Loss of the 157.389 swing low breaks the rising support line and puts the 157.26 asia low back in play
Unscheduled MoF/BoJ intervention headlines near 158 would invalidate this consolidation read instantly
London open liquidity is the first test of the narrow 157.39–157.53 band
NY hours pushed to a session high at 157.565 off the 157.262 prior low, and price has since coiled in a 157.42–157.525 band through thin Asian trade with Tokyo out for Silver Week. RSI(14) back to mid-range near 48 and price pinned on EMA20 — grind, not impulse, with the post-BoJ dovish tilt still the underlying driver.
Support: 157.422, 157.389, 157.262
Resistance: 157.525, 157.565
What it said to watch
Close above the 157.565 session high opens the path toward psych 158
Loss of 157.389 swing low breaks the rising support line and the higher-low chain
ATR(14) at ~5.7 pips — sub-normal ranges while Tokyo liquidity is absent
Rate-check / intervention headline risk steps up into the 158–159 zone
US flash PMIs and Fed speakers later this week could materially shift this read
Higher lows intact, price coiling under the 24h high.
USDJPY has ground higher through thin Asia-session liquidity with Tokyo out for Silver Week, the post-BoJ dovish-hike drift still in force, but the last six hours are pure consolidation between 157.43 and the 24h high at 157.565 after rejection there. RSI(14) back to neutral near 50, ATR(14) ~6 pips — a compressed pre-London range with the swing low at 157.389 holding.
Support: 157.389, 157.262
Resistance: 157.525, 157.565, 158.00
What it said to watch
Acceptance above the 157.565 24h high extends the higher-low chain toward the 158.00 psych area, where intervention headlines have been flagged
Failure to hold the 157.389 swing low breaks the intraday higher-low sequence and opens the 157.262 session low
Repeated rejection at 157.525 prior high would confirm the range read into London
US ADP 4-week average 12:15 GMT and Fed's Williams 14:05 GMT can reprice this range within the next session
Higher lows intact, last 4h compressing under the asia high.
Grinding higher through thin Tokyo-holiday liquidity after the BoJ's dovish 1.25% hike, with the asia high at 157.565 marking the top of a tight 157.39–157.565 band in the last four hours. RSI(14) back to neutral near 51 and ATR(14) only ~6 pips — momentum has flattened even though price holds above EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 157.389, 157.262, 157.223
Resistance: 157.565, 157.525, 158.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.565 extends the higher-low chain and opens the 158.00 psych zone
Loss of 157.389 swing low breaks the intraday higher-low sequence and exposes the 157.262 session low
US ADP 4-week average and Fed speakers (Williams, Jefferson) later today could break this compression
Higher highs / higher lows, coiling under session high.
Steady HH/HL grind through the Asia session in thin Tokyo-holiday liquidity, with the post-BoJ yen softness keeping the drift upward; session high 157.565 has capped the last four hours. Price is consolidating in the upper third of the 24h range with RSI(14) mid-50s and ATR near 6 pips — a slow tape, not an impulse.
Support: 157.39, 157.26
Resistance: 157.565, 158.00
What it said to watch
Acceptance above the 157.565 session high opens the path to the 158.00 round number, the zone where intervention chatter has intensified
Loss of the 157.39 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and shifts the read to range
Fed speakers later today (Williams 14:05 GMT) could materially shift this read
Higher highs / higher lows, coiling under session high.
Thin Asia-session grind higher continues with Tokyo shut for Silver Week — price has held a clean higher-low chain from 157.262 and sits 4 pips under the 157.565 session high after the dovish-BoJ-driven squeeze. RSI(14) near 67 and ATR(14) at ~6 pips: momentum intact but ranges compressing between the ema20 at 157.46 and the session high.
Support: 157.389, 157.46, 157.262
Resistance: 157.565, 158.00
What it said to watch
Acceptance above the 157.565 session high opens the path to the 158.00 psych level, where intervention chatter has been intensifying
A close back under the 157.389 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and puts the 157.262 range low back in play
US ADP 4-week average and Fed speakers later today could materially shift this read
Higher lows since the asia low, capped under the session high.
USDJPY ground up from the asia low at 157.223 through NY hours to a session high of 157.565, then stalled and has coiled in a 157.39–157.52 band into thin holiday-liquidity Asia trade with Tokyo shut. Higher lows intact off the 157.262 swing low, RSI(14) around 62 with ATR near 7 pips — momentum flat rather than impulsive, and the 158.00 psych area is where intervention chatter has been building.
Support: 157.389, 157.262, 157.223
Resistance: 157.565, 157.525, 158.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 157.565 session high extends the higher-low chain toward the 158.00 psych area
Loss of the 157.389 session low, then the 157.262 swing low, breaks the rising low structure
Unscheduled MoF/BoJ intervention headlines are the main tail risk in thin Asia liquidity
Fed speakers later today could reprice USD and invalidate this tight-range read
Higher highs and higher lows, consolidating just under the session high.
Asia hours extended the post-BoJ drift higher in thin Tokyo-holiday liquidity, tagging a session high at 157.565 before settling back into a 157.39–157.52 box. Higher lows have held through the last eight hours, RSI(14) near 61 with ATR(14) about 7 pips.
Support: 157.39, 157.29, 157.22
Resistance: 157.565, 158.00
What it said to watch
Acceptance above the 157.565 session high extends the chain toward the 158.00 psych area, where intervention chatter has previously intensified
A close back under the 157.29 swing low breaks the higher-low sequence and reopens the 157.22 prior-day low
Unscheduled MoF/BoJ intervention headlines or Fed speakers later in the day can reset this intraday read quickly
Higher highs / higher lows, shallow pullback off session high.
Grinding higher through the London-NY session and into a thin Asia session with Tokyo shut for Silver Week, USD/JPY tagged a session high at 157.565 before easing back to 157.46 and holding the 157.42 intraday pivot. RSI(14) near 59 with ATR at roughly 6 pips — momentum intact but compressing, price above EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 157.42, 157.29, 157.22
Resistance: 157.565
What it said to watch
Acceptance above the 157.565 session high opens the path to psych 158, where intervention chatter has been most active
Loss of the 157.42 intraday pivot and then the 157.29 swing low would break the higher-low chain
Thin-liq low at 157.22 marks the downside edge of the holiday-liquidity air pocket
Fed speakers Williams and Jefferson later today can reprice the move inside a few M15 bars
Higher highs / higher lows, holding just under session high.
USDJPY has ground out a steady HH/HL chain through the Asian hours, breaking the prior NY high near 157.52 and printing a session high at 157.565 before stalling. Price sits at 157.50, above EMA20 and EMA50, with RSI(14) near 62 — firm but nowhere near stretched; ATR(14) is a thin 6.8 pips, consistent with Tokyo shut for the holiday and the post-BoJ yen slide.
Support: 157.262, 157.223, 157.00
Resistance: 157.565
What it said to watch
Acceptance above the 157.565 session high opens the path to the psych 158 area, where intervention chatter has historically intensified
A close back under the 157.262 swing low breaks the rising support line off the 157.223 asia low and flips the intraday structure
Loss of the 157.00 pivot would signal the grind higher is exhausting
Fed speakers later today (Williams, Jefferson, Barkin) and unscheduled MoF/BoJ headlines can reprice this range quickly in thin conditions
Higher highs and higher lows since the Asia low, holding above the intraday rising support.
USDJPY has ground out higher highs and higher lows off the 157.22 asia low, tagging a session high at 157.565 before a shallow pullback to 157.43 that has already been bought back — a continuation of the post-BoJ yen slide in Tokyo-holiday liquidity. Price sits above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) near 65, firm but not stretched, and ATR(14) around 7 pips shows how compressed the ranges are.
Support: 157.43, 157.29, 157.22
Resistance: 157.565, 158.00
What it said to watch
Acceptance above the 157.565 session high extends the higher-high chain toward the 158.00 psych level
Loss of the 157.43 swing low, then 157.29 prior low, breaks the rising support and invalidates the higher-low sequence
Intervention headlines out of MoF/BoJ are the main unscheduled risk into 158.00 and would reprice this structure instantly
Fed speakers later today (Williams, Jefferson, Barkin) could shift the USD leg of this move
Higher highs and higher lows, pullback from session high.
Early Asia Tuesday with Tokyo shut for Silver Week: the grind up off the Monday Asia base extended to a session high at 157.565 before fading to 157.44, RSI(14) easing back to ~57 from the push. Higher-low chain intact off the 157.22 asia low and the 157.26 swing low, with ATR(14) near 7 pips in thin holiday liquidity.
Support: 157.35, 157.26, 157.22
Resistance: 157.565, 158.00
What it said to watch
Close back under 157.35 pivot low would break the recent higher-low chain
Loss of 157.22 asia low invalidates the intraday uptrend read
Sustained close above 157.565 session high opens the 158.00 psych area
Fed speakers later Tuesday and unscheduled MoF/BoJ intervention risk can reprice this tape quickly in thin liquidity
02:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum easing after session high · RSI 59 · price 157.447
Higher highs / higher lows off the 157.22 Asia low, shallow pullback in progress.
Early Asia has ground higher in thin liquidity with Tokyo shut, breaking the 157.40 congestion and printing a session high at 157.565 before easing back to 157.45. Structure is a clean higher-low chain off the 157.22 Asia low; RSI(14) near 59 with ATR at ~7 pips, so no exhaustion signal yet — dovish BoJ delivery plus hawkish Fed pricing remains the backdrop.
Support: 157.35, 157.22
Resistance: 157.565, 158.00
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 157.35 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
Loss of 157.22 asia low would reverse the intraday sequence
Acceptance above 157.565 session high opens the 158.00 psych area, where intervention headline risk is live
Fed speakers (Williams, Jefferson) later today could reprice the tape into the London session
Higher highs and higher lows since the 157.22 Asia low; prior session high taken out.
Thin early-Asia trade with Tokyo shut for Silver Week has ground USD/JPY up through the 157.525 prior high to a 157.565 session high, with dovish BoJ delivery still leaving the yen offered. RSI(14) near 63 — firm, not stretched — and price holding above the 157.36 swing low that has capped every pullback in the last six hours; ATR(14) is a compressed 6.8 pips.
Support: 157.36, 157.223, 157.00
Resistance: 157.565, 158.06
What it said to watch
Acceptance above the 157.565 session high extends the higher-high chain toward the 158.06 prior high
A M15 close back under the 157.36 swing low breaks the intraday HH/HL sequence
Loss of 157.223 asia low would reopen the 157.00 psych pivot
Unscheduled MoF/BoJ intervention headlines into thin holiday liquidity could invalidate this read in a single bar
02:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 68 · price 157.521
Higher highs and higher lows, fresh session high.
Thin Asia-session tape with Tokyo shut for the holiday: price ground through Monday's NY high and printed a fresh session high at 157.565, extending the JPY-soft grind flagged after the dovishly delivered BoJ hike. RSI(14) near 68 is hot but not extreme, ATR(14) ~7 pips, and the pullback low at 157.223 marks the base of the current leg.
Support: 157.35, 157.223, 157.00
Resistance: 157.565, 158.00
What it said to watch
M15 close back under the 157.350 ema20 area would stall the breakout read
Loss of the 157.223 asia low would confirm a lower-low and reopen the 157.000 pivot
Acceptance above 157.565 puts the 158.000 friday high in range
Unscheduled MoF/BoJ rate-check headlines remain the main intraday risk in thin liquidity — Friday's precedent moved price ~50 pips in minutes
Higher-high / higher-low chain, fresh session high on the current bar.
Tokyo shut for Silver Week, so the grind up from the 157.22 session low has come in thin liquidity; late NY chopped 157.26-157.44 before the current Asia bars broke out to a new session high at 157.53. RSI(14) near 66 with ATR ~7 pips — momentum firm, not stretched, and no rejection wick at the highs yet.
Support: 157.29, 157.22, 157.00
Resistance: 157.53, 158.00
What it said to watch
Sustained trade above the 157.53 session high opens the 158.00 fri high, the level desks flag as an intervention trip-wire
A close back under 157.29 swing low breaks the rising support line and puts the 157.22 session low back in play
Unscheduled MoF/BoJ rate check headline is the live risk in holiday-thin liquidity — Friday's check dragged price under the 157.00 pivot
01:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 64 · price 157.474
Higher lows off the 157.22 asia low, range top taken out.
Price has climbed back to 157.47 in thin Asia-session liquidity with Tokyo shut for Silver Week, clearing the 157.44 top of the overnight range after holding the 157.29 swing low and the 157.22 asia low. RSI(14) at ~63 with price above both EMA20 and EMA50; the 157.525 prior high from the NY session is the immediate cap.
Support: 157.29, 157.22, 157.00
Resistance: 157.525, 158.00
What it said to watch
Close above 157.525 prior high opens the path toward the 158.00 friday high
Loss of 157.22 asia low breaks the higher-low chain and re-exposes the 157.00 pivot
Unscheduled MoF/BoJ rate-check or intervention risk is live above 157 and can move this 20+ pips in one bar
Consolidation under 157.52 prior high, shallow rising lows.
USDJPY has spent the last eight hours chopping in a 157.22–157.44 band after the 157.525 prior high capped the NY push, with the late-session gap lower into the Asia low at 157.223 a symptom of holiday-thin liquidity while Tokyo is shut. Early Asia has clawed back to 157.41 on a sequence of rising lows, RSI(14) mid-range at 56 and ATR(14) just 7 pips — no directional structure in play.
Support: 157.262, 157.223
Resistance: 157.44, 157.525
What it said to watch
Close above the 157.44 range top and then 157.525 prior high would extend the intraday sequence toward 158.00
Failure to hold 157.262 range low, then the 157.223 asia low, breaks the rising-lows sequence
Unscheduled MoF/BoJ intervention or a rate check is the main gap risk with Tokyo closed and liquidity thin
Higher highs into NY, now range-bound below 157.44.
USDJPY topped at the 157.525 ny high during NY hours and has since chopped in a 157.22–157.44 band through the post-NY and early Asia hours, with Tokyo shut for Silver Week keeping volumes minimal. Price sits back above EMA20 at 157.34 but under EMA50 after the rejection, RSI(14) neutral near 53 and ATR(14) around 7 pips — a compressed holiday range rather than directional follow-through from the dovish BoJ hike squeeze.
Support: 157.26, 157.22
Resistance: 157.44, 157.525
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 157.44 range top reopens the 157.525 ny high
Failure to hold the 157.22 asia low confirms a lower-low and breaks the consolidation
Thin liquidity means official rate-check headlines toward 158 can move the pair multiple figures with little warning
Rangebound after failed push at 157.52; lower highs since NY.
Grind higher off 156.58 topped at the prior high 157.525 in the NY morning, and price has since chopped in a ~20-pip band between the session low 157.262 and range top 157.437 through thin Tokyo-holiday liquidity. RSI(14) back at mid-50s, ATR(14) only 7 pips — no directional structure in play, with the reported BoJ rate check still capping attempts above 157.50.
Support: 157.262, 157.223
Resistance: 157.437, 157.525
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 157.437 range top re-opens the 157.525 prior high and the 158.00 spike-high zone
Loss of the 157.223 asia low confirms a lower low and voids the range read
Intervention headlines remain live above 157.50 and would cut through this range in thin liquidity
US PMIs Wed 13:45 UTC are the week's main data risk for the pair
00:46 UTC
Sideways, momentum flat after NY grind higher · RSI 51 · price 157.354
Balanced range under the ny high, lower highs since 15:30 UTC.
USDJPY topped at 157.525 into late NY and has since chopped in a 157.22–157.44 band, with a small gap lower on the 21:00 UTC liquidity handover and volumes collapsing in Silver Week-thinned Asia hours. Price is pinned on EMA20 with RSI(14) near 51 and ATR around 7 pips — no directional structure in play, just lower highs capping at the range top.
Support: 157.22, 157.00
Resistance: 157.44, 157.525
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 157.44 range top reopens the 157.525 ny high
Loss of 157.22 session low confirms a lower low and exposes the 157.00 psych mark
Intervention headline risk stays live in thin Tokyo-holiday liquidity
US ADP 4-week average 12:15 UTC and Fed speakers from 14:05 UTC could break the range
Range after rejection at 157.52, lower highs into thin Asia liquidity.
Grind higher through London-NY stalled with a rejection at 157.525, and price has since compressed into a 157.22–157.44 range with RSI(14) back at 49 and price pinned to the EMA20 at 157.345. Tokyo is shut for Silver Week, so the last eight hours are thin-liquidity drift rather than directional development — the dovish BoJ hike remains the backdrop keeping JPY offered.
Support: 157.223, 157.345
Resistance: 157.44, 157.525, 158.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 157.44 range top re-opens the prior high at 157.525 and the 158.00 psych area
Loss of the 157.223 session low confirms a lower low and breaks the range read
Unscheduled MoF/BoJ rate-check headlines carry outsized effect in thin Asia liquidity
US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 UTC are the week's only high-impact USD release and could reset this range
Higher highs into 157.52, now sideways 157.22-157.44.
Grind higher through London and NY topped at 157.52 (prior high) before a thin-liquidity gap lower into the Asia reopen printed the 157.22 session low, with Tokyo still out for Silver Week and JPY soft post-dovish BoJ. Since then price has chopped in a 157.22-157.44 band, RSI(14) back to neutral near 48 and ATR(14) only ~7 pips — no directional structure in play at this hour.
Support: 157.22
Resistance: 157.44, 157.52
What it said to watch
Acceptance above the 157.44 range top re-opens the 157.52 prior high and the 158.00 area
A close below 157.22 breaks the rising support line off the 156.58 low and confirms a lower low
Thin Asia liquidity keeps BoJ/MoF rate-check headline risk live and can void the range read in one bar
Higher highs capped; sideways range after session high.
Grind higher through London-NY topped out at the 157.52 session high, then rejection and a slide into a 157.22–157.44 range for the back half of NY. Now in the Asia session with Tokyo shut for Silver Week — volumes are minimal, price pinned just under EMA20 with RSI(14) mid-40s; no structural setup in play.
Support: 157.22, 157.17
Resistance: 157.44, 157.52
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 157.44 range top reopens the 157.52 session high
Loss of the 157.22 session low exposes the 157.17 prior low and invalidates the range read
BoJ rate-check or MoF intervention headlines in thin Tokyo-holiday liquidity can gap this range either way
US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 UTC is the week's first high-impact USD catalyst