USD/JPY AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Monday, 21 September 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/JPY 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:46 UTC
Higher on the day, momentum stalled · RSI 45 · price 157.373
Consolidation under 157.525 after the London-NY advance.
Pair ground up from 156.575 to 157.525 through London-NY, then rolled into a 157.22-157.44 consolidation; RSI(14) back to 45 with price pinned on flat EMA20/EMA50. Early Asia is thin with Tokyo out for Silver Week — the small gap lower into 157.223 and single-digit volumes reflect liquidity, not structure.
Support: 157.291, 157.223
Resistance: 157.437, 157.525
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 157.437 session high re-opens the 157.525 range top
Loss of the 157.291 swing low and then the 157.223 asia low breaks the consolidation lower
Unscheduled MoF/BoJ intervention or rate-check headlines are the live risk in holiday-thin Asia liquidity
23:16 UTC
Drifting lower after NY high, momentum flat · RSI 43 · price 157.296
Lower highs off 157.525, holding above 157.22.
USDJPY topped at the 157.525 session high in NY hours and has since printed a chain of lower highs, the latest spike stalling at 157.437 before fading back to 157.30. Liquidity is extremely thin with Tokyo shut for Silver Week — ATR(14) just 6.4 pips, RSI(14) at 43 — and the 157.223 session low from the earliest Asia bars is the only intraday floor before the 157.00 pivot.
Support: 157.223, 157.00
Resistance: 157.437, 157.525
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 157.437 would break the lower highs sequence
Loss of the 157.223 session low opens the 157.00 pivot
Thin Asia liquidity can exaggerate moves on little flow until Tokyo returns
Unscheduled MoF/BoJ rate-check headlines remain the sharpest single risk to this read
Sideways range under session high after pullback from 157.52.
Thin Asia hours with Tokyo out for Silver Week have left USDJPY chopping in a 157.22–157.53 range after the NY-session push to the 157.525 session high faded. The spike to 157.437 on the new-day open was rejected within one bar and price sits back under EMA20 with RSI(14) near 44 — no directional structure in play.
Support: 157.223
Resistance: 157.437, 157.525
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 157.437 spike high reopens the 157.525 session high
Loss of the 157.223 session low breaks the range low and confirms a lower-low sequence
Unscheduled MoF/BoJ rate-check or intervention headlines remain the sharpest risk to this range read, with 158.42/160.00 flagged as the intervention zone
Higher highs capped at 157.52, now consolidating under EMA20.
USDJPY ground up from the 156.58 Asia low to a 157.52 session high through London-NY, was rejected there, and has since gone sideways in a 157.22–157.44 band with price slipping back under EMA20; JPY stayed heavy with Tokyo shut for Silver Week. RSI(14) back to 45 and ATR(14) near 6.5 pips — liquidity is thin into the late-NY/Asia handover and the last few bars show minimal participation.
Support: 157.22
Resistance: 157.44, 157.52
What it said to watch
Close above 157.44 prior high, then 157.52 session high, would restore the higher-high chain
Loss of the 157.22 session low breaks the rising-low sequence built through NY
Unscheduled MoF/BoJ rate-check or intervention headline is the sharpest risk to this read in thin liquidity
Tokyo returning from holiday restores depth and can widen the current 20-pip band
Higher highs into 157.52, now consolidating below EMA20 after a rollover gap.
NY hours topped at the 157.52 day high and faded; the broker-midnight rollover left a small gap down to the 157.223 asia low before a thin-liquidity spike back to the 157.437 session high was rejected. Price now sits at 157.335, under EMA20 with RSI(14) near 42 and ATR(14) around 7.5 pips — volumes collapse in the last six bars with Tokyo shut for Silver Week, so this is drift, not structure.
Support: 157.223, 157.309
Resistance: 157.437, 157.525
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 157.223 asia low would break the rising support line off 156.575
Reclaim of the 157.437 session high puts the 157.525 day high back in play
Unscheduled MoF/BoJ rate-check or intervention headlines remain the sharpest risk to this read with 158.42 above
Pullback from NY session high, chopping in thin Asia hours.
USDJPY ground higher through London and into NY, topping at the 157.525 session high before fading; the pair has since drifted back under EMA20 with RSI(14) near 43 and ATR at roughly 6 pips. Thin post-NY liquidity with Tokyo shut for Silver Week produced the 157.223 session low on minimal volume, quickly recovered back into the 157.30-157.43 band, leaving price mid-range between the swing low at 157.309 and the 157.434 swing high.
Support: 157.309, 157.223, 157.152
Resistance: 157.434, 157.525
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 157.434 and a close above the 157.525 session high would restore the intraday up-sequence
Loss of 157.223 session low confirms a lower low and exposes the 157.152 london low
Japanese liquidity returning mid-week plus MoF/BoJ rate-check headline risk above 158 can override this intraday structure
22:01 UTC
Intraday pullback after session high rejection · RSI 34 · price 157.27
Lower highs from 157.525, price under EMA20/EMA50.
USD/JPY rejected the 157.525 session high during NY hours and has since built a chain of lower highs, with the 157.40 lower high capping the last two attempts. Post-NY-close liquidity is minimal with Tokyo shut for Silver Week — volumes collapsed and a small gap lower printed into the 157.223 session low, from which price has only partially recovered to 157.27. RSI(14) at 34 and ATR(14) near 6 pips; below the session low the next reference is the 157.15 prior low.
Support: 157.223, 157.15
Resistance: 157.40, 157.525
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 157.40 lower high would negate the descending sequence off the session high
Loss of the 157.223 session low opens the 157.15 prior low as the next intraday reference
No scheduled US or Japan data in the next 8h; unscheduled MoF/BoJ rate-check headlines remain the sharpest single-name risk
Thin post-close liquidity means gaps and outsized wicks can distort the structural read
Lower highs off 157.52 after a capped NY session; thin post-close range.
USDJPY topped at the 157.525 session high during NY and has since printed lower highs, capped at 157.44, with the dovish BoJ hike and firm USD keeping the wider drift upward but out of gas here. Liquidity collapsed after the NY close — a dip to the 157.223 session low was immediately bought back to 157.34, RSI(14) mid-40s, ATR(14) ~5.6 pips.
Support: 157.223, 157.00
Resistance: 157.44, 157.525
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 157.44 lower highs would put the 157.525 session high back in play
Loss of the 157.223 session low confirms a lower low and opens the 157.00 pivot
Thin Silver Week liquidity (Tokyo shut until Wednesday) exaggerates both directions; unscheduled MoF/BoJ rate-check headlines are the main single-name risk
NY range broken lower; first lower high since the Asian low.
USDJPY ground from the 156.575 Asian low to a 157.52 session high through London-NY, then coiled in a 157.34-157.50 consolidation before slipping out of it after the NY close, with a thin-liquidity gap down to 157.22 as Tokyo stays shut for Silver Week. Price is now under EMA20 near 157.40, RSI(14) at 32, and the rising support line off the Asian low has been breached; ATR(14) is compressed at roughly 6 pips.
Support: 157.22, 157.17, 157.00
Resistance: 157.40, 157.52, 157.31
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 157.40 ema20 would restore the intraday uptrend read
Failure to hold 157.22 bar low exposes the 157.17 swing low and the 157.00 psych pivot
Thin post-NY / Silver Week liquidity exaggerates moves in both directions until Tokyo reopens
Unscheduled MoF/BoJ rate-check or intervention headlines remain the sharpest risk to this read
21:16 UTC
Short-term drift lower off session high · RSI 31 · price 157.262
Lower highs since 157.525, gap down into Asia open.
After rejection at the 157.525 session high in NY hours, price ground out lower highs into 157.502 and then gapped down through the 157.375 gap edge on the first ultra-thin bars of the Asia session, with Tokyo still shut for Silver Week. RSI(14) near 31 and price under both EMA20 and EMA50; ATR(14) only ~5 pips, so the gap is large relative to recent bar ranges.
Support: 157.223, 157.162, 157.00
Resistance: 157.375, 157.502, 157.525
What it said to watch
Reclaim and close above 157.375 gap edge would fill the gap and neutralise the lower-high sequence
Loss of the 157.223 session low opens the fib 38.2 at 157.162 and the 157.00 pivot
Liquidity is minimal until Tokyo reopens — moves in both directions are exaggerated and any MoF/BoJ rate-check headline would reprice this window instantly
21:02 UTC
Uptrend, momentum flattening late NY · RSI 44 · price 157.375
Higher highs from 156.575, now ranging 157.31-157.52.
Steady grind up from the 156.575 London-session low to a 157.52 session high, with the dovishly-delivered BoJ hike and firm USD keeping JPY offered in thin Silver Week liquidity. Last four hours have stalled: price rejected 157.50 twice, slipped under the EMA20 near 157.43, and is closing the NY session at 157.375 with RSI(14) at 44 and ATR ~5 pips.
Support: 157.34, 157.31
Resistance: 157.43, 157.52, 158.00
What it said to watch
Close below the 157.31 ny low breaks the rising support line and confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 157.43 (ema20) puts the 157.52 session high back in play
Unscheduled MoF/BoJ rate-check or intervention headlines into 158.00 remain the sharpest risk to this read
20:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum flattening into the close · RSI 47 · price 157.403
Higher highs/higher lows from the Asian low, now coiling under the session high.
USDJPY ground higher all day from the 156.58 Asian low to a 157.525 session high in the NY morning, helped by firm US yields and the dovish-delivered BoJ hike keeping the yen offered. Since the rejection there it has chopped in a 157.31–157.50 band, price now pinned marginally below EMA20 with RSI(14) back to neutral near 46 and ATR only ~5 pips into the late NY close.
Support: 157.31
Resistance: 157.525, 158.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 157.31 (ny low) would post the first lower low of the day and break the rising support line
Reclaim of 157.525 (session high) re-opens the 158.00 psych area flagged as the intervention battleground
Thin liquidity with Tokyo shut until Wednesday — unscheduled MoF/BoJ rate-check headlines can invalidate the range read instantly
Higher highs/lows into a tight late-NY consolidation under the session high.
Grinding higher all day from the London low at 156.575, USDJPY stalled at the 157.525 session high and has since coiled in a 157.34–157.50 band with ATR(14) down to ~5.5 pips — thin liquidity with Tokyo shut for Silver Week. RSI(14) back to neutral near 52 and price pinned to a flat EMA20; the swing low at 157.309 still marks the last higher low.
Support: 157.339, 157.309, 157.00
Resistance: 157.50, 157.525
What it said to watch
Close back above the 157.525 session high would resume the higher-high sequence
Loss of the 157.309 swing low would break the intraday higher-low chain
Failure to hold 157.00 pivot would unwind the whole day's advance
Intervention headlines into the 158.00–158.42 zone could void this compression read fast
Grind higher through the London-NY window off the 156.58 low, with the dovishly-delivered BoJ hike still weighing on JPY in thin Silver Week liquidity. Upside stalled at the 157.52 session high on repeated rejections; late NY hours have price coiling 157.34-157.50 with RSI(14) back at mid-range and ATR near 5 pips.
Support: 157.34, 157.17
Resistance: 157.52, 158.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 157.52 session high extends the chain toward the 158.00 psych area flagged for intervention risk
Loss of 157.34 swing low breaks the higher-low sequence and exposes 157.17 prior swing
Liquidity stays thin with Tokyo shut until Wednesday — moves in both directions can be exaggerated
20:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum stalling late NY · RSI 46 · price 157.378
Higher highs into 157.52, now lower highs inside a tight 157.31-157.53 range.
London-NY drove a steady grind from 156.81 to a 157.525 session high before supply capped the move, and price has since traced lower highs into the late NY hours with RSI(14) back near 46. Thin Silver Week liquidity with Tokyo shut has kept ranges compressed — ATR(14) is only ~5.5 pips — and the pair is holding above the 157.00 pivot after Friday's dovish BoJ hike.
Support: 157.309, 157.116, 157.00
Resistance: 157.525, 158.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 157.525 session high reopens the path toward the 158.00 round number
Failure to hold 157.309 confirms a lower low and puts 157.116 prior low in play
Unscheduled MoF/BoJ intervention or rate-check headlines could void this range read instantly
Loss of the 157.00 pivot would break the intraday uptrend structure
Lower highs off 157.517 inside a tight late-NY range.
USDJPY rejected 157.517 at the NY session high and has printed lower highs since, slipping back under the EMA20 near 157.486 with RSI(14) flat around 46. Grind stays above 157.309 in thin late-NY liquidity with Tokyo shut for Silver Week; the dovishly-delivered BoJ hike remains the backdrop for the week's higher lows.
Support: 157.309, 157.155, 157.00
Resistance: 157.486, 157.517
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 157.517 session high would resume the leg toward the 158.00-158.42 band where intervention headlines cap
Loss of the 157.309 swing low confirms a lower low and opens the 157.155 prior low, then the 157.00 psych pivot
Unscheduled MoF/BoJ rate-check or intervention headlines are the main two-way risk into the Asia reopen
ATR(14) near 5.5 pips — ranges are compressed, so a break needs follow-through to be credible
Higher highs stalling under session high; tight late-NY coil.
USDJPY ground up through London-NY off the 156.57 low and twice stalled at the 157.52 session high, with the dovishly-delivered BoJ hike and firm Fed pricing keeping the yen soft. Late NY has gone flat: price is coiling either side of the 157.44 ema20 with ATR down to ~6 pips in Silver Week liquidity, so no fresh structure since the rejection.
Support: 157.35, 157.31
Resistance: 157.44, 157.52
What it said to watch
Close above 157.52 extends the higher-high chain toward the 158.00 area
Loss of 157.35 then 157.31 swing low breaks the intraday ascending support
Unscheduled MoF/BoJ intervention or rate-check headlines would invalidate the grind-higher read instantly
Tokyo shut until Wednesday — thin liquidity can exaggerate moves in both directions
Higher highs/higher lows off the London low, now coiling under the session high.
Grind higher all session from the 156.575 London low to a 157.525 session high, and the last ten bars have consolidated in a tight 157.35–157.52 band into the late NY hours on thin holiday liquidity with Tokyo shut. Drift is Fed-driven USD firmness against a yen still soft after the dovishly-delivered BoJ hike; RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-50s while ATR(14) sits near 5.5 pips, a compressed range.
Support: 157.35, 157.31, 157.00
Resistance: 157.525, 158.00
What it said to watch
A 15m close above the 157.525 session high extends the higher-high chain toward the 158.00 psych level, where intervention headlines become the main brake
Loss of the 157.35 swing low, then the 157.31 ny low, breaks the intraday HH/HL structure
Unscheduled MoF/BoJ intervention or another rate check is the key two-way risk while liquidity is thin; the 157.00 pivot is the next reference below
Tokyo reopening Wednesday normalises liquidity and can invalidate ranges set in this thin tape
Higher highs/higher lows, now coiling under session high.
Grinding uptrend off the 156.575 London low, with the session high at 157.525 capping the last four hours; JPY stayed soft after Friday's dovishly-delivered BoJ hike and thin Silver Week liquidity. Late NY has compressed into a 157.41–157.50 coil, ATR(14) down to ~7 pips and RSI(14) mid-range at 56, so the impulse has stalled rather than reversed.
Support: 157.31
Resistance: 157.525, 158.00
What it said to watch
Close above the 157.525 session high would extend the higher-high chain toward the 158.00 psych level
Loss of the 157.31 swing low breaks the rising support line off the London low
Unscheduled MoF/BoJ intervention headlines remain the main two-way risk into the 158.00 area
Higher highs / higher lows, now coiling under session high.
Grinding uptrend off the 156.575 London low, with the NY session posting a high at 157.525 and rejecting it; the last three hours have compressed into a 157.35–157.50 band on 6-pip ATR as Tokyo stays shut for Silver Week. RSI(14) back to neutral near 54 after the pullback to the 157.347 swing low held, with the dovish BoJ delivery and firm US yields still the backdrop.
Support: 157.347, 157.00
Resistance: 157.525, 158.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 157.525 session high extends the higher-high chain toward the 158.00 psych area
Loss of the 157.347 swing low breaks the HH/HL sequence and opens the 157.00 pivot
Unscheduled MoF/BoJ intervention or rate-check headlines are the main two-way risk in thin liquidity
Fed speaker slate can re-price the dollar leg intraday
Higher highs / higher lows, now coiling under the session high.
Steady grind higher off the 156.575 London low, with the NY session posting a session high at 157.525 before flattening into a tight 157.39-157.50 coil; ATR(14) has compressed to ~6 pips in thin post-Tokyo, Silver Week liquidity. RSI(14) back to a neutral 54 after the push, price hugging EMA20 with the rising sequence of higher lows intact — the last defended one at 157.309.
Support: 157.309, 157.166, 157.00
Resistance: 157.525, 158.00
What it said to watch
Close above the 157.525 session high extends the higher-high chain toward the 158.00 psych band where intervention headlines cluster
Loss of the 157.309 swing low breaks the rising support line and puts 157.166 prior low back in play
A slide through 157.00 pivot would invalidate the intraday uptrend read
Unscheduled MoF/BoJ rate-check headlines can reprice this window instantly in thin liquidity
Higher highs and higher lows, now coiling under session high.
Steady grind higher through London and NY in thin Silver Week liquidity, with the dovishly-delivered BoJ hike still squeezing yen longs; the leg off 156.575 topped at the 157.53 session high before compressing into a 157.31–157.49 band over the last two hours. RSI(14) near 58 and ATR(14) at ~7 pips show momentum cooling into late NY rather than reversing, with the higher-low chain intact above rising support.
Support: 157.31, 157.00
Resistance: 157.53, 158.06
What it said to watch
M15 close below 157.31 breaks the swing low and the rising support line, ending the higher-low chain
Acceptance above the 157.53 session high opens the path toward Friday's 158.06 high, where intervention headlines become the main brake
Unscheduled MoF/BoJ rate check or intervention is the key two-way risk while Tokyo is shut
Loss of 157.00 pivot would invalidate the intraday uptrend read
Higher highs and higher lows since the London low, coiling under the session high.
USDJPY has ground up all NY session off the 156.575 London low to a 157.525 session high, carry drift resuming in thin Silver Week conditions with Tokyo shut. Late-NY bars are tiny and coiled between 157.41 and 157.49, RSI(14) mid-50s and ATR(14) around 7 pips — no fresh impulse into the close.
Support: 157.347, 157.17
Resistance: 157.525, 158.00
What it said to watch
Acceptance above the 157.525 session high keeps the higher-high chain intact and opens the 158.00 psych area
Loss of the 157.347 swing low breaks the NY HL sequence; 157.17 ny low is the next reference
Unscheduled MoF/BoJ intervention headlines as price approaches 158.00+ would invalidate the grind-higher read instantly
17:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum flattening late NY · RSI 59 · price 157.458
Higher lows intact, coiling under session high.
Steady grind higher through London and into NY, with the session high at 157.52 rejected once before a dip to 157.31 was bought back; last six bars are compressing in a 7-pip band just above the EMA20 at 157.42. Drift is carry-led in thin conditions with Tokyo shut for Silver Week, RSI(14) neutral-firm near 59 and ATR(14) only ~7 pips.
Support: 157.42, 157.31, 157.17
Resistance: 157.52, 158.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 157.52 session high extends the higher-low chain toward the 158.00 psych area
Loss of 157.31 session low breaks the higher-low sequence and puts 157.17 prior low back in play
Unscheduled MoF/BoJ intervention headlines as price approaches 158.00 could invalidate this read instantly
Failure to hold the 157.42 ema20 would flag the late-NY consolidation resolving lower
17:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum flattening late NY · RSI 56 · price 157.426
Higher highs / higher lows, coiling under session high.
USDJPY has ground higher through the London-NY session off the 156.575 low, printing a session high at 157.525 before flattening into 5-pip bars around 157.42 — holiday-thin flow with Japan shut is keeping ranges tight. The drift up follows Friday's dovish BoJ hike; RSI(14) near 56 is neutral and ATR(14) is only ~7 pips, so the last hour is compression rather than fresh impulse.
Support: 157.31, 157.15
Resistance: 157.525, 158.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 157.525 session high extends the higher-high chain toward the 158.00 psych level
Loss of the 157.31 swing low breaks the rising support line off the session lows and puts 157.15 prior low back in play
Intervention headlines into 158.00+ remain the single largest risk to this intraday read
17:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum flattening late NY · RSI 56 · price 157.431
Higher highs and higher lows since the London low, now coiling under the session high.
Thin holiday-session grind higher with Japan shut for Silver Week — USDJPY built an unbroken HH/HL chain from the 156.575 London low to a 157.525 session high before easing back. The 157.309 swing low was bought immediately and price is now consolidating in the upper third of the range late in NY, RSI(14) near 56 and ATR(14) around 8 pips.
Support: 157.309, 157.166
Resistance: 157.525, 158.06
What it said to watch
M15 close below 157.309 breaks the higher-low chain and shifts the read to range
Acceptance above the 157.525 session high opens the path back toward the 158.060 friday high
Loss of 157.166 london low would confirm the Monday advance has topped out
Intervention headlines remain the single-name risk into the 158s; Japan's Wednesday reopening normalises liquidity
Higher highs / higher lows off 156.575, stalling under session high.
Steady London-into-NY grind higher off the 156.575 low, with the late-NY push rejected at the 157.525 session high before a quick 18-pip flush to the 157.31 intraday low was recovered. Yen remains soft in holiday-thin liquidity after Friday's dovish BoJ, and RSI(14) near 56 shows the advance is orderly rather than stretched; ATR(14) around 8 pips reflects the compressed Silver Week ranges.
Support: 157.31, 157.17
Resistance: 157.525, 158.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 157.525 session high extends the higher-high chain toward the 158.00 psych level
Loss of the 157.31 intraday low breaks the ascending low sequence and puts the 157.17 swing low back in play
BoJ/MoF intervention headlines remain the main single-name risk while liquidity is thin
US Fed speakers (Williams, Jefferson, Barkin) tomorrow could reset the yield-driven leg behind this move
16:46 UTC
Uptrend, grind slowing into NY afternoon · RSI 61 · price 157.426
Chain of higher highs and higher lows since the London low, capped at 157.525.
Holiday-thin Silver Week liquidity has let USD/JPY grind up all session from the 156.575 London low, but the 157.525 session high has now capped two attempts and price pulled 18 pips off it before stabilising near 157.42. RSI(14) around 61 with ATR(14) at roughly 8 pips — momentum intact, range compressing into the late NY hours.
Support: 157.309, 157.166, 157.00
Resistance: 157.525, 158.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 157.525 session high would extend the higher-high sequence toward the 158.00 psych area
Loss of the 157.309 swing low breaks the rising higher-low chain and puts 157.166 prior swing back in play
Intervention headlines remain the single largest risk to this structure given proximity to 158.00 and above
A hold of 157.00 psych is the wider reference if the intraday channel fails
16:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling at session high · RSI 56 · price 157.391
Higher highs / higher lows since the London low, first lower high after 157.525.
Grinding uptrend through London into NY, with a rejection at the 157.525 session high and a quick 18-pip flush to 157.31 before buyers reclaimed 157.39. Holiday-thin JPY liquidity (Japan shut) plus the dovish BoJ hold keeps the drift higher, but RSI(14) near 56 shows momentum has flattened rather than extended.
Support: 157.31, 157.18, 157.10
Resistance: 157.525, 157.456
What it said to watch
Close above the 157.525 session high re-opens the upper end of the day's range
Loss of the 157.31 swing low breaks the rising sequence of higher lows and exposes the 157.18 prior swing
MoF/BoJ intervention or rate-check headlines above 157.0 are the main single-name risk to this intraday read
Higher highs and higher lows since the Asian low, no break of structure.
Grind higher through London and into the NY afternoon has left price pinned just under the 157.52 session high, with a clean chain of higher lows off 157.17 and 157.32; yen softness after the dovish BoJ hike plus holiday-thin liquidity with Tokyo shut is doing the work. RSI(14) near 69 is hot but not extreme for this kind of drift, and ATR(14) is a compressed 7.3 pips.
Support: 157.32, 157.17
Resistance: 157.52
What it said to watch
Acceptance above the 157.52 session high extends the channel toward psych 158
Loss of the 157.32 minor low, then 157.17 swing low, breaks the higher-low chain
Intervention headlines are the main event risk into the 158 area given thin Silver Week liquidity
Price is pressing the session high at 157.525 in the NY morning after an unbroken HH/HL chain off the 157.101 London low, with JPY soft in holiday-thin conditions following the dovish BoJ hold in guidance. RSI(14) near 64 is firm but not extended, ATR(14) around 8 pips, and the move sits above both EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 157.322, 157.101
Resistance: 157.525, 158.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 157.322 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and questions the uptrend read
Acceptance above the 157.525 session high puts the 158.00 psych area in play, where intervention headline risk is flagged
Tokyo shut for Silver Week — thin liquidity can exaggerate both extensions and snapbacks
Higher highs and higher lows since the Asia low, NY extending.
USDJPY has ground higher through the whole Monday session, London taking out the Asian range high near 157.11 and NY extending to a session high of 157.52 with the yen still on the back foot after Friday's dovish-delivered BoJ hike in holiday-thin liquidity. Pullbacks are shallow — the 157.32 swing low held on the last dip and RSI(14) near 68 is hot but not stretched; ATR(14) around 8 pips shows a low-volatility drift rather than an impulse.
Support: 157.32, 157.17, 156.99
Resistance: 157.52, 158.00
What it said to watch
A 15-minute close back below 157.32 breaks the higher-low chain and puts the london low at 157.17 back in play
Acceptance above the 157.52 session high opens the path toward the 158.00 psych area, where intervention headlines become live risk
Loss of 156.99 would reverse the Asian range break
Fed speakers (Williams, Jefferson, Barkin) Tuesday could shift this drift
Intact higher-highs / higher-lows since the Asian low, session high just printed.
Grinding uptrend all session: 156.58 Asian low, London open broke higher and NY hours have extended it to a fresh session high at 157.52, with RSI(14) near 69 — hot but not stretched. Yen remains offered after Friday's dovish BoJ delivery and Japan is out for Silver Week, so the drift is thin-liquidity trend rather than a data reaction; ATR(14) ~8 pips.
Support: 157.32, 157.17
Resistance: 157.52, 158.00
What it said to watch
Close back below the 157.32 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
Acceptance above 157.52 session high opens the run toward the 158.00 psych area
Loss of 157.17 ny low would flip the intraday structure to lower highs
No US or Japanese data in the next 8h — MoF/BoJ intervention headlines near 158.00 are the live risk to this read
14:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher into NY afternoon · RSI 58 · price 157.374
Higher highs / higher lows since the 156.58 low, capped at 157.47.
Steady HH/HL grind off the 156.99 London low, with NY hours printing a session high at 157.47 before stalling into 157.37 — the dovish BoJ delivery keeps the yen offered. RSI(14) near 58 and ATR(14) at ~7.6 pips: trend intact, no momentum extreme.
Support: 157.17, 156.99
Resistance: 157.47, 158.00
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 157.17 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and invalidates the uptrend read
A close above the 157.47 session high opens the path toward the 158.00 psych area
MoF/BoJ intervention or rate-check headlines remain the main source of a sharp, non-structural reversal
Japan's return from holiday restores liquidity and can widen the current 8-pip ATR bars
Higher highs and higher lows since the 156.575 swing low.
USDJPY has ground higher all through the London session and into the first hours of NY, printing a session high at 157.469 before easing to 157.384, with price above both EMA20 and EMA50 and RSI(14) near 59 — firm, not stretched. The move sits on a clean higher-low chain from the 156.575 swing low, with the post-BoJ dovish-hike squeeze in yen longs the driver; 157.00 psych level unthreatened so far.
Support: 157.27, 157.00, 156.575
Resistance: 157.469, 157.78
What it said to watch
A close back below the 157.27 intraday hl breaks the higher-low chain and turns the read sideways
Acceptance above the 157.469 session high opens the path toward the 157.78 prior high
MoF/BoJ intervention or rate-check headlines remain the main source of a sharp, non-structural reversal in thin holiday liquidity
ATR(14) near 8 pips — bars are small, so a 20-pip impulse would mark a genuine regime shift
14:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher into NY · RSI 61 · price 157.384
Higher highs and higher lows since the 156.575 low.
Steady HH/HL grind off the 156.575 day low through London into the first hours of NY, with the session high printed at 157.469 on the latest push and price holding above EMA20/EMA50. Yen softness after the dovish BoJ delivery remains the backdrop, and liquidity is thin with Japan out for the holiday; RSI(14) near 61 is firm but not stretched, ATR(14) around 7-8 pips.
Support: 157.22, 156.575
Resistance: 157.469, 157.88, 158.00
What it said to watch
Acceptance above the 157.469 session high keeps the higher-high sequence intact toward the 157.88 prior high
A close back below 157.22 swing low breaks the HL chain and turns the NY leg corrective
158.00 psych area is where intervention headlines have previously capped extensions
Japan's return from holiday and US flash PMIs later this week could reset intraday ranges
Higher highs / higher lows off the Asian low, at session highs.
Grind higher off the 156.575 Asian low has extended through London into the first hours of NY, with the last bars printing a fresh session high at 157.44 and price holding above EMA20 near 157.29. RSI(14) at ~64 is firm but not stretched, and ATR(14) is a thin 7 pips with Japan shut for Silver Week — the post-dovish-BoJ yen slide continuing on low volume rather than impulse.
Support: 157.29, 157.17, 156.99
Resistance: 157.44, 158.06
What it said to watch
Acceptance above the 157.44 session high opens the path back to the 158.06 friday high
A close back below the 157.17 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and would flag the session range as complete
Loss of 156.99 round number would invalidate the intraday uptrend read
BoJ/MoF rate-check or intervention headlines are the main non-chart risk as 158 nears
13:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into NY · RSI 62 · price 157.393
Higher highs / higher lows off the asian low, printing at session high.
Price broke above the Asian range in London and has stair-stepped higher through the NY open, closing at the 157.40 session high with RSI(14) near 62 — hot but not extreme. Dovish BoJ delivery and holiday-thin liquidity with Japan shut keep the drift one-way; the 157.17 swing low is the last higher low of the sequence.
Support: 157.17
Resistance: 157.40, 157.88
What it said to watch
Close back below 157.17 swing low breaks the intraday higher-low chain
Rejection at the 157.40 session high would cap NY into a range; acceptance above opens the path to the 157.88 prior high
ATR(14) at ~7.5 pips — moves are small, a >15 pip impulse bar signals a regime change
BoJ/MoF rate-check headlines remain the asymmetric risk to this grind higher in thin liquidity
13:31 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 56 · price 157.306
Higher highs and higher lows since the day low.
USDJPY has ground up ~80 pips off the 156.58 day low in a clean higher-high/higher-low chain, printing a session high of 157.37 into the London-NY transition as JPY stays the weakest major after Friday's dovish BoJ delivery. RSI(14) near 56 is unstretched and price holds above EMA20/EMA50; ATR(14) is a thin 7.5 pips with Japan shut for the holiday.
Support: 157.17, 156.58
Resistance: 157.37, 157.51
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 157.17 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and invalidates the intraday uptrend read
Acceptance above the 157.37 session high opens the path toward the 157.51 prior high
MoF/BoJ intervention headlines remain the main single-bar risk in thin holiday liquidity
13:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 64 · price 157.326
Higher highs / higher lows since the 156.58 session low, rising channel intact.
First hour of NY pushed USDJPY to a fresh session high at 157.37, extending the grind off 156.58 with the yen still offered after Friday's dovish BoJ delivery and Japan shut for the holiday. RSI(14) near 64 with ATR(14) about 7 pips — momentum firm but not stretched, and the last pullback held above the 157.17 swing low.
Support: 157.17, 157.00, 156.58
Resistance: 157.37
What it said to watch
Sustained trade above the 157.37 session high would extend the channel; failure there and a slip under 157.17 breaks the higher-low chain
Loss of 157.00 psych level would put the 156.58 session low back in play
MoF/BoJ intervention headlines in thin holiday liquidity could invalidate the intraday uptrend read quickly
13:02 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 55 · price 157.305
Higher highs and higher lows off 156.575 session low.
Steady grind up from the 156.575 session low into early NY hours, with a fresh session high at 157.371 and a shallow retest that held above 157.17 — yen still offered after Friday's dovish BoJ delivery and in thin Silver Week liquidity. RSI(14) near 55 leaves the move unstretched; ATR(14) around 7 pips shows the advance is slow rather than impulsive.
Support: 157.17, 157.00, 156.575
Resistance: 157.371, 158.06
What it said to watch
Close back below 157.17 breaks the higher-low chain and neutralises the uptrend read
Acceptance above the 157.371 session high opens the path back toward the 158.06 prior high
MoF/BoJ intervention headlines remain the main two-sided risk while price presses higher
Loss of the 157.00 round number would put the 156.575 session low back in play
12:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 58 · price 157.292
Higher highs / higher lows off the session low, inside a shallow rising channel.
Monday reopened at 156.81 in thin Silver Week liquidity, printed the session low at 156.575 early and has built an unbroken higher-low chain into the London afternoon, tagging a fresh session high at 157.371 before easing to 157.29. Yen weakness post-dovish BoJ remains the driver; RSI(14) near 58 leaves the move mid-range rather than stretched, ATR(14) about 7.6 pips.
Support: 157.17, 157.04, 156.575
Resistance: 157.371, 157.507
What it said to watch
Close below the 157.170 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and reopens the 157.040 hl pivot
Acceptance above the 157.371 session high puts the 157.507 prior high in play
MoF/BoJ rate-check or intervention headlines are the unscheduled tail risk at these levels
Fed speaker cluster from 14:05 GMT tomorrow and Wednesday's US flash PMIs could reset this read
12:31 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher into NY · RSI 63 · price 157.341
Unbroken higher-low chain off the Asia low, new session high printed.
Steady climb off the 156.575 Asia low with an intact higher-low chain through London; the latest bar cleared the session high at 157.371 into the NY open with RSI(14) near 63, short of overbought, and ATR(14) around 7.5 pips. Holiday-thin conditions with Tokyo out and post-BoJ yen softness are behind the drift rather than any dated release.
Support: 157.165, 156.575
Resistance: 157.371, 157.507
What it said to watch
Loss of the 157.165 swing low breaks the intraday higher-low chain
157.507 prior high is the next area to monitor for rejection or break
MoF/BoJ rate-check headlines above 157.00 remain the unscheduled risk to this read
Higher lows off 156.58, now ranging under session high.
Monday's grind off 156.58 has stalled: the last three hours of London have held a ~14 pip band between the 157.17 range low and the 157.31 session high, with RSI(14) back to ~53 after the push and ATR at just 7 pips. Liquidity is thin with Tokyo out for Silver Week, and the post-dovish-BoJ yen squeeze remains the backdrop to the higher-low chain.
Support: 157.17, 157.05
Resistance: 157.31, 157.51
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 157.05 swing low breaks the rising support line off Monday's low
Acceptance above the 157.31 session high exposes the 157.51 friday high
NY open plus unscheduled MoF/BoJ intervention headlines are the live risk to this read at 157.24
Higher highs/higher lows off the Asia low, now coiling under the session high.
Price has ground higher all session from the 156.575 Asia low in thin, Tokyo-holiday liquidity, tagging a session high of 157.313 during London before stalling. The last five hours are a tight 157.155-157.313 consolidation with RSI(14) back to a neutral 53 and price pinned on the EMA20; ATR(14) just 5.7 pips, so ranges are compressed into the NY open.
Support: 157.155, 157.006, 156.575
Resistance: 157.313, 157.50
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 157.313 session high would extend the higher-high chain toward the 157.50 psych level
Loss of the 157.155 range floor puts the 157.006 swing low back in play and breaks the higher-low sequence
Intervention-headline risk rises as 158.00 nears after Friday's rate check — capable of gapping this structure
Tokyo returning from holiday can reverse the thin-liquidity grind higher
Higher highs/higher lows off 156.58, now consolidating under session high.
Monday's session built a clean HH/HL chain from the 156.58 session low up to 157.31, with USD kept firm by post-FOMC repricing and a still-soft yen after Friday's dovishly delivered BoJ hike. Price has stalled in a 157.10–157.31 consolidation through London hours, twice rejected at the session high, RSI(14) back to neutral near 52 and ATR(14) ~7 pips.
Support: 157.10, 156.58
Resistance: 157.31, 157.50
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 157.31 session high would resume the higher-high sequence toward the 157.50 round number
Loss of 157.10 london low breaks the rising support line off 156.58 and turns the read to range
Tokyo liquidity returning after the holiday plus unscheduled MoF/BoJ rate-check headlines near 158.00 could invalidate this structure quickly
Higher highs and higher lows, coiling under session high.
London hours ground USDJPY up from the 156.575 asia low in thin liquidity with Tokyo on holiday, printing a clean higher-high / higher-low chain into a 157.313 session high. Last six bars have coiled in a 15-pip band under that high with RSI(14) near 58 and ATR at ~6 pips — the leg is stalling, not reversing, ahead of the NY open.
Support: 157.165, 157.00, 156.575
Resistance: 157.313, 157.50
What it said to watch
15m close below 157.165 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
Acceptance above the 157.313 session high opens the 157.50 psych area
Loss of 157.00 round number would hand the session range back to sellers' side of the London move
Unscheduled MoF/BoJ rate-check or intervention headlines above 158.00 remain the main gap risk on this timeframe
Higher highs / higher lows, now consolidating under session high.
London hours extended the grind higher off the 156.58 session low, printing a clean HH/HL chain into a 157.31 session high before stalling; price now coils in a 157.17–157.31 box with RSI(14) near 54 and ATR(14) around 7 pips. Yen remains soft after the dovishly-delivered BoJ hike, though 158-area intervention chatter is capping the extension.
Support: 157.17, 157.00, 156.58
Resistance: 157.31, 157.50
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 157.31 session high opens the path to the 157.50 psych level
Loss of the 157.17 swing low and the rising support line breaks the HH/HL chain, exposing 157.00 round number
NY session flow plus unscheduled MoF/BoJ rate-check headlines could reprice this box quickly
11:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 55 · price 157.287
Higher highs and higher lows off 156.575 session low.
London hours have delivered a clean higher-high/higher-low chain from the 156.575 session low, with price now coiled just under the 157.313 session high; RSI(14) mid-50s, no extreme. Thin post-holiday Tokyo liquidity and last week's hawkish Fed repricing remain the backdrop, with ATR(14) around 8 pips keeping ranges compressed.
Support: 157.101, 157.006, 156.575
Resistance: 157.313, 157.50, 158.06
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.313 session high extends the leg toward the 157.500 round number
Loss of 157.101 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and reopens 157.006 prior low
Approach to the 158.060 prior high brings MoF/BoJ rate-check rhetoric back into play
Fed's Goolsbee (10:30 GMT) is the only near-term scheduled risk to this read
Higher highs / higher lows off the Asian low, capped under 157.31.
London hours lifted USDJPY out of the 156.58–157.11 Asian range and printed a session high at 157.31, with the pair now consolidating a few pips under it and RSI(14) back to a neutral 54. Price is holding just above EMA20 near 157.17, and the higher-low chain from 156.58 is intact while 157.10 holds; Tokyo's holiday absence has kept liquidity thin, so the post-BoJ carry grind higher has been orderly rather than impulsive.
Support: 157.10, 157.00, 156.58
Resistance: 157.31, 157.51
What it said to watch
M15 close below 157.10 breaks the London higher-low chain and reopens the 157.00 round number
Acceptance above the 157.31 session high puts the 157.51 prior supply shelf back in play
NY open liquidity plus any MoF rate-check or intervention headline above 157.50 could reprice this range within a bar or two
Thin Tokyo-holiday conditions mean moves from this session are more prone to reversal
Higher highs and higher lows off the Asia low, capped below the session high.
Thin Asia trade based at 156.58 and the pair has ground higher through the London open in a clean HH/HL chain, printing a session high at 157.31. Last two hours have coiled 157.15–157.31 with RSI(14) near 56 and ATR(14) around 8.6 pips — consolidation at the top of the intraday range rather than fresh impulse, with the yen still soft after Friday's dovishly-delivered BoJ hike.
Support: 157.15, 157.01, 156.58
Resistance: 157.31, 157.50
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 157.15 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and turns focus to 157.01 prior low
Acceptance above the 157.31 session high opens the path to the 157.50 round number
Above 157.50 the market moves into the MoF/BoJ rate-check zone flagged near 158 — headline risk can spike both ways
Fed's Goolsbee speaking this session is the only near-term scheduled catalyst
10:17 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 61 · price 157.232
Higher highs and higher lows off the Asian low, consolidating under session high.
London took price through the asia high at 157.10 and up to a 157.31 session high, with the yen still soft after Friday's dovishly-delivered BoJ hike. Last four bars are flat-lining 157.22–157.31 on an unbroken higher-low chain; RSI(14) near 61, ATR(14) about 8 pips.
Support: 157.10, 157.00
Resistance: 157.31, 157.51
What it said to watch
M15 close back under 157.10 would break the higher-low chain and invalidate the London breakout read
Acceptance above the 157.31 session high opens the path toward the 157.51 prior high
Fed's Goolsbee at 10:30 GMT and the NY open land inside the next few bars and could reset this range
MoF/BoJ rate-check headlines remain an unscheduled risk with spot pressing above 157.00
10:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 59 · price 157.232
Higher highs and higher lows off the Asian low, price at session high.
Asia based at 156.575 and the pair has ground higher in a shallow channel, clearing the 157.00 psych level and printing a session high of 157.313 into London hours — consistent with the JPY-negative drift after the dovish BoJ delivery and thin holiday liquidity. RSI(14) near 59 with ATR(14) around 9 pips; momentum is orderly rather than stretched, and the last two bars have stalled just under the session high.
Support: 157.10, 157.00, 156.575
Resistance: 157.313, 157.50
What it said to watch
Acceptance above the 157.313 session high opens the path toward the 157.50 prior high
A close back below 157.10 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and puts the 157.00 psych level back in play
Fed's Goolsbee due shortly after this bar; unscheduled BoJ rate-check or MoF headlines remain the main single-name risk to the upward drift
Higher highs and higher lows off the session low, stalling at session high.
USD/JPY has ground higher all through the Asia session and into the first hours of London off the 156.575 session low, an unbroken chain of higher lows that has now carried price into the 50% retracement of Friday's BoJ rate-check slide at ~157.29. Price is pinned just under the 157.313 session high with RSI(14) near 68 and ATR(14) around 9 pips.
Support: 157.10, 157.00, 156.575
Resistance: 157.313, 157.507
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 157.313 session high extends the leg toward the 157.507 friday spike area
Loss of the 157.10 higher low breaks the higher-low chain; 157.00 round number is the next shelf
Unscheduled MoF/BoJ rate-check or intervention headlines remain the main intraday tail risk on this advance
09:32 UTC
Uptrend, stalling into session high · RSI 64 · price 157.243
Higher highs / higher lows off the Asia low, capped by a 157.27 shelf.
Price has ground higher through Asia and into the London session off the 156.575 asia low in a clean higher-high/higher-low chain, but the last four attempts have been capped at the 157.276 london high with RSI(14) around 64 and ATR just over 9 pips. Driver is unchanged residual post-BoJ yen long liquidation against firm Fed pricing; 157.101 pullback low is the nearest shelf beneath spot.
Support: 157.101, 157.00, 156.575
Resistance: 157.276, 157.507
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 157.276 london high opens the path to the 157.507 fri rally hi
Loss of the 157.101 pullback low breaks the higher-low chain and exposes 157.00 psych
MoF rate-check / intervention headlines above 157.00 are an unscheduled two-way risk
Fed's Goolsbee within the hour can reset the intraday USD tone
09:17 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 60 · price 157.182
Higher lows since the Asia low, breakout above Asian range holding.
Asia carved a 156.58–157.11 range, and the London session broke above it, tagging a session high of 157.28 before easing into a 157.10–157.28 hold; the drift reflects continued post-BoJ yen-long liquidation with Japan back from holiday. RSI(14) near 60 with price above EMA20/EMA50 — momentum intact but the last four bars are consolidation, not extension.
Support: 157.10, 157.00, 156.58
Resistance: 157.28
What it said to watch
A close back under 157.00 psych would negate the Asian-range breakout
Failure to hold the 157.10 london low opens the 156.58 asia low again
Fed's Goolsbee 10:30 UTC into the NY open could reset the intraday tone
MoF rate-check headlines remain the main two-way risk while above 157.00
09:02 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher into session high · RSI 63 · price 157.24
Higher highs and higher lows off 156.58, consolidating under 157.28.
Thin holiday-shortened Asia/early-London trade has produced a steady HH/HL chain off the 156.58 session low, with the 157.00 round number reclaimed and held as the dollar consolidates post-Fed gains. Price is coiling just under the 157.28 session high, RSI(14) at 63 with ATR(14) around 9 pips — orderly, not stretched.
Support: 157.05, 157.00, 156.58
Resistance: 157.28, 157.51
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.28 session high opens the path toward 157.51 prior high
Loss of the 157.00 round number and rising support near 157.05 breaks the higher-low chain
Fed's Goolsbee 10:30 UTC plus any MoF/BoJ rate-check headline above 157.00 could reshape this read intraday
08:47 UTC
Uptrend, momentum easing after London push · RSI 62 · price 157.17
Asia based at 156.58 and the London open drove a clean run to a 157.28 session high, clearing Friday's 156.87 close in a step-chain of higher lows — consistent with the dovishly delivered BoJ leaving JPY the softest major. Price has since retested 157.10 and holds above the 157.09 EMA20 with RSI(14) near 62 and ATR(14) at 8.6 pips.
Support: 157.10, 157.09, 156.58
Resistance: 157.28, 157.51
What it said to watch
A 15m close below 157.10 breaks the higher-low chain and puts 157.00 psych back in focus
Reclaim and hold above the 157.28 session high extends the intraday leg toward the 157.51 fri pivot
Fed's Goolsbee at 10:30 UTC is the only near-term event risk; loss of 156.58 session low would negate the intraday uptrend
08:32 UTC
Uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 60 · price 157.128
Higher highs / higher lows off 156.575, shallow pullback.
Grinding uptrend through Asia into the London open, with a clean HH/HL chain from the 156.575 session low and an early-London push to a 157.276 session high before the pullback to 157.13 — the pair is now retesting the 157.10 breakout shelf. Yen softness follows Friday's dovishly-delivered BoJ hike against a firm dollar; RSI(14) near 60 with ATR(14) at ~8.6 pips, so ranges are contained.
Support: 157.00, 156.87, 156.575
Resistance: 157.276, 157.507
What it said to watch
M15 close back under 157.000 round number breaks the higher-low chain
Reclaim of 157.276 session high would extend the uptrend toward the 157.507 prior high
Loss of 156.870 swing low negates the intraday uptrend read
Fed's Goolsbee at 10:30 UTC is the only near-term event risk in this window
08:17 UTC
Uptrend off Asia low, momentum cooling · RSI 62 · price 157.167
Higher highs / higher lows since the 156.575 session low; Asian range broken topside.
The Monday Asian range (156.575–157.139) broke topside into the London open, with a session high printed at 157.276 before price eased back to retest the asian high, RSI(14) around 62 and ATR(14) only ~10 pips. Thin conditions with Japan shut for the holiday and a dovishly delivered BoJ leaving the yen soft.
Support: 157.139, 157.00, 156.575
Resistance: 157.276, 157.44
What it said to watch
Acceptance above 157.276 session high opens the path toward the 157.44 fri pivot
A close back below the 157.00 round number invalidates the range break read and puts the Asian range back in play
Fed's Goolsbee at 10:30 UTC is the only scheduled risk in the next few hours and can reprice this intraday structure
Higher highs and higher lows since the 01:15 UTC low; Asian range high broken.
Asia built a 156.575–157.139 range in thin conditions with Japan shut, and the first hour of London took price clean through the asian high to a session high of 157.276 — continuation of post-BoJ yen softness after the dovish delivery. RSI(14) near 79 is stretched for M15 and ATR(14) is only ~8 pips, so the move is small in range terms but one-directional.
Support: 157.139, 157.08, 156.986
Resistance: 157.276
What it said to watch
Close back below the asian high at 157.139 would negate the breakout and put price back inside the Asian range
Failure to hold the swing low at 156.986 breaks the higher-low chain and the ema20 slope with it
RSI above 80 with price stalling under the session high would flag momentum exhaustion rather than extension
Fed's Goolsbee at 10:30 UTC is the only live macro risk in the next few bars
07:47 UTC
Intraday uptrend, extended into London · RSI 70 · price 157.264
Higher highs / higher lows off 156.58, Asian range high broken.
London open pushed USDJPY through the Asian range high at 157.14, with the session high printed at 157.28 and RSI(14) at 70. Flow is thin with Japan shut for the holiday; the grind up from the 156.58 session low has held a rising support line off the Monday lows intact, price above both EMA20 and EMA50. ATR(14) around 8 pips reflects the compressed holiday ranges.
Support: 157.14, 157.00, 156.58
Resistance: 157.28, 157.51
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 157.14 asia high would negate the breakout and return price into the session range
Above the 157.28 session high the next reference is the 157.51 fri pivot
Loss of the 157.00 round number breaks the rising support chain off 156.58
Fed's Goolsbee at 10:30 UTC is the main near-term driver with the Japan calendar empty
Higher lows off the Asian low, session high just broken.
Asia session built a clean higher-low chain off 156.575 and has just pushed through the 157.139 range top to a session high at 157.255 as London opens, with Japan on holiday keeping liquidity thin after Friday's dovishly-delivered BoJ hike. Price holds above EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) near 67 — hot but not extreme; the 157.01 asia pivot is the nearest shelf beneath.
Support: 157.01, 156.575
Resistance: 157.255, 157.44
What it said to watch
Acceptance above 157.255 session high opens the path toward the 157.44 prior swing
A close back below the 157.01 asia pivot breaks the higher-low chain and reverts the read to range
MoF/BoJ verbal intervention headlines in thin holiday liquidity could materially shift this read
Fed's Goolsbee at 10:30 UTC is the nearest scheduled catalyst
Higher highs and higher lows off the session low, session high just taken.
Thin Asia trade with Japan on holiday: USDJPY has ground up in a clean higher-high/higher-low chain from the 156.575 session low and has just cleared the 157.14 prior high to print a session high at 157.202, holding most of Friday's post-BoJ gains. RSI(14) near 73 is hot but not extreme, and ATR(14) is only ~7 pips, so this is a low-volatility drift rather than an impulse.
Support: 157.14, 157.00, 156.575
Resistance: 157.202, 157.44
What it said to watch
Acceptance above 157.202 session high opens the 157.44 Friday range as the next reference
A close back below the 157.00 round number breaks the higher-low chain and reverts the read to range
Fed's Goolsbee at 10:30 UTC plus thin holiday liquidity can distort the intraday structure quickly
New-week Asia session in thin Japanese-holiday liquidity: price has chained rising lows off the 156.575 session low and is pressing the 157.139 session high, with 157.10 the last close. Post-BoJ yen softness after Friday's dovishly-delivered hike keeps the drift upward, but ATR(14) at ~8 pips shows a compressed range and RSI(14) in the low 60s is not stretched.
Support: 156.99, 156.87, 156.575
Resistance: 157.139, 157.44
What it said to watch
15m close above 157.139 session high opens the path toward the 157.44 fri supply shelf
Loss of 156.99 breaks the rising lows chain; 156.87 micro pivot is the next reference
Fed's Goolsbee at 10:30 UTC is the first USD catalyst of the week and could reshape this drift
MoF intervention rhetoric remains a headline risk while liquidity is thin
Higher highs/higher lows off 156.575, coiling under session high.
Asia session opened near 156.81, flushed to a 156.575 session low, then built a clean higher-high/higher-low chain into a 157.139 session high; price is now coiled in a 157.00–157.14 band with RSI(14) near 62 and holding above the ema20. Dovishly-delivered BoJ hike plus a firm post-FOMC dollar is the backdrop, and Japan's three-day holiday is keeping ranges tight — ATR(14) just ~9 pips.
Support: 156.99, 156.72, 156.575
Resistance: 157.139, 157.50
What it said to watch
Acceptance above the 157.139 session high exposes Friday's 157.50 prior high area
Closes back under the ema20 at 156.99 would stall the intraday grind higher
Loss of the 156.72 swing low breaks the rising support chain and reopens the 156.575 session low
Fed's Goolsbee at 10:30 UTC — thin holiday liquidity amplifies any reaction
06:32 UTC
Uptrend within Asian range, momentum flattening · RSI 61 · price 157.016
Higher lows off the session low, capped under the session high.
Thin Japan-holiday Asia session: after a small weekend gap down, price based at the 156.58 session low and ground out a higher-low chain up to the 157.14 session high, yen still offered after the dovishly-delivered BoJ hike. Last two hours are a tight consolidation between 157.00 and 157.14, RSI(14) near 60 and ATR(14) about 9 pips.
Support: 156.88, 156.72, 156.58
Resistance: 157.14, 157.50
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 157.14 session high extends the sequence toward the 157.50 friday swing
Loss of the 156.88 prior pivot breaks the higher-low chain and re-opens 156.72
London open liquidity plus Fed's Goolsbee at 10:30 UTC can reset this intraday range
MoF intervention rhetoric remains a headline risk into the 158 handle
06:17 UTC
Uptrend off the session low, momentum steady · RSI 62 · price 157.052
Higher highs and higher lows since 156.58, price pressing the session high.
Asia has ground out a higher-low chain from 156.58 back to the 157.14 session high in thin, Japan-holiday liquidity following Friday's dovishly delivered BoJ hike. Price is stalling just under that high with RSI(14) near 62 and ATR only ~9 pips, so the move is orderly rather than impulsive.
Support: 156.94, 156.64, 156.58
Resistance: 157.14, 157.45
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.14 session high opens the path toward prior supply at 157.45
Loss of the 156.94 ema20 area, then 156.64 swing low, breaks the higher-low chain
Break of 156.58 session low would invalidate the intraday uptrend read
Fed's Goolsbee at 10:30 UTC into the London session is the first scheduled risk to this read
Higher highs and higher lows off the 156.575 session low, pressing session top.
Asia session has built a chain of higher lows from the 156.575 session low and price is now parked just under the 157.139 session high, with the last eight bars compressed into a 15-pip shelf above 156.99. Liquidity is thin with Japan on holiday and direction is still set by Friday's dovishly delivered BoJ hike plus a firm dollar; RSI(14) near 64, ATR(14) about 8.6 pips.
Support: 156.99, 156.87, 156.575
Resistance: 157.139, 157.33
What it said to watch
A close above the 157.139 session high opens the path to the 157.33 fri pivot
Loss of the 156.99 minor low breaks the rising-lows chain and puts the 156.87 swing low back in play
Fed's Goolsbee later today and holiday-thin liquidity can exaggerate moves in either direction
Higher-low chain off 156.58, pressing session high.
Asia session carved a low at 156.58 and has built a clean higher-low chain back to 157.09, reclaiming the 157.00 handle with price above both EMA20 (~156.97) and EMA50. Yen remains heavy after Friday's dovishly-delivered BoJ hike, and with Japan on holiday the grind is happening on very light volume; RSI(14) near 67 is hot but not extreme, ATR(14) only ~9 pips.
Support: 156.97, 156.88, 156.58
Resistance: 157.11, 157.51
What it said to watch
Close above the 157.11 session high extends the sequence toward Friday's 157.51 prior high
A 15-minute close back under 156.97 (ema20) breaks the higher-low chain and re-opens 156.88
Loss of 156.58 session low invalidates the intraday uptrend read
Fed's Goolsbee at 10:30 GMT is the first event risk of the session; MoF intervention headlines remain an unscheduled risk in thin liquidity
05:32 UTC
Recovering, grinding higher within Asia range · RSI 63 · price 157.009
Higher lows off session low, compressing under range top.
Thin Asia session with Japan shut: early pop to the 157.108 asia high, flush to the 156.575 session low, then a clean chain of higher lows back to the top of the range. Last three bars are compressed in a 6-pip band under 157.05 with RSI(14) near 63 and price holding above ema20 — the dovishly-delivered BoJ hike keeps yen recovery attempts shallow.
Support: 156.92, 156.72, 156.575
Resistance: 157.108
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 157.108 asia high extends the range break attempt
Loss of the 156.92 ema20 and the 156.72 higher low negates the recovery structure
Unscheduled MoF intervention headlines in thin holiday liquidity are the main two-way risk
Fed's Goolsbee 10:30 UTC is the nearest scheduled USD-side catalyst
After the small weekend gap, Asia sold into 156.575 then built a clean chain of higher lows back to 157.03, now sitting just under the 157.108 asia high with RSI(14) near 68. Flow is thin with Japan on holiday and the post-BoJ, dollar-firm tone still doing the work; ATR is only ~8.5 pips, so the grind is orderly rather than impulsive.
Support: 156.94, 156.81, 156.575
Resistance: 157.108, 157.51
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 157.108 asia high would extend the higher-low sequence toward 157.51 prior high
Loss of 156.94 ema20 and then monday open at 156.81 breaks the recovery structure
Unscheduled MoF intervention headlines in thin holiday liquidity would invalidate this read quickly
Fed's Goolsbee at 10:30 UTC is the nearest USD-side event risk
Higher lows off 156.575, still capped by asia high.
Asia session has ground back up from the 156.575 session low in a shallow chain of higher lows, price holding above the EMA20 at 156.88 with RSI(14) mid-range near 58 and ATR only ~9.5 pips — Japan's holiday has liquidity thin. The 157.108 asia high remains unbroken, and it sits just under the 38.2% retracement of Friday's post-BoJ slide from 158.05.
Support: 156.88, 156.77, 156.575
Resistance: 157.108, 157.14
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 157.108 asia high opens the 157.14 38.2 fib area of Friday's decline
Loss of 156.77 breaks the micro hl chain and puts the 156.575 session low back in play
Unscheduled MoF intervention headlines are the main two-way risk in thin holiday liquidity
Fed's Goolsbee at 10:30 UTC is the next USD-side event inside this session
04:47 UTC
Grinding higher inside Asia range · RSI 58 · price 156.982
Higher lows off asia low, capped under asia high.
Monday's Asia session has built a 156.58–157.11 range, price now 156.98 after a shallow rejection from 157.08 on the last push. A chain of rising lows off the asia low has retraced roughly three-quarters of the early Asian drop, with RSI(14) near 58 and ATR(14) around 8.5 pips — the pair is digesting Friday's dovishly-delivered BoJ hike rather than trending.
Support: 156.89, 156.74, 156.58
Resistance: 157.11, 157.30
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 157.11 asia high would extend the range break attempt toward 157.30 prior high
Loss of the 156.74 swing low breaks the rising lows and re-opens the 156.58 asia low
London open liquidity typically resolves this Asian range in one direction
Fed's Goolsbee at 10:30 UTC is the nearest USD-side risk to this read
04:32 UTC
Intraday uptrend, recovering inside the Asia range · RSI 61 · price 157.021
Higher lows off 156.575 back into the session high.
Asia rejected 157.10 early in the session, based at 156.575, and has since climbed in a tight higher-low chain to 157.021 — the leg down off the asia high is now ~85% retraced with RSI(14) near 61. JPY remains soft after Friday's dovishly delivered BoJ hike, and the weekly open at 156.81 has not been retested since the turn.
Support: 156.81, 156.58
Resistance: 157.10, 157.44
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 157.10 asia high extends the session range toward the 157.44 friday pivot
Loss of the rising asia hl line and the 156.81 weekly open reopens the 156.58 asia low
Fed's Goolsbee at 10:30 UTC is the first USD test of the day and could shift this read
04:17 UTC
Recovering higher, micro-uptrend within Asian range · RSI 61 · price 157.031
Higher lows off the session low, pressing back into the Asia high.
Monday's Asia session opened near 156.81, sold into 156.575 before a clean higher-low chain carried price back above the ema20 to 157.03, a retest of the 157.108 asia high that capped the earlier bounce. Dips stay shallow with a firm dollar post-FOMC and no fresh JPY catalyst after Friday's dovishly-delivered BoJ hike; RSI(14) at 61 with ATR(14) near 11 pips, well below Friday's post-NY expansion.
Support: 156.812, 156.575
Resistance: 157.108, 157.507
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 157.108 asia high opens the path toward the 157.507 fri swing hi
Loss of 156.575 session low breaks the higher-low chain and re-exposes the monday open area
Fed's Goolsbee at 10:30 UTC is the first intraday catalyst that could shift this read
04:02 UTC
Recovering higher lows after Asia rejection · RSI 63 · price 156.969
Intraday range 156.58-157.11, price mid-to-upper.
Monday Asia poked 157.11 early, was rejected, then flushed to a session low at 156.575 before grinding back through a clean chain of higher lows into the 157.00 round number. Digestion of Friday's dovishly-delivered BoJ hike plus a firm USD is keeping dips shallow; RSI(14) ~63, ATR(14) ~10 pips, price above EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 156.77, 156.575, 156.502
Resistance: 157.00, 157.11
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 157.11 asia high would extend the recovery beyond the current range
Loss of the 156.77 higher low breaks the recovery chain and re-exposes the 156.575 session low
Fed's Goolsbee at 10:30 GMT is the first intraday catalyst that could reshape this read
03:47 UTC
Sideways, mild recovery off the lows · RSI 51 · price 156.909
Asian range 156.58-157.11, price mid-range with rising lows.
Monday's Asia session poked 157.11 in its first hours and was rejected, then sold to 156.58 — effectively a double bottom with Friday's 156.60 low — before grinding back to 156.91 on a chain of rising lows. RSI(14) ~51 and ATR ~13 pips: neutral, low-energy consolidation as the market digests Friday's dovishly-delivered BoJ hike against a firm USD.
Support: 156.79, 156.58
Resistance: 156.95, 157.11, 157.44
What it said to watch
Close below 156.58 asia low invalidates the double bottom and extends the range low
Acceptance above the 157.11 asia high puts Friday's 157.44 swing high back in play
Loss of the rising lows near 156.79 returns price to the lower half of the Asian range
Fed's Goolsbee at 10:30 GMT is the first USD catalyst of the week and could break this range
Asian range intact; higher lows since the 156.575 low.
Mid-Asia Monday: the session poked 157.108 early, was rejected, then flushed to 156.575 before a slow chain of higher lows carried price back to 156.93, just under EMA50. No fresh Japanese catalyst — the pair is still digesting Friday's dovishly-delivered BoJ hike with the USD firm, and price is simply retracing the Asian down-leg inside the session range.
Support: 156.84, 156.62, 156.575
Resistance: 157.00, 157.108
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 157.00 psych level and then the 157.108 asia high would end the consolidation read
Loss of 156.84 (ema20) and a break of the 156.62 swing low would re-open the 156.575 asia low
Thin liquidity ahead of the London open can widen the 12-pip ATR quickly
Fed's Goolsbee later today is the only near-term event risk for this pair
Asian range in development; higher lows since 156.575 inside a 157.11-156.58 band.
Asia opened at 156.81 after the weekend gap, poked 157.108 in the first two hours and was rejected, then sold to a session low of 156.575 as Friday's dovishly-delivered BoJ hike continued to be digested against a firm post-FOMC USD. Last eight bars have built higher lows back to 156.90, leaving price mid-range with RSI(14) neutral near 46 and ATR(14) at ~13 pips.
Support: 156.575, 156.50
Resistance: 156.95, 157.108, 157.30
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 157.108 asia high would end the range read and re-expose 157.30 prior high
Loss of 156.575 session low confirms a lower low and voids the higher-low sequence
Fed's Goolsbee at 10:30 UTC is the only scheduled input that could shift this intraday structure
03:02 UTC
Sideways, mild intraday recovery off the session low · RSI 46 · price 156.888
Asia session range 156.575-157.108; higher lows since the low.
Asia session opened at 156.812, poked the asia high at 157.108 and was rejected, then slid to a session low of 156.575 before grinding back to 156.888 — just under 60% of the drop recovered on a chain of higher lows from 156.703. Nothing structural in play: the pair is still digesting Friday's dovishly-delivered BoJ hike, with RSI(14) mid-range near 46 and ATR(14) around 13 pips in thin Asian liquidity.
Support: 156.703, 156.575
Resistance: 157.00, 157.108
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 157.00 psych level and the 157.108 asia high would confirm a range break
Loss of 156.575 session low confirms a lower low and voids the higher-low sequence
Fed's Goolsbee at 10:30 UTC is the first USD-side input that could break this range
Asia session faded off 157.11, basing above 156.58.
Monday's Asia session poked 157.11 early then rolled over into a chain of lower highs, bottoming twice at 156.575 and the 156.64 micro low before grinding back to 156.80 — price still sits marginally under EMA20 and EMA50. Post-FOMC USD firmness against a dovishly-delivered BoJ hike is keeping dips shallow, but the 156.90 lower high has capped every attempt so far.
Support: 156.64, 156.575
Resistance: 156.90, 157.11
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 156.90 lower high would break the sequence of lower highs and re-expose the 157.11 asia high
Loss of the 156.575 session low confirms a fresh lower low and voids the double bottom read
Fed's Goolsbee at 10:30 UTC is the first USD input that could shift this range read
ATR(14) at ~13 pips — Asian-hours ranges are compressed, so breaks may lack follow-through
02:32 UTC
No trend, mid-range drift after recovering off the session low · RSI 48 · price 156.846
Asian range 156.58-157.10; lower highs from 157.10 broken, price back to range mid.
Monday's Asia session poked 157.10 twice early, was rejected, then bled to a 156.58 session low before grinding back to the range mid at 156.85. Price is digesting Friday's dovishly-delivered BoJ hike and a firm post-FOMC dollar rather than trending; RSI(14) is neutral near 47 and ATR(14) is a thin 15 pips.
Support: 156.58
Resistance: 157.10, 157.45
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 157.10 asia high reopens the 157.45 fri pivot and invalidates the range read
Failure to hold 156.58 session low confirms a lower low and shifts structure down
Fed's Goolsbee at 10:30 UTC is the first USD input of the week and could break this Asian range
02:18 UTC
Mild intraday downtrend after Asia high rejection · RSI 41 · price 156.785
Lower highs from 157.11 into 156.575, shallow bounce.
Asia twice failed at 157.10/157.11 to leave a double top, then unwound to 156.575 before stabilising at 156.785 — still capped by the ema20 at 156.82 and ema50 at 156.92. Pair is digesting Friday's dovishly delivered BoJ hike with no fresh Japanese catalyst; RSI(14) at 41 is neutral, ATR(14) ~14.5 pips.
Support: 156.575, 156.502
Resistance: 156.82, 156.92, 157.11
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 157.11 asia high would invalidate the lower-high sequence
Loss of 156.575 asia low exposes the 156.502 prior low
Acceptance back above the ema20/ema50 band (156.82-156.92) neutralises the intraday downside read
Fed's Goolsbee later today is the only near-term event risk for this pair
02:02 UTC
Intraday downtrend off the session high · RSI 42 · price 156.755
Lower highs / lower lows since 157.11, shallow bounce off 156.575.
Monday Asia poked 157.11 early and has since traced a clean chain of lower highs back to 156.575, with price below both EMA20 and EMA50 and RSI(14) at ~41 — no new Japanese catalyst, just digestion of Friday's dovishly-delivered BoJ hike against a firm dollar. Last bars are stabilising just under the 156.90 swing pivot; ATR(14) ~14 pips keeps expected intraday travel modest.
Support: 156.575, 156.50
Resistance: 156.90, 157.11
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 156.90 swing pivot would break the lower-high chain that has capped this session
Loss of the 156.575 session low confirms continuation toward the 156.50 round number
Thin Asia liquidity ahead of Fed's Goolsbee (10:30 UTC) can distort the session range read
01:47 UTC
Intraday downtrend off the Asia high · RSI 39 · price 156.678
Lower highs / lower lows since 157.11, price under EMA20.
Monday Asia opened bid to 157.108 then rejected, and price has ground out a lower-high chain back to a 156.575 session low — the post-BoJ/post-Fed 156–158 zone still containing everything. Trading below EMA20 at 156.85 with RSI(14) near 39 and ATR around 15 pips; no impulse, just drift inside the Asian range.
Support: 156.575, 156.135
Resistance: 156.85, 157.108
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.108 asia high invalidates the lower-high chain
Loss of the 156.575 session low confirms a lower low, with the 156.135 friday low the next reference
Reclaim of ema20 at 156.85 would neutralise the intraday downtrend read
Fed's Goolsbee at 10:30 UTC is the first event risk after this Asia range
01:32 UTC
Downtrend within Asia session, steady grind lower · RSI 40 · price 156.63
Lower highs and lower lows since the session high, price pinned at session low.
Monday Asia opened just under the Friday close at 156.87, spiked to the 157.11 session high and has been rejected there, printing a clean chain of lower highs down to the 156.575 session low. RSI(14) near 40 and ATR(14) around 14 pips — post-BoJ carry flow is consolidating inside the 156–158 zone rather than extending, with price now trading at the bottom of the session range.
Support: 156.575, 156.50
Resistance: 156.87, 157.11
What it said to watch
A close below 156.575 confirms a lower low and exposes the 156.50 psych level
Reclaim of the 156.87 fri close breaks the lower-high chain and re-opens the 157.11 session high
Japan calendar is empty in the next 8h; USD-side Fedspeak later is the only near-term catalyst for this read
Asia session lower highs after 157.11 rejection, holding above 156.67.
Thin early-Asia flow lifted price to a 157.108 session high before a steady fade back through the 157.00 psych level to a 156.673 session low, leaving a chain of lower highs. Price is back under EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) mid-40s, still sitting inside the 156–158 band that has held since Friday's dovishly-delivered BoJ hike.
Support: 156.673, 156.601
Resistance: 157.108, 157.00
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 157.00 psych level and a close above the 157.108 session high invalidates the lower-highs read
Loss of the 156.673 session low exposes the 156.601 friday low
No US or Japan data in the next 8h; Fedspeak later in the session is the first scheduled catalyst
ATR(14) near 14 pips — moves are small while Tokyo liquidity is still building
Lower highs off 157.108 after a small weekend gap down; base holding above the prior-day low.
Asia opened with a small weekend gap down, pushed to a session high of 157.108 and was rejected twice there, then slipped to 156.673 before stabilising at 156.86 — still digesting Friday's dovishly-delivered BoJ hike that spiked the pair to 158.06 and then faded. Price is below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) flat near 50 and ATR(14) about 14 pips; no directional structure in play yet.
Support: 156.673, 156.604
Resistance: 157.108
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 157.108 session high would restore the higher-high chain from the Asia open
Loss of the 156.604 prior-day low confirms a lower low and voids the range read
Calendar is empty in the next 8h; Fed-speaker headlines and MoF FX rhetoric are the only live catalysts for this window
00:47 UTC
Pullback within Friday's post-BoJ range · RSI 45 · price 156.777
Lower highs off 157.11, holding above 156.60s.
Fresh week opened with a small gap under Friday's close and an Asia-session push to 157.11 that was rejected, leaving a chain of lower highs back to 156.67 before a shallow bounce to 156.78 — still under the 156.86 EMA20. Price remains inside Friday's late-NY range after the fade from the 158.06 spike high that followed the dovishly delivered BoJ hike; RSI(14) mid-40s, ATR(14) ~12 pips so ranges are thin in Tokyo hours.
Support: 156.67, 156.60
Resistance: 156.86, 157.11
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 156.86 ema20 and a close above the 157.11 session high would break the lower-high chain
Loss of 156.67 session low and then the 156.60 friday low would confirm continuation of the Asia fade
No scheduled USD or JPY events in the next 8h; flow-driven Tokyo range likely until London
00:31 UTC
Sideways, mild upward drift within range · RSI 49 · price 156.88
Asia session range 156.72–157.11 after weekend gap; higher lows off Friday's low.
Monday's Asia session opened a touch below Friday's close and ground up to 157.11 before being rejected, leaving price mid-range near 156.88 with RSI(14) flat around 49. Post-BoJ yen weakness keeps the 157 handle in play, but the last four bars have stalled under the session high and price sits just under EMA20 with rising support off Friday's 156.60 low intact.
Support: 156.72, 156.60
Resistance: 157.11, 157.51
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 157.11 session high would extend the Asia range toward 157.51 prior high
Loss of 156.72 asia low puts Friday's 156.60 low back in focus and breaks the rising support
Thin Asia liquidity and Fed speaker commentary can exaggerate moves inside this 40-pip range
00:17 UTC
Sideways after Friday's fade, mild Asia drift higher · RSI 54 · price 156.95
Intraday range 156.72–157.11, lower highs vs Friday's 158.06 spike.
Monday Asia opened with a small weekend gap lower and has held a 156.72–157.11 range, the session high rejected twice while the EMA50 around 157.02 caps closes. Friday's dovish BoJ hike delivery drove the 158.06 spike and the subsequent fade back under the 157.51 fri pivot; RSI(14) mid-50s and ATR around 10 pips in thin Asia liquidity.
Support: 156.72, 156.60
Resistance: 157.02, 157.11, 157.51
What it said to watch
Acceptance above the 157.11 session high and EMA50 would re-engage the 157.51 fri pivot
Loss of the 156.72 session low exposes 156.60 fri low
Fed's Goolsbee 10:30 UTC is the first post-FOMC steer; MoF FX commentary can exaggerate moves while Asia liquidity is thin
00:02 UTC
Recovering off Monday's Asia low, capped at 157.10 · RSI 56 · price 157.022
Higher lows inside a 156.72–157.11 Asia range.
Small weekend gap down was filled inside the first hour of Asia, and price has built a chain of rising lows off 156.72 while being rejected twice at the 157.11 asia high. The move is a shallow retrace of Friday's post-BoJ decline from 158.05 — dovish hike delivery left JPY offered — with RSI(14) mid-range at 56 and ATR(14) around 10 pips in thin early liquidity.
Support: 156.90, 156.72, 156.60
Resistance: 157.11, 157.45
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.11 asia high exposes Friday's 157.45 pivot
Loss of the 156.90 asia pivot breaks the rising-lows chain; below 156.72 asia low re-opens 156.60 friday low
Data vacuum in Japan leaves MoF/BoJ FX commentary as the main intraday headline risk