USD/JPY AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Friday, 26 June 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/JPY 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
20:46 UTC
Consolidating in upper range · RSI 49 · price 161.735
Tight range after recovery off session low.
USDJPY is coiling tightly between 161.71 and 161.78 into the weekend close after recovering from the 161.535 swing low; price is pinned near the 0.618 retrace of the 161.846-161.535 drop, RSI flat near 49. The 162.00 intervention threshold continues to cap upside while a softer post-PCE dollar keeps the pair offered below the session high.
Support: 161.71, 161.535
Resistance: 161.776, 161.846, 162.00
What it said to watch
Close above 161.846 reopens the path toward the 162.00 intervention area
Loss of 161.71 session low exposes 161.535 swing low
Tankan and Japan data early next week could shift this read
20:46 UTC
Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 49 · price 161.729
Consolidation in upper range.
USDJPY recovered from the 161.53 swing low and is now ranging 161.71–161.77 into the NY close, RSI(14) flat near 49. Spot held quietly below the 162.00 intervention line after Tokyo CPI firmed but failed to move the pair.
Support: 161.71, 161.53
Resistance: 161.77, 161.846, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.77 reopens the 161.846 prior high
Loss of 161.71 exposes the 161.53 swing low
162.00 — area to watch for rejection given intervention risk
20:31 UTC
Consolidating after intraday bounce · RSI 49 · price 161.729
Range-bound sub-162, basing above 161.71.
USDJPY recovered off the 161.53 session low and has stalled into a tight 161.71-161.77 range during late NY hours, capped well below the 162.00 intervention line. Momentum is flat with RSI near 49 and price pinned at EMA20.
Support: 161.71, 161.53
Resistance: 161.77, 161.84, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.77 reopens the path toward 161.84
Loss of 161.71 puts the 161.53 session low back in play
162.00 remains the perceived intervention cap — area to watch for rejection
USDJPY ground back up from the 161.53 session low to consolidate in a tight 161.71-161.77 band, capped well below the 162.00 intervention line as a softer USD post-PCE and the Michigan miss trimmed dollar gains. ATR has compressed to ~3.5 pips and RSI sits mid-range — no directional impulse in play.
Support: 161.71, 161.65, 161.53
Resistance: 161.77, 161.85, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.77 range top opens the path to the 161.85 session high
Loss of 161.71 puts the 161.65 swing low and 161.53 session low back in focus
Approach to 162.00 — area to watch for rejection given intervention overhang
Consolidation under 161.77 after recovering session low.
USDJPY recovered the 161.53 session low and is consolidating in a tight 161.71-161.77 band into the late NY session, RSI(14) neutral near 55. Softer USD post-PCE kept the pair off the 162 intervention zone; no setup in play at current levels.
Support: 161.71, 161.53
Resistance: 161.77, 161.85, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.85 reopens the path toward the 162.00 line
Loss of 161.71 exposes the 161.53 session low
162.00 intervention risk caps upside into thin early-July liquidity
20:16 UTC
Recovered off lows, consolidating · RSI 57 · price 161.761
Range-bound under 161.78 after rebound from 161.53.
USDJPY sold off through London to a session low of 161.535, then ground back up during NY to consolidate in a tight 161.71-161.78 band; softer USD post-PCE/Michigan capped the topside. Late-session drift, RSI(14) mid-range near 57, price holding above EMA20/50.
Support: 161.71, 161.535
Resistance: 161.78, 161.846, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.78 reopens the session high at 161.846
162.00 remains the perceived intervention line — sharp rejections there flag MoF/BoJ presence
Failure to hold 161.71 puts the 161.535 session low back in play
Late NY into Asia handover, volume thinning, USD/JPY consolidating 161.71–161.77 after recovering from the 161.53 dip during the prior session. Pair holds just below 162.00 with intervention fears capping upside as flagged in the JPY digest; RSI near 57, no momentum extreme.
Support: 161.709, 161.535
Resistance: 161.774, 161.846, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.77 opens path to 161.85 prior high
Loss of 161.71 intraday low exposes 161.53 swing low
162.00 intervention line — area to watch for sharp rejection
Japan jobs/Tankan data early next week could shift this read
USD/JPY sold off into the 161.53 session low during NY hours after the soft US PCE print, then rounded back to 161.75 and stalled. Price now consolidating in a tight 161.71–161.77 band above EMA20/50, RSI(14) neutral near 56. The 161.84 prior high caps; 162.00 intervention line untested in this window.
Support: 161.65, 161.53
Resistance: 161.84, 162.00
What it said to watch
Close above 161.84 reopens the path to the 162.00 intervention line
Loss of 161.65 puts the 161.53 session low back in play
Japan Unemployment / Tankan later this week could shift the JPY read
USDJPY recovered off the 161.535 session low — twice defended near 161.53/161.54 during NY hours — and is now consolidating in the mid-161.70s with RSI(14) flat near 55. The 162.00 BoJ intervention line caps overhead while the recent session high at 161.77 is the immediate ceiling.
Support: 161.535
Resistance: 161.77, 161.846, 162.00
What it said to watch
Close above 161.84 opens the path toward the 162.00 intervention line
Loss of 161.535 confirms a lower low and breaks the rising support
Thin early-July liquidity raises snapback risk near 162.00
19:46 UTC
Recovery off the lows, momentum flat · RSI 54 · price 161.739
Consolidation under session high after bounce.
USDJPY recovered from the 161.53 session low and is now grinding sideways just under the 161.78 session high, with ATR compressed near 3.6 pips into late hours. RSI(14) sits neutral around 54; price holds above EMA20/EMA50 but momentum has stalled with the 162.00 intervention line capping overhead.
Support: 161.71, 161.65, 161.53
Resistance: 161.78, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.78 opens the path toward the 162.00 intervention line
Failure to hold 161.65 unwinds the recovery toward the 161.53 session low
Tankan (Tue) and US payrolls flagged as catalysts that could break the 162.00 cap
19:31 UTC
Recovered off lows, now flat · RSI 54 · price 161.739
Consolidation below session high.
USDJPY recovered off the 161.53 session low and is now consolidating tightly between 161.71 and 161.776, well below the 162.00 BoJ intervention line. RSI(14) is neutral near 54 and ATR has compressed to ~3 pips, reflecting late-session drift.
Support: 161.71, 161.53
Resistance: 161.776, 161.846, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.776 opens the path back toward 161.85 and the 162.00 intervention zone
Loss of 161.71 reopens 161.53 session low
Thin early-July liquidity near 162.00 raises intervention-driven snapback risk
19:31 UTC
Recovered, now ranging · RSI 52 · price 161.728
Consolidating below session high.
USDJPY dipped to 161.537 mid-window before buyers recovered it back into the upper 161.70s, where it has gone quiet into the late-NY Friday close. Price is hemmed between 161.65 support and the 161.774 recent high, RSI neutral near 52, with the 162.00 intervention line capping above.
Support: 161.65, 161.537
Resistance: 161.774, 161.841, 162.00
What it said to watch
Close above 161.841 session high opens the path toward the 162.00 intervention line
Loss of 161.65 reopens the 161.537 session low
Thin pre-holiday liquidity can amplify moves near 162.00
19:16 UTC
Recovery stalling into consolidation · RSI 52 · price 161.728
Range-bound near session highs after bounce off 161.53.
USDJPY recovered off the 161.53 session low through the NY session and is now drifting in a tight 161.71-161.77 band, RSI(14) flat near 52. The 162.00 intervention line caps overhead; price holding above EMA20/50 but momentum has flattened.
Support: 161.65, 161.535
Resistance: 161.776, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.776 opens the path to 162.00 intervention line
Loss of 161.65 reopens 161.53 session low
162.00 zone — area to monitor for BoJ intervention risk in thin liquidity
19:16 UTC
Recovered off lows, now flat · RSI 52 · price 161.723
Consolidation under session high.
USDJPY clawed back from the mid-161.50s after the soft US PCE print and is now consolidating in a tight 161.70–161.77 band into the Asia handover, RSI(14) flat near 52. Session high at 161.77 capping; the 162.00 intervention line remains the structural ceiling overhead.
Support: 161.70, 161.64, 161.535
Resistance: 161.77, 161.84, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.77 reopens the path toward 161.84
Loss of 161.70 exposes the 161.64 swing low
162.00 intervention line — area to watch for sharp rejection on any approach
Consolidating below 161.77 after bounce from 161.53.
USDJPY recovered from a 161.53 session low and is now consolidating in the mid-161.70s, capped at 161.77, as a softer USD post-PCE nudged the pair off the near-162 zone. Late NY hours, thin range — RSI(14) flat near 49, no momentum at the highs.
Support: 161.65, 161.53
Resistance: 161.77, 161.85
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.77 opens the path back toward 161.85
Failure to hold 161.65 reopens the 161.53 session low
162.00 intervention line remains the overhead pivot to monitor
19:01 UTC
Recovered off session low, now flat · RSI 49 · price 161.723
Ranging under session high after bounce from 161.53.
USDJPY is consolidating just below the 161.77 session high after recovering from the 161.53 low during NY hours; RSI is neutral near 49 and ATR has thinned to ~4 pips into late-session liquidity. Price stalled at 161.77 and drifted back toward 161.72, with the broader cap sitting at the 162.00 intervention line.
Support: 161.62, 161.53
Resistance: 161.77, 161.84
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.77 opens the path to 161.84
Failure to hold 161.62 reopens the 161.53 session low
ADP/ISM on Jul 1 are the nearest catalysts that could shift this read
Late NY hours: USD/JPY recovered off the 161.54 session low made on the post-PCE dollar slip and is now consolidating just under 161.77, RSI(14) flat near 53. Price holds above EMA20/50 but stalls well below the 162.00 intervention line flagged for BoJ/MoF risk.
Support: 161.71, 161.62, 161.54
Resistance: 161.77, 161.846, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.77 reopens the 161.846 prior high
Failure to hold 161.62 reopens the 161.54 session low
162.00 intervention line — area to watch for sharp rejection into thin early-July liquidity
Consolidating below 161.77 after rebound from 161.53.
USDJPY carved a double bottom near 161.53 during London and recovered through NY back toward 161.77, with a soft USD post-PCE keeping the pair off the 162.00 intervention line. Price is now consolidating in the upper-161.70s, RSI(14) neutral near 54 — the recovery is stalling just under session highs.
Support: 161.65, 161.53
Resistance: 161.77, 161.82, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.77 opens the path to 161.82
162.00 intervention line caps upside, BoJ action risk on a test
Failure to hold 161.65 reopens the 161.53 session low
Higher lows since the 161.53 base, stalling near top.
NY session bounced off the 161.53 session low and ground higher into a 161.73–161.78 stall, with RSI(14) cooling back toward mid-range. Softer USD post-PCE capped the climb while the yen leans on the 162.00 intervention line above.
Support: 161.65, 161.53
Resistance: 161.78, 161.84, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.78 reopens the path toward the 161.84 session high
Failure to hold 161.65 exposes the 161.53 session low
162.00 intervention line ~27 pips above — sharp rejections flag BoJ action risk
18:31 UTC
Recovered off lows, now flat · RSI 54 · price 161.727
Consolidating below session high after intraday dip and rebound.
USDJPY dipped to a 161.535 double-bottom during the NY session before grinding back toward the 161.770 session high, now consolidating at 161.73 with RSI(14) neutral near 54. A softer USD post-PCE kept the pair off the 162.00 intervention zone; price holding above EMA20/EMA50 but capped under the session high.
Support: 161.65, 161.535
Resistance: 161.77, 161.846, 162.00
What it said to watch
Close above 161.770 session high opens the path back toward 161.846
Loss of 161.650 reopens the 161.535 swing low
162.00 intervention line — area to watch for sharp rejection
NY session has ground back up from the mid-161.50s base toward the day's 161.84 high, posting a chain of higher lows; RSI mid-60s, no extreme. Pair consolidating just under the 162.00 intervention line after the softer post-PCE USD tone capped the prior leg.
Support: 161.65, 161.535
Resistance: 161.846, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.846 opens the path to the 162.00 intervention zone
Failure to hold 161.65 breaks the rising-lows sequence
ADP/ISM (Jul 1) are the next catalysts that could reshape this read
NY session ground back up off the 161.53 low and now sits at the 0.762 retrace of the 161.846-161.53 drop near 161.77, RSI(14) around 60. Higher lows are stacking but the 161.85 session high and the 162.00 intervention line cap overhead.
Support: 161.62, 161.535
Resistance: 161.846, 162.00
What it said to watch
Close above 161.85 opens the path to the 162.00 intervention line
Failure to hold 161.62 reopens the 161.53 session low
162.00 flagged as intervention zone — sharp rejections flag BoJ action risk
Higher lows since the London dip, grinding back toward session high.
USDJPY clawed back from the 161.537 session low to retest the upper range, with price consolidating tight at 161.73-161.77 into the NY afternoon. Recovery via a chain of higher lows, RSI(14) mid-range near 59; the 162.00 intervention line remains the hard cap overhead.
Support: 161.65, 161.537
Resistance: 161.846, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.846 session high opens the path to the 162.00 intervention line
Failure to hold 161.65 swing low confirms a lower-low and negates the recovery
162.00 intervention risk — sharp rejections flag BoJ/MoF action into thin liquidity
Japan Retail Trade (23:50 UTC) and Tankan Tue could shift the JPY read
18:01 UTC
Recovering off session low, grinding up · RSI 57 · price 161.745
Consolidation below 161.84 after rebound from 161.53.
USDJPY rebounded off the 161.53 session low during NY hours and has ground back to 161.74, now consolidating just under the 161.84 prior high. RSI(14) mid-range near 57, ATR ~6 pips; the 162.00 intervention line caps overhead as USD eased post-PCE.
Support: 161.535, 161.10
Resistance: 161.84, 162.00
What it said to watch
Close above 161.84 opens the path toward the 162.00 intervention line
Loss of 161.53 confirms a lower low and reopens 161.10
Higher lows back toward session highs, capped under 162.
USDJPY ground back up to 161.74 in late NY after the 161.535 dip got bought, with RSI cooling around 58 as the move stalls under the 161.77 swing high. Pair stays pinned just below the 162.00 intervention line after a softer USD post-PCE.
Support: 161.65, 161.535
Resistance: 161.77, 161.846, 162.00
What it said to watch
Close above 161.77 opens the path to session high 161.846
162.00 intervention line caps upside — area to watch for rejection
Failure to hold 161.65 reopens the 161.535 session low
17:46 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 59 · price 161.738
Higher lows after double bottom.
USDJPY carved a double bottom at 161.53 through the London-NY session and ground back up to 161.77, RSI(14) mid-range near 59. Demand stepped in twice at the lows; the 162.00 intervention line caps the move above, with BoJ/MoF rejection risk into thin early-July liquidity.
Support: 161.65, 161.53
Resistance: 161.77, 161.84, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.84 prior high opens the path toward the 162.00 intervention line
Failure to hold 161.65 swing low re-exposes the 161.53 session low
USDJPY recovered off the 161.53 London low and ground higher through the NY session on a softer USD post-PCE, now consolidating near 161.74 below the 162.00 intervention line. Higher lows are intact but the last six bars have flattened just under the 161.768 session high, RSI(14) mid-range and ATR around 6 pips.
Support: 161.633, 161.53
Resistance: 161.768, 161.846, 162.00
What it said to watch
Close above 161.768 reopens the path toward 161.85 and the 162.00 intervention zone
Loss of 161.633 rising support exposes the 161.53 swing low
162.00 remains the flagged intervention line, capping upside
USDJPY has clawed back from the 161.53 swing low into NY hours, printing higher lows and now pressing the 161.768 session high with RSI(14) near 62. Move stays well capped under the 162.00 perceived intervention line that has held the pair shy of four-decade highs.
Support: 161.65, 161.535
Resistance: 161.768, 161.846, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.768 opens the path to the 161.846 prior high
Loss of 161.65 reopens the 161.535 swing low
162.00 remains the perceived intervention ceiling into thin early-July liquidity
17:16 UTC
Recovery leg, momentum slowing near top · RSI 59 · price 161.744
V-recovery off session low, stalling under session high.
USDJPY carved a V off the 161.535 session low and ground higher through NY hours, now consolidating just under the 161.768 session high. Softer USD post-PCE (DXY ~101.40) keeps the pair capped well below the 162.00 ceiling, RSI(14) mid-range with no extreme.
Support: 161.65, 161.535
Resistance: 161.768, 161.846, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.768 opens the path back to 161.846
Failure to hold 161.65 reopens the 161.535 session low
162.00 remains the perceived intervention line — spike risk in thin early-July liquidity
17:16 UTC
Intraday recovery, momentum building · RSI 63 · price 161.76
Higher lows off double bottom, sub-162 ceiling.
USDJPY carved a double bottom at 161.53 through the NY session and has ground back up to 161.76, holding higher lows with RSI(14) in the low 60s. The 161.84 session high is the next test, with the 162.00 perceived intervention line capping above.
Support: 161.65, 161.53
Resistance: 161.84, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.84 reopens the path to the 162.00 interv line
162.00 — area to watch for rejection or intervention risk
Failure to hold 161.65 base reasserts the lower-half range
17:01 UTC
Recovering after London dip, momentum easing · RSI 62 · price 161.76
Reclaim of session range after a swing low at 161.53.
USDJPY sold off into the London-NY transition to 161.53 then carved a rounded base, NY hours lifting it back to 161.76 with RSI(14) at 62. Price now retesting the session high after reclaiming both EMAs; intervention fears keep a lid near the 162.00 zone.
Support: 161.62, 161.53
Resistance: 161.77, 161.84, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.77 opens the path back toward 161.84 asia high
Failure to hold 161.62 reopens the 161.53 session low
Recovery off session low, grinding up · RSI 63 · price 161.76
Higher lows since 161.53, capped under prior high.
NY afternoon: USDJPY recovered off the session low at 161.53 and is grinding back to 161.76, building higher lows on the way. The 162.00 perceived intervention line caps the upside, with the session high at 161.85 the nearer hurdle.
Support: 161.62, 161.53
Resistance: 161.85, 162.00
What it said to watch
Close above 161.85 opens the path back toward the 162.00 intervention zone
Failure to hold 161.62 puts the 161.53 session low back in play
Verbal intervention checks near 162.00 could shift this read fast
USD/JPY based twice near 161.535 during the London-NY transition and has since ground back up toward the 161.77 session high, with RSI(14) around 60. Price holds above EMA20/50 on a chain of higher lows; the 162.00 intervention threshold caps the upside above.
Support: 161.61, 161.535
Resistance: 161.768, 161.846, 162.00
What it said to watch
Close above 161.77 opens the path back toward 161.846
Loss of 161.61 breaks the higher-low chain back toward 161.535
162.00 is the perceived BoJ/MoF intervention line — area to watch for sharp rejection
Jul 1 ADP and ISM cluster could materially shift this read
USDJPY carved a double bottom in the mid-161.50s during the NY session — the dip tied to softer USD post-PCE and intervention chatter — and has since ground back to 161.72 on a chain of higher lows. RSI(14) near 59, room before stretched; price is retesting the 161.745 session high with the 162.00 intervention cap overhead.
Support: 161.535
Resistance: 161.745, 161.846, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.745 opens the path to 161.846
Loss of 161.535 confirms a lower low and negates the double bottom
162.00 intervention zone caps upside into thin early-July liquidity
USDJPY twice held the mid-161.50s during the London-NY session and has ground back to 161.72, just under the 161.745 session high. The pair stays well fenced below the 162.00 intervention line; price sits above EMA20/50 with RSI at 57 — recovering, not stretched.
Support: 161.62, 161.535
Resistance: 161.745, 161.84, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.745 reopens the path toward 161.84
Loss of 161.62 puts the 161.535 swing low back in play
Approach to 162.00 raises BoJ/MoF intervention risk
16:31 UTC
Range, recovering off lows · RSI 53 · price 161.692
Consolidation under 161.74 after mid-161.50s base.
USD/JPY based twice in the mid-161.50s during NY hours after softer-USD post-PCE flows dragged it off the 162.00 intervention cap, then recovered into 161.69 — right on the 50% retrace of the 161.846-161.535 drop. Range-bound between session low 161.535 and the 161.745 spike high, RSI(14) neutral near 53.
Support: 161.60, 161.535
Resistance: 161.745, 161.846, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.745 reopens the 161.846 prior high
Failure to hold 161.60 reopens the 161.535 session low
162.00 intervention zone caps upside into thin early-July liquidity
16:16 UTC
Ranging after pullback from highs · RSI 52 · price 161.692
Lower high vs session low, holding range.
NY session sold the 161.84 prior high down to a 161.53 session low as USD eased post-PCE, then recovered into a 161.62–161.75 range. Price now mid-range near 161.69 with RSI hovering around 52, no clean direction in play.
Support: 161.62, 161.535
Resistance: 161.745, 161.841
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.535 confirms a lower-low and reopens downside
Close above 161.745 puts the 161.84 prior high back in range
Thin liquidity into early-July US holiday — 162.00 intervention zone above remains a cap
16:16 UTC
Range, no clear bias · RSI 53 · price 161.674
Ranging 161.53–161.75 after London leg down.
USDJPY sold off through London from the 161.85 Asia high to 161.535, then recovered into NY and is now ranging 161.55–161.75 as a softer USD post-PCE meets intervention caution near 162.00. Current 161.674 sits mid-range with RSI(14) neutral around 53; no setup in play.
Support: 161.61, 161.535
Resistance: 161.745, 161.846
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.745 opens the path back to 161.846
Failure to hold 161.535 confirms a lower-low
162.00 intervention line caps upside extension
16:01 UTC
Range after intraday pullback · RSI 51 · price 161.674
Ranging 161.53–161.74 post NY decline.
USDJPY rolled off the 161.84 session high and sank to a 161.53 double bottom before recovering into a 161.60–161.74 range. Softer USD post-PCE capped the bounce near 161.74, with the 162.00 intervention zone keeping a lid above.
Support: 161.60, 161.53
Resistance: 161.74, 161.80, 161.84
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.74 reopens the path to 161.84
Failure to hold 161.53 confirms a lower-low and deeper downside
16:01 UTC
Range, no clear direction · RSI 49 · price 161.648
Ranging after a swing low, capped under recent highs.
USDJPY is ranging 161.60–161.74 after a dip to 161.53 was bought back, with a spike to 161.739 rejected late and price settling near 161.65. JPY stays heavy near 40-year lows but USD/JPY is capped well under the 162.00 perceived intervention line, RSI flat near 49.
Support: 161.60, 161.53
Resistance: 161.739, 161.846, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.74 reopens the path to the 161.84 session high
Loss of 161.60 exposes the 161.53 session low
162.00 intervention line remains the upside cap
15:46 UTC
Ranging, no clear momentum · RSI 48 · price 161.648
Consolidation above session low after recovery.
USDJPY is ranging 161.60–161.74 into late NY hours after London sold the 161.84 high down to 161.53 and buyers recovered it. A spike to 161.745 was immediately rejected back into the range; price sits mid-channel near EMA20 with RSI(14) flat around 47, no setup in play.
Support: 161.60, 161.53
Resistance: 161.745, 161.846
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.745 reopens the path toward 161.84 day high
Loss of 161.60 puts the 161.53 session low back in play
162.00 remains the perceived intervention threshold capping upside
15:46 UTC
Range after intraday pullback · RSI 50 · price 161.649
Rotating inside 161.54-161.75 NY range.
USD/JPY sold off from the 161.85 session high to 161.54 during the NY session then recovered to mid-161.60s, now coiling near 161.65 as the softer post-PCE dollar leaves price pinned below 162.00. RSI(14) is neutral around 50 and price sits on EMA20 but under EMA50, leaving the intraday range intact between 161.54 and 161.75.
Support: 161.59, 161.537
Resistance: 161.745, 161.846
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.745 reopens the path to the 161.85 session high
Loss of 161.537 confirms a lower-low and extends the pullback
162.00 intervention line keeps upside capped on any push higher
15:31 UTC
Down then ranging, momentum flat · RSI 47 · price 161.649
Ranging in lower half after sell-off from session high.
London pushed USDJPY to a session high of 161.846 before NY hours sold it down to 161.535; the pair now ranges 161.61-161.69 with firmer Tokyo CPI offset by a softer post-PCE dollar. A late spike to 161.745 was rejected and price sits mid-range near 161.65, RSI(14) neutral around 47.
Support: 161.535
Resistance: 161.745, 161.846, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.535 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 161.745 reopens the 161.846 session high
162.00 intervention zone caps any extension higher
15:31 UTC
Range, no clear bias · RSI 48 · price 161.652
Consolidation below 162.00.
USDJPY chopping in a 161.53-161.84 range through the NY session, capped well under the 162.00 intervention zone. A spike to 161.74 was rejected back to 161.65; RSI(14) flat near 48 with no momentum either way.
Support: 161.56, 161.53
Resistance: 161.74, 161.84, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.84 reopens the path toward 162.00
Failure to hold 161.53 confirms a lower-low
MoF/BoJ intervention rhetoric near 162.00 could snap the range
15:16 UTC
Recovering off session low, momentum building · RSI 61 · price 161.736
Double bottom at 161.53, retracing higher.
NY session swept the 161.53 session low twice before a sharp recovery candle reclaimed 161.72, RSI(14) firming back near 61. Price now sits above EMA20/50 after breaking the 161.60-161.64 consolidation, with the 161.80 swing high the next test below the 162.00 intervention cap.
Support: 161.62, 161.535
Resistance: 161.80, 161.846, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.846 opens the path toward the 162.00 intervention zone
Failure to hold 161.62 reopens the 161.53 session low
MoF intervention risk near 162.00 a known cap on upside
USDJPY churned in a 161.53-161.85 range through London and NY, pinned below the 162.00 intervention cap as a softer post-PCE dollar offset the rate-differential bid. A spike to 161.74 late in the window faded straight back to 161.65; no directional break in play.
Support: 161.53, 161.564, 161.45
Resistance: 161.745, 161.846, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.745 reopens the path toward 161.85 and the 162.00 cap
Loss of 161.53 confirms a lower-low and exposes the 161.45 shelf
USDJPY held a 161.53–161.85 range through the session, with demand stepping in twice near 161.54 during NY hours. The last bar spiked from 161.59 to 161.74, lifting price back above EMA20/50; the 162.00 intervention cap remains the ceiling overhead.
Support: 161.60, 161.535
Resistance: 161.846, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 161.60 reopens the 161.535 swing low
Approach to 162.00 — area to watch for rejection given intervention risk
Fed speakers Williams/Kashkari today could shift this read
15:01 UTC
Range, drifting lower late NY · RSI 46 · price 161.612
Consolidation below 161.70 after rejection from 161.84.
London probe to 161.846 was rejected, then a flush to 161.537 in early NY before buyers stepped in and lifted price back to 161.74. Pair now drifting mid-range near 161.61, RSI(14) neutral around 46 with no setup in play.
Support: 161.56, 161.537
Resistance: 161.70, 161.746, 161.846
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.70 reopens the path toward the 161.84 prior high
Failure to hold 161.537 confirms a lower-low extension
162.00 cap remains intervention-risk territory if momentum returns
USDJPY is ranging ~161.53-161.85 just under the 162.00 intervention cap, with intervention caution keeping JPY bears sidelined despite firmer Tokyo CPI. Price slid from the 161.846 session high to 161.53 then recovered, now drifting back toward the lower half with RSI(14) mid-range — no momentum extension in play.
Support: 161.53, 161.10
Resistance: 161.846, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.530 confirms a lower-low and opens the 161.10 support shelf
Close above 161.846 puts the 162.00 psych cap back in focus
Fed speakers Williams/Kashkari today could shift the dollar read
14:46 UTC
Choppy, recovery fading · RSI 44 · price 161.608
Range below 161.72 after dip and bounce.
London dipped to 161.535 then recovered to 161.72, but the bounce stalled and NY afternoon has drifted back to 161.608, sitting on the 0.618 retrace of that move. RSI(14) mid-range near 44; price holds well below the 162.00 cap with no setup in play.
Support: 161.535, 161.50
Resistance: 161.72, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.535 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 161.72 needed to revive the bounce
162.00 remains the intervention-risk cap on any extension
Fed speakers Williams/Kashkari today could shift this read
14:31 UTC
Range, drifting lower within it · RSI 44 · price 161.608
Intraday range 161.53–161.85, lower highs since recovery.
USDJPY rolled off the 161.846 Asian high and swept the 161.53 session low into the London open before recovering to 161.746; price has since faded back into the lower half of the range, hovering near the 23.6% retracement around 161.61. RSI(14) sub-45 and both EMAs sit overhead — the 161.80s consolidation noted as JPY firmed on softer-dollar/PCE flows is now testing its lower edge.
Support: 161.53, 161.564
Resistance: 161.70, 161.746, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.53 confirms a lower-low and opens the figure
Reclaim of 161.746 needed to re-engage the range top
162.00 cap remains intervention-sensitive — repeated rejections live
USDJPY drifted off the 161.846 early-window high to a session low at 161.535, then recovered into the mid-161.60s where it's now chopping. Spot stays pinned well below the 162.00 cap as a firm-but-in-line USD consolidates; RSI(14) is neutral near 46 with price sitting just under EMA20.
Support: 161.535, 161.50
Resistance: 161.72, 161.846, 162.00
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 161.72 reopens the path toward the 161.846 range high
Loss of 161.535 confirms a fresh lower low
162.00 remains the intervention cap on any extension higher
Jul 1 US ISM/ADP could shift this read
14:16 UTC
Rolled over from session high, now ranging · RSI 44 · price 161.627
Consolidating in lower half after selloff and partial recovery.
USDJPY topped at 161.84 then sold to 161.53 in early hours before recovering to 161.746; NY session has since drifted back into the mid-161.60s with RSI(14) flat near 44. Price is balancing under the 161.70 recent high, well shy of the 162.00 intervention zone.
Support: 161.57, 161.53
Resistance: 161.70, 161.746, 161.84
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.746 reopens the 161.84 session high
Failure to hold 161.57 swing low confirms a lower low toward 161.53
Fed's Williams (14:30 UTC) and Michigan sentiment data could shift this read intraday
USDJPY is chopping in a 161.53–161.84 band, sitting mid-range at 161.62 just under EMA20/50 with RSI near 45 — no setup in play. The pair remains pinned below the 162.00 intervention zone flagged in context, with demand absorbing dips into the mid-161.50s.
Support: 161.53, 161.59
Resistance: 161.84, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.84 reopens the path toward the 162.00 cap
Failure to hold 161.53 confirms a lower-low and breaks the range
Fed speakers Williams (14:30) and Kashkari (15:30) could shift this read
162.00 — area to watch for rejection given live intervention risk
14:01 UTC
Pullback from session high, now ranging · RSI 46 · price 161.627
Ranging low-161s after rejection at 161.85.
London pushed USDJPY to a 161.85 session high before sellers faded it back to 161.54; NY has since chopped in a 161.54–161.72 range with RSI(14) neutral near 46. JPY caught a marginal bid as the dollar eased post-PCE, but spot stays hostage to the sub-162.00 intervention cap.
Support: 161.537
Resistance: 161.72, 161.846
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.72 reopens the path toward the 161.85 session high
Failure to hold 161.537 confirms a lower low
162.00 remains the intervention-risk line if upside resumes
14:01 UTC
Range, mild down drift on the day · RSI 48 · price 161.641
Rangebound between session high and low.
USDJPY ranged through the NY session between 161.53 and 161.85, with spot capped well under the 162.00 intervention zone as the digest flags. Price bounced off the 161.535 session low but stalled at 161.72, now drifting back to mid-161.60s with RSI(14) neutral near 47.
Support: 161.535, 161.60
Resistance: 161.72, 161.846, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.535 confirms a lower-low and breaks the session range
Reclaim of 161.72 reopens the path toward the 161.846 session high
162.00 remains the intervention zone to monitor on any extension higher
NY session ranging after a pullback from the 161.84 session high to a double bottom at 161.535. Price has recovered to mid-range near 161.64 with RSI neutral; the 161.72 swing high caps and the 162.00 intervention ceiling sits above.
Support: 161.535, 161.59
Resistance: 161.72, 161.84, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.535 breaks the double-bottom support
Reclaim of 161.72 swing high reopens the 161.84 session high
MoF/BoJ rhetoric near the 162.00 intervention ceiling could spark sharp two-way moves
13:46 UTC
Recovered off lows, now ranging · RSI 51 · price 161.653
Consolidation between 161.53 and 161.72.
USD/JPY sold from 161.84 into a 161.53 session low during the London-NY transition, then clawed back to mid-range as the softer post-PCE dollar gave the yen a small lift. Now ranging 161.53–161.72 with RSI(14) flat near 50; the 162.00 intervention ceiling remains untested above.
Support: 161.53
Resistance: 161.72, 161.80, 162.00
What it said to watch
Close above 161.72 opens the path back toward 161.80
Failure to hold 161.53 confirms a fresh lower low
UoM sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
Consolidating after dip to 161.53, capped near 161.72.
USDJPY slid from the 161.84 session high to 161.53 in early hours then recovered, now chopping in a 161.59–161.72 band with RSI(14) neutral near 52. The pair is parked well below the 162.00 intervention ceiling, with the yen seeing only a marginal lift after the in-line US core PCE softened the dollar.
Support: 161.59, 161.53
Resistance: 161.72, 161.84, 162.00
What it said to watch
Close above 161.72 reopens the path toward the 161.84 session high
Loss of 161.53 session low confirms a fresh lower-low
MoF/BoJ verbal intervention rhetoric near 162.00 could spark a fast squeeze lower
Consolidation between 161.53 and 161.75 after intraday dip and bounce.
USDJPY is ranging just below 161.75 through the NY session, pinned near 4-decade highs and the 162.00 intervention ceiling. After a dip to the session low at 161.53, price recovered to the 161.70 swing high then eased back to 161.67; RSI(14) neutral around 53.
Support: 161.59, 161.53
Resistance: 161.70, 161.75
What it said to watch
Close above 161.75 range top opens a retest of the 162.00 intervention ceiling
Loss of 161.53 session low confirms a fresh lower-low
Fed's Williams (14:30 UTC) and Kashkari (15:30 UTC) could shift this read
London hours dragged USDJPY from 161.84 down to 161.53, where it based and recovered into NY back to 161.67. RSI(14) mid-range and price stalling under the 161.70 intraday high, holding inside the broader 161.53–161.84 range.
USDJPY twice rejected 161.535 across the Asia and London sessions, forming a double bottom, then ground higher into NY with a chain of higher lows. Buyers stalled at the 161.70 session high on the last push; price now sits mid-range at 161.659 with RSI(14) neutral near 54.
Support: 161.61, 161.535, 161.56
Resistance: 161.702, 161.746
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.702 opens the path to 161.746
Loss of the 161.61 rising-lows line exposes 161.535 double bottom
162.00 intervention ceiling caps upside; MoF/BoJ rhetoric could spark a fast move
13:01 UTC
Ranging, no clear bias · RSI 51 · price 161.659
Range after recovery off session low.
USDJPY recovered off the 161.535 session low during NY hours and is now consolidating between 161.60 and the 161.70 range top, RSI(14) neutral near 51. Spot stays pinned well below the 162.00 intervention ceiling with no setup in play.
Support: 161.60, 161.535
Resistance: 161.70, 161.846, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.70 reopens the path toward 161.846
Failure to hold 161.535 confirms a fresh session lower-low
162.00 intervention zone — repeated tests raise odds of official action
13:01 UTC
Recovering after NY pullback, momentum flat · RSI 53 · price 161.659
Range, basing above 161.55.
NY session sold USDJPY off the 161.84 session high into a 161.53 double bottom, then buyers stepped in twice to drag price back toward the 161.70 pivot. Now consolidating around 161.66 with RSI(14) neutral near 53; spot stays pinned below the 162.00 intervention zone.
Support: 161.55, 161.53
Resistance: 161.70, 161.84, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 161.53 confirms a lower-low and breaks the double bottom
Reclaim of 161.70 session pivot opens the path back toward 161.84
162.00 intervention zone — area to watch for official rhetoric on any approach
12:46 UTC
Recovery off session low, grinding up · RSI 60 · price 161.695
Double bottom at 161.53, higher lows building.
USDJPY held a double bottom at 161.53-161.54 and has clawed back roughly half of the 161.85-161.53 drop, trading 161.695 with RSI in the mid-60s. Tokyo CPI's firmer print nudged the yen earlier but spot stays glued sub-162.00 with intervention fear capping above; recovery now testing the 161.72 area.
Support: 161.61, 161.53
Resistance: 161.72, 161.85, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.72 extends the recovery toward 161.85
Loss of 161.61 then 161.53 negates the double bottom
Michigan sentiment 14:00 UTC and Fed speakers could shift the USD read
NY session ground down to 161.53 twice and held, with price now drifting back up toward the 161.70 swing high, RSI neutral near 55. Spot stays glued well below the 162.00 intervention zone after Tokyo CPI nudged JPY firmer.
Support: 161.535
Resistance: 161.70, 161.80, 162.00
What it said to watch
Loss of 161.535 session low confirms a lower-low and breaks the basing structure
Close above 161.70 swing high opens the path back toward 161.80 prior high
Repeated probes of 162.00 intervention zone raise odds of official action
USDJPY carved a double bottom at 161.53 through the NY session and ground back to 161.67, with the softer post-PCE dollar giving the yen only a marginal bid. Price is consolidating mid-range below the 161.68 high; RSI(14) neutral near 56, ATR around 5 pips keeping moves contained.
Support: 161.57, 161.53
Resistance: 161.68, 161.74, 161.84
What it said to watch
Close above 161.74 session high opens the path to 161.84
Loss of 161.53 session low confirms a lower low
162.00 intervention zone caps upside
Fed Williams (14:30) and Kashkari (15:30) could shift this read
USDJPY carved a double bottom at 161.53 through the NY session and has been grinding back to 161.65, holding a chain of higher lows. Price sits above EMA20 but capped below the 161.74 session high; broader pair pinned just under the 162.00 intervention zone after in-line Tokyo CPI and a softer post-PCE dollar.
Support: 161.53, 161.59
Resistance: 161.74, 161.84, 162.00
What it said to watch
Loss of 161.53 double bottom reopens the path toward 161.30
Close above 161.74 session high extends the recovery toward 161.84
US Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC plus Fed speakers could shift this read
162.00 remains the intervention trigger to monitor
USDJPY held a 161.53-161.90 range over the last 24h, with a softer USD post-PCE keeping a lid near 161.84. Buyers stepped in twice at 161.53-161.56 during NY hours and price is grinding back up, RSI(14) neutral at 56. Pinned just below the 162.00 intervention zone.
Support: 161.53, 161.56
Resistance: 161.72, 161.84, 161.90
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 161.72 swing high opens the path back toward 161.84
Loss of 161.53 session low confirms a lower-low
Approach to 162.00 keeps intervention risk live
12:01 UTC
Down then ranging, momentum flat · RSI 51 · price 161.657
NY session range carved after slide off session high.
USD/JPY slid off the 161.90 session high to a 161.53 low during the London-NY transition, then settled into a tight range as a softer post-PCE USD gave the yen only a marginal bid. Buyers stepped in repeatedly around 161.53-161.56, carving minor higher lows into late NY; RSI(14) is neutral near 51.
Support: 161.53, 161.56
Resistance: 161.75, 161.84, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.53 confirms a lower low and breaks the range floor
Reclaim of 161.75 swing high reopens the path toward 161.84
Proximity to 162.00 intervention zone caps extended yen weakness
12:01 UTC
Downtrend earlier, now stabilizing · RSI 53 · price 161.659
Consolidation after lower-low sweep.
USDJPY slid from 161.90 to a 161.53 low through the London-NY transition as the USD softened post-PCE, then bounced and is consolidating 161.55-161.66. RSI(14) sits neutral near 53 after recovering off the lows; the 161.746 swing high caps the rebound.
Support: 161.535, 161.594
Resistance: 161.746, 161.846, 162.00
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 161.746 reopens the path toward 161.846
Loss of 161.535 confirms a fresh lower-low
Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC plus Fed Williams/Kashkari could shift this read
162.00 intervention zone overhead keeps upside two-way
USDJPY slid from 161.86 through the European session to a 161.53 base, now consolidating 161.53–161.70 into NY hours with a slow grind off the lows. Two equal lows at 161.53 hold the floor; price is testing the 38.2% retrace near 161.65 with RSI(14) mid-range.
Support: 161.56, 161.53
Resistance: 161.70, 161.746, 162.00
What it said to watch
Close above 161.746 invalidates the range read and confirms a higher high
Loss of 161.53 confirms a lower low and reopens downside
Michigan Sentiment 14:00 UTC and Fed speakers could shift this read
162.00 ceiling remains the intervention reference above
11:46 UTC
Intraday downtrend stalling into a range · RSI 47 · price 161.617
Ranging after a slow grind lower; double bottom at session low.
USDJPY ground lower from the 161.85 session high to a double bottom at 161.53 during NY hours, then bounced to 161.75 before settling back into a 161.53–161.75 range. Tokyo CPI came firmer but the pair stays pinned below the 162 intervention ceiling, with DXY easing toward 101.40 after in-line US PCE; no setup in play, price sitting mid-range near 161.62.
Support: 161.535, 161.57
Resistance: 161.746, 161.846, 162.00
What it said to watch
Michigan Consumer Sentiment at 14:00 UTC plus Fed speakers (Williams 14:30, Kashkari 15:30) could shift this range read
M15 close below 161.53 confirms a lower low and breaks the double bottom
Reclaim of 161.75 puts the 161.85 session high back in play; 162.00 remains the intervention ceiling
11:31 UTC
Downtrend stalling, now ranging · RSI 47 · price 161.617
Consolidation after lower high.
USDJPY drifted off the early-window 161.95 high to bottom at 161.53, bounced to 161.746 then faded back, now coiling around 161.60-161.62 just below 162 with Tokyo CPI failing to move the needle. RSI(14) mid-range near 47; price pinned near the 40-year highs zone, ATR a tight ~6 pips.
Support: 161.566, 161.53
Resistance: 161.746
What it said to watch
Close below 161.53 confirms a lower low and reopens the 160 reference
Close above 161.75 invalidates the range and lower-high read
Michigan sentiment 14:00 UTC + Fed Williams/Kashkari speakers could shift this read
162.00 intervention zone overhead caps extension
11:31 UTC
Mild downtrend, now ranging · RSI 47 · price 161.629
Lower highs into a flat floor near 161.53.
USDJPY is grinding sideways in the 161.53–161.75 band after sliding off the 161.85 highs, with DXY easing toward 101.40 post in-line PCE keeping the pair pinned below the 162.00 intervention ceiling. Price found a floor twice at 161.53–161.54 and is chopping near 161.63, RSI(14) neutral around 47.
Support: 161.535, 161.45
Resistance: 161.746, 161.846, 162.00
What it said to watch
Close below 161.53 confirms a lower-low and opens 161.45
Reclaim of 161.75 needed to challenge the descending lower-high line
Michigan sentiment / UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could break the range
11:16 UTC
Mild downtrend, now flat · RSI 45 · price 161.629
Range-bound near session lows.
USDJPY drifted off the 161.94 early-session high to print a 161.53 low, then chopped sideways through the London session and now sits mid-range at 161.63 with RSI(14) neutral near 45. Price is pinned near 40-year highs with the 162.00 intervention ceiling overhead; in-line US PCE removed fresh dollar fuel.
Support: 161.535, 161.50
Resistance: 161.746, 161.84, 162.00
What it said to watch
Loss of 161.535 confirms a fresh session lower-low
Reclaim of 161.746 reopens the path toward 161.84
US Michigan sentiment / inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could break this range
USDJPY drifted lower through London, printing a session low at 161.53 before stabilizing, and now consolidates around 161.60 capped under the 161.746 session high. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 46 with the pair below both EMAs; sequence of lower highs intact but selling has paused near 40-year lows.
Support: 161.53, 161.564
Resistance: 161.746, 161.84
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 161.53 confirms a lower-low extension
Close above 161.746 session high reasserts upside toward the 161.84 prior high
Michigan sentiment / inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session drifted lower from the 161.746 high to test 161.535, and price is now consolidating around 161.60 with RSI(14) flat near 45. JPY remains pinned near multi-decade lows with the 162.00 intervention ceiling capping above; DXY eased after in-line US PCE.
Support: 161.535, 161.45
Resistance: 161.746, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.535 opens the path toward 161.45
Reclaim of 161.746 negates the lower-high sequence
UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USD/JPY drifted lower through the session toward 161.53 as DXY corrected post-PCE, printing a chain of lower highs from 161.94. Price is now consolidating just under 161.70 with RSI(14) mid-range and the 161.53 floor holding so far.
Support: 161.535
Resistance: 161.70, 161.746
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.535 confirms a lower-low and opens the path toward 160
Reclaim of 161.746 session high invalidates the lower-highs read
Michigan sentiment / UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
London session grinding lower under a chain of lower highs from 161.846, with the 161.53 floor holding twice as DXY eased post in-line US PCE. Price is coiling near 161.62, RSI mid-range, no clean break in either direction yet.
Support: 161.53, 161.50
Resistance: 161.746, 161.846, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.53 confirms a fresh lower-low and breaks the double-bottom floor
Reclaim of 161.746 swing high needed to break the lower-high sequence
Michigan sentiment + UoM inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could shift this read
USDJPY drifted lower through the NY session as DXY eased post-PCE, printing a session low at 161.535 before a bounce to 161.746 faded. Price now consolidating around 161.60, below EMA20/50, capped under the 162 intervention zone.
Support: 161.535, 161.50
Resistance: 161.65, 161.746
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.535 confirms a lower low, exposing 161.50
Reclaim of 161.746 needed to break the lower-high sequence
Michigan sentiment + UoM inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could shift this read
10:31 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating near lows · RSI 43 · price 161.605
Lower highs into a base just above 161.53.
USD/JPY drifted off the 161.84 area through the London session and is now grinding sideways near 161.55-161.65, just above the 161.53 swing low, as DXY softened after in-line US PCE. RSI(14) sits in the mid-40s with momentum flat; sellers have capped each bounce below 161.68.
Support: 161.53, 161.50
Resistance: 161.683, 161.746, 161.84
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.53 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 161.746 session high needed to negate the lower-high sequence
UoM/Michigan inflation data 14:00 UTC could shift this read
162.00 remains the noted intervention ceiling above
USDJPY ground lower through the NY session in a chain of lower highs, basing near 161.53 with RSI(14) mid-40s as DXY eased after in-line US PCE. Price holds well below the 162 ceiling that has capped for a week; the 161.53 lows are the immediate floor under repeated tests.
Support: 161.535
Resistance: 161.70, 161.746, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.535 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 161.70 would break the lower-high sequence
UoM inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could shift USD across the board
162.00 ceiling carries intervention risk on any push higher
10:16 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs · RSI 44 · price 161.598
Descending highs, basing near session low.
London session has drifted lower with a chain of lower highs since the 161.746 bounce, USD/JPY consolidating just below the 162 intervention zone after in-line US PCE. Price is basing near the 161.53 session low; RSI(14) mid-range around 44 with no extreme.
Support: 161.53
Resistance: 161.70, 161.746
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.530 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 161.700 breaks the descending highs sequence
Michigan sentiment / inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
USDJPY ground lower through the London-NY transition, posting lower highs from 161.84 and retesting the 161.535 session low before a modest bounce to 161.60. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-40s; pair holding well shy of the 162 intervention ceiling as DXY eased post-PCE.
Support: 161.535, 161.50
Resistance: 161.746, 161.84
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.535 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 161.746 swing high neutralises the lower-high sequence
Michigan sentiment / inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
10:01 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs · RSI 44 · price 161.604
Stepping lower, twin lows at 161.53.
USDJPY ground lower through London-NY hours off the 161.95 session high, with supply capping each bounce below 161.80. Price now sits at 161.604 below both EMAs, with twin lows at 161.53 holding for now; intervention chatter near 162 keeps upside throttled.
Support: 161.53, 161.50
Resistance: 161.70, 161.80, 161.95
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.53 confirms a fresh lower-low toward 161.50
Reclaim of 161.70 swing high would stall the lower-high sequence
Michigan sentiment / inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
10:01 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs · RSI 41 · price 161.586
Descending sequence below 161.65.
London session grinding lower in a chain of lower highs and lower lows, USD/JPY now 161.59 with RSI(14) in the low 40s. The bounce off the 161.535 swing low faded at 161.65, keeping the descending structure intact near 40-yr highs.
Support: 161.535, 161.50
Resistance: 161.65
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.535 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 161.65 breaks the descending lower-high sequence
Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could shift this read
09:46 UTC
Downtrend, near session lows · RSI 42 · price 161.586
Lower highs and lower lows, grinding down.
USDJPY is in a steady M15 downtrend through the NY session, printing lower highs off 161.746 and pressing the 161.535 session low, which was swept earlier. RSI(14) near 42 with no extreme; small bounces off 161.53-161.54 have held twice but supply caps near 161.65.
Support: 161.535, 161.50
Resistance: 161.653, 161.746
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.535 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 161.653 challenges the downtrend read
Michigan sentiment / inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
09:46 UTC
Downtrend, near session lows · RSI 41 · price 161.591
Lower highs, lower lows.
USDJPY ground lower through the London session in a descending channel, printing lower highs after rejection at 161.85 and pressing the session low at 161.535. JPY firm on hot Tokyo CPI and intervention chatter as the pair sits uncomfortably below the 162 line; RSI(14) mid-40s, no exhaustion yet.
Support: 161.535, 161.557
Resistance: 161.653
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 161.653 swing high invalidates the lower-high sequence
Loss of 161.535 session low confirms continuation lower
US Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
NY session ground USDJPY lower from the 161.80 Asian shelf to a 161.535 session low before a shallow bounce, price now sub-162 with the firm-USD/wide-yield-gap backdrop intact. RSI(14) in the low-40s, price holding below EMA20 and EMA50; lower highs capping near 161.65–161.75.
Support: 161.535, 161.557
Resistance: 161.653, 161.746, 161.80
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.746 invalidates the lower-high sequence
Break of 161.535 opens fresh downside toward 160 with little support
Proximity to 162 keeps MoF/BoJ intervention headline risk live
UoM Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
09:31 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs · RSI 41 · price 161.56
Lower highs / lower lows, pressing session lows.
London session has ground lower from the 161.746 session high, printing a chain of lower highs with price now sitting on the 161.535 swing low. USD/JPY hovers in the 162 intervention zone, capping aggressive upside, and RSI(14) near 40 reflects soft but not extreme momentum.
Support: 161.535, 161.50
Resistance: 161.653, 161.746
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.535 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 161.653 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
UoM Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
USDJPY ground lower through the London-NY session, printing lower highs off 161.746 and retesting the 161.535 session low, RSI(14) mid-40s with no extreme. Price sits just above the low at 161.56, capped beneath the 161.65 pivot; sticky-but-in-line US PCE has kept the pair stalling below the 162 intervention zone.
Support: 161.535, 161.50
Resistance: 161.65, 161.746
What it said to watch
Close below 161.535 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 161.65 pivot neutralises the intraday downtrend
UoM Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
USDJPY ground out a chain of lower highs through the London session, tagging a session low at 161.535 before a shallow bounce stalled near 161.65. Price holds ~161.59 just below EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) mid-40s; the in-line US core PCE kept the USD bid intact but offered no fresh upside fuel.
Support: 161.535, 161.50
Resistance: 161.653, 161.746, 162.00
What it said to watch
Close above 161.746 invalidates the lower-high read
Loss of 161.535 confirms continuation lower
Proximity to 162.00 keeps intervention-headline risk live
UoM sentiment + inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could shift the read
09:01 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs into London · RSI 44 · price 161.593
Stair-step lower highs / lower lows.
Steady M15 downtrend through the London session, printing lower highs from 161.83 down to the 161.535 session low. Bounce to 161.65 faded back under 161.60; RSI(14) holding mid-40s, no oversold extreme. Price stalls well below the 162 intervention zone flagged by the JPY desk.
Support: 161.535, 161.50
Resistance: 161.70, 161.746, 161.82
What it said to watch
Close below 161.535 confirms a fresh lower low, exposing the 161.50 psych level
Reclaim of 161.70 swing high breaks the lower-high sequence
162.00 intervention zone above remains a two-way risk if USD bid resumes
09:01 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs · RSI 43 · price 161.593
Stepping lower off 161.84, holding above 161.53.
London hours drifted lower off the 161.846 session high, printing a chain of lower highs into a 161.535 low before a shallow bounce to 161.59. Price holds below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 42; the 161.70 swing high capped the last attempt to recover.
Support: 161.535, 161.50
Resistance: 161.70, 161.746, 161.846
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.535 confirms a lower low and opens 161.50
Reclaim of 161.70 would negate the lower-high sequence
162.00 intervention zone overhead remains the key cap
London hours drifted USD/JPY lower off 161.84, posting a session low at 161.53 before a shallow bounce to 161.65 faded back to 161.59. Price holds below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) near 41; the swing high at 161.746 capped the rebound.
Support: 161.535, 161.557
Resistance: 161.746, 161.841
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.53 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 161.746 swing high negates the downside drift
UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
162.00 intervention zone overhangs any USD/JPY upside
USDJPY ground lower through the London session, printing twin lows at 161.53 before a shallow bounce to 161.63, RSI(14) recovering from the low-40s. Sellers capped the rebound at 161.746; pair holding near 40-yr highs with the 162.00 intervention zone overhead and an in-line core PCE having stalled the dollar's run.
Support: 161.535, 161.50
Resistance: 161.746, 162.00
What it said to watch
Loss of 161.53 confirms a lower-low and opens 161.50
Reclaim of 161.746 negates the lower-high sequence
162.00 intervention zone — area to watch for sharp rejection
08:31 UTC
Downtrend, recent leg lower · RSI 42 · price 161.628
Lower highs into session low 161.535.
NY session drifted lower into a session low at 161.535 as USD eased off after an in-line core PCE print, with USD/JPY printing lower highs from 161.846. Price below EMA20/50; a token bounce to 161.628 follows but 161.715 has capped the rebound.
Support: 161.535, 161.557
Resistance: 161.715, 161.846, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.715 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 161.535 confirms continuation lower
UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
162.00 intervention zone overhead if buyers reclaim 161.85
London session has dragged USDJPY off the 161.85 session high into 161.53, printing lower highs and a fresh sweep of the session low, RSI(14) near 38. Price sits below EMA20/50 with the 162 intervention zone capping the broader uptrend overhead.
Support: 161.53, 161.50
Resistance: 161.70, 161.746, 161.846
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 161.53 confirms continuation toward the 161.50 psych level
A reclaim of 161.70 swing high neutralises the lower-high sequence
Approach toward 162 intervention zone keeps squeeze risk live
08:16 UTC
Downtrend, leg extending · RSI 40 · price 161.572
Lower highs into session low after range break.
USDJPY broke down from the 161.76-161.84 consolidation through London hours and is pressing the session low at 161.535, holding below EMA20 (~161.66) in a chain of lower highs. Price stays pinned near four-decade highs just under the 162 intervention zone; RSI(14) near 40, no oversold reading yet.
Support: 161.535
Resistance: 161.66, 161.746, 161.846
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.535 extends the leg lower; context flags little support before 160
Reclaim of the 161.746 swing high negates the lower-high sequence
Michigan sentiment + UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
London session drifted to a 161.537 low before a bounce to 161.746 was rejected and faded back under both EMAs. Price grinds at 161.618 in a chain of lower highs, with the broader weak-JPY trade pinned below the 162 intervention zone; RSI(14) neutral near 44.
Support: 161.537, 161.594
Resistance: 161.746
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.537 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 161.746 needed to negate the lower-high sequence
Michigan sentiment / UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
08:01 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs · RSI 43 · price 161.618
Fading off 161.75 bounce high, holding above session low.
USDJPY drifting lower through NY hours, fading after the 161.746 bounce failed to hold; price now 161.618, back below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 43. Pair stays pinned near multi-decade lows with the 162.00 intervention zone capping above.
Support: 161.537, 161.557
Resistance: 161.746, 162.00
What it said to watch
Close below 161.537 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 161.746 negates the rejection read
Michigan sentiment & UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC plus Fed Williams/Kashkari could shift this read
08:01 UTC
Ranging, drifting lower · RSI 44 · price 161.643
Range below 161.85, bounce off 161.53 base.
USDJPY based twice near 161.53-161.56 and bounced to 161.746 on the London open before fading back to 161.64. Price is ranging below the 161.85 prior high with the 162.00 intervention zone capping overhead; RSI(14) mid-range near 44.
Support: 161.59, 161.537
Resistance: 161.746, 161.85, 162.00
What it said to watch
Close below 161.53 confirms a lower low and breaks the double-bottom base
Reclaim of 161.746 reopens the 161.85 prior high
UoM inflation expectations / Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
M15 carved lower highs from 161.94 into a double base around 161.53, with buyers stepping in twice during London hours. The bounce to 161.746 was rejected and price has slipped back to 161.64, RSI(14) neutral near 47. Pair stays pinned in the 40-yr-low zone, well shy of the 162 intervention area flagged in the macro read.
Support: 161.53, 161.557
Resistance: 161.746
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.53 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 161.746 negates the bounce stall
UoM inflation expectations / Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
Intervention risk builds on any push toward 162.00
Price ground lower through Asia into early London, sweeping to 161.54 where buyers stepped in twice to form a double bottom. The bounce stalled at the 161.75 session high before easing back to 161.69; RSI(14) recovered to mid-range. Pair remains pinned well below the 162 intervention zone.
Support: 161.54, 161.60
Resistance: 161.75, 161.80
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.80 reclaims the prior high and negates the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 161.54 session low confirms a fresh lower-low
Michigan sentiment / UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
07:31 UTC
Down then bouncing off session low · RSI 52 · price 161.693
Lower lows into 161.53, recovering.
USDJPY sold off through the window to a 161.53 session low, then bounced into London hours with buyers stepping in twice around 161.54 after hot Tokyo CPI and the 162 intervention zone overhead. Rejection at 161.746 has capped the recovery; RSI(14) back near 51 from prior oversold.
Support: 161.59, 161.537
Resistance: 161.746, 161.841
What it said to watch
Close above 161.746 opens the path back to 161.84
Failure to hold 161.59 reopens the 161.53 low
Michigan sentiment + Fed speakers from 14:00 UTC could shift this read
USDJPY ground lower through the Asian session to a 161.53 low where demand stepped in, bouncing to 161.746 into the London open before fading back to 161.66. PCE landing in line removed fresh USD fuel; pair sits mid-range with RSI(14) neutral near 48.
Support: 161.537, 161.561
Resistance: 161.746, 161.846
What it said to watch
Reclaim and close above 161.746 reopens the path toward the 161.846 prior high
Loss of 161.537 session low confirms a fresh lower-low
Michigan sentiment & inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC plus Fed speakers could shift the USD read
07:16 UTC
Downtrend, recent bounce · RSI 46 · price 161.661
Lower highs into a session-low bounce.
USD/JPY drifted lower through Asian and early-London hours from 161.84, printing a session low at 161.54 before buyers stepped in and lifted it to 161.75. Pair now consolidating near 161.66 with RSI(14) mid-range; the 162 intervention zone continues to cap upside attempts.
Support: 161.537
Resistance: 161.746, 161.841
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.54 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 161.746 needed to break the lower-high sequence
Michigan sentiment + Fed speakers from 14:00 UTC could shift this read
07:16 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 54 · price 161.71
Ranging 161.53–161.90, recovering from session low.
USD/JPY slid through the Asian session to a low of 161.53, then bounced into the London open as the softer post-PCE USD tone capped extension. RSI(14) recovering off the lows; pair now pressing the 161.75 bounce high with 161.84 the next resistance overhead.
Support: 161.53
Resistance: 161.75, 161.84, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.75 opens the path to 161.84
Failure to hold 161.53 confirms a lower low
162.00 flagged BoJ intervention zone overhead
US Michigan sentiment 14:00 UTC could shift this read
USD/JPY drifted lower through the Asian and early London session from 161.94 to a low at 161.53, matching the earlier 161.56 trough, before a ~20 pip bounce reclaimed 161.75 and faded to 161.71. RSI(14) has recovered off intraday lows toward neutral as the pair grinds below the 162 intervention zone after hot Tokyo CPI overnight.
Support: 161.53, 161.56, 161.50
Resistance: 161.75, 161.80, 161.84
What it said to watch
Close below 161.53 reopens the downside toward 161.50
Reclaim of 161.80 invalidates the lower-high structure
162.00 intervention zone overhead; UoM data 14:00 UTC could shift the read
London hours saw USDJPY grind to a 161.53 swing low before buyers stepped in, lifting price back to 161.70 with RSI recovering from the low 40s. The bounce follows broad USD softening off yearly highs; supply capped the prior session at 161.846 and the 161.80 range top still holds.
Support: 161.53
Resistance: 161.80, 161.846
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.80 invalidates the downtrend read
Failure to hold 161.53 confirms a fresh lower low
Intervention headline risk near 162.00 could violently shift this read
USD/JPY drifted lower through the prior NY-into-Asia hours from 161.94, finding demand at the 161.54 session low and bouncing into 161.70. Pair holds well below the 162 intervention zone; 161.80 is the near-term cap on the recovery.
Support: 161.537
Resistance: 161.80, 161.841
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 161.80 opens a retest of the 161.84 swing high
Failure to hold the 161.54 session low confirms a fresh lower-low
Intervention risk persists as price grinds toward 162
UoM sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift USD tone
06:46 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 44 · price 161.646
Lower highs / lower lows, late bounce.
USDJPY ground lower through the London session, breaking the prior 161.60 floor to a session low of 161.53 before a sharp bounce back to 161.68, closing 161.646 below both EMAs. The pair sits well under the 162.00 intervention zone, with sticky US PCE keeping the dollar firm but the late recovery cooling the downside.
Support: 161.53, 161.557
Resistance: 161.683, 161.805, 162.00
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 161.53 confirms continuation of lower lows
M15 close above 161.805 negates the downtrend read
UoM Michigan / inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
06:31 UTC
Downtrend, bounce in progress · RSI 44 · price 161.646
Lower highs and lower lows, holding off session low.
USD/JPY ground lower through the Asian session into London open, printing a 161.54 low before a sharp bounce to 161.68; price now sits at 161.65, below EMA20 and EMA50. Yen firmed only modestly after the in-line US PCE, with the 162 intervention zone capping upside on the week.
Support: 161.537, 161.594
Resistance: 161.683, 161.846
What it said to watch
Break of 161.54 swing low confirms continuation of the lower-low chain
M15 close back above 161.846 negates the downside structure
UoM sentiment/inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift the read; 162 intervention risk persists
USDJPY drifted lower through the Asian session, breaking under 161.70 and printing a session low at 161.530 before a modest bounce to 161.62; RSI(14) near 41, price below EMA20/50. JPY stays pinned near multi-decade lows with the 162 intervention zone capping above.
Support: 161.53, 161.50
Resistance: 161.64, 161.80
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 161.800 would break the descending intraday structure
Loss of 161.530 confirms a fresh lower-low toward 161.50
Intervention headline risk near 162 could sharply reverse this read
USD/JPY drifted lower through the Asia session, pulling away from the 162 intervention zone after an in-line US PCE trimmed September Fed-hike bets and let the yen firm modestly. Price carved a chain of lower highs and lower lows into 161.53 before a small bounce to 161.62; RSI(14) sits mid-40s with no extreme.
Support: 161.53
Resistance: 161.80
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.53 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 161.80 invalidates the intraday downtrend read
Michigan sentiment/inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Late in the window price rolled over from the 161.84 session high and broke down to a fresh session low at 161.53, RSI(14) near 36. The slide tracks a softer USD as Treasury yields ease and Sep Fed-hike bets get trimmed; yen firmer well below the 162 intervention zone.
Support: 161.53, 161.50
Resistance: 161.65, 161.74, 161.841
What it said to watch
Hold below 161.53 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
A close back above 161.74 invalidates the lower-high structure
UoM inflation expectations / sentiment 14:00 UTC could shift the read
USD/JPY rolled over through the Asian session, printing fresh lows at 161.53 as the dollar eased off six-day highs and yields slipped. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 36, lower highs stacking from 161.85. Move remains well inside the historical 162 intervention zone overhead.
Support: 161.53, 161.557, 161.50
Resistance: 161.65, 161.80, 161.85
What it said to watch
Close back above 161.65 breaks the lower-high chain
Loss of 161.53 confirms next leg toward 161.50
UoM inflation/sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
USD/JPY ground lower through the Asian session, slipping to 161.559 to retest the prior swing low at 161.557 that held into NY hours yesterday. RSI(14) near 31 as the dollar eases off YTD highs after in-line PCE and softer Treasury yields; the 161.557 floor is being tapped a second time.
Support: 161.557, 160.00
Resistance: 161.654, 161.74
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.557 confirms a lower-low and opens the path toward 160.00
Reclaim of 161.74 swing high would neutralise the downtrend read
Michigan sentiment / inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDJPY slid through the Asian range into late session, printing 161.559 and retesting the prior 161.557 low for a potential double bottom, RSI(14) near 31. Price sits below EMA20/50 with a chain of lower highs capping every bounce around 161.65.
Support: 161.557, 161.50
Resistance: 161.65
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 161.65 breaks the lower-high chain
Break of 161.557/161.50 confirms continuation lower
Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could shift this read
USD/JPY near 162 intervention zone — snapback risk
Lower highs into session low, thin Asia liquidity.
USDJPY ground lower through the Asia session, slipping below the 161.68 lower high to print a session low at 161.564 before stabilising near 161.61 on very thin liquidity. Price sits under EMA20/50 with RSI(14) in the mid-30s; the wide US-Japan yield gap keeps the pair pinned just under the 162 intervention zone.
Support: 161.564, 161.50
Resistance: 161.68
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.68 breaks the lower-high chain
Loss of 161.564 confirms continuation toward 161.50
162 intervention zone live — official action could force a sharp snapback
UoM inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could shift the read
USDJPY is grinding lower in early Tokyo hours, sliding from 161.95 to print a session low at 161.564 before stabilising near 161.61. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) around 38 — soft but not oversold — as the pair drifts within the 162-intervention shadow flagged on the JPY side.
Support: 161.564, 161.50
Resistance: 161.654
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 161.654 would stall the lower-high chain
162.00 intervention zone keeps upside capped if price rebounds
05:31 UTC
Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 37 · price 161.62
Lower highs into session lows.
Asian session drifted lower as the USD's six-day rally stalled following in-line PCE; USDJPY broke the 161.72 swing and is pinned to the 161.56 session low. RSI(14) near 37, price below EMA20/50 with no rebound yet.
Support: 161.56, 161.50
Resistance: 161.72, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.56 confirms a lower-low and extends the breakdown toward 161.50
Reclaim of 161.72 swing high negates the downside read
162.00 intervention zone above; any MoF/BoJ jawboning could trigger a sharp snapback
USDJPY drifted lower through the Asian session, breaking the 161.74-161.85 range that held for hours and sweeping the 161.56 session low before a shallow bounce to 161.62. RSI(14) cooling near 38, price trading below EMA20/50. Spot remains pinned just under the 162.00 intervention zone flagged by the desk.
Support: 161.56, 161.50
Resistance: 161.74, 161.85, 162.00
What it said to watch
Close back above 161.74 negates the range break
Loss of 161.56 confirms continuation toward 161.50
162.00 intervention zone — area to watch for official-action snapback
US Michigan sentiment / inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could shift this read
USDJPY broke below the 161.74-161.84 range that held through Asia, printing a fresh session low at 161.564 with USD easing as Treasury yields slipped. RSI(14) near 37, price pinned under EMA20/50 with the 161.85 swing high now overhead.
Support: 161.564, 161.50
Resistance: 161.74, 161.846
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 161.74 would neutralise the range break
Failure to hold 161.564 confirms continuation lower toward 161.50
162.00 intervention zone caps any upside snapback
Michigan sentiment + Fed speakers 14:00-15:30 UTC could shift the read
USD/JPY grinding lower through the Asian session, printing a fresh session low at 161.56 before a shallow bounce to 161.62. Lower highs intact since the 161.84 area, RSI(14) near 38, ATR ~5 pips. Pressure follows soft-PCE USD profit-taking and hot Tokyo CPI feeding BoJ-normalisation bets.
Support: 161.564, 161.50
Resistance: 161.68, 161.74, 161.84
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 161.74 negates the lower-high sequence
Break below 161.56 extends the decline toward 161.50
Intervention risk near 162.00 caps any rebound
05:01 UTC
Downtrend, momentum building · RSI 37 · price 161.624
Lower highs / lower lows after range break.
USD/JPY rolled over late-session, breaking the 161.75 range floor and pressing toward the 161.56 swing low before steadying at 161.62. USD eased after in-line PCE while hotter Tokyo CPI underpins the yen, with RSI(14) sub-40 but not yet oversold. Sequence of lower highs intact below the broken floor.
Support: 161.564, 161.557
Resistance: 161.75, 162.00
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 161.75 range floor invalidates the breakdown read
Failure to hold 161.56 swing low confirms a fresh lower low
162.00 intervention zone overhead caps upside if price reverses
04:46 UTC
Downtrend, momentum building lower · RSI 33 · price 161.624
Lower highs, lower lows into session lows.
USDJPY ground lower through the Asia session, breaking the prior intraday range and printing fresh lows at 161.564 with RSI(14) near 33. The leg down tracks the softer USD after in-line PCE and a firmer yen on the hotter Tokyo CPI print; supply has capped each bounce around 161.74.
Support: 161.564, 161.50
Resistance: 161.742
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 161.742 invalidates the lower-low read
162.00 intervention zone overhead — area to watch into Tokyo flows
Little support seen before 160 if 161.564 gives way
04:46 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 34 · price 161.599
Lower highs, lower lows into session low.
Asia session leg lower in USDJPY, breaking through 161.74 and printing fresh session lows at 161.564 after hotter Tokyo CPI firmed the yen. RSI(14) sub-35 but not yet extreme; price chained lower highs and lower lows over the last few hours.
Support: 161.564, 161.50
Resistance: 161.74
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 161.74 invalidates the breakdown read
Failure to hold 161.564 opens the path toward 161.50
Intervention chatter remains a tail risk despite distance from 162
04:31 UTC
Downtrend, making lower lows · RSI 32 · price 161.599
Lower highs and lower lows into Tokyo session.
USDJPY rolled over through the Tokyo session, breaking below the 161.74 prior range and printing fresh session lows at 161.564 as hotter Tokyo CPI kept JPY firm. RSI(14) near 31 reflects a stretched intraday slide; price sits pinned below EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 161.564, 161.50
Resistance: 161.74, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.55 extends the lower-low sequence toward 161.50
Reclaim of 161.74 prior range neutralises the downside read
162.00 intervention zone remains the overhead cap if price reverses
04:31 UTC
Downtrend, easing off highs · RSI 36 · price 161.64
Lower highs into Asian session, probing session lows.
USDJPY drifting lower through the Asian session, sliding from 161.841 toward fresh session lows near 161.59 as the pair eases off the 162.00 intervention zone after hot Tokyo CPI. Price sits below both EMAs with RSI(14) near 36, no sign of demand stepping in yet.
Support: 161.594, 161.557, 161.50
Resistance: 161.841, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 161.841 invalidates the lower-high sequence
Loss of 161.557 confirms continuation lower toward 161.50
162.00 remains the flagged intervention zone capping any recovery
04:16 UTC
Downtrend, momentum building lower · RSI 38 · price 161.64
Lower highs, breaking session lows.
USDJPY rolled out of the 161.77-161.85 range and pressed the session low at 161.594 as the dollar faded into Asia hours, RSI(14) near 37. Lower highs since 161.846 with sellers stepping in on each bounce; the 162.00 intervention zone caps the upside above.
Support: 161.594, 161.557, 161.50
Resistance: 161.80, 161.846, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.557 confirms a fresh lower-low and opens 161.50
Reclaim of 161.80 invalidates the breakdown read
Any MoF/BoJ intervention headline could spike a sharp JPY squeeze
04:16 UTC
Downtrend, drifting off highs · RSI 37 · price 161.666
Lower highs, breaking micro range low.
USDJPY eased off the 161.84 session high through late Asia and cracked the 161.72 micro range to print 161.62, with RSI(14) cooling toward 37 — the pair has held below the 162 intervention zone all window. Overnight hot Tokyo CPI added a mild yen bid; current bar sits at 161.666 with no demand yet confirmed under 161.62.
Support: 161.557, 161.62
Resistance: 161.84, 161.79
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.557 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 161.84 invalidates the drift lower
162.00 above remains flagged intervention zone
04:01 UTC
Drifting lower, momentum building down · RSI 38 · price 161.666
Lower highs, lower lows into session low.
USDJPY broke below the 161.80 range floor during thin Asian-session hours and is grinding toward the session low at 161.62, RSI sub-40 with price under EMA20/50. Sellers have capped each bounce since the 161.846 high; little structure beneath until 161.557.
Support: 161.62, 161.557, 161.50
Resistance: 161.80, 161.846
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 161.80 invalidates the breakdown read
Break below 161.557 confirms a fresh lower low toward 161.50
Michigan sentiment / UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC a USD catalyst
USDJPY held a 161.55–161.95 range through the Asian session, with supply capping at 161.84 on the last push. Price has since rolled over toward the session low at 161.557, RSI(14) near 37 as the dollar eases off recent tops on profit-taking.
Support: 161.557
Resistance: 161.841, 161.946
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.557 confirms a lower-low and breaks the range base
Reclaim of 161.841 puts the 161.94 session high back in play
162.00 remains the flagged intervention zone above
03:46 UTC
Drifting lower, momentum down · RSI 38 · price 161.652
Lower highs, testing session low.
USDJPY slid through the Asian session from the 161.84 supply shelf back toward the session low at 161.557, with RSI(14) near 38 and price below both EMAs. The thin late-Asia drift shows sellers leaning on lower highs after the 161.946 reject; demand around 161.55 has yet to be retested on this leg.
Support: 161.557
Resistance: 161.846, 161.946, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.557 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 161.846 invalidates the lower-high structure
162.00 remains the flagged intervention zone overhead
03:46 UTC
Ranging, drifting lower · RSI 43 · price 161.726
Intraday range, lower highs forming.
USDJPY has held a 161.55–161.95 range through London and NY, with a spike to 161.946 swept and reversed back down. Asia is quiet on thin volume, drifting off the 161.846 rejection toward 161.70 with RSI mid-range; price sits below EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 161.70, 161.557
Resistance: 161.846, 161.946, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.846 reopens 161.946 and the 162.00 intervention zone
Loss of 161.70 exposes the 161.557 swing low
162.00 break carries elevated MoF/BoJ intervention risk in thin liquidity
Asia session drifting lower from 161.84 after the earlier NY recovery off the 161.557 spike low; price now back at 161.73 with RSI cooling toward 40. The 161.84 recent high capped, and 162.00 intervention zone remains the ceiling overhead.
Support: 161.70, 161.65, 161.557
Resistance: 161.84, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.70 round number opens 161.557 spike low
Reclaim of 161.84 recent high re-engages the upper range toward 162.00 intervention zone
Any MoF/BoJ intervention headline near 162.00 could gap this read
03:31 UTC
Ranging after NY pullback · RSI 43 · price 161.743
Rejected 161.94, recovered into 161.70-161.84 range.
USD/JPY rejected the 161.94 session high during NY hours and slid to 161.557 as the dollar faded on US-data profit-taking. Price has since recovered into a 161.70-161.84 range through Asia and is now drifting back toward the range floor with RSI(14) mid-40s.
Support: 161.70, 161.557, 161.50
Resistance: 161.84, 161.94, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.70 opens the path back to 161.557
Close above 161.84 puts 161.94 session high back in play
162.00 remains the flagged intervention zone overhead
03:16 UTC
Range, mild drift lower · RSI 43 · price 161.743
Consolidating below session high after recovery off 161.55.
Asia session is grinding sideways below the 161.846 session high after a recovery off the 161.557 NY low; price has slipped back to the 50% retrace near 161.70 with RSI(14) cooling to the low 40s. No setup in play — pair hugging the 161.70–161.85 range under the 162 intervention zone.
Support: 161.70, 161.557
Resistance: 161.846, 161.946, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.70 reopens the 161.557 swing low
Reclaim of 161.846 puts the 161.946 prior high and 162.00 psych level in focus
162.00 remains a flagged intervention trigger — area to monitor for sharp reversal
03:16 UTC
Ranging after recovery off session low · RSI 44 · price 161.762
Range-bound, 161.70–161.84 since London-NY drop.
USDJPY is ranging 161.70–161.84 after sweeping a low of 161.557 during the prior session and recovering into the 50% retracement around 161.75. Price has drifted off the 161.84 range top into the Asia session, now sitting just below EMA20 with RSI(14) flat near 44.
Support: 161.706, 161.557
Resistance: 161.84, 161.946, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.84 reopens the path toward the 161.946 swing high
Loss of 161.70 fib 38.2 puts the 161.557 session low back in play
162.00 intervention zone overhead — area to watch for rejection
03:01 UTC
Range, drifting off highs · RSI 42 · price 161.762
Consolidation under 161.85 after sweep of 161.55.
USDJPY is consolidating in the 161.75–161.85 band through the Asia session after London hours swept the lows to 161.557 and recovered; the pair stays pinned just under the 162 intervention zone. Last few bars drifted off the 161.846 session high back toward range support, RSI(14) cooling near 41.
Support: 161.752, 161.557
Resistance: 161.846, 161.946, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.846 reopens the path to the 161.946 swing high and 162.00
Loss of 161.752 range low exposes 161.557 again
Headlines near 162.00 intervention zone could spike thin-liquidity moves
03:01 UTC
Ranging, no clear momentum · RSI 49 · price 161.794
Consolidation after recovery off 161.557 low.
Quiet Asia session grinding in a 161.75–161.85 range after the London-NY dip swept 161.557 and recovered, with price stalling around the 61.8% retrace near 161.79. RSI(14) neutral near 49 and ATR compressed to ~5 pips — no setup in play.
Support: 161.751, 161.557
Resistance: 161.846, 161.946, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.846 reopens the path toward 161.946
Failure to hold 161.751 confirms a lower-low back toward 161.557
162.00 intervention zone overhead — area to watch for rejection on any extension
02:46 UTC
Ranging, neutral · RSI 53 · price 161.794
Asian range developing above NY sweep low.
NY session swept down to 161.557 around the US data batch then reclaimed most of the move; Asia is now ranging tightly between the 161.755 session low and 161.841 session high. RSI(14) neutral near 53, ATR compressed to ~4 pips with price drifting just under EMA20.
Support: 161.755, 161.70, 161.557
Resistance: 161.841, 161.946, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.841 puts the 161.946 prior high back in play
Failure to hold 161.755 reopens the 161.700 swing low
162.00 psych remains a flagged intervention zone overhead
02:46 UTC
Ranging, momentum flat · RSI 52 · price 161.802
Consolidation after volatile drop.
USDJPY is coiling in a tight 161.75–161.85 band during thin Asia hours after London/NY volatility, with the dollar a touch softer post-PCE. The 161.557 spike low earlier swept stops before buyers reclaimed; range top at 161.846 still caps.
Support: 161.75, 161.70, 161.557
Resistance: 161.846, 161.946, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.846 reopens 161.946 and the 162.00 intervention zone
Failure to hold 161.75 exposes 161.70 and the 161.557 session low
MoF/BoJ intervention headlines near 162.00 could spike liquidity sharply
02:31 UTC
Rangebound, recovered off lows · RSI 54 · price 161.802
Consolidation inside 161.75-161.84 after NY dip.
USDJPY is consolidating 161.75-161.84 in early Asia after the NY session sold off to 161.557 and recovered, the dip following an in-line US PCE print. Price has retraced roughly two-thirds of that down move; the 162.00 intervention zone sits overhead with hot Tokyo CPI keeping squeeze risk live.
Support: 161.75, 161.70, 161.557
Resistance: 161.84, 161.90, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.90 opens the path to the 162.00 intervention zone
Failure to hold 161.75 reopens the 161.557 ny low
Intervention headline risk near 162.00 in thin Asia liquidity
02:31 UTC
Ranging, momentum flat · RSI 50 · price 161.795
Consolidation inside prior-day range.
USDJPY is grinding sideways in early Asia hours between 161.75 and 161.84 after the NY-session flush to 161.557 and subsequent recovery, with RSI(14) flat near 50. Price stalled just under 161.84 and is drifting back toward the EMA20, holding well short of the 162.00 intervention zone.
Support: 161.75, 161.70, 161.557
Resistance: 161.84, 161.946, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.84 reopens the path to the 161.946 prior high
Loss of 161.75 confirms a lower-low back toward the 161.70 swing low
162.00 remains the stated intervention zone — area to watch for rejection
02:16 UTC
Ranging, momentum flat · RSI 49 · price 161.795
Asian range below 161.85 cap.
Thin Asian session ranging 161.75-161.85, RSI(14) flat near 49 with the current bar pinned at 161.80. The NY session earlier swept down to 161.557 before buyers reclaimed; price has since coiled under the 161.85 cap and the 162.00 intervention zone still overhangs above.
Support: 161.75, 161.56
Resistance: 161.85, 161.95, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.85 reopens the path to 161.95 / 162.00
Loss of 161.75 exposes the 161.56 sweep low
162.00 remains the stated intervention zone — area to watch for rejection
Ranging in upper half after rebound off session low.
Pair sold from the 161.95 swing into a 161.557 session low, then recovered through the Asian session to grind in a tight 161.76–161.85 band. RSI(14) neutral near 53, ATR compressed under 5 pips, with the 162.00 intervention zone capping overhead after hot Tokyo CPI firmed the BoJ story.
Support: 161.75, 161.557, 161.70
Resistance: 161.846, 161.946, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.846 reopens the 161.95 / 162.00 zone
Loss of 161.75 exposes the 161.557 session low
162.00 intervention zone — area to watch for rejection
Thin Asian session grinding sideways between 161.76 and 161.84 after recovering from the 161.557 day low. RSI(14) neutral near 56, ATR compressed to a few pips; no setup in play with price pinned just under the session high.
Support: 161.76, 161.557
Resistance: 161.841, 161.946
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.84 reopens the path toward the 161.95 prior high
Loss of the 161.76 range floor exposes the 161.56 day low
162.00 intervention zone flagged in context; thin Asian liquidity amplifies snapback risk
Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
Asian session grinding back toward the 161.90 area after London/NY swept the session low at 161.557 and reversed. Price is pinned in the upper half of the 24h range on thin volume, RSI(14) mid-50s; the 162.00 intervention zone caps overhead.
Support: 161.76, 161.677, 161.557
Resistance: 161.90, 161.946, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.946 opens the path to the 162.00 intervention zone
Failure to hold 161.760 reopens 161.557 session low
US Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
Asian session grinding back toward the session high at 161.84 after the London-NY transition swept 161.557 and reversed. Volume thin, RSI(14) mid-range near 60; price holding a chain of higher lows but capped under 161.94.
Support: 161.75, 161.70, 161.557
Resistance: 161.84, 161.94, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.94 opens the path to the 162.00 intervention zone
Failure to hold 161.75 reopens the 161.557 sweep low
Intervention risk flagged near 162.00 — area to monitor
01:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 61 · price 161.838
Recovering toward session high, higher lows.
Asia session is grinding USDJPY back up toward the 161.94 session high after the London-NY dip swept 161.55. Price holds above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 61; the 162.00 intervention zone flagged overhead caps the recovery.
Support: 161.75, 161.70
Resistance: 161.946, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.95 opens the 162.00 intervention zone
MoF/BoJ intervention risk into 162.00 in thin Asia liquidity
Failure to hold 161.75 reopens 161.55 session low
01:31 UTC
Mild uptrend, Asia grind · RSI 58 · price 161.838
Consolidation tilting higher under 162.
Thin Asia session grinding higher off the 161.75 base toward the 161.84 session high, with RSI mid-range and ATR compressed near 6 pips. Tokyo CPI's hot print keeps a yen-support backdrop, but price is creeping toward the 162.00 intervention zone the market is wary of.
Support: 161.75, 161.70
Resistance: 161.84, 161.946, 162.00
What it said to watch
Close above 161.946 opens the path to the 162.00 intervention zone
Loss of 161.75 ends the Asian grind higher
Michigan sentiment 14:00 UTC could shift this read
Consolidation near session highs, higher lows intact.
Quiet Asia session grind; USD/JPY is consolidating in a 161.74–161.85 band after recovering off the 161.557 NY low, hot Tokyo CPI keeping the yen on edge near 40-year lows. Price holds above EMA20/50 with RSI mid-range — no extension, just basing under the session high.
Support: 161.74, 161.70, 161.557
Resistance: 161.85, 161.946, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.85 opens 161.946 then the 162.00 psych line
162.00 area carries flagged intervention risk in thin liquidity
Failure to hold 161.74 reopens 161.70 and the 161.557 session low
USD/JPY is grinding in a tight 161.75-161.84 band through the Asia session, pinned just below the 162.00 intervention zone after the prior London-NY dip into 161.557. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 57 with ATR compressed to ~5 pips; no impulse in play.
Support: 161.75, 161.70, 161.557
Resistance: 161.90, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.90 opens the 162.00 intervention zone
Failure to hold 161.75 exposes 161.70 then the 161.557 london low
Intervention headlines near 162.00 are the standing wildcard
USDJPY swept the London low at 161.557 then ground steadily back to 161.83 through quiet Asia hours, RSI(14) mid-range near 58. Price sits below the 161.90 session high with the 162.00 intervention zone capping above; ATR thin at ~5 pips reflects light Asian liquidity.
Support: 161.65, 161.557
Resistance: 161.90, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.90 opens the path to the 162.00 intervention zone
Failure to hold 161.65 pivot reopens the london low at 161.557
Intervention headlines near 162.00 are the standing wildcard
USD/JPY grinds in a tight 161.77-161.83 Asian-session range after recovering from the 161.55 dip, with thin holiday-style volume. Price holds just under the 161.95 session high; the 162.00 40-year-high intervention zone caps overhead.
Support: 161.75
Resistance: 161.946, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.95 opens the 162.00 intervention zone
Break below 161.75 re-exposes the 161.55 session low
MoF/BoJ intervention headlines near 162.00 are the standing wildcard
USDJPY ground back to 161.83 through the Asia session after NY dipped to 161.557 on softer Fed-hike conviction post-PCE. Price is coiling in a tight 161.75–161.83 band with rising lows, holding just under the 161.90 session high and the 162.00 intervention zone.
Support: 161.75, 161.557
Resistance: 161.90, 161.946, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.90 reopens the path to the 162.00 intervention zone
Loss of 161.75 asia low breaks the rising-low chain back toward 161.557
162.00 intervention-risk zone overhead keeps upside thin
00:46 UTC
Ranging, drifting higher · RSI 54 · price 161.802
Range under 162.00, Asian session balance.
USDJPY is grinding sideways in thin Asian-session liquidity between 161.55 and 161.95, holding just below the 162.00 40-year high and intervention-risk zone. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 54 after the prior London-NY pullback to 161.557 was bought back; price now ticks along EMA20.
Support: 161.70, 161.557
Resistance: 161.946, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.95 puts 162.00 intervention zone in play
Loss of 161.70 reopens the 161.557 session low
UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could break the range
00:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum flat · RSI 58 · price 161.822
Consolidating below session high after retrace.
USDJPY has crept back to 161.82 in thin Asian hours, recovering roughly two-thirds of the London-NY drop from 161.95 to 161.557. Price is now coiling in a tight 161.75–161.82 band just under the 40-year-high zone, RSI neutral near 58.
Support: 161.75, 161.70, 161.557
Resistance: 161.90, 161.946, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.95 reopens the 162.00 intervention zone
Loss of 161.75 exposes 161.557 window low
162.00 intervention-risk zone can trigger sharp two-way moves
Asia session grinding back toward 161.82 after the mid-window flush to 161.557, now coiling in a tight 161.75–161.82 band below the 162.00 intervention zone. RSI mid-range and ATR near 6 pips — slow, low-volume drift higher with the dollar firm post-PCE.
Support: 161.751, 161.70, 161.557
Resistance: 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.00 enters flagged intervention zone, 40-yr high
Failure to hold 161.75 reopens the 161.557 range low
UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift the dollar leg
00:31 UTC
Range, drifting higher into Asia · RSI 55 · price 161.801
Consolidation after NY dip recovered.
USDJPY is grinding in a tight 161.75-161.82 band through thin late-Asia hours after recovering from the NY dip to 161.55. RSI(14) sits neutral near 55 and price holds above EMA20/50, but the 162.00 intervention zone caps overhead.
Support: 161.66, 161.55
Resistance: 161.90, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.95 opens the path to the 162.00 intervention zone
Loss of 161.66 reopens the NY low at 161.55
UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift the dollar leg
Asian session grinding in a tight range near 161.80 after the earlier push to the 161.90 session high flushed to the 161.55 swing low and recovered. RSI(14) neutral mid-50s with price holding above the 161.76 range floor; the 162.00 psych/intervention zone caps overhead.
Support: 161.76, 161.55
Resistance: 161.90, 162.00
What it said to watch
Close above 161.90 opens path to the 162.00 psych zone
Failure to hold 161.55 swing low confirms a lower low
UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift USD
00:16 UTC
Ranging, momentum flat · RSI 54 · price 161.793
Consolidation after pullback from session high.
Thin Asia session grinding sideways between 161.70 and 161.81 after the pullback from the 161.94 session high earlier in London-NY hours. RSI(14) neutral near 54; price hugging 161.80 with the 162.00 intervention zone the obvious cap overhead.
Support: 161.70
Resistance: 161.81, 161.946, 162.00
What it said to watch
Break above 161.81 reopens the 161.94 session high and the 162.00 intervention zone
Failure to hold 161.70 reopens the 161.55 swing low
USD/JPY into 162 carries flagged MoF/BoJ intervention risk in thin liquidity
USDJPY is grinding sideways in a tight 161.75-161.82 Asian range after London-NY chopped between the 161.95 swing high and a 161.557 sweep low. Tokyo CPI (in line at 1.6%) printed near the last bars without dislodging price; thin liquidity keeps ranges compressed.
Support: 161.75, 161.66, 161.557
Resistance: 161.82, 161.95, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.82 reopens the path to the 161.95 swing high
Break above 161.95 puts the 162.00 intervention zone in focus
Loss of 161.75 exposes the 161.66 swing low
Intervention headline near 162.00 risks a sharp JPY snap-back in thin liquidity
00:01 UTC
Ranging, low momentum · RSI 54 · price 161.793
Consolidation mid-range after intraday dip and recovery.
USDJPY is grinding sideways near 161.79 in thin Asia-hours liquidity after a London-NY dip swept 161.55 and recovered. Tokyo CPI (f/c 1.6%) landed inside the window without a decisive break; price holds the 161.66–161.90 range with RSI flat near 54.
Support: 161.66, 161.55
Resistance: 161.90, 161.95, 162.00
What it said to watch
Close above 161.90 puts the 162.00 intervention zone in play
Loss of 161.55 session low confirms a lower-low
162.00 remains the flagged intervention trigger — area to watch for sharp rejection