USD/JPY AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Tuesday, 28 July 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/JPY 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:46 UTC
Recovered off lows, flat · RSI 56 · price 163.864
Consolidation near range top after NY dip reclaimed.
USDJPY drifted lower into the NY session to 163.64 before fully reclaiming the move; price now consolidates 163.80–163.88 through a thin Asia session with volume drying up. RSI(14) neutral near 56, no momentum extreme in play.
Support: 163.80, 163.64
Resistance: 163.88, 163.94
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.94 session high extends the recovery
Loss of 163.80 range floor reopens the 163.64 session low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session dumped ~22 pips to a session low at 163.64, which has since been fully recovered through thin Asia hours back to 163.86. Price is capped at the range top near 163.88, RSI hovering mid-range; volume is drying up ahead of the Fed.
Support: 163.74, 163.64
Resistance: 163.88, 163.94
What it said to watch
FOMC decision Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 163.94 reclaims the swing high
Loss of 163.74 recent pivot reopens the 163.64 session low
23:31 UTC
Range, drifting to top · RSI 57 · price 163.861
Range-bound after NY dip and recovery.
USDJPY sold off from 163.95 to 163.65 during NY hours before fully recovering into the thin Asian session, now pinned near 163.86 on collapsing volume. Ranging 163.65–163.95 with the 164.00 handle untested; no setup in play ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.
Support: 163.79, 163.647
Resistance: 163.95, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.95 opens the path to the 164.00 psych handle
Loss of 163.79 asian low reopens the 163.647 session low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst for this read
Consolidating near session highs after dip recovery.
USDJPY dipped to 163.64 during the NY session then clawed back to consolidate near 163.86, capped short of the 164.00 handle. Volumes have thinned into late hours and RSI(14) sits mid-range around 60 with no fresh push. Price is pinned below the 40-yr-high 164.00 zone ahead of Wednesday's Fed.
Support: 163.74, 163.64
Resistance: 163.94, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.94 opens a path toward the 164.00 handle
Loss of 163.74 reopens the 163.64 session low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Consolidating sub-164.00 after reclaiming the dip.
USD/JPY sold off to the session low at 163.64 mid-window then fully retraced, now grinding sideways just under the 164.00 handle in thin late-Asia trade. RSI(14) around 62, no extreme; range top at the 163.94 session high still capping.
Support: 163.80, 163.64
Resistance: 163.94, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 164.00 opens the path toward the 40-yr high near 165.00
Loss of 163.80 reopens the 163.64 session low
Fed decision Wed is the primary catalyst and could reset this read
USD/JPY sold off to 163.64 during the London-NY session then recovered to 163.86, now drifting in a tight low-volume Asian range below the 164.00 handle. RSI neutral near 56; no directional setup in play into the Fed.
Support: 163.75, 163.64
Resistance: 163.95, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.95 reopens the 164.00 handle
Failure to hold 163.75 exposes the 163.64 session low
FOMC decision Wed 18:00 UTC is the key USD catalyst for this pair
23:01 UTC
Sideways, range-bound · RSI 56 · price 163.848
Range with swept low reclaimed.
USDJPY is ranging 163.64–163.95 with thin Asia-session volume. A dip through 163.65 was reclaimed and price has ground back toward the session high; the 164.00 handle remains untested and repeatedly capped this week. RSI(14) mid-range at 56, no momentum extreme in play.
Support: 163.643
Resistance: 163.947, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.95 opens a test of the 164 handle
Loss of the 163.64 sweep low reopens downside
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the key catalyst that can break this range
USDJPY holding a tight 163.65–163.94 range through the Asia session on thin volume, price grinding back to 163.85 after the earlier dip to 163.65. RSI(14) mid-range near 56; 164.00 handle untested and capping the topside into the Fed decision.
Support: 163.65
Resistance: 163.94, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.94 opens the path to the 164.00 handle
Loss of 163.65 confirms a lower low and breaks the range
Reclaimed range after NY dip, capped below 164.00.
NY session sold off to 163.64 mid-afternoon, then buyers stepped in twice around 163.65 to form a base and grind price back to 163.85. Now stalling below the 163.94 session high on thin late-session volume, 164.00 still untested.
Support: 163.75, 163.64
Resistance: 163.94, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.94 clears the session high toward 164.00
Failure to hold 163.75 reopens the 163.64 session low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant USD catalyst and can override this read
22:46 UTC
Recovered from dip, ranging · RSI 54 · price 163.849
Range below session high, higher lows post-dip.
A sharp NY-session flush swept down to 163.647 before buyers reclaimed the move, price now ranging near 163.85 below the 163.94 session high. The 164.00 handle remains the ceiling into Wednesday's Fed, with higher lows building since the dip.
Support: 163.75, 163.647
Resistance: 163.947, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.947 opens the path to the 164.00 handle
Loss of 163.647 confirms a lower-low and reopens downside
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can void this range read
22:32 UTC
Range, recovering off lows · RSI 54 · price 163.849
Rebounded from session low, back near session highs.
USDJPY sold off to 163.647 during NY hours, then climbed steadily back toward 163.90 and is now ranging 163.65–163.95 in thin late-session trade, RSI(14) neutral near 54. The 164.00 handle above remains the untested near-term cap flagged in the JPY read.
Support: 163.79, 163.647
Resistance: 163.947, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.95 opens the 164.00 handle
Failure to hold 163.79 reopens 163.647 session low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst this week
22:31 UTC
Range, recovering off lows · RSI 56 · price 163.849
Rebound off double bottom, mid-range.
USDJPY sold off to a double bottom at 163.65 mid-window then recovered through thin Asia hours back to 163.85, now stalling in a tight range. Session high at 163.94 caps, with the 164.00 handle the repeatedly-rejected level above.
Support: 163.79, 163.65
Resistance: 163.94, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.94 opens the path to the 164.00 handle
Failure to hold 163.79 reopens the 163.65 double bottom
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst for this pair
Consolidation below 164.00 after NY selloff and rebound.
USD/JPY sold off from the 163.95 session high to 163.647 during NY hours, then recovered to 163.84 into the close. Now consolidating sub-164.00 on thin late-session volume ahead of Wednesday's Fed.
Support: 163.72, 163.647
Resistance: 163.88, 163.947, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 164.00 opens the path toward the 163.95 session high extension
Failure to hold 163.72 reopens the 163.647 session low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this range
NY session swept the lows to 163.64 before a full reclaim back into the 163.84 zone; price now consolidating in thin Asia trade below the 163.885 recent high. Move stalls short of the 164.00 handle repeatedly flagged as the intervention-risk area.
Support: 163.75, 163.64
Resistance: 163.885, 163.947, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.885 opens 163.947 then the 164.00 handle
Failure to hold 163.75 reopens the 163.64 session low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst for this pair
22:02 UTC
Recovery off NY lows, now flat · RSI 53 · price 163.825
Consolidating below session high after V-recovery.
USDJPY was swept sharply lower to 163.64 during NY hours before buyers reclaimed the move back to 163.88; price now consolidates 163.79–163.86 in thin Asia trade with RSI(14) neutral near 53. The 164.00 handle stays untested and the recovery has stalled short of the 163.947 prior high.
Support: 163.79, 163.75, 163.643
Resistance: 163.885, 163.947, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.947 opens the 164.00 handle
Loss of 163.75 reverts price toward the 163.64 swing low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this pair
22:01 UTC
Ranging, no clear intraday direction · RSI 51 · price 163.825
Consolidation after low sweep and recovery.
USDJPY swept the session low to 163.654 during the NY session before buyers reclaimed 163.80, and the pair now drifts in a tight 163.75-163.885 range on thin Asian-hours volume. RSI(14) is neutral near 51; the 164.00 handle above remains the repeatedly-rejected cap while Fed risk keeps flows sidelined.
Support: 163.75, 163.654
Resistance: 163.885, 164.00
What it said to watch
Close below 163.654 confirms a fresh lower-low and reopens 163.50
Reclaim of 163.885 puts the 164.00 psych level back in play
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and will override this intraday read
21:46 UTC
Sideways, mild pullback · RSI 48 · price 163.789
Range-bound between 163.65 and 163.89.
USDJPY is holding a tight 163.65–163.89 range, pinned below the 164.00 handle as traders sideline ahead of the Fed. Current bar sits mid-range at 163.789 after a rejection at the 163.885 session high; RSI(14) neutral near 47 and thinning late-session volume.
Support: 163.75, 163.647
Resistance: 163.885, 163.94
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.885 opens the path back to 163.94 and the 164.00 handle
Failure to hold 163.647 confirms a lower-low out of the range
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this intraday read
21:46 UTC
Range, momentum stalling · RSI 46 · price 163.789
Recovery off session low, now fading.
NY session swept the 163.647 session low then recovered to 163.885 before fading back to 163.789 on thin late-session liquidity into the Fed. Price is ranging 163.65-163.95 with no clean structure; the 164.00 handle remains untested.
Support: 163.75, 163.647, 163.70
Resistance: 163.885, 163.947, 164.00
What it said to watch
FOMC statement Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and will override this intraday read
M15 close above 163.885 reopens the 164.00 handle
Loss of 163.75 puts the 163.647 session low back in play
21:31 UTC
Recovery stalling, pulling back · RSI 46 · price 163.795
Recovered off session low, capped below 163.88.
NY session flushed to 163.65 on a sharp drop, then bought back up to 163.88 where supply capped the move. Late-session pullback has price at 163.795, back below EMA20 and inside the 163.65–163.94 range, holding above the 163.75 pivot flagged into Fed.
Support: 163.75, 163.65
Resistance: 163.88, 163.94
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.88 reopens the path toward the 163.94 session high
Loss of 163.65 confirms a lower low and breaks the recovery
FOMC statement Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this range read
USDJPY recovered the mid-session flush to 163.647 and pressed the session high at 163.885 before rejecting back to 163.795 into thin late-session flow. Price coils just under EMA20 in a 163.75–163.94 range with RSI(14) neutral near 48; no directional setup in play ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.
Support: 163.75, 163.647
Resistance: 163.885, 163.942
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.885 exposes the 163.942 range high
Loss of 163.75 reopens the 163.647 swing low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this range read
21:16 UTC
Recovering, momentum easing into Asia · RSI 57 · price 163.832
V-recovery off NY low, grinding under 163.885.
NY session flushed to a 163.65 session low before a steady V-recovery lifted price back toward the 163.885 recent high, now consolidating in thin late-session/Asia flow above EMA20. RSI(14) mid-range at ~57, no extreme; the 163.75 swing low held on the pullback.
Support: 163.75, 163.65
Resistance: 163.885, 163.94
What it said to watch
Close above 163.885 opens the path back to the 163.94 session high
Loss of 163.75 swing low re-exposes the 163.65 session low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant upcoming risk for this pair
V-recovery into session-high area, coiling below 163.88.
NY session flushed to 163.647 then recovered sharply back to the session-high area at 163.88; price now consolidating around 163.83 into the Asia open. RSI(14) mid-range near 57, no extreme, with USDJPY holding well below the ~165 intervention zone ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.
Support: 163.75, 163.65
Resistance: 163.88, 163.94
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.88 opens the path to the 163.94 session high
Failure to hold 163.75 swing low exposes the 163.65 session low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session flushed to 163.647 then reversed, building a chain of higher lows back toward the 163.885 session high; RSI(14) mid-range near 60, ATR a thin ~4 pips. Price sidelined into Wednesday's FOMC with USD firm near YTD highs.
Support: 163.77, 163.647
Resistance: 163.885, 163.947
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.885 opens the path to 163.947
Failure to hold rising support / 163.77 negates the recovery read
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session swept the 163.65 low then reversed, printing a chain of higher lows back into the 163.88 recovery high, RSI(14) mid-range near 60. Grind is orderly but tight ahead of Wednesday's FOMC, with USD/JPY consolidating in the 163.75-163.90 band traders have parked in.
Support: 163.74, 163.65
Resistance: 163.88, 163.94
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.88 opens the path to 163.94 prior high
Loss of 163.74 session low reopens the 163.65 swept low
Higher lows off session low, consolidating below 163.885.
USDJPY swept the session low at 163.647 during the NY session then recovered ~21 pips, now consolidating in a 163.83–163.885 pocket. Price holds above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range; pair pinned near multi-decade highs as traders sideline ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.
Support: 163.79, 163.647
Resistance: 163.885, 163.947
What it said to watch
Close above 163.885 opens the path back to the 163.947 session high
Loss of 163.79 rising support reopens the 163.647 session low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDJPY swept the session low at 163.647 during NY hours before buyers stepped back in, grinding a chain of higher lows to reclaim 163.86 and nearly fully retrace the drop. Price is stalling just under the 163.885 recent high with RSI(14) mid-60s; consolidation ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.
Support: 163.75, 163.647
Resistance: 163.885, 163.942
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.942 opens the path toward the ~164 handle
Failure to hold 163.75 reopens the session low at 163.647
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session sold off from 163.95 to 163.64, then recovered steadily on higher lows back to 163.86 into the close, RSI(14) mid-range near 61. Price now grinding against the 163.88 recent high with the session high at 163.95 still capping; broader USD/JPY parked below 165 as traders sideline ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.
Support: 163.74, 163.64
Resistance: 163.88, 163.95
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.95 extends the recovery toward the session high area
Failure to hold 163.74 reopens the 163.64 session low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially reshape this read
USDJPY swept the 163.647 low mid-session then ground back up in a chain of higher lows, now pressing the 163.876 session high with RSI in the low-60s. Price holds above EMA20/50, pinned near 40-yr highs as traders sit sidelined into Wednesday's FOMC.
Support: 163.802, 163.647
Resistance: 163.876, 163.947
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.876 opens the path to the 163.947 range high
Loss of 163.802 breaks the higher-low chain
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially reset this read
20:16 UTC
Recovery, grinding to session high · RSI 61 · price 163.846
Higher lows off session low, capped near 163.88.
USDJPY sold off through the NY session to 163.647, printed a double bottom near 163.64-163.65, then recovered steadily to grind against the session high at 163.877. Move sits on a chain of higher lows with RSI mid-range; price consolidating ahead of Wednesday's Fed.
Support: 163.772, 163.647
Resistance: 163.877, 163.942
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.877 session high opens the path to 163.942
Failure to hold 163.772 reopens the 163.647 session low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
20:16 UTC
Recovering off NY lows, momentum cooling · RSI 60 · price 163.846
V-shaped recovery, back near session mid.
NY session swept down to 163.65 before buyers stepped in, driving a steady grind back to 163.85 and reclaiming the EMA20/50. Price stalls just below the recent 163.88 high, still under the 163.95 session high, with volume thin into the close ahead of FOMC.
Support: 163.74, 163.647
Resistance: 163.877, 163.947
What it said to watch
Close above 163.88 opens the path to the 163.95 session high
Failure to hold 163.74 reopens the 163.65 ny low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
20:02 UTC
Micro uptrend, recovery leg · RSI 63 · price 163.862
Higher lows off session low, testing prior swing high.
USDJPY recovered off the 163.643 session low during NY hours and is grinding back toward the 163.882 swing high, RSI(14) mid-60s. Pair sidelined near multi-decade JPY lows ahead of Wednesday's Fed; rising support off the low holding.
Support: 163.75, 163.643
Resistance: 163.882, 163.947
What it said to watch
Close above 163.947 session high opens the path toward the ~165 area
Loss of the 163.75 pivot breaks the rising support off the low
FOMC Wed and BoJ Fri could materially shift this read
19:46 UTC
Recovering, momentum flattening near session high · RSI 58 · price 163.833
Higher lows since the 163.647 flush, stalling into resistance.
USDJPY flushed to 163.647 mid-NY before buyers stepped back in, grinding higher lows to reclaim 163.86. Price is now consolidating tight around 163.83 into the pre-FOMC lull, holding just under the session high.
Support: 163.75, 163.647
Resistance: 163.86, 163.94
What it said to watch
Loss of 163.75 puts the 163.647 swing low back in play
M15 close above 163.86 reopens 163.94 session high
FOMC decision Wed 18:00 UTC could override this intraday read
19:46 UTC
Recovery off session low, momentum easing near highs · RSI 58 · price 163.833
Double bottom at 163.65, retracing toward 163.86 supply.
USDJPY swept down to 163.65 mid-NY and printed a double bottom before grinding back to test the 163.86 area. Price consolidating just under that supply, RSI cooling toward neutral; the pair remains pinned in its 163.65–163.94 range ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.
Support: 163.74, 163.65
Resistance: 163.86, 163.94
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.86 opens the path back toward the 163.94 session high
Loss of 163.74 puts the 163.65 session low back in play
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant risk and can override this range read
19:31 UTC
Recovering after selloff, grinding up · RSI 60 · price 163.834
V-recovery off session low, capped below session high.
NY session flushed to a 163.643 session low mid-afternoon, sweeping stops, then ground steadily back to 163.83. Price now consolidating just under the 163.868 session high with RSI(14) recovered to the low-60s; the 163.947 prior high remains the near-term cap.
Support: 163.75, 163.643
Resistance: 163.868, 163.947
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.868 opens the path back to 163.947
Failure to hold 163.750 rising support reopens the 163.643 low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
19:31 UTC
Range, recovering after sweep · RSI 56 · price 163.834
Swept NY low, back toward mid-range.
NY session swept the 163.643 low then reclaimed ground, pushing back to 163.86 before easing to 163.83; RSI(14) mid-range near 56. Pair remains boxed between 163.65 and the 163.86–163.94 session highs with USD firm into tomorrow's FOMC.
Support: 163.75, 163.643
Resistance: 163.86, 163.947
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.86 reopens the 163.947 session high
Failure to hold 163.75 puts the 163.643 sweep low back in play
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher lows off session low, reclaiming prior range.
Late NY session swept the range low to 163.643 then recovered steadily, retracing most of the drop back to 163.85 as USD held near YTD highs into FOMC. Price sits just under the 163.868 session high with RSI in the low-60s; the recovery leg is intact via a chain of higher lows off 163.643.
Support: 163.775, 163.643
Resistance: 163.868, 163.942
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.868 opens the path to 163.942
Loss of 163.775 reopens the 163.643 session low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and BoJ Fri could materially shift this read
USDJPY swept the session low to 163.647 during NY hours then recovered a full leg back toward the 163.88 prior high, RSI(14) cooling in the low 60s. Price is holding a chain of higher lows off 163.65 with buyers stepping in on each dip; range top at the 163.88/163.95 session high still caps.
Support: 163.775, 163.647
Resistance: 163.882, 163.947
What it said to watch
Loss of the 163.775 higher low reopens the 163.647 session low
M15 close above 163.882 prior high exposes the 163.947 session high
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and BoJ Fri could materially shift this read
19:01 UTC
Recovering, retracing prior drop · RSI 63 · price 163.853
Higher lows off 163.65, mid-range.
NY session swept the 163.65 low mid-afternoon then reclaimed it, grinding back up through the 163.75 pivot toward the 163.88 prior high; RSI(14) mid-60s. Price is retracing the earlier drop from the 163.95 session high with buyers stepping in on each dip, but this is consolidation ahead of the event risk rather than a fresh leg.
Support: 163.75, 163.647
Resistance: 163.88, 163.947
What it said to watch
Close above 163.88 opens the path back to the 163.95 session high
Loss of 163.75 pivot re-exposes the 163.647 swing low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and BoJ Fri could materially shift this read
19:01 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 62 · price 163.853
Double bottom, retracing the NY drop.
NY session sold off from 163.94 to a 163.64 double-bottom low, then bid back to retest the session high near 163.86. RSI(14) around 62 as price grinds higher into late NY hours; USD/JPY consolidating below the 1986-high zone ahead of Fed and BoJ.
Support: 163.75, 163.645
Resistance: 163.865, 163.942
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.865 opens a retest of 163.94
Loss of 163.750 puts the 163.645 double bottom back in play
FOMC Wed and BoJ Fri could materially shift this read
NY session sold off to 163.647 near the 18:00 broker hour, then buyers stepped in and price ground higher-lows back to 163.831 — roughly a 60% retrace of the drop. USD/JPY is consolidating near multi-decade highs as traders sideline ahead of the FOMC and BoJ this week; RSI(14) mid-range around 61.
Support: 163.737, 163.647
Resistance: 163.882, 163.947
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.882 reopens the 163.947 session high
Failure to hold 163.737 reopens the 163.647 session low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
18:46 UTC
Recovering after NY dip · RSI 58 · price 163.831
Pullback off 163.947, higher lows building.
NY session swept the 163.65 area twice before buyers stepped in, price recovering ~18 pips to 163.83. Now consolidating below the 163.947 session high, roughly 61% back into the earlier drop with RSI(14) mid-range.
Support: 163.75, 163.647
Resistance: 163.86, 163.947
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 163.86 opens the path back to the 163.947 session high
Loss of 163.75 exposes the 163.647 session low again
FOMC ~23h out, BoJ Friday — both can override this intraday read
18:31 UTC
Recovering off session lows · RSI 61 · price 163.813
Double bottom near 163.65, higher lows since.
NY session dumped from 163.86 to 163.64 around midday, then carved a double bottom and recovered to 163.81 into the late NY hours. RSI(14) back near 61 after the rebound; price is consolidating just under the 163.86 session high as traders sideline ahead of tomorrow's FOMC.
Support: 163.647
Resistance: 163.86, 163.947
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.86 opens the path back toward 163.94
Loss of 163.647 negates the double bottom and confirms a lower low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC can materially reshape this read
18:31 UTC
Recovering after intraday selloff · RSI 55 · price 163.813
Higher lows off session low, mid-range.
USD/JPY sold off from the session high at 163.94 into 163.64 during NY hours, then recovered to 163.81 as traders squared into the Fed. RSI(14) mid-range near 55; rising support off the 163.64 low intact and price back above the short EMAs.
Support: 163.74, 163.647
Resistance: 163.865, 163.947
What it said to watch
Close below 163.74 breaks the rising support off 163.64
Reclaim of 163.94 session high needed to resume upside
FOMC decision Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session sold off sharply from 163.947 into a 163.643/163.647 double bottom, then bounced back to 163.814 before easing to 163.789. Price now ~48% back into the drop, holding above EMA20 but capped under the 163.814 recovery high; RSI(14) mid-range near 57.
Support: 163.647, 163.762, 163.70
Resistance: 163.814, 163.865, 163.947
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.814 opens the path back to 163.865 broken support
Failure to hold 163.647 session low confirms a lower low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant risk and can override this intraday read
18:16 UTC
Recovery leg after NY selloff · RSI 58 · price 163.789
Swept session low, retracing up.
Price topped at the 163.947 session high, then sold off sharply through NY hours into a 163.643 sweep before buyers stepped in. It has since recovered to 163.79, back above EMA20 with RSI(14) near 58; the 163.814 swing high caps the bounce.
Support: 163.70, 163.643
Resistance: 163.814, 163.882, 163.947
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.814 opens the path toward 163.882
Failure to hold 163.70 reopens the 163.643 session low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC (~24h out) could reset this intraday read
Sharp NY drop from session high, base building near 163.64.
NY session sold off from the 163.947 session high to 163.64, RSI cooling before basing. Buyers stepped in twice near 163.64 (double bottom) and price has recovered toward 163.80, roughly a 50% retrace of the drop.
Support: 163.643
Resistance: 163.86, 163.947
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 163.86 shelf would target the 163.947 session high
Loss of 163.643 confirms a fresh lower-low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
18:01 UTC
Recovering after session-low sweep · RSI 56 · price 163.801
Higher lows off 163.64, retracing the drop.
NY session sold off from 163.95 and swept the 163.64 session low, where buyers stepped in twice for a double bottom. Price has since ground back to 163.80, retracing about half the drop with RSI(14) back to neutral.
Support: 163.70, 163.643
Resistance: 163.865, 163.947
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.865 opens the path back to the 163.947 session high
Failure to hold 163.70 reopens the 163.64 session low
FOMC ~24h out could reset this intraday read
17:47 UTC
Recovering after sharp NY selloff · RSI 55 · price 163.787
Session high rejected, double bottom at 163.64, higher lows since.
USD/JPY pushed to a session high at 163.947 in early NY, then sold off sharply to 163.643 around 15:00 UTC. Buyers stepped in twice near 163.64 forming a double bottom; price has since recovered to 163.79 with RSI(14) back near neutral.
Support: 163.714, 163.643
Resistance: 163.865, 163.947
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.865 reopens the path to the session high at 163.947
Loss of 163.714 puts the 163.643 session low back in play
FOMC decision Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant upcoming risk for this read
17:46 UTC
Recovering after NY selloff · RSI 55 · price 163.787
Session low swept, bounce underway.
NY session dropped sharply from 163.88 and swept the session low at 163.65, where buyers stepped in twice to form a double bottom. Price has recovered to 163.79, reclaiming EMA20 with RSI back near neutral; the 163.88 swing high is the next area to watch.
Support: 163.647, 163.702
Resistance: 163.882, 163.947
What it said to watch
Close above 163.88 opens the path back to the 163.947 session high
Loss of 163.647 confirms a lower-low and negates the bounce
FOMC tomorrow (Jul 29 18:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
17:31 UTC
Intraday pullback off session high · RSI 52 · price 163.773
Sharp sell-off from 163.95, now retracing higher.
NY session rejected 163.947 and dumped to 163.643, breaking the prior 163.82-163.86 range before buyers stepped in near the lows. Price now retracing to 163.77, RSI(14) back to neutral around 52; consolidation ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.
Support: 163.647, 163.71
Resistance: 163.78, 163.86, 163.947
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 163.86 negates the lower-high read
Failure to hold 163.647 confirms a lower-low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session sold off sharply from the 163.94 session high to 163.64, a clean sweep of the session low that printed a double bottom before recovering to 163.77. RSI(14) has cycled back to neutral near 51; price is grinding back up toward the 163.86 pullback zone.
Support: 163.643, 163.71
Resistance: 163.858, 163.947
What it said to watch
Close above 163.858 opens the path back to the 163.94 session high
Failure to hold the 163.64 double bottom confirms a fresh lower low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
17:16 UTC
Downtick within range, recovering off lows · RSI 46 · price 163.75
Sharp NY drop then partial retrace.
NY session sold off hard from the 163.94 session high through the 163.86 prior support down to 163.647, then bounced back toward 163.75. Price is retesting the broken 163.86 zone from below; RSI(14) recovering from a mid-session dip near 46.
Support: 163.647, 163.70
Resistance: 163.86, 163.94
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 163.86 would negate the breakdown read
Loss of 163.647 session low confirms a lower low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
17:16 UTC
Pullback after sharp NY selloff · RSI 44 · price 163.75
Range break lower, buyers reclaiming.
NY session rejected the 163.947 high and dumped ~30 pips to 163.647, breaking the 163.86 floor that held all afternoon. Buyers stepped in at 163.65 and price is consolidating back near 163.75, RSI(14) recovering from the selloff low.
Support: 163.647, 163.70
Resistance: 163.865, 163.947
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.647 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 163.865 negates the downside break
FOMC ~25h out; positioning may keep ranges tight into it
17:02 UTC
Intraday pullback after uptrend · RSI 44 · price 163.739
Downside range break, bouncing off lows.
NY session broke sharply down from the 163.94 session high, tagging 163.64 with RSI(14) cooling from the highs. Price has since recovered to 163.74 but sits below EMA20/50; the pre-drop 163.86 shelf now caps.
Support: 163.64, 163.69
Resistance: 163.86, 163.94
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 163.86 negates the breakdown read
Failure to hold 163.64 confirms a lower-low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
17:02 UTC
Pullback off session high · RSI 44 · price 163.739
Lower high, lower low, mild bounce.
NY session rejected the 163.947 session high and dropped sharply through the range to 163.643, RSI cooling into the mid-40s. Price has since retraced about a third of that move to 163.74, holding below EMA20/50; move is USD-led as markets square into Wednesday's Fed.
Support: 163.643, 163.706
Resistance: 163.86, 163.947
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.643 confirms a lower low
Recovery above 163.86 prior high negates the selloff
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant risk for this pair
16:46 UTC
Intraday down after rejection, shallow bounce · RSI 43 · price 163.706
Sharp reversal off session high, holding above session low.
NY session rejected the 163.94 session high and dumped to 163.65, a clean reversal of the earlier grind higher; price is now basing just above the low with RSI(14) around 42. Move is USD-driven positioning ahead of Wednesday's FOMC, not JPY strength.
Support: 163.65
Resistance: 163.86, 163.94
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 163.86 prior shelf would undo the breakdown read
Loss of 163.65 session low opens further downside
FOMC decision Wed 18:00 UTC can override this intraday structure
16:46 UTC
Rally rejected, rolling over · RSI 41 · price 163.706
Sharp sell-off from session high, now basing near lows.
USD/JPY pushed to a session high of 163.947 then sold off hard on the heaviest volume of the window down to 163.647, an intraday rejection. Price is now consolidating 163.65-163.71 below EMA20/50; the digest flags this as USD-driven positioning, not JPY strength, ahead of the Fed.
Support: 163.647, 163.56
Resistance: 163.75, 163.86, 163.947
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 163.86 reopens the 163.947 session high
Failure to hold 163.647 confirms a lower-low and opens the downside
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USD/JPY sold off from the session high at 163.94 through NY hours, breaking the 163.83–163.86 range and printing a lower low at 163.64. RSI(14) near 40 after the drop; the bounce is stalling under 163.70 with FOMC keeping flows sidelined.
Support: 163.64
Resistance: 163.75, 163.86, 163.94
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 163.75 would negate the range break to downside
Failure to hold 163.64 confirms a further lower low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
16:31 UTC
Intraday pullback after rejection · RSI 41 · price 163.692
Session high rejected, sharp leg lower, stabilising.
NY session rejected the session high at 163.947 and dumped ~30 pips to 163.647 on a high-volume bar, RSI(14) cooling into the low-40s. Move is USD-driven positioning ahead of Wednesday's FOMC; price now stabilising near 163.69 below both EMAs.
Support: 163.647
Resistance: 163.86, 163.947
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 163.86 negates the breakdown
Failure to hold 163.647 opens further downside
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
16:16 UTC
Short-term downturn off session high · RSI 38 · price 163.669
Sharp sell-off, consolidating near lows.
NY session rejected the 163.947 session high and dumped ~30 pips into 163.647, with price now stuck below EMA20/50 and RSI(14) cooling near 38. Bounces are capping around 163.715; move is USD-positioning driven ahead of the FOMC, not JPY strength.
Support: 163.647, 163.50
Resistance: 163.715, 163.865, 163.947
What it said to watch
Reclaim above the 163.715 bounce cap would neutralise the downside break
Loss of 163.647 session low opens 163.50 round number
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
16:16 UTC
Pullback, momentum turning down · RSI 38 · price 163.669
Rejected 163.95, sharp selloff off session high.
NY session rejected the 163.95 session high and printed lower highs into 163.88 before a sharp break to 163.647, RSI(14) cooling near 37. Move is USD-driven positioning ahead of FOMC, not JPY strength; price now sits at the deep retracement of the day's up-leg.
Support: 163.647, 163.72
Resistance: 163.75, 163.88, 163.947
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.647 confirms a lower low and extends the drop
Reclaim of 163.75 negates the bearish shift
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially reset this read
NY afternoon saw USD/JPY reject the 163.94 double top and break down sharply to 163.64, snapping the intraday uptrend and dropping price below both EMAs. RSI(14) cooled into the low-30s as the leg unwound; the move reads USD-driven positioning ahead of Wednesday's FOMC rather than fresh JPY strength.
Support: 163.643
Resistance: 163.75, 163.882, 163.947
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 163.75 negates the breakdown
Close below 163.643 session low opens a lower leg
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
16:01 UTC
Intraday reversal lower off session high · RSI 34 · price 163.652
Double top rejection, breaking lower.
NY afternoon printed a double top near 163.94 then dumped ~30 pips into 163.64, snapping under EMA20/50 with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-30s. Move is USD-driven positioning ahead of the FOMC; session low at 163.643 now the pivot.
Support: 163.643, 163.585
Resistance: 163.865, 163.947
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.643 opens the path to the 163.585 swing low
reclaim of 163.865 negates the double top read
FOMC decision Wed 18:00 UTC can override this intraday structure
NY session rejected the 163.947 session high and dumped hard through EMA20/50, printing a 163.654 low before a shallow bounce to 163.678. RSI(14) near 33 after the flush; move is USD-driven into Wednesday's FOMC, not JPY strength.
Support: 163.654, 163.585
Resistance: 163.75, 163.865, 163.947
What it said to watch
Loss of 163.654 confirms a lower-low and opens 163.585
USD/JPY was rejected at the 163.947 session high and sold off sharply through NY hours, dropping to a 163.654 session low in three heavy bars. Price is now below EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) near 34, marking a lower high; move is USD-flow into FOMC, not JPY strength.
Support: 163.654, 163.60
Resistance: 163.88, 163.947
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 163.88 prior high negates the reversal read
Failure to hold 163.654 session low opens the 163.60 round number
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Rounded top near 163.94, breakdown to session low.
NY session peaked at 163.94 then dumped in the last hour to a 163.65 session low, closing 163.69 back below EMA20/50. RSI(14) cooled to the high-30s as the rounded-top consolidation gave way; move is USD-driven with markets sidelined into FOMC.
Support: 163.654, 163.585
Resistance: 163.75, 163.85, 163.947
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.65 confirms a lower low and opens 163.585
Reclaim of 163.85 negates the breakdown
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session sold off hard in the last hour, breaking the 163.82 congestion to a session low of 163.654 after failing under the 163.947 high. RSI(14) cooled into the low 40s and price now sits below EMA20/50; the intraday up-leg has been fully unwound.
Support: 163.654, 163.585
Resistance: 163.882, 163.947
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 163.882 negates the lower-low read
Failure to hold 163.654 exposes 163.585
FOMC ~27h out could reshape the read
15:15 UTC
Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 52 · price 163.85
Pullback from session high, consolidating.
USDJPY climbed steadily through the London-NY window to a session high at 163.945 before fading to 163.82 and consolidating near 163.85, now just below EMA20. RSI(14) neutral around 52 after the pullback; price flat as markets sideline into Wednesday's FOMC.
Support: 163.82, 163.74
Resistance: 163.88, 163.945
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.945 resumes the uptrend toward the 164.00 handle
Failure to hold 163.82 opens 163.74 swing low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant offshore driver for this pair
15:01 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pullback in play · RSI 45 · price 163.854
Rounded top after session high, lower highs forming.
USDJPY pushed to a session high of 163.95 during the London-NY overlap then rolled over into a series of lower highs, now consolidating around 163.85. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s and price sits below EMA20 but holds above EMA50; 163.82 has capped the downside twice.
Support: 163.82, 163.75, 163.67
Resistance: 163.89, 163.95, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.82 confirms a lower low and opens 163.75
Reclaim of 163.89 swing high re-engages the 163.95 session high
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term risk for this pair
164.00 handle flagged as intervention-risk zone on any push higher
USDJPY climbed to a session high of 163.947 through London hours before rolling over, RSI(14) cooling back toward 46. Pullback into the NY open found demand near 163.82 and price is now ranging 163.82–163.95, still above EMA50 with sidelined flows ahead of the Fed.
Support: 163.817, 163.75
Resistance: 163.947, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.817 confirms a lower low and breaks the higher-low chain
Break above 163.947 exposes the 164.00 handle / 40yr-high intervention zone
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant upside driver for this pair
14:30 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 46 · price 163.852
HH chain broke, now retracing off session high.
NY session ran into a rejection at the 163.947 session high and has faded to 163.85, RSI(14) cooling back to mid-range and price slipping under EMA20. Buyers stepped in at 163.817 to hold the pullback, keeping the intraday uptrend structure intact ahead of Wed FOMC.
Support: 163.817, 163.75, 163.668
Resistance: 163.947, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.817 opens the path to the 163.75 prior low
Reclaim of 163.947 session high exposes the 164.00 psych handle and intervention zone
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USD/JPY ground higher through the London-NY session, printing a session high at 163.947 just under the 164.00 handle before rejecting and easing back to 163.83. RSI(14) has cooled from overbought into the mid-40s as price slipped below EMA20; pullback so far holding above the 163.75 swing.
Support: 163.75, 163.69
Resistance: 163.947, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.947 opens the 164.00 handle where intervention risk rises
Loss of 163.75 swing low confirms a deeper pullback
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
USDJPY rallied through the London-NY overlap to a session high of 163.947 before rejection stalled the move; price has since eased to 163.857, back below EMA20 with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s. Buyers held 163.84 into the NY afternoon but the HH chain has flattened.
Support: 163.841, 163.75, 163.668
Resistance: 163.947, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.841 opens the path back to 163.75
Reclaim of 163.947 needed to resume the higher-high sequence
164.00 psych area — intervention risk on approach
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
13:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 44 · price 163.863
Pullback from session high, lower highs forming.
NY session rally peaked at 163.947 before stalling sub-164.00; price has since eased on a chain of lower highs back to 163.86. Move is grinding rather than reversing — dips have been shallow while the pair stays pinned near 40-yr highs into Wednesday's FOMC.
Support: 163.84, 163.75
Resistance: 163.947, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.84 confirms a lower-low and opens 163.75
A push into 164.00 raises MoF intervention risk
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant next-bar risk for this pair
NY session drove USD/JPY up to 163.95, stalling just shy of the 164.00 handle where intervention risk caps the topside ahead of Wed FOMC. Price has since eased to 163.87, RSI cooling back to neutral as the leg loses steam; 163.84 pullback low is the first area to watch.
Support: 163.84, 163.75, 163.67
Resistance: 163.95, 164.00
What it said to watch
Close above 164.00 handle raises MoF intervention risk
Failure to hold 163.84 opens 163.75 swing low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session pushed USD/JPY to a session high of 163.947, capped just shy of the 164.00 handle where intervention risk sits. Price has since eased to 163.877, holding above the rising-lows structure with RSI cooling from the high. Traders sidelined ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.
Support: 163.844, 163.75, 163.69
Resistance: 163.947, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.75 breaks the rising-lows structure
Approach to 164.00 handle raises MoF intervention risk
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the next major driver for this pair
NY session drove USD/JPY to a session high of 163.947 before stalling just under the 164.00 handle, with RSI cooling from the highs. Price is now consolidating around 163.88 as traders sideline ahead of Wednesday's FOMC; the uptrend from 163.585 remains intact but momentum has flattened.
Support: 163.75, 163.68, 163.585
Resistance: 163.947, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.947 opens the path to the 164.00 psych level
164.00 handle carries elevated MoF intervention risk near 40-yr highs
Failure to hold 163.75 signals a deeper pullback within the range
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst
USDJPY ground higher through the London-NY transition to a session high of 163.947, then pulled back to 163.877 with RSI(14) cooling from the low-60s. Rejection off 163.947 has stalled the climb but price holds well above the rising base near 163.75; move remains USD-led into Wednesday's FOMC.
Support: 163.844, 163.79, 163.75
Resistance: 163.947, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.947 resumes the uptrend toward the 164.00 handle
Loss of 163.844 opens the 163.79 prior swing
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst; intervention risk near 164.00 caps topside
NY session drove a steady climb to a session high at 163.94 before stalling just under the 164.00 handle, RSI(14) cooling from the high-60s. Price has slipped back to 163.88 on the last two bars but holds above the 163.83 prior top; move remains USD-led into Wednesday's FOMC with intervention risk capping the 164.00 area.
Support: 163.83, 163.75, 163.69
Resistance: 163.94, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.94 opens the 164.00 handle and 40-yr high zone
Loss of 163.83 prior top breaks the rising-lows sequence toward 163.75 pivot
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this pair
Higher highs into session top, consolidating below 164.00.
USDJPY ground higher through the NY session to a session high at 163.947, now consolidating in a tight band around 163.92 just below the 164.00 handle. The lift is USD-driven into FOMC rather than genuine yen weakness; RSI(14) mid-60s with no divergence.
Support: 163.85, 163.75
Resistance: 163.947, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.947 opens the 164.00 handle and intervention watch
Failure to hold 163.85 breaks the intraday rising support
US Consumer Confidence 14:00 UTC could shift the near-term read
12:15 UTC
Uptrend, grinding to session high · RSI 66 · price 163.928
Chain of higher highs and higher lows.
USDJPY ground higher through the NY session to a session high of 163.947, extending a clean HH/HL chain with price holding above EMA20/50 and USD firm into Wednesday's FOMC. RSI(14) around 66 — hot but not stretched — with the 164.00 handle now the immediate overhead cap.
Support: 163.75, 163.69
Resistance: 163.947, 164.00
What it said to watch
Break and hold above 163.947 opens the path to the 164.00 psych level
Loss of 163.750 swing breaks the higher-low chain
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst for this pair
12:00 UTC
Uptrend, grinding to session high · RSI 68 · price 163.929
Higher highs, higher lows.
USD/JPY ground steadily higher through the London-NY transition into the session high at 163.947, RSI(14) hot near 68 but normal for a trend. Price is consolidating a few pips below the high with the yen pinned near 40-yr lows into Wed FOMC; the 164.00 handle is the next area to watch for rejection or break.
Support: 163.84, 163.75
Resistance: 163.947, 164.00
What it said to watch
Push into 164.00 handle raises MoF intervention risk
M15 close back below 163.84 breakout level negates the leg
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this pair
11:45 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 70 · price 163.922
Chain of higher highs and higher lows into session high.
USDJPY grinds higher through the London session, printing a fresh session high at 163.947 with an intact higher-high/higher-low chain from the 163.585 low. RSI(14) near 69.5 is hot but not extreme, and price is pressing the 164.00 handle that sits just below the 40-yr high — an intervention-watch zone.
Support: 163.79, 163.69, 163.585
Resistance: 163.947, 164.00
What it said to watch
Break and hold above 163.947 opens the 164.00 handle
Loss of 163.79 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
164.00 handle — area to watch for rejection near 40-yr high given MoF intervention risk
11:30 UTC
Uptrend, momentum hot · RSI 72 · price 163.922
Clean HH/HL chain into session high.
NY session drove a steady HH/HL climb to the session high at 163.947, RSI(14) hot near 71 but not extreme. Price is pressing the 164.00 handle — the flagged intervention zone — with the 163.808 breakout level as the last defended step.
Support: 163.808
Resistance: 163.947, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.947 opens the 164.00 handle
Loss of 163.808 breaks the rising HL structure
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
11:15 UTC
Uptrend, extending into NY · RSI 71 · price 163.929
Higher highs, higher lows.
Steady M15 uptrend, price grinding to a session high at 163.95 with RSI(14) hot near 71 but not extreme. The leg broke above the 163.84 prior high and now approaches the 164.00 handle, which sits under the JPY intervention-risk zone flagged near 165.00.
Support: 163.75, 163.67, 163.84
Resistance: 163.95, 164.00
What it said to watch
Close above 164.00 opens the path toward the intervention-risk zone
Failure to hold 163.75 breaks the higher-low chain
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially reset this read
11:00 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into 164.00 · RSI 74 · price 163.942
Clean HH/HL chain off session low.
USDJPY ground higher through the NY session in a clean HH/HL chain, printing a session high at 163.945 and pressing the 164.00 handle just below the near-40yr high. RSI(14) is hot near 74 but that is normal in this kind of one-way drift; the move is more a USD bid squaring into FOMC than fresh JPY selling.
Support: 163.808
Resistance: 163.945, 164.00
What it said to watch
Push into 164.00 sits in the MoF intervention zone below 165.00 — area to watch for sharp rejection
Loss of the 163.808 swing low breaks the intraday HH/HL chain
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
Steady grind higher through London hours, USD/JPY pressing 163.92 into the 164.00 handle with JPY offered ahead of Friday's BoJ. RSI(14) near 71 — hot but not extreme — and the chain of higher lows off 163.585 remains intact. Move is USD-led drift, not a range break yet.
Support: 163.667, 163.585
Resistance: 164.00, 163.935
What it said to watch
M15 close above 164.00 opens the path toward the near-40yr high below 165.00
Failure to hold 163.667 breaks the rising support and the higher-low chain
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
10:30 UTC
Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 74 · price 163.899
Higher highs into 164.00 handle.
USDJPY grinding higher through the London session, breaking the 163.90 session high with RSI(14) hot near 74. Chain of higher lows off 163.67 intact; price now pressing the 164.00 handle, which sits inside the MoF intervention watch zone.
Support: 163.75, 163.67
Resistance: 164.00, 163.90
What it said to watch
Break and hold above 164.00 exposes the near-40yr high; failure risks rejection back toward 163.75
M15 close back below 163.75 breaks the higher-low chain
US Consumer Confidence 14:00 UTC could inject volatility
10:15 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into 164.00 · RSI 71 · price 163.888
Higher highs, higher lows; fresh session high.
USD/JPY ground higher through the session, breaking above 163.85 to print a fresh high at 163.888 as it probes the 164.00 handle just shy of last week's 40-year peak. RSI(14) near 71 — hot but consistent with the trend; the move is USD-led into Fed/BoJ week rather than genuine yen selling.
Support: 163.75, 163.668, 163.613
Resistance: 163.888, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 164.00 exposes the 40-yr peak zone; MoF intervention risk caps upside there
Loss of 163.668 swing low breaks the intraday higher-low chain
Fed decision Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst that could reset this read
10:00 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 67 · price 163.845
Higher highs, higher lows into session high.
USDJPY grinding to a fresh session high at 163.85 after breaking the 163.79 prior high, RSI(14) firm near 67 but not yet extreme. Move is USD-led relief off 40-yr highs stalling; buyers stepped in repeatedly at 163.67 through the last few hours with the 164.00 handle overhead.
Support: 163.79, 163.667
Resistance: 163.853, 164.00
What it said to watch
Break and hold above 163.853 opens the path to the 164.00 handle
Loss of 163.79 prior high would break the higher-low chain
Wed FOMC and Fri BoJ this week can override this intraday read
09:45 UTC
Grinding higher, near range top · RSI 68 · price 163.829
Higher lows into 163.85 supply.
USDJPY ground higher through the NY session, printing a session high at 163.85 with RSI(14) near 68 — hot but not extreme. Buyers stepped in repeatedly on the 163.69 higher lows; move is USD-led relief off the 163.50 area rather than fresh JPY selling.
Support: 163.69, 163.58, 163.50
Resistance: 163.85, 164.00
What it said to watch
Loss of 163.69 breaks the higher-low chain
A close above 163.85 opens the path to the 164.00 handle
FOMC Wed and BoJ Fri dominate this pair — either can reset the read
09:32 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into session high · RSI 64 · price 163.829
Higher highs, higher lows toward 163.85.
London morning pushed USD/JPY to a session high of 163.85 before it stalled, price now coiling just below in a tight 163.82-163.83 hold. The relief pullback earlier in the week from sub-164 has been retraced; RSI(14) mid-60s, no extreme yet.
Support: 163.67
Resistance: 163.85, 164.00
What it said to watch
Close above 163.85 opens the path to the 164.00 handle, where intervention risk rises
Failure to hold 163.67 breaks the ascending intraday structure
US Consumer Confidence 14:00 UTC could inject two-way volatility
USDJPY ground higher through the London session, tagging a session high at 163.85 before easing to 163.83, RSI(14) mid-60s and not stretched. Buyers held the 163.66-163.69 shelf twice, keeping the stair-step of higher lows intact as price probes toward the 164.00 handle.
Support: 163.69, 163.66
Resistance: 163.85, 164.00
What it said to watch
Sustained push through 163.85 opens the 164.00 handle, where repeated tags raise intervention odds
M15 close back below 163.66 breaks the higher-low chain
US Consumer Confidence 14:00 UTC could shift this read
09:17 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 64 · price 163.819
Higher highs / higher lows into session high.
London session ground USD/JPY higher off the 163.67 low, tagging a session high at 163.851 before easing to 163.82. Pair is stair-stepping toward the 164.00 handle, RSI(14) mid-60s with room left.
Support: 163.76, 163.69, 163.585
Resistance: 163.851, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.851 opens the 164.00 handle, flagged as intervention territory
Loss of 163.69 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
US Consumer Confidence 14:00 UTC could inject two-way vol
09:16 UTC
Uptrend, pressing session high · RSI 64 · price 163.819
Higher highs into 163.85, shallow pullbacks held.
London session grinding higher, breaking the mid-window 163.79 ceiling to tag a session high at 163.851 before easing to 163.82. RSI(14) elevated but not extreme near 63; buyers stepped in repeatedly around 163.69 through the last eight hours. The 164.00 handle above is intervention-sensitive per the JPY context.
Support: 163.69, 163.668, 163.55
Resistance: 163.851, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.851 opens the path toward the 164.00 psych level
Loss of 163.69 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
Tags of 164.00 raise intervention odds and could sharpen two-way trade
09:02 UTC
Uptrend, pressing session high · RSI 68 · price 163.825
Higher highs and higher lows into 163.85.
USDJPY ground higher through Asia into the London open, clearing prior resistance and printing a session high at 163.851 with RSI(14) elevated near 68. Rising higher lows off 163.668 keep the intraday structure constructive; the 164.00 handle sits above as an intervention-watch zone per BoJ context.
Support: 163.668
Resistance: 163.851, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.85 opens the path to the 164.00 handle
Loss of 163.668 breaks the higher-low chain
Repeated 164.00 tags raise MoF intervention odds
09:02 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 66 · price 163.825
Higher highs, higher lows into session high.
USD/JPY ground higher through the London session, breaking above the 163.79 shelf to tag a session high at 163.851 before easing to 163.825. Structure is a clean HH/HL chain; the relief off Thursday's 40-yr high has stalled and buyers are pressing back toward the 164.00 handle.
Support: 163.667, 163.585
Resistance: 163.851, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.851 opens the path to the 164.00 handle and revives intervention risk
Failure to hold 163.667 breaks the rising sequence and confirms a lower low
08:46 UTC
Uptrend, pressing session high · RSI 68 · price 163.837
Higher highs, higher lows since 163.67.
London session grinding higher, printing a session high at 163.851 and pressing toward the 164.00 handle with RSI(14) elevated near 68. Clean higher-high, higher-low chain off the 163.67 swing low; the drift is USD-firmness/oil-led ahead of Wednesday's FOMC rather than fresh yen selling.
Support: 163.69, 163.668
Resistance: 163.851, 164.00
What it said to watch
Approach to 164.00 handle keeps intervention trip-wire in play near the 40-yr high
Failure to hold 163.690 breaks the higher-low chain
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can reset this read
08:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher into session high · RSI 71 · price 163.837
Chain of higher lows, pressing session top.
London session grinding higher off the 163.668 swing low, USD/JPY has broken the 163.79 shelf and is pressing the 163.851 session high with RSI(14) around 71. Move is dollar-led and sits just under the 164.00 handle flagged as an intervention trip-wire.
Support: 163.79, 163.668
Resistance: 163.851, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.851 opens the path to the 164.00 handle
Loss of 163.79 breakout shelf reopens the 163.668 swing low
164.00 handle — area to watch for rejection near the near-40yr high
08:31 UTC
Uptrend, pressing session high · RSI 67 · price 163.838
Higher highs, breakout to fresh session high.
London session drove USDJPY to a fresh session high at 163.84, RSI(14) around 67 and not yet stretched. Move is USD-led into Wednesday's FOMC; price holds above EMA20/50 with the 164.00 handle — a noted intervention trip-wire — just overhead.
Support: 163.69, 163.585
Resistance: 163.84, 164.00
What it said to watch
Sustained trade above 163.84 opens the path toward the 164.00 psych level
Loss of 163.69 swing low breaks the intraday higher-low chain
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
08:31 UTC
Uptrend, pressing session high · RSI 67 · price 163.838
Higher highs, clearing prior high.
London session ground USD/JPY to a fresh 24h high at 163.84, clearing the prior session high with RSI(14) around 67 — hot but not extreme. Pair sits just under the 164.00 handle flagged as a near-40yr high and intervention trip-wire; move is USD-firm rather than genuine yen demand.
Support: 163.69
Resistance: 163.84, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.84 opens the path to 164.00
Failure to hold 163.69 breaks the rising intraday support
USDJPY ground higher through the NY session off the 163.69 swing low, now pressing back toward the 163.84 session high with RSI(14) mid-50s. Move is oil-led USD firmness against a firmer yen; price remains pinned just below the 164.00 handle near 40-year highs.
Support: 163.69, 163.585
Resistance: 163.84, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.84 opens the path toward the 164.00 handle
Failure to hold 163.69 breaks the higher-low chain
BoJ (Fri) and FOMC (Wed) risk sits outside the next bar window but frames the 164.00 zone
USDJPY ground higher through London hours on oil-led USD firmness, printing a chain of higher lows and now pinned just below the 163.839 session high. Price is back near the top of the intraday range after buyers defended 163.69; ATR near 4 pips keeps ranges tight.
Support: 163.69
Resistance: 163.839, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.839 opens the path to the 164.00 handle
Loss of 163.69 breaks the rising support line and confirms a lower low
164.00 handle is an intervention trip-wire zone to monitor
08:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 61 · price 163.785
Chain of higher lows, coiling under day high.
USDJPY grinds higher through London hours, printing higher lows and pressing back toward the 163.84 day high after easing from near-40-year highs on softer oil/USD. RSI(14) around 61, room before overbought; buyers stepped in at 163.67 to hold the rising-low chain intact.
Support: 163.673, 163.585, 163.495
Resistance: 163.839, 163.793
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.84 opens the path back toward the ~165 topside
Loss of 163.67 breaks the rising-low chain and exposes 163.585
FOMC/BoJ later this week could reset this read, but not within the next bar period
08:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 61 · price 163.785
Recovering toward session high after mid-range pullback.
USD/JPY recovered off the 163.67 swing low back toward the 163.84 session high, RSI(14) mid-range near 61. The grind higher tracks USD steadying after yesterday's soft Durable Goods miss, with price holding a chain of higher lows into a heavy Fed/BoJ week.
Support: 163.667, 163.585
Resistance: 163.839, 163.793
What it said to watch
Close above 163.84 opens the path toward the 40-yr high near 165
Failure to hold 163.67 confirms a lower low and breaks the higher-low chain
FOMC Wed and BoJ Thu could materially shift this read
07:46 UTC
Range, recovering off lows · RSI 57 · price 163.774
Intraday range 163.67-163.84, price mid-range.
USDJPY held the 163.67 session low twice through the London session and has recovered to 163.77, stalling right at the 61.8% retrace of the 163.84-163.67 drop. Still boxed inside the 163.67-163.84 range; the pullback was USD/oil-driven rather than fresh JPY demand ahead of this week's Fed and BoJ.
Support: 163.667, 163.708
Resistance: 163.775, 163.839
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.84 breaks the session high and range top
Failure to hold 163.67 confirms a lower low
Reaction stalling at the 0.618 fib near 163.775 keeps price range-bound
Recovered off session low, grinding back toward session high.
USDJPY rejected the session high at 163.839 during the London morning, then based at 163.668 and is grinding back up, now 163.774 into the upper third of the range. RSI(14) mid-50s, no extreme; price holding above EMA20/50 with the ~163.50 area USD/JPY off its near-40-year high on the oil-driven risk-on lull.
Support: 163.668, 163.585
Resistance: 163.839, 163.79
What it said to watch
Close above 163.839 reopens the path toward the session high extension
Failure to hold 163.668 confirms a lower-low and exposes 163.585
BoJ decision Jul 31 and Fed Jul 29 loom — larger moves reserved for those events
USDJPY is chopping between 163.67 and 163.79 through the London session, holding after easing from the near-40-year high sub-165 on softer USD and lower oil. Price sits just above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) neutral near 53 — no directional impulse in play.
Support: 163.668, 163.585
Resistance: 163.789, 163.839
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.79 opens the path to the 163.84 day high
Failure to hold 163.67 breaks the range lower toward 163.585
FOMC (Wed) and BoJ (Fri) are the week's dominant catalysts but sit outside the next few bars
07:31 UTC
Uptrend stalling, now consolidating · RSI 53 · price 163.752
Ranging below session high after rejection.
USDJPY drifted up from 163.44 to a 163.839 swing high mid-window then rejected, now chopping in a tight 163.67-163.79 band around the EMAs. Grind reflects the oil/risk-driven JPY bid fading rather than fresh demand; RSI(14) neutral near 53.
Support: 163.667, 163.585
Resistance: 163.793, 163.839
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.839 reopens the path toward the 40-yr high near 165
Loss of 163.585 confirms a lower low and breaks the intraday range
FOMC Wed and BoJ Jul 31 are the dominant catalysts that could override this range read
07:16 UTC
Uptrend stalled, now ranging · RSI 49 · price 163.731
Consolidation under session high.
USD/JPY ground higher from 163.33 to a session high at 163.84 before stalling; London morning now ranging 163.67–163.79 with RSI(14) flat near 49. Price is pinned to EMA20 with no directional momentum, consistent with the digest's carry-driven grind ahead of Fed/BoJ.
Support: 163.667, 163.585
Resistance: 163.789, 163.839
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.84 reopens the path toward the multi-decade high near 165
Failure to hold 163.67 confirms a lower low and opens 163.585
FOMC (Wed) and BoJ (Thu) are the dominant catalysts this week
07:16 UTC
Uptrend stalled, now ranging · RSI 48 · price 163.731
Range-bound after Asia-London grind higher.
USDJPY ground up from 163.33 through the Asian session to a 163.839 high before stalling; London has held a tight 163.67–163.84 range with price coiling near the middle at 163.731. Move reflects broad USD softness rather than JPY demand, with Fed and BoJ decisions later this week the dominant catalysts.
Support: 163.667, 163.585
Resistance: 163.793, 163.839
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.84 reopens the path toward the ~165 high
Loss of 163.667 range low exposes 163.585 swing low
FOMC (Wed) and BoJ (Fri) are the week's dominant catalysts and could reset this read
07:02 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 46 · price 163.719
Consolidation below session high.
USDJPY tagged a session high at 163.839 during the prior NY session then drifted back toward 163.667, holding a tight 163.67-163.84 range into the London morning. Price sits just under EMA20/50 with RSI mid-range; no fresh impulse in play.
Support: 163.667, 163.585
Resistance: 163.839, 163.789
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.839 resumes the upside push
Loss of 163.667 exposes 163.585
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and BoJ Fri 03:00 UTC are the dominant near-term risks for this pair
07:02 UTC
Range, near multi-decade highs · RSI 45 · price 163.719
Consolidating below session high.
USDJPY is pinned in a tight consolidation between 163.67 and 163.84 through the London morning, holding just under multi-decade highs. Price tagged the session high at 163.839 then drifted back to 163.67 before a modest recovery to 163.72; RSI(14) sits mid-range and ATR is compressed near 4 pips.
Support: 163.668, 163.585
Resistance: 163.789, 163.839
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.84 opens the path back toward 164.00
Failure to hold 163.67 confirms a lower-low toward 163.585
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and BoJ Fri could materially shift this read
06:47 UTC
Pullback after NY highs · RSI 43 · price 163.685
Range fading lower.
NY session pushed to a session high of 163.839 then faded through the Asian hours, with price now drifting to 163.685 below EMA20. Rejection at 163.78-163.84 has capped, and price is edging toward the 163.668 session low.
Support: 163.668, 163.585, 163.50
Resistance: 163.78, 163.839
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.668 confirms a lower low toward the 163.50 pivot
Reclaim of 163.78 swing high needed to reopen the 163.84 session high
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
06:46 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 45 · price 163.685
Consolidation below session high.
USDJPY rejected the 163.84 session high and drifted back to 163.685, slipping under EMA20/50 as the yen firmed modestly on improved risk sentiment. Now consolidating in the 163.67–163.77 band, RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s; no clean intraday setup in play.
Support: 163.67, 163.62
Resistance: 163.77, 163.84
What it said to watch
Close below 163.67 opens 163.62 and confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 163.77 needed to retest the 163.84 session high
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and BoJ Fri are major cross-drivers into the window
06:31 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 42 · price 163.699
Pullback from session high, testing support.
USDJPY grinded up to a session high of 163.84 before rejection dragged it back to test 163.69, with RSI(14) cooling into the low-40s. Price now sits below EMA20/50 in a shallow pullback of the day's advance; JPY holding firm as risk sentiment steadies ahead of midweek FOMC.
Support: 163.69, 163.65, 163.58
Resistance: 163.79, 163.84
What it said to watch
Loss of 163.69 confirms a lower-low toward 163.58
Reclaim of 163.79 reopens the 163.84 session high
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Range near session lows after rejection of 163.84.
USDJPY faded the 163.84 session high set during the London-NY overlap and has drifted back to test the 163.68 lower boundary, RSI(14) cooling into the mid-40s. Price now sits below EMA20/50 with the intraday range compressing between 163.68 and 163.84.
Support: 163.68, 163.585
Resistance: 163.79, 163.84
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.68 opens the path to 163.585
Reclaim of 163.79 needed to retest the 163.84 session high
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
06:17 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 43 · price 163.683
Consolidation below session high after rejection.
USDJPY pushed to a session high of 163.84 in the Asian session then rejected, drifting back to 163.68 where price now sits on the 61.8% retracement of the 163.585-163.839 leg. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s and price slipped under EMA20/EMA50 on the last bar; carry keeps the pair pinned near four-decade highs but momentum is fading intraday.
Support: 163.67, 163.62, 163.585
Resistance: 163.79, 163.84
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 163.67 opens the path to 163.62 and the 163.585 swing low
Close back above 163.79 puts the 163.84 session high back in play
FOMC Wed and BoJ Fri are the week's dominant catalysts and could shift this read
USD/JPY climbed through London to a session high of 163.839 around six hours ago, then rolled into consolidation and has slipped back to 163.683, now under EMA20. Carry keeps the pair pinned near four-decade highs but momentum has cooled, with the last two bars losing the 163.74 area.
Support: 163.665, 163.585
Resistance: 163.793, 163.839
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.665 confirms a lower-low and deepens the pullback
Reclaim of 163.793 reopens the 163.839 session high
US Consumer Confidence 14:00 UTC could shift the USD leg
06:02 UTC
Uptrend, momentum flat · RSI 46 · price 163.726
Consolidating just below session high.
USDJPY ground higher through the Asian session off the 163.327 low, tagging a session high at 163.839 before stalling near 40-yr highs. Price now coils in a tight 163.71–163.78 band on compressed ATR and neutral RSI, volume thinning into the London handover.
Support: 163.71, 163.673, 163.585
Resistance: 163.839, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.839 opens the path toward the 164.00 psych zone
Break below 163.673 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
London open likely to expand the Asian range; approach to 164.00 raises MoF intervention risk
06:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum flat · RSI 48 · price 163.726
Consolidating below session high.
USDJPY ground up from the 163.33 London low to a 163.839 rejection, then settled into a tight 163.70–163.78 range through the Asia-into-London hours, holding a shallow 23.6% retrace of that leg. RSI(14) neutral near 48, JPY firm but heavy near 40-yr highs as noted in the digest.
Support: 163.70, 163.64, 163.585
Resistance: 163.839, 164.00
What it said to watch
Close above 163.839 opens the path to 164.00
Failure to hold 163.70 confirms a deeper retrace toward 163.64
FOMC Wed and BoJ Fri could materially shift this read
USDJPY climbed off the 163.327 session low through London and tagged 163.839 in NY before settling into a tight 163.70-163.78 range. Price hugs EMA20 with RSI(14) neutral near 50; no fresh impulse in play as the pair coils below the 40-yr-high zone.
Support: 163.70, 163.673, 163.327
Resistance: 163.839, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.84 opens the path toward the 164.00 psych level
Failure to hold 163.70 range floor confirms a lower-low
BoJ decision Fri 03:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDJPY ground higher through London-NY hours to a session high at 163.839 before drifting into a tight 163.70-163.78 consolidation, RSI(14) cooling to neutral near 49. Price is coiling just below the 40-yr-high zone, JPY only modestly firmer on US-Iran de-escalation.
Support: 163.70, 163.673
Resistance: 163.79, 163.839
What it said to watch
Close above 163.839 reopens the path toward the 164.00 zone
Loss of 163.70 breaks the rising intraday support and confirms a lower-low
FOMC Wed and BoJ Fri are the dominant catalysts and could reset this read
USDJPY pulled back from the 163.839 NY swing high and is now consolidating 163.70–163.79 through the quiet Asian session, RSI(14) neutral near 46. Buyers held 163.70 on the last dip; price is pinned mid-range with no fresh direction into London.
Support: 163.70, 163.585, 163.47
Resistance: 163.79, 163.839
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.79 reopens the 163.839 swing high
Loss of 163.70 exposes 163.585 swing low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the week's dominant catalyst for this pair
USDJPY spent the Asia session grinding up from 163.33 to a 163.839 session high, then coiled into a tight 163.71–163.79 range as the London handover approaches. Price sits mid-range at 163.725, RSI(14) neutral near 48 after the impulse cooled; no directional setup in play while it holds the range.
Support: 163.71, 163.673, 163.585
Resistance: 163.839, 163.79
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.839 session high extends the intraday uptrend
Break below 163.71 range low exposes the 163.673 swing low
FOMC Wed and BoJ Fri are the week's dominant catalysts and could reset this read
Consolidating near session high after rally off 163.33.
Asia session has coiled between 163.71 and 163.79 after the London-NY leg lifted price off the 163.33 low to a 163.84 day high. RSI(14) is neutral near 57 and ATR is compressed to ~3 pips — no directional impulse into the London open.
Support: 163.71, 163.67
Resistance: 163.79, 163.84
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.84 opens the path back toward 164.00
Failure to hold 163.71 breaks the consolidation and exposes 163.67
US Consumer Confidence 14:00 UTC could inject range volatility
USDJPY is coiling in a tight 163.74–163.78 band after tagging the session high at 163.84, with RSI(14) neutral near 55 and JPY firming modestly on lower oil. Buyers held the 163.70 swing low earlier; range still respected into a heavy Fed/BoJ risk week.
Support: 163.70, 163.53
Resistance: 163.84, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.84 opens the path to the 164.00 psych level
Loss of 163.70 swing low would confirm a lower-low and open 163.53
FOMC Wed and BoJ Fri are the dominant catalysts and could reset this range
Grind higher off 163.33, now consolidating near session highs.
USD/JPY climbed steadily from the 163.33 session low to a 163.84 session high, then stalled into a tight 163.74-163.79 consolidation through the quiet Asia session. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-50s as momentum flattens near the highs; USD/JPY sits pinned close to 40-yr high territory ahead of a heavy central-bank week.
Support: 163.70, 163.585, 163.327
Resistance: 163.79, 163.839
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.84 session high extends the up move toward the 164.00 intervention zone
Loss of 163.70 swing low opens the 163.585 range low
FOMC Wed and BoJ Fri are the dominant catalysts this week
USDJPY coiled in a tight 163.72–163.78 band through the Asia session, holding above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) neutral near 54. The session high at 163.839 caps upside; move higher stalled as the US-Iran risk relief priced in. No setup in play.
Support: 163.71, 163.673
Resistance: 163.79, 163.839, 164.00
What it said to watch
Close above 163.79 opens the path back toward the 163.839 session high and 164.00
Loss of 163.71 breaks the higher-low chain and exposes 163.673 session low
BoJ and Fed later this week are the dominant catalysts — thin liquidity ahead
Consolidating near session highs after shallow pullback.
USD/JPY drifted up through the Asian session into a tight 163.74–163.77 hold just under the 163.84 session high, RSI(14) mid-range and ATR compressed to ~4 pips on thin holiday-thin flow. The 163.67 area capped the earlier dip and higher lows remain intact; move is a relief drift, not genuine JPY weakness per the digest.
Support: 163.70, 163.673, 163.613
Resistance: 163.789, 163.839
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.839 opens continuation toward the 164.00 zone
Failure to hold 163.673 breaks the rising-lows structure
Liquidity thin in Asia; London open likely sets the next range
Consolidating near session highs after recovery off session low.
USDJPY ground up from the 163.33 session low to tag 163.84 before easing, now consolidating around 163.76 in late Asia hours with RSI mid-range. The 163.84 session high is capping; 163.67 swing low held on the last pullback — relief bid, not genuine JPY weakness per the pre-BoJ backdrop.
Support: 163.673, 163.50, 163.327
Resistance: 163.839, 163.79
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.84 session high extends the recovery toward the 164.00 zone
Loss of 163.67 swing low signals a lower-low and opens 163.50 pivot
BoJ Fri and FOMC Wed are the dominant catalysts this week
Higher lows off 163.33, ranging near session high.
USDJPY ground higher off the 163.33 low to tag a session high at 163.84 before stalling; price now consolidates in a tight 163.71–163.79 band with RSI(14) cooling to mid-50s. Move is a relief drift after the pullback from the near-40yr high — no fresh setup while the range holds.
Support: 163.71, 163.67, 163.50
Resistance: 163.79, 163.84
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.84 reopens the path toward the 164.00 intervention zone
Loss of 163.71 breaks the higher-low chain toward 163.50
FOMC Wed and BoJ Fri are the dominant catalysts that can override this intraday read
USDJPY ground higher from a 163.33 low into a session high of 163.84, which was rejected, and is now consolidating in a tight 163.74-163.78 band near the highs. RSI(14) mid-range at ~56, ATR ~5 pips — this is a relief drift off 163.50, not genuine trend acceleration, with BoJ and Fed still ahead this week.
Support: 163.71, 163.67, 163.53
Resistance: 163.79, 163.84
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.84 opens continuation toward the 164.00 zone
Failure to hold 163.71 signals a lower low and breaks the higher-low chain
FOMC Wed and BoJ Fri are the dominant risk to this read
04:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 61 · price 163.774
Higher lows into session highs.
USD/JPY has climbed off the 163.33 low through the prior NY session and is grinding higher into Asia hours, printing higher lows with the 163.84 session high capping. RSI(14) near 60 leaves room before overbought; the relief bounce off 163.50 (per BoJ context) keeps price pinned near 40-yr highs.
Support: 163.71, 163.673, 163.50
Resistance: 163.839, 163.79
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.84 opens the path toward the 164.00 intervention zone
Failure to hold 163.71 exposes 163.673 and the 163.50 pivot
BoJ and FOMC later this week could materially shift this read
Asia session grinding higher off the 163.33 session low, holding a chain of rising lows and now consolidating in the 163.74–163.79 band just under the 163.84 session high. RSI(14) mid-50s, no extreme; the recovery off oil-driven USD softness looks corrective rather than impulsive.
Support: 163.67, 163.33
Resistance: 163.84, 163.79
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.84 session high extends the up-leg toward 164.00
Loss of 163.67 swing low breaks the rising-low chain
BoJ Fri and Fed Wed are the dominant catalysts this week
Asia session grinding higher off yesterday's 163.33 London low, but stalling below the 163.84 session high with ATR compressed to ~4 pips. RSI mid-50s and range tightening — the relief bounce from near-40yr highs has flattened into consolidation.
Support: 163.67
Resistance: 163.79, 163.84
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.84 opens the path back toward 164.00
Failure to hold 163.67 confirms a lower-low
FOMC Wed and BoJ Fri are the dominant catalysts for this pair this week
USDJPY ground higher through the session off the 163.33 low, tagging a session high at 163.84 before easing back to 163.76 in thin Asian hours. Price is coiling in the upper part of the range with RSI(14) neutral near 56; the 163.71 swing low is holding as near-term support.
Support: 163.71, 163.66, 163.50
Resistance: 163.84, 163.79
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.84 extends toward the 164.00 zone
Failure to hold 163.71 confirms a lower-low and opens 163.50
BoJ (Fri) and FOMC (Wed) are the dominant catalysts this week
Higher highs/higher lows, consolidating under session high.
USDJPY ground higher off the 163.33 dip, tagging a session high at 163.84 before easing into a tight consolidation near 163.76. The 163.71 area held on the last pullback; move remains a relief drift after the retreat from 40-yr highs, not fresh JPY weakness.
Support: 163.71, 163.585, 163.50
Resistance: 163.84, 164.00
What it said to watch
Loss of 163.71 then 163.585 breaks the higher-low chain
Reclaim of 163.84 opens the path back toward the 164.00 intervention zone
FOMC Wed and BoJ Fri can override this intraday structure
03:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 56 · price 163.76
Higher highs/lows off 163.33, consolidating below session high.
USDJPY ground higher through the session off the 163.33 low to tag a 163.84 session high, a relief drift as risk-on softened the dollar and left the yen pinned near 40-yr lows. Price is now consolidating around 163.76, holding above the rising-low chain with RSI cooling to the mid-50s.
Support: 163.67, 163.50
Resistance: 163.84, 163.79
What it said to watch
Close above 163.84 opens the path toward the 164.00 intervention zone
Close below 163.67 breaks the rising-low chain, exposing the 163.50 pivot
BoJ Friday and FOMC Wed are the dominant near-term catalysts
London-NY drove a clean rally from 163.33 to a session high at 163.839 before rejection there; price has since eased back to 163.72 in quiet Asia trade with RSI cooling to the mid-40s. Rising support off the 163.33 low still holds while 163.673 marks the nearest intraday swing low.
Support: 163.673
Resistance: 163.839, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.673 confirms a lower-low and breaks rising support
Reclaim of the 163.839 session high reopens the path toward the 164.00 psych level
03:31 UTC
Range after recovery, momentum flat · RSI 46 · price 163.721
Ranging 163.70–163.84 post rebound.
USDJPY recovered off the 163.33 day low and has since coiled between 163.70 and the 163.84 session high, with RSI(14) flat near 46. Price is drifting back toward the range floor after rejection at 163.84 into the Asia session.
Support: 163.70, 163.65, 163.33
Resistance: 163.84, 163.79
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.84 opens continuation toward the 164.00 zone
Loss of 163.70 exposes the 163.65 swing low
BoJ and FOMC later this week are the dominant catalysts beyond intraday structure
03:17 UTC
Recovery off lows, now ranging · RSI 52 · price 163.737
Consolidation below session high.
USDJPY recovered from a 163.33 spike low and is now ranging 163.67–163.84 near the session high, RSI(14) flat around 51. Price is a relief drift back off the near-40yr high, with USD firm into a low-guidance pre-FOMC stretch; no clean setup in play.
Support: 163.673, 163.50
Resistance: 163.839, 163.79
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.84 session high opens the path toward 164.00
Loss of 163.67 swing low exposes the 163.50 pivot
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Asian session ground USD/JPY up from the 163.33 dip to a session high at 163.84 before easing back to 163.74 — a relief drift after the pullback from the sub-165 40-yr high, not fresh JPY strength. Price now coils between 163.70 and 163.84 with RSI(14) neutral near 52.
Support: 163.70, 163.585, 163.50
Resistance: 163.839, 163.79
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.84 opens the path back toward the 164.00 intervention zone
Failure to hold 163.70 exposes the asian low at 163.585
BoJ Outlook Report Fri 03:00 UTC is the dominant yen catalyst this week
03:01 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back from session high · RSI 47 · price 163.71
Higher highs into 163.84, now retracing.
Grinding uptrend through the window carved higher highs to 163.84 before rejection there dragged price back to 163.71, now sitting under EMA20. Move is a relief bounce off yesterday's 163.33 low rather than fresh direction, with BoJ Friday and FOMC Wednesday framing the JPY read.
Support: 163.67, 163.55, 163.33
Resistance: 163.79, 163.84
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.67 breaks the higher-low chain
Reclaim of 163.84 session high resumes the uptrend
FOMC Wed and BoJ Fri could override this intraday read
03:01 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 49 · price 163.71
Higher highs into 163.84, now retracing.
USDJPY ran up through the Asia session to a 163.84 high before rejecting, price now easing back to 163.71 with RSI(14) cooling to mid-range. Move is a relief bounce off the 163.50 area rather than fresh yen weakness; short-term momentum has stalled below the session high.
Support: 163.50
Resistance: 163.789, 163.839
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.84 reopens the path higher
Loss of 163.50 pivot invalidates the intraday uptrend read
BoJ decision later this week is the dominant JPY driver
Consolidating below session high after rally off 163.33.
USDJPY rallied off the 163.33 flush to a session high of 163.84, then stalled into early Asia and is now drifting sideways around 163.74 on thin flow. Move looks like a relief bounce rather than fresh momentum; RSI(14) mid-range and ATR compressed to single digits.
Support: 163.713, 163.656
Resistance: 163.839, 163.789
What it said to watch
Close above 163.84 reopens the path toward the 164.00 zone
Loss of 163.71 exposes 163.65 and confirms a lower-high
FOMC Wed and BoJ Fri are the week's dominant catalysts for this pair
Asia session grinding sideways around 163.74 after a rejection at the 163.84 session high; the earlier bounce off the 163.33 low has flattened out. Move reflects USD/JPY easing back from near 40-yr highs on softer oil and firmer risk appetite, per the digest — relief, not genuine yen strength.
Support: 163.71, 163.66
Resistance: 163.839, 163.79
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.84 reopens the path toward the 164.00 zone
Loss of 163.71 confirms a lower-low and breaks the consolidation
FOMC Wed and BoJ Fri are the dominant near-term catalysts
Higher highs off 163.33 low, consolidating below session high.
USDJPY ground higher through Asia hours off the 163.33 London dip, tapping the 163.84 session high before easing back to 163.75; RSI(14) neutral near 57. Price holds near multi-decade highs, supported by a softer risk backdrop as oil eased, but is now stalling below the session peak.
Support: 163.71, 163.66
Resistance: 163.84, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.84 opens the path to 164.00
Failure to hold 163.71 confirms a lower-low and shifts the intraday read
BoJ Fri and FOMC Wed could materially shift this read
02:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum flattening in Asia · RSI 53 · price 163.753
Recovered from NY low, ranging below session high.
Price recovered off the 163.327 London-NY low and stair-stepped to a session high at 163.839 before easing back to 163.75. Asia hours are quiet and ranging 163.71-163.84 with RSI(14) neutral near 53; price sits right on EMA20.
Support: 163.71, 163.66, 163.585
Resistance: 163.839, 163.79
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.84 opens a push toward the 164.00 mark
Failure to hold 163.71 exposes 163.66 then 163.585
FOMC Wed and BoJ Fri could materially shift this read
Recovery off 163.33 low, consolidating under session high.
Asia session ground higher off the 163.33 dip, printing a session high at 163.839 before easing to 163.78 with RSI(14) cooling toward 60. Price holds above EMA20/50 and the 163.71 session low, consolidating just under the 40-year-high zone into a heavy central-bank week.
Support: 163.71
Resistance: 163.839, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 163.71 breaks the rising-low chain
Break above 163.839 opens the path toward 164.00
FOMC Wed and BoJ Fri could materially shift this read; intervention risk elevated near multi-decade highs
USD/JPY ground higher through the Asian session to a 163.839 session high before easing back to 163.77, holding above EMA20/50 as JPY stabilised on softer oil. RSI(14) near 57 shows momentum cooling rather than exhausting; price is coiling just under the session high.
Support: 163.70
Resistance: 163.839, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.839 opens the path toward the 164.00 psych level
Loss of 163.70 recent pivot would break the higher-low chain
BoJ and FOMC later this week are the dominant risk events for this pair
02:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into session high · RSI 62 · price 163.773
Higher lows off 163.33, coiling below 163.84.
Asian session grinding higher off the 163.33 spike low, tagging a session high at 163.84 before easing to 163.77. Price holds above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-60s; chain of higher lows intact, near 40-year highs.
Support: 163.713, 163.327
Resistance: 163.839, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.84 opens the path to the 164.00 psych level
Loss of 163.71 session low breaks the higher-low chain
BoJ and FOMC later this week could materially shift this read
USD/JPY ground higher through the window off the 163.33 session low, tagging a session high at 163.84 before easing back to 163.77 in the Asian session. Now consolidating just under that high with RSI(14) mid-range, no session extreme in play.
Support: 163.71, 163.63, 163.33
Resistance: 163.84, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.84 opens the path toward the 164.00 psych level
Failure to hold 163.71 confirms a lower-low and reopens 163.63
Higher highs into session top, ranging under 163.84.
USDJPY ground higher through the NY session and into Asia, tagging a session high at 163.839 before fading to 163.75. RSI(14) cooled to the mid-50s on the pullback; price is now consolidating between 163.71 and the 163.84 top with the pair pinned near multi-decade highs on soft yen.
Support: 163.713
Resistance: 163.839, 163.79
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.84 opens continuation higher
Failure to hold 163.71 confirms a lower low
FOMC Wed and BoJ Fri are the dominant two-sided risks this week
Steady grind higher through the session off the 163.327 low, tagging a session high at 163.84 before easing back to 163.75. RSI(14) mid-range, no extreme; price consolidating between 163.71 and 163.84 in early Asia hours.
Support: 163.71
Resistance: 163.84, 163.79
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.84 extends the session high
Loss of 163.71 breaks the rising-low sequence
FOMC Wed and BoJ Fri are the week's catalysts and could reset this read
Higher highs and higher lows, pullback from session high.
USDJPY ground up through the NY session to a 163.839 high, then eased to 163.74 in thin early-Asia trade with RSI cooling off the highs. The higher-low chain off 163.585 is intact; supply capped the move at 163.84.
Support: 163.71, 163.65, 163.585
Resistance: 163.839, 163.793
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.84 opens continuation toward the range highs
Failure to hold 163.71 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
Wed FOMC and Fri BoJ are the week's two-sided risks near multi-decade highs
01:32 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher into Asia · RSI 55 · price 163.739
Higher highs, shallow pullbacks.
Early Asia session grinding higher off the 163.33 spike low; session high 163.84 was rejected and price is holding above 163.71 on thin volume. RSI(14) mid-range near 55, momentum steady but not extended — USD softness and stabilising JPY keeping the tape orderly near multi-decade highs.
Support: 163.71, 163.65
Resistance: 163.84
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.84 opens the path toward the ~165.00 highs
Failure to hold 163.71 confirms a lower-low and stalls the uptrend
BoJ and FOMC later this week are two-sided risks that could reset this read
01:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 58 · price 163.761
Higher highs, higher lows off 163.33.
Grind higher through the London-NY window bottomed at 163.33 and stair-stepped up to a session high of 163.84 before easing to 163.76 in thin early-Asia trade. Move reflects broad USD softness on US-Iran de-escalation rather than genuine yen strength; RSI(14) neutral near 58 with no overbought signal.
Support: 163.71, 163.65, 163.585
Resistance: 163.84, 163.793
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.84 opens the path toward the ~165.00 four-decade high
Loss of 163.71 breaks rising support and exposes 163.65
BoJ Outlook and Fed decision later this week are the two-sided risks for this pair
01:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 57 · price 163.761
Higher highs/higher lows into session high.
USDJPY pushed to a session high of 163.84 in the Asia session — sitting near four-decade highs — then eased back to 163.76 as the move cooled. Price holds above EMA20/50 with buyers stepping in around 163.71 on the pullback; range top still the pivot.
Support: 163.71, 163.65
Resistance: 163.84, 163.79
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.84 opens the path back toward the ~165.00 highs
Failure to hold 163.71 confirms a lower-low and softens the uptrend read
BoJ decision Fri 03:00 UTC is the dominant risk for this pair this week
Higher highs into Asia open, pullback from session high.
Late NY grinded higher and Asia opened with a break above 163.79 to a session high at 163.839, now retesting from 163.746 with RSI(14) cooling from the push. Move reflects a broadly softer USD post US-Iran de-escalation rather than genuine yen strength; a rising sequence of lows off 163.585 still holds.
Support: 163.72, 163.65, 163.585
Resistance: 163.839, 163.793
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.839 opens the path toward the recent highs
Failure to hold 163.72 breaks the rising-low sequence
BoJ decision Fri and FOMC Wed are the dominant two-sided risks into thin Asia liquidity
01:02 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 57 · price 163.746
Higher highs / higher lows into 40-yr-high zone.
Asia session pushed a fresh high at 163.839 then faded back to 163.746, a sweep of the session top with RSI(14) cooling near 57. Uptrend structure intact above EMA20/50 with higher lows holding since the 163.327 dip.
Support: 163.68, 163.585, 163.327
Resistance: 163.839, 163.79
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.68 breaks the higher-low chain
Reclaim of 163.839 reopens the ~165.00 four-decade-high path
BoJ decision later this week is the dominant JPY risk
00:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 62 · price 163.779
Higher highs off the 163.33 low, near session high.
USDJPY recovered from the 163.33 London dip and printed a fresh session high at 163.84 before easing to 163.78 in thin early-Asia trade. Structure is a clean chain of higher lows; the softer USD read (post-Durable Goods miss) hasn't dented the yen-carry bid near multi-decade highs.
Support: 163.70, 163.585, 163.33
Resistance: 163.84, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.84 opens the path to the 164.00 psych level
Loss of rising support near 163.585 breaks the higher-low chain
BoJ decision + Fed later this week carry two-sided squeeze risk
USDJPY ground higher through the window, recovering from the 163.327 London-session low as USD stayed soft on US-Iran de-escalation. Asia-session bar tagged 163.839 then eased to 163.779; higher-low chain intact, RSI(14) mid-60s and thin volume into the early hours.
Support: 163.72, 163.327
Resistance: 163.839, 163.79
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.84 opens the path toward the ~165.00 highs
Failure to hold 163.720 breaks the higher-low chain
BoJ decision Fri and FOMC Wed are two-sided risk that could reset this read
00:32 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 63 · price 163.778
Chain of higher highs and higher lows off 163.33.
Thin Asian session grinding higher off the London low at 163.33, tagging the session high at 163.84 on the latest push. Move is USD-soft driven (Middle East de-escalation, sub-$90 oil), RSI(14) mid-60s with room before extremes.
Support: 163.72, 163.65
Resistance: 163.84, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.84 opens the path to 164.00 psych
Loss of 163.72 recent swing breaks the higher-low chain
FOMC Wed and BoJ Fri are the dominant event risks this week
00:31 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 64 · price 163.778
Rising lows into session high.
USDJPY ground higher through a thin Asia session, tagging a fresh session high at 163.84 before easing to 163.78. Rising lows off the 163.33 base keep the intraday structure constructive; the move reflects broad USD firmness against a JPY still pinned near multi-decade lows.
Support: 163.71, 163.33
Resistance: 163.84
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.84 extends the session-high breakout
Failure to hold 163.71 breaks the rising-low structure
BoJ decision Fri and FOMC Wed are the dominant risks this week
00:17 UTC
Uptrend, fresh highs · RSI 72 · price 163.817
HH/HL chain, breaking prior session high.
Thin Asia-session bid pushed USD/JPY through the 163.79 prior high to a fresh 163.84 session high, with the pair sitting near four-decade highs on carry into Friday's BoJ. RSI(14) around 71 — hot but normal in this grind; volume is light on the breakout bar.
Support: 163.72, 163.66, 163.585
Resistance: 163.84, 163.793
What it said to watch
Loss of 163.72 consol low would negate the breakout and reopen 163.66
Thin Asia liquidity means the 163.84 break can fail without follow-through
BoJ hawkish-hold risk later in the week could squeeze this move
USDJPY pushed through the 163.79 session high in thin Asian-hours trade, extending a steady higher-high chain off the 163.33 dip; RSI(14) elevated near 68 but not extreme. Move reflects broad USD steadiness with JPY pinned near multi-decade lows rather than fresh yen weakness.
Support: 163.74, 163.70, 163.62
Resistance: 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 163.74 negates the breakout and reopens 163.62
164.00 round number is the next area to watch for rejection or extension
BoJ (Fri) and FOMC (Wed) are two-sided risks that can reset this read
00:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 64 · price 163.789
Higher highs, pressing session high.
USDJPY grinds to a fresh session high at 163.79 in thin early-Asia trade, extending the recovery off the 163.33 low, with USD softness offset by heavily net-short JPY positioning near multi-decade lows. Higher-high, higher-low chain intact and price holds above EMA20/50; RSI(14) mid-60s, room before overbought.
Support: 163.72, 163.327
Resistance: 163.793
What it said to watch
Close back below 163.72 breaks the recent higher-low chain
Failure to clear 163.793 session high leaves a range top in place
BoJ hold with hawkish guidance later this week is the JPY short-squeeze risk toward 162.80
00:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher into session high · RSI 64 · price 163.789
Chain of higher lows since the 163.33 dip, retesting range top.
Thin Asia-session tape grinding USD/JPY back to the session high at 163.79, with USD soft but yen only firming passively on lower oil. Higher lows have held since the 163.33 London dip; range top is being retested on light volume, RSI(14) mid-60s with room before extremes.
Support: 163.676, 163.585, 163.327
Resistance: 163.793, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.80 opens the path toward the 164.00 round number
Loss of 163.676 breaks the higher-low chain
BoJ decision and FOMC later this week are two-sided risk near multi-decade highs