USD/JPY AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Monday, 27 July 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/JPY 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum flat · RSI 57 · price 163.74
HH/HL chain, now consolidating near session high.
USDJPY ground higher through London/NY off the 163.33 low, USD softer post the Durable Goods miss, and is now consolidating in thin Asian hours just under the 163.79 session high. Buyers held 163.70 into the current bar; RSI(14) mid-range with ATR compressed to ~4 pips.
Support: 163.70, 163.65
Resistance: 163.79, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.79 opens the path toward 164.00
Loss of 163.70 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
Higher lows into a tight range near session highs.
USDJPY ground higher off the 163.33 dip and is now coiling in a tight 163.70–163.79 range near multi-decade highs, with late-session volume thinning out. Move is a USD-softness drift rather than yen strength; RSI(14) mid-range, no momentum extreme.
Support: 163.70, 163.62
Resistance: 163.79
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.79 session high extends the up-leg toward the ~165.00 area
Loss of 163.70 swing low opens 163.62
BoJ Outlook and Fed decision later this week are the dominant two-way risks
Recovery off session low, now consolidating below session high.
USDJPY ground higher from the 163.33 NY low to a 163.79 session high, then stalled into thin Asian trade and is coiling in a tight 163.72-163.79 band. RSI(14) sits mid-range and ATR has collapsed to ~3-4 pips as liquidity thins.
Support: 163.70, 163.62
Resistance: 163.79
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.79 session high extends the recovery leg
Loss of 163.70 swing low breaks the consolidation and reopens 163.62
BoJ decision later this week is the dominant JPY risk beyond this window
Higher highs into consolidation near session high.
USDJPY climbed off the 163.33 session low through London-NY to peak at 163.79, then stalled into thin Asian trade around 163.72-163.76. Price holds above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range; consolidation just under the session high, no fresh push yet.
Support: 163.68, 163.53, 163.33
Resistance: 163.79
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.79 session high reopens the path toward the ~165.00 four-decade high
Loss of 163.68 swing low would break the intraday higher-low chain toward 163.53
FOMC Wed and BoJ Fri are the dominant risks and could override this intraday read
Consolidating near session high after impulsive leg up.
USD/JPY rallied from the 163.33 session low to a 163.79 session high through the NY session as the softer-USD tone held, then stalled into thin late-session trade now coiling between 163.68 and 163.79. RSI(14) has cooled back to mid-range and price is pinned at EMA20 as volume dries up.
Support: 163.68, 163.33
Resistance: 163.79
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.79 session high extends the up-leg
Loss of 163.68 recent low breaks the consolidation lower
FOMC Wed and BoJ Fri are the week's dominant catalysts for this pair
USDJPY recovered from the 163.33 London spike low to mark a session high at 163.79, a USD-softness drift with the pair pinned near multi-decade highs. Price is now stalling in thin Asia trade between 163.66 and 163.79, RSI(14) neutral near 55.
Support: 163.66, 163.53, 163.33
Resistance: 163.79
What it said to watch
Close above 163.79 extends the recovery toward the round-number zone
Loss of 163.66 swing low reopens 163.53 range low
BoJ decision Fri and FOMC Wed are the dominant catalysts for this pair
Consolidating near session highs after grind up off 163.33.
USDJPY ground higher from the 163.33 low through NY, tagging a 163.79 session high before stalling into thin Asia trade around 163.72. RSI(14) has cooled to mid-range and ATR is compressed near 3 pips — price is coiling just under the session high with no fresh impulse.
Support: 163.696, 163.613
Resistance: 163.793
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.79 extends the up leg toward the 164.00 zone
Failure to hold the 163.70 swing low opens the 163.61 higher low
BoJ / FOMC risk later this week is the dominant catalyst for this pair
Consolidating near session highs after recovery off 163.33.
USDJPY recovered off the 163.33 session low and ground back to 163.79 before stalling; price now coils in a tight 163.72-163.76 band on thin early-Asia liquidity. EMA20/50 slope up under price but the last dozen bars show no expansion — consolidation just below the session high.
Support: 163.62, 163.53, 163.327
Resistance: 163.793, 163.76
What it said to watch
A close above 163.79 extends the recovery toward the 164.00 high zone
Loss of 163.62 breaks the higher-low chain and reopens 163.53
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC dominates — thin liquidity until then can distort intraday moves
Recovered off 163.33 low, grinding into session high.
USDJPY recovered from the 163.33 NY-session low and ground up to a session high at 163.79, aided by broad USD relief. Price is now consolidating near the highs in thin Asia trade with RSI(14) around 59, off its earlier peaks.
Support: 163.68, 163.62
Resistance: 163.79
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.68 breaks the rising structure and reopens 163.62
Break above 163.79 extends the recovery leg
BoJ/FOMC later this week are the dominant catalysts for this pair
NY session drove a clean recovery off the 163.33 session low up to a 163.79 session high, a relief bid on USD softness rather than genuine yen strength. Price is now consolidating in thin Asian-hours flow just under that high, holding the higher-low chain from 163.585.
Support: 163.685, 163.585, 163.327
Resistance: 163.793, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.793 session high opens the path toward the 164.00 intervention zone
Loss of 163.685 swing low breaks the intraday higher-low chain
FOMC Wed and BoJ later in the week are the dominant catalysts for this pair
Higher lows off session low, consolidating near top.
USDJPY recovered off the 163.327 session low in a clean chain of higher lows and pushed into a 163.793 session high before stalling. Price now consolidates around 163.75 in thin, low-volume trade, holding above EMA20/50 with RSI cooling near 61.
Support: 163.70, 163.585, 163.327
Resistance: 163.793, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.793 session high opens the path to 164.000 psych
Loss of 163.700 pullback low exposes the 163.585 swing low
FOMC (Wed) and BoJ later this week are the dominant catalysts and can reset this read
22:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum easing into Asia · RSI 61 · price 163.754
Higher lows off 163.33, grinding toward session high.
USDJPY recovered from the 163.33 day low and ground higher through NY, printing a session high at 163.793 before stalling just under it. Thin Asian-session bars now hold 163.75, with the move framed as USD relief rather than genuine yen strength.
Support: 163.585, 163.471, 163.327
Resistance: 163.793, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.79 opens the path toward the 164.00 psych level
Failure to hold 163.585 swing low would confirm a lower-low and break the rising support
FOMC Wed and BoJ later this week are the dominant catalysts, not intraday
USDJPY has ground back up from the 163.33 flush to stall just under the 163.79 session high, price holding a chain of higher lows on thin Asia-session volume. RSI(14) near 58 is neutral, and the recovery reads more as broad USD softness/relief than fresh yen weakness.
Support: 163.676, 163.585, 163.471
Resistance: 163.793, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.79 opens the path back toward 164.00
Failure to hold 163.585 breaks the higher-low chain
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and BoJ later this week are the dominant catalysts
Consolidating below session high after bounce off 163.33.
USDJPY recovered from the session low at 163.33 and stalled at 163.79, now drifting in a tight range around 163.75 in thin late-session trade. RSI mid-range at ~60, no immediate exhaustion; the pull is more USD softness/relief than genuine yen bid per the macro read.
Support: 163.676, 163.327
Resistance: 163.793
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.79 session high opens continuation higher
Failure to hold 163.676 swing low signals a lower low
Thin end-of-day liquidity exaggerating small moves
Higher lows off session low, capped near session high.
USDJPY recovered off the 163.33 session low in a chain of higher lows and pushed to a 163.79 session high before easing back to 163.72. Now consolidating in thin late-NY/early-Asia liquidity — the move reflects broad USD relief softness more than yen strength, with RSI(14) mid-range and no fresh momentum.
Support: 163.68, 163.33
Resistance: 163.79, 164.00
What it said to watch
Close below 163.68 breaks the rising higher-low sequence
Break above 163.79 session high opens the path toward 164.00
FOMC Wed and BoJ later this week are the dominant catalysts that could reset this read
USDJPY has ground higher off the 163.33 London low, tagging a session high at 163.79 during NY before easing to 163.72 in thin late-Asia trade. Structure holds a chain of higher lows along rising support; RSI(14) mid-range at ~56, no extreme in play.
Support: 163.70, 163.53
Resistance: 163.79
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.79 session high extends the uptrend
Loss of 163.70 swing low breaks the rising support and threatens a lower low toward 163.53 range low
FOMC Wed is the dominant catalyst and can override this intraday read
Recovery off 163.33 low, consolidating below session high.
NY session clawed USDJPY off the 163.33 session low back to a 163.79 high as the dollar stayed broadly soft on US-Iran de-escalation. Price is now consolidating near 163.70 in thin late-session trade after rejection at 163.79, RSI(14) sitting mid-range with ATR compressed.
Support: 163.66, 163.53, 163.33
Resistance: 163.79, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.79 session high opens the path toward 164.00
Failure to hold 163.66 swing low exposes 163.53 prior low
FOMC Wed and Tokyo CPI Thu are the dominant catalysts that could reset this read
NY session drove USDJPY to a session high at 163.79 before rejection back toward 163.68 — the 23.6% retrace of the 163.33-163.79 leg — capped under the 163.76 prior high. Price now consolidating near 163.70 in thin late-session flow after a small gap down; RSI(14) neutral near 52, ATR ~4 pips.
Support: 163.676, 163.60
Resistance: 163.793, 163.76
What it said to watch
Loss of 163.68 recent low opens the 163.60 swing low
Reclaim of the 163.79 session high resumes the uptrend
FOMC Wed and BoJ Fri are the week's dominant catalysts for this pair
NY session recovered from the 163.33 low to a session high at 163.79, then drifted back to 163.68 in thin late-session trade. RSI(14) has cooled to neutral around 49 and price is now hugging the EMA20, consolidating in a 163.65–163.79 band.
Support: 163.65, 163.585, 163.47
Resistance: 163.79, 163.72
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.79 session high opens the path higher
Loss of 163.65 swing low exposes 163.47
FOMC Wed and BoJ this week are the dominant catalysts
21:31 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 45 · price 163.688
Higher highs into session high, now easing in thin trade.
NY rally lifted USDJPY off the 163.33 low to a session high at 163.79 before rejection dragged price back to 163.688 in thin late-session trade. Pullback holding above the 163.65 swing low; RSI(14) cooling to mid-40s as the up-leg pauses.
Support: 163.65, 163.585, 163.53
Resistance: 163.79
What it said to watch
Loss of 163.65 confirms a deeper pullback toward 163.53
M15 close above 163.79 reopens the path toward 164.00
Wed FOMC and Fri BoJ Outlook are the week's dominant catalysts
21:17 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 47 · price 163.677
Higher lows off session low, stalling below session high.
USDJPY recovered from the 163.33 session low through NY hours to tag 163.79, then faded into the session close on thin volume, now sitting at 163.68 below EMA20. RSI(14) has cooled back to mid-40s as the pullback works into the 163.72 pivot; session-high supply at 163.79 still respected.
Support: 163.585, 163.53, 163.327
Resistance: 163.72, 163.793
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.79 resumes the intraday uptrend
Loss of 163.53 shelf reopens the 163.33 session low
FOMC (Wed) and BoJ (Fri) are the week's dominant catalysts for this pair
21:17 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 49 · price 163.677
HH/HL chain, pullback from session high.
USDJPY rallied off the 163.33 day low through NY hours to a session high of 163.79, then rejected and eased back to 163.68 on thin post-NY-close liquidity, slipping below EMA20 while holding above EMA50. Higher-low structure intact; move is more USD softness than genuine yen strength per the digest.
Support: 163.585, 163.471, 163.333
Resistance: 163.793
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 163.76 resumes the up-leg toward 163.79 session high
loss of 163.585 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
thin Asia-session liquidity may exaggerate moves; BoJ/Fed later this week are the dominant catalysts
USDJPY clawed back from the 163.33 session low made during the London-NY session — a move framed as USD softness/relief rather than genuine yen strength — and printed a session high at 163.79 before stalling into late NY hours. Price is now coiling around 163.74 just under that high; RSI(14) mid-range near 58, ATR compressed to ~4 pips.
Support: 163.70, 163.33
Resistance: 163.79, 164.00
What it said to watch
Close above 163.79 opens the path toward the 164.00 psych level
Failure to hold 163.70 breaks the higher-low chain
Wed FOMC and Thu BoJ / Tokyo CPI are the dominant catalysts that could reset this read
USDJPY ground higher through the NY session off the 163.33 low, tagging 163.79 before easing into the Asia handover on USD softness and modest JPY relief. Price now coils between 163.70 and 163.79 with RSI(14) cooling from the highs — no fresh break in play.
Support: 163.70, 163.62
Resistance: 163.79
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.79 extends the up-leg toward the 164.00 zone
Failure to hold 163.70 opens the 163.62 swing low
FOMC Wed and BoJ later this week are the dominant catalysts that can reset this read
USDJPY ground higher off the 163.33 spike low through NY hours, tagging a session high at 163.793 before stalling; the move is more USD relief softness fading than genuine yen strength. Price now coils near the highs with RSI(14) cooling toward the mid-50s and ATR compressing into the late session.
Support: 163.70, 163.585, 163.33
Resistance: 163.793, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.79 opens the path toward 164.00
Loss of 163.585 confirms a lower-low and breaks the rising support
FOMC Wed and BoJ Fri are the dominant catalysts that could override this read
Higher highs off the 163.33 low, stalling under session high.
USDJPY recovered from the 163.33 NY-session flush and ground steadily higher into the late session, printing a session high at 163.793 before stalling. Price now hovers at 163.76 on thin late-session bars; RSI(14) mid-60s, no extreme. Move reads as USD relief/consolidation into Wednesday's FOMC rather than fresh yen selling.
Support: 163.70, 163.585, 163.52
Resistance: 163.793, 163.80
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.793 opens the path toward the 163.80 psych level
Loss of 163.700 exposes the 163.585 higher low; a break below negates the higher-high chain
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and BoJ later in the week are the dominant catalysts ahead
Higher lows off 163.33, consolidating below session high.
USDJPY recovered off the 163.33 flush low on broad USD softness, printing a chain of higher lows into the 163.79 session high before stalling. Price now consolidating in the low 163.70s, RSI cooling from the push and holding mid-range.
Support: 163.70, 163.62
Resistance: 163.793, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.79 opens the path to 164.00
Failure to hold 163.62 breaks the higher-low chain
FOMC Wed is the dominant catalyst but sits outside the next bar window
Higher highs / higher lows off 163.33, consolidating at session high.
USDJPY ground higher through the NY session off the 163.33 session low, printing a HH/HL chain into 163.793 on the broad USD relief bid. Price is now stalling at that session high, RSI cooling from the mid-60s as the last few bars flatten near 163.74.
Support: 163.585, 163.471, 163.327
Resistance: 163.793, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.79 opens the path toward 164.00 psych
Loss of 163.585 higher low breaks the intraday HL chain
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this read
Higher lows off 163.33, consolidating below session high.
USDJPY clawed back from the 163.33 session low on broad USD relief softness, printing a higher-low chain up to a 163.79 session high before stalling. Price now consolidates around 163.74 into the Asia handover, RSI(14) cooling near mid-range and volume thinning.
Support: 163.70, 163.585, 163.327
Resistance: 163.79
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.79 opens the path back toward the 164.00 zone
Loss of 163.70 breaks the recent base and puts 163.585 swing low back in play
FOMC Wed and BoJ Thu are the week's dominant catalysts for this pair
20:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum steady · RSI 59 · price 163.741
Higher lows since the 163.33 low, grinding up.
USDJPY recovered off the 163.33 session low through the NY session, grinding up to a session high at 163.79 before easing back to 163.74. Chain of higher lows intact, RSI(14) mid-range near 59; more relief rally than fresh yen weakness per the softer-USD backdrop.
Support: 163.66, 163.33
Resistance: 163.79, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.79 opens the path toward the 164.00 psych level
Failure to hold the 163.66 swing low breaks the rising higher-low sequence
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
Higher highs / higher lows off 163.33, stalling near session high.
NY session ground higher from the 163.33 low to a 163.79 session high, then eased into the close near 163.74 with RSI(14) cooling from the low-60s. Rising-low sequence intact above 163.62; the 164.00 handle and intervention zone caps the extension.
Support: 163.62, 163.33
Resistance: 163.79, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.79 opens the path to 164.00
Failure to hold 163.62 breaks the rising-low sequence
BoJ and FOMC later this week are the dominant risk to this read
20:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 60 · price 163.744
Higher highs and higher lows off 163.33.
USDJPY recovered from the 163.33 NY-session low and grinds into a fresh session high at 163.793, with higher lows intact through late NY hours. RSI(14) around 60 — firm but not stretched. Move reads as USD relief/JPY softness with price pinned near multi-decade highs.
Support: 163.65, 163.585, 163.327
Resistance: 163.793
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.79 extends the higher-high sequence toward the 164.00 zone
Failure to hold 163.65 breaks the recent higher-low chain
FOMC Wed and BoJ later this week could materially shift this read
NY session drove USDJPY to a session high of 163.79 before easing back to 163.71, RSI(14) cooling from the highs. The intraday uptrend off the 163.33 low holds above 163.65; the move reads more USD softness on US-Iran de-escalation than genuine yen strength.
Support: 163.65, 163.585
Resistance: 163.793
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.793 reopens the path toward 164.00
Failure to hold 163.65 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
BoJ and FOMC risk this week can override intraday structure
Higher lows off session low, grinding toward session high.
USDJPY recovered off the 163.33 session low through NY hours, printing higher lows and stalling at the 163.79 session high; last bar eased to 163.71 as momentum flattened, RSI(14) mid-50s. Move reads as USD relief rather than yen strength per the risk-on tone.
Support: 163.60, 163.53, 163.33
Resistance: 163.79, 164.00
What it said to watch
Break and hold above 163.79 opens the path toward the 164.00 psych level
Loss of 163.60 swing low breaks the rising sequence and exposes 163.53
BoJ and FOMC later this week are the dominant risk to this read
NY session rallied off the 163.327 session low into a stair-step uptrend, tagging a session high of 163.793 before easing to 163.707. RSI(14) near 60 and cooling as the pullback develops; ATR sits around 4 pips, a tight intraday range.
Support: 163.62, 163.55, 163.33
Resistance: 163.79, 163.72
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.79 extends the uptrend
Close below 163.62 breaks the higher-low chain
FOMC Wed is the dominant catalyst and can reset this read
NY session grinded higher into a session high at 163.793 before rejecting back to 163.71, RSI(14) cooling from the push. Chain of higher lows off 163.585 still intact; pullback shallow so far.
Support: 163.62, 163.53
Resistance: 163.79, 163.76
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 163.62 breaks the higher-low chain
Reclaim of 163.79 reopens the path toward 163.85
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this pair this week
19:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 63 · price 163.754
Higher highs, higher lows off 163.33.
NY session grinding higher off the 163.33 low, printing a chain of higher lows into a fresh session high at 163.79. RSI mid-60s, no overbought stress; the lift reflects broad USD softness on US-Iran de-escalation rather than genuine yen strength.
Support: 163.585, 163.471, 163.327
Resistance: 163.793, 164.00
What it said to watch
Close above 163.79 opens the path to the 164.00 round number
Loss of 163.585 swing low breaks the rising support
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this pair
NY session ground higher off the 163.33 low, printing a chain of higher lows into the session high at 163.79, RSI(14) mid-60s. Price holds above EMA20/50 with buyers stepping in near 163.62 on the last pullback.
Support: 163.62, 163.58
Resistance: 163.793, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.79 opens the path toward the 164.00 psych level
Failure to hold 163.62 breaks the higher-low chain
FOMC Wed and BoJ Fri are the week's dominant catalysts for this pair
USDJPY ground higher through the NY session off the 163.33 low, printing a fresh session high at 163.793 on the last bar before easing to 163.756. Chain of higher lows intact and price above EMA20/50; RSI(14) near 61, room to run before hot. Move reflects USD steadiness rather than yen strength into Fed-BoJ week.
Support: 163.69, 163.585, 163.327
Resistance: 163.793
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.69 breaks the higher-low sequence
Sustained break above 163.793 opens the path back toward the 164.00 area
USDJPY has ground higher through the NY session off the 163.33 low, printing a fresh session high at 163.793 as the dollar stayed soft on US-Iran de-escalation. RSI(14) near 64 — firm but not stretched; price holds above EMA20/50 in a clean HH/HL sequence.
Support: 163.69, 163.585, 163.33
Resistance: 163.793, 163.85, 164.00
What it said to watch
Break and hold above 163.793 opens the path toward the 163.85 prior high and 164.00 psych
Loss of 163.585 swing low breaks the intraday HL chain
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst that could reset this read
Higher lows off the flush, grinding toward session high.
NY session recovered the 163.33 flush low and built a chain of higher lows, now grinding back toward the 163.766 session high with RSI(14) around 60. USD softness on risk-on flows (US-Iran pause) underpins the drift, but the move is slow with ATR near 4 pips in late NY hours.
Support: 163.585, 163.471, 163.327
Resistance: 163.766, 163.80
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.766 opens the path to the 163.80 round number
Failure to hold 163.585 breaks the higher-low chain and reopens 163.471
USDJPY has ground higher through NY hours off the 163.33 session low, printing higher lows and now retesting the 163.765 session high as broad USD softness weighs. RSI(14) mid-60s, price above both EMAs — momentum constructive but pressing into resistance.
Support: 163.585, 163.471, 163.327
Resistance: 163.765, 163.851
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.765 opens the path to the 163.85 prior high
Loss of 163.585 breaks the rising-lows chain and reopens 163.47
BoJ hold and Tokyo CPI later this week are the dominant catalysts for this pair
Higher lows off session low, consolidating under session high.
USD/JPY recovered off the 163.327 session low into NY hours as the softer USD tone held, printing higher lows up to a 163.766 session high. Price is now coiling in a tight 163.62–163.76 band with RSI mid-range and ATR compressed near 5 pips — momentum has flattened late in the session.
Support: 163.585, 163.471, 163.327
Resistance: 163.766, 163.851
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.766 extends the recovery toward the 163.851 prior high
Loss of 163.585 breaks the higher-low chain and reopens 163.471
FOMC Wed and BoJ Fri are the dominant catalysts that will override this intraday read
Higher lows off 163.33 spike, capped near session high.
USDJPY recovered from a 163.33 spike low during the London-NY window and ground back into the 163.766 session high, JPY relief on softer USD/oil rather than genuine yen strength. Now consolidating 163.65-163.766 with RSI mid-range; buyers stepping in on dips toward 163.65.
Support: 163.65, 163.585, 163.53
Resistance: 163.766, 163.85
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.766 session high opens the path toward 163.85
Failure to hold 163.65 exposes the 163.585 swing low
FOMC Wed and BoJ this week are the dominant catalysts that can shift this read
NY session rebounded off the 163.33 day low to a 163.77 session high, then pulled back to 163.59 before grinding back toward the highs; price now consolidating ~163.70 between 163.59 and 163.77. USD stayed soft on risk-on and a durable goods miss, but the intraday move is corrective off lows rather than a fresh trend.
Support: 163.585, 163.471, 163.327
Resistance: 163.766, 163.725
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.766 reopens the topside toward the near-165.00 highs
Failure to hold 163.585 confirms a lower-low and reopens 163.33
FOMC Wed and BoJ Fri are the week's catalysts — not this session
Higher lows since 163.33, consolidating below session high.
NY session recovered from the 163.33 low and pushed a session high at 163.766 before drifting into a tight 163.68-163.72 consolidation; RSI(14) neutral near 53. Higher-low chain intact but the topside push has stalled just under the session high.
Support: 163.62, 163.585, 163.52
Resistance: 163.766, 163.723
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.766 extends the recovery leg
Failure to hold 163.585 confirms a lower-low and breaks the rising-low chain
FOMC Wed and BoJ Fri are the dominant catalysts and can override this intraday read
18:01 UTC
Recovering, higher lows · RSI 58 · price 163.723
Grinding up off the day low, coiling below session high.
USDJPY has climbed a chain of higher lows off the 163.33 day low, with the earlier drop tied to broad USD softness on US-Iran de-escalation. Price is now coiling near 163.72 just under the 163.766 session high; RSI(14) mid-range at 58, no extreme in play.
Support: 163.585, 163.471, 163.327
Resistance: 163.766, 164.00
What it said to watch
Break and hold above 163.766 opens the path toward the 164.00 psych level
Loss of 163.585 swing low breaks the rising-lows structure
FOMC (Wed) and BoJ (Fri) are the dominant catalysts that can reset this read
Higher lows off session low, testing session high.
USDJPY recovered from the 163.33 session low on broad USD softness and now grinds back toward the 163.766 session high, RSI(14) mid-range near 58. Higher lows intact off 163.585, but the topside is capping just under 163.77.
Support: 163.585, 163.327
Resistance: 163.766, 163.80
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.766 opens the path toward 163.80
Loss of 163.585 breaks the higher-low chain
FOMC Wed and BoJ Fri are the dominant catalysts that can override this read
USDJPY recovered from the 163.327 NY-session low as USD softened on US-Iran de-escalation, building a chain of higher lows back toward the 163.766 session high. Price sits at 163.723 with RSI(14) mid-range, room in either direction.
Support: 163.585, 163.53, 163.327
Resistance: 163.766, 163.80
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.766 opens the path toward 163.80
Failure to hold 163.585 breaks the higher-low chain
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this pair
USDJPY bounced off the 163.33 NY session low and ground back to the 163.76 session high, RSI(14) neutral near 57. Price now consolidating in the 163.58–163.76 band with the topside untested since the late-session pull to 163.585.
Support: 163.585, 163.471, 163.327
Resistance: 163.765, 163.758
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.765 extends the recovery toward 164.00
Loss of 163.585 reopens the 163.33 session low
FOMC Wed and BoJ Fri are the dominant catalysts that can override this intraday read
USD softer on US-Iran de-escalation pushed USDJPY to a 163.327 NY-session low before buyers stepped in, lifting price back to 163.707 in a chain of higher lows. Supply capped the bounce at 163.766; pair now consolidating just below the session high with RSI(14) neutral near 54.
Support: 163.585, 163.53, 163.327
Resistance: 163.72, 163.766
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.766 opens continuation toward the near-164.00 pivot
Loss of 163.585 re-exposes the 163.327 session low
FOMC (Wed) and BoJ (Fri) are the dominant catalysts — two-way risk
Higher lows off 163.33, consolidating below session high.
USDJPY recovered off the 163.33 session low through NY hours to a 163.765 session high, now consolidating around 163.70 as the risk-on USD softness (US-Iran de-escalation) fades. Higher-low chain intact; buyers stepped in at 163.585 on the last pullback, RSI(14) neutral near 55.
Support: 163.585, 163.471, 163.327
Resistance: 163.72, 163.765
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.585 breaks the higher-low chain
Break above 163.765 session high reopens the topside
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and BoJ Fri are the dominant catalysts for this pair
Higher lows off session low, consolidating below session high.
USDJPY recovered off the 163.33 session low through the London-NY session, printing a session high at 163.766 before easing back. Late NY now consolidating near 163.70, RSI(14) neutral around 53 after cooling from the highs; USD softer on US-Iran de-escalation while price holds above 163.585.
Support: 163.585, 163.471, 163.327
Resistance: 163.766, 163.723
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.585 opens the path back toward 163.33
Break above 163.766 resumes the intraday recovery
FOMC (Wed) and BoJ (Fri) are the dominant catalysts, two-way risk into both
USDJPY rallied off the 163.33 spike low through the NY session to a 163.765 high, then rejected and pulled back into a 163.585–163.72 range. USD softer broadly on US-Iran de-escalation; price now sitting on EMA20 with RSI flat near 52, no directional push.
Support: 163.585, 163.471, 163.327
Resistance: 163.723, 163.765
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.765 resumes the recovery leg
Loss of 163.585 confirms a lower low toward 163.47
FOMC Wed and BoJ Fri are the dominant catalysts ahead — off-chart for now
NY session recovered off the 163.33 day low to a 163.766 session high before rejecting there, then eased back to hold 163.585. Price now hovers at 163.657 near EMA20 with RSI(14) neutral around 51 — recovery intact but stalling into FOMC week.
Support: 163.585, 163.47, 163.33
Resistance: 163.72, 163.766
What it said to watch
Close above 163.766 session high resumes the NY rally
Loss of 163.585 session low opens 163.47 swing low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and 162.80 macro support are the wider pivots
NY afternoon recovery off the 163.327 day low stalled at 163.766, then pulled back to 163.585 — roughly the 38.2% retrace of the leg up — before steadying near 163.657. RSI(14) has cooled toward neutral; price is hovering at EMA20 with EMA50 below.
Support: 163.585, 163.471, 163.327
Resistance: 163.766, 163.72
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 163.766 reopens the path toward the 164.00 zone
Loss of 163.585 confirms a lower-low and exposes 163.471
FOMC Wed and BoJ Fri frame the broader USD/JPY read this week
16:47 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 48 · price 163.626
HH/HL into NY, retrace off session high.
NY session climbed from the 163.327 low to a session high of 163.766 before rejecting, and price is now retracing to 163.63 — around the 38.2% of that leg. RSI(14) has cooled back to the mid-40s and price slipped below EMA20 while holding above EMA50, with the 163.585 session low the immediate marker.
Support: 163.585, 163.471, 163.327
Resistance: 163.766, 163.723
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.585 exposes the 163.471 swing low
Reclaim of 163.766 session high resumes the intraday uptrend
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and BoJ Fri are the week's dominant catalysts
USDJPY recovered from the 163.33 low through the London-NY session, tagging 163.766 before rejecting and pulling back to 163.62 — sitting on the 38.2% fib of that leg. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s as the advance stalls below the session high; move driven by USD softness rather than JPY strength into Fed-BoJ week.
Support: 163.57, 163.53, 163.47
Resistance: 163.72, 163.766
What it said to watch
Loss of 163.57 pivot opens the path back to 163.53/163.47
M15 close above 163.72 re-tests the 163.766 day high
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USD/JPY recovered off the 163.33 session low through London into NY, tagging a session high at 163.766 before rejecting and fading to 163.62, RSI(14) cooling near 44. The bounce reflects broad USD softness post-ceasefire; price still holds above the 163.57 pivot flagged into FOMC.
Support: 163.57, 163.53, 163.33
Resistance: 163.766, 163.72
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.57 exposes 163.53 and the 163.33 session low
Reclaim of 163.766 needed to resume the intraday advance
FOMC Wed could materially shift this read
16:32 UTC
Recovery leg stalling, pulling back · RSI 42 · price 163.616
Higher lows off 163.33 spike low, rejected at 163.76.
NY session recovered from a 163.33 spike low up to 163.76 before rejecting, and price is now pulling back to 163.62 with RSI(14) cooling to the low 40s. The recovery leg is stalling but higher lows off the spike remain intact.
Support: 163.53, 163.33
Resistance: 163.76, 163.72
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.53 opens the 163.33 spike low
Reclaim of 163.76 session high resumes the recovery leg
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant upcoming risk for this read
Higher highs from 163.33, consolidating below 163.76.
NY session rallied off the 163.327 session low up to 163.765, then stalled and pulled back to 163.68 with RSI cooling to the mid-range. Consolidating in the 163.66–163.76 band; move stalled just under the session high with USD broadly softer after the weak Durable Goods miss.
Support: 163.656, 163.53, 163.327
Resistance: 163.765, 163.723
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.765 reopens the recovery leg
Loss of 163.656 exposes a retest of the 163.53 swing low
FOMC Wed is the larger risk event but sits outside this window
Higher lows off 163.33, stalling below session high.
NY session recovered off the 163.33 session low to tag 163.765, then stalled and drifted back to 163.68, RSI(14) cooling to mid-range. Price now sits at the EMA20 as the rally consolidates below the session high.
Support: 163.656, 163.33
Resistance: 163.765, 163.72
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.765 opens continuation toward the 164.00 area
Failure to hold 163.656 confirms a lower-low and breaks the rising support
FOMC Wed and BoJ Fri could materially shift this read
16:02 UTC
Uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 53 · price 163.699
Higher lows off 163.33, pulling back from session high.
NY afternoon: USDJPY rallied off the 163.33 low to a session high of 163.765 before easing back to 163.70, RSI(14) cooling from the highs into the low-50s. Higher-low structure intact but the 163.765 top capped the last two pushes; buyers stepped in around 163.65.
Support: 163.655, 163.53, 163.47
Resistance: 163.765, 163.80
What it said to watch
Close above 163.765 opens the path toward 163.80
Failure to hold 163.65 exposes 163.53
FOMC Wed and BoJ Fri could materially shift this read
16:02 UTC
Recovering, higher lows · RSI 56 · price 163.699
Rebound off session low, capped below session high.
USDJPY swept a session low at 163.327 mid-window then recovered through NY hours, printing higher lows and stalling under the 163.765 session high. Price holds ~163.70 above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) neutral near 56; move traces the broad risk-on, softer-USD tone after US-Iran de-escalation.
Support: 163.656, 163.327
Resistance: 163.765, 163.85
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.765 opens the path toward the 163.85 prior high
Loss of the 163.656 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term risk into JPY
Recovery off session low, pullback from session high.
USDJPY recovered from the 163.33 session low back to the 163.766 session high as risk-on flows on US-Iran de-escalation kept the dollar softer. Price is now consolidating near 163.68 after rejection at the highs, RSI(14) cooling to the low-50s and sitting on the EMA20.
Support: 163.653, 163.327
Resistance: 163.766
What it said to watch
Close below 163.653 confirms a lower low and threatens the recovery
Break above 163.766 reopens the path higher toward 164.00
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher highs off 163.33 low, pulling back from session high.
NY session recovered from the 163.33 London low, chaining higher highs to a session high of 163.765 before stalling. Price now retracing to 163.68 with RSI(14) cooling back to neutral; 163.655 recent low is the first shelf, session high capping above.
Support: 163.655, 163.534, 163.471
Resistance: 163.765, 163.72
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.765 resumes the higher-high sequence
Loss of 163.655 opens the path back toward 163.53
FOMC Wed and BoJ Fri keep this two-way into midweek
15:31 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 52 · price 163.681
HH/HL recovery off session low, retracing from session high.
NY session recovered off the 163.33 low back to a session high of 163.765, then rejected there with RSI(14) cooling to mid-range. Price now pulling back into 163.68, holding above the 163.65 recent low as the up-leg pauses.
Support: 163.653, 163.53, 163.327
Resistance: 163.765, 163.723
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.765 reopens the path toward 164.00
Failure to hold 163.65 exposes 163.53 and confirms a lower-low
FOMC Wed and BoJ Fri are the dominant catalysts ahead
NY session recovered from the London low at 163.327 and pushed to a session high of 163.766 before stalling; last two bars fading back to 163.68 with RSI cooling from the high-60s. Higher lows still intact — this is a shallow pullback within the intraday climb, not a break.
Support: 163.655, 163.57
Resistance: 163.766, 164.00
What it said to watch
Loss of 163.655 breaks the higher-low chain
Close above 163.766 opens the 164.00 pivot
FOMC Wed is the dominant catalyst and can reshape this read
Higher lows off spike low, capped at session high.
NY session recovered off the 163.33 spike low in a chain of higher lows, but the push stalled at the session high of 163.765 with rejection wicks and RSI(14) cooling to mid-50s. Price now drifting back toward the 163.65 recent low.
Support: 163.65, 163.53, 163.33
Resistance: 163.765
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.765 opens the path higher
Failure to hold 163.65 exposes the 163.53 swing low
NY session ground USD/JPY off the 163.33 low back to 163.77, but the 163.765 session high has rejected twice and price is easing to 163.70. RSI(14) cooling near 56; a shallow pullback within an intraday uptrend, two-way into this week's Fed/BoJ.
Support: 163.65, 163.47, 163.327
Resistance: 163.765, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.765 opens the path to the 164.00 pivot
Loss of 163.65 exposes a deeper retrace toward 163.47
FOMC Wed and BoJ Fri could materially shift this read
Higher highs off session low, consolidating below session high.
USD/JPY recovered through the NY session off the 163.33 low, printing higher highs to a session high of 163.77 before stalling near 163.72. Move is USD-driven risk-on unwind rather than domestic JPY conviction; RSI cooling from the highs as price consolidates below 164.00.
Support: 163.65, 163.53, 163.33
Resistance: 163.77, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.77 opens the path to the 164.00 psych level
Failure to hold 163.65 exposes the 163.53 swing low
FOMC Wed and BoJ Fri are the key risk events for this pair
NY session ground higher off the 163.33 spike low, tagging a session high at 163.77 before easing to 163.72 with RSI cooling from the mid-60s. USD stayed soft after the durable goods miss, but moves are muted into Wednesday's FOMC.
Support: 163.65, 163.53, 163.33
Resistance: 163.77, 163.85
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.77 opens the path toward 163.85
Failure to hold 163.65 exposes 163.53
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDJPY has ground back up through the NY session after a sweep to 163.33, printing a clean higher-low chain into 163.77 with RSI(14) mid-60s. Move is USD-driven softness fading — dollar stabilised after the US-Iran de-escalation risk-on — with price now retesting the session high.
Support: 163.65, 163.53, 163.33
Resistance: 163.77, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.77 opens the path to the 164.00 psych level
Failure to hold 163.65 threatens the recovery and reopens 163.53
FOMC Wed and BoJ Fri are the dominant risks this week
USDJPY has clawed back from the 163.33 session low into the NY session, printing a chain of higher lows and tagging a session high at 163.77, RSI(14) around 59. Move is USD-side softness fading rather than domestic JPY conviction; price now grinding just under the highs.
Support: 163.65, 163.53, 163.33
Resistance: 163.77, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.77 opens the 164.00 pivot
Failure to hold 163.65 exposes the 163.53 swing low
Higher-low chain off 163.33, stalling at session high.
USD/JPY recovered through the NY session off the 163.33 spike low, grinding to the session high at 163.76 where price is now stalling. RSI(14) elevated near 65 with ATR around 5 pips; the higher-low chain off 163.53 remains intact.
Support: 163.65, 163.53
Resistance: 163.76, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.76 session high opens the path toward the 164.00 intervention line
Loss of the 163.65 higher low would stall the recovery
FOMC Wed and BoJ Fri are the dominant catalysts ahead
14:31 UTC
Recovery, micro uptrend · RSI 63 · price 163.751
Higher lows off session low, pressing session high.
USDJPY has clawed back from the London session low at 163.327 in a steady chain of higher lows, now testing the session high near 163.765 during NY hours. JPY firmed modestly on the US-Iran de-escalation and softer oil, but the recovery has retraced the entire down-leg with RSI(14) around 63, not yet stretched.
Support: 163.65, 163.327
Resistance: 163.765, 164.00
What it said to watch
A close above 163.765 opens the path toward the 164.00 psych / intervention zone
Loss of the 163.65 recent low breaks the rising support and higher-low chain
BoJ and FOMC later this week are the dominant catalysts for this pair
USDJPY has ground higher through the NY session off the 163.327 session low, printing a clean higher-low chain and pressing the 163.765 session high, RSI(14) mid-60s with room. Above sits the 164.00 intervention line flagged by MoF; overhead supply into that psych level is the near-term ceiling.
Support: 163.653, 163.53, 163.327
Resistance: 163.765, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.765 opens the path to 164.00 intervention line
Failure to hold 163.65 breaks the higher-low chain toward 163.53
FOMC Wed and BoJ Fri can materially reset this read into the week
USDJPY reopened after a weekend gap down and has ground back up through the NY session, printing higher lows off the 163.327 session low and stalling into the 163.765 session high. RSI(14) mid-60s, no extreme; JPY firmer overall as the US-Iran pause pulled oil lower, but price holds near 40-yr highs into the BoJ.
Support: 163.65, 163.33
Resistance: 163.765, 163.85
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.765 opens the path to the 163.85 pre-gap high
Failure to hold 163.65 intraday low breaks the higher-low chain
FOMC Wed and BoJ Fri are the dominant catalysts for this pair
14:02 UTC
Recovery, higher highs · RSI 68 · price 163.758
Rising HL chain off 163.33 low.
USDJPY recovered through the NY session from the 163.33 flush low, printing a clean higher-low chain and pushing back to the session high at 163.765, RSI(14) near 68. Yen firmed only marginally on the US-Iran pause; price is grinding back toward the 164.00 intervention zone with no rejection yet at the session top.
Support: 163.65, 163.33
Resistance: 163.765, 164.00
What it said to watch
Close above 163.765 opens the path toward 164.00 psych/intervention line
Failure to hold 163.65 breaks the rising HL chain
FOMC Wed and BoJ Fri are the dominant catalysts and could reset this read
Higher lows off session low, testing session high.
USDJPY has recovered steadily through the NY session from the 163.33 session low, printing a higher-low chain into 163.76 as the US-Iran de-escalation and soft durable goods left USD offered but supported. RSI(14) near 63, momentum firm but not stretched; price stalling just under the session high.
Support: 163.65, 163.53, 163.33
Resistance: 163.76, 164.00
What it said to watch
Close above 163.76 opens the path toward the 164.00 psych/intervention line
Loss of 163.53 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
FOMC Wed and BoJ Fri could materially shift this read
13:47 UTC
Recovery, higher lows · RSI 61 · price 163.707
HL chain off 163.33, pressing session high.
USDJPY carved a low at 163.33 into the London session then ground back up through NY hours to 163.72, a chain of higher lows intact. Price is consolidating just under the session high with RSI(14) around 60; the 163.65 area held on the last pullback.
Support: 163.65, 163.53, 163.33
Resistance: 163.72, 163.85, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.72 opens the path toward 163.85
Failure to hold 163.65 exposes 163.53 and negates the higher-low chain
164.00 is the flagged MoF intervention line — area to watch above
USDJPY based at the 163.33 session low and ground a higher-high chain back to 163.72 through the NY session, holding above EMA20/50. RSI(14) mid-60s, no extreme; the session high at 163.72 is the near-term cap.
Support: 163.65, 163.33
Resistance: 163.72, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.72 opens the path toward the 164.00 psych/intervention line
Failure to hold 163.65 breaks the higher-low chain
BoJ/FOMC later this week could materially shift this read
Higher lows since the 163.33 sweep, grinding toward session high.
USDJPY recovered through the NY session after a spike low to 163.33, building a chain of higher lows back to the 163.72 session high, RSI(14) around 60. Price stalls just below that high with the 164.00 multi-decade area and MoF intervention risk overhead.
Support: 163.55, 163.47, 163.33
Resistance: 163.72, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.72 opens the path toward the 164.00 psych level
164.00 area keeps intervention risk elevated on approach
failure to hold 163.55 breaks the higher-low chain
NY session grinding a recovery off the 163.33 dip, printing higher lows into 163.72 with RSI(14) near 63. Buyers stepped in through the London-NY transition and the 163.53 area held; session high at 163.72 caps for now.
Support: 163.53, 163.33
Resistance: 163.72, 163.85, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.72 opens the path toward 163.85
Loss of 163.53 breaks the higher-low chain back toward 163.33
Proximity to 164.00 keeps MoF intervention risk live; FOMC Wed can reset this read
USDJPY recovered off the 163.327 NY-session low, printing a chain of higher lows back into 163.70 resistance. Now consolidating around 163.66 just below the session high, RSI mid-range; soft US durable goods added mild USD drag earlier.
Support: 163.55, 163.471, 163.327
Resistance: 163.703, 163.75
What it said to watch
Close above 163.70 opens the path toward 163.75
Break below 163.55 negates the recovery and reopens 163.47
Higher lows since London flush, pressing session high.
London morning flushed to 163.327 before buyers reclaimed the level, and NY has ground back up to the 163.70 session high with USD/JPY firming on the US-Iran risk-on pause. RSI(14) mid-range near 57, higher-low chain intact into the London-NY overlap.
Support: 163.53, 163.327
Resistance: 163.703
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.70 opens continuation toward the 164.00 zone
Close below 163.53 breaks the higher-low chain and reopens 163.33
USDJPY has recovered from the 163.33 session low in a clean higher-low chain into NY hours, now pressing the 163.70 session high with RSI near 62. Buyers stepped in repeatedly around 163.58 as the pair grinds toward the 40-yr high zone near 164.00.
Support: 163.58, 163.47, 163.33
Resistance: 163.70, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.70 opens the path to the 164.00 psych level
Failure to hold 163.58 breaks the higher-low chain and reopens 163.47
BoJ Fri and FOMC Wed are the dominant catalysts that could reset this read
USDJPY has recovered through the NY session from the 163.327 session low, printing higher lows and now retesting the 163.70 session high with RSI(14) mid-60s. Demand stepped in around 163.55 repeatedly; the 40-yr high at 164.00 sits just above.
Support: 163.55, 163.47, 163.327
Resistance: 163.70, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.70 opens the path toward the 164.00 40yr high
Failure to hold 163.55 reopens the 163.47 swing low
Fed decision Wed and BoJ Fri are the dominant catalysts this week
Higher-low chain since 163.33, testing session high.
USDJPY carved a session low at 163.33 then ground back up in a clean higher-low sequence, now probing the session high near 163.70 with RSI(14) around 62. JPY firmed modestly on the risk-on drift, but moves stay contained ahead of the Fed-BoJ policy week.
Support: 163.53, 163.33
Resistance: 163.70, 163.85
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.70 opens the path to 163.85
Loss of ascending support / 163.53 breaks the higher-low chain
BoJ and Fed decisions this week can override this intraday read
NY session grinding back up after a sweep of the session low at 163.327; a clean chain of higher lows has carried price to the 163.70 session high. RSI(14) near 61, price above EMA20/50 — recovery intact but capped at range top for now.
Support: 163.58, 163.47, 163.327
Resistance: 163.70
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.70 extends the higher-high sequence
Failure to hold 163.58 rising support breaks the HL chain
Fed (Wed 18:00 UTC) and BoJ later this week dominate the next multi-session read
USDJPY swept the 163.327 spike low during the NY session and recovered on a chain of higher lows, now retesting the session high at 163.686. RSI(14) mid-range near 59; moves contained ahead of the Fed-BoJ policy week.
Support: 163.53, 163.47, 163.327
Resistance: 163.686, 164.00
What it said to watch
Close above 163.686 opens the path toward the 164.00 handle
Loss of rising support / a break back under 163.53 negates the recovery read
FOMC Wed and BoJ later this week are the dominant catalysts for this pair
USDJPY has clawed back from the 163.33 session low, printing higher lows into the London-NY overlap and now probing the session high near 163.686. RSI(14) around 60, momentum firm but not stretched; JPY caught a modest bid on the US-Iran de-escalation but moves stay contained ahead of Fed-BoJ week.
Support: 163.53, 163.47, 163.33
Resistance: 163.686, 163.60
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.686 extends the recovery toward 163.72
Failure to hold 163.53 breaks the higher-low chain
Fed (Wed) and BoJ (this week) are the dominant catalysts that override this intraday read
12:17 UTC
Recovery, higher lows building · RSI 63 · price 163.675
Reclaim off session low, testing recent highs.
London morning flushed to a session low of 163.33 before buyers stepped in and dragged price back through the NY session to 163.68. Higher lows are stacking and RSI(14) sits mid-60s — orderly recovery, no extreme yet, with the 163.69 session high the immediate cap.
Support: 163.55, 163.47, 163.33
Resistance: 163.69, 163.85
What it said to watch
Close above 163.69 opens the path back toward 163.85 prior high
Failure to hold 163.55 pivot risks a retest of the 163.33 session low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the week's dominant catalyst and can reset this read
Higher lows off 163.33 spike low, retesting session top.
USDJPY swept 163.33 mid-session then recovered on a chain of higher lows, now pressing the session high at 163.68 with RSI(14) around 62. Move stays contained ahead of Wednesday's FOMC, JPY firm off 40-yr lows into the Fed-BoJ week.
Support: 163.55, 163.47, 163.33
Resistance: 163.68, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.68 opens the path toward the 164.00 psych level (MoF intervention zone)
Failure to hold 163.55 breaks the higher-low chain
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this pair
12:02 UTC
Intraday recovery after sell-off · RSI 56 · price 163.637
Higher lows off 163.33 spike low.
USD/JPY recovered from a spike low at 163.327 during NY hours as a softer dollar met JPY demand on improving risk appetite, and is now grinding back toward the 163.65 session high. Buyers have stepped in on each dip, building higher lows off 163.53; RSI(14) mid-range with no extreme.
Support: 163.53, 163.327
Resistance: 163.65, 164.00
What it said to watch
Close above 163.65 opens the path back toward the 164.00 psych level
Failure to hold 163.53 breaks the higher-low chain
164.00 remains a multi-decade-low pivot with MoF intervention risk
12:01 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 61 · price 163.637
Higher lows since 163.33, back at session high.
USD/JPY flushed to 163.33 during London hours as the dollar softened on US-Iran de-escalation, then ground back up in a chain of higher lows to retest the 163.65 session high into the NY session. RSI(14) near 61 with price holding above EMA20/50; 163.53 is the pivot for the recovery.
Support: 163.53, 163.33
Resistance: 163.65, 164.00
What it said to watch
Close above 163.65 opens the path toward the 164.00 psych level
Loss of 163.53 swing low reopens 163.33 session low
FOMC Wed and BoJ Jul-31 are the dominant catalysts once inside range
Rising lows off session low, capped below 163.647.
USDJPY carved a session low at 163.33 then recovered ~30 pips through the London session as risk appetite trimmed the dollar, now stalling near 163.60 below the 163.647 session high. Price holds above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range; a corrective-not-trend bounce, spot still a whisker under the 164.00 multi-decade-low zone.
Support: 163.53, 163.33
Resistance: 163.647, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.647 opens the path toward the 164.00 psych level
Failure to hold 163.53 exposes the 163.33 session low
FOMC Wed and BoJ Jul 31 are the dominant catalysts ahead
USDJPY washed out to a session low of 163.33 during the London morning before buyers stepped in, dragging price back to 163.60 just under the 163.64 recent high — a corrective bounce as the dollar softens on US-Iran de-escalation. RSI(14) mid-range near 58, no extreme in play.
Support: 163.53, 163.47, 163.33
Resistance: 163.64, 163.70
What it said to watch
Close above 163.64 opens the path back toward 163.70
Failure to hold 163.53 reopens the 163.33 session low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst that could reshape this read
USDJPY recovered from the 163.327 session low through the London session and is now grinding back toward the 163.647 session high, price holding above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) around 60. Chain of higher lows off 163.327 intact; the recovery reflects softer oil relieving the JPY-import drag noted in the digest.
Support: 163.53, 163.47, 163.327
Resistance: 163.647, 163.605
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.647 opens continuation toward the 40-yr high near 164.00
Failure to hold 163.53 breaks the higher-low chain
US Durable Goods 12:30 UTC (~1h) could shift the intraday read
Higher lows off session low, grinding into resistance.
USD/JPY recovered from the 163.33 session low through the London afternoon, printing higher lows and grinding back to the 163.64 session high; RSI(14) mid-range near 61. Softer oil has relieved JPY pressure but price is stalling just under the 163.64 cap ahead of the NY open.
Support: 163.53, 163.47, 163.33
Resistance: 163.64, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.64 opens the path toward the 164.00 handle
Failure to hold 163.53 reopens 163.33 session low
BoJ 7/31 and FOMC Wed, plus MoF intervention rhetoric near 164.00, are two-way risks
USD/JPY snapped back off the 163.33 session low and is grinding to 163.64 into the London-NY session, with JPY steadier as softer oil eases import-cost pressure. Buyers stepped in repeatedly near 163.50 through the recovery; session high at 163.66 is the immediate cap.
Support: 163.53, 163.33
Resistance: 163.66, 163.70
What it said to watch
Break above 163.66 opens the 163.70 prior high
Close below 163.53 reopens the 163.33 session low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and BoJ 7/31 loom as two-way risk
USD/JPY dumped to a 163.33 session low mid-window as softer oil relieved JPY pressure, then rounded back to 163.635 on a chain of higher lows. Price now presses the 163.66 session high with RSI(14) near 59; pair holding just under 40-yr-high territory.
Support: 163.47, 163.33
Resistance: 163.66, 163.70
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.66 opens the path to 163.70
Failure to hold 163.47 reopens the 163.33 session low
US Durable Goods 12:30 UTC could shift this read pre-FOMC
11:02 UTC
Downtrend stabilizing, grinding back up · RSI 54 · price 163.593
Range after drop, higher lows.
USD/JPY slipped a second day to ~163.60 as easing oil relieved yen-negative import pressure, flushing to a session low of 163.33 before buyers stepped in and recovered the loss. Price now grinds within a 163.53–163.60 range on rising micro-lows, RSI(14) back to mid-range around 54.
Support: 163.53, 163.47, 163.33
Resistance: 163.60, 163.65
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.60 opens a retest of 163.65
Loss of 163.53 reopens 163.47 and the 163.33 session low
MoF intervention rhetoric near the 164 handle could jolt yen strength
BoJ decision 7/31 and FOMC Wed are the dominant risks this week
Recovered off 163.33 session low, consolidating under 163.60.
USD/JPY sold off to a 163.33 session low through the London morning as softer oil eased pressure on the yen, then recovered to consolidate just under 163.60. RSI(14) has climbed back to neutral and price is holding a shallow rising-low structure into NY.
Support: 163.50, 163.33
Resistance: 163.60, 163.65
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.65 opens the path back toward 163.85
Failure to hold 163.50 reopens the 163.33 session low
BoJ decision 7/31 and FOMC Wed are the dominant risks for this pair
10:47 UTC
Downtrend, stabilizing after bounce · RSI 52 · price 163.569
Recovered off 163.327 low, now ranging.
London session sold USD/JPY down to 163.327 as softer oil eased yen import pressure, before demand stepped in and lifted price back into a 163.47–163.605 range. RSI(14) has reset to neutral off the oversold bounce; pair now consolidating just below EMA50.
Support: 163.47, 163.327
Resistance: 163.605, 163.68
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.605 opens the path back to 163.68 prior high
Failure to hold 163.47 intraday floor reopens the 163.327 session low
US Durable Goods 12:30 UTC could shift the intraday read
10:47 UTC
Recovery off session low, now flat · RSI 49 · price 163.569
Consolidating after London flush and bounce.
London session flushed USDJPY to a 163.327 session low before buyers stepped in, dragging price back into a 163.53–163.60 range as lower oil eases pressure on the yen. RSI(14) has reset to neutral near 49; range top at 163.60 is capping.
Support: 163.47, 163.33
Resistance: 163.60, 163.70
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.60 range top opens the path back to the 163.70 session high
Failure to hold 163.47 swing low reopens the 163.33 session low
US Durable Goods 12:30 UTC could break this range
10:32 UTC
Down then stabilising, now ranging · RSI 49 · price 163.558
Range after spike low, higher lows building.
London session flushed to 163.327 early before buyers stepped in, and USD/JPY has since coiled between 163.47 and the 163.60 range top with RSI(14) back at neutral. Yen stayed soft near 40-year lows as easing oil offered only limited relief; no clean setup while price holds the mid-range.
Support: 163.47, 163.327
Resistance: 163.604, 163.68
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.604 reopens the path to 163.68
Loss of 163.47 exposes the 163.327 spike low
FOMC Wed and BoJ 7/31 are the dominant risks into next sessions
10:32 UTC
Downtrend, stabilizing · RSI 51 · price 163.558
Consolidation above session low.
USD/JPY marked a session low at 163.327 on the oil-driven leg down, then recovered to consolidate 163.50–163.60 through the London session. Price is retracing near the 78.6% mark of that drop with RSI(14) back around neutral; the 163.60 range top is capping.
Support: 163.50, 163.327
Resistance: 163.60, 163.68
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.60 range top opens the path back toward 163.68 prior high
Loss of 163.50 range low reopens the 163.327 session low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and BoJ 31 Jul could reset this read
10:17 UTC
Downtrend stalling, now consolidating · RSI 51 · price 163.555
Spike low then tight range.
USD/JPY sold off through the London-open bars to a 163.327 spike low as easing oil relieved JPY, then recovered into a tight 163.50–163.60 range. RSI(14) back near midline around 51; price sits just above EMA20 but under EMA50 with momentum flat.
Support: 163.50, 163.327
Resistance: 163.60, 163.707
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.50 range floor reopens the path to the 163.327 spike low
Close above 163.60 range top exposes the 163.707 prior high
BoJ and FOMC risk later this week could override this intraday read
10:17 UTC
Down then stabilising · RSI 48 · price 163.555
Ranging after bounce off session low.
USD/JPY slid through the London session to a 163.33 low as softer oil trimmed the pair's bid, then recovered and is now ranging 163.47–163.60. RSI(14) is neutral near 48 and price sits back above EMA20 but below EMA50, with no clean directional structure in play.
Support: 163.47, 163.33
Resistance: 163.60, 163.68
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.60 session high opens the path to 163.68 prior high
Failure to hold 163.47 swing low reopens the 163.33 session low
10:02 UTC
Downtrend, stabilizing · RSI 46 · price 163.537
Lower low at 163.33 swept, now ranging 163.47–163.60.
USD/JPY drifted lower through the London session, spiking down to 163.327 before buyers reclaimed the move back to 163.60 — a sweep of the session low. Price now consolidates around 163.54, below EMA20/50, with RSI(14) mid-range near 46 as oil-relief JPY demand offsets the firm dollar bid.
Support: 163.471, 163.327
Resistance: 163.604
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.47 reopens the 163.33 session low
Reclaim of 163.60 would negate the lower-high sequence
BoJ (7/31) and FOMC (7/29) are the dominant catalysts and can override intraday structure
10:02 UTC
Downtrend, stabilizing after sweep · RSI 50 · price 163.537
Recovered off 163.33 low, ranging 163.50–163.60.
USDJPY swept the session low to 163.33 on the soft-oil-driven JPY relief before buyers stepped in, recovering into a tight 163.50–163.60 range. RSI(14) has reset to neutral near 49 and price is coiling just under EMA20 into the London-NY transition.
Support: 163.47, 163.33
Resistance: 163.60, 163.65
What it said to watch
Close above 163.60 reopens the path toward 163.65
Loss of 163.47 puts the 163.33 session low back in play
Intervention rhetoric near multi-decade lows could inject two-way volatility
Session low at 163.33 reclaimed, consolidating 163.50-163.60.
USD/JPY drifted lower for a second session as softer oil eased pressure on JPY, printing a London-session low at 163.327 before buyers stepped in to reclaim the 163.50 zone. Price now consolidates 163.50-163.60 with RSI(14) back near neutral; EMA20 recovered but price still sits under EMA50.
Support: 163.47, 163.327
Resistance: 163.60, 163.68
What it said to watch
Close above 163.60 opens the path to the 163.68 session high
Failure to hold 163.47 reopens the 163.327 session low
BoJ decision 7/31 and FOMC Wed are the dominant catalysts beyond this window
London session flushed to 163.327 mid-morning then snapped back to 163.57, JPY firmer for a second day on softer oil. Now ranging 163.47–163.60 with RSI(14) neutral near 50; the spike low was rejected and reclaimed quickly.
Support: 163.47, 163.327
Resistance: 163.604, 163.691
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.60 opens the path back toward 163.69
Failure to hold 163.47 re-exposes the 163.327 session low
BoJ decision 7/31 and FOMC Wed are the dominant catalysts framing this pair
09:32 UTC
Downtrend, stabilizing · RSI 52 · price 163.576
Session low set, higher lows building.
London session pushed USD/JPY down to a session low of 163.327 around 07:15 UTC as JPY firmed on easing oil, since recovering to 163.58 on a chain of higher lows. Price is now consolidating 163.50–163.60 under the session high, RSI back near neutral.
Support: 163.47, 163.327
Resistance: 163.604, 163.663
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.66 negates the cap and opens the 163.85 gap-fill area
Loss of 163.47 swing low reopens the 163.33 session low
FOMC Wed and BoJ 7/31 are the dominant catalysts for this pair
09:32 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 48 · price 163.576
Flush to session low then recovery, consolidating.
London session flushed to 163.327 around 07:15 UTC before recovering ~25 pips, now consolidating near 163.57 with RSI(14) back to mid-range. Price sits above EMA20 but capped under 163.60; broader tone stays USD-firm with USD/JPY pinned near multi-decade highs.
Support: 163.471, 163.327
Resistance: 163.604, 163.707
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 163.604 recent high reopens the path toward the 163.707 session high
Loss of 163.471 swing low exposes a retest of the 163.327 session low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and BoJ 7/31 are dominant risks that can override this intraday read
09:17 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 49 · price 163.584
Session low swept, recovering into consolidation.
USD/JPY slid through the London morning to a session low at 163.327 as JPY stabilized on softer oil, then recovered to consolidate near 163.55. RSI(14) has cooled back to neutral off that low; price is now capped just under the 163.60 swing high.
Support: 163.47, 163.327
Resistance: 163.60, 163.65
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.60 opens the path to 163.65
Failure to hold 163.47 reopens the 163.327 session low
BoJ (7/31) and FOMC (Wed) risk skews USD/JPY two-way this week
USD/JPY swept the session low at 163.327 then reclaimed nearly all losses, now pressing the 163.605 cap with RSI(14) mid-range. The pair sits just under multi-decade highs as softer oil eased pressure on JPY; a chain of rising lows off 163.33 holds intact.
Support: 163.471, 163.327
Resistance: 163.605, 163.691
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.605 opens the path back toward 163.691
Loss of 163.471 reopens the 163.327 session low
US Durable Goods 12:30 UTC could shift USD tone this session
London morning saw a sharp flush to 163.327 near 07:15 UTC before buyers reclaimed to 163.55; price now consolidates ~163.53 below EMA20/50. USD/JPY holds just off 40-yr highs with 164.00 the intervention line MoF has flagged.
Support: 163.47, 163.33
Resistance: 163.55, 163.60, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.33 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 163.60 reopens the 163.85 area
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and BoJ Fri 03:00 UTC could materially shift this read
London session flushed to 163.33 mid-morning before buyers stepped in, reclaiming into a 163.47-163.55 range; USD/JPY holding just under Thursday's 40-yr-high area with intervention warnings capping. RSI(14) recovered off the lows near 43, momentum flat. Price sits below EMA20/50 after the drop.
Support: 163.47, 163.33
Resistance: 163.55, 163.61
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.61 reopens the path toward 164.00
Loss of 163.33 confirms a fresh session lower-low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and BoJ Fri 03:00 UTC can override this intraday read
USD/JPY drifted lower through the London session, spiking down to 163.33 to sweep the session low before snapping back to 163.53. Move sits within the broader 163.7-164 consolidation as intervention warnings near 164 cap upside; RSI(14) recovered off oversold to mid-40s.
Support: 163.47, 163.33
Resistance: 163.60, 163.70
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.33 confirms a lower-low
Reclaim of 163.60 negates the lower-high sequence
FOMC (Wed) and BoJ (Fri) are the dominant risk into this pair
London session sold USD/JPY off the 163.60 swing high down to a 163.33 session low before buyers stepped back to 163.53, RSI(14) recovering from sub-40. Intervention rhetoric near 164 is keeping a lid on any upside per the JPY digest.
Support: 163.47, 163.33
Resistance: 163.60
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.33 confirms a lower low and extends the downleg
Reclaim of 163.60 negates the lower-high sequence
164.00 remains the MoF/BoJ intervention zone overhead
08:32 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 43 · price 163.539
Lower highs into a session flush, recovery underway.
London session drove USD/JPY down to a 163.33 flush before buyers stepped in, pulling price back to 163.54 — the low probe looks like a sweep given the sharp reversal. Sequence of lower highs stays intact under 163.61, with RSI(14) rebounding from the lows and ATR near 6.5 pips.
Support: 163.471, 163.327
Resistance: 163.605
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.61 negates the lower-high sequence
Loss of 163.47 reopens the 163.33 session low
BoJ / MoF intervention rhetoric with USD/JPY pinned near multi-decade highs
08:32 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 44 · price 163.539
Lower highs into 163.327 sweep, recovering.
London session drove USD/JPY lower into a 163.327 flush before buyers stepped in, dragging price back to 163.54; the pair is pulling back from Thursday's 40-year highs on intervention-risk trimming. RSI(14) recovered off the lows to mid-40s and price holds below EMA20/50, keeping the intraday bias corrective.
Support: 163.471, 163.327
Resistance: 163.605
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 163.605 swing high would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Loss of 163.471 reopens the 163.327 session low
Durable Goods 12:30 UTC could inject USD volatility
08:17 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 44 · price 163.521
Lower highs into 163.33 sweep, corrective bounce.
London session pushed USD/JPY down to sweep 163.33 before a sharp recovery to 163.52, RSI(14) lifting off the lows. Price sits mid-range between 163.47 support and the 163.60 swing high, with the descending high chain still intact.
Support: 163.47, 163.33
Resistance: 163.60
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 163.60 negates the lower-high sequence
Loss of 163.47 reopens the 163.33 session low
BoJ intervention risk near 164.00 and FOMC Wed can shift this read
London session sold off to sweep the 163.33 session low before snapping back to 163.52, RSI(14) lifting from oversold. Series of lower highs from 163.60 still caps; USD/JPY holds just under this week's ~40-year highs with JPY pinned by the Fed-BoJ gap.
Support: 163.33, 163.47
Resistance: 163.60
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 163.60 invalidates the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 163.47 reopens the 163.33 session low
BoJ decision Fri and 164.00 intervention zone are the dominant near-term risks
08:02 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 42 · price 163.509
Lower highs and lows, recovery from session low.
London session sold off to a 163.327 session low before buyers stepped in, recovering to 163.52. Price sits at 163.509 below both EMAs with RSI(14) in the low-40s; the downtrend holds but the last bounce is testing the 163.47 minor low from below.
Support: 163.471, 163.327
Resistance: 163.592
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 163.592 swing high would challenge the downtrend read
Loss of 163.327 session low confirms continuation lower
BoJ/MoF intervention risk near 164.00 can whip this pair either way
Lower highs into session low, sharp bounce off 163.33.
London session drove USD/JPY down to a session low of 163.327 before a sharp rejection back to 163.52, RSI(14) recovering from the low-30s. Price sits below EMA20/50 with lower highs intact; the 163.605 swing caps the bounce.
Support: 163.327, 163.50
Resistance: 163.605
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.605 invalidates the lower-high sequence
Loss of 163.327 confirms a fresh lower low
163.50 round number — area to watch for hold or break
USDJPY sold off sharply into 163.327, sweeping the session low before snapping back to 163.45, RSI(14) recovering from oversold. Earlier consolidation held 163.55-163.60; that band now caps as resistance with sellers pressing lower highs.
Support: 163.327, 163.471
Resistance: 163.56, 163.612
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.327 confirms a lower low and extends the down leg
Reclaim of 163.560 negates the session-low break
MoF intervention rhetoric near the 164.00 zone can spike two-way volatility this week
07:47 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 38 · price 163.455
Lower lows into session low, corrective bounce.
London session extended the slide, spiking down to 163.327 before buyers lifted price back to 163.45 — a sweep of the session low then rejection. RSI(14) cooling near 37 after the flush; price still capped below the 163.60 swing.
Support: 163.33
Resistance: 163.60
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 163.60 swing high negates the lower-low structure
Failure to hold 163.33 session low reopens downside
BoJ Outlook Report and 164.00 intervention zone remain the dominant week-ahead risk
Asia range drifted lower and gave way to a sharp leg down into the London open, breaking the session low to 163.327 with RSI(14) near 30. The move fits the trimmed-longs backdrop after MoF verbal intervention near the 40-yr / 164.00 highs; 163.471 is the broken level now acting as first resistance on any retest.
Support: 163.327, 163.30
Resistance: 163.471, 163.53
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 163.53 swing negates the lower-low read
Failure to hold 163.327 opens the path toward 163.30 psych
MoF intervention rhetoric near 164.00 remains a two-way risk into BoJ
07:31 UTC
Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 34 · price 163.374
Lower highs, fresh session low.
USDJPY broke down through 163.47 into the London session, printing a fresh session low at 163.33 as longs were trimmed on intervention risk near 164.00. RSI(14) sagging into the low-30s after the impulsive last-bar drop; price trades below EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 163.33, 163.00
Resistance: 163.47
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 163.47 would neutralise the breakdown read
MoF intervention/verbal escalation and BoJ decision (31-Jul) are the dominant catalysts
Failure to hold 163.33 opens the path toward the 163.00 handle
USD/JPY opened the week with a gap-down and has ground lower through the London session, breaking the 163.51 swing to fresh session lows at 163.47 with RSI(14) near 33. Price pinned just under the 40-yr high zone as longs trim into BoJ risk; supply capping each bounce below 163.60.
Support: 163.455
Resistance: 163.59
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.455 confirms a lower low and extends the leg down
Reclaim of 163.60 swing high negates the downside read
BoJ decision + Outlook Report (31-Jul) and intervention risk near 164.00 dominate this week
USDJPY broke below the 163.53 shelf and printed fresh session lows at 163.47, sliding under EMA20/50 with a chain of lower highs. USD holds firm into Wed FOMC while JPY sits near multi-decade lows on carry, though intervention rhetoric caps upside; RSI(14) near 38, not yet stretched.
Support: 163.47
Resistance: 163.53
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 163.53 negates the break-lower read
164.00 barrier is the MoF intervention trigger zone on any renewed upside
FOMC Wed 18:00 GMT is the dominant catalyst that could reset this read
USDJPY drifted lower through the session after a weekend gap open, printing lower highs and now retesting the 163.476 session low with RSI(14) near 39. The pullback follows verbal intervention from Tokyo steadying the yen off multi-decade lows; supply capped the bounce at 163.605.
Support: 163.476
Resistance: 163.605
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.476 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 163.605 negates the lower-high sequence
BoJ decision and Tokyo CPI later this week could reshape the read
USD/JPY ground lower through London hours, retesting the 163.476 session low with RSI(14) near 38 and price below EMA20/50. Yen firmer since the 163.71 bounce, aligning with Katayama's verbal intervention; lower highs keep the intraday tone offered.
Support: 163.476, 163.45
Resistance: 163.605, 163.707
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.476 confirms a lower low, opens 163.45
Reclaim of 163.605 negates the near-term downtrend
BoJ decision 31-Jul and 164.00 intervention zone frame the wider risk
06:47 UTC
Range, drifting lower · RSI 44 · price 163.536
Consolidation in lower half of session range.
USDJPY is ranging roughly 163.48–163.70 through the Asian session, now pressing the lower half after a fade from 163.61 to 163.53. Price holds just under 40-yr highs with dip-buyers active near 163.48; RSI(14) sits mid-40s, no momentum extreme.
Support: 163.52, 163.476
Resistance: 163.61, 163.70
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.476 confirms a lower low and breaks the session range
Reclaim of 163.61 opens the path back to the 163.70 session high
BoJ intervention rhetoric near 164.00 remains an ambient risk to the range
06:47 UTC
Range, drifting lower off gap · RSI 45 · price 163.536
Session range with lower-end pressure.
Session opened with a weekend gap down and drifted lower, printing a session low at 163.455 before a shallow bounce. Price is ranging 163.455–163.71 and now sitting back at the lower end near 163.54, RSI mid-range with no momentum extreme.
Support: 163.455, 163.518
Resistance: 163.612, 163.707
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.455 confirms a lower low and breaks the session range
Reclaim of 163.612 needed to re-test the 163.707 session high
US Durable Goods 12:30 UTC could inject volatility
06:32 UTC
Range-bound, no clear bias · RSI 50 · price 163.576
Consolidation inside 163.48–163.70 band.
USDJPY is ranging 163.48–163.70 in the Asian session, holding just off multi-decade highs after a dip to 163.476 was bought back. Recovery has stalled under the 163.61 intraday cap with RSI(14) flat near 50 — no directional setup in play.
Support: 163.476
Resistance: 163.61, 163.70
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.70 reopens the path toward the 164.00 intervention line
Failure to hold 163.476 confirms a lower low and breaks the range floor
Repeated MoF verbal intervention near 164.00 is a tail risk; BoJ Fri and FOMC Wed loom
06:31 UTC
Rangebound after gap-down · RSI 51 · price 163.576
Range 163.45-163.70, mid-range.
USDJPY opened the week with a gap-down from 163.85 to 163.57 and has since carved a range between the 163.455 session low and 163.69 post-gap high. Price is coiling mid-range near 163.58, RSI(14) flat around 51 with no session momentum; buyers stepped in twice at 163.45.
Support: 163.455, 163.53
Resistance: 163.69, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.69 opens the path back toward the 164.00 line
Loss of 163.455 session low confirms a lower-low and extends the gap-down
MoF intervention risk clusters near 164.00 — area to watch
Asian session has coiled in a tight 163.52-163.61 range after the post-gap slide to 163.455, with ATR compressed near 3.5 pips. Last bar slipped back to the range floor, RSI(14) mid-40s and price sitting just under EMA20/50.
Support: 163.52, 163.455
Resistance: 163.61, 163.707
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.455 confirms a lower low
Close above 163.61 opens the path back to 163.707
MoF intervention risk clustered near 164.00; FOMC Wed the pivotal event
06:16 UTC
Range, drifting to lows · RSI 46 · price 163.536
Post-gap range, fading off highs.
USDJPY gapped lower into the new week and has ranged 163.48–163.61 through the Asia-London handover, now fading back toward the range low at 163.53. RSI(14) near 46, sitting just under EMA20/50 with price pinned below 40-year highs and MoF intervention warnings clustered at 164.00.
Support: 163.476, 163.45
Resistance: 163.612
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.476 confirms a lower-low and opens the range floor
Reclaim of 163.612 range high needed to reopen the topside
FOMC Wed and BoJ Fri are the primary risk events for this pair
06:02 UTC
Down leg stalling, now ranging · RSI 49 · price 163.583
Sold off to 163.46, basing on higher lows.
Asian session drifted from 163.69 down to a 163.46 session low, then based on higher lows and is now consolidating tight between 163.53 and 163.605. RSI(14) neutral near 49, ATR compressed at ~5.6 pips — no expansion in play.
Support: 163.53, 163.455
Resistance: 163.605, 163.707
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.605 reopens 163.707 session high
Loss of 163.53 base retargets the 163.455 session low
US Durable Goods 12:30 UTC could break the range
Pair sits just under 164.00 — intervention-risk zone flagged in macro read
06:02 UTC
Recovering off session low, now flat · RSI 51 · price 163.583
Consolidation after drop, ranging 163.53-163.61.
USDJPY gapped lower into the Monday Asian session and drifted to a swing low at 163.455 before buyers stepped in. Price has since recovered into a tight 163.53-163.61 range with RSI(14) neutral near 51; no directional setup in play.
Support: 163.53, 163.455
Resistance: 163.61, 163.707
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.61 opens a retest of the 163.707 session high
Loss of 163.53 exposes the 163.455 swing low again
US Durable Goods 12:30 UTC could shift the USD read into London-NY
USD/JPY gapped lower into Monday's Asia open from Friday's ~163.85 close, based around 163.53 and recovered into a tight 163.53–163.63 range. Price holds near 40-yr highs with intervention risk capping above 164; RSI(14) neutral near 52 and ATR compressed to ~4 pips.
Support: 163.53, 163.476
Resistance: 163.63, 163.70
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.63 reopens the 163.70 post-gap high
Loss of 163.53 exposes the 163.476 session low
Tokyo CPI (30 Jul) and BoJ (31 Jul) are the key JPY event risks
05:47 UTC
Downtrend easing into range · RSI 49 · price 163.593
Gap-down reopen, consolidating above session low.
USDJPY gapped down ~28 pips at the reopen, then slid to a session low at 163.476 before buyers stepped in; now consolidating 163.53–163.60. RSI(14) neutral near 49, price sitting on EMA20 but capped below EMA50 around 163.66, with the session high at 163.70 the immediate upside pivot.
Support: 163.476, 163.53
Resistance: 163.66, 163.70
What it said to watch
Close above 163.70 opens the path back toward the 163.85 pre-gap area
Loss of 163.476 confirms a fresh lower low
BoJ decision and Tokyo CPI later this week could reshape this read
05:32 UTC
Range after post-gap slide · RSI 47 · price 163.571
Ranging 163.52-163.60 off session low.
Price gapped lower into the new week and slid to a session low at 163.476 before recovering into a tight 163.52-163.60 range through the quiet Asian session. RSI(14) sits neutral near 47 and price is pinned to EMA20 — no setup in play.
Support: 163.52, 163.476
Resistance: 163.60, 163.694, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.60 range top opens the path to 163.694 session high
Failure to hold 163.52 range low reopens 163.476 session low
164.00 psych area — intervention risk zone into next week's BoJ
05:32 UTC
Downtrend, now ranging · RSI 48 · price 163.571
Consolidating mid-range after gap-down decline.
Price gapped down ~28 pips into the Asian session and sold off to a session low at 163.455 before recovering. Now ranging 163.53–163.61, RSI(14) neutral near 47; the pair sits just under Thursday's multi-decade high zone with intervention risk keeping longs cautious.
Support: 163.53, 163.455
Resistance: 163.61, 163.707
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.455 confirms a lower low
Close above 163.71 reopens the path toward the 164.00 handle
Tokyo CPI (30 Jul) and BoJ (31 Jul) are the dominant catalysts ahead
05:17 UTC
Sideways after intraday pullback · RSI 49 · price 163.566
Consolidating below prior swing high.
New-week Asian session opened by fading from 163.70 to a 163.455 session low, then recovering into a tight 163.52-163.60 range with RSI(14) back to neutral near 49. Price is coiling under the range top at 163.60 with no directional setup in play.
Support: 163.455, 163.52
Resistance: 163.60, 163.70
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.60 range top opens a retest of the 163.70 swing high
Loss of 163.520 range floor exposes the 163.455 session low
BoJ decision Fri and repeated MoF intervention warnings near 164.00 are the dominant catalysts this week
05:17 UTC
Range, sideways after gap-down · RSI 49 · price 163.566
Consolidation between 163.53 and 163.61.
USDJPY opened the Asian session lower after the weekend gap, swept the session low at 163.455 then recovered into a tight 163.53–163.61 range. Price sits mid-range at 163.566, RSI(14) neutral near 49 with no directional edge in play.
Support: 163.53, 163.455
Resistance: 163.61, 163.707
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.53 reopens the 163.455 session low
M15 close above 163.61 exposes the 163.707 session high
Verbal intervention headlines near 164.00 remain a JPY-strength risk
05:02 UTC
Consolidating below 40yr highs after week-open gap down · RSI 53 · price 163.587
Range-bound, higher lows building off session low.
USDJPY opened the week with a gap down from Friday's ~163.85 close and slid to 163.455 before stabilising; price now grinds in a 163.45–163.63 range through the Asia session. Higher lows are forming off the week low but the range top at 163.63 caps recovery, with FinMin Katayama's verbal intervention keeping upside probes cautious near the 40-year high.
Support: 163.455
Resistance: 163.63, 163.707, 163.80
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.63 opens the path back toward 163.707 session high
Failure to hold 163.455 confirms a lower-low and extends the down move
Durable Goods today 12:30 UTC and Wed FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
05:02 UTC
Down then consolidating · RSI 49 · price 163.587
Range after selloff, higher lows off base.
USDJPY opened the week lower, sliding from 163.71 into demand near 163.46 during the Asian session, and is now consolidating 163.53–163.61. Price holds just above EMA20 but under EMA50; RSI(14) back near 49 after basing. JPY sits pinned near 40-yr lows with verbal intervention risk and Friday's BoJ the dominant catalysts.
Support: 163.53, 163.455
Resistance: 163.612, 163.691
What it said to watch
Close below 163.455 confirms a lower-low and reopens downside
Reclaim of 163.612 recent high would extend the bounce toward 163.69
BoJ Fri and FOMC Wed could materially shift this read
04:47 UTC
Gap-down, recovering into range · RSI 50 · price 163.583
Consolidation after weekend gap, higher lows building.
USD/JPY opened the week with a ~28-pip gap lower from Friday's 163.85 close, then sold into 163.476 during Asia before recovering. Now ranging 163.48–163.69 with higher lows forming; RSI(14) neutral near 50, price hugging EMA20.
Support: 163.476
Resistance: 163.612, 163.691
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.476 confirms a lower low and reopens the Asia low
Reclaim of 163.691 opens the path back toward the Friday gap
BoJ decision Fri and intervention risk near 164.00 remain the dominant catalysts
04:47 UTC
Consolidating after gap-down leg lower · RSI 51 · price 163.583
Recovering off session low, higher lows building.
Asian session opened with a weekend gap lower, USD/JPY sliding to a session low at 163.476 before buyers stepped in and dragged it back to 163.58. Price now consolidates just under the recent high at 163.685 on a chain of higher lows, RSI(14) balanced near 51. Pair holds just below the 40-year highs after FinMin verbal intervention.
Support: 163.476, 163.533
Resistance: 163.685, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.685 reopens the path toward the 164.00 psych cap
Loss of 163.476 session low confirms a fresh lower-low
BoJ decision Fri and FOMC Wed could materially shift this read
04:32 UTC
Downtrend, stabilizing off lows · RSI 50 · price 163.585
Recovered off session low, consolidating under descending highs.
USD/JPY gapped lower into the Monday Asian open and slid to a session low at 163.455, then recovered to consolidate around 163.55–163.60. RSI(14) is back near 50 after the bounce; the 163.53 range base is holding while descending highs cap near 163.63.
Support: 163.53, 163.476, 163.455
Resistance: 163.63, 163.68
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.63 opens a retest of 163.68 prior high
Failure to hold 163.53 reopens the 163.455 session low
BoJ decision 31 Jul and intervention risk near 164.00 are the dominant catalysts
Range after sweep of 163.476 low, higher lows building.
Asian session swept the 163.476 low then reclaimed it, price now ranging 163.53-163.61 with RSI(14) back to neutral. Recovery holding a chain of higher lows, but upside capped near 164 with intervention rhetoric from Tokyo lingering.
Support: 163.53, 163.476
Resistance: 163.61, 163.68
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.61 opens path back to 163.68 prior high
Failure to hold 163.53 exposes the 163.476 swing low again
US Durable Goods 12:30 UTC could shift the read
04:17 UTC
Down then consolidating · RSI 46 · price 163.558
Range under lower highs after session-low bounce.
Asian session drifted lower off the weekly open, printing a session low at 163.455 before buyers stepped in. Price now ranging 163.52–163.61 beneath a chain of lower highs, RSI(14) mid-range near 46.
Support: 163.518, 163.455
Resistance: 163.612
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.612 range top breaks the lower-high sequence
Loss of 163.455 session low extends the down leg
BoJ decision 31 Jul and MoF intervention risk near 164.00 dominate the week's read
04:17 UTC
Range after gap-down · RSI 46 · price 163.558
Consolidation, 163.48–163.61 band.
Weekend gap opened ~28 pips under Friday's 163.85 close; Asia session swept down to 163.476 then recovered into a 163.53–163.61 band, price now mid-range at 163.558. RSI(14) neutral near 46, no setup in play with USD/JPY pinned by intervention chatter near 164.
Support: 163.53, 163.476
Resistance: 163.61, 163.70
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.61 opens the path to the 163.70 post-gap high
Failure to hold 163.476 confirms a lower low
US Durable Goods 12:30 UTC could inject volatility; BoJ Fri and FOMC Wed are the dominant risks ahead
Verbal-intervention risk builds toward the 164.00 area
04:02 UTC
Recovering off session low, no clear direction · RSI 49 · price 163.574
Consolidation after weekend gap-down.
A weekend gap dragged USD/JPY down from the 163.85 area to ~163.57 at the Asia open; the session then sold to 163.476 before demand stepped in, lifting price back to 163.57. Ranging 163.48–163.66 with RSI(14) flat near 50 — no setup in play.
Support: 163.476, 163.53
Resistance: 163.663, 163.707, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.663 opens the path back toward 163.707
Failure to hold 163.476 confirms a lower session low
164.00 psychological zone above is an intervention trip-wire
FOMC Wed and BoJ Jul 31 are the dominant catalysts that could reset this read
USDJPY gapped down at the Monday open from Friday's 163.85 area and marked a session low at 163.455 before buyers stepped in through the early Asian hours. Price is now consolidating 163.53-163.60, with the pair still pinned near multi-decade highs as JPY carries a heavy short into next week's BoJ.
Support: 163.53, 163.455
Resistance: 163.70, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.455 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 163.70 reopens the path toward 164.00
164.00 flagged as intervention trip-wire per MoF verbal warnings
03:47 UTC
Sideways after weekend gap down · RSI 50 · price 163.586
Post-gap Asian range, price mid-range.
USDJPY gapped down over the weekend to open near 163.57 and has since ranged 163.48-163.71 through the Asian session. Price bounced off the 163.476 session low and is now hovering mid-range at 163.59, RSI(14) neutral near 50.
Support: 163.476, 163.52
Resistance: 163.707
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.71 invalidates the range read and reclaims pre-gap territory
Failure to hold 163.476 confirms a fresh session lower-low
Asian session opened after a weekend gap and drifted lower off 163.70, tapping 163.476 before buyers recovered price to 163.586 — roughly the 50% mark of that decline. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 49; USD/JPY continues to consolidate below the 40-year-high zone with FinMin verbal intervention capping upside chatter.
Support: 163.476, 163.518
Resistance: 163.63, 163.707
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.63 reopens the 163.70 high
Loss of 163.476 confirms a lower low
164.00 remains an intervention trip-wire per MoF rhetoric
Weekend gap down from 163.85 into the 163.57 zone; Asia Monday session probed a lower low at 163.455 before recovering to 163.59. RSI(14) back near neutral around 52 as price grinds inside the 163.46-163.71 range.
Support: 163.455, 163.533
Resistance: 163.707, 163.85
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 163.707 session high opens the path back toward the 163.85 gap fill
Loss of 163.455 session low confirms a fresh lower-low
JPY intervention rhetoric near the 164.00 zone could jolt this read
Range after weekend gap-down, recovery from 163.455.
USDJPY opened Asia with a weekend gap-down to 163.57 and dipped to 163.455 before buyers recovered price into the 163.59 area, holding just under multi-decade highs. Pair is boxed 163.45-163.71 as it consolidates below the 164.00 intervention zone flagged by FinMin Katayama's verbal warnings.
Support: 163.455, 163.50
Resistance: 163.707, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.455 confirms a lower low
Close above 163.707 opens the path toward the 164.00 psych zone
Durable Goods (12:30 UTC) and FOMC Wed could reshape this read
Asia-session USD/JPY sold off to a session low of 163.46 before buyers stepped in twice around 163.46-163.48, lifting price back to 163.59 against an intraday descending resistance line. Verbal MoF intervention keeps a lid on the pair near 40-year highs; RSI(14) around 49 as the bounce works off the lows, ATR ~6 pips.
Support: 163.46, 163.53
Resistance: 163.63, 163.69
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.69 invalidates the intraday downtrend read
Failure to hold 163.46 confirms fresh lower-low continuation
Tokyo CPI (Thu) and BoJ decision (Fri) are the week's dominant JPY catalysts
Ranging after gap-down, lower highs into 163.45 low.
Sunday open gapped lower to 163.57; price then slid to a session low of 163.455 in early Asia hours before recovering to 163.589. Ranging 163.45–163.71 with no clean directional structure yet.
Support: 163.455, 163.53
Resistance: 163.65, 163.707
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.71 invalidates the range-top read
Failure to hold 163.455 confirms a lower low
MoF/BoJ intervention risk elevated near 40-year highs
Lower highs off session high, holding above 163.46.
USDJPY gapped down into the new session and sold off from the 163.71 session high to 163.46, where buyers stepped in twice. Price now grinding back to 163.56, still under EMA20 with RSI(14) mid-range; verbal MoF intervention keeps a lid under the 40-year high.
Support: 163.46, 163.52
Resistance: 163.66, 163.71
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.66 negates the lower-high sequence
Loss of 163.46 confirms a fresh session low
Tokyo CPI (Thu) and BoJ (Fri) are the dominant JPY catalysts this week
03:01 UTC
Downtrend, off session low · RSI 45 · price 163.563
Weekend gap lower, ranging under gap open.
USDJPY opened the week with a gap lower to 163.57 and has ranged 163.48-163.69 through the Asia session, printing a fresh low at 163.455 before recovering to 163.56. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-40s; the pair remains pinned near 40-year highs with JPY weakness driven by the wide rate gap.
Support: 163.476, 163.455
Resistance: 163.635, 163.691
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.455 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 163.69 negates the gap-down read
Intervention headlines near 164.00 could sharply shift this read
02:47 UTC
Downtrend, intraday · RSI 37 · price 163.531
Lower highs into session low.
Early Asia trade has USD/JPY grinding lower, a sharp drop through 163.53 taking the pair to a session low at 163.476 before a shallow bounce. Price is pinned below descending lower highs off 163.70, capped near 163.63; JPY stays soft on the wide rate gap but this move is pure intraday supply.
Support: 163.476
Resistance: 163.63, 163.70
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.70 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 163.476 opens further downside
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the week's dominant risk
02:46 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 44 · price 163.531
Lower highs, lower lows since session open.
USDJPY gapped lower into the new session and has ground down in a lower-high, lower-low chain from 163.707 to a 163.455 session low, keeping the pair pinned just under the 40-year-high zone. Price is bouncing modestly to 163.53 with RSI(14) recovering from the low 40s; ATR near 7 pips signals a tight intraday range.
Support: 163.476, 163.455
Resistance: 163.63, 163.707
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.63 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 163.455 confirms a fresh lower low
Lower highs, lower lows off the weekly-open gap down.
USDJPY opened the week with a gap down from 163.85 to 163.57 and Asia has ground lower since, printing a sequence of lower highs into a 163.455 session low before a shallow bounce to 163.53. RSI(14) near 39 and price is below EMA20/EMA50; carry backdrop keeps the pair pinned near 40-year highs but intraday flow is offered.
Support: 163.455, 163.518
Resistance: 163.635
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 163.635 breaks the chain of lower highs
Loss of 163.455 confirms continuation lower
Tokyo CPI (Thu) and BoJ (Fri) are the week's dominant JPY catalysts
USDJPY gapped down over the weekend from ~163.85 into the low-163.60s and has since bled lower through the Asia open, printing a session low at 163.476 with RSI(14) near 39. Katayama's verbal intervention keeps a lid on any bounce; price holding just above the 163.455 wick low.
Support: 163.476, 163.455
Resistance: 163.652
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.455 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 163.652 swing high negates the intraday downtrend read
02:17 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs · RSI 41 · price 163.548
Post-gap drift lower, chain of lower lows.
Week opened with a gap lower from the ~163.85 pre-weekend close, and the Asia session has drifted down through the post-gap high at 163.707 to a fresh session low of 163.455. Sequence of lower highs holds; RSI(14) around 40 with no oversold extreme, price pinned below EMA20/50.
Support: 163.455
Resistance: 163.63, 163.707
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.63 breaks the lower-high sequence
Reclaim of 163.707 post-gap high invalidates the downtrend read
Failure to hold 163.455 session low confirms continuation lower
Tokyo CPI (Thu) and BoJ (Fri) are the week's dominant JPY catalysts
USDJPY gapped down ~28 pips into the week's thin Asia open and has since ground lower, printing a session low at 163.455 before a modest bounce to 163.548. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 40; recent structure is a clean lower-high, lower-low chain off the 163.707 session high.
Support: 163.455, 163.533
Resistance: 163.652, 163.707
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 163.652 swing high would break the lower-high chain
Loss of 163.455 session low confirms continuation lower
FOMC Wed and Tokyo CPI/BoJ Thu-Fri are the dominant JPY catalysts ahead
Monday Asian open gapped down from Friday's ~163.85 close and has extended lower to a session low of 163.472, with JPY firmer as verbal MoF intervention caps the pair near its 40-year highs. Price is stair-stepping down under a chain of lower highs; the 163.55 break accelerated the move and RSI(14) sits soft near 34.
Support: 163.472, 163.518
Resistance: 163.652, 163.85
What it said to watch
A close back above 163.652 (bounce high) would break the lower-highs sequence
Failure to hold 163.472 (session low) confirms continuation of the down-leg toward the gap origin
02:01 UTC
Intraday downtrend · RSI 32 · price 163.472
Lower highs, lower lows after weekend gap down.
USDJPY gapped down at the weekly open and has since bled lower through the Asia session, printing a fresh session low at 163.472 with price parked below EMA20/50. The pair remains near 40-year highs, but the intraday chain of lower highs is intact and RSI(14) is cooling toward oversold near 31.
Support: 163.472
Resistance: 163.652
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close below 163.472 opens further downside
Reclaim of 163.652 swing high invalidates the lower-high sequence
FOMC Wed 18:00 GMT and Tokyo CPI Thu could reshape this read
01:47 UTC
Downtrend, early Asia drift lower · RSI 43 · price 163.552
Lower highs, lower lows post weekend gap.
USDJPY gapped lower into the weekly open and Asia has ground down from 163.69 to a session low at 163.53, RSI(14) mid-range near 42. A bounce to 163.63 was sold; carry stays heavy near the 40-year high with Katayama's verbal intervention capping any recovery.
Support: 163.53, 163.518
Resistance: 163.63, 163.694
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.694 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 163.53 opens the path toward the 163.24 40-year high zone
Weekend gap down, lower highs into a 163.52-163.70 range.
USDJPY opened the week with a gap lower and has drifted down through thin Asian trade, printing a session low at 163.518 with RSI(14) mid-40s. Price is capped under the 163.65-163.70 session high and sits just below EMA20; range-bound 163.52-163.70 with no clean intraday setup.
Support: 163.518, 163.533
Resistance: 163.652, 163.707
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.518 extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 163.707 session high negates the post-gap downdrift
Tokyo CPI (Thu) and BoJ decision (Fri) are the dominant JPY catalysts ahead
01:31 UTC
Downtrend, near session low · RSI 41 · price 163.535
Lower highs, lower lows post-gap.
USD/JPY opened the Asia session with a weekend gap down from Friday's 163.85 close and has bled lower into a 163.52 session low, RSI(14) in the low-40s. Rejections have printed a chain of lower highs, with a shallow bounce to 163.65 already faded; Katayama intervention rhetoric and June CPI below BoJ forecasts frame the soft tone just shy of the 40-year high.
Support: 163.52, 163.50
Resistance: 163.65, 163.85
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.65 breaks the descending-highs read
Failure to hold 163.52 opens the 163.50 round number
Quiet early-Asia session Monday, USD/JPY grinding back toward the session low at 163.52 after a bounce to 163.65 was rejected. Price sits near four-decade highs; June CPI at 1.7% gave no fresh hawkish impetus and Katayama's verbal intervention is keeping the upside contained.
Support: 163.52, 163.50
Resistance: 163.69, 163.65
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.52 opens the path toward the 163.50 handle
Reclaim above 163.69 negates the lower-high sequence
Escalating MoF intervention rhetoric near 40-yr highs could spike JPY
USDJPY opened with a weekend gap down from Friday's 163.85 close and has since rotated in a 163.52-163.70 Asian range, now pressing the session low with RSI(14) soft near 42. Katayama's verbal intervention warnings are keeping price pinned just shy of the 40-yr high.
Support: 163.52, 163.50
Resistance: 163.70, 163.85
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.52 opens the path toward the 163.50 psych level
Reclaim of 163.70 session high puts the 163.85 gap fill back in play
BoJ decision + Outlook Jul 31 could materially shift this read
01:17 UTC
Downtrend, at session lows · RSI 41 · price 163.546
Lower highs, testing session low.
USDJPY gapped down into the new week and has since ground lower to session lows near 163.52, price now 163.546 with RSI(14) around 40. Sellers capped each bounce below 163.70 as JPY held firmer after June CPI ticked to 1.7% and Katayama's verbal intervention kept bulls cautious near the 40-year high.
Support: 163.52, 163.50
Resistance: 163.65, 163.70
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.52 confirms a lower low and extends the session downtrend
Recovery above 163.70 session high negates the lower-high sequence
BoJ decision + Outlook Jul 31 is the week's swing risk for this read
USDJPY opened the week with a gap down to 163.57 and drifted lower through the Asia session, sweeping to a 163.52 session low before recovering to 163.63. Price sits below both EMAs with RSI(14) mid-range near 44; the 163.69 session high caps the bounce.
Support: 163.52, 163.55
Resistance: 163.69
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.52 confirms a lower low and reopens 163.55 breakdown
Reclaim of 163.69 session high would flip the intraday read
Tokyo CPI (Jul 30) and BoJ decision (Jul 31) are the week's structural risks
01:02 UTC
Choppy, mild downside after gap · RSI 47 · price 163.632
USD/JPY opened the Asia session with a weekend gap down near 163.57, then probed 163.52 twice before bouncing to 163.632 on thin early-week volume. Price sits mid-range and just below EMA20 with RSI(14) neutral around 47; no directional setup in play yet.
Support: 163.52, 163.55
Resistance: 163.70
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.52 confirms a lower low and reopens the gap-fill downside
Reclaim of 163.70 needed to negate the post-gap weakness
MoF intervention rhetoric near four-decade lows keeps upside capped
00:47 UTC
Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 38 · price 163.573
Gapped lower, breaking session range low.
USDJPY opened with a weekend gap lower from Friday's 163.85 close on thin liquidity, then held a 163.55-163.68 range through Asia before breaking down to a 163.518 session low, closing 163.573. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) near 37, momentum tilted lower but not yet oversold.
Support: 163.518, 163.50
Resistance: 163.68, 163.85
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.518 extends the down leg
Reclaim of the 163.68 range top negates the breakout
BoJ next week + intervention rhetoric near multi-decade lows cap downside; FOMC Wed a broader USD risk
Gap-down open, chain of lower highs and lower lows.
USDJPY gapped down ~20 pips below Friday's 163.85 close and ground lower through the session, printing a fresh low at 163.52 on a volume spike before a shallow bounce to 163.573. JPY stayed firm after FM Katayama's intervention rhetoric near the 40-yr high, keeping a lid on any recovery; RSI(14) sits soft in the high-30s.
Support: 163.52
Resistance: 163.70, 163.85
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 163.52 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
M15 close back above 163.70 session high would neutralise the downside read
BoJ decision (Jul 31) and intervention headlines are the dominant multi-day risk
00:32 UTC
Downdrift into new week, session low forming · RSI 31 · price 163.526
Weekend gap down, lower highs off 163.70.
New week opened with a weekend gap lower from Friday's 163.85 close; Asia session bounced to 163.70 then rolled over to a fresh session low at 163.52 with RSI(14) near 31. JPY sits near 40-yr lows and FM Katayama's intervention rhetoric is keeping upside probes cautious.
Support: 163.52, 163.50
Resistance: 163.70, 163.85
What it said to watch
Break below 163.52 extends the session low
M15 close back above 163.70 negates the lower-high sequence
Intervention/BoJ headlines could spike JPY sharply
00:31 UTC
Downtrend, near session low · RSI 33 · price 163.526
Weekend gap down, lower highs, drifting to session low.
USDJPY opened with a weekend gap down from the 163.85 pre-gap area and has ground lower through the Asia session, printing a fresh session low at 163.52 on the last bar. RSI(14) near 33 with lower highs intact; Katayama's intervention rhetoric keeps upside probes capped near four-decade highs.
Support: 163.52, 163.50
Resistance: 163.69, 163.85
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.52 extends the session low
reclaim of 163.69 session high needed to challenge the pre-gap 163.85 area
BoJ decision Jul 31 is the dominant catalyst ahead
00:17 UTC
Intraday downtrend off Monday gap · RSI 40 · price 163.546
Gapped lower, fading into session low.
Monday Asia open gapped down ~30 pips from Friday's 163.85 close, then rejected the 163.70 session high and rolled over to a fresh session low at 163.52 on a volume spike into the latest bar. Lower highs stacking, RSI(14) around 39 with no bounce yet.
Support: 163.52, 163.50
Resistance: 163.70, 163.85
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.70 negates the lower-high sequence and opens the gap fill toward 163.85
Break and hold below 163.52 confirms continuation of the session downtrend
US Durable Goods (Mon 12:30 UTC) could inject USD volatility later in the session
USDJPY gapped ~28 pips lower into the thin Asian open, consolidated in a 163.66-163.71 band, then broke lower on the last bar to a session low of 163.525. JPY held soft near multi-decade lows after in-line National CPI, but Katayama's intervention rhetoric kept bulls cautious just shy of the 40-year high.
Support: 163.525
Resistance: 163.662, 163.707
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 163.662 invalidates the intraday breakdown
Escalating MoF/Katayama intervention rhetoric could spark a sharp JPY spike
00:02 UTC
Consolidation after gap-down · RSI 43 · price 163.593
Weekend gap down, ranging near session low.
USDJPY opened the week with a ~28-pip gap down to 163.57 and has ranged 163.55-163.70 through the Asia session, now drifting back toward the session low with RSI(14) in the mid-40s. Katayama intervention rhetoric near four-decade lows kept bulls cautious; the gap-fill toward 163.85 sits above.
Support: 163.55
Resistance: 163.70, 163.85
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.55 extends the post-gap lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 163.70 opens the path to the 163.85 gap fill
BoJ/MoF intervention rhetoric could spike volatility near the 40-yr high
00:02 UTC
Gapped lower, drifting down · RSI 42 · price 163.593
Consolidation near session low post gap.
USDJPY gapped lower into the new week from 163.85 to ~163.57 and has consolidated in a tight 163.55–163.71 band through the Asia session. Price is now grinding back toward the session low with RSI(14) cooling into the low-40s; the descending highs since 163.71 cap the bounce.
Support: 163.55
Resistance: 163.71, 163.85
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.55 confirms a lower-low and opens downside
Reclaim of 163.71 puts the 163.85 gap fill back in play
MoF intervention rhetoric near 40-yr lows could spike JPY sharply