USD/JPY AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Sunday, 26 July 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/JPY 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:47 UTC
Gap down, consolidating · RSI 48 · price 163.661
Tight range after weekend gap.
USDJPY reopened with a weekend gap down from 163.85 to the 163.55 session low, then recovered to consolidate around 163.66 in thin, pre-Asia liquidity. Price is holding below EMA20/50 with the gap fill at 163.85 unclosed; JPY stays soft near 40-yr lows but capped by fresh intervention warnings.
Support: 163.553, 163.60
Resistance: 163.707, 163.852
What it said to watch
Close above 163.707 opens the path toward the 163.85 gap fill
Break of 163.553 session low reopens downside as liquidity thins
BoJ decision Jul 31 is the dominant catalyst that could reshape this read
23:46 UTC
Gap-down, consolidating · RSI 48 · price 163.661
Range after weekend gap.
USDJPY opened the week with a ~28 pip gap lower from Friday's 163.85 close, then consolidated in a 163.55–163.71 band with RSI(14) hovering near neutral. Buyers stepped in twice around 163.55; the session high at 163.707 is capping so far, well shy of the unfilled gap at 163.85.
Support: 163.553
Resistance: 163.707, 163.852
What it said to watch
Close above 163.71 opens the path toward the 163.85 gap fill
Failure to hold 163.55 extends the gap-down move
Katayama intervention rhetoric keeps upside near 40-yr highs sensitive
USD/JPY reopened with a weekend gap lower, printing ~28 pips below Friday's 163.85 close. Price recovered to 163.71 then settled into a tight range near 163.67 on thin early-Asia volume, holding below EMA20/50.
Support: 163.55, 163.59
Resistance: 163.71, 163.85
What it said to watch
Recovery through 163.71 opens the gap fill toward 163.85
Failure to hold 163.55 gap low confirms a lower-low
MoF intervention rhetoric near four-decade lows could jolt this read
23:31 UTC
Pullback after gap down · RSI 44 · price 163.667
Consolidating post-gap 163.55-163.70.
Weekend reopen gapped ~28 pips lower to 163.55 on thin liquidity, with Katayama's intervention rhetoric keeping bulls cautious just shy of the 40-yr high. Price recovered to 163.68 and is now consolidating in a tight 163.55-163.70 band, RSI(14) mid-range, no setup in play.
Support: 163.55, 163.60
Resistance: 163.70, 163.85
What it said to watch
Close above 163.70 opens the gap fill toward 163.85 pre-gap area
Failure to hold 163.55 confirms a lower session low
BoJ decision + Outlook Jul 31 and Tokyo CPI Jul 30 could reshape this read
23:17 UTC
Weekend gap down, stabilising · RSI 46 · price 163.68
Gap down then tight consolidation.
USDJPY opened the new week with a ~28 pip gap lower, printing a low at 163.55 before recovering to the 163.65-163.70 area on thin early-Asia liquidity. Price holds below EMA20/50 with the session high capping at 163.71; the Friday close and gap fill sit above at 163.85.
Support: 163.55, 163.61
Resistance: 163.71, 163.85
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.71 opens the path to the 163.85 gap fill
Failure to hold 163.55 gap low reopens downside
Thin early-week liquidity can distort the read until Asia session builds
23:16 UTC
Recovering after weekend gap down · RSI 52 · price 163.68
Gap lower, ranging into early-week open.
USD/JPY gapped lower over the weekend from 163.85 to open near 163.57 in thin early-week liquidity, then clawed back toward 163.70. Now ranging 163.55-163.70; RSI(14) neutral around 52 as the gap remains partially unfilled.
Support: 163.55
Resistance: 163.70, 163.85
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.70 opens the path to gap fill at 163.85
Failure to hold 163.55 extends the gap-down move
Katayama intervention rhetoric near the 40-yr high could inject volatility
23:02 UTC
Recovering off weekend gap low · RSI 34 · price 163.683
Gap down then higher lows.
Weekend gap down from 163.85 to 163.55 at the thin Sunday open, then a steady recovery to 163.68 with higher lows forming. Price now consolidating just under the 163.71 session high; RSI(14) lifting off gap-driven lows near 34.
Support: 163.553, 163.671
Resistance: 163.707, 163.852
What it said to watch
Close above 163.71 opens the path toward the 163.85 gap fill
Loss of 163.55 session low resumes the downside
Liquidity thin at the Sunday open — moves may not hold into London
23:01 UTC
Range after weekend gap down · RSI 45 · price 163.683
Gap down from Friday close, consolidating.
USDJPY opened the week with a thin weekend gap down from the Friday 163.85 cluster to 163.57, keeping it just shy of the 40-yr high after FM Katayama's intervention warning. Sunday-open volumes are light; price is ranging 163.55–163.71 with no session structure yet established.
Support: 163.55
Resistance: 163.71, 163.85
What it said to watch
Push through 163.71 opens the path to the 163.85 gap fill
Failure to hold 163.55 confirms a lower-low into the new week
BoJ decision Jul 31 the dominant catalyst for this pair
22:47 UTC
Weekly gap down, consolidating · RSI 44 · price 163.673
Tight range post-gap, below Friday close.
USDJPY opened the week with a gap down from Friday's 163.85 close to 163.57 and is consolidating 163.55–163.71 in thin Sunday-open liquidity. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 44 as price bounced off 163.55 but stalled under 163.71.
Support: 163.55
Resistance: 163.71, 163.85
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.71 opens the path back toward the 163.85 gap fill
Failure to hold 163.55 extends the weekly gap lower
Thin Sunday liquidity; BoJ (Jul 31) and FOMC (Jul 29) dominate the week's read
22:46 UTC
Pullback after gap down · RSI 44 · price 163.673
Gap-down open, basing near lows.
USD/JPY opened the new session with a weekend gap down from the 163.85 pre-gap area to 163.57, with intervention rhetoric from FM Katayama near 40-year lows keeping upside probes contained. Price has since ground back to 163.67, basing in a tight 163.55–163.71 band and holding below EMA20.
Support: 163.55, 163.58
Resistance: 163.71, 163.85
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.71 opens gap fill toward 163.85
Failure to hold 163.55 confirms a lower session low
BoJ/Tokyo CPI and intervention risk next week could shift this read
22:32 UTC
Pullback after gap-down open · RSI 44 · price 163.679
Tight range post-gap, below prior close.
Week opened with a gap lower from Friday's 163.85 close to a 163.55 session low, price has since recovered to 163.68 and is consolidating in a tight 163.55–163.70 band. Sits below EMA20/50 after the gap; Katayama intervention warnings keep upside capped just shy of the 40-year high.
Support: 163.55, 163.59
Resistance: 163.70, 163.85
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 163.85 fills the weekend gap and reopens the highs
Failure to hold 163.55 confirms a lower session low
BoJ decision Jul 31 and Tokyo CPI Jul 30 are the dominant catalysts ahead
USDJPY opened the week with a ~28 pip gap lower to 163.55, then clawed back toward the 163.71 session high, last at 163.679. Price sits below EMA20/50 in thin early liquidity, with Katayama's intervention rhetoric keeping upside cautious just shy of the 40-yr high.
Support: 163.553, 163.59
Resistance: 163.707, 163.852
What it said to watch
Close above 163.71 opens the path to fill the gap toward 163.85
Failure to hold 163.55 extends the week-open down move
Thin early-session liquidity amplifies moves ahead of BoJ risk
USDJPY gapped down ~28 pips into the new session from Friday's 163.85 close, with JPY firmer as Katayama's intervention warnings kept bulls cautious near 40-yr highs. Price is now consolidating 163.55–163.69, RSI(14) near 30 after the gap drop.
Support: 163.55, 163.59
Resistance: 163.69, 163.85
What it said to watch
Close above 163.69 opens the path back toward the 163.85 gap fill
Failure to hold 163.55 confirms a fresh lower low
Tokyo CPI (Jul 30) and BoJ (Jul 31) are the dominant catalysts ahead
USD/JPY opened the week with a gap down near 163.57, some 28 pips below Friday's 163.85 close, with Katayama intervention rhetoric keeping bulls cautious just shy of the 40-year high. Early Asia is now consolidating between 163.55 and 163.69, RSI(14) around 40.
Support: 163.55, 163.58
Resistance: 163.69, 163.85
What it said to watch
Close above 163.69 session high opens the path to the 163.85 gap fill
Break below 163.55 session low extends the post-gap decline
Thin Monday-open liquidity can distort this early range
Week opened with a ~30 pip gap down from Friday's 163.85 close to a 163.55 low, consistent with intervention caution near the 40-yr highs. Price is now consolidating between 163.55 and 163.69 in early Asia, RSI mid-range with no clear directional push yet.
Support: 163.55, 163.58
Resistance: 163.69, 163.85
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 163.69 session high opens the path back toward the 163.85 gap fill
Loss of 163.55 session low extends the gap-down leg
Durable Goods (12:30 UTC) is a secondary USD input for the coming session
22:01 UTC
Gap down, consolidating · RSI 41 · price 163.623
Weekend gap down, tight early-Asia range.
USD/JPY opened the week with a ~23 pip gap down from Friday's 163.85 close to 163.57, now consolidating in a tight 163.55–163.69 range through early Asia. Katayama's fresh verbal intervention warnings are keeping price capped just shy of the 40-year high, with the gap toward 163.85 still open above.
Support: 163.55, 163.58
Resistance: 163.69, 163.85
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.69 (session high) opens the path to fill the gap origin at 163.85
Failure to hold 163.55 session low confirms downside continuation on the weekend gap
Tokyo CPI and BoJ risk later in the week could reshape this read
USD/JPY opened the week with a gap down from Friday's 163.85 close to 163.57, with buyers stepping in to recover toward the 163.69 session high. JPY stays firm as FM Katayama's intervention warnings keep bulls cautious near multi-decade lows; the open gap up to 163.85 remains unfilled.
Support: 163.553, 163.59
Resistance: 163.691, 163.852
What it said to watch
Recovery stalling below 163.691 keeps the gap-down intact
A close above 163.852 fills the weekend gap
Failure to hold 163.553 opens further downside
Thin liquidity at this early Asia open can exaggerate moves
Weekend gap down below Friday range, basing above session low.
USD/JPY opened the new week with a ~28 pip gap lower from Friday's 163.85 close to 163.57, JPY firmer after Katayama's fresh intervention warnings near four-decade lows. Price is consolidating in a tight 163.59-163.69 band on thin early-Asia volume, holding just above the 163.55 session low.
Support: 163.553, 163.59
Resistance: 163.691, 163.852
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 163.69 puts the 163.85 gap fill back in play
Break below 163.55 session low extends the down leg
21:32 UTC
Weekend gap lower, recovering · RSI 26 · price 163.67
Gapped below Friday's range, filling upward.
Week opened with a ~28 pip gap lower from Friday's 163.85 close, printing a session low at 163.55 before three green bars lifted price back to 163.67. RSI(14) near 26 reflects the gap flush; buyers are grinding toward the 163.69 session high with the 163.85 gap-fill overhead.
Support: 163.55, 163.60
Resistance: 163.69, 163.85
What it said to watch
Close above 163.69 opens the path to the 163.85 gap fill
Failure to hold 163.55 gap low extends the weekend drop
MoF/Katayama intervention rhetoric near multi-decade lows a live risk into thin liquidity
Weekend gap down below Friday range, thin early Asia.
USD/JPY gapped ~28 pips lower into the weekly open, from Friday's 163.85 close to a 163.55 session low, with JPY firmer amid escalating MoF intervention rhetoric near 40-year lows. Price has clawed back to 163.67 on thin liquidity, still trading below Friday's range.
Support: 163.55
Resistance: 163.69, 163.85
What it said to watch
A push back above 163.85 fills the weekend gap and restores the prior range
Failure to reclaim 163.69 session high keeps price pinned in the lower half of the gap
Intervention headlines and BoJ (Jul 31) / FOMC (Jul 29) later this week are the dominant catalysts
21:17 UTC
Downtrend, fresh gap lower · RSI 38 · price 163.658
Gapped below prior range, basing at lows.
New week opened with a gap lower from the 163.85 close, breaking below the prior 163.75-163.90 range and printing a session low at 163.55. Price has since ticked back to 163.66; FM Katayama's intervention rhetoric near 40-yr highs keeps a lid on upside attempts.
Support: 163.553, 163.644
Resistance: 163.75, 163.85
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 163.75 fills the gap and negates the downside break
Failure to hold 163.55 extends the lower-low sequence
BoJ decision next week is the dominant catalyst for this pair
21:17 UTC
Gapped lower, recovering · RSI 28 · price 163.658
Weekend gap down, partial fill underway.
Market reopened with a ~30 pip gap down from Friday's 163.85 close, in line with JPY firming after FM Katayama's intervention rhetoric near the 40-year high. First bars are recovering off the 163.55 session low toward the gap; RSI(14) sits near 28, depressed by the open gap rather than trend momentum.
Support: 163.553
Resistance: 163.852
What it said to watch
Recovery through 163.85 would fully fill the weekend gap
Failure to hold 163.55 opens fresh downside on the reopen
Intervention rhetoric near 40-yr highs can jolt the reopen tape
21:02 UTC
Range, grinding to top · RSI 58 · price 163.852
Range-bound near session high.
USD/JPY is range-bound between 163.64 and 163.94, drifting back to the range top near 163.86 on thin late/Asia-session volume with no fresh catalyst. Pair holds near 40-yr highs but Katayama's verbal intervention is keeping a lid just shy of the 163.94 session high.
Support: 163.72, 163.64
Resistance: 163.865, 163.94
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.94 session high opens the path toward 164.00
Loss of 163.72 range mid reverts toward the 163.64 session low
Intervention rhetoric near multi-decade highs remains a headline risk
USD/JPY is coiling in a 15-pip band around 163.85 into the late session, ATR compressed to ~4 pips with RSI holding neutral-firm near 60. Price recovered off the 163.64 session low and is grinding back toward the recent 163.87-163.94 highs, though FM Katayama's intervention rhetoric is keeping the 40-yr high area capped.
Support: 163.76, 163.64
Resistance: 163.87, 163.94
What it said to watch
Close above 163.94 session high needed to extend the recovery
Failure to hold 163.76 swing low reopens the 163.64 session low
Intervention rhetoric near the 164.00 handle a live cap on upside