USD/JPY AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Friday, 24 July 2026

Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/JPY 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.

20:47 UTC

Recovery within range, momentum flat · RSI 59 · price 163.854

Rangebound, grinding back to session high.

Pair spent the NY session ranging 163.64–163.94, tapping the 163.64 session low before grinding back to the 163.87 session high into the late-NY close on compressed ATR. Capped just shy of the 40-year high with Katayama intervention rhetoric keeping a lid on the upside.

Support: 163.76, 163.64

Resistance: 163.87, 164.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.87 opens the path back toward 164.00
  • Loss of 163.76 puts the 163.64 session low back in play
  • Intervention rhetoric near the 40-yr high can trigger sharp downside spikes

20:46 UTC

Mild uptrend, momentum flat · RSI 60 · price 163.854

Consolidation near session highs.

USDJPY coiling around 163.85 into late NY, holding just under the 163.90 session high after recovering from the 163.65 session low. Price grinds sideways above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) neutral near 60; verbal intervention rhetoric from Katayama keeps bulls cautious shy of the 164.00 handle.

Support: 163.76, 163.65

Resistance: 163.90, 164.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.90 opens the path to 164.00
  • Loss of 163.76 swing low reopens 163.65 session low
  • Intervention rhetoric near 40-yr lows could inject sharp two-way volatility

20:31 UTC

Grinding higher, low momentum · RSI 59 · price 163.854

Recovery off NY low, rangebound near top.

USDJPY tapped 163.64 during NY hours then ground back up into the 163.86 session high on thinning late-session volume, price holding above EMA20/50. RSI(14) mid-range near 59, no extreme; pair pinned in the 163.64–163.94 band circling 40-year highs.

Support: 163.76, 163.68, 163.64

Resistance: 163.86, 163.936, 164.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.94 opens the path toward the 164.00 intervention zone
  • Failure to hold 163.76 negates the NY recovery and reopens 163.64
  • Intervention/MoF rhetoric near 164.00 could spike volatility

20:31 UTC

Recovering off lows, range-bound · RSI 58 · price 163.854

Consolidation near range top after basing.

USDJPY based at 163.64 during NY hours and has ground back up to hug the 163.86 range top, RSI(14) mid-range at 58. Price is coiling in a tight 163.82-163.86 band into the Asia handover, still pinned just under the 40-year-high zone.

Support: 163.76, 163.64

Resistance: 163.86, 163.94

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.86 range top opens a retest of the 163.94 session high
  • Loss of 163.76 range low re-exposes the 163.64 swing low
  • MoF intervention rhetoric near 164.00 could spike two-way volatility

20:16 UTC

Recovering off session low, momentum neutral · RSI 57 · price 163.851

Range, price in upper half after bounce.

USDJPY ranging 163.64–163.94 through the session, now grinding back into the upper half after buyers stepped in twice near 163.64 during NY hours. RSI(14) mid-range at ~57 with price holding above both EMAs; pair still circling multi-decade highs with JPY pinned near 40-year lows.

Support: 163.808, 163.64

Resistance: 163.877, 163.936

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.936 opens a retest of the 164.00 intervention zone
  • Failure to hold 163.808 exposes the 163.64 session low again
  • MoF intervention rhetoric near 164 could spike the yen sharply

20:16 UTC

Range within uptrend, drifting higher · RSI 56 · price 163.851

Consolidation in upper half of the day's band.

USDJPY is grinding sideways at 163.85 after NY dipped to 163.64 and recovered, RSI(14) neutral near 56 as the late-session bars tighten. Price sits just under the 40-year-high zone with the 164.00 intervention line overhead after FinMin verbal-intervention rhetoric.

Support: 163.64

Resistance: 163.94, 164.00

What it said to watch

  • Close above 163.94 session high opens the path toward the 164.00 intervention area
  • Loss of 163.64 session low breaks the range floor
  • MoF intervention headlines near 164.00 could trigger an abrupt short-covering spike

20:02 UTC

Range, holding near highs · RSI 56 · price 163.849

24h range 163.64-163.94, recovered to top.

Late-NY consolidation just under 163.94 after price recovered off the 163.64 session low made during NY hours; RSI(14) mid-range near 56. Pair remains pinned near 40-year highs with USD firm post-jobless-claims and Katayama's verbal intervention keeping the 164.00 barrier respected.

Support: 163.76, 163.64

Resistance: 163.94, 164.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.94 opens the path to the 164.00 psych level and intervention zone
  • Failure to hold 163.76 swing low reopens the 163.64 session low
  • Verbal or hard MoF/BoJ intervention headlines could sharply shift this read near 164.00

20:01 UTC

Range, edging back to top · RSI 59 · price 163.849

Intraday range, higher lows since NY low.

USDJPY dipped to 163.64 during NY hours then recovered to 163.85, holding a 163.64–163.94 range near four-decade highs. Price is grinding higher lows back toward the range top; 164.00 remains the flagged intervention wall after Katayama's verbal warnings.

Support: 163.70, 163.64

Resistance: 163.94, 164.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.94 opens a test of the 164.00 psych wall
  • Loss of 163.70 range floor exposes the 163.64 ny low
  • Intervention headlines near 164.00 could sharply shift this read

19:46 UTC

Recovering within range · RSI 57 · price 163.828

Range, price back near top.

USDJPY has churned in a 163.64–163.94 range through the session, dollar holding firm near the four-decade high after strong US jobless claims. Price has recovered off the 163.64 swing low back toward the range top; Katayama's verbal intervention keeps a lid just under the 164.00 barrier.

Support: 163.76, 163.64

Resistance: 163.94, 164.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.94 opens the 164.00 intervention zone
  • Failure to hold 163.76 reopens the 163.64 swing low
  • Any MoF/BoJ intervention headline near 164.00 could sharply shift this read

19:46 UTC

Recovery off lows, momentum flattening · RSI 56 · price 163.828

Consolidating in upper range after bounce from 163.64.

USD/JPY recovered the drop to 163.64 and is consolidating near 163.83, holding above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) neutral around 56. Firm US data and a wide rate gap keep the pair pinned just below the 164.00 four-decade high, where FinMin Katayama's verbal intervention is capping upside attempts.

Support: 163.76, 163.64

Resistance: 163.94, 164.00

What it said to watch

  • Break above 163.94 opens the path to the 164.00 psych barrier and intervention trip-wire
  • Loss of 163.76 swing low reopens the 163.64 session low
  • Any hard MoF/BoJ intervention headline could sharply reverse this recovery read

19:31 UTC

Grinding higher into 164 barrier · RSI 61 · price 163.849

Consolidation just below the four-decade high.

USDJPY is coiling in the 163.76–163.88 band after recovering from the 163.64 session low, RSI(14) mid-range near 60 with ATR compressed to ~5 pips. Yen stays pinned near its four-decade low as carry dominates, but Katayama's verbal intervention warning is capping the approach to 164.00.

Support: 163.76, 163.64

Resistance: 163.877, 164.00

What it said to watch

  • A close above 163.88 opens the path back toward the 164.00 intervention trip-wire
  • Failure to hold 163.76 exposes the 163.64 session low
  • BoJ/FOMC next week are the dominant two-way catalysts for this pair

19:31 UTC

Recovering off session low, range-bound · RSI 58 · price 163.849

Higher lows into a capped range.

USD/JPY carved a rounded base off the 163.64 session low and is grinding back toward 163.85 into the NY-Asia handover, price back above EMA20/50 with RSI mid-range near 58. Upside stalls under the 163.94 session high with the 164.00 four-decade barrier — flagged as Katayama's verbal-intervention trip-wire — capping extension.

Support: 163.72, 163.64

Resistance: 163.94, 164.00

What it said to watch

  • Sustained trade above 163.94 opens a test of the 164.00 psych level
  • Loss of 163.72 reopens the 163.64 session low
  • 164.00 — area to watch for rejection given intervention rhetoric

19:17 UTC

Consolidation, mildly higher off lows · RSI 57 · price 163.834

Range, upper half after recovery.

USDJPY is coiling near 163.83 in the upper half of the 163.64–163.94 range after recovering from the NY-session dip to 163.64. Late-session bars are tight, RSI(14) neutral near 57; the 164.00 four-decade high sits just above as the intervention trip-wire, with Katayama's verbal warnings keeping the advance in check.

Support: 163.76, 163.64

Resistance: 163.936, 164.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.94 session high reopens the 164.00 psych level
  • 164.00 intervention trip-wire — area to watch for rejection
  • Failure to hold 163.76 swing low reasserts the range floor at 163.64

19:16 UTC

Range, drifting to top · RSI 57 · price 163.834

Intraday range, recovering off session low.

USDJPY ranging 163.64–163.94 across the session, now grinding back to 163.83 into late NY hours with RSI mid-50s and ATR compressing. Buyers stepped in twice near 163.64–163.68 after the drop from 163.94, but 163.87 minor high still caps.

Support: 163.76, 163.68, 163.64

Resistance: 163.87, 163.94, 164.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.94 opens the path to the 164.00 psych level
  • 164.00 is the four-decade-high intervention tripwire — zone to watch for rejection
  • Failure to hold 163.76 reopens the session low at 163.68

19:02 UTC

Sideways, consolidating below 164 · RSI 53 · price 163.811

Range after NY-session low sweep and recovery.

USDJPY is coiling in a 163.76-163.87 range into the Friday close, holding just under the 164.00 four-decade high and intervention trip-wire flagged by Katayama. The NY session swept the 163.64 session low and buyers recovered it, but price has stalled below the range top with RSI near neutral and ATR compressing to ~4 pips.

Support: 163.76, 163.64

Resistance: 163.87, 163.936, 164.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.94 exposes the 164.00 intervention barrier
  • Loss of 163.76 range floor reopens the 163.64 session low
  • Volatility thin into weekly close; gaps possible on reopen

19:02 UTC

Range, drifting sideways after recovery · RSI 54 · price 163.811

Consolidation mid-range, higher low off 163.64.

Late NY session, USDJPY ranging 163.64–163.94 and coiling near 163.81 on thin end-of-week volume. Recovered off the 163.64 NY dip and has held a higher low; the four-decade high near 164.00 stays untouched with Katayama's verbal intervention keeping price capped just below it.

Support: 163.72, 163.64

Resistance: 163.94, 164.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.94 opens the path to the 164.00 intervention trip-wire
  • Failure to hold 163.72 reopens the 163.64 NY low
  • Thin late-session liquidity — moves may lack follow-through

18:47 UTC

Recovery off session low, consolidating · RSI 57 · price 163.837

Higher lows off 163.64, capped near 163.86.

USD/JPY clawed back off the 163.64 session low during NY hours and is now consolidating just under the 163.86 recent high, RSI(14) mid-range near 57. FinMin Katayama's verbal intervention keeps upside cautious below the four-decade 164 barrier.

Support: 163.78, 163.64

Resistance: 163.862, 163.936

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.86 opens the path to the 163.936 session high
  • Failure to hold 163.78 reopens the 163.64 session low
  • Intervention headlines near 164 could sharply shift this read

18:46 UTC

Range near highs, momentum flat · RSI 56 · price 163.837

Consolidating 163.64–163.94 below 164.00.

USD/JPY is grinding sideways in the 163.64–163.94 band through the NY session, holding the prior day's gains near four-decade highs after firm US jobless claims kept the dollar bid. Price sits mid-upper range at 163.84 with RSI neutral; 164.00 above is the intervention trip-wire flagged by Katayama.

Support: 163.70, 163.64

Resistance: 163.94, 164.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.94 opens the path to the 164.00 psych level
  • Loss of 163.70 swing low exposes the 163.64 session low
  • Any MoF/BoJ intervention headline near 164.00 could shift this read sharply

18:32 UTC

Range-bound, recovering off lows · RSI 60 · price 163.836

Range with higher lows into NY close.

USDJPY consolidating near 163.84 into the late NY session after a double bottom held twice at 163.64 during NY hours. Price grinding higher lows back toward the 163.88 session high; RSI(14) mid-range near 60 with the pair pinned just below the 164.00 four-decade high and active MoF verbal intervention.

Support: 163.76, 163.69, 163.64

Resistance: 163.88, 163.936, 164.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.94 opens the path to the 164.00 intervention trip-wire
  • Failure to hold 163.69 reopens the 163.64 double bottom
  • MoF/BoJ intervention headlines near 164.00 could sharply shift this read

18:31 UTC

Recovering off session low, momentum firm · RSI 57 · price 163.836

Consolidation below 164 after intraday dip and reclaim.

USD/JPY reclaimed the 163.80 handle into late NY after dipping to a session low of 163.665, dollar firm on strong US jobless claims (187K). Price consolidating just under the 163.936 session high with RSI(14) mid-range, still pinned below the four-decade 164.00 barrier.

Support: 163.76, 163.665

Resistance: 163.875, 163.936, 164.00

What it said to watch

  • Close above 163.936 session high opens the path toward the 164.00 40yr high
  • 164.00 is the verbal-intervention trip-wire — area to watch for rejection
  • Failure to hold 163.76 swing low re-exposes the 163.665 session low

18:17 UTC

Range, recovering off session low · RSI 57 · price 163.81

Consolidating below session high, near 40-year highs.

NY session dipped to 163.64 before buyers recovered price back to 163.81, holding a 163.64–163.94 range near four-decade highs. RSI(14) mid-range at 57; upside remains capped as verbal intervention from Katayama keeps price pinned below the 164.00 trip-wire.

Support: 163.64

Resistance: 163.94, 164.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.94 opens the path to the 164.00 psych level
  • Failure to hold 163.64 confirms a lower low and breaks the range floor
  • 164.00 remains the flagged intervention trip-wire — area to watch for rejection

18:16 UTC

Consolidating, recovering off lows · RSI 55 · price 163.81

Range after session-low bounce.

Late NY session sees USD/JPY grinding back to 163.81 after buyers stepped in at the 163.64 session low, RSI(14) neutral near 55. Price holds inside the intraday range with the 164.00 four-decade high and intervention trip-wire capping the upside; Katayama's verbal warnings keep momentum contained.

Support: 163.64

Resistance: 163.87, 164.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.94 opens the path to the 164.00 psych level
  • Failure to hold 163.64 confirms a lower low
  • Verbal or actual MoF/BoJ intervention headlines near 164.00 would shift the read

18:02 UTC

Recovering off session low, capped · RSI 55 · price 163.809

Range, higher lows into resistance.

USD/JPY carved a double bottom near 163.64 through the NY session and recovered to 163.81, but supply capped the bounce at 163.84. Pair pinned near 40-year highs on the wide rate gap, with 164.00 flagged as the intervention trip-wire after fresh MoF jawboning.

Support: 163.76, 163.64

Resistance: 163.84, 163.94, 164.00

What it said to watch

  • Close above 163.94 opens the path to the 164.00 psych/intervention zone
  • Loss of 163.64 session low confirms a lower low
  • BoJ and FOMC next week are the dominant two-way risk for this pair

18:01 UTC

Recovering off session low, momentum neutral · RSI 58 · price 163.809

Range after NY sweep of lows.

USD/JPY is consolidating near 163.81 after the NY session swept the 163.64 session low twice and recovered. RSI(14) sits neutral near 58 with price back above EMA20; verbal intervention jawboning keeps the 164.00 four-decade high in focus.

Support: 163.705, 163.64

Resistance: 163.936, 164.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.94 exposes the 164.00 intervention zone
  • failure to hold 163.70 reopens the 163.64 session low

17:47 UTC

Recovering off session low, choppy · RSI 58 · price 163.823

Range 163.64-163.94, higher lows into current bar.

USDJPY has ground back to 163.82 after buyers stepped in at the 163.64 session low during NY hours, holding the 163.64-163.94 range that has capped price all day. RSI(14) mid-range near 58; move is grind, not breakout, with the four-decade-high 164.00 zone still overhead and Katayama's verbal intervention keeping a lid on extension.

Support: 163.722, 163.64

Resistance: 163.877, 163.936, 164.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.877 opens the path to the 163.936 session high
  • Failure to hold 163.722 reopens the 163.640 session low
  • 164.00 psych level — area to monitor for intervention-driven rejection

17:46 UTC

Recovering off session low, micro uptrend · RSI 58 · price 163.823

Higher lows since 163.64, capped below 163.94.

USDJPY rallied off a double bottom near 163.64 during NY hours back to 163.82, RSI(14) mid-range. Price is consolidating below the 163.94 session high, still well short of the 164.00 four-decade high where verbal intervention risk is active.

Support: 163.70, 163.64

Resistance: 163.87, 163.94, 164.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.94 opens the path to the 164.00 psych level
  • Failure to hold 163.70 reopens the 163.64 session low

17:31 UTC

Recovering off session low, ranging below 164 · RSI 57 · price 163.808

Consolidation, higher lows off 163.64.

USDJPY has recovered off the 163.64 session low back toward 163.81, grinding through a rising sequence of higher lows during NY hours, RSI(14) near 57. Price is consolidating just under the 164.00 four-decade high after Katayama's verbal intervention capped the prior push toward the session high at 163.94.

Support: 163.70, 163.64

Resistance: 163.86, 163.94, 164.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.94 session high reopens the run at the 164.00 40yr high
  • 164.00 is an intervention trip-wire — area to watch for rejection
  • Loss of the 163.70 higher low exposes the 163.64 session low

17:31 UTC

Ranging, mild recovery off lows · RSI 54 · price 163.808

Consolidation just below the 40-yr high.

USDJPY is consolidating 163.64–163.94 into the NY session, holding just under the four-decade high near 164.00 where FinMin Katayama's verbal intervention is capping. Price recovered off the 163.64 session low and RSI(14) sits mid-range near 54, no extreme in play.

Support: 163.64

Resistance: 163.87, 163.94, 164.00

What it said to watch

  • Close above 163.94 opens the path to the 164.00 intervention trip-wire
  • Break below 163.64 session low confirms a lower low
  • Any hard MoF/BoJ intervention headline could snap this range

17:16 UTC

Range, recovering off lows · RSI 55 · price 163.805

Intraday range with rising lows into NY afternoon.

USDJPY consolidated between 163.64 and 163.94 through the session, dipping to a session low at 163.64 during NY before buyers stepped in on a chain of rising lows back to 163.80. RSI(14) recovered to mid-range and price holds just above EMA20/50; Katayama's verbal intervention keeps price pinned below the ~164 four-decade high.

Support: 163.744, 163.64

Resistance: 163.845, 163.936

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.845 opens the path back to session high 163.936
  • Failure to hold 163.744 reopens the 163.64 session low
  • BoJ/FOMC risk next week — verbal intervention near 164 already active

17:16 UTC

Recovering off session low · RSI 57 · price 163.805

Range, bounce from 163.64.

USDJPY dipped to 163.64 during NY hours then recovered toward 163.81, holding a double bottom off the session low as US jobless-claims strength kept the dollar firm. Price sits mid-range between 163.64 and the 163.94 session high, RSI(14) neutral near 57.

Support: 163.64

Resistance: 163.87, 163.94, 164.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.94 reopens the path toward the 164.00 four-decade high
  • Loss of 163.64 confirms a lower low and voids the double-bottom read
  • Katayama intervention headlines could sharply shift the read near 164.00

17:02 UTC

Pullback off session low, recovering · RSI 49 · price 163.79

Range after NY leg down, higher lows forming.

NY session sold off from 163.94 to a 163.64 low, where buyers stepped in twice to build a double bottom; price has since recovered to 163.79 with RSI back near neutral. USD/JPY continues to hold just below the 164.00 four-decade high amid active verbal-intervention warnings.

Support: 163.64, 163.70

Resistance: 163.86, 163.94, 164.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 163.64 confirms a lower low and voids the double-bottom read
  • Reclaim of 163.86 puts the 163.94 session high back in play
  • 164.00 remains the intervention tripwire capping upside extension

17:02 UTC

Recovering off session low · RSI 51 · price 163.79

Range, double bottom near 163.64.

NY session dipped to 163.64 twice and buyers stepped in, lifting price back to 163.79 with RSI(14) recovering to mid-range. USD/JPY consolidating below the 163.94 session high, pinned near four-decade highs after firm US jobless claims kept the dollar bid.

Support: 163.70, 163.64

Resistance: 163.86, 163.94, 164.00

What it said to watch

  • Close above 163.86 opens the path to 163.94 and the 164.00 intervention level
  • Failure to hold 163.70 reopens the 163.64 session low
  • Katayama verbal-intervention risk intensifies near 164.00

16:46 UTC

Range, drifting lower into NY · RSI 45 · price 163.747

Lower highs, holding above session low.

NY session faded USD/JPY from 163.88 down to a 163.64 low before buyers stepped in and lifted price back toward 163.75. Pair is ranging 163.64–163.94 with lower highs, RSI(14) mid-40s and price below both EMAs after the pullback.

Support: 163.64, 163.70

Resistance: 163.87, 163.936

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 163.64 confirms a lower low and breaks the range floor
  • Reclaim of 163.87 needed to negate the lower-high sequence
  • Katayama verbal intervention risk keeps 164.00 in focus above

16:46 UTC

Range, drifting lower off session high · RSI 48 · price 163.747

Consolidation between 163.64 and 163.94.

NY-hours pullback stalled near 163.64 where buyers stepped in twice; price now hovering at 163.75, below EMA20/50. Rejection at the 163.94 range top earlier keeps USD/JPY boxed just under the four-decade high with verbal intervention capping the topside.

Support: 163.64, 163.69

Resistance: 163.87, 163.94, 164.00

What it said to watch

  • Close below 163.64 confirms a lower low and opens the 163.50 area
  • Reclaim of 163.87 puts the 163.94 range top back in play
  • 164.00 remains the intervention trip-wire flagged by MoF

16:31 UTC

Range, recent NY downdrift · RSI 43 · price 163.732

Lower highs into session low, bounce from 163.64.

NY session drifted lower from the 163.88 swing high to a session low at 163.64, RSI(14) cooling into the low 40s. Buyers stepped in at 163.64 and price recovered to 163.73; the 163.64-163.94 range still holds, price below EMA20/50.

Support: 163.64, 163.686

Resistance: 163.877, 163.936

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 163.64 confirms a lower low and opens 163.60
  • Reclaim of 163.877 negates the NY downdrift back toward range high
  • 164.00 four-decade-high zone remains the intervention trip-wire above

16:31 UTC

Intraday downtrend, momentum cooling · RSI 45 · price 163.732

Lower highs into NY, holding above session low.

NY session sold USD/JPY from 163.87 down to a 163.64 low, RSI(14) cooling into the mid-40s before buyers stepped in twice near the low. Price has recovered to 163.73 but stays below EMA20/50, capped by lower highs as Katayama's verbal intervention keeps 164.00 in focus.

Support: 163.64, 163.69

Resistance: 163.80, 163.87, 164.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 163.64 confirms a lower low
  • Reclaim of 163.80 negates the intraday lower-high sequence
  • 164.00 four-decade high is the intervention trip-wire
  • BoJ / FOMC next week is the dominant two-way risk

16:17 UTC

Pullback, momentum down · RSI 43 · price 163.706

Lower highs off session high.

USD/JPY faded from the 163.877 session high through the NY session, printing a 163.64 session low before a shallow bounce that stalled near 163.73 — dollar stayed firm on strong US claims while Katayama's verbal intervention capped bulls below the 164.00 four-decade high. Micro-structure is a chain of lower highs; RSI(14) sits mid-40s with no extreme.

Support: 163.64, 163.66

Resistance: 163.80, 163.877, 164.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 163.64 session low confirms a lower low
  • Reclaim of the 163.80 swing pivot negates the pullback
  • 164.00 four-decade high remains the intervention trip-wire per Katayama

16:16 UTC

Downtrend, pulling off session lows · RSI 43 · price 163.706

Lower highs, testing session low.

NY session sold USDJPY off the 163.877 high down to 163.64 before a shallow bounce stalled near 163.73; price now hovers just above the session low with RSI(14) cooling into the low 40s. Move follows a firm dollar on strong US jobless claims, while Katayama's verbal intervention keeps the four-decade 164.00 high capped.

Support: 163.64, 163.66

Resistance: 163.80, 163.877, 164.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 163.64 confirms a lower low and extends the session slide
  • Reclaim of 163.80 negates the lower-high sequence
  • 164.00 remains the intervention trip-wire on any renewed push higher

16:01 UTC

Intraday pullback within range · RSI 43 · price 163.725

Lower high off 163.88, holding above session low.

NY session faded from 163.88 down to a 163.64 low before a modest bounce back to 163.72; price sits below EMA20/50 after the leg lower. FinMin Katayama's verbal intervention is keeping the four-decade high near 164.00 capped, with USD firm on strong US jobless claims.

Support: 163.64, 163.69

Resistance: 163.88, 164.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.88 negates the lower-high sequence
  • Break below 163.64 confirms a fresh session low
  • 164.00 remains the intervention trip-wire — area to monitor

16:01 UTC

Downdrift into NY, momentum soft · RSI 44 · price 163.725

Pullback off session high, near session low.

USD/JPY sold off through the NY session, rejecting the 163.869 swing high and printing a session low at 163.640 before a shallow bounce to 163.725. Price consolidated the prior day's gains near the four-decade high as Katayama's verbal intervention kept a lid on the topside; RSI(14) sits mid-40s with price under both EMAs.

Support: 163.64, 163.685

Resistance: 163.869, 164.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 163.869 reopens the 164.00 intervention wall
  • Loss of 163.640 confirms a lower low
  • Verbal or actual MoF/BoJ intervention near 164.00 could shift this read

15:46 UTC

Downtrend intraday, momentum easing · RSI 42 · price 163.72

Lower highs into NY, probing session low.

NY afternoon slid from the 163.87 session high to 163.64 with a chain of lower highs, USD/JPY now at 163.72 after a shallow bounce. Slide follows the firm-dollar tone off strong US jobless claims, with Katayama's verbal intervention keeping the 164 four-decade high capped above.

Support: 163.64, 163.69

Resistance: 163.80, 163.87

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 163.64 confirms a lower-low and extends the NY slide
  • M15 close back above 163.80 neutralises the lower-high sequence
  • BoJ/FOMC next week is the dominant two-way catalyst; verbal intervention active near 164.00

15:46 UTC

Downtrend, session lows swept · RSI 42 · price 163.72

Lower highs into 163.64 sweep, minor bounce.

NY session sold off from 163.877, sweeping the session low at 163.64 before a shallow bounce to 163.72; RSI(14) cooling in the low-40s and price below EMA20/50. Katayama verbal intervention near the four-decade high has capped upside just under 164.00.

Support: 163.64, 163.665

Resistance: 163.877

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 163.64 confirms a lower low
  • Reclaim of 163.877 negates the intraday sell pressure

15:31 UTC

Intraday pullback, momentum lower · RSI 42 · price 163.704

Leg down from session high toward session low.

NY session sold off from the 163.87 session high into 163.64, RSI(14) cooling near 41 with price under the EMA20/50. Buyers tested twice near 163.64-163.65, a near double bottom, but the last bar closed weak at 163.704.

Support: 163.64, 163.65

Resistance: 163.80, 163.87, 164.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 163.80 negates the down-leg read
  • Break and hold below 163.64 opens further intraday downside
  • 164.00 is the four-decade high / intervention trip-wire — area to watch for rejection

15:31 UTC

Downtrend, near session low · RSI 40 · price 163.704

Range top rejected, leg lower into NY.

Pair rolled off the 163.87 session high during NY hours and pressed the session low at 163.64, RSI(14) cooling toward 40 with price below both EMAs. USD/JPY stays pinned just under the four-decade high with Katayama's verbal intervention capping upside attempts.

Support: 163.64

Resistance: 163.87, 163.94, 164.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 163.64 confirms a lower low and breaks the range
  • Reclaim of 163.87 session high reopens the 163.94 range high
  • Any MoF/BoJ intervention headline near 164.00 could sharply shift this read

15:17 UTC

Downtrend, pressing session low · RSI 34 · price 163.659

Lower highs, retesting sweep low 163.65.

NY session sold off from 163.88, closing on the low at 163.659 as USD stays firm and yen intervention rhetoric fails to reverse. Price is retesting the 163.65 sweep low set earlier in the day — a potential double bottom — with RSI(14) around 34 but not yet oversold.

Support: 163.65, 163.55

Resistance: 163.80, 163.88

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 163.65 confirms a lower low and negates the double-bottom read
  • Reclaim of 163.80 pivot would neutralise the intraday downside

15:17 UTC

Intraday downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 37 · price 163.659

Range break, printing lower low.

NY session sold USDJPY through the 163.73 range floor into the close, printing a session low at 163.65 with RSI(14) near 37. Price sits below EMA20/50 after a clean intraday leg down; JPY still pinned near 40-yr lows so this is a pullback within a broadly weak yen backdrop.

Support: 163.65, 163.60

Resistance: 163.73

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 163.73 negates the downside break
  • Break of 163.65 opens the path toward 163.60
  • BoJ decision Jul 31 is the pivotal catalyst for this pair this week

15:01 UTC

Sideways, drifting lower late · RSI 43 · price 163.77

Range-bound below session high.

USDJPY has chopped between 163.65 and 163.94 through the NY session, pinned just off the 40-yr high with intervention rhetoric capping upside. Price slipped to the lower half of the range into the last hour, closing 163.77 below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) cooling to the low 40s.

Support: 163.69, 163.65

Resistance: 163.87, 163.94

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.87 reopens the 163.94 session high
  • Loss of 163.65 confirms a lower-low and breaks the range floor
  • BoJ decision Jul 31 is the dominant catalyst still ahead

15:01 UTC

Ranging, no clear intraday trend · RSI 47 · price 163.77

Sideways between 163.65 and 163.94.

USDJPY ranging 163.65-163.94 through the session, price fading back toward the lower half at 163.77 after rejection at 163.86. Benign June CPI failed to lift the yen; pair remains pinned near multi-decade highs, no setup in play.

Support: 163.69, 163.65

Resistance: 163.86, 163.94

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.94 breaks the range top
  • Close below 163.65 confirms a lower low
  • BoJ decision Jul 31 03:00 UTC is the dominant risk into this pair

14:46 UTC

Range, drifting toward lows · RSI 43 · price 163.76

Consolidation below 163.90, lower highs into NY.

USDJPY is boxed between the 163.65 swing low and the 163.94 session high, pinned near 40-yr highs. NY hours saw a rejection at 163.88 and price has since slid back to 163.76, now trading below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) cooling to the low 40s.

Support: 163.72, 163.65

Resistance: 163.88, 163.94

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 163.65 confirms a lower-low and breaks the range
  • Reclaim of 163.88 reopens the 163.94 session high
  • Intervention rhetoric / BoJ July 31 risk can spike two-way volatility

14:46 UTC

Range, drifting off session high · RSI 44 · price 163.76

Ranging 163.65–163.88, capped intraday.

USDJPY ranged 163.65–163.88 through the NY session, pinned just off the 40-year high area with intervention rhetoric capping the topside. Price rejected the 163.88 session high and slipped back to 163.76, now below EMA20/50 with RSI cooling to the mid-40s.

Support: 163.65, 163.72

Resistance: 163.88, 163.92

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 163.65 breaks the session low and opens the downside
  • Reclaim of 163.88 session high puts 163.92 prior high back in play
  • BoJ/FOMC next week are the dominant catalysts, not intraday flow

14:32 UTC

Sideways, minor pullback after intraday push · RSI 49 · price 163.798

Range within 163.65–163.88, holding just off 40-yr high.

USD/JPY pushed to a session high of 163.877 into NY hours then faded back to 163.79, stalling around the 38.2% retrace of the 163.65–163.877 leg. Ranging just below the 40-yr high near 163.24 area extension; benign Japan CPI and firm US PMIs left the pair pinned, RSI(14) mid-range and offering no extreme.

Support: 163.76, 163.651

Resistance: 163.877, 163.936

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.877 reopens the 163.936 prior high
  • Loss of 163.76 exposes the 163.651 session low
  • FOMC (Jul 29) and BoJ (Jul 31) are the dominant catalysts that can reset this range

14:31 UTC

Sideways, no momentum · RSI 48 · price 163.798

Range-bound after session-low sweep.

USDJPY chopping in a 163.65–163.88 band through the NY session, RSI(14) flat near 48 with price pinned to the EMA20. June CPI at 1.7% failed to move the yen and price sits well off the session low swept at 163.651 earlier.

Support: 163.651

Resistance: 163.88, 163.94

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 163.65 confirms a lower low and breaks the range
  • Break above 163.88 opens the path back toward the 163.94 prior high
  • BoJ decision Jul 31 is the dominant catalyst but sits outside this window

14:16 UTC

Sideways, no momentum · RSI 52 · price 163.818

Range-bound, mid-range.

USDJPY grinding in a 163.65–163.98 range through the NY session, price back mid-range at 163.82 after a rejection at 163.877. Benign June CPI failed to lift the yen and Katayama's intervention rhetoric gave only brief support; RSI(14) flat near 52, ATR compressed at ~5.5 pips.

Support: 163.72, 163.651

Resistance: 163.877

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.88 opens the path to 163.98
  • Failure to hold 163.72 exposes the 163.65 session low
  • BoJ Jul 31 and FOMC same week are the multi-day swing factors, nothing imminent in the next few hours

14:16 UTC

Rangebound, no clear intraday direction · RSI 53 · price 163.818

Range between 163.65 and 163.98.

USDJPY is chopping between 163.65 and 163.98, pinned just off 40-yr highs as a benign Japan CPI print failed to lift the yen. Price bounced off 163.65 and stalled at 163.87 before easing back to 163.82; RSI(14) neutral near 53, no setup in play.

Support: 163.72, 163.65

Resistance: 163.877, 163.98

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.877 reopens the 163.98 session high
  • Loss of 163.72 exposes the 163.65 session low
  • Fresh energy/yield impulse or intervention rhetoric could break the range

14:02 UTC

Range, pulling back from session high · RSI 45 · price 163.766

Intraday range 163.65-163.88, rejected at top.

USDJPY faded from the session high at 163.877 into the NY open, RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s as the pair sits just off its 40-year high near 163.24 handle. Price has held a 163.65-163.88 range all session; last bar closed 163.766, roughly the 50% retrace of the swing off 163.651.

Support: 163.72, 163.651

Resistance: 163.877, 163.92

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.88 reopens the path toward 163.92
  • Loss of 163.72 confirms a lower-low toward the 163.651 session low
  • Intervention rhetoric / BoJ Jul 31 could sharply shift this read

14:01 UTC

Range, momentum flat · RSI 44 · price 163.766

Consolidation inside 163.65–163.95.

USDJPY is ranging 163.65–163.95 with price pinned near 40-yr highs on the energy/carry story. NY hours produced a push to 163.87 that was rejected, and the last two bars pulled back to 163.77 — sitting on the 50% retrace of the intraday leg with RSI(14) neutral near 44.

Support: 163.72, 163.65

Resistance: 163.87, 163.95

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.87 reopens the 163.95 prior high
  • Loss of 163.65 session low confirms a lower low
  • MoF intervention rhetoric could spike a sharp reversal off these highs

13:47 UTC

Recovering off London low, grinding higher · RSI 61 · price 163.849

Higher lows off 163.65, testing session high.

USDJPY bottomed near 163.65 at the London open and has ground back up to 163.85 into the NY transition, holding a chain of higher lows. RSI(14) around 60, room before extremes; the 163.90 session high caps for now while the 40-yr high context keeps intervention rhetoric in the frame.

Support: 163.72, 163.651

Resistance: 163.90, 163.94

What it said to watch

  • Close above 163.90 opens the path toward 163.94
  • Failure to hold 163.72 breaks the higher-low sequence
  • MoF intervention headlines could sharply reprice this read

13:46 UTC

Recovering off session low, grinding higher · RSI 57 · price 163.849

Higher lows into session resistance.

USDJPY has clawed back to 163.85 after tagging the day low at 163.651 during the NY session, printing a chain of higher lows with RSI(14) mid-range near 57. Session high at 163.90 is the near-term cap; the pair holds just off its 40-yr high with the yen still pinned by carry.

Support: 163.72, 163.651

Resistance: 163.90, 163.985

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.90 opens the path back to the 163.985 day high
  • Loss of 163.72 swing low re-exposes the 163.651 day low
  • BoJ decision Jul 31 is the dominant risk into next week

13:32 UTC

Intraday recovery off session low · RSI 60 · price 163.863

Higher lows since 163.65, grinding back toward session highs.

USDJPY bottomed at 163.65 during London and has ground higher in a chain of higher lows into the NY open, now retesting session highs near 163.88. RSI(14) around 60, price holding above EMA20/50; benign June CPI and Katayama's intervention rhetoric have failed to lift the yen, leaving the pair pinned near 40-yr highs.

Support: 163.72, 163.65

Resistance: 163.90, 163.96

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.90 opens the path back to 163.96
  • Loss of 163.72 reopens the 163.65 swing low
  • S&P Global US PMIs (13:45 UTC) could shift this read

13:31 UTC

Recovery off session low, grinding higher · RSI 62 · price 163.863

Higher lows off 163.65, capped near 163.90.

USD/JPY has clawed back from the London-session low at 163.651 to press session highs near 163.86, RSI(14) around 62 with buyers stepping in on each dip. Pair pinned just off 40-yr highs; the 163.90 area is capping for now.

Support: 163.72, 163.65

Resistance: 163.90, 163.96

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.90 opens the path to 163.96 prior high
  • Failure to hold 163.72 negates the recovery and reopens 163.65
  • S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read within the hour

13:17 UTC

Recovering within range · RSI 57 · price 163.849

Higher lows off session low, capped below 163.88.

USD/JPY based at the 163.65 session low and recovered through NY hours, printing higher lows into 163.85; RSI(14) mid-range near 57. Price sits just under the 163.88 session high with the 163.96 prior high above.

Support: 163.76, 163.651

Resistance: 163.877, 163.96

What it said to watch

  • Close above 163.88 session high opens the path to the 163.96 prior high
  • Loss of 163.76 swing low reopens the 163.65 session low
  • S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read

13:16 UTC

Recovering off session low · RSI 57 · price 163.849

Higher lows since 163.65, consolidating.

USD/JPY carved a session low at 163.65 during NY hours then ground back to 163.85, building higher lows and holding above both EMAs. RSI(14) mid-range at 57; pair still capped by the 163.90 recent high with the 40-yr high near 163.24 well below on the day's earlier washout.

Support: 163.72, 163.65

Resistance: 163.90, 163.96

What it said to watch

  • S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Close above 163.90 opens the path to the 163.96 session high
  • Failure to hold 163.72 re-exposes the 163.65 session low

13:02 UTC

Range, grinding higher off session low · RSI 57 · price 163.849

Intraday range with higher lows into current bar.

USDJPY recovered from the day low at 163.65 during NY hours, grinding back to 163.85 on a chain of higher lows. Still boxed in a 163.65–163.96 range; JPY pinned near multi-decade lows with Katayama's intervention rhetoric capping but not reversing, no fresh USD/JPY catalyst in the window.

Support: 163.72, 163.65

Resistance: 163.90, 163.96

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.96 resumes upside off the range top
  • Loss of 163.72 reopens the day low at 163.65
  • Intervention headlines near 163-164 carry snap-back risk

13:02 UTC

Recovery off session low, momentum steady · RSI 62 · price 163.849

Range, buyers reclaiming mid.

USDJPY spent the NY session grinding back from the 163.65 session low to 163.85, holding a 40-year-high regime with JPY offered and USD firm. Buyers stepped in twice near 163.65-163.68 (double bottom) before the recovery; price now sits mid-range under the 163.90 swing high with RSI(14) around 61.

Support: 163.72, 163.65

Resistance: 163.90, 163.96

What it said to watch

  • Close above 163.90 swing high opens the path back to 163.96 session high
  • Loss of 163.72 swing low re-exposes the 163.65 session low
  • BoJ/MoF intervention rhetoric near 163-164 carries outsized snap-back risk

12:46 UTC

Recovering off lows, momentum flat · RSI 54 · price 163.824

Consolidating in upper half of intraday range.

USDJPY has clawed back from the 163.65 session low and is now consolidating around 163.82, roughly the midpoint of the day's range with RSI(14) flat near 54. Rising lows since the NY-hours flush hint at demand stepping in, but 163.86 session high still caps.

Support: 163.73, 163.651

Resistance: 163.86, 163.94

What it said to watch

  • Close above 163.86 opens the path back toward the 163.94 prior high
  • Failure to hold 163.73 exposes the 163.651 session low
  • US S&P Global PMIs (13:45 UTC) could inject volatility into this range

12:46 UTC

Range, no clear direction · RSI 54 · price 163.824

Consolidation mid-range after fading session high.

USDJPY is ranging 163.72–163.90 after the early-session push to 163.985 faded and price dipped to 163.65. Buyers stepped back in off the low and price is now consolidating just above EMA20/50 with RSI neutral near 54. No setup in play at the 40-year-high zone.

Support: 163.72, 163.65

Resistance: 163.90, 163.985

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.90 opens a retest of the 163.985 session high
  • Failure to hold 163.72 exposes the 163.65 session low
  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could break this range

12:31 UTC

Sideways, no clear direction · RSI 54 · price 163.804

Range-bound between session low and high.

USDJPY is ranging roughly 163.65-163.96 near 40-year highs, with the early Asian high at 163.96 unchallenged since. Price drifted to a 163.65 session low then recovered to 163.80; RSI(14) mid-range and ATR compressed, no setup in play. Yen failed to firm on in-line June CPI, with intervention rhetoric still on the tape.

Support: 163.65

Resistance: 163.86, 163.96

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.96 would break the session-high cap
  • Break below 163.65 confirms a lower low
  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could break this range

12:31 UTC

Range, no clear intraday trend · RSI 54 · price 163.804

Consolidation mid-range after early sell-off.

USDJPY is ranging 163.65–163.96 after fading from the early session high at 163.96; June CPI ticking to 1.7% failed to lift the yen. Buyers stepped in at 163.65 and price has drifted back to mid-range near 163.80 with RSI(14) neutral around 54.

Support: 163.65

Resistance: 163.85, 163.96

What it said to watch

  • Close above 163.85 puts the 163.96 session high back in play
  • Loss of 163.65 confirms a lower intraday low
  • US S&P Global PMIs 13:45 UTC could break this range

12:16 UTC

Range, mild recovery off lows · RSI 54 · price 163.811

Intraday range, holding above session low.

USDJPY ranging between 163.65 and 163.85 through the London-NY session, pinned near 40-year highs on the wide rate gap and energy-driven yen weakness. Price recovered off the 163.65 session low and sits mid-range; RSI(14) neutral near 54, no momentum extreme in play.

Support: 163.65

Resistance: 163.85, 163.96

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.85 opens the path back toward the 163.96 prior high
  • Failure to hold 163.65 confirms a lower-low and breaks the range
  • MoF/Katayama intervention rhetoric near 163-164 is a snap-back risk

12:16 UTC

Sideways, no momentum · RSI 53 · price 163.811

Range, mid-range drift.

USDJPY ranging 163.65–163.96 through Asia and into London, currently mid-range at 163.81 with no setup in play. JPY stays pinned near 40-year lows and June CPI at 1.7% failed to spark strength; Katayama's 'ready to act' verbal intervention keeps a cap on without naming a level.

Support: 163.651

Resistance: 163.90, 163.985

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.90 reopens the 163.985 day high
  • Break below 163.65 confirms a lower low and voids the range read
  • BoJ decision Jul 31 and intervention rhetoric carry outsized snap-back risk

12:02 UTC

Sideways, range-bound · RSI 51 · price 163.803

Consolidation between 163.65 and 163.85.

USDJPY has churned sideways through the Asia and London morning, holding a 163.65-163.85 band after an early push stalled at the 163.985 session high; RSI(14) is flat near 51. June CPI (core 1.6%, in line) and repeated Katayama intervention rhetoric kept price pinned at 40-year highs without a fresh trend leg.

Support: 163.72, 163.651

Resistance: 163.85, 163.985, 164.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.85 opens the 163.985 session high and 164.00 round number
  • Failure to hold 163.72 swing low exposes the 163.651 session low
  • MoF/Katayama naming a level would risk a sharp reversal off these highs

12:01 UTC

Range-bound near 40-yr highs · RSI 54 · price 163.803

Consolidation between 163.65 and 163.98.

USDJPY is boxed between 163.65 and 163.98 after an early push to 163.98 faded; June CPI in line failed to spark yen strength and price has round-tripped back to mid-range near 163.80. RSI(14) flat around 54, no momentum edge on this timeframe.

Support: 163.65

Resistance: 163.85, 163.96

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.96 reopens the 40-yr high push
  • Break below 163.65 confirms a lower low
  • Katayama intervention rhetoric near 163-164 could snap the range

11:46 UTC

Sideways, momentum flat after early push · RSI 49 · price 163.788

Range-bound, lower highs into support.

After the NY-session push to 163.96, USD/JPY has drifted into a 163.65-163.86 range with a chain of lower highs, RSI(14) flat near 49. Demand stepped in twice around 163.65-163.72 (the 50-61.8% retrace of the early leg); range top capping into the London-NY transition, with June CPI at 1.7% failing to spark any yen bid.

Support: 163.72, 163.65

Resistance: 163.86, 163.96

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.86 opens the path to 163.96 session high
  • Failure to hold 163.72 exposes 163.65 session low
  • MoF/Katayama intervention rhetoric near 163-164 could snap the range

11:46 UTC

Sideways, no clear direction · RSI 53 · price 163.788

Range-bound mid-session.

USDJPY is ranging between 163.65 and 163.96, currently mid-range near 163.79 with RSI(14) flat around 52. Early London pushed to a 163.96 session high before fading; the pair has churned sideways since, with JPY pinned near 40-year lows and verbal intervention from MoF capping without reversing. No setup in play.

Support: 163.65, 163.725

Resistance: 163.86, 163.96

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.96 breaks the range top
  • Close below 163.65 confirms a lower low
  • MoF intervention headlines near 163-164 could snap this read

11:31 UTC

Range, drifting off highs · RSI 49 · price 163.772

Consolidation below session high.

USDJPY faded from the 163.98 session high and has since ranged 163.65–163.86, holding near 40-year highs as JPY stays pinned on the rate gap. Price now sits mid-range around 163.77 with RSI neutral; buyers stepped in at 163.65 and the recent 163.72 low has held.

Support: 163.72, 163.651

Resistance: 163.86

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.86 reopens the 163.98 session high
  • Loss of 163.65 confirms a lower low
  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read
  • MoF intervention rhetoric near 163-164 a risk to the range

11:31 UTC

Sideways, no directional momentum · RSI 51 · price 163.772

Range-bound, mid-range.

USDJPY is ranging between the session low at 163.65 and the session high near 163.99, currently sitting mid-range at 163.77 with RSI flat around 51. The pair holds near 40-year highs but momentum has stalled; verbal intervention warnings from Japan's MoF are keeping upside probes contained without reversing the trend.

Support: 163.72, 163.65

Resistance: 163.99

What it said to watch

  • Close above 163.99 opens continuation toward the 163.24-high extension zone
  • Break below 163.65 session low confirms a lower-low
  • Fresh MoF intervention rhetoric near 163-164 could snap this range

11:16 UTC

Rangebound, mild downward drift · RSI 48 · price 163.768

Consolidation below session peak.

USD/JPY carved a session peak at 163.985 during the London hours then drifted back into a 163.65-163.90 range, RSI(14) hovering mid-40s with no momentum edge. Pair sits near 40-year highs with intervention rhetoric on the tape; price is coiling around EMA20 with sellers capping toward 163.90 and buyers defending 163.65.

Support: 163.651

Resistance: 163.90, 163.985

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 163.65 confirms a lower low out of the range
  • M15 close above 163.90 reopens the 163.985 session high
  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could break the range read

11:16 UTC

Range after early uptrend faded · RSI 47 · price 163.768

Consolidation, lower highs into support.

USDJPY drifted off the 163.99 session high and is ranging 163.65–163.85, price hugging the mid near 163.77 with RSI(14) neutral around 47. Pair sits just under 40-year highs; June CPI in line failed to lift the yen, and Katayama's 'ready to act' rhetoric keeps intervention on the tape without capping the range.

Support: 163.72, 163.65

Resistance: 163.85, 163.99

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 163.65 confirms a lower low and breaks the session range
  • Reclaim of 163.85 puts the 163.99 session high back in play
  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read

11:02 UTC

Consolidation, drifting lower off highs · RSI 52 · price 163.791

Range between 163.65 and 163.98, lower highs.

USD/JPY sits near 40-year highs; the early window pushed to 163.98 before a slow grind lower through London, printing lower highs. Buyers stepped in at 163.65 twice and price has recovered to mid-range around 163.79, RSI(14) neutral. JPY holding despite in-line June CPI as MoF intervention rhetoric caps the topside.

Support: 163.651, 163.73

Resistance: 163.86, 163.985

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.985 reopens the session high
  • Failure to hold 163.65 confirms a lower low
  • Intervention rhetoric escalating near 163-164 could snap the range

11:01 UTC

Consolidation off session high · RSI 51 · price 163.791

Range-bound below 163.86, drifting after early push to 163.99.

USDJPY pushed to a 163.99 session high early, then faded into a 163.65–163.86 range through the session, June CPI failing to spark yen strength. Price is mid-range at 163.79, RSI(14) neutral near 51; buyers stepped in twice around 163.65–163.72.

Support: 163.72, 163.65

Resistance: 163.86, 163.99

What it said to watch

  • Close above 163.86 reopens the 163.99 session high
  • Failure to hold 163.65 confirms a lower low
  • US S&P Global PMIs 13:45 UTC could shift this read; MoF intervention risk elevated near 163-164

10:47 UTC

Consolidation after early rally, drifting lower · RSI 47 · price 163.755

Range-bound in upper half of session, lower highs capping.

USDJPY ran to 163.985 into the Asian session then rolled over, spending London-hours chopping between 163.65 and 163.92 with lower highs capping. Pair sits mid-range near 163.75 with JPY pinned at 40-year lows; RSI(14) neutral around 47, no setup in play.

Support: 163.68, 163.65

Resistance: 163.86, 163.92, 163.985

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.92 re-opens the window high at 163.985
  • Loss of 163.65 swing low confirms a lower-low and extends the drift
  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could break this range
  • Any MoF intervention headline near 163-164 carries outsized snap-back risk

10:47 UTC

Topped, drifting lower · RSI 44 · price 163.755

Range after rejection of 163.98.

USD/JPY topped at 163.98 in the NY session then drifted lower, now ranging 163.65–163.86 through Asia into London. RSI(14) neutral near 43, ATR compressed around 6 pips — no momentum extension, price pinned near 40-year highs as intervention rhetoric caps.

Support: 163.65

Resistance: 163.86, 163.98

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.86 reopens the 163.98 session high
  • Close below 163.65 confirms a lower low
  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read

10:32 UTC

Downtrend, drifting off session high · RSI 44 · price 163.715

Lower highs, consolidating near recent lows.

USDJPY has bled lower through the London morning after topping at 163.985, printing a chain of lower highs and now consolidating around 163.72 near the 163.68 recent low. RSI(14) mid-40s, no fresh momentum; yen sits pinned at multi-decade lows but the intraday bias is corrective.

Support: 163.68, 163.65

Resistance: 163.80, 163.985

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 163.65 confirms a lower low and opens continuation
  • Reclaim of 163.80 range top negates the lower-high sequence
  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read

10:31 UTC

Intraday pullback after early rally · RSI 43 · price 163.715

Lower highs, ranging into support.

USD/JPY rallied to a session high at 163.98 early in the window then faded through the London session, printing lower highs into the current 163.72. Price is now grinding along the 163.65 swing low with RSI(14) mid-range; range top at 163.80 has capped every bounce.

Support: 163.65, 163.60

Resistance: 163.80, 163.85, 163.98

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 163.65 confirms a lower low
  • Reclaim of 163.80 range top negates the fade
  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could reshape this read

10:17 UTC

Early rally faded, drifting lower · RSI 43 · price 163.721

Range, rolling off session high.

USD/JPY spiked to 163.96 early in the window then rejected, grinding back into a 163.65-163.80 range as RSI(14) cooled toward 43. Yen stayed pinned near 40-year lows despite in-line June CPI; price is now hugging the session-low band around 163.65.

Support: 163.651

Resistance: 163.80, 163.92, 163.961

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 163.65 opens a lower-low toward 163.50
  • Reclaim of 163.80 pivot puts the 163.96 session high back in play
  • US S&P Global PMIs 13:45 UTC could shift this read

10:16 UTC

Drifting lower off session high · RSI 43 · price 163.721

Lower highs since 163.985, testing lower range.

USDJPY rejected the 163.985 session high and has bled lower through the London session, now probing the 163.65-163.72 band with RSI(14) in the mid-40s. Yen stayed soft after in-line June CPI failed to spark strength; price holds a lower-high chain below EMA20/50.

Support: 163.65, 163.55

Resistance: 163.80, 163.86, 163.985

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 163.65 confirms a lower low
  • Reclaim of 163.80 negates the drift-lower read
  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read

10:02 UTC

Pullback after session-high rejection · RSI 42 · price 163.688

Lower highs off 163.98, probing 163.65 swing low.

London session pushed to 163.98 before that high was rejected, and price has since ground back to a 163.80–163.65 range, now testing the 163.65 swing low with RSI cooling. The move sits between the 38.2% and 50% retracements of the 163.32→163.98 leg, price under both EMAs; Katayama's intervention warnings capped but did not reverse the underlying yen weakness.

Support: 163.651, 163.576

Resistance: 163.80

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 163.65 confirms a lower low, opening the 61.8% at 163.58
  • Reclaim of 163.80 negates the fade back toward the 163.98 session high
  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read

10:01 UTC

Downtrend, lower highs since session peak · RSI 41 · price 163.688

Rolling over from 163.96, testing session lows.

USDJPY topped at 163.98 in the London session and has printed a chain of lower highs, now grinding back toward the session low near 163.65 with RSI(14) around 41. Price sits below EMA20/50; Katayama's repeated intervention warnings have capped rallies near 163.80 without reversing the yen-weak backdrop.

Support: 163.651, 163.60

Resistance: 163.80, 163.924

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 163.65 confirms a lower low and opens 163.60
  • Reclaim of 163.80 negates the lower-high sequence
  • BoJ intervention headlines could sharply squeeze the move

09:47 UTC

Downtrend off session high, momentum slowing · RSI 45 · price 163.732

Range after rejection at 163.98.

USD/JPY spiked to a 163.98 session high during NY hours before drifting lower, with yen pinned near four-decade lows on the energy/rate-differential story and Katayama's verbal intervention warnings capping the top. Now ranging 163.65-163.85, RSI mid-40s and price holding below EMA20.

Support: 163.65

Resistance: 163.85, 163.96

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 163.65 confirms a lower low and breaks the range
  • Reclaim of 163.85 reopens the 163.96 session high
  • MoF/BoJ intervention headlines could snap the crowded move sharply

09:47 UTC

Range, drifting lower after NY rally faded · RSI 45 · price 163.732

Consolidation in upper half of yesterday's range.

Yesterday's NY rally topped at 163.96 and has since faded into a slow drift lower, with price now pinned near the 163.72 recent low on thin volume. RSI(14) sits mid-40s and price is under both EMAs; Katayama's repeated intervention warnings have capped the upside near four-decade highs without reversing it.

Support: 163.72, 163.65

Resistance: 163.85, 163.96

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 163.65 confirms a lower low and extends the pullback
  • Reclaim of 163.85 reopens the 163.96 ny high
  • Intervention/BoJ headline risk remains elevated near multi-decade highs

09:32 UTC

Prior uptrend, now drifting lower · RSI 44 · price 163.748

Consolidation below session high after London push.

London drove USD/JPY to 163.98 before it rolled into a slow drift lower, USD/JPY now hovering at 163.75 with RSI(14) mid-range and price under EMA20/50. Pair pinned near four-decade highs; Katayama's repeated intervention warnings are capping upside without reversing it, and price is caught between 163.72 and the 163.84 prior high.

Support: 163.72, 163.65

Resistance: 163.84, 163.98

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 163.65 confirms a lower-low and breaks the consolidation floor
  • Reclaim of 163.84 reopens the 163.98 session high
  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read

09:31 UTC

Range after intraday rally, drifting lower · RSI 45 · price 163.748

Consolidation below 163.98 session high.

USD/JPY rallied from 163.32 to a 163.98 session high during London hours, then rolled into a tight range as Katayama intervention warnings capped the 40-yr-low zone. Price now drifts around 163.75, below EMA20/50, with a recent swing low at 163.65 holding.

Support: 163.651, 163.72

Resistance: 163.86

What it said to watch

  • Break below 163.65 confirms a lower-low and cracks the range
  • Reclaim of 163.86 reopens the 163.98 session high
  • US S&P PMIs 13:45 UTC could shift this read

09:17 UTC

Consolidation after rally, drifting lower · RSI 44 · price 163.735

Range-bound below session high, testing lows.

Pair rallied to a 163.98 session high near the 40-year peak then stalled, chopping in a 163.72–163.86 range as June CPI offered no fresh BoJ catalyst. London hours dipped to sweep 163.65 before recovering to 163.73; RSI(14) mid-range, price back under EMA20/50.

Support: 163.72, 163.65

Resistance: 163.86, 163.98

What it said to watch

  • Sustained M15 close below 163.72 confirms a lower low toward the 163.65 swept low
  • Reclaim of 163.86 range top reopens the 163.98 session high
  • S&P Global US PMIs at 13:45 UTC could break the range

09:16 UTC

Range after London rally, drifting lower · RSI 43 · price 163.735

Consolidation below session high, lower highs.

London rally peaked at 163.96 near 40-year highs before fading into a 163.65-163.85 range; in-line Japan CPI offered no fresh catalyst. Price now sits mid-range at 163.735 with RSI(14) in the mid-40s, no momentum in either direction.

Support: 163.651, 163.72, 163.318

Resistance: 163.85, 163.961

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 163.65 confirms a lower low and opens 163.32
  • Reclaim of 163.85 reopens the 163.96 session high
  • BoJ decision and FOMC next week are the dominant risk events

09:02 UTC

Range, drifting lower off highs · RSI 44 · price 163.746

Rally then consolidation, softening into range low.

USDJPY rallied to a session high at 163.96 during London then rolled into a 163.65–163.86 range; in-line June CPI offered no fresh catalyst near 40-year highs. Price is drifting toward the range low with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s and trading below both EMAs.

Support: 163.65

Resistance: 163.86, 163.96

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 163.65 confirms a lower low and breaks the range
  • Reclaim of 163.86 puts the 163.96 session high back in play
  • US S&P Global PMIs 13:45 UTC could shift this read

09:02 UTC

Uptrend stalled, drifting lower · RSI 45 · price 163.746

Range after rejection off session high.

London session pushed to a 163.96 session high mid-window before rejecting; price has since drifted into a 163.65–163.86 range with USD holding firm on the safe-haven bid. Sitting at 163.75, below EMA20/50, RSI cooled to the mid-40s — no fresh JPY catalyst after in-line CPI.

Support: 163.65, 163.72

Resistance: 163.86, 163.96

What it said to watch

  • US S&P Global PMIs 13:45 UTC could break this range decisively
  • Loss of 163.65 confirms a lower-low and opens the path lower
  • Close back above 163.86 puts the 163.96 session high in play

08:47 UTC

Uptrend stalled, now ranging · RSI 47 · price 163.767

Consolidation below NY session high.

USDJPY is consolidating around 163.77 after the NY session peaked at 163.985 and faded; London probed the 163.65 session low then recovered, keeping price boxed under the 163.86 range top. RSI(14) sits near mid-range with USD firm on the safe-haven bid and JPY pinned near 40-year lows.

Support: 163.651, 163.72

Resistance: 163.86, 163.92

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.86 range top reopens the 163.92 prior high
  • Loss of 163.65 session low confirms a lower low
  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could break the range

08:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalled · RSI 45 · price 163.767

Consolidation below session high.

USDJPY pushed from 163.29 to a 163.96 session high early in the window, then stalled and drifted into a tight consolidation around 163.80 through the Asia session — in-line Japan CPI offered no fresh catalyst near 40-year highs. Price now sits at 163.77, below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range; sellers rejected 163.96 twice while 163.65 held on the last dip.

Support: 163.651, 163.72

Resistance: 163.96, 164.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.96 reopens the path toward 164.00
  • Loss of 163.65 confirms a lower-low and breaks the consolidation
  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read

08:31 UTC

Uptrend stalled, drifting lower · RSI 44 · price 163.735

Range under session high, mild lower highs.

USDJPY faded from the session high at 163.96 into a 163.65–163.85 range through the London morning, price now back below EMA20/50 with RSI in the mid-40s as the early rally cooled. Dollar stays firm near 40-year highs after the 187K jobless print, but momentum on this TF has flattened.

Support: 163.651

Resistance: 163.85, 163.96

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 163.65 confirms a lower low
  • Reclaim of 163.85 reopens the 163.96 session high
  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read

08:31 UTC

Uptrend stalled, rolling into range · RSI 43 · price 163.735

Consolidation below session highs, drifting lower.

USDJPY spiked to 163.98 during the prior session on USD strength after 187K jobless claims, then rolled into a tight consolidation around 163.80. The London session has slipped to a 163.65 swing low before a shallow bounce; pair now hovering 163.73, capped by the 163.85 consol top.

Support: 163.65, 163.73

Resistance: 163.85, 163.96

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 163.65 confirms a lower low
  • Reclaim of 163.85 reopens the 163.96 window high
  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read

08:17 UTC

Prior uptrend, now consolidating · RSI 46 · price 163.772

Range after rally, recent dip bought back.

USDJPY rallied to a session high of 163.985 before stalling into a 163.75-163.85 consolidation, with USD firm on the 1969-low jobless claims and JPY pinned near 40-year lows. Sellers pressed a dip to 163.651 late in the window before price recovered to 163.77; RSI(14) mid-range near 46.

Support: 163.651, 163.72

Resistance: 163.85, 163.985

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.85 reopens the 163.985 session high
  • Failure to hold 163.651 confirms a lower low
  • US S&P Global PMIs 13:45 UTC could shift this read

08:16 UTC

Range after rally, momentum flat · RSI 46 · price 163.772

Consolidation below session high.

USDJPY rallied to a session high at 163.985 during London hours as the dollar held firm post-jobless-claims, then drifted into a 163.65–163.85 range with the pair pinned near 40-year highs. Sellers pressed to 163.651 on the latest leg but buyers reclaimed 163.77; RSI(14) is neutral near 46 and price sits just below EMA20/50.

Support: 163.651, 163.72

Resistance: 163.845, 163.985

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.985 opens path back toward the highs
  • Failure to hold 163.651 confirms a lower low
  • US S&P Global PMIs 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read

08:02 UTC

Uptrend stalled, drifting lower · RSI 43 · price 163.762

Range after NY rally.

NY session yesterday drove USD/JPY from 163.29 to 163.985 on the firm-dollar, weak-yen theme, then price stalled and coiled near 40-year highs. London open swept to 163.65 before recovering to 163.76; still ranging between 163.65 and 163.99 with RSI(14) neutral in the low 40s.

Support: 163.651, 163.55

Resistance: 163.85, 163.985

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 163.65 confirms a lower low and opens 163.55
  • Reclaim of 163.85 reopens the 163.985 session high
  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could break the range

08:01 UTC

Uptrend stalled, drifting lower · RSI 47 · price 163.762

Consolidating below session high after failed push.

USDJPY rallied to a 163.98 session high during London hours then faded, with price now grinding within a 163.65–163.84 range. Dip to the 163.65 session low was bought back to 163.76; pair holds just off 40-yr highs as firm US jobless claims and a soft-yen backdrop keep it bid.

Support: 163.72, 163.651

Resistance: 163.84, 163.936

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.84 reopens 163.94 and the 163.98 session high
  • Failure to hold 163.65 confirms a lower low
  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read

07:46 UTC

Uptrend stalled, consolidating · RSI 43 · price 163.773

Range after NY-session rally.

USD/JPY ran from 163.29 to the 163.985 session high through the NY session on the 1969-low US jobless claims print, then stalled and coiled between 163.72 and 163.86 overnight. Price has since slipped to 163.65 and recovered to 163.77; RSI(14) mid-40s, momentum flat with yen pinned near 40-year lows.

Support: 163.651, 163.722

Resistance: 163.985, 164.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.985 opens the path toward 164.00
  • Failure to hold 163.65 confirms a lower low
  • S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read

07:46 UTC

Uptrend faded into range · RSI 44 · price 163.773

Ranging below session high, drifting lower.

London morning pushed to a session high of 163.96 just shy of Tuesday's 40-yr peak, then stalled into a 163.72-163.85 range on firm-USD carry flows. NY-carryover slipped, sweeping 163.651 before recovering to 163.77; price now sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range.

Support: 163.651, 163.72

Resistance: 163.845, 163.961

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 163.65 confirms a lower low
  • Reclaim above 163.845 reopens the 163.96 session high
  • S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC (~6h) could shift this read

07:31 UTC

Uptrend stalled, pulling back · RSI 42 · price 163.682

Rally to session high, now rolling off range floor.

USDJPY pushed to a session high 163.985 near Tuesday's 40-year peak, then coiled in a 163.75-163.85 range for most of the session. Late selling has broken that floor to 163.65 with price now under EMA20/50, unwinding into the 38.2% retrace of the whole intraday leg.

Support: 163.651, 163.588, 163.494

Resistance: 163.80, 163.985

What it said to watch

  • Close below 163.651 opens the path to the 50% fib at 163.588
  • Reclaim of 163.80 puts price back inside the prior range
  • S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read

07:31 UTC

Pulled back from session high, momentum down · RSI 42 · price 163.682

Lower highs off 163.96, testing range low.

USD/JPY topped at 163.96 during the NY session and has since carved lower highs, with London opening on a slide to 163.65 that broke the overnight range low. RSI(14) at ~41 as the pair sits just off Tuesday's 40-year high zone; USD stayed broadly bid after the 1969-low jobless claims print.

Support: 163.651, 163.24

Resistance: 163.845, 163.961

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 163.845 congestion negates the lower-high sequence
  • Break below 163.65 session low opens the path toward 163.24
  • S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read

07:17 UTC

Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 42 · price 163.704

Range break lower after failing at 163.96.

USDJPY rallied to a 40-year-high zone at 163.96 during the prior NY session, then held a tight 163.80-163.85 band through the Asian and early London hours. London just broke that band lower with a volume-backed drop to 163.65, RSI(14) cooling into the low 40s; price now sits near the 38.2% fib of the 163.16-163.98 leg.

Support: 163.65, 163.57

Resistance: 163.85, 163.96

What it said to watch

  • Close below 163.65 confirms the downside range break and opens the 163.57 fib 50%
  • Reclaim of 163.85 range base negates the break and returns price into the range
  • MoF/BoJ intervention chatter near 163-164 could trigger sharp JPY short-covering

07:16 UTC

Uptrend stalling, intraday pullback · RSI 42 · price 163.704

Lower highs off 163.98, fresh session low.

USDJPY tagged 163.98 mid-window then rolled into a slow grind of lower highs, price now below EMA20/50 as USD demand cooled. Last bar punched a fresh session low at 163.65 before closing 163.70; RSI(14) around 41, no extreme.

Support: 163.65, 163.72, 163.50

Resistance: 163.86

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 163.65 opens the path toward 163.50
  • Reclaim of 163.86 negates the lower-high sequence
  • S&P Global PMIs 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read

07:02 UTC

Uptrend stalled, drifting lower · RSI 43 · price 163.764

Consolidation below session high, minor lower highs.

USDJPY spiked to a session high 163.98 during London/NY hours as USD held near 40-year highs, then rolled into consolidation and has drifted lower through the Asia session, now printing 163.76 below EMA20/50. Twin highs at 163.96–163.98 capped the advance; RSI(14) cooling near 43 with buyers defending 163.72.

Support: 163.72, 163.50

Resistance: 163.85, 163.96

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 163.72 confirms a lower-low and opens the path toward 163.50
  • Reclaim of 163.85 puts the 163.96 double top back in play
  • 163.24/164 zone remains the intervention-risk area flagged by MoF

07:01 UTC

Uptrend faded, drifting lower · RSI 43 · price 163.764

Consolidation off session high, lower highs.

USDJPY rallied through the NY session to 163.985 on the firm-USD/soft-JPY backdrop, then rolled into a tight consolidation and is now grinding toward the session low at 163.72. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 42 — momentum has cooled from the earlier push.

Support: 163.722, 163.763

Resistance: 163.845, 163.985

What it said to watch

  • Break below 163.72 confirms a lower low and extends the pullback
  • Reclaim of 163.845 puts the 163.985 session high back in play
  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read

06:47 UTC

Sideways after NY rally faded · RSI 44 · price 163.776

Consolidation below session high.

Price ran to a session high at 163.98 during NY hours then faded, and has since consolidated in a 163.72–163.86 band with RSI(14) neutral near 44. USD stays firm near 40-year highs on the strong jobless-claims print while JPY rallies keep fading; the shallow pullback holds most of the advance.

Support: 163.72, 163.32

Resistance: 163.86, 163.98

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.86 puts the 163.98 session high back in play
  • Loss of 163.72 swing low opens a deeper retrace toward 163.32
  • S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift USD tone intraday

06:46 UTC

Uptrend stalled, now consolidating · RSI 44 · price 163.776

Range after impulsive Asia leg higher.

Asia session drove USD/JPY from 163.11 up to 163.98 on the firm-USD, 40-yr-low-yen theme, then rally faded into a tight 163.72–163.94 range through the low-volume mid-window. Price now sits in the lower half at 163.78, RSI(14) mid-40s, holding below EMA20/50.

Support: 163.72

Resistance: 163.94, 163.985, 164.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.94 range top reopens the 163.985 session high and 164.00 psych
  • Loss of 163.72 swing low confirms a lower low out of the range
  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read

06:32 UTC

Uptrend stalling into consolidation · RSI 45 · price 163.79

Range after push to session high, drifting lower.

London-NY hours drove USDJPY to a session high at 163.98 near 40-year-high territory, then rolled into a tight consolidation. Asia session has drifted lower to 163.79, holding above the 163.72 session low with RSI(14) cooling into the mid-40s.

Support: 163.72, 163.65

Resistance: 163.96

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.96 reopens the path toward the session high
  • Failure to hold 163.72 confirms a lower-low and breaks the range floor
  • US S&P Global PMIs 13:45 UTC could reprice the USD leg

06:31 UTC

Uptrend paused, consolidating · RSI 46 · price 163.79

Consolidation below session high.

USDJPY ran from 163.09 to a session high at 163.98 through the prior NY session on safe-haven USD demand, then stalled and has been chopping in a 163.72–163.86 range since. Price sits mid-range at 163.79, RSI mid-40s, holding just under both EMAs near the 40-year high zone with no fresh momentum in play.

Support: 163.72, 163.77

Resistance: 163.86, 163.98

What it said to watch

  • close above 163.98 opens continuation toward the 164.00 handle
  • loss of 163.72 confirms a lower low and breaks the range floor
  • US S&P Global PMIs 13:45 UTC could shift this read

06:17 UTC

Uptrend stalled, now consolidating · RSI 49 · price 163.804

Range near session highs after NY push.

NY session drove the pair to a session high of 163.96 near the 40-year peak, then it drifted back and has been ranging 163.72–163.85 through the Asian hours, RSI(14) neutral around 49. Price is coiling just under 163.85 with no clean directional break in play.

Support: 163.72, 163.77

Resistance: 163.85, 163.96, 164.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.96 opens the path to the 164.00 psych level
  • Break below 163.72 confirms a lower low and breaks the range
  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read

06:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 51 · price 163.804

Rally then consolidation near highs.

USDJPY ran from 163.07 to a session high at 163.96 on the broad USD safe-haven bid before stalling; price now grinds flat around 163.80 through Asia hours with RSI(14) back near 51. The 40-year high zone below has held as support, but the pair is idling just under the session top.

Support: 163.77, 163.72

Resistance: 163.96, 164.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.96 opens the 164.00 psych level
  • Break below 163.72 ends the consolidation and prints a lower low
  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read

06:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalling · RSI 55 · price 163.837

Consolidating below session high after leg up.

USDJPY drove from 163.07 to a session high of 163.96 through the London-NY hours on a firmer dollar (187K jobless claims) and pinned JPY near 40-year lows, then rolled into a tight 163.72-163.85 range into Asia. Price sits at 163.84, RSI cooled off the highs to mid-range with EMA20/50 flattening under the market.

Support: 163.80, 163.72

Resistance: 163.85, 163.96

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.96 reopens the path higher toward 164.00
  • Loss of 163.72 breaks the intraday range and marks a lower low
  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read

06:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 54 · price 163.837

Consolidating below session high near 40yr highs.

USDJPY rallied from 163.07 to a session high of 163.96 through the London-NY window, lifted by strong US jobless claims and a firm dollar, then stalled just under the 40-year high zone. Price is now consolidating 163.72–163.96 with RSI neutral around 54; demand held at 163.72 twice.

Support: 163.72

Resistance: 163.96, 163.92

What it said to watch

  • Close above 163.96 opens continuation toward 164.00 handle
  • Break below 163.72 confirms a lower low and ends the consolidation
  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could reprice this read

05:47 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flat · RSI 53 · price 163.813

Consolidation below NY session high.

USDJPY ran to a 163.985 session high during NY hours on the firm USD safe-haven bid, then coiled into a tight 163.80–163.86 range through Asia. RSI(14) back near 53 as the pair drifts, holding above EMA20 with the 40-year-high zone overhead.

Support: 163.80, 163.72

Resistance: 163.96, 163.985, 164.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.985 opens 164.00 psych level
  • Loss of 163.72 swing low breaks the consolidation floor
  • US S&P Global PMIs 13:45 UTC could shift this read

05:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 54 · price 163.813

Consolidation below session high.

USDJPY rallied from 163.07 to a session high at 163.985 near the 40-year high, powered by broad USD firmness and JPY sitting at 4-decade lows. Since then price has coiled into a tight 163.78-163.86 range with RSI back at mid-50s; momentum has stalled just under the high.

Support: 163.78, 163.72

Resistance: 163.86, 163.985

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.985 extends the run toward fresh highs
  • Loss of 163.72 confirms a lower low and breaks the range
  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could reprice this move

05:31 UTC

Uptrend, now consolidating · RSI 52 · price 163.816

Range below session high after London rally.

USDJPY ran from 163.08 to a session high of 163.98 through the London session on broad USD safe-haven demand, then stalled and has coiled between 163.72 and 163.92 for the last several hours. RSI(14) has cooled back to neutral near 52 and price is pinned around its EMAs — no directional impulse in the current Asia/pre-London window.

Support: 163.72

Resistance: 163.92, 163.985

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.985 resumes the uptrend toward the highs
  • Loss of 163.72 opens a lower low and breaks the range
  • S&P Global US PMIs at 13:45 UTC (~8h out) could break this consolidation

05:31 UTC

Uptrend stalled, now consolidating · RSI 53 · price 163.816

Range below session high after NY rally.

USD/JPY rallied through the NY session to 163.985 on broad USD strength and safe-haven demand, then stalled and has coiled in a tight 163.72-163.86 range through the Asian session. RSI(14) neutral near 53 with no momentum extreme; price pinned near the 40-year high with intervention rhetoric capping upside.

Support: 163.72, 163.80

Resistance: 163.985, 164.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.985 opens the path to the 164.00 psych level and raises intervention odds
  • Loss of 163.72 confirms a lower low and breaks the consolidation
  • US S&P Global PMIs 13:45 UTC could shift this read

05:17 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalled · RSI 51 · price 163.816

Ranging below session high.

NY session drove USD/JPY to a session high at 163.985 on the firm-dollar/40-yr-JPY-low backdrop after blowout US jobless claims, then faded. Through the Asian session price has ranged 163.72–163.86 on thinning volume, RSI(14) flat near 51 and price pinned to the EMA20.

Support: 163.72, 163.77

Resistance: 163.92, 163.985

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.985 reopens the upside
  • Loss of 163.72 confirms a lower low
  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read

05:16 UTC

Uptrend paused, consolidating near highs · RSI 52 · price 163.816

Range-bound below session high after impulse leg.

USDJPY ran from 163.07 to a session high of 163.985 through the London-NY window as the dollar held its safe-haven and hawkish-Fed bid, then stalled. Asia hours have been quiet, coiling in a 163.72-163.86 range with RSI(14) flat near 51; no fresh push yet.

Support: 163.72, 163.80

Resistance: 163.86, 163.985

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.985 reopens the upside above the 40-year high
  • Loss of 163.72 confirms a lower low and breaks the consolidation
  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could inject volatility into this range

05:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalled · RSI 55 · price 163.824

Consolidation below session high after NY rally.

NY session drove USD/JPY up to a session high of 163.96 on the firm dollar bid, then price faded and has coiled into a tight 163.80-163.86 band through the Asian session. RSI(14) neutral near 55, ATR compressed to ~6 pips — a low-volatility drift ahead of today's US PMIs.

Support: 163.72, 163.80

Resistance: 163.96, 164.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.96 opens the path toward the 164.00 handle
  • Loss of 163.72 swing low negates the consolidation and confirms a lower low
  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could break this range

05:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 54 · price 163.824

Consolidating near session highs after rally.

USD/JPY rallied off 163.07 through the London-NY window to a session high of 163.985, backed by the firm dollar after the 187K jobless-claims beat, stalling just shy of the 164.00 handle. Price has since coiled in a tight 163.72-163.94 range with RSI(14) flat mid-50s; buyers defended 163.72 twice and the pair sits at 163.824 into the Asia session.

Support: 163.72, 163.80

Resistance: 163.985, 164.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.985 opens the path toward the 164.00 psych level
  • Loss of 163.72 breaks the range base and confirms a lower low
  • S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read

04:47 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalling near highs · RSI 55 · price 163.836

Consolidation under session high after climb.

London-NY hours drove a steady climb to the session high at 163.96 before momentum stalled; price is now consolidating 163.72–163.96 through Asia with RSI mid-range and ATR near 5 pips. USDJPY holds just under its 40-year high with USD firm on the sub-190K jobless claims print and safe-haven flows.

Support: 163.72

Resistance: 163.96, 164.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.96 opens 164.00 psych, raising intervention watch
  • Failure to hold 163.72 swing low confirms a lower low
  • S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read

04:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 55 · price 163.836

Consolidation below session high after impulsive leg up.

USDJPY ran from 163.07 up to a session high of 163.98 through the London-NY window, extending the push off the 40-year-high zone as firm US jobless claims kept the dollar bid. Price has since coiled 163.72-163.92, RSI(14) cooling to mid-range; range top capped repeatedly while buyers stepped in near 163.72.

Support: 163.72, 163.65

Resistance: 163.92, 163.98

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.92 opens a retest of the 163.98 session high
  • Failure to hold 163.72 confirms a lower-low and breaks the consolidation
  • S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift the USD read

04:32 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalling · RSI 55 · price 163.838

Consolidation below session high after rally.

USDJPY rallied from 163.05 through the London-NY session to a 163.96 session high on broad JPY weakness and the strong US jobless claims print, then rolled into a tight consolidation. Price is now ranging 163.72-163.96 through the Asian session with RSI(14) neutral near 55; the session high still caps.

Support: 163.72

Resistance: 163.96, 163.92

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.96 session high extends the rally
  • Loss of 163.72 session low opens a deeper retrace toward range mid
  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read

04:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flat near highs · RSI 54 · price 163.838

Consolidation below session high after impulsive rally.

USDJPY rallied through the session from 163.05 to a 163.985 high on the firm-dollar/weak-JPY backdrop, then went sideways in a tight 163.72-163.96 band. Price is coiling just under the session high in early Asia hours with RSI(14) neutral around 54 and ATR compressed to ~9 pips.

Support: 163.72

Resistance: 163.96, 163.985

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.985 opens the path toward the 164.00 handle and raises intervention-watch
  • Failure to hold 163.72 confirms a lower low and breaks the consolidation floor

04:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalling near highs · RSI 51 · price 163.814

Consolidation below session high after NY rally.

NY session drove USDJPY from 163.05 to a 163.96 session high, extending the 40-yr-high push on strong US jobless claims (187K). Asia is now consolidating in a 163.72–163.86 band, RSI(14) back near 50 as momentum cools.

Support: 163.72, 163.65

Resistance: 163.86, 163.96

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.96 reopens continuation higher
  • Failure to hold 163.72 range floor confirms a lower-low
  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift the USD read

04:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalling · RSI 54 · price 163.814

Consolidation below session high after impulsive leg up.

London-NY drove a clean leg from 163.04 to 163.985, pressing above the 40-yr high area before stalling. Price is now consolidating in the Asia session around 163.80, holding above the 163.72 swing low with RSI cooled back to neutral.

Support: 163.72

Resistance: 163.985, 164.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.985 reopens the path toward the 164.00 handle
  • Loss of 163.72 confirms a deeper pullback in the leg
  • Move above 164.00 raises MoF intervention risk

04:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalling · RSI 53 · price 163.801

Consolidating below session high.

USDJPY rallied off 163.04 to tag 163.985 through the prior NY session, then stalled into a flat 163.72–163.90 range during Asian hours, RSI(14) cooling to mid-range. Pair holds well above the 40-year high area, but the leg has lost momentum with no fresh drivers overnight.

Support: 163.72, 163.65

Resistance: 163.90, 163.985

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.985 reopens the uptrend leg
  • Loss of 163.72 range low exposes 163.65 swing low
  • US S&P Global PMIs 13:45 UTC could break the range

04:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flat near highs · RSI 52 · price 163.801

Rally then consolidation below session high.

USDJPY ground higher through the London-NY session to a 163.985 session high on the firm USD bid after blowout US jobless claims, then stalled into a tight 163.72-163.86 consolidation. RSI(14) has cooled back to neutral around 52 as the drive faded; price is hugging the EMA20 with no fresh impulse into the Asia hours.

Support: 163.72

Resistance: 163.985

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.985 session high reopens the path toward the 40-yr high area
  • Failure to hold 163.720 swing low confirms a lower-low and breaks the consolidation
  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read

03:47 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalling · RSI 52 · price 163.817

Consolidation below session high.

Rally from 163.03 stretched to a session high of 163.985 through the prior London-NY hours, then faded — rejection just shy of the 164.00 round number. Price is now consolidating around 163.80 in Asia hours with RSI(14) cooled to the mid-50s; the 163.72 range floor still holding.

Support: 163.72, 163.58

Resistance: 163.985, 164.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.985 opens the path to the 164.00 round number
  • Failure to hold 163.72 confirms a lower-low and opens 163.58
  • US flash PMIs 13:45 UTC could shift the USD leg of this read

03:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalled · RSI 53 · price 163.817

Range after impulsive rally.

USD/JPY ran to a 163.985 session high through the London-NY window on the firm-USD/soft-JPY backdrop, then settled into a 163.72-163.90 range across Asia hours. RSI(14) has cooled to neutral near 53; the rally's momentum has flattened but the range floor at 163.72 held on two tests.

Support: 163.72

Resistance: 163.90, 163.985

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.90 reopens the 163.985 session high
  • Loss of 163.72 range floor confirms a lower low
  • S&P Global Flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read

03:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling near highs · RSI 57 · price 163.856

Consolidating just below session high after strong rally.

USDJPY ran from 163.03 to a session high of 163.96 through the prior sessions on persistent JPY weakness at 40-year lows, and is now consolidating in a tight 163.72–163.90 band into the Asian session. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-50s off the rally peak; the 163.96 high caps for now while 163.72 holds as the floor.

Support: 163.72

Resistance: 163.96

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.96 opens the path toward 164.40
  • Loss of 163.72 confirms a lower-low and breaks the consolidation floor
  • US Flash PMIs 13:45 UTC could inject fresh USD volatility

03:31 UTC

Uptrend paused, consolidating below highs · RSI 57 · price 163.856

Range after impulsive rally, holding above 163.72.

USDJPY rallied ~90 pips into 163.985 during the prior London-NY window, then went sideways as the JPY stayed pinned at 40-year lows. Asian session is holding a tight 163.72–163.96 range just under the highs, RSI back to neutral after the push.

Support: 163.72

Resistance: 163.96, 163.985

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.985 opens continuation higher
  • Break below 163.72 confirms a lower low and breaks the range
  • US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read

03:17 UTC

Uptrend stalling, consolidating below highs · RSI 52 · price 163.816

Range under 163.98 peak, holding above 163.72.

USD/JPY rallied through the London-NY session to a peak at 163.985, then eased; the Asian session has consolidated between 163.72 and 163.92, with RSI cooled back to neutral. Buyers defended 163.72 twice overnight while the 163.92 area capped the bounce.

Support: 163.72

Resistance: 163.92, 163.985

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.985 reopens the up-leg
  • Loss of 163.72 opens a deeper pullback
  • S&P Global Flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift the read

03:17 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 53 · price 163.816

Consolidating near session highs after impulse.

USD/JPY ran from 163.03 through the 40-year high at 163.24 during London-NY and topped at 163.985, extending the carry-driven bid. Price is now consolidating in the 163.72-163.99 range with RSI(14) cooled to the mid-50s; buyers stepped in at 163.72 twice and the range base still holds.

Support: 163.72, 163.24

Resistance: 163.985, 164.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.985 opens the path to the 164.00 round number
  • Failure to hold 163.72 range base exposes 163.24
  • S&P Global flash PMIs 13:45 UTC could shift this read

03:02 UTC

Uptrend stalling near highs · RSI 46 · price 163.774

Consolidating below session high.

USD/JPY climbed through Asia hours to a session high of 163.985 before rejecting and pulling back to 163.72, now consolidating around 163.77 — dollar holding firm at multi-decade highs on carry and safe-haven demand. RSI(14) has cooled to mid-range as the move digests; price sits just under EMA20/50 after the fade.

Support: 163.72

Resistance: 163.985

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.985 session high reopens the extension
  • Failure to hold 163.72 swing low confirms a deeper pullback toward the 38.2% fib
  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read

03:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 47 · price 163.774

Consolidating below session high after impulsive rally.

USDJPY ran to a session high of 163.96 through the London-NY hours before stalling; price now drifts around 163.77 in a thin Asia session, RSI(14) cooled to the mid-40s. Pullback has held 163.72 twice — shallow retracement of the rally that carried through the 40-year-high zone above 163.24.

Support: 163.72, 163.55

Resistance: 163.96

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 163.72 opens a deeper pullback toward 163.55
  • Reclaim of 163.96 resumes the advance
  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read

02:47 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 46 · price 163.763

Consolidating below session high after NY rally.

USDJPY rallied to a session high of 163.98 through NY hours on the safe-haven USD bid, then rolled back into Asia and is consolidating 163.72–163.94. RSI(14) cooled to the mid-40s; supply capped 163.94 twice and price now sits just above the 163.72 swing low.

Support: 163.72

Resistance: 163.94, 163.98

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 163.72 opens a deeper pullback
  • reclaim of 163.94 puts session high 163.98 back in play
  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read

02:47 UTC

Uptrend stalling, pullback in progress · RSI 45 · price 163.763

Consolidating below session high after 40yr-high push.

USDJPY rallied through the London-NY window to a fresh 40-year high at 163.985 on the firm-USD, weak-JPY backdrop, then rejected and pulled back. Asia session is now consolidating in a tight 163.72-163.86 band with RSI cooled to the mid-40s and price back under EMA20/50.

Support: 163.72

Resistance: 163.86, 163.985, 164.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.985 reopens the path to 164.00 psych
  • Failure to hold 163.72 confirms a deeper pullback
  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read

02:32 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 46 · price 163.754

Consolidating below session high after NY rally.

NY session drove the rally to a fresh multi-decade high at 163.96 before supply capped it, and price has since drifted into an Asian-session range around 163.72-163.86, dropping below EMA20/50. Carry demand keeps USDJPY elevated near 40-year highs, but the last several bars show a mild lower drift with RSI(14) around 46.

Support: 163.722, 163.65

Resistance: 163.961, 164.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.96 opens the path to the 164.00 handle
  • Failure to hold 163.72 confirms a lower-low and challenges the range base
  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift the read

02:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 49 · price 163.754

Consolidating below session high after impulse.

London-NY push drove USDJPY from 163.03 to a fresh session high at 163.985, brushing the 40-year high zone before rejection. Price has since drifted into a 163.72-163.92 range with RSI(14) cooling to mid-40s; the 163.586 breakout shelf sits below as the deeper reference.

Support: 163.722, 163.586

Resistance: 163.922, 163.985

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.985 opens 40-year high extension toward 163.50/164.40
  • Failure to hold 163.72 confirms a lower-low and opens 163.586
  • US S&P Global PMIs 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read

02:17 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalling · RSI 49 · price 163.774

Consolidating below session high after NY run-up.

USDJPY climbed through the NY session to a fresh 40-year-high area near 163.99, printing above the 163.24 breakout, then went sideways through the quiet Asia hours. Price is now coiling 163.72–163.94 with RSI(14) back to neutral as the impulse cools; last dip to 163.72 was bought back.

Support: 163.72

Resistance: 163.99, 163.94

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.99 reopens the extension higher
  • Loss of 163.72 signals a deeper pullback off the highs
  • US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could reprice USD into the read

02:02 UTC

Uptrend stalling near highs · RSI 45 · price 163.769

Consolidation below 40yr high, drifting lower.

USD/JPY printed a fresh 40-year high near 163.985 during NY hours, then stalled and drifted lower through thin Asian trade to 163.72. Now boxed 163.72–163.94 below the highs with RSI(14) cooled to the mid-40s.

Support: 163.722

Resistance: 163.936, 163.985

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 163.72 confirms a lower low
  • Reclaim of 163.94 reopens the 40yr high at 163.985
  • US S&P PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift the USD read

01:47 UTC

Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 163.736

Rally capped below 163.99, consolidating then sliding.

USDJPY ran through the NY session to a 163.985 session high — grinding near 40-year highs on the wide rate gap — then rejected 163.92 in Asia and is now sliding toward the 163.72 session low, RSI cooling to the low-40s. Price has slipped back under EMA20/50 as the impulse fades.

Support: 163.72, 163.62

Resistance: 163.925, 163.985

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 163.72 session low opens the 163.62 fib 61.8 zone
  • Reclaim of 163.92 swing high puts the 163.99 session high back in play
  • S&P Global flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could reprice USD and shift this read
  • MoF intervention flashpoint sits at 163.00/163.24 — a squeeze risk on rallies

01:47 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 42 · price 163.736

Consolidating below session high after London-NY rally.

London-NY drove USD/JPY off 163.03 up to a session high 163.96 on the energy-shock JPY selling, then it stalled and consolidated 163.80-163.90 through the quiet Asian session. The latest bar broke the range floor down to 163.72 with RSI(14) cooling to the low 40s; prior high at 163.85 now caps.

Support: 163.72, 163.32, 163.00

Resistance: 163.85, 163.96

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 163.72 opens a lower low toward the 163.32 swing low
  • reclaim of 163.85 revives the push back toward the 163.96 session high
  • MoF/BoJ intervention flashpoint near 163.00/163.24 could force a sharp squeeze

01:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 56 · price 163.841

Consolidation below session high.

USDJPY ground higher through the London-NY session to a session high at 163.985 before rolling into a tight consolidation between 163.78 and 163.94, holding above the 163 breakout at 40-year highs. Early Asia is chopping around 163.84 with ATR compressed near 6 pips; dips into 163.78 have been bought.

Support: 163.78, 163.72, 163.24

Resistance: 163.94, 163.985

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.985 opens continuation higher
  • Loss of 163.72 breaks the consolidation floor and confirms a lower-low
  • MoF intervention rhetoric around the 163.00/163.24 flashpoint could trigger a sharp squeeze
  • S&P Global flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read

01:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 53 · price 163.841

Consolidating below session high after London rally.

USD/JPY rallied through the London-NY window from 163.02 to a session high 163.985, then settled into a tight 163.78-163.94 range near 40-year highs with JPY pinned by the wide rate gap. Dips into 163.78 have been bought; RSI(14) neutral around 53 after the impulse cooled.

Support: 163.78, 163.72

Resistance: 163.94, 163.985

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.985 extends the uptrend into fresh highs
  • Loss of 163.78 opens a deeper pullback toward 163.72
  • S&P Global flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read

01:17 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 54 · price 163.846

Consolidating below session high after rally.

NY session drove USDJPY off 163.02 up to a session high of 163.985, just shy of the 40-year peak, on broad USD strength and JPY energy-shock weakness. Pullback held 163.74 and price is now grinding sideways between 163.80 and 163.94 through thin Asia hours, RSI(14) cooled to mid-range.

Support: 163.80, 163.74

Resistance: 163.94, 163.985, 164.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.985 opens the path toward 164.00 round number
  • Loss of 163.74 swing low would break the consolidation lower
  • US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
  • 163.24/163.00 remains the MoF intervention flashpoint

01:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 57 · price 163.846

Higher highs into consolidation below session high.

USDJPY rallied through the London-NY hours from 163.05 to a fresh 40-year-high area of 163.985, then stalled into a tight consolidation between 163.74 and 163.94 as JPY stayed pinned near record lows. Latest push retested 163.936 before easing to 163.85; range top at 163.985 still capping.

Support: 163.80, 163.74, 163.66

Resistance: 163.985, 163.936

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.985 extends the run toward the 163.50 zone noted in the macro read
  • Loss of 163.74 swing low breaks the rising intraday support
  • S&P Global flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read

01:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling into consolidation · RSI 57 · price 163.825

High-base consolidation under session high after London rally.

USDJPY ran from ~163.05 to a session high of 163.96 through the London session, then flattened into a tight consolidation above 163.72 across NY and Asia. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-50s as the last few bars probe the range top near 163.92 at the Asia open; still above 40-year-high territory with intervention rhetoric from Tokyo in the background.

Support: 163.72

Resistance: 163.96, 163.92

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.96 opens continuation higher
  • Loss of 163.72 breaks the consolidation floor
  • S&P Global flash PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could shift the read
  • MoF/BoJ intervention rhetoric a live risk at these levels

01:02 UTC

Uptrend, consolidating at highs · RSI 57 · price 163.825

Range at session high after impulse.

London-NY drove a clean impulse from 163.00 to a session high of 163.985, extending the yen's 40-year-low run as JPY stays pinned on import-led pressure. Asia has since gone quiet, coiling between 163.74 and 163.94; a recent push to 163.936 was rejected and price closed back at 163.825 with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-50s.

Support: 163.74, 163.66

Resistance: 163.985, 163.936

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.985 resumes the uptrend
  • Loss of 163.74 breaks the consolidation range
  • MoF/BoJ intervention rhetoric near 163+ a live spike risk

00:47 UTC

Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 61 · price 163.923

Higher highs into a tight range below session high.

London-NY rally carried the pair above the 163.24 40-year high to a 163.98 session high, then it consolidated in a 163.72–163.98 range. Price is now pressing back toward the session high with RSI(14) neutral near 60; Katayama intervention warnings have kept a lid on the top.

Support: 163.72

Resistance: 163.98, 164.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.98 opens the path toward psychological 164.00 and 164.40
  • Failure to hold 163.72 breaks the consolidation floor
  • MoF/BoJ intervention headlines near 163+ could spike this read

00:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling into consolidation · RSI 59 · price 163.923

Consolidation below session high after impulsive London-NY leg.

USDJPY ran from 163.00 to a 163.985 session high during the London-NY leg, holding above 163 at a 40-year high on the sustained USD bid. Thin Asian session has kept price coiling in a 163.77–163.985 range, now edging back toward the highs with RSI(14) near 59.

Support: 163.77, 163.72, 163.48

Resistance: 163.985, 164.40

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.985 opens the path toward 164.40
  • Failure to hold 163.77 breaks the consolidation and exposes 163.48
  • S&P Global flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read

00:32 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 56 · price 163.846

Consolidation under session high after London-NY rally.

London-NY drove USD/JPY to a fresh 40-yr high at 163.985 before it stalled; price is now grinding sideways in a thin Asian session between 163.74 and 163.86. RSI(14) mid-range with the earlier rally rejected twice at 163.96-163.985.

Support: 163.74, 163.80

Resistance: 163.985, 163.96

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.985 extends the uptrend
  • Failure to hold 163.74 confirms a lower-low
  • S&P Global flash PMIs 13:45 UTC could shift the read

00:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalling · RSI 55 · price 163.846

Range after NY rally, holding above 163.70.

London-NY rally lifted price from 163.05 to a session high of 163.985 just shy of the 164.00 psych level, where it was rejected. Since then it has gone quiet in the Asian session, ranging 163.78-163.90 on thin volume with RSI(14) cooling toward the mid-50s.

Support: 163.78, 163.72

Resistance: 163.90, 163.985, 164.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.985 opens the path to the 164.00 psych level
  • Loss of 163.72 swing low negates the range and marks a lower-low
  • S&P Global flash PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could shift this read
  • MoF/BoJ intervention headlines above 163 remain a spike risk

00:17 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening near highs · RSI 55 · price 163.851

Consolidating below session high after NY rally.

USDJPY ran from 163.10 to a 163.985 session high through NY hours, extending the move above the 163.24 40-yr high as JPY stayed pinned by carry. Price has since flattened into a tight 163.74–163.90 consolidation in the quiet early-Asia session, RSI(14) cooled to mid-range with volume thin.

Support: 163.74, 163.32

Resistance: 163.985, 164.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.985 opens the path toward the 164.00 round number
  • Loss of 163.74 range low would signal the consolidation breaking lower toward the 163.32 swing low
  • S&P Global flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read

00:17 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 57 · price 163.851

Consolidating near session highs after NY rally.

NY session drove USD/JPY off 162.99 to a fresh high at 163.96, then stalled; Asia hours have consolidated in a tight 163.77-163.86 band just under the high, RSI cooling into the mid-50s. Overnight National CPI at 1.7% reinforced BoJ-hike chatter but the uptrend from the London-NY leg stays intact above 163.72.

Support: 163.72

Resistance: 163.96, 164.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.96 opens the path toward 164.00 and beyond
  • Failure to hold 163.72 confirms a lower-low and breaks the consolidation
  • S&P Global flash PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read

00:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling in consolidation · RSI 61 · price 163.869

Higher-high chain, now ranging near session high.

NY session drove USD/JPY through the 163.24 40-yr high to ~163.99, and price has since gone sideways in a tight 163.72-163.87 band through thin Asia hours. National CPI at 1.7% reinforced BoJ chatter but did not dent the uptrend; RSI has cooled off the highs into the low 60s.

Support: 163.72

Resistance: 163.985, 164.40

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.985 opens the path toward 164.40
  • Loss of 163.72 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
  • MoF intervention risk elevated above 163 given 40-yr highs

00:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 57 · price 163.869

Consolidating below session high after rally.

USDJPY rallied through the 163.24 40-yr high into the London-NY window, extending to a 163.96 session high before stalling. Asian session now grinds sideways 163.80–163.87 on thin volume, holding above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) cooled to the mid-50s.

Support: 163.80, 163.72

Resistance: 163.96, 164.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 163.96 opens the path toward 164.00 psych
  • Failure to hold 163.72 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
  • US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read

All markets that day · Today’s USD/JPY Live Scan in the terminal