USD/JPY AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Thursday, 30 July 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/JPY 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:47 UTC
Recovery leg higher off session low · RSI 66 · price 160.151
Higher lows building from 157.96 low.
USD/JPY collapsed mid-window from the 163.60 area to 157.96 on softer US Q2 GDP/PCE and suspected intervention, then carved a higher-low base and recovered to 160.15, tagging a fresh session high at 160.19. RSI(14) near 66 as the recovery leg extends; ATR still elevated at ~16 pips after the flush.
Support: 159.36, 158.85, 157.96
Resistance: 160.19, 160.31, 161.18
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision/Outlook ~3h out could materially shift this read
Close above 160.31 opens the path toward the 161.18 spike high
Failure to hold 159.36 threatens a return toward the 158.85 swing low
Window captures a violent drop from ~163.6 to a 157.96 session low, driven by soft US GDP/PCE and suspected intervention chatter. Price has since carved a rounded base and ground back to 160.19, now testing the ~38% retrace of the crash with RSI(14) near 69. Higher lows off 159.30 remain intact.
Support: 159.30, 157.96
Resistance: 160.19, 161.18
What it said to watch
BoJ decision at 03:00 UTC (~3h) is the dominant catalyst and could void this recovery read
Tokyo CPI / unemployment at 23:30-23:50 UTC due imminently
Loss of 159.30 breaks the higher-low chain
Close above 160.19 opens path toward the 161.18 swing
USD/JPY was slammed from 163.7 to a 157.96 session low on suspected Japanese intervention as a soft US GDP/PCE batch pressured the dollar, then based and recovered to a 159.92 session high. Two spike lows around 157.96 and 158.51 held, and price is climbing on higher lows with RSI(14) mid-60s. Move sits ahead of the BoJ decision.
Support: 159.36, 158.85, 157.96
Resistance: 159.92, 160.31
What it said to watch
BoJ decision at 03:00 UTC (~3.5h) could materially shift this read
Close above 160.31 swing pivot extends the recovery leg
Failure to hold 159.36 recovery low reopens the 158.85 base
A violent mid-window flush dragged USDJPY from ~163.66 to 158.51 on suspected JPY intervention and post-Fed dollar softness. Price has since carved higher lows and pushed back to the session high at 159.93, RSI recovering to the mid-60s — hot but not extreme. Buyers stepping in repeatedly around 159.36.
Support: 159.36
Resistance: 160.00
What it said to watch
BoJ decision Fri 03:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Reclaim above 160.00 round number extends the recovery
Failure to hold 159.36 session low reopens the crash lows
USD/JPY collapsed from ~163.50 to a 157.96 low during the London-NY window on suspected intervention and softer US data, then clawed back to 159.84. RSI(14) near 59 as the recovery presses the 159.87 session high; a stair-step of higher lows off 157.96 is holding.
Support: 159.28, 158.51, 157.96
Resistance: 159.87, 160.32
What it said to watch
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC is imminent and could sharply shift this read
Close above 159.87 opens the path toward 160.32
Failure to hold 159.28 exposes the 158.51 session low
V-recovery off intervention low, higher lows building.
USD/JPY collapsed roughly 500 pips intraday on suspected BoJ intervention, spiking down to 157.96 before recovering to 159.84. Price is grinding back toward the session high at 159.87 with higher lows forming near 159.37; Tokyo CPI is due imminently at 23:30 UTC.
Support: 159.37, 157.96
Resistance: 159.87
What it said to watch
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC could sharply reprice this read
M15 close below 159.37 negates the recovery and confirms a lower low
Session high 159.87 — area to watch for rejection or break
23:02 UTC
Downtrend, basing after selloff · RSI 54 · price 159.597
Sharp break lower, now rising lows into resistance.
USDJPY sold off hard through the session, sweeping to 157.956 before a JPY-squeeze base formed between 158.51 and 159.84. Price is grinding back up on rising lows into the 159.78 session high with RSI(14) mid-range near 54.
Support: 158.514, 157.956
Resistance: 159.783, 159.842
What it said to watch
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC could break the 158.51-159.84 base
Reclaim and hold above 159.84 swing high would extend the recovery
Loss of the 158.51 swing low reopens the 157.96 session low
23:01 UTC
Sharp downtrend, now basing · RSI 51 · price 159.597
Post-breakdown consolidation above session low.
A violent JPY-strength leg tore USD/JPY down from ~163.7 to a 157.96 session low, consistent with the market's flagged intervention/BoJ risk. Price has since based and is consolidating 159.28-159.84, RSI(14) back to mid-range around 51 after the washout.
Support: 159.28, 158.51, 157.96
Resistance: 159.84, 160.32
What it said to watch
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC and BoJ decision Friday 03:00 UTC could materially reprice this move
Close back above 159.84 swing high would extend the recovery toward the 160.32 shelf
Loss of 159.28 swing low reopens the 158.51 area and session low
22:47 UTC
Recovering off sharp selloff · RSI 57 · price 159.597
Higher lows after capitulation low.
USD/JPY collapsed roughly 580 pips from 163.74 to a 157.96 spike low, an outsized JPY squeeze into the BoJ event window, then reclaimed ground to 159.60. Price is grinding out higher lows since the 158.51 base; RSI(14) near 57, ATR ~16 pips as the recovery consolidates under the 159.78 session high.
Support: 158.85, 157.96
Resistance: 159.78, 160.31
What it said to watch
BoJ decision at 03:00 UTC and Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC will materially shift this read
M15 close above 159.78 opens the path back toward 160.31
Loss of 158.85 reopens the 157.96 spike low
22:46 UTC
Sharp selloff, now recovering · RSI 63 · price 159.748
Base built above 157.96, higher lows into current bar.
A violent JPY squeeze dumped the pair from ~163.5 to 157.96 through the London-NY sessions, and price has since ground back to 159.75 on a chain of higher lows. Recovery is holding above the base but still capped below the 159.84 session high, with RSI(14) around 63 as the bounce matures.
Support: 158.51, 157.96
Resistance: 159.84, 160.00
What it said to watch
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC (~45min) could break the recovery structure either way
BoJ decision 03:00 UTC is the dominant near-term risk for this pair
Close back below 158.51 base low reopens the 157.96 crash low
Close above 159.84 session high extends the recovery toward 160.00
22:32 UTC
Recovery off crash low, higher lows building · RSI 58 · price 159.748
V-recovery from 157.96 low, HH/HL chain intact.
Violent selloff through NY hours dropped USD/JPY from 163.7 to a 157.96 low near the intervention trip-wire, then a steady recovery lifted price back to 159.75. Higher lows are building off the 158.5 base with RSI(14) back near 58 from oversold. Tokyo CPI and the BoJ decision loom.
Support: 159.28, 158.51
Resistance: 160.00
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision 03:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above the 160.00 round number extends the recovery
Failure to hold the 159.28 swing low stalls the recovery
USDJPY collapsed ~570 pips through NY hours from 163.74 to a 157.96 session low — a JPY squeeze ahead of the Tokyo CPI and BoJ risk flagged in the digest. Price has since based above 158.85 and ground back to the 159.78 recovery high on thinning late-session volume, RSI(14) near 66.
Support: 159.28, 158.85, 157.96
Resistance: 159.78, 160.32
What it said to watch
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC (~1h) and BoJ decision at 03:00 UTC could materially reprice this read
Close above 159.78 session high extends the retrace toward the 160.32 prior swing
Failure to hold 159.28 swing low reopens the 157.96 session low
22:17 UTC
Recovering after sharp selloff · RSI 64 · price 159.684
Higher lows off the crash low, testing session top.
A violent selloff mid-window swept the pair from ~163.50 down through 158.00 to a 157.96 low — a sharp break from multi-decade-high territory. Price has since ground back up on a chain of higher lows, now pressing the 159.84 session high with RSI(14) near 64.
Support: 159.28, 158.51, 157.96
Resistance: 159.84, 160.32
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision + Outlook at 03:00 UTC (within hours) is the dominant risk and can override this read
Close above 159.84 opens the path back toward 160.32
Failure to hold 159.28 threatens a retest of the 158.51 swing low
USDJPY collapsed roughly 550 pips from 163.5 to a 157.96 spike low during the NY session — consistent with the intervention risk flagged near multi-decade highs. Price has since ground back to 159.68 on rising lows, pressing the 159.70 session high with RSI(14) recovering to ~58.
Support: 158.51, 157.96
Resistance: 159.70, 160.00
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision + Outlook at 03:00 UTC could materially shift this read; guidance, not the hold, is the mover
M15 close above 159.70 opens the path toward the 160.00 psych level
Failure to hold 158.51 reopens the 157.96 spike low
USDJPY crashed roughly 500 pips from 163.74 to a 157.96 session low — a yen surge consistent with the intervention risk flagged near the 163.99 multi-decade high. Price has since carved higher lows back to 159.59, RSI(14) recovered from oversold to ~61. The 159.69 swing high caps for now, 158.51 the recovery base.
Support: 158.51, 157.96
Resistance: 159.69
What it said to watch
Tokyo CPI ex-fresh food (23:30 GMT, ~1.7h out) could re-accelerate the yen move
BoJ decision tomorrow 03:00 GMT is the main catalyst for this pair
Loss of 158.51 swing low reopens the 157.96 session low
21:46 UTC
Sharp selloff, now recovering · RSI 56 · price 159.59
Range break lower, building higher lows.
USDJPY crashed roughly 5 yen through the NY session, from 163.7 to a 158.51 session low as soft US GDP and PCE data pressured the dollar. Price has since recovered to the 159.60 recent high, grinding higher off a 159.28 swing low with RSI(14) near 56 after basing out of oversold.
Support: 159.28, 158.51
Resistance: 159.60, 159.84
What it said to watch
M15 close above 159.60 recent high opens room toward the 159.84 swing high
Loss of 159.28 swing low reopens the 158.51 session low
Tokyo CPI 23:30 GMT could materially shift this read
USDJPY collapsed roughly 600 pips off 163.74 into a 157.96 sweep low, a JPY snap-back consistent with the intervention risk flagged near the 163.99 multi-decade high. Price has since stabilised and is consolidating 159.3-159.6, holding just above EMA20 with RSI back to neutral.
Support: 158.50, 157.96
Resistance: 159.84, 160.32
What it said to watch
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 GMT could reprice this consolidation sharply
BoJ decision Fri 03:00 GMT is the dominant near-term catalyst
Loss of 158.50 reopens the 157.96 sweep low
Reclaim of 159.84 swing high would extend the recovery toward 160.32
USDJPY collapsed roughly 5 yen from 163.7 to a 157.96 low in a violent JPY snap-back, consistent with the intervention/BoJ-guidance risk flagged near the 163.99 multi-decade high. Price swept the lows and has since built higher lows back to 159.5; RSI(14) near 60, holding above EMA20 but well under EMA50 after the drop.
Support: 158.79, 157.96
Resistance: 159.84, 160.00
What it said to watch
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 GMT could sharply reprice JPY within the next bars
Break above 159.84 extends the recovery toward 160.00
Failure to hold 158.79 reopens the 157.96 crash low
Collapse off 163.99 highs, higher lows building off 157.96.
USDJPY collapsed through the NY session from 163.5 to a 157.96 low — a ~550-pip flush consistent with the intervention risk flagged near the 163.99 multi-decade high. Price has since clawed back to 159.50 and is consolidating 158.51–159.84 with a chain of higher lows; RSI(14) has recovered to the mid-50s off deeply oversold, but ATR remains elevated after the spike.
Support: 158.51, 157.96
Resistance: 159.84, 160.32
What it said to watch
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 GMT and BoJ decision Fri 03:00 GMT could materially shift this read
Close below 158.51 reopens the path to the 157.96 crash low
Range break lower, stair-step higher lows since the low.
USDJPY collapsed roughly 580 pips from the 163.7 area into 157.95 during the London-NY overlap, consistent with the intervention risk flagged near the 163.99 multi-decade high. Price has since clawed back to 159.5 on a chain of higher lows, with 158.51 holding as support and the 159.84 swing high the immediate cap.
Support: 158.514
Resistance: 159.842
What it said to watch
Loss of 157.95 crash low reopens the downside
Reclaim of 159.84 swing high extends the recovery
Tokyo CPI 23:30 GMT (~2.5h) could materially shift this read
USD/JPY collapsed roughly 500 pips during NY hours from 163.7 into a 158.51 session low — consistent with the yen intervention/BoJ risk flagged near the 163.99 multi-decade highs. Price has since clawed back to 159.54, printing higher lows off the low, with the 159.84 swing high capping the bounce so far.
Support: 159.283, 158.514
Resistance: 159.842, 160.317
What it said to watch
M15 close above 159.84 swing high extends the recovery toward the 160.32 prior high
Loss of 159.28 recent low reopens the 158.51 session low
Tokyo CPI 23:30 GMT and BoJ decision Fri 03:00 GMT could reprice this sharply
Violent sell-off, higher lows forming off session low.
USDJPY collapsed roughly 200+ pips from 163.5 to a session low at 157.96 as the yen firmed sharply. Recovery since has carved higher lows back to 159.55, retracing about half the drop; RSI(14) has cooled back to neutral from oversold. Tokyo CPI (23:30 GMT) and Friday's BoJ decision are imminent catalysts.
Support: 158.51, 157.96
Resistance: 159.84, 160.32
What it said to watch
M15 close below 158.51 swing low reopens the 157.96 session low
Break above 159.84 swing high extends the recovery toward 160.32 prior swing
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 GMT and BoJ Friday could reset this read
Vertical drop then recovery, higher lows building.
USDJPY collapsed roughly 500 pips from the 163.5 area into a 157.96 low, consistent with the intervention-style JPY snap-back flagged in the digest. Price has since carved higher lows and is recovering toward 159.8; RSI(14) has lifted back to the mid-50s off oversold, with 159.84 the near-term cap.
Support: 158.51, 157.96
Resistance: 159.84, 160.32
What it said to watch
Close above 159.84 opens continued recovery toward 160.32
Failure to hold 158.51 reopens the 157.96 session low
Tokyo CPI 23:30 GMT and BoJ decision Fri 03:00 GMT are major JPY catalysts
USD/JPY collapsed roughly 5 figures from 163.74 to 157.96 during NY hours as the yen surged on intervention risk near the multi-decade highs. Price has since stabilised, consolidating between 158.51 and the 159.84 session high with RSI recovering off oversold to mid-range. Tokyo CPI and the BoJ decision are the next catalysts.
Support: 158.51, 157.96
Resistance: 159.84, 160.00
What it said to watch
Tokyo CPI 23:30 GMT and BoJ decision Fri 03:00 GMT could materially shift this read
Close above 159.84 opens the path back toward the 160.00 round number
Failure to hold 158.51 reopens the 157.96 crash low
20:31 UTC
Sharp downtrend, now stabilizing · RSI 56 · price 159.415
Post-crash consolidation off the lows.
USD/JPY collapsed roughly 4 yen during NY hours, from 163.7 to a 157.96 wick low — a violent JPY snap-back consistent with intervention-style risk flagged near multi-decade lows. Price has since carved a range between 158.51 and 159.84 and is now grinding back toward the 25% retracement of the drop at ~159.40, RSI(14) recovered to mid-50s. Recent lows are stepping up with buyers absorbing the 158.5 area twice.
Support: 158.51, 157.96
Resistance: 159.84, 160.32
What it said to watch
Tokyo CPI 23:30 GMT and BoJ decision Fri 03:00 GMT are the dominant catalysts and could reset this read entirely
Close above 159.84 swing high extends the recovery toward the 160.32 crash ledge
Loss of 158.51 session low reopens the 157.96 wick low
V-recovery off 157.96 washout, higher lows building.
USDJPY collapsed roughly 500 pips from the 163.99 multi-decade high into a 157.96 washout during NY hours before snapping back toward 159.4 — an intervention-scale move on the JPY side. Price is now grinding back above the EMA20 with a higher low at 158.51; RSI(14) has recovered off deeply oversold to ~53.
Support: 158.514, 157.956
Resistance: 159.842, 160.317
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 159.84 opens the 160.31 shelf
Failure to hold 158.51 reopens the 157.96 spike low
Tokyo CPI (23:30 GMT) and BoJ Friday could reprice this violently
Intervention risk elevated after the washout near record lows
USDJPY collapsed roughly 400 pips from 163.7 to a 157.96 low in a matter of hours — a JPY snap-back consistent with the intervention risk flagged near the 163.99 multi-decade high. Price has since recovered to 159.34, stalling at the 23.6% retrace of the crash after a swing high at 159.84; RSI(14) climbing back from oversold.
Support: 158.51, 157.96
Resistance: 159.84, 160.00
What it said to watch
BoJ decision Fri 03:00 GMT is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
Tokyo CPI tonight 23:30 GMT could re-fire JPY strength pre-BoJ
Close back above 159.84 swing high opens the path toward 160.00
Loss of 158.51 swing low re-exposes the 157.96 crash low
USDJPY collapsed roughly 480 pips from 162.81 to a 157.96 spike low into NY hours — consistent with the MoF intervention risk flagged near multi-decade highs. Price has since carved higher lows back to 159.34, consolidating below the 159.69–159.84 recovery high with RSI(14) normalising near 50 after the washout.
Support: 158.51, 157.96
Resistance: 159.69, 159.84
What it said to watch
M15 close above 159.84 session high extends the recovery
Failure to hold higher lows toward 158.51 reopens the 157.96 crash low
BoJ decision Fri 03:00 GMT and Tokyo CPI 23:30 GMT could materially shift this read
20:01 UTC
Sharp sell-off, base building · RSI 50 · price 159.362
Collapse then consolidation off the lows.
USDJPY cratered from 163.7 to a 157.96 spike low during NY hours, a near-600 pip drop, then based and recovered toward 159.36. Price is consolidating between the crash low and the 159.84 session high, printing higher lows off 158.51 with RSI back near neutral.
Support: 158.51, 157.96
Resistance: 159.84, 160.32
What it said to watch
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 GMT and BoJ Friday can materially shift this read
M15 close above 159.84 session high extends the recovery toward the 160.32 crash pivot
Loss of 158.51 recent low reopens the 157.96 crash low
19:46 UTC
Sharp downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 45 · price 159.315
Post-crash range 158.5-159.8.
USDJPY collapsed roughly 580 pips from 163.74 to a 157.96 spike low in a violent JPY appreciation (intervention/BoJ risk cited in context). Price has since stabilised into a 158.5-159.8 range, RSI(14) recovering off oversold near 45 as the 157.96 wick was swept and reclaimed.
Support: 158.51, 157.96
Resistance: 159.84, 160.32
What it said to watch
M15 close above 159.84 range top extends the recovery toward 160.32
Failure to hold 158.51 range low reopens the 157.96 crash low
Tokyo CPI 23:30 GMT and BoJ decision Friday are major JPY catalysts
USD/JPY collapsed roughly 580 pips during NY hours off the 163.74 high down to 157.96 — the sharp reversal MoF intervention risk had flagged near multi-decade highs. Price is now consolidating between the 157.96 crash low and the 159.84 swing high, with RSI(14) recovering from oversold to near 44.
Support: 157.96
Resistance: 159.84
What it said to watch
M15 close below 157.96 crash low confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 159.84 swing high needed to extend the bounce
Tokyo CPI 23:30 GMT and BoJ decision Fri 03:00 GMT are high-impact JPY catalysts
USD/JPY collapsed roughly 560 pips from 163.7 into a 157.96 flash low through the NY session as the soft US Q2 GDP and core PCE prints hammered the dollar, with the spike wick sweeping stops before demand stepped in. Price is now consolidating 158.5–159.8; RSI(14) is recovering off oversold near 43 and the 159.84 bounce high is capping.
Support: 158.514, 157.956
Resistance: 159.842, 160.317
What it said to watch
Close below 158.514 confirms a fresh lower low toward the 157.96 flash low
Reclaim of 159.842 opens the path back to 160.30
Tokyo CPI 23:30 GMT and BoJ decision Fri 03:00 GMT are major catalysts that can reset this read
Vertical selloff into 158.00, now ranging 158.5–159.8.
USDJPY collapsed roughly 500 pips through the NY session, swept the session low at 157.96 and has since consolidated in a 158.5–159.8 band. Price is holding just under EMA20 with RSI recovering from oversold to 42; the swing high at 159.84 caps the bounce.
Support: 158.51, 157.96
Resistance: 159.84, 160.32
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 159.84 swing high would extend the recovery toward 160.32
Loss of 158.51 swing low re-exposes the 157.96 session low
Tokyo CPI (23:30 GMT) and BoJ decision Friday are outsized catalysts for the next bars
USDJPY collapsed roughly 450 pips through the NY session, breaking from 163.6 to a 157.96 spike low on a violent JPY bid consistent with intervention risk flagged into the BoJ. Price is now consolidating 158.51–159.84 around 159.00, holding above the session low, RSI(14) recovering off oversold near 43.
Support: 158.514, 157.956
Resistance: 159.842
What it said to watch
Loss of 158.51 session low reopens the 157.96 spike low
Reclaim of 159.84 needed to ease the sell-off
Tokyo CPI (23:30 GMT) and BoJ decision could reset this read
19:01 UTC
Downtrend, stabilizing after sharp drop · RSI 41 · price 159.014
Violent breakdown, now consolidating above 158.51 low.
USDJPY collapsed ~530 pips through the NY session, cratering from the 163.8 area to a 158.51 low as the yen snapped sharply higher into intervention/BoJ risk. Price is now ranging 158.51–159.84, RSI(14) recovering from oversold; the second leg lower at 158.51 held on the bounce.
Support: 158.51
Resistance: 159.84
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 159.84 would ease the breakdown read
Loss of 158.51 confirms a fresh lower-low
Tokyo CPI 23:30 GMT and BoJ decision Fri 03:00 GMT are the near-term catalysts
USDJPY collapsed roughly 450 pips through the NY session, cratering from 163.8 to a 158.51 low — consistent with the intervention risk flagged near the multi-decade highs. Price is now consolidating around 159.0, well below EMA20/50, with a second leg down off 159.84 rejecting the bounce.
Support: 158.514
Resistance: 159.842
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 159.84 negates the latest leg down
Failure to hold 158.51 confirms a fresh lower-low
Tokyo CPI 23:30 GMT and BoJ decision Fri 03:00 GMT can materially reshape this read
USD/JPY collapsed roughly 500 pips through the NY session, cascading from 163.6 to a 158.51 low — consistent with the MoF intervention risk flagged near multi-decade highs. Price is now consolidating between 158.51 and 159.84, RSI(14) recovering off oversold as the freefall pauses.
Support: 158.51
Resistance: 159.84
What it said to watch
M15 close below 158.51 extends the sell-off to fresh lows
Reclaim of 159.84 needed to stabilise the bounce
Tokyo CPI 23:30 GMT and BoJ decision tomorrow could materially shift this read
USD/JPY collapsed roughly 500 pips through NY hours from 163.8 to a 157.96 session low, dollar offered post-FOMC and soft US PCE/GDP with JPY intervention risk in focus. Since then price has consolidated 158.5-159.8; RSI(14) near 41 off the oversold flush, holding above 158.514 while stalling under the 159.688 swing high.
Support: 158.514, 157.956
Resistance: 159.688, 159.842
What it said to watch
Tokyo CPI tonight 23:30 GMT and BoJ decision Fri 03:00 GMT are major JPY catalysts that could reset this read
Break below 158.514 swing low opens the 157.956 session low
Reclaim of 159.842 session high needed to challenge the consolidation top
Consecutive lower highs and lower lows after a vertical drop.
USD/JPY collapsed roughly 500 pips off the 163.99 multi-decade high zone, a violent one-way slide consistent with intervention-risk being triggered. Price stalled in a 159.3–159.8 shelf then broke lower into 158.51, now hovering at 158.88 with RSI(14) recovering off oversold. Structure remains a chain of lower highs; the 159.84 swing high caps any bounce.
Support: 158.51, 157.96
Resistance: 159.84
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 159.84 swing high would ease the downside pressure
Break of 158.51 session low opens the path back toward the 157.96 spike low
Tokyo CPI tonight 23:30 GMT and BoJ decision Fri 03:00 GMT can materially reprice this move
USDJPY collapsed ~450 pips through the NY session, sliding from 163.5 toward 158.5 as soft US GDP and PCE prints hammered the dollar amid live MoF intervention risk. Price is basing off the 158.514 session low, a shallow bounce back to 159.0 with RSI(14) lifting off oversold; the 159.842 swing high caps the recovery.
Support: 158.514, 157.956
Resistance: 159.842
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 159.842 swing high needed to signal the bounce has legs
Loss of 158.514 session low reopens the 157.956 spike low
Tokyo CPI 23:30 GMT and Fri BoJ decision could sharply shift this read
18:02 UTC
Downtrend, sharp break · RSI 43 · price 159.015
Lower highs and lows after a vertical NY-session flush.
USD/JPY collapsed roughly five figures from 162.80 into 157.96 through the NY session — the sharp JPY snap-back the intervention-risk narrative had flagged near the 163.99 multi-decade high. Price is now churning 158.50–159.85, with a second flush to 158.51 bought back to 159.00; RSI(14) recovering off oversold.
Support: 158.51, 157.96
Resistance: 159.84
What it said to watch
Close below 157.96 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim above 159.85 challenges the post-flush range top
Tokyo CPI 23:30 GMT and BoJ decision Fri 03:00 GMT could materially shift this read
USDJPY collapsed through the NY session, shedding over 300 pips from 162.90 into 158.51 as soft US GDP/PCE and JPY intervention risk stacked against the dollar. Price is bouncing off the 158.51 session low with RSI(14) climbing out of oversold; the 159.84 swing high caps the recovery.
Support: 158.51, 157.96
Resistance: 159.84
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 159.84 needed to ease the breakdown read
Loss of 157.96 confirms fresh lower-low extension
Tokyo CPI 23:30 GMT and BoJ Friday could materially shift this read
USDJPY collapsed roughly 500 pips through the NY session, tearing from 163.9 down to a 157.96 spike low — the kind of one-way slide consistent with intervention-style JPY repositioning ahead of tonight's Tokyo CPI and Friday's BoJ. A brief base near 159.3-159.8 gave way, and price prints fresh lows at 158.96 with RSI(14) in oversold territory.
Support: 158.51, 157.96
Resistance: 159.84
What it said to watch
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 GMT could extend or reverse this move
BoJ decision Friday is the primary JPY catalyst
Loss of 158.51 confirms continuation to the 157.96 spike low
Reclaim of 159.84 recent high needed to stall the selling
Impulsive break lower, now consolidating above session low.
USDJPY collapsed roughly 400 pips from 163.7 through the NY session, sweeping to 157.96 before buyers stepped in. Price is now basing between 159.28 and the 159.84 session high, RSI recovering off oversold and reclaiming EMA20 but sitting well below EMA50.
Support: 159.28, 158.845, 157.956
Resistance: 159.84, 160.31
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 159.84 session high opens the path back toward 160.31
Failure to hold 159.28 reopens the 158.85 / 157.96 session low
Tokyo CPI 23:30 GMT and BoJ decision Friday are major JPY catalysts into this base
USD/JPY collapsed ~400 pips through the NY session on aggressive yen strength, bottoming at 158.85 before a base built between 159.28 and the 159.69 session high. Higher lows have stacked into the last two hours with RSI(14) recovering to ~52, but price remains well below both EMAs after the drop.
Support: 159.28, 158.85
Resistance: 159.69, 160.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 159.69 opens the path toward the 160.00 psych level
Failure to hold 159.28 reopens the 158.85 session low
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC and BoJ Friday could materially shift this read
Impulsive breakdown, now consolidating above the low.
USDJPY collapsed roughly 400 pips through the NY session, spiking down to 157.96 before buyers reclaimed the figure; price is now basing in a tight 159.28-159.69 range at the top of the post-crash bounce. RSI(14) has recovered off oversold to neutral as the plunge stabilises.
Support: 159.28, 158.85, 157.96
Resistance: 159.69, 160.32
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 159.69 range top opens the path back to 160.32
Loss of 159.28 range low re-exposes the 158.85 session low
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC and Friday's BoJ decision could materially shift this read
USDJPY collapsed several hundred pips through the NY session on a violent yen-strength move, sweeping to 157.96 before buyers reclaimed 159.30. Price is now consolidating 159.30-159.69 with RSI(14) near 38 recovering off the crash lows; ATR(14) is elevated at ~50 pips reflecting the disorderly conditions.
Support: 159.28, 158.85, 157.96
Resistance: 159.69, 160.32
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 160.32 would repair part of the breakdown
Loss of 158.85 reopens the 157.96 spike low
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC and BoJ Friday could materially reprice this pair
USDJPY collapsed roughly 400 pips through the NY session from 163.50 to a 157.96 spike low, RSI(14) rebounding off oversold. Price is now basing between the 159.28 base low and the 159.69 session high, building tentative higher lows.
Support: 159.28, 158.71, 157.96
Resistance: 159.69, 160.32
What it said to watch
M15 close above 159.69 session high opens the path toward the 160.32 swing high
Loss of the 159.28 base low reopens the 158.71 swing low
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC and Fri BoJ decision could materially shift this read
17:01 UTC
Sharp downtrend, basing · RSI 44 · price 159.588
Vertical sell-off then tight consolidation off the low.
USD/JPY cratered roughly 490 pips from 162.81 to a 157.956 low into the NY session as the yen surged, then stabilised in a tight 159.28-159.69 range. RSI(14) is recovering off oversold near 44 and ATR is elevated around 66 pips, reflecting the post-crash volatility still in the tape.
Support: 159.28, 157.956
Resistance: 159.69
What it said to watch
Loss of the 159.28 range floor reopens the 157.956 crash low
M15 close above 159.69 range top needed to extend the recovery
Tokyo CPI tonight and BoJ Friday could reset this read entirely
16:47 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising off lows · RSI 51 · price 159.597
Sharp break lower, now consolidating above the low.
NY session saw a violent cascade lower, USD/JPY dropping from ~162.8 through 160.32 to a 157.96 spike low as yen shorts were flushed ahead of the BoJ. Price has since stabilised in a tight 159.28-159.67 range, RSI(14) recovered off oversold to ~51; the 158.85 crash low and 160.00 round number cap the immediate box.
Support: 159.28, 158.85, 157.96
Resistance: 159.67, 160.00, 160.32
What it said to watch
Close above 159.67 range high opens a retest of the 160.00 round number
Break below 159.28 range low re-exposes the 158.85 crash low
Tokyo CPI tonight (23:30 UTC) and Friday's BoJ could materially shift this read
USD/JPY collapsed through the NY session, shedding ~500 pips from 162.8 to a 157.96 session low before stabilising — a violent yen bid into Friday's BoJ and elevated intervention risk. Price is now consolidating 159.28–159.67 with RSI(14) recovering off oversold; ATR near 67 pips shows the volatility is still elevated.
Support: 159.28, 157.96
Resistance: 159.67, 160.00
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 160.00 round number would ease the breakdown pressure
Loss of 159.28 range floor reopens the 157.96 session low
Tokyo CPI 23:30 UTC and BoJ decision Fri 03:00 UTC could materially shift this read
16:32 UTC
Downtrend, basing after crash · RSI 43 · price 159.422
Sharp breakdown, consolidating above session low.
USD/JPY collapsed roughly 480 pips into the NY session, tearing from 163.66 to a 157.96 session low on a heavy yen bid. Price has since carved a base between 158.85 and the 159.67 bounce high; RSI(14) has recovered off oversold to ~43 as the pair consolidates just under 159.50.
Support: 158.845, 157.956
Resistance: 159.673
What it said to watch
M15 close below 158.845 confirms a fresh lower-low and resumes the downtrend
Reclaim of 159.673 bounce high needed to ease downside pressure
Tokyo CPI (23:30 UTC) and BoJ Friday could materially shift this read
16:31 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating after sharp drop · RSI 41 · price 159.471
Steep breakdown, then range post-selloff.
USDJPY collapsed through the NY session from ~162.8 to a 157.96 session low — roughly 490 pips — before recovering to consolidate 159.28-159.67. RSI(14) has lifted off oversold to ~41 as price stalls under the 159.67 range top; ATR remains elevated at ~67 pips after the drop.
Support: 159.28, 157.96
Resistance: 159.67
What it said to watch
M15 close below 159.28 reopens the 157.96 session low
Break above 159.67 range top eases the selloff pressure
BoJ decision Fri 03:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDJPY collapsed through the NY session from 163.85 to a 157.96 session low, a multi-figure sell-off that wiped out the prior range. Price is now consolidating 159.28–159.67 with RSI(14) recovering from oversold; both EMAs sit well above price.
Support: 159.28, 158.71, 157.96
Resistance: 159.67, 160.31
What it said to watch
Close below 158.71 reopens the 157.96 session low
Reclaim of 159.67 opens the path back toward 160.31
Tokyo CPI 23:30 UTC and BoJ Fri could materially shift this read
USDJPY collapsed during NY hours, cratering from 162.80 to a 157.96 low — a violent break of the multi-decade-high grind flagged as intervention-risk territory. Price has since clawed back and is consolidating 159.28–159.67; RSI(14) recovering off oversold. ATR near 68 pips shows volatility still extreme.
Support: 159.28, 158.85, 157.96
Resistance: 159.67, 160.31
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 160.31 breakdown level would ease the collapse read
Loss of 158.85 swing low reopens the 157.96 crash low
Tokyo CPI (23:30 UTC) and BoJ Friday are the next catalysts
USDJPY collapsed roughly 480 pips through the NY session, breaking from 162.8 to a 157.956 spike low on aggressive JPY buying, then basing around 159.30-159.50. RSI(14) recovering from deep oversold as the pair carves lower highs under 159.67; ATR blown out to ~68 pips.
Support: 158.845, 157.956
Resistance: 159.673
What it said to watch
M15 close below 158.845 confirms a fresh lower low
Recovery above 159.673 swing high needed to ease downside pressure
Tokyo CPI (23:30 UTC) and BoJ decision Fri 03:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDJPY collapsed roughly 450 pips through the NY session, spiking to 157.96 before buyers stabilised it — a violent yen bid ahead of Tokyo CPI tonight and Friday's BoJ. Price now consolidating 158.85–159.67 with RSI(14) recovering off oversold; ATR blown out to ~68 pips.
Support: 158.85, 157.96
Resistance: 159.67
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 158.85 reopens the 157.96 session low
M15 close back above 159.67 bounce high eases the sell-off
Tokyo CPI 23:30 UTC and BoJ Fri could materially reprice this
Waterfall selloff, cascading lower lows into a bounce off 157.96.
USDJPY collapsed roughly 400 pips through the NY session, plunging from 162.8 to a 157.96 spike low before stabilising near 159.3-159.5. RSI(14) recovering from oversold as the pair chops between 158.85 and the 159.67 bounce high; ATR at 67 pips reflects the extreme volatility.
Support: 158.845, 157.956
Resistance: 159.673
What it said to watch
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC and BoJ Friday could materially shift this read
M15 close below 158.85 session low opens the 157.96 spike low
Reclaim of 159.67 swing high needed to ease downside pressure
USD/JPY collapsed ~490 pips during NY hours, breaking from 162.8 to a 157.96 low as the USD came under pressure on the soft Q2 GDP miss. RSI(14) is recovering from oversold near 39 as price stalls under the 159.67 bounce high, holding above the 158.90 swing low.
Support: 158.90, 157.96
Resistance: 159.67, 160.32
What it said to watch
Close above 159.67 extends the recovery toward 160.32
Loss of 157.96 crash low resumes the decline
Tokyo CPI 23:30 UTC and BoJ Fri could materially shift this read
USDJPY collapsed roughly 400 pips through the NY session, breaking from 163.50 to a session low of 157.96 as the yen ripped higher into tonight's Tokyo CPI and Friday's BoJ. Price is now consolidating around 159.40, holding above the low with RSI(14) recovering from oversold; the 159.67 bounce high caps the rebound.
Support: 157.956
Resistance: 159.673
What it said to watch
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC and BoJ Friday could materially reshape this read
Reclaim of 159.67 would ease the immediate downside pressure
Loss of 157.96 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
USDJPY collapsed roughly 450 pips through the NY session, slicing below 160.00 to a session low of 157.96 before a bounce back to 159.40 — JPY strength ahead of Tokyo CPI and the BoJ, layered on a soft USD post-FOMC. RSI(14) is oversold near 31 and lifting off the low; 159.67 caps the rebound so far.
Support: 158.90, 157.96
Resistance: 159.67
What it said to watch
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC and BoJ Friday could materially shift this read
Reclaim of 160.00 would ease the breakdown structure
Failure to hold 158.90 reopens the 157.96 session low
USDJPY collapsed ~480 pips during the NY session, tearing from 162.8 through 160 into a 157.96 session low before bouncing to 159.34 as yen shorts unwound. RSI(14) is oversold and lifting off the low; ATR has exploded near 96 pips as the pair reprices ahead of Tokyo CPI and the BoJ. Sellers still control structure with an unbroken chain of lower lows.
Support: 157.96
Resistance: 160.32, 162.78
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 160.32 would neutralise the breakdown read
Failure to hold 157.96 confirms a fresh lower low
Tokyo CPI 23:30 UTC and BoJ decision Fri 03:00 UTC could materially shift this read
15:01 UTC
Sharp downtrend, first stabilization · RSI 31 · price 159.342
Vertical breakdown, lower lows into a bounce.
USDJPY collapsed roughly 400 pips through the NY session from 162.80 to a 157.96 spike low before recovering to 159.34, an abrupt unwind of yen shorts ahead of tonight's Tokyo CPI and Friday's BoJ. RSI(14) is deeply oversold near 31 and price is now basing between 158.71 and the 159.67 bounce high; ATR near 96 pips flags extreme volatility.
Support: 158.71, 157.96
Resistance: 159.67, 160.31
What it said to watch
Tokyo CPI (23:30 UTC) and Friday's BoJ decision could materially shift this read
Reclaim of 160.31 prior break would ease the breakdown pressure
Loss of 158.71 swing low reopens the 157.96 spike low
USDJPY collapsed roughly 490 pips through the NY session on a violent yen bid, breaking down to 157.96 before a bounce back to 159.51. RSI(14) is deeply oversold near 23 and price sits far below EMA20/50; the 160.00 round number now caps the recovery.
Support: 157.956
Resistance: 160.00
What it said to watch
BoJ decision Fri 03:00 UTC and Tokyo CPI tonight could materially shift this read
Reclaim of the 160.00 round number would ease the breakdown pressure
Failure to hold the 157.96 session low confirms continuation lower
USD/JPY collapsed roughly 500 pips into the NY afternoon, tearing through 162.70 down to a 157.96 session low before a dead-cat bounce back to 159.51. RSI(14) is deeply oversold near 27 and ATR has blown out to ~62 pips; the recovery is still capped well below the 160.32 breakdown level.
Support: 157.96
Resistance: 160.32
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 160.32 needed to ease downside pressure
Loss of 157.96 session low confirms continuation lower
Tokyo CPI 23:30 UTC and Fri BoJ decision are outsized JPY catalysts
USD/JPY collapsed through NY hours, shedding roughly 500 pips from 162.9 into a 157.96 low amid intervention-risk chatter ahead of the BoJ. Price swept 157.96 and recovered to 159.40 with RSI(14) deeply oversold; the 160.00 round level now caps the bounce.
Support: 157.96
Resistance: 160.00
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 160.00 round level would ease the breakdown read
Failure to hold 158.00/157.96 sweep low opens fresh downside
BoJ decision Fri 03:00 UTC and Tokyo CPI tonight could materially shift this read
USDJPY collapsed through the NY afternoon, shedding over 400 pips from 163.65 to a 157.96 spike low on a wave of yen strength, with RSI(14) pinned near 22. A bounce off that low has price back at 159.40, but it remains capped below the 159.99 round level and the shattered 160.32 shelf.
Support: 158.845, 157.956
Resistance: 159.99, 160.32
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 160.32 would ease the breakdown pressure
Failure to hold 158.845 reopens the 157.96 spike low
Tokyo CPI 23:30 UTC and Fri BoJ decision could sharply reprice this move
14:31 UTC
Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 16 · price 158.633
Vertical breakdown, lower lows.
USD/JPY collapsed roughly 440 pips into the NY session, breaking from 163.00 straight to 158.63 with no clean support en route; RSI(14) is deeply oversold near 16 and ATR(14) has blown out toward 48 pips. Price is trading in open air below the 160.00 round number after the waterfall move.
Support: 158.633
Resistance: 160.00
What it said to watch
Break below 158.63 session low extends the sell-off into open air
Reclaim of 160.00 round number needed to stall the breakdown
Tokyo CPI tonight (23:30 UTC) and BoJ Friday could reprice this move sharply
USDJPY collapsed vertically from 163.50 to sub-160 in the last two hours, RSI(14) pinned near 15 in deep oversold — consistent with a JPY intervention-style spike ahead of the BoJ. Price is now probing the 159.71 session low with no base yet formed.
Support: 159.708, 159.00
Resistance: 160.32
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 160.32 would ease the breakdown pressure
Failure to hold 159.71 extends the decline toward 159.00
Tokyo CPI 23:30 UTC and BoJ Fri 03:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USD/JPY collapsed through NY hours, dropping ~300 pips from 162.80 to 159.71 in three bars as JPY was bought aggressively into tonight's Tokyo CPI and Friday's BoJ. RSI(14) is deeply oversold sub-20 and ATR has exploded past 40 pips; price is printing at the session low with no reclaim yet.
Support: 159.708
Resistance: 160.32
What it said to watch
Tokyo CPI 23:30 UTC and BoJ Friday 03:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Reclaim of 160.32 breakdown would ease the collapse
Failure to hold 159.71 swing low extends the down-leg
Steep NY-session selloff dumped USDJPY from 163.66 to a 162.288 sweep low as a soft US GDP print pressured the dollar, then buyers stepped in for a bounce back toward 162.95. Price is now chopping in a 162.70-162.95 band, holding well under EMA20/50 with RSI recovering from the flush.
Support: 162.70, 162.288
Resistance: 162.95
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 162.95 challenges the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 162.70 opens a retest of the 162.288 sweep low
Tokyo CPI 23:30 UTC and BoJ Fri could materially shift this read
13:31 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising after flush · RSI 42 · price 162.76
Sharp breakdown, basing above spike low.
USD/JPY sold off hard through NY hours, breaking down ~140 pips into a 162.29 spike low before buyers stepped in around 162.70. Price now chops between 162.70 and 162.95 below both EMAs, RSI(14) recovering from oversold. JPY firmness reflects positioning ahead of Tokyo CPI and Friday's BoJ.
Support: 162.70, 162.29
Resistance: 162.95
What it said to watch
Tokyo CPI (23:30 UTC) and Fri BoJ decision could materially shift this read
M15 close below 162.70 reopens the 162.29 spike low
Reclaim of 162.95 bounce high needed to ease downside pressure
USDJPY sold off hard through NY hours on the soft US GDP miss, spiking to 162.288 before buyers stepped in. Price has since based between 162.70 and the 162.96 session high, RSI(14) recovering off the lows near 42.
Support: 162.70, 162.29
Resistance: 162.96, 163.06
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 163.06 pre-drop level would negate the breakdown
Loss of the 162.70 base reopens the 162.29 spike low
Tokyo CPI 23:30 UTC and Friday BoJ decision could materially shift this read
13:16 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating after sharp drop · RSI 44 · price 162.887
Lower highs into a sweep of 162.29, now ranging.
NY session drove a sharp sell-off from 163.65 into a 162.29 sweep low, price snapping back to consolidate between 162.70 and 163.04. RSI(14) recovered off oversold to the low-40s; price holds below both EMAs after the flush.
Support: 162.70, 162.288
Resistance: 163.04
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.04 would break the post-drop range top
Failure to hold 162.70 reopens the 162.29 sweep low
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC and BoJ Friday could materially shift this read
13:01 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 42 · price 162.915
Sharp NY break, consolidating above session low.
NY session sold USDJPY hard from 163.66 to a 162.29 spike low as US data hit, RSI(14) rebounding from oversold. Price now consolidating 162.70-163.05, holding above the session low but capped by prior support at 163.05.
Support: 162.69, 162.29
Resistance: 163.05
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 163.05 negates the downside break
Failure to hold 162.69 opens a retest of the 162.29 spike low
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC is the next JPY trigger
13:01 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising after flush · RSI 42 · price 162.915
Sharp NY selloff, now consolidating above session low.
USDJPY flushed through the NY session from ~163.65 to a 162.288 low, a fast drop into the US PCE/GDP window, before buyers stabilised it. Price now consolidating 162.70-162.95 below both EMAs, RSI(14) recovering off oversold; proximity to multi-decade highs keeps intervention risk live.
Support: 162.70, 162.29
Resistance: 163.04, 163.65
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 163.04 negates the consolidation and reclaims the bounce high
Loss of 162.70 session low opens a retest of the 162.29 spike low
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC could shift the JPY read into the next sessions
USDJPY sold off sharply into the NY session, spiking to 162.288 before buyers absorbed the wick and pushed a recovery to 163.04. Price is rolling back over toward session lows near 162.69, RSI(14) mid-30s, holding below EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 162.69, 162.29
Resistance: 163.04
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 163.04 negates the lower-high sequence
Break of 162.29 spike low confirms continuation lower
USD/JPY sold off hard through the London session, sweeping to 162.288 before buyers stepped in and lifted price back to 162.85; RSI(14) recovering from oversold near 41. Now consolidating 162.70–163.04 below EMA20/50 with the US Core PCE/GDP print landing now as the immediate driver.
Support: 162.70, 162.288
Resistance: 163.042, 163.50
What it said to watch
US Core PCE/GDP now — a hot print re-arms USD and could reclaim 163.50
M15 close back above 163.042 recent high would negate the consolidation read
Failure to hold 162.700 session low reopens the 162.288 spike low
USD/JPY sold off hard through the NY session, dropping from 163.74 to a 162.29 spike low as soft-USD flows around the US PCE/GDP window hit the dollar. Price has since consolidated in a 162.70–163.04 band, RSI(14) recovering from oversold toward 42; the spike low held on the first retest.
Support: 162.70, 162.288
Resistance: 163.042
What it said to watch
US Core PCE / GDP data now could materially shift this read
M15 close below 162.70 reopens the 162.288 spike low
Reclaim of 163.042 bounce high needed to challenge the downtrend
USD/JPY slammed from 163.74 down to a 162.288 low into the NY session, with the US Core PCE/GDP release at 12:30 GMT the likely trigger. Price is now consolidating 162.70–163.04 below both EMAs; RSI(14) recovering off oversold near 39. Broken support at 163.29 now caps.
Support: 162.70, 162.288
Resistance: 163.04, 163.29
What it said to watch
US Core PCE / GDP just released — reaction can extend or reverse this move
Reclaim of 163.04 bounce high would ease the downside pressure
Loss of 162.70 session low reopens the 162.288 swing low
12:16 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 44 · price 162.903
Sharp break lower, consolidating above spike low.
USD/JPY sold off hard through the NY session, dropping from 163.74 to a spike low at 162.288 before recovering to consolidate around 162.90. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range after the flush; buyers stepped in at 162.70 but 163.04 caps the rebound.
Support: 162.70, 162.29
Resistance: 163.04
What it said to watch
US GDP + Core PCE cluster at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Break below 162.70 exposes the 162.29 spike low
Reclaim of 163.04 needed to negate the downtrend read
USDJPY dumped roughly 130 pips into the flush, sweeping 162.29 before buyers stepped back to reclaim the 162.70 session low. Price now consolidating 162.70–163.05, RSI(14) lifting off the low near 38. Sharp JPY bid contrasts the softer weekly digest read; move ran into the US data cluster window.
Support: 162.70, 162.29
Resistance: 163.05
What it said to watch
US GDP / Core PCE data cluster imminent could materially shift this read
Close back above 163.05 negates the immediate lower-high sequence
Loss of 162.70 reopens 162.29 spike low
12:01 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 43 · price 162.89
Sharp NY break, recovering from swept low.
NY session drove a sharp break lower, USD/JPY swept to 162.29 before demand stepped in and lifted price back toward 162.89. Move follows the hawkish 9-3 Fed hold; RSI(14) recovering from the selloff but price still trades below EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 162.29
Resistance: 163.29
What it said to watch
US GDP + core PCE cluster in ~30min (12:30 GMT) could materially shift this read
NY hours delivered a sharp sell-off from 163.74 to a 162.29 spike low, sweeping the session lows before buyers stepped in and dragged price back to the 163.00 round number. RSI(14) recovering from oversold as the 162.70 session low holds; still below EMA20/50 after the drop.
Support: 162.70, 162.29
Resistance: 163.06, 163.30
What it said to watch
US GDP + Core PCE at 12:30 GMT (~30min out) could materially shift this read
Reclaim of 163.06 prior low opens the path back toward 163.30
Failure to hold 162.70 session low reopens the 162.29 spike low
11:46 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 43 · price 162.981
Sharp NY selloff, recovery underway.
USD/JPY sold off hard through the NY session, shedding ~140 pips from 163.66 to a 162.288 spike low before recovering to 162.98 — yen bid despite multi-decade-low proximity. RSI(14) has lifted off the sub-30 washout into the low 40s as price grinds back toward the 163.04 recovery high.
Support: 162.70, 162.288
Resistance: 163.04, 163.29, 163.66
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 163.29 prior swing would negate the lower-low structure
Failure to hold 162.70 session low reopens the 162.288 crash low
Tokyo CPI 23:30 UTC could materially shift this JPY read
USDJPY dumped ~130 pips through the London session into a 162.288 low — a sharp JPY squeeze given proximity to multi-decade highs and lingering intervention risk. Price has since reclaimed 162.95 with RSI(14) lifting off oversold, but the 163.07 breakdown level now caps.
Support: 162.70, 162.288
Resistance: 162.98, 163.07
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 163.07 breakdown level needed to neutralise the selloff
Failure to hold 162.70 swing low opens a retest of the 162.288 session low
US GDP/Core-PCE at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
USDJPY sold off hard through the London session, dumping ~140 pips into a 162.288 spike low before buyers stepped in and reclaimed 162.90. Recovery is stalling near 162.95 with RSI(14) lifting off oversold; prior support at 163.067 now caps.
Support: 162.70, 162.288
Resistance: 163.067
What it said to watch
US GDP/Core-PCE cluster at 12:30 GMT is the next high-impact catalyst and could reshape this read
M15 close back above 163.067 negates the lower-high structure
Failure to hold 162.700 reopens the 162.288 spike low
11:31 UTC
Downtrend, sharp impulsive leg · RSI 33 · price 162.785
Lower lows, basing after spike low.
USD/JPY sold off hard through the London session, dropping from ~163.65 to a 162.288 spike low as the JPY squeezed off multi-decade lows, and is now basing near 162.78. RSI(14) at 33 reflects the impulsive leg; the 163.07 breakdown level now caps overhead while buyers stepped in around 162.70.
Support: 162.70, 162.288
Resistance: 163.07
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 163.07 breakdown level would negate the fresh lower-low read
Failure to hold 162.70 bounce lows opens a retest of the 162.288 session low
Tokyo CPI 23:30 UTC and BoJ Friday are the near-term JPY catalysts
NY session saw a steep breakdown, USDJPY shedding ~135 pips from 163.66 to sweep 162.29 before a snap-back to 162.83. RSI(14) oversold and lifting off the low; price trades below EMA20/50 after the drop.
Support: 162.29, 162.70
Resistance: 163.07, 163.66
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 163.07 would neutralise the breakdown read
Failure to hold above 162.70 reopens the 162.29 sweep low
US GDP/Core PCE cluster ~12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDJPY broke down hard in the late-London hours, shedding ~145 pips from 163.74 to a 162.29 spike low before recovering to 162.83. RSI(14) near 33 reflects the stretched decline, with price parked below both EMAs and now consolidating just under the 163.00 psych level.
Support: 162.70, 162.29
Resistance: 163.00
What it said to watch
US GDP / Core PCE at 12:30 UTC (~90m) could materially shift this read
Reclaim of 163.00 psych negates the breakdown
Failure to hold 162.70 session low reopens the 162.29 spike low
USD/JPY broke down hard through the London session, shedding ~120 pips from 163.65 into a 162.288 spike low before a bounce back to 162.71. RSI(14) sits oversold near 27 after the vertical move; price is well below EMA20/50. US GDP and Core PCE cluster lands at 12:30 UTC.
Support: 162.288, 162.00
Resistance: 163.067
What it said to watch
US GDP/Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Reclaim of 163.067 broken level would neutralise the breakdown
Failure to hold the 162.288 spike low opens the 162.00 round number
USD/JPY broke down hard in the London morning, shedding ~135 pips from the 163.6 range to a 162.29 spike low before recovering to 162.80, RSI(14) pinned near 25. The drop unwinds the prior JPY-weak grind toward the 40-yr highs; price is now stretched well below EMA20/50.
Support: 162.288
Resistance: 163.065
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 163.065 would invalidate the breakdown read
Failure to hold 162.80 opens a retest of the 162.29 spike low
US GDP + Core PCE at 12:30 GMT (~140m out) can materially shift this read
10:31 UTC
Sharp intraday selloff · RSI 26 · price 162.80
Breakdown, fresh lower lows.
USDJPY collapsed ~120 pips off the 163.90 area during the London session, closing at 162.80 with RSI(14) sub-30 and price well below EMA20/50. The move retreated hard from the multi-decade high zone flagged for intervention risk; 162.29 is the fresh session low being tested.
Support: 162.288
Resistance: 163.067
What it said to watch
US GDP / Core PCE at 12:30 GMT (~2h out) could sharply extend or reverse this move
Failure to hold 162.29 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 163.07 breakdown level would neutralise the selloff read
Proximity to 40-yr high earlier invites MoF/BoJ intervention headlines
USD/JPY sold off hard through the London session, slicing the 163.30 shelf and printing a fresh low at 162.90 with RSI(14) near 22 — oversold but in a clean impulsive leg. The 163.50 prior support now caps as resistance; no sign of stabilisation into US GDP/Core PCE.
Support: 162.90
Resistance: 163.30, 163.50
What it said to watch
US Q2 GDP + Core PCE at 12:30 GMT (~2h out) is the primary USD catalyst and can override this read
Sustained trade below 162.90 extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 163.30 would neutralise the breakout
10:16 UTC
Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 24 · price 162.905
Lower highs, lower lows; fresh breakdown.
USDJPY broke sharply through 163.00 during the London session and extended to a fresh session low at 162.90, an impulsive leg lower off the 163.66 session high. RSI(14) is stretched near 24, short-term oversold as the move accelerated into the current bar.
Support: 162.90
Resistance: 163.29, 163.66
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 163.29 swing would neutralise the breakdown
US GDP / Core PCE at 12:30 GMT (~2h out) is the key USD catalyst and could materially shift this read
Failure to hold 162.90 session low confirms continuation lower
London-into-NY transition saw a sharp breakdown through the 163.45-163.65 range and the 163.00 handle, printing a fresh session low at 162.92 with RSI(14) oversold near 25. Sellers pressed six straight bars lower off the 163.65 supply band; no basing yet.
Support: 162.92, 162.50
Resistance: 163.29, 163.65
What it said to watch
US GDP + Core PCE at 12:30 GMT (~135 min out) could materially shift this read
Reclaim above the 163.29 broken level would neutralise the breakdown
Failure to hold 162.92 opens the path toward 162.50 psych
USDJPY sold off through the London-NY transition, slicing the 163.44-163.66 afternoon range and pressing the 163.23 swing low as RSI(14) cools into the low 30s. Price is now near-fully retracing the earlier 163.21-163.74 leg, sitting below both EMAs.
Support: 163.23, 163.208
Resistance: 163.53, 163.66, 163.74
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.20 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 163.53 would negate the range break
US Q2 GDP and core-PCE at 12:30 GMT (~2.5h) could materially shift this read
10:01 UTC
Short-term downtrend off session high · RSI 39 · price 163.398
Lower high at 163.74, breaking recent range lows.
NY session sold off from a 163.74 lower high back down to 163.39, printing a fresh leg lower and sitting on the 61.8% fib of the 163.21-163.74 up-leg. RSI(14) near 39, no extreme; price trades below EMA20/EMA50 as the intraday bounce fades.
Support: 163.30, 163.21
Resistance: 163.48, 163.66, 163.74
What it said to watch
Close below 163.30 swing low opens 163.21 session low
Reclaim of 163.48 prior low negates the breakdown
US GDP/core PCE cluster at 12:30 GMT (~2.5h) is the pivot for USD
09:46 UTC
Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 38 · price 163.398
Sold off from session high 163.74, printing lower highs.
USDJPY was rejected at the 163.74 session high and dropped sharply into the London-NY handover, now testing the 61.8% retrace of the 163.21–163.74 rally near 163.40. RSI(14) cooling around 37 with price below both EMAs; 163.30 is the last defended swing low.
Support: 163.30, 163.21
Resistance: 163.53, 163.66, 163.74
What it said to watch
US Q2 GDP + core-PCE cluster at 12:30 GMT (~3h) could materially shift this read
M15 close below 163.30 confirms a lower low, exposing the 163.21 session low
Reclaim of 163.53 negates the breakdown
09:46 UTC
Pullback after rejection · RSI 44 · price 163.476
Rally to 163.73 rejected, retracing.
London probe to 163.73 was rejected sharply over the last three bars, price now back at 163.476 — the 50% fib of the 163.21-163.73 leg. RSI(14) cooling near 43 with price under EMA20; the session low at 163.45 is the immediate pivot.
Support: 163.45, 163.31, 163.21
Resistance: 163.66, 163.73
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.45 opens the path to 163.31 / 163.21
Reclaim of 163.66 negates the rejection read
US GDP / core-PCE cluster at 12:30 GMT (~3h) could reshape this read
09:32 UTC
Recovery off lows, stalling at highs · RSI 43 · price 163.476
Rejection from session high, pulling into mid-range.
London morning pushed to a session high of 163.737 then rejected sharply back to 163.48, unwinding the overnight recovery off 163.21; RSI cooling to the low 40s. Price is now sitting on the 50% retrace of that recovery leg, holding just above the 163.45 swing low.
Support: 163.45, 163.36, 163.21
Resistance: 163.74, 163.90
What it said to watch
US GDP and Core PCE at 12:30 GMT (~3h out) is the near-term USD catalyst and could reset this read
Loss of 163.45 confirms a lower low and opens the 163.36 overnight base
Reclaim of 163.74 revives the recovery toward 163.90
London hours ground USD/JPY up from the 163.20 base to a 163.737 session high, then the last two bars snapped ~17 pips lower to 163.53 — a sharp rejection near the highs with RSI(14) cooling to mid-40s. Price now sits mid-range between 163.485 and the 163.66 swing high, with the 40-yr peak at 163.99 keeping intervention headlines in play.
Support: 163.485, 163.44, 163.23
Resistance: 163.66, 163.737
What it said to watch
US Q2 GDP + Core PCE at 12:30 GMT (~3h out) is the key USD driver and could break this range
Loss of 163.485 opens the path back toward the 163.44 swing low
Reclaim of 163.66 puts the 163.737 session high back in focus
09:16 UTC
Recovery stalling, pullback in play · RSI 44 · price 163.528
Rejection at 163.74, back inside range.
USDJPY was rejected at the 163.74 session high during London hours and dropped ~25 pips to 163.53, RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s. Price is back in the middle of the post-FOMC range after yesterday's hawkish-hold whipsaw; supply capped the move at 163.74, demand last held 163.485.
Support: 163.485, 163.30
Resistance: 163.66, 163.737
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.485 confirms a lower-low toward 163.30
Reclaim of 163.66 puts the 163.74 high back in play
US GDP / Core PCE at 12:30 GMT (~3.5h out) is the near-term USD catalyst
Higher lows off 163.21, pullback under session high.
USDJPY flushed to 163.21 during the FOMC presser then buyers rebuilt a higher-low sequence back to the 163.74 session high; current pull-back to 163.63 is holding above EMA20. RSI(14) mid-range near 55, no extreme in play.
Support: 163.55, 163.21
Resistance: 163.74
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.55 breaks the rising recovery structure
163.74 session high — area to watch for rejection or break
US GDP / core PCE at 12:30 GMT (~3h out) could shift this read
09:02 UTC
Recovering uptrend, pullback in play · RSI 56 · price 163.63
Higher lows off 163.21, pullback from 163.74.
USDJPY recovered from an 18:00 UTC spike low at 163.21 and rallied through NY hours to 163.74 before stalling; price now sits at 163.63 with RSI(14) mid-range. Higher lows hold the recovery, but the 163.74 push was rejected and momentum is cooling into the pullback.
Support: 163.60, 163.44
Resistance: 163.74, 163.90
What it said to watch
US GDP/core PCE at 12:30 GMT (~3.5h out) could materially shift this read
Close above 163.74 reopens the 163.90 session high
Loss of 163.60 exposes the 163.44 swing low
09:01 UTC
Recovery uptrend off the sweep low, pulling back · RSI 56 · price 163.63
Higher lows since the 163.21 sweep, capped at 163.74.
USD/JPY has clawed back a full leg from the NY-session sweep down to 163.21, running up to a 163.74 session high before easing to 163.63. RSI(14) is mid-range near 56 as the pullback holds above the 163.55 swing low; higher-lows chain still intact.
Support: 163.55, 163.30, 163.21
Resistance: 163.74, 163.89
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.55 breaks the rising-support chain and reopens 163.30
Reclaim of 163.74 puts 163.89 back in play
US GDP / core PCE at 12:30 GMT (~3.5h out) is the near-term catalyst
Tokyo CPI 23:30 UTC could shift the JPY read into the next session
Higher lows off overnight spike low, easing from session high.
USDJPY recovered from an overnight spike-low sweep to 163.21 back through the 163.55 swing area, tagging a session high at 163.737 during London before easing to 163.61. Price holds above a rising support line, RSI(14) mid-range near 54 with no extreme.
Support: 163.55, 163.45, 163.30
Resistance: 163.737, 163.90
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.737 opens the path to 163.90
Loss of 163.45 spike low reopens the 163.30 pivot
US GDP/Core PCE at 12:30 GMT (~4h) could materially shift this read
08:46 UTC
Recovery, micro-uptrend · RSI 55 · price 163.613
Higher lows off 163.21 sweep.
A sharp NY-hours sweep of lows to 163.21 was bought back, and London has since ground out higher lows with price holding above EMA20/50. Buyers stalled at the 163.74 session high; RSI mid-range near 55, ATR ~7 pips.
Support: 163.53, 163.30, 163.21
Resistance: 163.74, 163.90, 163.99
What it said to watch
US GDP/Core PCE at 12:30 GMT (~1h) is a clustered release that could shift this read
M15 close above 163.74 opens the path back toward the 163.90 prior high
Failure to hold 163.53 re-exposes the 163.30 pivot
163.99 40yr high keeps MoF/BoJ intervention risk in view
Rebound from overnight flush, higher lows into session high.
Price fully recovered from an overnight flush that swept to 163.20 during the Asia lull, rebasing higher through the London session and tagging a session high of 163.737 before pulling back to 163.61. RSI(14) cooling from the push; buyers stepped in around the 163.55 pullback base.
Support: 163.55, 163.20
Resistance: 163.737, 163.90
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.737 opens the path toward the 163.90 prior high
Failure to hold 163.55 exposes the 163.20 flush low
US GDP + Core PCE at 12:30 GMT (~4h) could materially shift this read
Higher lows off session low, rejected at session high.
USDJPY sold off ~65 pips to 163.21 during the NY session then fully recovered overnight, printing a session high 163.74 before a sharp rejection back to 163.64. Price holds above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 54 as the recovery leg stalls under the 163.74 session high.
Support: 163.53, 163.21
Resistance: 163.74, 163.89, 163.99
What it said to watch
Rejection at 163.74 session high — a 15m close above opens 163.89 prior high toward the 163.99 cycle high
Loss of 163.53 range base would put the 163.21 session low back in play
US GDP/Core PCE 12:30 GMT (~4h) could materially shift this read; Tokyo CPI tonight 23:30 GMT also in view
08:16 UTC
Recovering, uptrend off the flush low · RSI 54 · price 163.642
Higher lows since 163.208, easing under session high.
USDJPY recovered from an NY-session flush to 163.208, grinding higher through Asia to a session high of 163.737 before easing to 163.64. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 54 with price above EMA20/50; the 163.55 recent low marks the pullback base.
Support: 163.553
Resistance: 163.737, 163.79
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.737 opens the path back toward 163.79
Loss of 163.55 breaks the rising-support sequence off 163.208
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher lows since the flush, retracing prior drop.
USD/JPY is grinding back through the London session after an 18:00 UTC flush to 163.23; price has retraced roughly 75% of that drop and now tests 163.72 with RSI(14) near 66. Buyers stepped in repeatedly at the 163.44 recovery base, keeping a higher-low chain intact into the US Core PCE print.
Support: 163.44, 163.23
Resistance: 163.84, 163.90, 163.99
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
A close above 163.84 prior high opens the path toward the 163.99 cycle high
Loss of the 163.44 recovery base breaks the higher-low chain
08:02 UTC
Recovery uptrend off NY drop low · RSI 66 · price 163.725
Higher lows retracing the selloff.
London session extended the recovery off the NY drop low at 163.21, with price now pressing the session high at 163.737 and RSI(14) near 66. The leg retraces roughly 75% of the 163.90-163.21 selloff; the 163.55 recovery low held through the London open.
Support: 163.55, 163.44, 163.21
Resistance: 163.737, 163.885
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.737 opens room toward the 163.885 pre-drop high
Loss of 163.55 recovery low reopens the 163.44 swing low
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC (~4h out) could materially shift this read
08:01 UTC
Recovering off session low, short-term up · RSI 64 · price 163.725
Higher lows building off 163.21 base.
USDJPY sold off ~70 pips into the NY afternoon and bottomed at the 163.21 session low, then carved a rounded base through the Asian range. London hours have driven a steady chain of higher lows back to the 163.74 session high, RSI(14) firming to the mid-60s but not yet stretched.
Support: 163.55, 163.208
Resistance: 163.74, 163.904
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 163.74 session high opens the path back to 163.904 prior high
Loss of the 163.55 pivot re-exposes the 163.21 session low
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Tokyo CPI tonight 23:30 UTC is a JPY risk into the next session
A sharp NY-afternoon slide yesterday dumped price from the 163.79 pre-drop shelf to the 163.21 Asian session low. London has since clawed it back in a higher-low chain to 163.71, RSI(14) around 63 and not yet stretched; the 163.79 pre-drop area is the next test.
Support: 163.55, 163.21
Resistance: 163.79, 163.90
What it said to watch
Close above 163.79 opens the path back to the 163.90 session high
Loss of the 163.55 higher low breaks the ascending recovery structure
US Core PCE / GDP at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDJPY sold off sharply during NY hours to a 163.20 session low, then double-bottomed and buyers have stepped in on a steady grind back to 163.71, RSI(14) recovering to the low-60s. Price now presses back toward the 163.90 day high; the 163.55 pivot has capped dips on the way up.
Support: 163.55, 163.45, 163.20
Resistance: 163.90, 163.99
What it said to watch
US Core PCE / GDP cluster at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 163.90 day high opens the 163.99 cycle high
Loss of the 163.55 pivot negates the recovery and re-exposes 163.45
07:31 UTC
Recovering, uptrend off the lows · RSI 61 · price 163.685
Rounded base after mid-window selloff, higher lows building.
USDJPY has clawed back from the 163.21 swing low — carved during the NY-session FOMC washout — and is grinding higher into London, printing higher lows up to 163.685. Recovery now approaches the 163.79 prior swing, with RSI(14) firming near 61 but not yet stretched.
Support: 163.55, 163.30, 163.21
Resistance: 163.79, 163.90, 163.99
What it said to watch
US Core PCE/GDP cluster at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Reclaim of 163.79 opens the path to the 163.90 session high and 163.99 cycle high
Loss of 163.55 recent low would break the higher-low chain, exposing 163.30 support
USDJPY sold off through NY hours to 163.20 then carved a rounded base through the Asian range, grinding higher lows back to 163.67 into London. Price now presses the 163.75 prior high with RSI(14) around 63 — recovery leg intact but yet to reclaim the 163.90 session high.
Support: 163.55
Resistance: 163.75, 163.90
What it said to watch
Close above 163.75 opens the path back to 163.90
Failure to hold 163.55 rising support breaks the higher-low chain
US Core PCE/GDP cluster at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
07:16 UTC
Recovering off session low, grinding up · RSI 59 · price 163.608
Higher lows since 163.21 washout, testing session high.
After the FOMC-driven washout to 163.21, price based around the 163.48 range floor through the Asian session and has climbed back through London hours to a session high of 163.65, now 163.61. RSI(14) mid-range near 59, ATR ~8.5 pips as volatility normalises post-Fed.
Support: 163.48, 163.21
Resistance: 163.65, 163.90
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.65 session high opens the path to the 163.90 pre-drop high
Loss of the 163.48 range floor reopens the 163.21 session low
US Core PCE / GDP cluster at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
07:16 UTC
Rebound off post-Fed low, momentum building · RSI 63 · price 163.631
Recovering higher-lows after a sharp drop, ~61.8% retraced.
USD/JPY sank ~60 pips into the 163.21 swing low during the hawkish-hold Fed reaction, then based and recovered through the London session to 163.63, roughly 61.8% of the drop. Higher-lows chain intact with RSI(14) mid-60s; buyers stepped in twice around 163.46 before the current push toward the session high.
Support: 163.55, 163.46, 163.21
Resistance: 163.65, 163.79, 163.90
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.79 opens the path back toward the 163.90 prior high
Failure to hold the 163.55 intraday pivot risks a retest of the 163.46 recent low
Core PCE + GDP at 12:30 UTC (~5h) could reprice USD and override this read
Higher lows off FOMC low, grinding into session high.
USD/JPY grinding higher through London hours, retracing roughly 60% of yesterday's FOMC-driven slide from 163.90 to 163.21. Micro structure is printing higher lows with RSI(14) near 59 — room before overbought — and the session high at 163.65 is the immediate cap. Psychological 164.00 above carries JPY intervention risk.
Support: 163.45, 163.30, 163.21
Resistance: 163.65, 163.90, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.65 session high opens the path to 163.90
Failure to hold 163.45 range floor negates the recovery, exposing 163.30
US Core PCE + GDP at 12:30 UTC (~5-6h) could reprice USD sharply
07:01 UTC
Recovering off session low, short-term up · RSI 61 · price 163.631
Higher lows since post-FOMC flush, grinding into resistance.
USDJPY flushed ~70 pips to a 163.21 session low during the FOMC press conference, then carved a rounded recovery through Asia and into London, now pressing 163.63. Price sits above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 61, a 61% retrace of the post-FOMC drop into the 163.68 pivot.
Support: 163.53, 163.44, 163.21
Resistance: 163.68, 163.79
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.68 opens the path toward 163.79
Failure to hold 163.53 reopens the 163.44/163.21 lows
Core PCE + GDP at 12:30 UTC (~5.5h) could reset this recovery
USD/JPY flushed to 163.20 during the Fed presser yesterday as the hawkish hold failed to hold the dollar, then clawed back to 163.58 through Asia on a chain of higher lows. RSI(14) near 60 with buyers stepping in above 163.48; recovery high at 163.63 caps for now.
Support: 163.48, 163.21
Resistance: 163.63, 163.90, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.63 opens path back toward 163.90
Loss of 163.48 reopens the 163.20 session low
Core PCE + GDP at 12:30 UTC (~6h) could reprice this move sharply
164.00 remains the intervention-risk zone to monitor
06:31 UTC
Recovering off Asian low, momentum building · RSI 62 · price 163.612
Higher lows since 163.21, reclaiming session high.
USD/JPY bounced off the 163.21 Asian low twice and has climbed back through the FOMC selloff into early London, now tagging the session high at 163.63 with RSI(14) near 62. The move retraces the presser-driven drop from 163.90; higher lows are intact as price holds above EMA20/50.
Support: 163.48, 163.21
Resistance: 163.63, 163.80
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.63 opens the path to the 163.80 prior high
Loss of 163.48 swing low reopens the 163.21 asian low
US Core PCE/GDP cluster at 12:30 UTC (~6h out) could reshape this read
Intervention risk near the 163.99/164.00 cycle high caps upside
V-recovery from 163.21 low, minor breakout above consolidation.
USDJPY dumped ~70 pips to 163.21 during the Fed presser yesterday as the Dollar softened, then based through the Asian session and is now grinding back up. Last four bars broke the 163.45-163.55 consolidation and are testing the 163.64 swing high, which lines up with the 61.8% retrace of the FOMC drop.
Support: 163.45, 163.21
Resistance: 163.64, 163.80
What it said to watch
A close above 163.64 opens the path back toward the 163.80 pre-drop shelf
Failure to hold 163.45 re-exposes the 163.21 session low
US Core PCE + GDP cluster at 12:30 UTC (~6h out) could materially shift this read
Higher lows since 163.21, breaking minor consolidation.
Asia session grinding higher off the 163.21 FOMC-drop low as USD softened following the hawkish-hold. Price cleared the 163.44–163.55 consolidation, RSI(14) mid-60s, now pressing the 163.65 swing high with the 163.99/164.00 intervention zone overhead.
Support: 163.44, 163.21
Resistance: 163.65, 163.90, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.65 swing high opens path toward the 163.90 prior high
US PCE/GDP at 12:30 UTC (~6h out) could materially shift this read
Failure to hold 163.44 swing low reopens the 163.21 drop low
USD/JPY swept the 163.20 low during the post-FOMC dollar unwind, then built a chain of higher lows back to 163.60 through the Asia session. RSI(14) at ~62 with price holding above EMA20/50; 163.90 prior high is the next area to watch above.
Support: 163.44, 163.30, 163.20
Resistance: 163.90, 164.00
What it said to watch
US Core PCE + GDP at 12:30 UTC (~6h out) could materially shift this read
Loss of 163.44 swing low reopens the 163.30 support
164.00 intervention zone caps upside on any push through 163.90
05:46 UTC
Down leg, now consolidating · RSI 52 · price 163.502
Tight range after sharp sell-off.
USDJPY sold off sharply mid-window from 163.90 to a 163.21 swing low, then recovered into a tight 163.44-163.55 range. Price is hugging EMA20 but capped below EMA50, RSI(14) neutral near 52 with no momentum extreme in play.
Support: 163.44, 163.30, 163.21
Resistance: 163.55, 163.68
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.44 reopens 163.30 then 163.21 swing low
M15 close above 163.55 range top targets 163.68 swing high
US PCE/GDP cluster in ~7h could materially shift this read
05:46 UTC
Sold off, now consolidating · RSI 52 · price 163.502
Base building after NY drop.
USDJPY sold off sharply during NY hours from ~163.90 to a 163.21 sweep low, then stabilised into a tight 163.45–163.55 range through Asia. Price is now pinned around the 50% retracement of that drop (~163.55) with RSI(14) flat near 52.
Support: 163.45, 163.21
Resistance: 163.55, 163.65, 163.90
What it said to watch
Break above 163.55 range top opens the path back toward 163.65
Failure to hold 163.45 session low exposes the 163.21 swing low
US Core PCE/GDP cluster at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
05:31 UTC
Recovering off lows, now flat · RSI 48 · price 163.488
Ranging after overnight sweep and bounce.
USDJPY was hit for a sharp drop from 163.89 to a 163.21 session low during NY hours, then recovered and is now ranging 163.43–163.55 into the Asia session with RSI(14) flat near 48. Price sits at the mid of that range, capped below the broken 163.65 swing.
Support: 163.43, 163.21
Resistance: 163.55, 163.65, 163.89
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.55 range top opens the path back toward 163.65
Loss of 163.43 reopens the 163.21 session low
Tokyo CPI (23:30 UTC) and US PCE/GDP cluster (~7h) could reshape this read
05:31 UTC
Recovering off NY low, now ranging · RSI 45 · price 163.464
Asian range after NY sell-off, retracing the drop.
NY session dumped from 163.90 to a 163.21 session low, then recovered to stall at the 163.55 range top — roughly the 50% fib of the drop. Asian session now consolidating 163.46-163.55 with RSI(14) in the mid-40s and price slipping back below EMA20.
Support: 163.30, 163.21
Resistance: 163.55, 163.90
What it said to watch
US PCE/GDP cluster at 12:30 GMT (~7h) could materially shift this read
M15 close above 163.55 range top opens the path back to 163.90
Failure to hold 163.30 support band reopens the 163.21 session low
164.00 handle proximity keeps MoF intervention risk in play
05:16 UTC
Downtrend stalling, now ranging · RSI 44 · price 163.464
Consolidation below session mid after NY drop.
USDJPY sold off from the 163.90 session high to 163.23 during NY hours, then went flat in a tight 163.45–163.53 Asian range, holding below EMA50. RSI(14) neutral near 44, ATR compressed to ~10 pips as the market coils ahead of US PCE.
Support: 163.30, 163.23
Resistance: 163.55, 163.90
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.55 range top reopens 163.90 session high
Loss of 163.30 support band confirms a fresh lower-low toward 163.23 session low
US Core PCE / GDP at 12:30 GMT could break this range
05:16 UTC
Downtrend stalling into range · RSI 49 · price 163.503
Consolidation after NY-session selloff.
USD/JPY sold off from the 163.90 session high through NY hours to 163.21, then based and is now consolidating 163.46–163.55 in Asian trade. RSI(14) sits neutral near 50 and ATR is a thin ~5 pips, no directional impulse in play with the pair pinned sub-164 amid intervention risk.
Support: 163.46, 163.30, 163.21
Resistance: 163.55, 163.60, 163.90
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.55 reopens the path to 163.60
Failure to hold 163.46 exposes the 163.30 support band
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read
05:02 UTC
Range after sharp drop, drifting · RSI 53 · price 163.503
Consolidation between 163.42 and 163.55.
USD/JPY was swept down from 163.90 to 163.21 during the NY session, then stabilised. Quiet Asia hours since, ranging 163.42-163.55 with price now mid-band at 163.503 on thin volume; RSI(14) neutral near 53.
Support: 163.42, 163.30, 163.21
Resistance: 163.55, 163.79, 163.90
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.55 range top opens the path to 163.79
Break below 163.42 range low exposes 163.30 session low and 163.21 swing low
Tokyo CPI 23:30 UTC tonight could shift this read
05:01 UTC
Downtrend cooling into range · RSI 50 · price 163.503
Consolidation after NY sell-off.
NY session sold USD/JPY from the 163.90 day high down to 163.21 before a bounce back to 163.50. Asia hours have gone quiet, coiling in a tight 163.46-163.55 range with RSI(14) flat near 50 ahead of the BoJ event risk this week.
Support: 163.46, 163.30, 163.21
Resistance: 163.55, 163.90
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.55 range top opens the path back toward 163.90
Failure to hold 163.46 range floor exposes the 163.30 swing low
US PCE/GDP cluster at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
04:46 UTC
Recovered off session low, now flat · RSI 49 · price 163.486
Consolidation after NY sell-off, holding 163.44-163.55.
NY hours saw a sharp sell-off from 163.90 down to the session low at 163.21, before a recovery reclaimed the 163.44-163.55 band where price has since gone flat. RSI(14) sits neutral near 49 and price hugs EMA20 but holds below EMA50; USD is firm-but-stretched into month-end while JPY stays pinned near cycle lows.
Support: 163.43, 163.30, 163.21
Resistance: 163.55, 163.65
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.55 reopens the 163.65 swing high
Loss of 163.43 exposes 163.30 then the 163.21 session low
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC tonight could break this range
04:46 UTC
Downtrend stalling into range · RSI 45 · price 163.469
Ranging after impulsive drop, holding above swing low.
USDJPY sold off from 163.90 during NY hours to a 163.21 session low, then base-built into thin late-session/Asia trade. Now ranging 163.45-163.55 just under the range top; RSI(14) mid-40s, ATR compressed to ~6 pips as price coils ahead of Tokyo CPI.
Support: 163.30, 163.21
Resistance: 163.55, 163.65, 163.90
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.55 breaks the range top and reopens 163.65
Failure to hold 163.30 confirms a lower low toward the 163.21 session low
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC can materially shift this read
04:31 UTC
Range after sharp sell-off · RSI 47 · price 163.47
Consolidating below broken swing highs.
USDJPY dropped sharply from 163.90 to the 163.21 session low mid-window, then chopped back into a tight 163.45-163.55 band, now drifting to the lower edge at 163.47. Pair remains capped well under the 163.99 cycle high with no directional impulse in the Asia session.
Support: 163.30, 163.21
Resistance: 163.55, 163.90
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.55 reopens the path toward 163.90
Failure to hold 163.30 confirms a lower-low toward 163.21
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC and BoJ Friday could reset this range
04:16 UTC
Downtrend from 163.90, now flat · RSI 46 · price 163.47
Consolidating after NY-session drop.
USDJPY sold off from the 163.90 peak during NY hours to a session low at 163.21, then recovered into a tight consolidation. Asia session is ranging 163.43–163.55 with RSI(14) flat near 46; no setup in play.
Support: 163.43, 163.30, 163.21
Resistance: 163.55
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.55 breaks the consolidation range
Failure to hold 163.43 opens 163.30 then session low 163.21
US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT could shift this read
04:16 UTC
Range after NY drop, recovery stalling · RSI 49 · price 163.497
Half-retrace of NY sell-off, consolidating.
NY session sold USDJPY from 163.90 to a 163.23 low; buyers reclaimed roughly half the move and price is now consolidating near 163.50 through the quiet Asian hours. RSI(14) neutral around 49, ATR compressed to ~8 pips — no directional structure in play ahead of London.
Support: 163.30, 163.23
Resistance: 163.55, 163.90
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.55 opens the path back toward the 163.90 prior high
Failure to hold 163.30 exposes the 163.23 session low
US Core PCE/GDP cluster at 12:30 GMT is the key catalyst and could break this range
04:01 UTC
Sideways, base after selloff · RSI 52 · price 163.497
Ranging 163.44–163.55 post-sweep.
USDJPY swept down to 163.21 before recovering to base around 163.50, now coiling in a tight 163.44–163.55 range. Price is stalling into the 163.55 midpoint of the prior drop from 163.89, with RSI(14) neutral near 52.
Support: 163.44, 163.30, 163.21
Resistance: 163.55, 163.65, 163.89
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.55 (0.5 fib) opens the path back toward 163.65
Failure to hold 163.44 reopens 163.30 and the 163.21 session low
US Core PCE/GDP at 12:30 GMT could break this range
04:01 UTC
Downtrend, stalling into consolidation · RSI 49 · price 163.497
Sharp NY sell-off, Asia basing in tight range.
USDJPY sold off sharply during NY afternoon from 163.90 to a 163.21 session low, then the Asia session recovered into a tight 163.45–163.55 consolidation. RSI(14) sits neutral near 50 and price is pinned around the 38–50% fib of the drop, with 163.55 capping attempts higher.
Support: 163.45, 163.30, 163.21
Resistance: 163.55, 163.65
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.55 (50% fib) opens the path back to 163.65
Failure to hold 163.45 range low re-exposes 163.30 and the 163.21 session low
US Core PCE/GDP cluster at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
03:46 UTC
Downtrend cooling into consolidation · RSI 53 · price 163.497
Range-bound after sharp drop from 163.90.
USDJPY sold off from the 163.90 session high to 163.21 during the Asian session, then stabilised into a tight 163.44–163.55 band; price sits mid-range at 163.497. RSI(14) has normalised near 53 as the intraday selling pressure faded.
Support: 163.44, 163.31, 163.21
Resistance: 163.55, 163.65, 163.90
What it said to watch
Close above 163.55 range top opens the path to 163.65
Failure to hold 163.44 range floor exposes 163.31 and 163.21
Tokyo CPI 23:30 UTC and BoJ decision Friday could reshape this read; 164.00 remains the intervention trip-wire
NY session dumped USD/JPY from the 163.90 session high to 163.21 on heavy volume, then Asia based and drifted back to 163.53. Price is holding above the 163.30 near floor with RSI(14) neutral near 53 — no directional extension in play.
Support: 163.30, 163.21
Resistance: 163.90, 164.00
What it said to watch
Loss of 163.30 near floor reopens 163.21 session low
Reclaim of 163.90 session high puts the 164.00 intervention handle back in focus
BoJ decision Friday is the dominant risk for this pair
03:31 UTC
Recovering off lows after NY selloff · RSI 55 · price 163.53
Basing 163.30-163.55 following a leg down.
USDJPY sold off through the NY session from 163.90 to a 163.21 low, then based in the 163.30 area and has ground back to 163.53 in Asia. RSI(14) is mid-range near 55 and ATR is thin at ~9 pips; price is pinning just under the 163.55 cap.
Support: 163.30, 163.21
Resistance: 163.55, 163.90
What it said to watch
Close above 163.55 opens the path back toward the 163.90 session high
Failure to hold 163.30 support confirms a lower low toward 163.21
US Core PCE 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read; BoJ decision Friday is the next USD/JPY risk
USDJPY broke lower off the 163.90 session high with a sharp sell-off into 163.21, and is now consolidating in a tight 163.44-163.55 band. RSI(14) has recovered to mid-range from the sell-off low; price holding above EMA20 but capped below EMA50 near 163.55.
Support: 163.44, 163.25
Resistance: 163.55, 163.65, 163.90
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.55 opens a retest toward the 163.65 pivot
Failure to hold 163.44 reopens the 163.25 swing low
BoJ decision Fri 03:00 UTC is the next cross-asset risk for this read
03:16 UTC
Downtrend, basing after flush · RSI 51 · price 163.526
Sharp sell-off then recovery, consolidating under prior levels.
USD/JPY sold off sharply in the Asian session from 163.79 to a 163.21 low, then based and clawed back to 163.53. RSI(14) has recovered to the midline after the flush; price is holding above the 163.31 swing low but capped under the 163.55 ema50.
Support: 163.31, 163.21
Resistance: 163.55, 163.65
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 163.65 swing high negates the sell-off structure
Loss of 163.21 session low confirms lower-low continuation
US Core PCE 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
03:16 UTC
Downtrend, stabilizing · RSI 53 · price 163.497
Lower highs into a bounce off 163.20.
USD/JPY stair-stepped lower from the 163.89 prior high through late NY, with a sharp drop printing the 163.20 swing low before a bounce into quiet Tokyo hours. Now consolidating near 163.50, capped at the 163.51 bounce high and sitting below EMA50; RSI(14) has recovered to mid-range.
Support: 163.44, 163.25, 163.20
Resistance: 163.51, 163.65, 163.89
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.65 swing high negates the down leg
Failure to hold 163.44 recent base reopens the 163.25 session low
Tokyo CPI 23:30 UTC and BoJ Friday are the near-term JPY risks
Thin Asia session swept the lows to 163.21 then snapped back to the 163.50 session high before stalling around 163.47. Recovery holds above EMA20 but sits under EMA50; RSI(14) mid-range, no momentum extreme in play.
Support: 163.31, 163.21
Resistance: 163.50, 163.55
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.55 opens the path back toward prior highs
Loss of 163.31 re-exposes the 163.21 swing low
US Core PCE + Q2 GDP at 12:30 GMT could break this range
Lower low at 163.21, corrective bounce stalling below 163.50.
USDJPY sold off from the 163.90 session high through the NY session to a 163.21 low, then bounced to 163.50 into early Asia and has gone flat around 163.47. Price sits above EMA20 but under EMA50; the 163.50 bounce high is capping the recovery.
Support: 163.21
Resistance: 163.50, 163.65, 163.90
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.21 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 163.50 needed to extend the bounce toward 163.65
Tokyo CPI 23:30 UTC and BoJ Friday are the near-term catalysts for this pair
02:46 UTC
Downtrend, basing after selloff · RSI 49 · price 163.487
Lower highs into 163.3 base.
USDJPY sold off from the 163.90 session high to 163.20 during NY, then based; Asia is grinding sideways at 163.45-163.50 on thin volume with prior floor 163.50 now capping. A gap into the late session left a 75-min data hole; RSI(14) neutral near 49.
Support: 163.30, 163.20
Resistance: 163.50, 163.55, 163.90
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.55 invalidates the downtrend read
Loss of 163.30 opens 163.20 swing low
US Core PCE 12:30 GMT (beyond this window) could reset the read
Lower lows into 163.21, now consolidating under 163.50.
USD/JPY sold off through the Tokyo session, sweeping down to 163.21 around the 00:00 UTC hour before buyers pulled it back to the 163.50 session high. Price is now coiling in a thin 163.41–163.50 band in low-volume Asia trade, RSI(14) back near neutral after the dip.
Support: 163.30, 163.21
Resistance: 163.50, 163.65
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.50 opens the path back to 163.65
Failure to hold 163.30 reopens the 163.21 swing low
US Core PCE / GDP at 12:30 UTC (~10h) is the main USD catalyst
02:31 UTC
Downtrend easing, now consolidating · RSI 52 · price 163.479
Bounce off session low, thin Asia range.
USDJPY sold from 163.89 through the London-NY drop to a 163.21 session low, then recovered to 163.48 and is now consolidating on thin Asia-session volume just under 163.50. Price sits above EMA20 but below EMA50, RSI(14) back at neutral after the bounce.
Support: 163.21
Resistance: 163.50, 163.80
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.50 opens the path back toward 163.80 prior high
Loss of 163.21 session low confirms a fresh lower-low
US PCE/GDP batch at 12:30 UTC (~10h) could materially shift this read
02:17 UTC
Downtrend, basing after selloff · RSI 47 · price 163.479
Recovering off session low, thin Asian range.
USDJPY sold from 163.90 into a 163.21 session low during NY hours before a sharp reclaim to 163.51. Price now drifts near 163.48 in thin early-Asia trade, ranging between 163.30 dip support and the 163.51 bounce high; RSI(14) neutral near 47.
Support: 163.30, 163.208
Resistance: 163.513, 163.55
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.51 reopens 163.55 and the 163.90 area
Loss of 163.30 puts the 163.21 session low back in play
US Core PCE/GDP at 12:30 UTC (~10h) and Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC could reset this range
Asia range after NY sell-off, holding above session low.
USD/JPY sold off from 163.90 through the NY session to a 163.21 low, then bounced to 163.51 and is now consolidating near 163.48 on thin Asia-session volume. Range between 163.30 and 163.51, no clean setup in play.
Support: 163.30, 163.21
Resistance: 163.51, 163.90
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 163.51 opens a retest toward 163.90 prior high
Loss of 163.30 dip support exposes the 163.21 session low
US Core PCE/GDP batch at 12:30 UTC (~10h) is the main near-term driver
Lower highs into fresh session low 163.208, sharp V-recovery.
NY session dumped USDJPY from 163.90 down to a fresh session low of 163.208 during thin late/Asia hours, then a sharp V-recovery lifted price to 163.51 before it settled back to 163.443. RSI(14) recovering from oversold territory; price sits back above EMA20 but capped under EMA50 near 163.55.
Support: 163.208
Resistance: 163.513, 163.60, 163.904
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.208 confirms a lower-low and reopens downside
Reclaim of 163.513 bounce high needed to challenge 163.60
US Core PCE / GDP batch at 12:30 UTC (~10h) and BoJ decision Fri 03:00 UTC could reset this read
Asian session sits mid-163s after NY sold USDJPY sharply off the 163.90 session high down to 163.21. Price bounced back toward 163.50 on the last spike before easing to 163.44; RSI(14) recovering from the sub-40 flush. Ranging 163.21-163.50 for now.
Support: 163.30, 163.21
Resistance: 163.50, 163.60, 163.90
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.50 opens the path back to 163.60
Failure to hold 163.30 reopens the 163.21 session low
US Core PCE / GDP batch at 12:30 UTC (~10.5h) is the main near-term catalyst
USDJPY slid from the 163.90 area through the session, printing a 163.208 low in late-Asia hours before snapping back to 163.497. Price now stalls near 163.44 mid-range, holding just above EMA20 with RSI(14) recovering from oversold; the 163.51 bounce high caps the near-term.
Support: 163.208, 163.31
Resistance: 163.513, 163.904, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.513 opens the path back toward the 163.90 prior high
Loss of 163.31 swing low re-exposes the 163.208 session low
164.00 psych / intervention line remains the ceiling on any renewed push higher
USDJPY drifted lower through late NY into Asia, sweeping the session low at 163.208 before a sharp recovery candle snapped price back to 163.50; it has since eased to 163.443. Pair remains pinned well below the 163.99 cycle high and the 164.00 intervention line, with structural JPY weakness intact.
Support: 163.208
Resistance: 163.50, 163.904, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 163.208 session low confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 163.50 bounce high reopens the 163.90 swing high
Tokyo CPI 23:30 UTC and BoJ Friday are the live JPY catalysts
01:31 UTC
Downtrend, bounce fading · RSI 46 · price 163.443
Lower highs off 163.90, recent low at 163.21.
USDJPY sold off through the NY session from the 163.90 high to a 163.21 low, then bounced to 163.50 during Asia before rejection back to 163.44. Price sits between the 163.21 session low and the 163.50 recent high, ema50 capping overhead.
Support: 163.21
Resistance: 163.50, 163.90
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.50 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 163.21 confirms a fresh lower low
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC and US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
Lower highs, double bottom near 163.21 sparking a bounce.
Intraday downtrend: USD/JPY slid from 163.90 to a session low of 163.21 through NY hours, matching an earlier low near 163.23 — a double bottom that fuelled a sharp bounce to the 163.51 bounce high. Price now hovers 163.44 in thin Asia trade, back above EMA20 but capped below the descending swing highs.
Support: 163.21
Resistance: 163.51, 163.65, 163.90
What it said to watch
Close below 163.21 negates the double bottom and confirms a lower low
Reclaim of the 163.51 bounce high opens the path toward the 163.65 swing high
BoJ decision Fri and the 164.00 intervention handle remain the macro risk
01:16 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 47 · price 163.443
Lower highs into 163.21 sweep, corrective bounce.
USDJPY sold off through the Asia session, sweeping the 163.21 session low before a sharp 30-pip snapback to 163.50 and settling at 163.443. Thin-volume corrective bounce inside a broader intraday downtrend from the 163.90 session high; 163.50 bounce high now capping.
Support: 163.208
Resistance: 163.50, 163.90
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.50 negates the lower-high sequence
Loss of 163.21 session low confirms a fresh lower-low
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC and Friday BoJ are cross-JPY catalysts that could shift this read
Thin Asia-session trade swept the 163.208 low then snapped back to 163.497 in a single bar before settling near 163.44. Sequence of lower highs off the 163.90 session peak intact; price now sitting just under the 38.2% fib and EMA50.
Support: 163.208
Resistance: 163.497, 163.60, 163.90
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 163.497 opens the path to the 163.60 swing high
Loss of 163.208 confirms a fresh lower low
Tokyo CPI 23:30 UTC and Friday BoJ are near-term JPY catalysts; 164.00 handle keeps intervention watch live
Lower highs from 163.90, swept 163.21 low then recovered.
USDJPY leaked from the 163.90 day high toward 163.21 as the dollar softened after the Fed's expected hold removed the hike premium. A sharp bounce off 163.21 during early Asia recovered to 163.50 before stalling; price now hugs 163.44 with RSI(14) recovering to mid-range.
Support: 163.208
Resistance: 163.497, 163.60, 163.904
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.50 targets the 163.60 swing high
Loss of 163.21 confirms a fresh lower-low
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC tonight is a JPY catalyst that could reset this read
01:02 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 47 · price 163.443
Lower highs into 163.21 low, sharp recovery.
Asian session: USD/JPY slid through the US session to a 163.21 session low as post-FOMC dollar longs unwound, then snapped back to 163.49 — rejection at the lows. Price now stalling near 163.44 just under the 163.51 bounce high; RSI(14) neutral around 47.
Support: 163.208
Resistance: 163.51, 163.60
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 163.60 shelf reopens the path toward 163.90
Loss of the 163.21 session low confirms a lower low
US Core PCE/GDP (12:30 GMT) and Tokyo CPI later tonight could materially shift this read
00:47 UTC
Choppy, recovering off lows · RSI 48 · price 163.443
Range with swept lows.
Late-NY selloff dragged price off the 163.9 shelf; Asia then swept the session low at 163.208 around Tokyo CPI before a sharp snap-back to 163.50. USD trades marginally softer after the Fed's in-line hold, and price is now hovering at EMA20 in the mid-range.
Support: 163.208
Resistance: 163.50, 163.55
What it said to watch
M15 close above 163.50 reopens the 163.55 shelf
Break below 163.208 confirms a fresh lower low
BoJ decision Friday and ~164 intervention line frame the upside risk
USD/JPY sold off through the Asia session to a 163.208 low before a sharp spike back to 163.497, retracing the prior down leg. RSI(14) is recovering from oversold and price has reclaimed EMA20 but sits below EMA50; the 164.00 intervention handle continues to cap the upside.
Support: 163.30, 163.208
Resistance: 163.50, 164.00
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 163.30 reopens the 163.208 session low
Rejection at the 163.50 spike high keeps the descending structure intact
US PCE/GDP cluster at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
USD/JPY has bled from the 163.89 session high down to a fresh 163.208 low through thin Asian hours, extending lower after the NY-session flush, with the yen catching a modest bid around Tokyo CPI. Price sits below EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) near 37 — momentum firmly with sellers but not yet oversold.
Support: 163.208
Resistance: 163.45, 163.894
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.208 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 163.45 needed to negate the descending resistance
Core PCE/GDP Thu 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Downtrend intact on M15; a sharp break lower from 163.89 earlier flushed the range and price is now grinding to a fresh session low at 163.208, trading 163.265 into thin Asian-session volume. RSI(14) near 36 without an oversold flag, EMA20/50 both overhead capping bounces.
Support: 163.208, 163.00
Resistance: 163.385
What it said to watch
Break of 163.208 opens the path to the 163.00 round number
Reclaim of 163.385 needed to break the lower-high chain
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read
A sharp NY-session drop from 163.79 to 163.23 set the tone; the thin Asian session has drifted lower into a fresh low at 163.276, holding just above the 163.230 session low. RSI(14) soft near 36, price below EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 163.23, 163.276
Resistance: 163.45
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 163.450 swing high would ease the downside pressure
Loss of 163.230 session low confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
USDJPY rejected the 163.90 session high in NY hours and sold off sharply to 163.23, then drifted lower into thin Asia trade to print 163.28. RSI(14) near 38 with price pinned under EMA20/50; a chain of lower highs keeps the intraday bias tilted down.
Support: 163.23
Resistance: 163.55, 163.90
What it said to watch
M15 close below 163.23 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 163.55 negates the lower-high sequence
Tokyo CPI 23:30 UTC and Friday BoJ are near-term JPY catalysts
00:01 UTC
Downtrend, thin Asian drift · RSI 41 · price 163.378
Lower highs after sharp NY drop, coiling near lows.
USDJPY sold off sharply into the NY session, dropping from 163.90 to a 163.23 session low, and has since drifted lower on thin Asian-session volume with price at 163.38 below EMA20/50. RSI(14) sits mid-40s, no oversold signal; the 163.55 bounce high caps while 163.30–163.23 holds beneath.
Support: 163.30, 163.23
Resistance: 163.55, 164.00
What it said to watch
Loss of 163.23 session low confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 163.55 bounce high negates the intraday drift lower
Tokyo CPI (23:30 UTC) is a cross-JPY catalyst that could reset this read
Proximity to 164.00 psych keeps intervention-spike risk live on any recovery