XAG/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Wednesday, 7 October 2026

Every read JAFX AI made on the XAG/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.

23:48 UTC

Post-flush consolidation inside a broader decline · RSI 56 · price 59.828

59.60–60.22 range since the $60 break, lower highs from 60.222.

The London-NY transition flush through $60 to the 58.978 flush low came on yield-driven USD strength, and the rebound has since been capped near the 60.00 round number, with lower highs from the 60.222 swing high. Hawkish FOMC Minutes left that cap intact, and early Asia session is grinding between a 59.706 session low and 59.900 session high, near the 61.8% retrace of the flush.

Support: 59.706, 59.597, 58.978

Resistance: 59.90, 60.00, 60.222

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above the 60.00 round number and the lower-highs line invalidates the capped-range read and puts the 60.222 swing high in play
  • Break of the 59.706 session low and then the 59.597 swing low reopens 59.35 and the 58.978 flush low
  • Fed's Waller at 08:30 UTC and Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC (f/c 200K) could break the range either way

23:33 UTC

Sideways below 60.00, lower highs since NY · RSI 56 · price 59.809

Tight Asian range inside 59.60–60.22 post-flush band.

Early Asia session is coiling in a 59.706–59.861 range after the hawkish FOMC Minutes dropped price to a 59.597 minutes low, following a fade from the 60.222 NY high. Price sits on the 61.8% retrace of the earlier 60.28–58.98 flush, near 59.78. A lower-highs trendline from 60.222 is pressing from above, with RSI(14) neutral near 56.

Support: 59.706, 59.597, 59.345

Resistance: 59.861, 60.00, 60.222

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above the 59.861 asia high breaks the lower-highs trendline and puts the 60.00 round number and 60.222 ny high back in play
  • Loss of the 59.706 asia low exposes the 59.597 minutes low, then the 59.345 swing low
  • Fed's Waller at 08:30 UTC and Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

23:17 UTC

Post-drop consolidation below $60, mild Asia bounce · RSI 55 · price 59.858

Lower highs from 60.222 swing high, Asia pressing session high near fib 38.2%.

Silver has held a 59.60–60.22 box since the flush to the 58.978 day low. The hawkish FOMC Minutes kept the $60 psych level capping, and the 60.222 swing high marks the last lower high. Early Asia is lifting off the 59.706 Asian low into the fib 38.2% at 59.836, with RSI(14) neutral near 55.

Support: 59.706, 59.597, 58.978

Resistance: 59.91, 60.222

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above the fib 50% at 59.910 and $60 psych opens a retest of the 60.222 swing high
  • Failure back below the 59.706 Asian low returns focus to the 59.597 swing low
  • A break of the 59.597 swing low exposes the 58.978 day low
  • Fed's Waller (08:30 UTC) and Jobless Claims (12:30 UTC, f/c 200K) could materially shift this read

23:05 UTC

Post-flush recovery stalling, lower highs · RSI 49 · price 59.793

Tight Asian range under a lower-highs line after rejection at 60.222.

The early-NY flush through 60.00 to the 58.978 flush low was retraced. That rebound was rejected at the 60.222 swing high, then faded to the 59.597 swing low, 50% of the rebound, as yields and the USD held firm around the hawkish FOMC Minutes. Asia session is holding a tight Asian range of 59.706–59.844 beneath a lower-highs line, with RSI(14) neutral near 49.

Support: 59.706, 59.597, 58.978

Resistance: 59.844, 60.00, 60.222

What it said to watch

  • Break of the 59.844 Asian high and the lower-highs line puts the 60.00 psych level back in view
  • Loss of the 59.706 Asian low and then the 59.597 swing low exposes the 58.978 flush low
  • M15 close above the 60.222 swing high invalidates the lower-highs read
  • Fed's Waller (08:30 UTC) and Initial Jobless Claims (12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read

22:47 UTC

Downtrend, rebound faded · RSI 42 · price 59.732

Lower high at 60.222 after spike low, tight drift below 60.00.

Silver broke below 60.00 on the hawkish FOMC Minutes, spiking to 58.978 before the rebound stalled at a 60.222 lower high. Early Asia session is holding a tight 59.71–59.84 band under the 59.842 bounce high, with the 59.597 swing low sitting on the 50% rebound fib retracement.

Support: 59.597, 59.345, 58.978

Resistance: 59.842, 60.00, 60.222

What it said to watch

  • A break of the 59.597 swing low exposes the 59.345 pullback low and then the 58.978 spike low
  • A close back above the 60.00 round number and the 60.222 lower high negates the lower-highs sequence
  • Fed's Waller (08:30 UTC) and Initial Jobless Claims (12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read

22:33 UTC

Downtrend, consolidating after flush · RSI 43 · price 59.755

Lower highs from 60.22 compressing into a 59.60–59.84 band.

Silver flushed through $60 to the 58.98 flush low as hawkish FOMC Minutes and firm yields hit metals, then rebounded into a range capped by the 60.22 swing high. Lower highs since then, under a descending lower-highs line, have squeezed price between the 59.60 swing low and the 59.84 lower high as the new Asia session opens.

Support: 59.60, 59.345, 58.978

Resistance: 59.842, 60.00, 60.222

What it said to watch

  • Close below the 59.60 swing low exposes the 59.35 pullback low and then the 58.98 flush low
  • Close above the 59.84 lower high breaks the lower-highs line and brings the 60.00 round number and 60.22 swing high back into view
  • Fed's Waller (08:30 UTC) and Initial Jobless Claims (12:30 UTC, f/c 200K) could materially shift this read

22:17 UTC

Downtrend, consolidating below 60 · RSI 46 · price 59.775

Lower highs after rebound stalled at the 50% retrace; tight 59.60–59.85 coil.

Silver bled from the 61.47 Asia high through London, then flushed to the 58.98 flush low near 12:15 UTC. The rebound hit rejection at 60.22, the rebound high and 50% fib of the move. After the hawkish FOMC Minutes, the minutes high at 60.02 began a run of lower highs, and price is now coiled between the 59.60 swing low and the 59.85 range top into early Asia, RSI(14) ~46.

Support: 59.597, 58.978

Resistance: 59.844, 60.016, 60.222

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above the 59.85 range top and the lower highs line opens the 60.02 minutes high, then the 60.22 rebound high
  • Failure to hold the 59.60 swing low exposes the 58.98 flush low and the $59 trigger flagged in the news
  • Fed's Waller (08:30 UTC) and Initial Jobless Claims (12:30 UTC, f/c 200K) could materially shift this read

22:05 UTC

Downtrend, post-flush consolidation · RSI 49 · price 59.821

Lower highs since 60.222 inside a 59.60–60.22 box.

Silver broke $60 on the NY open with a flush to the 58.978 day low, then retraced most of the drop; hawkish FOMC Minutes kept rebounds capped below the 60.222 swing high, and highs have stepped lower since. The new Asia session opens at 59.82, near the 61.8% fib of the flush, with the late NY low at 59.597 holding.

Support: 59.597, 59.345, 58.978

Resistance: 60.00, 60.222

What it said to watch

  • Loss of the 59.597 late NY low extends the lower-high sequence and exposes the 59.345 swing low, then the 58.978 day low
  • An M15 close above the 60.00 round number breaks the lower-highs trendline; the 60.222 swing high is next above
  • Fed's Waller (08:30 UTC) and Initial Jobless Claims (12:30 UTC, f/c 200K) could materially shift this read

21:48 UTC

Downtrend, post-spike consolidation with lower highs · RSI 43 · price 59.778

Rebound from 58.98 capped at 60.22; lower highs at 60.02 and 59.84 over a 59.60 double low.

Silver lost 60.00 in a 12:15 UTC spike to 58.98 during the London-NY transition. The rebound topped at the 60.22 swing high, and after the hawkish FOMC Minutes NY printed lower highs at the 60.00 psych and 59.84. Price is now flat on EMA20 just above the 59.60 double low, the 50% fib of the rebound, with RSI(14) near 43 into the daily break.

Support: 59.60, 59.35, 58.98

Resistance: 59.84, 60.00, 60.22

What it said to watch

  • A break of the 59.60 double low exposes the 59.35 swing low and the 58.98 spike low
  • A close above the 59.84 lower high and the 60.00 psych breaks the lower-highs sequence; 60.22 swing high is the next cap
  • Fed's Waller at 08:30 UTC and Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC Thursday could materially shift this read; the Asia session after the break may be thin

21:33 UTC

Downtrend, consolidating above spike low · RSI 44 · price 59.778

Post-flush range 59.35–60.22 with lower highs since 60.222.

Silver extended the Asia-London slide through $60 to a 58.978 spike low in early NY as yields and the USD firmed. The rebound stalled at a 60.222 swing high, and the hawkish FOMC Minutes left a rejection just above the 60.00 round number. Late-NY trade is drifting between the 59.597 NY low and a 59.842 lower high, sitting on EMA20 and the 61.8% of the flush fib, with RSI(14) near 44.

Support: 59.597, 59.345, 58.978

Resistance: 59.842, 60.00, 60.222

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above the lower highs line and the 60.00 round number reopens the 60.222 swing high
  • Failure to hold the 59.597 NY low exposes the 59.345 swing low, then the 58.978 spike low
  • Fed's Waller (08:30 UTC) and Initial Jobless Claims (12:30 UTC, f/c 200K) could materially shift this read

21:18 UTC

Downtrend, consolidating after early-NY flush · RSI 43 · price 59.778

Pennant: lower highs from 60.222, higher lows from 59.345.

Silver bled from 61.47 through Asia and London, then an early-NY flush broke $59 to the 58.978 flush low before an immediate reclaim, a false break. Since then price has coiled into a pennant, with lower highs from the 60.222 NY high and the 60.06 handle capping the post-FOMC Minutes bounce, and higher lows off the 59.345 retest low. RSI(14) is near 43 and price is pinned at EMA20 into the NY close.

Support: 59.597, 59.345, 58.978

Resistance: 59.842, 60.06, 60.222

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below the 59.597 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and puts the 59.345 retest low back in play
  • Loss of the 58.978 flush low would turn the earlier false break into a sustained break of $59
  • Close above the 59.842 lower high, then the 60.06 handle, invalidates the pennant's lower-high sequence toward the 60.222 NY high
  • Fed's Waller at 08:30 UTC and Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC (f/c 200K) could materially shift this read

21:08 UTC

Downtrend, rebound stalling below 60 · RSI 45 · price 59.778

Lower highs since 60.22 rebound high, lows holding 59.60.

Silver rebounded from the 58.98 flush low hit in the London-NY transition. The move faded from the 60.22 rebound high into lower highs after the hawkish FOMC Minutes, with the 60.00 round number capping the post-release push. Into the late NY session the 59.60 swing low, the 50% retrace of the rebound, is holding and price sits on EMA20 with RSI(14) near 45.

Support: 59.60, 59.345, 58.978

Resistance: 59.842, 60.016, 60.222

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below the 59.60 swing low exposes the 59.35 pullback low near the 61.8% retrace of the rebound
  • Break of the lower-high line through 59.84 plus a 60.00 round number reclaim neutralises the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of the 58.98 flush low puts price under the $59 trigger flagged in the news
  • Waller 08:30 UTC and Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

20:47 UTC

Downtrend, compressing after NY flush · RSI 42 · price 59.748

Lower highs from 60.22 vs higher lows from 59.35, coiling near 59.75.

Silver bled from the 61.47 Asian high through London, then flushed through $60 to the 58.98 flush low in the first hour of NY. It recovered to the 60.22 NY high, but hawkish FOMC Minutes kept it capped. Late NY now has lower highs from 60.22 and higher lows from 59.35 compressing price at 59.75, the 38.2% of the recovery fib, with the 59.60 swing low near the 50% level.

Support: 59.597, 59.345, 58.978

Resistance: 59.838, 60.00, 60.222

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below the 59.60 swing low breaks the higher lows trendline and exposes the 59.345 higher low and the 58.98 flush low near the $59 trigger
  • M15 close above the 59.84 lower high and the 60.00 round number breaks the lower highs line and reopens the 60.22 NY high
  • Fed's Waller at 08:30 UTC and Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC (f/c 200K) could materially shift this read

20:34 UTC

Downtrend, consolidating after flush · RSI 50 · price 59.825

Lower highs below 60.222, holding 59.60–60.02 band.

The 12:15 UTC flush to the 58.978 day low, on the yield- and oil-driven USD bid, was retraced to the 60.222 swing high during NY hours. Supply has capped every attempt at psych 60 since, and the FOMC Minutes left only lower highs. Price sits at 59.82, at the 61.8% of the drop, with demand stepping in at the 59.597 minutes low (the 50% level).

Support: 59.597, 59.345, 58.978

Resistance: 60.222

What it said to watch

  • A close below the 59.597 minutes low reopens the 59.345 swing low and the 58.978 day low
  • Reclaiming psych 60 and closing above the 60.222 swing high would break the lower-high sequence
  • Waller (08:30 UTC) and Jobless Claims (12:30 UTC) on Thursday could materially shift this read

20:17 UTC

Downtrend, post-flush rebound fading · RSI 44 · price 59.708

Lower highs since 60.222 NY high, testing 50% fib of rebound.

Silver slid from the 61.47 Asian high through $60 during London on firm USD and high yields, then flushed to a 58.978 session low around 12:15 UTC before rebounding to the 60.222 NY high. The post-Minutes pop stalled at the 60.016 minutes high, and lower highs have since pulled price back to the 50% fib near 59.60 late in the NY session, with RSI(14) at 44 and price below both EMAs.

Support: 59.597, 59.345, 58.978

Resistance: 60.016, 60.222

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 59.597 (50% fib) exposes the 59.345 swing low and the 58.978 session low
  • Reclaim of the 60.016 minutes high and $60 breaks the lower-high sequence and reopens the 60.222 ny high
  • Fed's Waller (Thu 08:30 UTC) and Jobless Claims (12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read via yields

20:04 UTC

Downtrend, bounce fading into lower highs · RSI 43 · price 59.683

Lower highs since 17:00 UTC, pressing 50% retrace.

Silver lost the $60 handle in the 12:15 UTC flush to 58.978 as yields pressed 24-year highs. The NY rebound was rejected at the 60.222 swing high and again at the post-FOMC Minutes high of 60.016. Late-NY lower highs under the falling trendline now lean on the 59.597 recent low, which sits at the 50% fib of the 58.978–60.222 bounce.

Support: 59.597, 59.345, 58.978

Resistance: 59.836, 60.016, 60.222

What it said to watch

  • A close above the 59.836 lower high breaks the falling trendline and the late-NY lower-high sequence
  • Failure to hold the 59.597 recent low and 50% fib exposes the 59.345 swing low, then the 58.978 flush low
  • A reclaim of the 60.016 minutes high puts price back above $60; the 60.222 swing high is the cap of the bounce
  • Waller (Thu 08:30 UTC) and Jobless Claims (Thu 12:30 UTC, f/c 200K) could shift the yield read driving silver

19:48 UTC

Downtrend, post-flush rebound fading · RSI 34 · price 59.613

Lower highs below 60.222 NY high, price testing the 59.605 swing low.

Silver bled from 61.40 through Asia and London, then flushed to a 58.978 flush low in early NY hours as the yields-and-oil USD bid extended. The rebound stalled at the 60.222 NY high, and FOMC Minutes at 18:00Z capped it again at the 60.016 minutes high. Late NY now shows a lower-high sequence under the descending trendline, with price pressing the 59.605 swing low at the 50% fib of the rebound. RSI(14) is near 34 and price sits below EMA20 and EMA50.

Support: 59.605, 59.345, 58.978

Resistance: 59.881, 60.016, 60.222

What it said to watch

  • Close below the 59.605 swing low and 50% fib exposes the 59.345 pullback low, then the 58.978 flush low
  • Close above the 59.881 lower high and the descending trendline breaks the post-minutes lower-high sequence; the 60.016 minutes high and 60.222 NY high are next
  • Fed's Waller (Thu 08:30Z) and Jobless Claims (Thu 12:30Z) could materially shift this read; the 10y yield vs 5.35% remains the driver

19:32 UTC

Downtrend, post-drop rebound fading · RSI 43 · price 59.691

Lower high at 60.222, swing low 59.605 marked.

Late in the NY session, silver is slipping after the FOMC Minutes pop to 60.016 was rejected under the 60.00 psych level, the second lower high after the 60.222 rebound high. The 59.605 swing low has broken the higher-low chain off the 58.978 day low, with price between the 38.2% and 50% rebound fib levels as 10y yields near 5.31% and a firm USD keep silver heavy.

Support: 59.605, 59.453, 58.978

Resistance: 60.00, 60.222

What it said to watch

  • Break of the 59.605 swing low exposes the fib 61.8 at 59.45, then the 58.978 day low
  • M15 close back above the 60.00 psych level and the 60.222 rebound high breaks the lower-high sequence
  • Fed's Waller (Thu 08:30Z) and Initial Jobless Claims (Thu 12:30Z) could materially shift this read

19:18 UTC

Intraday downtrend, lower highs after recovery · RSI 43 · price 59.67

Lower highs from 60.22 swing high, testing 59.60 swing low.

Silver flushed from the 60.28 flush high to the 58.98 session low at 12:15Z, then recovered to a 60.22 swing high. The 18:00Z FOMC Minutes drew only a brief pop to the 60.00 psych level before the lower-highs sequence resumed. Late in the NY session price sits at 59.67, testing the 59.60 swing low near the 50% retrace of the flush, with RSI(14) near 43 and price below both EMAs as firm yields keep pressure on.

Support: 59.605, 59.345, 58.978

Resistance: 60.00, 60.222, 60.28

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below the 59.60 swing low exposes the 59.35 13:30z low, then the 58.98 session low
  • Close back above 60.00 psych and the lower-highs trendline invalidates the post-Minutes fade, with the 60.22 swing high next
  • 60.28 flush high marks the top of the breakdown; only a move through it negates the intraday downtrend
  • Fed's Waller (Thu 08:30Z) and Jobless Claims (Thu 12:30Z) could materially shift this read via yields

19:05 UTC

Intraday downtrend, rebound stalling below $60 · RSI 45 · price 59.824

Post-flush consolidation, lower highs since 17:00Z.

Silver flushed to 58.978 at 12:15Z as yields and the USD firmed. It then retraced most of the drop into a 60.222 NY high before rejection pushed it back under the $60 psych level. FOMC Minutes drew a muted response, and price is coiling between the 59.73 minutes low and 60.00 on a run of lower highs, near the 61.8% flush retrace.

Support: 59.73, 59.345, 58.978

Resistance: 60.00, 60.222, 60.28

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above the 60.222 NY high breaks the lower-highs sequence and exposes the 60.28 pre-drop high
  • Loss of the 59.73 minutes low (61.8% flush retrace) opens the 59.345 pullback low, then the 58.978 flush low
  • Fed's Waller Thu 08:30Z and Initial Jobless Claims 12:30Z could materially shift this read

18:48 UTC

Downtrend, consolidating after 12:15 UTC flush · RSI 51 · price 59.797

Lower highs compressing into a 59.73–60.05 band below the 60.22 NY high.

Silver lost the 60.44 Asian low during London and flushed to a 58.98 spike low just before NY open as yields and the USD firmed. The recovery stalled with a rejection at the 60.22 NY high, and since the FOMC Minutes price has printed lower highs under the 60.05 range cap while holding the 59.73 swing low, near the 61.8% retrace of the flush.

Support: 59.73, 59.345, 58.978

Resistance: 60.05, 60.222, 60.437

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below the 59.73 swing low exposes the 59.35 pullback low, then the 58.98 spike low
  • Close above the 60.05 range cap and the lower highs line reopens the 60.22 NY high, with the 60.44 Asian low above
  • FOMC Minutes digestion into the close, then Waller Thu 08:30Z and jobless claims 12:30Z, could materially shift this read

18:33 UTC

Downtrend, basing after a flush · RSI 51 · price 59.825

Higher lows off 58.978, capped below 60.00–60.22.

Silver extended its Asia-London slide from 61.47 and flushed from the 60.28 drop origin to a 58.978 session low into the NY open, briefly taking out the 59.70 prior low against a firm USD and 5.3% yields. NY has since built higher lows from the 59.345 swing low. Supply keeps capping psych 60.00 and the 60.222 swing high, and price is pressing the higher-low line near 59.77, just above the 61.8% retrace of the drop, with RSI(14) neutral near 51.

Support: 59.77, 59.345, 58.978

Resistance: 60.00, 60.222, 60.28

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below the 59.77 higher low breaks the higher-low line and reopens the 59.345 swing low
  • Close above the 60.222 swing high clears psych 60.00 and exposes the 60.28 drop origin
  • Loss of the 58.978 session low resumes the downtrend leg
  • FOMC Minutes (18:00 UTC slot) could materially shift this read

18:18 UTC

Downtrend paused, sideways after flush · RSI 51 · price 59.858

Post-flush range 59.35–60.22, lower highs pressing flat 59.77 lows.

Silver slid through the Asia and London sessions, then flushed to the 58.978 flush low just before the NY open, briefly undercutting the 59.70 two-month low before reclaiming it. Since then price has rotated inside a range, with lower highs off the 60.222 rebound high against swing lows at 59.77, the 61.8% level of the flush fib. The FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC have drawn a muted reaction so far, leaving price pinned near 59.86 late in the NY session with RSI(14) neutral at ~51.

Support: 59.77, 59.345, 58.978

Resistance: 60.05, 60.222, 60.28

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below the 59.77 swing lows exposes the 59.345 higher low; losing the 58.978 flush low would mark a fresh lower-low
  • Close above the 60.05 range cap and the 60.222 rebound high reopens the 60.28 pre-flush high
  • Delayed repricing of the FOMC Minutes, with US 10y yields near 5.35%, could break the range; Fed's Waller speaks Thu 08:30 UTC

18:05 UTC

Downtrend, stalled into a range · RSI 51 · price 59.828

Range 59.56–60.22 after the 58.98 flush, highs stepping lower.

Silver's slide from the 61.47 Asian high ended in a 12:15 UTC flush through the 60.00 psych level and the $59.70 Friday low to the 58.978 flush low, as yields and a firm USD weighed. Price then rebounded and has ranged through NY hours, with the 60.222 spike high rejected, the 59.765 swing low holding and price parked near the 61.8% level of the flush fib, just under EMA20 with RSI(14) flat near 51.

Support: 59.765, 59.558, 58.978

Resistance: 60.00, 60.222, 60.28

What it said to watch

  • FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC fall on the current bar and could materially shift this read; a hawkish outcome puts the 58.978 flush low back in focus
  • M15 close below the 59.765 swing low and the 59.558 range low ends the post-flush range
  • Close back above the 60.00 psych level and the 60.222 spike high puts the 60.28 pre-flush top in view

17:48 UTC

Downtrend, post-flush recovery stalling below 60.05 · RSI 48 · price 59.841

Higher lows off 58.978 flush, capped at 60.05–60.22.

Steady selling through Asia and London took silver to the 60.00 handle. A flush to the 58.978 low followed just before the NY open, and the recovery from there has been capped three times near 60.05 and rejected at the 60.222 NY high. Price at 59.84 is pressing the rising trendline off the 59.345 swing low with RSI(14) near 48, as firm yields and USD weigh into the FOMC Minutes.

Support: 59.76, 59.345, 58.978

Resistance: 60.05, 60.222, 60.28

What it said to watch

  • FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC (~15 min) could materially shift this read; a hawkish read would put the 58.978 flush low back in focus
  • Loss of the rising trendline and the 59.76 higher low (near the recovery fib 38.2% at 59.75) exposes the 59.345 swing low
  • M15 close above the 60.05 triple cap and the 60.222 NY high reopens the 60.28 drop origin

17:33 UTC

Rebound after flush, capped below 60.22 · RSI 51 · price 59.927

Higher-low chain off 58.98 low, rejection at session high.

Asia-London selling from 61.85 ended in an early-NY flush to the 58.98 flush low. The drop briefly broke the $59.70 two-month low, then recovered on a higher-low chain back to the 60.00 psych as yields and a firm USD stayed in charge. The latest swing printed a rejection at the 60.22 session high, leaving price just above EMA20 with RSI(14) neutral near 51.

Support: 59.765, 59.558, 58.978

Resistance: 60.00, 60.222, 60.28

What it said to watch

  • FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC (~30 min) could materially shift this read via yields and USD
  • M15 close above the 60.22 session high reopens the 60.28 pre-drop high
  • Loss of the 59.77 higher low (~38.2% of the recovery fib) and rising support breaks the chain and exposes the 59.56 swing low
  • Failure at 59.56 reopens the 58.98 flush low

17:18 UTC

Downtrend day, intraday recovery off flush low · RSI 59 · price 60.086

Higher-low chain since 58.978, price back at 60.00 psych.

Silver broke below the Asian range through London and flushed to a 58.978 flush low in the 12:15 UTC hour as the USD bid on 5.3% yields. Since then a higher-low chain has carried price back to the 60.00 psych / 78.6% fib, just under the 60.222 swing high and the 60.28 pre-drop high. The EMA50 near 60.12 is capping the bounce after London close.

Support: 60.00, 59.765, 58.978

Resistance: 60.222, 60.28

What it said to watch

  • FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
  • M15 close above the 60.28 pre-drop high fully retraces the flush and reclaims the pre-drop base
  • Failure to hold the 60.00 psych and the 59.765 higher low breaks the recovery trendline
  • A retest of the 58.978 flush low reopens the London downtrend

17:06 UTC

Downtrend, NY rebound stalling · RSI 46 · price 59.802

Higher lows capped by 60.06, compressing below 60.00.

Silver extended the Asia-London slide from 61.47 with a 12:15 UTC flush to the 58.98 crash low as yields and the USD firmed. The NY rebound has printed higher lows at 59.35, 59.56 and 59.76 along a rising lows line, but was rejected twice at the 60.06 rebound high just over the 60.00 psych handle. RSI(14) is near 46, and price is sitting on the 23.6% level of the rebound fib.

Support: 59.76, 59.56, 58.98

Resistance: 60.00, 60.06, 60.28

What it said to watch

  • FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC (~1h) could materially shift this read
  • M15 close above the 60.06 rebound high reclaims 60.00 psych and opens the 60.28 pre-drop hi
  • Loss of the 59.76 swing low breaks the rising lows line, with the 38.2% rebound fib at 59.65 and the 59.56 higher low next
  • Failure to hold 59.56 exposes the 58.98 crash low

16:48 UTC

Downtrend, NY rebound stalling at the $60 handle · RSI 50 · price 59.86

Post-flush rebound, higher lows under 60.06 double cap.

Silver slid through the Asia and London sessions from 61.47. A London-NY transition flush from the 60.28 drop origin broke $60 and set a 58.98 session low, as firm yields and USD weighed. The NY rebound has built higher lows from the 59.35 swing low to the 59.56 higher low but stalled twice at the 60.06 double cap, near the 78.6% retrace of the drop, with price flat on EMA20 and RSI(14) neutral at 50.

Support: 59.56, 59.35, 58.98

Resistance: 60.06, 60.28

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above the 60.06 double cap and the 78.6% drop retrace opens the path to the 60.28 drop origin
  • Loss of the higher lows trendline and the 59.56 higher low exposes the 59.35 swing low, then the 58.98 session low
  • FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC (~75 min out) could materially shift this read; ATR near 230 pips points to wide bars

16:32 UTC

Downtrend, intraday rebound in progress · RSI 55 · price 60.029

Higher lows since the 58.98 flush low, pressing the 60.06 session high.

Silver extended the Asia and London slide with a flush to 58.98 in early NY hours, sweeping below the 59.70 Friday low as yields and a firm USD pressed. Price has since built higher lows along a rising trendline back to the 60.00 psych handle. It is now capped at the 60.06 session high, near the 78.6% flush retrace, with the ema50 at 60.17 just overhead.

Support: 60.00, 59.76, 59.56

Resistance: 60.06, 60.17, 60.28

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above the 60.06 session high and the 60.17 ema50 opens the 60.28 pre-drop high
  • Loss of the 59.76 swing low and the 59.56 higher low breaks the rising trendline and the rebound structure
  • FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC (~1.5h) could materially shift this read

16:18 UTC

Downtrend, NY rebound stalling at 60.00 · RSI 56 · price 59.925

Higher lows since the 58.98 flush, capped below 60.06.

Silver bled from 61.85 through Asia and London, then flushed to the 58.98 flush low at 12:15 UTC as yields and the USD firmed. The NY rebound has printed higher lows at the 59.35 swing low and 59.56, but it is stalling at 60.00 psych and the 60.06 session high, which sits at the 78.6% flush retrace.

Support: 59.558, 59.345, 58.978

Resistance: 60.059, 60.28

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above the 60.06 session high reclaims 60.00 and opens the 60.28 breakdown pt
  • Loss of the 59.56 higher low breaks the higher-lows line, putting the 59.35 swing low and the 58.98 flush low back in focus
  • FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC, under 2h away, could materially shift this read

16:04 UTC

Downtrend, rebounding off flush low · RSI 50 · price 59.892

Higher lows off 58.98, capped at 60.06.

Silver extended its Asia-London slide with a flush to the 58.98 flush low at the London-NY transition as firm yields and USD weighed, briefly breaking the $59.70 two-month low before reclaiming it. The rebound has printed higher lows into 59.56 along the rebound trendline but met rejection at the 60.06 rebound high, just above $60 psych and near the 78.6% level of the flush fib, with RSI(14) neutral near 50.

Support: 59.558, 59.345, 58.978

Resistance: 60.059, 60.28

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above the 60.06 rebound high and $60 psych exposes the 60.28 breakdown shelf
  • Loss of the 59.56 higher low and the rebound trendline returns focus to the 59.35 swing low and 58.98 flush low
  • FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC (~2h) could materially shift this read

15:48 UTC

Downtrend, rebounding off NY flush low · RSI 52 · price 59.978

V-recovery from 58.978 spike low, higher lows into 60.00 psych.

Silver flushed from 60.28 to 58.978 around the NY open, sweeping the 59.70 2-month low on firm USD and yields, then printed a higher-low chain at 59.345 and 59.558. Price has retraced about 77% of the flush and is pressing 60.00 psych just under the 60.059 bounce high. The 60.28 breakdown level sits above.

Support: 59.70, 59.558, 58.978

Resistance: 60.059, 60.28

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above the 60.059 bounce high exposes the 60.28 breakdown level
  • Loss of the 59.558 higher low breaks the rebound structure; a slip back under the 59.70 2-month low reopens the 58.978 spike low
  • FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC (~2h) could materially shift this read

15:33 UTC

Downtrend, post-flush consolidation · RSI 44 · price 59.763

Lower highs from the Asian range, NY basing between 59.35 and 59.92.

Silver broke below the Asian range during London, then dropped from the 60.28 breakdown point to a 58.978 flush low at 12:15 UTC as USD firmed with 10y yields near 5.35%. NY session has since held between the 59.345 swing low and the 59.92 rebound high. That high was rejected twice just under the descending trendline, and price sits near the 61.8% level of the flush fib.

Support: 59.558, 59.345, 58.978

Resistance: 59.92, 60.00, 60.28

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above the 59.92 rebound high and descending trendline opens the 60.00 psych level, then the 60.28 breakdown
  • Loss of the 59.56 higher low brings the 59.345 swing low back into play, with the 58.978 flush low below
  • FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC (~2.5h) could materially shift this read

15:18 UTC

Downtrend, rebounding off flush low · RSI 44 · price 59.808

Higher lows under a flat 59.91 cap, below 60.00 psych.

Silver extended its Asia and London slide on firm yields and USD, flushing from the 60.28 drop origin to the 58.978 flush low at 12:15–12:30 UTC. The rebound has retraced to the 61.8% fib of the flush near 59.78. During NY hours it has printed higher lows at the 59.345 swing low and the 59.614 higher low along a rising tl, capped at the 59.91 ny high, with price pinned at EMA20 and still below the 60.00 psych.

Support: 59.614, 59.345, 58.978

Resistance: 59.919, 60.00, 60.28

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above the 59.91 ny high and 60.00 psych (78.6% fib) opens the 60.28 drop origin
  • Break of the rising tl and the 59.614 higher low exposes the 59.345 swing low, then the 58.978 flush low
  • FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read via yields and the USD

15:05 UTC

Downtrend, NY rebound stalling · RSI 44 · price 59.767

Lower highs from 61.85; post-flush bounce consolidating below 59.92.

Silver slid from the 61.85 high through Asia and London. In the first hour of NY a flush from the 60.28 flush top swept the 59.70 two-month low to 58.98, and buyers stepped in from that flush low. The rebound has capped twice at the 59.92 rebound high and sits at the 61.8% retrace of the flush, with firm USD and yields weighing into the FOMC Minutes.

Support: 59.70, 59.345, 58.978

Resistance: 59.919, 60.00, 60.28

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above the 59.92 rebound high and the 60.00 psych opens the 60.28 flush top
  • Failure back below the 59.70 two-month low exposes the 59.35 higher low, then the 58.98 flush low
  • FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC (~3h) could materially shift this read
  • ATR near 290 pips after the flush; ranges are running roughly double the London pace

14:48 UTC

Downtrend, post-flush rebound stalling · RSI 43 · price 59.804

Higher lows off 58.978 flush low, capped by equal highs below 60.00.

Silver flushed from 60.28 to a 58.978 flush low early in the NY session as yields and the USD firmed, extending the decline that ran through the Asia and London sessions. The rejection of that low has retraced to the 61.8% fib near 59.78, with a higher-low chain from the 59.345 swing low and a 59.486 higher low. Equal highs at 59.919 cap the bounce just under 60.00 psych, while price hugs EMA20 and RSI(14) sits near 43.

Support: 59.486, 59.345, 58.978

Resistance: 59.919, 60.00, 60.28

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above the 59.919 equal highs and 60.00 psych reopens the 60.28 breakdown level
  • Loss of the 59.486 higher low and then the 59.345 swing low breaks the higher-lows trendline and exposes the 58.978 flush low
  • FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC (~3h) could materially shift this read; ATR near 310 pips frames bar size

14:32 UTC

Downtrend, stabilising after flush · RSI 42 · price 59.716

Lower highs through London, 12:15 UTC flush, then higher low within a tight post-flush range.

The London grind lower from 60.79 ended in a 12:15 UTC flush through the 60.00 psych level to 58.98, taking out the 59.70 Friday low as yields and USD firmed into the FOMC Minutes. Early NY has printed a bounce high at 59.91 and a higher low at 59.35, and price is coiling near the 61.8% retrace of the flush, just under EMA20.

Support: 59.345, 58.978

Resistance: 59.91, 60.00, 60.28

What it said to watch

  • A close above the 59.91 bounce high opens a retest of the 60.00 psych level
  • Loss of the 59.35 higher low breaks the rising flush support and puts the 58.98 flush low back in play
  • Reclaim of the 60.28 pre-drop high would negate the flush structure
  • FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC (~3.5h) could materially shift this read

14:17 UTC

Downtrend, consolidating after flush · RSI 41 · price 59.589

Lower highs below broken 59.70 low.

A 12:15 UTC flush in the London-NY transition broke the 60.00 psych level and the 59.70 prior low, tagging the 58.978 spike low as firm USD and yields near 5.3% weighed ahead of the FOMC Minutes. The rebound stalled at the 59.91 bounce high, about 71% of the flush fib. Price is now holding near the 50% level, with lower highs capping the retest of 59.70 from below.

Support: 59.345, 58.978

Resistance: 59.70, 59.91, 60.00

What it said to watch

  • Close back above the 59.70 prior low and the 59.91 bounce high reopens the 60.00 psych level
  • Break of the 59.345 swing low exposes the 58.978 spike low
  • Sustained trade above the lower highs trendline undercuts the retest read
  • FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC (~4h) could materially shift this read

14:04 UTC

Downtrend, rebounding off a flush low · RSI 41 · price 59.634

Lower highs since 61.47; 60.00–60.28 shelf broken, rebound capped at 59.91.

The Asia-London grind lower from 61.47 built a shelf just above the 60.00 psych level, capped by a pre-drop high of 60.28. A roughly 110-cent flush at the London-NY transition broke that shelf and the 59.70 two-month low, printing a spike low at 58.98. Firm yields ahead of the FOMC Minutes kept the rebound capped at the 59.91 bounce high near the 61.8% retrace. Price is now hovering around the 50% level near 59.63 in the first hour of NY, with a higher swing low at 59.35.

Support: 59.345, 58.978

Resistance: 59.91, 60.00, 60.28

What it said to watch

  • Close back above the 59.91 bounce high and 60.00 psych reclaims the broken shelf
  • Loss of the 59.35 swing low re-exposes the 58.98 spike low
  • Recovery through the 60.28 pre-drop high fully retraces the flush and voids the range break
  • FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC (~4h) could materially shift this read

13:48 UTC

Downtrend, volatile post-flush rebound fading · RSI 39 · price 59.545

Lower highs from 60.28; rebound capped at 59.91, back under friday low.

London extended the slide from the Asian range, and a ~1,100-pip flush at the London-NY transition broke $60.00 and the $59.70 friday low, printing a 58.978 session low as firm USD and 10Y yields above 5.30% weighed. The rebound stalled at the 59.91 rebound high near the 61.8% of the drop fib and has slipped back below 59.70. RSI(14) sits at 39 and ATR(14) has expanded to ~265 pips.

Support: 59.345, 58.978

Resistance: 59.70, 59.91, 60.28

What it said to watch

  • Close back above the 59.91 rebound high negates the lower-high rejection; 60.28 drop origin above
  • Failure to hold the 59.345 swing low exposes the 58.978 session low
  • Friday low at 59.70 now acting as resistance — area to watch for rejection or reclaim
  • FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

13:33 UTC

Downtrend, sharp rebound off NY-open low · RSI 43 · price 59.72

Lower highs/lows since 61.47; NY flush to 58.98, retrace capped below 60.00.

Lower highs and lower lows ran through Asia and London off the 61.47 high. Around the NY open, price flushed through 60.00 psych and Friday's 59.70 low to a 58.98 session low as the USD and 10Y yields firmed into the Minutes. The rebound retraced about 70% of the drop on the fib before stalling at the 59.91 rebound high, with a higher low at 59.57 and price still below EMA20.

Support: 59.57, 58.98

Resistance: 59.91, 60.00, 60.28

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 60.00 psych and the 59.91 rebound high turns the flush into a false break, with the 60.28 pre-drop high next
  • Loss of the 59.57 higher low reopens the 58.98 session low
  • Falling trendline from the 61.47 Asian high sits near 60.13, still intact
  • FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC (~4.5h) could materially shift this read

13:17 UTC

Downtrend, sharp rebound off flush low · RSI 41 · price 59.784

Lower highs since Asia; flush below 59.70 reclaimed, retracing.

Silver has printed lower highs since the Asia session high at 61.47, grinding through London to lose the 60.00 psych level on firm USD and 5.3% yields ahead of the FOMC Minutes. The London-NY transition brought a flush through the 59.70 two-month low to a session low at 58.978. Price rebounded straight back to 59.78, the 61.8% of the flush fib, and is holding just under the bounce high at 59.846 with the bounce low at 59.567 beneath.

Support: 59.70, 59.567, 58.978

Resistance: 59.846, 60.00, 60.28

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back below the 59.70 two-month low reopens the 58.978 session low
  • Hold above the 59.567 bounce low keeps the rebound structure intact
  • Close above the 60.00 psych level and the 60.28 swing high breaks the lower-high trendline
  • FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC (21:00 broker) could materially shift this read

13:06 UTC

Downtrend, sharp flush then rebound · RSI 38 · price 59.665

Lower highs all London; 12:15 UTC flush to 58.978, now retesting broken 59.70.

London extended the lower-highs sequence from the Asian high at 61.47, taking out the Asian low and grinding to the $60.00 psych. At 12:15 UTC, with USD and yields firm into the FOMC Minutes, price flushed through Friday's 59.70 prior low to a 58.978 spike low. The rebound has held a 59.09 higher low and is pressing 59.70 from below, just above the 50% of the drop fib, with ATR(14) expanded to ~250 pips.

Support: 59.09, 58.978

Resistance: 59.70, 60.00, 60.28

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above the 59.70 prior low and 60.00 psych would turn the flush into a false break
  • Rejection at 59.70–59.78 (61.8% of the drop fib) keeps the lower highs intact
  • Loss of the 59.09 higher low re-exposes the 58.978 spike low
  • Close above the 60.28 swing high breaks the session's lower-high structure
  • FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

12:47 UTC

Downtrend, accelerating after $60 break · RSI 20 · price 59.166

Lower highs from 61.47 Asian high; 12:15 UTC breakdown through 60.00/59.70, basing above 58.98 spike low.

Silver extended the lower-high sequence from the 61.47 Asian high through London, then dropped about $1.09 from the 60.28 London high in a single 12:15 UTC bar, breaking 60.00 psych and the 59.70 prior low against a firm USD and 10Y yields above 5.30%. The 58.98 spike low held on the next bar, the 59.44 rebound high capped the bounce, and price is compressing near 59.17 into the NY open with RSI(14) near 20.

Support: 58.978

Resistance: 59.438, 59.70, 60.00

What it said to watch

  • Recovery above the 59.44 rebound high puts the 59.70 prior low back in play, near the 50–61.8% fib of the breakdown leg
  • Acceptance back above 60.00 psych would mark the 12:15 UTC break as a false break
  • A close below the 58.98 spike low extends the breakdown leg
  • FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC and the US 10y auction could materially shift this read

12:18 UTC

Downtrend, bounce faded · RSI 36 · price 60.075

Lower highs/lower lows from 60.91, rebound capped below 60.28.

Silver ground lower through Asia and London from 60.91 to a 59.964 session low as 10Y yields pressed 5.31%. The rebound high at 60.28 stalled below the 38.2% of that drop and the lower highs trendline, and price is back toward the $60 psych level into the London-NY transition.

Support: 59.964, 59.70

Resistance: 60.28, 60.663

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below the 59.964 session low confirms a fresh lower-low and exposes the 59.70 2-month low
  • M15 close above the 60.28 rebound high and the lower highs trendline breaks the intraday sequence, with the 60.663 lower high next
  • FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC (~6h) could materially shift this read

12:05 UTC

Intraday downtrend, early bounce · RSI 40 · price 60.245

Lower-high chain from the Asian high; higher low at 60.10 after the $60 probe.

Silver printed lower highs from the 61.47 Asian high through London, as 10Y yields near 5.31% weighed. Wicks to a 59.964 session low failed to close below $60, and price has since made a higher low at 60.10. The bounce is stalling at the ema20 near 60.26, below the fib 23.6% at 60.32, ahead of the NY open.

Support: 60.10, 59.964, 59.70

Resistance: 60.32, 60.461, 60.663

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above the fib 23.6% at 60.32 and the 60.46 swing high would break the lower-high chain
  • Reclaim of the 60.66 london high would neutralise the intraday downtrend
  • Loss of the 60.10 higher low exposes the 59.964 session low and $60 again
  • A close below the session low opens the 59.70 2-month low
  • FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC (~6h) and today's 10-year auction could materially shift this read

11:48 UTC

Downtrend, stalling at $60 · RSI 34 · price 60.129

Lower highs and lower lows from 61.853; Asian low broken in London, shallow bounce off 59.96.

A lower-high chain from Tuesday's 61.853 NY high ran through Asia and London. London broke the 60.437 Asian low and briefly pierced $60 to a 59.964 session low as the 10Y yield pushed back toward 5.31%. Two holds near 59.96 have produced only a shallow bounce capped at 60.215, with RSI(14) at 34 and the NY open ahead.

Support: 60.00, 59.964

Resistance: 60.215, 60.437, 60.663

What it said to watch

  • Close below the 59.964 session low extends the lower-low chain toward the $59.70 two-month low
  • Repeated rejection at the 60.215 bounce high keeps the round number $60.00 under pressure
  • Reclaim of the 60.437 Asian low and the lower-high line breaks the intraday decline structure; the 60.663 London high sits above
  • FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

11:18 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stretched · RSI 30 · price 60.108

Lower highs and lower lows since the 61.47 Asian high; Asian range broken lower in London.

London extended the decline from the 61.47 Asian high, breaking the 60.44 Asian low and printing a 59.96 session low as the 10Y yield climbed back toward 5.31%. RSI(14) sits near 30 and ATR(14) is about 150 pips. The 11:00 UTC bar closed back above the $60 psych level and poked through the falling trendline off the 60.60 London-morning high, with the 60.25 lower high the first cap.

Support: 59.964, 59.70

Resistance: 60.25, 60.437, 60.663

What it said to watch

  • A break of the 59.96 session low and loss of $60 psych would expose the $59.70 2-month low
  • An M15 close above the 60.25 lower high breaks the London lower-high chain; the 60.44 Asian low and the 60.66 London high sit above
  • A close back under the falling trendline keeps the decline from the Asian high intact
  • FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC (~6.8h) and today's US 10y auction could materially shift this read

11:04 UTC

Downtrend, oversold but not reversing · RSI 23 · price 60.031

Lower-high/lower-low chain below the Asian range; pressing 60.00.

Silver has stepped lower from the 61.474 Asian high. The London session broke below the Asian range and the 60.756 prior low, then printed a 59.964 session low as 10Y yields firmed near 5.31%. RSI(14) near 23 is oversold, yet every bounce since the 60.663 london high has been capped by the descending trendline, which price is testing again at the 60.00 psych.

Support: 60.00, 59.964, 59.70

Resistance: 60.24, 60.663, 60.756

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above the descending trendline and the 60.24 swing high breaks the lower-high chain
  • Failure to hold the 60.00 psych and 59.964 session low exposes the 59.70 2-month low
  • Recovery back through the 60.663 london high and 60.756 prior low would negate the London range break
  • FOMC minutes at 18:00 UTC (~7h) could materially shift this read; NY open may bring a volatility pickup before then

10:47 UTC

Downtrend, RSI stretched · RSI 23 · price 59.99

Lower highs and lower lows since the Asian high; Asian range broken lower in London.

Silver has posted lower highs and lower lows since the Asian high at 61.47. Mid-London, it broke the Asian low at 60.44 and is now pressing below the $60 round number, with 10Y yields holding near 5.31%. RSI(14) near 23 is stretched, and the session low at 59.98 sits just above the 2-month low at 59.70.

Support: 59.981, 59.70

Resistance: 60.24, 60.437

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above the 60.24 swing high and the London descending trendline would break the lower-high chain
  • Failure to hold the 59.70 2-month low extends the lower-low sequence below the session low
  • Rebound into the asian low at 60.44 (near the 38.2% of the Asian high fib): area to watch for rejection or break
  • FOMC minutes at 18:00 UTC (~7h) could materially shift this read

10:05 UTC

Downtrend, lower highs through London · RSI 25 · price 60.124

LH/LL chain from the 61.474 Asian high; below prior low 60.756.

Mid-London, silver keeps printing lower highs and lower lows. The fade from the 61.474 Asian gap high has cut through Tuesday's 60.756 prior low to a 60.087 session low as US yields firm into the FOMC minutes. RSI(14) is near 25 and the 60.311 lower high capped the latest bounce.

Support: 60.087, 60.00, 59.70

Resistance: 60.311, 60.663, 60.756

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above the 60.311 lower high breaks the London lower-high chain
  • Loss of the 60.087 session low exposes the 60.00 round number, then the 59.70 2m low
  • Reclaim of the 60.663 London high, near the 38.2% of the decline fib, neutralises the downtrend read
  • Prior low at 60.756 now sits overhead as the first broken level
  • FOMC minutes at 18:00 UTC (~8h) could materially shift this read

09:47 UTC

Downtrend, lower highs intact · RSI 28 · price 60.161

LH/LL chain from 61.853; Asian range broken lower in London.

London extended the overnight lower-high sequence, breaking the Asian low at 60.437 and printing a session low at 60.13 as rebounding yields weighed on silver. RSI(14) is near 28, and the descending trendline from 61.474 has capped every bounce, with price now pressing toward the 60.00 round number.

Support: 60.13, 60.00, 59.70

Resistance: 60.437, 60.663, 60.79

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above the 60.437 asian low would mark the London break as a false break
  • Clearing the descending trendline and the 60.663 london high ends the lower-high chain; 38.2% fib of the 61.853–60.13 drop sits at 60.79
  • Failure to hold the 60.00 round number exposes the 59.70 two-mth low
  • FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC (~8h) could materially shift this read

09:32 UTC

Downtrend, stretched but intact · RSI 27 · price 60.212

Lower-high/lower-low chain below the broken Asian low.

Silver has slid in a clean lower-high/lower-low sequence from the 61.474 Asian high. London broke the Asian low at 60.437 and extended to a 60.168 session low as 10Y yields back near 5.31% weigh. RSI(14) near 27 is stretched, but each bounce has been capped lower, most recently at the 60.311 lower high, with $60 psych just below.

Support: 60.168

Resistance: 60.311, 60.437, 60.663

What it said to watch

  • Break of the 60.168 session low exposes $60 psych, the floor of the $60–62.40 range
  • M15 close above the 60.311 lower high breaks the LH chain
  • Reclaim of the 60.437 asian low negates the London range break; 60.663 london high is the next cap
  • FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC and 10Y yields vs the 5.35% high could materially shift this read

09:17 UTC

Downtrend, lower highs intact · RSI 34 · price 60.275

LH/LL chain below broken Asian range low.

Early London extended the overnight slide. Price broke the Asian low at 60.437 and printed a session low at 60.200 as yields back near 5.31% weigh on silver. Every bounce has been capped below the descending trendline from the 61.474 Asian high, and RSI(14) sits near 34, soft but not oversold.

Support: 60.20, 60.00, 59.70

Resistance: 60.437, 60.663

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above the Asian low at 60.437, which aligns with the 50% retrace of the London leg fib, would flag a false break and stall the lower-high chain
  • Break of the london high at 60.663 and the descending trendline invalidates the downtrend read
  • Failure to hold the 60.200 session low brings the 60.00 round number into play, with the 59.70 2-month low below
  • FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC (~9h) and the 10Y yield vs its 5.35% high could materially shift this read

09:07 UTC

Downtrend, grinding lower into London · RSI 32 · price 60.334

Lower highs and lower lows since the Asian high at 61.47.

Silver has held a steady lower-high, lower-low chain since fading from the 61.47 Asian high. It broke the 60.67 asia low and has pushed to a 60.30 session low in early London as the 10Y yield firmed back to 5.31%. Each bounce has been capped under a descending trendline from the 60.976 swing high, most recently at the 60.596 lower high. RSI(14) sits near 32, soft but not oversold.

Support: 60.30, 60.00

Resistance: 60.596, 60.67, 60.976

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above the 60.596 lower high and the trendline breaks the lower-high chain
  • Reclaim of the 60.67 asia low, near the 38.2% fib at 60.75, would shift the read to a deeper retracement
  • Failure to hold the 60.30 session low exposes the 60.00 psych level and range floor
  • FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

08:47 UTC

Downtrend, lower highs intact · RSI 36 · price 60.396

LH/LL chain from 61.47; London trading below Asian low.

The selloff from the 61.47 Asian high carried through London open. Price broke the 60.44 Asian low and printed a session low at 60.33, with rebounds capped under the descending highs line. Yields back near 5.31% are weighing on silver, and RSI(14) near 36 is soft but not oversold.

Support: 60.327, 60.00

Resistance: 60.437, 60.663, 60.756

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 60.66 london high and the descending highs line breaks the lower-high chain
  • Failure to hold 60.33 session low exposes the 60.00 round number
  • Reclaim of 60.44 asian low would put price back inside the Asian range
  • Prior low 60.76 aligns with the 38.2% fib, an area to watch for rejection on any rebound
  • FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC (~9h) and the US 10y auction could materially shift this read

08:17 UTC

Downtrend, stalling above session low · RSI 39 · price 60.496

Lower highs since the Asia open high at 61.474; London dipped under the Asian low and held.

Silver faded the Asia leg from the 61.474 gap-open high as a crude bid revived inflation and yield pressure. That left a chain of lower highs, with the 60.976 swing high the last clear one before the slide accelerated. The London open swept the Asian low at 60.437 to a 60.383 session low and has since held it, but rebounds are capped at the 60.663 London high, just under the 60.709 prior low.

Support: 60.383, 60.00

Resistance: 60.663, 60.709, 60.976

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below the 60.383 session low extends the lower-low chain toward 60.00 psych
  • Close above the 60.663 London high and the lower-highs trendline breaks the sequence; 60.709 prior low and the 60.976 swing high sit above
  • 38.2% of the Asia leg near 60.80 marks the first retracement level on any rebound
  • FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

08:04 UTC

Downtrend, lower highs intact · RSI 39 · price 60.508

LH/LL chain from Asia high, prior-day low broken.

Silver has printed lower highs and lower lows since the 61.474 Asia high, cutting through the prior low at 60.756 as a firmer USD and oil-driven yield pressure weighed. The first hour of London set a fresh session low at 60.383. The descending trendline caps near the 60.663 lower high, RSI(14) sits near 39 and price trades below both EMAs.

Support: 60.383, 60.437, 60.00

Resistance: 60.663, 60.756, 60.789

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above the 60.663 lower high and the trendline breaks the lower-high chain
  • Reclaim of the 60.756 prior low and the 60.789 swing high puts the 38.2% fib (~60.80) in play
  • Failure to hold the 60.383 session low and the 60.437 swing low extends lower lows toward the 60.00 psych level
  • FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

07:48 UTC

Downtrend, London bounce stalling · RSI 37 · price 60.578

Lower highs and lower lows through Asia; London basing above 60.437.

Asia session unwound the Wednesday open gap and Tuesday's gains, sliding from 61.474 to a 60.437 asian low as crude strength and firmer yields weighed on silver. The London open bounce has stalled at the 60.663 london high, just under the falling trendline from the 60.976 swing high and the 23.6% fib of the Asia sell-off.

Support: 60.437, 60.00

Resistance: 60.663, 60.789, 60.976

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above the 60.663 london high and the falling trendline breaks the Asia lower-high chain, with 60.789 lower high next
  • Failure to hold the 60.437 asian low extends the downtrend toward the 60.00 round number
  • Reclaim of the 60.976 swing high, near the 50% fib, would neutralise the sell-off read
  • FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC and the 10-year auction could materially shift this read

07:32 UTC

Downtrend, stalling at Asian low · RSI 34 · price 60.554

Lower highs and lower lows since the Asian high, London open basing just above the session low.

The Asia sell-off ran from the 61.474 Asian high to a 60.437 low as the crude bounce revived yield pressure and lifted USD. Lower highs are still capped by the falling trendline. Early London is holding just above the Asian low, with RSI(14) near 34 and a marginal higher low printed under the 60.657 London high.

Support: 60.437, 60.00

Resistance: 60.657, 60.789, 60.956

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above the 60.789 swing high, through the falling trendline, breaks the lower-high chain and brings the 60.956 fib 50% of the Asia sell-off into play
  • Loss of the 60.437 Asian low extends the lower-low sequence toward the 60.00 round number
  • Failure at the 60.657 London high keeps the downtrend structure intact
  • FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC and the 10-year auction could materially shift this read

07:18 UTC

Downtrend, lower highs through Asia · RSI 36 · price 60.54

LH/LL chain from 61.47 Asian high; prior-day low broken, early London bounce capped.

Silver sold off through the Asia session from the 61.47 high, as the crude spike revived inflation fears and yields stayed firm. Lower highs led price under the 60.60 prior low to a 60.437 session low, and the London open bounce was rejected just above 60.60. RSI(14) sits near 36, soft but not stretched.

Support: 60.437, 60.00

Resistance: 60.60, 60.70, 60.976

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above the 60.60 prior low and the 60.70 trendline breaks the lower-high chain
  • Failure to hold the 60.437 session low extends the downtrend toward the 60.00 psych level
  • A recovery through the 60.976 swing high, near the 50% retrace of the Asia sell-off, invalidates the intraday downtrend read
  • FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC (21:00 broker) could materially shift this read

07:05 UTC

Intraday downtrend, RSI near oversold · RSI 29 · price 60.488

Lower highs and lower lows since the Asia high, pressing Tuesday's low.

Wednesday's gap-up open faded from the 61.474 Asia high as crude surged and yields firmed. A steady run of lower highs carried price to a 60.437 session low into London open. It now sits just above Tuesday's 60.412 prior low, with RSI(14) near 29 and the lower-highs trendline capping near 60.71.

Support: 60.437, 60.412, 60.00

Resistance: 60.697, 60.91, 61.474

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below the 60.412 prior low extends the lower-low sequence toward the 60.00 psych level
  • Close above the lower-highs trendline and the 60.697 lower high breaks the micro downtrend; the 60.91 swing high is next
  • FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

06:48 UTC

Downtrend, lower highs intact · RSI 34 · price 60.523

LH/LL sequence through Asia, pressing session low into London open.

Asia session ground lower from the 61.474 early high to a 60.474 session low along the asia lower highs line. The 05:45 UTC spike to 60.789 was rejected as crude and yields firmed, and price sits near the lows heading into London open with RSI(14) ~34, not yet oversold.

Support: 60.474, 60.267, 60.00

Resistance: 60.697, 60.91, 61.001

What it said to watch

  • Break of the 60.474 session low exposes the 60.267 tuesday low and the 60.00 round number
  • M15 close above the 60.697 lower high and the asia lower highs line breaks the descending sequence, with the 60.91 swing high next
  • 38.2% fib of the 61.853–60.474 drop sits near 61.00 as the upper reference for any London rebound
  • FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

06:34 UTC

Downtrend, steady lower highs through Asia · RSI 36 · price 60.536

LH/LL chain from 61.47, price pinned at session low.

Asia session ground lower from the 61.474 open-hour high to a 60.511 session low as USD firmed and crude rose on Middle East risk. Each bounce has stalled under the descending trendline, the latest at the 60.697 lower high. Price sits at the low into London open with RSI(14) near 36, not yet oversold.

Support: 60.511, 60.267, 60.00

Resistance: 60.697, 60.789, 60.91

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below the 60.511 session low extends the lower-low chain toward the 60.267 prior low from yesterday's London open
  • M15 close above the 60.789 descending trendline and the 60.91 swing high breaks the Asian lower-high sequence
  • 60.00 round number is the next reference below 60.267 if the slide continues
  • FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

06:18 UTC

Downtrend, lower highs intact · RSI 41 · price 60.669

LH/LL chain off the 61.474 Asia high; pressing session low.

Asia session unwound Tuesday's late gains as yields and USD firmed on renewed oil/Iran risk. Silver broke below the 61.11 range floor and slid to a 60.513 session low in a clean lower-high/lower-low sequence, with the latest rejection at the 60.789 lower high on the descending trendline. Price is holding just above the session low into London open, with RSI(14) near 41 and well short of oversold.

Support: 60.513, 60.267, 60.00

Resistance: 60.789, 60.91, 61.11

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above the 60.789 lower high and the descending trendline breaks the lower-high sequence; 60.91 swing high sits near the 38.2% fib of the Asia sell-off
  • Failure to hold the 60.513 session low extends the lower-low chain toward the 60.267 prior low, then the 60.00 round number
  • Recovery back above the 61.11 range floor would neutralise the Asia breakdown
  • London open in ~45 min could set the day's range; FOMC minutes at 18:00 UTC (~12h) is the main event risk for USD and yields

06:04 UTC

Downtrend, lower highs through Asia · RSI 30 · price 60.547

LH/LL chain since the early-Asia range break; fresh session low printed ahead of London open.

Asia session broke below the opening 61.25–61.47 range and stepped down in lower highs (61.47, 61.26, 60.98, 60.91, 60.79). It cleared yesterday's NY low at 60.756 and the 60.672 broken low, printing a 60.539 asia low just before London open as a firmer USD, elevated yields and oil-driven inflation fears weighed. RSI(14) near 30 is stretched but not extreme.

Support: 60.539, 60.267, 60.00

Resistance: 60.672, 60.756, 60.91

What it said to watch

  • Close back above the 60.672 broken low, then the 60.756 ny low, would put the Asia downtrend line under test
  • Close above the 60.91 lower high breaks the LH chain and invalidates the downtrend read
  • Failure to hold the 60.539 asia low exposes the 60.267 prior low, then the 60.00 psych level
  • London open in ~1h may set the session range relative to the Asia low
  • FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

05:48 UTC

Downtrend through Asia, basing near lows · RSI 37 · price 60.729

Lower highs and lower lows since the 61.474 Asia high; tight base above 60.613.

The Asia sell-off took silver from the 61.474 Asia high to a 60.613 Asia low, unwinding Tuesday's NY recovery as the dollar rebuilt above 102.00 on firm yields and oil-driven inflation risk. Lower highs at 60.976 and 60.91 have capped each bounce, and price is basing just above the Asia low ahead of the London open with RSI(14) near 37.

Support: 60.613, 60.267

Resistance: 60.976, 61.474

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below the 60.613 Asia low extends the lower-low sequence and exposes the 24h low at 60.267
  • Close above the 60.976 lower high breaks the descending line of lower highs and puts the 50% retracement of the Asia sell-off near 61.04 in play
  • London open in about 75 minutes is likely to test the Asia low / lower-high boundaries
  • FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

05:33 UTC

Downtrend, lower highs through Asia · RSI 32 · price 60.692

Lower-high/lower-low sequence off the 61.474 Asian high; prior NY low broken.

Silver has bled lower through the Asia session from the 61.474 Asian high. The decline printed lower highs at 60.976 and 60.91 and broke yesterday's NY low at 60.756, as the dollar rebuilt above 102.00 on firmer yields and Iran headlines. Price is now pressing the 60.652 session low with RSI(14) near 32, soft but not stretched, while the bounce off 61.853 is fully retraced below the fib 23.6% at 60.935.

Support: 60.652, 60.267, 60.00

Resistance: 60.756, 60.91, 61.474

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above the 60.756 ny low turns the break into a false break
  • Recovery through the 60.91 lower high breaks the Asia lower-high chain
  • Failure to hold the 60.652 session low exposes the 60.267 swing low, then 60.00 psych
  • FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC (~12.5h) could materially shift this read
  • London open liquidity may test whether the session low holds

05:17 UTC

Intraday downtrend, slide slowing near lows · RSI 33 · price 60.671

Lower highs and lower lows from the Asian high; price at session low, below Tuesday NY low.

Late Asia session has unwound Tuesday's NY gains. Silver sold from the 61.474 Asian high to a 60.665 session low in a lower-high chain as USD rebuilt above 102.00 on firmer yields and oil risk. Price holds below the Tuesday NY low at 60.756 with RSI(14) near 33, and the 60.67 area has been tested twice in the last two hours.

Support: 60.665, 60.39, 60.267

Resistance: 60.756, 60.91, 60.976

What it said to watch

  • Close back above the Tuesday NY low at 60.756 would stall the slide; a move above the 60.91 lower high breaks the lower-high chain
  • Failure to hold the 60.665 session low exposes the 60.39 swing low, then the 60.267 prior low
  • 60.976 fib 38.2 of the Asian move, at the 02:45 UTC lower high, is the area to watch for rejection on any bounce
  • London open in under 2h is likely to test the Asian range extremes
  • FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

05:07 UTC

Downtrend through Asia, lower highs intact · RSI 31 · price 60.68

Lower-high / lower-low sequence from the 61.474 Asia high, pressing fresh session low.

Asia session has unwound the late NY rally. Silver slid from the 61.474 Asia high to a fresh session low at 60.665, taking out Tuesday's 60.756 NY dip low, with each bounce capped under the descending trendline. A firmer USD and higher yields into the FOMC minutes frame the move. RSI(14) sits near 31, soft but not stretched, with London open about two hours out.

Support: 60.665, 60.39, 60.267

Resistance: 60.91, 61.474

What it said to watch

  • Break below the 60.665 session low exposes the 60.39 prior base, then the 60.267 24h low
  • M15 close above the 60.91 lower high and the trendline invalidates the Asia downtrend read; the 38.2% fib of the NY high decline sits near 61.12
  • Recovery back through the 61.474 Asia high would erase the overnight sequence
  • FOMC minutes at 18:00 UTC (~13h) could materially shift this read

04:47 UTC

Intraday downtrend, lower highs through Asia · RSI 31 · price 60.742

Lower-high/lower-low chain off the 61.474 Asian high; price back under yesterday's 60.756 NY low.

Asia session unwound the open gap, sliding from the 61.474 Asian high to a 60.672 Asian low and breaking under yesterday's 60.756 NY low as the dollar retook 102.00 on firmer yields and oil. The bounce stalled at a 60.91 lower high, below the 38.2% fib of the Asian sell-off at 60.978, and price is back near the lows late in Asia with RSI(14) near 31.

Support: 60.672, 60.267

Resistance: 60.91, 60.978, 61.474

What it said to watch

  • A break of the 60.672 Asian low extends the lower-low chain and puts the 24h low at 60.267 in view
  • An M15 close above the 60.91 lower high and the 38.2% fib at 60.978 would break the Asian lower-high sequence
  • London open in about 2h typically resets the Asian range
  • FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC (~13h) could materially shift this read

04:34 UTC

Intraday downtrend, bounce stalling · RSI 39 · price 60.837

Lower highs from 61.474 Asia high; tight 60.81–60.91 range above 60.672 Asia low.

The Asia session gave back the NY gains with a chain of lower highs from the 61.474 Asia high. The drop cut through Tuesday's NY low to a 60.672 Asia low as yields and the dollar firmed. The bounce stalled at a 60.91 bounce high, just above the 23.6% of the Asia drop fib, and price is compressing below EMA20/50 into late Asia with RSI(14) near 39.

Support: 60.672, 60.267

Resistance: 60.91, 60.976, 61.474

What it said to watch

  • A close above the 60.976 lower high (38.2% of the Asia drop fib) breaks the lower-high sequence and exposes the 61.474 Asia high
  • Failure to hold the 60.672 Asia low reopens the 60.267 prior low from Tuesday's Asia trough
  • London open in ~2.5h is likely to resolve the 60.81–60.91 range; FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

04:17 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling near lows · RSI 35 · price 60.854

Asia lower-high/lower-low chain, small base forming above asian low.

Asia session sold off from the 61.474 asian high to a 60.672 asian low as DXY reclaimed 102.00 on firmer yields, erasing Tuesday's NY rally. Price is basing just under the 60.910 bounce high ahead of London open, with the 60.976 lower high, near the 38.2% fib, capping the chain and RSI(14) near 35.

Support: 60.672, 60.267

Resistance: 60.91, 60.976, 61.474

What it said to watch

  • Break of the 60.672 asian low extends the lower-low sequence and exposes the 60.267 tuesday low
  • M15 close above the 60.976 lower high (38.2% fib) breaks the Asia lower-high chain; asian high at 61.474 sits above
  • Hold above the 60.910 bounce high into London open would mark a higher low off 60.672
  • FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read later in NY hours

04:05 UTC

Intraday downtrend, late-Asia bounce stalling · RSI 37 · price 60.847

Asian lower-high/lower-low sequence from 61.474 to 60.672; minor bounce capped under 60.976.

Asia unwound Tuesday's NY rally. Lower highs from the 61.474 Asian high took silver to a 60.672 Asian low as dip-buyers lifted DXY back above 102.00. The late-Asia bounce has poked above the Asian downtrend line but is stalling below the 60.976 lower high, with RSI(14) near 37 heading into London open.

Support: 60.672, 60.267

Resistance: 60.976, 61.474, 61.853

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above the 60.976 lower high breaks the Asian lower-high sequence; 38.2% fib of the tuesday high-asian low drop sits near 61.12
  • Failure to hold the 60.672 asian low extends the lower-low chain toward the 60.267 tuesday low
  • 61.474 asian high and 61.853 tuesday high mark the upper bound of the intraday range
  • FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC could reset intraday structure via yields and USD

03:48 UTC

Downtrend through Asia, bouncing off the low · RSI 37 · price 60.888

Lower-high/lower-low chain from 61.474, early bounce off 60.672.

Asia session sold from the 61.474 asian high to a 60.672 asian low as dip-buyers pushed DXY back above 102.00, unwinding most of yesterday's NY rally to 61.853. Late in Asia, the last two bars have lifted above the asia lower-high line with RSI(14) near 37. The 60.976 lower high, at the 38.2% of the asia sell-off fib, is the first cap.

Support: 60.756, 60.672, 60.267

Resistance: 60.976, 61.258, 61.474

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above the 60.976 lower high breaks the Asia lower-high chain; the 61.258 swing high and 61.474 asian high sit above
  • Failure back under the ny low at 60.756 and then the 60.672 asian low resumes lower-lows toward the 60.267 yday low
  • London open in ~3h is the next session test of the Asian range
  • FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

03:34 UTC

Downtrend through Asia, RSI near oversold · RSI 29 · price 60.786

Lower highs and lower lows from the 61.474 Asia high; Asia low 60.672 printed below the prior NY low.

Asia session unwound the late-NY push to 61.85, selling off from the 61.474 Asia high as DXY reclaimed 102.00 on Iran headlines and firmer yields. A descending trendline off the Asia lower highs at 61.258 (swing high) and 60.976 (lower high) caps price, with the 60.672 Asia low the first floor and RSI(14) near 29.

Support: 60.672, 60.391, 60.267

Resistance: 60.976, 61.258, 61.474

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above the 60.976 lower high, which sits at the 38.2% fib of the Asia sell-off, breaks the lower-high sequence; the 61.258 swing high is next
  • Loss of the 60.672 Asia low extends the lower-low chain toward the 60.391 swing low and the 60.267 prior low from early Europe Tuesday
  • Break of the trendline off the Asia lower highs would signal the sell-off is stalling
  • London open in about 3.5h typically expands the Asian range
  • FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

03:17 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stretched · RSI 30 · price 60.732

Lower highs and lower lows off the 61.853 high, Asian range broken lower.

Asia session unwound Tuesday's NY push to 61.853, breaking below the 61.25 asian low and the 60.756 swing low as DXY retook 102.00 on renewed geopolitical risk and firmer yields. A lower-high chain from the 61.474 asian high through the 60.976 lower high caps price. Price sits just above the 60.688 session low with RSI(14) near 30.

Support: 60.688, 60.267, 60.00

Resistance: 60.976, 61.25, 61.474

What it said to watch

  • Failure to hold the 60.688 session low exposes the 60.267 prior low from early Europe Tuesday, then 60.00 psych.
  • An M15 close above the 60.976 lower high breaks the lower-high chain. A return above the 61.25 asian low reverts to the overnight range.
  • London open in under 4h may test whether the Asian-session move extends or retraces toward the 61.27 fib 50%.
  • FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read.

03:04 UTC

Downtrend, Asia selloff extending · RSI 31 · price 60.773

Lower highs and lower lows since the 61.474 Asia high; range break below 61.25.

The Asia session has unwound most of Tuesday's softer-USD rebound. After the 61.853 NY high, price broke the 61.25–61.47 opening range at the 61.258 breakdown and printed a chain of lower highs from the 61.474 Asia high down to a 60.727 session low, just under Tuesday's NY-hours low at 60.756. RSI(14) near 31 is weak but not yet oversold, with price below both EMAs; the 60.976 lower high is the nearest cap.

Support: 60.727, 60.60, 60.267

Resistance: 60.976, 61.258, 61.474

What it said to watch

  • Sustained trade below the 60.727 session low exposes Tuesday's London low at 60.60, then the 60.267 tuesday low
  • M15 close above the 60.976 lower high breaks the lower-high chain and puts the 61.258 breakdown level back in play
  • Recovery through the 61.474 asia high would negate the Asia downtrend read
  • London open in ~4h typically resets the session range
  • FOMC minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

02:48 UTC

Intraday downtrend, stalling at swing low · RSI 36 · price 60.97

Lower highs from 61.47 Asia high; 60.76 low tested twice.

The Asia session unwound Tuesday's softer-dollar rebound, falling from the 61.47 session high to retest the 60.76 NY swing low, where buyers stepped in again. RSI(14) is near 36. Price sits just under the 61.00 round number, with the lower-highs line and the 61.11 breakdown level overhead.

Support: 60.756, 60.267

Resistance: 61.00, 61.11, 61.474

What it said to watch

  • An M15 close above the 61.11 breakdown and the lower-highs line would neutralise the Asia selloff read.
  • Failure to hold the 60.76 swing low extends the lower-low sequence toward the 60.27 prior low from Tuesday's Asian session.
  • Acceptance back above the 61.00 round number keeps the 60.76 retest intact as a second higher-timeframe low on this chart.
  • FOMC minutes at 18:00 UTC Wed could materially shift this read.

02:34 UTC

Intraday downtrend, pausing at support · RSI 37 · price 60.938

Lower highs through Asia; retest of prior swing low at 60.76.

Asia session has erased most of Tuesday's NY-session rally to the 61.853 prior high. A chain of lower highs from the 61.474 Asian high broke 61.11 and ran to 60.76, retesting Tuesday's 14:15 UTC swing low. Price is holding just above that level with RSI(14) near 37 and below both EMAs, as the softer-USD bounce fades ahead of the FOMC minutes.

Support: 60.76, 60.27

Resistance: 61.11, 61.474, 61.853

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below the 60.76 swing low confirms a lower-low and exposes the 60.27 prior low from early Europe Tuesday
  • Recovery back above the 61.11 breakdown level and the Asia lower-highs trendline negates the intraday downtrend read
  • Asian high at 61.474 caps the session; a move through it reopens the 61.853 prior high
  • London open in ~4.5h typically expands the Asian range; FOMC minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

02:17 UTC

Intraday downtrend, pressing prior swing low · RSI 31 · price 60.83

Lower highs and lower lows through Asia, broke below the Asian range.

Asia session broke below the 61.25–61.47 overnight range, printing lower highs at 61.474 (asian high) and 61.258 (lower high). Price is now retesting Tuesday's NY swing low at 60.756, with RSI(14) near 31. Most of Tuesday's softer-USD rebound off the 60.27 day low has been given back ahead of the FOMC minutes.

Support: 60.756, 60.267

Resistance: 61.11, 61.258, 61.474

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below the 60.756 swing low confirms a lower-low and exposes the 60.27 day low
  • Recovery above 61.11 (broken low) and the 61.258 lower high breaks the lower-high sequence along the descending line
  • Reclaim of the 61.474 asian high neutralises the Asia breakdown
  • FOMC minutes at 18:00 UTC (~16h) could materially shift this read; London open is the next liquidity test

02:05 UTC

Short-term downtrend from the 61.853 high · RSI 33 · price 60.91

Lower highs since 19:00 UTC, Asian range broken lower.

The Asia session has unwound most of Tuesday's softer-USD rebound. Price broke the 61.15–61.47 opening range and slid under 61.00, below both EMAs, with RSI(14) near 33. The drop has already retraced beyond the 78.6% fib of the 60.756–61.853 rally, and lower highs are capping from the 61.853 session high, leaving the NY low at 60.756 as the nearest support.

Support: 60.756, 60.267

Resistance: 61.258, 61.474, 61.853

What it said to watch

  • Break below the 60.756 NY low extends the lower-low sequence toward the 60.267 Europe low
  • M15 close back above the 61.258 lower high and the descending trendline would negate the Asia breakdown, with the 61.474 Asia high above
  • FOMC minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

01:47 UTC

Short-term down, pullback from NY high · RSI 38 · price 61.127

Lower highs and lower lows through the Asia session.

Asia session has printed lower highs off the 61.47 Asian high, extending the fade from yesterday's 61.85 NY high that capped the soft-USD rally. Price is pressing the 61.11 Asian low, just under the 61.8% fib of the NY rally, with RSI(14) near 38 and the 61.00 round number and 60.76 NY low as the next floors below.

Support: 61.11, 61.00, 60.756

Resistance: 61.258, 61.474, 61.853

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below the 61.11 asian low extends the lower-low chain toward the 61.00 round number
  • Reclaim of the 61.26 lower high and the lower-highs trendline breaks the Asia pullback structure
  • Recovery above the 61.47 asian high reopens the 61.85 ny high
  • Loss of the 60.76 ny low would retrace the full NY rally
  • FOMC minutes at 18:00 UTC (~16h) could materially shift this read

01:32 UTC

Intraday pullback, lower highs since 61.853 · RSI 44 · price 61.216

Lower highs inside a 61.11–61.47 Asian range, testing the low end.

Softer USD and easing yields lifted silver from the 60.756 NY low to a 61.853 prior high late Tuesday, but Asia has printed lower highs after rejection at the 61.474 Asian high. Price is now sitting near the 61.8% of the NY rally fib with the Asia low at 61.114 underneath, below both EMAs and RSI(14) around 44.

Support: 61.114, 61.00, 60.756

Resistance: 61.474, 61.853

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below the 61.114 Asia low opens the 61.00 round number and the 60.756 NY low
  • Recovery above the lower highs trendline and the 61.474 Asia high negates the pullback read; 61.853 prior high is next
  • Holding the 61.8% NY rally fib keeps the 60.76–61.85 swing intact
  • FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

01:17 UTC

Pullback from NY high, short-term lower highs · RSI 40 · price 61.17

Lower high at 61.474, fresh Asia session low at 61.154.

Silver has faded from the 61.853 NY high, which capped the leg built on Tuesday's softer USD and easing yields. Early Asia was rejected at the 61.474 asian high and price has slipped to a session low at 61.154, sitting on the 61.8% fib of the 60.756–61.853 leg, with RSI(14) near 40 and price below both EMAs.

Support: 61.154, 60.756

Resistance: 61.474, 61.853

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below the 61.154 session low and 61.8% fib extends the pullback toward the 60.756 swing low
  • Recovery above the 61.474 asian high breaks the lower-high trendline from the NY high
  • FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC; Waller Thu 08:30 UTC could reset the read

01:06 UTC

Pullback from NY high, Asia consolidating · RSI 45 · price 61.224

Lower highs off 61.853, Asian range 61.176–61.474.

Tuesday's rally on a softer USD ran from the 60.267 early-Europe low to a 61.853 session high late in NY. Price has since retraced to the 38.2% fib near 61.25. Asia session is ranging 61.176–61.474, with a rejection at the asian high and lower highs off the NY peak, leaving price near the asian low and RSI(14) at 45.

Support: 61.176, 61.06, 60.756

Resistance: 61.474, 61.853

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below the 61.176 asian low breaks the Asian range and opens the 50% fib at 61.06
  • Failure at the 50% fib exposes the 60.756 ny low, the last higher low of the rally
  • Reclaim of the 61.474 asian high negates the lower-high sequence and puts the 61.853 session high back in focus
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC (~17h) could materially shift this read

00:48 UTC

Intraday uptrend from 60.27, pausing below 61.85 · RSI 49 · price 61.356

Higher lows at 60.76 and 61.18, lower highs since 61.85; early-Asia range 61.18–61.47.

Silver is chopping inside a 61.18–61.47 early-Asia range after fading from the 61.853 prior high set late in NY. That high capped Tuesday's 60.267–61.853 rally, which ran on a softer USD and easing yields. The latest dip to the 61.18 asian low, near the 38.2% of the rally fib, was recovered within the bar, but lower highs keep price pinned under 61.47 with RSI(14) flat near 49.

Support: 61.176, 61.06, 60.756

Resistance: 61.474, 61.853, 62.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below the 61.18 asian low breaks the higher-low sequence and exposes the fib 50% at 61.06
  • M15 close above the 61.47 asian high clears the lower-highs line and reopens the 61.85 prior high, then the 62.00 round number
  • Loss of the 60.76 swing low would unwind the London-NY rally structure
  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC (~17h) could materially shift this read

00:32 UTC

Pullback inside a recovery leg, momentum faded · RSI 43 · price 61.287

Lower highs from 61.853; Asian range 61.247–61.474 holding.

Softer USD and easing yields lifted silver from the 60.27 early-Europe low to a 61.853 session high late in NY, where it met rejection and printed lower highs. Early Asia session is boxed between the 61.247 Asian low and the 61.474 Asian high, with price at the 50% fib of the 60.756 NY low to 61.853 leg. Price sits below EMA20/50 and RSI(14) is near 43.

Support: 61.247, 61.182, 60.756

Resistance: 61.474, 61.853

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below the 61.247 Asian low and the 61.182 swing low extends the lower-high sequence and puts the 61.8% fib near 61.18 in play
  • Close above the 61.474 Asian high breaks the falling lower-highs line and reopens the 61.853 session high
  • Loss of the 60.756 NY low would erase the higher-low structure from the 60.27 low
  • FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC can reprice yields and shift this read; Asia trade is light until then

00:18 UTC

Intraday uptrend stalled, consolidating · RSI 50 · price 61.42

Higher low at 60.76, rejection at 61.85; tight Asian range 61.25–61.44.

Tuesday's rebound from the 60.27 early-Europe low ran on the softer USD and yields to a 61.85 Tuesday high late in NY. Price was rejected there and slipped back to 61.25 into the close. Early Asia is holding a 61.25–61.44 Asian range near the 50% retrace of the NY leg from the 60.76 NY low, with RSI(14) flat at 50.

Support: 61.25, 61.18, 60.76

Resistance: 61.44, 61.70, 61.85

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above the 61.44 Asian high reopens the 61.70 London high and the 61.85 Tuesday high
  • Loss of the 61.25 Asian low exposes the 61.18 swing low at the 61.8% retrace of the NY leg; below that the 60.76 NY low comes into view
  • FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC (~18h) could materially shift this read

00:04 UTC

Intraday recovery, pulling back · RSI 43 · price 61.342

HH/HL sequence intact; tight Asian range on trendline.

A softer USD and easing yields drove the recovery from the 60.267 early-Europe low. Price set a london high at 61.698 and then a higher ny high at 61.853, and the 60.756 ny low held as a higher low. Price has since faded to the 50% retrace of the 60.756–61.853 leg, and the early Asia session is compressing between the asian low 61.247 and asian high 61.419, right on the rising trendline from Tuesday's lows.

Support: 61.247, 61.182, 60.756

Resistance: 61.419, 61.698, 61.853

What it said to watch

  • Break of the asian low 61.247 and the rising trendline exposes the 61.182 swing low, which lines up with the 61.8% retrace
  • Loss of the 61.182 swing low breaks the higher-low sequence and opens the 60.756 ny low
  • M15 close above the asian high 61.419 reopens the london high 61.698 and the 61.853 ny high
  • FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

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