XAG/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Wednesday, 17 June 2026

Every read JAFX AI made on the XAG/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.

23:46 UTC

Downtrend, basing after selloff · RSI 51 · price 68.296

Post-FOMC flush, recovering off lows.

Silver collapsed from 71.53 to 66.79 on the hawkish FOMC dot-plot repricing, then based and recovered to 68.30. Price now consolidating 67.9–68.37 just below the 200-day SMA pivot at 68.59, RSI back near neutral after the oversold flush.

Support: 67.55, 66.79

Resistance: 68.59, 68.37

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 68.59 (200-day sma) needed to ease the post-FOMC selloff
  • Failure to hold 67.55 reopens the 66.79 day low
  • Initial Jobless Claims Thu 12:30 UTC could shift this read

23:46 UTC

Sharp downtrend, basing · RSI 52 · price 68.296

Vertical breakdown then consolidation above crash low.

Silver collapsed from 71.53 to 66.79 during NY hours as the hawkish FOMC dot-plot and the 0.9% retail sales beat repriced the Fed. Price has since clawed back to consolidate 67.9–68.3, stalling just under the 200d sma at 68.59; RSI(14) recovered off oversold to neutral.

Support: 67.58, 66.79

Resistance: 68.59, 69.15

What it said to watch

  • Powell presser live now could materially shift this read
  • M15 close above 68.59 200d sma reopens 69.15
  • Failure to hold 67.58 swing low exposes the 66.79 crash low

23:31 UTC

Sharp downtrend, stabilising · RSI 48 · price 68.276

Post-FOMC crash, basing below 68.59.

A hawkish FOMC dot-plot and a hot retail sales beat collapsed silver from the 71.53 spike high to 66.79 in under two hours during NY hours. Price has since clawed back to consolidate near 68.27, just under the 200-day SMA pivot at 68.59, with RSI(14) recovering off oversold toward neutral.

Support: 67.55, 66.79

Resistance: 68.59, 69.15

What it said to watch

  • Powell presser is live — could materially shift this read in the next bars
  • M15 close above 68.59 200-day SMA reopens the path to the 69.15 fib zone
  • Failure to hold 67.55 reopens the 66.79 crash low

23:31 UTC

Downtrend after sharp selloff, stabilising · RSI 47 · price 68.276

Post-crash consolidation below 200-dma.

Hawkish FOMC dots and a hot retail sales beat crashed silver from 71.54 to a 66.79 sweep, a sharp range break. Price has since recovered into a 67.85-68.37 consolidation, capped just under the 200-dma at 68.59, RSI(14) back to neutral near 47.

Support: 67.85, 66.79

Resistance: 68.37, 68.59, 69.15

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 68.59 (200-dma) reopens 69.15
  • Failure to hold 67.85 consol low reopens 66.79 session low
  • US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed Thu 12:30 UTC could shift this read

23:16 UTC

Downtrend, recovery off lows · RSI 43 · price 68.315

Post-FOMC crash, basing under 200d sma.

Silver collapsed from the 71.53 spike to 66.79 as the hawkish FOMC and hot retail sales repriced yields; the move bottomed and is now grinding back toward the 200-day SMA at 68.59. RSI(14) has lifted off oversold to mid-40s as price recovers, but 68.59 is the pivot capping the bounce.

Support: 67.55, 66.79

Resistance: 68.59, 69.15

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim and close above 68.59 (200d sma) opens 69.15
  • Failure to hold 67.55 reopens the 66.79 session low
  • FOMC presser still live — could materially shift this read

23:16 UTC

Sharp downside reset, now basing · RSI 50 · price 68.315

Post-crash consolidation above swing low.

Silver spiked to 71.53 then collapsed to 66.79 as the hawkish FOMC (lifted dots, 0.9% retail sales beat) repriced real yields — a textbook false break and reversal. Price has since clawed back to 68.31 and is consolidating in a tight 67.85–68.37 band just under the 200-day at 68.59, with ATR still elevated near 450 pips.

Support: 67.85, 66.79

Resistance: 68.59, 69.15

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 68.59 (200-day / 38.2% fib) reopens the path toward 69.15
  • Failure to hold 67.85 reopens the 66.79 crash low
  • FOMC press conference live now — could materially shift this read

23:02 UTC

Sharp downside break, stabilising · RSI 31 · price 67.956

Post-spike crash into tight consolidation.

Silver spiked to 71.53 then collapsed to 66.79 in the hour after the hawkish FOMC and hot retail-sales beat, a ~4.7-point M15 unwind. Price has since steadied in a tight 67.85-68.14 band; RSI(14) is recovering off oversold but price holds below both EMAs and under the 200-day pivot at 68.59.

Support: 67.00, 66.79

Resistance: 68.14, 68.59

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of the 68.59 200-day pivot would neutralise the breakdown read
  • Loss of 67.0 reopens the 66.79 session low
  • FOMC presser live now — could materially shift this read

23:02 UTC

Sharp downtrend, stabilising · RSI 41 · price 67.956

Post-FOMC breakdown, now consolidating off lows.

Silver collapsed from 71.54 to 66.79 as Powell's hawkish hold and a hot retail sales beat repriced the Fed, a near 4-figure drop on the FOMC bar. Price has since clawed back into a tight 67.85-68.14 consolidation through Asia hours, holding below the 200-day pivot at 68.59 with RSI recovering off oversold.

Support: 66.79

Resistance: 68.14, 68.59

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 68.59 (200-day) would repair the breakdown
  • Loss of 66.79 session low extends the down move
  • FOMC press conference live now could materially shift this read

22:46 UTC

Sharp downtrend, stabilising at lows · RSI 44 · price 67.951

Vertical break lower, now basing 67.5-68.1.

Silver collapsed from 71.54 to 66.79 through the NY session as a hawkish FOMC and the hot retail sales beat repriced the Fed. Price has clawed back to 67.95 and is now consolidating in a tight 67.55-68.14 band; RSI(14) recovered off oversold to mid-40s, ATR remains huge after the spike.

Support: 67.55, 66.79

Resistance: 68.14, 68.59

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 68.59 200-day would ease the bearish read
  • Loss of 67.55 intraday low reopens the 66.79 swing low
  • FOMC presser live now could materially shift this read

22:46 UTC

Sharp selloff, now consolidating · RSI 46 · price 67.951

Vertical drop then base near 67.90.

Silver collapsed from 71.54 to 66.79 during NY hours as the hawkish FOMC and a hot retail sales beat repriced real yields. Price has since clawed back to 67.95 and is now consolidating in a tight 67.55-68.14 band into late session, RSI(14) recovered off oversold to mid-40s. The 200-day pivot at 68.59 caps the upside.

Support: 67.55, 66.79

Resistance: 68.14, 68.59

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 68.14 reopens 68.59 200d pivot test
  • Loss of 67.55 reasserts the downside toward the 66.79 session low
  • Powell presser tone still the live swing factor for this read

22:31 UTC

Sharp downtrend, stabilising · RSI 44 · price 67.954

Post-FOMC breakdown, basing above session low.

Silver collapsed from 71.54 to 66.79 around the FOMC presser as a hawkish Warsh and the retail sales beat repriced yields. Price has since clawed back to consolidate 67.85–68.14, holding above the 66.79 session low; RSI(14) recovering from oversold near 43.

Support: 67.55, 66.79

Resistance: 68.14, 68.59

What it said to watch

  • Close back above 68.14 range top exposes the 68.59 200-day SMA pivot
  • Failure to hold 67.55 reopens the 66.79 session low
  • FOMC presser commentary still live — could re-accelerate the move

22:31 UTC

Sharp downtrend, stabilising · RSI 41 · price 67.954

Post-FOMC flush, basing above session low.

Silver collapsed from the 71.53 spike to 66.79 as the hawkish FOMC and hot retail sales repriced yields, a clean break of the prior 70.00-70.80 range. Price has since clawed back to 67.95 and is consolidating between 67.55 and 68.14 with RSI(14) recovering off its lows; the 200-day SMA at 68.59 sits as the next overhead cap.

Support: 67.55, 66.79

Resistance: 68.14, 68.59

What it said to watch

  • FOMC presser aftermath could re-ignite volatility on this timeframe
  • reclaim of 68.59 (200-day sma) needed to neutralise the flush
  • failure to hold 67.55 reopens the 66.79 session low

22:16 UTC

Sharp downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 44 · price 67.916

Vertical drop then V-recovery.

The hawkish FOMC dot-plot revision triggered a vertical drop from 71.53 to 66.79 (~470 pips) in under two hours during NY hours. Price has since clawed back to 67.92, with RSI(14) lifting off oversold; recovery has stalled just under the 68.14 recent high while the 200-day SMA at 68.59 caps overhead.

Support: 67.55, 66.79

Resistance: 68.14, 68.59

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of the 200-day sma at 68.59 would neutralise the post-FOMC breakdown
  • Failure to hold 67.55 reopens the 66.79 session low
  • Powell presser live now could materially shift this read

22:16 UTC

Sharp downdraft, bouncing · RSI 44 · price 67.916

Post-crash consolidation below pivot.

Hawkish FOMC dots and a hot retail sales beat smashed silver from 71.54 to 66.79 in under two hours, a clean range break. Price has since clawed back to ~67.92 and is consolidating in a 67.55–68.14 band, holding below the 200-day pivot at 68.59.

Support: 67.55, 66.79

Resistance: 68.14, 68.59

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 68.59 200-dma pivot would shift the read
  • Failure to hold 66.79 crash low reopens downside
  • Powell presser live could materially shift this read

22:02 UTC

Sharp downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 42 · price 67.93

Post-FOMC breakdown, recovery underway.

Silver spiked to 71.53 then collapsed to 66.79 in two hours as the hawkish FOMC dot-plot repriced the Fed; the move sliced through prior support with ATR exploding to ~880 pips. Price is now bouncing to 67.93 with RSI(14) lifting off oversold, but the 200-day at 68.59 sits directly overhead.

Support: 66.79

Resistance: 68.59

What it said to watch

  • Powell presser live — could extend the move either way
  • Reclaim of 68.59 200-day needed to neutralise the breakdown
  • Failure to hold 66.79 confirms a fresh lower-low

22:02 UTC

Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 43 · price 67.93

Sharp lower low post-FOMC, corrective bounce.

Silver collapsed from 71.54 to 66.79 during NY hours as the hawkish FOMC dot-plot and a hot retail sales beat repriced the Fed. Price is now grinding back to 67.93 in a corrective bounce, RSI cooling off oversold; the 200-day SMA at 68.59 sits overhead as the bull/bear pivot.

Support: 67.00, 66.79

Resistance: 68.59

What it said to watch

  • FOMC press conference live now — could materially shift this read
  • Reclaim of 68.59 200-day sma would neutralise the downside break
  • Failure to hold 67.0 reopens the 66.79 swing low

21:46 UTC

Sharp downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 41 · price 67.93

Vertical drop then partial recovery.

Silver collapsed during NY hours, falling from 71.54 to 66.79 as a hawkish FOMC dot-plot and a hot 0.9% retail sales beat repriced the Fed. Price has since clawed back to 67.93, holding above the swing low but capped well below the 200-day SMA at 68.59. Last few M15 bars show higher lows off 66.79, RSI recovering from oversold.

Support: 66.792

Resistance: 68.59

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 68.59 (200-day sma) would neutralise the breakdown read
  • Loss of 66.79 swing low extends the decline
  • FOMC presser still live — could materially shift this read

21:46 UTC

Sharp downtrend, bouncing · RSI 41 · price 67.93

Post-FOMC breakdown, recovery off lows.

The hawkish FOMC dot-plot and a hot retail sales beat crushed silver from a 71.53 spike to 66.79 in under two hours. Price is now clawing back to 67.93, with the 200-day SMA at 68.59 the overhead pivot; RSI(14) recovering near 41 off washed-out lows.

Support: 67.00, 66.79

Resistance: 68.59

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 68.59 (200-day sma) needed to neutralise the breakdown
  • Failure to hold 67.00 psych reopens the 66.79 swing low
  • Powell presser live — hawkish follow-through could extend downside

21:31 UTC

Downtrend after FOMC break, bouncing · RSI 41 · price 67.93

Sharp range break lower, recovery off 66.79 low.

Silver collapsed out of the 70.00–71.50 range on the hawkish FOMC dot-plot, dumping ~4.70 from 71.54 to 66.79 in under two hours. Price has since clawed back to 67.93 but trades below EMA20/50 and beneath the 200-day SMA pivot at 68.59. RSI(14) at ~41 is recovering off oversold, with ATR blown out near 880 pips on the post-decision spike.

Support: 66.79

Resistance: 68.59

What it said to watch

  • Powell presser live — could materially shift this read
  • Close back above 68.59 (200d sma) needed to repair the break
  • Failure to hold 66.79 session low opens fresh downside

21:31 UTC

Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 42 · price 67.93

Sharp breakdown then corrective bounce.

Silver spiked to 71.53 then collapsed to 66.79 as a hawkish FOMC dot-plot and a hot retail sales beat repriced the Fed during NY hours. Price is now bouncing to 67.93 but trades well below EMA20/50, with the 200-dma at 68.59 the immediate overhead pivot.

Support: 66.79

Resistance: 68.59

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 68.59 (200-dma) would ease the breakdown read
  • Failure to hold 66.79 confirms continuation lower
  • Powell presser live — could sharply shift this read

21:16 UTC

Sharp downtrend, bouncing · RSI 37 · price 67.93

Post-FOMC breakdown, bounce off lows.

Silver collapsed off the 71.54 spike on the hawkish FOMC dot-plot, dumping to 66.79 before a recovery into 67.93. RSI(14) is climbing back from oversold near 37 and ATR is heavily elevated post-crash. The 200-day SMA at 68.59 sits just overhead as the bull/bear pivot.

Support: 66.792

Resistance: 68.59

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 68.59 (200-day sma) would neutralise the breakdown
  • Failure to hold 66.79 swing low opens fresh downside
  • Powell presser follow-through could extend the volatility

21:16 UTC

Sharp downtrend, post-FOMC impulse · RSI 41 · price 67.93

Lower lows after vertical break, now bouncing.

Silver collapsed from 71.54 to 66.79 after the hawkish FOMC dot-plot reprice, a vertical break that wiped out the prior 70.0–70.8 range. Price has since bounced to 67.93 but trades capped beneath the 200-dma pivot at 68.59; first hour reclaim attempts are stalling under that level.

Support: 66.79

Resistance: 68.59

What it said to watch

  • Powell presser is live and could materially shift this read
  • Reclaim and M15 close above 68.59 (200-dma) negates the breakdown
  • Failure to hold 66.79 session low confirms continuation lower

21:04 UTC

Sharp downtrend, bouncing · RSI 43 · price 67.93

Vertical drop then recovery off the low.

Silver collapsed from 71.54 to 66.79 in under two hours as the hawkish FOMC dot-plot lift and a hot retail sales beat repriced the Fed. Price is now retracing into the NY session, trading 67.93 and edging back toward the 200-day SMA at 68.59; RSI(14) recovering off oversold near 42.

Support: 67.00, 66.79

Resistance: 68.59

What it said to watch

  • Powell presser (live) could extend the drop or fuel a recovery toward the 200-dma
  • M15 close back above 68.59 reclaims the 200-dma pivot
  • Failure to hold 67.00 reopens the 66.79 session low

21:04 UTC

Sharp downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 42 · price 67.93

Post-FOMC breakdown, lower lows then a corrective bounce.

Hawkish FOMC dot-plot triggered a vertical selloff from the 71.53 spike down to 66.79, slicing through the 200-dma at 68.59. Price is bouncing into the NY hours, now 67.93 right at the 23.6% retrace of the drop, with RSI lifting off oversold. The 200-dma is the immediate cap overhead.

Support: 66.79

Resistance: 68.59

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 68.59 (200-dma) would ease the breakdown read
  • Failure to hold 66.79 confirms a fresh lower-low
  • Powell presser follow-through could re-accelerate the move

20:46 UTC

Sharp downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 39 · price 68.035

Post-FOMC breakdown, V-recovery in progress.

Silver collapsed ~4.7 points from 71.54 during NY hours after the hawkish FOMC dot-plot and 0.9% retail sales beat repriced the Fed; the low printed 66.79 before a V-recovery to 68.04. Price now sits just under the 200-day pivot at 68.59, ATR blown out near 866 pips.

Support: 67.547, 66.792

Resistance: 68.59

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 68.59 (200-day pivot) would neutralise the breakdown read
  • Failure to hold 67.55 reopens the 66.79 session low
  • Powell presser live — could materially shift this read

20:46 UTC

Sharp downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 44 · price 68.035

Vertical break lower, early recovery leg.

Silver collapsed from 71.54 to 66.79 as the hawkish FOMC dot-plot and a hot retail sales beat repriced the Fed, a vertical M15 break through prior support. Price is now grinding back toward the 200d SMA at 68.59 with RSI lifting off oversold; the 68.14 bounce high caps the recovery for now.

Support: 67.55, 66.79

Resistance: 68.14, 68.59, 69.13

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 68.59 200d SMA reopens the 69.13 area
  • Failure to hold 67.55 risks a retest of the 66.79 session low
  • Powell presser follow-through could materially shift this read

20:31 UTC

Sharp downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 41 · price 67.817

Breakdown from 71.54, recovering off 66.79.

Silver cratered from 71.54 to 66.79 around the FOMC presser as the hawkish dot-plot and hot retail sales repriced the Fed, a single bar dumping ~2.6 points. Price has since clawed back to 67.82, RSI(14) lifting off the lows near 41; the 200-day SMA at 68.59 caps the recovery overhead.

Support: 66.792

Resistance: 68.59

What it said to watch

  • Powell/Warsh presser live — could materially shift this read in the next bars
  • M15 close back above 68.59 200-day pivot would neutralise the breakdown
  • Failure to hold 66.79 confirms a fresh lower low

20:31 UTC

Sharp downtrend, bouncing · RSI 39 · price 67.817

Range break lower, recovery underway.

Silver collapsed through the 70.0-71.5 NY range on the hawkish FOMC and 0.9% retail sales beat, dumping from 71.53 to 66.79 in under two hours. Price has since clawed back to 67.82, with RSI lifting off oversold; the 200-dma at 68.59 now sits overhead as resistance.

Support: 66.79

Resistance: 68.59

What it said to watch

  • FOMC press conference live now could materially shift this read
  • Close back above 68.59 reclaims the 200-dma pivot
  • Failure to hold 66.79 confirms continuation lower

20:16 UTC

Sharp downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 37 · price 67.675

Lower lows, vertical break then snapback.

Silver swept the 71.53 high then collapsed ~470 pips to 66.79 on the hawkish FOMC hold and hot retail sales repricing real yields. Price is clawing back toward 67.70 off the low; the 68.00–68.59 zone (200d sma) caps the recovery for now.

Support: 67.00, 66.79

Resistance: 68.00, 68.59

What it said to watch

  • Powell presser live could materially shift this read
  • Reclaim of 68.59 200d sma would neutralise the downside break
  • Failure to hold 67.00 reopens the 66.79 swing low

20:16 UTC

Sharp downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 33 · price 67.675

Vertical breakdown then partial recovery.

Silver collapsed during the NY session as a hawkish FOMC (lifted dots) and a hot retail sales beat repriced yields, dumping XAG from 71.54 to 66.79 in under two hours. Price has since bounced to 67.68, RSI(14) climbing off oversold; the 200-dma at 68.59 is now overhead resistance after the breakdown.

Support: 66.792

Resistance: 68.59

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of the 200-dma at 68.59 would neutralise the breakdown read
  • Failure to hold 66.79 confirms a fresh lower-low
  • FOMC presser live now — could materially shift this read

20:02 UTC

Strong downtrend, vertical selloff · RSI 28 · price 67.309

Lower lows, sharp breakdown then stabilising.

Silver collapsed from the 71.53 spike to 66.79 after the hawkish FOMC hold and lifted dot-plot, a near 4.7-point vertical drop through the NY session. RSI(14) is deeply oversold near 28 as price stabilises around 67.30, with the 200-day pivot at 68.59 now capping overhead as resistance.

Support: 66.79

Resistance: 68.59

What it said to watch

  • Powell presser live now — could materially shift this read in the next bars
  • Reclaim of 68.59 (200-day sma) would neutralise the breakdown
  • Failure to hold 66.79 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence

20:02 UTC

Sharp downtrend, post-FOMC flush · RSI 27 · price 67.309

Vertical breakdown, basing attempt at lows.

NY session collapsed post-FOMC: a hawkish hold with sharply lifted dots and a 0.9% retail sales beat sent silver vertically from 71.54 to 66.79, a ~4.7 figure flush in under two hours. RSI(14) is deeply oversold and price is staging a modest bounce to 67.31; the 68.59 200-day region that broke now caps as resistance.

Support: 66.792

Resistance: 68.59

What it said to watch

  • Warsh/Powell presser live — could extend the flush or trigger a snap-back
  • Reclaim above 68.59 200-day sma would repair the breakdown
  • Failure to hold 66.79 session low confirms continuation lower

19:46 UTC

Downtrend, sharp acceleration · RSI 22 · price 66.984

Vertical breakdown, lower lows.

Silver collapsed from the 71.53 NY-session spike to sub-67 as the hawkish FOMC dot-plot lift and hot retail sales repriced real yields. The 200-day SMA at 68.59 gave way and price is now stair-stepping lower into fresh lows at 66.79, RSI(14) deeply oversold near 21 with ATR blown out.

Support: 66.79

Resistance: 68.59

What it said to watch

  • Powell presser live — endorsing the lifted dots could extend the breakdown
  • Reclaim of 68.59 would neutralise the breakdown read
  • Failure to hold 66.79 confirms continuation of lower-lows

19:46 UTC

Sharp downtrend, vertical drop · RSI 21 · price 66.984

Post-FOMC breakdown, fresh lows.

Silver collapsed ~4.7 points from the 71.53 spike high to 66.79 after the hawkish FOMC dot-plot repricing, slicing clean through the 68.57 swing high. RSI(14) is deeply oversold near 21 and ATR has blown out to ~800 pips. Current bar 66.98 sits just off the session low with no rebound structure yet.

Support: 66.792

Resistance: 68.567

What it said to watch

  • Powell presser live now could extend or reverse this move
  • Failure to hold the 66.79 session low opens further downside
  • Reclaim of the 68.57 swing high would ease the breakdown read

19:31 UTC

Sharp downtrend, vertical breakdown · RSI 20 · price 67.295

Lower lows accelerating after rejection at the highs.

NY session saw a vertical breakdown — XAG tagged 71.53 then collapsed to 67.28 after the hawkish FOMC dots and the 0.9% retail sales beat repriced real yields. The 200-day SMA at 68.59 was sliced and now caps as resistance; RSI(14) sub-20 and ATR blown out near 760 pips reflect the disorderly drop.

Support: 67.279, 67.00

Resistance: 68.59

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of the 200-day at 68.59 would ease the breakdown read
  • Failure to hold the 67.00 round number keeps the leg lower in play
  • Powell presser live now — could extend or unwind this move

19:31 UTC

Sharp downtrend, momentum strong · RSI 23 · price 67.295

Vertical breakdown, lower lows.

Silver collapsed ~4 figures from the 71.53 spike high as the hawkish FOMC dot-plot and hot retail sales repriced real yields, slicing straight through the 200-day SMA at 68.59. RSI(14) sub-25 and ATR blown out near 760 pips; price is in free-fall with no intraday base yet established at 67.30.

Support: 67.279

Resistance: 68.59

What it said to watch

  • Powell presser live now — the swing factor for the next bars
  • Reclaim of 68.59 (200-dma) needed to neutralise the breakdown
  • Failure to hold 67.30 extends the lower-low sequence

19:16 UTC

Sharp downtrend, post-FOMC flush · RSI 32 · price 68.271

Vertical breakdown from 70.8 range, probing 200-day.

Silver spiked to 71.53 then collapsed ~2.6 in a single bar as the hawkish FOMC dot-plot and 0.9% retail sales beat repriced the Fed, slicing through the day's 69.5–70.8 range. Price is now hovering below the 200-day SMA at 68.59 after marking a session low of 68.255; RSI(14) near 32 and ATR blown out to ~700 pips.

Support: 68.255, 68.00

Resistance: 68.59

What it said to watch

  • FOMC presser live now — can materially shift this read in the next bars
  • M15 close below 68.255 confirms continuation toward 68.00
  • Reclaim of 68.59 200-day sma puts price back inside the prior range

19:16 UTC

Sharp downtrend, post-spike · RSI 34 · price 68.271

False break of 71.53 then vertical breakdown to lower lows.

Silver spiked to 71.53 then collapsed over 3 points to 68.25 as the hawkish FOMC dots and hot retail sales repriced the Fed — a clean false break of the session high. Price now sits below the 68.59 200-day pivot with RSI(14) near 34 and ATR blown out to ~700 pips on the volatility.

Support: 68.255

Resistance: 68.59

What it said to watch

  • Powell presser live now — the swing factor for the next bars
  • Reclaim of 68.59 200d pivot would ease the breakdown read
  • Failure to hold 68.25 session low opens further downside

19:02 UTC

Downtrend after spike reversal · RSI 42 · price 69.163

Violent FOMC whipsaw, choppy below 70.00.

Silver spiked to 71.53 then violently reversed on the hawkish FOMC, crashing through 70.00 to sweep 68.654 near the 200-day SMA (68.59) before a choppy bounce stalled at 70.26. Price now sits at 69.163, below EMA20/50, with ATR blown out to ~630 pips on the Fed-driven volatility (lifted dots, 0.9% retail sales beat).

Support: 68.654, 68.59

Resistance: 70.00, 70.26, 71.53

What it said to watch

  • Powell/Warsh presser live — could materially shift this read in the next bars
  • Failure to hold the 68.59 200-day sma opens further downside
  • Reclaim of 70.00 round number neutralises the spike reversal

19:02 UTC

Sharp downside reversal after FOMC spike · RSI 43 · price 69.163

Spike-and-crash, basing near 200d sma.

Price spiked to 71.53 then collapsed to 68.65 in a single bar on the hawkish FOMC and hot retail sales, sweeping the highs before crashing toward the 200-day SMA at 68.59. A snap recovery to 70.06 was sold back to 69.16; ATR is hugely elevated at ~628 pips on the violent two-way action.

Support: 68.65, 68.59

Resistance: 70.06, 71.53

What it said to watch

  • Powell presser live now — could materially shift this read
  • Close below 68.59 200d sma confirms the breakdown
  • Reclaim of 70.06 bounce high would neutralise the post-spike fade

18:46 UTC

Violent two-way, no direction · RSI 49 · price 69.962

Spike high then sweep low, mid-range recovery.

Whipsaw into the live FOMC presser: a spike high to 71.53 was rejected, then price collapsed to sweep 68.71 before snapping back to the 70.00 round number. ATR is hugely elevated (~550 pips) on the two-bar range; structure is unreadable mid-range between the spike high and the sweep low until the presser settles.

Support: 68.71, 68.59

Resistance: 70.30, 71.53

What it said to watch

  • Powell presser live now — the swing factor for the next bars
  • Close below the 200-dma at 68.59 reopens downside
  • Reclaim of the 70.30 prior swing needed to stabilise the recovery

18:46 UTC

Violent two-way, no clean trend post-FOMC · RSI 47 · price 69.962

Spike high then flush to 200-day, recovering.

FOMC chaos: silver spiked to 71.53 then flushed straight to 68.65 — a sweep into the 200-day SMA (68.59) — before reclaiming to 69.96. The hawkish dots and 0.9% retail sales beat drove the de-risk; price is now mid-range between the 68.65 low and 70.30 pivot.

Support: 68.65

Resistance: 70.30, 71.53

What it said to watch

  • Powell/Warsh presser live — can override this read in minutes
  • Loss of 68.65 / 200-day SMA opens fresh downside
  • Reclaim of 70.30 pivot needed to neutralise the flush

18:31 UTC

Violent reversal lower after spike · RSI 42 · price 69.034

71.53 spike rejected, flushed to 200d then bounced.

Silver spiked to 71.53 on the FOMC reaction then crashed ~2.8 to 68.654 as the hawkish dot-plot lift and the 0.9% retail sales beat repriced yields against the metal. The flush stalled at the 200-day SMA near 68.59 and bounced to 69, but price sits well below EMA20/50 with the spike high firmly rejected.

Support: 68.654, 68.59

Resistance: 69.488

What it said to watch

  • Powell presser live now — can materially shift this read in the next bars
  • Failure to hold the 68.59 200-day sma opens lower
  • Reclaim of 69.49 bounce high needed to repair the structure

18:31 UTC

Sharp reversal lower · RSI 38 · price 69.034

Spike high rejected, breakdown to session low.

Silver spiked to 71.54 then collapsed to 68.65 in two bars as the hawkish FOMC dot-plot and a hot retail sales print repriced yields against the metal. Price now 69.03, clinging just above the 200-day pivot at 68.59 after the false break of the highs; RSI(14) near 38 off a deeply oversold flush.

Support: 68.654, 68.59

Resistance: 69.488, 71.542

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 68.59 opens further downside
  • Reclaim of 69.49 bounce high needed to stabilise
  • Powell presser live now — could materially shift this read

18:16 UTC

Sharp downside reversal post-FOMC · RSI 35 · price 68.989

Spike high swept, then vertical break lower.

FOMC at 18:00 UTC spiked silver to 71.53 then collapsed it to 68.654 — a hawkish-hold/dot-plot read pressuring the non-yielding metal. The spike above 71.50 was swept and the prior 69.50–70.80 range broke hard to the downside; price now scrapes the reclaimed 200-DMA at 68.59 with a thin bounce to 68.99.

Support: 68.654, 68.59

Resistance: 69.16, 70.50, 71.53

What it said to watch

  • Powell presser at 18:30 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Loss of 68.59 reopens the downside toward 63.80
  • M15 close back above 69.16 then 70.50 would unwind the break

18:16 UTC

Sharp breakdown after FOMC · RSI 40 · price 68.989

False break of session high, then vertical drop.

The FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC spiked silver to a false session high of 71.53 then collapsed it ~2.80 to 68.654 in a single bar, with the hawkish-hold/strong retail sales backdrop pressuring the metal. Price now hugs the 200-DMA at 68.59, RSI(14) sub-40 after the vertical drop; ATR has blown out near 360 pips.

Support: 68.654, 68.59

Resistance: 70.00, 71.53

What it said to watch

  • Powell presser at 18:30 UTC is the next vol driver and could materially shift this read
  • Failure to hold 68.59 200-DMA reopens lower
  • Reclaim of 70.00 would repair the post-FOMC breakdown

18:02 UTC

Uptrend stalled, sharp FOMC reversal · RSI 52 · price 70.316

False break above pivot, snapping back.

FOMC bar spiked silver to 71.53, sweeping the 70.50 pivot, then fully reversed back to 70.32 within the same bar as the decision crossed. RSI cooled off the highs; price now sits below EMA20 with the whole rally extension given back.

Support: 70.00, 69.61

Resistance: 70.50, 71.53

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim and close above 70.50 pivot reasserts the prior rally; failure leaves the spike a false break
  • Powell press conference 18:30 UTC can materially reshape this read
  • Loss of 70.00 round opens the 69.61 swing low

18:02 UTC

Uptrend, post-FOMC whipsaw · RSI 57 · price 70.316

Spike high rejected, back inside prior range.

FOMC decision bar spiked silver to 71.53 then collapsed over 100 pips to close back near 70.32, a clean false break of the session high. Price now sits below EMA20 having round-tripped the spike, with the 70.50 pivot and 70.24 spike low framing the immediate range.

Support: 70.24, 69.84

Resistance: 70.83, 71.53, 70.50

What it said to watch

  • Powell press conference at 18:30 UTC is the larger vol driver and can override this read
  • Reclaim and hold above 70.83 reopens the 71.53 spike high
  • Loss of 70.24 exposes 69.84 swing low

17:46 UTC

Uptrend, accelerating into FOMC · RSI 76 · price 71.458

Fresh higher highs, breakout extension.

NY session ripped through the 70.50 pivot and prior session high in a single impulsive bar to 71.54, RSI(14) running hot near 76. Price holds just under the high with the 70.78 breakout shelf now the reference; this is a pre-FOMC spike, not a measured trend.

Support: 70.784, 70.50

Resistance: 71.542

What it said to watch

  • FOMC decision + dot plot at 18:00 UTC (minutes away) can fully reset this read
  • Loss of 70.78 breakout shelf negates the impulse and reopens the 70.50 pivot
  • Acceptance above 71.54 extends the breakout

17:46 UTC

Uptrend, sharp breakout · RSI 78 · price 71.458

Impulsive break above 70.50 pivot, fresh session highs.

Silver ripped through the 70.50 pivot in the last hour, spiking to 71.54 and tagging fresh session highs into the FOMC. RSI(14) running hot near 78 after a near-1.00 vertical leg, with the 70.50 break level now the immediate reference.

Support: 70.50

Resistance: 71.54, 72.25

What it said to watch

  • FOMC decision + dot-plot in ~72 min can violently reprice this read
  • Failure to hold 70.50 on a close negates the breakout
  • Acceptance above 71.54 opens the path to 72.25

17:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum extended · RSI 66 · price 70.817

Higher highs / higher lows since the 69.54 NY low.

NY session drove silver off the 69.54 low through the 70.50 pivot to a 70.87 session high, RSI elevated but not yet stretched. Pullbacks have held a rising sequence of higher lows; the 70.50 break level now flips to support.

Support: 70.50, 70.197, 69.539

Resistance: 70.874, 71.00

What it said to watch

  • FOMC + dot-plot at 18:00 UTC (~30 min) plus Powell 18:30 — can materially shift this read
  • Loss of 70.50 breaks the higher-low chain and reopens 70.20
  • Close above 70.874 extends the leg toward the 71.00 area

17:31 UTC

Uptrend, extended into FOMC · RSI 68 · price 70.817

Higher highs, $70.50 pivot reclaimed.

NY session drove silver off the 69.54 swing low through the $70.50 pivot, printing a session high at 70.874 before settling around 70.82. RSI(14) hot in the high 60s but not extreme; structure holds a higher-low chain into the FOMC decision.

Support: 70.50

Resistance: 70.874, 70.83

What it said to watch

  • FOMC decision in ~30min plus dot-plot — likely to override this read
  • Loss of 70.50 pivot would break the higher-low chain
  • Close above 70.874 reopens the path toward 72.25

17:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 61 · price 70.60

Higher highs/lows, consolidating below session high.

NY session ran ~$1.3 off the 69.54 low to 70.87, then rejected and is consolidating in the 70.50-70.74 band, RSI cooling from the highs. Move tracks broad USD softness ahead of the Fed; the $70.50 pivot has been reclaimed and is holding as support.

Support: 70.50, 70.13, 69.96

Resistance: 70.87, 72.25

What it said to watch

  • FOMC decision + dot-plot in ~45min could materially reset this read
  • M15 close above 70.87 reopens the path toward 72.25
  • Loss of the 70.50 pivot exposes 70.13 and 69.96

17:16 UTC

Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 61 · price 70.60

Higher highs into a tight range below session high.

NY session drove a sharp rally from 69.54 to 70.87 as the dollar sat at a one-week low pre-FOMC, then price settled into a tight 70.45-70.80 band. Now coiling just under the session high into the rate decision; RSI(14) eased from the rally peak to mid-60s.

Support: 70.45, 70.20, 69.54

Resistance: 70.80, 70.87

What it said to watch

  • FOMC decision/dot-plot in ~44min (18:00 UTC) will likely override this read
  • Break and hold above 70.80 opens the 70.87 rally high toward the $70.50+ pivot zone above
  • Loss of 70.45 reopens the 70.20 pullback low

17:03 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 61 · price 70.639

Consolidating below session high after NY rally.

NY session ripped silver off the 69.54 low through the 70.50 pivot to a session high at 70.874, and price is now consolidating in a 70.45–70.80 band as RSI(14) cools from overbought. Buyers held 70.45 on the latest pullback; structure stays constructive into the Fed.

Support: 70.45, 69.54

Resistance: 70.874, 71.00

What it said to watch

  • FOMC rate decision + dot-plot in ~72 min could materially reshape this read
  • M15 close below 70.45 breaks the rising intraday structure
  • Reclaim of 70.874 session high reopens the path toward 71.00

17:03 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 61 · price 70.639

Higher highs into consolidation below 70.80.

NY session ran a sharp leg up from 69.54 to 70.87 after the hot retail sales print, then stalled and is consolidating in the 70.45–70.80 band into the FOMC decision. RSI(14) cooling off the highs toward 61; the 70.50 pivot has flipped to support so far.

Support: 70.45, 70.13

Resistance: 70.804, 70.874

What it said to watch

  • FOMC rate decision + dot-plot at 18:00 UTC (~1h) can override this read
  • M15 close above 70.80 reopens the 70.87 session high
  • Loss of 70.45 turns the consolidation lower toward 70.13

16:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 63 · price 70.587

Higher highs into consolidation near session high.

NY session drove silver from the 69.54 low to 70.874, reclaiming the 70.50 pivot, before stalling and squaring ~70.59 ahead of the Fed. RSI(14) cooling from the highs as price consolidates just under the session high; the 70.50 pivot now acts as support.

Support: 70.50, 70.13, 69.54

Resistance: 70.874

What it said to watch

  • FOMC at 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read
  • Close back below 70.50 pivot reopens the 70.13 swing low
  • Break above 70.874 exposes 72.25

16:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 62 · price 70.587

Higher highs/lows, consolidating near session high.

NY session ramped silver from the 69.54 low to a 70.87 swing high, and price is now consolidating in the low 70.70s after a rejection at 70.87. RSI(14) is cooling from the rally peak while price holds above EMA20/EMA50; range top respected so far ahead of the 18:00 GMT FOMC.

Support: 70.45, 70.13

Resistance: 70.804, 70.874

What it said to watch

  • FOMC decision in ~1.25h (18:00 GMT) can materially shift this read
  • M15 close above 70.874 opens the path toward 72.25
  • Loss of 70.45 swing low confirms a lower-low and exposes 70.13

16:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 64 · price 70.728

Higher highs into NY, consolidating below session high.

NY session drove silver from 69.54 to a 70.874 session high, clearing the 70.50 pivot and now consolidating in a tight 70.6-70.8 band. RSI(14) easing back toward 63 as the upmove stalls; the reclaimed 70.50 pivot is the first support beneath price.

Support: 70.50, 70.29

Resistance: 70.874

What it said to watch

  • FOMC at 18:00 GMT (~1.5h out) — dot plot can materially shift this read
  • Loss of 70.50 pivot reopens the 70.29 swing low
  • Close above 70.874 session high extends the NY rally

16:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 63 · price 70.728

Higher highs into session high, consolidating just below.

NY session ripped from a 69.54 sweep to 70.87, clearing the 70.50 pivot, with silver now coiling in the upper 70.70s as RSI(14) cools from overbought. Price holds above both EMAs but the rally has stalled into the FOMC decision.

Support: 70.50, 70.13

Resistance: 70.874, 72.25

What it said to watch

  • FOMC decision/dot plot at 18:00 GMT (~1.5h) can override this structure
  • Loss of 70.50 pivot reopens the 70.13 swing low
  • Close above 70.874 session high extends the leg toward 72.25

16:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum extended · RSI 64 · price 70.71

Higher highs / higher lows off the NY low.

NY session drove silver from the 69.54 session low through the $70.50 pivot up to 70.87, with profit-taking into FOMC keeping price pinned in a tight 70.70 consolidation. RSI(14) is elevated but not extreme; the $70.50 pivot now reads as support after the break.

Support: 70.50, 69.963, 69.539

Resistance: 70.874

What it said to watch

  • FOMC decision 18:00 UTC (~1.7h) plus dot plot will likely dictate the next leg
  • Loss of 70.50 pivot reopens the 69.96 swing low
  • M15 close above 70.874 extends the session high

16:16 UTC

Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 66 · price 70.71

Higher highs after breakout above 70.50.

NY session drove silver through the 70.50 pivot to a 70.874 session high, and price is now consolidating just under it around 70.71. RSI(14) elevated but not extreme; the breakout structure holds as long as 70.50 caps as support.

Support: 70.50, 70.20

Resistance: 70.874, 72.25

What it said to watch

  • FOMC decision 18:00 UTC and dot plot could materially shift this read
  • M15 close back below 70.50 negates the breakout and reopens 70.20
  • Acceptance above 70.874 session high extends the rally toward 72.25

16:02 UTC

Uptrend, strong NY push · RSI 68 · price 70.765

Higher highs into session high, pre-FOMC.

NY session drove a clean breakout above the $70.50 pivot, printing a session high at 70.874 before a shallow consolidation back to 70.77. RSI(14) running hot near 68 but not extreme; price holding well above EMA20/50. FOMC decision and dot plot in ~2h is the binary catalyst.

Support: 70.50

Resistance: 70.874

What it said to watch

  • FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Loss of 70.50 pivot would negate the breakout
  • M15 close above 70.874 extends the session high

16:02 UTC

Uptrend, NY session rally into FOMC · RSI 69 · price 70.765

Higher highs and higher lows since the 69.54 sweep.

Silver swept the 69.54 session low then ran the NY session higher through the 70.50 pivot, tagging 70.874 before consolidating just under it. Price holds above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) elevated near 68 but not yet stretched; structure is a clean chain of higher lows off 69.54.

Support: 70.50, 70.13, 69.54

Resistance: 70.874

What it said to watch

  • FOMC decision in ~2h plus dot plot is the binary catalyst and could materially shift this read
  • A loss of 70.50 breaks the higher-low chain and reopens 70.13
  • Clean break of 70.874 session high extends the rally

15:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum strong · RSI 66 · price 70.634

Higher highs / higher lows, fresh session high.

NY session drove silver out of the 70.0–70.3 range to a session high of 70.874, reclaiming the 70.50 pivot which now acts as support. RSI(14) elevated near 66 but not extreme; price chopped after the 69.96 dip and is holding the upper band.

Support: 70.50, 70.13, 69.96

Resistance: 70.874, 71.00

What it said to watch

  • FOMC decision in ~2h is the binary — could materially shift this read
  • Loss of 70.50 pivot reopens 70.13 then the 69.96 session low
  • Close above 70.874 session high extends the breakout toward 71.00

15:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum strong · RSI 66 · price 70.634

HH/HL chain off session low, above pivot.

NY session drove silver from 69.54 to a 70.874 session high, clearing the $70.50 pivot which now caps as support, with RSI(14) hot but not extreme near 66. Price consolidating in the low-70.60s after the run; the move tracks a soft USD and US-Iran peace optimism noted in the macro read.

Support: 70.50, 70.13

Resistance: 70.824, 70.874

What it said to watch

  • FOMC decision and dot plot at 18:00 UTC is the binary — could reshape this read entirely
  • Loss of 70.50 pivot reopens the 70.13 swing low
  • M15 close above 70.874 extends the session high break

15:31 UTC

Uptrend, post-breakout pause · RSI 64 · price 70.624

Higher highs into session high, shallow pullback.

NY session ran a sharp rally off 69.54, clearing the 70.50 pivot to tag a session high at 70.874 before a fast pullback to 70.20 was bought back. Price now holds 70.624 just under the high, consolidating into FOMC; RSI(14) cooling from the rally peak.

Support: 70.50, 70.20, 69.96

Resistance: 70.874

What it said to watch

  • Clean M15 close above 70.874 extends the breakout toward 72.25
  • Loss of 70.50 pivot opens 70.20 then 69.96
  • FOMC decision + dot plot in ~2.5h is the binary driver of this read

15:31 UTC

Uptrend, strong NY leg · RSI 68 · price 70.624

Higher highs off 69.54 swing low.

NY session ripped silver from 69.54 to a 70.874 session high before fading to 70.62; the leg followed soft USD and US-Iran peace optimism despite a hot retail sales beat. RSI(14) near 68, not yet stretched; price holds above EMA20/50 with the pullback low at 70.29 intact.

Support: 70.291, 69.539

Resistance: 70.874, 71.00

What it said to watch

  • FOMC decision and dot plot in ~2.5h is the binary catalyst for this read
  • M15 close below 70.29 breaks the higher-low chain
  • Reclaim and close above 70.874 reopens the path toward 71.00

15:16 UTC

Intraday uptrend, post-spike cooling · RSI 61 · price 70.465

Range break higher, swept session high then reclaimed.

NY session rallied off the 69.54 low, broke the 70.0-70.4 range and spiked to a session high of 70.87 before sweeping back to 69.96 and reclaiming the 70.50 pivot; mild bid as the US-Iran peace optimism caps USD. Price now coils just below 70.50 with RSI cooling from the spike.

Support: 70.00, 69.963, 69.60

Resistance: 70.50, 70.874

What it said to watch

  • FOMC + dot plot in ~3h is the binary catalyst for this read
  • Clean M15 close above 70.50 pivot exposes the 70.87 session high
  • Loss of the 69.96 swing low reopens the 69.60 session low

15:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling pre-FOMC · RSI 57 · price 70.465

NY breakout, sharp rejection, recovering.

NY session ramped silver off 69.54 to a 70.874 session high, then rejected hard back to 69.96 before recovering to 70.47 — pinned just under the $70.50 pivot. ATR is elevated near 344 pips as price coils ahead of the Fed.

Support: 69.963, 69.539

Resistance: 70.50, 70.874

What it said to watch

  • FOMC decision + dot plot in ~3h is the binary catalyst for this read
  • Clean M15 close above 70.50 exposes the 70.874 session high
  • Loss of 69.96 reopens the 69.54 swing low

15:02 UTC

Intraday recovery, momentum cooling · RSI 57 · price 70.343

NY range break higher then pullback.

NY session ripped from 69.84 to a 70.87 session high before a sharp rejection wick dragged price back to 70.34, RSI(14) cooling off the highs. Move stalled under the 70.50 pivot with the prior $61.50-area longs rebuild intact; the whole read defers to FOMC and the dot plot in ~3h.

Support: 69.963

Resistance: 70.50, 70.874

What it said to watch

  • FOMC decision in ~3h is the binary — likely to override this structural read
  • M15 close above 70.50 pivot opens the path back to the 70.87 session high
  • Loss of 69.96 ny low confirms the rejection followed through

15:02 UTC

Intraday rally, momentum fading · RSI 57 · price 70.343

Spike to session high, half retrace.

NY session pushed silver from 69.54 up to a 70.87 session high before a sharp rejection dragged it back to 70.34, mid the day's range. The pop tracks softer USD and US-Iran peace optimism; price is holding above EMA20/50 with RSI cooling off the highs ahead of the Fed.

Support: 69.96, 69.54

Resistance: 70.50, 70.87

What it said to watch

  • FOMC decision + dot plot in ~3h is the binary catalyst for this read
  • Close above 70.50 pivot exposes 70.87 session high
  • Failure to hold 69.96 reopens the 69.54 range low

14:46 UTC

Uptrend, sharp NY leg · RSI 69 · price 70.615

Breakout above 70.50, holding higher lows.

NY session ripped silver off the 69.54 session low to a high at 70.87, then eased back to 70.62 as the rally stalled into FOMC. The push cleared the 70.50 pivot and the 70.32 breakout shelf is now holding; RSI(14) near 69, hot but not extreme.

Support: 70.32, 69.54

Resistance: 70.824

What it said to watch

  • FOMC at 18:00 UTC plus dot-plot/Powell presser is the dominant catalyst for the next bars
  • Close back below 70.32 neutralizes the breakout
  • Failure to hold 69.54 confirms a lower low

14:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 66 · price 70.615

Higher highs, breakout from range.

NY session ripped silver to a 70.874 session high before pulling back to 70.6, RSI(14) cooling from overbought as buyers stepped in through the 70.27 breakout shelf. Price is parked just under the session high ahead of the FOMC decision.

Support: 70.27, 69.84

Resistance: 70.874

What it said to watch

  • FOMC at 18:00 UTC (~3h) plus dot-plot/presser could materially shift this read
  • Loss of 70.27 negates the breakout and reopens 69.84
  • Close above 70.874 extends the session leg

14:31 UTC

Uptrend, freshly accelerating · RSI 74 · price 70.828

Breakout above intraday range, new session high.

Silver ripped through the 70.30-70.45 ceiling during NY hours, printing a session high at 70.874 with price parked just under it. RSI(14) near 74 is hot but typical for this kind of impulse; the leg ran on a soft USD into the Fed.

Support: 70.30

Resistance: 70.874, 71.00

What it said to watch

  • FOMC at 18:00 UTC plus Powell presser is the dominant catalyst — could materially shift this read
  • Loss of 70.30 reclaims the prior range and neutralizes the breakout
  • Acceptance above 70.874 opens the path to the 71.00 round number

14:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum accelerating · RSI 73 · price 70.828

Breakout from intraday range, fresh highs.

Silver ripped higher through the last NY-session hour, clearing the 70.50 pivot and printing a session high at 70.874 on persistent USD softness. RSI(14) near 73 is hot but consistent with the impulsive leg; the 69.54 swing low capped the prior range before the breakout.

Support: 70.50, 69.84

Resistance: 70.874

What it said to watch

  • FOMC at 18:00 UTC plus Powell presser could materially shift this read
  • A close back below 70.50 neutralizes the breakout
  • Loss of 69.84 reopens the prior range

14:16 UTC

Choppy, recovering into range top · RSI 58 · price 70.294

Range 69.50–70.50, intraday push back to top.

Silver swept the session low at 69.54 then rebounded sharply to 70.46 in the NY morning before fading to 70.29; price is pressing the top of a 69.50–70.50 range. Move tracks a soft USD, with traders parked ahead of the Fed.

Support: 69.54

Resistance: 70.46, 70.51

What it said to watch

  • FOMC at 18:00 UTC plus Warsh presser at 18:30 is the dominant catalyst and will likely override this range read
  • M15 close above 70.50 opens the path higher; failure there keeps the range intact
  • Loss of 69.54 confirms a lower-low and breaks the range floor

14:16 UTC

Recovering off session low, momentum up · RSI 58 · price 70.294

Sharp rebound from swept low, consolidating below session high.

Silver swept the session low at 69.54 then ripped back to 70.46 on USD softness, now consolidating near 70.30. RSI(14) mid-range at ~58 after the bounce; price holding above EMA20/50 but capped under the session high.

Support: 70.13, 69.84, 69.54

Resistance: 70.46, 70.51

What it said to watch

  • FOMC at 18:00 UTC (~4h) plus Powell presser is the dominant catalyst and can override this read
  • Close above 70.46 session high opens the path toward 70.51
  • Loss of 70.13 recent dip reopens 69.84 and the 69.54 session low

14:02 UTC

Range, late upside spike · RSI 56 · price 70.124

Ranging 69.50–70.44, recent sweep and recovery.

Silver swept the session low at 69.54 then snapped up to 70.44 before fading back to 70.12, leaving a wide ranging structure between 69.50 and 70.44. Move comes as the USD sits at one-week lows into the FOMC, with the metal clinging above the 70.00 round number.

Support: 69.54, 70.00

Resistance: 70.44, 70.51

What it said to watch

  • FOMC at 18:00 UTC (~4h) is the dominant catalyst and can override this read
  • Close above 70.44 reopens the upside toward 70.51
  • Loss of 69.54 sweep low confirms a fresh lower-low

14:02 UTC

Rebound off session low, momentum cooling · RSI 58 · price 70.124

Swept lows, reclaimed 70.00.

NY session swept the 69.54 swing low then snapped back sharply through 70.00 to tag 70.44, before easing to 70.12 as the spike faded. Price holds above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 58, neither extreme.

Support: 70.00, 69.54, 69.48

Resistance: 70.44, 70.51

What it said to watch

  • FOMC at 18:00 UTC plus Powell presser is the dominant catalyst — could materially shift this read
  • Close back below 70.00 reopens the 69.54 swing low
  • Break above 70.44 exposes the 70.51 prior high

13:46 UTC

Recovering off session lows · RSI 63 · price 70.401

Higher low printed, rally back above 70.00.

Silver swept the session low at 69.54 in the last hour then rallied sharply to 70.40 on continued USD softness, reclaiming the 70.00 handle. RSI(14) near 63, momentum up but not yet stretched; current bar testing the 70.44 session high.

Support: 69.54, 69.40

Resistance: 70.44, 70.51

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.51 clears prior high and extends the recovery
  • Loss of 69.54 negates the recovery and re-exposes the 69.40 window low
  • FOMC at 18:00 UTC (~4h) and Powell presser are the dominant catalysts — dot-path could reshape this read

13:46 UTC

Recovering off session lows · RSI 62 · price 70.401

Range 69.50-70.50, pressing top.

Silver snapped back into NY hours, rallying from the 69.54 session low to 70.44 and pressing the 70.50 pivot as the USD stayed soft. RSI(14) near 62 with room before extremes; price has reclaimed the broader 69.50-70.50 range top after the late push.

Support: 69.838, 69.539

Resistance: 70.513, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.51 opens the path back toward 71.18
  • Failure to hold 69.84 reopens the 69.54 session low
  • FOMC at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

13:31 UTC

Choppy, recent push higher · RSI 57 · price 70.24

Range, swept lows then sharp recovery.

NY session swept the session low at 69.54 then rallied sharply to 70.31 as the USD stayed soft into the Fed. Price is back inside the 69.5–70.5 range; RSI(14) mid-range with no extreme.

Support: 70.00, 69.54

Resistance: 70.31, 70.50

What it said to watch

  • FOMC at 18:00 UTC (~4.5h) and Powell presser is the dominant catalyst — could materially shift this read
  • Close above 70.50 session high opens the path toward 72.25
  • Loss of 70.00 round number reopens the 69.54 session low

13:31 UTC

Ranging, recent recovery off lows · RSI 58 · price 70.24

Choppy range, lower-low swept and reclaimed.

XAGUSD swept the 69.54 area then snapped ~50 pips higher to 70.31, reclaiming the 70.00 round number with RSI(14) recovering to mid-range. Price has chopped between 69.54 and 70.50 for most of the session ahead of FOMC; the recent high at 70.31 is the immediate level to watch.

Support: 70.00, 69.54

Resistance: 70.31, 70.50

What it said to watch

  • FOMC at 18:00 UTC plus Powell presser is the dominant catalyst and could overwhelm this range
  • M15 close above 70.50 pivot opens the path higher
  • Loss of 69.54 sweep low confirms a fresh lower-low

13:16 UTC

Downtrend, momentum easing · RSI 44 · price 69.847

Lower highs into pre-FOMC drift.

Silver has drifted lower through the NY session, carving a chain of lower highs from 70.51 down to the current 69.85 with price under both EMAs. A spike low to 69.54 was bought back on the last full bar, but the 69.99 round number caps; RSI(14) near 43, no momentum extreme.

Support: 69.54, 69.48

Resistance: 69.99, 70.51

What it said to watch

  • FOMC decision + dot plot at 18:00 UTC (~5h) is the catalyst that overrides this read
  • Loss of 69.54 confirms continuation toward the 69.48 session low
  • Reclaim of 69.99 neutralises the lower-high sequence

13:16 UTC

Drifting lower into FOMC · RSI 44 · price 69.847

Lower highs, holding above 69.50.

Silver ground lower through the NY morning off the 70.50 pivot, posting a chain of lower highs and now hovering near 69.85 below both EMAs. Buyers defended 69.50 twice; metal is coiling in a tight range as traders sit on hands ahead of the FOMC dot plot.

Support: 69.54, 69.48

Resistance: 70.10, 70.50

What it said to watch

  • FOMC decision + dot plot at 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst for the next bars
  • Loss of 69.50 confirms a lower-low and opens 68.59
  • M15 close above 70.10 negates the lower-high sequence

13:03 UTC

Downtrend stalling, now ranging · RSI 46 · price 69.865

Consolidation below intraday lower highs.

Silver drifted off the 70.44 swing high through the NY session and is consolidating 69.59–70.00 ahead of the FOMC decision, RSI(14) flat near 46. Rejections building under the 70.00 round number while buyers stepped in twice around 69.48–69.59; price sits on the EMA20 but below the EMA50.

Support: 69.59, 69.48

Resistance: 70.00, 70.10, 70.44

What it said to watch

  • FOMC decision + dot plot at 18:00 UTC is the catalyst that defines this range
  • M15 close above 70.10 swing high reopens the 70.44 high
  • Close below the 69.48 session low confirms a fresh lower-low

13:03 UTC

Downtrend stalling, choppy · RSI 46 · price 69.865

Range-bound under 70.00 ahead of FOMC.

Silver is grinding sideways in the 69.48–70.00 band after rejection at the 70.44 session high, with sellers capping rallies and buyers stepping in twice near 69.50. Price sits just under EMA20 and below EMA50, momentum flat as the market sits on its hands into the FOMC.

Support: 69.61, 69.483

Resistance: 70.00, 70.44

What it said to watch

  • FOMC decision + dot plot at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
  • M15 close above 70.00 reopens the path to 70.44
  • Failure to hold 69.60 confirms a lower-low toward 69.48

12:46 UTC

Downtrend, momentum easing · RSI 45 · price 69.885

Lower highs off 70.44, now consolidating.

Silver faded the 70.44 NY session high down to 69.48 and is now chopping in a tight 69.65–69.97 band below both EMAs, USD soft into the FOMC. Repeated rejection near 69.97 with RSI mid-40s; price coiling ahead of the dot plot.

Support: 69.65, 69.483

Resistance: 69.97, 70.44

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 69.97 challenges the lower-high sequence toward 70.44
  • Failure to hold 69.65 opens the 69.48 session low
  • FOMC decision + dot plot at 18:00 UTC is the real catalyst for this range

12:46 UTC

Downtrend, momentum flattening · RSI 45 · price 69.885

Lower highs, consolidating above 69.60.

Silver slid off the 70.44 swing high through London into NY and is now consolidating 69.65–70.00, capped well below the 70.50 pivot. RSI(14) sits mid-40s with the move flattening as desks sit on hands ahead of the FOMC dot plot.

Support: 69.65

Resistance: 70.00, 70.44, 70.50

What it said to watch

  • FOMC dot plot at 18:00 UTC + Powell presser is the catalyst that overrides this read
  • Loss of 69.60 confirms a fresh lower low
  • M15 close back above 70.00 reopens the 70.44 swing high

12:31 UTC

Downtrend, grinding lower · RSI 42 · price 69.76

Lower highs into NY, holding above 69.62.

Silver drifted lower through the NY session, slipping from 70.44 to 69.76 in a chain of lower highs, with price now pinned below the 70.01 round number. Demand stepped in around 69.62 on the last dip but momentum stays heavy ahead of the 18:00 UTC FOMC dot plot, the real catalyst for this coil near $70.

Support: 69.62, 69.48

Resistance: 70.01, 70.44

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 70.01 neutralises the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 69.62 confirms the next lower low toward 69.48
  • FOMC dot plot at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

12:31 UTC

Downtrend, drifting into FOMC · RSI 43 · price 69.76

Lower highs since 70.44, holding above 69.48.

Silver has bled lower from the 70.44 session high through the NY session, printing lower highs while parked near 69.76 below both EMAs. Price is coiling above the 69.48 swing low as traders refuse directional bets into the FOMC dot plot; RSI(14) sits mid-40s with no extreme.

Support: 69.48

Resistance: 70.08, 70.44

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 69.48 swing low confirms continuation lower toward 200-DMA 68.59
  • Reclaim of 70.08 recent high neutralises the lower-high sequence
  • FOMC dots at 18:00 UTC is the catalyst — could materially shift this read

12:16 UTC

Downtrend, intraday drift lower · RSI 43 · price 69.832

Lower highs into 70.00, holding above 69.48.

Silver has drifted lower through the European session, slipping from 70.44 to 69.83 in a chain of lower highs with the 70.00 round number now capping. Price holds above the 69.48 swing low; RSI(14) sits mid-40s, no extreme. The metal is coiled near the $70 area ahead of the FOMC dot plot, the real catalyst.

Support: 69.48, 69.16

Resistance: 70.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 70.00 negates the lower-high sequence
  • Failure to hold 69.48 swing low opens 69.16
  • Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC dot plot 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

12:16 UTC

Downtrend, lower highs into FOMC · RSI 44 · price 69.832

Descending off 70.44, basing near 69.50.

Silver ground lower through London into the NY pre-market, carving lower highs from 70.44 and parking near 69.83 just under the 70 psych level. Buyers stepped in twice around 69.48–69.62 to base the session low, but the bounce stalled. Move is coiled ahead of US Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) and the FOMC dot plot at 18:00 UTC.

Support: 69.62, 69.48

Resistance: 70.44

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 70 psych and a close above the descending highs flips the micro read
  • Loss of 69.62 session low exposes the 69.48 swing low
  • Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC and FOMC at 18:00 UTC can override this structure

12:02 UTC

Downtrend, momentum building · RSI 41 · price 69.766

Lower highs since London high, pressing session low.

Silver has ground lower through the NY morning, carving lower highs off the 70.44 London high and now hovering just above the 69.62 recent low with RSI(14) near 41. Price sits below EMA20/50 and the round 70.00 is capping bounces. Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC and the FOMC dot plot at 18:00 UTC are the live catalysts.

Support: 69.62, 69.48

Resistance: 70.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 69.48 confirms a lower low and extends the slide
  • Reclaim of 70.00 round number negates the downside drift
  • Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC and FOMC dots at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

12:02 UTC

Downtrend, grinding lower · RSI 43 · price 69.766

Lower highs off 70.44, holding above 69.48.

Silver rolled over from 70.44 into a chain of lower highs, now pinned near 69.77 just above the 69.48 session low after rejection at 70.03. RSI(14) sits mid-40s with no extreme; price coils below EMA20/EMA50 as the metal parks ahead of US Retail Sales and the FOMC dot plot.

Support: 69.483

Resistance: 70.03

What it said to watch

  • US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could break this tight range
  • FOMC + dot plot at 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst
  • Loss of 69.48 confirms a fresh lower-low
  • Reclaim of 70.03 negates the descending-high sequence

11:46 UTC

Downtrend, grinding lower · RSI 38 · price 69.771

Lower highs into session lows.

Silver has ground lower off the 70.44 swing high, printing successive lower highs and now sitting near session lows at 69.77 with RSI mid-30s. The 69.60–69.48 zone is the floor under price; sellers have capped every bounce below 70.00. ATR near 185 pips into a heavy event window.

Support: 69.60, 69.48

Resistance: 69.97

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 69.48 confirms a fresh lower-low and extends the down leg
  • M15 close back above 69.97 negates the lower-high sequence
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC dots 18:00 UTC could materially reset this read

11:46 UTC

Downtrend, coiling into FOMC · RSI 41 · price 69.771

Lower highs since 70.44, holding session low.

XAGUSD drifting lower through NY morning, parked near 69.77 after rejection at the 70.03 bounce high. Lower highs in play since the 70.44 swing high, with the 69.48 session low so far holding as price coils ahead of US Retail Sales and the FOMC dots.

Support: 69.483

Resistance: 70.031, 70.44

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 69.48 session low confirms continuation lower
  • Reclaim of 70.03 bounce high negates the lower-high sequence
  • US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC and FOMC dots at 18:00 UTC could break the coil

11:31 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 43 · price 69.794

Lower highs off 70.50, grinding toward session low.

Silver drifting lower through the London-NY transition, printing lower highs off the 70.50 area with price now at 69.79, just above the 69.48 session low. RSI(14) near 43 and price below both EMAs; the 70.00 round number is capping bounces as traders hold fire into US Retail Sales and the FOMC dot plot.

Support: 69.48, 69.40

Resistance: 70.00

What it said to watch

  • Close below 69.48 session low opens the path to the 69.40 swing low
  • Reclaim of the 70.00 round number negates the lower-high sequence
  • US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC and FOMC dot plot at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

11:31 UTC

Downtrend, lower highs into FOMC · RSI 41 · price 69.794

Stair-step lower, near session low.

XAGUSD ground lower through the NY session, printing lower highs from 70.44 and sliding back under the 70.00 round number as the USD held a pre-FOMC bid. Price sits just above the 69.48 swing low with RSI(14) near 40 — coiled and rangebound ahead of the dot plot.

Support: 69.483, 69.16

Resistance: 70.00, 70.44

What it said to watch

  • FOMC dot plot at 18:00 UTC is the catalyst and could materially shift this read
  • Loss of 69.48 swing low confirms continuation lower toward the 9d ema 69.16
  • M15 close back above 70.00 round number neutralises the lower-high sequence

11:16 UTC

Downdrift within range · RSI 43 · price 69.859

Ranging, slipping toward session lows.

Silver is drifting lower through the London-NY transition, easing from the 70.36 swing high back toward session lows near 69.61 as traders sit on hands into the FOMC. RSI(14) sits mid-range with no momentum extreme; the $70.50 breakout pivot continues to cap above while price coils near 69.85.

Support: 69.61

Resistance: 70.36, 70.50

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 69.61 confirms a lower-low into NY
  • Reclaim of 70.36 reopens the 70.50 pivot
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

11:16 UTC

Downtrend within wider range · RSI 44 · price 69.859

Lower highs off 70.50, parked near session low.

Silver ground down from the 70.50 pivot through the NY session to 69.86, sitting just above the 69.61 session low and stalling at the 38.2% retrace of the down-leg. Price holds below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-40s; metal coiled near 70.00 as traders sit on hands into FOMC.

Support: 69.61

Resistance: 70.05, 70.50

What it said to watch

  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could break the range — soft print supports the 70.00 hold, a beat pressures 69.61
  • FOMC decision/dots 18:00 UTC is the catalyst that resolves this range
  • Close back above 70.05 reopens the 70.50 pivot; loss of 69.61 confirms a lower low

11:02 UTC

Intraday downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 47 · price 69.917

Lower highs off 70.44, basing under 70.

Silver slid from the 70.44 swing high to 69.48 through the London session, then recovered to ~69.92 and is consolidating just under 70. RSI(14) mid-range, coiled below the 70.50 breakout pivot with traders refusing directional bets into FOMC.

Support: 69.48, 68.59

Resistance: 70.08, 70.44, 70.50

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.08 breaks the lower-high sequence
  • Failure to hold 69.48 opens the 200-dma at 68.59
  • US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC then FOMC dot plot at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

11:02 UTC

Downtrend within broader range, drifting lower · RSI 46 · price 69.917

Lower highs since 70.44, coiling below 70.50 pivot.

XAGUSD has bled off the 70.44 high in a sequence of lower highs, now coiling near 69.90 below the 70.50 breakout pivot as traders refuse directional bets into US data. Price sits just under EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range; the recent 69.48 session low held on the last test.

Support: 69.483

Resistance: 70.44, 70.50

What it said to watch

  • US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC (~1.5h) could break the coil
  • FOMC dot plot at 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this read
  • Close below 69.48 confirms a lower low and exposes 200-DMA zone
  • Reclaim of 70.44 reopens the 70.50 pivot

10:46 UTC

Downtrend, momentum easing into FOMC · RSI 44 · price 69.963

Lower highs off 70.44, coiling under 70.00.

Silver is grinding lower in the London-NY window, carving lower highs from the 70.44 swing and parking just under the 70.00 psych level after a 69.48 session low. RSI(14) near 43 with price below EMA20/50 reflects the soft tone, but the metal is coiling rather than breaking ahead of US Retail Sales and the FOMC dot plot.

Support: 69.483, 69.16

Resistance: 70.00, 70.44

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 70.00 reopens the 70.44 swing high
  • Loss of 69.48 session low confirms continuation lower toward 69.16
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC then FOMC 18:00 UTC can override this read

10:46 UTC

Range-bound, drifting lower near $70 · RSI 47 · price 69.963

Coiling 69.48–70.44, lower highs into FOMC.

Silver pulled back from the 70.44 session high, swept the 69.48 swing low and recovered to 69.96, sitting on the 50% retrace of that leg. Price is coiling near $70 with RSI mid-range as traders refuse directional bets ahead of the FOMC; the $70.50 pivot still caps.

Support: 69.48

Resistance: 70.44, 70.51

What it said to watch

  • FOMC dot plot at 18:00 UTC is the catalyst and can override this read
  • Close above 70.51 pivot reopens the upside toward higher resistance
  • Failure to hold 69.48 swing low confirms a lower low

10:31 UTC

Downtrend, late-session slide · RSI 41 · price 69.892

Lower highs into FOMC, coiled near 69.90.

Silver rolled over from the 70.44 swing high through the late session, sweeping to 69.48 before stabilising near 69.90 below both EMAs, RSI(14) mid-40s. Price is coiled around the 70.00 psych line as traders refuse directional bets into the FOMC.

Support: 69.48, 69.39

Resistance: 70.00, 70.44

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 69.48 confirms a lower-low extension toward 69.39
  • Reclaim of 70.00 psych negates the late-session slide
  • Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC and FOMC dots at 18:00 UTC can override this read

10:31 UTC

Downtrend, lower highs · RSI 45 · price 69.892

Stair-step lower off the 70.44 swing, holding above 69.48.

Silver ground lower through the London session, printing lower highs from 70.44 down to a 69.48 session low before a shallow bounce stalled near 70.03. Price now coils around 69.89 under EMA20/50, the metal parked below the 70.50 breakout pivot as traders sit on hands into FOMC.

Support: 69.483, 69.398

Resistance: 70.031, 70.44, 70.50

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.03 negates the lower-high sequence
  • Failure to hold 69.48 confirms a fresh lower low toward the 69.40 day low
  • US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC and FOMC dots at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

10:16 UTC

Range-bound, lower highs into FOMC · RSI 46 · price 69.934

Ranging 69.48–70.50, capped under 70.50 pivot.

Silver is grinding sideways near 70.00 after an early spike to 71.18 was sold off hard, with traders refusing directional bets into FOMC. The recent dip to the 69.48 session low was bought back, but a string of lower highs is keeping price pinned below the 70.50 pivot.

Support: 69.48

Resistance: 70.03, 70.50

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 69.48 confirms a lower low
  • Reclaim of 70.03 then 70.50 pivot needed to reopen upside
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC dot plot 18:00 UTC are the catalysts that override this range read

10:16 UTC

Two-way, ranging into FOMC · RSI 45 · price 69.934

Range with lower highs since the 70.44 swing.

XAGUSD is coiled around 70.00 with the bulk of the last 24h trapped between 69.48 and 70.50 as traders refuse directional bets into the FOMC dot plot. Price rejected 70.44 and dipped to a 69.48 swing low before recovering, leaving a chain of lower highs; momentum flat with RSI(14) near 44.

Support: 69.48, 69.00

Resistance: 70.05, 70.44, 70.50

What it said to watch

  • FOMC rate decision and dot plot at 18:00 UTC is the catalyst that breaks this range
  • Close below 69.48 confirms a lower-low and opens the 69.00 psych level
  • Reclaim of the 70.50 pivot reopens the upper range

10:02 UTC

Downtrend, recent leg lower · RSI 43 · price 69.918

Lower highs off 70.44, drifting toward 69.48 swing low.

Silver chopped 69.5-70.5 all session after the spike to 71.18 was sold off hard, and is now grinding lower with a chain of lower highs off 70.44; price sits at 69.918, below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 43. Demand stepped in at the 69.48 swing low on the last test, capping the slide for now.

Support: 69.483, 69.16

Resistance: 70.03, 70.44, 70.50

What it said to watch

  • Close below 69.48 confirms a lower low and opens the 9-day EMA zone near 69.16
  • Reclaim of 70.05 negates the lower-high sequence
  • US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC and FOMC dots at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

10:02 UTC

Short-term downtrend within range · RSI 43 · price 69.918

Lower highs off 70.44, $70 pivot lost.

Silver rolled over from the 70.44 session high and lost the $70 pivot, sliding into a 69.48 swing low before a shallow bounce stalled near 70.0. Price now sits at 69.918 with momentum soft into the US Retail Sales print and the FOMC dot plot, the metal coiled below its $70.50 breakout pivot.

Support: 69.48, 69.39

Resistance: 70.00, 70.44, 70.50

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 70.0 psych level would neutralise the short-term downtrend
  • Failure to hold 69.48 swing low confirms a lower low toward 69.39
  • US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC and FOMC dot plot at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

09:46 UTC

Intraday pullback, basing near $70 · RSI 45 · price 70.021

Session down-leg into 69.48, recovered to round number.

London session ground lower from 70.39 to a session low of 69.48 before buyers stepped in and lifted price back to the $70 round number, RSI(14) recovering to ~45. Silver is coiled at the $70 pivot with traders refusing directional bets ahead of US Retail Sales and the FOMC dot plot.

Support: 69.48

Resistance: 70.31

What it said to watch

  • US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could front-load a USD reaction and move the $70 hold
  • FOMC dot plot at 18:00 UTC is the main catalyst — likely to override this read
  • Close below 69.48 confirms a fresh lower low; reclaim of 70.31 negates the down-leg

09:46 UTC

Ranging near 70, recovering off lows · RSI 48 · price 70.021

Session low swept then sharp recovery into range.

Silver coiled near 70 ahead of the FOMC dots, with the session low at 69.48 swept and sharply bought back to 70.02. The range top near 70.44 has capped every push; price is pinned mid-range at the EMAs into the event.

Support: 69.48, 68.59

Resistance: 70.44, 70.50

What it said to watch

  • FOMC dot plot at 18:00 UTC is the catalyst — could materially shift this read
  • M15 close above the 70.50 pivot opens 70.44 range top break higher
  • Failure to hold 69.48 session low confirms a lower low toward 68.59 200-dma

09:31 UTC

Down off intraday highs, bouncing · RSI 48 · price 70.022

Range 69.48–70.50, recovery off the low.

Silver sold from the 70.50 pivot down to a 69.48 session low, then bounced to retrace ~60% of the down-leg back to 70.00 during London hours. RSI(14) recovering from the dip toward neutral; price still pinned under EMA20/50 as the metal coils ahead of FOMC.

Support: 69.48, 69.40

Resistance: 70.33, 70.50

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 70.33 swing high reopens the 70.50 pivot test
  • Loss of 69.48 session low confirms a fresh lower-low
  • Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC dots 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

09:31 UTC

Range, recent dip recovered · RSI 48 · price 70.022

Ranging 69.48–70.50, swept the low then reclaimed 70.00.

Silver swept the session low at 69.48 and recovered the 70.00 round number, leaving a 69.48–70.50 range intact as traders parked ahead of US Retail Sales and the FOMC dot plot. RSI(14) back near 48 after the dip; no directional resolution yet with 70.50 capping and 70.00 reclaimed.

Support: 70.00, 69.48

Resistance: 70.51

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.50 pivot opens the path toward higher levels
  • Failure to hold 69.48 confirms a lower low
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC then FOMC dot plot 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

09:16 UTC

Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 39 · price 69.764

Lower highs and lower lows off 70.39.

Silver sold off through the London morning from 70.39 to a 69.48 session low, then ticked back to 69.76 — a chain of lower highs, RSI(14) near 39. Price is pinned under the 70.10 pivot ahead of US Retail Sales, holding well above the reclaimed 200-DMA noted in the macro read.

Support: 69.48, 69.39

Resistance: 70.10, 70.39

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 70.10 breaks the lower-high chain
  • Loss of 69.48 confirms continuation toward 69.39
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC dots 18:00 UTC could reset this read

09:16 UTC

Intraday downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 41 · price 69.764

Lower highs, session low swept and reclaimed.

London session sold the $70.30 area down through the lows, sweeping 69.483 before buyers stepped in back to 69.76. RSI(14) near 40 with price under EMA20/50; the prior $70 coil has tilted lower as traders position ahead of FOMC.

Support: 69.483

Resistance: 70.10

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 70.10 negates the lower-high sequence
  • Failure to hold 69.48 confirms a fresh lower low
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC then FOMC dots 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

09:03 UTC

Intraday downtrend, momentum building · RSI 36 · price 69.644

Lower highs and lower lows since the 70.44 session high.

Silver slid off the 70.44 high through 70.00 into the London session, printing a fresh leg to 69.48 before a thin bounce to 69.64 — RSI(14) near 36, price under both EMAs. Softer USD on US-Iran peace optimism failed to hold the bid as traders trimmed ahead of FOMC.

Support: 69.483, 69.398

Resistance: 70.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 69.48 confirms the lower low, exposing the 69.40 swing and 200-DMA region
  • Reclaim of 70.00 would neutralise the breakdown read
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC dots 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

09:03 UTC

Downtrend, breaking lower · RSI 33 · price 69.644

Lower highs, range break to downside.

XAG rolled out of the 70.00-70.40 session range and slid to 69.64, taking out prior support at 70.10 on the way down. RSI(14) near 32 reflects the sharp leg lower but not yet washed out; this drift is traders trimming ahead of the FOMC dot plot.

Support: 69.398

Resistance: 70.104, 70.44

What it said to watch

  • Close below 69.40 confirms a fresh lower low
  • Reclaim of 70.10 negates the breakdown read
  • FOMC projections at 18:00 UTC are the catalyst — likely to override this structure

08:46 UTC

Downtrend, breaking lower · RSI 31 · price 69.529

Range break to the downside.

London session sold the 69.8-70.5 range floor, with the last six M15 bars stair-stepping down to 69.53 toward the 69.40 swing low, RSI(14) near 31. The $70.50 pivot capped the prior bounce; price now testing the lower edge of the day's range as traders de-risk into US data.

Support: 69.40, 68.59

Resistance: 70.18, 70.50

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 70.18 recent high negates the range break
  • Loss of 69.40 swing low exposes the 200-dma at 68.59
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC/dot plot 18:00 UTC can materially shift this read

08:46 UTC

Short-term downtrend, accelerating into session low · RSI 34 · price 69.529

Lower highs / lower lows, broke below the 69.80-70.50 range.

XAG broke down through the 69.80-70.50 range it held all day, sliding to 69.53 in a chain of lower lows as the softer-USD bid faded ahead of FOMC. RSI(14) near 34, not yet oversold; price now probing toward the 69.40 swing low with the 70.00 round level capping any bounce.

Support: 69.40

Resistance: 70.00, 70.50

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 69.40 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
  • Reclaim of 70.00 would neutralise the breakdown read
  • FOMC dot plot at 18:00 UTC and Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

08:31 UTC

Downtrend, pressing lows · RSI 34 · price 69.768

Lower highs, lower lows since the 71.18 spike.

Silver is grinding lower through the London session, printing a chain of lower highs off 70.44 and now testing the 69.70 session low with RSI(14) near 33. Price sits below both EMAs after rejection at 70.10; the broad 69.40–70.50 range still contains it ahead of US Retail Sales and the FOMC.

Support: 69.50, 69.40

Resistance: 70.10, 70.44

What it said to watch

  • Break and close below 69.50 confirms a fresh lower low
  • Reclaim of 70.10 ema20 neutralises the downside pressure
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC then FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

08:31 UTC

Downtrend, leg lower in progress · RSI 35 · price 69.768

Lower highs, breaking below 70.00 range floor.

Silver leaked lower through the London morning, rolling off the 70.39 swing high and slicing below the 70.00 range floor that held since the Asian session; price now sits at 69.77 with RSI(14) near 35 and trading below both EMAs. Move ties to a steadier USD as traders trim risk into US Retail Sales and the FOMC dot plot.

Support: 69.69, 69.40

Resistance: 70.10, 70.39

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 69.69 session low confirms continuation toward 69.40 swing low
  • Reclaim of 70.10 puts price back inside the prior range
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could reset this read

08:16 UTC

Fading toward range lows · RSI 39 · price 69.809

Range below 70.50 after 71.18 spike sold.

Silver spiked to 71.18 early London then got sold hard to 69.40; since then it has ranged 69.80–70.50 and is now grinding back toward the range floor with RSI(14) cooling near 39. Price sits below EMA20/50, sellers capping each push at 70.44–70.51 as USD weakness and FOMC caution leave it two-way.

Support: 69.77, 69.40

Resistance: 70.00, 70.44, 70.51

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 69.77 opens the 69.40 session low
  • Reclaim of 70.00 puts the 70.44 lower high back in play
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could reset this range

08:16 UTC

Rangebound, edging lower · RSI 40 · price 69.809

Range 69.80-70.51, testing lower edge.

XAGUSD is grinding lower toward the 69.74 session low after repeated rejections near 70.51, holding a tight range as traders trim risk ahead of US Retail Sales and the FOMC dot plot. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 40 — soft but not extended.

Support: 69.744, 69.506

Resistance: 70.10, 70.513

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 69.74 opens the 69.50 swing low
  • Reclaim of 70.10 pivot neutralises the downside drift
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC can break this range

08:02 UTC

Intraday pullback after rally · RSI 42 · price 69.965

Ranging, recent lower highs.

Silver rejected at the 70.44 swing high and slid back through the 70.00 round number, now testing the 69.90 session-low region with RSI(14) cooling to the low 40s. Two-way and rangebound into the FOMC, with USD softness having capped the earlier squeeze.

Support: 69.90, 69.59

Resistance: 70.00, 70.44

What it said to watch

  • Close below 69.90 confirms a lower-low and exposes 69.59
  • Reclaim of 70.00 puts the 70.44 high back in play
  • FOMC decision + dot plot at 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst
  • US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could shift the read pre-Fed

08:02 UTC

Downtrend within broader range · RSI 42 · price 69.965

Ranging post-spike, recent lower highs.

Silver faded through the London session from the 70.44 swing high back toward 69.95, printing lower highs with price below both EMAs and RSI(14) near 42. Price is clinging to the 69.90 session-low area after the earlier spike to 71.18 was rejected; broader $70 consolidation intact ahead of FOMC.

Support: 69.90, 69.40

Resistance: 70.44, 70.50

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 69.90 confirms a lower-low and opens the spike low at 69.40
  • Reclaim of 70.50 trigger would break the lower-high sequence
  • Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC dot-plot 18:00 UTC are dominant catalysts that can override this read

07:46 UTC

Range after spike rejection · RSI 46 · price 70.106

Consolidating 69.85-70.45.

Silver is rangebound 69.85-70.45 after the 71.18 spike was sharply rejected during NY hours yesterday. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 46 with price hugging the 70.00 round number; no intraday setup in play ahead of the Fed.

Support: 70.00, 69.87

Resistance: 70.45, 70.50

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.45 opens a retest of the 70.50 trigger
  • Failure to hold 69.87 confirms a lower-low
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC are the dominant catalysts and can reset this read

07:46 UTC

Range-bound, drifting lower intraday · RSI 46 · price 70.106

Consolidation between 69.85 and 70.50 after spike rejection at 71.18.

Silver is ranging 69.85–70.50 in the London session, having faded a spike to 71.18 back below 70.50 amid USD softness near DXY 99.50. RSI(14) sits neutral around 46 with price slipping under its EMAs as the market trims risk into the Fed.

Support: 69.85, 69.59

Resistance: 70.50, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.50 opens the path back to 71.18
  • Loss of 69.85 exposes 69.59 session low
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC are the dominant catalysts that could break this range

07:31 UTC

Ranging, no clear direction · RSI 51 · price 70.203

Consolidation between 70.10 and 70.44.

XAG chopping around 70.20 in the London morning, boxed between 70.10 and 70.44 after the volatile drop to 69.40 and recovery earlier in the window. RSI(14) neutral near 51; price hugging EMA20/50 with no momentum, as traders trim risk into Retail Sales and the FOMC dot-plot.

Support: 70.10, 69.91

Resistance: 70.44, 70.50

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.50 invalidates the range and opens 72.25
  • Loss of 70.10 exposes the 69.91 swing low
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

07:31 UTC

Rangebound, consolidating near $70 · RSI 53 · price 70.203

Balancing in 69.90–70.50 after recovery off 69.40.

Silver is chopping between 69.90 and 70.50 around the $70 handle, holding above EMA20/50 as traders trim risk into the FOMC. The 71.18 spike was rejected hard early in the window, and buyers have since defended the 69.40 session low, leaving price mid-range with RSI flat near 53.

Support: 69.90, 69.40

Resistance: 70.50, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • Clean M15 close above 70.50 opens the 71.18 spike high
  • Loss of 69.90 puts the 69.40 session low back in play
  • FOMC decision 18:00 UTC and Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

07:16 UTC

Ranging, mild recovery · RSI 56 · price 70.321

Consolidation between 69.90 and 70.50.

XAGUSD is grinding inside a 69.90-70.50 range during London hours, holding above EMA20/50 after the mid-window spike to 71.18 was sold back to 69.50. Price recovered off 69.90 and sits at 70.32 with RSI(14) neutral near 56 — no fresh momentum ahead of US Retail Sales and the FOMC decision.

Support: 69.90, 69.59

Resistance: 70.50

What it said to watch

  • Clean M15 close above 70.50 opens the path toward 72.25
  • Failure to hold 69.90 reopens the 69.59 spike low
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially reshape this range

07:16 UTC

Range, drifting toward top · RSI 56 · price 70.321

Ranging 69.90–70.50 after spike reversal.

Silver is ranging 69.90–70.50 after a spike to 71.18 was sharply rejected and faded back below 70. Price is grinding toward the range top at 70.51 into the FOMC decision, RSI(14) neutral around 56 with no momentum extreme.

Support: 69.90, 69.50

Resistance: 70.51, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.51 opens the path toward 72.25
  • Failure to hold 69.90 reopens 69.50 range low
  • FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could override this read

07:02 UTC

Choppy, mild recovery within range · RSI 56 · price 70.346

Ranging after spike-and-flush, basing near range mid.

Silver flushed to a sweep low at 69.40 after the 71.18 NY-session spike, then recovered to grind back toward the 70.51 session high. Now consolidating near 70.35 with RSI mid-range, holding above the 200-day reference ahead of US data.

Support: 69.90, 69.40

Resistance: 70.51, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.51 reopens the 71.18 prior high
  • Failure to hold 69.90 exposes the 69.40 sweep low
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially reset this read

07:02 UTC

Range-bound, mild upward drift · RSI 57 · price 70.346

Consolidating below session highs after spike fade.

XAG drifting higher into the 70.51 session-high area after fading the 71.18 spike, broadly contained in a 69.90–70.51 range with USD soft pre-FOMC. RSI(14) mid-range near 57; no extremes in play. Demand has stepped in repeatedly around 69.90 through the Asia–London transition.

Support: 69.90, 69.59

Resistance: 70.51, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.51 opens the path back toward the 71.18 spike high
  • Loss of 69.90 reopens 69.59 session low
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC are the dominant catalysts and could reset this range read

06:46 UTC

Ranging, no clear direction · RSI 52 · price 70.215

Consolidation between 69.90 and 70.50.

Silver chopping around $70.20, boxed between 69.90 and 70.50 after the spike to 71.18 was sold back hard. Two-way drift into the Fed with USD soft-neutral; RSI mid-range, no momentum edge intraday.

Support: 69.92, 69.40

Resistance: 70.51

What it said to watch

  • Close above 70.50 opens 71.18 spike high
  • Loss of 69.90 exposes 69.40 session low
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could break this range

06:46 UTC

Ranging, no clear direction · RSI 52 · price 70.215

Range-bound after spike fade.

XAGUSD is ranging 70.04–70.50 either side of $70, RSI(14) flat near 52 after the spike to 71.18 was fully faded back below 70. Price clinging just above EMA20/50 with no setup in play ahead of US Retail Sales and the FOMC.

Support: 70.04, 69.87, 69.59

Resistance: 70.505, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • Close above 70.50 trigger opens the path back toward 71.18
  • Loss of 69.87 confirms a lower-low and exposes 69.59
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

06:31 UTC

Ranging, post-spike consolidation · RSI 51 · price 70.182

Range between 69.90 and 70.50 after rejection from 71.18.

Silver spiked to 71.18 then sold off sharply to 69.40, and has since coiled in a 69.90–70.50 range for the last ~12 hours with RSI(14) flat near 51. Price is parked mid-range around 70.18 into Retail Sales and the FOMC, with traders trimming risk; no directional setup in play.

Support: 69.90, 69.59

Resistance: 70.50, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.50 opens the path back toward the 71.18 spike high
  • Loss of 69.90 exposes the 69.59 swing low
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC are the dominant catalysts and could break this range

06:31 UTC

Ranging, no clear bias · RSI 53 · price 70.182

Consolidation under 70.44 after a sweep.

XAG chopping in a 69.90-70.44 range near $70 with RSI(14) flat around 53, traders trimming risk ahead of the FOMC. A spike to 71.18 was swept back to 69.39 earlier in the window before price recovered to consolidate; range top at 70.44 still capping.

Support: 69.90, 69.39

Resistance: 70.44, 70.51

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.44 reopens 70.51 and the $70.50 trigger
  • Failure to hold 69.90 exposes the 69.39 sweep low
  • FOMC decision + dot plot at 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could break this range

06:16 UTC

Range, grinding up off lows · RSI 56 · price 70.301

Consolidation between 70.00 and 70.50 after spike to 71.17 was faded.

Silver is consolidating just above the $70 psych level after the spike to 71.17 was sharply faded earlier in the window. Price ground back up through Asia hours, reclaiming 70.30 with RSI near 56 — rotational, no extreme. Session sits below 70.44 resistance with the $70 round number capping downside.

Support: 70.00, 69.80

Resistance: 70.44, 70.51, 71.17

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 70.00 reopens 69.80 session low
  • Break above 70.51 exposes the 71.17 spike high
  • US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC and FOMC/dot-plot at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

06:16 UTC

Rangebound, mild upward drift · RSI 56 · price 70.301

Consolidation below 70.50 after the 71.18 spike faded.

XAG is grinding back toward the 70.44 session high after the early-London push off 69.85, holding the 70.00 psych level. Price has chopped inside 69.85–70.51 since the 71.18 spike was rejected, RSI(14) neutral around 56 — no clean break in play with traders trimming risk ahead of US data.

Support: 70.00, 69.85

Resistance: 70.44, 70.51, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • Close above 70.51 opens the path back toward 71.18
  • Failure to hold 70.00 exposes the 69.85 swing low
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC are the dominant catalysts and can reset this read

06:02 UTC

Range, mild bid into NY · RSI 56 · price 70.313

Consolidation between 69.90 and 70.51.

Silver is consolidating in a 69.90–70.51 band after the 71.18 spike was rejected, with price ticking back up to 70.31 as the USD softens pre-FOMC. RSI(14) near 56 — neutral, no extreme. Range floor at 69.90 has held twice; top at 70.51 still caps.

Support: 69.90, 69.59

Resistance: 70.51, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.51 opens the path back to 71.18
  • Failure to hold 69.90 exposes 69.59
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

06:02 UTC

Range, consolidating into FOMC · RSI 56 · price 70.313

Ranging 69.90–70.51 after 71.18 spike faded.

Silver spiked to 71.18 during London hours then dumped to 69.40, and has since been chopping in a 69.90–70.51 band, now mid-range at 70.31 near the 50% retrace of that down-leg. RSI(14) neutral around 56; price is holding above EMA20/50 but lacks direction with traders trimming risk into Retail Sales and the FOMC.

Support: 69.90, 69.59

Resistance: 70.51, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could break the 69.90–70.51 range pre-Fed
  • FOMC + dot plot at 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst
  • M15 close above 70.51 opens the path back toward 71.18
  • Loss of 69.90 exposes the 69.59 swing low

05:46 UTC

Range, no clear direction · RSI 54 · price 70.208

Consolidation between 69.90 and 70.50.

XAGUSD consolidating near 70.20 through the Asian session, holding a 69.90-70.50 range after the earlier spike to 71.18 was sold back. RSI(14) neutral mid-range; supply capped 70.50, demand stepped in near 69.90.

Support: 69.90, 69.50

Resistance: 70.51

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.50 opens the path toward 71.18
  • Loss of 69.90 exposes the 69.50 swing low
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC decision/dots 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

05:46 UTC

Range after volatile reversal · RSI 54 · price 70.208

Consolidation between 69.85 and 70.51.

Silver swept to 71.18 then flushed back to 69.40 before settling into a 69.85-70.51 range, with price now near the midpoint at 70.21 and RSI neutral around 54. Two-way chop is consistent with traders trimming risk ahead of the FOMC; 70.50 remains the level capping rallies.

Support: 69.59

Resistance: 70.51, 70.92, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.51 reopens the path to the 70.92 spike high
  • Loss of 69.85 exposes the 69.59 spike low
  • FOMC decision + dot plot at 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could break this range

05:31 UTC

Range, mild upward drift into FOMC · RSI 56 · price 70.307

Balancing around 70.00 after 71.18 spike rejection.

XAG is ranging roughly 69.85–70.51 through the Asian session, holding the $70 pivot after the 71.18 spike was rejected and unwound. Last bar popped to 70.32 on thin volume; RSI(14) neutral near 56, no extension in play.

Support: 70.00, 69.85

Resistance: 70.51, 70.69, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • Close above 70.51 opens path back toward the 70.69/71.18 highs
  • Loss of 70.00 and 69.85 swing low confirms a lower-low
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC dots 18:00 UTC are the dominant two-way risks

05:31 UTC

Recovering off lows, consolidating · RSI 55 · price 70.307

Range above 70.00 after sweep of 71.18.

Silver spiked to 71.18 then sold off to 69.40 mid-window, since clawing back above the 70.00 pivot and now chopping between 70.00 and 70.51. Repeated rejections capped 70.51 while demand stepped in around 69.90; RSI(14) near 55, no extreme. Price is squaring up ahead of US Retail Sales and the FOMC decision.

Support: 70.00, 69.90, 69.40

Resistance: 70.51, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.51 extends the rebound toward 71.18
  • Loss of 70.00 reopens 69.90 then 69.40
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

05:16 UTC

Downtick within range, drifting below $70 · RSI 43 · price 69.93

Consolidating, lower highs after rejection at 70.51.

Silver rejected the 70.51 session high during NY hours and has drifted back under the $70.00 pivot, printing lower highs into 70.25. Price is sitting on the 69.85 swing low with RSI(14) mid-40s; choppy, no clean intraday trend as traders square up ahead of the Fed.

Support: 69.85, 69.40

Resistance: 70.00, 70.25, 70.51

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim and M15 close above 70.00 negates the soft tilt back toward 70.25
  • Loss of 69.85 opens the path toward the 69.40 swing low
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC/dots 18:00 UTC are the main two-way risks for this read

05:16 UTC

Downtick within range, momentum flat · RSI 42 · price 69.93

Range below 70.50 after rejection of the 71.18 high.

XAGUSD is consolidating around 69.93 after the spike to 71.18 was rejected and faded back into a 69.85–70.51 range. Price slipped under EMA20/50 on the latest leg lower with RSI(14) near 42; pre-Fed profit-taking has kept the metal pinned just under 70.00.

Support: 69.85, 69.59

Resistance: 70.31, 70.51, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 69.85 confirms a lower-low and opens the 69.59 swing
  • Reclaim of 70.31 puts the 70.51 session high back in play
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC dots 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

05:03 UTC

Uptrend stalled, now ranging · RSI 47 · price 70.049

Spike high faded, consolidating at $70 pivot.

Silver spiked to 71.18 during NY hours then sold off hard to 69.51 before recovering; it has since coiled around the $70 psych pivot. Repeated rejections at 70.51 capped the bounce and price is drifting back toward the 69.85 swing low, RSI(14) mid-range near 46.

Support: 70.00, 69.85, 69.51

Resistance: 70.51

What it said to watch

  • Hold above the 70.00 psych pivot keeps the rebound intact
  • Loss of 69.85 swing low opens the path back to the 69.51 selloff low
  • FOMC decision + dot plot at 18:00 UTC is the dominant two-way catalyst
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could move price before the decision

05:03 UTC

Range-bound after spike fade · RSI 47 · price 70.049

Consolidating around 70.00 pivot.

XAG is chopping around the $70.00 pivot in the Asia session after the spike to 71.18 was sold back into the 69.40 area earlier. Range has tightened to roughly 69.85–70.51 as traders square up into the Fed; price sits just under EMA20/50 with RSI near neutral.

Support: 70.00, 69.85, 69.40

Resistance: 70.51, 70.91, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.51 reopens the 70.91 spike-high zone
  • Loss of 69.85 exposes the 69.40 swing low
  • Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC are the dominant catalysts ahead

04:46 UTC

Pulled back from highs, drifting lower · RSI 44 · price 69.947

Range below 70.00 after rejection from 71.18.

Silver topped at 71.18 mid-window then sold off, and is now grinding lower below the 70.00 round number into 69.95 ahead of the Fed. Sellers capped repeated bounces around 70.50 while 69.85 holds for now; the rebound is consolidating rather than extending.

Support: 69.85, 69.59

Resistance: 70.00, 70.30, 70.51

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 69.85 confirms a lower low toward 69.59
  • Reclaim of 70.00 then 70.30 needed to negate the downside drift
  • Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC + dot plot 18:00 UTC are the dominant catalysts and could reset this read

04:46 UTC

Range below $70 pivot, slipping · RSI 41 · price 69.947

Consolidation, ranging 69.85–70.51.

Silver slipped back under the $70 pivot in the Asia session, ranging 69.85–70.51 over the last 8 hours after rejection at 70.51, with RSI(14) cooling near 41. Price is squaring up below EMA20/50 into the FOMC, holding just above the 69.85 swing low.

Support: 69.85, 69.40

Resistance: 70.00, 70.51

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 69.85 opens a move toward the 69.40 prior low
  • Reclaim of 70.00 round pivot would re-engage the upper range
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC + dot plot 18:00 UTC are the dominant catalysts for this read

04:31 UTC

Downtrend, fading from session high · RSI 42 · price 69.923

Lower highs since 71.18 spike, slipping below 70.00.

Silver rejected the 70.51 session high and has bled back below the $70.00 pivot into Asia hours, printing lower highs since the 71.18 spike. RSI cooling near 41 and price under both EMAs; pre-FOMC profit-taking keeps it pinned around 69.90.

Support: 69.90, 69.59

Resistance: 70.00, 70.51

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 70.00 reopens the 70.51 session high
  • Loss of 69.90 exposes the 69.59 session low
  • FOMC decision + dot plot at 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst

04:31 UTC

Rangebound, edging lower · RSI 42 · price 69.923

Consolidation between 69.90 and 70.51 after a failed push higher.

Silver rejected the 70.51 session high and has drifted back to the 69.90 lower edge of the range, RSI cooling into the low 40s as USD stays soft pre-Fed. Price now sits below EMA20/50 testing support after holding a 69.90–70.51 band for the last several hours.

Support: 69.88, 69.40

Resistance: 70.25, 70.51

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 69.88 opens the path back toward the 69.40 session low
  • Reclaim of 70.25 puts the 70.51 session high back in play
  • FOMC decision + dot plot at 18:00 UTC is the dominant two-way catalyst; Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could pre-position the move

04:16 UTC

Range, drifting lower into the close · RSI 46 · price 70.002

Consolidation around the $70 pivot after rebound stalled.

XAG sits right on the $70.00 pivot after the rebound to 70.51 faded; price has chopped in a 70.00–70.51 band through the Asia hours with RSI(14) hovering near 46. The bigger move is parked ahead of US Retail Sales and the FOMC dot-plot — both could break this range decisively.

Support: 70.00, 69.879, 69.506

Resistance: 70.513, 70.694

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 70.00 exposes the 69.88 swing low, then 69.50 session low
  • Reclaim of 70.51 reopens the 70.69 prior high
  • Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC dot-plot 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

04:16 UTC

Pullback, drifting to 70.00 · RSI 41 · price 70.002

Lower highs into round number.

NY session faded from the 70.51 session high, printing a chain of lower highs back into the 70.00 pivot as the de-escalation/soft-USD rebound consolidates pre-Fed. RSI(14) sits mid-40s and price is below EMA20/50; 70.00 is now being tested.

Support: 70.00, 69.80

Resistance: 70.25, 70.51

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 70.00 then 69.80 confirms a lower low
  • Reclaim of 70.25 breaks the lower-high sequence
  • Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC + dot plot 18:00 UTC will materially reset this read

04:02 UTC

Ranging, post-spike consolidation · RSI 48 · price 70.119

Balancing around $70 pivot after volatile session.

Silver chopped between roughly 70.00 and 70.51 through the Asia session, holding the $70 pivot after the earlier spike to 71.18 was sold back to 69.40. RSI(14) sits neutral near 48 with price hovering on the EMAs — no setup in play ahead of FOMC.

Support: 70.00, 69.40

Resistance: 70.51, 70.90, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 70.00 pivot opens the path back to the 69.40 session low
  • Reclaim of 70.51 session high needed to revive the rebound toward 70.90
  • FOMC dot-plot at 18:00 UTC is the dominant two-way catalyst for this read

04:02 UTC

Range, no momentum · RSI 49 · price 70.119

Consolidating below 70.50 after spike rejection.

Silver is ranging roughly 70.00–70.51 through the Asia session after the NY spike to 71.18 was sharply rejected and sold back. Price sits mid-range with RSI(14) flat near 49; the $70 pivot is holding so far ahead of the Fed.

Support: 70.00, 69.59

Resistance: 70.51, 70.92

What it said to watch

  • FOMC decision + dot plot at 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this read
  • M15 close below 70.00 opens 69.59 swing low
  • Break and hold above 70.51 reopens the 70.92 prior high

03:46 UTC

Rangebound after sharp reversal · RSI 52 · price 70.196

Consolidating 70.00–70.51 below 71.18 high.

Silver spiked to 71.18 during the London-NY transition then reversed hard to 69.40 on pre-Fed profit-taking; price has since stabilised, chopping in a 70.00–70.51 band through Asia hours. RSI(14) neutral near 52, no momentum edge while $70 round number holds.

Support: 70.00, 69.59, 69.40

Resistance: 70.51, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 70.00 round number reopens 69.59 swing low
  • Reclaim of 70.51 session high needed to challenge the 71.18 spike high
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

03:46 UTC

Sideways after volatile swing · RSI 49 · price 70.196

Range-bound, balancing above $70.

Silver is consolidating in a 70.00–70.51 band through the Asia session after the volatile NY swing that spiked to 71.18 then flushed to 69.40. Price holds just above the $70 pivot with RSI(14) neutral near 49 and thin late-session volume; no setup in play.

Support: 70.00, 69.85

Resistance: 70.51, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 70.00 puts the rebound at risk toward 69.85
  • Break and hold above 70.51 reopens the upper range
  • FOMC + dot plot at 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could override this read

03:31 UTC

Sideways after rejected spike · RSI 49 · price 70.126

Consolidation above $70 pivot.

Silver is consolidating $70.00–$70.51 in the Asia session after the London/NY spike to 71.18 was sharply rejected back toward $69.40. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 49 with price hugging the $70 pivot flagged in the digest; no directional setup in play ahead of US Retail Sales and the Fed.

Support: 70.00, 69.87

Resistance: 70.51, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • Close above 70.51 reopens the path toward the 71.18 spike high
  • Failure to hold 70.00 exposes the 69.87 swing low
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

03:31 UTC

Ranging, no clear direction · RSI 46 · price 70.126

Consolidation inside 70.00-70.51.

Asia session has gone quiet, consolidating between the 70.00 pivot and the 70.51 NY session high after that earlier push higher faded. Volume thinning and RSI(14) mid-range near 46 — no setup in play, price coiling under EMA20.

Support: 70.00, 69.88

Resistance: 70.51, 70.45

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 70.00 opens the path back to 69.88
  • M15 close above 70.51 reopens upside
  • FOMC + dot plot at 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can void this range read

03:16 UTC

Ranging, slight downward drift · RSI 46 · price 70.076

Consolidation around 70.00 pivot post-spike reversal.

XAGUSD is consolidating around the $70.00 pivot in Asia hours after a NY-session spike to 71.18 reversed sharply to 69.40 on pre-Fed positioning. Price sits on the 38.2% retracement of that drop with RSI(14) mid-range near 46; the 69.90–70.51 band has contained the last several hours.

Support: 70.00, 69.90, 69.40

Resistance: 70.51, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 69.90 opens the 69.40 swing low
  • Reclaim of 70.51 session high reopens the 71.18 spike high
  • Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

03:16 UTC

Range, no clear momentum · RSI 47 · price 70.076

Consolidation under prior spike high.

Asia session is grinding sideways between 70.00 and 70.51 after the spike to 71.18 was rejected and faded back under $70. Price now sits mid-range around 70.08 with RSI(14) flat near 46; the de-escalation/soft-USD bid has stalled as traders square up ahead of the Fed.

Support: 70.00, 69.80

Resistance: 70.51, 70.69, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 70.00 puts 69.80 swing low back in play
  • M15 close above 70.51 reopens the path to 70.69 / spike high
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially reset this range

03:02 UTC

Ranging, no clear bias · RSI 49 · price 70.161

Consolidation above 70.00 after spike fade.

Asia session opened with XAG consolidating in a 70.00-70.51 band after the NY spike to 71.18 was sold back. Price is pinned around the $70 pivot, RSI(14) neutral near 49; the bounce off 69.40 holds but momentum is flat into the Fed.

Support: 70.00, 69.59, 69.40

Resistance: 70.51, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 70.00 reopens the 69.59 swing low
  • Close above 70.51 extends the recovery toward the 71.18 spike high
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC + dot plot 18:00 UTC are the dominant catalysts that will redefine this read

03:02 UTC

Range, consolidating pre-FOMC · RSI 47 · price 70.161

Rangebound below session high.

XAG is consolidating around 70.16 after the spike to 71.18 was fully rejected during NY hours and faded back below 70. Buyers reclaimed the 70.00 pivot but supply capped the latest push at the 70.51 session high; RSI(14) sits neutral near 47 with no momentum edge into the Fed.

Support: 70.00, 69.80

Resistance: 70.51, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.51 reopens the path toward 71.18
  • Loss of 70.00 exposes the 69.80 swing low
  • Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC + dot plot 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

02:46 UTC

Range-bound, momentum flat · RSI 52 · price 70.148

Consolidation between 70.00 and 70.51 after sweep.

Silver is churning between 70.00 and 70.51 through the NY session after the earlier spike to 71.18 was faded back to 69.40. Price is pinned around the EMAs with RSI(14) near 52 — no directional structure as traders sit on hands ahead of the Fed.

Support: 70.00, 69.85, 69.40

Resistance: 70.51, 70.70

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.51 session high reopens 70.70
  • Loss of 70.00 round level exposes 69.85 session low
  • FOMC at 18:00 UTC and Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could break this range

02:46 UTC

Range after spike rejection · RSI 52 · price 70.148

Consolidating below 70.50 post 71.18 reject.

Silver spiked to 71.18 then was rejected hard back to 69.50 in NY hours; into the Asia session it's churning between 69.88 and 70.50, now at 70.148 around the 50% retrace of that drop. RSI(14) neutral near 52 — no momentum either way ahead of FOMC.

Support: 69.88, 69.50

Resistance: 70.50, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.50 reopens the 71.18 swing high
  • Loss of 69.88 exposes the 69.50 swing low
  • FOMC decision 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

02:31 UTC

Recovering, ranging below session high · RSI 58 · price 70.41

Higher lows, capped near 70.51.

Silver clawed back from the 69.59 swing low and is now oscillating in the 70.07–70.51 band, just under the session high after the earlier 71.18 spike was rejected and faded. RSI(14) mid-50s, price holding above EMA20/50 on a chain of higher lows, but momentum is flat into the Fed.

Support: 70.07, 69.59

Resistance: 70.51, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • Close above 70.51 session high opens the path back to 71.18
  • Loss of 70.07 round level and rising support re-exposes the 69.59 swing low
  • FOMC decision + dot-plot 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

02:31 UTC

Recovery off lows, momentum easing · RSI 56 · price 70.41

Range-bound between 70.00 and 70.51 after rebound.

Silver clawed back toward 70.45 after the sharp 71.18-to-69.40 flush, now churning between 70.00 and the 70.51 session high in thin Asian hours. RSI(14) mid-range near 56, no momentum extreme; the rebound holds above EMA20/50 but stalls under the 70.51 cap.

Support: 70.00, 69.85, 69.59

Resistance: 70.51, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.51 reopens the 71.18 prior high
  • Loss of 70.00 exposes 69.85 then 69.59 swing lows
  • US Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) and FOMC (18:00 UTC) later today could materially shift this read

02:16 UTC

Recovering, higher lows building · RSI 61 · price 70.40

Range rebuild after NY spike-and-fade.

NY session printed a false break to 71.18 then dumped to 69.50, a haven-unwind/USD-soft move; price has since clawed back to 70.40 with higher lows through Asia hours. Range top at the 70.51 session high is being tested, RSI(14) mid-60s with room.

Support: 69.85, 69.50

Resistance: 70.51, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • Close above 70.51 opens a retest of the 71.18 spike high
  • Loss of 69.85 swing low re-exposes the 69.50 session low
  • FOMC at 18:00 UTC plus Retail Sales 12:30 UTC can materially shift this read

02:16 UTC

Recovering off lows, choppy · RSI 61 · price 70.40

Range after volatile spike and fade.

The 71.18 spike during NY hours was sold off hard to 69.50, a false break that reset price into a 69.85–70.51 range. Asian-session trade has crept back toward the 70.51 session high with RSI(14) near 60, no extreme in play.

Support: 69.85, 69.50

Resistance: 70.51, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.51 reopens the 71.18 spike high
  • Loss of 69.85 re-exposes the 69.50 swing low
  • FOMC decision later today (18:00 UTC) could materially shift this read

02:02 UTC

Recovery off lows, range-bound · RSI 58 · price 70.435

Ranging below session high after spike rejection.

Silver spiked to 71.18 then was sharply rejected, flushing to 69.40 before reclaiming the 70.00 handle; price now presses session highs near 70.51 in early Asia. RSI(14) mid-range around 58, no extreme, with the window ranging 69.80–70.51 after the volatile US session.

Support: 70.00, 69.80, 69.40

Resistance: 70.51, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • Close above 70.51 reopens the path to the 71.18 spike high
  • Loss of 69.80 confirms a lower-low and re-exposes 69.40
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

02:02 UTC

Recovering, grinding higher · RSI 61 · price 70.435

HH/HL chain off the 69.50 swing low.

Silver recovered off the 69.50 swing low and is grinding higher into early Asia, retaking 70.40 with a clean HH/HL chain. The session high at 70.51 is capping; RSI mid-60s, no exhaustion. Two-way positioning ahead of FOMC is keeping moves contained.

Support: 70.00, 69.50

Resistance: 70.51, 70.69

What it said to watch

  • Close above 70.51 session high opens the 70.69 swing high
  • Loss of 70.00 round number re-exposes the 69.50 swing low
  • FOMC at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

01:46 UTC

Range after recovery, momentum flat · RSI 53 · price 70.267

Ranging mid-range, thin Asia volume.

Asia session is ranging 69.85–70.50 on thin volume after the recovery off the 69.40 flush; current bar sits mid-range at 70.27 with RSI(14) neutral near 53. The last push was rejected at the 70.50 session high before easing back, leaving structure flat into FOMC.

Support: 69.85, 69.40

Resistance: 70.50, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • Close above 70.50 session high opens the path to the 71.18 window high
  • Loss of 69.85 range low reopens the 69.40 flush low
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could break the range

01:46 UTC

Ranging, no clear bias · RSI 55 · price 70.257

Consolidation under 70.50 session high.

Silver is chopping between 69.80 and 70.50 in early Asia, holding just under the session high after a brief poke to 70.51. RSI(14) is neutral near 55 with no momentum extreme; price firmed off Monday's surge but stalled sub-100-day SMA ahead of the Fed.

Support: 69.80, 69.51

Resistance: 70.51, 70.92

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.51 reopens the 70.92 prior high
  • Loss of 69.80 swing low exposes the 69.51 session low
  • Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) and FOMC (18:00 UTC) can materially shift this read

01:31 UTC

Range, no clear momentum · RSI 53 · price 70.221

Ranging below recent swing high after stalled surge.

Ranging 69.85–70.50 after Monday's surge stalled; early Asia poked to 70.505 then faded back to 70.22, RSI(14) neutral near 53. Price holds just under the 100-day SMA / $70.50 breakout pivot with no setup in play ahead of the Fed.

Support: 69.85, 69.40

Resistance: 70.50, 71.17

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.50 reopens the 71.17 swing high
  • Loss of 69.85 exposes the 69.40 session low
  • FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

01:31 UTC

Rangebound, no clear bias · RSI 53 · price 70.221

Ranging 69.85–70.50 after 71.18 spike faded.

Quiet Asia session, thin volume; silver oscillating 69.85–70.50 after the 71.18 spike was rejected and faded sharply into European hours. Price sits mid-range at 70.22 holding just above the 70.00 round number, RSI(14) neutral near 53 ahead of FOMC.

Support: 70.00, 69.85, 69.50

Resistance: 70.50, 70.65, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.50 reopens the 70.65/71.18 spike zone
  • Loss of 69.85 exposes the 69.50 swing low
  • FOMC decision and Retail Sales today could materially shift this read

01:16 UTC

Recovering off lows, choppy · RSI 54 · price 70.278

Range after sharp drop, mid-retrace.

Silver got slapped from the 71.18 spike down to 69.40 yesterday then clawed back, now sitting near the 50% retrace of that drop around 70.28. Last push tagged 70.50 and faded; price is ranging 69.85–70.50 in thin Asian-session trade ahead of the Fed.

Support: 69.85, 69.40

Resistance: 70.50, 70.92

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim and close above 70.50 session high reopens 70.92 prior high
  • Loss of 69.85 swing low re-exposes 69.40
  • FOMC decision later today (18:00 UTC) is the dominant catalyst and can void this range

01:16 UTC

Sideways after pullback · RSI 56 · price 70.278

Ranging 70.00–70.50 post-drop.

Thin Asia-session trade with price ranging 70.00–70.50; the push to 70.50 was rejected and price has eased back to 70.28. The earlier spike to 71.18 and slide to 69.40 left a wide range that is still being digested into the Fed decision.

Support: 70.00, 69.85

Resistance: 70.50, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.50 opens the path toward 71.18
  • Loss of 70.00 re-exposes the 69.85 swing low
  • FOMC at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

01:03 UTC

Ranging after spike fade · RSI 52 · price 70.158

Consolidation between 69.88 and 70.30 post-spike.

Silver spiked to 71.18 then dumped to 69.51 before settling; the last 8 hours of low-volume Asia trade have chopped between 69.88 and 70.30 with no direction. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 52, price hovering on the EMA20 just under the 100-day SMA pivot the digest flags around 70.50.

Support: 69.88, 69.51

Resistance: 70.30, 70.65, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.30 puts 70.65 back in play
  • loss of 69.88 re-exposes the 69.51 swing low
  • Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could break this range

01:03 UTC

Range-bound, no clear direction · RSI 51 · price 70.158

Consolidating after pullback from 71.18.

Silver chopping between 69.87 and 70.30 through thin Asian hours after the sharp rejection from 71.18 and slide to 69.51 in the prior session. RSI(14) sits near 51 with price hugging EMA20; no directional setup in play ahead of the Fed.

Support: 69.87, 69.59

Resistance: 70.30, 70.58, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.30 reopens the path to 70.58
  • Loss of 69.87 exposes the 69.59 swing low
  • FOMC at 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this range read

00:46 UTC

Ranging after NY spike faded · RSI 49 · price 70.006

Consolidation between 69.80 and 70.30.

Asian session chopping between 69.80 and 70.30 after the prior NY spike to 71.18 was rejected and faded back to 69.50. Price is holding around the 50% retrace of that fade with RSI(14) neutral near 49; volume thin into the Fed.

Support: 69.80, 69.50

Resistance: 70.30, 70.58

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.30 reopens the 70.58 swing high
  • Loss of 69.80 re-exposes the 69.50 swing low
  • FOMC 18:00 UTC and US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

00:46 UTC

Ranging, momentum flat · RSI 49 · price 70.006

Asia-session range after NY volatility.

Silver is ranging ~69.85–70.30 through the Asia session on thin volume after a volatile NY swing that peaked near 71.18. Price stalled sub-$70 and is drifting just under EMA20/50 as traders sit on hands ahead of the Fed.

Support: 69.50

Resistance: 70.30, 70.58

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.30 reopens 70.58
  • Loss of 69.85 exposes the 69.50 swing low
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

00:31 UTC

Range after rejection, neutral · RSI 53 · price 70.142

Consolidating below the 71.18 reversal high.

Silver spiked to 71.18 in the prior NY session before a sharp rejection back toward 69.40, and has since coiled in a 69.88–70.30 range through thin Asia hours, RSI flat near 53. Price is stalling just sub-$70.50 as traders sit on hands ahead of the Fed.

Support: 69.88, 69.59

Resistance: 70.30, 70.50

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.30 session high opens the 70.50 fib 0.618
  • Loss of 69.88 session low re-exposes the 69.59 swing low
  • US Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) and FOMC (18:00 UTC) later today can override this intraday range

00:31 UTC

Range, post-spike consolidation · RSI 52 · price 70.142

Balancing 69.88–70.30 after 71.18 rejection.

Silver spiked to 71.18 then was rejected hard back to 69.40 before stabilising; it now drifts 69.88–70.30 in thin Asian hours ahead of the Fed. RSI(14) sits neutral near 52 with price pinned around the EMAs — no directional setup in play.

Support: 69.88, 69.40

Resistance: 70.30, 70.58, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.30 reopens the 70.58 swing high
  • Loss of 69.88 exposes the 69.40 swing low
  • US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC then FOMC 18:00 UTC can materially shift this read

00:16 UTC

Range, recovering off lows · RSI 56 · price 70.223

Ranging 69.80–70.40 in thin Asian hours.

Silver bounced off the 69.80 dip into thin Asian hours and firmed back to 70.22, holding just under the 70.40 prior high after the earlier NY spike to 71.18 was fully unwound. Price is mid-range between 69.80 and 70.40 with light volume; the ~50% retrace of the down-leg from 71.18 capping interest.

Support: 69.50

Resistance: 70.40, 70.58, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • Close above 70.40 opens the path back to 70.58 and the 71.18 session high
  • Loss of 69.80 re-exposes the 69.50 swing low
  • Retail Sales 12:30 UTC then FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

00:16 UTC

Consolidating after pullback · RSI 56 · price 70.223

Range-bound, thin Asian liquidity.

Asian session is grinding sideways on thin volume between 69.85 and 70.30 after the violent London/NY swing that spiked to 71.18 then faded. Price reclaimed 70.20 on the last bar but the 70.29 session high still caps; RSI mid-range, no momentum extreme. Pre-FOMC squaring keeps the tape choppy.

Support: 69.85, 69.59

Resistance: 70.29, 70.42

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 70.42 opens path back toward the 70.65 area
  • Loss of 69.85 re-exposes the 69.59 swing low
  • FOMC 18:00 UTC and Retail Sales 12:30 UTC will override this intraday range read

00:02 UTC

Pullback off the high, momentum down · RSI 43 · price 69.925

Lower highs since 71.18, holding above 69.40.

Silver was rejected at the 71.18 session high during NY hours and has bled back below the 70.00 round number, now consolidating 69.80–70.15 through quiet Asia trade. RSI mid-40s, short-term momentum cooled with sellers capping under 70.00 ahead of FOMC.

Support: 69.40, 69.05

Resistance: 70.00, 70.40, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 70.00 reopens the 70.40 congestion
  • Loss of 69.40 confirms a lower-low, exposes 69.05
  • FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

00:02 UTC

Pullback, momentum flat · RSI 44 · price 69.925

Consolidating sub-$70 after rejection at 71.18.

Silver was rejected at 71.18 mid-window then sold off, now drifting in a tight 69.80–70.15 band just under $70 as traders square up ahead of the Fed. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) mid-range; the 69.80 session low held on the last dip.

Support: 69.80, 69.40

Resistance: 70.15, 70.65, 71.18

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 69.80 exposes the 69.40 swing low
  • Reclaim of 70.15 range top needed to challenge prior high 70.65
  • FOMC at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

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