XAG/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Sunday, 18 October 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the XAG/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:47 UTC
Friday downtrend, gap higher at open · RSI 58 · price 57.344
Early Asian range above unfilled weekend gap.
The Sunday open gapped ~186 pips above Friday's 56.977 close. That gap tracks weekend Hormuz haven risk and retraces about half of Friday's NY slide from 57.962 to 56.88, with the session high at 57.428 capping right at the 50% fib. Asian range so far is 57.091–57.428, price mid-range and only marginally above EMA20/EMA50, RSI(14) near 58.
Support: 57.207, 57.091, 56.977
Resistance: 57.428, 57.549, 57.962
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 57.428 session high opens the 61.8% fib at 57.549, with the Friday high at 57.962 beyond
Loss of the 57.207 swing low and 57.091 session low puts the gap fill at the 56.977 fri close in play
Monday-open oil/USD reaction to Hormuz vessel attacks could materially shift this read
23:32 UTC
Rebounding off Friday's low after a weekend gap up · RSI 61 · price 57.393
Higher lows in early Asia session, capped at 50% retrace.
The Asia session opened with a gap above Friday's 56.977 close after weekend Hormuz vessel attacks, then printed higher lows at 57.091 and 57.207. The 57.428 session high sits on the 50% retrace of Friday's NY slide from 57.946 to the 56.88 friday low. That slide came after Friday's 57.962 friday high faded, with no sustained bid despite softer yields.
Support: 57.207, 56.977, 56.88
Resistance: 57.428, 57.73, 57.962
What it said to watch
A close above the 57.428 session high and the 50% retrace opens the 57.73 ny pivot, where Friday's breakdown started, then the 57.962 friday high
Losing the 57.207 higher low breaks the rising-lows line and puts the 56.977 gap fill and 56.88 friday low back in play
Hormuz/oil headlines into the London open could materially shift this read
Lower highs from 57.96 double top; Monday gap bounce capped below 50% retrace.
Monday's Asia session opened with a ~19c gap above Friday's 56.977 close on weekend Hormuz headlines. The gap stalled at the 57.386 session high, just under the 50% fib of Friday's NY drop from the 57.962 friday high (double top) to the 56.88 friday low. Price is now drifting back toward the 57.091 open low with RSI(14) flat near 50, and the gap fill remains open.
Support: 57.091, 56.977, 56.88
Resistance: 57.386, 57.421, 57.962
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 57.386 session high and the 57.42 50% fib reopens the 57.55–57.73 area
Break of the 57.091 open low exposes the gap fill at 56.977 and the 56.88 friday low
Hormuz/oil headlines into London open could materially shift this read
Lower highs into Friday close; Sunday gap holding 57.09–57.39 range.
Friday's NY fade from 57.946 to a 56.88 low ended at 56.977, and the Sunday reopen gapped 186 pips higher on weekend Hormuz headlines, retracing to the 38.2% of that NY leg. Early Asia stalled at the 57.386 session high, just under the 50% level, with price pinned at EMA50 and the gap fill at 56.977 still open.
Support: 57.091, 56.977, 56.88
Resistance: 57.386, 57.544
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 57.386 session high puts the 57.544 breakdown level (61.8% of the NY leg) in play
Loss of the 57.091 session low exposes the 56.977 gap fill and the 56.88 friday low
Monday-open oil and USD reaction to the weekend Hormuz attacks could materially shift this read
22:47 UTC
Rebounding off Friday's low via weekend gap · RSI 62 · price 57.332
Monday gap up retracing Friday's NY selldown; stalling between 38.2% and 50% fib.
Early Asia session gapped about 0.19 above Friday's 56.977 close as weekend Hormuz vessel attacks set the open. Price extended to a 57.386 session high, reclaiming the 38.2% fib of Friday's 57.962–56.880 NY selldown. It is now pinned at the EMA50 near 57.34, below the 57.47 breakdown pivot. RSI(14) ~62, not stretched.
Support: 57.091, 56.977, 56.88
Resistance: 57.386, 57.471
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 57.386 session high and the 57.47 breakdown pivot (50% fib 57.42) opens the 61.8% area near 57.55
Slip back through the 57.09 gap open toward the 56.98 friday close would fill the gap and erase the opening bid
Break of the 56.88 friday low resumes Friday's lower-low sequence
Oil and USD reaction to Hormuz/Iran headlines through Asia can extend or reverse the gap
22:32 UTC
Gap higher into resistance after Friday's downtrend · RSI 54 · price 57.343
Lower highs from 57.95 triple top; weekend gap retesting 57.40 breakdown.
The Sunday open gapped ~186 pips above Friday's 56.977 close and has pushed to 57.374 in early Asia, into the 57.40 breakdown zone where Friday's NY sell-off gathered pace. That fade from the triple top near 57.95 to the 56.88 friday low came as yields and the USD steadied. Price now sits near the 38.2–50% fib of that drop, with the open low at 57.09 above the unfilled gap.
Support: 57.091, 56.977, 56.88
Resistance: 57.40, 57.73, 57.962
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 57.40 breakdown and fib 50% (57.42) opens the 57.73 lower high
Loss of the 57.09 open low exposes the gap fill at 56.977, then the 56.88 friday low
Only a reclaim of the 57.96 friday high invalidates the triple top read
Weekend Middle East headlines and thin Asia session liquidity could materially shift this read
Triple top at 57.95 broke down Friday; Sunday gap reclaims downtrend line.
Friday's third test of the 57.96 friday high failed in NY. The slide through 57.235 ran to a 56.88 friday low as the yield-driven rebound faded into the weekly close. Sunday's Asia session open gapped 186 pips higher and is pressing the session high at 57.30, which coincides with the 38.2% retrace, with the Friday downtrend line now below price.
Support: 57.091, 56.977, 56.88
Resistance: 57.304, 57.48, 57.962
What it said to watch
Slip below the 57.091 session low exposes the 56.977 gap fill
Acceptance above the 57.48 ny pivot (50% fib) reopens the 57.96 friday high
Loss of 56.88 friday low resumes the lower-low sequence
Weekend Middle East headlines and early yield/USD moves set thin Asia tone; Tue housing data next scheduled catalyst
22:04 UTC
Downtrend, compressing near lows into the weekly close · RSI 37 · price 56.977
Lower highs and lower lows since the NY selloff from 57.95; Asian range low broken.
Supply capped Friday's Asian range (57.06–57.93) three times near the 57.96 session high before the NY selloff broke the Asian low and printed a 56.88 session low as the yield-driven rebound faded. Into the close, price compressed just under 57.00 below a descending-highs line from the 57.40 lower high, with RSI(14) near 37 and the 57.14 swing high the nearest cap.
Support: 56.88
Resistance: 57.142, 57.404, 57.962
What it said to watch
A break of the 56.88 session low extends the NY lower-low chain
A close above the 57.14 swing high and the descending-highs line stalls the selloff read; the 57.40 lower high sits near the 50% retrace of the NY selloff
Weekend Middle East and IMF headlines could gap the Monday open and reset this read
Tue 12:30 UTC US housing starts and permits are the next scheduled USD catalyst
Lower highs from 57.96, trading below the Asian range low.
Friday's Asia-London rebound stalled with a rejection at the 57.96 session high early in NY. A lower-high sequence then broke the Asian low at 57.06 and printed a session low at 56.88, in line with the late-day fade the digest describes. The final hour compressed between the 56.94 late lows and 57.01, with RSI(14) near 37 and price below both EMAs.
Support: 56.94, 56.88
Resistance: 57.06, 57.14, 57.29
What it said to watch
Recovery above the 57.06 asian low and the 57.14 swing high would put price back inside the Asian range
Failure to hold the 56.94 late lows and the 56.88 session low extends the lower-low chain
57.29 fib 38.2 of the 57.96–56.88 drop marks the first retracement test on any bounce
Week has closed; weekend Middle East and IMF headlines bring gap risk at the Monday open that could materially shift this read
21:32 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs since NY open · RSI 37 · price 56.977
Asian range low broken late NY; failed retest from below.
The Asian range of 57.06–57.93 was capped near 57.95 through London and the NY open, then NY sold off in line with the digest's late-Friday fade. The asian low gave way to a 56.88 ny low, and the bounce stalled at 57.14, the bounce high, near the 23.6% fib. The week closed at 56.98 with RSI(14) ~37.
Support: 56.88, 56.50
Resistance: 57.062, 57.142, 57.287
What it said to watch
Monday reopen after weekend Middle East/IMF headlines could gap price and materially shift this read
Holding below the 57.06 asian low keeps the range break intact; a close back above the 57.14 bounce high negates the failed retest
A close above the fib 38.2 at 57.29 would put the NY selloff structure in question
Failure to hold the 56.88 ny low extends the lower-low sequence toward the 56.50 round number
Lower highs since 57.95 double top; Asian low broken; 56.88 session low holding.
The Industrial Production beat whipsawed price to 57.24 at the NY open, then left a 57.95 double top against the London high, and the NY selloff broke the Asian low at 57.06 to print a session low at 56.88. The bounce high stalled at 57.14 and price is drifting just under 57.00 into the weekly close, with RSI(14) near 38, not oversold.
Support: 56.88
Resistance: 57.06, 57.142, 57.404
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 56.88 session low extends the lower-low sequence
Recovery above the 57.06 Asian low and the 57.14 bounce high negates the breakdown read
A reclaim of the 57.40 lower high (near the 38.2% of the NY selloff) shifts structure back to range
Weekend Middle East headlines could gap the Monday open and reset this read
21:07 UTC
Downtrend, momentum flattening into close · RSI 38 · price 56.977
Lower highs and lower lows since the 57.95 cap; Asian range low broken.
Supply capped silver near 57.95 four times through London and early NY. The NY session then turned into a run of lower highs, including the 57.40 lower high, and a break of the Asian low at 57.06 down to a 56.88 session low. That matches the digest's late-Friday fade toward $57 despite the Industrial Production beat. The final hours drifted in a tight band between the 56.935 late low and 57.03 into the weekly close. RSI(14) sits near 38, not oversold.
Support: 56.935, 56.88
Resistance: 57.062, 57.142, 57.404
What it said to watch
An M15 close back above the 57.06 asian low, then the 57.142 bounce high, would break the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold the 56.88 session low extends the lower-low chain from the NY selloff
Weekend Middle East headlines could gap the Monday open through either side of the 56.88–57.14 band
Reclaiming the 57.40 lower high, near the 50% retracement of the NY selloff, would neutralise the down-leg