XAG/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Friday, 25 September 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the XAG/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
20:47 UTC
Two-way intraday, rebound fading into weekly close · RSI 45 · price 64.258
Lower highs off the 64.79 NY high, compressing above the 64.15 swing low.
London broke the Asian range high near 64.07 and ran to a 65.08 day high, where supply capped the move. Firm US data during NY hours knocked price to a 63.40 ny low. The rebound to 64.79 has since faded into a 64.55 lower high, and price now sits on the 38.2% fib near 64.26 in thin late-NY trade, with RSI(14) at 45 and both EMAs overhead.
Support: 64.147, 63.88, 63.399
Resistance: 64.549, 65.078
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 64.15 swing low opens the 50% fib at 64.09 and the 63.88 higher low
Recovery above the 64.55 lower high breaks the descending-highs sequence and puts the 64.79 ny high back in play
A break of the 63.40 ny low negates the afternoon rebound structure
Weekly close is minutes away; a Monday gap and Tuesday's Fed speakers (Musalem, Goolsbee, Williams) could reset this read ahead of Wednesday's ADP/PCE
20:32 UTC
Intraday range after failed London rally · RSI 46 · price 64.294
Lower high at 64.549 capping, higher low at 64.147 holding; tightening into Friday close.
London broke the Asian range and ran to a 65.078 day high, then met rejection. Silver flushed to 63.399 during the London-NY transition before rebounding to the 64.785 NY high as USD and yields paused. Price is now drifting below EMA20 into the Friday close, sitting on the 38.2% fib near the 64.253 late low, with the 64.549 lower high capping and the 64.147 swing low defended twice.
Support: 64.253, 64.147, 64.00
Resistance: 64.549, 64.785, 65.078
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 64.147 swing low opens the 50% fib near 64.09 and the 64.00 round number
M15 close above the 64.549 lower high breaks the descending trendline and puts the 64.785 NY high back in play
A reclaim of the 64.785 NY high re-exposes the 65.078 day high
Friday close into thin liquidity; Monday open gap risk ahead of Tue Fed speakers and Wed ADP/PCE
20:17 UTC
Sideways after NY whipsaw, momentum flat · RSI 49 · price 64.298
Lower highs from 65.08 compressing onto the 64.15 swing low.
London lifted silver out of the Asian range to a 65.08 london high before a NY sell-off around the firm US durables/capex prints hit a 63.40 ny low. The rebound stalled at the 64.785 ny high, and a lower high at 64.55 has since capped price, with the 64.15 swing low holding twice. Late-Friday trade is thin, and price is drifting just under EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) neutral near 49.
Support: 64.15, 63.40
Resistance: 64.55, 64.785, 65.08
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 64.15 swing low extends the lower-high sequence and exposes the 63.40 ny low
M15 close above the 64.55 lower high breaks the compression and brings the 64.785 ny high back into play
A move above the 64.785 ny high reopens the 65.08 london high
Weekly close in thin liquidity; the Monday open could gap away from the 64.15–64.55 band
Tue Fed speakers (Musalem, Goolsbee, Williams) and Wed ADP/PCE could reset yields and USD, silver's main driver this week
20:04 UTC
Recovering from NY low, stalling into lower highs · RSI 53 · price 64.362
Tight consolidation 64.15–64.55 late NY, inside retracement of NY drop.
London broke the Asian range high at 64.067 and ran to a 65.078 session high, where it met rejection. The NY drop that followed ran through the firm US data to a 63.399 NY low, just above the Asian low. The rebound stalled at the 64.785 rebound high, and price is now compressing between the 50% fib and a 64.549 lower high as USD and yields pause into the Friday close. Price is hugging EMA20 with RSI(14) near 53.
Support: 64.147, 63.399
Resistance: 64.549, 64.785, 65.078
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 64.549 lower high and the lower highs trendline reopens the 64.785 rebound high, then the 65.078 session high
Failure to hold the 64.147 swing low breaks the consolidation floor and exposes the 63.399 NY low
Thin late-Friday liquidity and the weekend gap risk; Tue Fed speakers and JOLTS are the next scheduled catalysts
19:47 UTC
Intraday range after NY flush, momentum flat · RSI 52 · price 64.443
Late-NY compression 64.15–64.55 with a higher-low chain below the 64.785 NY high.
London cleared the Asian range high near 64.07 and ran to a 65.078 day high. Price then flushed to the 63.399 NY low around the 14:00 UTC data window before rebounding as the USD/yield rally paused, with rejection at the 64.785 NY high. Into the Friday close, price is compressing between the 64.147 NY base and the 64.549 late NY high. Higher lows are riding a rising trendline off the 64.296 swing low, with RSI neutral near 52 and price hugging EMA20/EMA50.
Support: 64.296, 64.147, 63.399
Resistance: 64.549, 64.785, 65.078
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 64.549 late NY high breaks the compression and brings the 64.785 NY high back into view
Loss of the rising trendline and 64.296 swing low exposes the 64.147 NY base; failure there reopens the 63.399 NY low
Thin end-of-week liquidity; Tue JOLTS and Fedspeak (Musalem, Goolsbee, Williams) are the next scheduled catalysts for this read
The 65.078 day high caps the session; only a reclaim changes the range read
19:32 UTC
Range-bound after NY V-reversal · RSI 45 · price 64.368
Late-NY range 64.15–64.55 between 50% and 61.8% fib.
London broke the Asian range high and ran to the 65.08 london high. A sharp drop during NY hours then hit the 63.40 ny low, just above the Asian low, and the rebound has stalled between the 50% and 61.8% fib of that leg as the USD rally pauses. Late NY is compressing in a 64.15–64.55 range, the range high rejected on the latest push, RSI(14) near 45 and price hugging EMA20 into the weekly close.
Support: 64.147, 63.88, 63.399
Resistance: 64.548, 65.078
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 64.55 range high reopens the 64.79 spike high and the 61.8% fib break
Loss of the 64.15 range low exposes the 63.88 swing low, then the 63.40 ny low
Weekly close in ~1.5h; thin late-Friday liquidity and a Monday open gap can distort the range read
Tue Fed speakers and Wed ADP/PCE are the next scheduled catalysts to shift this structure
19:17 UTC
Intraday recovery, higher lows off NY low · RSI 56 · price 64.519
London breakout above Asian range rejected at 65.078. NY flush to 63.399 now retraced two-thirds, grinding up in a higher-low chain..
London cleared the Asian range high near 64.07 and ran to a 65.078 day high before rejection. Early NY hours then flushed silver to 63.399, holding just above the Asian low. Price has since stepped up through higher lows at 63.88 and the 64.147 swing low as the USD paused on softer oil, and it is now pressing the 64.549 late high just above the 61.8% retrace, late in a thin Friday NY session.
Support: 64.147, 63.88, 63.399
Resistance: 64.549, 64.785, 65.078
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 64.549 late high exposes the 64.785 swing high, then the 65.078 day high
Loss of the 64.147 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and reopens the 63.88 higher low
Break of the NY low at 63.399 would put price back inside the Asian range lows
Weekend close; Tue JOLTS and Fed speakers (Musalem, Goolsbee, Williams) and Wed ADP/PCE could materially shift this read
19:05 UTC
Recovering after NY reversal, pressing late highs · RSI 58 · price 64.478
Higher low at 64.147 after a V-rebound from 63.399; price ~64% back through the day drop.
London broke the Asian high at 64.067 and ran to a 65.078 day high. NY rejected that move and dropped to a 63.399 NY low, holding above the 63.347 Asian low, before a pause in the USD and yield rally as oil fell fed a rebound to 64.785. Late NY, price has built a higher low at 64.147 and is grinding into the 64.549 late high, with RSI(14) near 58 and ATR around 235 pips.
Support: 64.147, 63.399
Resistance: 64.549, 64.785, 65.078
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 64.549 late high and the 64.785 bounce high reopens the 65.078 day high near the 65.00 round number
Failure to hold the 64.147 higher low breaks the rising NY trendline and exposes the 63.399 NY low
Thin late-Friday trade into the weekly close; Tue Fedspeak and Wed ADP/PCE are the next scheduled risk
18:32 UTC
Intraday range after reversal, compressing · RSI 56 · price 64.414
Lower highs from 65.08, higher lows from 63.40, late-NY squeeze.
London cleared the Asian range high at 64.07 and ran to a 65.08 day high before NY reversed it to a 63.40 NY low, with supply capping the $64-65 band the digest flags. The recovery stalled with a rejection at the 64.79 NY high, and price is now pinned between the 64.15 swing low and the 64.43 late NY high, the latter sitting on the 61.8% fib of the day's drop.
Support: 64.147, 64.00, 63.399
Resistance: 64.433, 65.078
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 64.43 late NY high and 61.8% fib reopens the 64.79 NY high, then the 65.08 day high
Loss of the 64.15 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and exposes the 64.00 round number and 63.40 NY low
Descending line from the day high caps the recovery while intact
Thin late-Friday liquidity into the weekly close; Tue Fedspeak/JOLTS and Wed ADP/PCE are the next scheduled catalysts
London broke the Asian range to a 65.078 london high before an NY-open flush to the 63.399 ny low, just above the Asian low. Higher lows since then, with the USD pause helping, but the 15:30 spike high at 64.785 was rejected. Price is now compressing between the 64.147 range floor and the 64.425 range top, near the 61.8% fib, late in NY hours.
Support: 64.147, 63.88, 63.399
Resistance: 64.425, 64.785, 65.078
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 64.425 range top (61.8% fib) opens the 64.785 spike high, then the 65.078 london high
Loss of the 64.147 range floor and the rising lows line exposes the 63.88 swing low, then the 63.399 ny low
Friday close in under 3h; next week's Fed speakers (Tue) and ADP/PCE (Wed) are the next scheduled risk
18:04 UTC
Two-way, rebound stalling below NY high · RSI 53 · price 64.28
Late-NY compression between 64.15 and 64.42 after a lower high.
London extended the USD/yield-pause bounce to a 65.08 london high before NY hours sold it to a 63.40 ny low, just above the Asian low. The rebound met rejection at the 64.785 ny high, and price is now compressing between the 64.15 range base and 64.42 range top, with RSI(14) near 53.
Support: 64.15, 63.88, 63.40
Resistance: 64.42, 64.785, 65.078
What it said to watch
Fed's Hammack at 18:00 UTC is live now and could break the 64.15–64.42 range into the weekly close
M15 close below the 64.15 range base exposes the 63.88 swing low
M15 close above the 64.42 range top reopens the 64.785 ny high, then the 65.08 london high
Failure to hold the 63.40 ny low turns the NY rebound into a lower-low
17:32 UTC
Rebounding off NY low, momentum flattening · RSI 53 · price 64.292
Higher lows from 63.399, capped below 64.785 NY high.
London broke the Asian range top near 64.07 and ran to a 65.078 day high. NY then sold off to a 63.399 low, just above the Asian low, as the digest's yield and USD pause failed to hold intraday. The NY rebound has printed higher lows at 63.88 and 64.148, stalling below the 64.785 NY high and the 64.529 minor high, with price flat on EMA20 near 64.29.
Support: 64.148, 63.88, 63.399
Resistance: 64.529, 64.785, 65.078
What it said to watch
Hammack speech at 18:00 UTC. A hike endorsement could cap the rebound into the weekly close
M15 close below the 64.148 pullback low breaks the higher-low sequence and exposes the 63.88 higher low
Loss of the NY higher-lows trendline puts the 63.399 NY low back in focus
Close above the 64.529 minor high reopens the 64.785 NY high, then the 65.078 day high
Friday late-NY liquidity thins into the weekly close. Oil and US-Iran headlines are a gap risk
17:17 UTC
Intraday two-way, rebounding off NY low · RSI 56 · price 64.338
Higher lows since NY low, capped at 64.79.
London broke the Asian range (63.35–64.07) to a 65.08 session high before NY hours unwound the move to a 63.40 NY low. The rebound has built rising lows along the trendline, with a rejection at the 64.79 high, and price is now consolidating 64.15–64.79 after London close near the 38.2% of the NY swing fib as yields and the USD pause.
Support: 64.148, 63.88, 63.399
Resistance: 65.078
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 64.15 swing low breaks the rising lows trendline
Loss of 63.88 exposes the 63.40 NY low and the 61.8% NY swing fib near 63.93
Close above the 64.79 rejection high reopens the 65.08 session high
Fed's Hammack at 18:00 UTC; a hike endorsement could shift this read into thin weekly-close liquidity
17:05 UTC
Choppy, lower high after NY reversal · RSI 54 · price 64.266
Lower high at 64.785 under 65.078; holding above Asian high.
London lifted silver out of the 63.35–64.07 Asian range to a 65.078 London high as yields and the USD paused. NY reversed it to a 63.40 NY low around the 14:00 UTC data, and the rebound was rejected at the 64.785 NY high, a lower high. Late in the NY session, price sits near the 38.2% of that rebound at 64.27, flat between the EMAs.
Support: 64.148, 64.067, 63.399
Resistance: 64.785, 65.078
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 64.785 NY high breaks the lower-highs line and puts the 65.078 London high back in play
Loss of the 64.15 recent low and the 64.07 Asian high reopens the 63.40 NY low
Fed's Hammack at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read into a thin weekly close
16:47 UTC
Two-way intraday, recovering off NY low · RSI 53 · price 64.236
London spike to 65.08 rejected; NY higher lows off 63.40, pullback to 50% fib.
London broke the asian high at 64.07 and ran to a 65.08 session high as yields and the USD paused. NY sold that move back to 63.40, with Michigan's beat landing near the low, before rising lows lifted price to a 64.79 swing high. After London close, price is pulling back to the 50% fib of the NY drop near 64.24 with RSI(14) near 53. The pullback sits just above the rising lows at 64.15 and the swing low at 63.88.
Support: 64.15, 64.07, 63.88
Resistance: 64.79, 65.08
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the rising lows at 64.15 and the asian high at 64.07 exposes the 63.88 swing low
Loss of the 63.88 swing low breaks the NY higher-low sequence and reopens 63.40
A close above the 64.79 swing high puts the 65.08 session high back in play
Fed's Hammack at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read into the weekly close
16:32 UTC
Two-way, recovering off NY low · RSI 50 · price 64.506
Higher lows since 63.399, capped below 64.785 wick high.
As yields paused, London ran from the 63.347 Asian low to a 65.078 session high, before the NY open reversed price sharply to a 63.399 NY low that held just above the Asian low. NY hours have since printed higher lows into 63.88, but the 16:00 UTC spike to the 64.785 wick high met rejection near the 78.6% level of the NY sell-off fib. Price is now holding around the 61.8% retrace near 64.50 above the 64.297 swing low, with RSI(14) neutral near 50.
Support: 64.297, 63.88, 63.399
Resistance: 64.785, 65.078
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 64.785 wick high reopens the 65.078 session high
Loss of the 64.297 swing low puts the 63.88 higher low and the rising higher lows line under test
Break below the 63.88 higher low undoes the NY recovery and exposes the 63.399 NY low
Fed's Hammack at 18:00 UTC could shift this read into Friday's close
16:17 UTC
Intraday range, rebounding off NY low · RSI 49 · price 64.465
London high 65.08, NY low 63.40, higher lows since.
London lifted silver from the 63.35 Asian low to a 65.08 session high. NY hours then unwound the move to a 63.40 ny low, almost matching the Asian low as the USD/yield pause faded. The rebound since has printed higher lows along a rising trendline and is holding near the 61.8% retracement, but the 64.79 spike high was rejected into London close; RSI(14) near 49 is neutral and ATR(14) is about 315 pips.
Support: 64.24, 63.88, 63.40
Resistance: 65.078
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 64.79 spike high reopens the 65.08 session high
Loss of the 64.24 fib 50% and the 63.88 swing low breaks the rising trendline from the NY low
Failure to hold the 63.40 ny low negates the double bottom with the Asian low
Fed's Hammack at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher lows off the 63.40 NY low, back above the Asian high, testing 61.8% of the NY drop.
London lifted silver out of the 63.35–64.07 Asian range to a 65.08 session high, then an early-NY flush found a 63.40 NY low above the Asian low. The rebound has reclaimed the asian high and both EMAs (64.20–64.26) on a rebound trendline of higher lows, as the USD and yield rally pauses. Price is now pressing the 61.8% retracement of the NY drop near 64.44.
Support: 64.07, 63.88, 63.40
Resistance: 64.59, 65.08
What it said to watch
A close above the 61.8% near 64.44 and the 64.59 breakdown level reopens the 65.08 session high
A move back below the asian high at 64.07 and the 63.88 swing low breaks the rebound trendline and exposes the 63.40 ny low
Fed's Hammack at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read; London close is due in the next hour
15:47 UTC
Two-way intraday, rebounding from NY low · RSI 49 · price 64.295
Higher lows off 63.399, pressing the 61.8% retrace.
London broke the asian high at 64.067 and ran to a 65.078 session high, but that level drew rejection and the NY session unwound the whole leg to a 63.399 ny low, just above the asian low. Silver has since rebuilt a chain of higher lows back above the asian high and the 50% retrace. The bounce is in line with the Friday pause in USD and yields after mixed durables. Price is now testing the 61.8% zone near 64.44, and RSI(14) is neutral around 49.
Support: 64.067, 63.399, 63.347
Resistance: 64.59, 65.078
What it said to watch
Rejection near the 64.44 61.8% fib or the 64.59 breakdown level keeps the NY selloff structure intact
M15 close back below the 64.067 asian high breaks the rebound lows trendline and returns price to the Asian range
Loss of the 63.399 ny low exposes the 63.347 asian low
A clean move through 64.59 puts the 65.078 session high back in view
Fed's Hammack at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
15:32 UTC
Rebounding after NY reversal, momentum neutral · RSI 50 · price 64.295
V-shaped higher lows off the 63.40 sweep, reclaimed Asian high, capped below 65.08 London high.
London broke the Asian high at 64.07 and ran to the 65.08 London high. NY then unwound the whole leg on firm US data (core capex 1.6% vs 0.5%) and swept to 63.40, just above the Asian low. The sweep drew a V-shaped rebound of higher lows back above the asian high, with price now at the 50% of the NY drop and sitting on a flat EMA20, RSI(14) 50, ATR ~305 pips.
Support: 64.067, 63.399, 63.347
Resistance: 64.437, 64.59, 65.078
What it said to watch
Holding the asian high at 64.07 keeps the rebound line intact; a failure there re-exposes the 63.40 ny low and the 63.35 asian low
M15 close above the fib 61.8 at 64.44 and the 64.59 breakdown level puts the 65.08 london high back in range
Rejection at the fib 61.8 would mark the rebound as a lower high under the London peak
Fed's Hammack at 18:00 UTC, after London close, could materially shift this read via yields
15:17 UTC
Intraday pullback, rebound under way · RSI 49 · price 64.226
London high 65.078 unwound to 63.399 NY low; V-shaped rebound now at 50% retrace.
London ran from the Asian range to a 65.078 London high. NY then unwound the move after firm US core capex data, with the drop stalling at the 63.399 NY low, just above the 63.347 Asian low. The rebound has reclaimed the Asian high near 64.07 and is testing the 50% fib at 64.24, with the 64.334 swing high capping so far; RSI(14) is neutral at 49 and price is hugging EMA50 below EMA20.
Support: 64.067, 63.399, 63.347
Resistance: 64.334, 64.58, 65.078
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 64.334 swing high and the 61.8% fib at 64.44 exposes the 64.58 breakdown point
Failure to hold the Asian high at 64.067 puts the 63.399 NY low and 63.347 Asian low back in play
Fed's Hammack at 18:00 UTC could shift the yields-driven read into the NY close
London ran above the Asian range, NY retraced near the Asian low and is recovering.
London broke the Asian high at 64.067 and ran to a 65.078 session high as the USD and yield rally paused. Firm US durables and Michigan prints drove a slide from the 64.687 breakdown level into a 63.399 NY low, rejected just above the 63.347 Asian low. Mid-NY, price has reclaimed the Asian high and sits at the 50% retracement near 64.24, with the fib 61.8 at 64.44 overhead.
Support: 64.067, 63.399, 63.347
Resistance: 64.437, 64.687, 65.078
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 64.067 asian high returns price to the lower half of the day's range
Acceptance above the 64.44 fib 61.8 opens the 64.687 breakdown level, then the 65.078 session high
Failure to hold the 63.399 ny low exposes the 63.347 asian low
Fed's Hammack at 18:00 UTC could shift yields and this read
London break of Asian range fully reversed in NY; price back inside Asian range, lower high forming near 64.04.
London cleared the 64.067 Asian high and ran to a 65.078 London high. NY reversed the whole move, flushing to a 63.399 NY low on the 14:00 UTC bar as Friday's firm US data met the paused yield rally. Mid-NY, price is back inside the Asian range, capped near the 38.2% fib at 64.04 and below EMA20/EMA50, with RSI(14) at 42.
Support: 63.639, 63.399, 63.347
Resistance: 64.067, 64.58, 65.078
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 64.067 Asian high and the 50% fib/EMA20 area near 64.24 reopens the 64.58 breakdown level
Loss of the 63.639 higher low and the 63.399 NY low exposes the 63.347 Asian low
Fed's Hammack at 18:00 UTC (21:00 broker) could shift yields and this read
London rally fully unwound in NY; price back inside prior-day range near 78.6% retrace.
London lifted silver from the 63.35 asia low to a 65.08 session high as the yield/USD rally paused. NY has since unwound the whole move, a false break above the prior-day 64.07 high. Price is holding the 78.6% level of the london leg fib near 63.72 after a wick to the 63.40 ny low on the 14:00 UTC UoM print, with RSI(14) near 30.
Support: 63.40, 63.35, 63.06
Resistance: 63.94, 64.48, 65.08
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 63.40 ny low and 63.35 asia low exposes the 63.06 prior low
Recovery above the 63.94 bounce high and the 64.01 61.8% london leg fib level softens the reversal read; 64.48 breakdown level sits above
Fed's Hammack at 18:00 UTC could extend NY volatility given hike pricing
Lower highs from 65.08, price back inside Asian range.
London broke above the Asian range to a 65.08 session high as yields and USD paused, but the whole London rally unwound in NY with a sharp drop through 64.00 at 13:15 UTC. The 14:00 UTC UoM release bar wicked to 63.40 and recovered, leaving price back inside the Asian range just above the 63.35 Asian low. RSI(14) sits near 38.
Support: 63.399, 63.347, 63.059
Resistance: 64.00, 64.481, 65.078
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 63.40 uom low and 63.35 asian low extends the lower-low sequence toward the 63.06 prior low
Recovery back above the 64.00 psych level puts the 64.48 shelf low, where the NY breakdown started, back in play
Hammack at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
14:04 UTC
Sharp reversal lower after London rally · RSI 37 · price 63.807
Lower highs from 65.08, shelf broken, near full retrace of London leg.
The London leg from the 63.35 Asian low topped at the 65.08 session high, printed lower highs into NY, then the 13:15 UTC bar broke the 64.48 shelf floor and dropped about 60 cents. Price sits at 63.81 on the NY low, between the 61.8% and 78.6% fib of the London leg, with the 64.15 bounce high capping. The digest's move toward $65 has been largely unwound.
Support: 63.792, 63.717, 63.347
Resistance: 64.149, 64.481, 65.078
What it said to watch
UoM inflation expectations (14:00 UTC, current bar): 1y above 4.6% would add to the breakdown, while a soft print could bring a retest of the 64.15 bounce high
M15 close below the 78.6% fib at 63.72 exposes the 63.35 Asian low and a full retrace of the London leg
Recovery back above the 64.48 shelf floor negates the breakdown read, with the 65.08 session high above
Fed's Hammack at 18:00 UTC could shift the read into the weekend close
London breakout fully unwound; price back inside the Asian range.
London broke the 64.07 Asian high and ran to a 65.08 session high. NY hours then unwound the move, with one bar shedding about 60 cents to put price back inside the Asian range, below the 61.8% retrace of the London rally and just above the 63.83 NY low. The fade came ahead of the UoM inflation-expectations release, which fits the digest's view of Friday's bounce as corrective within a hawkish-Fed week.
Support: 63.833, 63.717, 63.347
Resistance: 64.067, 64.481, 65.078
What it said to watch
UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC (1y f/c 4.6%, 5y f/c 3.4%) could materially shift this read
Failure to hold the 63.83 NY low exposes the 78.6% fib at 63.72, then the 63.35 Asian low
An M15 close back above the 64.07 Asian high reopens the 64.48 london base
Fed's Hammack at 18:00 UTC is a second event risk after London close
13:32 UTC
London rally unwound, sharp drop into NY · RSI 39 · price 63.974
Rejection from 65.078 session high, price back inside Asian range.
London broke the 64.067 Asian high and ran to a 65.078 session high. A 60-cent drop in the 13:15 UTC bar then took price back below the Asian high to the 61.8% fib of the London leg near 64.01, with a 63.837 drop low. The Friday relief bid flagged in the digest is fading into the UoM release. RSI(14) is 39 and ATR runs about 240 pips.
Support: 63.837, 63.561, 63.347
Resistance: 64.067, 64.48, 65.078
What it said to watch
UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC (1-yr f/c 4.6%, 5-yr f/c 3.4%) could materially shift this read within two bars
A close below the 63.837 drop low exposes the 63.561 london base, then the 63.347 asian low
A recovery above the 64.067 asian high and the 64.48 break level would frame the drop as a pullback inside the London leg, with the 65.078 session high above
Fed's Hammack at 18:00 UTC is a second risk window in the NY session
London broke the Asian high at 64.07 and ran from 63.35 to a 65.08 session high as yields and the USD paused. Early NY is printing lower highs at 64.97 and 64.90 back below EMA20, with the ny low at 64.48 holding just under the 23.6% retracement and RSI(14) flat near 49.
Support: 64.48, 64.21, 64.07
Resistance: 64.97, 65.08
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 64.48 ny low exposes the fib 50% at 64.21 and the asian high at 64.07
Close above the 64.97 lower high breaks the NY sequence and puts the 65.08 session high back in play
UoM 1-yr and 5-yr inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read; ATR near 220 pips per bar
Fed's Hammack at 18:00 UTC is a second risk point before the weekly close
Post-breakout pullback, lower-high sequence off 65.08.
London broke the Asian high at 64.07 as yields and USD paused, running to a 65.08 session high. Since then a lower-high sequence (65.08, 64.97, 64.92) has formed, and the mixed durables print failed to lift price, which now presses the 64.52 swing low with RSI(14) neutral near 48 and ATR(14) around 214 pips.
Support: 64.517, 64.42, 64.067
Resistance: 64.973, 65.078
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 64.52 swing low confirms a lower-low and exposes the fib 38.2 at 64.42
Loss of 64.42 puts the broken asian high at 64.07 back in play
Close above the 64.97 lower high breaks the descending trendline and reopens the 65.08 session high
UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC and Hammack at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
London HH/HL chain above the Asian range; pullback holding near 38.2% fib.
London cleared the Asian range high at 64.07 and ran to a session high at 65.08 as yields and the USD paused. The pullback found demand at the 64.52 swing low, close to the 38.2% fib of the London leg. Price is now just under the 65.00 psych level with RSI(14) near 62 as the NY open and Durable Goods hit.
Support: 64.517, 64.067, 63.561
Resistance: 65.00, 65.078
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 64.52 swing low breaks the London higher-low chain and exposes the asian high at 64.07
M15 close above the 65.08 session high resumes the London advance
A break of the london low at 63.56 would put price back inside the Asian range and negate the breakout
Durable Goods (12:30 GMT) and UoM inflation expectations (14:00 GMT) could materially shift this read
12:17 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back from session high · RSI 62 · price 64.705
London broke the Asian range high; lower high at 64.87 after the 65.08 top.
London broke the Asian high at 64.07 and ran to a 65.08 session high as the yield and USD rally paused. Price is now pulling back from the London high into the London-NY transition. It sits at 64.70, above EMA20 and the 64.49 london base, and under a lower high at 64.87. RSI(14) has cooled to ~62.
Support: 64.49, 64.07, 64.00
Resistance: 64.87, 65.08
What it said to watch
US Durable Goods at 12:30 GMT (15 min) could materially shift this read; ATR ~190 pips
M15 close below the 64.49 london base breaks the London higher-low chain and exposes the 64.07 asian high and 64.00 psych
Reclaiming the 64.87 lower high puts the 65.08 session high back in play
UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 GMT and Hammack at 18:00 GMT extend event risk through NY hours
Hold of the London trendline keeps the post-breakout structure intact
12:04 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back from session high · RSI 61 · price 64.75
London broke the Asian range high; HH at 65.078, shallow pullback holding a higher low.
London broke the 64.067 Asian high and ran to a 65.078 session high as the USD and yield rally paused, before supply capped the 65.00 round number. Price has eased to 64.75 in late London, holding the 64.687 pullback low near the 23.6% of the Asian low–session high leg, with RSI(14) cooling to ~61 from 71.
Support: 64.687, 64.491, 64.067
Resistance: 65.00, 65.078
What it said to watch
US Durable Goods at 12:30 GMT and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 GMT could materially shift this read
M15 close below the 64.687 pullback low exposes the 64.49 london base
Loss of the 64.49 london base puts the 64.067 asian high in play as a retest
Close above the 65.078 session high extends the HH chain; 65.00 round number is the first test
11:47 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back from session high · RSI 63 · price 64.765
HH/HL chain after London broke the Asian range; first pullback in progress.
London cleared the Asian high at 64.07 from 08:00 UTC and stair-stepped to a session high at 65.08 as easing oil and yields fed the short-covering bounce. Price is now pulling back to a 64.69 pullback low near the 23.6% fib of the 63.35–65.08 leg, with RSI(14) cooling to ~63 and the 64.49 consol low still intact below.
Support: 64.687, 64.491, 64.067
Resistance: 65.00, 65.078
What it said to watch
Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close below the 64.49 consol low breaks the HL chain and puts the 64.07 asian high back in play
Acceptance above the 65.00 round number and the 65.08 session high extends the London leg
Fed's Hammack at 18:00 UTC is a late-session yield risk
11:32 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back from session high · RSI 69 · price 64.849
Higher highs and higher lows since London open, trading well above the Asian range.
London broke the Asian high at 64.067 with an 08:30 UTC impulse and extended to a 65.078 session high, as oil eased on US-Iran talk headlines and cooled inflation fears. Price has stalled around the 65.00 round number and is easing toward the 64.745 prior high, near the 23.6% retracement of the London leg. RSI(14) is cooling from the mid-70s, and the 64.49 swing low near the 38.2% level anchors the higher-low chain.
Support: 64.745, 64.49, 64.067
Resistance: 65.00, 65.078
What it said to watch
US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC and UoM 1y/5y inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close below the 64.49 swing low breaks the higher-low sequence
Acceptance above the 65.078 session high resumes the higher-high chain
A move back under the 64.067 asian high would unwind the London breakout
11:17 UTC
Uptrend, stalling at 65.00 · RSI 73 · price 64.986
London broke the Asian range high; higher-low chain now pressing the session high.
London cleared the 64.067 Asian high and ran to a 65.078 session high as easing oil took some heat out of yields. A higher-low chain off the 64.49 flag base, which lines up with the 38.2% of the London leg, is now compressing under the 65.00 round number, with RSI(14) near 73: hot but not extreme.
Support: 64.829, 64.49, 64.067
Resistance: 65.00, 65.078
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 64.829 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
Loss of the 64.49 flag base (38.2% of the London leg) reopens the 64.067 Asian high
Acceptance above the 65.078 session high extends the London leg; repeated failures at the 65.00 round number mark a stall
Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
11:03 UTC
Uptrend, extended into 65.00 · RSI 79 · price 65.011
Asian range broken higher at London; HH/HL chain intact.
London cleared the 64.07 Asian high at 08:00 UTC and ran to a 65.06 session high, extending the short-covering bounce as oil eased and yields cooled. RSI(14) near 79 is stretched. The 64.49 London base and the 64.83 micro low mark the higher lows beneath price ahead of US data.
Support: 64.826, 64.491, 64.067
Resistance: 65.057
What it said to watch
Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
An M15 close above the 65.06 session high extends the HH chain
Failure to hold the 64.83 micro low exposes the 64.49 London base, near the 38.2% of the London leg
A move back below the 64.07 Asian high undoes the range break
10:47 UTC
Uptrend, stalling under 65.00 · RSI 76 · price 64.917
London broke the Asian range; higher-highs and higher-lows since 63.56.
London broke above the Asian high at 64.067 and yesterday's 64.02 top, running to a 65.02 session high as the short-covering bounce extended on softer oil. RSI(14) is near 76 and price is compressing just under the 65.00 psych level. The 38.2% retrace of the London rally fib sits at 64.46, close to the 64.49 swing low.
Support: 64.49, 64.067
Resistance: 65.02
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 65.02 session high extends the higher-high chain
Failure to hold the 64.49 swing low breaks the London higher-low sequence and opens a return toward the 64.067 Asian high
12:30 UTC Durable Goods and 14:00 UTC UoM inflation expectations could materially shift this read
10:32 UTC
Uptrend, extended after London breakout · RSI 76 · price 64.943
HH/HL chain above the Asian range, pressing the session high.
London cleared the 64.07 Asian high and Thursday's 64.02 top, running to a 65.02 session high as easing oil cooled yield pressure. RSI(14) sits near 76, and the 09:15 UTC pullback held a 64.49 higher low that lines up with the 38.2% of the London leg, ahead of US data.
Support: 64.49, 64.07
Resistance: 65.02
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 65.02 session high extends the London leg
Failure to hold the 64.49 higher low (38.2% of the London leg near 64.46) breaks the HH/HL chain
A return below the 64.07 Asian high would turn the breakout into a false break
Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
10:16 UTC
Uptrend, extended after London breakout · RSI 75 · price 64.852
HH/HL chain from the 63.347 Asia low; Asian range and prior-day high cleared, shelf held above 64.49.
London cleared the Asian high at 64.07 and Thursday's 64.02 top with a 50-cent impulse at 08:30 UTC. Price then held a tight shelf low near 64.49 before printing a fresh session high at 64.865, tracking the oil-led easing in yields. RSI(14) near 75 is hot but not extreme; the London low at 63.56 anchors the rising lows.
Support: 64.49, 64.07, 63.56
Resistance: 64.865, 65.00
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 64.49 shelf low puts the Asian high at 64.07 (near the 50% fib) back in focus
M15 close above the 65.00 round number extends the HH chain past the session high
Break of the rising-lows trendline toward the 63.56 London low negates the breakout read
Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
10:03 UTC
Uptrend, pausing after breakout · RSI 67 · price 64.589
London breakout above Asian range, tight flag below session high.
London opened with a single leg from the 63.35 swing low through the 64.07 Asian high, which also cleared yesterday's 64.02 top. The move printed a 64.745 session high as oil eased on US-Iran talks and yields cooled. Price is now flagging in a 64.49–64.75 band, with RSI(14) cooling to about 67 and the rising support line from the 05:00 UTC low well below.
Support: 64.49, 64.07, 63.35
Resistance: 64.745, 65.00
What it said to watch
Close below the 64.49 flag low opens a pullback toward the 64.07 Asian high and 38.2% fib
Failure to hold the 64.07 Asian high negates the breakout and puts rising support and the 63.35 swing low back in play
Close above the 64.745 session high extends the leg toward the 65.00 round number
US Durables at 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
09:47 UTC
Uptrend after London breakout, pausing · RSI 71 · price 64.618
Asian range broken higher; tight flag 64.49–64.75 above prior highs.
London cleared the 64.07 Asian high and the 64.00 cap, running to a 64.745 session high as yields and USD eased on US-Iran oil de-escalation. Price is now in a tight flag between the 64.49 range low and the session high, RSI(14) near 71. The Asian high sits at the 50% fib of the 63.347–64.745 leg.
Support: 64.491, 64.067
Resistance: 64.745, 65.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 64.49 range low breaks the flag and exposes the 64.07 Asian high / 50% fib
M15 close above the 64.745 session high opens the path to the 65.00 round number
US Durables at 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read via yields
09:32 UTC
Uptrend, pausing after breakout · RSI 68 · price 64.572
London break above Asian range; tight consolidation under session high.
London open broke the Asian high at 64.067 and the 64.00 round number that had capped Thursday, then ran to a 64.745 session high as yields eased and oil dipped on US-Iran talks. Since then price has held a 64.49–64.70 consolidation, which Williams at 09:15 UTC did not break. RSI(14) has cooled to ~68 and the pullback has stayed shallow, above the 23.6% level of the London leg fib.
Support: 64.491, 64.067, 64.00
Resistance: 64.745, 65.00
What it said to watch
An M15 close below the 64.49 consol low opens a retest of the 64.00–64.07 zone (asian high, round number, 50% of the London leg fib)
A clean break of the 64.745 session high exposes the 65.00 psych level
A return below the 64.00 round number would turn the London move into a false break
US Durables at 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC, the key yield catalyst, could materially shift this read
Asian range broken to upside, shallow pullback holding.
London session broke the Asian high at 64.067 and the 64.00 round number, then ran to a session high at 64.745. Easing oil and yields on US-Iran headlines trimmed the USD bid. Price is holding near 64.50 above the 64.45 pullback low, with RSI(14) near 71 and rising lows from the 05:00 UTC trough at 63.35 still intact.
Support: 64.453, 64.067, 64.00
Resistance: 64.745, 65.00
What it said to watch
A close back below the 64.45 pullback low puts the Asian high and 64.00 round number in focus, which sits at the 50% fib of the rally
Losing 64.00 would turn the Asian range break into a false break
A close above the 64.745 session high opens the 65.00 round number
A break of the rising lows trendline would end the intraday HL sequence
Williams is speaking now. Durables at 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
In the first two hours of London, silver broke the Asian high at 64.07 and the $64.00 cap. It ran from the 63.35 swing low to a 64.75 session high as easing oil and yields gave some relief. The session high was rejected on the next bar, and price is holding above the 64.45 pullback low with RSI(14) near 67.
Support: 64.453, 64.067, 63.347
Resistance: 64.745, 65.00
What it said to watch
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC; a repeat of the year-end hike call could stall the breakout
M15 close above the 64.75 session high opens the 65.00 round number
Failure to hold the 64.45 pullback low exposes the asian high at 64.07, near the fib 50%
Durables at 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
08:48 UTC
Uptrend, impulsive London breakout · RSI 74 · price 64.65
Asian range broken higher, higher highs and lows since the 63.35 low.
London open broke above the Asian high at 64.07 and yesterday's 64.23 prior high, with one bar of roughly 53 cents tagging a 64.70 session high as easing oil and yields soften the USD. RSI(14) is near 74, hot but not extreme. The 64.23 prior high sits close to the 38.2% fib of the 63.35–64.70 leg, the first shelf below price, with the 64.00 round number under that.
Support: 64.228, 64.067, 64.00
Resistance: 64.70, 65.00
What it said to watch
Williams at 09:15 UTC could shift this read within the next two bars
A move back below the 64.07 Asian high would turn the breakout into a false break
A close above the 64.70 session high opens the 65.00 round number
A break of the rising lows trendline from 63.35 ends the higher-low chain
US Durables at 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC are the next yield catalysts
Higher lows from the 63.347 Asian low; Asian range high and 64.00 cleared.
London open drove silver through the 64.00 psych cap and the 64.067 Asian high after Asia held a 63.35–64.07 range, helped by softer yields and easing oil on US-Iran talks. Price now sits just under yesterday's 64.298 prior high, with RSI(14) near 64, firm but not stretched.
Support: 64.067, 64.00, 63.561
Resistance: 64.298, 64.50
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 64.067 Asian high and 64.00 psych flags a false break of the Asian range
A close above the 64.298 prior high opens the 64.50 round number
Loss of the 63.561 swing low breaks the Asian higher-low trendline
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC, Durables 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
08:17 UTC
Range, pressing the top · RSI 62 · price 64.01
Higher lows off the 63.347 Asian low, testing the Asian high.
Early London has retested the $64.00 cap and the 64.067 Asian high after a higher-low chain off the 63.347 Asian low, with RSI(14) near 62. Easing oil on US-Iran talks cushioned Asia, but supply has capped every push near $64.00 since yesterday's yield-driven drop to the 63.059 NY low.
Support: 63.561, 63.347, 63.059
Resistance: 64.067, 64.328
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 64.067 Asian high breaks the Asian range and opens the path to the 64.328 prior high
Loss of the 63.561 swing low ends the higher-low chain and exposes the 63.347 Asian low
A move back below the 63.059 NY low would put a fresh session low in play
Williams 09:15 UTC, Durables 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
First hour of London is trading inside the Asian range (63.347–64.067). Price is coiling between the 63.56 london low and a 63.88 range top that has produced repeated rejections, while the rising trendline off the asia low holds the higher lows. Silver stays heavy under $64.00 after Thursday's hawkish Williams-led selloff, with RSI(14) neutral near 54.
Support: 63.561, 63.347
Resistance: 63.881, 64.067
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 63.88 range top exposes $64.00 and the 64.067 asia high
Break of the 63.56 london low and the rising trendline brings the 63.45 area and the 63.347 asia low into play
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC, durables at 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Inside Asian range 63.35–64.07; tight 63.56–63.88 box since 05:30 UTC.
Early London is trading inside the Asian range. The Asian high at 64.07 faded from just above 64.00, and the rebound from the 63.35 asian low has met rejection at the 63.85–63.88 range top for five bars, near the 61.8% retrace. Price is hugging EMA20/50 in a 63.56–63.88 box with RSI(14) neutral at 54, while hawkish Fed repricing keeps the 64.00 area capped.
Support: 63.56, 63.35, 63.06
Resistance: 63.88, 64.07
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 63.88 range top opens the 64.00 / 64.07 asian high
Failure to hold the 63.56 range low exposes the 63.35 asian low
A break below 63.35 brings yesterday's prior low at 63.06 into view
Williams at 09:15 UTC, then Durables at 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC, could materially shift this read
Inside the Asian range with lower highs from 64.067; 63.35 low reclaimed.
Early London is trading mid-way through the Asian range (63.347–64.067). The Asian high was rejected just above the 64.00 psych cap, and a lower-high sequence at 63.98 and 63.88 has followed. Price sits on the 38.2% retrace of that Asian leg, below both EMAs with RSI(14) neutral near 49, as hawkish Fed repricing and firm yields keep silver heavy.
Support: 63.581, 63.45, 63.347
Resistance: 63.881, 64.00, 64.067
What it said to watch
Loss of the 63.58 london low exposes 63.45 key support and the 63.35 asian low
M15 close above the 63.88 lower high and the lower-high trendline breaks the sequence, putting the 64.00 psych level and 64.07 asian high back in play
Williams at 09:15 UTC, Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
07:16 UTC
Sideways inside Asian range after Thursday's selloff · RSI 53 · price 63.776
Lower highs from the 64.07 Asian high; higher low at 63.56 after the 63.35 Asian low.
Early London session, and silver sits mid-way in the 63.35–64.07 Asian range. It is holding a higher low at the 63.56 swing low, while a 63.88 lower high and the 64.00 psych cap sit under the Asian high, near the 61.8% of the Asian high-low fib. Thursday's Williams-driven drop to the 63.06 prior low was followed by an Asia bounce on easing oil that stalled below 64.00. RSI is neutral near 53 and EMAs are flat just below price.
Support: 63.56, 63.347, 63.059
Resistance: 63.881, 64.00, 64.067
What it said to watch
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC could break the Asian range either way
M15 close above the 64.07 Asian high, clearing the 64.00 psych and the lower-highs trendline, ends the range read
Loss of the 63.56 swing low puts the 63.35 Asian low back in play; a break there exposes the 63.06 prior low
US Durable Goods 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations 14:00 UTC are the main rate-sensitive risks
07:03 UTC
Intraday range, lower highs from Asia peak · RSI 54 · price 63.842
V-rebound off 63.347 Asia low, compressing 63.71–63.88 under a descending line.
London open finds silver in the upper half of the Asian range (63.347–64.067). Price is holding above the 61.8% fib near 63.79 after a V-rebound from the asia low, with higher lows at 63.561 and 63.707 against a descending line from the asia high capping at the 63.881 intraday high. RSI(14) ~54 is neutral, and the 64.00 psych level remains the cap as hawkish Fed repricing keeps yields bid.
Support: 63.707, 63.561, 63.347
Resistance: 63.881, 64.00, 64.067
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 63.881 intraday high and the asia downline opens the 64.00 psych level and the 64.067 asia high
Loss of the 63.707 higher low puts the 63.561 swing low and the 63.347 asia low back in play
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC could materially shift this read; Durables at 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC follow
Asian range 63.35–64.07; lower highs from 64.07 with a higher low at 63.56.
Late Asia and heading into London open, silver sits mid-to-upper Asian range (63.35–64.07) after Thursday's slide on Williams' hawkish comments and multi-year-high yields. The 05:00 UTC dip to the 63.35 asian low undercut the 63.45 pivot but was bought straight back. Price now presses the descending lower-high line near 63.88 with a higher low at 63.56 below; RSI(14) is flat near 51 and price sits just above EMA20/50.
Support: 63.561, 63.347, 63.059
Resistance: 63.881, 64.067, 64.328
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 63.88 lower high breaks the descending line and exposes the 64.07 asian high, then the 64.33 prior high
Loss of the 63.56 higher low reopens the 63.35 asian low; acceptance below it puts the 63.06 prior low in play
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC, Durables at 12:30 and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 could materially shift this read
06:32 UTC
Sideways, lower highs through Asia · RSI 48 · price 63.759
Range 63.35–64.07 in Asia; rebound off session low, capped under descending trendline.
Asia dipped through the 63.45 pivot to a 63.35 asian low before a sharp rebound, leaving silver back inside the 63.35–64.07 Asian range ahead of London open. Tone stays heavy on hawkish Fed repricing and 5%+ yields. The bounce is stalling between the 50% and 61.8% fib retracement and under a descending trendline from the asian high, with RSI(14) neutral near 48 and price hugging the EMAs.
Support: 63.56, 63.35, 63.06
Resistance: 63.88, 64.07, 64.33
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 63.88 swing high and the descending trendline opens a retest of the 64.07 asian high; beyond that sits Thursday's 64.33 prior high
Loss of the 63.56 higher low puts the 63.35 asian low back in play, with Thursday's 63.06 prior low below
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC, durable goods at 12:30 and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
06:16 UTC
Range-bound, lower highs since Asia high · RSI 48 · price 63.772
Asian range 63.347–64.067 with lower highs; low below 63.45 pivot reclaimed.
Late Asia session: the 05:00 UTC dip below the 63.45 pivot to the 63.347 Asian low was reversed within two bars, and the 06:00 UTC bar held a swing low at 63.561. Price now sits at the 61.8% fib retrace near 63.79, just under the falling trendline and the 63.838 swing high, which is the latest in a series of lower highs off the 64.067 Asian high. RSI(14) is neutral at 48 ahead of London open, with USD firmness on 5%+ yields framing the backdrop.
Support: 63.561, 63.347, 63.059
Resistance: 63.838, 64.067, 64.328
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 63.838 swing high and falling trendline puts the 64.067 Asian high back in play
Acceptance above 64.067 exposes the 64.328 prior high from yesterday's London session
Loss of the 63.561 swing low reopens the 63.347 Asian low; a close below it breaks the Asian range toward the 63.059 prior NY low
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC, then Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC, could materially shift this read
06:04 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs through Asia · RSI 46 · price 63.678
Lower-high/lower-low chain from the Asian high, mid-range ahead of London.
The Asia fade from the 64.067 Asian high set a lower-high/lower-low sequence down to a 63.347 session low. The bounce off that low was rejected at 63.838, leaving price near 63.68 and hugging both EMAs about an hour before London open, with the USD bid on hawkish Fed repricing and 5%+ yields; RSI(14) is neutral near 46.
Support: 63.347, 63.059
Resistance: 63.838, 64.067
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 63.347 session low extends the lower-low chain toward the 63.059 prior low
M15 close above the 63.838 lower high breaks the lower-high trendline and the Asia fade structure
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC could materially shift this read
Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC are the main event risk; a reclaim of the 64.067 Asian high would neutralise the downtrend read
05:47 UTC
Sideways, sharp rebound off Asian low · RSI 49 · price 63.794
Asian range 63.35–64.07; lower highs off 64.07, dip through 63.45 reclaimed.
Late-Asia dip through the 63.45 pivot to the 63.35 asian low failed to hold. One bar retraced about 61.8% of the slide from the 64.07 asian high, putting price back above the ema20 into the late ny high at 63.86 ahead of London open. Tone stays heavy after Thursday's hawkish Fed repricing and 5%+ yields, but price is mid-range with RSI neutral near 49.
Support: 63.69, 63.35, 63.06
Resistance: 63.86, 64.07
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 63.86 late ny high exposes the 64.07 asian high and the 64.00 recovery hurdle
Slip back below the ema20 near 63.69 puts the 63.35 asian low back in play; below that sits the 63.06 thu low
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Rejection near the 61.8% retracement of the Asian slide would keep the lower-high sequence intact
05:31 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs through Asia · RSI 38 · price 63.511
Lower highs from the 64.067 Asia high into a 63.347 session low; bounce just above the pivot.
Asia rejected the 64.067 Asia high after the 01:00 UTC spike, then printed a string of lower highs (63.98, 63.733 swing high) into a 63.347 session low that briefly broke the 63.45 pivot. Price has reclaimed the pivot in late Asia, ahead of London open. RSI(14) sits near 38, and silver stays heavy on hawkish Fed repricing and 5%+ yields.
Support: 63.45, 63.347, 63.059
Resistance: 63.733, 63.98, 64.067
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 63.347 session low extends the lower-low chain toward the 63.059 thursday low
Close above the 63.733 swing high breaks the descending highs line and puts the 61.8% retracement of the Asia fib near 63.79 in play
Loss of the 63.45 pivot on a closing basis confirms the break seen at 05:00 UTC
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC could materially shift this read; UoM inflation expectations follow at 14:00 UTC
05:16 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs through Asia · RSI 32 · price 63.376
Lower-high sequence from 64.07; Asian range low broken late Asia.
Asia faded from the 64.07 asian high in a chain of lower highs. The last hour broke the asian low near 63.53 and printed a session low at 63.35, back under the 63.45 pivot as firm yields and a bid USD keep pressure on silver. RSI(14) near 32 is soft but not oversold. The Thursday NY swing low at 63.24 and the 63.06 prior low sit below.
Support: 63.347, 63.235, 63.059
Resistance: 63.526, 63.733, 64.067
What it said to watch
Hold below the 63.53 asian low keeps the range break intact into London open; reclaiming it reads as a false break
Failure to hold the 63.35 session low exposes the 63.24 swing low and the 63.06 prior low
A close above the 63.73 lower high breaks the Asian lower-high chain
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC, and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC, could materially shift this read
05:04 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs through late Asia · RSI 35 · price 63.499
Lower highs off the 64.07 Asian high; Asian low breached, testing 63.45 pivot.
Silver slipped under the 63.53 Asian low late in the Asia session. A descending trendline of lower highs from the 64.07 Asian high has capped each bounce as hawkish Fed repricing and 5%+ yields weigh. Price is now pressing the 63.45 pivot, which coincides with the 61.8% fib retrace of the 63.06–64.07 swing, with RSI(14) near 35.
Support: 63.45, 63.33, 63.06
Resistance: 63.53, 63.73, 64.07
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 63.45 pivot / 61.8% fib exposes the 63.33 swing low, then the 63.06 Thursday low
Recovery back above the 63.53 Asian low and the 63.73 lower high breaks the descending trendline and neutralises the lower-high sequence
London open at 07:00 UTC and Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC; durables at 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
Asian spike rejected, lower-high/lower-low sequence since 01:15 UTC.
The early Asian pop to a 64.067 session high met rejection and faded through a string of lower highs, with the 63.98 lower high capping before a slide to a 63.526 session low. Price has bounced to about 63.72, retracing roughly a third of the Asian fade but still below EMA20. The heavy tone matches the hawkish-Fed and yield pressure in the digest.
Support: 63.526, 63.45, 63.059
Resistance: 63.98, 64.067
What it said to watch
Break below the 63.526 session low and the 63.45 pivot would extend the lower-low sequence toward Thursday's 63.059 prior low
Close above the 63.98 lower high and the 64.067 session high would break the Asian fade structure
Williams (09:15 UTC), durables (12:30 UTC) and UoM inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
04:31 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs through Asia · RSI 36 · price 63.622
Late Asia session, price back at the Asian low beneath a lower-high sequence from 64.07.
Asia's 01:00 UTC spike to the 64.07 Asian high met rejection and faded into lower highs at 63.97 and 63.98. The Asian drop has returned price to the 63.53 Asian low, extending Thursday's hawkish-Fed slide. RSI(14) sits near 36 with price below both EMAs; the 63.45 pivot and the 63.30 swing low sit beneath.
Support: 63.526, 63.45, 63.296
Resistance: 63.98, 64.067
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 63.53 Asian low exposes the 63.45 pivot, then the 63.30 swing low
Close above the 63.98 lower high breaks the lower-highs sequence and reopens the 64.07 Asian high
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
04:17 UTC
Short-term down, lower highs since the Asian peak · RSI 41 · price 63.56
Asian pop to 64.07 fully faded; lower highs, testing Asian low at 50% retrace.
The 01:00 UTC Asia spike to the 64.07 asian high was rejected, and a lower high at 63.98 led a slide back to the 63.53 asian low. That area also marks the 50% retrace of Thursday's 63.06 ny low to 64.07 recovery. RSI(14) is 41 with price under both EMAs late in the Asia session, as the hawkish Williams-driven yield surge still weighs.
Support: 63.53, 63.45, 63.06
Resistance: 63.75, 63.98, 64.07
What it said to watch
A break of the 63.53 asian low, then the 63.45 pivot, extends the lower-high chain toward the 63.06 ny low.
Reclaiming the 63.75 asia shelf and the 63.98 lower high (descending trendline) would neutralise the Asia fade. The 64.07 asian high is the cap above that.
London open ahead; Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read.
Lower highs off the Asian high, price near the Asian low.
Silver slid from 64.30 to a 63.059 swing low during yesterday's London and NY sessions on hawkish Fed repricing and 5%+ yields. It has since held a 63.33–64.07 range. The Asian pop to 64.067 marked the third rejection near 64.00 since the NY low at 63.329, and a chain of lower highs has walked price back to 63.64, just above the Asian low at 63.545. RSI(14) is neutral near 45 with price under both EMAs.
Support: 63.545, 63.329, 63.059
Resistance: 63.98, 64.067, 64.328
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 63.545 Asian low exposes the 63.329 NY low, with the digest's 63.45 pivot in between
Close above the 63.98 lower high breaks the lower-highs trendline; 64.067 Asian high then the 64.328 prior high sit above
Loss of 63.329 reopens the 63.059 swing low
Fed's Williams 09:15 UTC, Durable Goods 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
03:46 UTC
Sideways after Thursday's slide, Asian bounce fading · RSI 49 · price 63.729
Asian range 63.545–64.067, lower highs since 64.067 rejection.
Late Asia session: silver is holding inside a 63.545–64.067 Asian range after Thursday's hawkish-Fed slide to a 63.059 prior low. The 64.00 test was rejected at the asian high, and price is now back at the 61.8% of the Asian swing, pinned between EMA20 above and EMA50 just below.
Support: 63.545, 63.45, 63.059
Resistance: 64.067, 64.328
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 63.545 asian low reopens the 63.45 pivot, with the 63.059 prior low beneath
Close back above the asian high at 64.067 breaks the lower-high sequence and exposes the 64.328 prior high
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC, then Durables 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
03:32 UTC
Recovering from NY low, capped under 64.00 · RSI 53 · price 63.75
Late-Asia range 63.545–64.067 with rising lows off 63.06.
Silver is building rising lows off the 63.06 swing low set in Thursday's NY session, after Williams' hike comments and multi-year-high yields drove the slide. Late in Asia, the asian high at 64.067 was rejected and price is back mid-range near 63.75. The higher low at 63.71 and the asian low at 63.545, near the 50% fib of the 63.06–64.07 recovery, are holding the rising-lows line.
Support: 63.71, 63.545, 63.059
Resistance: 64.067, 64.328
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 64.067 asian high breaks the Asian range and puts the 64.33 prior high in view
Loss of the 63.545 asian low breaks the rising-lows line and exposes the 61.8% fib near 63.44, then the 63.06 swing low
A break of the 63.71 higher low returns price to the lower half of the Asian range
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC in the London session could materially shift this read via yields
Late-Asia consolidation 63.71–63.98 beneath a repeatedly capped 64.00 area.
Late in the Asia session, silver is holding 63.71–63.98. The 01:00 UTC Asian leg off 63.545 tagged the 64.067 Asian high, then stalled at the 64.00 round number, the third rejection there since yesterday's NY session. Rising support from the Asian low holds at the 63.711 swing low with RSI(14) near 61, while Thursday's hawkish Williams remarks and multi-year-high yields still frame the tone.
Support: 63.711, 63.545
Resistance: 64.00, 64.067
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 64.067 Asian high clears the 64.00 round number cap
Break of the 63.711 swing low and rising support exposes the 63.545 Asian low
Fed's Williams (09:15 UTC), Durables (12:30 UTC) and UoM inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
The Asia leg lifted silver from the 63.545 Asian low to the 64.067 Asian high after Thursday's hawkish-Fed slide to a 63.059 day low. Supply has capped the 64.00–64.07 area three times since yesterday's NY hours. The pullback held a higher low at 63.711, near the 61.8% fib of the Asia leg, with RSI(14) mid-range around 56.
Support: 63.711, 63.545, 63.059
Resistance: 64.067, 64.328
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 64.067 Asian high breaks the triple cap and opens the 64.328 prior high
Loss of the 63.711 higher low and the rising lows line returns focus to the 63.545 Asian low
Below 63.545, the 63.45 break level from the news and yesterday's 63.059 day low come into play
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC could materially shift this read; Durables (12:30 UTC) and UoM inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) follow
Mid-Asia session, the 01:00 UTC spike off the 63.545 Asian low stalled at 64.067, and a 63.966 lower high has since formed above a 63.723 higher low. RSI(14) is neutral at 54 and price sits just above EMA20. The rising trendline from yesterday's 63.059 NY low, set during the hawkish-Fed sell-off, is intact, but supply has capped every push at 64.00–64.07.
Support: 63.723, 63.545, 63.45
Resistance: 63.966, 64.067, 64.328
What it said to watch
Close above the 64.067 Asian high clears the 64.00 cap and opens the 64.328 prior high
Loss of the 63.723 higher low and 63.545 Asian low exposes the rising trendline and 61.8% fib near the 63.45 break level
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC, Durables at 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
02:31 UTC
Recovering off NY low, capped below 64.00 · RSI 54 · price 63.851
Higher lows since the 63.06 NY low; flat cap at 64.00–64.07 tested three times.
Silver is trading 63.85 mid-Asia session after Thursday's hawkish-Fed, yield-driven slide from the 64.33 prior high to the 63.06 NY low. Since then a rising trendline of higher lows has pushed price into the 64.00 round number, which has now been rejected three times, most recently at the 64.07 Asian high. RSI(14) sits at 54, neutral.
Support: 63.72, 63.545, 63.45
Resistance: 64.00, 64.067, 64.328
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 64.07 Asian high breaks the three-touch cap and exposes the 64.33 prior high
Loss of the 63.72 swing low, then the 63.545 Asian low, breaks the rising trendline and the higher-low sequence
63.45 fib 61.8 of the NY low–Asian high move lines up with the news breakdown level; a close below it reopens the 63.06 NY low
Williams at 09:15 UTC, Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
02:16 UTC
Range after yesterday's slide, higher lows forming · RSI 55 · price 63.852
Higher lows off 63.06 capped by a flat 64.00–64.07 ceiling.
Asia session pushed through the Asian range high near 63.81 at 01:00 UTC but met rejection at the 64.07 session high. That is the third stall in the 64.00–64.07 zone since yesterday's NY session. Higher lows from the 63.06 day low, set during the yield-driven, hawkish-Fed slide, keep price compressed beneath that cap.
Support: 63.545, 63.329, 63.059
Resistance: 64.067, 64.328
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 64.07 session high breaks the 64.00 cap and opens the 64.33 prior high
Loss of the 63.55 asian low breaks the higher-lows sequence and brings the 63.45 news break level into play
Below 63.45, the 63.33 swing low and 63.06 day low come into view
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could reset this range read
02:03 UTC
Basing after Thursday's slide, lows stepping up · RSI 52 · price 63.785
Range 63.55–64.07 with rising lows, flat cap near 64.00.
Asia session pushed out of its 63.55–63.81 range but stalled at the 64.07 session high. That is the third rejection at the 64.00 round number since Thursday's NY hours, and price has since retraced to the 50% of the Asia spike near 63.79. Lows have stepped up from Thursday's 63.06 swing low, set during the hawkish-Fed, high-yield slide. RSI(14) is neutral near 52 and ATR(14) is around 140 pips.
Support: 63.723, 63.545, 63.45
Resistance: 64.00, 64.067
What it said to watch
Close above the 64.00 round number and the 64.07 session high breaks the triple cap and ends the range read
Loss of the 63.72 micro low exposes the 63.55 asian low and the rising-lows trendline
Break below the 63.45 break level flagged in the news digest undoes the base and resumes Thursday's slide
Williams at 09:15 UTC, then Durables at 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC, could materially shift this read
01:46 UTC
Rebounding off NY low, capped below 64.00-64.07 · RSI 55 · price 63.859
Rising lows under flat 64.00-64.07 cap; Asian range break pulling back.
Early Asia session broke above its 63.545-63.812 range at 01:00 UTC but met rejection at the 64.067 session high. That is the third cap near 64.00 since NY rebounded off 63.06, the low of a London slide driven by hawkish Fed repricing. Price is now retesting the asia high with the rising lows (63.06, 63.33, 63.55) intact; RSI(14) is neutral at 55.
Support: 63.812, 63.545, 63.329
Resistance: 64.067, 64.328
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 63.812 asia high turns the Asian range break into a false break
Loss of the 63.545 asia low, and the rising lows trendline, ends the higher-low sequence and puts the 63.329 swing low and the 63.45 news trigger back in play
Close above the 64.067 session high clears the triple cap and opens the 64.328 prior high
A hold of the 38.2% recovery fib near 63.68 keeps the rebound structure intact
Fed's Williams (09:15 UTC), Durable Goods (12:30 UTC) and UoM inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
01:32 UTC
Short-term recovery within a heavy tape, capped near 64.00 · RSI 58 · price 63.915
Higher lows from 63.059; Asia range broken higher, highs capped 64.00–64.07.
The 01:00 UTC bar broke the Asia range (63.545–63.813) higher and set a session high at 64.067. Price then faded back under 64.00, the same cap that stopped Thursday's NY rebounds after the hawkish-Fed slide. Lows have stepped up from 63.059 to 63.545 along rising lows, and the Asia low sits near the 50% fib of that move.
Support: 63.813, 63.545, 63.45
Resistance: 64.067, 64.328
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 63.813 asia high turns the range break into a false break
M15 close above the 64.067 session high clears the 64.00 cap and opens 64.328 prior high
Loss of the 63.545 asia low breaks the rising lows and exposes the 63.45 break level near the 61.8% fib
Fed's Williams 09:15 UTC, Durables 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
01:17 UTC
Rebound off 63.06 low, pressing 64.00 cap · RSI 61 · price 64.012
Asian range broken higher; higher lows at 63.06 and 63.33 under a flat 64.00–64.04 ceiling.
Early Asia session broke above the 63.545–63.812 Asian range on the 01:00 UTC bar. Price is now pressing the 64.00 cap, which rejected twice during NY hours, and it holds above the 61.8% of the slide fib from the 64.504 prior high to 63.059. The rebound came off the 63.33 swing low as hawkish-Fed pressure paused.
Support: 63.812, 63.545, 63.329
Resistance: 64.036, 64.328, 64.504
What it said to watch
M15 close above 64.04 clears the 64.00 cap and opens the 64.33 prior pivot, then the 64.50 prior high
Slip back below the asia high at 63.81 turns the range break into a false break
Loss of the asia low at 63.55 and the 63.33 swing low re-exposes the 63.45 trigger zone and the 63.06 low
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC, Durables at 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
01:05 UTC
Downtrend, pausing in early Asia · RSI 47 · price 63.684
Lower highs from 64.504, higher lows off 63.059, compressing.
Silver is holding a tight 63.545–63.813 Asian range after Thursday's slide from 64.504 to 63.059. Hawkish Fed repricing and yields near 5.14% drove that slide, and the NY rebound capped just above the 64.00 round number. The asian high sits near the 50% retrace of that decline, while lows have stepped up from the swing low at 63.329, keeping price just above the 63.45 break level with RSI(14) flat near 47.
Support: 63.545, 63.45, 63.329
Resistance: 63.813, 64.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 63.545 asian low puts the 63.45 break level back in play; losing it resumes the lower-low sequence toward 63.059
Close above the 63.813 asian high and the 64.00 round number breaks the lower-high chain and the 50% retrace cap
Williams 09:15 UTC, Durables 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs 64.02→63.81 against higher lows 63.33→63.55; early Asia range.
Silver gave up the 64.00 base in London and printed a 63.06 session low in NY as hawkish Fed repricing lifted yields. A sharp rebound stalled at the 64.02 rebound high. Early Asia is now squeezed between the 63.81 Asian high and a rising higher-lows line near 63.55, with price just under both EMAs and RSI(14) neutral at ~46.
Support: 63.545, 63.45, 63.329
Resistance: 63.813, 64.024
What it said to watch
Loss of the 63.545 Asian low and the higher-lows line exposes the 63.45 break level, near the 61.8% of the rebound fib
Acceptance below the 63.45 break level brings the 63.329 swing low and the 63.06 session low back into play
M15 close above the 63.813 Asian high reopens the 64.02 rebound high
Williams (09:15 UTC), Durables (12:30 UTC) and UoM inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
00:32 UTC
Sideways after NY rebound, lower highs forming · RSI 48 · price 63.622
Tight Asian range 63.57–63.81 inside the 63.50–64.02 post-NY range.
Hawkish Fed talk and the claims beat drove silver to a 63.059 NY low before a sharp rebound that was rejected twice near the 64.02 ny high, leaving lower highs since. Early Asia session is compressing in a 63.57–63.81 range, with price pressing the asian low just above the swing low at 63.50 and the 63.45 break level, which sits near the 61.8% retrace of the NY rebound.
Support: 63.573, 63.504, 63.45
Resistance: 63.813, 64.024
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 63.45 break level (61.8% of the NY rebound) confirms a lower-low and breaks the range read
Close above the 63.813 asian high and the lower-high line from the ny high reopens 64.02
Loss of the asian low at 63.573 puts the 63.504 swing low in play
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC, with Durables and UoM inflation expectations later Friday, could materially shift this read
00:17 UTC
Heavy after NY bounce, lower highs building · RSI 43 · price 63.604
Compression between 63.50 and 64.02 below both EMAs.
Early Asia is pressing the asian low at 63.57 as hawkish Williams remarks and 5.14% yields keep silver heavy. The NY bounce off 63.06 stalled twice near the 64.02 ny high, and lower highs since then have squeezed price toward the late ny low at 63.50, with RSI(14) at 43.
Support: 63.573, 63.504, 63.329
Resistance: 63.813, 64.024
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 63.50 late ny low exposes the 63.45 news break level and the 61.8% of the ny rally fib near 63.43, then the 63.33 higher low
Reclaiming the 63.81 asian high breaks the lower highs trendline and puts the 64.02 ny high back in play
Williams 09:15 UTC, Durables 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
London broke yesterday's Asian range low near 63.72 and NY extended the slide to 63.06 as hawkish Fedspeak and 5%+ yields weighed. The late-NY rebound topped at the 64.02 rebound high and has since printed lower highs. Early Asia is holding a 63.57–63.81 range, with the asia low sitting just above the 63.50 swing low and the 63.45 breakdown level flagged in the news.
Support: 63.573, 63.504, 63.329
Resistance: 63.813, 64.024, 64.504
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 63.50 swing low and 63.45 exposes the 63.33 higher low, then the 63.06 day low
Close above the 63.81 asia high and the lower-highs trendline reopens the 64.02 rebound high, then the 64.50 prior high
Price holding above the 38.2% rebound fib keeps the 63.06–64.02 bounce intact
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC, Durables at 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read