XAU/USD AI Live Scan, 1-hour chart, Monday, 6 July 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the XAU/USD 1-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:03 UTC
Uptrend stalling, now ranging · RSI 54 · price 4,164.14
Rally capped at 4202, consolidating below.
Gold ran from Monday's ~4030 base to 4202 on the back of last week's weak 57K NFP print, but that level has now capped price twice and produced a double-top rejection. Since then it has drifted back into a 4128-4188 consolidation and is holding just above the H1 EMA20 near 4155, with RSI cycling around 54. The dominant week's impulse is intact but momentum has flattened into the FOMC minutes.
Support: 4,155.00, 4,128.00, 4,100.00
Resistance: 4,188.00, 4,202.00
What it said to watch
FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the key catalyst and can break this range
H1 close above 4202 opens the path toward 4280
Failure to hold 4128 confirms a lower low and exposes the 4100 pivot
Gold rallied over 2% into the 4202 area last week on the weak 57K NFP print, then stalled after two failed pushes above 4202. Price has since consolidated between 4128 and 4202, holding just above the H1 EMA20 with RSI cycling mid-range. The weekly high at 4202 remains the ceiling capping this range.
Support: 4,128.00, 4,100.00
Resistance: 4,202.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 4202 opens the path toward 4280
Loss of 4128 exposes the 4100 pivot
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could break this range read
22:03 UTC
Uptrend stalling, now ranging · RSI 53 · price 4,164.95
Consolidation under week high after impulse.
Gold ripped from the 3963 low to 4202 on last week's soft NFP miss, then stalled as the USD found a safe-haven bid and price capped repeatedly around 4202. Since then H1 has settled into a 4131–4202 range, holding above EMA20/50 with RSI cycling near 50. The 4186 supply zone has capped this week's attempts, while 4131 marks the range floor.
Support: 4,131.00, 4,100.00
Resistance: 4,186.00, 4,202.90, 4,280.00
What it said to watch
Close above 4202.9 week high opens the path to 4280
Failure to hold 4131 range floor exposes the 4100 pivot
FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the key catalyst and could break this range
Higher highs into 4202, now consolidating below the high.
Gold ran from Monday's ~3963 base to 4202 on the back of last week's soft NFP miss, then stalled as the USD found a safe-haven Hormuz bid — twin rejections at 4202/4201 have capped the advance. Price is now holding above EMA(20) around 4160 with RSI(14) cycling mid-range, chopping between 4131 support and the 4188 prior high. Structure stays constructive above the rising higher-lows, but the 4202 ceiling remains unbroken.
Support: 4,131.00, 4,100.00
Resistance: 4,188.00, 4,202.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 4202 opens the path toward the 4280 area
Loss of 4131 swing low exposes the 4100 pivot
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the key catalyst that could reshape this read
Gold rallied from last week's sub-3970 base to 4202 on the soft NFP print, then stalled after two rejections at 4202 to leave a double-top cap. Price has drifted into a 4128–4202 range this week and now holds near 4165, sitting just above EMA(20) with RSI(14) mid-range. Consolidation is tightening into the FOMC minutes.
Support: 4,128.46, 4,100.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 4202 opens the path toward 4280
Failure to hold 4128 exposes the 4100 pivot
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the key catalyst for this range
21:05 UTC
Uptrend stalling, now consolidating · RSI 55 · price 4,164.95
Range-bound below week high, higher lows off 4128.
Gold rallied over 2% off the 3970 low into Thursday's NFP miss (57K vs 110K), then stalled repeatedly at 4202 and has since drifted into a 4128-4202 range. Price is grinding back above EMA(20)/EMA(50) near 4164 with RSI(14) mid-range around 55; the recovery off Monday's 4128 low has traced higher lows without reclaiming the 4188 session high. USD safe-haven bid on Hormuz headlines is capping the topside.
Support: 4,128.00, 4,100.00
Resistance: 4,188.00, 4,202.00
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 4202 prior high opens the path toward 4280
Failure to hold 4128 swing low exposes the 4100 pivot
FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Gold has climbed steadily since Monday's 4010 open on the back of last week's weak NFP miss, but the run stalled twice at 4202 to leave a clear double top. Price has since drifted into a 4131-4186 range, holding above the H1 EMA(20) with RSI(14) cooling back into the low-50s. The 4131 week low is the near-term floor as the market consolidates ahead of the FOMC minutes.
Support: 4,100.00, 4,009.99
What it said to watch
H1 close above 4202 double top opens the path toward 4280
Failure to hold 4131 week low exposes the 4100 pivot
FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the key catalyst that could break this range
Gold opened Monday near 4010 and ran over 2% into Thursday's soft NFP print, peaking at 4202 before stalling. The 4202 zone has capped price twice this week and pullbacks have held above the EMA20, keeping the pair range-bound in the upper part of the week's advance. Price sits at 4163 with RSI cycling in the mid-50s — momentum has flattened rather than reversed.
Support: 4,128.46, 4,100.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 4202 opens the path toward 4280
Failure to hold 4128 swing low exposes the 4100 pivot
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the key catalyst and could reset this range
Corrective pullback within week's uptrend, holding higher lows.
The week opened near 4033 and ran over 2% into the NFP-driven leg, peaking at 4202 where two attempts were capped and rejected. Price has since pulled back into a 4131–4188 range, with demand stepping in around 4131 and the recovery to 4164 now holding around EMA(20). RSI(14) sits mid-range at ~54, momentum flattening after the impulse.
Support: 4,131.00, 4,100.00
Resistance: 4,188.00, 4,202.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 4202 reopens the path toward 4280
Failure to hold 4131 exposes the 4100 range floor
FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the key catalyst that could shift this read
19:03 UTC
Corrective bounce within week's range · RSI 56 · price 4,164.05
Pullback off 4202, higher-lows rebuilding.
Gold rallied over 2% off Monday's ~3960 low into the NFP-driven push, peaking at 4202 which capped two attempts this week before a corrective slide to the 4128 range low. Price has since carved higher-lows back above EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) cycling mid-range near 56. The 61.8% retrace of the weekly impulse sits deeper near 4053, so the current bounce is still holding well within the up move.
Support: 4,128.46, 4,100.00
Resistance: 4,188.00, 4,202.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 4188 then 4202 weekly high re-opens 4280
Loss of 4128 range low exposes the 4100 pivot
FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the key catalyst that could reset this read
18:03 UTC
Uptrend, momentum faded · RSI 54 · price 4,159.88
Consolidating below 4202 after week's rally.
Gold ran from the ~3960 base to 4202 after Thursday's big NFP miss (57K vs 110K), then stalled — two attempts at 4202 print a double top and the pullback found a swing low near 4131. Price has since recovered to sit around EMA20 as the DXY rebounds on Hormuz safe-haven flows, leaving the market range-bound between 4131 and 4202.
Support: 4,131.00, 4,100.00
Resistance: 4,202.00
What it said to watch
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the key catalyst for this range
Sustained close above 4202 opens the path toward the 4280 area
Failure to hold 4131 swing low exposes the 4100 pivot
Gold tagged 4202 twice late last week after Thursday's soft NFP miss, then rolled over into Monday's session, dipping to 4128 before recovering back toward EMA20 near 4155. Price now sits mid-range as the DXY rebound on Hormuz safe-haven flows caps the upside; the 4202 double-top failure remains the key ceiling and 4128 the base of the range.
Support: 4,128.00, 4,100.00
Resistance: 4,202.00
What it said to watch
FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Sustained break above 4202 opens the 4280-4300 area
Failure to hold 4128 swing low opens the 4100 pivot
Gold ran over 2% off Thursday's soft NFP print, peaking at the 4202 week high before stalling twice near 4200 — a rejection that has capped the advance. Since then price has drifted into a shallow pullback, slipping just under EMA(20) while holding above EMA(50) and the 4131 swing low. RSI(14) has cooled back to the mid-40s as the impulse loses steam.
Support: 4,131.00, 4,100.00
Resistance: 4,188.00, 4,202.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 4188 then 4202 reopens the upside path
Failure to hold 4131 swing low exposes 4100 round number
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Gold rallied off Thursday's NFP-driven low near 3963 to tag the 4202 week high at Sunday's session open, then eased back into a 4128–4202 range. Price is hovering around the H1 EMA(20) after two rejections near 4200, with a weekend gap into the weekly open at 4177 capping recent attempts. Lower highs have formed since Sunday, but the 4128 swing low held on the last pullback.
Support: 4,128.00, 4,100.00
Resistance: 4,177.00, 4,202.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 4202 week high reopens the path toward 4280
Loss of 4128 swing low confirms a lower low toward the 4100 psych level
FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Gold rallied from Monday's 4015 open to a 4202 week high before rejection there stalled the advance; price has since slipped below EMA20 into the NY session, printing lower highs. The NFP-driven bounce is consolidating as Hormuz-linked safe-haven USD demand caps upside, with RSI cooling into the mid-40s. EMA50 near 4130 has so far propped dips.
Support: 4,128.00
Resistance: 4,202.00
What it said to watch
H1 close below 4128 confirms a lower low and cracks the EMA50 shelf
Reclaim of 4202 reopens the path toward 4280
FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Gold ran from ~$3,960 to a $4,202 week high through Thursday's NFP-driven push, then stalled — the last day has churned between 4128 and 4202 with lower highs printing after rejection near the top. Price now sits back below EMA(20) around 4165 with RSI in the mid-40s. FOMC minutes Wednesday and Waller today are the catalysts capable of forcing the next leg out of this range.
Support: 4,128.00
Resistance: 4,165.00, 4,202.00
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 4165 (ema20) reopens the 4202 week high
Loss of 4128 swing low confirms a lower low
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Gold ran from Monday's ~4032 open to a 4202 week high after the NFP miss lifted bullion, but the last day has been a steady pullback stalling twice near 4200 before rolling back under EMA20. Price is now coiling around 4138 with RSI cooling to the low-40s as Hormuz-driven USD demand caps upside. Support at 4128 has held the current-day low.
Support: 4,128.00, 4,106.00
Resistance: 4,160.00, 4,188.00, 4,202.00
What it said to watch
H1 close below 4128 confirms a lower-low and opens 4106
Reclaim of 4160 EMA20 puts the 4188-4202 supply back in play
Waller speech (15:00 UTC) and FOMC minutes Wed could reshape this read
15:03 UTC
Uptrend this week, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 4,138.31
Lower highs off week high, testing support.
Gold rallied over 4% from Monday's ~4015 open to a 4202 week high through Wednesday-Thursday's NFP-driven bounce, but has since carved lower highs and slipped back below EMA20 near 4160. Rejection at 4202 has capped the last attempt and price is now probing the day low at 4128, with RSI(14) rolling through the mid-40s. The Hormuz-driven USD bid is capping the recovery while dip-buyers keep the 4100 round number in play.
Support: 4,128.46, 4,100.00
Resistance: 4,160.00, 4,188.00
What it said to watch
Loss of 4128 day low opens the 4100 round number
H1 close back above 4160 ema20 re-engages the 4188 prior high
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC and Waller today 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Gold rebounded off the ~3,960 area on Thursday's soft 57K NFP miss and peaked at 4200, a level that has capped every attempt this week. Price has since rolled into lower highs and now trades below EMA20 near 4141, with RSI cooling toward 40 as the corrective bounce stalls. The 4200 range cap stays intact while the 4100 pivot underpins the pullback.
Support: 4,100.00
Resistance: 4,166.31, 4,200.00
What it said to watch
ISM Services (14:00 UTC) and Waller (15:00 UTC) could reset this read
Loss of 4131 swing low opens the 4100 pivot
H1 close above 4166 prior high needed to re-engage the 4200 cap
Gold ran from the ~$3,960 lows to a $4,202 double top after Thursday's soft 57K NFP shove Fed-hike odds out, but the rally stalled at the widely-flagged $4,200 cap and price has since drifted back to $4,141. Two tests near $4,202 were rejected and H1 is now printing lower highs, with price slipping under EMA(20) while holding above the deeper EMA(50). Demand has stepped in around $4,131 on the latest leg down.
Support: 4,100.00
Resistance: 4,166.31, 4,200.00
What it said to watch
ISM Services (14:00 UTC, f/c 54) and Waller at 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 4166 lower high reopens the 4200 cap
Failure to hold 4131 confirms a lower low toward the 4100 pivot
Gold ran from Monday's ~3978 open to a 4202 week high, driven by the post-NFP dovish repricing, then rolled over into the current NY session and slipped back under EMA20. Price is now digesting around 4144, holding above the 4131 swing low as the week's rally consolidates. RSI has cooled toward the midline, reflecting the loss of upside momentum rather than a structural break.
Support: 4,131.00
Resistance: 4,188.00, 4,202.00
What it said to watch
H1 close below 4131 confirms a lower low and breaks the rising support line
Reclaim of 4188 reopens the 4202 week high
ISM Services 14:00 UTC and Waller 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read
13:04 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pullback in play · RSI 44 · price 4,144.70
Lower highs off the 4202 peak.
Gold ran from the ~3960 lows to a week high at 4202.89 on Friday's post-NFP dovish repricing, and has since carved lower highs, easing back below EMA(20) into the NY session. Price is holding the 4131 swing low with RSI(14) mid-40s as the move consolidates. The 4174 prior high and 4200/4202 area capped the last push and remain the levels to watch for rejection or break.
Support: 4,100.00
Resistance: 4,174.00, 4,202.89, 4,200.00
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 4174 reopens the 4200/4202 week high
Loss of 4131 confirms a lower-low and exposes 4100
ISM Services (14:00 UTC) and Waller (15:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
Gold rode this week's post-NFP surge from Monday's ~3985 open up to a 4202 week high, then rolled over into a series of lower highs and is now digesting near 4156. Price has slipped back below EMA(20) while holding well above EMA(50), and the failure to hold 4174 has kept the pullback intact toward the 4136 day low. The bounce from oversold ~3900 remains the dominant this-week story, now consolidating into today's ISM Services print.
Support: 4,106.00
What it said to watch
ISM Services 14:00 UTC and Waller 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Close below 4136 confirms a lower low and opens 4106
Gold rallied off the ~3960 base into Friday's post-NFP surge, tagging a week high at 4202 before stalling. Since the weekend gap price has drifted into a 4136-4185 consolidation, slipping back under EMA20 with RSI cycling near neutral. The 4136 swing low is holding on early recovery attempts while the descending lower highs cap advances.
Support: 4,100.00
Resistance: 4,185.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 4185 then 4202 would resume the impulse
Loss of 4136 swing low opens the 4100 psych area
ISM Services 14:00 UTC and Waller 15:00 UTC could shift this read
Gold has run higher since Monday's open off the ~3960 base, extending to a 4202 week high after the soft NFP print trimmed Fed-hike bets. Price has since eased back to 4155, slipping under EMA20 for the first time this week as RSI cools from stretched levels. The pullback is holding above the 4136 session low so far.
Support: 4,100.00
Resistance: 4,170.00
What it said to watch
ISM Services 14:00 UTC and Waller 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Reclaim of the 4170 EMA20 re-engages the 4200 pivot
Failure to hold 4136 opens the path toward the 4100 pivot
Higher highs into 4202, now lower highs below weekly open.
Gold ran from ~3960 to 4202 this week on the post-NFP dovish repricing, but the 4202 area capped the push and price has slipped back under the weekly open near 4177 and below EMA20 at ~4170. Since the reopen the tape has been carving lower highs while the 4143 day low has held on each dip, keeping this a consolidation inside the week's range rather than a fresh leg. ISM Services and Waller are the immediate risk to whether the dovish bounce extends.
Support: 4,143.00, 4,100.00
Resistance: 4,170.00, 4,202.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 4202 week high reopens the path higher
Failure to hold 4143 day low exposes 4100 psych
ISM Services 14:00 UTC and Waller 15:00 UTC could shift this read
Gold pulled back from Monday's 4202 double-top through the London session, printing lower highs and slipping under EMA20 with RSI(14) near 40. The move reads as a corrective dip within this week's advance off 4032 — the rally that followed the soft NFP miss. The 4200 pivot capped two attempts and first support sits at the 4136 session low.
Support: 4,136.00, 4,100.00, 4,032.00
Resistance: 4,200.00
What it said to watch
H1 close below 4136 confirms a lower low and opens 4100
Reclaim of the 4200 pivot needed to resume the week's advance
ISM Services 14:00 UTC and Waller 15:00 UTC could reshape this read
10:03 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 43 · price 4,144.78
Corrective retrace off week high.
Gold rallied off ~4032 into 4202 after Thursday's soft NFP (57K vs 110K) trimmed Fed-hike bets, but Monday's twin rejections near 4202 stalled the advance and price has since faded to 4144, slipping below the EMA20. The pullback is holding the 38.2% retracement of the week's impulse around 4136 (today's session low), with RSI(14) cooling into the low-40s. EMA50 still sits below price near 4118, keeping the broader week's structure intact.
Support: 4,136.00, 4,118.00, 4,100.00
Resistance: 4,202.00, 4,188.00
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 4136 opens the path toward the 4118 swing low then 4100 psych
Reclaim of 4188 and 4202 needed to revive the week's uptrend
ISM Services PMI at 14:00 UTC and Waller at 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Gold rallied hard from Thursday's 3974 dip toward 4200 as the 57K NFP miss gutted Fed-hike bets and softened the USD, but two attempts at 4202 have stalled, printing a double top. Price has since faded back below the EMA20 at 4168, with the 4145 swing low now the near-term floor as RSks cools toward 44. The move sits near the 38.2% fib of the week's impulse.
Support: 4,145.00, 4,118.00, 4,088.00
Resistance: 4,168.00, 4,202.00
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 4168 EMA20 re-opens the 4200 double-top area
Loss of 4145 swing low exposes 4118 prior range and the 50% fib at 4088
ISM Services 14:00 UTC + Waller 15:00 UTC could reset this read
Gold rallied all week from Monday's 3962 open, peaking at 4202.89 on the post-July 4 reopen after the weak NFP print (57K vs 110K) knocked the USD to a two-week low. Since the NY session yesterday price has faded back to 4150, slipping under EMA20 as the 4200 pivot capped the advance. RSI(14) has cooled toward mid-range while the rising EMA50 still sits just below price.
Support: 4,147.15, 4,118.16, 4,100.00
Resistance: 4,202.89
What it said to watch
H1 close above 4202.89 opens the path toward 4280
Failure to hold 4147 session low exposes 4118/4100 support
ISM Services 14:00 UTC and Waller 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Gold rallied hard off 3942 through Thursday-Friday as the weak US NFP print (57K vs 110K) knocked the USD and lifted the metal into the 4200 pivot. Monday's reopen tested 4202 twice and was rejected, and price has since slipped back to 4164, dipping under the EMA(20) with RSI(14) fading toward the mid-40s. The 4200 psych pivot has capped this week, while pullbacks are still holding above the 4144 day low.
Support: 4,121.32
Resistance: 4,200.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 4200 pivot opens the path toward 4280
Failure to hold 4144 confirms a lower-low toward 4121
ISM Services PMI at 14:00 UTC and Waller 15:00 UTC could reshape this read
Corrective pullback from weekly high, higher lows intact.
Gold ran to a weekly high near 4202 through Monday's NY session on the softer USD after Thursday's NFP miss (57K vs 110K), then faded into today with price now slipping under EMA20 around 4172. The 4200 psych pivot capped the advance twice and RSI(14) has cooled from overbought as the metal retests the 4144 swing low. Higher lows off Friday's base remain intact, keeping the rebound corrective rather than broken.
Support: 4,121.32
Resistance: 4,200.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 4202 opens the path toward the 4280 area
Failure to hold 4144 confirms a lower low toward the 4121 breakout
ISM Services PMI 14:00 UTC and Waller 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Gold rallied through the week off the 3942 low, extending after Thursday's soft NFP knocked the USD to a two-week low, but the advance stalled twice at the 4200 pivot — 4195 Friday and 4202 on Monday's reopen. Price has since rolled over into the NY-Asia handover, slipping below EMA20 to test the 4145 session low as RSI cools back toward 40. The broader higher-low sequence off Monday holds unless 4105 gives way.
Support: 4,145.00, 4,105.00
Resistance: 4,202.00, 4,195.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 4202 invalidates the double-top read and opens the 4280 path
Failure to hold 4145 exposes 4105 higher low
ISM Services PMI 14:00 UTC and Waller 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Gold rallied from Monday's 4015 open on rising higher-lows, with the dominant leg firing on Thursday's NFP miss (57K vs 110K) and extending to a week high at 4202. Price has since stalled below the 4200 psych area and slipped back under the H1 EMA20 near 4170, printing a session low at 4145. RSI(14) has cooled toward the mid-40s as the pullback holds above prior swing support at 4121.
Support: 4,145.00, 4,121.00, 4,103.00
Resistance: 4,170.00, 4,202.00
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 4170 ema20 re-engages the 4202 week high
Failure to hold 4121 prior swing exposes the 4103 fib 38.2 retracement
ISM Services 14:00 UTC and Waller 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Gold rallied through the week off the ~3960/4032 lows, gaining after Thursday's soft NFP knocked the Dollar and yields, and topped twice at 4202 into this session. Price has since rolled over below EMA20 with RSI cooling toward 43, printing a lower high after the double top at 4202. Still holding above EMA50 and the 4106 swing low, keeping the weekly uptrend structure intact for now.
Resistance: 4,172.00
What it said to watch
ISM Services PMI at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Reclaim of the 4172 ema20 would reopen the 4202 week high
H1 close below 4106 swing low confirms a lower low
Gold ran from Thursday's NFP-driven low near 3942 through 4100 and 4180 to tag 4202 twice this week, its first weekly gain in five as the soft payrolls print pressured the USD and yields. The metal has since faded to 4149, slipping below EMA(20) with RSI(14) cooling into the low 40s as the 4200 cap held. Price is still tracking above EMA(50) and the week's rising sequence of higher lows.
Support: 4,144.00, 4,100.00
Resistance: 4,202.00, 4,187.00
What it said to watch
H1 close below 4144 confirms a lower-low and breaks the week's rising support
Reclaim of 4187 puts the 4202 week high back in play
ISM Services PMI 14:00 UTC and Waller 15:00 UTC could reset this read
Gold ran a >4% rebound off the ~3960/4032 lows into Friday on the soft NFP miss (57K vs 110K), but the advance has stalled below 4200 with twin tops at 4201-4202. Price has since slipped under the H1 EMA(20) near 4175 and is grinding into 4157 support, RSI cooling back toward the mid-40s. The uptrend structure of higher lows holds while 4118 is intact.
Support: 4,157.00, 4,118.00, 4,100.00
Resistance: 4,175.00, 4,202.00, 4,280.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 4202 negates the double-top and reopens 4280 trend line
Failure to hold 4157 exposes 4118 then the 4100 round number
ISM Services PMI 14:00 UTC + Waller 15:00 UTC could reset this read
Gold ran from the ~3,960 low into a 4,202 weekly high after Thursday's soft NFP knocked the dollar, but the $4,200 cap flagged in the digest has held twice and price is now drifting back through the H1 EMA(20) toward 4,155. Momentum has cooled with RSI(14) rolling off into the low-40s as the corrective pullback develops. Weekend gap higher was filled quickly into the NY-to-Asia handover.
What it said to watch
H1 close below 4,155 confirms a deeper pullback toward 4,123
Reclaim of 4,202 weekly high opens the path toward 4,280
ISM Services 14:00 UTC and Waller 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Gold has climbed for three straight sessions off Monday's ~3942 low, extending the bounce after Thursday's weak NFP kept the dollar soft. Price stalled just shy of the 4200 handle, with two attempts capped at 4202-4203 before this NY-into-Asia pullback slipped back under EMA20 at ~4176. RSI(14) has cooled toward 50 as the corrective leg lower reaches the 4165 area.
Support: 4,100.00
Resistance: 4,176.00, 4,200.00, 4,202.89
What it said to watch
Clean H1 close above 4200 handle confirms break of the level that capped twice this week
Loss of the 4100 pivot unwinds the week's bounce structure
ISM Services PMI 14:00 UTC + Waller 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Gold has climbed for a third straight session off the 4032 base, extended by Thursday's NFP miss (57K vs 110K) which kept the dollar heavy. The rally stalled just shy of the 4200 handle — the 4202 week high capped Monday's NY attempt — with price now easing back toward the 4160 higher-low zone while holding above EMA20 and EMA50. RSI(14) has cooled off from overbought as the advance flattens under resistance.
Support: 4,160.00, 4,100.00
Resistance: 4,200.00
What it said to watch
Clean H1 close above the 4200 handle / 4202 week high opens the path toward 4280
Loss of the 4160 higher-low zone exposes the 4100 pivot
ISM Services (14:00 UTC) and Waller (15:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
Gold extended its post-NFP rebound into a third up-session, running from the 3942 low toward the 4200 psych barrier where two pushes to the 4203 week high were rejected. Price is now consolidating just under EMA(20) with RSI(14) cooling off the highs, holding above the 4168 swing low and the 4147 breakout shelf. The soft US jobs print remains the driver behind the week's reversal.
Support: 4,168.00, 4,147.20
Resistance: 4,200.00, 4,202.89
What it said to watch
H1 close above 4200 opens the path toward 4280
Failure to hold 4168 exposes the 4147 breakout shelf
ISM Services 14:00 UTC and Waller 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Gold extended its post-NFP rebound into a third up-session, the 57K miss knocking USD and yields and lifting XAU off the 3,930 zone toward 4,200. Price impulsed from the 4,057 base to a 4,202.89 week high before stalling; H1 is now consolidating above EMA(20) with the 4,200 psych/week-high cap holding. RSI(14) has cooled from overbought back near 57 as the drive flattened.
Support: 4,147.20
What it said to watch
Decisive H1 close above 4202 week high opens the path toward 4280
ISM Services 14:00 UTC and Waller 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Failure to hold 4147 swing low breaks the rising higher-low sequence
Gold has run in a clean uptrend off the 3942 low, extending the post-NFP rebound as the 57K miss knocked USD and yields. Price holds above EMA20 near 4165 with pullbacks finding rising support, but the week high at 4203 has capped the last two pushes. Two rejections there (4201.89, 4202.89) leave the descending trendline near 4300 as the larger overhead hurdle.
Support: 4,165.00, 4,147.00
Resistance: 4,203.00, 4,300.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 4203 opens the path toward the 4300 descending trendline
ISM Services at 14:00 UTC plus Waller could materially shift this read
Loss of 4165 ema20 and 4147 swing low would break the rising channel
Higher highs and higher lows, extended above EMAs.
Gold has trended up all week off Monday's ~4013 open, with the decisive leg through 4147 driven by the post-NFP dollar softening after the 57K jobs miss. Price sits above both EMAs with RSI(14) cycling in the upper half; the 4200/4203 zone has capped the latest push twice. Pullbacks have found demand near the 4172 swing low, keeping the higher-low structure intact.
Support: 4,172.00, 4,147.00
Resistance: 4,200.00, 4,203.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 4203 opens the path toward the 4280 area
ISM Services (14:00 UTC) and Waller could materially shift this read
Failure to hold 4147 breaks the higher-low sequence
Higher highs and higher lows, consolidating under 4200.
Gold has trended higher across the week off the 3942 low, extending the post-NFP rebound as the soft US jobs print knocked USD and yields. Price is consolidating above EMA(20) with the 4200 area capping two attempts (4195 then 4201) into the new session. RSI(14) has cooled from the breakout push near 4195 but holds mid-range as pullbacks find the 4160 zone.
Support: 4,160.00, 4,147.00
Resistance: 4,200.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 4200 opens the path toward 4280
Failure to hold 4160 exposes the 4147 breakout shelf
ISM Services (14:00 UTC) and Waller (15:00 UTC) could reset this read
Higher highs and higher lows, consolidating under 4200.
Gold has run in a clean uptrend since Thursday's soft NFP print (57K vs 110K) knocked the dollar, rebounding off the ~3942 low and pushing through 4147 into a fresh leg toward 4200. Price is holding above EMA(20) with each pullback finding support, but the 4200 round number capped Monday's attempt at 4201.89 and price has since drifted back to 4177. RSI(14) is mid-range near 57, momentum easing rather than reversing.
Support: 4,147.20
Resistance: 4,200.00, 4,280.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 4200 opens the path toward the 4280 target
Failure to hold 4147 would break the higher-low sequence
ISM Services today 14:00 UTC and Waller 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Gold has run from mid-week YTD lows near 3942 to the 4200 area after the 57K NFP miss trimmed Fed hike bets, its dominant leg driven through the NY session on the impulse into 4195. Price is now consolidating below the 4201 week high, holding above EMA(20) with RSI(14) mid-band and easing off the highs. Two probes into 4200 have been capped, keeping the week high as the immediate cap.
Support: 4,162.00, 4,118.00, 4,100.00
Resistance: 4,201.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 4201 opens the path toward 4280
Failure to hold 4162 exposes the 4118 consolidation and 4100 psych
ISM Services 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Gold has run a third straight up-day off the YTD low near 3942, driven by the 57K NFP miss trimming Fed hike bets, and reclaimed the 4180s. The 4200/4201.90 area capped the latest push into the Monday session, with price now coiling just beneath it. Pullbacks this week have held above the rising EMA(20), keeping the recovery structure intact.
Support: 4,155.38
Resistance: 4,201.89, 4,200.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 4201.90 opens the path toward 4280
Failure to hold 4155 swing low signals momentum stalling
ISM Services PMI at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read