XAU/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Friday, 10 July 2026

Every read JAFX AI made on the XAU/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.

20:47 UTC

Corrective bounce off session low · RSI 57 · price 4,112.25

Higher lows from 4072, testing 4115.

Gold sold off from 4134 to a 4072.81 spike low mid-window before basing and grinding higher through the US session; last hour broke 4109 and is now testing session-high resistance at 4115. RSI(14) near 57, room in either direction — the metal remains pinned around the $4,100 pivot flagged in the weekly context.

Support: 4,100.00, 4,091.40, 4,072.81

Resistance: 4,115.16, 4,132.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4115 opens the path to 4132 capped resistance
  • Failure to hold 4100 round number reopens 4091 and the 4072 session low
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the primary event risk that would reshape this read

20:47 UTC

Downtrend easing, recovery underway · RSI 62 · price 4,112.25

Bounce off weekly low, higher lows forming.

Gold flushed to a 4072.81 low during the NY session before buyers stepped in around the $4,100 pivot, reclaiming 4112 into the late-session lull on thin volume. RSI(14) near 62 as higher lows build off the base; 4115 session high caps the recovery with the $4,132 zone above.

Support: 4,100.00, 4,072.81

Resistance: 4,115.16, 4,132.00

What it said to watch

  • Close above 4115 opens the path toward 4132
  • Failure to hold 4100 pivot reopens 4072.81 weekly low
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

20:32 UTC

Intraday downtrend, recovering late NY · RSI 57 · price 4,110.88

Lower lows into 4072 sweep, higher lows since.

Gold sold off through the NY session from 4134 to a 4072 spike low before buyers stepped in, dragging price back to the 4100 pivot; metal pinned near 4110 into next week's US CPI. RSI(14) has recovered to mid-range as a chain of higher lows builds off the sweep.

Support: 4,100.00

Resistance: 4,115.16, 4,132.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim and hold above 4115 session high opens the path back toward 4132
  • Failure to hold the 4100 pivot re-exposes the 4085 swing low and 4072 spike low
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

20:32 UTC

Recovery off session low, momentum firming · RSI 56 · price 4,110.88

Higher lows since 4072 sweep, capped near 4115.

Gold swept the session low at 4072 during NY hours then ground back to 4110, printing higher lows into the late session. Recovery is capped at the 4115 session high; move sits inside the broader ~1.6% weekly loss context ahead of Tuesday's US CPI.

Support: 4,100.00

Resistance: 4,115.16, 4,120.00, 4,132.00

What it said to watch

  • Close above 4115 session high opens the path to 4120/4132
  • Failure to hold the 4100 pivot exposes 4097 swing low and 4072
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

20:17 UTC

Downtrend, corrective bounce · RSI 56 · price 4,111.01

Recovery off 4072 flush, ranging 4097–4115.

Gold flushed to 4072 during NY hours then recovered, now grinding back toward the 4115 session high with RSI near 56. Price is coiling around the 4100 pivot after the late-session bounce, trading in low weekend liquidity.

Support: 4,100.00, 4,097.50

Resistance: 4,115.16, 4,120.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4115 opens a retest of 4120 prior high
  • Failure to hold 4097.50 swing low reopens the 4072 session low
  • US CPI Tue could materially shift this read

20:17 UTC

Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 56 · price 4,111.01

Bounce from 4072 spike low, pressing session highs.

Gold recovered off the 4072 spike low that formed during NY hours and has ground back up to retest session highs near 4115, sitting on the 61.8% retrace of the 4135–4072 slide. Price wavered around the 4100 pivot all evening, consistent with the corrective, weekly-loss backdrop into CPI.

Support: 4,098.00, 4,085.00

Resistance: 4,115.00, 4,132.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4115 opens the path back toward 4132 capped upside
  • Failure to hold 4098 reopens 4085 swing low and 4072 spike low
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

20:03 UTC

Downtrend, recovering off session low · RSI 55 · price 4,111.19

Sold to 4072, now basing near 4100 pivot.

NY session drove gold down from 4135 to a 4072 spike low before buyers reclaimed the 4100 pivot; softer USD and easing oil offered the relief bounce noted in the digest. Price now consolidating 4097-4114 into the late session, RSI(14) recovered to mid-50s.

Support: 4,100.00, 4,097.00

Resistance: 4,132.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4097 reopens the 4072 session low
  • Reclaim of 4114 opens the path toward the 4132 capped area
  • 4100 pivot holding is what keeps the recovery intact

20:03 UTC

Recovery off lows, momentum firming · RSI 58 · price 4,111.19

Swept to 4072, basing above 4100.

Gold swept down to 4072 during early NY hours before buyers stepped in, and price has ground back up to reclaim the 4111 area — sitting on the 61.8% retrace of that decline. Base at 4100 held into the late session and RSI(14) has recovered off oversold to the high-50s.

Support: 4,100.00

Resistance: 4,114.89, 4,132.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4114.89 opens the path toward 4132
  • Failure to hold 4100 reopens the 4072 spike low
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

19:47 UTC

Corrective, momentum flattening · RSI 47 · price 4,102.92

Lower highs, now ranging near 4100.

Gold slid from 4134 through the session, spiking down to 4072 before an immediate rejection and recovery back to 4114. Price has since drifted lower into a tight 4097-4106 consolidation, sitting just under the 20-EMA with RSI near neutral.

Support: 4,097.00, 4,085.00

Resistance: 4,106.00, 4,114.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 4114 needed to reopen the 4134 prior high
  • Loss of 4097 session low exposes 4085 swing low
  • US CPI Jul 14 is the dominant catalyst; expect subdued ranging until then

19:47 UTC

Downtrend, momentum flattening · RSI 46 · price 4,102.92

Lower highs, consolidating post-flush.

Gold drifted lower through the NY session from 4124, flushing to a 4072 spike low before recovering to 4114, then fading to consolidate around 4100-4103 below both EMAs. Price is pinned near the $4,100 pivot in a corrective, two-way tone into Tuesday's US CPI.

Support: 4,090.00

Resistance: 4,114.00

What it said to watch

  • reclaim of 4114 swing high needed to ease the lower-high sequence
  • loss of 4090 session low reopens the 4072 spike low
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

19:32 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling · RSI 44 · price 4,101.04

Lower highs, consolidating above session low.

Gold slid through the NY session from 4134 to a 4072 low then bounced to 4114, and is now drifting sideways around the 4100 pivot below EMA20/50. Lower highs stack into 4114 while buyers held twice near 4097; RSI(14) mid-range, no extreme.

Resistance: 4,132.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4097 confirms a lower low, opening 4072 session low
  • Reclaim of 4114 needed to challenge 4132 prior high
  • Sustained hold of 4100 pivot keeps the range intact

19:32 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 44 · price 4,101.04

Lower highs, holding 4097 pivot.

Gold drifted back to the $4,100 pivot through the late NY session as the USD rebounded off its one-week low, capping the recovery below 4115. Lower highs since the 4072.81 spike low; buyers have absorbed dips repeatedly around 4097 but momentum stays soft with RSI(14) mid-40s.

Support: 4,097.00, 4,072.81

Resistance: 4,115.45, 4,132.00

What it said to watch

  • Sustained M15 close below 4097 opens 4072 and the 4000 handle
  • Reclaim of 4115 needed to challenge 4132
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst

19:17 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stabilizing · RSI 45 · price 4,101.43

Lower highs, holding 4094 support.

Gold drifted back to the 4100 pivot through the NY session as the USD firmed, unwinding the bounce that stalled below trendline resistance near 4114. Buyers swept the 4072 low earlier and reclaimed 4100, but price now ranges tightly between 4097 and 4114 into the late session, capped by lower highs.

Resistance: 4,132.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4094 confirms a fresh lower-low toward 4072
  • Reclaim of 4114 session high needed to challenge 4132
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst

19:17 UTC

Downtrend, momentum fading · RSI 45 · price 4,101.43

Lower highs into recovery bounce.

Gold sold off through the NY session, sweeping down to 4072.81 before buyers stepped in and reclaimed the 4100 pivot. Price now consolidates just below 4102 with RSI(14) recovering into the mid-40s; the falling EMA20/50 stack keeps the intraday bias heavy despite the bounce.

Support: 4,097.50, 4,091.50, 4,072.81

Resistance: 4,114.50

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4114.5 breaks the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 4097.5 reopens the 4091.5/4072.81 lows
  • US CPI Jul 14 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst ahead

19:04 UTC

Downtrend, corrective drift · RSI 44 · price 4,100.13

Lower highs off 4115, testing 4100 pivot.

Gold rolled over from the 4115 NY recovery high and is drifting back to the 4100 pivot, RSI(14) mid-40s and below both EMAs. Lower highs since the bounce off 4072; buyers still defending the 4097 session low so far.

Support: 4,097.00

Resistance: 4,115.45

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4097 confirms a lower low, opens 4085/4072
  • Reclaim of 4115 needed to challenge 4126
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read

19:04 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling near 4100 · RSI 44 · price 4,100.13

Lower highs, consolidating above 4094 after spike-low bounce.

Gold sold off through the session from 4135 into a 4072 spike low, then recovered to the 4100 pivot where it's now stalling below the 4114 recent high. RSI(14) mid-40s, price capped under EMA20/50 — corrective drift, no clean setup with CPI still the dominant catalyst ahead.

Resistance: 4,127.00

What it said to watch

  • Sustained loss of 4094 swing low reopens the 4072 spike low
  • Reclaim of 4114 recent high needed to challenge 4127
  • US CPI Tue is the dominant catalyst likely to redefine this range

18:47 UTC

Downtrend, lower highs intact · RSI 44 · price 4,099.11

Descending highs, bounce fading.

Gold drifted lower through the NY session, sweeping the 4072.81 low on a high-volume spike before recovering to 4114.89 and getting rejected. Price is back at the 4100 pivot with RSI(14) mid-range near 43.5, below both EMAs — the bounce is fading after the Fed Monetary Policy Report.

Support: 4,085.64, 4,072.81

Resistance: 4,114.89, 4,132.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4085.64 confirms a fresh lower low toward 4072.81
  • Reclaim of 4114.89 needed to challenge the 4132 prior high
  • US CPI Jul 14 remains the dominant catalyst overhanging the tape

18:47 UTC

Downtrend, momentum easing · RSI 43 · price 4,099.11

Lower highs, back at 4100 pivot.

Gold ground lower through the NY session from 4136 to the 4100 pivot, tagging a 4072 spike low before a bounce to 4114 faded. Corrective drift into next week's US CPI; price now pinned at the 4100 handle below both EMAs with RSI near 42.

Resistance: 4,132.00

What it said to watch

  • Sustained loss of 4100 pivot opens the 4085/4072 lows
  • Reclaim of 4114 session high needed to challenge 4132
  • US CPI Jul 14 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst that could reset this read

18:32 UTC

Downtrend, corrective bounce fading · RSI 45 · price 4,102.15

Sold off to session low, recovered then rolling over into 4100 pivot.

NY session swept the low at 4072.81 around 14:30 UTC and snapped back to 4114.89, but price is fading again into the 4100 pivot with RSI(14) neutral near 44. Sits below EMA20/EMA50 — bounce lacking follow-through after the Fed Monetary Policy Report.

Support: 4,097.00, 4,072.81, 4,021.00

Resistance: 4,114.89, 4,127.00, 4,136.00

What it said to watch

  • Sustained loss of 4097 opens 4072.81 then the 4021 weekly low
  • Reclaim of 4114.89 needed to challenge 4127/4136 resistance
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can reset this range

18:32 UTC

Downtrend, momentum flattening near pivot · RSI 44 · price 4,102.15

Lower highs, recovery stalling at 4115.

NY morning drove a sharp sweep down to 4072.81 before buyers pulled it back to the 4115 session high; price has since drifted back to the 4100 pivot late in the US session, RSI(14) mid-range at 44. Chain of lower highs intact, recovery capped below 4115.

Support: 4,100.00, 4,091.50, 4,072.81

Resistance: 4,115.00, 4,132.00

What it said to watch

  • Sustained M15 close below 4100 pivot opens 4091.50 then the 4072.81 spike low
  • Reclaim of 4115 needed to challenge the 4132 prior high
  • US CPI Jul 14 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst

18:17 UTC

Downtrend, corrective bounce fading · RSI 49 · price 4,103.75

Lower highs into 4072 low, consolidating 4100-4114.

Gold ground lower through the window from 4132 to a 4072 session low, then bounced to 4114 before fading back to the 4100 pivot flagged in the digest. RSI(14) sits mid-range after the recovery; price is consolidating 4100-4114 below the descending highs.

Support: 4,100.00, 4,092.00

Resistance: 4,132.00

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 4100 pivot opens 4092 swing low then the 4072 session low
  • Reclaim of 4114 session high needed to challenge 4132 window high
  • Fed Monetary Policy Report ~18:00 UTC could shift this read

18:17 UTC

Recovery stalling below 4114 · RSI 47 · price 4,103.75

Consolidating after NY sweep of 4072.

NY session swept down to 4072 before buyers reclaimed 4100 and pushed back to 4114, RSI(14) mid-range near 46. Price now fading off that 4114 session high, holding the 4100 pivot as a corrective range develops around $4,100.

Support: 4,100.00, 4,092.00

Resistance: 4,114.00, 4,132.00

What it said to watch

  • Sustained loss of 4100 opens 4092 then the 4072 spike low
  • Reclaim of 4114 needed to challenge 4132
  • US CPI Jul 14 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst

18:03 UTC

Downtrend, drifting lower · RSI 43 · price 4,101.16

Lower highs into 4100 pivot.

Gold ground lower through the NY session back to the $4,100 pivot, after the $4,072 spike-low sweep was bought back to $4,114 and rejected. Price sits below the falling trendline and both EMAs, RSI(14) mid-range near 42. Fed Monetary Policy Report at 18:00 UTC just landed into this print.

Support: 4,100.00

What it said to watch

  • Sustained loss of the 4100 psych pivot opens 4094 swing low then the 4072 spike low
  • Reclaim of 4114 session high needed to challenge the falling trendline
  • Fed Monetary Policy Report 18:00 UTC could shift the intraday read

18:03 UTC

Intraday downtrend, drifting to pivot · RSI 42 · price 4,101.16

Lower highs, capped below 4114.

Gold ground lower through the NY session back to the 4100 pivot after repeated rejection at the 4114 session high; the earlier sweep to 4072 was bought but the bounce stalled below 4114. RSI(14) near 41 with price under EMA20/50 keeps the intraday downtrend intact.

Support: 4,100.00

Resistance: 4,114.00, 4,132.00

What it said to watch

  • Sustained loss of 4100 pivot opens 4072 swing low
  • Reclaim of 4114 session high needed to challenge 4132 prior high
  • Fed Monetary Policy Report 18:00 UTC could shift this read

17:47 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stabilising · RSI 46 · price 4,104.47

Lower highs into $4,072 sweep, consolidating.

Gold ground lower through the NY session toward the $4,094 swing low, with a spike to $4,072.81 sharply bought back — a sweep below the range. Price now consolidates between $4,100 and the $4,114 session high with RSI(14) mid-range near 46, keeping the broader down-leg intact but stalled.

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of $4,114 session high opens the path to the $4,132 recent high
  • Loss of the $4,100 pivot and $4,094 swing low reopens the $4,072 spike low
  • US CPI Jul 14 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst that could reset this read

17:47 UTC

Downtrend easing into consolidation · RSI 47 · price 4,104.47

Pullback after sweep of session low, ranging 4100-4116.

NY session swept the lows to 4072.81 before buyers stepped in, lifting price back toward 4115 where supply capped it. Now drifting around the 4100 pivot, RSI(14) neutral near 47 with the earlier downtrend stalling into a tight 4100-4116 range.

Support: 4,100.00, 4,085.64, 4,072.81

Resistance: 4,116.41, 4,128.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 4116.41 opens the path back to 4128
  • Sustained loss of 4100 reopens 4085.64 and the 4072.81 session low
  • US CPI Jul 14 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can reset this range

17:32 UTC

Downtrend, relief bounce fading · RSI 49 · price 4,105.91

Recovered off spike low, back to 4100 pivot.

NY session sold off to a 4072.81 spike low mid-morning then snapped back to 4115, and price is now drifting back into the 4100 pivot as the USD clawed off its one-week low. RSI(14) sits neutral near 48; the spike low was rejected on heavy volume and has held since.

Support: 4,100.00, 4,072.81

Resistance: 4,115.45, 4,132.00

What it said to watch

  • Sustained loss of 4100 pivot reopens 4072.81 spike low
  • Reclaim of 4115 needed to re-challenge 4132 prior high
  • Fed Monetary Policy Report 18:00 UTC could jolt this read

17:32 UTC

Downtrend, corrective bounce stalling · RSI 49 · price 4,105.91

Consolidation above 4100 after sweep of 4072 low.

Gold sold off through NY hours to a 4072.81 spike low then recovered, now chopping around the 4100 pivot with RSI(14) neutral near 49. Bounce capped at the 4114.89 session high; price sits below the EMA50, above a flattening EMA20.

Support: 4,100.00, 4,091.41, 4,072.81

Resistance: 4,114.89, 4,132.29

What it said to watch

  • Sustained loss of 4100 reopens 4091 then the 4072 sweep low
  • Reclaim of 4114 needed to challenge the 4132 prior high
  • Fed Monetary Policy Report 18:00 UTC could shift this read

17:17 UTC

Downtrend, corrective bounce fading · RSI 48 · price 4,105.22

Recovered off spike low, ranging near 4100 pivot.

Gold sold through NY hours to a 4072.81 spike low before buyers stepped in, recovering to the 4114 session high which then capped it. Price is now drifting back to the 4100 pivot, sitting near the 50% retrace of the day's decline with RSI(14) mid-range.

Support: 4,100.00, 4,072.81

Resistance: 4,132.29

What it said to watch

  • Sustained loss of the 4100 pivot opens the 4072 session low and 4000
  • Reclaim of the 4114 session high needed to challenge the 4132 prior high
  • Fed Monetary Policy Report at 18:00 UTC could shift this read

17:17 UTC

Downtrend, bounce fading · RSI 48 · price 4,105.22

Swept NY low, corrective recovery stalling.

Gold sold through the NY session, sweeping to 4072.81 before a sharp recovery to 4114.89, then rolling back to the 4105 pivot. Bounce is fading below the descending highs from 4138; two-way tone persists with CPI ahead.

Support: 4,097.40, 4,085.64, 4,072.81

Resistance: 4,114.89, 4,117.50

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 4114.89 needed to challenge 4117.50 and the descending resistance
  • Loss of 4097.40 reopens 4085.64 and the 4072.81 sweep low
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read

17:04 UTC

Downtrend, bounce underway · RSI 48 · price 4,104.22

Recovery off sweep low, back at pivot.

NY session drove gold down to a 4072.81 sweep low before a sharp recovery to 4115, and price is now easing back to the 4100 pivot flagged as the key intraday battleground. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 47 as the bounce loses steam below the session high.

Support: 4,100.00, 4,072.81

Resistance: 4,115.00, 4,130.00

What it said to watch

  • Loss of the 4100 pivot opens a retest of the 4072.81 sweep low
  • Close above 4115 session high puts the 4130 range top in play
  • Fed Monetary Policy Report at 18:00 GMT could shift this read

17:04 UTC

Downtrend, recent bounce stalling · RSI 50 · price 4,104.22

Sold to 4072 low, recovered into 4114, now easing back.

NY session pressed gold to a 4072.81 spike low before a recovery back to the 4114.90 bounce high, which then rejected. Price is now drifting back toward the 4100 psych pivot, with RSI(14) neutral near 50 on a softer USD backdrop.

Support: 4,100.00, 4,097.50, 4,072.81

Resistance: 4,114.90

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 4097.50 swing low re-opens 4072.81 spike low
  • Reclaim of 4114.90 bounce high needed to extend the recovery
  • Fed Monetary Policy Report ~18:00 GMT could shift this read

16:47 UTC

Recovering off session low, momentum flat · RSI 52 · price 4,109.03

Consolidation above 4100 after sweep of 4072.

NY session swept down to 4072.81 before buyers recovered price back to the 4100 pivot, with the spike close leaving a false break lower. Gold now consolidates 4097–4115 below EMA50, RSI(14) neutral near 52 as the softer USD tone offsets revived Fed-hike bets.

Support: 4,097.00, 4,085.00, 4,072.81

Resistance: 4,115.45, 4,130.00

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 4097 reopens the 4085 and 4072.81 sweep low
  • M15 close above 4115.45 puts the 4130 range top in play
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 GMT is the dominant catalyst that can override this range

16:47 UTC

Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 49 · price 4,109.03

Lower highs into 4072 sweep, then bounce back to 4100 pivot.

NY session sold gold down to a 4072.81 sweep low on the day's heaviest volume, then recovered back to the 4100 pivot where price is now stalling below the 4116 session high. RSI(14) has climbed back to mid-range as the bounce unfolds; move stalled below 4100 in European hours before the recovery.

Support: 4,100.00, 4,072.81

Resistance: 4,116.00, 4,131.00

What it said to watch

  • Sustained M15 close above 4116 opens the path back toward 4131
  • Loss of the 4100 pivot re-exposes the 4092 swing low and 4072 sweep low
  • Fed Monetary Policy Report 18:00 GMT could shift this read

16:32 UTC

Intraday downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 57 · price 4,114.40

Sharp sell-off then base near 4100.

Gold sold off through the NY session to a 4072.81 spike low then recovered to 4114, the sharp wick looking like a sweep of the recent lows around 4097.5 before buyers stepped in. Price now sits at the session high, RSI(14) back near mid from oversold, with the falling 20-day EMA cap near 4130 the next overhead area to watch.

Support: 4,097.50, 4,072.81

Resistance: 4,116.41, 4,130.00

What it said to watch

  • Sustained close above 4116.41 opens the path toward the 4130 ema cap
  • Loss of 4097.5 recent lows reopens the 4072.81 spike low
  • Fed Monetary Policy Report 18:00 GMT could shift this read

16:32 UTC

Downtrend easing, recovery off lows · RSI 55 · price 4,114.40

Lower lows into 4072 spike, reclaiming 4100 pivot.

NY session drove a flush to 4072.81 before buyers reclaimed the 4100 pivot, price now grinding back to 4114 with RSI(14) recovering to mid-50s. The bounce is a relief move off the spike low, still trading under the 4117 recent high and the capped 4130 range top.

Support: 4,085.00, 4,072.81

Resistance: 4,117.00, 4,130.00

What it said to watch

  • Sustained hold above 4100 pivot keeps the recovery intact; loss re-opens 4085/4072
  • Close above 4130 range top invalidates the capped read
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 GMT is the dominant catalyst ahead

16:17 UTC

Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 55 · price 4,112.19

Swept 4072 low, higher lows since.

NY session drove gold down through the $4,100 pivot to a 4072.81 spike low on heavy volume, then reclaimed $4,100 on a soft-USD relief bid, printing higher lows back to 4112. Momentum has stabilised but price is pressing into the 4114-4120 recovery cap.

Support: 4,100.00, 4,072.81

Resistance: 4,120.00, 4,132.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back below 4100 pivot reopens the 4072.81 swing low
  • Break and hold above 4120 opens the path to 4132
  • Fed Monetary Policy Report 18:00 GMT could shift this read

16:17 UTC

Downtrend, corrective bounce underway · RSI 55 · price 4,112.19

Swept session low, reclaiming 4100 pivot.

Gold spent the NY session grinding lower before a spike swept the session low to 4072.81, then snapped back above the 4100 pivot to 4112 as the USD softened into the weekend. RSI(14) has recovered off its lows to mid-range; the bounce is holding but sits below the 4117 session high.

Support: 4,100.00, 4,072.80

Resistance: 4,117.00, 4,132.00

What it said to watch

  • Close below 4100 pivot reopens the 4085/4072 sweep low
  • Reclaim of 4117 session high needed to extend the recovery toward 4132
  • Fed Monetary Policy Report ~18:00 GMT could shift this read

16:03 UTC

Downtrend, corrective bounce · RSI 55 · price 4,112.17

Swept lows, recovering toward pivot.

Gold slid through the NY session, swept below the $4,100 pivot to $4,072 then snapped back to $4,112 into the close, RSI(14) recovering off oversold near 55. Price is consolidating around the $4,100 pivot with the $4,120-$4,132 zone still capping the corrective bounce.

Support: 4,100.00

Resistance: 4,120.00, 4,132.00

What it said to watch

  • Close above 4120 opens the path to the 4132 range cap
  • Failure to hold the 4100 pivot reopens the 4072 sweep low
  • Fed Monetary Policy Report at 18:00 GMT could shift this read

16:03 UTC

Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 52 · price 4,112.17

Lower highs into a swept low, recovering above the 4100 pivot.

Gold trended lower through the NY session from 4138, spiking down to sweep 4072.81 before buyers stepped in and dragged price back above the 4100 pivot to 4112. RSI(14) has recovered from the low-30s back to the mid-range; the 4117-4132 recovery cap now overhead.

Support: 4,100.00, 4,072.81

Resistance: 4,117.50, 4,132.00, 4,138.08

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back below 4100 pivot reopens the 4072.81 spike low
  • Reclaim of the 4117.50 swing high exposes the 4120-4132 recovery cap
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 GMT is the next major driver for this read

15:47 UTC

Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 47 · price 4,106.11

Spike low swept, consolidating under 4110.

Gold sold off through NY hours below the $4,100 pivot, with a high-volume spike to 4072.81 swept and reclaimed within one bar. Price has since recovered to 4106 and is consolidating in a 4092-4108 band, RSI(14) back to neutral near 47.

Support: 4,072.80

Resistance: 4,108.00, 4,117.50

What it said to watch

  • Failure to hold 4092 reopens the 4072.8 spike low
  • M15 close above 4117.5 breaks the descending sequence of lower highs
  • Fed Monetary Policy Report at 18:00 GMT could shift this read

15:47 UTC

Intraday downtrend, recovery underway · RSI 47 · price 4,106.11

Lower highs / lower lows, reclaiming 4100 pivot.

NY afternoon flushed to 4072.81 on a high-volume sweep, then price recovered to reclaim the 4100 pivot near 4106. RSI(14) has lifted off its lows around 47 while price rebuilds above EMA20 but stays capped under EMA50 and the 4110-4117 zone.

Support: 4,091.41, 4,072.81

Resistance: 4,110.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim and hold above 4117 swing high would break the lower-high chain
  • Failure to hold 4091 reopens the 4072.81 session low
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 GMT is the next major driver for gold

15:32 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 43 · price 4,103.31

Lower highs into a sweep of session lows, basing near 4100.

NY session bled lower from 4134 through the 4100 pivot, with a spike that swept the session low to 4072.81 before buyers reclaimed 4100. Price now consolidating around 4103, RSI(14) recovering from the mid-30s; the 4100 psych pivot is the immediate battleground.

Support: 4,100.00, 4,091.41, 4,072.81

Resistance: 4,110.00

What it said to watch

  • Close back above 4110 recent high opens the 4116-4120 zone
  • Failure to hold 4091 session low reopens the 4072.81 sweep low
  • Fed Monetary Policy Report at 18:00 GMT could shift this read

15:32 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stabilising · RSI 43 · price 4,103.31

Lower highs, lower lows; sweep then snapback.

NY session slid from 4132 into a sweep of 4072.81 on the high-volume bar, then snapped back above the $4,100 pivot to 4103. Price now consolidating just above the pivot with RSI(14) recovering off the lows; 4110 and the 4120 recovery cap sit overhead.

Support: 4,091.41, 4,072.81

Resistance: 4,110.46, 4,120.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4091.41 confirms a fresh lower low
  • Reclaim of 4120 negates the corrective read below the pivot
  • Fed Monetary Policy Report today 18:00 GMT could shift this read

15:17 UTC

Downtrend, mild bounce off lows · RSI 42 · price 4,099.35

Lower highs, lower lows; wick sweep of session low then recovery.

Gold slid through the $4,100 pivot during NY hours, spiking down to 4072.81 before buyers reclaimed 4099 — a sweep of the session low. Structure stays a chain of lower highs; the $4,100 pivot is now the intraday battleground with 4106.5 the nearest cap.

Support: 4,085.00, 4,072.81

Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,106.50, 4,117.50

What it said to watch

  • Repeated closes below 4100 keep the corrective bias intact
  • Reclaim and hold above 4106.5 opens the path back to the 4117.5 swing high
  • Loss of 4085 exposes the 4072.81 session low again
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 GMT is the next major catalyst for this pair

15:17 UTC

Downtrend, intraday · RSI 44 · price 4,099.35

Lower highs, lower lows into $4,100 pivot.

Gold ground lower through the NY session from the $4,138 high, sweeping to $4,072.81 before buyers snapped price back to the $4,100 pivot as the USD firmed on Fed-hike pricing. Chain of lower highs intact; price capped just under the $4,100 pivot with RSI(14) mid-40s.

Support: 4,091.41, 4,072.81

Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,109.00, 4,120.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4091 session low reopens the 4072.81 swing low
  • Reclaim of the 4100 pivot on a close opens the 4109-4120 recovery cap
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 GMT is the next major catalyst for this pair

15:03 UTC

Downtrend, momentum extending · RSI 39 · price 4,094.60

Lower highs and lower lows, fresh session low swept.

Gold sold off through the $4,100 pivot into the NY session, tagging a 4072.81 low on a volume spike before buyers snapped it back above 4090. The 4072 low was swept then reclaimed, RSI(14) lifting off the mid-30s; USD rebound on Iran risk drove the leg lower.

Support: 4,072.81, 4,021.00

Resistance: 4,100.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 4100 pivot would ease the corrective read
  • Failure to hold 4072.81 opens the 4021 weekly low
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 GMT is the next major catalyst for this pair

15:03 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stretched · RSI 38 · price 4,094.60

Lower highs, lower lows into $4,100 pivot.

NY session pressed gold lower off $4,132, spiking to a 4072.81 sweep low before snapping back under the $4,100 pivot as USD firmed on Iran risk. RSI(14) near 38 after the flush; price capped below $4,100 with repeated failures keeping the corrective read intact.

Support: 4,072.81

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim and hold above $4,100 pivot would ease the downside pressure
  • Loss of 4085 swing low reopens the 4072 sweep low
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 GMT is the next major catalyst for this pair

14:47 UTC

Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 44 · price 4,100.05

Lower highs, swept the session low and bounced.

NY session drove gold lower into a spike sweep of 4072.81 before buyers reclaimed the 4100 pivot; RSI(14) recovering from the mid-30s. Price still sits below EMA20/50 with lower highs intact, capped by the 4110 swing high.

Support: 4,072.81

Resistance: 4,110.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 4110 would break the lower-high sequence
  • Failure to hold 4085 reopens the 4072 session low
  • Fed Monetary Policy Report at 18:00 GMT could shift this read

14:47 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling · RSI 45 · price 4,100.05

Lower highs, sweep low then recovery.

NY session drove gold through the $4,100 pivot with a sharp spike to 4072.81 that was swept and bought back to 4100. Price sits below EMA20/50 in a stair-step downtrend; the $4,100 pivot is the immediate battleground with sellers capping rallies near 4117.

Support: 4,085.64, 4,072.81, 4,021.00

Resistance: 4,117.50

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 4117.50 would ease the corrective downtrend read
  • Failure to hold 4085.64 reopens the 4072.81 sweep low and 4021 weekly low
  • Fed Monetary Policy Report 18:00 GMT could shift this read

14:32 UTC

Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 45 · price 4,105.29

Lower highs, lower lows; 4085 low swept and recovered.

NY session ground lower from the 4120 area and swept the session low at 4085 before buyers stepped in, lifting price back to 4105. Softer USD on US-Iran de-escalation is behind the wider recovery, but M15 structure is still a chain of lower highs capped by the descending trendline off 4138.

Resistance: 4,120.02

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 4120 session high would break the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 4085 session low reopens the path toward the 4021 weekly low
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the next major catalyst for this range

14:32 UTC

Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 45 · price 4,105.29

Lower highs, lower lows; recovery off session low.

NY session ground lower through 4100, sweeping the session low at 4085.64 before buyers pushed it back to 4105 as the USD stayed soft. Move sits below EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) recovering from the low-40s; 4117 swing high caps the bounce so far.

Support: 4,085.64

Resistance: 4,117.50

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4117.50 breaks the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 4085.64 session low opens the path toward the 4021 weekly low
  • Fed Monetary Policy Report 18:00 UTC could shift the USD read

14:17 UTC

Downtrend, bounce off session low · RSI 42 · price 4,100.22

Lower highs into NY, swept 4085 then recovered.

Gold sold off through the NY session into a 4085.64 sweep of the session low, then recovered back to 4100 as a soft USD (US-Iran de-escalation) offered a floor. RSI(14) lifting off the lows near 42; price still capped under the 4106-4117 lower-high band.

Support: 4,085.64, 4,097.55

Resistance: 4,106.70

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim above 4106.70 challenges the lower-high chain
  • Failure to hold 4097.55 reopens the 4085 session low
  • US CPI Tue Jul 14 12:30 UTC is the next range-defining catalyst

14:17 UTC

Downtrend, momentum fading after low · RSI 44 · price 4,100.22

Lower highs into 4085 spike low, corrective bounce.

Gold ground lower through the NY session from ~4135 to a 4085.64 spike low, then buyers stepped in to reclaim 4100. RSI(14) recovering from the low-30s as price consolidates in the 4097-4106 band, still capped below EMA20.

Support: 4,097.40, 4,085.64

Resistance: 4,106.70

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 4106.7 swing high would ease the intraday downtrend read
  • Loss of 4097 swing low re-exposes the 4085 session low
  • US CPI Jul 14 12:30 UTC is the next material catalyst for this range

14:03 UTC

Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 43 · price 4,098.59

Lower highs / lower lows into 4085 sweep.

Steady M15 decline from the 4138 high into an 4085.64 sweep during the NY session, with buyers stepping in sharply back to 4106 before fading to 4098 as USD stayed soft. Price sits below EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) recovering off oversold; the bounce high at 4106.7 caps for now.

Support: 4,085.64, 4,080.00

Resistance: 4,106.70, 4,117.50

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 4106.7 opens a retest of the 4117.5 swing high
  • Loss of 4085.64 extends the lower-low sequence toward 4080
  • US CPI Tue Jul 14 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

14:03 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 42 · price 4,098.59

Lower highs, lower lows; basing after sweep of 4085.

NY session extended the slide from the 4132 area, sweeping the 4085 swing low before buyers stepped in to reclaim 4100. Downtrend intact but momentum easing with RSI(14) recovering off its lows; USD softness is the broader backdrop, though this M15 leg is corrective.

Support: 4,085.64

Resistance: 4,106.70, 4,132.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4106.70 challenges the lower-high chain
  • Break below 4085.64 confirms continuation lower
  • US CPI Tue Jul 14 12:30 UTC is the next material catalyst

13:47 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 41 · price 4,098.48

Lower highs, lower lows; bounce off session low.

NY session sold gold from the 4120 area down through 4100, spiking a session low at 4085.64 before buyers stepped in for a bounce to 4098; RSI(14) recovering off the mid-30s. The chain of lower highs remains intact and price sits below both EMAs.

Support: 4,085.64

Resistance: 4,117.50

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4085.64 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
  • Reclaim of 4117.50 breaks the intraday down structure
  • Fed Monetary Policy Report 18:00 UTC could shift this read

13:47 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stretched after flush · RSI 42 · price 4,098.48

Lower highs and lower lows all session.

Steady grind lower through the London-NY session, chained lower highs from the 4138 top down to a 4085 flush, with the sharp spike-down candle sweeping the session low before an immediate bounce to 4098. RSI(14) near 42 after the drop, price capped under EMA20 and EMA50; 4106 is the first level to reclaim.

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 4106 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 4085 session low opens the 4000-4021 downside pivots
  • US CPI Tue Jul 14 12:30 UTC is the next macro catalyst that could reset this range

13:32 UTC

Downtrend, momentum accelerating · RSI 32 · price 4,089.64

Lower highs, lower lows; fresh session low.

NY session sell-off drove gold through the 4100 prior-support level into a fresh session low at 4085.64, the last impulse bar spiking volume. Chain of lower highs stays intact with RSI(14) pressed near 30; the 4117.5 recent high caps any bounce.

Support: 4,085.64

Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,117.50

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 4100 prior-support would ease the downside pressure
  • Sustained trade below 4085.64 session low opens toward the 4021 weekly-low pivot
  • Fed Monetary Policy Report today 18:00 UTC could shift this read

13:32 UTC

Downtrend, accelerating into NY · RSI 30 · price 4,089.64

Lower highs and lower lows, breaking session lows.

Gold sold off through the NY session, sliding from the 4117 swing high to fresh session lows at 4085.64 with a sharp red bar, RSI(14) near 30. Price now hugging 4090 after failing to hold 4100; USD firmer on the day is weighing.

Support: 4,085.64, 4,080.00

Resistance: 4,100.00

What it said to watch

  • A reclaim of 4100 would neutralise the intraday breakdown
  • Failure to hold 4085.64 opens the path toward the 4080 psych area
  • Fed Monetary Policy Report 18:00 UTC could shift this read

13:17 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 44 · price 4,105.89

Lower highs into basing near session low.

Gold sold off through the NY session from the 4136 session high to test 4094, in line with a softer USD as US-Iran de-escalation drained the safe-haven bid. Price is now basing 4094-4117 with matching lows near 4094-4097; RSI(14) recovering off the lows, rallies capped at the 4117 swing high.

Support: 4,097.00

Resistance: 4,136.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4094 confirms a lower low and opens the path toward the 4021 weekly pivot
  • Reclaim of 4117 would break the lower-high sequence
  • Fed Monetary Policy Report at 18:00 UTC could shift this read

13:17 UTC

Downtrend, basing near lows · RSI 46 · price 4,105.89

Lower highs into 4094 low, now consolidating.

Gold sold off through the NY session from the 4138 high to a 4094 session low, then bounced; a spike to 4117.5 was rejected and price is now consolidating around 4100-4106. USD is on the back foot but gold stays two-way with a floor near 4100.

Support: 4,100.00, 4,094.51

Resistance: 4,117.50

What it said to watch

  • Close below 4094.51 confirms a fresh lower-low and reopens the 4000 area
  • Reclaim of 4117.5 recent high would neutralise the intraday downtrend
  • Fed Monetary Policy Report at 18:00 UTC could shift this read

13:04 UTC

Downtrend, momentum easing · RSI 42 · price 4,102.80

Lower highs, lower lows off $4,138.

Gold ground lower through NY hours from the $4,138 session high to a $4,094.5 swing low, tracking a softer USD but capped by hawkish-Fed repricing. A spike to $4,117.5 was rejected and price slipped back below EMA20/50, now hovering at the $4,100 psych pivot with RSI(14) mid-40s.

Support: 4,094.50

Resistance: 4,117.50

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4094.5 swing low opens the path toward the $4,021 weekly low
  • Reclaim of 4117.5 rejection would neutralise the lower-high sequence
  • Fed Monetary Policy Report 18:00 UTC could shift this read

13:04 UTC

Downtrend, bounce fading · RSI 43 · price 4,102.80

Lower highs off 4138, holding above 4094 swing low.

Gold rolled over through NY hours from the 4138 session high to a 4094 swing low, then bounced; the spike to 4117 was rejected and price is back near 4100. Move fits the USD-soft, two-way tone with sellers still leaning on lower highs.

Support: 4,100.00

Resistance: 4,138.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4094 confirms a lower low
  • Reclaim of 4117 needed to break the lower-high sequence
  • Fed Monetary Policy Report 18:00 UTC could shift this read

12:47 UTC

Downtrend, pressing session lows · RSI 43 · price 4,100.58

Lower highs, lower lows into 4094.

Gold rolled over through the NY session from the 4138 session high into a 4094 swing low, then a spike to 4117 was rejected and price is back pressing 4100. USD sitting at 3-week lows has capped follow-through, but M15 structure stays a chain of lower highs and lower lows.

Support: 4,100.00

Resistance: 4,138.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4094 confirms a fresh lower low
  • Reclaim of 4117 needed to break the lower-high sequence
  • Fed Monetary Policy Report 18:00 UTC could shift this read

12:47 UTC

Downtrend, momentum extending · RSI 41 · price 4,100.58

Lower highs, lower lows into session low.

Gold ground lower from the 4138 early-session high through London hours, printing a session low at 4094.51. A spike to 4117.50 was rejected and price is back under the 4100 handle with RSI(14) near 41 — momentum still to the downside as USD trades soft at 3-week lows.

Support: 4,094.51

Resistance: 4,108.50, 4,117.50

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4094.51 confirms continuation lower
  • Reclaim of 4108.50 needed to ease downside pressure
  • Fed Monetary Policy Report 18:00 UTC could shift this read

12:32 UTC

Downtrend, bounce underway · RSI 47 · price 4,106.02

Lower highs off 4138, bouncing from 4094 low.

Gold slid from the 4138 session high to a 4094 low before basing and grinding back to 4106; the last hour spiked to 4117 and was immediately rejected. Move fits the digest's soft-USD/lower-oil recovery, but rallies remain capped below the 4132 cap.

Resistance: 4,132.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4117 reopens the path toward the 4132 cap
  • Loss of 4094 session low confirms lower-low continuation
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the week's binary risk for this read

12:32 UTC

Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 47 · price 4,106.02

Lower highs from 4138, double bottom near 4095.

Gold sold off from the 4138 session high through NY hours to a 4094 session low, then based twice near 4095 to build a double bottom. The recovery stalled at the 4117 bounce high — near the 50% retrace of the drop — and faded back to 4106, keeping the lower-high chain intact with softer USD offering only a shallow bid.

Support: 4,094.51

Resistance: 4,138.08

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4117 bounce high opens the path to the 4132 swing high
  • Failure to hold 4094 session low confirms a lower low
  • Fed Monetary Policy Report 18:00 UTC could shift this read

12:17 UTC

Downtrend, recent bounce off base · RSI 51 · price 4,111.79

Slide from 4138 to 4094 base, corrective bounce.

Gold slid from the session high at 4138 to a base near 4094 through the London-NY window, then a sharp bar reclaimed 4117 as softer oil dragged yields and USD lower. Price has pulled back to 4112, RSI(14) neutral around 50; the recovery is capped beneath the 4132 area.

Resistance: 4,132.00, 4,138.08

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4132 recovery cap opens path back to 4138 session high
  • Failure to hold 4094 session low resumes downside toward the 4021 weekly low
  • Fed Monetary Policy Report at 18:00 UTC could shift this read

12:17 UTC

Pullback from highs, recovering off lows · RSI 49 · price 4,111.79

Sold from 4138 to 4094, now corrective bounce.

NY session slid from the 4138 window high to a session low at 4094 before buyers stepped in twice around 4094-4096, forming a double bottom as a softer USD at 3-week lows underpinned bullion. Price has recovered above 4100 back toward the 4117 recent high; move stalling at 4111 into the last bar.

Support: 4,100.00

Resistance: 4,117.50, 4,132.00, 4,138.08

What it said to watch

  • Close above 4117.50 opens the path toward the 4132 recovery cap
  • Loss of 4094 confirms a lower low and negates the double bottom
  • US CPI Tue 14 Jul 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst ahead

12:03 UTC

Downtrend, momentum easing · RSI 44 · price 4,101.75

Lower highs, testing 4100 handle.

Gold drifted lower through London into the NY approach, tagging the 4094.82 swing low before a bounce to 4112.77 was rejected and price rolled back to the 4100 psych handle. Move fits the two-way tone — a softer USD near three-week lows underpinning, but rallies capped. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-40s.

Support: 4,100.00, 4,094.82

Resistance: 4,112.77

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4094.82 confirms a fresh lower low
  • Reclaim of 4112.77 bounce high needed to challenge the descending resistance
  • Fed Monetary Policy Report ~6h out (18:00 UTC) could shift this read

12:03 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 44 · price 4,101.75

Lower highs, lower lows off 4138.

Gold rolled over from the 4138 London high and has ground lower through the session, printing a low at 4094.51 before a shallow bounce back to the 4100 pivot. Rallies capped near 4112 with price below EMA20/50; choppy two-way tone into next week's CPI.

Support: 4,100.00, 4,094.51

Resistance: 4,112.77

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4112.77 breaks the lower-high sequence
  • Break below 4094.51 confirms continuation of the lower-low chain
  • Fed Monetary Policy Report 18:00 UTC could shift this read

11:47 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 49 · price 4,107.14

Lower highs into a session low, bouncing.

NY session dragged gold off the 4132 high down to a session low near 4096, now bouncing back to 4107 as USD softness on Mideast de-escalation lends a bid. RSI(14) back near 49 from the lows; the 4113 swing high caps the recovery for now.

Support: 4,096.20

Resistance: 4,113.00, 4,132.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4113 negates the lower-high sequence
  • Failure to hold 4096 opens the path toward the 4080/4000 area
  • Fed Monetary Policy Report at 18:00 UTC could shift this read

11:47 UTC

Downtrend, stabilising · RSI 48 · price 4,107.14

Lower highs into 4094 low, now ranging.

Gold sold off through the London-NY window into a 4094 swing low, then recovered to chop between 4100 and 4113 with RSI(14) back near the midline. The bounce stays capped under a run of lower highs while USD sits at a 3-week low; the 4132 recent high remains the ceiling.

Support: 4,100.00

Resistance: 4,113.00, 4,132.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4113 breaks the sequence of lower highs
  • Failure to hold 4094 confirms a lower low
  • Fed Monetary Policy Report at 18:00 UTC could shift this read

11:32 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 45 · price 4,101.84

Lower highs into 4100 pivot.

Gold sold off from the 4138 session high to a 4094 low, then bounced to 4112 before being rejected back to the 4100 pivot as the USD stayed soft. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 44; downtrend intact but momentum is flattening around the round number.

Support: 4,100.00, 4,094.51

Resistance: 4,112.77

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4094.51 confirms a fresh lower-low
  • Reclaim of 4112.77 needed to challenge the sequence of lower highs
  • Fed Monetary Policy Report today 18:00 UTC could shift this read

11:32 UTC

Downtrend, momentum easing · RSI 44 · price 4,101.84

Lower highs, lower lows off 4138.

Gold has bled lower all session from the 4138 recent high, stacking lower highs into the 4120 consolidation shelf before losing it. A probe of 4094 found buyers but the recovery stalled at the 4112 bounce high, and price is now back pinned to the 4100 psych level, RSI mid-range.

Support: 4,100.00

Resistance: 4,120.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4094 confirms a fresh lower low
  • Reclaim of 4120 negates the intraday downside structure
  • Fed Monetary Policy Report 18:00 UTC could shift this read

11:17 UTC

Downtrend, recovery underway · RSI 46 · price 4,106.59

Lower highs off 4138, bounce from 4094.

Gold slid through the session from the 4138 high to a 4094 swing low, then buyers stepped in twice to lift price back to 4106, still under EMA20/EMA50. The recovery is holding the 4100 psych pivot but capped below the 4112 session high; two-way tone into next week's CPI.

Support: 4,100.00

Resistance: 4,112.00, 4,120.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4112 opens the path back toward 4120
  • Loss of 4100 reopens the 4094 swing low
  • US CPI Jul 14 12:30 UTC is the pivot for this read

11:17 UTC

Downtrend off session high, stabilising · RSI 49 · price 4,106.59

Lower highs into 4094 low, modest recovery.

Gold slid through the session from the 4138 high to a 4094 low before recovering to hold the 4100 pivot, helped by a softer USD as Fed-hike bets eased. RSI(14) back at mid-range after the rebound; the move stalled at the 4112 recent high, keeping price beneath EMA20/50.

Support: 4,100.00

Resistance: 4,120.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4094 session low reopens downside toward the 4021 weekly low
  • Reclaim of 4112 recent high needed to challenge the 4120 prior swing
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the pivot risk for this read

11:03 UTC

Downtrend, bounce underway · RSI 47 · price 4,107.17

Lower highs into 4094 low, corrective bounce.

XAUUSD sold off from the 4138 peak through the NY session to a 4094.82 low, then bounced to a 4112.77 session high before easing to 4107; softer USD is underpinning the recovery. Price sits below EMA20/50 and the 4100 pivot is being retested from above.

Support: 4,100.00, 4,094.82

Resistance: 4,112.77, 4,120.02

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 4112.77 opens the 4120 prior swing
  • Loss of 4100 pivot and 4094.82 reopens downside toward the 4021 weekly low
  • Fed Monetary Policy Report today 18:00 UTC could shift this read ahead of CPI

11:03 UTC

Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 48 · price 4,107.17

Lower highs since 4138 top, holding 4100 pivot.

Gold rolled over from the 4138 session high through NY hours down to test 4094, then recovered to 4107, keeping the $4,100 pivot intact. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 48 after the bounce; rallies remain capped under the 20d ema around 4132.

Support: 4,100.00

Resistance: 4,120.00, 4,132.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4100 pivot reopens 4094 session low, then 4021 weekly low
  • Reclaim of 4120 swing high needed to challenge the falling 20d ema at 4132
  • Fed Monetary Policy Report today 18:00 UTC and US CPI Tue could shift this read

10:47 UTC

Intraday downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 52 · price 4,108.04

Lower highs from 4138 into 4094, recovery underway.

Gold rolled off the 4138 day high through the session and swept a 4094 session low before buyers stepped in, dragging price back to 4108 as a softer USD firmed bullion. RSI(14) recovered off its dip to mid-range; the 4100 pivot is holding and price is now retesting the 4113 recent-high zone from below.

Support: 4,100.00

Resistance: 4,113.00, 4,132.00, 4,138.08

What it said to watch

  • Loss of the 4100 pivot reopens the 4094 session low
  • A close back above 4132 resistance would reverse the intraday downtrend read
  • US CPI Jul 14 12:30 UTC is the pivotal risk; two-way into it

10:47 UTC

Intraday downtrend, bouncing · RSI 50 · price 4,108.04

Lower highs off 4138, double bottom at 4094.

London session: gold slid from a 4138 high through the day and printed a double bottom near 4094, then recovered to reclaim the 4100 pivot at 4108 as a softer USD and easing oil supported bullion. RSI(14) back near 50 from earlier lows; price still sits below the intraday lower-high chain.

Support: 4,100.00

Resistance: 4,118.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4118 needed to break the lower-high chain
  • Loss of 4094 reopens the 4021 weekly low
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

10:32 UTC

Downswing stalling, bounce underway · RSI 52 · price 4,110.42

Lower highs from 4138, bounce off 4094 low.

London session bounced off the 4094 session low back to 4110, gold reclaiming the 4100 psych level as the USD slid on Hormuz de-escalation. Price still sits below EMA20/50 and capped under the 4114 pivot after fading from the 4138 session high; RSI(14) recovering near 52.

Support: 4,100.00

Resistance: 4,114.00, 4,138.08

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4114 pivot negates the lower-high sequence off 4138
  • Failure to hold 4100 psych reopens the 4094 session low
  • Fed Monetary Policy Report 18:00 UTC could shift this read

10:32 UTC

Recovering off session low · RSI 53 · price 4,110.42

Double bottom near 4094, bounce toward EMA20.

Gold rejected the 4138 session high mid-window and slid through London to a 4094 double bottom around late morning, then recovered above 4100 to 4110 as softer oil and easing Iran tension pressured the USD. Price is now testing the EMA20 with the 4120 swing high the immediate cap.

Support: 4,100.00

Resistance: 4,120.00, 4,132.00, 4,138.08

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 4120 opens the path to the 4132 weekly top
  • Loss of 4094 confirms a lower low and reopens 4100 psych break
  • Fed Monetary Policy Report 18:00 UTC could shift this read

10:17 UTC

Downtrend, bounce forming · RSI 44 · price 4,106.57

Lower highs, session low held twice near 4094.

Gold slid through the London morning from the 4138 swing high to a session low near 4094, then bounced twice off that level to reclaim 4106. Price sits below the EMA20 with lower highs intact; the 4114-4115 EMA20 band is the near cap as the recovery attempts to build.

Support: 4,100.00

Resistance: 4,114.50

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4115 challenges the descending lower-high structure
  • Loss of 4094 session low confirms continuation lower toward 4100/round
  • US CPI Tue Jul 14 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst; today's Fed Monetary Policy Report 18:00 UTC could shift tone

10:17 UTC

Intraday downtrend, bouncing off base · RSI 44 · price 4,106.57

Lower highs from 4138, holding above 4094 swing low.

Gold rolled off the 4138 session high in a stair-step decline, sweeping down to 4094.5 before buyers stepped in twice to base and lift price back above the 4100 round number. Consistent with the digest read — soft oil and Iran de-escalation keeping USD offered — but price still sits below EMA20 near 4116 with RSI recovering from the low 40s.

Support: 4,100.00, 4,094.50

Resistance: 4,116.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 4116 (ema20) would negate the lower-high sequence
  • Failure to hold 4094.5 swing low confirms a fresh lower low
  • Fed Monetary Policy Report at 18:00 UTC could shift this read

10:03 UTC

Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 43 · price 4,105.62

Lower highs into a swing low sweep.

London hours dragged gold off the 4138 session high down to a 4094.51 sweep, before demand stepped in to lift price back to the 4100 pivot flagged in the macro read. Price trades below both EMA20 and EMA50, RSI(14) recovering from the low 40s after the flush.

Support: 4,100.00, 4,094.51

Resistance: 4,113.00, 4,138.08

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 4113 (EMA20) challenges the lower-high sequence
  • Failure to hold 4100 reopens the 4094.51 swing low
  • Fed Monetary Policy Report 18:00 UTC could shift the USD/gold read

10:03 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stretched · RSI 38 · price 4,105.62

Lower highs off 4138, testing 4095 low.

Gold slid through the London-NY transition from the 4138 double top to a session low at 4094.82, tracking the softer dollar into today's Fed Monetary Policy Report. Price is trading below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 37; a shallow bounce back to 4105 has yet to reclaim the 4114 swing high.

Support: 4,094.82

Resistance: 4,114.50

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4094.82 confirms a fresh lower low
  • Reclaim of 4114.50 would stall the downtrend
  • Fed Monetary Policy Report 18:00 UTC could shift this read

09:47 UTC

Downtrend, bounce off session low · RSI 43 · price 4,103.14

Lower highs from 4138, small double bottom at 4094.

Gold slid off the 4138 session high through London-NY hours in a clean lower-high chain, then found demand twice at 4094 and is bouncing to 4103 as a softer USD on Iran de-escalation supports bullion. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) recovering from the low 40s; 4114 broken support is the first cap.

Resistance: 4,114.00, 4,132.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4114 breaks the lower-high sequence and opens 4132 weekly top
  • Loss of 4094 session low confirms a lower low toward the 4000 floor
  • Fed Monetary Policy Report 18:00 UTC could shift USD tone

09:47 UTC

Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 39 · price 4,103.14

Lower highs from 4138, testing 4094 low.

Gold rolled over from the 4138 session high through the NY session and extended lower into early London today, printing 4094 with RSI(14) cooling near 39. Buyers stepped in off 4094 for a bounce to 4103, but price holds below EMA20/50 with the sequence of lower highs intact.

Support: 4,100.00

Resistance: 4,115.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 4115 recent high would break the lower-high chain
  • Failure to hold 4094 swing low confirms a lower low toward the 4100 floor and below
  • US CPI Tue could materially shift this read

09:32 UTC

Downtrend, momentum extending · RSI 36 · price 4,102.29

Lower highs and lower lows into session.

Gold sold off steadily from the 4134.80 session high, printing a clean chain of lower highs and lower lows down to a 4094.82 session low, RSI(14) near 36 but not yet stretched. Small bounce back to the 4100 psych pivot after the low was swept; USD on the back foot but bullion still trading heavy near the $4,100 pivot.

Support: 4,100.00, 4,094.82

Resistance: 4,114.50, 4,134.80

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 4094.82 session low confirms continuation lower toward the $4,000 floor
  • A reclaim of 4114.50 swing high breaks the lower-high sequence
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 GMT is the week's dominant catalyst for gold

09:32 UTC

Downtrend, minor bounce · RSI 39 · price 4,102.29

Lower highs, testing session low.

Gold rolled over from the 4138 session high through London hours, printing lower highs into a 4094 low before a shallow bounce to 4102. RSI(14) near 38 with price below EMA20/50; a softer USD floors the move but the recovery lacks momentum per the digest.

Support: 4,085.00

Resistance: 4,114.00, 4,138.08

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 4114 breaks the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 4094 opens 4085 continuation toward the 4000 psych area
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 GMT is the dominant catalyst that could reset this read

09:17 UTC

Downtrend, momentum fading near lows · RSI 34 · price 4,100.56

Lower highs into session low, small bounce.

Gold slid through the London session from 4127 to a session low of 4094 before a shallow bounce back to the 4100 pivot, price holding below EMA20/50. RSI(14) near 34 shows the sell-off cooling but no reversal structure yet.

Support: 4,100.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4094 confirms a fresh lower low
  • Reclaim of 4114 breaks the descending series of lower highs
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 GMT is the week's dominant catalyst for this pair

09:17 UTC

Downtrend, momentum easing · RSI 34 · price 4,100.56

Lower highs off 4138, holding 4094.

Gold slid through London hours in a clean lower-high chain off the 4138 session high, breaking back below the 4100 pivot before a small bounce off 4094. RSI(14) near 34 and price under both EMAs; softer USD context is keeping the tape two-way rather than trending hard.

Support: 4,100.00

Resistance: 4,116.90, 4,138.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 4116.90 breaks the lower-high sequence
  • Failure to hold 4094 opens the path lower off the 4100 pivot
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 GMT is the week's key gold catalyst

09:04 UTC

Downtrend, momentum extending · RSI 31 · price 4,098.94

Lower highs, lower lows; breaking the $4,100 pivot.

Gold rolled over from the session high near $4,138 and slid through the $4,100 pivot into the London session, printing a fresh low at 4094.82. RSI(14) is sub-31 and price sits below both EMAs; softer USD has yet to prompt any bounce off the pivot.

Support: 4,094.82

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of the $4,100 pivot would negate the breakdown
  • Sustained loss of 4094.82 session low opens the path toward $4,085
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 GMT is the week's dominant catalyst for this read

09:04 UTC

Downtrend, momentum extending · RSI 32 · price 4,098.94

Lower highs, lower lows into session low.

Gold rolled over through the London-NY window, sliding from the 4138 high to a fresh session low at 4094.82 and closing just under the 4100 pivot at 4098.94. Move fits the softer-USD but momentum-light backdrop; RSI(14) near 31 shows sellers in control without yet reaching extreme. Prior support at 4108 has flipped to resistance.

Support: 4,094.82, 4,085.00

Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,108.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 4108 negates the breakdown read
  • Loss of 4094.82 session low opens the path toward 4085
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 GMT is the dominant catalyst and could reprice this move

08:47 UTC

Downtrend, pressing pivot · RSI 34 · price 4,099.76

Lower highs into $4,100.

Gold rolled over from the session high at 4138 through London hours and is now pressing the $4,100 pivot, RSI(14) near 34 without hitting an extreme. The last leg down from 4117 has been steady selling with no bounce off 4114.

Support: 4,100.00

Resistance: 4,114.00, 4,138.08

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4100 opens the path to the 4093 swing low
  • Reclaim of 4114 would ease the corrective pressure
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could reprice this read sharply

08:47 UTC

Downtrend, momentum extended · RSI 31 · price 4,099.76

Lower highs, lower lows since 4138.

London hours saw gold grind lower off the 4138 session high in a clean chain of lower highs, breaking the 4100 psych pivot flagged in the macro read as it closed at 4099.76 with RSI(14) near 31. Sellers have controlled the last several hours; softer USD earlier this week hasn't stopped the intraday slide into the 4100 handle.

Support: 4,100.00, 4,093.78

Resistance: 4,114.50, 4,138.08

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4093.78 confirms a fresh lower low toward the 4021 weekly marker
  • Reclaim of 4114.50 negates the downside break and reopens the mid-range
  • Fed Monetary Policy Report 18:00 UTC could shift the USD tone

08:32 UTC

Downtrend, momentum building lower · RSI 34 · price 4,105.16

Lower highs off 4138, breaking the 4120 shelf.

Gold peaked at 4138 during prior NY hours, then ground lower through the Asian session; London open extended the slide, losing the 4120 shelf and now pressing the 4100 pivot. RSI(14) in the mid-30s as the softer USD tone failed to hold rallies flagged as heavy into CPI.

Support: 4,100.00

Resistance: 4,116.14, 4,138.08

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4100 pivot opens the 4093 swing low and $4,021 weekly marker
  • Reclaim of 4116 lower high needed to ease the downside pressure
  • Fed Monetary Policy Report 18:00 UTC could shift this read

08:32 UTC

Intraday downtrend, lower highs · RSI 35 · price 4,105.16

Rolling over from session high, testing 4100.

Gold rolled over from the 4138 session high through London hours, printing lower highs and now pressing the 4100 pivot with RSI(14) near 34. Sellers capped every bounce below 4116; the softer-USD rebound has stalled and price is heavy into the 4103.50 session low.

Support: 4,103.50, 4,100.00

Resistance: 4,116.00, 4,127.00, 4,138.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4100 opens the path to 4093 and the 4021 weekly low
  • Reclaim of 4127 negates the lower-high sequence
  • Fed Monetary Policy Report 18:00 UTC could shift USD tone

08:17 UTC

Downtrend off session high, momentum heavy · RSI 39 · price 4,106.63

Lower highs since 4138, testing 4100 pivot.

Gold rallied to a 4138 session high then rolled over into a steady chain of lower highs, sliding back to 4104 and now pressing the 4100 psych pivot flagged in the macro read. RSI(14) around 39, price under both EMAs; sellers stepping in on each bounce toward 4120.

Support: 4,104.04, 4,100.00, 4,093.78

Resistance: 4,120.00, 4,138.08

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4104 exposes the 4093.78 window low and 4100 handle
  • Reclaim of 4120 needed to break the lower-high sequence
  • Fed Monetary Policy Report 18:00 UTC could shift this read

08:17 UTC

Downtrend, lower highs since session peak · RSI 36 · price 4,106.63

Descending, chain of lower highs and lower lows.

Gold rolled over from the session high at 4138 through London hours, printing a clean chain of lower highs down to 4104 with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-30s. Price now pressing the $4,100 pivot flagged as the day's decision point, consolidating below EMA20/50 in a corrective drift.

Support: 4,104.00, 4,100.00

Resistance: 4,114.50, 4,138.08

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4104 exposes the 4100 psych pivot and 4093 swing low
  • Reclaim of 4114.50 needed to break the lower-high chain
  • Fed Monetary Policy Report 18:00 UTC could shift the USD-led tone

08:03 UTC

Intraday downtrend, rolling off session high · RSI 39 · price 4,106.35

Lower highs since 4138, grinding toward 4104.

London session tagged a session high at 4138 overnight then rolled over, printing a chain of lower highs down to 4106 with RSI cooling into the high-30s. Price is now pressing the 4104 swing low with the 4100 pivot just beneath.

Support: 4,104.00, 4,100.00

Resistance: 4,120.00, 4,138.08

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4104 swing low opens 4100 pivot and 4093 prior low
  • Reclaim of 4120 swing high needed to break the lower-high sequence
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 GMT is the dominant catalyst and can reset this read

08:03 UTC

Downtrend, momentum fading lower · RSI 37 · price 4,106.35

Lower highs off 4138, retracing toward range base.

Gold rolled over from the 4138 session high and printed a chain of lower highs into the London open, now testing the 4100 pivot at 4106 with RSI(14) around 37. Price is capped below the 4120 pivot as the corrective tone in bullion persists ahead of next week's CPI.

Support: 4,100.00

Resistance: 4,120.00, 4,138.08

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4100 opens the path to the 4093 swing low
  • Reclaim of the 4120 pivot would neutralise the lower-high sequence
  • US CPI Jul 14 is the dominant catalyst that would reshape this read

07:47 UTC

Downtrend, lower highs · RSI 34 · price 4,106.11

Sequence of lower highs and lower lows off 4138.

Gold peeled off the 4138 swing high through the session and is grinding lower, printing a lower high near 4120 before sagging to 4106 into the current bar. RSI(14) sits near 33 as sellers extend the down-leg; USD came off its highs on softer oil but the corrective bias below the 20-day band still caps recoveries.

Support: 4,105.45, 4,100.00, 4,093.78

Resistance: 4,120.00, 4,138.08

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 4120 breaks the lower-high chain
  • Loss of 4105 swing low opens the 4100 round level then 4093.78 prior low
  • US CPI Jul 14 12:30 GMT is the dominant catalyst and could shift this read

07:47 UTC

Downtrend, lower highs since NY peak · RSI 37 · price 4,106.11

Rolling over from 4138, pressing session lows.

Gold has bled lower from the NY session high at 4138, printing a chain of lower highs through Asia into the London morning, now testing the session low around 4105. Price trades below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) at 37 and not yet oversold; 4100 psychological support is the next line into the window low at 4093.78.

Support: 4,105.00, 4,100.00, 4,093.78

Resistance: 4,120.00, 4,138.08

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4100 exposes the 4093.78 window low
  • Reclaim of 4120 needed to break the lower-high sequence
  • US CPI Jul 14 is the dominant catalyst that would reset this read

07:32 UTC

Pullback after intraday peak · RSI 43 · price 4,113.32

Lower highs off 4138, holding above 4108.

Gold rallied above 4100 to an intraday high of 4138 on the softer-USD, lower-Oil repricing, then rolled over into a stair-step of lower highs and now trades back at 4113. Sellers capped the 4130-4138 zone twice while buyers stepped in around 4108; price sits mid the 4093-4138 fib range with RSI(14) near 42.

Support: 4,108.20, 4,100.00

Resistance: 4,120.00, 4,131.00, 4,138.08

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4108 confirms a lower-low and opens 4100
  • Reclaim of 4120 pivot needed to challenge the 4131 prior high
  • US CPI Tue is the pivot for the wider gold range — not in this window

07:32 UTC

Rolled over from highs, lower highs · RSI 43 · price 4,113.32

Pullback after rejection at 4138.

Gold ran up through London to a session high at 4138 before rolling over into NY hours, printing lower highs back toward 4113 as easing Oil/Iran fears trimmed USD. Price is now grinding the 4108 session-low band with RSI(14) mid-40s; the 20-day EMA cap flagged near 4200 remains well overhead.

Support: 4,108.00, 4,100.00

Resistance: 4,120.00, 4,138.00

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 4108 session low confirms continuation lower toward 4100 psych
  • Reclaim of 4120 swing needed to challenge the 4138 session high
  • US CPI Tue is the pivot risk for the wider gold read

07:17 UTC

Downtrend, pulling back from NY high · RSI 39 · price 4,109.07

Lower highs since 4138 peak, testing session low.

Gold peaked at 4138 during the NY session on softer Oil dragging USD, then faded through Asia in a chain of lower highs. Price is now grinding the 4108 session low into the London open with RSI(14) near 39; the 4120 pivot capped the last bounce.

Support: 4,108.00, 4,100.00, 4,096.05

Resistance: 4,120.00, 4,138.08

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 4120 breaks the lower-high sequence
  • Failure to hold 4108/4100 opens the 4096 swing low
  • US CPI Tue Jul 14 is the macro pivot for the wider complex

07:17 UTC

Downtrend, fading from session high · RSI 37 · price 4,109.07

Lower highs, lower lows into 4109.

Gold ran to a session high of 4138 during the earlier rebound on softer oil and a weaker USD, but has since faded through the London session in a clean lower-high, lower-low sequence back to 4109. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) near 37, and buyers are being tested at the 4109 session low.

Support: 4,108.90

Resistance: 4,120.00, 4,138.08

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4108.90 opens the path toward the 4093 prior low
  • Reclaim of 4120 pivot needed to challenge the descending highs
  • US CPI Tue Jul 14 12:30 UTC is the pivot that could reset this read

07:03 UTC

Pullback from session high, momentum down · RSI 43 · price 4,111.24

Lower highs after topping near 4138.

Gold's NY-session push to 4138 faded and price has ground lower through the Asian and early London hours, now trading 4111 below both EMAs. Sellers capped recovery attempts near 4120 while buyers keep defending the 4108 area; RSI(14) sits in the low 40s.

Support: 4,108.00, 4,100.00

Resistance: 4,120.00, 4,138.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4108 opens the path to 4100
  • Reclaim of 4120 negates the intraday fade
  • 4138 session high the level to watch for rejection or break

07:03 UTC

Downtrend, rolling off session high · RSI 41 · price 4,111.24

Lower highs since 4138 peak, testing 4108 lows.

Gold peaked at 4138 late in the prior NY session then rolled over, drifting through the Asian consolidation near 4123 and extending lower on the London reopen to 4111. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) at 41; sellers pressing the 4108 session low after a rejection of the 4138 high.

Support: 4,108.20, 4,100.00

Resistance: 4,120.00, 4,138.08

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4108 confirms a lower low, opening 4100 psych
  • Reclaim of 4120 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
  • US CPI Jul 14 is the primary macro lever ahead — not this session

06:47 UTC

Pullback from highs, momentum down · RSI 42 · price 4,112.21

Lower highs off 4138 session high.

Gold rolled over from the 4138 session high during Asian hours, printing lower highs and now grinding into 4108-4112 support as the USD stays soft on easing Mideast headlines. RSI(14) cooling near 41, price back under EMA20/50 with the recovery off 4021 losing steam short-term.

Support: 4,108.20, 4,100.00

Resistance: 4,120.00, 4,138.08

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 4108 opens the 4100 pivot
  • Reclaim of 4120 needed to challenge the 4138 session high
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant risk into next week

06:47 UTC

Pullback, lower highs off 4138 · RSI 40 · price 4,112.21

Reversal from session high, stair-step lower.

XAUUSD rejected the 4138 session high and has stair-stepped lower into the pre-London window, now hovering at 4112 with RSI(14) cooling near 40. The 4108 session low is the immediate floor above the $4,100 pivot flagged as the make-or-break for the bounce off 4021.

Support: 4,108.00, 4,100.00

Resistance: 4,120.00, 4,138.00

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 4108 exposes the 4100 pivot
  • M15 close back above 4120 negates the lower-high sequence
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term risk

06:32 UTC

Pullback after recovery to 4138 · RSI 44 · price 4,115.70

Consolidating below double top, lower highs.

Gold rallied off 4073 through the London-NY sessions to a 4138 double top, then rolled over into the Asian range and is now chopping 4108-4120 with price back below EMA20/50. The bounce off Wednesday's lows lost steam as easing Mideast risk pressured USD; RSI(14) mid-40s reflects the stalled momentum.

Support: 4,108.20, 4,100.00

Resistance: 4,128.00, 4,138.08

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4108 session low opens the 4100 pivot
  • reclaim of 4128 swing high needed to re-challenge the 4138 session high
  • US CPI Tue is the dominant macro risk over the days ahead

06:32 UTC

Intraday pullback from session high · RSI 43 · price 4,115.70

Lower highs since 4138 rejection.

Gold rallied off 4075 to a 4138 session high during earlier hours, then drifted lower into the current 4115 area as the corrective rebound off this week's lows stalled. Price rejected 4134-4138 and now sits below EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s; buyers held 4108 on the last dip.

Support: 4,108.20, 4,100.00

Resistance: 4,128.00, 4,138.08

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 4108 exposes the 4100 pivot
  • Reclaim of 4128 needed to re-test the 4138 session high
  • 20-day EMA overhead keeps the broader bounce corrective

06:17 UTC

Pullback after NY push higher · RSI 44 · price 4,114.77

Faded off 4138 session high, drifting lower.

NY session drove gold to a 4138 high before it faded through the Asian range; early London now trades 4114 with RSI(14) mid-40s and price back below EMA20/50. The bounce off Wednesday's ~4021 low remains intact but rallies are stalling under 4128, with the 4100 pivot the near-term line for the recovery.

Support: 4,108.00, 4,100.00

Resistance: 4,128.00, 4,138.00

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 4108 exposes the 4100 pivot
  • Reclaim of 4128 needed to reopen the 4138 session high

06:17 UTC

Uptrend fading, pullback in progress · RSI 45 · price 4,114.77

Lower highs off 4138 session peak.

Gold rallied through Asia to a session high of 4138 then rolled over, drifting to 4114 with RSI(14) cooling into the mid-40s. Price is consolidating under a descending line of lower highs; 4108 is the near support with the 4100 pivot below, the level the digest ties to the bounce off 4021.

Support: 4,108.20, 4,100.00

Resistance: 4,120.00, 4,128.00, 4,138.08

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4128 negates the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 4108 opens the 4100 pivot
  • Bounce recovery through 4120 puts 4128 back in play

06:03 UTC

Pullback from session high, momentum down · RSI 43 · price 4,117.35

Lower highs since 4138 peak, testing lower range.

Gold rallied off 4067 through the prior session to a high at 4138 after FOMC minutes showed no hawkish shift, then faded through Asia into early London, carving lower highs down toward 4108. Price is back below EMA20 with RSI cooling to the mid-40s; buyers stepped in at 4108 to hold the base.

Support: 4,108.20, 4,100.00

Resistance: 4,128.00, 4,138.10

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 4128 negates the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 4108 session low opens the 4100 psych level
  • US CPI Tue Jul 14 is the week's pivot for gold

06:03 UTC

Pullback off session high, momentum lower · RSI 43 · price 4,117.35

Lower highs since 4138, holding above 4108.

Gold rejected the 4138 session high during Asia hours and has rolled over into a chain of lower highs, printing a 4108 low before a shallow bounce to 4117. The earlier ~1% recovery on softer USD after split FOMC Minutes is fading, with RSI(14) cooling to the low-40s as price trades below EMA20/50.

Support: 4,108.20, 4,100.00

Resistance: 4,138.08

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4108 confirms a lower low, opening the 4100 round number
  • Reclaim of the 4127 pivot needed to re-challenge the 4138 session high
  • US CPI Tue Jul 14 is the decisive catalyst for the wider range

05:47 UTC

Downtrend, pulling back from session high · RSI 40 · price 4,111.79

Lower highs, lower lows off 4138.

Gold rallied through the London-NY session to a 4138 high before rolling over into the Asian session, printing lower highs and slipping under EMA20/50. Price is now grinding toward the 4109 session low with RSI(14) around 40; a rejection at 4127 capped the last bounce.

Support: 4,109.00, 4,100.00

Resistance: 4,127.00, 4,138.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4109 confirms a fresh lower low toward 4100 psych
  • Reclaim of 4127 swing high negates the lower-high sequence
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the decisive catalyst — days out but frames the range

05:47 UTC

Pulling back from session high, momentum down · RSI 41 · price 4,111.79

Lower highs since 4138, pressing 4109 support.

Gold rolled over from the 4138 session high set mid-window, printing a chain of lower highs into the London open and now pressing the 4109 swing low. RSI(14) cooling near 41 with price below EMA20/50; earlier bounce came after FOMC Minutes showed a split committee.

Support: 4,109.00, 4,100.00

Resistance: 4,130.00, 4,138.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4109 opens a test of the 4100 round number
  • Reclaim of 4130 swing high needed to re-challenge the 4138 session high
  • US CPI Tue Jul 14 is the next pivot and could reset this read

05:32 UTC

Short-term downtrend off 4138 · RSI 37 · price 4,112.55

Lower highs, lower lows into Asia.

Gold rolled over from the 4138 high through the NY-Asia handover and is grinding lower, printing lower highs and lower lows with price now under EMA20/50 at 4112. RSI(14) near 37, not yet oversold; the earlier bounce to ~4123 on softer USD after split FOMC Minutes has faded and rallies are capping into 4127-4134.

Support: 4,108.00, 4,100.00

Resistance: 4,127.00, 4,138.00

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 4108 swing low confirms continuation lower toward 4100
  • Reclaim of 4127 swing negates the lower-high sequence
  • US CPI Tue Jul 14 is the decisive catalyst beyond this window

05:32 UTC

Downtrend, pulling back from session high · RSI 40 · price 4,112.55

Lower highs since 4138, drifting into support.

Gold ran up to 4138 overnight on a softer USD after split FOMC Minutes, then rolled over into a sequence of lower highs. Price has slid back to 4112 in early London hours, RSI(14) cooling near 40 and trading below both EMAs; 4109 swing low is the immediate area to watch.

Support: 4,109.00, 4,100.00

Resistance: 4,127.00, 4,138.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4109 opens the path to 4100
  • Reclaim of 4127 negates the lower-high sequence
  • US CPI Tue Jul 14 is the decisive catalyst but sits outside this window

05:17 UTC

Pullback within consolidation, momentum fading · RSI 41 · price 4,115.58

Lower highs off session high, sliding to range base.

Gold rallied from 4056 to 4138 through the prior session on a softer USD after the split FOMC Minutes, then rolled into a 4112-4134 range and is now sliding toward the base, printing lower highs. Price sits at 4115.58 below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) cooling into the low-40s; sellers capped each bounce near 4127.

Support: 4,112.00, 4,100.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4112 confirms a lower low, opening 4100 psych
  • Reclaim of 4127 range mid needed to negate the lower-high slide
  • US CPI Jul 14 remains the decisive catalyst but is days out

05:17 UTC

Intraday pullback off the highs · RSI 41 · price 4,115.58

Lower highs since 4138, testing 4112 base.

Gold rallied to 4138 through the London-NY window on the softer USD after split FOMC Minutes, then rolled over into a chain of lower highs. Asia session is drifting lower, now probing the 4112 base with RSI(14) around 41 and price under both EMAs.

Support: 4,112.00, 4,100.00

Resistance: 4,128.00, 4,138.08

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4112 confirms a lower low, opening the path to 4100
  • Reclaim of 4128 needed to reset the lower-high sequence
  • US CPI Tue Jul 14 12:30 UTC is the decisive catalyst for this range

05:04 UTC

Uptrend faded, corrective pullback · RSI 41 · price 4,113.99

Lower highs off 4138, testing range floor.

Gold rallied through the Asian range into the NY session and stalled at a 4138 double top before rolling over; the FOMC Minutes bounce has since faded. Price now drifts into the London open below EMA20/50 with RSI cooling near 40, pressing the 4108-4113 range floor.

Support: 4,108.00, 4,100.00

Resistance: 4,127.00, 4,138.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4108 confirms a lower low and opens 4100
  • Reclaim of 4127 needed to re-test the 4138 session high
  • US CPI (Jul 14) is the week's decisive catalyst, still days out

05:03 UTC

Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 41 · price 4,113.99

Rally faded, lower highs into range.

Gold rallied from 4056 to a 4138 swing high through the London session on a softer USD after the split FOMC Minutes, then stalled and is retracing toward 4114 with RSI cooling to ~41. Price has slipped back under EMA20/50 and is testing the 4112 session low after repeated rejection below the 4131 range top.

Support: 4,112.00, 4,100.00

Resistance: 4,131.00, 4,138.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4112 session low opens path toward the 4100 psych level
  • Reclaim of the 4131 range top needed to resume the advance
  • US CPI Tue Jul 14 is the decisive catalyst and could reset this read

04:47 UTC

Uptrend stalling, rolling over · RSI 43 · price 4,117.60

Consolidation below session high, drifting to lower edge.

Gold rallied to a session high at 4138 then consolidated 4120-4130 through the thin Asia session; the last few bars slipped to 4117.6 with RSI cooling into the low-40s. Rejection at 4138 has left a string of lower highs, and price is now pressing the lower edge of the range toward the 4109 swing low.

Support: 4,109.00, 4,100.00

Resistance: 4,130.00, 4,138.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4109 confirms a lower low and opens the 4100 pivot
  • Reclaim of 4130 range top reopens the 4138 session high

04:47 UTC

Uptrend stalling, corrective drift · RSI 43 · price 4,117.60

Consolidation below 4138 swing high.

Gold rallied from 4056 through the London-NY window to a 4138 swing high, then rejected and has drifted into an Asia-session consolidation between 4108 and 4127. Price now sits at 4117 below both EMAs with RSI(14) around 42 — momentum has cooled after three losing sessions bounced.

Support: 4,108.00

Resistance: 4,127.00, 4,138.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4108 confirms a lower-low and breaks the consolidation floor
  • Reclaim of 4127 range top reopens the 4138 swing high
  • US CPI Tue Jul 14 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst for the next leg

04:32 UTC

Pulling back from session high · RSI 42 · price 4,117.91

Lower highs off 4138, correcting.

Gold rallied through London-NY hours to a 4138 double top, then rolled over into the Asian session and is grinding lower, now 4117.91 with RSI(14) around 42. Micro-structure is a chain of lower highs; 4116 session low is the immediate line in the sand.

Support: 4,116.00, 4,109.00, 4,100.00

Resistance: 4,130.00, 4,138.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4116 opens the path to 4109 then the 4100 pivot
  • Reclaim of 4130 negates the lower-high sequence
  • US CPI Jul 14 is the week's catalyst — corrective bias while capped below recent highs

04:32 UTC

Prior uptrend, corrective pullback · RSI 44 · price 4,117.91

Lower highs off 4138, testing support.

Gold ran from 4056 to 4138 through NY hours then rolled into a lower-high sequence; the Asian session has drifted lower and price now sits at 4118 pressing session support. RSI(14) mid-40s with no momentum, rallies capped under the 4127 pivot.

Support: 4,116.00, 4,109.00, 4,100.00

Resistance: 4,127.00, 4,138.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4116 opens 4109 then the 4100 pivot
  • Reclaim of 4127 needed to re-challenge the 4138 session high
  • US CPI Jul 14 is the week's catalyst, not imminent this session

04:17 UTC

Up off the lows, momentum stalling · RSI 46 · price 4,120.64

Consolidation after NY rally, drifting lower.

NY session drove gold from 4058 up to a 4138 session high before rejection capped the move; since then price has rolled into a 4116-4131 range and is now drifting lower at 4120 in thin Asia hours, RSI mid-40s. The bounce fits the softer-USD read after benign jobless claims, but rallies remain capped below the session high.

Support: 4,109.02

Resistance: 4,131.00, 4,138.08

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4131 range top reopens the 4138 session high
  • Loss of 4109 swing low confirms a lower low
  • Thin Asia liquidity can exaggerate moves until London open

04:17 UTC

Uptrend stalled, consolidating · RSI 46 · price 4,120.64

Range after impulsive rally, drifting lower.

Gold rallied from 4058 to 4138 through the Jul-9 London-NY sessions, then stalled and has consolidated 4117-4135 through the Asian session, now drifting to the lower half near 4120. Rejection capped the 4135-4138 zone twice; RSI(14) sits mid-range with no extreme in play.

Support: 4,117.00, 4,109.00, 4,100.00

Resistance: 4,135.00, 4,138.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4117 targets the 4109 session low then 4100 psych pivot
  • Reclaim of 4135 swing high reopens the 4138 session high
  • US CPI Tue Jul-14 is the week's catalyst and can override this intraday read

04:03 UTC

Uptrend fading, momentum rolling over · RSI 43 · price 4,118.77

Consolidation below session high after rally.

Gold rallied ~80 points from 4054 through the London-NY session to a swing high at 4138 on a softer USD and benign jobless claims, then stalled into a 4114-4138 range top. Asia hours are drifting lower, price now pressing the session low at 4114 with RSI cooling toward 43 and price back under EMA20/50.

Support: 4,114.00, 4,100.00

Resistance: 4,127.00, 4,138.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4114 session low confirms a lower low and opens 4100 psych floor
  • Reclaim of 4127 range top puts the 4138 swing high back in play
  • US CPI Tue 14 Jul is the week's decisive catalyst and can override this intraday read

04:03 UTC

Rally stalling, corrective pullback · RSI 44 · price 4,118.77

Double top at 4138, drifting off highs.

Gold ran from 4054 through the London-NY window to twin highs at 4138 (double top) before rejecting, and the Asia session has drifted back to 4118 with RSI cooling to the mid-40s. Price now sits below EMA20/50 as the corrective read below the 20-day EMA plays out; benign jobless claims earlier supported the bounce but rallies stayed capped.

Support: 4,109.00

Resistance: 4,138.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4109 confirms a lower low and extends the pullback
  • Reclaim of 4138 needed to negate the double top
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the decisive catalyst for the next leg

03:47 UTC

Uptrend stalled, now ranging · RSI 49 · price 4,121.21

Consolidation under session high after impulsive rally.

Gold ran from 4055 to a session high at 4138 through the London-NY window, aided by a softer USD after benign jobless claims (215K), then rolled into a tight Asian-session range between 4109 and 4131. RSI(14) has cooled back to neutral around 48 and price is pinned just under EMA20; no directional setup in play.

Support: 4,109.00, 4,100.00

Resistance: 4,131.00, 4,138.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4131 reopens the 4138 session high
  • Loss of 4109 exposes the 4100 psych level
  • Thin Asian-session volume can exaggerate moves until London open

03:47 UTC

Uptrend stalling into consolidation · RSI 48 · price 4,121.21

Range after NY rally, holding above 4108.

Gold rallied from 4055 to a 4138 session high during NY hours on a softer USD, then rolled into a tight Asian-session range around 4120, capped under the falling daily EMA per the macro read. Price now consolidates between 4117 and 4131 with RSI back near neutral, no directional impulse in play.

Support: 4,117.00

Resistance: 4,131.00, 4,138.08

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4131 reopens the 4138 session high
  • Loss of 4108 swing low confirms a lower low
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the decisive catalyst and could reset this range

03:32 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 53 · price 4,125.65

Consolidation near session highs after impulse up.

Gold rallied from 4055 through London-NY to a 4138 session high, then rejected and settled into a 4109-4138 range on a softer USD after benign jobless claims. Price sits mid-range at 4125 in thin Asia trade; buyers stepped in near 4109 on the last pullback, high in the range still capping.

Support: 4,109.00, 4,100.00

Resistance: 4,138.08

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4138 resumes the uptrend toward higher levels
  • Failure to hold 4109 opens the path to 4100 psych
  • US CPI Tue 14 Jul is the week's decisive catalyst but not imminent this session

03:32 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 52 · price 4,125.65

Consolidating below session high.

Gold climbed from 4055 to a session high of 4138 through the London-NY hours on a softer USD, then stalled and is now consolidating 4120-4135 into the Asia session. Rejection at 4138 with RSI(14) cooling to the low-50s; price capped under the falling 20-day EMA per the broader macro read.

Support: 4,120.00, 4,109.00

Resistance: 4,134.80, 4,138.08

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4138 opens the path toward 4150
  • Failure to hold 4109 confirms a lower-low and voids the consolidation
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the decisive catalyst for this range

03:17 UTC

Uptrend stalling into consolidation · RSI 53 · price 4,126.08

Range after impulsive rally, capped below session high.

Gold rallied from 4054 through London/NY to tag 4138, then rolled into a tight Asian-session range between 4109 and 4138 on thinning volume. Buyers stepped back in at 4109 and price recovered to 4134.80 before easing to 4126; move stays capped under the falling 20-day EMA per the corrective macro read.

Support: 4,109.00

Resistance: 4,138.00, 4,134.80

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4138 reopens the upside toward 4150+
  • Loss of 4109 confirms a lower-low and breaks the range floor
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the week's decisive catalyst

03:17 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 54 · price 4,126.08

Consolidating near session highs after impulse leg.

Gold ran from 4054 through the London-NY window to a session high at 4138, then settled into a 4118–4135 consolidation; RSI(14) neutral near 54. The bounce fits the corrective-but-capped read after a softer USD on benign jobless claims, with rallies still limited below the falling 20-day EMA.

Support: 4,118.00

Resistance: 4,134.80, 4,138.08

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4138 reopens continuation higher
  • Failure to hold 4118 exposes the 4108 swing low
  • US CPI (Tue) is the week's decisive catalyst and could reset this range

03:03 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum easing near highs · RSI 61 · price 4,131.40

Consolidating below session high after a strong leg up.

Gold rallied ~2% off the 4055 low through the session as a softer USD and lower yields let it recover, then stalled into 4138. Price is now grinding sideways 4117–4138 just under the session high, RSI(14) mid-range around 60 with no fresh push.

Support: 4,117.00, 4,109.00

Resistance: 4,138.08

What it said to watch

  • Sustained M15 close above 4138 extends the intraday advance
  • Loss of 4117 opens a retest of the 4109 pullback low
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the week's decisive catalyst and can reset this read

03:03 UTC

Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 62 · price 4,131.40

Higher lows into 4120-4138 range.

Gold recovered ~2% off the 4054 low, breaking out through 4100 during the prior NY session on a softer USD and benign jobless claims. Price is now consolidating in a 4120-4138 band into the Asian session, holding above EMA20 with RSI(14) mid-range at ~61.

Support: 4,120.00, 4,109.00, 4,100.00

Resistance: 4,138.08, 4,150.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4138 extends the move toward 4150
  • Loss of 4109 breaks the higher-low chain and reopens 4100
  • US CPI Tue 14 Jul is the week's decisive catalyst for this pair

02:47 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalling near highs · RSI 51 · price 4,125.05

Consolidation under session high, declining highs.

Gold recovered ~1% off the 4054 area on a softer USD after benign jobless claims (215K), retracing the intraday leg up to 4138 before stalling. Now consolidating between 4109 and 4138 with RSI(14) neutral near 51; a series of declining highs shows rallies capped below the session high.

Support: 4,109.00, 4,100.00

Resistance: 4,138.08

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4138 session high reopens 4150-4200
  • Loss of 4109 swing low exposes the 4100 psych floor

02:47 UTC

Uptrend stalling, consolidating near highs · RSI 53 · price 4,125.05

Ranging below session high after NY rally.

Gold rallied from the Asian low near 4054 to a session high of 4138 as a softer USD post-benign jobless claims (215K) supported the metal, then stalled into a 4109-4131 range. RSI(14) has cooled to neutral; buyers stepped in at 4109 on the latest dip, with supply capping rallies below 4138.

Support: 4,109.00, 4,100.00

Resistance: 4,131.30, 4,138.08

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4138 opens the path toward 4150+
  • Loss of 4109 exposes the 4100 round number
  • US CPI Tue 14 Jul is the week's decisive catalyst

02:32 UTC

Ranging after NY rally, momentum flat · RSI 55 · price 4,127.41

Consolidation between session low and lower highs.

Gold rallied through the London-NY window to 4138 on a softer USD after benign jobless claims, then rolled into an Asian-session range. Price dipped to the session low at 4109 and recovered to 4127; a chain of lower highs off 4138 caps the topside while 4109 has held.

Support: 4,109.00, 4,100.00

Resistance: 4,131.00, 4,138.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4131 reopens the 4138 window high
  • Loss of 4109 confirms a lower low toward 4100
  • US CPI Tue is the week's decisive catalyst — not intraday but frames the range

02:32 UTC

Uptrend stalling, now ranging · RSI 54 · price 4,127.41

Consolidation below NY session high.

NY session drove gold from 4055 to a 4138 high, capped there and rolling into a 4109–4138 consolidation through the Asian range. A dip to 4109 was bought back to 4127; RSI(14) mid-range near 54, no extreme in play.

Support: 4,109.00, 4,100.00

Resistance: 4,138.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4138 reopens the path toward 4150+
  • Failure to hold 4109 exposes the 4100 psych floor
  • Range stays intact between 4109 and 4138 until one side breaks

02:17 UTC

Uptrend stalling, now consolidating · RSI 51 · price 4,124.31

Range after impulsive rally, lower highs forming.

Gold ran from 4066 to a 4138 session high through the prior London-NY window, twice rejected there, and has since drifted into a 4109-4138 range. Asia-session dip to 4109 was bought back to 4124 with RSI(14) neutral near 50; supply capping into the descending 4131 lower highs.

Support: 4,109.02

Resistance: 4,131.00, 4,138.08

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4138 session high reopens the upside
  • Loss of 4109 session low confirms a lower low
  • US CPI Tue 14 Jul is the week's decisive catalyst

02:17 UTC

Uptrend stalling into consolidation · RSI 53 · price 4,124.31

Range after intraday rally, holding higher lows.

Gold rallied through London-NY from ~4055 to a 4138 session high, then rolled into a tight Asia-session range around 4120-4131. A dip to 4109 was bought back to 4124; softer USD after benign jobless claims underpins, but rallies stay capped near 4138.

Support: 4,109.00

Resistance: 4,131.00, 4,138.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4138 resumes the rally toward the prior 4150 area
  • Loss of 4109 confirms a lower low and shifts the consolidation lower
  • US CPI (Jul 14) is the week's decisive catalyst for this read

02:03 UTC

Uptrend stalling, corrective pullback · RSI 43 · price 4,116.53

Double top at 4138, lower high forming.

Gold ran from the 4066 base up to a double top at 4138 through the NY session before rolling over; the recovery followed a softer USD after benign jobless claims. Asian hours have leaked back to 4116, RSI(14) cooling to ~42 with price slipping under EMA20. Sellers rejected 4138 twice and 4108 is the session low now in focus.

Support: 4,108.00, 4,100.00

Resistance: 4,131.00, 4,138.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4108 confirms a lower low, opening 4100 psych
  • Reclaim of 4131 negates the double top read

02:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum rolling over · RSI 44 · price 4,116.53

Pullback off session high after range break lower.

Gold ran from 4066 to a session high of 4138 through the London-NY hours, then rolled over into the Asia session, slicing below the 4120-4132 consolidation to 4108 before bouncing to 4116. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s and price now sits under the 20/50 EMAs, capped by prior support turned resistance at 4123.

Support: 4,108.00, 4,100.00

Resistance: 4,123.00, 4,138.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4108 confirms a deeper pullback toward 4100
  • Reclaim of 4123 negates the range break lower

01:47 UTC

Up-leg rolling over into Asia · RSI 36 · price 4,108.81

Double top at 4138, breaking below consolidation floor.

Gold rallied through the NY session to a 4138 double top, capped under its falling 20-day EMA per the macro read, then rolled over into Asia with a sharp break below the 4120 consolidation floor to 4108.81. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-30s as the last three bars printed straight lower.

Support: 4,100.00

Resistance: 4,120.00, 4,138.08

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 4100 round number opens 4093 swing low
  • Reclaim of 4120 prior floor negates the breakdown read
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the week's decisive catalyst for this pair

01:47 UTC

Uptrend stalling, rolling over · RSI 43 · price 4,108.81

Pullback from session high, consolidation broke lower.

Gold rallied ~$80 off the 4055 session low to 4138 then rolled over, capping under the falling 20-day EMA area as USD firmed. The 4120-4127 consolidation broke lower on the last bar into early Asia, price now 4108 below both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI cooling toward 42.

Support: 4,100.00, 4,055.35

Resistance: 4,127.00, 4,138.08

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 4120 invalidates the consolidation breakdown
  • Loss of 4100 round number opens 4093 swing low
  • Rejection at 4127 prior high keeps lower-high sequence intact

01:32 UTC

Uptrend stalling, now flat · RSI 48 · price 4,123.02

Consolidation below session high after rally.

Gold rallied off 4054 through London into a 4138 session high, then rejected and settled into a tight 4118-4131 consolidation on thin Asia-hours volume. Price sits at 4123 just under EMA20 with RSI(14) neutral near 48 — the move higher, framed as corrective under the falling 20-day EMA, has lost momentum.

Support: 4,118.00, 4,114.44, 4,100.00

Resistance: 4,131.30, 4,138.08

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4138 reopens the upside continuation
  • Break below 4114 swing low exposes the 4100 psych level
  • Volume remains thin in Asia hours; London open may set direction

01:32 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 52 · price 4,123.02

Consolidation under session high.

Gold ran from the 4054 low up to a session high of 4138 through the London-NY hours, recovering ~1% as the USD softened after benign US jobless claims. Price is now consolidating 4117–4131 in Asia hours with RSI back to neutral, rallies still capped below the falling daily EMA per the macro read.

Support: 4,117.00, 4,100.00

Resistance: 4,131.30, 4,138.08

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4138 resumes the intraday advance toward the 4150+ area
  • Failure to hold 4117 opens 4107 swing low and the 4100 round number
  • US CPI Tue 14 Jul is the week's decisive catalyst, not imminent this session

01:17 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening near highs · RSI 55 · price 4,126.25

Higher highs into a tight range under 4138.

Gold ran from the 4054 London low up to 4138 through NY hours on a softer USD after benign jobless claims, then stalled and is consolidating 4117-4131 into Asia. RSI(14) has cooled to mid-range as the 4138 high capped the advance below the falling daily EMA.

Support: 4,117.00

Resistance: 4,131.30, 4,138.08

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4138 reopens the path toward 4150+
  • Loss of 4117 confirms a lower low and breaks the range
  • US CPI Tue 14 Jul 12:30 UTC is the week's decisive catalyst

01:17 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling into consolidation · RSI 54 · price 4,126.25

Rally off session low, now ranging under swing high.

Gold rallied out of the Asian low near 4054 through NY hours, peaking at 4138 before rolling into a tight 4114–4131 consolidation on thin late-session volume. Softer USD after benign jobless claims underpinned the bounce, but price is capping under the 4138 swing high with RSI(14) back at neutral.

Support: 4,114.44, 4,100.00

Resistance: 4,131.30, 4,138.08

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4138 resumes the uptrend leg
  • Break below 4114 opens the path toward 4100
  • Rally stays capped under 20-day EMA per broader tone

01:03 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 57 · price 4,129.35

Consolidation near session high after impulse up.

Gold recovered off the one-week low through the London-NY run, printing a session high at 4138 before settling into a tight 4117-4131 consolidation into the Asia session. Price is pressing the range top at 4131 with RSI(14) mid-range, momentum cooling after the impulse.

Support: 4,117.00

Resistance: 4,131.30, 4,138.10

What it said to watch

  • Close above 4138 opens the path toward the 4180 peak
  • Failure to hold 4117 range low exposes the 4107 swing low
  • US CPI (Jul 14) is the key catalyst that could reset this read

01:03 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 62 · price 4,129.35

Higher highs into consolidation below session high.

Gold ground higher through the Asian session off the $4,054 low, recovering ~1% off the recent trough as a softer USD offered relief. Price is now consolidating around 4129, capped below the 4131-4138 session high; buyers stepped in at 4114 on the last dip.

Support: 4,114.44

Resistance: 4,131.30, 4,138.08

What it said to watch

  • Break and hold above 4138 opens the path back toward the $4,180 recent peak
  • Loss of 4114 swing low would break the intraday higher-low chain
  • US CPI Jul 14 is the key upcoming risk that could reset this read

00:47 UTC

Uptrend faded, now flat · RSI 52 · price 4,124.79

Tight Asian range after NY rally.

Gold ran from the 4055 London low to a 4138 session high during NY hours, then unwound into a tight Asian range roughly 4117-4126. RSI(14) is neutral near 50 and the current bar sits mid-range — no setup in play.

Support: 4,117.00, 4,114.44, 4,100.00

Resistance: 4,126.00, 4,138.08

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4126 range top puts the 4138 session high back in play
  • Break below 4114 confirms a lower low and opens the 4100 psych level
  • US CPI (Tue) is the next major catalyst and could reset this range

00:47 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalling · RSI 53 · price 4,124.79

Consolidation after impulsive rally.

Gold rallied from the 4055 low to a 4138 NY session high, then rolled into tight consolidation between 4117 and 4130 through the Asia session. RSI(14) has cooled back to neutral; a softer USD and slipping yields fed the earlier bounce, but price stays boxed well below the 4200 cap.

Support: 4,117.00, 4,107.00, 4,100.00

Resistance: 4,130.00, 4,138.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4138 resumes the uptrend toward the 4200 cap
  • Loss of 4117 session low opens 4107 then the 4100 psych level
  • Consolidation range 4117-4130 is the near-term structure to monitor

00:32 UTC

Uptrend stalled, consolidating · RSI 45 · price 4,118.73

Tight range after rally peaked at 4138.

Gold rallied through London-NY to a swing high at 4138 then rolled into a tight Asia-session range between 4117 and 4126, RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s on thin volume. Price is drifting along the lower edge near 4118 with the recent high at 4126 capping.

Support: 4,117.00, 4,100.00

Resistance: 4,126.00, 4,138.08

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4117 opens the path toward the 4100 round number
  • Reclaim of 4126 puts the 4138 swing high back in play
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

00:32 UTC

Uptrend cooling, now consolidating · RSI 45 · price 4,118.73

Rally to 4138 then tight range near 4120.

Gold ran from 4054 to a 4138 session high during the London-NY drive before fading, and is now grinding sideways in a 4117–4125 band on thin late-session volume. The bounce off last week's lows lacked follow-through, with price rolling back under EMA20 as momentum stalls near a modestly softer USD backdrop.

Support: 4,117.00, 4,108.00

Resistance: 4,125.00, 4,138.08

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4125 reopens the 4138 session high
  • Loss of 4117 confirms a lower-low and exposes 4108
  • US CPI Jul 14 is the key catalyst that could break this range

00:17 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flat · RSI 50 · price 4,123.08

Consolidating near session highs after NY rally.

Gold rallied through NY hours from 4055 to a 4138 session high, then rolled into a tight 4120–4130 consolidation. Price is now flat around 4123 in early Asia, RSI(14) neutral near 50; the 4120 floor has held on repeated tests.

Support: 4,120.30, 4,113.20

Resistance: 4,130.80, 4,138.10

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4120 opens a retest of 4113
  • Break above 4130.8 puts the 4138 session high back in play
  • US CPI (Jul 14) is the key macro catalyst ahead

00:16 UTC

Uptrend cooling into range · RSI 50 · price 4,123.08

Consolidating below session high after London-NY push.

Gold rallied off the 4062 Asia low through London-NY, peaking at 4138 before rolling over into a tight range near 4123 as the softer USD bounce lost steam. Price is drifting on the EMA20/50 with RSI(14) flat at 50; no directional setup while capped by 4130.

Support: 4,120.00, 4,103.00

Resistance: 4,130.00, 4,138.00

What it said to watch

  • Close above 4130 reopens the 4138 session high
  • Loss of 4120 confirms a lower low toward the 4103 pivot
  • US CPI Jul 14 could reset this range

00:03 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalling · RSI 49 · price 4,121.34

Consolidation below session high after impulse up.

Gold ran from the 4055 low to a 4138 session high during NY hours after FOMC minutes showed a split committee and a softer USD, then rejected and settled into a tight 4120-4130 band through low-volume Asia hours. RSI(14) has cooled back to the midline as the impulse loses steam; price sits just under EMA20 but holds above EMA50.

Support: 4,120.00, 4,107.00

Resistance: 4,130.00, 4,138.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4138 reopens the path toward the 4180 cap
  • Loss of 4120 exposes the 4107 pullback low
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the decisive catalyst for the range

00:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalling · RSI 46 · price 4,121.34

Rally into consolidation near session highs.

Gold rallied from 4055 through the London-NY session to 4138 on a softer USD after split FOMC minutes, then flattened into a tight 4120-4127 range in thin Asia hours. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s as price coils just below the 4127.5 range top.

Support: 4,120.00, 4,114.00

Resistance: 4,127.50, 4,133.00, 4,138.08

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4127.5 reopens the 4133-4138 highs
  • Loss of 4120 exposes the 4114 swing low
  • US CPI Tue Jul 14 12:30 UTC is the decisive catalyst for the broader range

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