XAU/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Tuesday, 14 July 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the XAU/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:47 UTC
Downtrend post-spike, now flat · RSI 51 · price 4,054.48
Consolidation after CPI spike rejection.
The soft-CPI spike to 4103 was rejected and gold bled back to consolidate roughly 4043-4066, now hovering near 4054 in the Asia session. RSI(14) neutral near 51 and the last few hours are a tight 4047-4056 coil, no directional structure in play.
Support: 4,047.00, 4,043.00
Resistance: 4,066.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4066 breaks the consolidation range higher
Loss of 4043 confirms a lower low
US PPI Wed 12:30 GMT could reset this range
23:47 UTC
Spike faded, now ranging · RSI 53 · price 4,054.48
Consolidation after CPI spike.
Gold spiked to 4103 on the soft June CPI print during NY afternoon, then faded back below 4065 and has coiled into a tight 4043–4056 range through late US hours. RSI(14) sits neutral near 53; price is hugging EMA20 but capped under EMA50 with the range top respected on repeated rejections.
Support: 4,043.00
Resistance: 4,065.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4065 range top would break the consolidation higher
Loss of 4043 session low confirms a lower-low and reopens the downside
US PPI Wed 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Gold spiked to 4103 on the soft June CPI print then faded hard through the NY session, and is now consolidating between 4043 and 4066 while holding the $4,000 pivot. RSI(14) neutral near 48, ATR compressing as the post-spike range settles; price hovering just above EMA20, below EMA50.
Support: 4,043.00, 4,029.00
Resistance: 4,066.00, 4,090.00, 4,103.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4066 reopens the 4090-4103 spike shelf
Loss of 4043 exposes the 4029 pre-spike base
US PPI Wed 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
23:32 UTC
Faded spike, now ranging · RSI 48 · price 4,053.05
Tight consolidation post-CPI spike.
The soft June CPI print at 12:30 GMT ripped gold from ~4030 to 4103 in a single M15 bar, but the spike was rejected and price bled back through the NY afternoon. Into Asia hours it has coiled into a tight 4047–4054 range, RSI(14) mid-band near 47 with EMA20/50 capping overhead.
Support: 4,047.00, 4,043.00
Resistance: 4,066.00, 4,103.04
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4066 reopens the path toward the 4103 cpi high
Loss of 4043 swing low confirms a lower-low out of the range
US PPI Wed 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
23:17 UTC
Pulled back from CPI spike, grinding lower · RSI 43 · price 4,048.40
Range after spike, drifting to lower band.
Gold rocketed to $4,103 on the soft June CPI print then faded hard, and has since ground into a $4,043–4,065 range with price now leaning on the lower band near $4,048. RSI(14) sits mid-40s and price trades below EMA20/50 as the relief spike unwinds.
Support: 4,043.00
Resistance: 4,065.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4043 session low opens the path lower
Reclaim of 4065 range top needed to reassert the spike bounce
US PPI Wed 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Soft June CPI drove a vertical spike to 4103 before the move was fully retraced; price has since printed lower highs and now grinds along the session low near 4048. RSI(14) sits mid-40s and ATR is compressing, consistent with the late-session drift into the 4043–4053 band.
Support: 4,043.00
Resistance: 4,066.00, 4,103.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4043 session low confirms a lower-low extension
Reclaim of 4066 swing high needed to challenge the descending highs
US PPI (Wed 12:30 GMT) and Warsh testimony could reset this intraday read
Ranging 4043-4066 after the CPI-driven spike faded.
Gold spiked to 4103 on the soft June CPI miss then faded the entire move, printing a rejection at the 4100 cpi high. Price has since settled into a tight consolidation between the 4043 swing low and 4066 session high, drifting quietly through Asia hours with RSI(14) mid-range.
Support: 4,043.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,066.00, 4,100.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4066 reopens the path toward the 4100 cpi high
Loss of the 4043 swing low exposes the 4000 psych pivot
US PPI Wed 12:30 GMT and Warsh testimony could shift this read
23:03 UTC
Range after spike fade · RSI 44 · price 4,049.46
Post-spike consolidation, coiling near lows.
The soft June CPI miss spiked XAU to 4103 during NY hours, then the move fully faded back below 4066. Price is now ranging 4044-4066 and coiling around 4050 into Asia, RSI(14) mid-40s and trading below EMA20/50.
Support: 4,044.00
Resistance: 4,103.04
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4044 confirms a lower low and breaks the range floor
Reclaim of 4066 session high needed to reopen the spike zone
US PPI Wed 12:30 GMT and Warsh testimony could materially shift this read
22:47 UTC
Up-spike faded, now flat · RSI 43 · price 4,050.11
Post-spike consolidation, drifting lower.
Soft June CPI drove a vertical M15 breakout to 4103 in NY hours, then the move faded and settled into a 4043–4066 range. Into the late-US/Asia handover price sits at 4050 near the lower third, RSI ~43, volume thinning.
Support: 4,043.00
Resistance: 4,066.00, 4,103.04
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4043 session low opens a lower-low
Reclaim of 4066 range top needed to re-engage the spike area
US PPI Wed 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Gold spiked to 4103 on the soft June CPI miss, then faded back and has been ranging 4043–4062 since. Price is drifting toward the lower end near 4050 with RSI(14) in the mid-40s; the psychological 4000 pivot sits well below.
Support: 4,043.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,103.04
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4043 exposes the 4000 psych level
Reclaim of 4062 range top reopens the 4103 cpi high
US PPI Wed 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
22:33 UTC
Post-spike fade, now flat · RSI 46 · price 4,051.76
Consolidating below CPI-spike high.
The soft June CPI miss (12:30 GMT print) fired gold vertically to 4103 before the move was rejected and unwound into the 4043-4062 band. Price is now consolidating around 4051 on thin Asia-hours volume, RSI(14) neutral near 46 and sitting just below EMA20.
Support: 4,043.00, 4,029.00
Resistance: 4,062.00, 4,085.00, 4,103.04
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4043 opens the 4029/4020 prior lows
Reclaim of 4062 range top reopens the 4085 prior high
US PPI Wed 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Consolidation between 4043 and 4062 post-CPI spike.
The soft June CPI miss drove a sharp spike to 4103 mid-window, which then faded back toward 4043. Price is now consolidating between 4043 and 4062 in thin Asia-session flow, RSI(14) neutral near 46 and holding below EMA20.
Support: 4,043.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,062.00, 4,090.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4043 confirms a lower low and reopens the 4000 psych level
Reclaim of 4062 range top puts the 4090 spike high back in play
US PPI and Warsh testimony Wed could materially shift this read
Soft June CPI spiked gold to 4103 in one bar, but the move has bled off steadily through the session with a clean chain of lower highs. Price now grinds along session lows near 4050, having tested 4043 support once; below the 4065 swing and offered.
Support: 4,043.00
Resistance: 4,065.00
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 4065 breaks the lower-high sequence
Loss of 4043 confirms a fresh lower low and opens the path toward 4020
US PPI Wed 12:30 GMT could materially reset this read
Lower highs off 4103, consolidating near session low.
The soft June CPI miss spiked gold to 4103 at the 12:30 GMT print before the move faded back to a 4043 session low. Price now consolidates 4043-4066 into the late NY session on thin volume, RSI(14) neutral near 43 and price below both EMAs.
Support: 4,043.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,066.00, 4,090.00
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 4066 reopens the 4090 swing high
Loss of 4043 session low exposes the 4000 psych pivot
US PPI Wed 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
22:03 UTC
Pullback after CPI spike, now flat · RSI 44 · price 4,052.72
Consolidation below faded spike high.
The soft June CPI miss spiked gold to 4103 during NY hours, but the move was rejected and faded back to 4043. Price is now consolidating 4046-4065 through the Asia session, holding just under EMA20 with RSI neutral around 44.
Support: 4,043.00
Resistance: 4,065.15
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4043 confirms a lower-low and reopens the swing low
Reclaim of 4065.15 session high revives the relief bounce toward the 4100 spike high
US PPI and Warsh testimony Wed could materially shift this read
The soft June CPI miss drove a sharp spike to 4103 mid-NY session, which then bled off into a chain of lower highs. Price is now consolidating between 4043 and 4065, sitting just under EMA20 with RSI(14) cooled to the low 40s.
Support: 4,043.00
Resistance: 4,065.00, 4,090.00, 4,103.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4043 confirms a lower-low and breaks the consolidation
Reclaim of 4065 range top reopens the 4090 area
US PPI and Warsh testimony Wed could materially shift this read
21:47 UTC
Post-spike pullback, now flat · RSI 45 · price 4,052.72
Consolidating below CPI spike high.
Gold ripped to $4,103 on the soft June CPI print then faded through NY hours, unwinding most of the spike. Now consolidating 4043–4066, RSI(14) mid-range; price sits below EMA20 but holding just above EMA50 near 4048.
Support: 4,043.00, 4,020.00
Resistance: 4,066.00, 4,085.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4043 opens the path toward 4020
Reclaim of 4066 would challenge post-CPI supply near 4085
US PPI and Warsh testimony Wed could materially shift this read
Gold spiked to 4103 on the soft June CPI print then faded through NY, unwinding into a tight 4043-4065 range; now 4052, RSI mid-40s and price below EMA20/50. Sellers capped each bounce at lower highs while demand stepped in twice near 4043-4046.
Support: 4,043.00
Resistance: 4,065.06, 4,085.00, 4,103.04
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4043 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 4065 reopens the 4085 spike shelf
US PPI Wed 12:30 GMT and Warsh testimony could shift this read
Soft June CPI spiked gold from 4030 to 4103, then the move faded through the NY session; price now consolidates near 4052, holding below EMA20. Descending highs since the spike and repeated rejection into 4065 keep the tape corrective, with the 4043 session low the key floor.
Support: 4,043.00, 4,025.28
Resistance: 4,065.00, 4,090.00, 4,103.04
What it said to watch
Loss of 4043 opens the path back toward 4025 pre-spike area
Reclaim of 4065 challenges the post-CPI 4090 high
US PPI Wed 12:30 GMT and Warsh testimony could reset this read
Lower highs since 4103 spike, grinding toward session low.
The soft June CPI miss spiked gold to 4103 on huge volume before the move was rejected and faded steadily lower through the NY session. Price has since carved lower highs into Asia hours, sitting below EMA20 around 4052 with 4043 the session low and 4065 capping the last bounce.
Support: 4,043.00, 4,025.28
Resistance: 4,065.06, 4,103.04
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 4065 breaks the lower-high sequence
Break below 4043 confirms a lower low and opens 4025
US PPI Wed 12:30 GMT and Warsh testimony are the next volatility risk
Soft June CPI blew gold vertical to 4103 during NY hours, but the move was rejected and price has since faded through the 4066 session high back to ~4052. Last few bars are coiling in a tight 4043–4066 range with RSI cooling near 43, no fresh momentum either way.
Support: 4,043.00, 4,020.00
Resistance: 4,066.00, 4,090.00, 4,103.00
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 4066 reopens the 4090/4103 spike zone
Failure to hold 4043 confirms a lower-low toward 4020
US PPI and Warsh testimony Wed 12:30/14:00 GMT could reset this read
Gold spiked to 4103 on the soft June CPI miss during NY hours, then faded steadily to a session low at 4043. Late-session price is now consolidating around 4050 below EMA20/50, with the 4065 swing high capping the bounce and RSI(14) near 44.
Support: 4,043.00, 4,050.00
Resistance: 4,065.00, 4,103.04
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4043 confirms a lower low and extends the fade
Reclaim of 4065 swing high negates the post-CPI fade read
4050 psych holding keeps price pinned in the 4043-4065 range
The June CPI miss (core YoY 2.6% vs 2.8%) spiked XAU to 4103 in the NY session before it bled back to 4049, printing a chain of lower highs. Price sits near the 61.8% fib of that impulse, RSI(14) cooling toward 40 with price back under EMA20.
Support: 4,043.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,060.00, 4,103.04
What it said to watch
Loss of 4043 session low opens the 4000 psych level
Reclaim of 4060 prior pivot needed to challenge the descending highs
Gold spiked to 4103 on the soft June CPI print during NY hours, then faded all session in a chain of lower highs, now grinding near the 4043 session low late into the NY-Asia transition. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) around 42; the relief bounce has stalled.
Support: 4,043.00, 4,020.00
Resistance: 4,066.00, 4,103.00
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 4066 negates the lower-high sequence
Break below 4043 confirms a lower low toward 4020
PPI Wed 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
20:32 UTC
Post-spike fade, now ranging · RSI 47 · price 4,053.01
Consolidation between 4043-4065 after CPI spike.
Soft June CPI at 15:30 broker time spiked gold from ~4030 to 4103, then NY hours faded the move back to a 4043 low. Price now consolidates 4043-4065 into late session at 4053, holding just under EMA20 with RSI neutral around 46.
Support: 4,043.00, 4,030.00
Resistance: 4,065.15, 4,090.00, 4,103.04
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4043 confirms a lower low and extends the fade
Reclaim of 4065 swing high opens the path back toward the 4090 spike area
US PPI Wed 12:30 GMT and continued Warsh testimony could materially shift this read
20:32 UTC
Pulling back after CPI spike · RSI 46 · price 4,053.01
Gold spiked to 4103 on the soft June CPI miss during NY hours, then faded steadily into the Asia handover, now coiling around 4053 below EMA20/50. Price is grinding at the lower end of the post-spike range with rejection off 4103 and 4090 leaving a chain of lower highs.
Support: 4,043.00
Resistance: 4,065.00, 4,090.00, 4,103.00
What it said to watch
Close below 4043 confirms a lower low and extends the fade
Reclaim of 4065 needed to challenge the 4090 post-cpi high
US PPI Wed 12:30 GMT and Warsh testimony could reset this range
Consolidating below post-CPI highs after rejection.
The soft June CPI miss spiked gold to 4103 before the move faded, and price has since drifted back to consolidate in the 4043–4065 band. Buyers stepped in at 4043 late NY, but the 4065 lower-high still caps the bounce with price now hugging 4054.
Support: 4,043.00
Resistance: 4,065.00, 4,090.00, 4,103.04
What it said to watch
Close below 4043 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 4065 reopens the 4090 session high zone
Retracing the spike, consolidating near 61.8% fib.
The soft June CPI print fired gold from 4030 to 4103 on the 12:30 spike bar; price has since bled back to the 61.8% retracement near 4054. Consolidating 4043-4065 through the NY session, with demand stepping in at 4043 and 4065 capping bounces.
Support: 4,043.00, 4,029.68
Resistance: 4,065.00, 4,090.00, 4,103.04
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4043 opens the 4029 pre-spike area
Reclaim of 4065 re-exposes the 4090 prior high
US PPI Wed 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
20:03 UTC
Downtrend since post-CPI spike, now consolidating · RSI 44 · price 4,054.75
Spike high faded, lower highs into a tight range.
NY session spiked to 4103 on the soft June CPI print then faded steadily, printing lower highs. Price now consolidating 4043–4065, holding above the 4043 swing low with RSI(14) mid-range.
Support: 4,043.00, 4,020.00
Resistance: 4,065.00, 4,090.00, 4,103.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4065 reopens the path toward 4090 post-spike
Loss of 4043 confirms a lower low toward 4020
PPI Wed 12:30 GMT and Warsh testimony could materially shift this read
The soft June US CPI print drove a vertical spike to 4103 at the 12:30 GMT release, which was immediately rejected and faded back through the day. Price has since settled into a 4043-4065 consolidation, sitting mid-range at 4054 into the Asia handover with RSI(14) flat near 45.
Support: 4,043.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,065.00, 4,090.00, 4,103.00
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 4065 reopens the path toward 4090 and the 4103 spike high
Loss of 4043 swing low exposes the 4000 psych pivot
US PPI Wed 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
19:47 UTC
Spike faded, now consolidating · RSI 43 · price 4,053.72
Pullback from session high, ranging 4043–4066.
Soft June CPI triggered a vertical spike to 4103 before sellers rejected it, and price has since faded to consolidate near 4053 after tapping the 4043 session low. RSI(14) mid-range around 43 with price pinned between EMA20 and EMA50, no clean intraday setup in play.
Support: 4,043.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,066.00, 4,090.00, 4,103.00
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 4066 lower high reopens the 4090 spike area
Loss of 4043 session low confirms a lower-low toward the 4000 psych pivot
Warsh testimony / PPI risk (Wed 12:30 GMT) could materially shift this read
Soft June CPI fired gold from ~4030 to a 4103 spike high, which was rejected and has since bled back to the low-4050s. Price set a session low at 4043 and is now consolidating just under EMA20/50; RSI has cooled to the low-40s off the spike.
Support: 4,043.00, 4,025.28
Resistance: 4,066.00, 4,090.00, 4,103.04
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 4066 recent high reopens the 4090 supply / spike high
Failure to hold 4043 session low confirms a lower low toward the 4025 spike base
Warsh testimony tone into the overnight could re-shift this read
Lower highs off CPI high, consolidating near 4050.
Soft June CPI (core YoY 2.6% vs 2.8%) fired the 12:30 GMT spike to 4103 before sellers faded it through NY hours to the low 4040s. Late NY now consolidating around 4050 with RSI(14) mid-40s; lower-high chain intact off the CPI high.
Support: 4,043.00
Resistance: 4,066.00
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 4066 swing high needed to break the lower-high sequence
Loss of 4043 swing low confirms continuation of the CPI fade toward 4029
Warsh testimony / Fed speakers into US afternoon could reprice this read
Soft June CPI drove a vertical spike from ~4030 to the 4103 cpi high during NY hours, after which price consolidated 4043–4100 and has since drifted back toward the 4043 swing low, printing 4049. Momentum has cooled with RSI(14) mid-40s and price slipping under EMA20 as the relief bid fades.
Support: 4,043.00, 4,025.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,065.00, 4,103.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4043 swing low opens 4025 pre-cpi then the 4000 psych level
Reclaim of 4065 session high would repair the post-CPI range
Warsh testimony / Fed speakers this afternoon could shift the read
Gold spiked to 4103 on the 12:30 GMT soft CPI print, was rejected instantly, then faded through the NY session to a 4043 low before recovering to 4056. Now consolidating between 4043 and the 4065 range top with RSI in the mid-40s; the descending fade off the CPI high still caps.
Support: 4,043.00
Resistance: 4,065.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4065 range top would break the post-CPI fade structure
loss of 4043 session low confirms continuation lower toward 4000 psych
Warsh testimony / Fed speakers into US afternoon could shift this read
Gold spiked to 4103 on the soft June CPI print then faded through the NY session, now retraced about 61.8% of that impulse to 4056 and sitting below EMA20/50. RSI(14) near 43 after the 4043 session low was defended and bounced; lower highs off 4103 keep the pullback intact.
Support: 4,043.00, 4,020.00
Resistance: 4,066.00, 4,090.00, 4,103.04
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4066 then 4090 supply challenges the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 4043 session low opens 4020 swing low
Warsh testimony / Fed speakers this afternoon could reprice the read
Gold ripped to 4103 on the soft June CPI print at the 12:30 GMT release, then bled back through the NY session into a 4043-4065 range with a string of lower highs. RSI(14) sits mid-40s after cooling from the spike; price is pinned just under EMA20 near the 4054 area late in NY hours.
Support: 4,043.00, 4,030.00
Resistance: 4,065.00, 4,090.00, 4,103.00
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 4065 recent high reopens the 4090 spike shelf
Loss of 4043 session low confirms a lower-low toward 4030 pre-cpi
Warsh testimony / Fed speakers this afternoon could shift the read
Retracing the CPI spike, holding above session low.
The soft June CPI print at 12:30 GMT spiked gold from ~4030 to a session high of 4100, which was rejected through the NY afternoon back to the 4043 session low. Price is now consolidating near 4054, printing lower highs off 4100 and sitting around the 61.8% retrace of the CPI leg.
Support: 4,043.00, 4,020.00
Resistance: 4,066.00, 4,100.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4066 recent high invalidates the fade read
Break below 4043 session low opens the 4020 swing low
NY afternoon: the soft-CPI spike to 4103 faded through the session and price has ground lower into a 4055-4065 shelf, now breaking down to a 4043 session low. RSI(14) sub-40 with EMA20/50 capping — momentum firmly down after the relief bid unwound.
Support: 4,043.00, 4,020.00
Resistance: 4,057.00, 4,065.00
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 4057 negates the breakdown and reopens 4065
Failure to hold 4043 confirms a lower low toward the 4020 prior range
Warsh testimony ongoing into the US afternoon could shift this read
18:47 UTC
Downtrend since CPI-spike fade · RSI 35 · price 4,046.71
Lower highs, lower lows into session lows.
The CPI relief spike to 4103 fully faded through NY afternoon, leaving a chain of lower highs and lower lows. Sellers just broke the 4057 shelf into 4043; RSI(14) around 34 as price trades below both EMAs, with the 4100 top rejected on the initial print.
Support: 4,043.00, 4,020.00
Resistance: 4,057.00
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 4057 negates the lower-low break
Failure to hold 4043 opens the path to 4020
Warsh testimony ongoing could shift this read into the US close
Gold spiked to 4103 on the soft June CPI print at 12:30 UTC, then faded steadily through the NY session, now consolidating between the 4054 session low and 4066 swing high. RSI(14) sits mid-range and price trades below EMA20 as the relief bid cools; the 4054 low has held on repeated tests.
Support: 4,054.00, 4,040.00
Resistance: 4,066.00, 4,090.00, 4,103.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4054 session low opens the 4040 round number
Reclaim of 4066 swing high re-engages the 4090 post-cpi hi
Warsh testimony / Fed speakers this afternoon could shift the read
18:32 UTC
Post-spike pullback, momentum down · RSI 44 · price 4,058.18
Lower highs off 4103 session high, pressing session low.
The soft CPI print at 12:30 UTC spiked gold to a session high of 4103, then price consolidated near a 4090 range top before fading through the NY afternoon to 4058. Lower highs are printing off 4066 and price is now pressing the session low around 4054; RSI(14) sits in the mid-40s.
Resistance: 4,090.00, 4,103.00
What it said to watch
Close back above the 4066 lower high needed to re-challenge the 4103 session high
Break of the 4054 session low opens the pre-cpi base near 4029
Warsh testimony and Fed speakers this afternoon could shift this read
18:17 UTC
Spike faded, now consolidating · RSI 46 · price 4,062.48
Post-spike range in lower half of the move.
Gold ripped from 4030 to 4103 on the soft June CPI miss during the NY session, then rejected the high and bled back into a 4054-4066 range. RSI(14) around 45 with price back below EMA20; the CPI relief pop has stalled and buyers are defending 4054 while 4066 caps.
Support: 4,054.00, 4,040.00
Resistance: 4,066.00, 4,090.00, 4,103.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4066 range top reopens the 4090 session high
Break and hold below 4054 range low exposes 4040 support
Warsh testimony / Fed speakers this afternoon could materially shift this read
18:17 UTC
Pulled back from CPI spike, consolidating · RSI 47 · price 4,062.48
Range after impulsive breakout, lower highs since 4103.
Gold ripped through 4030 to spike 4103 on the soft June CPI print, then faded and has been consolidating around 4060 through the NY afternoon. Lower highs since the 4103 rejection; price sits below EMA20 with the 4054 session low the immediate floor.
Support: 4,030.00
Resistance: 4,090.00, 4,103.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4090 reopens the 4103 spike high
Failure to hold 4054 session low exposes 4030 prior range
Warsh testimony / Fed speakers ongoing could shift the CPI relief read
18:03 UTC
Pullback after CPI spike, now flat · RSI 44 · price 4,061.66
Consolidation inside 4054–4066 post-spike.
Gold rocketed to 4103 on the soft June CPI miss, then faded through the NY afternoon and is now ranging 4054–4066, holding the round 4050 area. RSI(14) sits mid-scale near 44 as the CPI impulse cools; price is below EMA20 but still above EMA50.
Support: 4,050.00
Resistance: 4,066.00, 4,083.00, 4,103.04
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4066 range top reopens the 4083 prior high
Loss of 4054 swing low exposes 4050 psych
Warsh testimony / Fed speakers this afternoon could reignite volatility
18:03 UTC
Impulsive spike, now consolidating · RSI 44 · price 4,061.66
Post-spike range after CPI, holding above 50% retrace.
Soft June CPI at 12:30 GMT ripped gold from ~4030 to 4103 in a single bar, but the spike was rejected and price has bled back to consolidate 4055-4075 through the NY afternoon. Now sitting right on the 50% retrace of the CPI move with RSI cooled to the mid-40s.
Support: 4,055.00, 4,029.00
Resistance: 4,075.00, 4,090.00, 4,103.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4055 opens the path back toward 4029
Reclaim of 4075/4090 revives the CPI spike momentum
Warsh testimony ongoing could shift this read intraday
Soft June CPI (~14:07 broker time) fired gold from 4030 to a 4103 spike high before the move faded through the NY afternoon back to the 4055 session low. Lower highs have printed since, RSI(14) cooling near 41 as price grinds under EMA20 at the 4090 range top.
Support: 4,055.00, 4,040.00
Resistance: 4,090.00, 4,103.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4055 session low confirms continuation lower toward 4040 round number
Reclaim of the 4090 range top negates the fade read
Warsh testimony ongoing this session could materially shift the read
17:32 UTC
Up impulse fading, now consolidating · RSI 47 · price 4,063.90
CPI breakout, pullback into midpoint.
Soft June CPI drove a vertical spike to 4103 during NY hours; price then bled back and rejected 4090, now consolidating at the 4063 50% retrace of the impulse. RSI(14) cooled to mid-40s as buyers hold the 4055 session low.
Support: 4,055.00, 4,025.00
Resistance: 4,090.00, 4,103.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4055 opens deeper retrace toward the 4025 impulse base
Reclaim of 4090 puts the 4103 session high back in play
Warsh testimony ongoing could materially shift this read
Soft June CPI at 12:30 UTC drove a vertical relief spike to 4103 in the NY session, then price faded and has been rolling over into the afternoon. Now consolidating between 4090 and the 4055 session low, drifting toward support as the CPI impulse retraces around 50%.
Support: 4,054.54
Resistance: 4,103.04
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4054 session low confirms a lower low
reclaim of 4090 range top reopens the 4103 cpi high
Warsh testimony ongoing could materially shift this read
Soft June CPI spiked gold from ~4030 to 4103, then price stalled at a double top near 4100/4090 and faded through NY afternoon to the 4054 session low. RSI(14) has cooled to the low-40s as the CPI relief bid unwinds off the consol high.
Support: 4,023.05
Resistance: 4,090.25
What it said to watch
Loss of 4054 session low confirms the fade extends toward pre-cpi 4023
Reclaim of 4090 consol high needed to re-engage the 4100 double top
Warsh testimony ongoing could materially shift this read
Gold gapped up to 4103 on the soft June CPI print at the NY morning, then bled lower through the afternoon as sellers capped every push, printing lower highs into the 4090 swing high. Price now sits at the session low near 4054, roughly the 61.8% retrace of the CPI leg, with RSI(14) around 38.
Support: 4,030.00
Resistance: 4,090.00, 4,103.04
What it said to watch
Loss of 4054 session low opens 4030 pre-cpi
Reclaim of 4090 swing high negates the fade
Warsh testimony ongoing could shift this read
17:04 UTC
Pulling back after CPI spike · RSI 40 · price 4,062.66
Lower highs since 4103 peak, testing session low.
Soft June CPI drove a vertical spike to 4103 during NY hours, but the move was rejected and price has ground back down to the 4057 session low, RSI(14) cooling near 40. Micro-structure is a chain of lower highs into 4062, sitting below EMA20 but holding above EMA50.
Support: 4,057.74, 4,029.96
Resistance: 4,103.04
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4057.74 opens the pre-cpi base at 4030
Reclaim of 4090 session high needed to revive the CPI relief bid
Warsh testimony ongoing could materially shift this read intraday
17:04 UTC
Pullback after CPI spike · RSI 43 · price 4,062.66
Post-breakout consolidation rolling to session lows.
Soft June CPI at 12:30 GMT drove a vertical spike to 4103, after which gold consolidated 4075–4090 through the NY session before rolling over to session lows near 4058. RSI(14) has cooled to the low 40s as price now trades back near the 50% retrace of the CPI impulse.
Support: 4,057.74, 4,025.28
Resistance: 4,103.04
What it said to watch
Loss of 4057 session low opens the pre-cpi base at 4025
Reclaim of 4090 consol top puts 4103 session high back in play
Warsh testimony ongoing could materially shift this read
The soft June CPI miss (~12:30 GMT) drove a vertical spike from 4030 to 4103 into the NY session, but gold has since faded, printing lower highs and slipping back to 4057 into the afternoon. Supply is capping around 4090 while RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s.
Support: 4,057.00, 4,029.00
Resistance: 4,090.00, 4,103.04
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 4090 supply would restore the relief tone toward the 4103 spike high
Loss of 4057 session low opens the path to 4029 pre-cpi
Warsh testimony ongoing could materially shift this read
Soft June CPI spiked gold from ~4030 to 4103.04 into the NY session, but twin rejections at 4100/4103 capped the move and price has since slid back to the session low at 4057. RSI(14) has cooled into the mid-40s as the CPI relief bid unwinds; price now sits below EMA20 but holds above EMA50.
Support: 4,030.00
Resistance: 4,103.04
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4057 opens the 4030 pre-spike zone
reclaim of 4090 puts the 4103 spike high back in play
Warsh testimony ongoing could materially shift this read
Post-breakout consolidation rolling into lower highs.
The soft June CPI print at 12:30 GMT spiked gold from ~4030 to 4103, then price consolidated 4070–4100 through NY morning. It has since slid to 4060 as the relief bid cools ahead of Warsh testimony, with RSI(14) back near 42 and price now under EMA20.
Support: 4,058.00, 4,030.00
Resistance: 4,090.00, 4,103.00
What it said to watch
Loss of 4058 session low opens the path back toward the 4030 pre-cpi zone
Reclaim of the 4090 range top puts 4103 spike high back in view
Ongoing Warsh testimony / Fed speakers could shift this read within the next bars
16:32 UTC
Post-spike pullback, momentum down · RSI 43 · price 4,060.39
Spike high faded, printing lower highs into support.
The soft June CPI miss spiked gold to 4103 before fading into a choppy 4074–4100 consolidation. Price has since rolled over to 4060, slipping below the range and now testing the 4057 session low as buyers thin out.
Resistance: 4,103.04
What it said to watch
Loss of 4057 session low opens the path toward 4029 pre-spike level
Reclaim of 4090 range top would restore the post-CPI relief tone
Warsh testimony ongoing — a hawkish tone could accelerate the fade
Soft June CPI spiked gold to 4103 on the 12:30 UTC print, but the move faded through the NY afternoon and price is now grinding back to 4061 under a chain of lower highs. Rejection at the 4091 swing high and 4100 psych level has left sellers pressing toward the 4058 session low.
Support: 4,057.85, 4,029.00
Resistance: 4,091.00, 4,100.00, 4,103.04
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4057.85 opens the path back toward the 4029 pre-spike zone
Reclaim of 4091 swing high would restore the CPI relief bid toward 4100
Ongoing Warsh testimony / Fed speakers could materially shift this read
16:17 UTC
Pullback after CPI spike · RSI 45 · price 4,061.45
Impulse then consolidation, now easing off 4100.
Soft June CPI fired gold from ~4030 to 4103 in a single M15 bar, then price consolidated 4075-4090 through NY before pulling back to 4061 with RSI cooling from overbought. The 4100 handle capped twice and buyers are now testing the 4057 recent low.
Support: 4,057.85, 4,029.00
Resistance: 4,090.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4057.85 opens the path to the 4029 pre-cpi zone
Reclaim of 4090 range top puts the 4100 session high back in play
Warsh testimony ongoing could materially shift this read
16:03 UTC
Impulse up, now fading · RSI 54 · price 4,064.26
Post-CPI breakout consolidating below spike high.
Soft June CPI ripped gold from the 4030 base to a session high of 4103 in a single NY bar, reclaiming the $4,000 pivot. Price has since faded back to 4064, roughly the 50% retrace of that impulse, with rejection tagged repeatedly near 4090-4100.
Support: 4,063.65, 4,055.00, 4,030.00
Resistance: 4,090.00, 4,103.04
What it said to watch
Loss of 4055 fib 61.8 and a break of the 4063 session low opens the 4030 breakout base
Reclaim of the 4090 intraday cap re-tests the 4103 session high
Warsh testimony / Fed speakers live — a hawkish lean could unwind the CPI relief bounce
16:03 UTC
Spike higher, now fading · RSI 47 · price 4,064.26
Post-CPI breakout, consolidating below highs.
The soft US CPI print spiked gold from ~4030 to 4103.04 in a single M15 bar before sellers faded the extension; price now sits at 4064 after repeated rejections near 4090-4100. Consolidating in the upper half of the CPI candle, RSI(14) back to neutral around 47.
Support: 4,063.65, 4,029.68
Resistance: 4,103.04
What it said to watch
Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) is the live intraday driver and could re-price this move
Close below 4063.65 session low opens the path toward the 4029 pre-spike shelf
Reclaim of 4090 swing high needed to re-challenge the 4103 spike high
15:48 UTC
Up after CPI spike, momentum cooling · RSI 57 · price 4,073.82
Consolidation above breakout level.
Soft US CPI at 12:30 UTC drove a vertical spike from the 4030 base to 4103, and price has since consolidated in a 4067–4100 range with RSI cooling from overbought. The session high at 4100 capped a retest before the pullback to the 4067 swing low.
Support: 4,066.88, 4,030.00
Resistance: 4,103.04, 4,110.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4100 reopens the path toward 4110 resistance
Loss of 4067 exposes the 4030 breakout base
Warsh testimony / Fed speakers could materially shift this read
Gold rocketed from ~4030 to 4103 on the soft US CPI print, then settled into a 4066–4103 range through the NY session. RSI(14) has cooled from post-spike highs toward the mid-50s; buyers defended 4066–4070 three times while 4090/4103 caps the top.
Support: 4,066.88, 4,029.68
Resistance: 4,103.04
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4066.88 opens the breakout base at 4029.68
Reclaim of 4103.04 session high resumes the CPI-driven push
Warsh testimony / Fed speakers could materially shift this read
The soft June CPI print at 12:30 UTC ripped gold from 4030 to 4103 in a single M15 bar, and NY has since consolidated in a 4070–4100 band with RSI(14) easing back to the high-50s. Buyers have defended 4070 repeatedly while 4103 caps the range.
Support: 4,070.00, 4,029.00
Resistance: 4,103.00
What it said to watch
Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) tone is the live driver and could break this range either way
M15 close above 4103 spike high extends the CPI move toward 4110
Loss of 4070 session low opens the path back toward the 4029 pre-cpi shelf
Gold ripped from 4030 to a 4103 session high on the soft June CPI print (12:30 UTC) that undercut the Fed-hike scare, then settled into a 4070–4100 range through NY hours. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-50s as the spike digests; buyers held 4070 on the pullback and the psych 4100 caps.
Support: 4,070.00, 4,029.68
Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,103.04
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4103 opens the path back toward the 4110 area
Loss of 4070 range floor exposes the pre-cpi low at 4029.68
Warsh testimony / Fed speakers this session could re-inject USD volatility
Soft US June CPI printed a broad miss and gold ripped from ~4030 to a 4103 spike high, reclaiming the $4,000 handle. Price is now consolidating 4069-4103 with RSI cooling off the impulse, holding well above EMA20/50.
Support: 4,069.03, 4,030.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,103.04, 4,110.00
What it said to watch
Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) live — can re-inject hawkish risk and shift this read
Close above 4103 spike high opens the path toward 4110
Loss of 4069 spike low reopens the 4030 pre-spike zone toward the 4000 psych level
15:17 UTC
Impulsive up then consolidating · RSI 61 · price 4,089.25
Breakout, holding above spike base.
Gold ripped from ~4030 to 4103 on the soft June CPI print, reclaiming the $4,000 handle and extending toward the $4,110 area. Since the spike it has consolidated 4069–4103, holding above the 4072 pullback low with RSI(14) cooling from the impulse into the low-60s.
Support: 4,072.00, 4,069.00, 4,030.00
Resistance: 4,103.00
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 4072 spike base reopens the pre-spike 4030 zone
Acceptance above 4103 spike high targets the $4,110 resistance
Fed speakers this afternoon (Goolsbee 17:00 UTC, Barr 16:40) could re-inject volatility into this read
Impulsive breakout, now consolidating below spike high.
The soft June CPI print drove a vertical breakout into NY hours, gold spiking to 4103 from the 4030 base before settling into a 4069-4095 consolidation. RSI has cooled from the spike into the low-60s and price is holding above both EMAs; the post-CPI base near 4069 has been retested and held.
Support: 4,069.03, 4,029.68, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,103.04, 4,110.00
What it said to watch
Warsh testimony (live) is the primary intraday risk and could re-inject a USD bid
M15 close above 4103 opens the path toward the 4110 resistance
Loss of 4069 puts the 4029 pre-CPI zone and 4000 psych back in focus
15:03 UTC
Sharp up spike, now consolidating · RSI 62 · price 4,082.75
Post-CPI breakout, ranging above 4070.
Gold ripped from ~4030 to 4103 on the 12:30 UTC CPI miss, then settled into a tight 4070–4090 range through the NY session. RSI(14) cooling off the spike toward the low-60s; sellers capping near 4090 while 4070 holds as the consolidation floor.
Support: 4,070.00, 4,029.68
Resistance: 4,090.50, 4,103.04
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4090.5 reopens the 4103 spike high
Loss of 4070 consol floor exposes 4030 pre-cpi zone
Warsh testimony / Fed speakers this session could break the range
The soft June CPI miss around 14:00 UTC drove a vertical M15 spike from ~4030 to 4103, reclaiming the $4,000 psych level. Price has since consolidated in a 4070–4090 band with RSI cooling off the spike; buyers held 4070 twice while 4090.5 caps.
Support: 4,070.00, 4,030.00
Resistance: 4,090.50, 4,103.00
What it said to watch
Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC, live) is the primary driver and could reset this read
M15 close back above 4090.5 reopens the 4103 spike high
Failure to hold 4070 exposes the 4030 pre-CPI zone
Impulsive breakout, now consolidating below the high.
Gold rocketed off 4030 to 4103 on the soft June CPI print at the NY open, then settled into a 4070–4090 range as the move digested. RSI(14) cooling from the spike but holding above 55; the $4,090 session high has capped repeated pushes while 4070 has absorbed the dips.
Support: 4,070.00, 4,029.00
Resistance: 4,103.04
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4090 reopens the 4103 cpi high
Loss of 4070 exposes the 4029 pre-cpi pivot
Warsh testimony / Fed speakers this session could re-inject USD volatility
The soft June CPI print (~12:30 UTC) spiked gold from 4030 to the 4103 spike high in a single M15 bar, reclaiming the $4,000 handle decisively. Price has since consolidated in a 4070–4088 band, with RSI(14) easing off its post-spike extreme; the session high at 4088.59 is capping while buyers keep defending the session low near 4070.
Support: 4,070.00, 4,030.00
Resistance: 4,088.59, 4,103.04
What it said to watch
Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) live — a hawkish lean could reverse the CPI relief bounce
M15 close below 4070 opens the path back to the 4030 pre-breakout zone
Reclaim of the 4088 session high reopens the 4103 spike high
Gold ranged 4000–4030 through the Asian/London hours then ripped to 4103 on the soft US CPI print, reclaiming the $4,000 psych with authority. NY session has since consolidated 4070–4088, holding the spike base near 4070; RSI(14) cooling off its post-spike peak.
Support: 4,070.00, 4,029.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,088.00, 4,103.04
What it said to watch
Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC, live) could re-inject hawkish risk and unwind the CPI relief bounce
M15 close below 4070 spike base opens a fade back toward the 4029 range top
Break and hold above the 4103 session high signals breakout continuation
Soft June CPI drove a vertical spike from 4030 to 4103, reclaiming the $4,000 psych level with ease and flipping the intraday structure to an uptrend. Price has since consolidated in a 4072–4088 band, with RSI(14) cooling off from stretched levels. Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) is the live driver into the next bars.
Support: 4,072.00, 4,069.00
Resistance: 4,088.00, 4,103.00
What it said to watch
Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) is the primary intraday risk and could materially shift this read
Close below the 4069 retest low breaks the post-spike base
Close above the 4088 session high reopens the 4103 spike high
Gold rocketed from 4030 to 4103 on the soft June CPI print, then settled into a tight 4069–4088 range. RSI(14) cooling off the impulse, price holding above EMA20; spike high at 4103 untested since.
Support: 4,069.00, 4,029.00
Resistance: 4,088.60, 4,103.00
What it said to watch
Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) is the live intraday driver and could re-inject hawkish risk
Reclaim of 4088.6 opens a retest of the 4103 spike high
Gold ripped from 4030 to 4103 on the soft June CPI print, a dovish surprise that undercut the Waller hike scare, then settled into a 4074–4088 range during NY hours. RSI(14) cooling off the spike but holding above 60; price coiling just below the session high.
Support: 4,074.34, 4,069.03, 4,030.00
Resistance: 4,103.04
What it said to watch
Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) is live and the primary swing risk this hour
Close above 4103 opens continuation of the CPI impulse
Loss of 4074 exposes the 4069 spike low and the 4030 pre-spike base
The soft June CPI print detonated a vertical spike from ~4030 to 4103.04, gold reclaiming $4,000 decisively. Price is now consolidating around 4076 with RSI(14) cooling from overbought after the impulse; the spike base at 4069 has held on the first pullback.
Support: 4,069.03, 4,029.96
Resistance: 4,103.04, 4,110.00
What it said to watch
Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC is the live intraday driver and could re-inject hawkish risk
A close above 4103 opens the path to 4110 resistance
Failure to hold 4069 spike base points back toward the 4030 pre-spike zone
Breakout spike then consolidation below session high.
Gold ripped from 4030 to 4103 on the soft June CPI miss, then faded to 4069 before stabilising near 4086. Price is consolidating below the 4103 session high with RSI(14) cooling from post-spike extremes.
Support: 4,069.03, 4,030.00
Resistance: 4,103.04, 4,110.00
What it said to watch
Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) is the live intraday driver — could re-inject hawkish USD risk
M15 close above 4103 opens the path toward 4110 resistance
Failure to hold 4069 pullback low reopens the 4030 pre-spike zone
Vertical spike then pullback, consolidating below spike high.
The soft June CPI print triggered a vertical spike from ~4030 to a 4103 spike high, which was rejected back to 4069 before price stabilised near 4086. RSI(14) is hot but off its peak; the session high at 4088.59 caps the immediate recovery. Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) is the live risk within the next bar.
Support: 4,069.03, 4,030.00
Resistance: 4,088.59, 4,103.04
What it said to watch
Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 4103 spike high extends the breakout
Failure to hold 4069 spike low opens a return toward the 4030 pre-spike zone
Range broken to the upside, consolidating below spike high.
Gold ground sideways through 4015-4035 for most of the London session, then exploded to a spike high of 4103.04 on the soft June US CPI print. Price faded back to the 4071 pullback low before stabilising near 4083; RSI(14) is elevated but not extreme after the jump.
Support: 4,071.02, 4,030.00
Resistance: 4,103.04, 4,110.00
What it said to watch
Fed's Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC (~30m) could materially shift this read
M15 close above 4103.04 spike high opens the path to 4110 psych
Failure to hold 4071 pullback low exposes the pre-spike 4030 zone
Impulsive leg higher, consolidating below spike high.
Soft June CPI (core YoY 2.6% vs 2.8%) triggered a vertical M15 spike from 4030 to 4103, closing 4092 before fading to the 4071-4083 zone. Price is holding well above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 67 after cooling off the spike; the 4071 post-CPI low is the pivot for the pullback.
Support: 4,071.02, 4,029.68
Resistance: 4,103.04, 4,110.00
What it said to watch
Fed Chair Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC (in ~30m) can override this relief bounce
Loss of 4071 post-cpi low reopens the 4029 breakout base
Close above 4103 spike high extends the rally toward 4110 resistance
Breakout above the 4030 consolidation, first retracement underway.
Gold ripped from ~4030 to a session high 4103 on the sharply soft June CPI print at 12:30 UTC, then gave back roughly a third of the move to 4076. RSI(14) is cooling off the spike; the 4030 breakout base is the first level that matters, with 4069 pullback low holding so far.
Support: 4,069.03, 4,030.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,103.04
What it said to watch
Fed Chair Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC (~40m) is the immediate swing factor after soft CPI
Loss of the 4030 breakout base negates the CPI breakout and re-opens the 4000 psych pivot
Reclaim of 4083 recent high reopens the 4103 session high
Vertical range break, now consolidating below high.
The 12:30 UTC soft CPI print detonated a vertical spike from 4029 to the 4103 session high, gold since retracing to 4076 with RSI cooling from overbought. Price is holding above the 4069 spike low, keeping the breakout intact for now.
Support: 4,069.03, 4,030.00
Resistance: 4,103.04
What it said to watch
Fed Chair Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Failure to hold 4069 spike low reopens the 4030 breakout base
Reclaim of 4092 spike close puts the 4103 session high back in play
Softer US CPI (12:30 UTC) triggered a violent breakout, gold spiking out of the 4020-4030 range to 4103 before retracing to 4075. RSI(14) cooling off the spike high; the 4030 pre-spike base is now the pivot, with the 4100 psych level and 4103 spike high capping overhead.
Support: 4,069.03, 4,030.00
Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,103.04
What it said to watch
Loss of 4069 spike low signals the CPI breakout is fading, exposing the 4030 pre-spike base
Reclaim above 4103 spike high needed to extend; 4100 psych is the immediate cap
Fed Chair Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC is the next binary risk for this read
13:04 UTC
Sharp intraday reversal higher off range · RSI 71 · price 4,075.54
Range break to the upside, retracing.
Gold spent London and early NY pinned in a 3986-4030 range, then ripped to 4103 on a softer-than-feared US CPI print that pared Fed hike bets, before retracing to 4075. RSI(14) hot near 71 after the vertical move; the 4030 breakout base is the pivot to hold.
Support: 4,030.00
Resistance: 4,103.04, 4,110.00
What it said to watch
Fed Chair Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC could reshape this read
Failure to hold 4030 fills the CPI spike back into the range
Gold coiled in a 4000–4036 range through the NY morning, then ripped vertically from 4030 to a 4103 session high on the softer US CPI print, reclaiming the $4,000 psych level. RSI(14) is blown out near 90 after the single-bar spike; price is holding just under the session high into the close.
Support: 4,030.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,103.00, 4,110.00
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 4030 negates the breakout and returns price into the prior range
Fed Chair Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC could sharply reprice this move
Acceptance above 4103 opens the path to 4110 resistance
12:47 UTC
Sharp breakout higher off range · RSI 82 · price 4,093.31
Range broken to upside on CPI spike.
Gold chopped in a 4000-4030 range through the London-NY session, then exploded to 4103 on the US CPI release as a softer print pared Fed hike bets. RSI(14) is stretched above 80 after a single 70-dollar bar; price pulled back to 4093 and is now testing whether the breakout holds.
Support: 4,030.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,103.04, 4,110.00
What it said to watch
A drop back below 4030 breakout base would mark the CPI spike as a false break
4110 prior high is the next area to watch for rejection or extension
Fed Chair Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Gold consolidated 4015-4035 through the London-NY transition, then the 12:30 UTC US CPI print detonated a vertical spike to 4090.59, closing 4083.31 — a softer/in-line read paring hike bets. RSI(14) hot near 74 on a thin-volume candle, so the move is unconfirmed on retest.
Support: 4,030.00
Resistance: 4,090.59
What it said to watch
A hold above 4030 on pullback confirms the range break; slip back below negates it
Fed Chair Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could reprice this move
Failure to reclaim 4090.59 leaves the spike as a single-bar extension
12:32 UTC
Range broken to upside on CPI · RSI 73 · price 4,083.31
Explosive breakout from intraday range.
The US CPI print triggered an explosive M15 breakout — the last bar ripped from 4030 to a 4090.59 session high, closing 4083 as soft-print relief pared hike bets. Prior 24h was a 4000-4030 range built after the earlier flush to 3986; RSI(14) is hot near 73 on the single spike bar.
Support: 4,029.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,090.59, 4,110.00
What it said to watch
Hold above the 4029 breakout base keeps the range-break intact; a drop back inside signals a false break
4090 session high and 4110 resistance — areas to watch for rejection or continuation
Fed Chair Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Gold sold off below the 4000 pivot early in the window after CPI-driven repricing, then clawed back to a session high at 4036 before easing to 4025. RSI(14) near 57 as the recovery loses steam into overhead supply.
Support: 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,036.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4036 session high extends the recovery leg
Failure to hold the 4000 pivot reopens the 3986 session low
Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher lows since 3986 flush, testing session high.
Gold clawed back from yesterday's Waller/Iran-driven flush to 3986 and is grinding higher, tagging a 4036 session high before easing to 4025. RSI(14) near 60 with a steady chain of higher lows, but US June CPI at 12:30 UTC lands within the next bar and dominates the near-term read.
Support: 4,015.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,036.02, 4,068.43
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~15m) will drive the next leg — read is provisional until it prints
Close above 4036 opens the path back toward 4068
Loss of 4015 rising support breaks the higher-low chain, exposing 4000
HH/HL chain since 3986 flush, grinding to session high.
Gold recovered off the sub-$4,000 CPI flush at 3986 and ground higher through NY hours, reclaiming the 4000 psych pivot and now probing the 4034 session high, RSI(14) mid-60s. Buyers held 4020 repeatedly through the last few hours; move is stair-stepping without a clean break of the session top yet.
Support: 4,020.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,034.11, 4,043.18
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4034 session high opens the path to 4043 prior high
Loss of 4020 recent low and 4000 psych pivot reopens the 3986 cpi low
Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher lows off the 3986 base, testing session high.
Gold sold off through the 4000 psych pivot to a 3986.6 session low earlier, then carved a rounded recovery back to 4031, now pressing the 4034 session high. RSI(14) firm near 62 as higher lows hold; US June CPI lands in ~30 min and dominates the next-bar read.
Support: 4,014.50, 4,000.00, 3,986.60
Resistance: 4,034.10, 4,064.00
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC — will override this structure
Close above 4034 session high extends the recovery toward 4064 prior high
Loss of 4014.5 pullback low breaks the higher-low chain, reopens 4000 psych pivot
11:47 UTC
Recovery uptrend off the lows · RSI 58 · price 4,026.66
Higher lows since 3986, retracing the pre-CPI drop.
Gold recovered off the 3986 low and climbed steadily through the London session to a 4034 session high before easing to 4026 — roughly a 50% retrace of the sharp pre-CPI drop from 4068. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 58 with price holding above EMA20/50; the reclaim of the 4000 round number is intact.
Support: 4,013.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,034.00, 4,054.00
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Close back below 4013 swing low breaks the rising support and the recovery structure
Break above 4034 session high opens the path toward 4054
Gold has clawed back from the sub-4000 CPI-fear slide, printing higher lows into 4034 session high with RSI(14) near 61. Recovery from 3986 has been orderly, price now testing the top of the intraday range with 4000 holding as the psychological floor.
Support: 4,014.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,034.11, 4,068.05
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC (~44m) can materially shift this read
M15 close above 4034 extends the recovery toward 4068
Failure to hold 4014 opens a retest of 4000
11:32 UTC
Recovery, higher lows off the low · RSI 58 · price 4,025.02
Higher lows since 3986 base, grinding up.
Gold sold off hard through 4000 to a 3986 session low earlier, then carved a rounded base and ground back to 4025 on a chain of higher lows. RSI(14) is mid-range near 58 with price holding above EMA20/50; the recovery has been slow and capped short of the 4034 session high.
Support: 4,013.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,034.11, 4,068.05
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~1h) could materially shift this read
Close below 4013 breaks the rising support and higher-low chain
Reclaim above 4034 session high opens the path back toward 4068
Gold flushed below the 4000 pivot to a session low of 3986.6 on the Waller/Iran-driven slide, then recovered and reclaimed 4000, printing higher lows up to a session high at 4034. Price now consolidates 4014–4034, RSI(14) mid-range near 56 with US CPI due in ~1h.
Support: 4,000.00, 3,986.60
Resistance: 4,034.10
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~1h) will likely override this range read
M15 close above 4034 opens continuation of the recovery leg
Failure to hold 4014 exposes the 4000 pivot and 3986 session low
11:17 UTC
Recovered off lows, now ranging · RSI 54 · price 4,021.69
Range after V-recovery from 3990.
Gold sold off below 4000 to ~3990 early on Waller hike-warning and oil-driven inflation fears, then recovered to print a session high near 4034. Price now ranges 4015–4024 with RSI(14) neutral around 54 as the market squares into US CPI.
Support: 4,015.00, 4,000.00, 3,990.00
Resistance: 4,024.00, 4,034.00
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC (~75min) is the dominant risk and could break this range decisively
Close above 4034 range top opens the path toward 4100
Failure to hold 4015 range low reopens 4000 psych and the 3990 swing low
Higher lows since London low, consolidating below 4034.
Gold carved a double bottom near 3986 during London after breaking $4,000, then climbed steadily to a 4034 session high before settling into a 4015-4024 consolidation. RSI(14) sits mid-range around 55 as the recovery flattens ahead of US CPI.
Support: 4,015.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,024.00, 4,034.00
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~75min) is the dominant risk and can break this range either way
M15 close above 4034 reopens the path toward 4050
Failure to hold 4015 exposes the 4000 psych level and 3986 session low
11:03 UTC
Recovered off lows, now consolidating · RSI 50 · price 4,020.98
Range above 4000 after sharp sell-off.
Gold slumped below $4,000 to 3986 early in the window on Waller's hawkish hike warning and oil-driven inflation risk, then clawed back through the psych level and set a session high at 4034. Price now consolidates around 4020, RSI neutral near 50, coiling ahead of US CPI.
Support: 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,034.11
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~1.5h) is a binary catalyst that can break this range
Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC — hawkish tone would pressure back toward 4000
Loss of 4000 psych reopens the 3986 session low
Close above 4034 session high extends the recovery toward the 4067 prior high
11:03 UTC
Recovered off lows, now consolidating · RSI 52 · price 4,020.98
Range after recovery bounce.
Gold flushed below $4,000 early in the window on Waller's hike warning and the oil-driven inflation scare, bottoming at 3986.59 before buyers reclaimed 4000 and lifted price back to a 4034 session high. It has since coiled between 4013 and 4034, RSI(14) neutral near 52. US June CPI at 12:30 UTC (~1.5h) is the binary catalyst.
Support: 4,013.00, 4,000.00, 3,986.59
Resistance: 4,034.11
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Close below 4013 reopens the 4000 psych and 3986 session low
Close above 4034 session high extends the recovery leg
10:47 UTC
Recovery off lows, now consolidating · RSI 51 · price 4,018.66
Range after V-recovery from session low.
Gold slumped below $4,000 to a 3986 low on Waller's hawkish rate-hike warning, then recovered to 4034 before stalling; price now consolidates 4013–4024 into the US session. RSI(14) neutral near 51 and ATR ~560 pips as the market squares up ahead of CPI.
Support: 4,013.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,024.00, 4,034.11
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC (~1.75h) is the binary risk — could override this range read
Close below 4013 confirms a lower low and opens the 4000 pivot
Reclaim of 4034 session high needed to extend the recovery
10:47 UTC
Recovered off lows, consolidating · RSI 49 · price 4,018.66
Range-bound below session high after bounce from 3986.
Gold slumped below 4000 to a 3986 swing low on Waller's hawkish rate-hike warning, then double-bottomed and recovered to a 4034 session high before settling. Price now consolidates 4013–4024 with RSI(14) neutral near 49, coiling ahead of US CPI.
Support: 4,013.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,024.00, 4,034.11
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~2h) is the binary catalyst for this range
M15 close below 4013 session low opens a 4000 psych retest
Close above 4034 session high extends the recovery
Gold rebounded from the ~3986 flash-low toward the 4034 session high through the European session and is now consolidating in a 4013-4024 range, drifting just under EMA20 with RSI(14) neutral near 49. The 4000 psych level was reclaimed after Monday's break, but price sits mid-range ahead of US CPI.
Support: 4,013.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,024.00, 4,034.11
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~2h) is the binary catalyst — hot core reopens the 3986 session low
M15 close below 4013 range low confirms a lower-low
Reclaim of 4024 range top and 4034 session high needed to extend the recovery
Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC could override the print
10:32 UTC
Recovered off lows, now ranging · RSI 49 · price 4,018.45
Consolidation under 4034 session high after sharp sell-off.
Gold sold off ~3% below the 4000 psych pivot to a 3986.59 swing low on Waller's hike warning, then based and clawed back to a 4034 session high before settling into a 4013-4024 range. RSI(14) neutral near 49, price coiling just under EMA20 into the US CPI print.
Support: 4,013.00, 4,000.00, 3,986.59
Resistance: 4,024.00, 4,034.11
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC (~2h) is the binary catalyst — hot core reopens the 4000/3987 downside, soft print targets 4034+
M15 close above 4034 confirms continuation of the recovery leg
Failure to hold 4013 exposes the 4000 pivot and 3987 swing low
10:17 UTC
Recovery off lows, now consolidating · RSI 49 · price 4,017.48
Range after bounce from session low.
Gold slumped below the 4000 psych level to a 3984 session low, then clawed back through 4000 and topped at the 4034 session high. Price is now consolidating in a 4013-4024 range with RSI(14) flat near 49, sitting just under EMA20.
Support: 4,013.00, 4,000.00, 3,984.00
Resistance: 4,024.00, 4,034.00
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~2h) is a binary catalyst that would override this range read
Close below 4013 range low reopens the 4000 psych and 3984 session low
Reclaim of the 4034 session high needed to extend the recovery
10:17 UTC
Recovery stalling, now ranging · RSI 47 · price 4,017.48
Range after intraday rebound off 3986.
Gold sold off early in the window from ~4072 to sub-4000 on Waller's hawkish hike warning and oil-driven inflation fears, then clawed back through the $4,000 pivot to peak at 4034. Price has since coiled into a 4013–4024 range, RSI(14) neutral near 47.
Support: 4,013.00, 4,000.00, 3,990.00
Resistance: 4,024.00, 4,034.00
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC (~2h) is a binary catalyst that could break the range
M15 close below 4013 exposes the $4,000 pivot and 3990 swing low
M15 close above 4024 reopens the 4034 session high
10:03 UTC
Recovery off lows, now ranging · RSI 52 · price 4,020.99
Based at 3986, ranging 4013-4034.
Gold recovered off the 3986 session low after Waller's hawkish comments drove the sub-$4,000 flush, reclaiming the 4000 pivot and pushing to 4034. Price now ranges 4013-4034 mid-session with RSI(14) neutral near 52; US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the binary catalyst ahead.
Support: 4,013.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,034.11
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4034 extends the recovery toward 4070
Loss of 4013 reopens the 4000 pivot and 3986 session low
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~2.5h) could materially shift this read
Consolidating below session high after v-recovery.
Gold sold hard to a 3986 session low during the European morning after Waller's hike warning, then staged a v-recovery back above the 4000 psych pivot, peaking at 4032. Price now consolidating 4013–4024, RSI(14) neutral near 51 — no directional edge into the US CPI print.
Support: 4,013.00, 4,000.00, 3,990.00
Resistance: 4,024.00, 4,032.25
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~2.5h) is the binary catalyst — a hot core beat could reopen the 3990 session low, a soft print the 4032 high
M15 close above 4024 range top would extend the recovery toward 4032
Loss of 4013 puts the 4000 pivot and 3990 low back in play
09:47 UTC
Recovering off selloff, now consolidating · RSI 46 · price 4,017.61
Micro-range after sharp NY drop and bounce.
Gold sold off through NY hours to a 3986 swing low before reclaiming the 4000 psych level and rallying to 4034; price now consolidates 4013–4024 into the Asian/early London window. RSI(14) neutral near 46 and ATR wide (~600 pips) after the selloff. US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~3h) is the dominant near-term risk.
Support: 4,013.00, 4,000.00, 3,986.00
Resistance: 4,024.00, 4,034.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4013 range floor exposes 4000 psych then the 3986 swing low
Reclaim of 4024 range top opens the 4034 recovery high
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~3h) could materially shift this read
Gold slid below $4,000 to a 3986 low during the prior NY session, then carved a rounded bottom and is now consolidating between 4013 and the 4034 session high. RSI(14) sits neutral near 48; price holds above EMA50 but is capped under EMA20, with US CPI at 12:30 UTC the dominant near-term risk.
Support: 4,013.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,024.00, 4,034.11
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4034 session high opens the path back toward the 4100 area
4024 intraday cap — area to watch for rejection or break
Loss of 4013 reopens the 4000 pivot and 3986 swing low
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Gold flushed below $4,000 into a 3986 session low as Waller's hike warning and oil-driven inflation fears hit, then reclaimed the figure and rallied to 4034 through NY hours. Price now drifts in a 4015-4024 consolidation with descending highs; RSI(14) mid-range and flat, no momentum edge into CPI.
Support: 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,024.05, 4,034.11
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~3h) could materially shift this read
Close back below 4000 psych reopens the 3986 session low
Reclaim of 4034 session high needed to extend the recovery
Consolidating below recent swing high after basing.
Gold based at 3986 and recovered to a 4034 session high before drifting into a 4013–4024 consolidation, now at 4015 amid the Waller/Iran-oil-driven bearish backdrop. RSI(14) has cooled back below 50 as the bounce stalls under the recent swing high.
Support: 4,013.00, 3,990.00
Resistance: 4,024.00, 4,034.11
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~3h) can materially shift this read
Gold clawed back off the 3986 session low to 4034 after slipping below the 4000 psych level on Waller's hike warning, but the bounce has stalled and price is consolidating near 4018, back below EMA20. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s as the recovery loses steam under the 4024/4034 highs.
Support: 4,014.00, 4,000.00, 3,986.00
Resistance: 4,024.00, 4,034.00
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~3h) could materially shift this read
Close back above 4034 reopens the recovery toward 4050+
Loss of 4014 then 4000 puts the 3986 session low back in play
Gold sold off through the session below 4000 on revived Fed-hike bets and Iran/oil inflation fears, bottoming near 3986 before a rounded recovery to a 4034 session high. Price now consolidates around 4018, ticking back under EMA20 as the bounce stalls.
Support: 4,013.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,034.10
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~3h) could materially shift this read
Close below 4013 swing low reopens the 4000 psych level and day low at 3986
Reclaim of 4034 session high opens the path back toward 4050
Gold recovered from the 3986 session low to 4034 before rolling over, now easing back to 4015 and slipping under EMA20. The earlier flush below 4000 tracks the pre-CPI hike-fear slide flagged in the macro read; the bounce has stalled at 4034 with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s.
Support: 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,034.11
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC are the decisive catalysts for the next break
Loss of the 4000 pivot reopens the 3986 session low
Gold sold off hard below 4000 to 3986 into the US-Iran/oil inflation scare, then recovered to a session high of 4034 before stalling. Price is now drifting back toward 4015 under a string of lower highs, RSI mid-40s — consolidating between the 4000 pivot and the 4034 high with the CPI print still ahead.
Support: 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,034.11
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the decisive catalyst; expect an outsized move on the print
M15 close back below 4000 reopens the 3986 swing low
Reclaim of 4034 session high needed to extend the recovery
Gold flushed below the $4,000 pivot to $3,986 into the London session then recovered sharply to a session high of $4,034; it is now consolidating around $4,020 with RSI(14) neutral near 50. Price sits just under EMA20, holding above the $4,000 pivot ahead of US CPI.
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC are the decisive catalysts for the next break
Loss of the $4,000 psych pivot reopens the $3,986 session low
Close above $4,034 session high extends the recovery leg
08:47 UTC
Recovered off lows, consolidating · RSI 46 · price 4,019.65
Double bottom then range under session high.
Gold slid below the $4,000 psych pivot into the CPI window, bottomed twice near the 3986 session low, then recovered to a session high at 4034 before drifting back to ~4020 just under EMA20. Now consolidating with RSI(14) neutral around 46.
Support: 4,000.00, 3,986.00
Resistance: 4,034.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4000 psych pivot reopens the 3986 session low
Break above 4034 session high extends the recovery
US CPI at 12:30 UTC then Warsh testimony are the decisive catalysts for the next break
Gold sold off below the $4,000 psych level to 3986 overnight, then clawed back through Asia to tag 4034 before stalling. Price now consolidates 4014–4034 just above the $4,000 pivot, RSI(14) neutral near 51 ahead of US CPI.
Support: 4,014.00
Resistance: 4,034.11
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~4h out) is the decisive catalyst and can override this range read
Close below 4014 swing low reopens the $4,000 psych level and 3986 session low
Break above 4034 session high extends the recovery leg
Gold has clawed back from yesterday's sub-4000 geopolitics/Waller-driven selloff, basing at 3983 overnight before pushing to a 4034 session high; price is now drifting back to 4023 as momentum fades, RSI(14) mid-range near 47. Consolidating above the 4014 session low with 4034 capping.
Support: 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,034.11
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC is the binary catalyst — could override this structure
Loss of 4014 session low re-opens the 4000 psych pivot
Reclaim of 4034 session high extends the recovery leg
Bounce from 3986 low, pulling back under session high.
Gold bounced off a 3986 double bottom carved during yesterday's NY selloff below $4,000, rallying back to a 4034 session high before fading to 4018 through London hours. RSI(14) has cooled into the mid-40s as the pullback develops. US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the decisive catalyst for the next break.
Support: 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,034.11
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~4h out) is a high-impact binary that can override this read
Close below 4000 psych reopens the 3986 swing low
Reclaim of 4034 session high needed to extend the recovery
08:17 UTC
Recovery off lows, pulling back · RSI 46 · price 4,018.78
Double bottom near 3985, rebound stalling below 4034.
Gold based twice near 3985 during the Asian session after yesterday's post-Waller slide sub-4000, then recovered to a 4034 session high before fading back to 4018. Momentum is cooling as price slips below EMA20, holding above the 4000 pivot ahead of US CPI.
Support: 4,000.00, 3,983.00
Resistance: 4,034.00
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the decisive catalyst and could break this range either way
Loss of 4000 reopens the 3983 session low
Reclaim of 4034 confirms continuation of the recovery leg
Gold sank from 4080 to a 3984 double-bottom low overnight on the Hormuz/oil inflation scare, then recovered to a 4034 session high before stalling. Price is now consolidating in the 4013–4034 band and hugging EMA20, RSI flat near 49 into the 12:30 UTC US CPI print.
Support: 4,000.00, 3,984.00
Resistance: 4,034.00, 4,062.00
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC are the decisive catalysts for the next break
M15 close above 4034 session high extends the recovery toward 4062
Loss of the 4000 round number reopens the 3984 swing low
Gold slid below $4,000 to the 3986 session low yesterday on Waller's hawkish tone and Hormuz-driven inflation fears, then recovered through NY hours to 4034 and reclaimed the 4000 pivot. Now consolidating 4013–4034 with RSI neutral; no fresh directional break in play.
Support: 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,034.11
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~4.5h) is the decisive catalyst and could override this range read
Close above 4034 session high opens the path toward the 4080 prior high
Failure to hold 4000 psych pivot reopens the 3986 session low
Gold sold off to 3986 mid-window on the Hormuz oil/inflation scare, then reclaimed the 4000 pivot and built HH/HL up to a session high at 4034. Price is now consolidating just under 4034 with RSI mid-range; 4000 retested as support during the NY leg.
Support: 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,034.11
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 4000 reopens the 3986 session low
Break and hold above 4034 extends the recovery toward 4080
US CPI at 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
07:47 UTC
Recovery off lows, stalling · RSI 53 · price 4,023.37
Higher lows since 3986, capped at 4034.
Gold based at 3986 in the Asia/London window after the sub-4000 flush and has ground back up, tagging a session high at 4034 before easing to 4023. Higher lows intact and price holding above EMA20/50, but the 4000 pivot is the line that matters ahead of US CPI.
Support: 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,034.11
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC then Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC — both could materially shift this read
M15 close back below 4000 pivot reopens the 3986 swing low
Break and hold above 4034 extends the recovery leg
Gold recovered off the ~3987 double-bottom base through the Asian session to 4025, printing higher lows and reclaiming the 4000 psych level; RSI(14) mid-range near 56. Recent swing high at 4034 is capping into early London after yesterday's sub-4000 slide on Waller/Hormuz inflation fears.
Support: 4,021.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,034.00, 4,060.00
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Loss of 4021 higher-low breaks the recovery structure
Close above 4034 session high opens path to 4060 prior high
Gold slid below $4,000 into today's CPI, basing near 3985 before a steady London-morning recovery back to a 4034 session high, now easing to 4025. Buyers stepped in twice around 3985-3990; the climb is intact but stalling below 4034.
Support: 4,020.00, 3,986.00
Resistance: 4,034.00, 4,074.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4034 opens the path toward 4074
Failure to hold 4020 re-exposes the 3986 swing low
US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the decisive catalyst for the next break
Higher lows since double bottom, easing under session high.
Gold carved a double bottom near 3985 in the US session yesterday and ground higher into London morning, tagging a 4034 session high before easing to 4026. RSI cooling from the rally, structure holding a chain of higher lows above 4013. Sub-4000 remains the pivot per the broader bearish read.
Support: 4,013.00, 4,000.00, 3,985.00
Resistance: 4,034.11, 4,048.00
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC are the decisive catalysts for the next break
Loss of 4013 breaks the higher-low chain and reopens 4000/3985
Close above 4034 session high extends the recovery toward 4048
Gold based near 3986 overnight and recovered through the London session, reclaiming the 4000 psych pivot and printing higher lows into a 4034 session high before easing back to 4026. RSI(14) mid-range, no extreme; the reclaim of 4000 is holding as the immediate pivot ahead of US CPI at 12:30 UTC.
Support: 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,034.11, 4,062.00
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC is the decisive catalyst for the next break
M15 close back below 4000 reopens 3986 and the ~3900 downside marker
Close above 4034 session high exposes the 4062 prior high
Gold slid below the 4000 psych level to ~3985 during the pre-CPI selloff tied to Waller's hike warning and Hormuz-driven inflation fears, then rounded out and recovered to a 4034 session high before easing back to 4021. RSI(14) mid-range near 54 as price consolidates above reclaimed 4000; recovery still intact but capped under 4034.
Support: 4,000.00, 3,987.00
Resistance: 4,034.00, 4,062.00
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the binary catalyst for the next break
Close back below 4000 reopens the 3987 session low
Higher lows off the session low, capped near 4034.
Gold clawed back from a sub-3990 CPI-anticipation selloff to ~4021, building higher lows through the Asian session with RSI(14) mid-range at 56. Buyers stepped in twice around 4000; the 4034 session high rejected the latest push and price is easing off it.
Support: 4,013.00, 4,000.00, 3,990.00
Resistance: 4,034.00, 4,050.00
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC then Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC are binary catalysts that could break this range
M15 close above 4034 opens the path to 4050
Failure to hold 4013 exposes the 4000 psych level and 3990 session low
Gold based near the 3986 swing low after yesterday's NY session drove it below the 4000 pivot on the Hormuz/Waller inflation scare, then ground higher through Asia to 4025 in a clean higher-low chain. The 4034 session high is capping; RSI(14) mid-range with room either way, ATR ~540 pips.
Support: 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,034.10, 4,056.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4034 extends the recovery leg toward 4056
Loss of the 4000 pivot reopens the 3986 swing low
US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the binary catalyst and can break this structure
Gold has clawed back from the 3984 session low toward 4034 after the Waller/Hormuz-driven slide below 4000, printing a chain of higher lows through the Asia-into-London hours. Price stalled at 4034 and is easing to 4024.9 with RSI(14) cooling from the mid-60s; the 4020 pivot and 4000 round number are the near-term supports.
Support: 4,020.00, 4,000.00, 3,984.00
Resistance: 4,034.00, 4,062.00
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~6h out) is the binary catalyst and could override this recovery read
Loss of 4020 pivot exposes the 4000 round number and 3984 session low
M15 close above 4034 session high extends the recovery toward 4062
06:32 UTC
Recovery leg after selloff, stalling near session high · RSI 61 · price 4,024.25
Higher lows off 3986; capped under 4034.
Gold plunged sub-4000 to 3986 during the London session on Waller's hawkish CPI/hike rhetoric, then carved a rounded base and reclaimed 4000, tagging a session high of 4034 before easing to 4024. RSI(14) near 60 with momentum cooling into a heavy US CPI catalyst.
Support: 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,034.11, 4,064.00
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC (~6h) is the decisive gold catalyst and can override this structure
Close back below 4000 psych reopens the 3986 swing low
Close above 4034 session high extends the recovery leg toward 4064
06:32 UTC
Recovery uptrend off lows · RSI 58 · price 4,024.25
Higher lows, basing above 4000.
Gold clawed back from the sub-4000 Waller-driven flush, grinding higher through the Asian session in a chain of higher lows and tagging 4034 before easing to 4024. RSI(14) mid-range at ~58, price holding above EMA20/50 with the 4016 base intact.
Support: 4,016.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,034.10, 4,045.00
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~6h) is the decisive catalyst and could override this structure
Close above 4034 opens the path toward 4045
Failure to hold 4016 exposes the 4000 psych level
06:17 UTC
Recovery leg, momentum building · RSI 64 · price 4,030.22
Rounded base off 3986, higher lows.
Gold carved a rounded base near the 4000 psych level after yesterday's Waller-driven slide sub-4000, and the London session has ground back up in a chain of higher lows to 4030, tagging the session high at 4034. RSI(14) at ~64 confirms the recovery without stretching into extremes.
Support: 4,020.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,034.11, 4,050.00
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~6h) is the decisive catalyst and could override this recovery read
M15 close above 4034 session high opens the path toward 4050
Failure to hold 4020, then 4000 psych, negates the higher-low sequence
06:17 UTC
Recovery uptrend off the lows · RSI 65 · price 4,030.22
Double bottom near 3985, higher lows building.
Gold based twice near 3985 after the Waller-driven flush sub-4000 and has clawed back through London into 4030, tagging a session high at 4034 with RSI(14) around 65. Higher lows hold above 4020; the psych 4000 level capped downside on the retests.
Support: 4,020.00, 4,000.00, 3,985.00
Resistance: 4,034.00, 4,062.00
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~6h) is the decisive catalyst and can override this structure
Close above 4034 session high extends the recovery toward 4062
Failure to hold 4020 recent pivot reopens the 4000 psych level
Gold gutted below $4,000 to a 3986.59 session low after Waller's hawkish CPI comments, but has clawed back through 4020 to print a session high at 4034 on the last leg up. Recovery holding a chain of higher lows, RSI(14) around 66 and climbing without extremes.
Support: 4,020.00, 4,000.00, 3,986.59
Resistance: 4,034.11, 4,075.00
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~6.5h) is the decisive catalyst and can override this structure
Close above 4034 opens the path back toward 4075
Failure to hold 4020 reopens the 4000 psych level and 3986 session low
Gold flushed sub-4000 overnight on the Waller-driven hawkish repricing, then based around 3990-4000 and ground higher through London to 4031, clearing the 4020 pivot. RSI(14) near 66 — firm but not stretched; session high at 4034 is the immediate cap.
Support: 4,020.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,034.11, 4,070.00
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~6.5h) is the decisive catalyst and can override this intraday read
Close above 4034 session high opens path toward 4070 prior high
Failure to hold 4020 pivot risks a retest of 4000 psych
Gold clawed back from the sub-4000 flush that followed Waller's hawkish CPI warning, printing higher lows through the Asia session and breaking 4020 to trade 4031. RSI(14) mid-60s, no extreme yet; 4046 swing high is the next area to watch for rejection or continuation.
Support: 4,020.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,058.00
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~7h) is the decisive catalyst and can override this recovery read
Failure to hold 4020 breakout puts 4000 psych and the 3986 session low back in play
Close above 4046 opens the path toward the 4058 prior high
Gold carved a double bottom near 3986 after the Waller-driven ~3% plunge and has ground higher through the Asian session to 4031, RSI(14) firm around 66 without overheating. Price is pressing the 4034 session high with a clean chain of higher lows; buyers stepped in repeatedly above 4020.
Support: 4,020.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,034.10, 4,064.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4034 opens the path toward 4064
Failure to hold 4020 risks a retest of the 4000 psych level
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~7h) is the decisive catalyst and can reset this read
Gold based twice near 3984 after a near-3% plunge below $4,000 on Waller's hawkish CPI remarks, then ground back up to 4024 in a chain of higher lows through the Asian session. RSI(14) around 61, price above EMA20/50; 4024 session high is the immediate cap, 4010 the last defended pivot.
Support: 4,010.00, 4,000.00, 3,984.00
Resistance: 4,024.00, 4,050.00
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC is the decisive catalyst and could reset this read
Reclaim and hold above 4024 opens the 4050 prior level
Failure to hold 4010 exposes 4000 psych and the 3984 swing low
Gold gutted below 4000 during London/NY yesterday after Waller tied hot CPI to hike risk, printing a 3986.6 low before basing. Asia session has ground back up along a rising support line, reclaiming 4000 and pressing the 4027 session high with RSI(14) mid-60s.
Support: 4,000.00, 3,986.60
Resistance: 4,027.10, 4,040.00
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC (~7h) is the decisive catalyst and could override this recovery
Loss of 4013 rising support and 4000 psych reopens the 3986.6 swing low
M15 close above 4027 session high extends the recovery toward 4040
05:17 UTC
Recovering, higher lows · RSI 63 · price 4,023.80
Base off 3986, higher lows into session high.
Asia session grinding higher off the 3986 low after the Waller-driven NY selloff below 4000. Higher lows intact and price is pressing the 4024 session high with RSI(14) mid-60s; grind, not impulse.
Support: 4,000.00, 3,986.00
Resistance: 4,024.00, 4,045.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4024 opens the path toward 4045
Loss of 4000 psych threatens a retest of the 3986 session low
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~7h) is the decisive catalyst for this read
Gold cratered to 3986 during the Waller-driven hawkish repricing, then carved a rounded base and ground back through 4000 into the Asian session. Price is nudging session highs near 4024 with RSI(14) around 63; a rising sequence of higher lows off 3986 remains intact.
Support: 4,013.50, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,024.00, 4,055.00
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~7h) is the decisive catalyst and could reset this read
Loss of the 4013.5 trend line breaks the higher-low chain
Acceptance above 4024 session high opens the path toward the 4055 prior high
05:04 UTC
Recovering off lows, momentum building · RSI 63 · price 4,021.89
Double bottom near 3985, higher lows since.
Gold flushed below $4,000 to 3986 on the Waller-driven hawkish repricing, then carved a double bottom near 3985 and has ground back to 4021 on a chain of higher lows. RSI(14) near 62, price holding above EMA20/50 as the recovery leg presses the 4023 swing high.
Support: 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,023.46, 4,043.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4023 extends the recovery toward the 4043 prior high
Loss of 4000 reopens the 3986 session low
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~7.5h) is the decisive catalyst and can override this read
Higher lows since 3986, grinding into session highs.
Gold has clawed back from the sub-4000 flush that followed hawkish Waller comments, printing higher lows off 3986 through the Asian session and now testing the 4023 session high. RSI(14) around 62, price above both EMAs — momentum constructive but capped just under prior supply.
Support: 4,010.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,023.46, 4,043.00
What it said to watch
Close above 4023.46 opens the path toward the 4043 prior high
Loss of 4010 exposes 4000 psych and the 3986 swing low
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~7.5h) is the decisive catalyst and could reset this read
04:47 UTC
Recovering off the lows, momentum building · RSI 61 · price 4,020.67
Higher lows since the 3986 base.
Gold cratered ~2% through the 4000 psych level during NY hours on Waller's CPI-hike warning, basing near 3986 before grinding a higher-low sequence back to the 4023 session high. Price now sits above both EMAs with RSI(14) near 61; the 3986 swing low is holding as demand and 4000 has flipped back to support intraday.
Support: 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,023.46, 4,070.00
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT is the decisive catalyst and could override this intraday read
Close above 4023 session high opens the path back toward the 4070 prior high
Loss of the 4000 psych level and a break below 3986 confirms a fresh lower-low
04:47 UTC
Recovery off the lows, momentum building · RSI 61 · price 4,020.67
Base built above 3984, higher lows into 4020.
Gold gutted ~3% below 4000 during the US session on Waller's CPI-hike talk, basing twice near 3984 (double bottom). Buyers have since dragged price back to 4020, clearing the 4000 psych level; RSI(14) mid-60s, not yet stretched.
Support: 4,000.00, 3,984.00
Resistance: 4,023.46, 4,070.00
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 GMT is the decisive catalyst and could invalidate this recovery read
Failure to hold 4000 psych reopens the 3984 swing low
Close above 4023.46 session high extends the recovery toward the 4070 prior high
04:32 UTC
Recovery off lows, consolidating · RSI 56 · price 4,016.69
Base building above 4000 after sharp selloff.
Gold was gutted ~3% below $4,000 on Waller's hike talk yesterday, bottoming twice near 3984 before buyers stepped in. Price has since ground back to 4016 and is consolidating 4000–4019, RSI recovering to mid-50s with a bullish divergence off the double bottom.
Support: 4,000.00, 3,984.00
Resistance: 4,019.16, 4,043.00
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT is the decisive catalyst — could reset this read entirely
Close above 4019 session high opens the path back toward 4043
Failure to hold the 4000 psych level reopens the 3984 double bottom
04:32 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 56 · price 4,016.69
Consolidation near top of recovery leg.
Gold was gutted ~3% below 4000 during the NY session after Waller's CPI-hike talk, bottoming at 3986 before a rounded recovery back to 4019. Asia hours have it consolidating 4010-4019 just under the session high, RSI mid-range with no momentum extreme.
Support: 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,019.16, 4,043.00
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT is the decisive catalyst and could break this range either way
M15 close above 4019 extends the recovery toward the 4043 swing
Gold sold off ~3% through $4,000 on Waller's CPI-hike warning, bottoming at 3986 during NY hours. Asia has carved a rounded base and recovered to 4015, holding above the 4000 psych level with RSI near 58; the bounce has capped so far at 4019.
Support: 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,019.16
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT is the decisive catalyst and could break this range
Gold sold off ~3% through 4000 during NY hours on Waller's CPI-hike talk, bottoming twice near 3983 before a grinding Asian-session recovery to 4019. Price is holding higher lows and reclaimed 4000, RSI back to neutral around 58 after washing out lower.
Support: 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,019.12, 4,043.00
What it said to watch
Close above 4019 session high opens the path to 4043
Loss of 4000 psych reopens the 3983 session low
US CPI at 12:30 GMT is the decisive catalyst and can override this read
04:03 UTC
Recovery, momentum building · RSI 62 · price 4,017.75
Higher lows off the low, base above 4000.
Gold gutted ~3% below 4000 on Waller's CPI-hike talk, printing a double bottom near 3983 before buyers stepped in and reclaimed the 4000 psych level. Micro structure is a chain of higher lows grinding into the 4019 session high, RSI(14) around 62; the prior high at 4043 is the next hurdle if the session high gives way.
Support: 4,000.00, 3,983.00
Resistance: 4,019.00, 4,043.00
What it said to watch
Close above 4019 session high opens the path to 4043 prior high
Failure to hold 4000 psych reopens 3983 swing low
US June CPI at 12:30 GMT is the decisive catalyst and can override this read
04:03 UTC
Recovery bounce after selloff · RSI 58 · price 4,017.75
Double bottom near 3984, higher lows into 4019.
Gold bottomed near 3984 after the ~3% NY-session flush below $4,000 on Waller's hike talk, then ground back up through the Asian session to 4017, retracing roughly a third of the drop. Session high at 4019 is capping the recovery; RSI(14) neutral around 58.
Support: 4,000.00, 3,984.00
Resistance: 4,019.16, 4,043.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4019 session high opens the path toward 4043
loss of 4000 psych re-exposes the 3984 double bottom
US CPI at 12:30 GMT is the decisive catalyst and can override this intraday read
Gold was gutted from 4080 to sub-4000 on Waller's CPI-hike warning, printing a double bottom near 3986 before demand lifted it back above the 4000 psych level to 4015. Recovery is holding a higher-low chain; 4019 session high caps for now.
Support: 4,000.00, 3,986.00
Resistance: 4,019.16, 4,070.00
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT is the decisive catalyst — will override this intraday read
Close above 4019 opens the path back toward 4070
Failure to hold 4000 reopens the 3986 double-bottom base
Gold cratered near 3% below $4,000 to 3986.59 on Waller's CPI-hike warning, then carved a rounded base through Asia and broke back above the 4000 round number. Price now presses the 4019 session high with RSI(14) around 61; buyers stepped in repeatedly above 3990.
Support: 4,000.00, 3,986.59
Resistance: 4,019.16
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT is the decisive catalyst and could override this read
Close above 4019 opens the path toward the 4035 prior swing
Loss of 4000 round number re-exposes the 3987 swing low
03:32 UTC
Recovery off lows, momentum building · RSI 64 · price 4,018.13
Higher lows off 3986 base after NY selloff.
Gold sold off through $4,000 during NY hours to a 3986 session low, then Asia session clawed back a chain of higher lows to press the 4021 weekly-low pivot. RSI(14) near 64 with price back above both EMAs; the $4,000 psych level flipped to intraday support.
Support: 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,021.00
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 4021 opens the path back toward 4046
Failure to hold 4000 re-exposes the 3986 session low
03:32 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 61 · price 4,018.13
Session low held, higher lows building back toward range top.
Gold sold off through the London-NY session to a 3986 low as oil-driven Fed-hike bets pressured bullion, then carved a double bottom and ground back to the 4019 session high into Asia. RSI(14) near 61 with the earlier bullish divergence flagged; buyers stepped in twice around 4000.
Support: 4,000.00, 3,986.59
Resistance: 4,019.16, 4,021.00
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 4019/4021 opens the path to the 4046 swing
Failure to hold 4000 psych reopens the 3987 session low
Gold sold off from 4080 toward a 3986 base during the US session as oil-driven Fed-hike bets weighed, then carved a double bottom and clawed back to 4019. RSI(14) recovered off oversold into the mid-50s and price reclaimed EMA20, though the recent 4019 high is capping.
Support: 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,019.12, 4,021.00
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 4021 weekly low opens path back toward the 4100 pivot
Loss of 4000 psych and the 3986 swing low resumes the downtrend
US CPI at 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
03:17 UTC
Recovering off lows after selloff · RSI 57 · price 4,014.63
Double bottom, higher lows building.
Gold sold off through the NY session toward a 3986 low on renewed Fed-hike bets, then buyers stepped in twice near 3983-3986 forming a double bottom. Price has recovered to 4014 into early Asia, RSI(14) back to mid-50s after basing near oversold; the 4019 session high caps the bounce.
Support: 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,019.12, 4,021.00, 4,054.00
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 4021 weekly low opens path back toward 4054
Loss of 4000 round number re-exposes the 3986 swing low
US CPI 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Gold sold off through NY hours to a 3983 session low, printing a double bottom against the earlier 3986 low as bearish momentum faded. Early Asia has recovered above the 4000 round number toward the 4019 session high, with RSI(14) back near neutral on thin liquidity.
Support: 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,019.00, 4,021.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4019 session high opens the path toward the 4021 weekly low
Loss of 4000 round number reopens the 3983 session low
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~9.5h) is the next major catalyst for this read
Gold sold off through NY hours to a 3986 low, then based around the 4000 psych level with buyers stepping in repeatedly and RSI carving a bullish divergence. Early Asia has lifted price back to the 4019 session high; the 4021 weekly low overhead is the pivot to reclaim.
Support: 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,019.12, 4,021.00
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 4021 opens room back toward last week's range
Loss of 4000 psych re-exposes the 3986 swing low
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~9.5h) is the primary catalyst for this range
Gold slid from 4072 to a 3986 swing low through the NY session, then based and recovered to a session high near 4019 overnight; now 4011. RSI(14) rebounded off oversold and printed bullish divergence at the lows, with the 4000 psych level holding on the pullback.
Support: 4,000.00, 3,986.00
Resistance: 4,021.00, 4,043.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4021 weekly low opens the path toward the 4043 prior swing
Failure to hold 4000 psych reopens the 3986 swing low
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~10h) is the primary catalyst for the next leg
Gold sold off through 4000 into the US session, bottoming near 3986 where a double bottom and RSI divergence marked fading downside pressure. Price has since recovered to 4011, reclaiming the 4000 handle; the session high at 4019 caps the bounce for now.
Support: 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,019.12, 4,043.00
What it said to watch
Hold above 4000 keeps the recovery intact; loss reopens the 3986 session low
Close above 4019 session high extends the bounce toward 4043
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~10h) can override this intraday read
Gold sold off ~2.6% through the NY session into a 3983 low, then based and is grinding higher into Asia hours, now pressing the 4021 weekly-low pivot. Double bottom at 3983-3986 held with RSI(14) recovering off oversold, matching the context's bullish divergence read.
Support: 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,021.00, 4,035.00, 4,046.00
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 4021 opens the path toward 4035-4046 fib zone
Failure to hold 4000 psych reopens the 3983 swing low
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Gold sold off from 4085 toward a 3986 base during the CPI-anxious range, then carved a double bottom near 3983/3986 and recovered to 4017 through the Asia session. RSI(14) has lifted off oversold with bullish divergence into the bounce; price now presses the 4021 weekly-low resistance overhead.
Support: 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,021.00, 4,054.00
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 4021 opens room back toward 4054
Loss of 4000 psych re-exposes the 3986 swing low
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~10h) is the next structural catalyst
Gold sold off roughly $90 through the NY session into a 3986 low, then carved a double bottom around 3983-3986 with RSI divergence flagging fading downside pressure. Asian session has been grinding back up, reclaiming 4017 and clearing the near-term EMAs; the 4021 weekly-low pivot is the immediate cap.
Support: 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,021.00, 4,036.00
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 4021 weekly low opens path toward 4036
Failure to hold 4000 psych reopens the 3986 swing low
Gold sold off to a 3986.59 swing low during the US session then based above the 4000 psych level, with buyers stepping in twice into the Asia hours. Price is recovering toward the 4021 weekly low, RSI(14) climbing off oversold with the bullish divergence flagged in the corrective range holding.
Support: 4,000.00, 3,986.59
Resistance: 4,021.00, 4,046.00
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 4021 opens the path back toward 4046
Failure to hold 4000 reopens the 3986 swing low
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~10.5h) is the primary catalyst to break this range
02:03 UTC
Downtrend, basing after selloff · RSI 57 · price 4,008.36
Double bottom near 4000, micro higher lows forming.
Gold sold off ~90 points through the London-NY session toward 3986 before basing around the 4000 psych level, printing a double bottom with bullish RSI divergence. Thin Asia-session recovery has lifted price back to 4008, now pressing the 4012 recent high; downside momentum has faded but the broader intraday structure remains lower.
Support: 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,012.21, 4,021.00, 4,046.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4012 then 4021 confirms the base and opens the path to 4046
Loss of 4000/3986 reopens the 3983 double-bottom low
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~10.5h) and Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
02:03 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising · RSI 56 · price 4,008.36
Base building above 4000 after selloff.
Gold sold off ~90 dollars into 3986 before basing above the 4000 psych level through the Asia session, now grinding back to 4010. Twin lows near 3984-3986 held with RSI ticking up off oversold — a bullish divergence against the earlier drop.
Support: 4,000.00, 3,983.62
Resistance: 4,021.00
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 4021 weekly low opens room back toward the session high band
Loss of 4000 psych re-exposes the 3986 swing low
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~10.5h) is the dominant catalyst and can break this base
01:47 UTC
Downtrend, basing · RSI 49 · price 4,001.58
Sold off then consolidating above 3986.
Gold sold off hard through the NY session, sliding from ~4064 to 3986 as hawkish-Fed and Iran energy-inflation fears kept USD bid. Price has since based between 3986 and 4007 overnight, currently 4001.58 with RSI(14) recovering to mid-range — the digest notes bearish momentum tiring on divergence.
Resistance: 4,007.20, 4,021.00
What it said to watch
Loss of 3986 swing low reopens the 3983 sweep low and the 4021 weekly-low marker context
Reclaim of 4007 session high needed to challenge higher toward 4020
US CPI 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC are the week's catalyst and can break this base
Gold sold off sharply through the NY session from the 4060s to a 3986 swing low, then based back around the 4000 psych level into Asia hours. Price is holding above 3986 with RSI recovering off the lows — a mild bullish divergence as the earlier down-momentum fades.
Support: 4,000.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 3986 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 4017 pivot would break the descending resistance
US CPI (12:30 UTC) is the session's key catalyst and can override this range
Basing after NY sell-off, consolidating near 4000.
Gold sold off through the NY session from ~4064 to a 3986 low, then dug out a 3983 wick before basing around 4000 into Asia hours. RSI(14) has recovered off the lows into the mid-40s despite the marginal lower low, and price is chopping in a tight 3984-4007 band with no clean directional break.
Support: 3,983.62
Resistance: 4,007.20, 4,021.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4007 session high opens the path back toward the 4021 weekly low
Break below 3984 swing low extends the lower-low sequence
US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the week's key catalyst and could materially shift this read
Gold sold off through the NY session from 4074 to a 3983.62 low on hawkish-Fed and oil-inflation fears, then based in a 3990-4007 band in thin late-session trade. RSI(14) has recovered off its lows and is diverging against the price low, hinting downside momentum is tiring.
Support: 3,990.00, 3,983.62
Resistance: 4,007.20, 4,017.00
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the key catalyst and could break this range either way
Close below 3983.62 confirms a fresh lower-low and opens the downside
Reclaim of 4007.20 needed to challenge the 4017 prior high
Gold sold off hard through NY hours from ~4080 to a 3983 session low as hawkish-Fed and energy-inflation fears kept the USD bid. Price is now consolidating 3990–4007 either side of the 4000 round number in early Asian trade, RSI recovering off oversold toward the mid-40s.
Resistance: 4,000.00, 4,007.20, 4,020.00
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 4007 recent high opens the path back to 4020
Loss of 3983 session low extends the downtrend
US CPI 12:30 UTC is the week's key catalyst and could reshape this read
Gold sold off through the NY session from 4075 toward 3983 and is now chalking a tight 3990-4007 consolidation around the 4000 pivot. RSI(14) near 45 with the recent low failing to make fresh downside momentum — bears tiring into tomorrow's CPI.
Support: 3,990.00, 3,983.62
Resistance: 4,007.20
What it said to watch
Close below 3983.62 resumes the downtrend
Reclaim of 4007 puts 4017 back in focus
US CPI 12:30 UTC is the week's key catalyst and can break this range
Gold sold off from 4074 through the US-Asia transition, bottoming near 3984 before basing around 4000, in line with the broader sub-4100 bearish tone. Price now consolidates between the 3984 session low and 4007 session high with RSI recovering off the lows and a double bottom holding; the 4021 weekly low sits above as capped resistance.
Support: 3,984.00
Resistance: 4,007.00, 4,021.00
What it said to watch
Break below 3984 session low confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 4007 session high, then 4021 weekly low, needed to shift the intraday tone
US CPI (12:30 UTC) is the week's key catalyst and could reset this read
Sharp sell-off into basing consolidation near 4000.
Gold sold off hard through the NY session from ~4055 to sub-4000, then based between 3984 and 4007 into the Asia session. RSI(14) is recovering off the lows with a shallow bullish divergence, but price remains capped under 4007 and below both EMAs.
Support: 3,983.62
Resistance: 4,007.20, 4,021.00
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 4021 weekly low would open the path back toward 4120
Loss of 3984 session low resumes the downside impulse
US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the key catalyst and can break this range either way
Sharp NY sell-off, now consolidating above session low.
Gold sold off hard through the NY session, dropping from ~4074 to a 3986 session low as hawkish-Fed and Iran-oil fears pressured the metal. Price has since based between 3986 and 4017, RSI(14) lifting off oversold with a mild bullish divergence into the lows; 4006 sits back above EMA20 but under EMA50.
Resistance: 4,021.00
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 4017 swing high opens the 4021 weekly low overhead
Failure to hold the 3986 session low resumes the downtrend
US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the week's key catalyst and could break this range
Gold slid from ~4085 to a session low of 3984 during the US session as hawkish-Fed and energy-inflation fears pressured bullion. Price has since based between 3985-4005 and is nudging back to 4006, with RSI(14) recovering off the lows into early Asia — a bullish momentum divergence against the fresh low.
Support: 3,984.00
Resistance: 4,017.00, 4,021.00
What it said to watch
Reclaim and hold above 4017 opens the path back toward the 4021 weekly low
Break below 3984 confirms a lower low and reopens downside
US CPI (12:30 UTC) and Warsh testimony are the week's catalysts and can override this intraday read
00:32 UTC
Downtrend, basing after selloff · RSI 43 · price 3,996.80
Sharp break lower, consolidating near session low.
Gold sold off through the NY session from ~4054 to a 3983 low, breaking below the prior 4021 weekly low which now caps as resistance. Price is basing 3990-4005 in thin Asia trade, RSI(14) recovering to the mid-40s off the lows.
Support: 3,984.00, 3,990.00
Resistance: 4,005.00, 4,021.00, 4,054.00
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 4021 weekly low would ease the breakdown read
M15 close below 3984 swing low confirms continuation lower
Rejection or break of 4005 session high sets near-term tone
US CPI (12:30 UTC) is the day's key catalyst and could reset this read
Gold sold off from ~4084 to sub-4000 through the prior session as hawkish-Fed and Iran energy-inflation fears capped rallies, and price is now consolidating in a 3986–4005 band pinned at the $4,000 psych. RSI(14) has recovered off the selloff lows into the mid-40s, echoing the bullish divergence flagged in the wider read.
Support: 3,983.62
Resistance: 4,005.14, 4,021.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 3983.62 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 4005 opens the path back toward 4017-4021
US CPI 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
00:17 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating at lows · RSI 43 · price 3,991.69
Lower highs into 3990-4005 range after NY selloff.
Gold sold off through NY hours from 4067 to sub-3990 as hawkish-Fed and Iran inflation fears kept USD bid. Asia session now grinding in a tight 3990-4005 band under the 4000 psych level, RSI mid-40s, with a marginal lower low at 3983.62.
NY session drove a sustained sell-off from 4075 down through the 4000 round number to a 3983 spike low, RSI(14) basing near 43 with a bullish divergence forming. Price has since consolidated 3986–4005 through the Asia handover, with the 4000 psych level acting as the near-term pivot.
Resistance: 4,000.00, 4,005.14
What it said to watch
M15 close below 3983 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of the 4005 session high shifts the near-term tone
Gold bled from the 4091 high down to a 3986 session low through the NY session, with Iran-driven inflation and hawkish-Fed bets keeping USD bid. Price is now stalling in a tight 3990-4006 band through thin Asia hours; RSI(14) near 48 has recovered off the lows as the down leg loses steam.
Resistance: 4,006.00, 4,017.00
What it said to watch
Break below 3986 extends the down leg
Reclaim of 4006 needed to challenge 4017
US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the key catalyst that could break this range
Basing after impulsive selloff, consolidating near lows.
Gold sold off through 4000 during the NY session as Iran-driven inflation and Fed-hike fears kept the USD bid, bottoming at 3986.59 before basing. Into the Asia session price is coiling 3990–4005 with RSI recovering off oversold and a bullish divergence against the lows; the 4017 prior base caps upside.
Support: 3,986.59
Resistance: 4,005.14, 4,021.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4017 negates the low-base consolidation read
Failure to hold 3986 confirms a fresh lower low toward the 4021 weekly-low zone
US CPI 12:30 UTC then Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC are the week's key catalysts and could reset this read