XAU/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Tuesday, 30 June 2026

Every read JAFX AI made on the XAU/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.

23:46 UTC

Short-term downtrend off session high · RSI 41 · price 4,009.50

Lower highs, drifting into $4000 pivot.

Gold rolled over from the session high at 4063 and bled back toward the $4000 pivot, printing lower highs through the late session. Price now consolidates 4006-4018 with RSI subdued near 41, holding just above the $4000 psychological line that sits in front of the YTD low at 3941.

Support: 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,018.40, 4,063.35

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4006 then $4000 opens the path toward the YTD low 3941
  • Reclaim of 4018 recent high needed to challenge the descending lower highs
  • ADP and Warsh (Wed) are the next catalysts that could shift this read

23:32 UTC

Pullback from spike high, now flat · RSI 44 · price 4,012.19

Consolidating below faded NY high.

Gold spiked to 4063 during NY hours then faded, and is now consolidating tightly between 4007 and 4018 through a low-volume Asian session. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 43 with price below EMA20/50; the post-rollover gap up off 4007 has been absorbed without follow-through.

Support: 4,007.00, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,018.00, 4,034.00, 4,050.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4007 opens 4000 psych then toward YTD low
  • Reclaim of 4034 swing high needed to revisit 4050 pivot
  • ADP (12:15 GMT) and Warsh (13:00 GMT) could materially shift this read

23:17 UTC

Pullback off 4063, momentum soft · RSI 44 · price 4,014.86

Lower highs from peak, ranging 4007-4018.

Gold rallied off the 3941 YTD low to 4063 then faded, and is now grinding sideways 4007-4018 in the quiet early-Asia hours after a daily-close gap. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI mid-40s; the session low at 4007 and the 4000 psych handle are the near-term floor while 4030 caps.

Support: 4,007.00, 4,000.00, 3,941.00

Resistance: 4,030.00, 4,063.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4007 then 4000 opens the path back to the 3941 ytd low
  • Reclaim of 4030 swing high negates the pullback read
  • ADP 12:15 GMT plus Warsh and ISM at 14:00 could materially shift this read

23:02 UTC

Downtrend off intraday high, momentum cooling · RSI 42 · price 4,012.23

Lower highs since 4063 peak, basing above 4000.

Gold spiked to a session high of 4063 during NY hours after bouncing off the 3941 YTD low, then rolled over into a lower-high sequence and is now consolidating just above the 4000 handle near 4012. The relief bounce has faded with RSI(14) mid-range; rallies staying shallow ahead of a heavy US data slate.

Support: 4,000.00, 3,941.00

Resistance: 4,034.00, 4,063.00

What it said to watch

  • Close below 4000 psych opens the 3941 ytd low
  • Reclaim of 4034 swing high invalidates the lower-high read
  • ADP 12:15 UTC and Warsh 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read

22:46 UTC

Pullback after spike, ranging · RSI 44 · price 4,015.55

Lower highs off 4063, holding above 4007.

Gold spiked to the swing high at 4063 during NY hours before fading back to 4007-4015, where bargain buying off the recent recovery from the 3941 ytd low has stalled. Now ranging just below the 4032 recent high; a thin holiday gap on the reopen left price hugging 4015 with RSI mid-40s.

Support: 4,000.00, 3,941.00

Resistance: 4,032.00, 4,063.35

What it said to watch

  • Close below 4007 session low and 4000 psych reopens 3941 ytd low
  • Reclaim of 4032 recent high needed to retest 4063 swing high
  • ADP 12:15 UTC and Warsh 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read

22:31 UTC

Retracing lower after intraday peak · RSI 43 · price 4,013.58

Lower highs from 4063, drifting toward 4000.

Gold spiked to a session high 4063 during NY hours on bargain buying off the YTD-low zone, then faded into a chain of lower highs and is now retracing toward the 4000 psych level with RSI(14) cooled to the low 40s. Price sits below EMA20/50; rejection at 4030 has capped each bounce since the peak.

Support: 4,006.49, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,030.00, 4,063.35

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4006 confirms a lower low and exposes 4000 psych
  • Reclaim of 4030 swing high negates the retrace read
  • ADP and Warsh later in the session could materially shift this read

22:16 UTC

Pulling back from intraday high · RSI 42 · price 4,016.00

Lower highs since 4063 peak.

Gold spiked to a session high at 4063 after the bargain-buying lift off the 3942 YTD low, but has bled into lower highs and now sits at 4016, below EMA20/50. Buyers stepped in at 4006-4007 on the latest dip with RSI near 41; the 4000 psych level is the line below.

Support: 4,006.49, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,063.35

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4006 exposes the 4000 psych level
  • Reclaim of 4034 swing high needed to break the lower-high chain
  • ADP 12:15 UTC and Warsh 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read

22:02 UTC

Pullback from session high, fading toward 4000 · RSI 38 · price 4,007.50

Lower highs since 4063 peak, drifting to psych.

Gold spiked to a 4063 session high during NY hours, then faded in a clean lower-high sequence back to 4007 as the US-Iran de-escalation kept the haven bid absent. Price now presses the 4000 psych level with RSI(14) cooling near 38 and price below both EMAs.

Support: 4,000.00, 3,987.00, 3,941.00

Resistance: 4,034.00, 4,063.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4000 opens 3987 swing low and the 3941 ytd low
  • Reclaim of 4034 prior high needed to break the lower-high sequence
  • ADP at 12:15 UTC and Warsh at 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read

21:46 UTC

Downtrend off session high, fading toward 4000 · RSI 37 · price 4,007.50

Lower highs since 4063 peak, retesting psych level.

Gold spiked to a session high at 4063 during NY hours after the rebound off the 3941 YTD low, then faded steadily in lower highs back toward the 4000 psych level, last 4007.5. RSI(14) near 37, no oversold extreme yet as supply caps each bounce around 4033.

Support: 4,000.00, 3,941.00

Resistance: 4,033.00, 4,063.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4000 psych opens the path to the 3941 ytd low
  • Reclaim of 4033 swing high would break the lower-high chain
  • ADP 1 Jul 12:15 UTC and Warsh 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read

21:31 UTC

Short-term downtrend, fading off 4063 · RSI 36 · price 4,007.50

Lower highs since 4063 peak, pressing 4000.

Gold squeezed off the YTD low at 3941 to a session high of 4063 during NY hours, then faded steadily into a chain of lower highs and is now grinding toward the 4000 psych level. RSI(14) near 36 reflects the cooling, with price back under both EMAs after the rejection from 4034.

Support: 4,000.00, 3,941.00

Resistance: 4,022.00, 4,034.00, 4,063.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4000 psych opens the ytd low at 3941
  • Reclaim of 4022 swing would break the lower-high sequence
  • ADP and Warsh (Jul 1) could materially shift this read

21:16 UTC

Pullback after bounce off YTD low · RSI 36 · price 4,007.50

Lower highs since 4063 peak.

Gold squeezed off the 3942 YTD low to a 4063 session high before grinding lower; price is now back at 4007.5 pressing the 4000 psych level with a clean lower-high sequence since the peak. RSI(14) near 36 with no oversold extreme yet — the haven bid faded on US-Iran de-escalation.

Support: 4,000.00, 3,942.00

Resistance: 4,034.00, 4,063.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4000 opens the path to the 3942 YTD low
  • Reclaim of 4034 negates the lower-high sequence
  • ADP 12:15 UTC and Warsh 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read

20:46 UTC

Downtrend off intraday peak, grinding lower · RSI 39 · price 4,011.15

Lower highs since 4063, testing 4010 base.

Gold spiked to a 4063 session high after the bargain bounce off the 3941 YTD low, then bled steadily lower through NY hours to 4011, holding above the 4008 swing base. Lower highs are stacking and price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) cooling near 38; 4000 psych is the next reference below.

Support: 4,008.00, 4,000.00, 3,941.00

Resistance: 4,034.00, 4,063.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4008 opens the 4000 psych then 3941 ytd low
  • Reclaim of 4034 prior high needed to break the lower-high sequence
  • ADP 12:15 UTC + Warsh 13:00 UTC tomorrow could materially shift this read

20:31 UTC

Pullback after recovery rally · RSI 39 · price 4,013.64

Lower highs since session peak.

Gold rallied off the YTD low at 3941 to 4063 through NY hours, then faded roughly $50 to print lower highs into the close. Price now sits on the 4012 recent low, below EMA20/50, RSI near 38.

Support: 4,012.00, 3,992.00, 3,941.00

Resistance: 4,037.00, 4,063.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4012 opens 3992 then the 3941 ytd low
  • Reclaim of 4037 lower high needed to revive the recovery
  • ADP and Warsh (Jul 1) could materially shift this read

20:16 UTC

Pullback after intraday rally, drifting lower · RSI 44 · price 4,020.48

Consolidating below 4034 after rejection from 4063 peak.

Gold rallied off the 3942 Asian-session low to a 4063 NY peak before sellers rejected, and price has since drifted into a 4014-4034 consolidation as the late-NY session fades. RSI(14) near 43 with price below both EMAs; tape is grinding back toward range lows after the bargain-buying bounce noted in the broader oversold context.

Support: 4,014.00, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,034.00, 4,063.35

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4014 confirms a lower low and opens 4000 psych
  • Reclaim of 4034 session high needed to revisit the 4048/4063 peak
  • ADP 12:15 UTC and Warsh 13:00 UTC tomorrow could materially shift this read

20:02 UTC

Rally faded, drifting lower · RSI 42 · price 4,015.54

Lower highs off 4063 into 4013 support.

NY session spiked to 4063 then faded steadily through the afternoon as the US-Iran de-escalation kept a lid on haven demand. Price now drifting back into 4013 support after a chain of lower highs, RSI cooling near 42 with both EMAs overhead.

Support: 4,013.00, 4,000.00, 3,941.00

Resistance: 4,034.00, 4,063.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4013 opens 4000 psych then 3941 ytd low
  • reclaim of 4034 negates the lower-high sequence
  • ADP 12:15 UTC and Warsh 13:00 UTC Jul 1 could materially shift this read

19:47 UTC

Pullback after short-covering bounce · RSI 39 · price 4,022.40

Lower highs off 4063, drifting to session low.

Gold's NY-session short-covering bounce stalled at the 4063 session high and has bled back to the 4020 session low, printing lower highs into late NY hours. RSI(14) near 39 reflects the fade; price now sits on 38.2% of the 3942-4063 recovery leg.

Support: 4,020.00, 4,010.00, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,035.00, 4,063.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4020 opens 4010 then the 4000 psych level
  • Reclaim of 4035 lower-high would reassert the recovery structure
  • ADP and Warsh on Jul 1 are the next macro catalysts after thin late-NY trade

19:32 UTC

Rebound from YTD low fading, pulling back · RSI 43 · price 4,022.64

Rally to 4063 stalling, lower highs forming.

NY session ripped off the 3941 YTD low to 4063 on bargain buying, then faded back to ~4022 with lower highs printing into late hours; RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s. Price is now drifting below EMA20/50 inside a 4012–4034 band, consolidating the pullback.

Support: 4,012.00, 4,000.00, 3,987.00

Resistance: 4,034.00, 4,054.00, 4,063.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim and M15 close above 4034 reopens the 4054 session high and 4063 range high
  • Loss of 4012 swing low exposes the 4000 psych level and the 3987 fib 0.618
  • ADP (Jul 1, 12:15 UTC) and Warsh speech could materially shift this read

19:16 UTC

Recovery stalling, momentum slowing · RSI 43 · price 4,024.64

Consolidation under session high after sharp recovery.

Gold swept the YTD-low zone near 3942 then ripped back to a session high at 4063 during NY hours before fading; now consolidating 4022-4034 with RSI(14) cooled to the mid-40s. Bargain buyers defended the 4000 psych on the dip, but the bounce has lost pace under 4034.

Support: 4,022.00, 4,010.00, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,034.00, 4,054.00, 4,063.35

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4034 reopens 4054-4063 session high
  • Failure to hold 4022 exposes 4010 then the 4000 psych
  • ADP 12:15 UTC + Warsh 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read

19:02 UTC

Recovered off YTD low, now flat · RSI 46 · price 4,029.22

Consolidating below 4063 swing high.

Gold swept the YTD low at 3942 mid-window where bargain buyers defended $4k, then ripped to 4063 before fading. Last several hours have coiled in a tight 4020-4037 range, price pinned around the EMA20 with RSI(14) neutral near 46.

Support: 4,020.72, 3,960.00

Resistance: 4,037.76, 4,063.35

What it said to watch

  • Close above 4037.76 reopens the path to the 4063 range top
  • Loss of 4020.72 exposes 4008 and the lower 3960 demand zone
  • ADP and Warsh tomorrow (12:15/13:00 UTC) could break this range

18:53 UTC

Rally stalling, now consolidating · RSI 54 · price 4,031.46

Tight range after impulsive rally off YTD low.

Gold rallied off the 3941 YTD low to 4063 during NY hours, then pulled back into a tight 4020-4034 range where it now sits near 4031. RSI(14) is neutral around 54 after cooling from the rally peak; JOLTS beat earlier kept upside capped.

Support: 4,020.00

Resistance: 4,034.00, 4,063.30

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4034 reopens the path to the 4063 swing high
  • Loss of 4020 range floor exposes the 4008 swing low
  • ADP (Jul 1, 12:15 UTC) and Warsh speech could materially shift this read

16:31 UTC

Recovery off lows, momentum slowing · RSI 53 · price 4,030.83

V-recovery then consolidation near highs.

Gold rebounded hard from the session low at 3942 — set on the JOLTS-fuelled USD bid — running to 4063 before fading. Price now consolidating in a tight 4022–4034 band; buyers stepped in at 4022 on the pullback, with 4054/4063 capping above.

Support: 4,022.00, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,054.00, 4,063.35

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4054 reopens the 4063 session high
  • Loss of 4022 exposes 4008 and the 4000 round number
  • ADP + Warsh + ISM Wed (12:15-14:00 GMT) could materially shift this read

16:16 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 54 · price 4,029.92

Rally off 3942 low stalling into 4022-4040 consolidation.

Gold ripped off the 3942 low to tag 4063 during NY hours, helped by US-Iran haven crosscurrents reviving the bid, then rejected and pulled back into a 4022-4040 consolidation. RSI(14) has cooled from the rally peak toward neutral; price is hovering at EMA20 with the session high at 4063 untested since.

Support: 4,022.00

Resistance: 4,063.40

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4022 negates the higher-low sequence and reopens 4008
  • Reclaim of 4048 puts the 4063 session high back in play
  • ADP + Warsh speech Wed 12:15-13:00 GMT could materially shift this read

16:02 UTC

Recovery uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 53 · price 4,028.14

Higher lows off $3942 base, pullback from session high.

Gold bounced hard off the $3942 7-month low during NY hours, spiking to 4063 before sellers rejected and dragged price back to the 4022 base. Now consolidating near 4028, RSI(14) cooling from the rally peak; the recovery off stretched levels matches the relief-bounce read with USD firm into NFP week.

Support: 4,022.28

Resistance: 4,063.35

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4063 reopens the path higher toward 4100
  • Failure to hold 4022 confirms a lower-low back toward 4008
  • ADP, Warsh speech and ISM PMI Wed could materially shift this read

15:46 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum cooling after rejection · RSI 57 · price 4,032.53

Higher highs into 4063 then pullback, holding higher lows.

NY session pushed gold from the 4009 swing low to 4063 before sellers rejected the high, price now consolidating around 4032 after the relief bounce off 7-month lows. Higher lows still intact above 4022, but the upside stalled at the session high.

Support: 4,022.00, 4,009.40

Resistance: 4,054.30, 4,063.35

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4022 confirms a lower-low and breaks the rising support
  • Reclaim of 4054 reopens the path to the 4063 rejection high
  • ADP + Warsh speech Wed could materially shift this read

15:31 UTC

Recovery rally, momentum cooling · RSI 54 · price 4,027.81

Higher highs off 3942 low, pulling back from 4063 session high.

NY session ramped gold off the 3942 low to a 4063 high before rejecting and pulling back to 4028, RSI(14) cooling from hot levels toward neutral. The bounce reflects the relief move off 7-month lows noted in the context; price now retesting the 4022 area after fading the spike high.

Support: 4,022.00, 4,010.00, 3,992.00

Resistance: 4,054.00, 4,063.00

What it said to watch

  • Hold above 4022 keeps the higher-low chain intact; loss of it opens 4010 then 3992
  • M15 close back above 4054 reopens the 4063 rally high
  • Wed ADP + Warsh speech could materially shift this read

15:16 UTC

Recovery uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 57 · price 4,033.24

Higher highs off swept lows, pullback in play.

Gold swept down to 3942 — its lowest since Nov 2025 — then V-recovered through the NY session, spiking to 4063 before rejection capped the move. Price has pulled back to 4033 around the 0.236 retracement of the recovery leg, RSI cooling from the spike.

Support: 4,032.00, 4,015.00, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,063.35

What it said to watch

  • Close below 4032 pullback low opens 4015 then the 4000 round number
  • Reclaim of 4048 prior high puts 4063 session high back in range
  • ADP and Warsh speech Wed could materially shift this read

15:02 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 59 · price 4,037.31

V-recovery off lows, rejected at session high.

NY session ripped from 4010 to a 4063 session high before sellers capped it, the last two bars sliding back to 4037 as RSI(14) cooled from the high-60s. The earlier flush to 3942 has been fully recovered; price now holds above EMA20/EMA50 but stalled under 4048.

Support: 4,010.00

Resistance: 4,048.00, 4,063.35

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4063 reopens the path higher
  • Failure to hold 4010 reasserts the prior lower-low structure
  • ADP and Warsh speech Wed could materially shift this read

14:46 UTC

Recovery uptrend off the lows · RSI 63 · price 4,047.90

Higher lows since 3942, pushing into session high.

Gold flushed to 3942 mid-session then staged a sharp relief recovery, breaking back above 4030 and printing a session high at 4063 before easing to 4048. The bounce fits the digest's read of a thin haven cushion off the lowest levels since November; RSI(14) near 63 leaves room before extremes.

Support: 4,030.00, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,063.35, 4,075.00

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 4030 pullback support reopens the 4000 psych level
  • Reclaim and hold above 4063 session high extends the recovery toward 4075
  • ADP (Wed) and Warsh speech are the next catalysts and could shift this read

14:31 UTC

Recovery, momentum accelerating · RSI 72 · price 4,057.33

V-recovery, HH/HL chain off session low.

NY session staged a sharp V-recovery from the 3942 spike low, gold reclaiming 4057 with the last six bars accelerating through 4025 and 4043. RSI(14) running hot near 72 after the impulsive leg; price extended above EMA20 and EMA50 into the session high at 4063.

Support: 4,043.00, 4,025.00

Resistance: 4,063.35, 4,100.00

What it said to watch

  • Close above 4063 opens the path toward 4100
  • Failure to hold 4043 risks a pullback into 4025
  • ADP (Wed) and Warsh speech could materially shift this read

14:16 UTC

Intraday uptrend, recovering off session low · RSI 68 · price 4,047.35

Higher lows since 3942, testing session high.

NY session drove a sharp recovery off the 3942 session low back to a fresh session high at 4049, last bar breaking the prior 4037 swing; recovery helped by flickering US-Iran headline risk against a firm USD. RSI(14) running hot near 67 but not yet stretched as price extends.

Support: 4,030.00, 4,010.00

Resistance: 4,049.35, 4,100.00

What it said to watch

  • Close above 4049 opens the path toward 4100
  • Failure to hold 4030 breakout base reverts to the 4010 swing low
  • ADP (Wed) and Warsh speech could materially shift this read

14:02 UTC

Recovery off lows, consolidating · RSI 54 · price 4,027.79

Range 4008-4037 after V-recovery.

Gold carved a 7-month low at 3942 mid-window then clawed back above 4030, supported by thin US-Iran haven flow against a firmer USD. Price is now consolidating in a 4008-4037 band during NY hours, RSI mid-range near 54 with the recovery leg looking stretched per the broader read.

Support: 4,008.00, 3,992.00, 3,960.00

Resistance: 4,037.42, 4,050.00

What it said to watch

  • Close above 4037 session high opens the 4050 prior high
  • Failure to hold 4008 swing low reopens 3992, then 3960
  • JOLTS / Consumer Confidence at 14:00 UTC could shift this read intra-session

13:46 UTC

Recovery off lows, momentum flattening · RSI 53 · price 4,024.39

Ranging after V-bounce from 3942.

Gold carved a 7-month low near 3942 mid-window then V-recovered through NY hours, now chopping between 4008 and 4037. RSI(14) is neutral near 53 with price hugging EMA20; rallies have stalled under the 4037 session high.

Support: 4,008.00, 3,992.00, 3,958.00

Resistance: 4,037.00, 4,051.00

What it said to watch

  • JOLTS / Consumer Confidence ~14:00 UTC could break the 4008-4037 range
  • M15 close above 4037 opens the path back toward 4051
  • Loss of 4008 re-exposes 3992 and the 3958 bounce low

13:31 UTC

Recovery off lows, momentum flattening · RSI 52 · price 4,026.92

Higher lows since 3942, capped below 4037.

Gold dumped to a 7-month low near 3942 during the London session on a firmer USD and hawkish-Fed repricing, then clawed back to the 4030s through the NY session. Price is now consolidating 4009–4037, RSI(14) back to neutral after the rebound; the session high at 4037 has capped each push.

Support: 4,009.00, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,037.42

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4037 resumes the recovery toward 4051
  • Close below 4009 confirms a lower low, exposing 4000
  • JOLTS / Consumer Confidence ~14:00 UTC could shift this read

13:16 UTC

Recovery off lows, momentum stalling · RSI 52 · price 4,023.66

V-recovery from 3942, consolidating below 4037.

Gold rebounded sharply off the 3942 NY-session low toward 4037 but the rally faded, capped by revived USD demand, and price is now consolidating around 4023. The recovery printed higher lows into 4008.80; rejection at 4037 keeps the upper range intact.

Support: 4,008.80

Resistance: 4,037.42

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4008.80 confirms a lower low after the rebound
  • Close above 4037 reopens the path toward 4047
  • JOLTS / Chicago PMI within ~1h could shift this read

13:03 UTC

Recovery off lows, momentum fading · RSI 44 · price 4,016.51

Higher lows into 4037, now pulling back.

Gold V-recovered off the $3,942 session low to tag 4037 before rejecting, and is now slipping back through NY hours below EMA20 near 4025. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s; 4008 session low and the $4,000 YTD low are the levels in focus, with 4037 swing high capping above.

Support: 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,037.42

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4008 confirms a lower low and exposes the 4000 ytd low
  • Reclaim of 4037 swing high resumes the recovery leg
  • US JOLTS / Consumer Confidence at 14:00 UTC could shift this read

12:46 UTC

Recovery off session low, momentum fading · RSI 47 · price 4,016.93

Bounce off 3942 stalling under 4034.

Gold flushed to a session low of 3942 mid-window then rallied through the NY session to 4037, where supply capped it. Price is now drifting back to 4016 under EMA20, holding the 0.236 retrace of that recovery leg as the USD bid keeps rallies shallow.

Support: 4,008.00, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,034.00

What it said to watch

  • Close below 4008 opens 4000 round number then session low 3942
  • Reclaim of 4034 session high needed to extend the recovery
  • US JOLTS / Consumer Confidence near 14:00 UTC could shift this read

12:31 UTC

Recovery leg stalling, pulling back · RSI 46 · price 4,016.33

V-recovery off 3942 flush, rejected near 4037.

Gold flushed to 3942 then recovered through London to retest 4037 before being rejected, now slipping back to 4016 below EMA20 as US-Iran de-escalation keeps haven demand drained. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s and the last two bars erased the session-high push.

Support: 4,000.00, 3,960.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4000 psych opens path toward 3960 support
  • Reclaim of 4037 swing high needed to resume the recovery leg
  • Wed ADP/ISM risk could materially shift this read

12:16 UTC

Intraday recovery, stalling · RSI 56 · price 4,027.85

Higher lows off 3942, capped near 4037.

Gold carved a session low at 3942 during the haven unwind, then ground back up through NY hours to print 4037 before stalling. Last two bars rejected 4037 and price now sits at 4027, holding above the 4012 shelf with RSI(14) mid-range.

Support: 4,012.00, 3,992.00, 3,942.00

Resistance: 4,037.00, 4,052.00

What it said to watch

  • Close above 4037 opens the path to 4052
  • Failure to hold 4012 reopens the 3992 swing low
  • Wed ADP/ISM could materially shift this read

12:02 UTC

Recovery uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 61 · price 4,033.93

Higher highs / higher lows off the 3942 low.

Gold sold off sharply to 3942 on the US-Iran de-escalation, then carved a rounded recovery back to the session high near 4038, where supply is now capping. RSI(14) cooling around 60 as the grind stalls just under the figure.

Support: 4,017.35, 4,008.33, 3,992.03

Resistance: 4,037.76, 4,052.46

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4038 opens the path back toward 4052
  • Failure to hold 4017 reopens 4008 then 3992
  • ADP + Fed's Warsh Wed could materially shift this read

11:46 UTC

Recovery uptrend, steady · RSI 62 · price 4,035.45

Higher lows since 3942 flush.

Gold flushed to 3942 on the US-Iran de-escalation that drained the haven bid, then ground back to 4035 through the NY session on a clean chain of higher lows. Price now tests the 4037 prior-high zone with RSI(14) mid-60s — not yet stretched.

Support: 4,018.00

Resistance: 4,037.76

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4037.76 opens the path toward 4047 swing high
  • Failure to hold 4018 breaks the higher-low sequence
  • ADP and Warsh Wed could materially shift this read

11:31 UTC

Recovery uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 61 · price 4,032.90

Higher-low chain off 3942 selloff low.

Gold has retraced ~82% of the 4052-to-3942 selloff, the drop driven by US-Iran de-escalation draining the haven bid, and is now retesting the 4037.8 session high into NY hours with RSI cooling near 60. Higher-low chain intact since 3942; 4024 the nearest demand shelf.

Support: 4,024.00, 4,012.00

Resistance: 4,037.80, 4,052.50

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4037.8 opens path toward 4052.5 prior high
  • Loss of 4012 breakout level breaks the recovery higher-low chain
  • ADP Wed and Warsh speech could materially shift this read

11:16 UTC

Intraday recovery, momentum firm · RSI 63 · price 4,033.02

Higher lows off 3942, testing session high.

Gold sold off to 3942 mid-window on US-Iran de-escalation and hawkish-Fed repricing, then ground back through the $4,000 psych pivot to retest the 4037 session high. Higher lows are stacking off the lows and RSI sits constructive near 63, with the 4018 pivot the nearest demand on a pullback.

Support: 4,018.00, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,052.46

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4037 session high opens the path to 4052 prior high
  • Loss of 4018 pivot exposes the 4000 psych pivot
  • JOLTS / Consumer Confidence (13:45-14:00 UTC) could materially shift this read

11:02 UTC

Recovery uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 58 · price 4,028.08

Higher lows off 3942 flush, stalling under 4037.

Gold flushed to 3942 mid-window on US-Iran de-escalation then ground back above the 4000 psych level in a clean higher-low recovery, now stalling at the 4037 swing high. RSI(14) near 58 with momentum flattening as price consolidates 4015–4037.

Support: 4,015.00, 4,000.00, 3,960.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4037 opens 4047 then 4100
  • Failure to hold 4000 reopens the 3960 shelf
  • US JOLTS / Consumer Confidence ~14:00 UTC could shift this read

10:46 UTC

Recovered off lows, consolidating · RSI 55 · price 4,026.83

V-recovery into range near highs.

Gold flushed to 3942 in the overnight session then carved a V-recovery back to the 4037 session high, and is now consolidating between 4012 and 4037 around the $4,000 psych pivot per the haven-deflation read. Momentum is neutral with RSI(14) mid-range after the bounce.

Support: 4,012.00, 4,000.00, 3,960.00

Resistance: 4,052.46

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4012 swing low reopens the 4000/3960 support shelf
  • Recapture of 4037 session high opens 4052 prior high
  • US JOLTS / Consumer Confidence (13:45–14:00 UTC) could break this range

10:31 UTC

Recovered off lows, consolidating · RSI 54 · price 4,026.28

Sharp V-recovery into prior range, capped below 4034.

Gold flushed to 3942.64 on the US-Iran de-escalation haven bleed, then V-recovered through the NY session back to 4026, now consolidating in a 4015-4034 band. RSI(14) mid-range near 54 after the bounce; 4000 psychological pivot reclaimed and holding.

Support: 4,015.00, 4,000.00, 3,960.00

Resistance: 4,034.00, 4,052.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4034 opens the path to 4052 session high
  • Failure to hold 4015/4000 reopens the 3960 support shelf
  • ADP and Warsh (Wed 12:15/13:00 UTC) could materially shift this read

10:16 UTC

Recovery off flush, momentum slowing · RSI 55 · price 4,026.62

Higher lows since 3942 low, consolidating below 4037.

Gold flushed to 3942 then V-recovered toward 4037 as US-Iran de-escalation and a firm dollar capped haven demand; price now drifting sideways around 4025, RSI cooling to mid-range. Supply has capped twice near 4037, with the 4000 psych pivot the key shelf below.

Support: 4,012.00, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,037.00, 4,052.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4012 exposes the 4000 psych pivot
  • Reclaim of 4037 opens the path back to 4052
  • ADP/Warsh/ISM cluster Wed could shift this read

10:02 UTC

Recovered off lows, momentum flattening · RSI 52 · price 4,024.81

Rebound from session low, consolidating below recovery high.

Gold flushed to 3942 in the Asian session then recovered ~90 pts through London to tag 4034, reclaiming the $4,000 pivot which is now holding. Price is consolidating 4012–4034 with RSI(14) neutral near 52; haven bid stayed shallow on US-Iran de-escalation and sticky-inflation rate-hike repricing.

Support: 4,012.00, 4,000.00, 3,960.00

Resistance: 4,034.00, 4,050.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4012 reopens 4000 psych then 3960 support shelf
  • M15 close above 4034 session high extends recovery toward 4050
  • ADP (Wed 12:15 UTC) and Warsh could materially shift this read

09:46 UTC

Recovery off lows, momentum flattening · RSI 49 · price 4,020.29

V-recovery stalling into consolidation.

Gold flushed to 3942 then rallied ~95 dollars back to a 4037 session high as US-Iran de-escalation and a firmer dollar sapped haven bid, and it has since drifted back toward the 4012-4020 zone. Rejection at 4037 leaves price consolidating just above the 4000 psych level with RSI(14) flat near 49.

Support: 4,012.00, 4,000.00, 3,960.00

Resistance: 4,037.00, 4,050.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4012 then 4000 psych opens the 3960 shelf
  • Reclaim of 4037 session high needed to extend the recovery toward 4050
  • US JOLTS / Consumer Confidence / Chicago PMI at 13:45-14:00 GMT could move this read

09:16 UTC

Recovery off lows, momentum stalling · RSI 46 · price 4,019.20

V-recovery from sweep, capped at 4034-4037.

Gold swept to 3942 then V-recovered through the London session to 4034 as the metal repaired the haven-driven flush, but the rally was rejected at 4034-4037 and price has since drifted back to 4019. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s and the move is now consolidating just under the recovery high with ATR near 860 pips.

Support: 4,011.00, 4,000.00, 3,960.00

Resistance: 4,034.00

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 4011 opens a retest of 4000 psych then 3960 support shelf
  • Reclaim of 4034 session high needed to resume the recovery
  • JOLTS + Consumer Confidence at 14:00 UTC could shift this read

09:03 UTC

Recovery off lows, pulling back · RSI 46 · price 4,016.55

V-recovery from flush, higher lows holding.

Gold flushed to 3942 in Asia hours then recovered to a 4034 session high, but stalled there and is now pulling back toward the 4000 psych pivot, with RSI(14) cooling near 46. The bounce tracks the broader two-way regime — US-Iran de-escalation and a firm dollar keep rallies shallow while the deep sell-off invites short-covering.

Support: 4,000.00, 3,960.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4000 psych exposes the 3960 support shelf
  • Reclaim of 4034 session high needed to resume the recovery
  • US JOLTS at 14:00 UTC could shift this read

08:47 UTC

Recovery off lows, momentum cooling · RSI 52 · price 4,018.66

Higher lows since 3942 flush, capped at 4034.

Gold flushed to 3942.64 during Asia hours on US-Iran de-escalation, then recovered sharply into the London open, reclaiming the 4000 psych level and tagging 4034. Price is now consolidating just under that session high near 4018, with RSI(14) easing back from the push.

Support: 4,000.00, 3,960.00

Resistance: 4,034.00, 4,050.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4034 opens the path to 4050
  • Loss of the 4000 psych exposes the 3960 shelf
  • JOLTS / Consumer Confidence at 14:00 UTC could shift this read

08:32 UTC

Recovery off overnight low, momentum cooling · RSI 58 · price 4,025.24

Higher lows since 3942.64, consolidating under session high.

Gold sold off sharply overnight to 3942.64 as the US-Iran haven unwind extended, then staged a steady recovery into London, reclaiming 4012 and pushing to a 4037.76 session high. Price now consolidates 4020–4037 with RSI(14) cooling from the rally; 4012 is the reclaimed pivot.

Support: 4,012.00, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,037.76, 4,050.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back below 4012 negates the breakout and reopens the 4000 psych level
  • Acceptance above 4037.76 session high extends the recovery toward 4050
  • Clean break of 4000 psych opens the 3960 zone flagged into ADP/NFP risk
  • JOLTS today could inject volatility into this read

08:16 UTC

Recovering off lows, momentum cooling · RSI 56 · price 4,023.63

V-recovery after sell-off, now consolidating.

Gold flushed to 3942 in early hours as US-Iran de-escalation stripped the haven bid, then recovered ~95 dollars to 4037 before stalling. Price now consolidating 4012-4034 with RSI(14) cooling back near 56 after the bounce.

Support: 4,012.00, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,037.76

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4037.76 opens the path to 4047 then 4066
  • Loss of 4012 swing low reopens the 4000 psych pivot
  • ADP/Warsh Wed could materially shift this read

08:02 UTC

Recovery leg, momentum firm · RSI 68 · price 4,034.82

Asian low swept, higher lows into London.

Asian session swept the 3960 area down to 3942 before London reversed it, rallying back above the $4000 round number to 4034 — a clean breakout of the overnight range with a chain of higher lows. RSI(14) near 68, hot but not extreme after the ~90-pip recovery; session high at 4036 is the immediate cap.

Support: 4,000.00, 3,960.00

Resistance: 4,036.37, 4,066.41

What it said to watch

  • Close back below 4000 round number reopens the 3960 session low
  • M15 close above 4047 extends the recovery toward 4066
  • JOLTS/Consumer Confidence today and ADP/ISM Wed could shift this read

07:46 UTC

Intraday recovery off 3942 low · RSI 62 · price 4,028.62

Higher lows after sweep, capped at 4034.

Gold swept the session lows down to 3942 during NY hours as the US-Iran haven unwind ran, then snapped back to 4034 and is consolidating just under it around 4028. RSI(14) near 61 after the bounce; the recovery leg is holding higher lows but supply is capping at 4034.

Support: 4,011.00, 3,992.00, 3,960.00

Resistance: 4,034.12

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4034 opens path back toward 4054
  • Failure to hold 4011 reopens the 3992/3960 downside
  • JOLTS / Consumer Confidence later today can shift this read; ADP + Warsh + ISM tomorrow are the bigger risks

07:31 UTC

Short-term recovery off session low · RSI 65 · price 4,030.07

Rising lows, reclaim of $4,000.

Gold flushed to 3942.64 during Asia hours as US-Iran de-escalation and hawkish-Fed pricing drained haven bid, then reclaimed roughly $90 through the London session to 4030. Buyers stepped in repeatedly above 4000, with rising lows carrying price back to the 4034 session high; RSI(14) near 65 after the recovery.

Support: 4,000.00, 3,960.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4034 opens the path back to 4068
  • Failure to hold 4000 reopens 3960
  • ADP Wed 12:15 GMT could materially shift this read

07:16 UTC

Downtrend, sharp intraday bounce · RSI 62 · price 4,027.30

Swept 3942 low, reclaimed 4000, higher lows building.

Gold staged a sharp NY-into-London recovery off the 3942 low, reclaiming the 4000 round number and breaking above 4012 to print a 4034 session high before easing to 4027. The bounce comes against a soft-gold backdrop after US-Iran de-escalation; RSI(14) near 62, room before overbought.

Support: 4,012.00, 4,000.00, 3,979.00

Resistance: 4,034.00, 4,047.00

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 4000 round number reopens the 3979 swing low and the 3942 base
  • M15 close above 4034 session high extends the recovery toward 4047 prior swing
  • US JOLTS at 14:00 GMT could materially shift this read

07:02 UTC

Intraday recovery off lows, momentum strong · RSI 65 · price 4,025.59

Higher lows after sweep of 3942 session low.

Gold reclaimed $4,000 after sweeping the session low at 3942.64, rallying ~90 pips into 4034 before easing to 4025. The push followed soft haven demand from US-Iran de-escalation; RSI(14) near 65 still has room before stretched. The $4,000 round number flipped from cap to support on this recovery.

Support: 4,000.00, 3,942.64

Resistance: 4,034.12, 4,050.00, 4,063.18

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back below 4000 reopens the 3942 session low
  • Sustained break above 4034 opens 4050 then 4063
  • ADP Wednesday 12:15 GMT is the next material catalyst for this read

06:46 UTC

Downtrend reversing, sharp bounce · RSI 60 · price 4,027.16

V-recovery off session low, higher lows.

Gold spiked to a 3942.64 swing low overnight on US-Iran de-escalation draining haven bid, then mounted a sharp recovery into the London open, reclaiming the 4000 round number and pressing the 4034 session high. RSI(14) near 60 after the rally; price now sits above EMA20 and EMA50 having based around 3960.

Support: 4,000.00, 3,960.00, 3,942.64

Resistance: 4,034.12

What it said to watch

  • Close above 4034 session high opens path to 4068 prior high
  • Loss of 4000 round number re-exposes 3960 then the 3942 swing low
  • ADP (Wed 12:15 GMT), Warsh and ISM later this week are the dominant catalysts

06:31 UTC

Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 50 · price 3,987.69

Lower lows, recovering into range.

M15 downtrend; price knifed through 4015 into a 3942.64 swing low during NY hours before buyers recovered it to a 3998 bounce high. Now ranging 3976–3998 with RSI(14) lifting off oversold, gold heavy as US-Iran de-escalation drains the haven bid into the data cluster.

Support: 3,976.00, 3,958.09, 3,942.64

Resistance: 3,998.05, 4,010.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 3998 bounce high opens the 4010 round number
  • Failure to hold 3958 session low reopens the 3942 swing low
  • JOLTS / Consumer Confidence at 14:00 GMT could shift this read

06:16 UTC

Downtrend, bounce in progress · RSI 54 · price 3,987.69

Lower lows into 3942, recovery stalling near 3990.

Asia session swept the lows down to 3942 as US-Iran de-escalation drained the haven bid, then early London clawed back to tag 3998 before stalling near 3990. RSI(14) recovered to mid-50s; price holding above EMA20 but capped under EMA50 and the 4000 round level.

Support: 3,960.00

Resistance: 3,998.00, 4,000.00, 4,015.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4000 opens the path back to 4015
  • Failure to hold 3960 reopens the 3942 session low
  • JOLTS / Consumer Confidence at 14:00 GMT could shift this read

06:02 UTC

Downtrend, short-term recovery · RSI 54 · price 3,981.30

Higher lows building off session low.

Gold flushed to a session low of 3942 during Asia hours as US-Iran de-escalation drained haven bid, then recovered to 3998 into the London open; price now at 3981, holding just above EMA20 but capped below EMA50. RSI(14) near 54 after basing, with a chain of higher lows off 3942.

Support: 3,960.00

Resistance: 3,998.05, 4,010.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back below 3960 reopens the 3942 session low
  • Rejection at 3998 caps the recovery; close above 4010 challenges prior support
  • JOLTS / Consumer Confidence at 14:00 UTC could shift this read

05:47 UTC

Downtrend, near-term recovery off lows · RSI 54 · price 3,981.31

Lower-low at 3942 then higher lows into Asia.

Gold flushed to a 3942 session low on the US-Iran de-escalation haven unwind, then carved a chain of higher lows back to the 3998 session high before rejecting and easing to 3981. RSI(14) near 54 after cooling from the bounce; price holds above EMA20 but under EMA50, the 3960 cluster now the pivot.

Support: 3,960.00, 3,942.00

Resistance: 3,998.00, 4,020.00

What it said to watch

  • Close above 3998 opens the path to the 4020 prior shelf
  • Failure to hold 3960 cluster reopens the 3942 session low
  • JOLTS / Consumer Confidence at 14:00 UTC could shift this read

05:32 UTC

Downtrend, corrective bounce underway · RSI 58 · price 3,976.71

Sharp sell-off, rebound stalling below 3998.

Gold sold off hard through 3960 into the NY-Asia handover to a 3942 session low after US-Iran de-escalation drained the haven bid. The subsequent Asia-session rebound stalled at the 3998 session high and is now easing back to 3976; price sits above EMA20 but capped below the prior consolidation near 4010 and EMA50, RSI(14) cooling from the bounce.

Support: 3,960.00

Resistance: 3,998.05, 4,010.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 3960 reopens the 3942 session low
  • Reclaim of the 3998 session high needed to extend the rebound toward 4010
  • JOLTS / Consumer Confidence at 14:00 UTC could shift this read

05:16 UTC

Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 54 · price 3,984.37

Session low set, corrective bounce stalling.

Gold sold off through the NY session — roughly 1.5% off the day's highs as US-Iran de-escalation drained the haven bid — printing a session low at 3942 before a corrective bounce reclaimed toward 3998. Price is now stalling near 3985 after rejection at the bounce high; RSI(14) back near mid-range.

Support: 3,960.00

Resistance: 3,998.05, 4,015.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 3960 reopens the 3942 session low
  • Reclaim of 3998 bounce high needed to extend the recovery toward 4015
  • JOLTS / Consumer Confidence at 14:00 UTC could shift this read

05:03 UTC

Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 56 · price 3,984.99

Lower highs, base building above swing low.

Gold sold ~1.5% off the 4065 area into Asia hours as the US-Iran de-escalation drained haven bid, sweeping the 3942 low before recovering toward 3998. Price is grinding back up through EMA20, now stalling near 3985 at the 38% retrace of the drop with RSI cooling mid-range.

Support: 3,960.00

Resistance: 3,998.05, 4,022.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 3998 session high opens the path back to the 4022 shelf
  • Loss of 3960 support cluster re-exposes the 3942 swing low
  • JOLTS / Consumer Confidence at 14:00 UTC could shift this read

04:46 UTC

Recovering off session low within broader downtrend · RSI 62 · price 3,986.22

Lower-high sequence, near-term higher lows forming.

Gold sold ~3% from 4069 to a 3942 session low as US-Iran de-escalation drained the haven bid, then mounted a steady recovery into 3998 before easing to 3986. RSI(14) has lifted off oversold to the low-60s as the bounce built higher lows; price now stalling under the 3998 session high.

Support: 3,958.00

Resistance: 3,998.05, 4,010.00

What it said to watch

  • Close back below 3958 swing low reopens the 3942 session low
  • Break through 3998 session high exposes the 4010 prior shelf
  • JOLTS / Consumer Confidence at 14:00 UTC could shift this read

04:32 UTC

Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 62 · price 3,987.05

Bounce from 3942 low, higher lows building.

Gold knifed to a 3942 session low on US-Iran de-escalation draining haven bid, then recovered to 3987 with RSI(14) lifting back to the low-60s. Bounce is printing higher lows above 3960; 4000 psych level overhead is the next area to watch for rejection or break.

Support: 3,960.00

Resistance: 4,000.00, 4,015.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4000 opens path to 4015 prior range
  • Failure to hold 3960 reopens the 3942 session low
  • JOLTS 14:00 UTC could shift this read

04:16 UTC

Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 53 · price 3,973.73

Lower lows, recovering into Asia.

Gold knifed lower through the window, sweeping to 3942.64 as the US-Iran de-escalation drained the haven bid. Price has since clawed back to 3973 in Asia hours, but trades below EMA20/50 with the 3980 bounce high capping the recovery so far.

Support: 3,960.00, 3,942.64

Resistance: 3,980.00, 4,000.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 3980 opens the path back to the 4000 psych level
  • Failure to hold 3960 reopens the 3942.64 session low
  • JOLTS at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read

04:02 UTC

Downtrend, stabilising off lows · RSI 48 · price 3,971.73

Sharp leg down into early Asia, basing above 3958.

Gold knifed lower through 4000 into early Asia, printing a session low at 3942.64 as the US-Iran de-escalation drained the haven bid. Price has since based and ground back to 3971.73, reclaiming EMA20 but capped below the 3980 prior high; RSI(14) recovered off oversold to the mid-40s.

Support: 3,958.00, 3,942.64

Resistance: 3,980.00, 4,000.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 3980 opens the 4000 psych pivot
  • Loss of 3958 reopens 3942.64 session low
  • JOLTS at 14:00 UTC could break the basing range

03:46 UTC

Downtrend, bounce stalling · RSI 44 · price 3,965.84

Lower highs, consolidating above 3960.

Gold knifed ~1.5% lower into the Asia session as US-Iran de-escalation drained the haven bid, printing a low at 3942.64 before a shallow bounce. Price now consolidates 3955-3980 below the 4000 psych pivot, RSI(14) recovering off the lows but still sub-50; the down leg is intact while supply caps near 3980.

Support: 3,960.00, 3,942.64

Resistance: 4,000.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 3960 opens 3942 then 3900
  • Reclaim of 4000 needed to negate the down leg
  • JOLTS 14:00 UTC could shift this read

03:31 UTC

Downtrend, stabilizing off lows · RSI 41 · price 3,965.00

Lower highs, session low swept and reclaimed.

Gold extended its slide through the Asian session, spiking to a session low at 3942.64 before buyers recovered price back to 3965; the leg was positioning-led after US-Iran de-escalation drained the haven bid. RSI(14) near 41 has lifted off the oversold print at the low, and price is now basing between 3950 and the 3980 bounce high.

Support: 3,942.64, 3,950.21

Resistance: 3,980.66, 4,000.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 3980.66 bounce high would extend the recovery toward the 4000 psych level
  • Loss of 3942.64 session low confirms a fresh lower-low and reopens downside
  • ADP and Warsh (Wed) plus JOLTS/Consumer Confidence today could materially shift this read

03:16 UTC

Downtrend, attempting to base · RSI 42 · price 3,968.95

Lower highs and lower lows, consolidating off the low.

Gold sold off roughly 1% into a 3942.64 swing low as US-Iran de-escalation drained the haven bid, then snapped back to 3980 before settling into a 3950–3970 range. RSI(14) is recovering off oversold near 41; price holds well below EMA20/50.

Support: 3,950.00, 3,942.64

Resistance: 3,980.66

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 3942.64 confirms a lower-low and reopens 3900
  • Reclaim of 3980.66 would challenge the down-leg structure
  • Wed ADP + Warsh speech could materially shift this read

03:02 UTC

Downtrend, bounce stalling · RSI 39 · price 3,966.68

Lower highs, lower lows.

Gold sold off hard through the NY session, slicing sub-4000 to a 3942.64 low as the US-Iran de-escalation drained the haven bid. Price is consolidating 3950–3980 off that low; RSI(14) lifting from oversold but still below 40, and price remains under EMA20/50.

Support: 3,950.21, 3,942.64, 4,000.00

Resistance: 3,980.66

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 3942.64 reopens the sub-3940 extension
  • Reclaim of 3980.66 needed to ease downside pressure
  • ADP and Warsh speech Wed could materially shift this read

02:46 UTC

Downtrend, just off the lows · RSI 36 · price 3,959.76

Lower highs and lower lows, stabilising near session low.

Gold sold off hard through the NY-Asia transition, slicing the 4000 psych pivot and printing a 3942.64 low as the US-Iran de-escalation drained haven demand. Asia hours have been a thin, low-volume stabilisation between 3942 and the 3980.66 rebound high; RSI(14) lifting off oversold but price still under EMA20/EMA50.

Support: 3,942.64, 3,900.00

Resistance: 3,980.66, 4,000.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 3942.64 reopens the path toward 3900
  • Reclaim of 4000 needed to neutralise the breakdown
  • JOLTS and Consumer Confidence at 14:00 UTC could shift this read

02:31 UTC

Downtrend, momentum easing after flush · RSI 37 · price 3,958.90

Lower highs and lows, swept 3942 then bounced.

Gold flushed through the $4,000 psych pivot into Asia hours, printing a 3942.64 low as the US-Iran de-escalation drained the haven bid. Price bounced to 3980 then stalled, holding above the 3950 session low; RSI(14) recovering from oversold near 36.

Support: 3,950.21, 3,942.64, 3,900.00

Resistance: 4,000.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 3942.64 confirms a fresh lower low, reopening 3900
  • Reclaim of 4000 psych needed to neutralise the breakdown
  • Wed ADP + Warsh speech can materially shift this read

02:16 UTC

Downtrend, momentum extending · RSI 34 · price 3,956.32

Lower highs, lower lows; fresh session low.

Gold sold off through the $4,000 psych level into the Asia session, printing a fresh low at 3942.64 as the US-Iran de-escalation drained the haven bid. A bounce to 3980 was rejected and price is fading again near 3956, RSI(14) around 34 but not yet at extreme.

Support: 3,942.64, 3,979.82

Resistance: 4,000.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 4000 would neutralise the breakdown read
  • Loss of 3942.64 reopens the move toward $3,900
  • Wed ADP + Warsh speech could materially shift this read

02:02 UTC

Downtrend, sharp leg lower · RSI 33 · price 3,967.49

Lower highs and lows, capitulation then bounce.

Gold slid steadily through the session and accelerated below the $4,000 psych into Asia hours, capitulating to 3942.64 before snapping back to 3980; the leg lower tracks the US-Iran de-escalation draining the haven bid. Price now hovers at 3967 after the bounce stalled, RSI(14) lifting off oversold.

Support: 3,942.64, 3,900.00

Resistance: 4,000.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim and M15 close above 4000 psych would ease the breakdown
  • Loss of 3942 session low reopens 3900
  • Today's JOLTS/Confidence (14:00 GMT) could shift this read

01:46 UTC

Downtrend, accelerating into the close · RSI 31 · price 3,971.18

Lower highs and lower lows, fresh session low.

Gold sold off hard through the NY-Asia transition, breaking the $4,000 psych level and printing a session low at 3942.64 before a reflex bounce to 3979 — a positioning-led leg lower as the US-Iran truce drained the haven bid. RSI(14) near 31 after the flush, ATR elevated as ranges expanded into the drop. Price is now consolidating sub-3980 below both EMAs.

Support: 3,942.64

Resistance: 4,000.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 reclaim and close above 4000 psych would neutralise the breakdown read
  • Failure to hold 3942.64 swing low confirms continuation lower toward 3900
  • JOLTS / Consumer Confidence 14:00 GMT could shift this read

01:31 UTC

Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 30 · price 3,976.18

Lower highs, lower lows; fresh session low.

Gold accelerated lower into late NY hours, slicing the $4,000 psychological pivot and printing a session low at 3942.64 before a sharp bounce to 3979, RSI(14) near 29. Move is positioning-led as US-Iran de-escalation drains the haven bid and a firmer USD caps; price now consolidating between 3960 support and the 4000 pivot.

Support: 3,942.64, 3,960.00

Resistance: 4,000.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 reclaim of 4000 psych keeps the stabilization read alive
  • Failure to hold 3942.64 session low reopens 3900 long-term support
  • JOLTS / Consumer Confidence at 14:00 UTC could shift this read

01:16 UTC

Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 24 · price 3,951.66

Lower highs / lower lows, fresh session low.

Steady grind lower through the Asia session turned into a sharp breakdown, gold slicing from 4015 to a 3942 low as the US-Iran de-escalation drained the haven bid. Price bounced to 3951 but holds well below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) sub-25 and ATR expanding.

Support: 3,900.00

Resistance: 4,000.00, 4,015.20

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 4000 psych needed to ease the breakdown read
  • Loss of 3942 session low reopens 3900
  • JOLTS/Consumer Confidence 14:00 UTC could extend the move

01:03 UTC

Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 26 · price 3,981.41

Lower highs, lower lows; breaking sub-4000.

Gold sliced through the 4000 psych pivot into the Asia session, extending the slide off the 4015 shelf to a fresh session low at 3979.82 as the US-Iran de-escalation kept the haven bid drained. RSI(14) near 26 is stretched but momentum is one-directional with no bounce yet established.

Support: 3,979.82, 3,960.00

Resistance: 4,000.00, 4,015.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim and M15 close back above 4000 would neutralise the breakdown read
  • Failure to hold 3979.82 opens the path to 3960
  • Wed ADP/Warsh/ISM are the next macro catalysts for this band

00:46 UTC

Downtrend, fresh low · RSI 31 · price 3,991.87

Lower highs, lower lows.

Gold pressed to a fresh session low at 3990.79 in early Asia hours, breaking the 4000 psych pivot after the US-Iran de-escalation drained the haven bid. Price is stair-stepping lower beneath EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 31; the 4000 level now caps as resistance.

Support: 3,990.79, 3,960.00

Resistance: 4,000.00, 4,016.00, 4,022.41

What it said to watch

  • M15 reclaim above 4016 then 4022 would break the lower-high chain
  • Sustained trade below 4000 keeps 3960 in range
  • US JOLTS/Consumer Confidence 14:00 GMT could shift the read

00:31 UTC

Downtrend, fresh session lows · RSI 38 · price 4,004.60

Lower highs, lower lows.

Gold has bled lower all window after the US-Iran de-escalation drained the haven bid, with a sharp break sub-4010 mid-session. Asia hours are now grinding to fresh lows at 4004, holding just above the 4000 psych pivot; bounces have stalled at the descending 4022 swing.

Support: 4,000.39, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,022.41

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4000 reopens 3960
  • Close back above 4022 breaks the lower-high chain
  • US JOLTS / Consumer Confidence at 14:00 GMT could shift this read

00:16 UTC

Downtrend, consolidating near lows · RSI 44 · price 4,011.04

Lower highs, lower lows; basing 4008-4022.

Gold slid through the NY session from 4075 to a 4000.39 low as US-Iran de-escalation drained the haven bid, and has since coiled 4008-4022 into early Asia hours. Price holds below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range; demand stepping in repeatedly at 4008 but rallies capped under 4022.

Support: 4,008.00, 4,000.39

Resistance: 4,022.41

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4022 challenges the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 4008 reopens the 4000 round number then sub-4000
  • Wed ADP/ISM + Warsh could materially shift this read

00:02 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 43 · price 4,014.45

Lower highs, basing near session low.

Gold ground lower through London-NY from 4075 toward the 4000.39 session low as the US-Iran truce drained the haven bid. Price now consolidating 4010-4022 in thin Asia hours, RSI(14) mid-range after the slide.

Support: 4,008.00, 4,000.39

Resistance: 4,022.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 4022 swing high would break the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 4008 session low reopens 4000 round number
  • Wed ADP/ISM and Warsh speech could materially shift this read

All markets that day · Today’s XAU/USD Live Scan in the terminal