XAU/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Friday, 31 July 2026

Every read JAFX AI made on the XAU/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.

20:47 UTC

Downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 53 · price 4,051.59

Range-bound after NY selloff.

Gold slid through the NY session from 4114 to a 4021 low as the USD rebounded off its six-week low, then recovered and has since coiled into a tight 4040–4055 range. RSI(14) back to neutral near 52; price holding just above EMA20/EMA50 with no directional impulse in the last few hours.

Support: 4,040.00, 4,021.05

Resistance: 4,055.50, 4,064.50

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4055.50 range top opens 4064.50 swing high
  • Loss of 4040 range floor exposes 4021.05 session low
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI Mon 14:00 UTC could break this range

20:46 UTC

Downtrend stabilising, now ranging · RSI 53 · price 4,051.59

Recovery off session low, tight range at top.

Gold flushed to 4022 during the NY session as the USD rebounded off its six-week low, then recovered to the low-4050s. Now consolidating in a tight 4045-4055 band into the late-NY close, RSI(14) back to neutral near 53.

Support: 4,045.00, 4,040.18, 4,022.02

Resistance: 4,055.51, 4,067.20

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4055.51 opens the path back to 4067
  • Loss of 4040 reopens the 4022 session low
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI Mon 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read

20:32 UTC

Down then stabilising, ranging · RSI 48 · price 4,047.45

Recovery off session low into tight range.

NY session sold off hard to a 4022 session low — matching the digest's $4,000-$4,028 lower-range floor — before buyers stepped in and dragged price back into a tight 4040-4055 range late session. RSI(14) is neutral near 48 and price sits just under both EMAs, no directional edge into the close.

Support: 4,040.00, 4,022.00

Resistance: 4,055.50, 4,076.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4055.5 range high reopens the path toward 4076
  • Loss of 4040 range low re-exposes the 4022 session low
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI Mon 14:00 UTC could break this range

20:32 UTC

Downtrend, stalling into range · RSI 47 · price 4,047.45

Consolidating above session low after NY sell-off.

Sharp NY sell-off dumped gold from 4059 to a session low at 4021 before a bounce reclaimed the 4040-4055 band, matching the USD rebound off six-week lows. Price now consolidating near 4047, capped at the 4055 session high with buyers holding the recent low around 4040.

Support: 4,040.00, 4,021.00

Resistance: 4,055.00, 4,059.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4040 re-exposes the 4021 session low
  • Reclaim of 4055 session high needed to void the consolidation
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI Mon 14:00 UTC could break this range

20:17 UTC

Downtrend, basing after selloff · RSI 49 · price 4,046.85

Consolidation above the session low.

Gold sold off through the NY session to a 4022 low as the USD firmed, then recovered and has since coiled in a tight 4040-4055 range. Price is stalling near the 61.8% retrace of that drop with RSI(14) flat around 48 — no directional resolution into the late session.

Support: 4,040.00, 4,022.00

Resistance: 4,055.00, 4,060.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4040 re-exposes the 4022 session low
  • M15 close above 4055 range top opens the path to 4060
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI Mon 14:00 UTC could re-arm USD direction and break this range

20:17 UTC

Downtrend paused, ranging after V-recovery · RSI 47 · price 4,046.85

Sold off to 4022, sharp recovery, now consolidating 4040-4055.

Gold sold off through the NY session to 4022 as the USD rebounded off six-week lows, then snapped back in a sharp V to 4055 and has since coiled in a tight 4040-4055 range into the Asia handover. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 47 with price pinned just under EMA20.

Support: 4,040.00, 4,022.00

Resistance: 4,055.50, 4,060.00, 4,072.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4055.5 breaks the range top and reopens 4060/4072
  • Failure to hold 4040 re-exposes the 4022 session low
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI Mon 14:00 UTC could break this range

20:03 UTC

Recovered off lows, now ranging · RSI 53 · price 4,051.32

Consolidation after double bottom at session low.

Gold sold off through NY to a session low near 4021, then based twice there and clawed back as the USD bounce from six-week lows steadied. Price now grinds in a tight 4040–4055 range late NY, RSI(14) neutral around 53.

Support: 4,040.00, 4,021.00

Resistance: 4,055.00, 4,060.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4060 opens the path back toward the 4100 area
  • Failure to hold 4040 reopens the session low at 4021
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI Mon 14:00 UTC could break the range read

20:02 UTC

Downtrend, stabilising after bounce · RSI 52 · price 4,051.32

Range-bound after double bottom recovery.

Gold sold off through London-NY to a 4022 double bottom then recovered into the 4040-4055 range as USD firmed back above 100 on Iran/yield support. Late NY session now grinding sideways just under the 4055 range top, RSI(14) neutral near 52.

Support: 4,040.00, 4,022.00

Resistance: 4,055.50, 4,067.20

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4055.5 range top opens 4067 prior high
  • Loss of 4040 range floor re-exposes the 4022 double bottom
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI Mon 14:00 UTC could break the range

19:47 UTC

Downtrend stabilising, recovery underway · RSI 56 · price 4,055.33

Double-bottom base off 4021, higher lows into late NY.

Gold flushed to a 4021 session low during the NY session as the USD rebounded off its six-week low, then recovered ~$34 to print a double-bottom base and reclaim 4047-4055. Now coiling tight below the 4055 session high in late NY hours, RSI(14) mid-range near 56.

Support: 4,047.00, 4,040.00, 4,021.00

Resistance: 4,060.00, 4,075.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4060 opens the path back to the 4075 prior swing
  • Failure to hold 4040 reopens the 4021 session low
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI Mon 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read

19:47 UTC

Downtrend easing, recovery grinding · RSI 56 · price 4,055.33

Bounced off session low, higher lows into 4055.

Gold sold from 4104 to a session low at 4021 through the NY session as the USD rebounded on Iran risk and hawkish Fed pricing. Since then price has ground back up on rising lows to 4055, RSI recovering to mid-50s; still capped below the 4059 swing high in a 4042–4059 range.

Support: 4,042.00, 4,021.00

Resistance: 4,059.00, 4,085.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4059 opens the path to 4085
  • Failure to hold 4042 re-opens the 4021 session low
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI Mon 14:00 UTC could shift this read

19:32 UTC

Intraday downtrend, stabilising · RSI 53 · price 4,050.01

Recovered off session low into tight range.

Gold sold off from 4082 to a 4021 session low during NY hours as the USD rebounded off a six-week low on Iran risk. Price has since recovered into a tight 4040–4055 consolidation with RSI back near neutral; range top capping the bounce.

Support: 4,040.00, 4,021.00

Resistance: 4,055.00, 4,082.00

What it said to watch

  • Close above 4055 opens the path back toward 4082
  • Failure to hold 4040 re-exposes the 4021 session low
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI Mon 14:00 UTC could shift this read

19:32 UTC

Downtrend, stabilising · RSI 52 · price 4,050.01

Sold off then based, now ranging 4040-4055.

Gold sold off through the NY session to 4021 before demand stepped in, recovering to 4050 and consolidating in a 4040-4055 range into late NY hours. USD firmed on Iran risk and a yield rebound, capping the bounce that retraced the NY down-move; RSI(14) has returned to neutral near 52.

Support: 4,040.18, 4,021.05

Resistance: 4,055.18, 4,067.20

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4055 range high opens the path back toward the 4067 swing high
  • Loss of 4040 range low re-exposes the 4021 session low
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI Mon 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read

19:17 UTC

Downtrend easing, now ranging · RSI 46 · price 4,047.35

Flush to 4022 then recovery, consolidating 4040-4055.

Gold flushed to 4022 during US session as the USD rebounded off its six-week low, then recovered to reclaim the 4040-4055 range. Price now grinds mid-range near 4047 with RSI(14) neutral around 46; the range top at 4055 has capped the last several attempts.

Support: 4,040.00, 4,022.00

Resistance: 4,055.00, 4,067.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4055 opens the path to the 4067 prior pivot
  • Failure to hold 4040 re-opens the 4022 session low
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI Mon 14:00 UTC could break this range

19:17 UTC

Downtrend, stabilising into range · RSI 50 · price 4,047.35

Recovery off session low, consolidating.

NY session sold off hard into a 4022 session low, then clawed back as the USD bounce stalled; price now consolidating 4040–4055 with RSI(14) flat near 50. Recovery has recaptured EMA20 but sits below EMA50 into the late-session grind.

Support: 4,040.00, 4,022.00

Resistance: 4,055.00, 4,059.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4055 range top opens the path to 4059 prior high
  • Loss of 4040 swing low re-exposes the 4022 session low
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI Mon 14:00 UTC could break the range

19:04 UTC

Intraday downtrend, stabilising · RSI 53 · price 4,051.81

Session low swept, ranging above it.

Gold sold off through the NY session to a 4022 session low as the USD rebounded on Iran risk, then recovered and is now consolidating 4040-4055. RSI(14) back near 53 after the wash-out; price is holding above EMA20 but below EMA50.

Support: 4,040.00, 4,022.00

Resistance: 4,055.00, 4,075.00

What it said to watch

  • Close above 4055 recent high opens the path to 4075 prior high
  • Failure to hold 4040 swing low reopens the 4022 session low
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI Mon 14:00 UTC could shift the read

19:03 UTC

Downtrend, stabilising off lows · RSI 53 · price 4,051.81

Recovery into tight range after NY selloff.

Gold sold off hard through the NY session to a 4021 session low as the USD rebounded on Iran risk, then clawed back into a tight 4040-4055 range. RSI(14) has recovered to the mid-50s and price sits back above EMA20 but under EMA50; no clean directional structure into the late session.

Support: 4,040.00, 4,021.00

Resistance: 4,055.00, 4,067.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4055 session high opens the path to the 4067 swing high
  • Failure to hold 4040 range floor re-exposes the 4021 session low
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI Mon 14:00 UTC could break the 4000-4200 range

18:47 UTC

Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 52 · price 4,049.37

Session low bounce, rising lows into consolidation.

Gold sold off through NY hours from 4113 to a session low at 4022 as the USD rebounded on Iran risk and firmer yields. Price has since carved a rounded bottom with rising lows back to 4049, RSI(14) recovered to mid-50s; the 4040-4055 band is now the working range.

Support: 4,040.00

Resistance: 4,055.18, 4,061.00

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 4040 range low re-exposes the 4022 session low
  • M15 close above 4055 range top opens the 4061 prior swing
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI Mon 14:00 UTC could reset this read

18:47 UTC

Downtrend, stabilising into consolidation · RSI 52 · price 4,049.37

Recovery off swing low, ranging 4040-4055.

Gold sold off through the NY morning to a 4021 swing low as the USD rebounded above DXY 100 on US-Iran risk and renewed hike bets. Buyers stepped in twice near 4021 and price has since recovered into a 4040-4055 consolidation, RSI(14) back to neutral around 52.

Support: 4,040.00, 4,021.00

Resistance: 4,055.00, 4,085.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4055 range high opens the path to 4085 prior swing
  • Loss of 4040 range low re-exposes the 4021 swing low
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI Mon 14:00 UTC could shift this read

18:32 UTC

Intraday downtrend, recovering · RSI 51 · price 4,050.62

Session sell-off, now consolidating above lows.

NY session drove gold from ~4117 to a session low at 4021 as the USD rebounded on US-Iran escalation and renewed Fed hike bets. Price has since recovered into a 4040-4055 consolidation with RSI back near neutral; range top capping the bounce.

Support: 4,040.00, 4,021.05

Resistance: 4,055.18, 4,060.00, 4,079.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4055 swing high opens 4060 then the 4079 shelf
  • Failure to hold 4040 range low re-opens the 4021 session low
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI Mon 14:00 UTC could shift this read

18:31 UTC

Downtrend, recovering off session low · RSI 54 · price 4,050.62

Bounce and consolidation after new low.

XAUUSD sold off through the NY session to a 4021 low as the USD reclaimed 100.00 on Iran risk and renewed Fed-hike bets, then recovered to consolidate 4040-4055. Buyers stepped in around 4040 into the close; the 4055 swing high still caps.

Support: 4,040.00, 4,021.05

Resistance: 4,055.18, 4,067.20

What it said to watch

  • Close above 4055 opens the path to the 4067 pivot
  • Failure to hold 4040 reopens the 4021 session low
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI Mon 14:00 UTC could shift this read

18:17 UTC

Downtrend, recovery underway · RSI 53 · price 4,048.25

Double bottom off session low, higher lows building.

Gold sold off through the NY session from 4117 to a 4022 session low, where a double bottom held and price is grinding back toward 4055 into late NY. Move fits the range-bound $4,000-$4,200 read as the USD rebounded off its six-week low; RSI has recovered to neutral near 53.

Support: 4,040.00, 4,022.00

Resistance: 4,055.18, 4,062.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4055 extends the recovery toward 4062
  • Loss of 4040 reopens the 4022 session low
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI Mon 14:00 UTC could reset the range read

18:16 UTC

Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 51 · price 4,048.25

Lower lows into 4021, now carving higher lows.

Gold sold off through the NY session from the 4108 area to a session low near 4021 as the Dollar rebounded off a six-week low, then recovered into a 4040-4055 range. Higher lows are building off the 4021 base, RSI(14) back to neutral near 51 with price now above EMA20 but capped under EMA50.

Support: 4,040.00, 4,021.05

Resistance: 4,055.18, 4,062.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above session high 4055 opens room toward the 4062 prior swing
  • Loss of the 4040 range floor exposes a retest of the 4021 session low
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI Mon 14:00 UTC could reset this intraday range

18:02 UTC

Intraday downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 56 · price 4,054.44

Recovery off session low, lower highs into the day.

Gold sold off through NY hours to a session low near 4022 as the Dollar rebounded from a 1.5-month low on renewed US-Iran tensions, then based and recovered back into the mid-4050s. Price now sits above EMA20 but under EMA50 with RSI(14) mid-range; the 4061 swing high is the immediate cap on the bounce.

Support: 4,040.00, 4,022.00

Resistance: 4,061.00, 4,080.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4061 extends the recovery toward the 4080 prior-support shelf
  • Loss of 4040 reopens the 4022 session low
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI Mon 14:00 UTC could reset this intraday read

18:02 UTC

Intraday downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 58 · price 4,054.44

Session sell-off basing, higher lows since 4022.

Gold sold off from 4117 to a session low of 4022 during NY hours as the Dollar rebounded off a six-week low, then clawed back toward 4054. Price is now stalling into the 38.2% retrace near 4060 after printing higher lows off 4022; range floor at 4040 has held on the pullbacks.

Support: 4,040.00, 4,022.00

Resistance: 4,060.00, 4,072.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 4060 swing high opens the path back toward 4072 prior range
  • Loss of 4040 range floor exposes the 4022 session low again
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI Mon 14:00 UTC could reset this range read

17:47 UTC

Downtrend, stabilising after bounce · RSI 53 · price 4,052.48

Sold off to 4022, now ranging 4040-4053.

Gold sold off through the NY session to a 4022 low as the USD clawed back above DXY 100.00 on Middle East headlines, then recovered to ~4052. Price is now consolidating 4040-4053, holding above EMA20 but capped below EMA50; RSI(14) neutral near 53.

Support: 4,040.00, 4,022.00

Resistance: 4,053.34, 4,061.07

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4061 opens the path back toward the EMA50 and 4085
  • Failure to hold 4040 exposes a retest of the 4022 session low
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI Mon 14:00 UTC could reset this intraday read

17:46 UTC

Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 54 · price 4,052.48

Sold to session low 4022, higher lows since.

Gold sold off hard through the NY session to 4022 before buyers stepped in, grinding back to 4053 on a chain of higher lows. Price now sits just above EMA20 with RSI(14) mid-range near 53; the broader $4,000-$4,200 range remains firmly intact.

Support: 4,040.00, 4,022.00

Resistance: 4,053.00, 4,061.00

What it said to watch

  • Close above 4061 swing high opens path back toward 4075
  • Failure to hold 4040 swing low reopens the 4022 session low
  • $4,000 range floor remains the wider downside pivot

17:32 UTC

Intraday downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 55 · price 4,051.56

Double-bottom recovery into consolidation.

NY session sold off from 4110 to a 4021 low, where buyers stepped in twice (double bottom) before the recovery back to 4051. Now consolidating between 4040 and 4053 with RSI(14) neutral near 55.

Support: 4,040.00, 4,021.05

Resistance: 4,053.00, 4,067.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4053 opens the path toward the 4067 swing pivot
  • Loss of 4040 re-exposes the 4021 double-bottom low
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI Mon 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read

17:32 UTC

Session downtrend, recovery underway · RSI 54 · price 4,051.56

Bottomed at 4022, now ranging 4041-4053.

Gold sold off through NY hours to a session low at 4022, then recovered to consolidate in a 4041-4053 range as the USD rebounded off a six-week low, keeping the $4,000-$4,200 range intact. RSI(14) back near 54 after the bounce, price reclaiming EMA20 but capped below EMA50 and the session high at 4053.

Support: 4,041.00, 4,022.00

Resistance: 4,053.00, 4,059.00, 4,067.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4059 prior high opens path toward 4067 swing high
  • Loss of the 4041 range floor reopens the 4022 session low
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI Mon 14:00 UTC could shift the range read

17:17 UTC

Downtrend, stabilising after selloff · RSI 48 · price 4,045.75

Lower highs, consolidating above session low.

NY session drove gold from the 4100s down to a 4022 session low as the Dollar rebounded on US-Iran tensions. Buyers stepped in near 4022 and price has since consolidated in a tight 4040-4052 band; RSI(14) has recovered off its lows to mid-range.

Support: 4,040.00, 4,022.00

Resistance: 4,052.00, 4,062.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4040 reopens the 4022 session low
  • Reclaim of 4052 bounce high needed to challenge the 4062 swing high
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI Mon 14:00 UTC could break this range

17:16 UTC

Downtrend, stabilising · RSI 49 · price 4,045.75

Sold off to 4021, now consolidating 4040-4052.

Gold sold off through the NY session into a 4021 low as the Dollar clawed back above DXY 100.00, then buyers stepped in twice near 4021-4036 to build a base. Price now consolidates 4040-4052 with RSI(14) back to neutral; session high at 4052 caps the recovery.

Support: 4,040.18, 4,021.05

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4040 reopens the 4021 swing low
  • Reclaim of 4052 session high opens the 4060 pivot
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI Mon 14:00 UTC could shift this read

17:03 UTC

Intraday downtrend, stabilising · RSI 47 · price 4,043.95

Sold off to range floor, now consolidating.

Gold sold off through the NY session toward the $4,000-$4,200 range floor, printing a double bottom near 4022 as the USD rebounded on renewed US-Iran tensions. Price has since recovered into a tight 4040-4052 consolidation, RSI(14) back to neutral near 46.

Support: 4,040.00, 4,022.00

Resistance: 4,052.50, 4,059.30

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4052.50 opens the path back toward 4059
  • Loss of 4040 range floor re-exposes the 4022 session low
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI Mon 14:00 UTC could shift this read

17:03 UTC

Downtrend, stabilizing near lows · RSI 46 · price 4,043.95

Consolidation above session low after sharp NY drop.

NY session drove gold from 4059 to a 4022 low, printing a double bottom near 4021 before buyers lifted it back into a 4040-4050 consolidation. RSI(14) recovered to the mid-40s and price is hugging EMA20 while the 4050-4052 swing high caps the bounce, in keeping with the entrenched $4,000-$4,200 range.

Support: 4,036.00, 4,022.00

Resistance: 4,050.00, 4,060.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4052 opens a retest of 4060
  • Loss of 4036 exposes the 4021-4022 double bottom
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI Mon 14:00 UTC could shift this range read

16:47 UTC

Intraday downtrend, basing · RSI 46 · price 4,043.34

Sold to session low, consolidating above it.

NY session sold gold from ~4060 down to sweep the 4021 session low as the Dollar firmed off its six-week low; buyers stepped in twice at 4021-4025 forming a double bottom. Price has recovered to 4043 and is now consolidating between 4034 and the 4052 recovery high, RSI back near the midline.

Support: 4,034.00, 4,021.05

Resistance: 4,060.00, 4,067.00

What it said to watch

  • Close above 4052 recovery high opens 4060/4067
  • Loss of 4034 range floor reopens the 4021 session low
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI Mon 14:00 UTC could break this range

16:46 UTC

Intraday downtrend, stabilising · RSI 47 · price 4,043.34

Double bottom off session low, consolidating.

NY session sold gold from 4060 down to a session low at 4022, where buyers stepped in twice to form a double bottom as the USD rebounded off its six-week low. Recovery stalled around 4052; now consolidating 4036-4052 with RSI(14) back near neutral.

Support: 4,036.00, 4,022.00

Resistance: 4,052.57, 4,059.33

What it said to watch

  • Close below 4036 reopens the 4022 session low
  • Reclaim of 4052.57 opens the path to 4059
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI Mon 14:00 UTC could reset this range read

16:31 UTC

Downtrend, bounce underway · RSI 48 · price 4,047.30

Lower highs into session low, recovering.

Gold slid from 4115 toward the 4022 range-floor area during NY hours as the USD rebounded on US-Iran tensions, printing a double bottom near 4022 before bouncing to 4047. RSI(14) has lifted off oversold to ~48; the recovery is capped so far at the 4052-4059 supply band.

Support: 4,022.00

Resistance: 4,059.30

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back below 4022 confirms a lower low and reopens the range floor
  • Reclaim of 4059 needed to shift the intraday structure higher
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI Mon 14:00 UTC could materially move this read

16:17 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stabilising · RSI 48 · price 4,045.53

Lower highs into 4021 low, now consolidating.

NY session drove gold from ~4119 down to a 4021 session low as the USD rebounded on US-Iran tensions; buyers stepped in twice near 4021 and price is now consolidating between the 4036 swing low and the 4052 session high. RSI(14) has recovered to mid-range off the lows, momentum stabilising rather than trending.

Support: 4,036.00, 4,021.00

What it said to watch

  • Close below 4036 swing low exposes a retest of the 4021 session low
  • Reclaim of 4052 session high needed to shift the micro structure back up
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI Mon 14:00 UTC could reprice USD and materially shift this read

16:16 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stabilising · RSI 46 · price 4,045.53

Session low swept, consolidating above.

NY session slid from ~4060 to a session low at 4021 as the Dollar rebounded off a six-week low, then buyers stepped in to reclaim 4040-4052. Price now consolidating in the upper half of the drop with RSI(14) recovering back to neutral.

Support: 4,021.05

Resistance: 4,076.47

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4052 bounce high opens the path to 4076
  • Loss of 4021 session low confirms a fresh lower low
  • ISM Manufacturing (Mon 14:00 UTC) could shift this read

16:03 UTC

Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 44 · price 4,044.37

Lower highs into 4021 base, corrective bounce.

Gold sold off through the NY session from ~4085 to a 4021 session low as the USD rebounded on Mid-East tensions. A double bottom near 4021 sparked a bounce to 4052; price now consolidating 4036-4052 with RSI mid-40s, sitting on EMA20.

Support: 4,036.00, 4,021.05, 4,000.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4021 confirms a lower low and reopens the 4000 range floor
  • Reclaim of 4052 bounce high challenges the intraday downtrend
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI Mon 14:00 UTC could shift this read

16:02 UTC

Downtrend, stabilising · RSI 44 · price 4,044.37

Lower highs, consolidating above session low.

Gold sold off through the NY session from 4115 to a 4021 session low as the Dollar rebounded on Mid-East tensions, RSI printing oversold at the low. Price is now consolidating 4036-4052 with RSI recovering off the extreme; lower highs still intact overhead.

Support: 4,036.00, 4,021.05

Resistance: 4,076.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4052 opens the path back to the 4076 prior shelf
  • Failure to hold 4021 session low confirms a lower low and extends the downtrend
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI Mon 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read

15:47 UTC

Downtrend, bounce stalling · RSI 48 · price 4,041.90

Session selloff, V-bounce off session low.

NY session sold gold from 4059 to a session low at 4021, where buyers stepped in twice before a sharp V-bounce to 4052. That bounce was rejected and price now consolidates near 4041, holding a higher low at 4036; move fits the month-long 4000-4200 range chop.

Support: 4,036.00, 4,021.00

Resistance: 4,052.00, 4,059.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4052 opens the path back to the 4059 swing high
  • Loss of the 4036 higher low re-exposes the 4021 session low
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI Mon 14:00 UTC could shift this read

15:47 UTC

Intraday downtrend, bounce underway · RSI 44 · price 4,041.90

Sold off to 4022, double bottom, corrective bounce.

Gold slid through the NY session from 4060 down to a 4022 low, then carved a double bottom and bounced to a 4052 session high before easing back to 4042. The USD rebound on Mid-East tensions kept pressure toward the range floor; RSI(14) has recovered off oversold to ~44.

Support: 4,022.00, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,052.00, 4,060.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4022 confirms a lower low, exposing the 4000 range floor
  • Reclaim of the 4052 session high opens the path to the 4060 swing high
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI Mon 14:00 UTC could shift this read

15:32 UTC

Downtrend, bounce underway · RSI 45 · price 4,040.13

Lower highs into 4021 triple-bottom, corrective bounce.

Gold sold off through the NY session from ~4100 to a 4021 triple-bottom before bouncing to 4052, now easing back to 4040 as the Dollar rebounds on Mid-East tensions. Price sits below EMA20/50 with the recovery stalling under the 4052 swing high.

Support: 4,021.05

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4021 confirms a fresh lower low
  • Reclaim of 4052 needed to shift the intraday downtrend
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI Mon 14:00 UTC could reset this range

15:31 UTC

Downtrend, bounce fading · RSI 42 · price 4,040.13

Lower highs, lower lows; 4022 swept then bounced.

NY session sold gold from 4059 down to a 4022 low as the USD rebounded, pressing toward the $4,000 range floor; a bounce to 4052.57 has since stalled. RSI(14) lifting off oversold near 42, but price holds below EMA20/50.

Support: 4,021.05

Resistance: 4,052.57

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4052.57 breaks the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 4021 session low exposes the $4,000 range floor
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI (Mon 14:00 UTC) could reset this read

15:17 UTC

Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 44 · price 4,048.69

Lower highs into 4021 low, corrective bounce underway.

NY session sold off sharply to a 4021 session low as the USD rebounded on US-Iran tensions, then recovered to 4048. RSI(14) lifting off oversold near 44; the bounce is stalling under the 4059 prior high.

Support: 4,035.00, 4,021.00

Resistance: 4,059.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4059 negates the lower-high structure
  • Failure to hold 4035 reopens the 4021 session low
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI Mon 14:00 UTC could reprice USD and shift this read

15:16 UTC

Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 45 · price 4,048.69

Lower highs into 4022 low, recovery underway.

NY session sold off hard into 4021-4022, twice rejected there forming a double bottom, then bounced to 4048 as the USD rebound driving the chop paused. Price is retesting the 4052 session high with RSI recovering off oversold.

Support: 4,041.00, 4,021.50

Resistance: 4,059.33

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4059 swing high would break the lower-high chain
  • Loss of 4041 bounce low re-exposes the 4021 session low
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI Mon 14:00 UTC could reset this intraday read

15:03 UTC

Downtrend, sharp bounce off lows · RSI 46 · price 4,048.55

Lower highs into 4021 session low, then recovery.

Gold sold off through the NY session into a 4021 low as the USD rebounded off its 1.5-month low, sweeping the lows before buyers stepped in and lifted price back to 4048. The bounce is holding above the 4036 swing low but still sits under the 4059 prior high that capped the last leg down.

Support: 4,036.22, 4,021.05

Resistance: 4,059.33

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 4059 negates the lower-high sequence
  • Failure to hold 4036 reopens the 4021 session low
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI Mon 14:00 UTC could shift this read

15:02 UTC

Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 44 · price 4,048.55

Lower highs, lower lows; V-recovery from session low.

NY session sold gold from ~4059 down to a 4021 low as the USD firmed back off its six-week low on renewed US-Iran tensions, then a sharp V-bounce lifted price to 4048. RSI(14) recovered out of oversold; 4059 prior swing caps the rebound with 4022 marking the session low.

Support: 4,022.00, 4,035.00

Resistance: 4,059.00, 4,080.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4059 opens the path back toward 4080 swing high
  • Failure to hold 4035 exposes a retest of the 4022 session low
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI Mon 14:00 UTC could reset this intraday read

14:46 UTC

Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 38 · price 4,041.39

Lower highs / lower lows, held 4021.

Persistent M15 downtrend through the NY session, gold swept 4021 as the USD rebounded on Mid-East safe-haven flows before buyers lifted it back to 4041. RSI(14) recovering from oversold; 4047 pivot caps the bounce so far.

Support: 4,021.05

Resistance: 4,047.00, 4,059.33

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 4059 prior sup needed to break the lower-high chain
  • Loss of 4021 swing low confirms a fresh lower low
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI Mon 14:00 UTC could reset this read

14:46 UTC

Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 38 · price 4,041.39

Lower highs, lower lows into 4021.

NY session sell-off drove gold from the 4100 pivot down to a 4021 session low as the USD rebounded above 100.00 on Mid-East safe-haven flows. Buyers stepped in at 4021 and price is retracing toward 4059; ATR(14) near 900 pips reflects the fast intraday range.

Support: 4,021.05, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,059.33

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 4059 pivot needed to ease the downtrend read
  • Break of 4021 session low opens the path to the 4000 range floor
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI Mon 14:00 UTC could reset this read

14:32 UTC

Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 38 · price 4,038.21

Chain of lower highs / lower lows, weak recovery.

Gold sold off through the NY session, sweeping down to 4021 as the USD firmed on Mid-East safe-haven flows before a modest bounce to 4038. RSI(14) turning up from oversold but price still below EMA20/50 with lower highs intact; 4047 pivot and 4060 prior base cap the recovery.

Support: 4,021.05, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,047.00, 4,060.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4047 pivot would break the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 4021 session low reopens the 4000 range floor
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI Mon 14:00 UTC could reset USD direction and this read

14:31 UTC

Downtrend, accelerating into NY · RSI 38 · price 4,038.21

Chain of lower highs and lower lows.

Gold sold off through the NY session, breaking the 4047 pivot and sweeping down to 4021 before a small bounce to 4038 as the USD firmed on renewed US-Iran headlines. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 37; 4060 has repeatedly capped bounces.

Support: 4,021.05, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,047.03, 4,060.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 4047 pivot needed to ease the downtrend read
  • Loss of 4021 session low confirms a fresh lower-low toward the 4000 range floor
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI Mon 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read

14:17 UTC

Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 31 · price 4,032.32

Lower highs, lower lows into session low.

NY session sold off hard, gold sliced through 4047 and 4059 to print a session low at 4021 as the USD firmed after the ECI beat. Price bouncing modestly to 4032 with RSI(14) near 30; the move is stretched but structure remains lower highs, lower lows.

Support: 4,021.05, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,047.00, 4,059.30

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim above 4047 would neutralise the breakdown read
  • Failure to hold 4021 opens the 4000 round number
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI Mon could reset USD tone and this read

14:16 UTC

Downtrend, momentum extended · RSI 29 · price 4,032.32

Lower highs, lower lows; fresh session low.

NY session sold off sharply into the UoM inflation-expectations print, gold breaking the 4050 shelf and printing a session low at 4021 before a small bounce to 4032. RSI(14) near 29 marks the move as stretched; the intraday chain of lower highs remains intact.

Support: 4,021.05, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,047.03

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim above 4047 would break the lower-high sequence
  • Close below 4021 opens the path toward the 4000 round number
  • Further US inflation-expectations follow-through could extend the selloff

14:03 UTC

Downtrend, momentum accelerating · RSI 28 · price 4,027.70

Lower highs, lower lows; pressing range floor.

NY session sold off hard through the afternoon, a chain of lower highs dragging XAU from 4087 down to a 4022 session low as the USD rebound weighed. Price is pinned near the 4000-4200 range floor with RSI(14) sub-30, short-term stretched but consistent with the trend.

Support: 4,022.00, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,047.00, 4,087.00

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 4022 session low exposes the 4000 range floor
  • Reclaim of 4047 swing low would ease the downside pressure
  • UoM inflation expectations print could sharpen this move

14:02 UTC

Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 25 · price 4,027.70

Lower highs, lower lows into range floor.

NY session sold off hard, gold breaking down from ~4110 to 4022 as the USD rebounded on Iran-inflation risk, dragging the metal toward the lower half of its month-long range. RSI(14) is deeply oversold near 24 with price parked at session lows, probing the $4,000 range floor.

Support: 4,022.02

Resistance: 4,059.33

What it said to watch

  • UoM inflation expectations due imminent — a hot print reinforces USD strength and pressures gold further
  • Failure to hold 4022 session low opens the $4,000 range floor
  • Reclaim of 4059 swing high needed to ease the downside momentum

13:46 UTC

Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 25 · price 4,026.07

Lower highs, lower lows; fresh session low.

Gold slid through the NY session, breaking down from the $4,050 shelf to a fresh session low at 4022 as the USD rebound and UoM inflation risk pressured the metal back into the lower half of the range. RSI(14) near 25 flags a stretched, one-way move.

Support: 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,047.00

What it said to watch

  • UoM inflation expectations due ~15min — a hot print could extend the leg toward 4000
  • Close below 4022 opens the path to the 4000 round number
  • Reclaim of 4047 would negate the fresh lower-low read

13:31 UTC

Downtrend, momentum extending · RSI 32 · price 4,040.06

Lower highs, lower lows into session lows.

Gold slid through the NY session to fresh window lows near 4034 as the USD rebounded off its six-week low on renewed US-Iran tensions. Price broke below the 4059 swing and holds under both EMAs, RSI cooling into the low 30s with only a shallow bounce back to 4040.

Support: 4,040.00

Resistance: 4,059.33

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim above 4059 would negate the lower-high sequence
  • Break and hold below 4034 opens the lower 4000-4020 zone
  • Chicago PMI / UoM sentiment (14:00 UTC) could shift this read

13:31 UTC

Downtrend, momentum extended · RSI 31 · price 4,040.06

Lower highs, lower lows through NY session.

Gold sold off steadily through the NY session from the 4115 area to 4034 as the USD rebounded off its six-week low on renewed US-Iran tensions and lingering Fed-hike bets. RSI(14) is stretched near oversold after the leg down; price is pinned to the 4034 session low with a small bounce off it into the current bar.

Support: 4,034.82, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,059.33

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 4059.33 swing high would ease the downside pressure
  • Loss of 4034.82 session low confirms continuation toward the 4000 range floor
  • UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift USD and this read

13:16 UTC

Downtrend, momentum extending · RSI 28 · price 4,036.24

Lower highs, lower lows into NY.

Gold sold off through the NY session, sliding from the 4110-4120 area to a fresh session low at 4034.82 as the USD firmed back above 100.00 on renewed US-Iran tensions. The break below 4050 accelerated the down-leg; RSI(14) is oversold near 27 and price sits well below EMA20/50 with no reclaim attempt yet.

Support: 4,034.82, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,047.00

What it said to watch

  • Chicago PMI (13:45 UTC) and UoM sentiment/inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) land imminently and could materially shift this read
  • Reclaim of 4047 would ease the immediate downside pressure
  • Failure to hold 4034.82 opens the path toward the 4000 range floor

13:16 UTC

Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 27 · price 4,036.24

Lower highs, lower lows into session low.

Gold slid through the NY session to a fresh session low at 4034.82 as the USD rebounded off its six-week low. Downtrend intact with a clean chain of lower highs; RSI(14) near 27 shows short-term stretch but momentum still lower.

Support: 4,034.82, 4,020.00, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,059.33

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim above 4059.33 would break the lower-high chain
  • Failure to hold 4034.82 opens the 4020/4000 range floor
  • Chicago PMI (13:45 UTC) and UoM inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) could shift this read

13:03 UTC

Downtrend, accelerating into lows · RSI 30 · price 4,040.37

Lower highs, lower lows.

Gold sold steadily through the NY session, printing fresh session lows at 4036 with RSI(14) near oversold as a firmer USD (Iran-driven risk premium) caps any bounce. Price is pinned to the lower end of the $4,000-$4,200 range with no signs of buyers stepping in yet.

Support: 4,036.34, 4,028.00, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,059.33

What it said to watch

  • Break of 4028 recent lod opens the 4000 range floor
  • Reclaim of 4059 swing high needed to ease the lower-low sequence
  • UoM inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) and Chicago PMI (13:45 UTC) could shift this read

13:03 UTC

Downtrend, extending lows · RSI 31 · price 4,040.37

Lower highs, lower lows into session low.

NY session pressed gold lower to a fresh session low at 4036, with a firm USD keeping rallies capped and RSI(14) cooling into the low 30s. Price is riding the lows below EMA20/50 after a steady chain of lower highs from 4120.

Support: 4,036.34, 4,028.00, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,059.33

What it said to watch

  • Chicago PMI (13:45 UTC) and UoM inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) land within the next hour and can materially shift this read
  • Break and hold below 4028 recent lod opens the 4000 range floor
  • Reclaim of 4059 swing high needed to challenge the lower-high sequence

12:47 UTC

Downtrend, pressing session low · RSI 32 · price 4,044.24

Lower highs, lower lows.

Gold ground lower through NY hours in a clean lower-high/lower-low chain, printing a fresh session low at 4042.61 on the last bar as a firmer USD capped rallies. RSI(14) near 31 shows momentum stretched but not yet extreme; price sits well below EMA20/50.

Support: 4,042.61, 4,028.00

Resistance: 4,059.33

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 4059 breaks the lower-high chain
  • Loss of 4042 opens the 4028 recent lod
  • Chicago PMI (13:45 UTC) and UoM inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) due within the hour could shift this read

12:46 UTC

Downtrend, extending lower · RSI 27 · price 4,044.24

Lower highs, lower lows into session low.

Gold ground lower through the NY session, breaking the 4059 swing to print a fresh session low at 4042, with RSI(14) into oversold near 27. Firm USD on Iran-driven safe-haven demand is capping rallies, keeping price pinned toward the lower end of the $4,000-$4,200 range.

Support: 4,028.00, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,059.34

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 4059 would ease the lower-low sequence
  • Break of 4042 opens the 4028 prior lod toward the 4000 range floor
  • Chicago PMI (13:45 UTC) and UoM inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) due within the next bar could shift USD and this read

12:32 UTC

Downtrend, fresh session low · RSI 34 · price 4,050.97

Lower highs, lower lows.

NY session pressed gold to a fresh intraday low of 4044.87, extending a steady chain of lower highs from 4087; the leg down tracks Friday's USD short-covering bounce back above 100.00. RSI(14) near 34 — soft but not yet extreme; price recovered to 4051 into the close.

Support: 4,044.87, 4,040.00

Resistance: 4,076.00, 4,087.46

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4044.87 extends the lower-low sequence toward 4040
  • Reclaim of 4076 prior range invalidates the downtrend read
  • UoM inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) could shift this read

12:31 UTC

Downtrend, fresh session low · RSI 35 · price 4,050.97

Chain of lower highs and lower lows.

Gold ground lower through the NY session, breaking the 4050 psych level to print a session low at 4044.87 as a safe-haven USD bid capped the metal. Sequence of lower highs intact; RSI(14) at 34 approaching but not yet at extreme.

Support: 4,044.87, 4,050.00

Resistance: 4,059.33

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 4059.33 breaks the lower-high sequence
  • Failure to hold 4044.87 extends the down leg toward the 4000 range base
  • UoM inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) could shift the USD read and this move

12:16 UTC

Downtrend, basing at lows · RSI 43 · price 4,056.26

Lower highs, lower lows into 4050 base.

Gold sold off through the NY session from 4120 to a 4050 base as the USD short-covering bounce off its 6-week low pressured the metal. Price is now chopping in a tight 4050-4061 range with RSI(14) mid-40s; the 4050 floor has held twice, supply capping near 4061.

Support: 4,050.30, 4,045.00

Resistance: 4,061.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4067 would break the lower-high chain and challenge the downtrend read
  • Failure to hold 4050 confirms continuation toward 4045
  • UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read

12:16 UTC

Downtrend, basing at lows · RSI 44 · price 4,056.26

Lower highs, lower lows; basing 4050-4060.

Gold slid through the NY session, breaking below 4080 and printing a chain of lower lows into 4050 as the USD safe-haven bid pressured the metal. Price is now basing between 4050 and 4060, RSI(14) mid-range near 43 after the decline.

Support: 4,050.32, 4,040.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4050 confirms a fresh lower low toward 4040
  • Reclaim of 4082 needed to challenge the downtrend read
  • UoM inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) could materially shift this read

12:03 UTC

Downtrend, momentum cooling · RSI 44 · price 4,052.78

Lower highs into session lows, now consolidating.

Gold slid through NY hours from the 4115 area down to a 4050 session low, price now compressing in a 4050-4059 band just above the low. RSI(14) has lifted off the sub-40 zone as the decline stalls; the broader leg lower was USD-driven off the safe-haven dollar bid rather than fresh gold selling.

Support: 4,050.32

Resistance: 4,059.34, 4,067.20

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4050 session low opens the $4,000-4,050 range base
  • Reclaim of 4067 swing high needed to challenge the downtrend of lower highs
  • UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read and this structure

12:02 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 44 · price 4,052.78

Lower highs, lower lows; basing near session low.

Gold slid through the NY session from the ~4120 session high to a 4050 base, a USD safe-haven bounce weighing after the metal's earlier pop above 4110. Sellers capped each retrace lower while buyers stepped in twice around 4050; RSI(14) mid-range as the decline flattens.

Support: 4,050.32, 4,000.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4050 opens the 4000 range base
  • Reclaim of 4082 breaks the lower-high sequence
  • UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift USD and this read

11:46 UTC

Downtrend, decelerating at lows · RSI 41 · price 4,051.76

Lower highs into a base at 4050.

Gold ground lower through the NY session from 4120 to a 4050 session low as the USD rebounded above DXY 100 on the Iran safe-haven bid. Price is now consolidating 4050–4059 just above the low, RSI(14) basing near 41; the recovery attempt has stalled below the 4067 swing high.

Support: 4,050.30, 4,028.00

Resistance: 4,059.30, 4,067.20

What it said to watch

  • US Employment Cost Index at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
  • Break below 4050 session low opens the 4028 range floor
  • M15 close above 4067 swing high breaks the lower-high chain

11:46 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stabilizing · RSI 43 · price 4,051.76

Lower highs / lower lows, basing near session low.

Steady intraday downtrend: gold slid from 4120 to a session low at 4050 as the USD firmed off its lows, RSI(14) recovering from oversold. Price is now consolidating 4050–4058 near the lows with 4061 capping, no reclaim yet of the broken structure.

Support: 4,050.32, 4,028.00

Resistance: 4,061.07

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 4061 breaks the lower-high chain
  • Failure to hold 4050 session low opens the 4028 range floor
  • ECI 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could shift this read

11:31 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 41 · price 4,056.38

Lower highs/lows, basing above 4050.

Steady M15 downtrend rolled off the 4120 high through London hours to a 4050 swing low, USD's safe-haven bounce weighing on gold. Price now consolidating 4052-4061 with RSI(14) off the lows but sub-45; lower-high chain intact.

Support: 4,050.32, 4,028.00

Resistance: 4,061.07, 4,067.20

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4050 confirms a lower low, opening the path toward the 4028 range floor
  • Reclaim of 4067 needed to break the lower-high sequence
  • Employment Cost Index at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

11:31 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stabilizing · RSI 43 · price 4,056.38

Lower highs into a 4050-4060 base.

Gold sold off through the London-NY transition from ~4114 to a 4050.32 session low, USD-driven mean-reversion faded as the safe-haven bid resurfaced. Price now bases between 4050 and 4060 with RSI(14) lifting off oversold; the 4067 swing caps any bounce.

Support: 4,050.32, 4,028.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4050 opens the 4028 range floor
  • Reclaim of 4067 needed to shift the lower-high structure
  • ECI at 12:30 UTC could materially move this read

11:17 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 43 · price 4,058.53

Lower highs, basing near 4050.

M15 slid from the 4120 high through London-NY into a 4050 session low, RSI(14) recovering off oversold as USD's safe-haven bounce capped gold. Price now consolidating 4050-4059 below both EMAs; downtrend intact but momentum flattening.

Support: 4,050.32

Resistance: 4,067.20

What it said to watch

  • UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could break this consolidation
  • M15 close back above 4067 swing high would challenge the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 4050 session low confirms continuation lower

11:16 UTC

Downtrend, momentum easing near lows · RSI 40 · price 4,058.53

Chain of lower highs and lower lows.

Gold stair-stepped lower through the London session from ~4114 to a 4051 session low as the USD found a safe-haven bounce back above 100.00, then stabilised into 4058. RSI(14) near 40 off the lows; price is holding a tight 4051–4059 base for now.

Support: 4,051.36

Resistance: 4,067.20

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4051 confirms continuation of lower lows
  • Reclaim of 4067 then 4077 would break the descending swing highs
  • UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read

11:02 UTC

Downtrend, momentum flattening · RSI 43 · price 4,053.91

Lower highs / lower lows, basing near session low.

Gold ground down from the 4120 session high through the day, printing successive lower highs and lows into 4050 as the post-FOMC $4,000-$4,200 range held. Price is now basing in a tight 4053-4055 pocket just above the round 4050, RSI(14) recovering off intraday lows but still sub-50.

Support: 4,050.32, 4,050.00

Resistance: 4,067.20

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 4067 swing would break the lower-high chain
  • Loss of 4050 session low opens the path toward the 4000 range floor
  • UoM inflation expectations 14:00 UTC and ECI 12:30 UTC could shift this read

11:02 UTC

Downtrend, momentum easing · RSI 43 · price 4,053.91

Lower highs, lower lows; basing near session low.

Gold slid from the 4120 high through London-NY, printing a clean chain of lower highs down to a 4050 session low as the USD stabilised above 100.00. Price is now coiling in a tight 4050-4057 range with RSI(14) recovering off oversold, no directional break yet.

Support: 4,050.30, 4,045.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4050 session low opens the path toward 4045
  • Reclaim of 4067 swing high needed to break the lower-high sequence
  • UoM inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could shift this read

10:47 UTC

Downtrend, momentum easing near lows · RSI 37 · price 4,056.45

Lower highs / lower lows, stalling at 4050.

Gold sold off steadily through the London-NY window, sliding ~1.6% from the 4120 high to a 4050 session low as USD safe-haven demand firmed. Price is basing just above 4050 with RSI(14) near 37; sellers still cap every push into 4067.

Support: 4,050.32

Resistance: 4,067.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 4067 breaks the lower-high sequence
  • Failure to hold 4050 session low confirms continuation lower
  • UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read

10:46 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing near lows · RSI 41 · price 4,056.45

Lower highs, lower lows; basing at session low.

Gold slid through the London-NY transition from the 4117 high, breaking prior support and printing a session low at 4050 before a shallow bounce to 4056 as USD firmed on a safe-haven bid. RSI(14) near 41 and flattening; price still pinned below EMA20/50 with 4067 the first resistance to reclaim.

Support: 4,050.32, 4,040.00

Resistance: 4,067.00, 4,077.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4077 invalidates the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 4050 session low opens the path toward the 4040 round number
  • UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read

10:32 UTC

Downtrend, extended into session low · RSI 32 · price 4,055.23

Lower highs / lower lows, probing 4050.

Gold sold off through the London session from ~4113 to a fresh low at 4050.32, a clean lower-low chain with price below EMA20 and EMA50. Move fits the two-way, range-bound context as USD firmed on safe-haven bid; RSI(14) near 31 shows momentum stretched but not extreme, and the last bar is holding just above 4050.

Support: 4,050.32, 4,040.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4050 confirms continuation toward the 4040 psych level
  • Reclaim of 4067 swing high would break the lower-high sequence
  • ECI 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could shift this read

10:32 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 34 · price 4,055.23

Lower highs and lows, consolidating above session low.

Gold sold off through the NY session from ~4117 down to 4050 as a safe-haven USD bid weighed, printing a clean lower-high sequence. Price is now consolidating in a tight 4050–4058 band with RSI(14) around 34; the session low is holding for now.

Support: 4,050.32

Resistance: 4,067.69

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4067.69 breaks the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 4050.32 session low opens the next leg lower
  • UoM inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could shift this read

10:16 UTC

Downtrend, steady bleed · RSI 38 · price 4,055.76

Lower highs, lower lows since 4120.

Gold has been grinding lower through the NY session from the 4120 high, printing a clean lower-high chain as a USD safe-haven bid weighs. Sellers pressed the session low to 4050 before a shallow bounce to 4055; price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 37, soft but not yet oversold.

Support: 4,050.32, 4,040.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4050 exposes the 4040 round psych and the 4000 range floor
  • Reclaim of 4067 swing needed to stall the lower-high sequence
  • UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read

10:02 UTC

Downtrend, lower highs and lows · RSI 33 · price 4,053.53

Stepping lower, near session low.

Gold sold off through the European session, breaking below the 4077 pivot and grinding to a 4050 session low as the USD bounced off six-week lows. RSI(14) cooling into the low-30s but not yet at an extreme; price pinned to the lower end of the day's range.

Support: 4,050.30, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,077.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 4077 negates the lower-low sequence
  • Failure to hold 4050 opens the path toward the 4000 range floor
  • UoM inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could shift USD and this read

10:02 UTC

Downtrend, extending lower · RSI 34 · price 4,053.53

Lower highs, lower lows into session low.

Gold has slid steadily from the 4120 early-window high to a session low at 4050, printing a clean lower-high/lower-low chain as the USD bounced off six-week lows. RSI(14) near 33 shows momentum stretched but not yet extreme; price sits below both EMA20 and EMA50.

Support: 4,050.32

Resistance: 4,077.00

What it said to watch

  • Break below 4050 session low confirms downtrend continuation
  • Reclaim of 4077 swing pivot would neutralise the lower-high sequence
  • UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read

09:47 UTC

Downtrend, extended · RSI 30 · price 4,052.81

Lower highs and lower lows, fresh session low.

Gold slid steadily through the London-NY transition from ~4117 to a fresh session low at 4050.32, a clean chain of lower highs and lower lows with RSI(14) near 29. The current bar is stalling at the lows but there's no reversal signal yet — the down leg still dominates.

Support: 4,050.32, 4,040.00

Resistance: 4,064.47

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 4064 needed to stall the lower-high sequence
  • Failure to hold 4050 confirms continuation toward the 4040 psych level and the 4000 range floor
  • UoM inflation expectations 14:00 UTC and ECI 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

09:47 UTC

Downtrend, momentum accelerating · RSI 30 · price 4,052.81

Lower highs, lower lows; fresh session lows.

Gold slid through the London session, breaking below the 4075–4115 consolidation to print fresh session lows at 4050. Lower-high/lower-low sequence intact and price under both EMAs, RSI(14) near 30 but not yet at an extreme. ECI (12:30 UTC) and UoM inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) land within the next few bars.

Support: 4,050.32, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,067.00, 4,115.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 4067 broken low would ease the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 4050 opens continuation toward the 4000 range floor
  • UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could accelerate or reverse the move

09:31 UTC

Downtrend, momentum accelerating · RSI 29 · price 4,054.28

Lower highs, lower lows; fresh session low.

Gold slid steadily through the European morning to a fresh session low at 4051, extending a chain of lower highs from the 4120 peak, with RSI(14) near 29 but not yet washed out. Price is trading below EMA20 and EMA50 as the down leg accelerates into 4050s; USD firming on safe-haven flows fits the pressure.

Support: 4,051.36, 4,040.00

Resistance: 4,067.20

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4050 opens the path toward the 4040 round number
  • Reclaim of 4067 swing needed to stall the lower-low sequence
  • ECI 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read

09:17 UTC

Downtrend, making lower lows · RSI 33 · price 4,056.60

Lower highs / lower lows since the 4117 rejection.

Gold has been grinding lower through the London session, printing a clean chain of lower highs and lower lows off the 4117 rejection down to a fresh session low at 4054. RSI(14) sits near 33 — soft but not yet extreme — with price pinned below both EMAs inside the month-old 4000-4200 band.

Support: 4,054.34, 4,050.00, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,077.00

What it said to watch

  • A close below 4054 confirms the next lower low toward the 4050 psych level and the 4000 range floor
  • Reclaim of 4077 would break the sequence of lower highs
  • ECI 12:30 UTC / UoM inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read

09:17 UTC

Downtrend, lower highs and lows · RSI 31 · price 4,056.60

Stair-step decline into session low.

Gold has ground down from the ~4120 session high to a fresh session low at 4054, a clean lower-high sequence as the USD firmed on safe-haven flows. RSI(14) near 31 is cooling but not yet extreme; price is pinned at the base of the descending channel just above 4050.

Support: 4,054.34, 4,050.00

Resistance: 4,067.20

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4054 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence toward 4050 psych
  • Reclaim of 4067 swing pivot would break the lower-high chain
  • ECI 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read

09:04 UTC

Intraday downtrend, lower highs · RSI 37 · price 4,062.31

Series of lower highs / lower lows off 4120.

Gold rolled over from the 4120 session high and printed a steady chain of lower highs through the London session, sliding to 4054 as the USD firmed back above 100.00. Price is bouncing modestly to 4062 but sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) near 37 — soft but not oversold.

Support: 4,054.34, 4,040.00

Resistance: 4,077.00, 4,120.22

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 4077 pivot would break the lower-high chain
  • Loss of 4054 session low confirms downtrend extension toward 4040
  • ECI 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could reset this read

09:03 UTC

Downtrend, momentum easing · RSI 35 · price 4,062.31

Lower highs, lower lows into session low.

Gold slid steadily through the NY session from the 4113 area to a session low at 4054, RSI(14) near 35 as the down leg extends. Modest bounce off 4054 into 4062, but recent supply at 4077 caps and the lower-high chain remains intact.

Support: 4,054.34, 4,050.00

Resistance: 4,077.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 4077 recent supply neutralises the lower-high chain
  • Loss of 4054 session low confirms continuation lower toward 4050 round number
  • UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read

08:47 UTC

Downtrend, session lows extending · RSI 31 · price 4,058.00

Lower highs, lower lows off 4120.

Gold has bled lower through the London session, sliding from the 4120 high to fresh session lows at 4054 with price below EMA20/EMA50 and RSI(14) near 30. The month-old $4,000-$4,200 band still frames price, but the intraday leg is firmly one-directional after the post-FOMC pop faded.

Support: 4,054.34, 4,040.00

Resistance: 4,120.22

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 4082 would break the lower-high chain
  • Loss of 4054 opens the path toward the 4040 psych level
  • US ECI 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read

08:46 UTC

Downtrend, session lows · RSI 31 · price 4,058.00

Lower highs, lower lows into session low.

Gold slid in a clean lower-high, lower-low chain to a session low at 4054, RSI(14) near oversold. The leg down fits the broad USD-driven two-way inside the month-old $4,000-$4,200 band rather than a fresh break.

Support: 4,054.00, 4,050.00

Resistance: 4,082.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim above 4082 breaks the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 4054 / 4050 extends the session low
  • ECI 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could shift this read

08:32 UTC

Downtrend, momentum extended · RSI 30 · price 4,058.92

Lower highs, lower lows into session low.

Gold slid through London hours, breaking the 4073 shelf and printing a session low at 4058 with RSI(14) near oversold. Sequence of lower highs from the 4120 peak stays intact; price now testing the lower reaches of the month-old 4000-4200 band.

Support: 4,058.00, 4,050.00, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,073.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4050 opens the path to the 4000 range floor
  • Reclaim of 4073 prior support needed to ease downside pressure
  • ECI 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read

08:31 UTC

Downtrend, accelerating into session low · RSI 30 · price 4,058.92

Lower highs, lower lows; fresh session low.

London session grinding lower; gold broke below the 4072 prior support and printed a fresh session low at 4058 as the USD firmed off its lows. RSI(14) near 30 but not yet oversold, ATR(14) ~600 pips.

Support: 4,058.00, 4,050.00

Resistance: 4,072.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 4072 prior support would neutralise the downtrend read
  • Loss of 4050 psych opens further downside
  • ECI 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could shift USD and gold sharply

08:17 UTC

Downtrend, session lows · RSI 28 · price 4,061.32

Lower highs, breaking below intraday support.

Gold peaked at 4120 during the NY session and has bled lower ever since, now printing session lows at 4061 after breaking the 4082 support shelf. RSI(14) at ~28 is stretched to the downside but not yet extreme; the move fits the digest's dollar-led two-way $4,000-$4,200 grind rather than a fresh directional shift.

Support: 4,061.00, 4,050.00

Resistance: 4,082.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 4082 recent swing negates the breakdown read
  • Loss of 4061 session low exposes the 4050 round number
  • US Employment Cost Index at 12:30 GMT could shift this read via the dollar

08:17 UTC

Downtrend, pressing session lows · RSI 32 · price 4,061.32

Lower highs, fresh lower low at 4061.

Gold rallied to a session high near 4120 on the USD slump but has faded steadily through the day, printing lower highs and now pressing the 4060 session low into the close. Rejection at 4087 capped the last bounce; the bounce off softer US GDP/PCE looks USD-led rather than a fresh gold bid, and price is grinding back toward the lower half of its range.

Support: 4,060.00, 4,050.00

Resistance: 4,080.00, 4,120.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4060 opens the path toward 4050
  • Reclaim of 4080 needed to break the lower-high sequence
  • US ECI 12:30 GMT, Chicago PMI 13:45 and UoM 14:00 could shift this read

08:03 UTC

Downtrend, fading off session high · RSI 35 · price 4,067.37

Lower highs since 4120 spike, pressing session low.

Gold spiked to 4120 on the USD-led move after soft US GDP/PCE, then faded through late NY and the Asia/London handover to a session low near 4067, RSI(14) cooling to the mid-30s. Lower highs into the 4082 swing and 4096 prior high; price now sits below EMA20 and EMA50.

Support: 4,060.00, 4,050.00

Resistance: 4,082.00, 4,096.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of the 4082 swing high needed to stall the lower-high sequence
  • Break below 4060 session low opens the 4050 round number
  • ECI at 12:30 GMT could reprice USD and shift this read

08:02 UTC

Intraday downtrend, off session high · RSI 38 · price 4,067.37

Lower highs, pressing session low.

Gold spiked to a session high 4120 in early London on the softer US GDP/PCE and USD slump, then rolled over into a lower-high chain, rejecting 4087 and now grinding the session low near 4066. RSI(14) cooling around 38; move looks USD-led, not fresh gold demand.

Support: 4,066.00, 4,059.48, 4,050.00

Resistance: 4,087.46, 4,120.22

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4059.48 confirms a lower low, opening 4050
  • Reclaim of 4087 lower high needed to negate the fade
  • ECI at 12:30 GMT could shift USD and this read

07:47 UTC

Downtrend, lower highs · RSI 42 · price 4,072.52

Rolling over from day high, testing session low.

Gold rolled over from the 4120 day high and is grinding out lower highs into the 4068 session low, sitting on the 0.786 retrace of the earlier up-leg. Move fits the USD recovery above 100.00 on Iran tensions; RSI(14) mid-40s, no oversold signal yet.

Support: 4,068.00, 4,060.00

Resistance: 4,087.00, 4,120.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4068 confirms a lower low and opens 4060
  • Reclaim of 4087 swing high needed to challenge the downtrend
  • ECI at 12:30 GMT could shift the USD-driven read

07:46 UTC

Intraday downtrend, near session low · RSI 41 · price 4,072.52

Lower highs, grinding toward 4068 low.

Gold spiked to 4120 mid-window on the USD drubbing then faded the entire leg, printing lower highs back to the 4068 session low. Price sits at 4072 with RSI(14) around 40; the 4083 swing high capped the last bounce.

Support: 4,068.16, 4,059.48

Resistance: 4,083.28, 4,120.22

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4068 opens the path toward the 4059 range low
  • Reclaim of 4083 needed to break the lower-high sequence
  • ECI at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read

07:32 UTC

Downtrend, grinding lower off NY high · RSI 42 · price 4,072.37

Lower highs, retesting session low.

Gold spiked to 4120 during yesterday's NY session on the USD drubbing, then ground steadily lower through Asia into London with a chain of lower highs. Price now sits back at the 4072 session low after the 4087 bounce was rejected; RSI(14) mid-range, no oversold read yet.

Support: 4,072.00, 4,059.00

Resistance: 4,087.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4072 confirms a lower low and opens 4059
  • Reclaim of 4087 breaks the lower-high sequence
  • ECI at 12:30 UTC and UoM at 14:00 UTC could shift this read

07:32 UTC

Downtrend off 4120 peak, testing lows · RSI 40 · price 4,072.37

Lower highs, pressing session low.

Gold has drifted lower off the 4120 peak set during yesterday's US session — the bounce was USD-led on soft GDP/PCE, not a fresh bid — and is now pressing the 4072 session low in early London hours. Lower highs stack from 4120 through 4087, with RSI(14) cooling into the low 40s.

Support: 4,072.15, 4,063.03

Resistance: 4,087.46

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4072 opens 4063 swing low
  • Reclaim of 4087 recent high needed to break the lower-high sequence
  • US ECI at 12:30 UTC could shift USD and this read

07:17 UTC

Pulled back from session high, consolidating · RSI 46 · price 4,078.72

Faded off 4120, basing near 4072-4078.

Gold spiked to 4120 during the prior London-NY session on the USD-led bounce (soft US GDP/PCE, suspected JPY intervention), then faded overnight through the Asia session to a 4072 low. Price is now grinding sideways around 4078, holding above the 4072 base but capped under 4087; RSI(14) mid-range near 46.

Support: 4,072.00, 4,064.00

Resistance: 4,087.00, 4,100.00, 4,120.22

What it said to watch

  • Break below 4072 confirms a lower low and reopens 4064
  • Reclaim of 4100 needed to challenge the 4120 session high
  • ECI at 12:30 GMT could shift the USD/gold read

07:17 UTC

Pullback from 4120 peak, now ranging · RSI 47 · price 4,078.72

Lower highs off 4120, tight 4072-4087 range into London open.

Gold rallied to 4120 during the prior NY session on USD softness (Q2 GDP miss, cooler core PCE) then faded into a 4072-4087 range. London open is holding mid-range near 4078, RSI(14) neutral around 46 with price pinned to EMA20 and below EMA50.

Support: 4,072.06, 4,062.35

Resistance: 4,087.46, 4,100.00, 4,120.22

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4087 session high opens the path to 4100
  • Failure to hold 4072 recent low exposes 4062 swing low
  • ECI at 12:30 GMT could shift this read

07:03 UTC

Faded from highs, now ranging · RSI 47 · price 4,076.27

Range after rejection at 4120 supply.

Gold spiked to 4120 on the USD-led bounce early in the window then faded through the session back to ~4076, stalling into the 4098-4120 supply zone. Price now chops in a 4072-4087 range with RSI near neutral and price under both EMAs.

Support: 4,072.00

Resistance: 4,087.00, 4,098.00, 4,120.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 4087 then 4098 opens path back toward 4120
  • M15 close below 4072 confirms a lower low
  • ECI at 12:30 GMT could shift the USD-driven move

07:03 UTC

Pulled back from highs, ranging · RSI 46 · price 4,076.27

Range after rejection off 4120.

Gold spiked to 4120 during the London session — a USD-led move on soft US GDP/PCE and suspected Yen intervention — then faded into a 4072-4088 grind. Price sits at 4076, below EMA20/50, with buyers defending 4072 and supply capping near 4088.

Support: 4,072.00

Resistance: 4,088.00, 4,100.00, 4,120.20

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4072 confirms a lower low
  • Reclaim of 4088 reopens the 4100 supply zone
  • US ECI at 12:30 GMT could shift this read

06:47 UTC

Faded from highs, now consolidating · RSI 49 · price 4,079.61

Pullback into 61.8% fib after rejection at 4120.

Gold spiked to a session high of 4120 on broad USD selling (soft US GDP/PCE, suspected Yen intervention) then got rejected, fading to the 4072 swing low and stalling in the 4072-4088 range. Price is now pinned near the 61.8% retrace of the 4052-4120 leg around 4079, RSI(14) neutral at ~49.

Support: 4,072.00, 4,052.00

Resistance: 4,088.00, 4,120.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 4088 session high reopens the 4100-4120 supply zone
  • Loss of 4072 swing low exposes 4052 session low
  • US Employment Cost Index at 12:30 GMT could shift the USD-driven read

06:47 UTC

Pullback off highs, now flat · RSI 49 · price 4,079.61

Consolidating below faded rally, lower highs into range.

Gold spiked to 4120 during the earlier session on broad USD softness, then bled back through the day and is now grinding in a 4072–4087 range around 4079. RSI(14) sits mid-band near 49 with price hugging EMA20 but capped under EMA50 and a descending line of lower highs.

Support: 4,072.00, 4,051.92

Resistance: 4,087.46, 4,100.00, 4,120.22

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4087 session high reopens the path to 4100 round number
  • Loss of 4072 session low confirms a lower-low toward 4052 swing low
  • ECI at 12:30 GMT (~6h out) could break this range

06:32 UTC

Pullback stalling, consolidating · RSI 52 · price 4,083.41

Range after NY spike faded.

Gold spiked to the 4120 session high during NY on soft US GDP/PCE and USD weakness, then faded through Asia into a 4072-4090 range. Early London finds price consolidating near 4083 with RSI(14) neutral, holding above EMA20 but capped under EMA50.

Support: 4,072.06

Resistance: 4,090.40, 4,100.00, 4,120.22

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4090 swing high reopens the path to the 4100 round number and 4120 session high
  • Failure to hold 4072 session low confirms a lower-low
  • ECI 12:30 GMT and UoM inflation expectations 14:00 GMT could shift this read

06:32 UTC

Downtrend off 4120, bouncing · RSI 54 · price 4,083.41

Lower highs since NY spike, holding 4072 base.

NY session spiked to 4120 on the softer US GDP/PCE print and suspected Yen-intervention USD slide, then faded through the Asian session into a 4072 base. Price is grinding back to 4083 off a double-bottom at 4072/4073, RSI(14) recovering to the mid-50s but capped below the descending highs.

Support: 4,072.00

Resistance: 4,088.00, 4,100.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4088 recent high opens the path back toward the 4100 round psych
  • Loss of 4072 session low confirms a fresh lower low
  • US ECI (12:30 GMT) and UoM sentiment/inflation expectations (14:00 GMT) could shift the USD and this read

06:17 UTC

Pullback off session high, recovering · RSI 47 · price 4,081.86

Retraced from 4120 high, basing near 4072.

Gold ran to a session high near 4120 during NY hours on the USD-led drop after soft US GDP/PCE, then bled back through the Asian session to base at 4072 and is recovering to 4082. RSI(14) mid-range at ~47; price sits just under EMA20/50 with the 4090-4100 supply zone capping.

Support: 4,072.00, 4,060.00

Resistance: 4,090.00, 4,100.00, 4,120.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4090 reopens the path to the 4120 session high
  • Failure to hold 4072 session low confirms a lower low toward 4060
  • ECI at 12:30 GMT and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 GMT could shift the USD-driven read

06:17 UTC

Downtrend off session high, basing · RSI 50 · price 4,081.86

Faded from 4120 to 4072, now consolidating.

Gold spiked to 4120 during NY hours yesterday on soft US GDP/PCE and USD weakness, then faded through the Asia session to a 4072 low. Price is now consolidating 4072-4083 with RSI back at neutral; supply near 4095 caps the recovery.

Support: 4,072.00

Resistance: 4,095.00, 4,120.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 4095 supply reopens the path toward the 4120 session high
  • M15 close below 4072 session low confirms a lower-low
  • ECI 12:30 GMT and UoM inflation expectations 14:00 GMT could shift this read

06:03 UTC

Downtrend off session high, momentum slowing · RSI 43 · price 4,074.87

Rolled over from 4120, basing near session low.

Gold spiked to a 4120 session high earlier on soft US GDP/PCE and broad USD selling, then rolled over through the following hours into a steady sequence of lower highs, printing a session low at 4072. Price is now basing around 4072-4083 with RSI(14) in the low-40s; buyers stepped in at 4072 but each bounce has stalled below 4083.

Support: 4,072.00, 4,064.00

Resistance: 4,083.00, 4,095.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4072 confirms a fresh lower low, opening 4064
  • Reclaim of 4083 pivot needed to challenge the 4095 swing high
  • US Employment Cost Index at 12:30 GMT could shift the USD-led read

06:02 UTC

Pulling back from 4120, lower highs · RSI 41 · price 4,074.87

Descending from NY peak, testing session low.

Gold ran to 4120 in yesterday's NY session on the USD-led bid after soft US GDP/PCE, then faded through Asia into the London open, printing lower highs and now testing the session low near 4072-4074. RSI(14) around 41, price under EMA20/50 — momentum has rolled over into this morning.

Support: 4,072.00

Resistance: 4,082.00, 4,120.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4072 confirms a lower low
  • Reclaim of 4082 needed to stall the descent
  • US ECI at 12:30 GMT could shift the USD-driven read

05:47 UTC

Downtrend, fading from session high · RSI 43 · price 4,075.30

Lower highs off 4120, basing near 4072.

Gold spiked to 4120 during the prior session on USD-led selling after soft US GDP/PCE, then faded the entire move back through the 4100 supply zone to 4075. Price is now basing between 4072 and 4083 in the Asian session, RSI(14) mid-40s with no momentum extreme.

Support: 4,072.00, 4,065.00, 4,050.00

Resistance: 4,083.00, 4,092.00, 4,100.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4072 confirms a lower low, opening 4065/4050
  • Reclaim of the 4092-4100 supply zone would negate the downside grind
  • ECI at 12:30 GMT could shift USD and this read

05:47 UTC

Intraday downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 42 · price 4,075.30

Lower highs off 4119, now basing 4075-4082.

Gold rolled over from the 4119 session high through the Asian hours down to 4072, and is now consolidating 4075-4082 into pre-London. Wednesday's bounce was USD-led rather than a fresh bid, and price is stalling below the 4100 supply zone flagged in context. RSI(14) mid-range at ~42, no momentum extreme.

Support: 4,072.00, 4,065.00

Resistance: 4,083.00, 4,100.00, 4,119.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 4083 recent high would stall the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 4072 session low confirms continuation lower toward 4065 swing low
  • US ECI at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read

05:32 UTC

Pullback stalling, range-bound · RSI 47 · price 4,081.34

Correction off 4120 into 4072-4082 consolidation.

Gold spiked to 4120 during the prior session as USD softness and suspected Yen intervention hit the dollar, then faded and has coiled between 4072 and 4082 through the Asian hours. RSI mid-range near 47; move remains inside the broader 4,000-4,200 grind, with supply capping into 4100.

Support: 4,072.00

Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,120.00

What it said to watch

  • ECI at 12:30 GMT could materially shift USD and this read
  • M15 close below 4072 confirms a lower-low
  • Reclaim of 4100 reopens the 4120 session high

05:32 UTC

Pullback after NY rally, stabilizing · RSI 47 · price 4,081.34

Faded from 4120 high, ranging near session low.

NY session drove gold to 4120 on soft US GDP/PCE and suspected JPY intervention, then supply capped and price faded through the Asia session to a 4072 session low. Now grinding back to 4081 below EMA20/50, RSI mid-range; a series of lower highs into the 4092-4100 zone keeps the recent leg pointed lower.

Support: 4,072.00, 4,065.00

Resistance: 4,092.00, 4,100.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 4092 recent high, then 4100 round number, would negate the lower-high sequence
  • Failure to hold 4072 session low confirms a fresh lower low toward 4065 swing low
  • ECI at 12:30 GMT could materially shift USD and this read

05:17 UTC

Pullback from session high, stabilizing · RSI 47 · price 4,080.27

Faded off 4120 peak into 4072, bouncing.

Gold spiked to a 4120 session high midday on the USD-led move after soft US GDP/PCE, then faded steadily through Asia to 4072 before bouncing to 4080. Price now sits mid-range near the 50% fib of that up-leg, below EMA20/50, RSI(14) neutral at 47.

Support: 4,072.00

Resistance: 4,090.00, 4,100.00, 4,120.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 4090-4100 supply reopens the 4120 session high
  • Failure to hold 4072 swing low confirms a lower-low
  • ECI at 12:30 GMT could shift USD and this read

05:16 UTC

Downtrend off NY high, basing · RSI 50 · price 4,080.27

Pullback from 4120 into 4072 base, mild recovery.

Gold spiked to a 4120 session high during NY on the softer US GDP/PCE and USD-led move, then drifted through the Asia session into a 4072 base. Price has recovered to 4080 and is grinding in a 4072-4092 band, RSI(14) neutral around 50.

Support: 4,072.00

Resistance: 4,092.00, 4,100.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 4092 minor high opens a path back toward the 4100 psych level
  • Failure to hold the 4072 session low confirms a lower-low
  • ECI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read via USD

05:03 UTC

Pullback within broader range · RSI 46 · price 4,080.56

Rejected 4120, drifting in 4073-4096 band.

NY session drove gold to a 4120 session high on the softer US GDP/PCE-driven USD slide, then supply capped and price rolled back. Asia hours bled down to 4073 before a modest recovery to ~4080; ranging under the 4096-4113 supply band, RSI(14) mid-range.

Support: 4,060.00, 4,050.00

Resistance: 4,096.00, 4,113.00, 4,120.22

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 4096 reopens the 4113-4120 highs
  • Failure to hold 4073 confirms a lower low toward 4060/4050
  • ECI 12:30 GMT and UoM inflation expectations 14:00 GMT could shift this read

05:03 UTC

Pullback off 4120 high, basing · RSI 47 · price 4,080.56

Lower highs from 4120, higher lows off 4072.

Gold spiked to 4120 during NY hours as the USD sank on soft GDP and suspected BoJ intervention, then drifted lower through the Asian session into a double bottom near 4072. Price has recovered to 4080 with RSI(14) back to neutral; it sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with the 4090 minor high still capping.

Support: 4,072.00

Resistance: 4,090.00, 4,101.00, 4,120.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4090 minor high reopens 4101 session high
  • Failure to hold 4072 swing low confirms a lower-low
  • ECI 12:30 GMT and UoM inflation expectations 14:00 GMT could shift this read

04:47 UTC

Pullback from NY high, stabilising · RSI 47 · price 4,079.25

Lower highs off 4120, basing near 4072.

Gold rallied to 4120 during NY hours on the soft US GDP/PCE print then bled back through the Asian session to a 4072 low, holding a double-bottom base twice. Price now recovers to 4079, parked on the 50% retrace of the NY rally with RSI(14) mid-range.

Support: 4,072.00

Resistance: 4,085.00, 4,096.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 4085 lower-highs line reopens 4096
  • Loss of 4072 session low confirms a lower low
  • ECI 12:30 GMT and UoM inflation expectations 14:00 GMT could shift the USD read

04:47 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 45 · price 4,079.25

Pullback from 4120 high, basing near 4072.

Gold rejected the 4120 session high and slid to 4072 through the Asia hours, where demand stepped in and price is now basing around 4079 into the London open. RSI(14) sits mid-range and price holds below EMA20/50; 4072 aligns with the 61.8% retrace of the 4043-4120 leg and is capping downside for now.

Support: 4,072.00, 4,062.00

Resistance: 4,092.00, 4,110.00, 4,120.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 4092 reopens the path to 4110
  • Failure to hold 4072 confirms a lower low toward 4062
  • ECI at 12:30 GMT could shift the USD/gold read this session

04:32 UTC

Downtrend, bouncing off session low · RSI 45 · price 4,080.21

Lower highs from 4120, held 4072.

Gold's NY rally to 4120 on the GDP miss and soft core PCE faded through the Asian session to a 4072 low, printing a clean chain of lower highs. Price is now nudging back to 4080 but sits below both EMA20 and EMA50, with 4090 the first broken level to watch for rejection or reclaim.

Support: 4,072.00, 4,060.00

Resistance: 4,090.00, 4,120.22

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 4090 challenges the lower-high sequence
  • Failure to hold 4072 confirms a lower low toward 4060
  • ECI 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read

04:31 UTC

Pullback from highs, momentum soft · RSI 45 · price 4,080.21

Lower highs off 4120, holding above 4072.

Gold spiked to 4120 on the soft US GDP/PCE-driven Dollar slide, then bled back into an Asia-session drift, printing lower highs down to a 4072 swing low before a modest bounce to 4080. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI mid-range; buyers stepped in twice at 4072 but the 4090 area is capping.

Support: 4,072.00, 4,065.00

Resistance: 4,090.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4090 challenges the lower-highs sequence
  • Loss of 4072 confirms a lower low toward 4065
  • ECI 12:30 GMT and UoM inflation expectations 14:00 GMT could shift this read

04:16 UTC

Pullback from session high, momentum lower · RSI 39 · price 4,077.13

Lower highs since 4120, grinding into session low.

Gold rallied to a NY session high of 4120 on the USD sell-off, then rolled over into a chain of lower highs, sliding to 4072 through late NY into Asia. Price is now stalling near 4077 just above the session low, RSI(14) mid-40s to high-30s with no reversal signal yet.

Support: 4,072.06, 4,028.00

Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,120.22

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 4100 round number would break the lower-high sequence
  • Break below 4072 session low opens path toward the 4028 range floor
  • ECI 12:30 UTC and Chicago PMI/UoM 14:00 UTC could reshape this read

04:02 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 40 · price 4,075.74

Lower highs, lower lows into session low.

Gold slid through Asian hours from the 4120 session high to 4072 as the USD steadied after yesterday's soft-GDP/PCE driven selloff; downtrend intact on a clean lower-high chain. Last five bars have compressed into 4072–4079 with RSI(14) near 39, cooling but showing no reversal yet.

Support: 4,072.06

Resistance: 4,092.08

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 4092 breaks the lower-high chain
  • Loss of 4072 session low opens toward 4064 prior swing
  • ECI 12:30 UTC and Chicago PMI 13:45 UTC could shift this read

04:02 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 39 · price 4,075.74

Lower highs off 4120, basing near 4072.

Gold topped at 4120 during US hours and has since bled lower through a chain of lower highs, now basing between 4072 and 4076 in early Asia. The prior rally to 4120 was FX/rates-driven on suspected Yen intervention and a soft US GDP print rather than a fresh gold breakout; RSI has cooled toward 39 as the decline stalls at the session low.

Support: 4,072.00, 4,056.00

Resistance: 4,090.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4072 opens the path toward 4056
  • Reclaim of 4090 needed to break the lower-high sequence
  • ECI 12:30 UTC, Chicago PMI 13:45 and UoM 14:00 could shift this read

03:47 UTC

Pullback off session high, momentum down · RSI 38 · price 4,077.23

Lower highs from 4120, testing 4072 support.

Gold rallied to 4120 during the prior NY session on the USD slide, then faded through a chain of lower highs into Asian hours. Price now sits at 4077, roughly the 50% retrace of the 4034-4120 leg, probing the 4072 session low with RSI(14) near 37.

Support: 4,072.00, 4,055.00

Resistance: 4,092.00, 4,120.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4072 confirms a lower low, opens 4055
  • Reclaim of 4092 needed to break the lower-high sequence
  • ECI 12:30 / Chicago PMI 13:45 / UoM 14:00 UTC could shift this read

03:46 UTC

Downtrend, grinding off session high · RSI 41 · price 4,077.23

Lower highs, lower lows into Asia.

Gold peaked near 4120 on the NY-session USD slide (suspected JPY intervention, soft US GDP) then rolled over into a steady descending channel through Asia, now pressing the 4072 session low. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) around 40 — corrective, not yet oversold.

Support: 4,072.00

Resistance: 4,092.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 4092 prior swing breaks the lower-high chain
  • Loss of 4072 session low opens the path toward the 4028/4000 range floor
  • ECI 12:30 UTC, Chicago PMI and UoM inflation expectations (14:00) can reprice USD and shift this read

03:32 UTC

Downtrend, retracing prior rally · RSI 37 · price 4,075.50

Lower highs and lower lows off 4120.

Gold rolled off the 4120 session high — driven by the earlier USD slide on soft GDP/PCE — and has ground lower through the Asia session in a chain of lower highs, now sitting on the 4072 session low. RSI(14) near 37, hovering off oversold as price stalls around the 50% retrace of the 4034-4120 leg.

Support: 4,072.00, 4,065.00, 4,050.00

Resistance: 4,090.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4072 confirms a lower low, opening 4065 then 4050
  • Reclaim of 4090 (ema20) needed to challenge the descending highs
  • US ECI 12:30 UTC, Chicago PMI 13:45 and UoM inflation expectations 14:00 could shift this read

03:31 UTC

Intraday pullback off highs, momentum down · RSI 38 · price 4,075.50

Lower highs from 4120 peak, testing session low.

Gold's ~0.9% pop to 4120 (soft US GDP/PCE and USD weakness on suspected Yen intervention) was rejected and price has ground down through the Asia session to 4075, sitting on the session low at 4072. Sequence of lower highs from 4120 intact, RSI cooling toward the mid-30s.

Support: 4,072.00, 4,055.00

Resistance: 4,096.00, 4,120.00

What it said to watch

  • Break below 4072 opens 4055
  • M15 close above 4096 negates the lower-high sequence
  • ECI 12:30 UTC, Chicago PMI 13:45, UoM 14:00 could shift this read

03:16 UTC

Intraday downtrend, RSI oversold · RSI 29 · price 4,073.53

Lower highs, rolling off session high.

Gold rolled over from the session high near 4120 and stair-stepped lower to 4073 through the Asian session, RSI(14) pressed into the high-20s. The prior USD-weakness lift on suspected Japanese intervention has faded intraday; price now sits around the 50% retracement of the 4030-4120 leg.

Support: 4,072.00, 4,030.48

Resistance: 4,090.00, 4,120.22

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4072 exposes the 4030 range floor
  • Reclaim of 4090 needed to break the lower-highs sequence
  • US ECI 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read

03:03 UTC

Pullback, momentum lower · RSI 34 · price 4,075.66

Rolled off range top, testing 50% fib.

Gold's NY-session rally to 4120 has faded through the Asia session, sliding back to 4075 — roughly the 50% retrace of the 4029-4120 leg driven by USD weakness and soft US GDP. Price broke below the 4100-4114 consolidation and RSI(14) has cooled into the mid-30s.

Support: 4,075.00, 4,060.00

Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,114.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4075 confirms a lower low toward the 4060 shelf
  • Reclaim of 4100 psych negates the pullback and re-opens the 4114 range top
  • US ECI/Chicago PMI/UoM later today could reshape the range read

03:02 UTC

Pullback, momentum down · RSI 37 · price 4,075.66

Lower highs off session peak.

Gold spiked to 4120 through NY on broad USD weakness (suspected Yen intervention, soft US GDP), then faded steadily into the Asia session, printing lower highs down to a 4074 low. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 37; corrective leg still in play within the broader 4000-4200 range.

Support: 4,074.00, 4,050.00

Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,120.00

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 4074 session low opens 4050
  • Reclaim of 4100 negates the lower-high sequence
  • UoM sentiment + inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could shift USD and gold

02:47 UTC

Downtrend, session pullback · RSI 34 · price 4,075.93

Lower highs off 4120 NY peak, testing session low.

Gold spiked to 4120 during NY hours on the USD selloff (soft Q2 GDP, suspected Yen intervention), then bled lower through the evening into Asia, printing lower highs. Price now sits at the session low ~4075 — the 50% retrace of the 4029-4120 leg — with RSI(14) cooling near 33.

Support: 4,074.80, 4,028.00

Resistance: 4,106.00, 4,120.22

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4074 confirms a lower low, opening the path toward 4028 range floor
  • Reclaim of 4106 needed to break the chain of lower highs
  • ECI 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could shift this read

02:46 UTC

Downtrend, fading NY highs · RSI 33 · price 4,075.93

Lower highs, lower lows off 4120.

Gold spiked to 4120 during NY hours on the USD sell-off, then rolled over into a clean chain of lower highs and lower lows; Asia is now fading price back to the 4075 session low with RSI(14) around 33. Move up was FX/rates-driven (soft US GDP, suspected Yen intervention) rather than a fresh gold breakout.

Support: 4,075.00, 4,060.00

Resistance: 4,092.00, 4,100.00, 4,120.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4075 session low opens the path toward 4060 swing low
  • Reclaim of 4092 minor and the 4100 round number would neutralise the lower-high chain
  • US ECI 12:30 UTC, Chicago PMI 13:45 and UoM inflation expectations 14:00 could materially shift this read

02:32 UTC

Intraday pullback off session high · RSI 37 · price 4,081.86

Lower highs from 4120, testing 4080.

Gold rallied to 4120 during NY hours on soft US GDP and USD weakness, then rolled over into the Asian session, printing lower highs and grinding back to the 4081 session low. RSI(14) near 37 as the pullback extends; price sits below EMA20/50.

Support: 4,081.10, 4,065.00, 4,030.00

Resistance: 4,110.00, 4,120.22

What it said to watch

  • Break below 4081 session low exposes 4065 then the 4030 range floor
  • Reclaim of 4110 negates the lower-high sequence
  • US ECI / Chicago PMI / UoM data from 12:30 UTC could shift this read

02:31 UTC

Rolling over, pullback from session high · RSI 33 · price 4,081.86

Lower highs off 4120, pressing session low.

Gold ran to a session high of 4120 on the intervention-driven USD slump then rolled over, now grinding down to 4081.86 with RSI(14) near 33. Descending lower highs from 4120 dominate; price is testing the session low with the 4100 handle capping bounces.

Support: 4,081.00, 4,065.00

Resistance: 4,100.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 4100 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
  • M15 close below 4081 opens the path to 4065
  • Chicago PMI 13:45 UTC and UoM sentiment/inflation 14:00 UTC could shift this read

02:17 UTC

Intraday pullback after topping · RSI 39 · price 4,081.89

Lower highs, correcting off 4120.

Gold pushed to a 4120 session high during NY hours on USD weakness from the suspected Yen intervention, then rolled over into a series of lower highs. The Asia session has extended the correction back to the 4081 session low, RSI(14) cooling near 38, price below EMA20/50 with the 4100 round number now capping.

Support: 4,060.00

Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,115.00, 4,120.20

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4081 session low opens the path toward 4060 swing low
  • Reclaim of 4100 round number needed to re-challenge the 4115 recent high
  • US data later today (ECI 12:30, Chicago PMI 13:45, UoM 14:00 UTC) could shift this read

02:17 UTC

Pulling back from session high, momentum lower · RSI 40 · price 4,081.89

Lower highs since 4120, grinding toward range mid.

Gold rallied to a 4120 session high during the London-NY hours — a USD-driven lift on suspected Yen intervention and soft US GDP — then rejected and printed lower highs into Asia. Price has slid to 4081, RSI(14) cooling to ~40 with price back below EMA20/50; 4082 recent low is the immediate pivot.

Support: 4,082.00, 4,065.00

Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,120.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4082 opens the path toward 4065 swing low
  • reclaim of 4100 psych needed to stall the pullback
  • US ECI 12:30 / Chicago PMI 13:45 / UoM 14:00 UTC could shift this read

02:03 UTC

Pullback after NY rally, momentum down · RSI 35 · price 4,084.40

Lower highs, lower lows off 4120 peak.

Gold rallied to 4120 during NY hours on the USD slide (suspected JPY intervention, soft US GDP) then rolled into lower highs through Asia, now pressing the 4083 session low with RSI(14) cooled to the mid-30s. Price trades below EMA20/50 after rejection at the 4117 session high; 4100 round number capped the last bounce.

Support: 4,083.00, 4,065.00

Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,117.00, 4,120.20

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4083 confirms a lower low, opening 4065
  • Reclaim of 4100 negates the intraday pullback toward 4117
  • ECI 12:30 / Chicago PMI 13:45 / UoM 14:00 UTC could shift USD and this read

02:02 UTC

Pullback within intraday uptrend · RSI 40 · price 4,084.40

Lower highs off 4120, retracing the rally.

Gold rallied to a session high of 4120 during the prior US session as soft US GDP and suspected JPY intervention hammered the USD, then faded through Asia hours with a chain of lower highs. Price is now unwinding to the 38.2% retrace of that rally near 4085, RSI(14) cooling into the low 40s; 4100 caps as prior support turned resistance.

Support: 4,065.00

Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,115.00, 4,120.20

What it said to watch

  • Close below 4074 (50% fib) opens deeper retrace toward 4065
  • Reclaim of 4100 needed to challenge the 4115 swing high
  • ECI 12:30 UTC and Chicago PMI / UoM 13:45-14:00 UTC could reset this read

01:47 UTC

Pullback after NY rally, momentum down · RSI 37 · price 4,087.31

Rolling off 4120 top, testing 4084 support.

NY session drove a rally to 4120 off the 4028 low as soft US GDP and a broad USD slump lifted gold; supply capped repeatedly at 4115-4120. Asia session has since rolled the move back to 4085, holding the 38.2% fib of the up-leg with RSI(14) near 37.

Support: 4,067.20

Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,115.00, 4,120.20

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4083 confirms a lower low, opening 4067
  • Reclaim of 4100 needed to re-engage the 4115-4120 top
  • ECI (12:30), Chicago PMI (13:45) and UoM (14:00) could shift this read

01:47 UTC

Uptrend stalling, near-term pullback · RSI 39 · price 4,087.31

Lower highs off 4120, back under 4100.

Gold rallied to 4120 into the London-NY window then stalled, printing repeated rejections at 4114-4120 before slipping back below the 4100 round level; the move up was FX/rates-driven (soft US GDP and a suspected JPY-intervention USD slump) rather than a fresh breakout. Price is now testing the 4084 session low with RSI(14) cooling into the high-30s.

Support: 4,084.00, 4,075.00

Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,114.00, 4,120.22

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 4100 negates the downside range break
  • Break of 4084 session low opens 4075
  • US ECI 12:30 UTC, Chicago PMI 13:45 and UoM 14:00 could materially shift this read

01:32 UTC

Pullback off highs, momentum down · RSI 39 · price 4,091.24

Lower highs after 4120 peak.

Gold ran to 4120.22 into the NY session then faded through Asia, with 4100 psych repeatedly rejecting and price now probing the 4088.78 swing low. RSI(14) near 39 as lower highs stack up; rallies toward 4100 continue to be sold consistent with the post-FOMC $4,000-$4,200 range.

Support: 4,088.78, 4,083.18

Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,120.22

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4088.78 confirms a lower low, opening 4083 prior low
  • Reclaim of 4100 psych negates the fade back toward 4115 session high
  • US ECI at 12:30 UTC could shift USD tone and this read

01:31 UTC

Short-term downtrend off session high · RSI 40 · price 4,091.24

Lower highs, breaking below 4100.

Gold rallied through the London-NY transition into a 4120 session high, twice failing above 4120/4119 before rolling over into a run of lower highs. NY hours are now bleeding lower toward 4086 with price under EMA20/50 and RSI(14) cooling near 39; the 4100 ceiling repeatedly capped, matching the month-old range where rallies to 4100 are faded.

Support: 4,067.16

Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,120.22

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 4100 negates the rollover read
  • Break of 4086 confirms a lower low, opening 4067
  • ECI 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could shift this read

01:16 UTC

Pullback after rejection · RSI 40 · price 4,089.39

Lower highs off 4120, testing session low.

Gold rolled over from the 4117-4120 double top and slid through Asian hours to 4089, with the 4100 ceiling capping every bounce — consistent with the month-old range rejecting rallies near $4,100. RSI(14) cooling near 40 as price now presses the 4088 session low.

Support: 4,088.30, 4,074.40

Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,117.39, 4,120.22

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4088 confirms a lower-low, opening 4074
  • Reclaim of 4100 ceiling neutralises the pullback read
  • US ECI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

01:04 UTC

Pullback after NY high · RSI 41 · price 4,096.63

Rolling over from range top.

NY session drove gold to 4120 then repeatedly failed at the 4100 round-number ceiling, in line with the range-bound post-FOMC read. Asia session is drifting lower, now probing 4090 with RSI(14) cooling to the low 40s and price back under both EMAs.

Support: 4,083.18, 4,075.00

Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,115.00, 4,120.22

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4090 exposes 4083 then 4075
  • Reclaim of 4100 needed to re-test 4115 swing high
  • US ECI at 12:30 UTC could shift this read

01:03 UTC

Intraday uptrend fading, pulling back · RSI 42 · price 4,096.63

Faded off session high, lower highs into Asia.

Gold ran to 4120 through the London-NY hours after soft US PCE/GDP pressed the dollar, then repeatedly failed at the $4,100 ceiling flagged in the range read. Price is grinding lower into early Asia near 4096, printing lower highs with RSI(14) around 41 and back below the 4100 mark.

Support: 4,090.50, 4,083.18

Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,113.99, 4,120.22

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 4100 reopens the 4114-4120 session-high zone
  • Loss of 4090.5 session low confirms a lower-low toward 4083
  • ECI at 12:30 UTC could shift the USD/gold read

00:47 UTC

Intraday pullback off session high · RSI 39 · price 4,092.69

Lower highs after 4120 rejection.

Gold rallied to a 4120 session high post-FOMC but repeatedly failed above the 4100 ceiling, and the Asian session is now bleeding lower toward the 4090 session low with RSI(14) cooling to ~39. Twin peaks near 4117-4120 capped supply; price sits back below 4100 after the fade.

Support: 4,083.18

Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,120.22

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4083 swing low confirms a lower low
  • Reclaim of 4100 ceiling needed to reverse the fade
  • US ECI at 12:30 UTC could shift this read

00:47 UTC

Pullback after uptrend · RSI 37 · price 4,092.69

Double top, breaking below 4100.

Gold rallied to a 4120/4119 double top through the NY session — the failure to hold above 4100 fits the digest's post-FOMC 'rallies to 4100 sold' read. Asia hours are grinding lower, price now back at 4092 having lost the 4100 round level, RSI(14) cooling to the mid-30s.

Support: 4,084.00

Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,115.00, 4,120.00

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 4084 swing low confirms a lower-low and extends the pullback
  • Reclaim of 4100 puts the 4115 double-top area back in play
  • ECI at 12:30 UTC could reprice USD and shift this read

00:32 UTC

Pullback after NY rally, momentum fading · RSI 41 · price 4,096.07

Lower highs since 4120 peak, testing 4100 ceiling.

NY session drove gold to a session high of 4120 then rejected, and price has since failed to reclaim the $4,100 round ceiling. Asia session is grinding lower with RSI(14) cooling near 41; current 4096 sits below EMA20/50 as the post-FOMC USD softness that floored the metal near 4000 keeps rallies to 4100 offered.

Support: 4,083.00

Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,114.00, 4,120.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4100 reopens the 4114-4120 zone
  • Break below 4083 confirms a lower low
  • ECI 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could shift this read

00:31 UTC

Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 43 · price 4,096.07

Lower highs off 4120 peak, testing range mid.

Gold ran to 4120 through the London-NY session on the softer USD post-FOMC, then repeatedly stalled and got rejected near 4100-4115. Price is now sliding back to 4096 in the late/Asian handover, slipping under its short EMAs with RSI(14) cooling to the low 40s.

Support: 4,083.00

Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,115.00, 4,120.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4083 confirms a lower low and breaks the consolidation
  • Reclaim of 4115 needed to re-test the 4120 range high
  • ECI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

00:17 UTC

Intraday uptrend stalling near range top · RSI 44 · price 4,102.42

Rally to 4120 rejected, drifting back into 4100 area.

NY session ran gold from 4028 up to 4120 before rejection, matching the digest's $4,100 rejection ceiling where rallies get sold. Price has drifted back to 4102 through thin Asia hours, RSI cooling near 44 as the 4098-4100 shelf is retested.

Support: 4,100.00, 4,083.18

Resistance: 4,120.22

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4120 reopens continuation higher
  • Failure to hold 4100 exposes 4083 swing low
  • ECI 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could shift this read

00:16 UTC

Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 4,102.42

Consolidating below session high after impulse.

Gold ran an impulse to the 4120 session high during the prior session then stalled, and has been grinding sideways 4100-4115 through thin Asian hours, now leaning on the 4100 round level. Move fits the post-FOMC $4,000-$4,200 range read — rallies toward 4100+ repeatedly capped, RSI(14) cooled back to the mid-40s.

Support: 4,100.00, 4,085.00

Resistance: 4,115.00, 4,120.22

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4100 round opens the 4085 swing low
  • Reclaim of 4115 range top would re-test the 4120 session high
  • ECI at 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read

00:02 UTC

Uptrend stalling, pullback into range · RSI 46 · price 4,101.78

Consolidating below session high after rally faded.

NY session drove gold from 4028 to a 4120 range high before the move faded, price now grinding sideways 4099-4112 after a rejection near the top. Softer PCE/GDP and USD weakness cushioned the metal, but the well-flagged $4,100 ceiling capped the rally and price is back at 4101.

Support: 4,099.00, 4,083.18

Resistance: 4,112.00, 4,120.22

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4120 range high reopens the upside push
  • Failure to hold 4099 swing low exposes 4083
  • ECI 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations 14:00 UTC can shift this read

00:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 43 · price 4,101.78

Post-rally pullback into range.

Gold rallied from 4028 through the NY session to a 4120 day high on the post-FOMC USD softening, then repeatedly failed to hold above the round 4100 handle. Thin early-Asia trade is grinding back to 4101.78, sitting below EMA20 with RSI cooling to the low 40s.

Support: 4,100.00, 4,083.18

Resistance: 4,120.22

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4100 opens the 4083 swing low
  • Reclaim of the 4115 swing high puts the 4120 day high back in play
  • US ECI at 12:30 UTC could shift this read

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