AUD/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Tuesday, 3 November 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the AUD/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:47 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs since NY high · RSI 46 · price 0.69644
Lower highs from 0.6997; fresh day low after NY close, spike rejected.
AUD/USD has printed lower highs since the 0.6997 NY high and set a fresh day low at 0.6960 after the NY close, just under the post-RBA London low. The 23:30 UTC spike to the 0.6973 spike high, as US midterm results began landing, reversed at the 38.2% fib, leaving price capped by the ema20 with RSI(14) near 46.
Support: 0.69595
Resistance: 0.69656, 0.6973, 0.69972
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6973 spike high breaks the lower-high sequence and puts the 0.6997 ny high and 0.7000 psych back in range
Acceptance below the 0.6960 day low extends the post-RBA lows into the Asia session
Senate control call overnight could produce further headline spikes like the 23:30 UTC bar
23:32 UTC
Downtrend, stalling at lows · RSI 51 · price 0.69648
Lower-high chain from 0.6997; early-Asia sweep of the 0.6961 low, then bounce.
The dovish RBA hike set the tone, and NY faded the 0.6997 high into a chain of lower highs. Early Asia briefly swept the 0.6961 two-week low to a 0.69595 sweep low after the AU PMIs, then bounced back to test the descending trendline. Price sits in a tight 0.6960–0.6969 Asian range below the 0.69688 asia high, with RSI(14) neutral near 51.
Support: 0.69624, 0.69595
Resistance: 0.69688, 0.69746, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.69688 asia high and the descending trendline breaks the lower-high chain, with the 0.69746 lower high and the 38.2–50% fib (0.6974–0.6978) next
Acceptance below the 0.69624 NY low and 0.69595 sweep low confirms a fresh lower-low under the 0.6961 two-week low
US midterm results overnight could materially shift this read; a USD-negative Senate outcome would bring the 0.7000 psych level back into view
Lower-high chain from 0.6997 NY high; fresh session low 0.69595 under the post-RBA low.
Rollover-hour selling briefly took out the 0.69614 post-RBA low to a 0.69595 session low before a snap back to 0.6962. Price stays below both EMAs and under a falling trendline of lower highs from the 0.6997 NY high, with the 0.69688 lower high and the 0.69746 swing high capping. ATR near 3 pips shows thin early-Asia trade.
Support: 0.69595, 0.69614
Resistance: 0.69688, 0.69746
What it said to watch
Close above the 0.69688 lower high and the trendline breaks the lower-high chain
Acceptance below the 0.69595 session low confirms a lower-low beyond the post-RBA low
US midterm results landing overnight could materially shift this read
Return to the 0.69746 swing high would tag the 38.2% fib of the NY-high-to-session-low drop
23:03 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs since NY open · RSI 44 · price 0.6963
Lower-high sequence from 0.6997; post-RBA low undercut, small bounce.
The NY high at 0.6997 has fully unwound through a chain of lower highs, the last at 0.6975, as dovish-RBA pressure and a firm USD weighed. After the AU PMI release, price briefly undercut the 0.6961 post-RBA trough to a window low of 0.6960. It is bouncing to 0.6963 in early Asia, with ATR near 3 pips.
Support: 0.6960
Resistance: 0.6969, 0.6975, 0.6997
What it said to watch
Close below the 0.6960 window low confirms a lower-low beneath the post-RBA trough
Reclaim of the 0.6969 pmi high would turn the undercut into a false break
A move through the 0.6975 lower high breaks the lower-high chain and the NY high trendline
US midterm results landing from 23:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs since the post-RBA drop; flat base near 0.6962.
The post-RBA slide held a lower-high chain into NY. The 0.6997 NY high capped, and late NY ground lower into a 0.6962–0.6966 base. Early Asia wicked just under the 0.6961 two-week low to 0.69606 around the AU PMI window and closed back above; price is flat at EMA20, with RSI(14) near 54 and ATR about 2.5 pips.
Support: 0.6961
Resistance: 0.6975, 0.6997, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6975 lower high (38.2% fib) breaks the NY lower-high sequence
Acceptance below the 0.6961 two-week low turns the sweep into a fresh lower-low
US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could materially shift this read; ny high 0.6997 and the 0.7000 round number sit above
22:32 UTC
Downtrend, compressing near lows · RSI 38 · price 0.69639
Lower highs from the 0.6997 NY high; tight late-session range sitting on the 0.6961 low.
After the dovish RBA hike, AUD/USD hit the 0.6961 2-week low in London. The NY bounce stalled at the 0.6997 NY high below 0.7000, and lower highs followed, with the 0.6975 swing high capping the move. Price has since compressed under a 0.6969 range top, and the latest bar is retesting 0.6961; AU PMIs at 22:00 UTC drew little reaction.
Support: 0.69614
Resistance: 0.69688, 0.69746, 0.69972
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6961 2-week low confirms a lower-low and breaks the post-RBA trough
Close above the 0.6975 swing high breaks the lower-high sequence off the 0.6997 NY high
Range top at 0.6969: acceptance above it ends the late-session compression
US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could materially shift this read; a Senate flip is the USD-negative case
22:17 UTC
Downtrend, momentum stalling into the lows · RSI 38 · price 0.69657
Lower highs since NY open, compressing above 0.6961.
The NY high at 0.6997 failed below the 0.7000 handle and price sold into 0.6962 by late NY, with lower highs at 0.6987 and 0.6975 as AUD stayed heavy after the dovish RBA hike. Asia has opened in a tight 2-3 pip ATR grind just above the 0.6961 2-week low, and the AU PMI release produced only a brief pmi spike to 0.6969 that faded.
Support: 0.69614
Resistance: 0.69688, 0.69746, 0.69972
What it said to watch
A close below the 0.6961 2-week low extends the post-RBA slide
A close above the 0.6975 lower high breaks the NY lower-high sequence
Recovery through 0.6997 ny high reopens the 0.7000 handle
US midterm results overnight could materially shift this read
After the dovish RBA hike, London broke the Asian range low to the 0.6961 2-week low. The rebound stalled at the 0.6997 NY high, short of 0.7000 psych, and a lower-high trendline has capped price since. The late-NY slide retested 0.6962, and price is compressing at 0.6962–0.6966 into the new Asia session, RSI(14) near 37, ATR(14) about 2.4 pips.
Support: 0.69614
Resistance: 0.69746, 0.69972, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6961 2-week low breaks the double low and extends the post-RBA slide
Reclaim of the 0.6975 swing high (near the 38.2% fib) breaks the lower-high trendline
AU S&P Global PMIs at 22:00 UTC and US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could materially shift this read
0.6997 NY high and 0.7000 psych remain the session cap
21:47 UTC
Intraday downtrend, compressing at day low · RSI 36 · price 0.69651
Lower highs from 0.69972 since NY open; tight band just above the 0.6961–0.6962 lows.
The RBA's dovish hike knocked AUDUSD off the 0.7000 handle. London printed the 0.69614 day low, and a rebound into the NY open stalled at the 0.69972 ny open high, short of the round number. Lower highs since then have pressed price into a 2–3 pip band just above the 0.69624 ny low after the NY close, with RSI(14) near 36 and ATR shrinking to about 2.6 pips.
Support: 0.69624, 0.69614
Resistance: 0.69746, 0.69972, 0.7000
What it said to watch
AU S&P Global PMIs at 22:00 UTC and US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close below the 0.69614 day low extends the lower-low sequence beneath the two-week trough
M15 close above the 0.69746 lower high, which sits near the 38.2% fib of the 0.69972–0.69624 drop, breaks the descending trendline and the intraday downtrend read
Acceptance back above the 0.69972 ny open high and 0.7000 round number would mark the post-RBA rejection as a false break
21:31 UTC
Downtrend from NY high, momentum flat · RSI 36 · price 0.6965
Lower highs since 0.6997, compressing just above 0.6961 low.
NY's post-data rally stalled at 0.6997, just shy of the 0.7000 round number, and price has printed a lower high at 0.6975 since. It is now pinned in a 3-pip band above the 0.6962 NY low and the 0.6961 two-week low set in London after the dovish RBA hike. RSI(14) sits near 36 and ATR(14) has shrunk to about 2.4 pips in the late-NY lull.
Support: 0.69624, 0.69614
Resistance: 0.69746, 0.7000
What it said to watch
AU S&P Global PMIs at 22:00 UTC are the likely catalyst to break the compression
M15 close below the 0.6961 two-week low confirms a lower low
Close above the 0.6975 lower high breaks the descending trendline sequence
US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could materially shift this read into Asia
Lower highs since NY high, compressing just above the 2-week low.
The RBA's dovish hike knocked AUDUSD off 0.7000, and the London session extended the slide to the 0.6961 2-week low. The NY rebound met rejection at the 0.6997 ny high just under 0.7000 and faded against firm US data (JOLTS beat), printing lower highs into the 0.6975 swing high. Late NY is now a tight 3-pip band between 0.6962 and the 0.6966 range top, with RSI(14) near 32 and ATR around 3 pips.
Support: 0.69614
Resistance: 0.69656, 0.69746, 0.69972
What it said to watch
Break and close below the 0.6961 2-week low confirms a fresh lower-low
Close above the 0.6966 range top, then the 0.6975 swing high, breaks the lower-high sequence
AU S&P Global PMIs at 22:00 UTC (Composite f/c 47.7, Services f/c 47.8) land on a compressed range
US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could widen ranges during the Asia session
Lower-highs trendline from the ny high caps rallies while intact
After the dovish RBA hike, London broke the Asian range low to 0.6961. NY's rebound stalled at 0.6997 below the 0.7000 psych handle and faded after the JOLTS beat, leaving a lower high at 0.6975 near the 38.2% fib. Late NY has drifted back to retest the London low at 0.6961 on compressed ATR, with RSI(14) near 33 and not yet oversold.
Support: 0.69614
Resistance: 0.69746, 0.69972, 0.7000
What it said to watch
A close below the 0.6961 London low (the post-RBA trough) confirms a lower-low and extends the downtrend
Recovery above the 0.6975 lower high breaks the NY lower-high sequence and the trendline
AU S&P Global PMIs at 22:00 UTC (Services f/c 47.8) land as the Asia session opens and could shift this read
US midterm results from 23:00 UTC; a USD-negative outcome would be tested against the 0.6997 NY high and the 0.7000 psych handle
20:46 UTC
Downtrend from NY high, momentum flattening · RSI 36 · price 0.69654
Lower highs since 14:30 UTC, basing just above day low.
AUDUSD reversed from the 0.6997 NY high after the JOLTS beat firmed USD. It printed a chain of lower highs down to the 0.6962 NY low, one pip above the 0.6961 day low from London. Late NY, price is compressing at 0.6965 with RSI(14) near 36 and ATR around 3 pips, still below the descending trendline and the 0.6975 lower high.
Support: 0.69624, 0.69614
Resistance: 0.69746, 0.69798, 0.69972
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6961 day low confirms a lower-low and extends the post-NY slide
M15 close above the 0.6975 lower high breaks the descending trendline; the 50% fib at 0.6980 is next
AU S&P Global PMIs at 22:00 UTC and US midterm results from 23:00 UTC could expand the range sharply from the 0.6997 NY high to the day low
20:31 UTC
Intraday downtrend, momentum soft but not stretched · RSI 38 · price 0.69647
Lower highs and lower lows through NY; price pressing the London low.
Since the 0.6997 session high in the London-NY transition, NY has printed lower highs at 0.6990 and the 0.6975 swing high. Firm US data (JOLTS beat) and the post-RBA drag kept AUD heavy, and price is now retesting the 0.6961 London low, the post-RBA two-week low. RSI(14) 38 and the 3-pip ATR show a slow grind lower rather than a stretched move.
Support: 0.69614
Resistance: 0.69746, 0.69896, 0.69972
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6961 london low confirms a fresh lower low beyond the post-RBA trough
Close above the 0.6975 swing high breaks the NY lower-high sequence; 0.6990 lower high next
AU S&P Global PMIs at 22:00 UTC (Composite f/c 47.7) could materially shift this read
US midterm results from 23:00 UTC; a Democratic sweep is the USD-negative tail that could reach the 0.6997 session high
20:17 UTC
Downtrend, pressing the day low · RSI 36 · price 0.69635
Lower highs since the NY high, testing London low.
Rejection at the 0.6997 NY high, just under 0.7000, has been followed by a chain of lower highs (0.6990 lower high, 0.6975 swing high). Price is back at the 0.6961 London low and 2-week low in late NY trade, with beats from JOLTS and factory orders keeping USD firm. RSI(14) near 36 is not stretched.
Support: 0.69614, 0.6950
Resistance: 0.69746, 0.69896, 0.69972
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6961 2-week low extends the lower-low sequence toward the 0.6950 round number
Close above the 0.6975 swing high breaks the NY trendline and the lower-high chain
Recovery through the 0.6990 lower high puts the NY high and 0.7000 back in play
AU PMIs at 22:00 UTC and US midterm results from 23:00 UTC could materially shift this read
LH/LL chain off the 0.6997 NY high, pressing the 2-week low.
Post-RBA, AUD failed twice near 0.7000. Strong JOLTS lifted USD and price reversed from the 0.6997 NY high, carving lower highs at 0.6981 and 0.6975 in late NY. Price is now retesting the 0.6961 2-week low set in London, with RSI(14) at 36 and not yet oversold.
Support: 0.69614, 0.6950
Resistance: 0.69746, 0.69812, 0.69972
What it said to watch
A close below the 0.6961 2-week low confirms a lower-low and puts the 0.6950 round number in view
A close above the 0.6975 swing high breaks the descending trendline; the 0.6981 lower high is next
AU S&P Global PMIs at 22:00 UTC (Services f/c 47.8) could materially shift this read
US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC are a volatility risk into Asia; 0.6997 NY high caps above
19:46 UTC
Downtrend, grinding lower into late NY · RSI 34 · price 0.69642
Lower highs from 0.6997 session high, pressing London low.
Rejection at the 0.6997 session high, compounded by the strong US JOLTS print at 14:00 UTC, has set up a chain of NY lower highs. The latest is the 0.6975 swing high, and price is back at the 0.6961 London low, which is also the post-RBA two-week low. RSI(14) near 34 is not oversold, and an ATR of about 3 pips points to a thin late-session tape.
Support: 0.69614, 0.6950
Resistance: 0.69746, 0.69972
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6961 london low extends the post-RBA lower-low sequence toward the 0.6950 round number
M15 close above the 0.6975 swing high breaks the NY lower highs trendline
AU S&P Global PMIs at 22:00 UTC (Composite f/c 47.7) could materially shift this read
US midterm results from 23:00 UTC are an overnight volatility risk
NY session reversed London's bounce off the 0.6961 day low. Price faded from the 0.6997 NY high as US data beats (JOLTS, factory orders) lifted USD against an AUD still heavy after the dovish RBA. Late NY slipped under the 0.6966 NY low after a lower high at 0.6975, and price is now retesting the day low with RSI(14) near 35.
Support: 0.69614
Resistance: 0.69655, 0.69746, 0.69972
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6961 day low extends the post-RBA slide to fresh two-week lows
Reclaim of the 0.6975 lower high breaks the NY downtrend line
Failure to hold back above the 0.6966 NY low keeps the lower-high sequence intact
AU PMIs at 22:00 UTC and US midterm results from 23:00 UTC could materially shift this read
19:16 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs since NY open · RSI 35 · price 0.69682
Lower highs from 0.6997, basing above 0.6961–0.6966 lows.
The NY open rally stalled at 0.6997, just under the 0.7000 psych handle. Lower highs followed as the dovish RBA weight and firm US data pulled price back toward the 0.6961 London low. Late in the NY session the pair sits at 0.6968, just above the 0.6966 NY low, with the bounce high at 0.6975 capping and RSI(14) near 35.
Support: 0.69655, 0.69614
Resistance: 0.69746, 0.69972, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.6961 london low confirms a lower low and a fresh two-week trough
An M15 close above the 0.6975 bounce high breaks the lower-highs trendline from the 0.6997 NY high
Reclaiming the NY high and the 0.7000 psych handle would invalidate the downtrend read
AU PMIs at 22:00 UTC and US midterm results from 23:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs since NY open, tight late-NY base above 0.6966.
After the dovish RBA hike, AUDUSD slid to a 0.6961 2-week low in London. NY rallied to a 0.6997 NY high at the open, then met rejection under 0.7000 and printed a 0.69655 NY low. Late NY is basing in a 0.6966–0.6975 band below a descending trendline, under the 0.69746 swing high, with RSI(14) near 42 and ATR(14) around 3.6 pips.
Support: 0.69655, 0.69614
Resistance: 0.69746, 0.69812, 0.69972
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.69746 swing high and the descending trendline opens the 0.69812 lower high
Break of the 0.69655 NY low exposes the 0.69614 2-week low
Reclaim of the 0.69972 NY high and 0.7000 would end the lower-high sequence
AU PMIs at 22:00 UTC and US midterm results from 23:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower-high chain from 0.6997, basing above London low.
After the post-RBA drop to the 0.6961 London low, the pair was rejected at the 0.6997 session high just shy of 0.7000. It has stepped lower since the US JOLTS beat, and late NY is now compressing in a 0.6966–0.6975 band between the NY low and a micro high, under descending resistance. RSI(14) is near 41 and ATR has shrunk to about 3.5 pips, which marks a quiet tape ahead of the AU PMIs.
Support: 0.69655, 0.69614
Resistance: 0.69746, 0.69896, 0.69972
What it said to watch
A close above the 0.6975 micro high and descending resistance breaks the lower-high chain; 0.6990 lower high is next
Failure to hold the 0.6966 NY low exposes the 0.6961 London low (two-week trough)
AU S&P Global PMIs at 22:00 UTC and US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could materially shift this read
The 78.6% fib of the London low–session high move sits at 0.6969, inside the current band
18:32 UTC
Intraday downtrend, flattening in late NY · RSI 43 · price 0.69727
NY rally rejected below 0.7000, now a tight 0.6966–0.6975 range above a higher low.
The post-RBA slide extended in London to a 0.6961 london low. The NY rally stalled at the 0.6997 ny high below 0.7000, and the JOLTS beat sent price back to a 0.6966 ny low, a higher low. Late NY is compressing in a 0.6966–0.6975 range below EMA20/50, with RSI(14) near 43 and ATR around 4 pips.
Support: 0.69655, 0.69614
Resistance: 0.69745, 0.69776, 0.69972
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6975 range top and the 38.2% fib at 0.6978 would reopen the ny high at 0.6997
Failure to hold the 0.6966 ny low exposes the 0.6961 london low and breaks the higher-low line
AU Services/Composite PMI at 22:00 UTC and US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could shift this read in the Asia session
Lower highs from 0.6997 NY high; higher low 0.6966 above London low 0.6961.
The NY rally from the London low at 0.6961 was rejected at the 0.6997 NY high, short of 0.7000. The JOLTS beat then drove a lower-high sequence down to the 0.6966 NY low, which held above the London low. Late NY is now grinding back toward the 38.2% retracement near 0.6978, with EMA20 overhead.
Support: 0.69655, 0.69614
Resistance: 0.69812, 0.69896, 0.69972
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6981 lower high breaks the descending-high sequence and opens the 0.6990 swing high
Failure to hold the 0.6966 NY low exposes the 0.6961 London low; a close below confirms a lower low
AU Services/Composite PMI at 22:00 UTC and US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs from 0.6997 NY high; holding above 0.6961 London low.
NY rejected the 0.6997 NY high after the JOLTS beat and printed lower highs into a 0.6966 NY low. Price is drifting late in NY just above that low and is capped by the 0.6972 bounce high, with the 0.6961 London low, the post-RBA two-week low, beneath it.
Support: 0.69655, 0.69614
Resistance: 0.69724, 0.69812, 0.69972
What it said to watch
Break of the 0.6961 London low extends the lower-low sequence beyond the RBA-driven low
Close above the 0.6981 lower high (fib 50% of the NY drop) breaks the NY lower-high chain
AU Services PMI at 22:00 UTC and US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs from 0.7014; late-NY base above session low.
The RBA's dovish hike sent London through the Asian low to the 0.6961 rba low. The NY rebound met rejection at the 0.6997 ny high and faded after the JOLTS beat firmed USD, leaving lower highs. Late NY, price is basing above the 0.6966 ny low, under the 0.6978 breakdown, with RSI(14) near 37.
Support: 0.69655, 0.69614
Resistance: 0.6978, 0.69972
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.6978 breakdown ends the NY fade and puts the 0.6997 ny high back in play
Loss of the 0.6966 ny low and the 0.6961 rba low confirms a fresh lower low
AU Services/Composite PMI at 22:00 UTC and US midterm results from 23:00 UTC could materially shift this read
A break above the lower highs trendline from 0.6997 invalidates the downtrend read
Post-RBA range 0.6961–0.6997, NY lower highs, higher low at 0.6966.
The NY session high at 0.6997 was rejected just under the 0.7000 psych level, and the JOLTS beat at 14:00 UTC extended the slide to an NY low of 0.6966. That low holds above the 0.6961 London low (the post-RBA two-week low). Late in the NY session, price is idling below the 0.6978 pivot inside the post-RBA range, with ATR near 5 pips.
Support: 0.69655, 0.69614
Resistance: 0.69782, 0.69972, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.6966 NY low exposes the 0.6961 London low; a break there extends the lower-low sequence
M15 close back above the 0.6978 pivot breaks the NY lower highs line and reopens the session high at 0.6997
Acceptance above 0.7000 psych would invalidate the post-RBA range read
AU Services/Composite PMI at 22:00 UTC and US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs from the 0.6997 NY high, trading below the Asian range.
London broke below the Asian range (0.6972–0.7003) to a 0.6961 2-week low after the RBA's dovish hike. The NY rebound met rejection at the 0.6997 NY high and has since printed lower highs as USD firmed on the JOLTS beat. Late in NY, price is basing just above the 0.6966 NY low with RSI(14) near 31.
Support: 0.69655, 0.69614
Resistance: 0.69725, 0.69812, 0.69972
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.6972 asian low puts price back inside the Asian range
Close above the 0.6981 lower high, the 50% retrace of the NY decline, breaks the lower-high chain and the NY-high trendline
Break of the 0.6961 2-week low extends the lower-low sequence
AU Services PMI at 22:00 UTC and US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could materially shift this read
17:02 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs through NY · RSI 28 · price 0.69685
Lower highs and lower lows since the 0.6997 NY high; price sitting just above the London low.
The post-RBA Asian range broke lower into the 0.6961 London low. The NY recovery was rejected at the 0.6997 NY high below 0.7000, and the JOLTS beat set off a lower high at 0.6990 and a slide to the 0.6966 NY low. After London close, price is pressing back toward the London low with RSI(14) near 28.
Support: 0.69655, 0.69614
Resistance: 0.6979, 0.69896, 0.69972
What it said to watch
A close below the 0.6961 London low extends the lower-low chain past the post-RBA low
A reclaim of the 0.6979 NY pivot breaks the lower-highs trendline and neutralises the NY leg
Only a move above the 0.6990 lower high, then the NY high, would void the lower-highs sequence
AU Services/Composite PMI at 22:00 UTC and US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs and lower lows since the NY high at 0.6997.
The NY high at 0.6997 was rejected just under the 0.7000 handle. Firm JOLTS and Factory Orders then extended a lower-highs chain, which has retraced about 78.6% of the London-NY rally. Price now holds at the 0.6966 session low, a few pips above the 0.6961 London low (the post-RBA two-week low), with RSI(14) near 34 and not yet oversold.
Support: 0.69655, 0.69614
Resistance: 0.6976, 0.69812, 0.69972
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6961 london low extends the post-RBA lower-low sequence to a fresh two-week low
Reclaim of the 0.6976 broken low and the lower-highs trendline, then 0.6981 lower high, would neutralise the NY selloff structure
AU Services PMI at 22:00 UTC and US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could materially shift this read
16:32 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs since NY open · RSI 34 · price 0.69693
Lower-high/lower-low chain off the 0.6997 NY high, testing the 0.6969 swing low.
The London rebound from the 0.6961 london low met rejection at the 0.6997 ny high, just under 0.7000. Firm JOLTS at 15:00 UTC then pushed AUD back down through a string of lower highs to 0.6969. Price is now sitting on the swing low there, around the 78.6% retracement of that rally, after losing the 61.8% fib at 0.6975.
Support: 0.69688, 0.69614
Resistance: 0.69751, 0.69812, 0.69972
What it said to watch
A close below the 0.6961 london low prints a fresh two-week low and extends the lower-low chain
Recovery above the 0.6981 lower high and the descending trendline breaks the NY lower-high sequence
Reclaiming the 61.8% fib at 0.6975 would mark the first higher low since the ny high
AU Services PMI at 22:00 UTC and US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could materially shift this read
16:17 UTC
Intraday downtrend from NY session high · RSI 39 · price 0.69728
Lower highs since 0.6997 session high; testing Asian low.
London made a false break of the Asian range low down to the 0.6961 London low, then the pair recovered into a 0.6997 session high that was rejected just under 0.7000. Since then the highs have stepped lower. The 0.6990 JOLTS spike faded on the firm US data, and price is now testing the 0.6972 Asian low near the 61.8% retrace of the London low-to-session high rally, with RSI(14) ~39 and price below both EMAs.
Support: 0.6972, 0.6969, 0.6961
Resistance: 0.6981, 0.6990, 0.6997
What it said to watch
An M15 close below the 0.6972 Asian low exposes the 0.6969 swing low and the 0.6961 London low
A close above the 0.6981 lower high, then the 0.6990 JOLTS spike, breaks the descending line and the lower-high sequence
AU Services PMI at 22:00 UTC and US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could materially shift this read
16:03 UTC
Intraday pullback, lower highs since NY open · RSI 47 · price 0.69776
LH/LL sequence off 0.6997 NY high, testing 0.6976 swing low.
London broke below the Asian range to the 0.6961 post-RBA low, then reversed. The rebound stalled at a 0.6997 NY high just under the 0.7000 round number. Since the firm US JOLTS beat, price has printed lower highs and lower lows back to the 0.6976 swing low, between the 50% and 61.8% fib of the 0.6961–0.6997 leg, with RSI(14) neutral near 47.
Support: 0.6976, 0.6969, 0.6961
Resistance: 0.6990, 0.6997, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6976 swing low extends the lower-low chain toward the 0.6969 london pivot and the 0.6961 post-RBA low
Close above the 0.6990 lower high breaks the descending trendline and reopens the 0.6997 NY high and 0.7000 round number
AU Services PMI at 22:00 UTC and US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could materially shift this read
15:47 UTC
Intraday range, rolling over from NY high · RSI 46 · price 0.69767
Lower high at 0.6990 after 0.6997 rejection; probing Asian low.
London's break below the post-RBA Asian low ran to a 0.6961 London low and was reclaimed. The NY push stalled at the 0.6997 NY high, short of the 0.7000 psych handle, and firm JOLTS left a 0.6990 lower high, with price now near the 57% fib of the London-low rally, just above the 0.6973 Asian low.
Support: 0.69725, 0.69688, 0.69614
Resistance: 0.69896, 0.69972, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6973 Asian low and 0.6969 swing low exposes the 0.6961 London low
Reclaim of the 0.6990 lower high breaks the NY lower highs and reopens the NY high / 0.7000 psych
AU Services PMI at 22:00 UTC and US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher-low sequence off 0.6961 under test after a lower high below 0.7000.
After the post-RBA slide, AUD/USD rebounded from the 0.6961 London low to a 0.6997 NY high, but stalled just under 0.7000. The JOLTS beat at 15:00 UTC pulled price back to the 50% retracement near 0.6978, sitting on the 0.6976 higher low, with RSI(14) neutral near 47 and ATR(14) around 6 pips.
Support: 0.69763, 0.69688, 0.69614
Resistance: 0.69896, 0.69972, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6976 higher low breaks the recovery sequence and exposes the 0.6969 swing low and the 0.6961 London low
Recovery above the 0.6990 lower high and the 0.6997 NY high puts the 0.7000 psych handle back in play
AU Services PMI at 22:00 UTC and US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could materially shift this read
15:17 UTC
Recovery from London low, stalling under 0.7000 · RSI 51 · price 0.69821
Higher lows since 0.6961, NY high rejected at 0.6997.
Post-RBA selling broke the Asian low and ran to a 0.6961 London low. The NY recovery stalled at a 0.6997 session high just under the 0.7000 psych / 0.7003 Asian high. The pullback held a 0.6979 higher low near the 50% fib, and the JOLTS bar stayed inside 0.6981–0.6986.
Support: 0.6979, 0.6973, 0.6961
Resistance: 0.6997, 0.7003
What it said to watch
Close below the 0.6979 higher low and rising support breaks the London-low recovery structure
Close above the 0.6997 session high puts the 0.7000 psych and 0.7003 Asian high back in play
Loss of the 0.6973 Asian low reopens the 0.6961 London low
AU Services PMI at 22:00 UTC and US midterm results from 23:00 UTC could materially shift this read
15:03 UTC
Intraday recovery from London low, stalling below 0.7000 · RSI 51 · price 0.69824
Higher lows from 0.6961; NY high rejected, pullback testing rising trendline.
The RBA's dovish hike fed the slide, and London pushed through the 0.6973 Asian low to a 0.6961 London low before a false break pulled price back inside the Asian range. NY open spiked to a 0.6997 NY high and was rejected short of 0.7000. The pullback to the 0.6979 pullback low is holding the 50% fib and the rising trendline, with price flat on the EMA20 and RSI neutral near 51.
Support: 0.69791, 0.69725, 0.69614
Resistance: 0.69896, 0.69972, 0.70031
What it said to watch
JOLTS (15:00 UTC) lands on the current bar and could materially shift this read
M15 close below the 0.6979 pullback low breaks the rising trendline and exposes the 0.6973 asian low, then the 0.6961 london low
Close above the 0.6990 lower high reopens the 0.6997 NY high and the 0.7003 asian high
AU PMI at 22:00 UTC and US midterm results from about 23:00 UTC are the next volatility risks
HH/HL chain off 0.6961, pulling back from NY high.
After the dovish RBA hike, London broke the Asian low and printed the 0.6961 rba low. That break failed, and a higher-high/higher-low chain carried price to the 0.6997 ny high at the NY open, where it was rejected just shy of 0.7000. Price is now retesting the 50% fib of that rally near 0.6979 and sitting just under the EMA20/EMA50 cluster around 0.6982–0.6983.
Support: 0.69791, 0.69763, 0.69614
Resistance: 0.69972, 0.70031
What it said to watch
US JOLTS and Factory Orders at 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read
A break of the 0.6976 swing low ends the higher-low chain and exposes the 0.6961 rba low
A close above the 0.6997 ny high and the 0.7003 Asian high reopens the 0.7000 handle
AU PMI at 22:00 UTC and US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC are overnight volatility risks
14:32 UTC
Recovering off the London low, momentum fading · RSI 56 · price 0.69827
Higher lows from 0.6961; 0.7000 rejection, now testing 0.6980.
After the dovish RBA hike, AUD/USD broke below the Asian range in early London to a 0.6961 two-week low. The break failed, and price built higher lows at 0.6969 and 0.6976. The early-NY push was rejected at the 0.6997 session high, just under 0.7000 psych. Price is now retesting the 0.6980 pullback low at the 50% fib, flat on the EMA cluster, with RSI(14) near 56.
Support: 0.6980, 0.69763, 0.69614
Resistance: 0.69972, 0.7000, 0.7021
What it said to watch
US JOLTS at 15:00 UTC (30 min) could break the 0.6980 pullback low or the 0.6997 session high
M15 close below the 0.6976 higher low breaks the recovery sequence and exposes the 0.6961 two-week low
Close above 0.7000 psych opens a path toward the 0.7021 prior high
AU PMIs at 22:00 UTC and US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could materially shift this read
After the dovish RBA hike, London open swept the Asian range low to a 0.6961 2-week low, then a higher-low chain carried price to 0.6997 at the NY open, where it was rejected just shy of 0.7000. The pullback found a ny low at 0.6981, between the 38.2% and 50% fib of the rebound and on the rising trendline. RSI(14) is near 57 and ATR(14) about 5 pips.
Support: 0.6981, 0.6976, 0.6961
Resistance: 0.6997, 0.7003, 0.7021
What it said to watch
US JOLTS and Factory Orders at 15:00 UTC, about 45 min out, could materially shift this read
An M15 close below the 0.6976 higher low breaks the rising trendline and the higher-low chain, putting the 2-week low at 0.6961 back in view
A close above the 0.6997 ny high and the 0.7003 asian high reopens the 0.7021 prior high
AU Services PMI at 22:00 UTC and US midterm results from about 23:00 UTC are the next risk events
Higher lows off the London low, capped at the session high.
After the dovish RBA hike, London broke the Asian low at 0.6972 and set a 0.6961 two-week low. The break failed and price built higher lows along a rising trendline. The early NY push stalled at the 0.6997 session high, a rejection just under the 0.7000 psych level, and price is easing toward the 38.2% fib with RSI(14) at 56.
Support: 0.69763, 0.69725, 0.69614
Resistance: 0.69972, 0.7000, 0.7021
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6976 swing low breaks the rising trendline and the higher-low chain
Loss of the 0.6972 asian low re-exposes the 0.6961 two-week low
Acceptance above the 0.7000 psych level opens the 0.7021 prior high
US JOLTS and Factory Orders at 15:00 UTC could shift this read
AU Services PMI at 22:00 UTC and midterm results from 23:00 UTC are later risk
13:47 UTC
Intraday recovery, higher lows off London low · RSI 65 · price 0.69928
Failed break below Asian low, HL chain pressing session high.
The RBA dovish-hike selloff took AUDUSD through the Asian low to a 0.6961 London low, but the break failed. A higher-low recovery leg has since carried price through the 0.6983 breakout to a 0.6997 session high in the first hour of NY, just under the 0.7000 psych level and the 0.7003 Asian high. RSI(14) ~65, not stretched.
Support: 0.69828, 0.69763, 0.69614
Resistance: 0.69972, 0.7000, 0.70031
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7000 psych and the 0.7003 Asian high would put price back above the full Asian range
Rejection at the 0.6997 session high and a slip back below the 0.6983 breakout would stall the recovery leg
Failure to hold the 0.6976 swing low breaks the higher-low trendline, and the 0.6961 London low comes back into view
US JOLTS and Factory Orders at 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read
AU PMIs at 22:00 UTC and midterm results from ~23:00 UTC are event risk later in the session
13:31 UTC
Intraday uptrend off London low, RSI hot · RSI 70 · price 0.69913
Higher lows from 0.6961, pushing through morning high.
The RBA 'dovish hike' knocked AUD to 0.6973 in Asia, and London extended to a 0.6961 london low before demand stepped in. A higher-low chain since then has lifted price through the 0.6989 morning high, with RSI(14) near 70 and the 0.7000 psych level just overhead.
Support: 0.6989, 0.6976, 0.6961
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7021
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.6989 morning high marks the breakout as a false break
Loss of the 0.6976 higher low breaks the rising trendline from the london low
Close above 0.7000 psych opens the path to yesterday's 0.7021 prior high
US JOLTS and Factory Orders at 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read
AU Services PMI at 22:00 UTC and midterm results from ~23:00 UTC are later volatility risks
HH/HL chain from 0.6961 session low, back inside Asian range.
The RBA's dovish 4.85% hike knocked AUD off 0.7000 into a 0.6973 Asian low, and the London drop extended to a 0.6961 session low before the move below the Asian range was reclaimed. A steady HH/HL chain since then has lifted price to just under the 0.6989 pre-drop high, with RSI(14) near 63 and higher lows at 0.6969, 0.6975 and 0.6976.
Support: 0.69763, 0.69725, 0.69614
Resistance: 0.69891, 0.7000, 0.70031
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6989 pre-drop high opens the 0.7000 psych level and the 0.7003 Asian high
Loss of the 0.6976 higher low breaks the HL trendline and the HH/HL chain, putting the 0.6973 asian low back in play
Rejection at 0.6989 would mark an 84% retrace of the London drop and cap the recovery
US JOLTS and Factory Orders at 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read; AU PMIs follow at 22:00 UTC
Higher lows from the London low, capped at the 0.6983 swing high.
The RBA's dovish 6-3 hike at 03:30 UTC knocked AUD below 0.7000 psych. London swept the 0.6972 Asian low to a 0.6961 London low before a higher-low recovery stalled at the 0.6983 swing high, near the 50% retrace of the overnight drop. Early NY trades just under that cap, with ATR(14) about 4 pips.
Support: 0.69763, 0.69725, 0.69614
Resistance: 0.69828, 0.69891, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6983 swing high opens 0.6989 london high and the 61.8% retrace of the overnight drop
Break of the 0.6976 higher low snaps the higher-lows line and exposes the 0.6972 asian low
Reclaim of 0.7000 psych would mark a full unwind of the RBA move
US JOLTS and Factory Orders at 15:00 UTC, plus midterm headlines, could materially shift this read
12:47 UTC
Intraday downtrend, recovering off London low · RSI 58 · price 0.6978
Higher lows from London low, back inside Asian range, capped at 0.6983.
The RBA's dovish hike knocked AUD from 0.6992 to a 0.6973 Asian low, and the London open extended the drop to the 0.6961 London low before buyers stepped in. Since then the pair has built a higher low at 0.6969 and is back inside the Asian range, but supply capped the 0.6983 swing high and price is hovering near the 61.8% retrace of the London drop, sitting on EMA20 late in London.
Support: 0.6973, 0.6969, 0.6961
Resistance: 0.6983, 0.6989, 0.7000
What it said to watch
A close above the 0.6983 swing high puts the 0.6989 Asian high and the 0.7000 psych level in play
Failure to hold the 0.6969 higher low breaks the recovery sequence and exposes the 0.6961 London low
A slip back below the 0.6973 Asian low would return price to the post-RBA lows
US JOLTS/Factory Orders at 15:00 UTC in NY session could materially shift this read
AU Services PMI at 22:00 UTC and midterm results are the next volatility risks
Post-RBA lower highs; higher-low chain off 0.6961 London low.
The RBA's dovish hike at 03:30 UTC broke the Asian range lower. London extended the slide from the 0.6989 London high to the 0.6961 London low before a higher-low recovery. The bounce stalled at 0.6983 near the EMA50, close to the 78.6% of the London drop, and price is back on the EMA20 near 0.6978 ahead of NY open with RSI(14) neutral around 52.
Support: 0.69748, 0.69688, 0.69614
Resistance: 0.69828, 0.69891, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6975 higher low, then the 0.6969 pullback low, breaks the recovery chain and reopens the 0.6961 London low
M15 close above the 0.6983 EMA50 cap exposes the 0.6989 London high; the 0.7000 round number is the post-RBA pivot
US JOLTS and Factory Orders at 15:00 UTC, plus midterm results, could materially shift this read
Higher lows from 0.6961 session low, back inside Asian range.
The RBA's dovish hike knocked AUD to 0.6973, and London pushed below the Asian range to a 0.6961 session low. That break failed, and a trendline of higher lows (0.6969 higher low, 0.6977) has lifted price back to the 0.6983 rebound high, near the 78.6% retrace of the leg down from the 0.6989 London high. RSI(14) near 57, and EMA50 overhead is capping the move during the London-NY transition.
Support: 0.69771, 0.69688, 0.69614
Resistance: 0.69828, 0.69891, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6983 rebound high opens the 0.6989 London high, then 0.7000 psych
Break of the trendline near 0.6977, then the 0.6969 higher low, unwinds the recovery and puts the 0.6961 session low back in play
US JOLTS and Factory Orders at 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read; midterm results due later
12:03 UTC
Post-RBA downtrend, recovering off London low · RSI 58 · price 0.69814
HH/HL sequence off 0.6961, back inside 0.6973–0.6989 post-RBA range.
The London open broke below the Asian range low to a 0.6961 session low, extending the slide after the RBA's dovish hike. Price then reclaimed the 0.6973 Asian range low and set a 0.6969 higher low. The recovery has retraced over 61.8% of the London drop and is pressing toward the 0.6989 swing high, with the 0.7000 round number above and EMA50 overhead.
Support: 0.69688, 0.69614
Resistance: 0.69891, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6989 swing high exposes the 0.7000 round number, the post-RBA pivot
Failure to hold the 0.6969 higher low reopens the 0.6961 session low
Break of the London rising line voids the false break read
US JOLTS and Factory Orders at 15:00 UTC, and midterm headlines, could materially shift this read
AU Services/Composite PMI at 22:00 UTC is next AUD risk
11:47 UTC
Post-RBA selloff, recovering in London · RSI 56 · price 0.69811
Higher low at 0.6969 after London low, back inside Asian range.
AUD dropped on the RBA's dovish hike during Asia, and London extended below the asian low to a london low at 0.6961 before reclaiming it, a false break with a higher low at 0.6969. Price sits near 0.6981, above the 61.8% of the 0.6989–0.6961 drop, with the bounce high at 0.6989 and the 0.7000 psych level overhead.
Support: 0.6973, 0.6969, 0.6961
Resistance: 0.6989, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.6973 asian low voids the false-break read
Loss of the 0.6969 higher low reopens the 0.6961 london low
Close above the 0.6989 bounce high exposes the 0.7000 psych pivot
US JOLTS and Factory Orders at 15:00 UTC and midterm headlines could shift this read
Lower highs since RBA; higher-low recovery off London low.
The RBA's dovish hike at 03:30 UTC pushed AUDUSD out of its 0.6995–0.7003 pre-decision range. The London drop then broke the asian low at 0.6972 down to the 0.6961 london low before price reclaimed it. The late-London recovery is stalling at the 61.8% fib of that London drop near 0.6979, with RSI(14) neutral at 54.
Support: 0.69725, 0.69688, 0.69614
Resistance: 0.69785, 0.69891, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Close above the 0.6979 61.8% fib opens the asian high at 0.6989, then the 0.7000 round number
Loss of the 0.6969 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and reopens the 0.6961 london low
Slip back under the 0.6972 asian low would turn the London false break into a fresh lower-low
US JOLTS at 15:00 UTC during NY hours could materially shift this read
London false break of Asian low, higher low at 0.6969.
The RBA's dovish hike knocked the pair through 0.7000 on the 03:30 UTC bar. London open then broke the asian low at 0.6973 and printed 0.6961, but the move was reclaimed. A higher low at 0.6969 has carried price back to 0.6977, testing the fib 61.8 of the 0.6989–0.6961 drop with RSI(14) flat near 50.
Support: 0.69725, 0.69688, 0.69614
Resistance: 0.69785, 0.69898, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.6969 higher low re-exposes the 0.6961 london low
Acceptance above the fib 61.8 at 0.6979 opens the asian high at 0.6990, then 0.7000 psych
US JOLTS at 15:00 UTC and midterm headlines could materially shift this read
AU Services/Composite PMI at 22:00 UTC is the next AUD-side catalyst
Lower highs from 0.7021; London false break of Asian low reclaimed.
The RBA's dovish hike knocked AUD/USD off 0.7000 into a 0.6973 Asian low. London extended the slide to a 0.6961 session low, then reclaimed the Asian low and built a 0.6969 swing low. Price is now pressing the 61.8% fib of the London drop near 0.6979, with the descending lower-highs trendline near 0.6986 and the 0.6989 London high above; RSI(14) is neutral in the mid-40s.
Support: 0.69725, 0.69688, 0.69614
Resistance: 0.69785, 0.69891, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 61.8% fib at 0.6979 and the London high at 0.6989 breaks the lower-highs trendline
Round number 0.7000 is the post-RBA pivot; a reclaim would negate the breakdown read
Loss of the 0.6969 swing low and the Asian low at 0.6973 reopens the 0.6961 session low
US JOLTS at 15:00 UTC (NY session) and midterm headlines could materially shift this read
Lower highs and lower lows since the RBA decision; London bounce capped below prior swing high.
The RBA's dovish hike at 03:30 UTC knocked AUD/USD off the 0.7000 psych level. London open extended the lower-low chain to the 0.69614 session low. The rebound met rejection at a 0.69768 lower high, inside the 50–61.8% fib of the 0.69891 swing high to session low leg, and price now sits at 0.6972 below both EMAs.
Support: 0.69688, 0.69614
Resistance: 0.69768, 0.69891, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.69768 lower high breaks the lower-high sequence and puts the 0.69891 swing high back in play
Loss of the 0.69688 pullback low exposes a retest of the 0.69614 session low; a break there confirms a fresh lower low
Lower-highs trendline from the RBA spike near 0.6981 caps the structure while intact
US JOLTS and Factory Orders at 15:00 UTC plus midterm headlines could shift USD and this read; reclaiming 0.7000 psych would negate the post-RBA breakdown
Lower highs since RBA; London broke the Asian low, retest capped.
The RBA's dovish 6-3 hike at 03:30 UTC pushed AUDUSD off 0.7000. After the 07:45 UTC london high at 0.69891, the London session broke the 0.69725 Asian low and printed a 0.69614 session low. The rebound stalled at 0.69768, between the 50% and 61.8% fib, and has faded back below the broken Asian low to 0.6971, with RSI(14) near 41.
Support: 0.69688, 0.69614
Resistance: 0.69725, 0.69768, 0.69891
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.69725 asian low and the 0.69768 rebound high would negate the retest-rejection read
Failure to hold the 0.69688 pullback low exposes the 0.69614 session low
Reclaiming the 0.69891 london high puts the 0.7000 handle back in play
US JOLTS/Factory Orders at 15:00 UTC (17:00 broker) during NY hours could materially reshape the session range
Lower highs from 0.7003; London broke the Asian low then reclaimed it.
The RBA's dovish 6-3 hike pushed AUD through 0.7000 during Asia to an Asian low at 0.69725. London open extended to a London low at 0.69614 before a rebound retraced about 55% of the 0.69891–0.69614 leg. Price is now pinned back at the Asian low, under the rebound high at 0.69768, with RSI(14) neutral and both EMAs overhead.
Support: 0.69725, 0.69614
Resistance: 0.69768, 0.69891, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.69725 asian low negates the false break and puts the 0.69614 london low back in play
Close above the 0.69768 rebound high clears the fib 61.8% and exposes the 0.69891 swing high and the lower highs trendline
0.7000 psych as the upper boundary of the post-RBA move
US JOLTS and Factory Orders at 15:00 UTC, with midterm positioning into the NY session, could materially shift this read
AU S&P Global PMIs at 22:00 UTC (Composite f/c 47.7)
10:03 UTC
Downtrend, corrective bounce in London · RSI 45 · price 0.6976
Lower highs from 0.7003; London false break below the Asian low.
The RBA's dovish 6-3 hike at 03:30 UTC knocked AUDUSD to the 0.6973 Asian low. The London open from the 0.6989 London high extended the drop to a 0.6961 London low, then produced a false break back above the Asian low. The rebound has stalled just under the 61.8% fib at 0.6979 with price pinned at EMA20, and the descending highs from 0.7003 remain intact.
Support: 0.6973, 0.6961
Resistance: 0.6979, 0.6989, 0.7000
What it said to watch
A close back below the 0.6973 Asian low reopens the 0.6961 London low
A close above the 0.6989 London high breaks the descending highs and exposes the 0.7000 round number
US JOLTS/Factory Orders at 15:00 UTC and midterm headlines could materially shift this read
AU PMIs at 22:00 UTC (Composite f/c 47.7) are the next AUD-specific risk
09:47 UTC
Downtrend, London low being retested · RSI 40 · price 0.69738
Lower highs and lower lows; London broke the post-RBA low and price is back at it.
After the dovish RBA hike, the London open broke the post-RBA low at 0.6973 and printed a London low of 0.6961, extending the lower-high/lower-low chain. Price has since recovered to the rba low, sitting between the 38.2% and 50% fib of the London drop with RSI(14) near 40 and both EMAs overhead.
Support: 0.69725, 0.69614
Resistance: 0.69891, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 closes holding above the 0.6973 rba low would turn the London break into a false break
Rejection at 0.6973–0.6975 and a move back under the 0.6961 london low confirms another lower-low
Close above the 0.6989 swing high breaks the lower-high chain and opens the 0.7000 psych pivot
US JOLTS and Factory Orders at 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read
09:31 UTC
Downtrend, early London bounce · RSI 42 · price 0.69711
Lower highs since 00:15 UTC; Asian low broken at London open, now retested from below.
The dovish RBA hike at 03:30 UTC knocked AUD to the 0.6973 Asian low. After a recovery capped at the 0.6989 swing high, the London open pushed through the Asian low to a 0.6961 London low. Price is now retesting the broken Asian low from below near the 38.2% fib, with RSI(14) around 42.
Support: 0.69614
Resistance: 0.69725, 0.69891, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.6972 asian low and 38.2% fib undercuts the London breakdown
Failure to hold the 0.6961 london low extends the lower-low sequence
Swing high 0.6989 and the 0.7000 psych pivot cap any squeeze within the session
JOLTS and Factory Orders at 15:00 UTC, plus US midterm headlines, could materially shift this read
09:16 UTC
Downtrend, basing after London flush · RSI 36 · price 0.69673
Lower highs from 0.7021; post-RBA range broken lower at London open.
AUD's slide after the dovish RBA hike carried into London. The open broke the 0.69725–0.69898 post-RBA range and printed a 0.69614 session low, and price is now basing just above that low with RSI(14) near 36. The broken range low at 0.69725 sits on the 38.2% fib of the 0.69891–0.69614 leg, the first overhead test.
Support: 0.69614
Resistance: 0.69725, 0.69898, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 closes back above the 0.69725 range low would turn the London break into a false break
Loss of the 0.69614 session low extends the lower-low sequence
Recovery through the 0.69898 range high and the 0.7000 psych pivot would negate the post-RBA downtrend read
US JOLTS at 15:00 UTC and AU PMIs at 22:00 UTC could materially shift this read, with midterm headlines adding USD risk
09:02 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows in London · RSI 33 · price 0.69659
Lower highs from 0.7000; Asian range broken to the downside.
The dovish RBA hike at 03:30 UTC knocked AUD off the 0.7000 psych level into a 0.69725–0.6989 Asian range. London opened with a stall at the 0.6989 london high, then sold through the asian low to a 0.69614 session low. RSI(14) near 33 is soft but not stretched, and the lower-highs trendline from 0.7000 remains intact.
Support: 0.69614
Resistance: 0.69725, 0.6989, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.69614 session low extends the London leg lower
Recovery above the 0.69725 asian low, which sits near the 38.2% fib, would turn the break into a false break
Close above the 0.6989 london high breaks the lower-highs sequence
US JOLTS at 15:00 UTC and AU PMIs at 22:00 UTC could materially shift this read
08:46 UTC
Downtrend, fresh 24h low · RSI 31 · price 0.69655
Lower highs from 0.7021; London broke below the Asian range low.
London faded at 0.6989 (london high) and broke the 0.6973 asian low, the post-RBA low, printing a 0.6965 session low. The dovish 6-3 RBA hike set the tone. The lower-high sequence and the descending trendline from 0.7021 remain intact below 0.7000 psych, and RSI(14) near 31 is not yet stretched.
Support: 0.6965, 0.6950
Resistance: 0.69725, 0.6989, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Recovery back above the 0.6973 asian low would turn the break into a false break
Close above the 0.6989 london high breaks the lower-high chain and the descending trendline
Extension below the 0.6950 round number brings the 0.6900 trend line into view
US JOLTS/Factory Orders at 15:00 UTC and overnight midterm results could materially shift this read; AU PMIs follow at 22:00 UTC
08:32 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating after RBA drop · RSI 39 · price 0.69776
Post-RBA range 0.69725–0.69898, London rejected at range top.
The dovish 6-3 RBA hike knocked AUD from the 0.7000 psych level to a 0.69725 RBA low, and the post-decision range has held since. Early London pushed to 0.69891, the fib 61.8 retracement of the RBA drop, and was rejected back to the 0.6976 london low. RSI(14) is near 39, with price below both EMAs.
Support: 0.69761, 0.69725
Resistance: 0.69891, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.69725 RBA low breaks the post-decision range and extends the lower-low chain
Close back above 0.69891 (fib 61.8 / London high) reopens the 0.7000 psych level
Failure to hold the 0.6976 london low puts the range floor back in play
US JOLTS and Factory Orders at 15:00 UTC, plus overnight midterm results, could shift USD tone
AU PMIs at 22:00 UTC are the next domestic catalyst for this range
Higher lows off 0.6973 RBA low, capped at 0.6989 session high.
AUD dropped to the 0.6973 RBA low after the dovish 6-3 hike in the Asia session, even with USD soft. The rebound has printed higher lows from 0.6978, but the first hour of London saw rejection at the 0.6989 session high near the 61.8% retrace of the RBA drop. Price is sitting on the EMA20, below the EMA50.
Support: 0.69783, 0.69725
Resistance: 0.69891, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6989 session high opens a run at the 0.7000 psych level
Failure to hold the 0.6978 higher low exposes the 0.6973 RBA low and breaks the higher-low line
US JOLTS and Factory Orders at 15:00 UTC, plus overnight midterm results, could materially shift this read
Higher lows off 0.6973 Asia low, capped near 0.6990.
The RBA's dovish 6-3 hike dumped AUD to a 0.6973 session low in Asia. Early London has extended a higher-low recovery into the 0.6990 broken supp zone, which lines up with the 61.8% fib of the Asian high-to-low drop and the EMA50. The 0.7000 psych handle and 0.7003 asian high sit just above.
Support: 0.69783, 0.69725
Resistance: 0.6991, 0.7000, 0.70031
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6991 broken supp opens the 0.7000 psych / 0.7003 asian high
Break of the 0.6978 london low takes out the higher-low trendline and puts the 0.6973 session low back in play
US JOLTS and Factory Orders at 15:00 UTC, then midterm results overnight, could materially shift this read
AU Services PMI at 22:00 UTC (f/c 47.8) is the next AUD-specific risk
Higher lows since 0.6973, capped below 0.6990 bounce high.
The dovish-read RBA hike knocked AUD/USD from the 0.7000 round number to a post-RBA low at 0.6973, and late Asia has since printed a higher low at 0.6978. Price is stalling near the 50% fib of the 0.7003 Asian high to 0.6973 drop, just under the 0.6990 bounce high, with London open next.
Support: 0.69783, 0.69725
Resistance: 0.69898, 0.7000, 0.70031
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6990 bounce high puts the 0.7000 round number and 0.7003 Asian high back in play
Failure to hold the 0.6978 higher low exposes the 0.6973 post-RBA low again
US JOLTS and Factory Orders at 15:00 UTC, plus overnight midterm results, could materially shift this read
Higher lows off 0.6973, capped below 0.6990 spike high.
The RBA's dovish 6-3 hike at 03:30 UTC broke the Asian range lower, taking price from the 0.7000 round number to the 0.6973 RBA low. Since then the pair has printed higher lows in a flag-like rebound into the early London session. It is now just below the 0.6990 spike high, which coincides with the 61.8% retracement of the RBA leg.
Support: 0.69783, 0.69725
Resistance: 0.69898, 0.70003
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6990 spike high opens a retest of the 0.7000 round number
Break of the 0.6978 higher low snaps the rebound trendline and puts the 0.6973 RBA low back in play
US JOLTS and Factory Orders at 15:00 UTC, plus the US midterms overnight, could materially shift this read
07:16 UTC
Downtrend, pausing after RBA leg lower · RSI 44 · price 0.6981
Post-RBA consolidation 0.6972–0.6985 below broken Asian low.
The RBA's dovish hike sent AUD through the 0.6988 asian low to a post-RBA low at 0.6972. Early London is coiling between higher lows at 0.6978 and the 0.6985 rebound high, which caps near the 38.2% retrace of the RBA spike. Price sits below both EMAs with RSI(14) neutral near 44.
Support: 0.69783, 0.69725
Resistance: 0.69849, 0.69877, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6985 rebound high puts the 0.6988 asian low and 0.7000 round number back in play
A break of the 0.6978 higher lows and the 0.6972 post-RBA low would extend the lower-low sequence
US JOLTS at 15:00 UTC and US midterm headlines could materially shift this read
07:02 UTC
Downtrend, compressing after RBA drop · RSI 46 · price 0.69786
The RBA's 'dovish hike' (6-3 split, gloomy growth outlook) at 03:30 UTC knocked AUDUSD from the 0.6990s to a 0.69725 rba low. Since then, Asia trade has compressed in a 0.6972–0.6985 band under lower highs at the 0.69898 rba rebound and the 0.69849 lower high, near the 38.2% fib, with price below both EMAs, RSI(14) near 46 and the pair still well under the 0.7000 psych level.
Support: 0.69725, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.69849, 0.69898, 0.7000
What it said to watch
London open: an M15 close above the 0.69898 rba rebound breaks the lower-high sequence and puts 0.7000 psych back in view
Rejection again at the 0.69849 lower high keeps the post-RBA compression intact
Failure to hold the 0.69725 rba low extends the drop and exposes the 0.6970 round number
US JOLTS and Factory Orders at 15:00 UTC, plus rolling midterm results, could materially shift this read
AU Services/Composite PMI at 22:00 UTC (f/c 47.8/47.7) is the next AUD-specific risk
Lower highs from 0.7031; flag of rising lows above 0.69725 rba low.
The RBA's dovish 25bp hike at 03:30 UTC knocked AUDUSD off 0.7000 to a 0.69725 rba low. The rest of the Asia session built a flag of rising lows, with the 0.69849 lower high capping near the 38.2% of the rba drop fib. Price is sitting on the rising-lows line ahead of London open, RSI(14) 43 and below both EMAs.
Support: 0.69781, 0.69725
Resistance: 0.69849, 0.69898, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below the rising-lows line and the 0.69781 higher low reopens the 0.69725 rba low
Close above the 0.69849 lower high exposes the 0.69898 spike high (61.8% of rba drop fib), with 0.7000 psych above
US JOLTS and Factory Orders at 15:00 UTC, then midterm results overnight, could materially shift this read
AU Services PMI at 22:00 UTC (f/c 47.8) is the next AUD-specific risk
Asian range broken lower on RBA; higher-low chain off session low.
The RBA's dovish 6-3 hike at 03:30 UTC broke the Asian range low near 0.6988 and set a session low at 0.69725. A higher-low chain at 0.6979 has since lifted price to the 0.6985 bounce high, the 38.2% fib of the RBA drop, with price pinned at EMA20, RSI(14) near 41, and the 0.6990 rba spike hi and 0.7000 round number above.
Support: 0.69787, 0.69725
Resistance: 0.69849, 0.69898, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6990 rba spike hi puts price back inside the Asian range and undercuts the range break read
Repeated rejection at the 0.6985 bounce high keeps the post-RBA bounce corrective
Loss of the 0.6979 higher low and the higher low line exposes the 0.69725 session low
Hourly bars back above the 0.7000 round number would reverse the RBA drop
London open in the next ~90 minutes typically expands range beyond the 6.5-pip ATR
US JOLTS and Factory Orders at 15:00 UTC, then midterm results overnight, could materially shift this read
Lower highs below 0.7000; tight post-presser band above session low.
The fully priced RBA hike to 4.85% met sell-the-fact flow, breaking the Asian range low and the 0.7000 round number. Bullock's presser then printed a presser high at 0.69898 before the session low at 0.69725. Price has since compressed in a 0.6973–0.6982 band, below the band top and the 23.6% fib, heading into the London open.
Support: 0.69725, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.69823, 0.69898, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.69725 session low extends the lower-low sequence toward the 0.6970 psych level
Recovery through the 0.69898 presser high and the 61.8% fib breaks the lower-highs trendline
Acceptance back above the 0.7000 round number invalidates the post-RBA breakdown read
Break of the band top at 0.69823 opens the 50% fib near 0.6988
Factory Orders and JOLTS at 15:00 UTC, then US midterm results overnight, could materially shift this read
Lower highs since the 0.7031 Asian high; tight base above 0.6972 session low.
The in-line RBA hike was sold. The 03:30 GMT bar broke below Monday's 0.6994–0.7003 floor to a 0.6973 session low, and Bullock's presser spike was capped at 0.6990 (presser high). Late in the Asia session, price is compressing near the 23.6% level of the Asian decline fib, with a shallow micro hl at 0.6976 and RSI(14) flat in the high 30s.
Support: 0.69759, 0.69725
Resistance: 0.69898, 0.69938, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Loss of the 0.6976 micro hl and a close below the 0.6973 session low extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of the 0.6990 presser high, then the 0.6994 prior low, puts the 0.7000 psych pivot back in play
London open liquidity could resolve the current tight compression
US JOLTS and Factory Orders at 15:00 UTC, plus midterm headlines, could materially shift this read
Asian range broken lower, lower highs below 0.7000.
The in-line RBA hike to 4.85% drew sell-the-fact selling. The RBA drop broke the Asian low near 0.6988 and the 0.7000 psych level, and the 0.6973 rba low was retested after Bullock's presser. Late in the Asia session, price is holding near 0.6980 below EMA20/50, with RSI(14) at 38 and ATR at ~7 pips ahead of London open.
Support: 0.69725
Resistance: 0.69885, 0.7000
What it said to watch
An M15 close below the 0.6973 rba low confirms a fresh lower-low.
A recovery back through the 0.6989 asian low reopens the 0.7000 psych level.
JOLTS at 15:00 UTC and US midterm results could materially shift this read.
05:32 UTC
Downtrend, extending after the RBA decision · RSI 36 · price 0.69773
Lower highs and lower lows since yesterday's 0.7021 NY high; Asian range broken lower.
The in-line RBA hike to 4.85% drew a sell-the-fact reaction. The 03:30 UTC bar broke the Asian range below 0.6990 and the 0.7000 round number, and the presser-hour bounce was rejected at 0.6990, the presser high, which sits on the 61.8% retrace of the RBA drop. Late Asia session is holding just above the 0.69725 session low, with ATR(14) near 7 pips.
Support: 0.69725, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.69898, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.69725 session low extends the lower-low chain toward the 0.6970 round number
Close back above the 0.6990 presser high negates the post-RBA lower-high structure
Reclaim of the 0.7000 round number would mark a full retrace of the RBA drop
London open in ~1.5h may reset the session range
US JOLTS and Factory Orders at 15:00 UTC, plus midterm results overnight, could materially shift this read
Asian range broken lower; lower highs below 0.7000.
AUD sold the fact on the RBA's in-line hike to 4.85%. The 03:30 UTC bar broke below the Asian range and the 0.7000 round number (Asian high 0.7003), and price printed a session low at 0.69725. The 04:30 presser bounce stalled at the 0.6990 presser high, extending a lower-high sequence into late Asia, with RSI(14) near 38.
Support: 0.69725
Resistance: 0.69898, 0.7000, 0.70031
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6990 presser high breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold the 0.69725 session low extends the post-RBA leg
Reclaim of the 0.7000 round number would neutralise the RBA breakdown; 0.7003 Asian high sits just above
London open liquidity, then US JOLTS / Factory Orders at 15:00 UTC and midterm results could materially shift this read
05:03 UTC
Downtrend, extended after RBA · RSI 31 · price 0.69748
Lower highs; Asian range broken lower on RBA decision.
The in-line RBA hike to 4.85% was sold. The 03:30 GMT bar broke the Asian low at 0.6988 and the presser bounce stalled at 0.6990 (presser high) before a fresh session low at 0.69725. Lower highs from yesterday's London high at 0.7031 remain intact, and RSI(14) near 31 is weak but not yet oversold.
Support: 0.69725, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.69877, 0.69898, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Bullock presser still running: a 'near-peak' message that extends below the 0.69725 session low exposes the 0.6970 round number
Recovery above the 0.6988 asian low and 0.6990 presser high would mark the RBA break as a false break
M15 close back above 0.7000 psych breaks the lower-highs trendline
US midterm results plus JOLTS/Factory Orders at 15:00 UTC could reset the USD side of this read
04:47 UTC
Downtrend, extended after RBA · RSI 32 · price 0.69781
Asian range broken lower; 0.6973 low tested twice.
The RBA's in-line 25 bp hike to 4.85% sparked a sell-the-fact break of the Asian range. The 03:30 UTC bar printed the 0.6973 rba low, and the presser bar retested it at 0.6974 after the former asian low near 0.6989 capped the bounce. Price is below both EMAs and the 0.7000 round number, with RSI(14) near 32 but not yet extreme.
Support: 0.69733
Resistance: 0.6989, 0.7000, 0.70031
What it said to watch
A break of the 0.6973 rba low extends the post-RBA lower-low sequence
An M15 close back above the 0.6989 asian low returns price to the pre-RBA range
Reclaiming the 0.7000 round number and the 0.7003 asian high would neutralise the sell-the-fact break
Bullock's presser is in progress, and its 'peak' versus further-tightening wording could materially shift this read
LH/LL chain from London high; post-RBA base forming.
The RBA's in-line hike to 4.85% produced a whipsaw: an early spike to the 0.7000 psych level was rejected and price dropped to the rba low at 0.6973. That extends the lower-high chain under the descending trendline from yesterday's London high at 0.7031. Mid-Asia session, price is holding a 0.6981 swing low below the 0.6987 bounce high, capped by the 38.2% fib of the asian high-to-RBA-low drop. RSI(14) sits near 35 and ATR(14) is about 6 pips.
Support: 0.69809, 0.69733
Resistance: 0.69868, 0.7000, 0.70031
What it said to watch
Bullock presser (04:30 GMT, now live) wording on 'peak' could materially shift this read
Close above the 0.6987 bounce high and 38.2% fib opens a retest of 0.7000 psych
Reclaim of the 0.7003 asian high breaks the descending trendline and the lower-high chain
Failure to hold the 0.6981 swing low exposes the 0.6973 rba low; a break there confirms a fresh lower-low
US midterm headlines and JOLTS/Factory Orders at 15:00 UTC are later-session USD risk
Lower highs from the NY-session high; Asian range broken lower on the RBA decision.
The 03:30 UTC RBA decision broke the 0.6988–0.7003 Asian range. The bar spiked to the 0.7000 psych level, then dropped to the 0.6973 RBA low. The rebound stalled at 0.6987, just under the old Asian low and between the 38.2% and 50% retracements. The lower-highs line from Monday's 0.7021 NY high is intact, with RSI(14) near 32.
Support: 0.69733
Resistance: 0.69877, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Bullock's 04:30 UTC press conference could reverse the initial RBA move
An M15 close back above the 0.6988 Asian low returns price inside the range and negates the range break
Failure to hold the 0.6973 RBA low extends the lower-low sequence
A close above the lower-highs line near 0.6995 and the 0.7000 psych level would break the sequence
US midterm results from ~05:00 UTC add USD-side volatility
Lower highs from 0.7031; RBA spike set new session low.
The 03:30 UTC RBA decision bar spiked from 0.7000 to a fresh session low at the 0.6973 rba low. Buyers recovered part of the spike, leaving price at the 38.2% rba drop fib near 0.6986, just under the 0.6988 asian low. Monday's 0.6994 prior low and the 0.7000 psych handle sit above, with price below both EMAs.
Support: 0.69733
Resistance: 0.69877, 0.69938, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Bullock press conference at 04:30 UTC could reverse the initial RBA move
M15 close back above the 0.6988 asian low and 0.6994 prior low shifts the read to a reclaim toward 0.7000 psych
Failure to hold the 0.6973 rba low confirms another lower-low leg
US midterm results from ~05:00 UTC add USD-side volatility
Lower highs since Monday's 0.7031 high; Asian range broken lower.
The 03:30 UTC RBA decision spiked AUDUSD to the 0.7000 psych level, which rejected it immediately. Price then fell 27 pips to 0.6973, breaking the 0.6988 Asian low and extending the lower-high line from Monday's London high at 0.7031. RSI(14) is near 29 and price sits below EMA20/50 mid-Asia session.
Support: 0.69733, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.69877, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Bullock's press conference at 04:30 UTC can reverse the initial RBA move
An M15 close back above the 0.6988 Asian low would turn the range break into a false break
Failure to hold the 0.6973 RBA low exposes the 0.6900 trend line flagged in the macro digest
A close above the lower-high line and the 0.7000 psych level invalidates the downtrend read
US midterm results flow from ~05:00 UTC and add USD-side volatility
03:31 UTC
Downtrend, accelerating on RBA · RSI 29 · price 0.69792
Lower highs from 0.7031 London high; Asian range broken lower on the RBA bar.
The RBA decision bar spiked to the 0.7000 round number, then reversed and broke the Asian range (0.6988–0.7003). It closed on its 0.6979 low, the deepest print of the window, extending a chain of lower highs from Monday's 0.7031 London high. RSI(14) sits near 29 and ATR is expanding off the release, consistent with the digest's 'dovish hike' scenario playing out in the initial move.
Support: 0.6979
Resistance: 0.69877, 0.7000, 0.70031
What it said to watch
Bullock press conference at 04:30 UTC can reverse the initial RBA move
M15 close back above the 0.6988 asian low would turn the break into a false break
Reclaim of the 0.7000 round number and the lower highs trendline undermines the downtrend read
Failure to hold the 0.6979 rba low extends the lower-low sequence toward the 0.6900 trend line flagged in the digest
US midterm results from 05:00 UTC add USD-side event risk
03:16 UTC
Downtrend, compressing into RBA · RSI 45 · price 0.6995
Lower highs from 0.7021; tight Asia range 0.6990–0.7000 under the trendline.
AUD lost 0.7000 after the 0.7021 NY high as pre-RBA de-risking and the risk-off tone weighed, leaving a lower-highs trendline. Early Asia saw a sweep from the 0.7003 asian high to a 0.6988 asian low that was bought back. Price is now compressing between the 0.6990 swing low and the trendline near 0.6998, with the RBA decision 15 minutes out.
Support: 0.6990, 0.69877
Resistance: 0.6998, 0.70031, 0.7021
What it said to watch
RBA decision at 03:30 UTC and Bullock presser at 04:30 UTC could materially shift this read; ATR near 4.6 pips understates event range
M15 close above the trendline and the 0.7003 asian high breaks the lower-highs chain, putting the 0.7021 ny high back in view
Failure to hold the 0.6990 swing low and the 0.6988 asian low confirms a fresh lower-low in the downtrend
US midterms from 05:00 UTC add USD-side event risk
03:03 UTC
Downtrend, compressing under 0.7000 · RSI 47 · price 0.69963
Lower highs since London Monday; tight 0.6990–0.7000 box in Asia.
Lower highs from Monday's 0.7031 London peak through the 0.7021 NY high to the 0.7003 Asian high. The early-Asia sweep of 0.6988 (asian low, a fresh two-week low) snapped back, and price has since held a 0.6990 swing low while capped under the 0.7000 psych handle. AUD stayed heavy on risk-off and the oil slide ahead of the RBA, with RSI(14) neutral and price hugging EMA20.
Support: 0.6990, 0.69877
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70031, 0.7021
What it said to watch
RBA decision at 03:30 UTC (~30 min) and the 04:30 UTC press conference could materially shift this read
M15 close above the 0.7003 asian high and the lower-highs line breaks the sequence and opens 0.7021 ny high
Failure to hold the 0.6990 swing low and 0.6988 asian low confirms a lower-low
US midterms from 05:00 UTC add USD-side event risk
Lower highs from 0.7031; Asian range 0.6988–0.7003 holding.
AUD has stepped down from the 0.7031 London high through a 0.7021 NY high to a 0.7003 Asian high on pre-RBA de-risking, with each lower high pressing price under the 0.7000 psych handle. A 00:15 UTC sweep to the 0.6988 Asian low was bought straight back, and a 0.6990 swing low has held since, leaving price coiling in a tight band ahead of the 03:30 UTC RBA decision.
Support: 0.69898, 0.69877
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70031, 0.7021
What it said to watch
RBA decision 03:30 UTC and 04:30 UTC presser: guidance on peak rates likely sets the next range break
M15 close back above the 0.7000 psych and the 0.7003 Asian high breaks the lower-high trendline
Failure to hold the 0.6990 swing low and the 0.6988 Asian low extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of the 0.7021 NY high would invalidate the intraday downtrend read
02:16 UTC
Downtrend, compressing into event · RSI 44 · price 0.69943
Lower highs from London's 0.7031 peak. NY failed at the 0.7021 ny high and the Asia high capped at 0.7003, with pre-RBA de-risking keeping AUD heavy. The 00:30 UTC spike to the 0.6988 spike low was bought back, and price is now coiling between the 0.6990 session low and the 0.7000 psych handle.
Support: 0.6990, 0.6988
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7003, 0.7021
What it said to watch
RBA decision 03:30 UTC and presser 04:30 UTC: a near-peak tone versus hawkish guidance can break the coil either way
M15 close back above 0.7003 asia high breaks the lower-highs line
Acceptance below the 0.6990 session low and 0.6988 spike low extends the downtrend
A reclaim of 0.7021 ny high would invalidate the lower-high sequence
Lower-high/lower-low chain since London peak, compressing under 0.7000.
Lower highs since London's 0.7031 peak. The NY high at 0.7021 capped the rebound and the 0.7000 psych gave way late NY on pre-RBA de-risking. The 00:30 UTC sweep to the 0.6988 spike low snapped back, but the bounce stalled below the asian high and the lower-high line, and price is back at the 0.6994 prior low.
Support: 0.69938, 0.69877
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70031, 0.7021
What it said to watch
RBA decision 03:30 UTC and presser 04:30 UTC could materially shift this read; guidance tone is the swing factor
M15 close above 0.7003 asian high and the lower-high line breaks the sequence and puts the 0.7021 ny high in view
Acceptance below the 0.6988 spike low confirms a fresh lower-low
Failure to hold the 0.6994 prior low leaves the 0.7000 psych as overhead resistance
01:47 UTC
Downtrend, stalling at 0.7000 · RSI 48 · price 0.69969
Lower highs and lower lows; Asian sweep low reclaimed, compressing below 0.7000.
AUD has slid from the 0.7031 Asia open to the 0.7000 handle on a chain of lower highs (0.7031, 0.7021, 0.7005), driven by pre-RBA de-risking and risk-off. The 00:30 UTC spike swept the NY low at 0.6994 into a 0.6988 Asian low before snapping back toward 0.7000. Price now sits flat near 0.6997 under the asian high at 0.7003, near the 23.6% fib of the 0.7021 swing high to 0.6988 drop, with RSI(14) neutral around 48.
Support: 0.69938, 0.69877
Resistance: 0.70031, 0.7021
What it said to watch
RBA decision 03:30 UTC and presser 04:30 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above the 0.7003 asian high and the lower highs trendline near 0.7005 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold the 0.6994 ny low reopens the 0.6988 asian low; a close below it confirms a lower-low
Reclaim of the 0.7021 swing high fully retraces the fib and negates the intraday downtrend
01:32 UTC
Downtrend, compressing near 0.7000 · RSI 45 · price 0.69971
Lower highs and lower lows since the London high; Asia rejected a spike below the NY low.
AUDUSD has printed lower highs since Monday's 0.7031 London peak, with the 0.7021 NY high and the 0.7005 swing high both capping. Early in today's Asia session a spike to the 0.6988 spike low, below the 0.6994 NY low, was reversed within one bar, a false break. Price is now compressing under the 0.7000 round number as AUD is pared into the RBA.
Support: 0.69938, 0.69877
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70051, 0.7021
What it said to watch
RBA decision at 03:30 UTC and Bullock's 04:30 UTC presser could materially shift this read
A close above the 0.7005 swing high breaks the lower-high sequence and puts the 0.7021 NY high and the descending trendline in play
Failure to hold the 0.6994 NY low, then the 0.6988 spike low, confirms a fresh lower-low
Rejection at the 0.7000 round number, near the 38.2% fib, keeps the downtrend structure intact
01:16 UTC
Downtrend, stalling under 0.7000 · RSI 50 · price 0.69989
Lower highs from 0.7031, tight Asian range at the psych handle.
Lower highs from Monday's 0.7031 London peak through the 0.7021 NY high have pinned AUD under the 0.7000 psych handle, with the pair heavy as traders de-risk into the RBA. The 00:30 UTC spike through the 0.6994 swing low to a 0.6988 session low was reclaimed within the bar, leaving Asia boxed between that low and the 0.7003 Asia high, with RSI(14) flat at 50.
Support: 0.69938, 0.69877
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70031, 0.7021
What it said to watch
RBA decision at 03:30 UTC and Bullock's 04:30 UTC presser could materially shift this read; ATR is only ~4 pips into the event
M15 close below the 0.6988 session low confirms a fresh lower low beyond the swing low
Close above the 0.7003 Asia high and the lower-high line near 0.7006 breaks the sequence, bringing the 0.7021 NY high into play
0.7000 psych sits at the 38.2% of the NY high to session low drop; 50% is near 0.7004
01:03 UTC
Downtrend, Asia bounce to 0.7000 · RSI 48 · price 0.70004
Lower highs since London Monday; Asian sweep below prior low reversed.
Lower highs from Monday's London peak at 0.7031 through the 0.7021 NY high keep the downtrend line intact. Early in today's Asia session, price swept the 0.6994 prior low to a 0.6988 sweep low and snapped straight back to the 0.7000 psych handle, at the 38.2% fib of the 0.7021–0.6988 leg. AUD was pared into the RBA despite a softer USD.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69938, 0.69877
Resistance: 0.70031, 0.70051, 0.7021
What it said to watch
RBA decision at 03:30 UTC (f/c hike to 4.85%) and Bullock's 04:30 UTC presser could materially shift this read
M15 close above the 0.7003 asian high and 0.7005 prior high breaks the lower-high chain and tests the downtrend line near 0.7006
Failure to hold the 0.7000 psych and 0.6994 prior low reopens the 0.6988 sweep low
Reclaim of the 0.7021 ny high would invalidate the downtrend read
00:47 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs since NY high · RSI 43 · price 0.69932
Asian range broken lower, retesting prior low from below.
Lower highs from the 0.7021 NY high kept the 0.7000 round number capping. A 15-pip drop at 00:30 UTC broke the Asian range and Monday's 0.6994 prior low, setting a session low at 0.6988, with AUD pared into the RBA on risk-off. Price is now retesting 0.6994 from below.
Support: 0.69877
Resistance: 0.69938, 0.7000, 0.70031
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.6994 prior low would turn the 00:30 UTC break into a false break
Failure to hold the 0.6988 session low extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of the 0.7000 round number (38.2% of the NY high fib) and the 0.7003 asia high breaks the lower highs trendline
RBA decision at 03:30 UTC and Bullock's 04:30 UTC presser could materially shift this read
Lower highs 0.7031→0.7021→0.7005; equal lows at 0.6994.
AUD was de-risked into the RBA. London and NY printed lower highs at 0.7031 and 0.7021 and a late-NY double low at 0.6994. Early Asia has reclaimed the 0.7000 psych level on thin ranges (ATR ~2.6 pips), and price is now testing the 0.7005 swing high, which sits just under the 38.2% retrace of the NY-high-to-low leg.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69938
Resistance: 0.70051, 0.7021, 0.70309
What it said to watch
RBA decision at 03:30 UTC and Bullock's presser at 04:30 UTC could materially shift this read
A close above the 0.7005 swing high confirms the double bottom and puts the 0.7021 ny high and the 50–61.8% fib back in play
Failure to hold the 0.7000 psych level, then a break of the 0.6994 double low, resumes the lower-low sequence
Descending trendline from the london high caps rallies near 0.7007
00:17 UTC
Downtrend, early Asia bounce · RSI 58 · price 0.70009
Lower highs and lower lows into 0.6994, double low forming.
Monday's lower-high, lower-low chain ran from the 0.7031 London high through NY. Pre-RBA de-risking and the crude slide pushed AUDUSD to a 0.6994 day low, which held twice after the NY close. Early Asia has lifted the pair back to the 0.7000 psych level, which is also the double bottom neckline, with RSI(14) near 58. The bounce sits below the 0.7005 lower high, the 38.2% fib of the 0.7021–0.6994 leg and the lower highs trendline.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69938
Resistance: 0.70051, 0.7021
What it said to watch
RBA decision at 03:30 UTC and Bullock presser at 04:30 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above the 0.7005 lower high and the lower highs trendline near 0.7008 opens the 0.7021 ny high
Failure to hold the 0.7000 psych level and a break of the 0.6994 day low resumes the lower-low sequence
00:03 UTC
Downtrend, compressing near lows · RSI 39 · price 0.69976
Lower highs and lower lows through Monday; tight early-Asia range capped by 0.7000.
Monday printed successive lower highs: 0.7034 in Asia, 0.7031 in London, then 0.7021 as the NY high. AUD lagged a softer USD on pre-RBA de-risking and fell to a 0.6994 day low. Early Asia has compressed into a 4-pip band just under the 0.7000 psych, which produced a rejection at 0.7001 after 22:00 UTC. RSI(14) sits near 39 and ATR is about 3 pips.
Support: 0.69938, 0.6990
Resistance: 0.70007, 0.70051, 0.7021
What it said to watch
RBA decision and SMP at 03:30 UTC, then Bullock's 04:30 UTC presser, could materially shift this read
An M15 close above the 0.7000 psych and the 0.7005 lower high (38.2% of the NY high to day low fib) breaks the lower-high chain
Failure to hold the 0.6994 day low extends the lower-low sequence toward the 0.6990 round number