AUD/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Monday, 2 November 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the AUD/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:47 UTC
Downtrend, compressing near 0.7000 · RSI 44 · price 0.69976
Lower highs and lower lows from London high, tight early-Asia band above session low.
AUD/USD stepped lower from the 0.7031 London high, setting lower highs at the 0.7021 NY high and the 0.7005 lower high before an NY-hours session low at 0.6994. Pre-RBA de-risking outweighed a softer USD. Early Asia is compressing in a 0.6994–0.7001 band just under the 0.7000 round number, RSI(14) near 44.
Support: 0.6994
Resistance: 0.7001, 0.7005, 0.7021
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7005 lower high breaks the lower-high sequence and puts the descending line near 0.7009 in play
Failure to hold the 0.6994 session low extends the lower-low chain
Rebounds toward the 0.7021 NY high meet the descending line from the London high first
RBA decision and SMP at 03:30 UTC, presser 04:30 UTC, could materially shift this read; current ~3 pip ATR reflects thin pre-event trade
Lower highs and lower lows from the 0.7034 Asia high; tight coil at the day low.
Monday printed a clean lower-high sequence (0.7034 Asia, 0.7031 London, 0.7021 NY high), and the late-NY day low at 0.6994 sits just under the 0.7000 psych level. Price is now coiling in a 3-pip rollover range below the lower-highs trendline, with AUD heavy on pre-RBA de-risking despite a softer USD.
Support: 0.69938
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70051, 0.7021
What it said to watch
RBA decision and SoMP at 03:30 UTC (~4h), with the press conference at 04:30 UTC, could materially shift this read. A hike is largely priced, so the guidance tone is the swing factor.
An M15 close back above the 0.7000 psych level and the lower-highs trendline would break the intraday sequence.
Reclaiming the 0.7005 lower high, which sits at the 38.2% retrace of the NY high–day low leg, would signal a deeper retracement toward 0.7021.
Failure to hold the 0.6994 day low extends the lower-low chain.
Lower highs at 0.7021 and 0.7005, compressing below 0.7000.
AUD bled from the 0.7034 Asian high to a session low at 0.6994 as pre-RBA de-risking outweighed a softer USD. The NY high at 0.7021 and the lower high at 0.7005 extend the lower-high chain. Price is now pinned just under the 0.7000 psych handle in thin late-NY trade, with ATR compressed to about 3 pips.
Support: 0.69938
Resistance: 0.70007, 0.70051, 0.7021
What it said to watch
RBA decision and SoMP at 03:30 UTC, presser 04:30 UTC, likely to break the current compression
M15 close back above the 0.7005 lower high breaks the lower-high sequence and puts the 0.7021 NY high in view
Failure to hold the 0.6994 session low extends the lower-low chain below the psych 0.7000 handle
Lower highs and lower lows below 0.7000 psych, tight range at Asia open.
The NY decline from the 0.7021 NY high pushed AUD/USD through the 0.7000 psych level to a 0.6994 session low. Aussie softness came on pre-RBA de-risking despite a weaker USD. Lower highs at 0.7005 and 0.7001 cap the new Asia session, RSI(14) neutral near 44 and ATR around 3 pips.
Support: 0.69938
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70051, 0.7021
What it said to watch
RBA decision at 03:30 UTC and Bullock presser at 04:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Close back above the 0.7005 lower high and descending trendline breaks the lower-high chain
Failure to hold the 0.6994 session low extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of the 0.7021 NY high negates the intraday downtrend read
22:47 UTC
Downtrend, quiet after NY close · RSI 42 · price 0.69957
Lower highs and lower lows, Asian range broken lower.
Highs stepped lower from the 0.7034 Asia top to the 0.7031 London rejection and the 0.7021 NY high. London broke the 0.7014 Asian range low, and price is now pinned under the 0.7000 round number just above the 0.6994 session low. AUD lagged into the RBA despite a softer dollar, and post-NY trade is thin with ATR near 3 pips.
Support: 0.69938
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70051, 0.7021
What it said to watch
RBA decision at 03:30 UTC and Bullock's 04:30 UTC press conference could materially shift this read. A pause or dovish hike risks a break of the 0.6994 session low.
An M15 close above the 0.7005 lower high breaks the lower-highs sequence and puts the 0.7021 NY high back in play.
Repeated rejection at the 0.7000 round number keeps the downtrend structure intact.
Lower highs and lower lows since the London high, capped below 0.7000.
AUD/USD stepped down from the 0.7031 London high through the 0.7021 NY high, breaking the Asian range low at 0.7013 and the 0.7000 round number to a 0.6994 day low as traders cut exposure ahead of the RBA. The late NY bounce was rejected at 0.7001, back under the descending trendline. RSI(14) sits near 41 and ATR(14) is about 3.4 pips, with price drifting into the Asia session.
Support: 0.69938
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70051, 0.7021
What it said to watch
A close back above the 0.7005 lower high breaks the descending trendline and the lower-high chain
A break of the 0.6994 day low extends the lower-low sequence
Holding below the 0.7000 round number keeps the London high-to-day low fib retracement shallow
An M15 close above the 0.7021 NY high would invalidate the downtrend read
RBA decision at 03:30 UTC, then Bullock at 04:30 UTC, could materially shift this read
Lower highs from 0.70309 into 0.69938 session low, now basing on 0.7000.
Lower highs ran from the 0.70309 London high to the 0.7021 NY high and the 0.70051 lower high, with the session low at 0.69938 printed late in NY as AUD lagged into the RBA. Price is now pinned to the 0.7000 round number in thin post-NY trade, below the descending trendline. RSI(14) is near 46 and ATR(14) is around 3 pips.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69938
Resistance: 0.70051, 0.7021, 0.70309
What it said to watch
A close above the 0.70051 lower high breaks the lower-high chain; the descending trendline and fib 38.2% sit near 0.7008-0.7010.
Failure to hold the 0.7000 round number re-exposes the 0.69938 session low; a break below it extends the lower-low sequence.
Reclaiming the 0.7021 NY high would neutralise the downtrend read; the 0.70309 London high is the upper bound of the window.
The RBA decision at 03:30 UTC and Bullock's press conference at 04:30 UTC could materially shift this read.
LH/LL chain from 0.7021 NY high; price retesting 0.7000 from below.
AUD sold off from the 0.7021 NY high and printed lower highs, slipping below the 0.7000 psych handle to a 0.6994 day low after NY close as the pair stayed heavy into the RBA. The late bounce off the day low is shallow, with price retesting 0.7000 from below and RSI(14) recovering from the low 30s.
Support: 0.69938
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70051, 0.7021
What it said to watch
RBA decision Tue 03:30 UTC and Bullock presser at 04:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Close back above the 0.7005 lower high breaks the lower-high chain
Failure below the 0.6994 day low extends the lower-low sequence
Rejection at 0.7000 psych keeps the retest-from-below read intact
21:47 UTC
Downtrend, momentum fading into the close · RSI 35 · price 0.69971
Lower highs and lower lows since London, holding just under 0.7000.
London broke below the Asian low at 0.70132, and late NY pushed through the 0.7000 psych handle to a day low at 0.69938. The lower-high chain runs from the NY high at 0.7021 to the 0.70051 lower high, with pre-RBA de-risking weighing on AUD despite a softer USD. RSI(14) sits near 35, price is below both EMAs and ATR has compressed to about 3.5 pips as the session thins.
Support: 0.69938
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70051, 0.7021
What it said to watch
A close back above 0.7000 psych and the descending trendline would stall the lower-high sequence
A break of the 0.70051 lower high negates the intraday downtrend read
Failure to hold the 0.69938 day low extends the lower-low chain
The RBA decision at 03:30 UTC and Bullock's press conference at 04:30 UTC could materially shift this read
AUDUSD set lower highs at 0.7031 in London and at the 0.7021 NY high, then broke below the Asian range and the 0.7000 psych to a 0.6994 session low late in NY. The move came on pre-RBA de-risking despite a softer USD. The last bounce stalled at the 0.7005 swing high, near the 38.2% of the NY sell-off, with RSI(14) at 33 and ATR around 3.6 pips.
Support: 0.69938
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70051, 0.7021
What it said to watch
Holding below the 0.7000 psych keeps the lower-high sequence intact. A close back above the 0.7005 swing high and the 38.2% fib breaks it.
A break of the 0.6994 session low extends the lower-low chain into the Asian session.
A recovery through the 0.7021 NY high and the lower-highs line invalidates the downtrend read.
The RBA decision at 03:30 UTC and Bullock's press conference at 04:30 UTC could materially shift this read. Guidance on peak rates is the swing factor.
Lower-high chain from London high, pressing session low under 0.70.
Lower highs from the 0.70309 London high to the 0.7021 NY high. The post-ISM bounce faded as the dollar's lift gave way and AUD exposure was trimmed ahead of the RBA. After a rejection at the 0.70051 swing high, price slipped back under the 0.70 handle into the NY close and is printing a fresh session low at 0.69946, RSI(14) near 29.
Support: 0.69946, 0.6990
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70051, 0.7021
What it said to watch
RBA decision at 03:30 UTC during the Asia session could materially shift this read
M15 close back above the 0.70 handle and the 0.70051 swing high breaks the lower-high chain
Close through the lower highs trendline and the 0.7021 ny high invalidates the downtrend read
Failure to hold the 0.69946 session low exposes the 0.6990 round number
AUD broke the Asian low at 0.7013 in London and slipped through the 0.7000 round number late in the NY session. Lower highs have stepped down from 0.7031 to the 0.7005 lower high, with RSI(14) near 29. Pre-RBA de-risking and weak China PMIs weighed despite a softer USD; the 0.6996 session low is the nearest test.
Support: 0.69959
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70051, 0.70132
What it said to watch
Close back above the 0.7005 lower high breaks the lower-high trendline and stalls the sequence
Failure to hold the 0.6996 session low extends the lower-low chain
Rejection at the 0.7000 round number keeps supply capping; 38.2% fib of the London high-to-session low drop sits at 0.7009, near the 0.7013 asian low
RBA decision Tue 03:30 UTC and Bullock presser 04:30 UTC could materially shift this read during the Asia session
Lower highs and lower lows since the London high; price pinned at 0.7000.
London broke below the 0.7013–0.7034 Asian range after the 0.7031 high, and the line of lower highs held the NY rebound at 0.7021 before a late-NY leg set a session low at 0.6996. Price now sits just under the 0.7000 psych handle as traders trim AUD exposure into the RBA. RSI(14) is near 30.
Support: 0.69959
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70051, 0.7021
What it said to watch
A close above the 0.7005 bounce high breaks the micro lower-high chain; the lower highs trendline sits near 0.7013.
A close above the 38.2% retrace of the drop (~0.7009) would ease the downtrend read.
Acceptance below the 0.6996 session low extends the lower-low sequence.
The NY high at 0.7021 marks the last lower high in the chain.
The RBA decision at 03:30 UTC and overnight US midterm results could materially shift this read.
Lower highs and lower lows since London; late-NY grind at the session low.
AUD lost the asian low at 0.7014 in late NY and printed a session low at 0.6996 as traders trimmed exposure into the RBA. Lower highs at the 0.7021 ny high, 0.7014 and 0.7005 define the slide. The last bounce was rejected at the 38.2% fib of the NY decline, and price is pinned at the 0.7000 round number with RSI(14) near 30.
Support: 0.69959
Resistance: 0.70051, 0.70143, 0.7021
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7005 38.2% fib breaks the lower-high chain, with the 0.7014 asian low next overhead
Failure to hold the 0.6996 session low extends the lower-low sequence below the round number
Recovery above the 0.7021 ny high invalidates the intraday downtrend read
RBA decision at 03:30 UTC (05:30 broker) could materially shift this read; hike guidance on further tightening versus a near-peak signal is the swing factor
Lower highs from the NY high, fresh session low at 0.6996.
AUD sold off through late NY hours as traders trimmed exposure into the RBA. Price carved lower highs from the 0.7021 ny high and printed a session low at 0.6996. The 13:15 UTC dip below 0.7000 was a false break that recovered on post-ISM USD softness, and price is back retesting the psych handle with RSI(14) near 31.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69959
Resistance: 0.70143, 0.7021, 0.7034
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6996 session low extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of the 0.7014 lower high breaks the lower-highs line from the NY high
RBA decision Tue 03:30 UTC (~7.5h) could materially shift this read; a hawkish hike risks a squeeze back toward the 0.7034 asia high
Lower highs since London; marginal lower low under 0.7000.
AUD/USD has printed lower highs from the 0.7031 London peak through the 0.7021 NY high and the 0.7014 lower high. Late NY slipped to a 0.6996 session low as pre-RBA de-risking kept AUD heavy. Price is now pinned just under the 0.7000 psych level, with RSI(14) near 29 and both EMAs overhead.
Support: 0.69962
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70143, 0.7021
What it said to watch
Recovery above the 0.7000 psych level and then the 0.7014 lower high would break the lower-high chain
Failure to hold the 0.6996 session low extends the lower-low sequence
A rally capped below the 0.7021 NY high keeps the descending trendline intact
RBA decision at 03:30 UTC (05:30 broker) and the 04:30 UTC presser could materially shift this read
US midterm results overnight add USD-side risk into the Asia session
19:32 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs through London and NY · RSI 29 · price 0.69988
Lower-high/lower-low chain, price just below the 0.7000 handle late NY.
Lower highs at 0.7031, the 0.7021 NY high and the 0.7014 lower high carried price back through the 0.7000 round number late in NY, printing a 0.6996 session low with RSI(14) near 29. The post-ISM bounce from 0.6999 failed back inside the Asian range as AUD was trimmed into the RBA, and the current bar is capped at 0.7000 on the retest.
Support: 0.69962
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70143, 0.7021
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.7000 round number negates the break below the handle
Close above the 0.7014 lower high breaks the lower-highs trendline and the downtrend chain
Failure to hold the 0.6996 session low extends the lower-low sequence
RBA decision at 03:30 UTC (05:30 broker) and the 04:30 UTC presser could materially shift this read
19:17 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs through NY · RSI 31 · price 0.70015
Lower highs 0.7031 → 0.7021 → 0.7014, retesting day low at 0.7000 psych.
London broke the 0.7013–0.7034 Asian range lower from the 0.7031 london high. The post-ISM bounce stalled at the 0.7021 ny high and a 0.7014 lower high followed. Late NY is now retesting the 0.6999 day low at the 0.7000 psych handle, RSI(14) near 31, as AUD exposure is trimmed into the RBA.
Support: 0.69995, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70143, 0.7021, 0.70309
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6999 day low extends the lower-low sequence beneath the 0.7000 psych handle
Recovery above the 0.7014 lower high breaks the descending trendline; above the 0.7021 ny high the downtrend read is invalidated
Reclaim of the 0.7031 london high puts price back inside the Asian range
RBA decision Tue 03:30 UTC and Bullock's 04:30 UTC presser could materially shift this read; US midterm results add overnight risk
19:02 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs into late NY · RSI 30 · price 0.70016
Lower-high chain capping a retest of the 0.70 round number.
London broke below the 0.7013–0.7034 Asian range from the 0.7031 London high. Late NY is back on the 0.7000 round number after successive lower highs at the 0.7021 NY high and the 0.7014 lower high, as AUD trims exposure ahead of the RBA.
Support: 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70143, 0.7021, 0.70309
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.7000 round number (day low 0.6999) confirms a lower-low
M15 close above the 0.7014 lower high breaks the descending lower-high trendline
Reclaim of the 0.7021 NY high, the 61.8% area of the London-high-to-day-low fib, shifts the read toward range
RBA decision Tue 03:30 UTC and US midterm results overnight could materially shift this read
18:47 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs into late NY · RSI 34 · price 0.70028
Lower highs from 0.7021, retesting the 0.6999 day low.
London broke below the Asian range after capping under the 0.7034 asia high. The NY rebound from the 0.6999 day low stalled at the 0.7021 ny high and has been almost fully retraced, with a lower high at 0.7014 as AUD sheds exposure ahead of the RBA. Price sits just above the day low and the 0.7000 handle late in the NY session, RSI(14) near 34.
Support: 0.69991
Resistance: 0.70143, 0.7021, 0.7034
What it said to watch
An M15 close below the 0.6999 day low confirms a lower-low and loses the 0.7000 handle
A close above the 0.7014 lower high breaks the lower-highs trendline; the 0.7021 ny high is the next cap
The RBA decision Tue 03:30 UTC (25bp hike f/c) and guidance on further hikes could materially shift this read
Overnight US midterm results feeding into Asia hours add USD-side gap risk
18:32 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs since London · RSI 37 · price 0.7006
Lower highs from 0.7031; 0.6999 NY low holding.
London broke the 0.7013 Asian range low, and the NY open swept the 0.70 handle to a 0.6999 NY low before rebounding. That rebound was rejected at the 0.7021 NY high after the ISM beat. Late NY has printed a lower high at 0.7014 while twin lows at 0.7006 hold, with price sitting between the 61.8% and 78.6% of the rebound fib as positioning thins into the RBA.
Support: 0.70062, 0.69991
Resistance: 0.70143, 0.7021, 0.70309
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.7006 twin lows exposes the 0.6999 NY low and the 0.70 handle
Close above the 0.7014 lower high and the lower highs trendline (~0.7016) breaks the late-NY descent toward the 0.7021 NY high
0.7031 london high marks the top of the session's sell-off; recovering it would neutralise the lower-high sequence
RBA decision Tue 03:30 UTC (25bp hike priced): guidance on further hikes vs a peak could take price out of the 0.6999–0.7031 range
Lower highs 0.7031 → 0.7021 after a sweep below 0.7000; drifting toward the swing low.
AUD stalled at the 0.7031 London high, broke below the Asian range low near 0.7018 and swept just under 0.7000 to the 0.6999 session low around the US ISM release. NY then bounced to 0.7021. Late in the NY session, price is back near 0.7010, below the 0.7014 minor high and rotating toward the 0.7006 swing low, which sits close to the 61.8% retrace of the NY bounce. Pre-RBA position trimming has kept AUD heavy despite softer US data details.
Support: 0.70064, 0.69991
Resistance: 0.70143, 0.7021, 0.70309
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.7006 swing low reopens the 0.6999 session low and the 0.70 handle
Close above the 0.7021 NY high breaks the lower-high trendline from the London high
RBA decision Tue 03:30 UTC (25bp hike priced): guidance on further hikes could materially shift this read
US Loan Officer Survey at 19:00 UTC is minor event risk late in the NY session
Lower high at 0.7021 after the 0.70 sweep, higher low at 0.7006 so far.
AUD slid through London from the 0.7031 london high as traders pared exposure into the RBA. Around NY open it swept below the 0.70 handle to a 0.6999 session low and reclaimed it. The bounce was rejected at the 0.7021 bounce high, and price is back near the 50% fib of the bounce at 0.7010, sitting just above a 0.7006 swing low on rising support, with RSI(14) neutral at 46.
Support: 0.70064, 0.69991
Resistance: 0.7021, 0.70309
What it said to watch
Close below the 0.7006 swing low breaks rising support and puts the 0.6999 session low and 0.70 handle back in play
Close above the 0.7021 bounce high reopens the 0.7031 london high
RBA decision Tue 03:30 UTC (hike to 4.85% expected), with the guidance on a peak versus more hikes, could materially shift this read; US midterm results also land overnight
Lower highs 0.7034/0.7031/0.7021, price retracing NY bounce.
After topping at 0.7034 in Asia, AUD printed lower highs at the 0.7031 London high and the 0.7021 NY high, with the dip to 0.6999 a false break of the 0.70 psych handle. Late NY has given back most of that bounce to the 61.8% retrace near 0.7007, just above the 0.7003 swing low, as pre-RBA de-risking weighs; RSI(14) mid-40s, ATR about 4.4 pips.
Support: 0.70034, 0.6999
Resistance: 0.7021, 0.70309
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6999 turns the false break into a fresh lower low beneath psych 0.70
M15 close above the 0.7021 ny high breaks the lower-highs trendline sequence
Failure to hold the 0.7003 swing low exposes the 0.70 handle again
RBA decision Tue 03:30 UTC (f/c hike to 4.85%) and US midterm results could materially shift this read
Lower highs off 0.7021, sitting on NY range floor.
London sold AUD from the 0.7031 london high through the psych 0.70 handle to 0.6999. The pre-RBA de-risking flagged in the digest drove the move before NY reclaimed the level and bounced to a 0.7021 ny high, near the 61.8% of the London sell-off. Late NY has printed lower highs back onto the 0.7013 ny low, with RSI(14) neutral near 50.
Support: 0.7013, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7021, 0.7031
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.7013 ny low puts psych 0.70 and the 0.6999 sweep low back in play
Close above the NY lower highs line and the 0.7021 ny high reopens the 0.7031 london high
Senior Loan Officer Survey at 19:00 UTC could jolt USD in thin late-NY trade
RBA decision Tue 03:30 UTC (presser 04:30 UTC) and US midterm results overnight could materially shift this read
London sold off from the 0.7031 london high, and NY briefly broke below the 0.7000 handle to a 0.6999 session low before a sharp reversal. AUD had underperformed into the RBA as traders trimmed exposure. The rebound stalled twice at the 0.7021 ny high, and price is now compressing at 0.7013–0.7021 above a rising line, sitting near the 50–61.8% zone of the selloff fib with RSI(14) neutral and EMA50 almost flat beneath price.
Support: 0.7013, 0.6999
Resistance: 0.7021, 0.7031, 0.7034
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7021 ny high opens the 0.7031 london high, then the 0.7034 asian high
Loss of the 0.7013 higher low breaks the rising line and puts the 0.6999 session low back in play
RBA decision at 03:30 UTC during the Asia session could materially shift this read; the US Loan Officer Survey at 19:00 UTC is a lesser risk
Lower highs from London, false break of 0.7000, tight consolidation 0.7013–0.7021.
AUD bled through London from the 0.7031 london high to a false break of the 0.7000 round number (day low 0.6999) as pre-RBA trimming weighed, then recovered in NY to a 0.7021 ny high. Since London close price has compressed between the 0.7013 range floor and 0.7021, holding the 23.6% of the recovery leg, sitting just above EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) near 58.
Support: 0.7013, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7021, 0.7031
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7021 ny high breaks the consolidation and tests the lower-highs line toward the 0.7031 london high
Loss of the 0.7013 range floor re-exposes the 0.7000 round number and the day low
RBA decision at 03:30 UTC Tue (presser 04:30 UTC) could materially shift this read; Asia session likely subdued until then
Lower highs from London; false break of 0.7000, NY range 0.7013–0.7021.
London faded from its 0.7031 high, broke the Asian low near 0.7013 and dipped through 0.7000 psych to 0.6999 before NY reclaimed the handle. The rebound capped at the 0.7021 NY high, just above the 61.8% fib of the London drop. Price is compressing at the 50% retrace and the NY low after London close, with AUD heavy into the RBA.
Support: 0.7013, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7021, 0.7031
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.7013 NY low reopens a retest of 0.7000 psych
Second failure under 0.7000 would negate the false-break read
Close above the 0.7021 NY high and 61.8% fib opens the 0.7031 London high
RBA decision Tue 03:30 UTC and presser 04:30 UTC, priced 25bp hike, guidance can reset this range
16:32 UTC
Intraday downtrend, NY rebound in progress · RSI 56 · price 0.70173
Higher lows off the 0.7000 sweep, capped at the 0.7021 NY high.
London took AUD/USD through the Asian low and the NY open swept the 0.7000 round number (0.6999) as AUD lagged into the RBA. The rebound since has built higher lows to 0.7013 and stalled at the 0.7021 NY high, near the 61.8% retrace of the London sell-off. RSI(14) neutral at ~56, ATR ~5.5 pips late in the NY session.
Support: 0.7013, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7021, 0.7031
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7021 NY high opens the 0.7031 London high
Loss of the 0.7013 higher low breaks the NY rising trendline and re-exposes the 0.7000 round number
RBA decision Tue 03:30 UTC and US midterm results could materially shift this read
Lower high at 0.7021 after London slide; rising lows off the 0.70 handle.
AUD slid through London from the 0.7031 London high to a 0.69995 low as traders trimmed exposure ahead of Tuesday's RBA. The 0.70 handle held and the NY rebound met a rejection twice at the 0.7021 NY high, near the 61.8% retrace. Price sits at 0.7015, pinned at EMA50 with RSI(14) ~56, and rising lows hold above the 0.7013 pullback low.
Support: 0.7013, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7021, 0.7031
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.7013 pullback low breaks the rising lows and puts the 0.70 handle back in play
Close above the 0.7021 NY high opens the London high at 0.7031
RBA decision Tue 03:30 UTC (25bp hike to 4.85% largely priced): wording on a peak versus further hikes could materially shift this read
Goolsbee (16:15 UTC) and overnight US midterm headlines add USD event risk
Lower high at 0.7021 under the 0.7031 London high, back inside the Asian range.
London faded from its 0.7031 high and briefly broke the 0.7000 round number at the NY open (low 0.6999). That false break reversed as USD softened on mixed ISM data, but the rebound stalled at a 0.7021 NY high, a lower high near the 61.8% retrace of the London-NY fib. Price sits just above the Asian low and is pinned on the EMA50 near the 50% retrace, with AUD held back into Tuesday's RBA.
Support: 0.70132, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7021, 0.70309
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7021 NY high breaks the lower-high trendline and exposes the 0.7031 London high
Failure to hold the 0.7013 asian low reopens the 0.7000 round number
Goolsbee at 16:15 UTC on December hike odds could jolt USD inside the session range
RBA decision Tue 03:30 UTC and US midterm results are the next major catalysts for the 0.7000 handle
15:47 UTC
Intraday downtrend, NY rebound in progress · RSI 56 · price 0.70186
London lower highs into 0.6999, NY higher-low chain since.
Pre-RBA de-risking dragged AUD through the asian low during London to a 0.6999 day low at the NY open, a brief false break of psych 0.7000. NY has since printed higher lows back above the asian low, retracing ~61.8% of the London drop and stalling at the 0.7021 ny high with RSI(14) neutral at 56.
Support: 0.7013, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7021, 0.7031, 0.7037
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7021 ny high opens the 0.7031 london high and 0.7037 friday high
Slip back under the 0.7013 asian low puts psych 0.7000 and the day low back in focus
Goolsbee at 16:15 UTC could move USD during late NY hours
RBA decision Tue 03:30 UTC is the larger risk to this read
Lower highs from Asian high; 0.7000 swept, rebound capped at 61.8%.
Pre-RBA de-risking extended the lower highs from the 0.7034 Asian high to the 0.7031 London high. London then broke the 0.7014 Asian low, and early NY swept the 0.7000 psych level to 0.6999. The rebound stalled at the 0.7020 NY high, the 61.8% of the London high to day low drop, and price now sits just above the Asian low with RSI(14) near 56.
Support: 0.7014, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7020, 0.7031, 0.7034
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7020 NY high opens the London high at 0.7031 and the lower-highs line
Failure to hold the 0.7014 Asian low puts the 0.7000 psych sweep low back in play
Goolsbee at 16:15 UTC; RBA decision Tue 03:30 UTC could materially shift this read
London lower highs, false break of 0.7000, NY rebound capped near 0.7020.
London sold off from the 0.7031 London high on pre-RBA de-risking and broke below 0.7000. The 0.6999 session low proved a false break, and NY reclaimed the descending trendline. The rebound stalled just under the 0.7020 NY high, the 61.8% fib area, and price now sits at the 50% retrace near 0.7015, pinned against EMA50.
Support: 0.70112, 0.69991
Resistance: 0.7020, 0.70309
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.7011 (fib 38.2) puts the 0.6999 session low and the 0.7000 handle back in focus
M15 close above the 0.7020 NY high exposes the 0.7031 London high
Fed's Goolsbee at 16:15 UTC, then the RBA decision Tue 03:30 UTC, could materially shift this read
Lower highs from Asia into a London break lower; NY higher-high/higher-low rebound off the sweep low.
London extended pre-RBA AUD selling, breaking the asian low at 0.7013. The drop swept the 0.7000 handle to a 0.6999 session low in early NY hours before a sharp reclaim. The rebound has retested the asian low as support and is stalling at the ny high 0.7020, at the 61.8% fib of the London drop. Price is back above EMA20 and only marginally above EMA50, with RSI(14) near 57.
Support: 0.7013, 0.6999
Resistance: 0.7020, 0.7031, 0.7034
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7020 ny high and the 61.8% fib opens the london high at 0.7031 and the asian high at 0.7034
Failure to hold the asian low at 0.7013 puts the 0.6999 session low and the 0.7000 handle back in play
ISM Mfg PMI (15:00 UTC, prints into the current bar) and Goolsbee at 16:15 UTC could materially shift this read
RBA decision Tue 03:30 UTC and press conference 04:30 UTC are the dominant risk beyond this session
London lower highs into a false break of 0.7000, then a micro higher low.
London sold off from the 0.7031 london high through the Asian low as AUD trimmed exposure before the RBA. The first hour of NY briefly cracked 0.7000 to a 0.6999 session low, but the move was reclaimed at once. A 0.7001 higher low followed, and price now sits at the 50% retracement near 0.7015, testing EMA50 from below with RSI(14) near 56.
Support: 0.7011, 0.6999
Resistance: 0.7019, 0.7031
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7019 fib 61.8 breaks the London lower-high sequence and exposes the 0.7031 london high
Failure to hold the 0.7011 fib 38.2 and the 0.7001 higher low puts the 0.6999 session low and 0.7000 psych back in play
US ISM Mfg PMI at 15:00 UTC and Goolsbee at 16:15 UTC could materially shift this read
RBA decision Tue 03:30 UTC, press conference 04:30 UTC, is the dominant risk for the next Asia session
Lower highs from London high; false break of 0.7000 reclaimed.
London faded from the 0.7031 London high through the 0.7013 Asian low. Early NY briefly broke 0.7000 to a 0.6999 session low before reclaiming the handle, as AUD stayed heavy into the RBA. Price is now pressing the 0.7013 Asian low, which coincides with the 38.2% of the London sell-off fib and the lower-highs line.
Support: 0.7004, 0.6999
Resistance: 0.7013, 0.7031
What it said to watch
ISM Manufacturing at 15:00 UTC, about 30 minutes out, could materially shift this read
An M15 close above the 0.7013 Asian low breaks the lower-highs sequence and opens 0.7015–0.7019 (50–61.8% fib)
Failure at the 0.7004 swing low and a break of the 0.6999 session low turns the 0.7000 false break into a lower-low
RBA decision Tue 03:30 UTC sits just beyond this window as the next major driver
14:17 UTC
Downtrend, stalling at 0.7000 · RSI 43 · price 0.70049
Lower highs since London; NY compressing between 0.7000 and 0.7013.
London set a lower high at 0.7031, below the 0.7034 asian high, then broke the 0.7013 asian low as AUD stayed heavy on pre-RBA trimming and risk-off. Early in the NY session price dipped to 0.6999, just under the 0.7000 psych, and reclaimed it within a bar. The rebound spike met rejection at the former asian low, and price now sits mid-NY inside a 13-pip box below EMA20, with RSI(14) in the low 40s.
Support: 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70132, 0.70309, 0.7034
What it said to watch
ISM Manufacturing at 15:00 UTC, about 45 min away, with Goolsbee at 16:15 UTC; either could break the 0.7000–0.7013 box
An M15 close below 0.6999 turns the 0.7000 psych false break into a lower-low continuation
An M15 close back above 0.7013 asian low reclaims the 38.2% retracement and puts the 0.7031 london high back in view
RBA decision Tue 03:30 UTC is the next scheduled AUD event risk
13:47 UTC
Downtrend, stalling at 0.7000 · RSI 40 · price 0.70061
Lower highs from the 0.7031 London high; false break below 0.7000 in early NY.
Risk-off and pre-RBA caution weighed on AUD as London sold off from the 0.7031 london high through the 0.7013 asian low. Early NY briefly broke 0.7000, but the 0.6999 sweep low was rejected with a spike back to 0.7013. Price is now holding just above the 0.7004 swing low with RSI(14) near 40.
Support: 0.70035, 0.69991
Resistance: 0.70132, 0.70309
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.7013 asian low, inside the 38.2–50% fib zone, breaks the lower-high chain; 0.7031 london high is the next reference
M15 close below the 0.6999 sweep low turns the false break into a confirmed break of 0.7000
Failure to hold the 0.7004 swing low exposes the sweep low again
US ISM Manufacturing at 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read
RBA decision Tue 03:30 UTC is the larger event risk for AUD
Lower highs and lower lows since the 0.7031 London high, below the Asian range.
London rejected at the 0.7031 london high and broke the 0.7013 Asian low by mid-morning. Since then a lower high/lower low chain under a falling trendline has carried price into the first hour of NY, tagging a 0.6999 session low at the 0.7000 psych handle. Iran-driven risk-off and pre-RBA caution fit the drift; RSI(14) near 31 is soft but not oversold.
Support: 0.69991
Resistance: 0.70109, 0.70132, 0.70309
What it said to watch
US ISM Manufacturing at 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read
A close back above the 0.7011 lower high breaks the descending trendline sequence
Recovery above the 0.7013 asian low would turn the range break into a false break
Acceptance below the 0.6999 session low and 0.7000 psych extends the lower-low chain
RBA decision Tue 03:30 UTC looms over the Asia session
Lower high at 0.7031 then break of Asian low, tight 0.7003–0.7011 base.
London's bounce stalled at the 0.7031 london high, just under the Asian high. The following leg broke the 0.7014 asian low, with risk-off and the soft AU manufacturing PMI weighing. Into the NY open, price is basing in a 0.7003–0.7011 band, the day low tested twice just above the 0.7000 psych level; RSI(14) ~36, ATR ~4 pips.
Support: 0.70034, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70115, 0.70137, 0.70309
What it said to watch
Close back above the 0.7014 asian low, which is also the 38.2% of the london leg fib, would turn the range break into a false break
Loss of the 0.7003 day low and the 0.7000 psych handle extends the lower-low chain
Break of the 0.7011 range top and the london high downtrend line shifts the read from base to recovery
US ISM Manufacturing at 15:00 UTC could break the 0.7003–0.7011 band; RBA at 03:30 UTC Tue is the overnight risk
Asian range broken lower; bounce capped at lower high above 0.7000.
London broke below the Asian low at 0.7013 and extended to a 0.7003 session low, with AUD heavy on risk-off and pre-RBA caution. The bounce off the London drop stalled under the 38.2% retracement at the 0.7011 lower high. Price is pinned just above the 0.7000 round number into the London-NY transition, RSI(14) near 33 and not yet oversold.
Support: 0.70034, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70109, 0.70132, 0.70309
What it said to watch
An M15 close back above the 0.7013 Asian low would neutralise the range-break read
Failure to hold the 0.7003 session low exposes the 0.7000 round number
A close above the 0.7031 London high breaks the lower-high sequence
US ISM Manufacturing at 15:00 UTC during NY hours could materially shift this read
RBA decision Tue 03:30 UTC is the next major event risk for AUD
Asian range broken lower in London; lower highs from 0.7031, price retracing toward the broken range floor.
London faded from the 0.7031 london high and broke the asian low at 0.7013, which is also Friday's low, as risk-off and the soft AU manufacturing PMI weighed. The pair set a session low at 0.7003 just above the 0.7000 psych handle and is now bouncing late in London toward the broken asian low, which sits near the 38.2% fib of the London drop.
Support: 0.70034, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70135, 0.70309
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.7013 asian low puts price back inside the Asian range and negates the break
Failure to hold the 0.7003 session low exposes the 0.7000 psych handle
A move through the 0.7031 london high fully retraces the London drop
US ISM Manufacturing at 15:00 UTC and the RBA decision Tue 03:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs from the London high; Asian range broken to the downside.
London faded from the 0.7031 london high through the 0.7013 asian low to a session low at 0.7003, just above the 0.7000 psych handle, as safe-haven USD demand on Iran headlines weighed on AUD. Price is bouncing into the London-NY transition, but lower highs are intact and price sits below both EMAs. The 38.2% retrace of the London leg lines up with the broken asian low.
Support: 0.70034, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70137, 0.70309
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.7013 asian low (38.2% retrace) puts price back inside the Asian range and negates the range break
Break of the 0.7003 session low and the 0.7000 psych handle extends the lower-low chain
Recovery above the 0.7031 london high invalidates the intraday downtrend read
US ISM Manufacturing at 15:00 UTC and Goolsbee at 16:15 UTC could materially shift this read
RBA decision Tue 03:30 UTC is the larger event risk for the 0.7000 handle
London capped at the 0.7031 london high, below the Asian high, then broke the asian low near 0.7014. The drop extended to a 0.7003 session low just above the 0.7000 round number as Iran headlines lifted haven USD. RSI(14) is near 28 into the London-NY transition, oversold but not extreme, and price is pausing at 0.7007.
Support: 0.7003, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7014, 0.7031
What it said to watch
A close back above the asian low at 0.7014, the 38.2% of the London leg fib, would neutralise the range break
A break of the 0.7003 session low exposes the 0.7000 round number ahead of tomorrow's RBA
Recovery above the 0.7031 london high breaks the lower-high chain
US ISM Manufacturing at 15:00 UTC and Goolsbee at 16:15 UTC could materially shift this read
12:02 UTC
Downtrend, oversold near 0.7000 · RSI 23 · price 0.70048
Lower highs since London high, Asian range broken lower.
London broke below the Asian low and Friday's low near 0.7013. Lower highs from the 0.7031 London high carried price to a 0.7003 session low as Iran headlines revived haven USD flows. Price is now pressing the 0.7000 psych with RSI(14) near 23, oversold.
Support: 0.70034, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70132, 0.70309
What it said to watch
A close back above the 0.7013 asian low, which sits at the 38.2% of the London leg, would turn the range break into a false break
Sustained trade below the 0.7000 psych extends the lower-low chain beyond the session low
A break of the lower-high line, then the 0.7031 london high, negates the intraday downtrend read
US ISM Manufacturing at 15:00 UTC and Goolsbee at 16:15 UTC could shift this read; the RBA decision on Tue 03:30 UTC is the larger risk for the 0.7000 handle
Asian range low broken in London, lower-high chain intact.
London rejected 0.7031 at the London high, then broke the Asian low at 0.7013 and printed a 0.7007 day low as safe-haven USD demand on Iran headlines weighed on AUD. The lower-high chain from 0.7034 is intact, price sits below both EMAs with RSI(14) near 30, and the 0.7000 round number is 7 pips away.
Support: 0.70069, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70132, 0.70189, 0.70309
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.7013 asian low would turn the break into a false break
A bounce stalling at the 0.7019 fib 50% keeps the lower-high sequence intact
Recovery through the 0.7031 london high breaks the lower-highs trendline
Break of the 0.7000 round number below the day low before the RBA would signal the market front-running a dovish outcome
US ISM Manufacturing at 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read; RBA decision Tue 03:30 UTC
Lower highs from London high, Asian range broken lower.
London stalled at 0.70309, below the 0.70340 Asian high, then broke the 0.70137 Asian low to a 0.70075 session low as safe-haven USD demand and mixed China PMIs weighed on AUD. RSI(14) sits near 35 with price below both EMAs, and the 0.7000 psych handle is about 7 pips under the session low.
Support: 0.70075, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70137, 0.70192, 0.70309
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.70075 session low exposes the 0.7000 psych handle
M15 close back above the 0.70137 Asian low would turn the range break into a false break
Recovery through the 0.70192 50% fib of the London drop eases the lower-high sequence; the 0.70309 London high caps above
US ISM Manufacturing at 15:00 UTC and the RBA decision Tue 03:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Asian range broken to the downside; London printing fresh session lows.
London faded from the 0.7031 london high, a lower high under the 0.7034 asian high, and broke the 0.7013 asian low to set a session low at 0.7008. RSI(14) is near 31 and the 0.7000 psych handle sits 8 pips below, with AUD heavy into tomorrow's RBA on safe-haven USD demand and mixed China PMIs.
Support: 0.70077, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70132, 0.70309, 0.7034
What it said to watch
A hold back above the 0.7013 asian low would turn the range break into a false break
An M15 close below the 0.7000 psych handle extends the lower-low sequence ahead of the RBA
Lower-high trendline from the asian high through the london high caps the bounce while it holds
ISM Manufacturing at 15:00 UTC and Goolsbee at 16:15 UTC could shift this read during NY hours
RBA decision Tue 03:30 UTC is the main event risk for the 0.7000 area
11:02 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs since London high · RSI 33 · price 0.70098
Asian range broken to the downside, lower-low sequence intact.
London session ran to a 0.7031 london high, then reversed through the 0.7013 asian low and prior-day low to a 0.7008 session low, as AUD lagged the majors ahead of the RBA. RSI(14) at 33 with price below both EMAs; the 0.7000 round number sits 10 pips under, and the 61.8% retrace of the London leg fib lies near 0.7022.
Support: 0.70083, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70135, 0.70309
What it said to watch
Recovery back above the 0.7013 asian low would turn the break into a false break
M15 close below the 0.7000 round number extends the lower-low sequence
US ISM Manufacturing PMI at 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read
RBA decision Tue 03:30 UTC keeps the 0.7000 handle in focus into the Asia session
Lower high at 0.7031, break below Asian range low to a new session low.
Mid-London, the bounce stalled at the 0.7031 London high. That marks another lower high under the 0.7034 Asian high, and the slide has since cut through the 0.7013 Asian low and Friday's low to a new session low at 0.7010. AUD stays heavy on safe-haven USD demand into Tuesday's RBA. RSI(14) sits at 36, not oversold, with the 0.7000 round number about 10 pips below.
Support: 0.70102, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70135, 0.70309, 0.7034
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.7013 Asian low would turn the range break into a false break
A break of the 0.7000 round number before the RBA would signal the market front-running a dovish outcome
Recovery through the 0.7031 London high breaks the lower-highs sequence
US ISM Manufacturing at 15:00 UTC and the RBA decision Tue 03:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower high at 0.70309 under the Asian high, then a break below the Asian range low.
London's bounce was rejected at 0.70309, a lower high under the 0.70340 Asian high, and the London drop has now cleared the Asian low at 0.70132 and Friday's 0.70135 for a session low at 0.70122. The USD safe-haven bid on Iran headlines is keeping AUD heavy ahead of the RBA. RSI(14) at 37 is not stretched, with the 0.7000 round number about 12 pips below.
Support: 0.70122, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70132, 0.70309, 0.7034
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.70132 Asian low turns the range break into a false break
Acceptance below the 0.70122 session low puts the 0.7000 round number in play
Recovery through the 0.70309 London high breaks the lower-highs sequence
US ISM Manufacturing at 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read; RBA decision Tue 03:30 UTC is the larger event risk
10:17 UTC
Sideways, London gains unwound · RSI 44 · price 0.70179
0.7013–0.7034 range, lower highs off Asian high.
Monday is holding a 0.7013–0.7034 range after a small weekend gap lower. London's push from the 0.7014 session low met rejection at the 0.7031 london high, below the 0.7034 asian high, and has been almost fully unwound, with price under both EMAs and RSI(14) at 44. Safe-haven USD demand on Iran headlines keeps AUD heavy near the 0.7000 psych level into Tuesday's RBA.
Support: 0.70135, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70309, 0.7034
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.7013 session low (Friday and Monday lows) breaks the range and exposes the 0.7000 psych level
Reclaim of the 0.7031 london high breaks the lower-highs sequence and reopens the 0.7034 asian high
US ISM Manufacturing at 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read
RBA decision Tue 03:30 UTC; range likely compresses into it
London bounced off the 0.7014 swing low, tested three times since Friday, but was rejected at the 0.7031 session high and has slipped back to the 61.8% fib near 0.7020. Lower highs from the 0.7034 Asian high cap the range as AUD stays heavy on a firm USD and pre-RBA caution.
Support: 0.70203, 0.70137, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70309, 0.7034, 0.70403
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.7014 swing low breaks the range floor and exposes the 0.7000 psych level
Close above the 0.7034 Asian high clears the lower-highs line; the 0.7040 Friday high sits next
US ISM Manufacturing at 15:00 UTC and Tuesday's RBA decision at 03:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Range 0.7013–0.7034, London bounce faded at 0.7031.
AUDUSD gapped about 6 pips lower at the weekend open and has held the Asian range (0.7013–0.7034). The London low at 0.7014 matched the Sunday low and drew a bounce to 0.7031, but that London high was rejected and price is back at the 50% retracement near 0.7022. Safe-haven USD demand on Iran headlines and positioning ahead of Tuesday's RBA decision are keeping the pair heavy near 0.7000.
Support: 0.70137, 0.70132, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70309, 0.7034, 0.70403
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.7013–0.7014 London low / Sunday low zone opens the 0.7000 round number
M15 close above the 0.7031 London high and 0.7034 Asian high breaks the range and exposes the Friday high at 0.7040
US ISM Mfg PMI and Prices Paid at 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read
RBA decision Tue 03:30 UTC is the main event risk for the 0.7000 area
09:32 UTC
Range-bound, London bounce off the lows · RSI 56 · price 0.70258
Higher lows off a 0.7013–0.7014 double bottom, inside the 0.7013–0.7034 Asian range.
The Asia session faded from the 0.7034 Asian high to a dbl bottom at 0.7013–0.7014, matching Friday's low, as risk-off flows kept AUD heavy. Demand stepped in at that dbl bottom into London open, and the London leg ran to 0.7031 on softer USD, with rising lows intact. Price is now holding the 0.7025 pullback low, about a 30% retrace of that leg.
Support: 0.70251, 0.70137, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70309, 0.7034, 0.70403
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7031 london high puts the 0.7034 asian high and the 0.7040 friday high back in play
Break of the london rising lows and the 0.7025 pullback low opens the 38–50% fib zone at 0.7024–0.7022
Failure to hold the 0.7013 dbl bottom exposes the 0.7000 round number
US ISM Mfg PMI and Prices Paid at 15:00 UTC, followed by Goolsbee at 16:15 UTC, could materially shift this read
RBA decision Tue 03:30 UTC is the larger event risk, with a hike ~80% priced
09:17 UTC
Intraday uptrend off the session low · RSI 62 · price 0.70293
London HH/HL chain after a double bottom at 0.7014, inside the 0.7013–0.7034 Monday range.
London reversed the Asian slide after a double bottom at the 0.7014 swing low. Price cleared the 0.7024 neckline and built higher highs and higher lows up to a 0.7031 London high, as a softer USD offset Monday's risk-off AUD drag. The pair has retraced about 78% of the Asian drop from 0.7034, with RSI(14) near 62; the Asia high and the 0.7040 Friday high sit directly overhead.
Support: 0.70237, 0.70137, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70309, 0.7034, 0.70403
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.7024 neckline undermines the double bottom read
A break of the rising trendline (~0.7027) ends the London higher-low chain
Close above the 0.7034 Asia high opens the 0.7040 Friday high
Failure at the 0.7014 swing low exposes the 0.7000 psych handle
US ISM Mfg at 15:00 UTC and Goolsbee at 16:15 UTC could shift USD; the RBA decision Tue 03:30 UTC is the larger event risk
09:02 UTC
Rebounding off session low, higher lows since London open · RSI 58 · price 0.7028
Asia lower-high chain broken at London open; higher lows inside Friday's 0.7013–0.7040 range.
London open reversed the Asian-session slide off a double bottom near the 0.7013 Monday low. Higher lows lifted price through the 0.7025 broken high to a 0.7029 London high, into the 61.8–78.6% retracement of the Asian decline. Softer USD on Iran-diplomacy headlines is offsetting the risk-off AUD tone, with the 0.7034 Asian high and 0.7040 Friday high overhead.
Support: 0.7025, 0.7013
Resistance: 0.7029, 0.7034, 0.7040
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7034 Asian high clears the fib zone and opens the 0.7040 Friday high
Slip back below the 0.7025 broken high breaks the London higher lows and returns price to the range middle
Loss of the 0.7013 Monday low invalidates the double bottom and exposes the 0.7000 handle
US ISM Mfg PMI 15:00 UTC (f/c 54.6) could materially shift USD and this read
RBA decision Tue 03:30 UTC is the dominant AUD event risk; pre-positioning may cap range extensions
Double bottom at 0.7014 broken higher; price mid-range below the Asian high.
AUDUSD gapped lower from Friday's close at 0.7032, swept to 0.7013 early in Asia, then slid into a second low at 0.7014 into London, held up by Iran risk-off and soft China PMIs. The double bottom cleared its 0.7024 neckline in the first hour of London, which lifted RSI(14) to about 62 and put price back above the 61.8% retracement of the Asian fib, with the 0.7034 Asian high and the 0.7032 gap fill overhead.
Support: 0.70237, 0.70135, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70321, 0.7034, 0.70403
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.7024 neckline undoes the double bottom breakout
Rejection at the 0.7032 gap fill / 0.7034 Asian high keeps the session range intact; a close above opens Friday's high at 0.7040
Loss of the 0.7014 double low exposes the 0.7000 psych handle
Price slipping under the London rising line signals the rebound is fading
US ISM Mfg PMI at 15:00 UTC and Goolsbee at 16:15 UTC could materially shift this read
RBA decision Tue 03:30 UTC is the next major AUD event risk
08:32 UTC
Intraday downtrend, stalling at support · RSI 51 · price 0.70228
Lower highs off asian high, 0.7013-0.7014 floor holding.
AUD gapped lower from the 0.70321 friday close and has printed lower highs off the 0.70340 asian high along a descending trendline, as Iran risk-off and weak China PMIs weighed. Early London retested the 0.70135 session low and was rejected. Price is back at the 50% fib near 0.7023 and pressing the trendline, with RSI(14) neutral around 51.
Support: 0.70135, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70251, 0.70321, 0.7034
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.70251 swing high breaks the lower-high sequence and puts the 0.70321 friday close gap and 0.70340 asian high in view
Failure to hold the 0.70135 session low exposes the 0.7000 round number
US ISM Mfg PMI and Prices Paid at 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read
RBA decision Tue 03:30 UTC may keep the range compressed into the event
08:17 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs under test · RSI 52 · price 0.70231
Lower highs since Asian high; twin lows at 0.7013-14.
AUDUSD gapped below Friday's 0.7032 close and sold off through Asia from the 0.7034 Asian high on risk-off and weak China PMIs. London open tested the friday low near 0.7014 a second time and bounced back above the ema20. Price is now pressing the lower-highs trendline near the 50% retrace of the Asian selloff, with RSI(14) neutral around 52.
Support: 0.7020, 0.70135
Resistance: 0.70251, 0.7034, 0.70403
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7025 lower high breaks the lower-highs sequence and confirms the double bottom; the asian high at 0.7034 then comes into view, with the friday high at 0.7040 above
Rejection at the trendline and a slip back below the ema20 keeps the lower-highs structure intact
Failure to hold the friday low at 0.7013 confirms a lower-low below both bottoms
US ISM Mfg PMI and Prices Paid at 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read
RBA decision Tue 03:30 UTC is the larger event risk for AUD
08:03 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs since Asia · RSI 47 · price 0.70195
Lower-high/lower-low chain from the 0.7034 Asian high, testing the Friday low.
AUD has bled lower through the Asia session from the 0.7034 Asian high in a lower-high sequence, weighed by Iran risk-off and weak China PMIs. Into London open, a probe to 0.70137 was rejected just above the Friday low at 0.70135, the same area swept at the Sunday open. Price is now pinned just under EMA20 with RSI near 47.
Support: 0.70135, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70237, 0.7034
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.70135 Friday low confirms a lower-low and puts the 0.7000 round number in play
Close above the 0.70237 swing high and the descending trendline breaks the lower-high chain, with the 0.7034 Asian high next
US ISM Manufacturing PMI at 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read
RBA decision Tue 03:30 UTC is the dominant event risk for AUD
07:46 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs since Asia open · RSI 40 · price 0.70148
Lower-high chain from 0.7034, pressing session low.
AUD faded through the Asia session from the 0.7034 session high in a chain of lower highs, weighed by the weak China PMIs and risk-off USD demand. The London open pop to a 0.7024 lower high was rejected inside the hour, putting price back on the 0.7014 session low, just above the 0.7013 Sunday open low, with 0.7000 psych below.
Support: 0.70144, 0.70132, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70237, 0.70251, 0.7034
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.7013 open low extends the lower-low sequence toward 0.7000 psych
Reclaim of the 0.7024 lower high and the 0.7025 swing high breaks the descending trendline and neutralises the Asia downtrend
ISM Manufacturing at 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read; RBA decision Tue 03:30 UTC is the bigger AUD risk
07:31 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs through Asia · RSI 48 · price 0.70208
Lower-high chain from 0.7034; lows holding 0.7013-0.7014 floor.
AUDUSD gapped below Friday's 0.70321 close at the weekly open. Asia then printed lower highs from the 0.7034 Asian high, with China PMI disappointment and risk-off weighing. The pre-London session low at 0.70144 held just above the 0.70135 Friday low, and the bounce stalled at 0.70237, a lower high near the 50% retrace of the Asia decline.
Support: 0.70144, 0.70135, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70237, 0.70321, 0.7034
What it said to watch
Close above the 0.70237 lower high breaks the descending lower-highs line and puts the friday close gap at 0.70321 back in play
Failure to hold the 0.70144 session low and 0.70135 friday low opens the 0.7000 round number
US ISM Manufacturing at 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read
RBA decision Tue 03:30 UTC is the larger event risk for AUD
07:16 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs through Asia · RSI 40 · price 0.70182
LH/LL chain from session high, pressing prior low.
AUD opened the week gapped about 6 pips lower. Asia has since printed lower highs and lower lows from the 0.7034 session high down to 0.7014, as weak China PMIs and Middle East risk-off weighed. Price is sitting just above the 0.7013 prior low (Friday NY low and the Sunday-open spike) ahead of London open, with RSI(14) near 40 and both EMAs overhead.
Support: 0.7013, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7025, 0.7034, 0.7040
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.7013 prior low extends the lower-low chain toward 0.7000 psych
M15 close above the 0.7025 swing high breaks the lower-high sequence and the trendline
Recovery through the 0.7034 session high reopens Friday's 0.7040 prior high
US ISM Manufacturing at 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read
RBA decision Tue 03:30 UTC is the dominant AUD risk
07:02 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs through Asia · RSI 38 · price 0.70172
Lower-high chain from 0.7034 session high, testing session low.
AUD gapped lower at the Monday open on the weak China PMIs and risk-off tone. An early sweep of 0.7013, the open low and level with Friday's low, reversed to a 0.7034 session high. Asia has since printed steady lower highs under a falling trendline, with price pressing the 0.7014 session low late in the Asian session and RSI(14) near 38.
Support: 0.70144, 0.70132, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70251, 0.7034, 0.70403
What it said to watch
A break of 0.7013 (open low / Friday low) extends the lower-low chain and puts the 0.7000 psych level in play
An M15 close above the 0.7025 lower high and the falling trendline negates the Asian downtrend read
Reclaiming the 0.7034 session high reopens the 0.7040 friday high
London open is the next test of the Asian range extremes
US ISM Manufacturing at 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read
RBA decision Tue 03:30 UTC; pre-event positioning may compress ranges
06:46 UTC
Downtrend, steady lower highs through Asia · RSI 35 · price 0.70149
Lower highs and lower lows from the 0.7034 Asian high, now testing the double low.
AUD has bled lower through the Asia session from the 0.7034 Asian high, weighed by weak China PMIs and Middle East risk-off. Each bounce has stalled lower, at 0.7025 and then under the trendline. Price slipped through the 0.7018 broken low and is pressing the 0.7013 double low, formed by Friday's low and the Sunday-open spike, into London open.
Support: 0.70135, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70177, 0.70251, 0.7034
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.7013 double low extends the lower-low chain and exposes 0.7000 psych
Reclaim of the 0.7018 broken low and a close above the 0.7025 lower high breaks the downtrend sequence
US ISM Manufacturing at 15:00 UTC today could materially shift this read
RBA decision Tue 03:30 UTC (hike to 4.85% expected) is the main AUD event risk
Lower highs through Asia from 0.7034; pressing session low near Friday low.
AUD opened the week with a ~6-pip gap lower and a sweep to 0.7013 that was bought back. Asia has since printed lower highs off the 0.7034 asian high and ground down to a 0.7016 session low on the China PMI miss and safe-haven USD demand. Price sits below both EMAs ahead of London open, with the 0.7013 Friday low just beneath.
Support: 0.70162, 0.70132, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70251, 0.7034, 0.70403
What it said to watch
Break of the 0.7013 friday low exposes the 0.7000 round number
Close back above the 0.7025 lower high breaks the Asia downtrend line
Recovery through the 0.7034 asian high reopens the 0.7040 friday high
US ISM Manufacturing 15:00 UTC, then RBA decision Tue 03:30 UTC, could materially shift this read
06:16 UTC
Downtrend, grinding lower through Asia · RSI 40 · price 0.70177
Lower highs since 02:00 UTC, pressing session low.
AUD/USD gapped about 6 pips lower at the weekly open on weak China PMIs and Middle East risk-off. The early dip to the 0.7013 asian low was bought back to the 0.7034 asian high. Since 02:00 UTC the Asia session has printed a chain of lower highs, the latest at 0.7025, and price is now testing the 0.7018 session low into the London open with RSI(14) near 40.
Support: 0.70177, 0.70132, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70251, 0.7034, 0.70403
What it said to watch
A break of the 0.7018 session low exposes the 0.7013 asian low and Friday's matching trough; the 0.7000 psych level sits below that
A close above the 0.7025 lower high breaks the descending trendline and reopens the 0.7034 asian high, with the 0.7040 friday high above
US ISM Manufacturing at 15:00 UTC and the RBA decision Tue 03:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs through Asia, compressing above swing low.
The weekend gap filled at the 0.7034 Asian high, then the Asia session slid on China PMI weakness and Middle East risk-off, with lower highs at 0.70335 and 0.70251. The bounce off the 0.70177 swing low stalled near 50% of the Asia drop, and price is coiling around 0.7021 with RSI(14) near 42 and ATR(14) about 3 pips ahead of London open.
Support: 0.70177, 0.70132, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70251, 0.7034
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.70177 swing low exposes the asian low at 0.70132, which matches Friday's low
An M15 close above the 0.70251 swing high breaks the lower-high trendline and the downtrend read
The 0.7000 round number is the next floor below the Asian lows
US ISM Manufacturing at 15:00 UTC and the RBA decision on Tue at 03:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs since 0.70340 Asian high, lows holding above 0.7013.
Asia opened on a weekend gap lower at 0.7026, and an early false break of Friday's 0.70135 low to the 0.70132 Asian low reversed fast. Since then the session has printed lower highs off the 0.70340 Asian high, with the latest bounce stalling at the 0.70251 lower high near the 50% retrace of the 02:00 drop. Soft China PMIs and Middle East risk-off are weighing on AUD; RSI(14) is near 40 and price sits below EMA20/50, about 4 pips above the 0.70177 swing low.
Support: 0.70177, 0.70132, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70251, 0.7034
What it said to watch
Break below the 0.70177 swing low extends the lower-low sequence toward the 0.70132 Asian low
M15 close above the 0.70251 lower high and the lower highs trendline negates the intraday downtrend read; the 0.70340 Asian high sits above
Loss of the 0.70132 Asian low exposes the 0.7000 psych handle
US ISM Manufacturing at 15:00 UTC and the RBA decision Tue 03:30 UTC could materially shift this read
05:31 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs through Asia · RSI 39 · price 0.70202
Gap-down open, sweep of Friday low rejected, then lower-high/lower-low chain.
The week opened with a gap below the 0.7032 Friday close. An early sweep of Friday's low to the 0.7013 sweep low was rejected, but since the 0.7034 Asian high price has stepped lower along a descending trendline as soft China PMIs and haven USD demand weigh on AUD. Late in Asia, the 0.7025 lower high capped a bounce just shy of the 50% fib, with price sitting above the 0.7018 swing low and RSI(14) near 39.
Support: 0.70177, 0.70132, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70251, 0.70321, 0.7034
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.7018 swing low extends the lower-low chain toward the 0.7013 sweep low and the 0.7000 round number
Close above the 0.7025 lower high and the descending trendline breaks the Asia downtrend read, putting the gap fill to the 0.7032 Friday close and the 0.7034 Asian high in focus
London open could expand the compressed ~3-pip ATR
US ISM Manufacturing at 15:00 UTC, then RBA decision Tue 03:30 UTC, could materially shift this read
Lower-high chain inside Asian range, shallow bounce.
Asia opened with a gap down from Friday's 0.7032 close on soft China PMIs and Middle East risk-off. Demand absorbed the 0.7013 opening low, but lower highs from the 0.7034 Asian high have since carried price to a 0.7018 swing low. The bounce is stalling at the 0.7025 swing high near the 38.2% retrace, with price under both EMAs early in the Asia session.
Support: 0.70177, 0.70132, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70251, 0.7034
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7025 swing high breaks the lower-high trendline and brings the 0.7034 Asian high back into view
Failure to hold the 0.7018 swing low exposes the 0.7013 opening low, then the 0.7000 psych level
London open in ~2h is the first test of whether the Asian range holds
US ISM Manufacturing at 15:00 UTC, with RBA Tue 03:30 UTC as the larger risk, could materially shift this read
05:03 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs since 02:00 UTC · RSI 46 · price 0.70222
Weekend gap lower, Asian range broken to the downside, bounce off session low.
AUD gapped lower at the weekend open and swept Friday's 0.7013 low before snapping back. The 0.7027–0.7034 Asian range, capped at the asia high, then broke lower from 02:00 UTC on soft China PMIs and haven USD demand. Late Asia has bounced off the 0.7018 session low but sits under the 0.7024 lower high (38.2% fib) and EMA20, with the gap fill at 0.7032 still open.
Support: 0.70177, 0.70135, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7024, 0.70321, 0.7034
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.7018 session low exposes the 0.7013 sweep low, then the 0.7000 round number
M15 close above the 0.7024 lower high breaks the lower-high chain; a move through 0.7032 completes the gap fill
London open in ~3h may set a new session range outside the Asian low
US ISM Manufacturing at 15:00 UTC and the RBA decision Tue 03:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Late Asia session shows a steady lower-high sequence off the 0.7034 Asian high, the latest lower high at 0.7024, with AUD heavy on soft China PMIs and haven USD demand. Price is now 5 pips above the 0.70135 Friday low, which was briefly broken and rejected at the Sunday open. RSI(14) is near 29 with price below both EMAs.
Support: 0.70135, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7024, 0.7034
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.70135 Friday low exposes the 0.7000 psych handle
M15 close above the 0.7024 lower high breaks the Asia lower-highs sequence and the trendline
A recovery into the 0.7026–0.7028 zone (50–61.8% of the Asia decline) would test the downtrend read
London open in about 2h may extend or reverse the Asian range
US ISM Manufacturing at 15:00 UTC and the RBA decision Tue 03:30 UTC could materially shift this read
04:32 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs since 00:00 UTC · RSI 34 · price 0.70179
Lower highs and lower lows inside the Asian range, pressing the lower third.
Asia opened with a 6-pip gap down from Friday's 0.7032 close. An early sweep of the 0.7013 asia low, just under Friday's low, snapped back to the 0.7034 asia high, but price has since printed lower highs back to 0.7018, through the 61.8% of that asia swing, as risk-off and weak China PMIs weigh on AUD ahead of Tuesday's RBA.
Support: 0.70132, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7024, 0.7034
What it said to watch
Break below the 0.7013 asia low exposes the 0.7000 psych level
M15 close above the 0.7024 lower high breaks the lower-highs trendline
London open around 07:00 UTC may extend or reject the Asian range
US ISM Mfg PMI at 15:00 UTC (f/c 54.6) could shift the NY session read
04:16 UTC
Intraday downtrend within Asian range · RSI 34 · price 0.70215
Lower highs since 02:00 UTC, pressing session low.
AUD/USD gapped ~6 pips lower at the weekly open and swept the 0.7013 Friday low before snapping back to the 0.7034 Asian high. Since then the intraday downtrend has printed lower highs back to the 0.7019 session low under risk-off and a firm USD. RSI(14) sits near 34 below both EMAs, and ATR(14) of ~3.6 pips reflects a quiet Asia session.
Support: 0.7019, 0.7013, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7026, 0.7034, 0.7042
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.7019 session low exposes the 0.7013 Friday low swept at the open
Loss of 0.7013 puts the 0.7000 round number in play, the floor flagged into RBA
Recovery above the 0.7026 weekly open breaks the intraday downtrend; 0.7034 Asian high caps above
Friday high at 0.7042 only in view on a clean break of the Asian high
US ISM Mfg PMI at 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read; RBA decision Tue 03:30 UTC
03:32 UTC
Intraday down-leg, Asian range broken lower · RSI 36 · price 0.70207
Asian range 0.7027–0.7034 broken lower, holding near 61.8% fib.
AUDUSD gapped lower at the Monday open. An early spike to the 0.7013 session low swept Friday's 0.70135 low and snapped back into a 0.7027–0.7034 Asian range. The slide from 02:15 UTC, on Iran-driven risk-off, broke the range floor and has stalled at the 0.7019 swing low near the 61.8% fib, with RSI(14) at 36, not stretched.
Support: 0.70194, 0.70132
Resistance: 0.70265, 0.7034
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.7019 swing low exposes the 0.7013 session low
An M15 close back above the 0.7027 range floor puts price back inside the Asian range
China RatingDog PMI and Iran/US headlines could extend or reverse the late-Asia move
US ISM Manufacturing at 15:00 UTC is the next scheduled risk; the RBA decision Tue 03:30 UTC follows
Asian range 0.7027–0.7034 broken lower; price sitting on the session low.
Monday opened with a ~7-pip gap below Friday's 0.7032 close on Iran-driven risk-off. A sweep of Friday's 0.7013 swing low was bought back to the 0.7034 Asian high. That high capped twice, and mid-Asia session price broke the 0.7027 range floor, retracing just past 61.8% of the Monday bounce to the 0.7020 session low with RSI(14) near 33.
Support: 0.7020, 0.7013
Resistance: 0.7027, 0.7034, 0.7043
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.7020 session low exposes the 0.7013 swing low and a full retrace of the Monday bounce
Recovery back above the 0.7027 range floor returns price to the Asian range, with 0.7034 then the cap
Close above 0.7034 clears the session double cap and opens 0.7043, Friday's prior high
China RatingDog Manufacturing PMI later today is a risk-appetite read-through for AUD
US ISM Manufacturing PMI at 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read during NY hours
RBA decision Tue 03:30 UTC (~80% priced hike) is the dominant event risk into the next Asia session
03:02 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs through Asia · RSI 36 · price 0.70219
Opening gap lower, Asian range 0.7027–0.7034 broken to the downside.
Monday opened with a gap below Friday's 0.7032 close. An early sweep of the friday low at 0.7013 recovered to a 0.7034 asian high. Late in the Asia session, Iran-driven risk-off pushed price through the 0.7027 asian floor to the session low near 0.7021, where it sits on the 61.8% retracement of the opening bounce with RSI(14) near 36.
Support: 0.70206, 0.70135
Resistance: 0.70265, 0.7034
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.7021 session low and opening bounce fib exposes the 0.7013 friday low
Recovery back above the 0.7027 asian floor negates the range break; the 0.7034 asian high caps above
US ISM Mfg PMI at 15:00 UTC and the RBA decision Tue 03:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Monday gap down, sweep low then lower highs; 0.7027–0.7033 hold broken lower.
Asia session opened with a gap below the 0.70321 Friday close. Price swept the Friday low to the 0.70132 sweep low, then snapped back to the 0.7034 Asian high. The 0.7027–0.7033 hold broke lower over the past hour as Iran-driven risk-off weighed on AUD, and price is now testing the 50% retracement of the Asian bounce near 0.7023 with RSI(14) near 40.
Support: 0.7020, 0.70132
Resistance: 0.70274, 0.70321, 0.7034
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.7020 round number exposes the 0.70132 sweep low
Recovery back above the 0.70274 range floor neutralises the breakdown; the 0.70321 Friday close marks the gap fill
Close above the 0.7034 Asian high breaks the lower-high sequence
China RatingDog Mfg PMI and Iran–US headlines could shift AUD risk tone during Asia; US ISM due 15:00 UTC
02:31 UTC
Sideways after gap down, drifting to range floor · RSI 42 · price 0.70263
Asian range 0.7026–0.7034 after sweep of Friday low.
AUD gapped below Friday's 0.7032 close on Iran-US risk-off. An early Asia spike to 0.7013 swept Friday's swing low and reversed, and the 0.7034 Asia high has since capped price. Price is back at the 0.7026 Asia floor, holding about the 38% retrace of that swing, with RSI(14) near 42.
Support: 0.7026, 0.70132
Resistance: 0.70321, 0.7034, 0.70427
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.7026 Asia floor reopens the 0.7013 swing low
Reclaim of the 0.7032 Friday close fills the gap and puts the 0.7034 Asia high in play; above that sits the 0.7043 Friday high
China RatingDog Manufacturing PMI and Iran-US headlines could break the Asian range
RBA decision Tue 03:30 UTC (~80% priced hike) likely keeps ranges compressed into the event
Asian range 0.70265–0.70340 after gap and sweep of Friday low.
Asia session opened with a gap below Friday's 0.70321 close and swept Friday's low to a 0.70132 session low on Iran-US risk-off, then reversed sharply. Price has since compressed in a 0.70265–0.70340 band, capped near the gap fill, with RSI(14) flat at 51 and price pinned between EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 0.70265, 0.70132
Resistance: 0.70321, 0.7034, 0.70427
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.70340 session high breaks the Asian range top and clears the gap fill at 0.70321. That opens the Friday high at 0.70427.
Failure to hold the 0.70265 range low reopens the 0.70132 session low and Friday's low beneath it.
China RatingDog Manufacturing PMI due today could break the Asian range.
RBA decision Tue 03:30 UTC (hike ~80% priced) is the larger event risk for this structure.
Tight Asia range 0.7027–0.7034 above the swept Friday low.
The week opened with a ~6-pip gap lower on Iran-US risk-off, and price swept the Friday low at 0.7013 before a sharp reclaim to 0.7030. Since then the Asia session has compressed between the 0.7027 range floor and the 0.7034 Asia high, holding just above the 23.6% level of the rebound fib. RSI(14) is neutral near 55 and price sits marginally above a flat EMA20/EMA50.
Support: 0.7027, 0.70132
Resistance: 0.7034, 0.70427
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the 0.7034 Asia high breaks the range and brings the 0.7042 Friday high into view
Failure at the 0.7027 range floor reopens the Friday low at 0.7013; a close below it turns the sweep into a lower low
China RatingDog Manufacturing PMI later in Asia and Iran-US escalation headlines could break the range
RBA decision Tue 03:30 UTC is the larger event risk; expect compression into it
Tight Asia range 0.7027–0.7034 above the 0.7013 sweep low.
Asia session opened lower from Friday's 0.7032 close on Iran-US risk-off USD demand. The dip swept Friday's NY low to the 0.7013 sweep low and reversed above 0.7030 within two bars. Since then price is boxed between the 0.7027 range low and the 0.7034 session high, sitting just under EMA20/50 with RSI(14) at 53. No directional structure is in play.
Support: 0.70268, 0.70132
Resistance: 0.7034, 0.70427
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.7027 range low reopens the 0.7013 sweep low
M15 close above the 0.7034 session high exposes the 0.7043 friday high
China RatingDog Manufacturing PMI due now could break the Asian range
ISM Manufacturing at 15:00 UTC and the RBA decision Tue 03:30 UTC are the larger event risks
01:31 UTC
Flat, rebuilding after weekend gap · RSI 51 · price 0.70285
Asian range 0.7013–0.7034 after a sweep of Friday's low.
AUD opened the week with a 6-pip gap lower on Iran-US risk-off. Price then swept Friday's 0.7013 low (the sweep low) and reversed sharply to a 0.7034 session high. Early Asia is now compressing at 0.7027–0.7031, holding above the micro low with EMA20 flat overhead and RSI(14) neutral near 51.
Support: 0.7027, 0.7024, 0.7013
Resistance: 0.7034, 0.7043
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.7027 micro low exposes the fib 50% at 0.7024 of the session range
Loss of the 0.7013 sweep low would turn the reversal into a false break and a fresh lower low
Close above the 0.7034 session high reopens Friday's prior high at 0.7043
China RatingDog Manufacturing PMI due this Asia session could materially shift this read
Iran-US escalation headlines remain the driver of safe-haven USD swings
Asia range 0.7027–0.7034 after gap fill and sweep of Friday low.
Monday opened with a ~6-pip gap lower on Iran-driven risk-off. Early Asia swept the 0.7013 fri low, then reversed sharply and filled the gap to the 0.7034 monday high. Price is now compressing between 0.7027 asia lows and that high, pinned to the ema20 with RSI(14) near 48.
Support: 0.70272, 0.70132
Resistance: 0.7034, 0.70371, 0.70427
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7034 monday high opens the 0.7037 fri ny high, then the 0.7043 fri high
Loss of the 0.7027 asia lows puts the swept 0.7013 fri low back in play
Price holding the 50% of the asia rebound fib (~0.7024) keeps the sweep-reversal read intact
China RatingDog Manufacturing PMI later Monday could shift risk tone and break the range
RBA decision Tue 03:30 UTC is the larger event risk for this structure
01:03 UTC
Neutral, compressing after gap fill · RSI 47 · price 0.70284
Weekend gap lower, Friday low swept and reclaimed, tight range 0.7027–0.7034.
Monday opened about 6 pips lower on Iran-driven risk-off. Price briefly broke below the 0.7013 Friday low, then snapped back to fill the gap at the 0.7034 session high. Early in the Asia session, price is compressing between the 0.7027 micro low and 0.7034, with RSI(14) neutral near 47 and price pinned just under EMA20.
Support: 0.70265, 0.70222, 0.70132
Resistance: 0.7034, 0.70427
What it said to watch
China RatingDog Manufacturing PMI later in the Asia session could break the 0.7027–0.7034 compression
Loss of the 0.7027 micro low and the 38.2% of the Monday swing (~0.7026) exposes the early lows at 0.7022 and the 0.7013 Friday low
An M15 close above the 0.7034 session high reopens the 0.7043 Friday high
A renewed break of the 0.7013 Friday low would turn the false break into a lower-low
Early Asia session opened about 6 pips below Friday's 0.7032 close on Iran-driven risk-off. The dip swept Friday's 0.7013 low, forming a double low, before a sharp reclaim to a 0.7034 session high. Price is now drifting just under flat EMAs, holding above the 0.7027 swing low with the gap nearly filled.
Support: 0.70266, 0.70132
Resistance: 0.7034, 0.70427
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7034 session high fills the gap and opens Friday high at 0.7043
Failure to hold the 0.7027 swing low puts the 0.7013 double low back in play
China RatingDog Manufacturing PMI later Monday and Iran–US headlines could shift the risk tone
US ISM Manufacturing at 15:00 UTC, then RBA decision Tue 03:30 UTC, are the larger event risks for this range
00:31 UTC
Range-bound, rebounding off a low sweep · RSI 47 · price 0.70315
Weekend gap filled; higher low off 0.7013 inside Friday's 0.7013–0.7043 range.
Monday opened with a gap down to 0.7026 on Iran-driven risk-off. The early Asia session dip swept the Friday low at 0.7013 and reversed sharply, filling the gap to a 0.7034 session high. Price is now pinned near the 0.7032 100-day SMA, mid-way in Friday's range, with RSI(14) neutral near 47.
Support: 0.70265, 0.70132
Resistance: 0.7034, 0.70371, 0.70427
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7034 session high brings the 0.7037 fri ny high and the 0.7043 friday high into view
Failure to hold the 0.7027 swing low breaks the rising support from the rebound low
A return below the 0.7013 friday low negates the sweep-and-reverse read
China RatingDog Manufacturing PMI during the Asia session could shift this read
US ISM Manufacturing at 15:00 UTC, with the RBA decision Tuesday 03:30 UTC as the larger risk
00:17 UTC
Range-bound, rebounding off the lows · RSI 51 · price 0.70328
Weekend gap filled, price back at Friday close inside Friday's 0.70135–0.70427 range.
Monday opened about 6 pips below Friday's 0.70321 close. Iran-driven risk-off and the marginal AU PMI miss pushed price to a Monday low of 0.70132, matching Friday's 0.70135 low and forming a double bottom. The rebound filled the gap, and price now sits on the Friday close just under the early Asia high at 0.70340, around the 61.8% retrace of the Friday high-low move.
Support: 0.70321, 0.70265, 0.70132
Resistance: 0.7034, 0.70371, 0.70427
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.70371 Fri NY high puts the 0.70427 Fri high back in play
Slip back under the 0.70321 Fri close and the 0.70265 pullback low reopens the 0.70132 Monday low
China RatingDog Manufacturing PMI later this Asia session could shift risk tone and AUD
RBA decision Tue 03:30 UTC (hike ~80% priced) and US ISM Mon 15:00 UTC could materially reset this range
00:02 UTC
Range-bound, below EMAs after gap-down open · RSI 48 · price 0.70267
Friday range 0.7013–0.7043 intact; Monday open swept the range low and rebounded.
Asia opened about 6 pips below Friday's 0.7032 close on Iran-driven risk-off. Price swept the 0.7013 range low, then rebounded sharply to 0.7030. It is now drifting under that rebound high inside Friday's 0.7013–0.7043 range, with RSI(14) neutral near 48.
Support: 0.70221, 0.70132
Resistance: 0.70304, 0.70321, 0.70427
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7032 friday close fills the gap and reopens the 0.7043 friday high
Loss of the 0.7022 early low, the 50% retrace of the rebound, re-exposes the 0.7013 range low
AU Building Permits at 00:30 UTC and China RatingDog PMI later in Asia could shift this read; RBA decision Tue 03:30 UTC is the larger event risk