AUD/USD AI Live Scan, 4-hour chart, Friday, 6 November 2026

Every read JAFX AI made on the AUD/USD 4-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.

18:04 UTC

Downtrend, extended and oversold · RSI 22 · price 0.68722

Range break lower; lower highs at 0.7067 and 0.7024, fresh lower low at 0.6854.

The two-week 0.7000-0.7067 range gave way, and the rebound to the 0.7024 lower high failed. The blowout US NFP (165K vs 65K) and the AI-equity rout then drove a near-170-pip slide through the 0.6954 prior low to a 0.6854 swing low. ATR(14) has expanded to about 25 pips, and price sits well below both EMAs with RSI deeply oversold. Demand has stepped in only marginally above the 0.6833 9m low.

Support: 0.6854, 0.6833, 0.6800

Resistance: 0.6954, 0.7000, 0.7024

What it said to watch

  • A close below the 0.6854 swing low extends the lower-low sequence toward the 0.6833 9m low and the 0.6800 round number
  • A reclaim of the 0.6954 prior low (near the 61.8% fib) would test the descending trendline from the 0.7067 high
  • Only a move back above the 0.7000 range floor and the 0.7024 lower high would invalidate the lower-high structure
  • US CPI Tue Nov 10 13:30 UTC, plus Fed speakers beforehand, could materially shift this read

14:03 UTC

Downtrend, impulse extending from range break · RSI 23 · price 0.68719

Three-week 0.6995-0.7068 range broken lower; lower highs since 0.7068.

AUDUSD held a 0.6995-0.7068 range for most of the window, with lower highs at 0.7068 and 0.7024. The 0.6954 prior low held midweek after the dovish-read RBA hike. Friday's AI-led risk-off and safe-haven USD bid then broke the range floor and drove a ~160-pip leg to a 0.6862 swing low, a 7-month low. Price is well below both EMA20 and EMA50, ATR(14) has expanded to ~23 pips and RSI near 23 is deep in oversold territory, with the 0.6923 break shelf the first overhead reference.

Support: 0.6862, 0.6833, 0.6800

Resistance: 0.6923, 0.6954, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • US NFP (just released, actual not yet in feed) could materially shift this read; a soft print risks a retracement toward the 0.6923 break shelf or the 0.6954 prior low
  • A close below the 0.6862 swing low extends the lower-low sequence toward the 0.6833 9-month low and the 0.6800 round number
  • A recovery back above the 0.7000 range floor would neutralise the range-break read
  • Bearish read holds while price stays below the lower-highs trendline from 0.7068
  • A 50-61.8% selloff retracement (0.6943-0.6962) overlaps the prior low zone

10:03 UTC

Downtrend, momentum extending · RSI 29 · price 0.6875

Range break lower, lower highs since 0.7068.

The 0.7000–0.7065 range that contained most of the window gave way this week. After the RBA's split-vote 25bp hike to 4.85% and softer guidance had markets pricing the peak, the pair slipped to the 0.6954 prior low, recovered to a 0.7024 lower high, then a haven-driven USD bid knocked it through the range floor to a 0.6862 swing low. ATR(14) is expanding off its multi-week compression and RSI sits in oversold territory, with price well below both EMAs. The descending line of lower highs from 0.7068 caps the structure, and the 0.6833 9m low is the next reference, with the 0.6800 round number below that.

Support: 0.6862, 0.6833, 0.6800

Resistance: 0.6954, 0.7000, 0.7024

What it said to watch

  • US NFP today at 13:30 GMT (f/c 65K) alongside Canada jobs could materially shift this read in the next bar
  • An H4 close below the 0.6833 9m low extends the lower-low sequence toward the 0.6800 round number
  • Recovery above the 0.6954 prior low (61.8% fib zone) would signal the breakdown is losing traction
  • An H4 close back above the 0.7000 range floor and the 0.7024 lower high would mark the range break as a false break

06:04 UTC

Downtrend, momentum expanding · RSI 29 · price 0.68985

Multi-week 0.7010-0.7040 range broken lower; lower highs and lower lows.

AUDUSD spent most of the window boxed in a 0.7010-0.7040 range. The false push to 0.7068 failed, and price has since printed lower highs: 0.7068, then 0.7024 after the post-midterm rebound. The dovish-read RBA hike and a renewed USD bid drove the latest leg through the 0.6954 prior low, setting a fresh swing low at 0.6894 with EMA20 below EMA50. ATR(14) has expanded to roughly 25 pips from the mid-teens of the range phase, and RSI near 29 is in oversold territory.

Support: 0.68944

Resistance: 0.69536, 0.7000, 0.70241

What it said to watch

  • US NFP at 13:30 UTC could materially shift this read
  • H4 close back above the 0.6954 prior low would put the breakdown into question
  • A break of the lower highs trendline and the 0.7024 lower high invalidates the downtrend read, with 0.7000 psych the first hurdle
  • Failure to hold the 0.6894 swing low extends the lower-low sequence

02:03 UTC

Downtrend, range floor lost · RSI 34 · price 0.69307

Lower highs from 0.7068; range break and failed retest, fresh lower low.

AUDUSD broke down from the 0.7000–0.7068 range that held through late October. The rebound stalled at a 0.7024 lower high just above the 0.7000 psych level and faded. Thursday's US-session slide then cleared the 0.6954 prior low and printed a 0.6922 swing low, a move that runs against the digest's soft post-midterm USD backdrop, while the dovish RBA hike keeps a lid on AUD. Price sits below both EMAs with EMA20 under EMA50, and ATR(14) near 23 pips has expanded on the latest leg.

Support: 0.69225, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69536, 0.7000, 0.70241

What it said to watch

  • H4 close back above the 0.6954 prior low would mark the latest break as a false break
  • Failure to hold the 0.6922 swing low exposes the 0.6900 round number
  • 61.8% retrace of the lower-high-to-swing-low leg sits near 0.6985, below the 0.7000 psych pivot
  • A recovery through the 0.7024 lower high and the lower-highs trendline would neutralise the downtrend read
  • US NFP Fri 13:30 UTC (f/c 65K) could materially shift this read

All markets that day · Today’s AUD/USD Live Scan in the terminal