AUD/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Friday, 6 November 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the AUD/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
20:32 UTC
Downtrend, compressing late NY · RSI 43 · price 0.68657
Post-NFP whipsaw, lower highs from 0.6893 spike, tight 0.6857–0.6869 band.
The NFP beat at 13:30 UTC flushed price to the 0.6854 nfp low, then a spike to 0.6893 failed above the 0.6882 London high and faded back. Late NY is compressing between the 0.6857 pullback low and the 0.6869 minor high under a falling trendline from the spike high, with RSI(14) near 43.
Support: 0.68568, 0.68539
Resistance: 0.6869, 0.68821, 0.68929
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6854 nfp low extends the lower-low sequence from the Asia-session high
Break of the 0.6869 minor high and the falling trendline opens the 0.6882 London high, with the 0.6893 nfp spike above
Thin Asia open with no local data until Westpac Confidence Mon 23:30 UTC; risk tone and US yields dominate the next sessions
20:17 UTC
Downtrend, late-NY compression after the NFP whipsaw · RSI 43 · price 0.68669
NFP spike to 0.6893 fully faded; lower highs since, a tight 0.6862–0.6869 band into the Friday close.
The NFP beat drove a break of the London low to 0.6854 that reversed straight into a spike to 0.6893. Supply faded that spike through NY, with a lower high at 0.6878 and a swing low at 0.6857. Late-NY trade is compressing just under EMA20 between the London low and the 0.6869 late NY cap, near the 23.6% of the post-NFP fade.
Support: 0.68617, 0.68568, 0.68539
Resistance: 0.6869, 0.68782, 0.68929
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6869 late NY cap opens the 0.6878 lower high, near the 38.2% of the post-NFP fade
Failure to hold the 0.6857 NY swing low exposes the 0.6854 NFP low and a fresh session low
A reclaim of the 0.6893 NFP spike high would break the lower-high sequence
Thin Friday close; AI-equity risk headlines over the weekend and Monday's Fed speakers could gap the reopen
Lower highs off the 0.6893 nfp high, tight late-NY box above the 0.6854 day low.
The NFP beat swept the London low into a 0.6854 day low. Price then spiked to the 0.6893 nfp high and was rejected, fading through NY hours in lower highs at 0.6878 and 0.6869 as USD stayed bid. Late in Friday's NY session it is coiling in a ~12-pip box between the 0.6857 ny low and the 0.6869 minor high, holding near the 78.6% retrace of the nfp spike, with RSI(14) at 45 and ATR at ~4.5 pips.
Support: 0.68568, 0.68539
Resistance: 0.6869, 0.6878, 0.68929
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6857 ny low and 0.6854 day low resumes the lower-low sequence
Close above the 0.6869 minor high breaks the post-NFP lower-high trendline; the 0.6878 lower high is next
Thin Friday close liquidity; Monday Fed speakers and Westpac confidence (Mon 23:30 UTC) are the next catalysts
Lower highs off 0.6893 nfp high, higher low at 0.6857 above 0.6854 day low.
The NFP beat first took price through the London low to a 0.6854 day low. A spike to the 0.6893 nfp high followed and was fully rejected through the NY afternoon. The late-NY bounce off the 0.6857 higher low is stalling at the 0.6869 bounce high, under the 38.2% fib and the falling nfp fade line, with RSI(14) near 41 and price below both EMAs.
Support: 0.6857, 0.6854, 0.6833
Resistance: 0.6869, 0.6875, 0.6893
What it said to watch
M15 close above the nfp fade line and 0.6875 50% fib breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure at 0.6857 and a close below the 0.6854 day low opens the 0.6833 9-month low
Friday close approaching: weekend AI-stock rout headlines and the Monday Asia open could gap this read
19:17 UTC
Downtrend, late-NY pause · RSI 46 · price 0.68686
Lower highs since the post-NFP spike, higher low at 0.6857.
The 165K NFP beat flushed AUDUSD to a 0.6854 day low before a sharp spike to 0.6893, but the spike high was rejected and NY printed a lower high at 0.6878. Price held a 0.6857 NY low and is now pressing the 0.6865 london low near the 38.2% of the spike fib, with EMA20 just overhead.
Support: 0.6865, 0.6857, 0.6854
Resistance: 0.6878, 0.6893
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.6857 ny low and 0.6854 day low resumes the downtrend leg
Close above the 0.6878 lower high breaks the post-NFP lower-high sequence and opens the 0.6893 spike high
Weekend risk sentiment and the AI-stock rout set the tone for the Monday Asia open
Lower highs since 0.6893 spike, basing above day low.
The NFP beat (165K vs 65K) swept the London low into a 0.6854 day low, then a squeeze ran to the 0.6893 nfp high and faded through NY hours along the nfp fade line. The 0.6857 ny low held just above the day low, and price sits at 0.6867 late in the NY session, roughly 30% back up the nfp fade fib.
Support: 0.6857, 0.6854
Resistance: 0.6878, 0.6893
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6878 lower high breaks the nfp fade line and the NY lower-high sequence
Failure at 0.6854 day low resumes the downtrend to fresh 7-month lows
Thin late-Friday trade; weekend AI-equity risk sentiment could gap the next open
Lower highs off the 0.6893 NFP high, compressing at lows in late NY.
The NFP beat (165K vs 65K) knocked AUDUSD to an nfp low at 0.6854. The whipsaw to the 0.6893 nfp high was rejected, and the nfp spike has since retraced almost fully through a chain of lower highs. Price is now compressing at 0.6862, just above the 0.6857 swing low, after London close. RSI(14) is near 39 and ATR(14) about 6.6 pips as late-NY ranges thin.
Support: 0.68568, 0.68539
Resistance: 0.68778, 0.68929
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6857 swing low exposes the 0.6854 nfp low and extends the lower-low sequence
Break of the lower-highs trendline and a close above the 0.6878 lower high would negate the post-NFP fade
Only a recovery through the 0.6893 nfp high would undo the rejection read
Thin Friday late-NY liquidity; risk-off from the AI-stock rout and weekend gap risk can distort the next bars
Lower highs since 0.6893 spike, pressing swing lows.
AUD/USD dipped to the 0.6854 nfp low on the payrolls beat, then spiked to a 0.6893 spike high that was rejected as the USD bid returned. About 80% of that spike has retraced by late NY session. Lower highs along the trendline have capped each bounce since, and price sits just above the 0.6857 swing low.
Support: 0.68568, 0.68539
Resistance: 0.6870, 0.68778, 0.68929
What it said to watch
A break of the 0.6854 nfp low sets a fresh session low and extends the downtrend.
A close back above the 0.6870 prior shelf and the lower highs trendline would neutralise the post-NFP fade.
A reclaim of the 0.6878 lower high would reopen the 0.6893 spike high.
Thin liquidity after London close into the weekend; Fed speakers Mon and US CPI Tue are the next scheduled USD risk.
NFP spike to 0.6893 fully faded; lower-high chain pressing day low.
The beat on US payrolls (165K vs 65K) put in a day low at 0.6854 before a short-lived spike to 0.6893 that was rejected. Late NY has carved lower highs at 0.6878 and 0.6870, and price now sits just above the 0.6857 swing low with RSI(14) near 39.
Support: 0.68568, 0.68539, 0.6850
Resistance: 0.68697, 0.68778, 0.68929
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6854 day low extends the lower-low chain toward the 0.6850 round number
Close back above the 0.6870 lower high and the falling trendline breaks the post-NFP lower-high sequence
Fed's Daly at 18:00 UTC could move USD into the thin pre-weekend close
Risk-off USD demand drove the Asia-session slide from 0.6942 to the 0.6862 asian low. The NFP beat then produced a dip to the 0.6854 nfp low and a spike to the 0.6893 nfp high, which failed back inside the London range. Late NY trade is printing lower highs along the nfp fade line back to the 0.6865 london low, with price beyond the 61.8% retracement of the spike and RSI(14) at 46.
Support: 0.68652, 0.68617, 0.68539
Resistance: 0.68778, 0.68929
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6865 london low and 0.6862 asian low exposes the 0.6854 nfp low
M15 close above the 0.6878 lower high breaks the nfp fade trendline; the 0.6893 nfp high caps above
Fed's Daly at 18:00 UTC in thin post-London liquidity could shift this read
The Oct NFP beat (165K vs 65K) pushed AUDUSD to an NFP low of 0.6854, sweeping the 0.6862 seven-month low and the 0.6865 London low before a 39-pip snapback to the 0.6893 NFP high. After London close that bounce has faded into a lower-highs sequence, and price is back at the 61.8% retrace near 0.6869, below both EMAs.
Support: 0.6865, 0.6854
Resistance: 0.6878, 0.6882, 0.6893
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6865 London low exposes the 0.6854 NFP low
Break of the lower-highs line and the 0.6878 lower high, then the 0.6882 London high, would revive the post-NFP bounce toward the 0.6893 NFP high
Fed's Bowman (17:15 UTC) and Daly (18:00 UTC) could shift USD tone into thin late-NY trade
False break below London lows, spike reversal, now lower highs.
The Asia slide from 0.6942 gave way to a London range capped by the 0.6882 london high. The NFP beat triggered a false break to a 0.6854 session low, then a sharp reversal to a 0.6893 spike high. Lower highs along the fade line have since pulled price back to 0.6873, with the 61.8% fib of the post-NFP leg holding at 0.6869 after London close.
Support: 0.6869, 0.6854
Resistance: 0.6882, 0.6893
What it said to watch
Fed's Bowman (17:15 UTC) and Daly (18:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
M15 close above the fade line and the 0.6882 london high reopens the 0.6893 spike high
Failure to hold the 61.8% fib at 0.6869 exposes the 0.6854 session low
16:47 UTC
Post-NFP whipsaw, drifting lower inside London range · RSI 48 · price 0.68743
False break below London low, spike rejected at 0.6893, lower highs since.
After an ~80-pip Asian sell-off, London held a 0.6862–0.6882 range until the NFP beat (165K vs 65K) knocked price through the london low to the nfp low at 0.6854. A sharp reversal followed, spiking to the nfp high at 0.6893. That spike has faded to the 50% retrace near 0.6874 after London close, with lower highs capping at 0.6878 and the post-nfp low at 0.6869 holding near the 61.8%; ATR(14) is around 9.5 pips.
Support: 0.6869, 0.6862, 0.6854
Resistance: 0.6878, 0.6882, 0.6893
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.6869 post-nfp low exposes the london low at 0.6862 and the nfp low at 0.6854
M15 close above the 0.6882 london high breaks the lower highs line and reopens the 0.6893 nfp high
Fed's Bowman (17:15 UTC) and Daly (18:00 UTC) on a December hike could materially shift this read
16:32 UTC
Intraday downtrend, post-NFP chop · RSI 51 · price 0.68764
Wide NY range 0.6854–0.6893, holding 61.8% retrace.
The NFP beat (165K vs 65K) pushed AUD through the London low to 0.6854. Price then reversed sharply to 0.6893, and the spike has since retraced to the 61.8% fib at 0.6869, with price steadying near 0.6876 after London close. The Asian-session breakdown from 0.6940 still defines the day, and NY is now ranging between the NFP low and the NFP high.
Support: 0.68689, 0.68617, 0.68539
Resistance: 0.68821, 0.68929
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6869 (61.8% fib) brings the London low at 0.6862 and the NFP low at 0.6854 back into focus
Recovery above the London high at 0.6882 reopens the NFP high at 0.6893
Fed's Bowman (17:15 UTC) and Daly (18:00 UTC) on a December hike could shift this read
16:17 UTC
Downtrend, post-NFP chop · RSI 46 · price 0.68715
NFP whipsaw back inside London range, lower highs since spike.
An overnight slide of about 80 pips from 0.6942 set a 0.6862–0.6882 London range, and the NFP beat (165K vs 65K) produced a false break below to the nfp low at 0.6854 before a 39-pip reversal to the nfp high at 0.6893. The spike has since faded on lower highs back to the 61.8% retr near 0.6869, inside the London range and below ema20 at 0.6875, as the USD bid from the hot wages print reasserts.
Support: 0.68689, 0.68617, 0.68539
Resistance: 0.6875, 0.68821, 0.68929
What it said to watch
Fed's Bowman (17:15 UTC) and Daly (18:00 UTC) on a December hike could extend the post-NFP USD move
Failure to hold the 61.8% retr at 0.6869 exposes the london low at 0.6862 and the nfp low at 0.6854
M15 close back above ema20 at 0.6875 and the london high at 0.6882 breaks the post-spike lower-high line
Thin liquidity after London close may keep price pinned inside the 0.6862–0.6882 London range
London range 0.6862–0.6882 swept both ways, price back inside.
Asia sold off from 0.6942 and London extended below the Asian range to a London low near 0.6862. The NFP beat (165K vs 65K) swept that low to the 0.6854 NFP low, then reversed sharply through the London high at 0.6882 to a post-NFP high of 0.6893. Price has since slipped back inside the London range at 0.6872, near the 50% of the post-NFP fib, with RSI(14) neutral around 45.
Support: 0.6862, 0.6854
Resistance: 0.6882, 0.6893
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6862 London low reopens the 0.6854 NFP low
Recovery above the 0.6882 London high and 0.6893 post-NFP high would negate the false break
Loss of the 61.8% post-NFP fib level near 0.6869 would point to a full retrace of the NFP spike
Fed's Bowman (17:15 UTC) and Daly (18:00 UTC) could materially shift this read during NY hours
15:32 UTC
Downtrend, volatile post-NFP chop · RSI 50 · price 0.6878
False break below London range low, reversal stalling at range top.
The Asia session drove most of the slide from 0.6942. London then held a 0.6862–0.6882 range. The 165K NFP beat produced a false break below the london low to the 0.6854 nfp low, then a sharp reversal to the 0.6893 nfp high. Price has since slipped back under the london high and sits on the 38.2% fib near 0.6878, mid-NY session, with RSI(14) neutral around 50.
Support: 0.6862, 0.6854
Resistance: 0.6882, 0.6893, 0.6900
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.6882 london high, then the 0.6893 nfp high, reopens the 0.6900 round number
Loss of the 0.6862 london low and a break of the 0.6854 nfp low confirms a lower-low
Hold or failure at the 50% fib near 0.6873 sets the tone for the rest of the NY session
Fed's Bowman (17:15 UTC) and Daly (18:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
Sweep of London low to 0.6854, then V-shaped reclaim of the London range top; consolidating under 0.6900.
The blowout 165K NFP knocked AUDUSD through the London low to an nfp low at 0.6854. The drop reversed hard in the first hour of NY, reclaiming the 0.6882 London range top and printing a session high at 0.6893. Price is now holding just under the 0.6900 psych level with RSI(14) near 63 and ATR around 9 pips.
Support: 0.68818, 0.68539
Resistance: 0.68929, 0.6900, 0.69034
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.6882 range top returns price to the London range and undercuts the reversal read
Clearance of the 0.6893 session high and 0.6900 psych exposes the 0.6903 asian swing
A pullback holding the 50% fib of the post-NFP rally (~0.6873) keeps the reclaim intact
Loss of the 0.6854 nfp low would confirm a fresh lower-low
Fed's Bowman (17:15 UTC) and Daly (18:00 UTC) could shift the post-NFP read
Sweep below London low, V-reversal back above London range high.
The 165K NFP beat pushed AUDUSD through the London low at 0.6862 to an nfp low of 0.6854. Within an hour a 32-pip bar reclaimed the 0.6882 London high. Price sits at 0.6891, just under the 0.6893 NY high and near the 38.2% retracement of the Asia-to-NFP decline, with RSI(14) at 62.
Support: 0.6882, 0.6862, 0.6854
Resistance: 0.6893, 0.6903
What it said to watch
UoM sentiment and inflation expectations land on the current bar and could materially shift this read
M15 close above the 0.6903 asian pivot takes price through the 50% fib at 0.6898 and extends the reversal
Close back below the 0.6882 London high returns price to the London range
Failure at the 0.6862 London low and the 0.6854 nfp low would re-establish the downtrend
Fed's Bowman (17:15 UTC) and Daly (18:00 UTC) are later NY-session risk
Lower highs since the Asian high; false break below range low, range top reclaimed.
The hot NFP print (165K vs 65K) pushed AUD/USD through the 0.6862 range low to 0.6854. The next bar reversed about 31 pips and closed back above the 0.6882 range top, turning the drop into a false break of the floor. Price is now testing the 38.2% fib of the Asia-NY drop, just below the 0.6890 swing high, with RSI(14) near 59.
Support: 0.6882, 0.6862, 0.6854
Resistance: 0.6890, 0.6898
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.6882 range top turns the reclaim into a failed breakout
Close above the 0.6890 swing high opens the 50% fib at 0.6898
Loss of the 0.6854 nfp low confirms a fresh lower-low under the 0.6862 range low
UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 15:00 UTC, then Fed's Bowman at 17:15 UTC, could materially shift this read
Lower highs and lower lows; London range broken lower in first hour of NY.
The hawkish NFP beat (165K vs 65K, firm wages) broke AUDUSD out of its 0.6865–0.6882 London range and through the 0.6862 london low, printing a 0.6854 nfp low in the first hour of NY. RSI(14) is near 28 and price is stalling at the low, below the 50% retrace of the NFP leg fib at 0.6868.
Support: 0.68539, 0.6833
Resistance: 0.68617, 0.68821
What it said to watch
A failure to hold the 0.6854 nfp low exposes the 9-month low at 0.6833
A reclaim of the 0.6862 london low would mark the break as a false break
A close back above the 0.6882 london high invalidates the lower-high sequence
UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 15:00 UTC, plus Fed's Bowman (17:15) and Daly (18:00), could materially shift this read
Lower highs from the Asian high; NFP bar broke the pre-NFP range and the 0.6862 London low.
The hawkish NFP beat (165K vs 65K, hot wages) broke the 0.6862 London low and the pre-NFP 0.6865–0.6882 range. Price is at a fresh session low near 0.6855 in the first hour of NY, extending the chain of descending highs from the 0.6942 Asian high. RSI(14) is near 32, soft but not yet oversold, and 0.6862 now sits overhead as the first retest level.
Support: 0.6850, 0.6833
Resistance: 0.68617, 0.68749, 0.68818
What it said to watch
A move back above the 0.6862 london low would mark the NFP break as a false break
Acceptance below the 0.6850 round number exposes the 0.6833 9-month low
A close above the 0.6875 nfp bar high puts the NFP leg into a 61.8% retrace
A close above the 0.6882 session high breaks the descending highs line
UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 15:00 UTC, then Fed's Bowman at 17:15 UTC, could materially shift this read
14:04 UTC
Downtrend, stalling into a range · RSI 40 · price 0.68641
Lower highs from 0.7002 into a 0.6862–0.6882 London range, low swept on NFP.
The slide from 0.7002 ran through Thursday's NY session and Asia on AI-led risk-off and safe-haven USD demand. It then stalled in a 0.6862–0.6882 London range, with the range top capping twice. The NFP bar swept the london low to an nfp low of 0.6858 before closing back inside, and price is now pinned at 0.6862 with RSI(14) near 40.
Support: 0.6862, 0.6858, 0.6833
Resistance: 0.6874, 0.6882
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6858 nfp low confirms a range break and exposes the 0.6833 9-month low
Recovery above the 0.6874 asian low shifts focus back to the 0.6882 range top
UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 15:00 GMT, then Fed's Bowman at 17:15 GMT, could materially shift this read
13:47 UTC
Downtrend, London stalling near the lows · RSI 44 · price 0.68671
Lower highs from the Asian 0.6942 peak; London range 0.6862–0.6882; NFP spike set a marginal new low.
The NFP bar swept the London low to the 0.6858 nfp low and closed back near 0.6868. The move came after an Asia-to-London slide from 0.6942 as AI-led risk-off kept USD bid, while the London high at 0.6882 capped twice.
Support: 0.68581, 0.6833
Resistance: 0.6882, 0.6900
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6858 nfp low resumes the lower-low sequence toward the 0.6833 9m low
Reclaim of the 0.6882 london high breaks the session range and opens the 0.6900 round number
UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 15:00 GMT, then Fed's Bowman at 17:15, could extend the post-NFP swing
13:32 UTC
Downtrend, pausing in a London range · RSI 46 · price 0.6870
Lower highs from 0.6942 into a 0.6865–0.6882 range, NFP sweep of the low.
Asia session extended the haven-USD selloff from 0.6942 to a 0.6862 low, then London held a tight range between the 0.6865 range low and the 0.6882 range top. The NFP bar swept to 0.6858 and recovered to 0.6870, back inside the range. RSI(14) is neutral near 46.
Support: 0.6865, 0.6858, 0.6833
Resistance: 0.6882, 0.6903
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6858 nfp low confirms a lower-low and puts the 0.6833 9m low in play
Close above the 0.6882 range top breaks the London range, with the 0.6903 swing high next
NFP follow-through and UoM sentiment at 15:00 GMT could still reshape the range
13:17 UTC
Downtrend, pausing in tight range · RSI 53 · price 0.68747
Post-sell-off range 0.6862–0.6882, higher lows.
The Asia session sell-off from 0.6942 printed a 7-month low at 0.6862 into London open as AI-rout haven flows lifted USD. Since then price has compressed in a 20-pip range. Supply capped the 0.6882 range top, which sits at the 23.6% fib of the sell-off, three times, while higher lows formed at the 0.6865 range floor and 0.6870. RSI(14) is near 53 and price is pinned to EMA20 into NFP.
Support: 0.6870, 0.68654, 0.68617
Resistance: 0.68818, 0.68896
What it said to watch
US NFP at 13:30 GMT, minutes away, could break the 0.6862–0.6882 range well beyond the 5.6-pip ATR
An M15 close below the 0.6862 7-month low extends the lower-low sequence toward 0.6833
Loss of the 0.6870 higher low and trendline returns focus to the 0.6865 range floor
An M15 close above the 0.6882 range top and the 0.6890 swing high opens the 38.2% fib near 0.6892
Lower highs from Asian high; tight 0.6862–0.6882 range since London open.
The selloff began in Asia from the 0.6942 Asian high and extended at London open to a 7m low at 0.6862, driven by haven USD demand during the AI-equity rout. Since then price has compressed in a 0.6862–0.6882 range, with a higher low at 0.6865. Price sits mid-range near 0.6876 into the London-NY transition, with RSI(14) neutral around 49.
Support: 0.68654, 0.68617, 0.6833
Resistance: 0.6882, 0.68923, 0.6900
What it said to watch
US NFP at 13:30 GMT (~28 min) could materially shift this read and break the 0.6862–0.6882 range
An M15 close below the 0.6862 7m low resumes the lower-low sequence, with the 0.6833 9-month low next
Failure to hold the 0.6865 higher low puts the range floor back in play
An M15 close above the 0.6882 range top (near the 23.6% fib) opens the 38.2% fib at 0.6892, then the 0.6900 round number
12:47 UTC
Downtrend, basing since London open · RSI 50 · price 0.68795
0.6862–0.6882 range with higher lows; price pressing the session high.
The slide from 0.7000 ran through NY and Asia to a London-open low at 0.6862, driven by safe-haven USD demand on the AI-equity rout. Since then the pair has held a 0.6862–0.6882 range and printed a higher low at 0.6865. It is now retesting the session high, which coincides with the 23.6% fib of the Asian-high drop, with RSI(14) neutral near 50.
Support: 0.68654, 0.68617, 0.6833
Resistance: 0.68821, 0.68896, 0.6900
What it said to watch
US NFP at 13:30 GMT (f/c 65K) lands within the hour and could materially shift this read
M15 close above the 0.6882 session high exposes the 0.6890 swing high and the 0.6900 round number (38.2% fib zone)
Failure to hold the 0.6865 higher low reopens the 0.6862 london low; a break there brings the 0.6833 9-month low into view
12:32 UTC
Downtrend, paused in a tight range · RSI 49 · price 0.68783
Post-low range 0.6862–0.6882, higher low at 0.6865.
The overnight drop from the 0.6942 Asia high broke 0.6900 on safe-haven USD demand and printed a 0.6862 session low at London open, a seven-month low. Since then price has ranged between 0.6862 and 0.6882, with a higher low at 0.6865, and is now pressing the 0.6882 london high. That is only about a 25% retrace of the overnight drop, with RSI(14) near 49 and price above EMA20 but below EMA50.
Support: 0.68654, 0.68617, 0.6833
Resistance: 0.68821, 0.68896, 0.6900
What it said to watch
US NFP at 13:30 GMT (f/c 65K, prior 29K) in about an hour could materially shift this read
A close above the 0.6882 london high exposes the 0.6890 prior pivot and the broken 0.69 level
Failure at the 0.6865 higher low and a break of the 0.6862 session low would resume the downtrend toward the 0.6833 9m low
12:17 UTC
Downtrend, paused in a London range · RSI 52 · price 0.68771
Asian range broken lower; 0.6862–0.6882 range with a higher low.
AUDUSD sold off from the 0.6942 Asian high and took out the Asian range low, printing a 0.6862 session low early in London as the AI-equity rout lifted safe-haven USD demand. Since then price has held a 0.6862–0.6882 range, with a higher low at 0.6865 and the last bar pressing the London high ahead of NFP.
Support: 0.68654, 0.68617
Resistance: 0.68821, 0.68896, 0.6892
What it said to watch
US NFP at 13:30 GMT (f/c 65K, prior 29K) could materially shift this read; ATR near 6 pips understates the likely release range
M15 close above the 0.6882 London high exposes the 0.6890 swing high and the fib 38.2 near 0.6892
Failure to hold the 0.6865 higher low puts the 0.6862 session low back in play; a break there resumes the lower-low sequence
12:03 UTC
Downtrend, paused in tight range · RSI 46 · price 0.68721
Lower highs from 0.6942 Asian high; 0.6865–0.6882 consolidation above session low.
AUDUSD slid from the 0.6942 Asian high to a 0.6862 session low in early European trade as safe-haven USD demand built on the AI-stock rout. Since then price has held a tight 0.6865–0.6882 range, with the range low sitting just above the session low and RSI(14) neutral near 46 into NFP.
Support: 0.68654, 0.68617, 0.6833
Resistance: 0.68761, 0.68821, 0.6900
What it said to watch
US NFP at 13:30 GMT (f/c 65K) could materially shift this read; current ~5-pip ATR understates the event range
M15 close below the 0.6862 session low resumes the downtrend; the 0.6833 9-month low is the next reference
M15 close above the 0.6882 range top invalidates the consolidation and brings the 0.6900 round number into view
Repeated rejection at the 0.6876 micro high keeps price compressed toward the range low
11:47 UTC
Downtrend, pausing in a London base · RSI 52 · price 0.68748
Lower highs and lows through Asia; tight 0.6865–0.6882 London range.
AUDUSD fell about 80 pips during the Asia session, from 0.6942 to a session low at 0.6862 just before London open. The move extended Thursday's NY sell-off as safe-haven USD demand built ahead of NFP. London has held a tight base between the 0.6865 london low and the 0.6882 london high, with a marginal higher low; RSI(14) is near 52 and price is back above EMA20 but below EMA50 and the 23.6% retrace of the Asia sell-off.
Support: 0.68654, 0.68617, 0.6833
Resistance: 0.68821, 0.68896
What it said to watch
US NFP, Canada jobs and Average Hourly Earnings at 13:30 GMT, under two hours away, could materially shift this read and likely sets the range break
M15 close above the 0.6882 london high (23.6% of the Asia sell-off) opens the 0.6890 prior pivot near the 38.2%
Failure to hold the 0.6865 london low and 0.6862 session low resumes the lower-low chain toward the 0.6833 9-month low
11:32 UTC
Intraday downtrend, paused in London · RSI 47 · price 0.68751
Lower highs through Asia; London range 0.6862–0.6882 with a higher low.
Asia extended Thursday's USD-driven slide from the 0.6942 session high to a day low of 0.6862 at the London open. London has since held a 0.6862–0.6882 range, with a higher low at 0.6865. Price sits mid-range on EMA20 and below EMA50, RSI(14) neutral near 47, as the haven USD bid pauses ahead of NFP.
Support: 0.68654, 0.68617, 0.6833
Resistance: 0.68821, 0.68896
What it said to watch
US NFP at 13:30 GMT (~2h) could materially shift this read
M15 close above the 0.6882 london high breaks the range; the prior swing high at 0.6890, near the 38.2% fib of the Asia-London drop, is next above
Failure to hold the 0.6865 higher low and the 0.6862 day low resumes the lower-low chain toward the 0.6833 9-month low
Post-selloff range 0.6865–0.6882 under lower highs.
Haven USD demand carried the slide from the 0.6942 Asia high through the Asian low into a 0.6862 session low early in London. Since then price has compressed between the 0.6865 london lows, tested three times, and a 0.6882 london high, capped by a lower highs line near 0.6875, with RSI(14) at 43.
Support: 0.6865, 0.6862, 0.6833
Resistance: 0.6875, 0.6882, 0.6890
What it said to watch
M15 close above the lower highs line near 0.6875 and the 0.6882 london high breaks the compression, exposing the 0.6890 swing high
Failure to hold the 0.6865 london lows and 0.6862 session low resumes the downtrend toward the 0.6833 9-month low
US NFP at 13:30 UTC (~2h) could materially shift this read
11:03 UTC
Downtrend, compressing near lows · RSI 43 · price 0.68692
Lower highs above 0.6865 floor.
The slide that began in Thursday's NY session ran through Asia. London opened on a fresh session low at 0.6862, and the bounce stalled at the 0.6882 london high, near the 23.6% fib of the Asian drop. Price is now compressing with lower highs above the 0.6865 london lows, RSI(14) ~43, as the haven USD bid from the equity rout holds into NFP.
Support: 0.68654, 0.68617, 0.6833
Resistance: 0.68821, 0.6900
What it said to watch
Break of the 0.6862 session low exposes the 0.6833 9-month low
M15 close above the 0.6882 london high ends the lower-high sequence; 0.6900 round number above
US NFP at 13:30 GMT (~2.5h, f/c 65K, prior 29K) could materially shift this read
Lower highs since 09:00 UTC, base at 0.6862–0.6865.
Thursday's NY-session drop from 0.7000 carried through Asia on the dovish RBA read and risk-off USD demand. London open broke the Asian low at 0.6874 and printed a 0.6862 London low. Price has since compressed under a lower-highs line from the 0.6882 session high and is sitting just above the recent lows at 0.6865.
Support: 0.68654, 0.68617, 0.6833
Resistance: 0.68738, 0.68821, 0.6900
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.6862 London low extends the lower-low chain and exposes the 0.6833 9-month low
M15 close back above the 0.6874 Asian low breaks the lower-highs line and the compression
A close above the 0.6882 session high opens the 0.6900 round number
US NFP at 13:30 GMT (f/c 65K, prev 29K) could materially shift this read, with Michigan sentiment following at 15:00 GMT
10:32 UTC
Downtrend, pausing in London · RSI 45 · price 0.68702
Lower highs compressing above 0.6862 session low.
The slide that started at Thursday's NY open ran through Asia on the firmer USD and the dovish RBA read. Price fell from the 0.6942 Asian high to a 0.6862 session low just before London open. London has since compressed in a 0.6862–0.6882 box, with the london high at 0.6882 followed by successively lower highs and price holding below EMA20. RSI(14) sits mid-40s and ATR is about 7–8 pips.
Support: 0.6862, 0.6833
Resistance: 0.6882, 0.6900
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.6862 session low resumes the downtrend toward the 0.6833 nine-month low
An M15 close above the 0.6882 london high breaks the lower-high trendline and opens the 0.6900 round number
US NFP at 13:30 GMT (f/c 65K, prev 29K) could materially shift this read
A rally into the 38.2% retracement of the Asian high fib (~0.6892) is the first test of the leg lower
10:17 UTC
Downtrend, pausing in London · RSI 38 · price 0.68714
Lower highs from 0.6942 through Asia; 20-pip London box 0.6862–0.6882.
Asia extended Thursday's dovish-RBA and safe-haven USD slide with steady lower highs from 0.6942. London printed a marginal new low at 0.6862 and has since boxed between that London low and 0.6882, capped near the 23.6% retracement of the Asia-London leg. Price is below EMA20/EMA50, RSI(14) ~38, ATR ~7 pips ahead of NFP.
Support: 0.68617, 0.6833
Resistance: 0.68821, 0.68896
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6882 london high breaks the box and exposes the 0.6890 swing high
Failure to hold the 0.6862 london low resumes the lower-low chain toward the 0.6833 9-month low
US NFP at 13:30 GMT (f/c 65K, prev 29K) could materially shift this read; Michigan sentiment follows at 15:00 GMT
Lower highs since Asia open; tight London consolidation above the session low.
Asia extended Thursday's NY selloff on the haven USD bid, breaking below 0.6900 to a session low at 0.68617 just before London. The London bounce stalled at the 0.68821 London high, only about a quarter of the session drop and under the lower-highs trendline. Price is now pressing the 0.6870 consolidation floor with RSI(14) near 35 and ATR around 8 pips.
Support: 0.68617, 0.6833
Resistance: 0.68821, 0.68896, 0.69034
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.68617 session low resumes the lower-low sequence toward the 0.6833 9m low
Close above the 0.68821 London high and the lower-highs trendline breaks the descending sequence; the 0.68896 and 0.69034 lower highs sit above
US NFP at 13:30 GMT (f/c 65K) could materially shift this read
09:47 UTC
Downtrend, pausing in London · RSI 41 · price 0.68763
Lower-high sequence from 0.6942 Asia high; tight higher-low base above 0.6862 session low.
The slide from Thursday's 0.7010 area ran through Asia, driven by the dovish RBA read and a haven USD bid. The 0.6862 session low printed in early London. Since then price has compressed between the 0.6870 London lows and the 0.6882 London high on a run of higher lows. It sits below EMA20 and under the 38.2% of the Asia-London drop near 0.6892, just shy of the 0.6890 swing high.
Support: 0.6870, 0.68617, 0.6833
Resistance: 0.68821, 0.68896, 0.6900
What it said to watch
US NFP at 13:30 GMT (f/c 65K), with Canada jobs at the same time, could materially shift this read
M15 close above the 0.6882 London high and the 0.6890 swing high would break the consolidation upward, opening the 0.6900 round number
Failure to hold the 0.6870 London lows and the higher-lows trendline re-exposes the 0.6862 session low, then the 0.6833 9-month low
Lower highs from 0.6942; tight 0.6870–0.6882 range after 0.6862 low.
The haven USD bid and the dovish RBA read carried the 0.69 break through Asia. Price dipped below the Asian low to a 0.6862 session low before London, then recovered back into the range. Since then it has built higher lows near 0.6870 but is capped at the 0.6882 session high, still below EMA20, with RSI(14) neutral around 47 and ATR(14) near 8 pips.
Support: 0.6870, 0.68617, 0.6833
Resistance: 0.68821, 0.68896, 0.6900
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6882 session high exposes the 0.6890 prior high and the 38.2% fib near 0.6892, with the 0.6900 round number above
Failure to hold the 0.6870 higher lows reopens the 0.6862 session low; a break there puts the 0.6833 9m low in play
Fed Williams at 09:30 GMT and US NFP at 13:30 GMT (f/c 65K) could materially shift this read
09:17 UTC
Downtrend, short-term bounce off London low · RSI 41 · price 0.68804
Lower highs from Asian high; London higher lows since false break.
AUDUSD extended its slide through Asia on the dovish-RBA read and haven USD demand. Early London broke the Asian low to a 0.6862 session low, then reclaimed it in a false break, and has printed higher lows near 0.6870 since. Price is now pressing the 0.6882 session high just under EMA20, with RSI(14) near 41, and remains inside the lower-high sequence from the 0.6942 Asian high.
Support: 0.6870, 0.6862, 0.6833
Resistance: 0.6882, 0.6890, 0.6903
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6882 session high exposes the 38.2% fib at 0.6890 and the 50% fib near 0.6903 on the Asia-London leg
Loss of the 0.6870 higher lows and the 0.6862 session low resumes the lower-low chain toward the 0.6833 9-month low
Fed Williams at 09:30 GMT and US NFP at 13:30 GMT (f/c 65K) could materially shift this read
Lower-high chain from Asia high; tight 0.6870–0.6880 box above session low.
Thursday's NY-session break below 0.70 on the less-hawkish RBA and a haven USD bid extended through Asia. Lower highs ran from 0.6942 into a 0.6862 session low just before London open. Since then price has compressed between a 0.6870 higher low and a flat cap at 0.6880, near the 23.6% fib of the Asia-high-to-session-low leg. RSI(14) is near 41 and ATR is about 8 pips.
Support: 0.6870, 0.68617, 0.6833
Resistance: 0.6880, 0.68896, 0.69034
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6880 flat cap opens the 0.6890 swing high and the 38.2% fib near 0.6892
Recovery through the 0.6903 lower high breaks the Asia lower-high chain
Loss of the 0.6870 higher low exposes the 0.6862 session low, then the 0.6833 9-month low
Fed Williams at 09:30 GMT and US NFP at 13:30 GMT (f/c 65K) could materially shift this read
Lower highs from 0.6942 Asian high; tight London box 0.6870–0.6880.
AUDUSD extended the slide driven by the less-hawkish RBA and a firmer USD through Asia, printing a run of lower highs from 0.6942 down to a 0.6862 session low before London. Since London open, price has held a tight 0.6870–0.6880 box, capped at the london high just under the 23.6% fib of the overnight drop, with RSI(14) recovering to around 41 and price below EMA20 near 0.6884.
Support: 0.6870, 0.6862, 0.6833
Resistance: 0.6880, 0.6890, 0.6902
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6880 london high and the 0.6890 lower high breaks the overnight lower-high sequence and opens the 50% fib at 0.6902
A break of the 0.6870 london low exposes the 0.6862 session low; losing that resumes the downtrend toward the 0.6833 9-month low
Fed's Williams at 09:30 GMT, then US NFP at 13:30 GMT (f/c 65K), could materially shift this read
Thursday's NY-session break below 0.7000 carried through Asia on the dovish RBA read and a haven USD bid. London pushed through the asian low to 0.6862 before rebounding. Two bounces stalled near the 0.6880 bounce high under the descending trendline from the 0.6942 Asian high, leaving price pinned at the asian low with RSI(14) near 36.
Support: 0.68617, 0.6833
Resistance: 0.68738, 0.68796, 0.68896
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6880 bounce high and trendline breaks the lower-high sequence, with the 0.6890 swing high next
Failure to hold the 0.6862 london low extends the lower-low chain toward the 0.6833 9-month low
Fed's Williams at 09:30 GMT and US NFP at 13:30 GMT (f/c 65K) could materially shift this read
Lower highs and lower lows since Thursday's NY open; false break of the Asian low.
The lower-high chain has held since Thursday's NY-open break below 0.70, with the dovish RBA read and a firmer USD behind it. London open pushed through the 0.6874 Asian low to a 0.6862 session low before price reclaimed 0.6878. It is now testing the 0.6880 London high and the 23.6% retrace of the Asian-high-to-session-low leg, with RSI(14) around 38.
Support: 0.6874, 0.6862, 0.6833
Resistance: 0.6880, 0.6890
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.6862 session low resumes the lower-low chain toward the 0.6833 9-month low
Close above the 0.6890 swing high (near the 38.2% fib) breaks the intraday lower-high sequence
Failure to hold back above the 0.6874 Asian low turns the false break into continuation
Fed's Williams at 09:30 GMT and US NFP at 13:30 GMT (f/c 65K) could materially shift this read
Lower-high/lower-low chain; Asian low broken pre-London.
Lower highs since the 0.6942 Asian high as the firmer USD and less hawkish RBA guidance kept AUD heavy. Pre-London trade broke the 0.6874 Asian low to a 0.6862 session low, which saw a wick rejection. London opens near 0.6874, just under the Asia lower-highs trendline and the 0.6880 micro high, with RSI(14) near 35.
Support: 0.68617, 0.6833
Resistance: 0.68796, 0.68896, 0.69034
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6880 micro high breaks the Asia lower-highs trendline
Reclaiming the 0.6890 swing high and the 0.6903 lower high would end the lower-high chain
Failure to hold the 0.6862 session low exposes the 0.6833 9-month low
Fed's Williams at 09:30 GMT and US NFP at 13:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Lower highs and lower lows since Thursday's NY open; London open pushed below the Asian range.
Thursday's NY-open break of 0.7000 on a broad USD bid set the tone, and the Asian session printed lower highs off 0.6942. The London open dipped through the Asian low near 0.6874 to a 0.6862 session low before a bounce back toward that level. Price is capped under the descending trendline near 0.6879 and both EMAs.
Support: 0.6862, 0.6850
Resistance: 0.6890, 0.6900
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6890 swing high and the lower-highs trendline breaks the intraday down sequence
0.6900 round number aligns with the 50% fib of the Asia-London leg; rejection there keeps lower highs intact
Loss of the 0.6862 session low exposes the 0.6850 round number
Fed's Williams at 09:30 GMT and US NFP at 13:30 GMT could materially shift this read
07:32 UTC
Downtrend, extending into London open · RSI 28 · price 0.68636
Lower highs, lower lows; Asian low broken.
London open extended the Asian-session slide, breaking the 0.6874 Asian low to a 0.6863 session low as AUD stays heavy on the less-hawkish RBA and a firmer USD. A falling trendline links the lower high at 0.6934, a second at 0.6903 and a third at 0.6890; RSI(14) near 28 is stretched but not at an extreme.
Support: 0.68633, 0.6850
Resistance: 0.68738, 0.68896, 0.69034
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.6874 Asian low would turn the London break into a false break
Close above the 0.6890 lower high and the falling trendline ends the lower-high chain
Loss of the 0.6863 session low puts the 0.6850 round number in play
Fed's Williams at 09:30 UTC and US NFP at 13:30 UTC could materially shift this read
AUD/USD extended Thursday's slide as the dovish-read RBA and a pre-NFP USD bid kept pressure on. Lower highs stepped down from the 0.6942 Asian high through the 0.6903 swing high and the 0.6890 lower high. London open pushed through the 0.6874 Asian low to a session low at 0.6869, with RSI(14) near 33 and not yet oversold.
Support: 0.68691, 0.6850
Resistance: 0.68738, 0.68896, 0.69034
What it said to watch
A move back above the 0.6874 asian low would turn the London break into a false break
An M15 close above the 0.6890 lower high and the descending trendline breaks the lower-high sequence
A hold above the 0.6869 session low keeps the 0.6850 round number out of play
Fed's Williams at 09:30 UTC and US NFP at 13:30 UTC could materially shift this read
LH/LL chain through Asia, price pressing the session low into London.
The Asia session extended Thursday's NY-hours sell-off, carving lower highs from the 0.6942 Asian high to the 0.6903 swing high and the 0.6890 lower high, with price back at the 0.6874 session low into the London open. A less hawkish RBA and a firmer USD are driving the slide. RSI(14) near 34 is soft but not stretched.
Support: 0.68738, 0.6870
Resistance: 0.68896, 0.69034, 0.69417
What it said to watch
A close below the 0.6874 session low extends the lower-low sequence toward the 0.6870 round number
A recovery above the 0.6903 swing high breaks the descending trendline and the lower-high chain
A rebound into the 50% retracement of the Asia leg near 0.6908 would test whether supply still caps rallies
Fed's Williams at 09:30 UTC and US NFP at 13:30 UTC could materially shift this read
06:47 UTC
Downtrend, lows rejected · RSI 36 · price 0.68874
Lower highs from the Asian high, rejection at the session low.
The Asia session extended Thursday's USD-led NY slide, printing lower highs off the 0.6942 Asian high and breaking the 0.6924 NY low and the 0.6900 round number. A sharp rejection of the 0.6874 session low ahead of London leaves price just under the 0.6903 swing high, with RSI(14) near 36.
Support: 0.68738
Resistance: 0.69034, 0.69237, 0.69417
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6903 swing high and the 0.6900 round number, which is also the 38.2% fib of the Asian move, would break the lower-high line
Failure to hold the 0.6874 session low resumes the lower-low chain
Reclaim of the 0.6924 NY low would neutralise the Asian breakdown
Fed's Williams at 09:30 UTC and US NFP at 13:30 UTC (f/c 65K) could materially shift this read
Lower highs and lower lows through Asia under a falling trendline.
Asia session extended Thursday's NY sell-off, which came on the dovish RBA read and a firmer USD. Price broke the 0.6923 NY low and the 0.6900 round number and stepped down in lower highs along a falling trendline to a 0.6874 session low. The 06:15 UTC bar rejected that low with a long tail, RSI(14) near 31, and price now sits just under the 0.6890 minor high ahead of the London open.
Support: 0.68738
Resistance: 0.68904, 0.69034, 0.69225
What it said to watch
A close above the 0.6890 minor high and the falling trendline would break the Asia lower-high sequence
Reclaiming the 0.6903 lower high, which aligns with the 0.6900 round number and the 38.2% fib of the Asia leg, would shift the structure; the 0.6923 NY low sits above
Failure to hold the 0.6874 session low extends the lower-low chain
Fed's Williams at 09:30 UTC and US NFP at 13:30 UTC (f/c 65K) could materially shift this read
Lower highs and lower lows since NY open; fresh session low in late Asia.
The NY-open break below 0.7000 has extended through late Asia, on the dovish RBA hike and the USD bid. Rejection at the 0.6942 Asian high started a sequence of lower highs: 0.6903 lines up with 38.2% of the Asian leg, and the 0.6892 prior low now caps. A fresh session low at 0.6877 leaves RSI(14) near 21, deeply oversold, with London yet to open.
Support: 0.68768, 0.6850
Resistance: 0.68918, 0.69034, 0.69417
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.6892 prior low eases the lower-high sequence; reclaiming the 0.6903 lower high and the trendline from the Asian high breaks it
Failure to hold the 0.6877 session low exposes the 0.6850 round number
Fed's Williams at 09:30 UTC and US NFP at 13:30 UTC (f/c 65K) could materially shift this read
LH/LL chain through Asia session, pressing session low.
The NY-session slide from 0.7000, driven by the dovish RBA and a USD bid, extended through Asia. The early bounce stalled at the 0.6942 Asia high, and the pair then broke the 0.6924 NY low on a clean series of lower highs. Price sits at the 0.6885 session low late in the Asia session with RSI(14) near 22, deeply stretched but showing no reversal structure yet.
Support: 0.68849, 0.6850
Resistance: 0.69034, 0.69237, 0.69417
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6903 lower high breaks the intraday LH chain
Reclaim of the 0.6924 NY low would flip broken support back into play
Failure to hold the 0.6885 session low exposes the 0.6850 round number
Price back above the 0.6942 Asia high negates the session downtrend
London open, Fed's Williams at 09:30 UTC, and NFP at 13:30 UTC could materially shift this read
05:32 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows late in Asia · RSI 25 · price 0.68881
Lower highs and lower lows through the Asia session, below the broken NY low.
AUD extended Thursday's post-RBA, USD-bid slide through Asia. Price broke the 0.6922 NY low at 02:30 UTC and is printing a fresh session low at 0.6888 about 90 minutes before London open. A lower-high chain from the 0.6942 Asian high, via 0.6934 to 0.6903, caps the bounces, and RSI(14) at about 25 is stretched but not extreme.
Support: 0.68878, 0.6850
Resistance: 0.69034, 0.69225, 0.69417
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6903 lower high breaks the lower-high trendline and the Asian downtrend sequence
Reclaim of the 0.6922 NY low would mark the overnight break as a failure
Failure to hold the 0.6888 session low leaves the 0.6850 round number as the next reference; the 0.6942 Asian high caps the session range above
Fed's Williams at 09:30 UTC and US NFP at 13:30 UTC (f/c 65K) could materially shift this read
Lower highs and lower lows; Asian range broken to the downside.
Late in the Asia session, price broke below the 0.6922 asian low to 0.6942 asian high range. That extended Thursday's NY-session slide to a 0.6892 session low before a small bounce stalled at the 0.6900 round number. The move tracks the post-RBA AUD weakness and a mild USD bid, with RSI(14) near 31 and the lower-high chain intact.
Support: 0.6892
Resistance: 0.6911, 0.6922, 0.6942
What it said to watch
A close back above the 0.6922 asian low returns price to the Asian range and negates the breakdown
Rejection at the fib 38.2 near 0.6911 keeps the lower-high sequence intact
Failure to hold the 0.6892 session low confirms another lower-low
A move back above the 0.6942 asian high would break the intraday lower-high structure
Fed's Williams at 09:30 UTC and US NFP at 13:30 UTC could materially shift this read
04:47 UTC
Downtrend, minor bounce off session low · RSI 29 · price 0.68996
Lower highs and lower lows; Thursday's NY low broken in late Asia.
Late Asia session extended Thursday's NY selloff, driven by the dovish-hike RBA read and a firmer USD. It broke the 0.6922 ny low and printed a session low at 0.6892, then bounced back into the 0.6900 round number. RSI(14) sits near 29, and the lower-high sequence from the 0.6942 asian high is intact.
Support: 0.68918
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.69225, 0.69417
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.6892 session low confirms another lower-low in the Asia-session leg
A close back above the 0.6922 ny low and the 0.6917 50% of the asian high-low fib would break the lower-high sequence
Acceptance below the 0.6900 round number versus a reclaim marks the near-term pivot heading into London open
Fed's Williams (09:30 UTC) and US NFP (13:30 UTC, f/c 65K) could materially shift this read
04:32 UTC
Downtrend, oversold but no reversal structure · RSI 21 · price 0.68953
Lower highs and lower lows; prior NY low broken during Asia.
Late Asia session: the early rebound to the asian high at 0.6942 failed, and price broke the prior ny low at 0.6923, extending to a session low at 0.6892 as the dovish-RBA, firmer-USD tone carried over. RSI(14) near 21 is oversold, and price is pressing just under the 0.6900 round number. Lower highs remain capped by the descending trendline from the Asia high.
Support: 0.68918
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.69225, 0.69417
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.6923 (ny low, 61.8% fib of the Asia drop) negates the Asia breakdown
Failure to hold the 0.6892 session low extends the lower-low sequence
A break of the descending trendline plus a reclaim of the 0.6900 round number would mark the first higher high since the asian high
Fed's Williams at 09:30 UTC and US NFP at 13:30 UTC could materially shift this read
04:17 UTC
Downtrend, stretched into late Asia · RSI 19 · price 0.68927
Lower highs and lower lows below the Asian high; NY low broken.
AUD/USD pushed below the 0.6923 NY low during late Asia and printed a fresh session low at 0.6892. The move extends the NY-session slide from above 0.7000 as the dovish RBA read weighs. Lower highs from the 0.6942 Asian high frame the selloff; RSI(14) near 19 is oversold and ATR is about 6 pips.
Support: 0.68924
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.69237, 0.69417
What it said to watch
Recovery above the 0.6900 round number, then back above the 0.6923 ny low, would negate the late-Asia breakdown
A break of the lower-high trendline from the 0.6942 asian high would shift the read from trend to range
38.2% fib of the asian high-session low leg sits near 0.6911, overlapping the 0.6910 pivot in the digest
Fed's Williams at 09:30 UTC and US NFP at 13:30 UTC (f/c 65K) could materially shift this read
Failure to hold the 0.6892 session low keeps the lower-low chain intact into London open
04:03 UTC
Downtrend, oversold but unbroken · RSI 22 · price 0.68983
Lower highs and lower lows; early Asian range low broken.
Asia extended Thursday's NY-led slide, breaking the early asian low at 0.6922 and the 0.6900 round number to a 0.6894 session low as the dovish RBA read and a firmer USD weighed. RSI(14) near 21 is stretched, and lower highs from the 0.6942 asian high keep the descending trendline intact. The current bar is mid-to-late Asia session.
Support: 0.68944
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.69225, 0.69417
What it said to watch
Hold back above the 0.6900 round number would mark the first stall in the Asian leg
Bounce into the 38.2–61.8% fib zone (0.6913–0.6924), capped near the old asian low at 0.6922, keeps the lower-high sequence intact
Break of the descending trendline and the 0.6942 asian high invalidates the downtrend read
Failure to hold the 0.6894 session low extends the lower-low chain
Fed's Williams at 09:30 UTC and US NFP at 13:30 UTC could materially shift this read
03:47 UTC
Downtrend, oversold into round number · RSI 19 · price 0.69012
Lower highs and lower lows; Asia session broke below the NY low.
USD's Thursday recovery on firmer jobless claims took AUDUSD from 0.7024 to below 0.6950 during NY hours. The Asia session capped at the 0.6942 asia high, then broke the 0.6923 ny low on a chain of lower highs, with price now pressing the 0.6900 round number and RSI(14) near 19, oversold.
Support: 0.6900
Resistance: 0.69225, 0.69417
What it said to watch
A close back above the 0.6923 ny low would mark the break as a false break
Failure to hold the 0.6900 round number extends the lower-low sequence into London open
A move through the lower highs trendline and the 0.6942 asia high would break the intraday downtrend
Fed's Williams at 09:30 UTC, and US NFP at 13:30 UTC (f/c 65K), could materially shift this read
03:32 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows in Asia · RSI 26 · price 0.69052
Lower highs and lower lows; NY low broken, price near 0.6900.
The NY-session USD recovery from 14:30 UTC on Thursday, in line with the digest's claims and hawkish-Fed read, broke 0.7000 and drove the pair to a 0.6924 NY low. The Asia session bounced to an Asian high at 0.6942, then rolled over through the NY low into a new session low at 0.6903. RSI(14) sits near 26 with price just above the 0.6900 round number.
Support: 0.69034, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.69237, 0.69417
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.6924 (NY low) would mark the break below it as a false break
A sustained move under the 0.6900 round number extends the lower-low sequence
Price back through the falling trendline and the 0.6942 Asian high would end the lower-high structure
Fed's Williams at 09:30 UTC, then US NFP at 13:30 UTC, could materially shift this read
Lower highs from the 0.6942 Asian high; overnight 0.6923 low broken.
The NY-session USD rebound that took AUD through 0.7000 has extended into Asia. Price faded from the 0.6942 Asian high in lower highs and broke the overnight 0.6923 prior low, printing a session low at 0.6908 with RSI(14) near 29 and the 0.6900 round number just below.
Support: 0.69075, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.69225, 0.69417
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.6923 prior low marks the break as a false break
Acceptance below the 0.6900 round number extends the lower-low chain
Lower-high trendline from the asian high caps rebounds while it holds
Fed's Williams at 09:30 UTC and US NFP at 13:30 UTC could materially shift this read
03:03 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs through Asia · RSI 33 · price 0.69143
Asian range low broken, lower-high chain intact.
Yesterday's NY-session slide lost 0.7000 as USD recovered on the 189K claims print and hawkish Fed talk. Late in Asia, price has broken the 0.6922 Asian low to a 0.6914 session low after a run of lower highs from the 0.6942 Asian high. RSI(14) near 33, not yet oversold.
Support: 0.69139, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.69225, 0.69337, 0.69417
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.6922 asian low would flag a false break of the Asian range
Close above the 0.6934 lower high breaks the lower-highs trendline
Failure to hold the 0.6900 round number extends the lower-low chain
Fed Williams at 09:30 UTC and US NFP at 13:30 UTC could materially shift this read
02:32 UTC
Downtrend, Asia bounce fading · RSI 42 · price 0.69265
Lower highs inside Asian range, above 0.6922 low.
The NY-session slide ran from 0.7006 to the 0.6922 asian low as USD rebounded on firm jobless claims and hawkish Fed talk. It cut through the 0.6954 broken low. The Asia bounce was rejected at the 0.6942 asian high, and lower highs at 0.6934 are now pressing price back toward the low, with RSI(14) near 42 and ATR(14) around 6 pips.
Support: 0.69225, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.69337, 0.69417, 0.6954
What it said to watch
Break below the 0.6922 asian low resumes the NY downtrend, with the 0.6900 round number next
M15 close above the 0.6934 lower high and the trendline breaks the Asia sequence, putting the 0.6942 asian high back in focus
Reclaim of the 0.6954 broken low would undercut the breakdown read
Fed Williams at 09:30 UTC and US NFP at 13:30 UTC (f/c 65K) could materially shift this read
02:17 UTC
Downtrend, Asia bounce faded · RSI 47 · price 0.69277
Lower highs below 0.6949; mid-Asian range 0.69225–0.69417.
Thursday's NY session extended a ~100-pip slide from the 0.7024 London high as USD rebounded on low claims and hawkish Fed talk, slicing through the 0.6954 12-day low. The Asia bounce from 0.69225 met rejection at 0.69417, a lower high under the 0.69485 swing high. Price has since retraced most of that bounce and sits below both EMAs, mid-Asian range.
Support: 0.69225, 0.6920
Resistance: 0.69417, 0.69485, 0.6954
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.69225 asian low resumes the lower-low sequence toward the 0.6920 round number
Recovery through the 0.69417 asian high breaks the lower highs trendline and reopens the 0.69485 swing high
Fed's Williams at 09:30 UTC and US NFP at 13:30 UTC (f/c 65K) could materially shift this read; a USD-negative print puts the 0.6954 12-day low back in play as resistance
02:03 UTC
Downtrend, pausing in Asian consolidation · RSI 46 · price 0.69291
Lower highs since NY sell-off; Asia ranging 0.6923–0.6942.
The Thursday NY session drove an ~80-pip slide from 0.7006 through 0.7000 and the 0.6954 12-day low as USD recovered on the claims beat and hawkish Fed remarks. Asia has held a 0.6923–0.6942 range. The bounce was rejected at the asian high, just under the 23.6% sell-off fib and on the lower-high trendline, and price sits mid-range below both EMAs.
Support: 0.69225, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.69417, 0.69544
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6942 asian high breaks the lower-high trendline and exposes the old 12-day low near 0.6954
Failure to hold the 0.6923 asian low extends the lower-low chain toward the 0.6900 round number
Fed's Williams at 09:30 UTC and US NFP at 13:30 UTC could materially shift this read
01:47 UTC
Downtrend, Asia bounce faded · RSI 47 · price 0.69288
Lower highs under the NY sell-off; Asia range 0.69225–0.69417.
AUDUSD extended the NY sell-off that began around 14:30 UTC, with USD firming on the claims beat and hawkish Fed remarks. Early Asia briefly swept the prior low to set a 0.69225 session low. The bounce was rejected at the 0.69417 Asia high, near the 23.6% retracement of the NY sell-off and under the lower-high trendline, and price is back near 0.6929 with RSI(14) neutral at 47.
Support: 0.69225
Resistance: 0.69417, 0.69485
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.69225 session low resumes the lower-low sequence
M15 close above the 0.69417 asia high and the lower-high trendline breaks the sequence, exposing the 0.69485 swing high
Fed's Williams at 09:30 UTC and US NFP at 13:30 UTC could materially shift this read
01:32 UTC
Downtrend, pausing in Asia · RSI 45 · price 0.69289
Lower highs since NY sell-off; Asian range 0.6923–0.6942.
A NY-session sell-off from 14:30 UTC took out 0.7000 and the 0.6954 low as USD recovered on the claims beat and hawkish Fed talk, leaving a lower-high chain. Asia session is ranging 0.6923–0.6942, with the bounce rejected at the Asian high and the lower-highs line. Price sits under EMA20 with RSI(14) near 45.
Support: 0.69225, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.69417, 0.6948
What it said to watch
Break of the 0.6923 asian low extends the lower-low sequence toward the 0.6900 round number
Close above the 0.6942 asian high and the lower-highs line challenges the downtrend; the 0.6948 prior low sits above
Fed's Williams at 09:30 UTC and US NFP at 13:30 UTC could materially shift this read
01:17 UTC
Downtrend, pausing in Asia · RSI 51 · price 0.6933
Lower highs after NY selloff; Asian range 0.6922–0.6942.
AUD/USD lost 0.7000 from 14:30 UTC in NY hours as the USD recovered on claims and hawkish Fed talk, then ground lower to a 0.6922 Asian low. The early Asia session bounce was rejected at the 0.6942 Asian high, at the 23.6% retrace and the lower-highs line, and price is now holding just above the 0.6929 swing low.
Support: 0.6929, 0.6922
Resistance: 0.6942, 0.6948
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6942 Asian high breaks the lower-highs sequence and exposes the 0.6948 prior pivot
Loss of the 0.6929 swing low, then the 0.6922 Asian low, extends the lower-low chain
Fed's Williams at 09:30 UTC, and NFP at 13:30 UTC today, could materially shift this read
01:03 UTC
Downtrend, Asia bounce fading · RSI 53 · price 0.69324
Lower highs below broken 0.6954; Asian range 0.6923–0.6942.
Thursday's NY session broke the 0.7000 pivot and the 0.6954 12-day low as USD recovered on the claims beat and hawkish Fed talk, extending to a 0.6923 swing low. The Asia bounce stalled at the 0.6942 asia high, where the 23.6% fib meets the lower-highs trendline, and price is back hugging ema20.
Support: 0.69225, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.69417, 0.6954
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6942 asia high breaks the lower-highs trendline
Failure to hold the 0.6923 swing low extends the downtrend toward the 0.6900 round number
Reclaim of the 0.6954 12-day low would mark the breakdown as a false break
Fed's Williams at 09:30 UTC and US NFP at 13:30 UTC (f/c 65K) could materially shift this read
Lower highs below 0.6963; double bottom base at 0.6922-0.6924.
The NY session broke 0.7000 and the 0.6954 12-day low, then ground lower to 0.6924 into the rollover as the USD regained ground on firm claims and hawkish Fed talk. Early Asia has carved a double btm at 0.6922-0.6924, lifting price above the ema20 to a 0.6942 session high just under the 50% retrace of the 0.6963-0.6922 decline.
Support: 0.6938, 0.6932, 0.69225
Resistance: 0.69417, 0.6954, 0.69631
What it said to watch
Rejection at the 0.6942 session high, near the 50% retrace, keeps the bounce corrective; a slip back under the 38.2% fib at 0.6938 and the ema20 near 0.6932 exposes the lows
M15 close back above the 0.6954 12-day low reclaims the breakdown and opens the 0.6963 swing high
Failure to hold the 0.6922 double btm resumes the lower-low sequence
Fed's Williams at 09:30 UTC and US NFP at 13:30 UTC (f/c 65K) could materially shift this read
00:32 UTC
Downtrend, early Asia bounce · RSI 61 · price 0.69379
Lower highs from 0.7006; double base at 0.6922–0.6924.
The NY-session USD rebound, on firm jobless claims and hawkish Fed talk, broke 0.7000 and stepped AUDUSD lower to a 0.6922 swing low. Early in the Asia session, price has formed a small double bottom on top of the 0.6929 asia base and is lifting toward the 0.6948 swing high. It is still below the 23.6% fib of the NY drop.
Support: 0.6929, 0.69225
Resistance: 0.69485, 0.6963
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6948 swing high clears the 23.6% fib and exposes the 0.6963 prior pivot near the 38.2% fib
Slip back below the 0.6929 asia base puts the 0.6922 swing low and double bottom read at risk
Fed's Williams at 09:30 UTC and US NFP at 13:30 UTC could materially shift this read
00:17 UTC
Downtrend, stalling in early Asia · RSI 52 · price 0.69332
Lower highs and lower lows from the NY sell-off; tight Asian range forming above 0.6922.
The NY session sell-off from 0.7006 broke the 0.6954 low as USD recovered on firm claims and hawkish Fed talk, then extended to a 0.6922 session low just after rollover. Early Asia is building a 0.6922–0.6936 range, with price pressing the NY downtrend line, sitting at EMA20 and RSI(14) neutral near 52.
Support: 0.6922, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6936, 0.6949, 0.6963
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6936 asian high clears the NY downtrend line and opens the 0.6949 prior pivot near the 23.6% fib
Failure to hold the 0.6922 session low extends the lower-low chain toward the 0.6900 round number
0.6963 bounce high is the last lower high; it caps the NY sell-off fib structure
Fed's Williams (09:30 UTC) and US NFP (13:30 UTC, f/c 65K) could materially shift this read
00:03 UTC
Downtrend, stalling at lows · RSI 39 · price 0.69276
Lower highs under a descending trendline; tight Asian range at the selloff low.
Thursday's NY-session selloff broke 0.7000 and ran about 80 pips to 0.6924, as USD recovered on firm claims and hawkish Fed talk. Early in the Asia session the pair is compressed in a 12-pip Asian range of 0.6923–0.6935, pinned just under the descending trendline that has capped every lower high since 0.6963.
Support: 0.69225
Resistance: 0.69345, 0.69485
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6935 asian high and the trendline breaks the lower-high chain and exposes the 0.6949 swing high
Failure at the 0.6923 asian low, which sits at the prior-day low, extends the lower-low sequence
Fed's Williams at 09:30 UTC and US NFP at 13:30 UTC (f/c 65K) could materially shift this read