Double low at 0.6854, testing 0.6872 session high.
The Sunday open dipped to 0.6854, retesting Friday's post-NFP low to form a double low. The rejection produced a 15-pip bounce that reclaimed the Friday NY base near 0.6862. Price now sits at the 0.6872 session high, the 38.2% fib of the drop from the 0.6893 NFP high, with EMA50 just overhead, RSI(14) at 57 and AUD still heavy on USD strength and AI-led risk-off.
Support: 0.6862, 0.6854
Resistance: 0.6872, 0.6878, 0.6893
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6878 swing high extends the bounce toward the 0.6893 NFP high
Close back below the 0.6862 fri ny base reopens the 0.6854 double low
Failure to hold 0.6854 confirms a lower-low below Friday's post-NFP trough
Equity risk tone through the Asia session could materially shift this read
Lower highs since post-NFP spike, 0.6854 tested twice.
The Asia open gapped about 4 pips above Friday's 0.6862 close and filled the gap. Price then dipped to 0.6854 to retest the post-NFP friday low before a 15-pip snap back to 0.6871. It now sits just under the fib 50 of the 0.6893–0.6854 drop, in thin early-Asia liquidity, with USD still bid after the NFP beat.
Support: 0.6862, 0.6854
Resistance: 0.6874, 0.6878, 0.6893
What it said to watch
A close above the 0.6878 fib 61.8 (Friday's lower high) breaks the lower-high sequence and exposes the 0.6893 nfp high.
Failure to hold the 0.6854 friday low confirms a fresh lower low.
A slip back below 0.6862 gap fill would signal the bounce fading.
Thin Sunday-open liquidity exaggerates moves. AI-equity risk sentiment and Monday's Fed speakers (Bowman, Goolsbee, Barkin) can shift the read.
Lower highs from 0.6942; double bottom forming at 0.6854.
The Sunday open dipped to 0.6855, matching Friday's post-NFP low at 0.6854 (nfp low). The low was rejected and price is back at 0.6870, pressing the range top of Friday's late NY session and the 38.2% retracement of the fade from the 0.6893 nfp high. The wider sequence is still lower highs from the 0.6942 Asia peak after the strong NFP and AI-led risk-off, and early Asia liquidity is thin.
Support: 0.6869, 0.6854
Resistance: 0.6874, 0.6878, 0.6893
What it said to watch
Holding above the 0.6869 range top keeps the double bottom at 0.6854 intact, with fib 50% at 0.6874 and fib 61.8% at 0.6878 next overhead
A close back below the 0.6854 nfp low invalidates the double bottom and extends the lower-low sequence
Acceptance above the 0.6893 nfp high breaks the lower-highs trendline
Monday Fed speakers (Bowman, Goolsbee, Barkin) and AI-equity risk tone into the Asia session could shift this read
23:10 UTC
Downtrend, stalling at the lows · RSI 55 · price 0.68691
Lower highs since the Friday Asia peak; 0.6854 low defended twice.
The weekly open dipped to 0.6855 but held Friday's post-NFP low at 0.6854. The latest bar rebounded to 0.6869, back above the 0.6861 range floor and pressing the EMA50 and the 38.2% of the post-NFP fade. Price is still boxed inside the 0.6854–0.6878 range under Friday's 0.6893 NFP spike high, with the post-payrolls USD bid as the backdrop.
Support: 0.6861, 0.6854
Resistance: 0.6878, 0.6893
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.6861 range floor puts the 0.6854 nfp low back in play; a break there extends the lower-low sequence
Close above the 0.6878 range top opens Friday's 0.6893 nfp spike high
Thin weekly-open liquidity: AI-stock risk tone into the Asia session can override the intraday structure
Fed's Bowman, Goolsbee and Barkin speak Monday, which could materially shift the USD read after NFP
22:04 UTC
Downtrend, flat into the weekly close · RSI 46 · price 0.68621
Lower highs from the Asia high; post-NFP spike faded, tight late-NY band.
The NFP beat pushed AUDUSD below the London low to the 0.6854 NFP low. The bounce to the 0.6893 NFP spike was rejected under the lower-highs line, and NY faded back to the 0.6857 NY low. Price then drifted in a 0.6861–0.6869 band, capped by the late NY high, into Friday's close, with RSI(14) mid-40s and ATR(14) under 4 pips.
Support: 0.68568, 0.68539
Resistance: 0.6869, 0.68821, 0.68929
What it said to watch
A break below the 0.6857 NY low and the 0.6854 NFP low extends the lower-low sequence toward the 0.6833 nine-month low.
A move back above the 0.6869 late NY high, then the 0.6882 London high, would break the lower-highs line and the intraday downtrend read.
The 0.6893 NFP spike is the session extreme that capped the post-data rebound.
Monday's Asia open could gap on AI-equity risk sentiment, with Fed speakers and Westpac Consumer Confidence (23:30 UTC) also on Monday.
Lower highs from the 0.6942 Asian high; tight 0.6857–0.6869 box into weekly close.
Friday bled lower from the 0.6942 Asian high, and the NFP beat extended it to the 0.6854 NFP low. A whipsaw to the 0.6893 spike high met rejection, and NY faded back to a 0.6857 swing low. Price closed the week boxed between that NY swing low and the 0.6869 late-NY high, below the 38.2% fib of the post-NFP leg, with RSI(14) neutral near 46.
Support: 0.68568, 0.68539
Resistance: 0.6869, 0.68929
What it said to watch
Monday Asia open gap risk if the AI-stock rout extends; a break of the 0.6854 NFP low resumes the downtrend
M15 close above the 0.6869 late-NY high and the 38.2% fib breaks the lower-highs line
Recovery toward the 0.6893 spike high is needed to neutralise the post-NFP rejection
Fed speakers Bowman, Goolsbee and Barkin on Monday could shift USD tone early in the week
21:31 UTC
Downtrend, late-week drift into close · RSI 44 · price 0.68621
Lower highs since NFP spike, tight 0.6857–0.6869 band into Friday close.
The strong NFP beat drove a drop to the 0.6854 nfp low. The rebound to the 0.6893 nfp spike briefly took out the london high at 0.6882, then failed and faded to the 0.6857 fade low. Late NY printed a lower high at 0.6869 and the week closed at 0.6862 in a sub-4-pip ATR drift, below both EMAs.
Support: 0.68568, 0.68539
Resistance: 0.6869, 0.68821, 0.68929
What it said to watch
Monday Asia open gap risk as the AI-equity rout feeds into AUD
Failure to hold 0.6854 nfp low extends the lower-low sequence toward 0.6833
Close above 0.6869 lower high breaks the post-NFP fade structure; london high 0.6882 next
Westpac Consumer Confidence (Mon 23:30 UTC) could jolt the thin Asian range
21:17 UTC
Downtrend, post-NFP chop fading into the weekly close · RSI 46 · price 0.68621
Lower highs off the NFP spike high; tight late-NY drift just above the fade low.
AUDUSD shed about 88 pips from the 0.6942 Asian high. The NFP beat drove a drop to the 0.6854 NFP low, and the squeeze that followed was rejected at the 0.6893 spike high before price faded back to the 0.6857 fade low. Late NY held a 0.6861–0.6869 drift capped by the range top, with lower highs since the spike and RSI(14) near 46.
Support: 0.68568, 0.68539
Resistance: 0.6869, 0.68929
What it said to watch
Extended AI-led risk-off into the Monday Asia open could press the 0.6854 NFP low
Failure to hold the 0.6857 fade low and the 0.6854 NFP low confirms a lower-low
Close above the 0.6869 range top and the lower highs trendline eases the downtrend read
Only a reclaim of the 0.6893 spike high unwinds the post-NFP rejection
Fed speakers and Westpac Consumer Confidence (Mon 23:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
Lower high at 0.6893, tight compression above the lows.
The NFP beat swept price to 0.6854, then a 39-pip squeeze to the 0.6893 spike high stalled just over the 38.2% fib of the 0.6942–0.6854 decline. That squeeze was fully unwound by late NY. Price closed the week compressed in a 0.6860–0.6869 band below the session cap, under both EMAs, with RSI(14) flat near 47.
Support: 0.6857, 0.6854, 0.6833
Resistance: 0.6869, 0.6882, 0.6893
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.6857 pm low and 0.6854 nfp low extends the lower-low chain toward the 0.6833 9m low
M15 close above the 0.6869 session cap breaks the late-NY compression. The 0.6882 london high and 0.6893 spike high sit above it
Weekend AI-equity risk tone could gap the Monday Asia open. Westpac Consumer Confidence follows at Mon 23:30 UTC
Lower highs after rejected NFP spike; tight 0.6860–0.6869 box into the weekly close.
The NFP beat (165K vs 65K) knocked AUDUSD to a 0.6854 NFP low. A whipsaw then cleared the London high to a 0.6893 spike high, and that move was fully rejected. Sellers capped each NY rebound along the NFP fade line, and the week closed boxed between the 0.6857 post-NFP low and the 0.6869 late NY high, below the 38.2% fib of the fade.
Support: 0.68568, 0.68539
Resistance: 0.6869, 0.68821, 0.68929
What it said to watch
Close below the 0.6857 post-NFP low and the 0.6854 NFP low extends the lower-low sequence
Close back above the 0.6869 late NY high and the 0.6871 38.2% fib breaks the NFP fade line
Reclaiming the 0.6882 London high would put the 0.6893 spike high back in play
Monday Asia open: an extended AI-stock rout could gap price away from Friday's box
Fed speakers Bowman, Goolsbee and Barkin (Mon) and Westpac Confidence (Mon 23:30 UTC) could shift this read
Lower highs since post-NFP spike, tight 0.6861–0.6869 band into weekly close.
An Asia session selloff from 0.6942 ran into London, and the strong US NFP print flushed price to the 0.6854 nfp low. A spike to 0.6893 faded through NY hours under the post-NFP lower-highs line, leaving a higher low at 0.6857 and a range top at 0.6869 into the weekly close, with RSI(14) near 41 and ATR around 4 pips.
Support: 0.68568, 0.68539
Resistance: 0.6869, 0.68821, 0.68929
What it said to watch
Close below the 0.6854 nfp low confirms a fresh lower-low in the downtrend
Break above the 0.6869 range top and the post-NFP lower-highs line opens the 0.6882 pre-nfp high, then the 0.6893 nfp spike
Monday Asia open: AI-equity risk tone could gap the pair away from Friday's close
US CPI Tue 13:30 UTC could materially shift this read
19:25 UTC
Downtrend, compressing into the close · RSI 46 · price 0.68621
Lower highs since the post-NFP spike; tight 0.6857–0.6869 late-NY range.
AUD/USD bled from the 0.6942 Asian-session high through London. The blowout US NFP then drove it to a 0.6854 nfp low, and the spike to 0.6893 was fully rejected. Into the Friday close it sat in a tight 0.6857–0.6869 consolidation between the ny low and the range top. Highs kept stepping lower and price sat under both EMAs.
Support: 0.68568, 0.68539
Resistance: 0.6869, 0.68782, 0.68929
What it said to watch
A close below the 0.6854 nfp low extends the lower-low sequence when trading resumes
A close above the 0.6869 range top, then the 0.6878 lower high, breaks the lower-high chain
Retracement of the nfp spike already ~80%; holding the ny low keeps the base intact
Monday Asia open: extension of the AI-led risk-off or a gap could reshape the range quickly