AUD/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Monday, 9 November 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the AUD/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:32 UTC
Uptrend, pausing below day high · RSI 58 · price 0.69225
HH/HL chain from Asia low; tight consolidation 0.6918–0.6930 after late-NY breakout.
Monday's climb from the 0.6866 Asia low held a HH/HL chain through London and NY as the USD pullback deepened. A 19:30 UTC impulse cleared the 0.6915 NY base to a 0.6930 day high, and price has since compressed just above the 23.6% fib of the day rally at 0.6918. The rollover spike low at 0.6915 was bought back quickly, and early Asia Tuesday is now trading inside that band.
Support: 0.69184, 0.69149, 0.69056
Resistance: 0.69305
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6915 spike low breaks the late-NY base and exposes the 38.2% fib near 0.6911
Loss of 0.6906 london high (≈50% of the day rally) would undercut the HH/HL read
Close above the 0.6930 day high extends the HH chain
Break of the rising line from NY lows would mark the first structural lower-low
Westpac Consumer Confidence at 23:30 UTC could jolt the Asian range
23:17 UTC
Uptrend, pausing below day high · RSI 49 · price 0.69229
HH/HL chain from London low; tight drift under 0.6930 into Asia.
Monday's broad USD selling carried AUDUSD in higher lows from the 0.6879 London low, and a late-NY push through the 0.6915 NY high printed a 0.6930 day high. Since then price has drifted in a 0.6918–0.6926 band into the Asia open, only about a quarter of the London-NY leg retraced, with RSI(14) neutral near 49.
Support: 0.69184, 0.6915, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.69264, 0.69305
What it said to watch
Westpac consumer confidence at 23:30 UTC could break the early Asia range in either direction
Close below the 0.6918 late low opens a retest of the 0.6915 NY high and the 38.2% fib of the london-ny leg near 0.6911, where the rising lows trendline also sits
Close above the 0.6926 lower high and the 0.6930 day high resumes the HH chain
Loss of the 0.6900 round number would break the rising lows sequence from London
US CPI Tue 13:30 UTC is the main event risk for this structure
Higher lows from 0.6879; late-NY breakout above 0.6915 now consolidating 0.6915–0.6930.
Monday's Asian range high at 0.6902 gave way in London, and higher lows at 0.6879 and 0.6890 carried a late-NY breakout above 0.6915 to a session high at 0.6930 on broad USD selling. Early Asia is drifting at 0.6921 on EMA20 with RSI(14) neutral at 53, after a thin-liquidity spike to the 0.6915 rollover low was bought back.
Support: 0.6915, 0.6910, 0.6905
Resistance: 0.6930, 0.6950
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6915 rollover low opens the fib 38.2 and higher-lows trendline near 0.6910, then the london high at 0.6905
Close above the 0.6930 session high extends the higher-high chain toward the 0.6950 round number
Westpac consumer confidence at 23:30 UTC could jolt the Asian range
US CPI Tue 13:30 UTC is the larger driver for this read
HL chain from the 0.6879 London low; tight post-breakout range below the 0.6931 day high.
Broad USD selling carried AUD through London and NY in a higher-low chain. A late-NY push cleared the 0.6915 prior high and tagged the 0.6931 day high. Price is now holding a 0.6923–0.6931 range above the consol low, with RSI(14) cooled to 61 and the rising trendline from the NY base converging near 0.6921.
Support: 0.6923, 0.6915, 0.6911
Resistance: 0.6931, 0.6950
What it said to watch
Westpac consumer confidence at 23:30 UTC could jolt the thin Asia open
M15 close below the 0.6915 prior high negates the breakout and exposes the 0.6911 ny base
Close above the 0.6931 day high extends the HH chain toward the 0.6950 round number
Break of the consol low and rising trendline near 0.6921–0.6923 shifts the read to a deeper pullback
HH/HL chain from London low; tight flag below session high.
Rising lows from the 0.6879 London low carried AUD/USD through the Asian high and the 0.6915 prior high, with a late-NY breakout printing a 0.6931 session high as broad USD selling on Iran-deal hopes pulled oil and yields lower. The London-NY rally is now pausing in a tight 0.6923–0.6930 band above EMA20 into rollover, RSI(14) near 65, and the spread spike to 0.6915 did not hold.
Support: 0.6915, 0.6905
Resistance: 0.69305, 0.6950
What it said to watch
Close back below the 0.6915 prior high returns price to the pre-breakout NY range
Break of the rising lows line near 0.6909 and the 0.6905 london high (rally fib 50%) ends the higher-low chain
Clearance of the 0.6931 session high opens the 0.6950 round number
Westpac Consumer Confidence at 23:30 UTC could jolt the Asian range; US CPI Tue 13:30 UTC is the main risk to this read
Higher highs and higher lows from the 0.6890 NY low; tight consolidation above breakout.
Late in the NY session, broad USD selling drove a breakout through the 0.6915 prior high. It tagged a 0.6931 session high, and price is now holding a 0.6923–0.6930 band above the breakout with RSI(14) cooling to ~63. The higher-lows sequence from the 0.6890 NY low remains intact.
Support: 0.69232, 0.69151, 0.6890
Resistance: 0.69305
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.6923 pullback low exposes the 0.6915 prior high for a retest of the breakout
A close below the NY higher-lows trendline, near 0.6921, undercuts the uptrend read; 0.6890 NY low is the deeper reference
An M15 close above the 0.6931 session high extends the higher-high chain into the Asia session
Westpac consumer confidence at 23:30 UTC could jolt the thin Asia open; US CPI Tue 13:30 UTC is the larger swing risk
21:46 UTC
Uptrend, late-NY pullback · RSI 61 · price 0.6924
Higher-low chain since Sunday open; breakout above 0.6915 now retracing.
Higher lows ran from the 0.6855 Sunday-open low through London and NY. Broad USD softness drove a late-NY breakout above the 0.6915 prior high to a 0.6930 session high. Price is now easing to a 0.6923 pullback low at the 38.2% fib, still above the ny trendline and ema20.
Support: 0.6923, 0.6915, 0.6911
Resistance: 0.6930, 0.6950
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.6915 prior high undercuts the late-NY breakout
Loss of the 0.6911 base low and the ny trendline breaks the higher-low chain
Clearance of the 0.6930 session high exposes the 0.6950 round number
Westpac consumer confidence at 23:30 UTC and US CPI Tue 13:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher lows through NY, shallow pullback from late-session high.
AUDUSD extended Monday's rebound on broad USD softness, clearing the 0.6906 London high in NY and breaking up from the 0.6911–0.6915 ny base to a 0.69305 session high. Price is now holding just under that high and above the 0.69233 pullback low, retracing little of the late-NY leg, with RSI(14) near 67.
Support: 0.69233, 0.69151, 0.69106
Resistance: 0.69305
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.69233 pullback low exposes the 0.6915 prior high and the 0.69106 ny base
Break of the NY trendline (~0.6920) would end the higher-low chain from 0.6895
Acceptance above the 0.69305 session high extends the leg; repeated rejection there marks a short-term ceiling
Westpac consumer confidence at 23:30 UTC, then US CPI Tue 13:30 UTC, could materially shift this read
HH/HL chain from 0.6890 NY low; Asian range broken above.
London cleared the 0.6855–0.6902 Asian range. A late-NY breakout from the 0.6911–0.6915 consolidation then ran to a 0.6931 session high as broad USD selling on lower oil and yields extended. Price is easing back to 0.6925 with RSI(14) cooling toward 64, and the HH/HL chain from the 0.6890 NY low is still intact.
Support: 0.6915, 0.6911, 0.6890
Resistance: 0.69305, 0.6950
What it said to watch
Holding the 0.6915 prior high (38.2% of the 0.6890-0.6931 fib) keeps the breakout intact; a return below the 0.6911 range low would mark a false break.
An M15 close above the 0.6931 session high extends the HH chain toward the 0.6950 round number.
Losing the 0.6890 NY low would break the intraday HL sequence.
Westpac consumer confidence at 23:30 UTC could jolt thin Asia-open liquidity.
US CPI on Tue at 13:30 UTC is the main swing risk for this structure.
21:03 UTC
Uptrend, pausing at session high · RSI 71 · price 0.69276
Higher-high/higher-low chain since London; late-NY breakout above 0.6915 prior high.
London held a 0.6879 dip and cleared the 0.6855–0.6902 Asian range, and NY added higher lows at the 0.6890 NY low and the 0.6911 swing low as broad USD selling continued. A late-NY leg broke the 0.6915 prior high to a 0.6931 session high. Price is now compressing just under that high in thin post-NY trade, with RSI(14) near 71 and not yet extreme.
Support: 0.69151, 0.69106, 0.6890
Resistance: 0.69305, 0.6950
What it said to watch
Holding above the 0.6915 prior high keeps the breakout intact; a loss of the 0.6911 swing low, which coincides with the 38.2% fib, breaks the higher-low chain
A close above the 0.6931 session high opens the 0.6950 round number
A move back under the 0.6890 NY low would unwind Monday's structure
Westpac consumer confidence at 23:30 UTC could jolt the thin Asia session
US CPI (Tue 13:30 UTC) is the main event risk and could materially shift this read
20:47 UTC
Uptrend, stalling at session high · RSI 71 · price 0.69279
Higher-low chain since the Asian low; late-NY breakout above the 0.6911–0.6915 range.
Broad USD selling on US-Iran headlines lifted the pair through the Asian high at 0.6902. Higher lows followed at the 0.6879 London low, 0.6890 and 0.6896. A late-NY breakout from the 0.6911–0.6915 range topped at the 0.69305 session high, with RSI(14) cooling from the low 70s as bars tighten below it.
Support: 0.6915, 0.6902, 0.6879
Resistance: 0.69305, 0.6950
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.6915 range top returns price to the prior consolidation
A close back below the 0.6902 Asian high and the rising trend line breaks the higher-low chain
A clean break of the 0.69305 session high exposes the 0.6950 round number
Westpac consumer confidence at 23:30 UTC and US CPI Tue 13:30 UTC could materially shift this read
HH/HL chain since London low; breakout above 0.6915 consolidation.
London dipped to 0.6879, then reversed through the 0.6902 Asian high. NY carried that into a HH/HL chain, and a late-session breakout from the 0.6911–0.6915 consolidation tagged a day high at 0.6930 on broad USD softness as oil and yields slid. RSI(14) near 72 is short-term hot but not extreme; the rising trendline off the 0.6895 swing low sits near 0.6916.
Support: 0.6915, 0.6902, 0.6895
Resistance: 0.69305, 0.6950
What it said to watch
Holding the 0.6915 breakout level keeps the HH/HL chain intact; a close back below the rising trendline shifts the read to range.
M15 close above the 0.6930 day high opens the path to the 0.6950 round number.
Loss of the 0.6902 Asian high and then the 0.6895 swing low would break the higher-low sequence.
Westpac consumer confidence at 23:30 UTC; US CPI Tue 13:30 UTC is the larger swing factor for this read.
20:17 UTC
Uptrend, accelerating late NY · RSI 78 · price 0.69298
HH/HL chain from 0.6855 Asia-open low; breakout above 0.6911–0.6915 range.
Broad USD selling has driven higher lows all session. The NY rally broke the 0.6911–0.6915 range late in the session and printed a session high at 0.6930, extending the higher-high/higher-low chain from the 0.6855 Asia-open low. RSI(14) is near 78 after a 13-pip breakout bar, against an ATR(14) of about 4 pips.
Support: 0.69151, 0.69106, 0.68957
Resistance: 0.69301, 0.6950
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.6915 range top and a slip back to the 0.6911 range base would mark the breakout as failed
A break of the 0.6896 swing low and the rising trendline ends the higher-low sequence
Acceptance above the 0.6930 session high exposes the 0.6950 psych level
Westpac Consumer Confidence at 23:30 UTC (Asia session) and US CPI Tue 13:30 UTC could materially shift this read
20:03 UTC
Uptrend, extending late NY · RSI 76 · price 0.69248
Higher lows since London open; late-NY range break to session high.
A late-NY push broke the 0.6911–0.6915 consolidation and printed a session high at 0.6925 as broad USD softness extended. Price is holding near the highs with RSI(14) near 76. The rising support trendline from the 0.6879 London low has carried every higher low today, and the London high at 0.6906 now sits below price.
Support: 0.69151, 0.69056, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6925, 0.6950
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.6915 range top would mark a false break of the late-NY consolidation
Loss of the 0.6906 london high and the rising support trendline would break the higher-low chain toward the 0.6900 round number
M15 close above the 0.6925 session high opens the path to the 0.6950 round number
Westpac Consumer Confidence at 23:30 UTC could shift the Asia session read
19:47 UTC
Uptrend, late NY breakout · RSI 71 · price 0.69194
HH/HL chain from Asian low; NY consolidation broken higher.
Broad USD selling has carried a clean higher-low chain from the 0.6855 Asian low through the London-open dip and the 0.6890 swing low. Late NY broke the 0.6911–0.6915 consolidation with a spike to the 0.6925 session high, with RSI(14) at 71.
Support: 0.6915, 0.6911, 0.6890
Resistance: 0.6925
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.6915 range top would mark the breakout as a false break
Loss of the 0.6911 range low, also the 38.2% fib of the 0.6890–0.6925 leg, would put the breakout in doubt
Failure to hold the 0.6890 swing low and higher-low trendline breaks the HH/HL chain
Acceptance above the 0.6925 session high extends the uptrend; rejection there leaves an upper wick in place
Westpac Consumer Confidence at 23:30 UTC could shift this read in the Asia session
Higher highs and higher lows; late NY consolidation under the session high.
Broad USD selling lifted AUDUSD through the 0.6902 Asian range high in London. The London high near 0.6905 capped price until NY extended to a 0.6915 session high, keeping the higher-low chain intact (0.6879, 0.6890, 0.6896 swing low) along a rising support line. Late NY is compressing in a 4-pip band above the 0.6911 late NY low, with RSI(14) neutral near 57.
Support: 0.69106, 0.6905, 0.68957
Resistance: 0.69151, 0.6950
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6911 late NY low breaks the consolidation floor, exposing a retest of the 0.6905 London high
Failure to hold the 0.6896 swing low and the rising support line ends the higher-low sequence
A close above the 0.6915 session high opens the path toward the 0.6950 round number
Westpac consumer confidence at 23:30 UTC lands in the Asia session; Tuesday's 13:30 UTC US CPI is the larger risk to this read
Higher lows since London open, late-NY compression under session high.
Broad USD selling has driven a higher-lows rally from the 0.6879 London-open low. NY broke the 0.6906 London high and printed a 0.6915 session high. Late NY is now compressing in a 0.6911–0.6915 band above the 0.6911 late ny low, RSI(14) cooled to ~59 and ATR near 3 pips.
Support: 0.69106, 0.69056, 0.68954
Resistance: 0.69151, 0.6920
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6915 session high extends the higher-highs sequence toward the 0.6920 round number
Loss of the 0.6911 late ny low turns focus to the 0.6906 london high retest and the 38.2% fib of the London-NY leg near 0.6901
Break of the higher-lows trendline and the 0.6895 swing low ends the intraday uptrend structure
Westpac consumer confidence at 23:30 UTC lands into thin Asia-open liquidity
US CPI on Tue 13:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Higher-low chain since London open, NY breakout above the London high now holding in a tight band below the session high.
Broad USD selling carried the NY session through the London high at 0.6906 to a session high at 0.6915. That extends a higher-low chain off the 0.6879 London low, with the 0.6895 swing low set mid-NY. Price is now compressing in a 4-pip band just below the high in late NY, with RSI(14) cooling to ~62 and ATR contracting.
Support: 0.69056, 0.68954, 0.68793
Resistance: 0.69151, 0.6920
What it said to watch
Close back below the london high at 0.6906 turns the NY breakout into a false break
Loss of the 0.6895 swing low and the rising trendline breaks the higher-low chain, exposing the 0.6879 london low
Acceptance above the 0.6915 session high opens the 0.6920 round number
Westpac Consumer Confidence at 23:30 UTC could jolt the Asian session
US October CPI on Tue at 13:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Higher-low chain since London low; Asian range top cleared.
Late NY session. AUDUSD is stepping higher from the 0.6879 London low to a 0.6915 session high, carried by broad USD softness on Iran/oil headlines. London broke the Asian range top at 0.6902, and the London high near 0.6905 has since held as support. RSI(14) sits near 67 and is not stretched; ATR is about 4 pips as bars tighten under the session high.
Support: 0.69113, 0.6905, 0.68954
Resistance: 0.69151, 0.6920
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6911 swing low breaks the latest higher low
Sustained trade above the 0.6915 session high opens the 0.6920 round number
Loss of the 0.6895 ny swing low and the rising lows trendline negates the uptrend structure
Pullback toward the london high at 0.6905 tests the Asian range breakout
Westpac Consumer Confidence at 23:30 UTC could shift AUD during the Asia session
18:17 UTC
Uptrend, stalling at session high · RSI 64 · price 0.69127
HH/HL chain since the London low; tight late-NY consolidation under 0.6915.
Monday's rebound has built higher lows from 0.6855 at the open through the 0.6879 London low and the 0.6895 NY swing low, tracking a rising trendline, as broad USD softness on Iran and oil headlines lifted the pair. NY broke the 0.6906 prior high, which had capped price twice, and printed a 0.6915 session high. Late NY is now compressing just below that high, with RSI(14) near 64 and no stretch.
Support: 0.6906, 0.68954, 0.68793
Resistance: 0.69151, 0.6920
What it said to watch
Close above the 0.6915 session high reopens the 0.6920 round number
Pullback through the 0.6906 prior high moves price toward the 38.2% fib of the London-NY leg near 0.6901
Break of the rising trendline and the 0.6895 NY swing low ends the HH/HL chain
Loss of the 0.6879 London low erases the day's structure
Westpac consumer confidence at 23:30 UTC, ahead of Tuesday's US CPI, could shift this read
18:04 UTC
Uptrend, steady HH/HL · RSI 63 · price 0.69134
NY broke the London high; higher lows since 0.6879.
With USD the weakest major, NY cleared the 0.6906 London high and printed a 0.6915 session high. The higher-low chain from the 0.6879 London low is intact, and late NY is holding just under the high above the 0.6911 swing low; RSI(14) is near 63, not stretched.
Support: 0.69113, 0.69056, 0.68954
Resistance: 0.69151, 0.6920
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6911 swing low breaks the latest higher low
Slip back under the 0.6906 london high would turn the NY breakout into a false break
Failure at the 0.6895 ny pivot, near the higher-low trendline and the 50% fib of the 0.6879–0.6915 leg, ends the HH/HL chain
Acceptance above the 0.6915 session high exposes the 0.6920 round number
Westpac consumer confidence at 23:30 UTC; US CPI Tue 13:30 UTC is the larger risk to this read
HH/HL chain from the 0.6855 Asia low; NY broke the 0.6906 prior high.
Monday's climb off the 0.6855 Asia low has held higher lows at the 0.6879 London low and the 0.6895 NY swing low. NY hours then cleared the 0.6905–0.6906 prior high that capped London and printed a 0.6915 session high late in the session, with RSI(14) near 66. Broad USD softness on risk-on flows, with DXY under 102.00, is behind the move.
Support: 0.6906, 0.6895, 0.6879
Resistance: 0.6915, 0.6920
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.6906 prior high turns the breakout into a false break
Loss of the rising trendline near 0.6900 and the 0.6895 ny swing low breaks the higher-low chain
Acceptance above the 0.6915 session high exposes the 0.6920 round number
Westpac Consumer Confidence at 23:30 UTC could shift the Asian session read
HH/HL chain since Asia; NY broke above London's 0.6906 prior high.
NY session cleared London's 0.6906 prior high and printed a session high at 0.6915 as the USD sold off on risk-on and lower yields. Higher lows at the 0.6879 london low, 0.6890 and the 0.6895 swing low sit on a rising trendline. RSI(14) is near 71, firm but not extreme.
Support: 0.69056, 0.68954, 0.68793
Resistance: 0.69151, 0.6950
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.6906 prior high would turn the breakout into a false break
Break of the rising trendline and the 0.6895 swing low ends the higher-low chain, exposing the 0.6897 fib 50% of the london-ny leg
Acceptance above the 0.6915 session high opens the path to the 0.6950 round number
Westpac Consumer Confidence at 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read in Asia
17:17 UTC
Intraday uptrend, extending into late NY · RSI 67 · price 0.69126
Higher lows off the 0.68793 London low; London high broken after London close.
AUD/USD cleared the 0.69056 London high after London close and printed a day high at 0.69133, tracking broad USD softness. Higher lows at the 0.68900 swing low and 0.68954 keep the trendline from the London low intact. RSI(14) near 67 with ATR(14) at about 4.6 pips shows the late-NY range compressing.
Support: 0.69056, 0.68954, 0.6890
Resistance: 0.69133, 0.6920
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.69056 london high turns the breakout into a false break
Loss of the trendline near 0.68954, then the 0.68900 swing low, breaks the higher-low chain
Acceptance above the 0.69133 day high opens the 0.6920 round number
Trump–Qatar PM headlines and Fed's Barkin (17:15 GMT) could shift USD in the current bars
Westpac Consumer Confidence at 23:30 UTC (no forecast) is the Asia session risk
HH/HL chain since Asian low; Asian high 0.6902 cleared.
AUD has climbed from the 0.6855 Asian low, with higher lows at 0.6879, the 0.6890 NY low and the 0.6895 swing low, as a broadly softer USD and risk-on tone outweighed the China CPI miss. NY cleared the London high at 0.6906 and printed a session high at 0.6912; RSI(14) near 69 is warm but not stretched.
Support: 0.69056, 0.68954, 0.6890
Resistance: 0.69123
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.6906 london high turns the breakout into a false break
Loss of the 0.6895 swing low breaks the rising trendline and the HL chain
Barkin (17:15 GMT) and Trump–Qatar headlines could shift USD into the late NY session
Westpac consumer confidence 23:30 UTC; US CPI Tue 13:30 GMT is the bigger risk to this read
16:46 UTC
Intraday uptrend, extending in NY · RSI 64 · price 0.69079
Higher highs and higher lows off the 0.6879 London low.
During NY hours AUDUSD broke above the 0.6906 London high and the 0.6902 Asian high, printing a 0.6909 session high as broad USD softness persists. The higher-low chain from the 0.6879 London low (0.6890 NY low, then the 0.6896 higher low) is intact. RSI(14) is near 64 and not stretched, while the session high has capped two tests in the last hour.
Support: 0.69056, 0.68957, 0.6890
Resistance: 0.69093
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.6906 (london high) would mark the breakout as a false break and return price to the prior range
Break of the 0.6896 higher low and the higher-low trendline ends the HH/HL chain, exposing the 0.6890 ny low
Close above the 0.6909 session high extends the uptrend leg
Trump–Qatar PM meeting 17:00 GMT and Fed's Barkin 17:15 GMT could materially shift this read; Westpac confidence due 23:30 UTC
HH/HL chain since London low; NY extended above Asian high.
Higher lows at 0.6879 (london low), 0.6890 (swing low) and 0.6895 (higher low) carried the pair above the 0.6902 Asian high, with NY printing a 0.6909 session high as a softer USD and firmer risk appetite lift AUD. RSI(14) near 62 is not stretched, and price is holding just under the session high late in the London-NY transition.
Support: 0.68954, 0.6890, 0.68793
Resistance: 0.69093, 0.6920
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6895 higher low and the higher-low trendline breaks the intraday HH/HL chain
Loss of the 0.6890 swing low exposes the 0.6879 london low, which would unwind the full London-NY leg
M15 close above the 0.6909 session high puts the 0.6920 round number in view
Trump–Qatar PM meeting at 17:00 GMT and Fed's Barkin at 17:15 GMT could shift USD tone; Westpac consumer confidence at 23:30 UTC adds AUD headline risk
16:16 UTC
Intraday uptrend, fresh day high · RSI 60 · price 0.69084
Higher lows since London open, NY break above 0.6905 cap.
NY session printed a day high at 0.6909, clearing the 0.6905 london high as USD softens on Iran-talk risk appetite and lower yields. Higher lows at 0.6879 (london low), 0.6890 and 0.6895 keep the rising trendline intact. RSI(14) near 60 is firm but not stretched.
Support: 0.69056, 0.68954, 0.68793
Resistance: 0.69093
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.6905 london high turns the breakout into a false break
Loss of the 0.6895 higher low and the rising trendline breaks the higher-low chain
Trump–Qatar PM meeting (17:00 GMT) and Barkin (17:15 GMT) could materially shift the USD leg after London close
Westpac consumer confidence at 23:30 UTC (no forecast) brings headline risk into the Asian open
HH/HL chain since the Asian low; NY pressing session high.
USD softness on risk-on keeps the Monday rebound from 0.6855 intact. London cleared the Asian high at 0.6902, and higher lows at the london low 0.6879, the ny low 0.6890 and the 0.6895 swing low line up along a rising trendline. Late in the London-NY transition, price is testing the 0.6905–0.6907 session high cap for a fourth time, RSI(14) 61 and not stretched.
Support: 0.68954, 0.6890, 0.68793
Resistance: 0.69071
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6907 session high extends the HH chain
Break of the 0.6895 swing low and rising trendline ends the higher-low sequence; the ny low at 0.6890 is next
Loss of the 0.6879 london low would void the intraday uptrend read
Trump–Qatar PM meeting 17:00 UTC and Fed's Barkin 17:15 UTC could jolt USD
Westpac Consumer Confidence 23:30 UTC could move AUD in the Asian session
Higher lows since the weekly open, flat range top at 0.6905–0.6906.
AUD/USD bounced off the 0.6855 asian low at the weekly open and London pushed through the 0.6902 asian high as the soft USD (DXY below 102.00) lifted the pair. Since then it has been capped three times at the 0.6906 range top and held the 0.6890 range low, sitting on the 0.6900 psych level. RSI(14) is neutral near 55 and the session range is about 16 pips.
Support: 0.6890, 0.6879, 0.6855
Resistance: 0.69023, 0.6906
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6906 range top breaks the London-NY cap
Break below the 0.6890 range low (61.8% of the london leg fib) exposes the 0.6879 london low
Losing the rising lows trendline and the london low reopens the 0.6855 asian low
Fed's Barkin at 17:15 UTC and Westpac consumer confidence at 23:30 UTC could shift this read
15:31 UTC
Sideways after Asia rally, higher lows intact · RSI 49 · price 0.68962
0.6890–0.6906 range since London, flat highs over rising lows.
AUD/USD broke above the Asian range high during London. It has since capped three times at 0.6905–0.6906, and the early-NY session high probe was rejected back below the 0.6900 round number. Dips have stayed shallow on the broad risk-on USD softness: the 0.6890 higher low sits above the 0.6879 London low and at the 61.8% fib of the London leg.
Support: 0.6890, 0.68793, 0.68545
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.6906
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6906 session high breaks the flat-top range
Failure to hold the 0.6890 higher low breaks the rising-low line and exposes the 0.6879 London low
Loss of the London low reopens the 0.6855 Asian low
Fed's Barkin at 17:15 UTC and AU Westpac consumer confidence at 23:30 UTC could shift this read; US CPI Tue 13:30 UTC is the larger risk
Higher lows pressing into flat 0.6905–0.6906 session-high cap.
The Monday rally from the 0.6855 Asian low ran on broad USD softness and DXY slipping below 102.00. London broke above the 0.6902 Asian high, but price has since been rejected three times at the 0.6905–0.6906 session high. Higher lows at the 0.6879 London low and the 0.6890 swing low hold price just under the cap, with RSI(14) neutral near 50 and ATR around 5 pips.
Support: 0.6890, 0.6879, 0.6855
Resistance: 0.6902, 0.6906
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the 0.6906 session high breaks the three-touch cap.
A close below the 0.6890 swing low breaks the higher-low trendline and exposes the 0.6879 London low, near the 50% retracement of the Monday rally.
Trump–Qatar PM meeting at 17:00 GMT and Barkin at 17:15 could shift USD tone during NY hours.
Westpac consumer confidence at 23:30 UTC brings AUD-specific risk into the Asia session; US CPI follows Tue 13:30 GMT.
15:02 UTC
Intraday uptrend, stalling under session high · RSI 52 · price 0.69018
Higher lows pressing into a flat 0.6905–06 cap.
AUD/USD has climbed from the 0.6855 Asia-open dip below Friday's low, helped by broad USD softness on US-Iran talk hopes. Supply has capped the session high at 0.6905–06 on three tests since London. Higher lows at the 0.6879 london low, 0.6890 early NY low and 0.6894 swing low keep the rising trendline intact, with RSI(14) neutral near 52.
Support: 0.68935, 0.6890, 0.68793
Resistance: 0.6906
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6906 session high breaks the cap and extends the rally
Loss of the 0.6890 early NY low and the rising trendline ends the higher-low chain; the 0.6879 london low is next
Fed speakers (Goolsbee, Barkin) and the Trump–Qatar PM meeting at 17:00 GMT could shift USD tone during NY hours
Westpac consumer confidence at 23:30 UTC sits just beyond this window and can reset the Asian range
HL chain 0.6879 → 0.6890 beneath a 0.6905–0.6906 cap; price back at 0.6900 psych.
Asia rebounded from 0.6855 to 0.6902 as USD softened with DXY below 102.00. London dipped to its 0.6879 london low, then twice capped at the 0.6905–0.6906 session high. The early-NY pullback held 0.6890 near the 61.8% of the London leg, and price is now retesting the 0.6900 psych and Asian high.
Support: 0.6900, 0.6890, 0.68793
Resistance: 0.69056
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6906 session high breaks the double cap and extends the higher-lows sequence
Failure to hold the 0.6890 ny low breaks the higher-lows trendline and puts the 0.6879 london low back in play
Losing 0.6900 psych on a close turns the Asian-high retest into a rejection
Fed's Goolsbee (15:00 GMT), the Trump–Qatar PM meeting (17:00 GMT) and Barkin (17:15 GMT) could materially shift this read
Westpac consumer confidence at 23:30 UTC is the next AUD-specific risk
Higher lows pressing into a flat 0.6901–0.6906 cap.
AUD/USD recovered from the 0.6855 Monday low through Asia on broad USD softness. London nudged just past the Asian high to a London high of 0.6906 before stalling. NY session is compressing between the 0.6890 NY low and the 0.6901 NY high, with higher lows from the 0.6879 London low against repeated rejection near 0.6905; RSI(14) is neutral at 46 and the price sits near the 23.6% retracement of the Monday rally.
Support: 0.6890, 0.6879, 0.68545
Resistance: 0.69006, 0.69056
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6906 London high breaks the consolidation cap
Loss of the 0.6890 NY low breaks the higher-lows line; the 0.6879 London low, near 50% of the Monday rally, is next
The 0.6855 Monday low only comes into play below the London low
Goolsbee 15:00 GMT, Trump–Qatar 17:00 GMT and Barkin 17:15 GMT could shift USD tone; Westpac confidence at 23:30 UTC is the AUD risk
Double top at session high, lower highs into NY open.
London lifted AUDUSD from the 0.6879 London low through the 0.6902 Asian high as USD softened on Iran peace hopes, but a double top at the 0.6906 session high capped the move and price has slipped back below the 0.6900 round number to the 38.2% retrace near 0.6896. Lower highs into the NY open; the 0.6890 pullback low (near 61.8%) held during the London-NY transition, RSI(14) neutral near 46.
Support: 0.6890, 0.6879
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.6906
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.6906 session high negates the double top read
Loss of the 0.6890 pullback low exposes the 0.6879 London low
Fed's Goolsbee (15:00 UTC), Trump–Qatar PM meeting (17:00 UTC) and Barkin (17:15 UTC) are USD headline risk this session
Westpac consumer confidence at 23:30 UTC could reset the Asia session range
14:03 UTC
Intraday uptrend from Asia low, stalling below 0.6906 · RSI 45 · price 0.68967
Higher lows (0.6855, 0.6879, 0.6890) under a flat 0.6902–0.6906 cap; compressing.
AUD/USD rallied from the 0.6855 Asia-open low on oversold dip-buying and a softer USD. London briefly cleared the 0.6902 Asian high but was rejected twice at the 0.6906 day high. Early NY is holding a higher low at 0.6890, the 61.8% of the London leg, with RSI(14) at 45 and price pinned to the EMA20 inside a 0.6890–0.6906 band.
Support: 0.6890, 0.68793
Resistance: 0.69023, 0.69056
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the 0.6906 day high would break the double rejection at the top of the band.
Loss of the 0.6890 higher low would break the rising trendline and expose the 0.6879 london low.
Fed's Goolsbee (15:00 UTC) and the Trump–Qatar PM meeting (17:00 UTC) could shift USD tone during NY hours.
Westpac consumer confidence at 23:30 UTC, then US CPI on Tue at 13:30 UTC, could materially shift this read.
False break of Asian high, double top 0.6905, pullback into retracement.
Broad USD softness carried AUD up through Asia from the 0.6855 week low. London's push past the 0.6902 Asian high faded from a double top near 0.6906, a false break that put price back inside the Asian range. Early NY is holding the 0.6890 NY low around the 50–61.8% of the London leg fib, with lower highs overhead, RSI(14) near 40 and price below both EMAs.
Support: 0.6890, 0.6879, 0.6855
Resistance: 0.6902, 0.6906
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6890 NY low exposes the 0.6879 London low and turns the London leg fib retracement into a full reversal
Reclaim of the 0.6902 Asian high breaks the lower highs line and reopens the 0.6906 double top
Fed's Goolsbee (15:00 UTC), Trump–Qatar PM meeting (17:00 UTC) and Barkin (17:15 UTC) could shift USD tone during NY hours
Westpac consumer confidence at 23:30 UTC, ahead of Tuesday's US CPI, is the next AUD-side catalyst
Loss of the 0.6855 week low would erase the full weekly-open bounce
Higher lows since Asia; false break of Asian high.
AUD rallied off the 0.6855 asian low on oversold dip-buying as USD pared its post-NFP gains. London pushed only marginally through the 0.6902 asian high to a 0.6906 session high before rejection. Price is now at the London-NY transition, sitting near the 50% retrace of the london low leg, with the 0.6890 swing low at the 61.8% holding and RSI(14) cooling to ~39.
Support: 0.6890, 0.68793, 0.68545
Resistance: 0.69023, 0.69056
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6890 swing low breaks the 61.8% retrace and exposes the 0.6879 london low
Failure to hold the 0.6879 london low breaks the higher-low chain on the rising lows trendline
Reclaim of the 0.6902 asian high and the 0.6906 session high voids the false break read
Fed speakers Bowman (13:40 UTC) and Goolsbee (15:00 UTC), plus the Trump-Qatar meeting at 17:00 UTC, could shift USD intraday
Westpac consumer confidence at 23:30 UTC and US CPI on Tuesday at 13:30 UTC are the next scheduled risks
13:17 UTC
Intraday uptrend stalling, lower high in place · RSI 42 · price 0.68911
Failed extension above Asian high; pullback into 50–61.8% of London leg.
AUD extended its bounce off 7-month lows as USD pared post-NFP gains. London cleared the 0.6902 Asian high and stalled at a 0.6906 session high; the NY open has since pushed price back under 0.6900. That leaves a lower high at 0.6899 and puts price between the 50% and 61.8% retrace of the London leg, just under EMA20 and flat on EMA50.
Support: 0.6889, 0.6886, 0.6879
Resistance: 0.6899, 0.6906
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 61.8% fib at 0.6889 exposes the asia pivot at 0.6886 and the london low at 0.6879
Reclaim of the 0.6899 lower high and then the 0.6906 session high would revive the Asian-range breakout read
Fed's Bowman (13:40 UTC) and Goolsbee (15:00 UTC), plus the Trump-Qatar meeting at 17:00 GMT, could shift USD tone during NY hours
13:03 UTC
Intraday uptrend, stalling at session high · RSI 46 · price 0.68969
Higher low at London low, double top at 0.6905 after a false break of the Asian high.
London rallied from its 0.6879 low through the 0.6902 Asian high and set a 0.6906 session high, but it could not hold above. The double top there pulled price back to a 0.6893 pullback low, between the 38.2% and 50% fib of the London leg. Into the London-NY transition, price is pinned on EMA20 with RSI(14) neutral near 46, and the AUD rebound off seven-month lows has leaned on softer USD.
Support: 0.68933, 0.68859, 0.68793
Resistance: 0.69023, 0.69056
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.6902 asian high reopens the 0.6906 session high and voids the double top read
Failure to hold the 0.6893 pullback low exposes the 0.6886 asia pivot, then the 0.6879 london low and the fib 61.8%
Fed's Bowman (13:40 UTC) and Goolsbee (15:00 UTC) during NY hours, plus the Trump-Qatar meeting at 17:00 GMT, could shift USD
Westpac consumer confidence at 23:30 UTC is the next AUD-side catalyst
Twin tops at 0.6905 above the Asian high; price back below the 0.6900 neckline.
London pushed through the 0.6902 Asian high but stalled twice at the 0.6905 session high and has since slipped below the 0.6900 neckline, which leaves the break above the Asian high looking false. Price is holding near the 38.2% retrace of the 0.6879–0.6906 London leg, with RSI(14) neutral at 46, as USD steadies after its Asia/Europe giveback heading into the London-NY transition.
Support: 0.68865, 0.68793, 0.68545
Resistance: 0.68995, 0.69023, 0.69056
What it said to watch
Sustained trade below the 0.6886 swing low opens the 0.6879 london low and confirms the double top
Reclaiming the 0.6900 neckline and the 0.6902 asian high revives the session high test at 0.6906
0.6855 asian low marks the base of today's full range
Fed speakers (Bowman 13:40, Goolsbee 15:00 GMT) and the Trump–Qatar Iran meeting at 17:00 GMT could shift USD during NY hours
Westpac Consumer Confidence at 23:30 UTC and US CPI on Tuesday at 13:30 GMT are the next scheduled catalysts
12:17 UTC
Intraday uptrend stalling at session high · RSI 50 · price 0.68956
London tested the Asian high twice and rejected; now pulling back inside the Asian range.
AUD climbed from the 0.6855 sunday low as the USD softened. Late in the London session it pushed just past the 0.6902 asian high twice, reaching a 0.6906 session high, but was rejected both times. Price has slipped back to 0.6896, the 38.2% retracement of the London leg, with RSI(14) neutral near 50.
Support: 0.6889, 0.6879, 0.6855
Resistance: 0.69023, 0.69056
What it said to watch
Close back above the 0.6906 session high negates the false break above the asian high
Failure to hold the 0.6889 asian pivot (61.8% of the London leg) exposes the 0.6879 london low
Fed speakers Bowman 13:40 and Goolsbee 15:00 GMT into the NY open could shift the USD leg
Westpac Consumer Confidence 23:30 UTC and US CPI Tue 13:30 GMT are the next event risks
12:03 UTC
Intraday uptrend, stalling at session high · RSI 56 · price 0.68998
London pushed through the 0.6902 Asian high to a 0.6906 session high on a softer USD, extending the higher-low chain from the 0.6855 Asia open low. The last three hours have stalled in a 0.6899–0.6906 range with RSI(14) near 56. Price is now back below the Asian high and sitting on the 0.6900 range floor, with the 38.2% fib at 0.6886 lining up with the Asia pullback low.
Support: 0.68989, 0.68861, 0.68793
Resistance: 0.69023, 0.69056
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6899 range floor leaves a double top at 0.6905 and opens the 38.2% fib at 0.6886
A break of the 0.6879 london low breaks the rising lows trendline and ends the higher-low chain
M15 close above the 0.6906 session high resumes the intraday uptrend toward the 0.7000 psych level
Fed speakers Bowman (13:40 GMT) and Goolsbee (15:00 GMT) during NY hours could shift the USD leg
Tuesday's US CPI at 13:30 GMT is the larger event risk for this structure
Higher lows from the London low, compressing in a tight 0.6900–0.6905 band.
AUD/USD has climbed off the 0.6855 Asia-open low as the USD softened on Iran and oil headlines. London's dip to the 0.6879 london low drew demand that carried price above the 0.6902 asian high. Price is now compressing around the 0.6900 round number, capped by three rejections at the 0.6905 session high, with RSI(14) near 60 and ATR at about 4 pips.
Support: 0.6900, 0.6895, 0.6879
Resistance: 0.6902, 0.6905
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6905 session high extends the London-leg breakout
Hold of rising support from the london low keeps the higher-low chain intact
Close below the 0.6895 pullback low, under the 0.6900 round number, signals a failed hold above the asian high
Fed's Bowman at 13:40 UTC, around the London-NY transition, could shift the USD leg
Trump–Qatar Iran meeting at 17:00 UTC is an oil/USD driver during NY hours
Higher low in London, marginal break of Asian high now fading.
Asia rallied from the 0.6855 open low to the 0.6902 Asian high on a softer USD, holding up despite the China CPI miss. London printed a higher low at the 0.6879 london low and pushed marginally through to a 0.6905 session high before stalling. Mid-London, price is back at the 0.6900 psych level with RSI(14) cooling toward 58 and the 38.2% retrace of the London leg near 0.6895.
Support: 0.6900, 0.68859, 0.68793
Resistance: 0.69023, 0.69051
What it said to watch
A close back above the 0.6905 session high resumes the higher-high chain; staying below the 0.6902 Asian high leaves the break looking false
Loss of the 0.6886 pullback low breaks the London higher-low sequence and exposes the 0.6879 london low (61.8% of the London leg sits at 0.6889)
Fed speakers Bowman 13:40 GMT and Goolsbee 15:00 GMT in the NY session could shift the USD leg
Westpac Consumer Confidence at 23:30 UTC is the next AUD-specific risk
11:10 UTC
Intraday uptrend, momentum stalling at session high · RSI 62 · price 0.69009
Higher low at london low, marginal break of asian high now stalling.
Asia reversed from the 0.6855 asian low to a 0.6902 asian high as the USD softened on lower oil and Iran headlines. London printed a higher low at the 0.6879 london low, then made a marginal break to a 0.6905 session high. Mid-London, price is holding just under the asian high and above the 0.6900 round number, with RSI(14) cooling to around 62 and ATR(14) near 4 pips.
Support: 0.6900, 0.68793, 0.68545
Resistance: 0.69023, 0.69051
What it said to watch
Close back below the 0.6900 round number reopens the 50% retracement of the london leg near 0.6892
Failure to hold the 0.6879 london low and the rising trendline breaks the higher-low chain
Sustained closes above the 0.6905 session high confirm the asian high break; repeated stalls there leave a false-break risk
Fed's Bowman (13:40 GMT) around NY open, then the Trump–Qatar Iran meeting (17:00 GMT), could shift this read
US CPI Tue 13:30 GMT is the next major event risk for this structure
Higher lows from 0.6855; London broke the Asian high.
AUD climbed off the 0.6855 Sunday low through Asia on a softer USD, shrugging off China's CPI miss. London printed a higher low at 0.6879 and broke the 0.6902 Asian high to a 0.6905 session high. Price has stalled for four bars just above the breakout level with RSI(14) near 68 and ATR at 4.5 pips.
Support: 0.6902, 0.6879, 0.6855
Resistance: 0.6905
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.6902 asian high turns the breakout into a false break
Failure to hold the 0.6879 london low breaks the higher-low chain and the rising trendline
Clean push through the 0.6905 session high extends the London leg
Fed speakers during NY hours (Bowman 13:40, Goolsbee 15:00 GMT) and the 17:00 GMT Trump–Qatar meeting could shift USD tone
HH/HL chain from the 0.6855 Asia low; Asian high marginally broken.
Mid-London, AUDUSD pushed through the 0.6902 Asian high to a 0.6905 session high after printing a higher low at the 0.6879 London low, extending the rising lows from the 0.6855 Asia open dip. Price is now compressing just above the Asian high with RSI(14) near 66 and ATR shrinking to about 4 pips, as a softer USD on lower oil and firmer risk appetite keeps the bid under AUD.
Support: 0.69023, 0.68859, 0.68793
Resistance: 0.69051
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.6902 Asian high marks the breakout as a false break and puts the 0.6886 pullback low (near the 61.8% of the London leg) in play
Loss of the 0.6879 London low breaks the rising lows and the HH/HL chain
Clean extension above the 0.6905 session high keeps the London breakout intact into the NY open
Fed speakers Bowman (13:40 GMT) and Goolsbee (15:00 GMT) during NY hours could materially shift USD tone and this read
HH/HL chain; London higher low, push above Asian high.
AUDUSD has climbed from the 0.6855 Asian low on a softer USD and shrugged off the China CPI miss. London printed a higher low at 0.6879 before breaking the 0.6902 Asian high, and is now pressing the 0.6905 session high above 0.6900, with RSI(14) near 67.
Support: 0.69023, 0.68793, 0.68545
Resistance: 0.69051
What it said to watch
Holding above the 0.6902 asian high keeps the breakout intact; a slip back inside the Asian range turns it into a false break
A close below the 0.6879 london low breaks the HH/HL chain and the session trendline
A clean push through the 0.6905 session high extends the leg; a stall there with RSI rolling over points to a fib pullback
Fed speakers from 13:40 GMT (Bowman, Goolsbee, Barkin) could move USD during NY hours
Westpac Consumer Confidence at 23:30 UTC opens the next Asia session
London break above Asian high, higher-low chain from 0.6855.
AUD lifted off the 0.6855 Asia low as the USD eased on lower oil and China's tariff-suspension extension. London dipped to a 0.6879 london low, then pushed through the 0.6902 asian high to a 0.6905 session high, with RSI(14) at 64 and price retesting the breakout line.
Support: 0.69023, 0.68793, 0.68545
Resistance: 0.69051
What it said to watch
M15 closes back below the 0.6902 asian high would mark the breakout as a false break
Failure to hold the 0.6879 london low breaks the rising lows chain
Acceptance above the 0.6905 session high extends the higher-high sequence
Fed's Bowman (13:40 GMT) and Goolsbee (15:00 GMT) in the NY session could shift USD tone ahead of Tuesday's CPI
09:49 UTC
Intraday uptrend, higher lows since Sunday open · RSI 63 · price 0.69006
London higher low at 0.6879; price retesting the 0.6902 Asian high.
AUD rallied through Asia from the 0.6855 sunday low to a 0.6902 Asian high as the USD eased, despite China's CPI miss. Early London dipped to 0.6879, holding near the 50% retracement of the Asia rally, and price is now back at the Asian high with RSI(14) near 63.
Support: 0.68859, 0.68793, 0.68545
Resistance: 0.69023, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6902 asian high breaks the session range, with the 0.7000 psych level the next marker
Rejection at 0.6902 would leave a double top at the Asian high, with the 0.6886 tokyo low next below
Break of the 0.6879 london low ends the higher-lows sequence
Fed speakers Bowman (13:40 GMT) and Goolsbee (15:00 GMT) during NY hours could shift the USD tone
09:32 UTC
Intraday uptrend, higher lows since Asia open · RSI 59 · price 0.68969
HL at 0.6879 after London dip, price pressing session highs.
Asia ran from 0.6855 to an Asian high at 0.6902 as the USD softened and China extended its tariff suspension. The London open broke below the 0.6886 swing low, but the move reversed at the 0.6879 London low, right at the 50% fib of the Asia leg. Price is now back above Friday's nfp high at 0.6893 and testing the 0.6899 London high, with RSI(14) at 59.
Support: 0.6893, 0.6886, 0.6879
Resistance: 0.6899, 0.6902
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the 0.6902 Asian high puts the 0.6900 psych handle behind price and extends the HH chain
A slip back below the 0.6893 nfp high and then the 0.6886 swing low weakens the higher-low sequence
Failure to hold the 0.6879 London low breaks the rising trendline from Asia and the 50% fib
Fed speakers from 13:40 GMT and the 17:00 GMT Trump–Qatar meeting could shift the USD leg during NY hours
09:17 UTC
Intraday uptrend, higher low held at London open · RSI 62 · price 0.6897
Higher low at 0.6879 off the 0.6855 Asian low; price pressing the 0.6899–0.6902 highs.
London open dipped through the 0.6886 pullback low to 0.6879, near the 50% retrace of the Asian leg, then reversed. That leaves a higher low above the 0.6855 Asian low as the USD gives back NFP gains on oil relief. Price now presses the 0.6899 London high just under the 0.6902 Asian high, and RSI(14) at ~62 is not stretched.
Support: 0.6886, 0.6879, 0.6855
Resistance: 0.6899, 0.6902
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6902 Asian high clears the session top and extends the higher-low sequence
Failure to hold the 0.6879 London low breaks the higher-low line and reopens the 0.6855 Asian low
Fed's Bowman (13:40 GMT) and the Trump–Qatar meeting (17:00 GMT) could shift USD during NY hours
Rejection at 0.6899–0.6902 for a second time would define a double cap over the 0.6886 pullback low
London higher low inside Asian range, pressing range top.
Asia rallied from the 0.6855 Asian low to a 0.6902 Asian high on a softer USD, erasing Friday's post-NFP losses. London's opening dip held 0.6879, near the 50% retracement of the Asia rally and above rising support. The rebound to a 0.6899 London high now retests the Asian high mid-London, with RSI(14) at 57.
Support: 0.6879, 0.6855
Resistance: 0.6899, 0.6902
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6902 Asian high breaks the Asian range and clears 0.6900
Failure to hold the 0.6879 London low breaks rising support and reopens the 0.6855 Asian low
Fed's Bowman (13:40 UTC) and Goolsbee (15:00 UTC) during NY hours could shift USD and this read
08:47 UTC
Intraday recovery, higher low in place · RSI 64 · price 0.68977
Inside Asian range, pressing top.
Asia rallied from 0.6855 to a 0.6902 asian high as the USD gave back part of its NFP gain despite the China CPI miss. The pre-London dip held a 0.6879 london low near the 50% level of the asian rally fib, a higher low. The first hour of London has pushed back to 0.6898, retesting the asian high and 0.6900 psych with RSI(14) at 64.
Support: 0.68929, 0.68859, 0.68793
Resistance: 0.69023
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6902 asian high breaks the Asian range and clears 0.6900 psych.
Rejection at 0.6900–0.6902 keeps price inside the Asian range, with Friday's NFP-spike prior high at 0.6893 the first shelf below.
Loss of the 0.6886 pullback low and then the 0.6879 london low breaks the higher-low line and the higher-low sequence.
Fed's Bowman (13:40 UTC) and Goolsbee (15:00 UTC) during NY hours could shift USD and this read; Westpac confidence follows at 23:30 UTC.
08:32 UTC
Asia rally stalling, lower highs since 0.6902 · RSI 54 · price 0.68918
Pullback held at the 50% fib, now testing the lower-highs trendline.
Asia rallied from the 0.6855 sunday low to a 0.6902 asian high on mild USD softness, then printed lower highs, with the asian lows near 0.6886 marking the base of the drift. The pre-London dip to a 0.6879 session low held at the 50% fib of the Asia rally. Early London has pushed back to the 0.6893 friday high and the lower-highs trendline, with RSI(14) neutral near 54.
Support: 0.68862, 0.68793, 0.68545
Resistance: 0.68929, 0.69023
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6893 friday high and the lower-highs trendline reopens the 0.6902 asian high
A slip back below the 0.6886 asian lows returns price to the pullback zone
Loss of the 0.6879 session low breaks the 50% fib hold and exposes the 0.6855 sunday low
Fed's Bowman (13:40 UTC) and Goolsbee (15:00 UTC) during NY hours could shift this read ahead of Tuesday's US CPI
08:17 UTC
Pullback from Asian high, lower highs · RSI 40 · price 0.68844
LH/LL sequence inside the Asian range since 0.6902.
Asia ran from the 0.6855 asian low to 0.6902 on mild USD softness, shrugging off the China CPI miss. It was rejected there and has since printed lower highs at 0.6896 and 0.6895. Price slipped to a 0.6879 swing low into the London open, near the 50% retracement of the Asian leg, with RSI(14) around 40 and price under EMA20.
Support: 0.6879, 0.6873, 0.6855
Resistance: 0.6895, 0.6902
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the lower-high trendline and 0.6895 lower high invalidates the pullback read and reopens the 0.6902 asian high
Failure to hold the 0.6879 swing low exposes the 61.8% fib at 0.6873, then the 0.6855 asian low
Fed's Bowman (13:40 GMT) and Goolsbee (15:00 GMT) on December hike odds could shift USD tone during NY hours
Lower highs since Asian high, broken low at 0.6886.
Asia session rallied from the 0.6855 asian low to 0.6902 on mild USD softness, then printed lower highs at 0.6896 and 0.6895. London open broke the 0.6886 broken low and tagged 0.6879, the london low near the 50% fib. Price is now basing just under the EMA50 with RSI(14) near 39.
Support: 0.68793, 0.68728, 0.68545
Resistance: 0.68862, 0.68946, 0.69023
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.6886 broken low invalidates the London breakdown
Failure to hold 0.6879 london low exposes the fib 61.8 at 0.6873, then the 0.6855 asian low
Close above the 0.6895 lower high breaks the descending trendline from the 0.6902 asian high
Fed speakers from Bowman 13:40 GMT and US CPI Tue 13:30 GMT could materially shift this read
07:47 UTC
Intraday pullback, lower highs since Asian high · RSI 34 · price 0.68809
LH/LL sequence off 0.6902 Asian high; 0.6886 prior low broken.
Asia rallied from the 0.6854 Asian low to a 0.6902 Asian high on USD softness and the US–China tariff-suspension lift, but supply capped that high and lower highs at 0.6896 and 0.6895 have followed. Ahead of London open, price slipped through the 0.6886 prior low and sits at the 50% fib of the Asian rally, below both EMAs with RSI(14) near 34.
Support: 0.68784, 0.68728, 0.68545
Resistance: 0.68859, 0.68946, 0.69023
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 61.8% fib at 0.6873 exposes the 0.6854 Asian low
Reclaim of the 0.6886 prior low and a break above the lower high trendline near 0.6895 neutralise the pullback read
Fed's Bowman at 13:40 GMT and Goolsbee at 15:00 GMT could shift USD pricing during NY session
Trump–Qatar Iran meeting at 17:00 GMT and US CPI on Tuesday are the next larger USD risks
07:32 UTC
Intraday pullback, lower highs since Asia peak · RSI 40 · price 0.68847
Lower highs since the 0.6902 Asian high; 0.6886 shelf broken into early European trade.
The Asian session rallied about 48 pips, from the 0.6855 asian low to a 0.6902 asian high, as the USD gave back post-NFP gains. Since then, lower highs at 0.6896 and 0.6895 have pushed price through the 0.6886 broken shelf to a 0.6883 swing low ahead of London open. Price now sits on the 38.2% fib of the asian rally, with RSI(14) near 40 and ATR(14) around 4 pips.
Support: 0.68827, 0.68784, 0.68545
Resistance: 0.68865, 0.68946, 0.69023
What it said to watch
A close back above the 0.6886 broken shelf neutralises the break and returns price to the 0.6886–0.6896 range
Failure to hold the 0.6883 swing low exposes the fib 50% at 0.6878
A close above the 0.6895 lower high breaks the lower-highs trendline and reopens the 0.6902 asian high
Fed's Bowman (13:40 GMT) and the Trump–Qatar Iran meeting (17:00 GMT) could materially shift USD tone this session
Lower highs below the Asian high, swing low holding.
Asia session rallied from the 0.6855 Asian low to the 0.6902 Asian high as the USD faded on Iran diplomacy and the China tariff-suspension headlines. Price has since compressed between the 0.6886 swing low and the 0.6895 lower high ahead of London open, sitting just above the 38.2% fib (~0.6884) and the ema50.
Support: 0.68859, 0.68828, 0.68545
Resistance: 0.68946, 0.69023
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6886 swing low and the ema50 near 0.6883 puts the 50% fib (~0.6878) and the 0.6855 Asian low back in view
Close above the 0.6895 lower high breaks the lower-highs trendline and reopens the 0.6902 Asian high
London open is typically the first test of the Asian range
Fed's Bowman at 13:40 GMT and the Trump–Qatar Iran meeting at 17:00 GMT could shift USD tone ahead of Tuesday's US CPI
Lower highs from 0.6902, pullback lows holding 0.6886.
Asia session ran from the 0.6855 asian low to a 0.6902 asian high on USD softness. The asian high was rejected and price has since compressed under a lower-high trendline. The pullback low at 0.6886 sits near the 38.2% fib and has held twice ahead of London open.
Support: 0.6886, 0.6855
Resistance: 0.6895, 0.6902
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6886 pullback low exposes the 0.6855 asian low (Friday's NFP low)
Close above the 0.6895 lower high breaks the trendline and reopens the 0.6902 asian high
Fed speakers from 13:40 GMT (Bowman, Goolsbee, Barkin) ahead of Tue US CPI could shift USD and this read
Asia impulse to 0.6902, higher-low pullback, now a tight flag.
Asia rallied about 48 pips from the 0.6854 asian low to the 0.6902 asian high, a move the digest reads as USD softness and position-squaring. The pullback held 0.6886, near the 38.2% of the Asia rally fib, and price is coiling in a flag under the 0.6896 lower high and Friday's NFP high at 0.6893 into London open.
Support: 0.6886, 0.6870, 0.6854
Resistance: 0.6893, 0.6896, 0.6902
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6896 lower high breaks the pullback line and puts the 0.6902 asian high back in play
Failure to hold the 0.6886 pullback low exposes the 0.6870 asia base, then the 0.6854 asian low
Fed speakers Bowman 13:40 and Goolsbee 15:00 GMT, plus Tuesday's US CPI, could materially shift this read
06:32 UTC
Asia rally stalled, drifting sideways below the high · RSI 47 · price 0.68915
Lower highs from 0.6902 against flat lows near 0.6886, late Asia.
Asia ran from the 0.6855 asia low to a 0.6902 asia high as USD softened on oil and China-tariff headlines. The digest reads this as position-squaring, despite China CPI missing. Since 02:30 UTC price has compressed under a line of lower highs, with the 0.6886 swing low holding twice; RSI sits near 47 and is sitting on EMA20.
Support: 0.68859, 0.68784, 0.68545
Resistance: 0.68963, 0.69023
What it said to watch
A close above the 0.6896 lower high breaks the lower-highs line and reopens the 0.6902 asia high
Failure at the 0.6886 swing low exposes the fib 50% retracement of the Asia rally at 0.6878
London open could break the compression; Fed speakers from 13:40 GMT and Tuesday's US CPI are the next USD catalysts
Lower highs under the 0.6902 session high; pullback low at 0.6886 holding.
Monday Asia ran from the asian low at 0.6855 to a session high at 0.6902 on USD softness, clearing Friday's nfp high at 0.6893 before stalling. Late Asia is a tight pullback with a lower high at 0.6896, the 0.6886 pullback low intact above fib 38.2 at 0.6884, and RSI(14) neutral near 46 into London open.
Support: 0.6886, 0.6884, 0.68545
Resistance: 0.6893, 0.68963, 0.69023
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6886 pullback low and fib 38.2 at 0.6884 deepens the retracement of the Asia up-leg
Reclaim of the 0.6896 lower high and the 0.6902 session high breaks the lower-high sequence
London open range expansion and Fed's Bowman at 13:40 UTC could shift the read; Fed hike pricing remains the USD driver
Tight consolidation 0.6886–0.6896 under the Asian high.
Asia bounced 48 pips from the 0.68545 Asian low, the post-NFP open dip, to the 0.69023 Asian high after China extended its tariff suspension. Price has since held the 0.6886 pullback low, above the 38.2% fib. Each bounce stalls lower, with a lower high at 0.68963 and rejection at the Friday high near 0.6893 ahead of the London open.
Support: 0.6886, 0.68784, 0.68545
Resistance: 0.6893, 0.68963, 0.69023
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6886 pullback low exposes the 50% fib at 0.68784
Reclaim of the 0.68963 lower high reopens the 0.69023 Asian high
Fed's Bowman at 13:40 GMT and US CPI Tue 13:30 GMT could materially shift this read
05:47 UTC
Intraday up-leg from 0.6855, pausing below Asia high · RSI 55 · price 0.6891
Higher low at 0.6886 inside the 0.6855–0.6902 Asian range.
Late Asia session: the Asia leg ran from a double low at 0.6855 (Friday's post-NFP low retested at the open) to the 0.6902 asia high, a short-covering bounce despite the China CPI miss. The dip held the 0.6886 pullback low near the 38.2% fib, and price is now capped at Friday's 0.6893 nfp high with RSI(14) neutral and EMA20 flat into London.
Support: 0.6886, 0.6855
Resistance: 0.6893, 0.6902
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6902 asia high extends the Asia leg into fresh session highs
Break of the 0.6886 pullback low and the rising support line exposes the 0.6855 double low
Repeated rejection at the 0.6893 nfp high keeps price in consolidation below the Asian high
Fed's Bowman at 13:40 UTC and Iran-talk oil headlines could shift USD; US CPI Tue 13:30 UTC is the larger risk
Lower highs below 0.6902 Asian high, swing low 0.6886 holding.
AUD squeezed 48 pips off the 0.6855 Asian low despite the China CPI miss. The digest reads the move as short-covering. The rally was rejected at the 0.6902 Asian high, and late-Asia trade has carved a lower high at 0.6896 while the 0.6886 swing low holds near the 38.2% of the Asian rally fib.
Support: 0.68859, 0.68545
Resistance: 0.68963, 0.69023
What it said to watch
Break of the 0.6886 swing low and the 38.2% Asian rally fib exposes the 0.6855 Asian low
Close above the 0.6896 lower high and the 0.6902 Asian high invalidates the pullback read
London open in about 2.5h is likely to set direction out of the Asian range
Fed's Bowman (13:40 UTC) and the Trump–Qatar Iran talks (17:00 GMT) could shift USD during NY hours
The Asia session rallied from the 0.6855 Monday low to an Asia high of 0.6902 as the USD eased on Iran-deal headlines. That move cleared Friday's post-NFP high at 0.6893, but the break did not hold. A lower high at 0.6896 was followed by a drop back to 0.6887, just under EMA20, and price is now testing the 0.6883 swing low near the 38.2% level of the Asia rally fib ahead of London open.
Support: 0.6883, 0.6878, 0.6855
Resistance: 0.6893, 0.6896, 0.6902
What it said to watch
A close below the 0.6883 swing low confirms the lower-low sequence and exposes the fib 50% at 0.6878.
A close back above the 0.6893 Friday high and the 0.6896 lower high would negate the false-break read and bring the 0.6902 Asia high back into view.
A slide toward the 0.6855 Monday low would erase the Asia rebound.
Fed's Bowman (13:40 UTC) and the Trump–Qatar Iran talks (17:00 GMT) today could shift USD tone; US CPI on Tuesday at 13:30 UTC is the larger event risk.
05:03 UTC
Uptrend, pausing after Asia leg · RSI 61 · price 0.68923
Higher low at 0.6889 after Asia high, tight consolidation below 0.6896.
The Asia session rallied about 48 pips off the 0.6855 Asia low to a 0.6902 session high. That cleared Friday's post-NFP 0.6893 spike high as the USD eased on lower oil and the China tariff extension. Price is now coiling between 0.6889 and 0.6896, holding the pullback low above EMA20 after only about a 28% retracement of the Asia leg, with RSI(14) near 61 and ATR(14) around 4 pips.
Support: 0.68889, 0.6884, 0.68545
Resistance: 0.68963, 0.69023
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6889 pullback low exposes the 0.6884 fib 38.2 and breaks the higher-low sequence
Recent high at 0.6896 has capped since 03:00 UTC; a hold above the 0.6902 session high and the 0.6900 round number extends the Asia leg
Loss of the 0.6855 Asia low would erase the Monday rebound
London open around 08:00 UTC typically tests the Asian range edges
Fedspeak from 13:40 UTC and US CPI on Tue at 13:30 UTC could materially shift this read
04:47 UTC
Uptrend, pausing under session high · RSI 63 · price 0.68961
HH/HL from 0.6854 double bottom; shallow pullback held above prior breakout level.
The Asia rally rebounded off the 0.6854 double bottom (Friday's NFP low and the Monday open low) and cleared Friday's post-NFP high near 0.6893, shrugging off the China CPI miss. The 0.6902 session high stalled just under the 0.6903 Friday high. The pullback held 0.6889 as a retest, and price is grinding back up with RSI(14) near 63.
Support: 0.68889, 0.6884, 0.68545
Resistance: 0.69023, 0.69034
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6903 Friday high extends the HH chain beyond the session high
Failure to hold the 0.6889 retest low exposes the 38.2% fib at 0.6884 and the rally trendline
Loss of the 0.6854 double bottom negates the rebound structure
Fedspeak (Bowman 13:40 UTC, Goolsbee 15:00 UTC) ahead of Tuesday's US CPI could materially shift this read
HH/HL rally off 0.6855, shallow pullback holding 0.6889.
Monday's Asia session reversed the early dip to the 0.6855 session low and rallied about 48 pips to a 0.6902 session high, as USD eased on lower oil and China tariff relief despite the China CPI miss. The pullback has held the 0.6889 pullback low near the 23.6% fib of the Asia rally. Price is pinned at Friday's 0.6893 NFP high, with RSI(14) cooled to ~63.
Support: 0.68889, 0.68829, 0.68545
Resistance: 0.68929, 0.69023
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6902 session high extends the HH chain out of the Asian range
Failure to hold the 0.6889 pullback low exposes the 0.6883 swing low, near the 38.2% fib of the Asia rally
A break of the 0.6883 swing low shifts focus back to the 0.6855 session low
London open in ~2.5h tests the 0.6855–0.6902 Asian range
Fedspeak during NY hours (Bowman 13:40 UTC) could materially shift this read; US CPI Tue 13:30 UTC is the larger risk
04:17 UTC
Asia bounce, now in shallow pullback · RSI 56 · price 0.68908
Double bottom at 0.6854, lower highs since 0.6902 session high.
The Asia session rebounded from a double bot at 0.6854, a retest of Friday's post-NFP low, and ran to a 0.6902 session high. USD softened in early Asia even after the China CPI miss, but the rally was rejected just under the 0.6903 friday high. Price is now carving lower highs, with the latest lower high at 0.6893, and is holding the 0.6889 pullback low near the 23.6% fib, RSI(14) cooling to ~56.
Support: 0.68889, 0.6884, 0.68545
Resistance: 0.6893, 0.69023, 0.69034
What it said to watch
A break of the 0.6889 pullback low exposes the fib 38.2 at 0.6884, then the 50% near 0.6878
An M15 close above the 0.6893 lower high, then the 0.6902 session high / 0.6903 friday high, would resume the Asia leg higher
Loss of 0.6878 into London open shifts focus back to the 0.6854 double bot
Fed's Bowman at 13:40 UTC today and US CPI on Tue at 13:30 UTC could materially shift this read
HH/HL climb from 0.6855 to 0.6902, now a shallow lower-high pullback.
Asia session dipped to a 0.6855 session low, just above Friday's post-NFP low, then climbed steadily to a 0.6902 session high. The digest reads the rally as position-squaring on a softer USD, and it met rejection just under Friday's prior high near 0.6903. Price is now holding a 0.6890 pullback low under a 0.6896 lower high, with the 0.6883 swing low sitting at the 38.2% fib of the rally.
Support: 0.6890, 0.6883, 0.6855
Resistance: 0.6896, 0.6902
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.6890 pullback low exposes the 0.6883 swing low and 38.2% fib
Loss of 0.6883 opens the 50% fib near 0.6878, then the 0.6855 session low
An M15 close above the 0.6896 lower high and 0.6902 session high clears Friday's prior high and the rejection read
Fed speakers Bowman (13:40 UTC), Goolsbee and Barkin ahead of Tue US CPI could shift USD tone
03:47 UTC
Intraday uptrend, first pullback in progress · RSI 58 · price 0.68905
Asia HH/HL rally from 0.6855, lower high off session top.
Late Asia session: AUD rallied from the 0.6855 asian low, which matches Friday's post-payrolls low, to a 0.6902 session high as the USD softened across the board, then met rejection just shy of Friday's 0.6903 top. Price has slipped back under Friday's 0.6893 nfp high and is testing the 0.6890 pullback low at the 23.6% retrace of the Asia rally. The HL chain is intact above the 0.6883 swing low, and ATR is compressed near 5 pips.
Support: 0.6890, 0.6883, 0.6855
Resistance: 0.6893, 0.6902
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.6902 session high and Friday's 0.6903 high would extend the Asia HH chain
Failure to hold the 0.6883 swing low breaks the HL sequence and exposes the 50% Asia rally retrace near 0.6878
A return to the 0.6855 asian low would erase the Asia rebound
Fed's Bowman (13:40 UTC) ahead of Tuesday's US CPI could materially shift the read in NY hours
HH/HL chain from 0.6855 Monday low; first pullback off session high.
The Asia session rebounded off the 0.6855 Monday low, a near-match of Friday's post-NFP low, and the China CPI bar added a leg higher despite the miss. The rally was rejected at a 0.6902 session high just under Friday's 0.6903 high. Price has slipped under the rising trendline and sits on the 0.6892 pullback low, with RSI(14) easing to about 64.
Support: 0.68922, 0.68829, 0.68545
Resistance: 0.69023, 0.69034
What it said to watch
Break of the 0.6892 pullback low exposes the cpi bar low near 0.6883, which lines up with the 38.2% fib of the Monday low–session high move
Close above the 0.6902 session high and the 0.6903 friday high would extend the higher-high chain
Loss of the 0.6855 monday low voids the double bottom and the rebound structure
Fedspeak from 13:40 UTC (Bowman, Goolsbee, Barkin) and Tuesday's US CPI could materially shift this read
HH/HL chain from 0.6855 Asia low; pullback testing rising support.
The Asia session opened with a dip to 0.6855 that held Friday's post-NFP low, forming a double btm. Price then ran in a clean HH/HL chain to a 0.6902 session high as the USD softened and AUD shrugged off the China CPI miss. Price stalled just above 0.6900, and the pullback is now testing rising support and the 0.6893 Fri NFP high.
Support: 0.6893, 0.6883, 0.6855
Resistance: 0.6902, 0.6906
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6893 and rising support breaks the HL chain and exposes the 0.6883 swing low and the 0.6878 38.2% fib of the Asia rally
M15 close above the 0.6902 session high opens a test of the 0.6906 Friday high
Failure to hold the 0.6855 double btm would negate the Asia rally structure
Fedspeak from Bowman, Goolsbee and Barkin in NY hours, ahead of Tuesday's US CPI, could materially shift this read
03:03 UTC
Uptrend, first pause at session high · RSI 73 · price 0.6896
Asia HH/HL chain, broke Friday's range high.
Asia session held 0.6854 for a double bottom with Friday's post-NFP low, then ran 48 pips through Friday's NFP spike high at 0.6893 to a 0.6902 session high, with the AUD bid looking like short-covering despite the China CPI miss. RSI(14) near 73 after the run. The first rejection at the session high has price back to 0.6896, with the HL chain still intact above the 0.6883 swing low.
Support: 0.6893, 0.6883, 0.6854
Resistance: 0.6902, 0.6909
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.6893 Fri NFP high puts price back inside Friday's range
Loss of the 0.6883 swing low and the Asia trendline breaks the HL chain; 50% of the Asia rally fib sits near 0.6878
Close above the 0.6902 session high exposes the 0.6909 prior high
London open and Fed's Bowman (13:40 UTC) could shift the read ahead of Tuesday's US CPI
Higher highs and higher lows through the Asia session; Friday post-NFP high cleared.
Asia session rallied from the 0.6855 monday low as USD gave back part of its NFP gains, clearing Friday's 0.6893 nfp high and pressing the 0.6903 fri high on a higher-low chain. RSI(14) near 82 is stretched while the 0.6883 pullback low anchors the rising trendline.
Support: 0.6893, 0.6883, 0.6855
Resistance: 0.6903, 0.6916
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.6893 nfp high would mark the breakout as a false break
Close below the rising trendline and the 0.6883 pullback low breaks the Asia higher-low chain; 38.2% of the Asia rally sits near 0.6884
Acceptance above the 0.6903 fri high opens the 0.6916 fri open hi
RSI(14) above 80 leaves the Asia rally prone to a pause near the 0.6900 round number
US CPI Tue 13:30 UTC could materially shift this read
02:32 UTC
Uptrend, RSI stretched · RSI 78 · price 0.68983
Higher highs and higher lows off the 0.6854 double bottom; Friday's NFP spike high broken.
The Asia session rallied about 45 pips off the 0.6854 double bottom formed by the Friday and Monday lows. It has cleared Friday's 0.6893 NFP high as AUD shrugs off the China CPI miss amid short-covering. RSI(14) near 78 is hot, but the HH/HL chain along the rising trendline is intact, with the 0.6900 round number and the 0.6923 Friday high overhead.
Support: 0.6893, 0.6883, 0.6854
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.6923
What it said to watch
A close back below the 0.6893 nfp high turns the breakout into a false break
A break of the 0.6883 swing low and the rising trendline ends the HH/HL chain
Acceptance above the 0.6900 round number opens the path to the 0.6923 friday high
Fed speakers from 13:40 UTC today and US CPI Tue 13:30 UTC could materially shift this read
02:17 UTC
Uptrend, RSI stretched · RSI 76 · price 0.68939
Higher-high/higher-low chain off the Monday Asia low, testing 0.6900.
Monday Asia session dipped to 0.6855 after the open, then climbed about 40 pips as USD softened. The move cleared Friday's post-payrolls nfp high at 0.6893, with an unbroken higher-low chain along a rising trendline and RSI(14) near 76. The 0.6896 session high sits just under the 0.6900 round number and Friday's London high near 0.6903.
Support: 0.6893, 0.6883, 0.6880
Resistance: 0.6896, 0.6900, 0.6903
What it said to watch
Holding above the 0.6893 nfp high keeps the breakout read; a slip back below turns it into a false break.
An M15 close below the 0.6883 swing low and the rising trendline breaks the higher-low chain and exposes the fib 38.2 at 0.6880.
A close above the 0.6903 London high clears Friday's London congestion; rejection at the round number would cap the Asian range at the session high.
China CPI later today (time not provided) could materially shift this read via AUD risk sentiment.
Asia session higher lows from 0.6854; double bottom pressing 0.6893 neckline.
The Asia rally off 0.6854 matched Friday's NFP low, forming a double bottom, and is now pressing the 0.6893 NFP high that capped the post-payrolls spike. RSI(14) is near 72 as USD softens in early Asia. Higher lows hold the rising trendline, with 0.6883 the latest pullback low and 0.6866 the prior higher low.
Support: 0.68829, 0.68657, 0.68539
Resistance: 0.68929, 0.69034
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the 0.6893 NFP high confirms the double bottom and exposes the Friday swing high at 0.6903.
A rejection at 0.6893 followed by a break of the 0.6883 pullback low and the rising trendline would stall the Asia rally, leaving the 0.6866 higher low next.
A move back below the 0.6854 NFP low negates the double bottom.
China CPI later today could materially shift this read.
Higher-low chain off a double low, testing Friday's NFP high.
The Monday Asia session has lifted about 38 pips off the 0.6854 double low, where it matched Friday's post-NFP spike low, and is now retesting the 0.6893 nfp high. The higher-low chain shows the 0.6866 higher low and the 0.6883 pullback low holding. With RSI(14) near 76, the move is stretched and runs against the digest's post-payrolls USD-strength backdrop. The Friday high at 0.6903 sits just above.
Support: 0.6883, 0.68657, 0.6854
Resistance: 0.68929, 0.69034
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6893 nfp high clears the double low neckline and opens the friday high at 0.6903 / 0.6900 psych
Loss of the 0.6883 pullback low stalls the rally; a break of the 0.6866 higher low takes out the Monday trend line
Rejection at 0.6893 with RSI rolling from 76 would turn the retest into a lower high below Friday's range
China CPI later today (time unconfirmed) and Fed's Bowman at 13:40 UTC could materially shift this read
01:32 UTC
Intraday uptrend from Asia lows, pausing below session high · RSI 69 · price 0.68844
Higher highs and higher lows off a 0.6854 double low; post-NFP range top at 0.6893 untested.
The Monday Asia session held 0.6854, matching Friday's post-NFP low to form a double low, then climbed to a 0.6890 session high. That leaves price just under Friday's 0.6893 NFP high and firmer than the digest's 0.6850-0.6860 drift. RSI(14) near 69 is cooling as the last three bars stall.
Support: 0.6872, 0.6854
Resistance: 0.6890, 0.6893, 0.6900
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6893 NFP high clears the post-NFP range top and brings 0.6900 psych into view
Failure to hold 0.6872 (50% fib of the Asia leg) exposes the 0.6854 double low again
China CPI later today is the next risk-tone input for AUD
Fed's Bowman at 13:40 UTC, with Goolsbee and Barkin later, could shift USD pricing during NY hours
Monday's Asia session double-dipped to 0.6854, matching Friday's post-NFP double low, then climbed to a 0.6890 session high on an hourly HH/HL chain. That runs against the digest's heavy-AUD tone. Price now sits just under the 0.6893 nfp high that capped Friday's spike, with RSI(14) near 74.
Support: 0.6878, 0.68657, 0.6854
Resistance: 0.68897, 0.68929, 0.6900
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6893 nfp high and the 0.6900 psych level would complete the double bottom
Slip back under the 0.6878 breakout bar low puts the 0.6866 swing low and the rising trendline in play
Break below the 0.6854 double low voids the base and reopens Friday's lows
China CPI later today could materially shift this read
01:03 UTC
Short-term uptrend off Asian low, momentum hot · RSI 71 · price 0.6887
HH/HL chain from 0.6854 double low, pressing NFP high.
Monday's Asia session bounced off a 0.6854 double low, matching Friday's post-NFP trough, and has climbed to the session high at 0.6887. That leaves price just under the 0.6893 NFP high, with RSI(14) near 71. Higher lows are holding along the rising Asia trendline, and most of Friday's NFP fade has been retraced despite the USD-firm backdrop.
Support: 0.68657, 0.68545
Resistance: 0.68929, 0.6900
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6893 NFP high would confirm the double bottom and put the 0.6900 round number in play
Rejection at the NFP high and a break of the 0.6866 swing low would turn the Asia move into a lower-high
Loss of the 0.6854 double low would revive the post-NFP downtrend
China CPI later today could materially shift this read
00:47 UTC
Intraday rebound, higher lows since Asia open · RSI 67 · price 0.68784
Double low at 0.6854 held; rally testing session high.
Monday's Asia session opened with a dip to 0.6854 that matched Friday's post-NFP low. That double low held, and price has rallied in higher lows to test the 0.6879 session high, with RSI(14) near 67. Friday's 0.6882 prior high and the 0.6893 NFP high sit just overhead, with USD still firm after the 165K payrolls beat.
Support: 0.6866, 0.6854
Resistance: 0.6879, 0.6882, 0.6893
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6882 prior high opens the 0.6893 NFP high
Loss of the 0.6866 pullback low and the rising trendline puts the 0.6854 double low back in focus
China CPI later Monday and Fed speakers from 13:40 UTC could materially shift this read
00:32 UTC
Rebounding from post-NFP lows · RSI 62 · price 0.68745
Higher low off 0.6854 double bottom, testing 50% retrace.
Early Asia session: the week opened with a small gap above the 0.6862 fri close, then dipped to 0.6855 on the carry-over USD bid from Friday's 165K NFP beat. That dip retested the 0.6854 nfp low, forming a double bottom, and price rebounded to the 0.6875 session high. It now sits at the 50% retracement of the NFP spike-and-fade, with a higher low at 0.6866 and the fib 61.8 at 0.6878 overhead, overlapping Friday's congestion.
Support: 0.68657, 0.68621, 0.6854
Resistance: 0.6875, 0.68782, 0.68929
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6878 fib 61.8 opens a return toward the 0.6893 nfp high
Loss of the 0.6866 higher low breaks the rising support and exposes the 0.6862 fri close gap fill
Break below the 0.6854 nfp low negates the double bottom
China CPI due later Monday could materially shift this read
Lower highs from 0.6893 spike; 0.6854 low retested and held.
Monday's Asia session opened with a dip to 0.6855 that held just above Friday's NFP low at 0.6854, then lifted 15 pips into the 0.6870s. Price is sitting at the 38.2% retrace of the 0.6893–0.6855 drop, with the Asian high at 0.6872 capping. The USD bid from Friday's NFP beat still defines the lower-high sequence off the 0.6893 NFP high.
Support: 0.68615, 0.6854
Resistance: 0.68719, 0.68929
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6872 Asian high brings the 50–61.8% retrace and Friday pivot near 0.6874–0.6878 into play
Slip back below the Friday close at 0.6862 fades the opening bounce
Break of the 0.6854 NFP low resumes the post-NFP downtrend
China CPI later Monday could materially shift this read
Range 0.6854–0.6893, lower highs into Monday Asia.
Early Monday Asia is trading inside Friday's post-NFP range. The weekend open dipped to 0.6855, a rejection that matches Friday's NFP low at 0.6854 and forms a double low, before a 15-pip bounce capped at the 0.6872 Asia high. Price is hugging EMA20 near 0.6865 with RSI(14) flat at 50. Lower highs from the 0.6893 post-NFP high still define the ceiling as USD holds its payrolls gains.
Support: 0.68542, 0.6833
Resistance: 0.68719, 0.68929
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6854 double low exposes the 0.6833 9-month low
Reclaim of the 0.6872 Asia high breaks the lower-highs sequence and puts the 0.6893 post-NFP high back in play
China CPI later in the Asia session could materially shift this read