Every read JAFX AI made on the AUD/USD 4-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
21:04 UTC
Recovery uptrend, momentum firm but capped · RSI 59 · price 0.69526
Higher lows since 0.6864 base, capped near 0.6970.
Price rounded off the 0.6864 swing low and has built a sequence of higher lows back into the mid-0.6950s, printing a rising channel off the base. The rebound fits the digest read of a hawkish-RBA floor against a soft USD, but the advance is stalling short of the 0.6969 range high with 0.6980 the wider cap. ATR(14) around 16 pips shows a steady, non-explosive grind rather than a trending impulse.
Support: 0.6900, 0.6864
Resistance: 0.6969, 0.6980
What it said to watch
- H4 close above 0.6980 invalidates the range-cap read and opens extension
- Loss of the 0.6900 pivot exposes the 0.6864 swing low again
- US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read via USD repricing
21:04 UTC
Downtrend base, recovering · RSI 59 · price 0.69526
Higher lows off 0.6866 base.
The early-month slide from 0.7088 bottomed near the 0.6866 swing low, and price has since carved a series of higher lows, lifting back above the EMA20/EMA50 with a bullish EMA cross. Recovery is now pressing the 0.6969 swing high with the 0.6980 prior-rejection cap just above. ATR is moderate and the 0.6900 pivot underpins as the recovery floor.
Support: 0.6935, 0.6900, 0.6866
Resistance: 0.6969, 0.6980
What it said to watch
- H4 close above 0.6980 clears the prior rejection and opens range-top extension
- Failure to hold the 0.6900 pivot reopens the 0.6866 swing low
- US CPI Tue could materially shift this read via USD repricing