AUD/USD AI Live Scan, 4-hour chart, Monday, 13 July 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the AUD/USD 4-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
21:03 UTC
Downtrend easing into range · RSI 42 · price 0.69171
Basing above 0.6890 after multi-day decline.
AUDUSD carved a lower-high/lower-low sequence from 0.7075 into the 0.6886 floor mid-month, then based and recovered toward 0.6959 before rolling back to 0.6917. Price now sits between EMA20 and EMA50, both flattening, with ATR(14) compressed near 16 pips — a range read consistent with the 0.6890–0.6975 band the macro digest flags. Recent leg down from 0.6959 keeps sellers in near-term control while the 0.6900 handle holds.
Support: 0.6900, 0.6886, 0.6862
Resistance: 0.6959, 0.6980, 0.7013
What it said to watch
H4 close below 0.6886 confirms a fresh lower-low and reopens 0.6862
H4 close above 0.6980 invalidates the range and opens the topside
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant driver — could break this range either way
AUDUSD carved a double bottom near 0.6865 and has been grinding higher-lows back toward the 0.6970 pivot, the 38.2% fib that has repeatedly capped rallies. Price stalled at 0.6969 and has pulled back to 0.6933, sitting just under the EMA20 while holding above the EMA50. ATR is moderate and the pair is coiling below resistance into the US CPI print.
Support: 0.6900, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6970, 0.6980
What it said to watch
US CPI (Tue) is the dominant near-term catalyst and could materially shift this read
A clean H4 close above 0.6980 invalidates the capped-range read
Failure to hold 0.6900 exposes the 0.6865 swing low and confirms a lower-low
17:03 UTC
Recovery off lows, momentum slowing at resistance · RSI 46 · price 0.6933
Higher lows since 0.6865 into 0.6970 cap.
AUDUSD has carved higher lows since the 0.6865 swing low, grinding back to the 0.6970 fib pivot where rallies have repeatedly stalled — the last push to 0.69692 was faded back to 0.6933. The pair is coiling in a 0.6900-0.6970 band ahead of Tuesday's US CPI, with price now sitting just under the EMA20 while holding above the EMA50.
Support: 0.6900, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6970, 0.6958
What it said to watch
H4 close above 0.6970 fib pivot opens further recovery
Loss of 0.6900 psych exposes the 0.6865 swing low
US CPI Tue is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
Price sold off from 0.7088 to the 0.6865 base low mid-window, then carved higher lows back into a 0.6900-0.6970 coil; the recovery stalled at the 38.2% retrace near the multi-week top at 0.6970. EMA20 has crossed above EMA50 and price holds both, but broader structure stays negative with AUD on the back foot on risk-off flows. ATR is mid-range, showing neither compression nor expansion as the pair waits on the driver.
Support: 0.6920, 0.6900, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6970, 0.6980
What it said to watch
H4 close above 0.6980 invalidates the range and extends the recovery
Break below 0.6900 shifts structure back down toward the 0.6865 base low
The multi-week trend turned lower after the mid-June break from 0.708, but price has since carved higher lows off the 0.6865 base and coiled between 0.6900 and 0.6970. The 0.6970 area (near the 50% retrace of the whole downswing) has capped every attempt this fortnight, keeping the recovery boxed. ATR is compressing inside the range with US CPI on Tuesday framed as the swing factor.
Support: 0.6900, 0.6865, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6970, 0.6980
What it said to watch
H4 close above 0.6980 clears the multi-week top and extends the recovery
Break below 0.6900 confirms a lower-low and exposes 0.6865/0.6835
Higher lows off June low, pulling back below 0.6969.
AUDUSD has clawed back from the mid-June low near 0.6865, printing higher lows into the 0.6969 swing high before rolling over to 0.6938. Price is coiling in the 0.6900-0.6980 band the digest flags, with ATR(14) compressed near 15 pips as the pair waits on US CPI. The pullback has slipped back under EMA20 while holding above EMA50, leaving momentum neutral.
Support: 0.6900, 0.6884, 0.6860
Resistance: 0.69692, 0.6980
What it said to watch
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could break the 0.6900-0.6980 coil either way
A decisive close above 0.69692 would extend the recovery toward the 0.6980 range top
Failure to hold the 0.6900 pivot exposes the 0.6884 swing low and 0.6860 key support
Higher lows since 0.6865 base, capped near 0.6970.
AUDUSD carved a rounded base around 0.6865 through late-month and has recovered into a 0.6900-0.6980 coil, printing higher lows but repeatedly rejected at the 0.6969 swing high. The last three bars pulled back off that ceiling, leaving price hovering at the EMA20 while holding above the rising EMA50. The digest frames this as a two-way hold into US CPI, with hawkish RBA underpinning and a hawkish Fed narrative capping.
Support: 0.6900, 0.6866, 0.6860
Resistance: 0.6969, 0.6980
What it said to watch
US CPI (Tue 12:30 UTC) is the release that decides the break of this range
H4 close above 0.6980 range top opens the path to tentative upside
Loss of 0.6900 pivot exposes 0.6860 key support
05:03 UTC
Recovering off base, coiling · RSI 46 · price 0.69284
Higher lows since 0.6865 base, ranging under 0.6970.
AUDUSD carved a base near 0.6865 and has printed higher lows since, but the recovery has stalled inside a well-defined 0.6900-0.6980 coil noted across desks. The latest push to 0.6969 was rejected and price has slipped back to 0.6928, holding above the EMA50 while sitting under the EMA20. ATR is compressed, consistent with a range awaiting a catalyst rather than a trending leg.
Support: 0.6920, 0.6900, 0.6860
Resistance: 0.6980
What it said to watch
H4 close above 0.6980 unwinds the coil higher toward the prior swing zone
Failure to hold 0.6900 exposes 0.6860 key support
US CPI next week is the broader USD catalyst that could break the range
05:03 UTC
Recovery stalling into range · RSI 47 · price 0.69284
Coiling in 0.6900-0.6980 range after basing.
AUDUSD recovered off the 0.6865 double bottom to tag 0.6969 before stalling, and price has now slipped back under the EMA20 while holding above the EMA50. The swing structure has flattened into a well-defined 0.6900-0.6980 range, with the soft-USD/hawkish-RBA cross-currents keeping the pair coiled. ATR stays elevated but direction is absent inside the range.
Support: 0.6900, 0.6865, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6969, 0.6980
What it said to watch
H4 close above 0.6980 unwinds the range higher toward recent highs
Failure to hold 0.6900 range floor exposes the 0.6865 double bottom
US CPI next week is the primary USD catalyst that could break this range
01:03 UTC
Range within a broader recovery · RSI 51 · price 0.69413
Coiling 0.6900-0.6980 after basing off the June low.
AUDUSD carved a base around 0.6865 in mid-window and has since ground back into a coiled 0.6900-0.6980 band, consistent with hawkish RBA support meeting a repeatedly-capped 0.6980 ceiling. Price holds just above the EMA20/EMA50, but the pullback from the 0.6969 swing high leaves it mid-range with ATR compressing. Structure is a rounded recovery rather than a clean trend.
Support: 0.6900, 0.68649
Resistance: 0.69692, 0.6980
What it said to watch
H4 close above 0.6980 range cap would open range-breakout continuation
Loss of 0.6900 range floor exposes the 0.6865 swing low
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
01:03 UTC
Recovery uptrend within range · RSI 55 · price 0.69413
Higher lows off base, coiled under range cap.
AUDUSD has recovered off the 0.6865 base and is grinding higher within the well-worn 0.6900-0.6980 range, printing higher lows since late June. ATR(14) near 14 pips reflects a compressed, coiled market repeatedly capped toward 0.6980 amid the hawkish-RBA-versus-hawkish-Fed standoff. Price sits just above the EMA20/EMA50, which have crossed bullish during the recovery leg.
Support: 0.6900, 0.68649, 0.6860
Resistance: 0.6980
What it said to watch
H4 close above 0.6980 invalidates the range and opens a breakout
Failure to hold 0.6900 reopens 0.6860 key support
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read