AUD/USD AI Live Scan, 4-hour chart, Tuesday, 14 July 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the AUD/USD 4-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
21:04 UTC
Range recovery, momentum turning up · RSI 62 · price 0.69716
Range 0.6890-0.6975, higher lows since 0.6865 base.
AUDUSD carved a double bottom near 0.6865 in mid-window and has ground higher into a 0.6890-0.6975 range, with the latest impulse lifting price toward the range top after the soft US June CPI print undercut the dollar. Higher lows are intact and price sits above both EMAs, though ATR remains compressed with the 0.6950 pivot cap directly overhead. The 0.6975 range top is the pivotal resistance for the multi-day read.
Support: 0.6932, 0.6890, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6950, 0.6975
What it said to watch
H4 close above 0.6975 opens the path beyond the range top
Failure to hold 0.6932 reopens the 0.6890 range low
US PPI and Warsh testimony Wed could shift the USD leg of this read
AUDUSD spent three weeks compressing in a 0.6890-0.6975 range after the early-month slide from 0.707; the last two H4 bars punched a clean leg higher after the soft US June CPI print undercut the dollar, tagging 0.6992 before settling at 0.69716. Price is now above both EMA20 and EMA50 and pressing the range top, with the 0.6932 pivot acting as the rebuilt floor. ATR is only modestly elevated, so momentum has room but the range cap at 0.6975 remains the decisive structural test.
Support: 0.6932, 0.6890
Resistance: 0.6975, 0.6992
What it said to watch
H4 close above 0.6975 confirms a range break toward the upper structure
Failure back below 0.6932 returns price into the mid-range
US PPI (Wed 12:30 UTC) and Warsh testimony could materially shift this read
Consolidation 0.6885-0.6975 after early-month downswing.
AUDUSD carved a base near 0.6885 after the early-month slide from 0.7075 and has recovered to the 0.6975 range top, stalling right at the 50% retrace of that downswing. The latest bar wicked to 0.6992 before closing back at 0.6971 — rejection at the ceiling that has repeatedly capped rallies. Soft US CPI softened the dollar, but Hormuz-driven safe-haven demand keeps the 0.6975 cap in play.
Support: 0.6885, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6975, 0.7013
What it said to watch
H4 close above 0.6975 range top opens the path toward 0.7013
Failure to hold 0.6885 range floor reopens 0.6835 (50% fibo)
Aussie inflation expectations Thu 01:00 UTC could shift the range read
AUDUSD spent two weeks grinding lower from 0.7075 into a 0.6890-0.6975 range, but the latest H4 bar spiked to 0.6992 on the soft US CPI miss before closing at 0.6970 — right at the range top. Price has reclaimed both the EMA20 and EMA50 in the process, and ATR has ticked up on the impulse bar. The move stalls exactly where prior rallies capped, leaving the range intact until proven otherwise.
Support: 0.6932, 0.6890, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6975, 0.6990
What it said to watch
H4 close above 0.6975 confirms a range break and opens 0.6990+
Failure back below 0.6932 ema20 keeps the range read intact
Loss of 0.6890 range floor reopens the 0.6835 200d fibo zone
US PPI tomorrow 12:30 GMT could revive the USD bid and cap this
AUDUSD slid from the early-July 0.7079 high to a 0.6865 base, then carved a double bottom and has ground back into the 0.6890-0.6975 range, now trading near 0.6943 with the 0.6950 cap overhead. Price has recovered above both EMA20 and EMA50 as ATR compresses, consistent with the range-bound tone flagged into US CPI. The recovery off 0.6890 is holding but supply has repeatedly capped attempts near 0.6950.
Support: 0.6890, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6950, 0.6975
What it said to watch
A close above 0.6950 opens the path to the 0.6975 range top
Failure to hold 0.6890 range base risks 0.6835
US June CPI today could materially shift this read
13:03 UTC
Downtrend stalled, now ranging · RSI 54 · price 0.69433
Consolidation 0.6890-0.6975 after decline.
Price sold off from 0.7079 to a 0.6866 swing low mid-window, then stabilised into a 0.6890-0.6975 range as risk-off USD flows offset firmer Aussie data. The bounce off the lows has reclaimed both EMAs and is grinding back toward the 0.6950 cap, retracing ~38% of the prior impulse down. ATR sits mid-regime with price coiling just under resistance ahead of US CPI.
Support: 0.6890, 0.6866
Resistance: 0.6950, 0.6975
What it said to watch
H4 close above 0.6950 opens the path to the 0.6975 range top
Failure to hold 0.6890 range low exposes 0.6835
US June CPI print due — could materially shift this read
09:03 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 54 · price 0.69409
Multi-day range within descending channel.
A sharp early-window slide from 0.7079 gave way to a multi-day range between 0.6885 and 0.6975, with price consolidating mid-range near 0.6941 under a descending-channel bias. ATR is holding steady with no breakout yet; buyers have repeatedly defended the 0.6885 range low. US June CPI today is the dominant near-term driver for the next leg.
Support: 0.6885, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6969, 0.6975
What it said to watch
H4 close above 0.6975 breaks the range top and negates the channel
Break of 0.6885 range low opens the 0.6835 six-month low
US June CPI today could force a range break either way
Range within descending channel; recent higher lows.
AUDUSD sold off from 0.7079 to 0.6882 through the middle of the window, then stabilised into a 0.6890-0.6975 band with a series of higher lows off the floor. Price sits at 0.6941 back above both EMAs, but the broader descending-channel structure caps rallies below the 0.6970 range top. ATR is compressed, consistent with a coiled range ahead of today's US CPI print.
Support: 0.6890, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6970, 0.7013
What it said to watch
H4 close above 0.6970 invalidates the range read and challenges the channel
Break below 0.6890 opens the 0.6835 channel base / six-month-low zone
US June CPI today is the dominant near-term driver for this pair
05:03 UTC
Recovery off June low, ranging · RSI 49 · price 0.69312
Higher lows since 0.6865, capped near 0.6970.
AUDUSD has ground higher-lows since the mid-June low near 0.6865, but rallies keep stalling ahead of the 0.6970 range high. Last week's push to 0.6969 was rejected and price has drifted back to 0.6931, sitting just under EMA20 with EMA50 close beneath — a two-sided range read into US CPI, where a firm USD lean keeps the Aussie heavy sub-0.6950.
Support: 0.6900, 0.6860, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6970, 0.6980
What it said to watch
H4 close above 0.6980 clears the range high and opens a fresh leg
Failure to hold 0.6900 pivot exposes 0.6860, then the range base at 0.6835
US June CPI (Tue) is the near-term driver that could break this range
05:03 UTC
Range, recovering off lows · RSI 47 · price 0.69312
Higher lows since 0.6866, capped under 0.6970.
AUDUSD carved a base near 0.6866 mid-window and has since built a higher-low sequence back toward the 0.6970 cap, keeping the pair range-bound between 0.6900 and 0.6970. Price is pulling back into the middle of that band at 0.6931, holding above EMA50 but slipping under EMA20. ATR is subdued, consistent with the sideways grind noted ahead of US CPI.
Support: 0.6900, 0.6866, 0.6860
Resistance: 0.6970, 0.6980
What it said to watch
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could break this range read
Break below 0.6900 pivot exposes 0.6860 prior low
Clean H4 close above 0.6970 opens path to 0.6980
01:03 UTC
Range-bound within larger downtrend · RSI 44 · price 0.69184
0.6890-0.6975 range, mid-range pullback.
AUDUSD is boxing sideways in a 0.6890-0.6975 band after the early-month slide from 0.7073 stalled at the 0.6867 range low, with rising lows off that base defining a shallow recovery. Price has faded from the 0.6969 recent high back to the 0.6930-0.6950 pivot and is now near the 50% retrace of that impulse; ATR(14) has compressed, keeping the tape coiled below EMA20 and EMA50. RBA hawkishness underpins while broad USD firmness caps, netting a range ahead of US CPI.
Support: 0.6900, 0.6885, 0.68668
Resistance: 0.6950, 0.69692, 0.6980
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (core f/c ~2.9% YoY) is the dominant near-term catalyst for this pair
H4 close below 0.6900 psych opens the path toward the 0.6867 range low
H4 close above 0.6980 range top would end the range read
01:03 UTC
Downtrend, basing and consolidating · RSI 45 · price 0.69184
Range within broader down-leg; higher lows off 0.6867.
AUDUSD carved a down-leg from 0.7079 to the 0.6867 low, then based and clawed back into a 0.6890-0.6970 range that has held for over a week. Price is now easing off the 0.6969 range top back toward the 0.6930-0.6950 pivot after a hawkish-RBA vs risk-off-USD tug-of-war. ATR is compressed, keeping the pair coiled into the US CPI catalyst.
Support: 0.6900, 0.68837, 0.68668
Resistance: 0.6950, 0.69692
What it said to watch
US CPI (core f/c ~2.9% YoY, 12:30 UTC) is the dominant near-term driver for this range
H4 close below 0.6900 confirms a lower-low toward 0.6867