AUD/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Tuesday, 14 July 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the AUD/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:47 UTC
Range after CPI spike, momentum flat · RSI 55 · price 0.69759
Tight consolidation under session high.
AUDUSD jumped ~40 pips to 0.6992 on the soft US June CPI print as the dollar softened, then unwound into a tight 0.6967-0.6977 consolidation through the quiet Asia session. RSI(14) sits neutral near 55 and ATR has collapsed to ~4 pips; price is pinned at the range top with no fresh drive.
Support: 0.69669, 0.6946
Resistance: 0.6977, 0.6992
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6977 reopens the 0.6992 session high
Close below 0.6967 breaks the consolidation lower
AU Consumer Inflation Expectations 01:00 UTC could inject volatility into the thin range
23:47 UTC
Consolidation after CPI-driven pop · RSI 55 · price 0.69759
Tight range post-breakout.
AUDUSD spiked to 0.6992 on the soft US June CPI print that knocked the dollar, then settled into a tight 0.6970-0.6976 band through the quiet Asia session. RSI(14) is neutral near 55 and ATR has compressed to single-digit pips, reflecting the low-volume drift.
Support: 0.6970, 0.69674
Resistance: 0.6976, 0.69922
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6976 range top reopens the 0.6992 session high
Loss of 0.6970 range low exposes the 0.69674 session low
Australia Consumer Inflation Expectations Thu 01:00 UTC could shift this read
23:32 UTC
Uptrend, momentum flat · RSI 54 · price 0.69756
Post-breakout consolidation near highs.
AUDUSD spiked off the soft US CPI print, breaking from 0.6940 to a session high at 0.6992, then unwound into a tight 0.6968-0.6975 band through the thin Asia session. RSI(14) has cooled back to neutral near 54 as the range compresses just under the highs.
Support: 0.6968, 0.69405
Resistance: 0.6992
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6992 session high extends the breakout
Loss of 0.6968 range floor opens the pre-cpi low at 0.6940
Consumer Inflation Expectations (Thu 01:00 UTC) could shake the Asia range
23:32 UTC
Up then flat, momentum stalled · RSI 53 · price 0.69756
Post-spike consolidation, tight range.
Soft US June CPI spiked AUDUSD off 0.6944 to a session high 0.6992, after which price bled back and settled into a tight 0.6970-0.6979 consolidation through thin late-NY into Asia hours. RSI(14) is neutral near 53 with volume drying up; no directional development while the range floor at 0.6970 holds.
Support: 0.6970, 0.69674
Resistance: 0.6979, 0.69922
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6979 range top reopens the 0.6992 session high
Loss of 0.6970 range floor exposes the 0.6967 swing low
Australia Consumer Inflation Expectations Thu 01:00 UTC could break the consolidation
Consolidation below range top after breakout spike.
AUD spiked from 0.694 to 0.6992 mid-window as a soft US CPI print yesterday kept the dollar offered. Price has since drained into a tight low-volume Asian consolidation between 0.6968 and 0.6975, RSI back to neutral around 49; the 0.6975 range top is capping.
Support: 0.6968, 0.6950
Resistance: 0.6975, 0.6992
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6975 range top opens the path to the 0.6992 spike high
Loss of 0.6968 range floor exposes the 0.6950 pivot
US PPI Wed 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
AUDUSD spiked from 0.6944 to 0.6992 on the soft US CPI print, unwinding USD strength, then retraced to 0.6970. Price has since gone flat in a tight 0.6967–0.6977 band through the quiet Asia session, RSI(14) neutral near 51 and sitting on top of the daily range at 0.6975.
Support: 0.69669, 0.69437
Resistance: 0.69922
What it said to watch
Close above 0.6977 opens the path to a 0.6992 retest
Failure to hold 0.6967 confirms a deeper retrace toward 0.6944
US PPI Wed 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
23:03 UTC
Uptrend stalled, now flat · RSI 46 · price 0.69718
Tight range after spike.
AUDUSD spiked to 0.69922 during NY hours then faded back into a tight 0.6970-0.6976 band, trading dead flat through late Asia on thin volume. Price pinned to EMA20 with RSI mid-range; no setup in play.
Support: 0.6970, 0.69669
Resistance: 0.6976, 0.69922
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6976 range top reopens the 0.69922 spike high
Loss of 0.6970 range floor exposes 0.69669 session low
US PPI cluster Wed 12:30 GMT could break this range
23:03 UTC
Uptrend stalled, now flat · RSI 46 · price 0.69718
Post-spike consolidation near highs.
A soft US CPI print drove a sharp spike from 0.6944 to a session high of 0.6992, after which AUDUSD unwound into a tight 0.6970-0.6976 range. Price has gone dormant through Asia hours, drifting to 0.69718 with RSI back near neutral and volume drying up.
Support: 0.6970, 0.69669, 0.6944
Resistance: 0.6976, 0.69922
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.6970 range floor opens 0.69669 swing low
Reclaim of 0.6976 range top puts 0.69922 session high back in play
Wed PPI cluster and Warsh testimony could break the current range
22:47 UTC
Up off CPI spike, momentum flat · RSI 48 · price 0.69733
Consolidation near session highs after breakout.
AUDUSD spiked to 0.6992 on the soft US June CPI miss, then unwound into a tight 0.6968–0.6977 band. Thin, low-volume Asia session with price pinned near 0.6973 — no fresh momentum either way.
Support: 0.6968, 0.6950
Resistance: 0.6977, 0.6992
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6977 reopens the 0.6992 session high
Break of 0.6968 range floor exposes 0.6950
US PPI Wed 12:30 GMT could reset this range
22:47 UTC
Range after breakout spike · RSI 50 · price 0.69733
Consolidation post-CPI spike.
The soft US CPI print drove a sharp breakout spike from 0.6944 to 0.6992 during the prior session, but price has since stalled and coiled into a tight 0.6968-0.6975 band on thin Asian-session flow. RSI(14) sits neutral near 49 with no momentum in either direction.
Support: 0.69683, 0.6944
Resistance: 0.6975, 0.6992
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6975 pivot reopens the 0.6992 spike high
Loss of 0.6968 session low exposes the 0.6944 pre-spike zone
Wed PPI cluster and Warsh testimony could shift this read
22:32 UTC
Up off CPI spike, now flat · RSI 52 · price 0.69739
Consolidation at range top after breakout.
AUDUSD jumped ~40 pips on the soft US June CPI print near 12:30 UTC, tagging 0.6992 before fading back to the 0.6970s. Price is now coiling in a tight 0.6970-0.6975 band through thin Asia hours, holding above the pre-spike base.
Support: 0.6971, 0.69669, 0.6960
Resistance: 0.69775, 0.6992
What it said to watch
Close above 0.69775 session high reopens the 0.6992 spike high
Loss of 0.69710 recent floor exposes the 0.69669 swing low
US PPI Wed 12:30 GMT could reprice the post-CPI USD move
AUDUSD spiked from 0.6944 to a session high 0.6992 on the soft US June CPI miss around the NY window, then faded into a tight Asia-session consolidation pinned near the 0.6975 range cap. Volume has thinned and RSI(14) has cooled back to neutral as the move digests.
Support: 0.6967, 0.6944
Resistance: 0.6975, 0.69922
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6975 range cap opens the path back toward the 0.6992 session high
Loss of the 0.6967 swing low turns the consolidation lower toward 0.6944
US PPI cluster Wed 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
22:17 UTC
Consolidating after CPI-driven pop · RSI 46 · price 0.69724
Tight range near session high after breakout.
AUD spiked to a session high at 0.6992 on the soft US June CPI miss, then faded back and has coiled into a tight 0.6970-0.6976 range through quiet Asian hours. Price sits mid-range at 0.69724, RSI(14) neutral near 46 and ATR compressed as momentum stalls; the breakout base at 0.6944 held below.
Support: 0.6967, 0.6944
Resistance: 0.6976, 0.6992
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6976 range top reopens the path to 0.6992 session high
Failure to hold 0.6967 swing low exposes 0.6944 breakout base
US PPI/Warsh testimony Wed 12:30 GMT could shift this read
22:17 UTC
Up off midday spike, now flat · RSI 49 · price 0.69724
Consolidation under 0.6975 after breakout.
AUDUSD spiked from 0.6944 to 0.6992 around the London-NY window on the soft-USD/CPI tone, then faded and has coiled into a tight 0.6970-0.6975 band through the quiet Asia session. RSI(14) back to neutral near 49; ATR compressed to ~4 pips with volume drying up on the current bar.
Support: 0.6970, 0.69669
Resistance: 0.69755, 0.6992
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69755 range top reopens the 0.6992 session high
Failure to hold 0.6970 exposes the 0.69669 pullback low
US PPI Wed 12:30 GMT could shift the USD read materially
22:03 UTC
Up then flat, momentum stalled · RSI 53 · price 0.6974
Tight consolidation after impulse spike.
AUDUSD ripped from 0.6944 to a session high of 0.6992 on the soft US June CPI miss, then handed back a chunk of it. Since then price has coiled in a 0.6968-0.6978 band with RSI cooling to mid-range; no fresh direction until the range breaks.
Support: 0.6968, 0.6950
Resistance: 0.6978, 0.6992
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6978 reopens the 0.6992 session high
Loss of 0.6968 range floor exposes the 0.6950 pivot
US Core PPI and Warsh testimony later today could break this range
22:03 UTC
Up-leg stalled, now flat · RSI 51 · price 0.6974
Tight consolidation under session high.
The soft US June CPI print drove a sharp M15 leg up from 0.6944 to 0.6992 around the 12:30 UTC release. Price has since coiled into a tight 0.6967–0.6975 band through the NY-Asia handover, RSI(14) flat near 51 and ATR compressed to ~3 pips.
Support: 0.6967, 0.6944
Resistance: 0.6975, 0.6992
What it said to watch
Close above 0.6975 range top reopens the 0.6992 swing high
Failure to hold 0.6967 session low opens a deeper retrace toward 0.6944
Break of tight range likely needs a fresh USD driver
21:47 UTC
Up-leg faded, now flat · RSI 47 · price 0.69712
Consolidation under session high.
A sharp spike near 12:30 UTC broke the prior 0.6940 range up to a 0.6992 session high on the soft-USD post-CPI tone, then faded. Price has since coiled into a tight 0.6968-0.6975 band drifting into Asia, RSI(14) back to neutral near 47.
Support: 0.6968, 0.6944
Resistance: 0.6975, 0.6992
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6975 reopens the 0.6992 session high
Failure to hold 0.6968 exposes the pre-spike 0.6944 zone
Warsh testimony risk could reprice USD and break this range
21:47 UTC
Range after CPI-driven pop, momentum flat · RSI 46 · price 0.69712
Consolidating under range top post-breakout.
AUDUSD spiked off 0.6944 to a session high at 0.6992 on the soft US June CPI miss that undercut the dollar. Price has since drifted back to 0.6971 and is consolidating on the 0.6968 range floor in thin late-session trade, RSI(14) flat near 46.
Support: 0.6968, 0.6950
Resistance: 0.6975, 0.6992
What it said to watch
Close above 0.6975 range top reopens the 0.6992 session high
Soft US CPI drove a sharp spike from 0.6944 to the 0.6992 session high, but the move faded through the NY session and price has drifted back to the 0.6967 session low. Late-session volume is thin, with the pair now consolidating just under the 0.6975 range top.
Support: 0.6967, 0.6950
Resistance: 0.6975, 0.6992
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6967 session low extends the fade toward the 0.6950 pivot
Reclaim of 0.6975 range top reopens the 0.6992 session high
21:32 UTC
Up-leg stalling, now consolidating · RSI 45 · price 0.6967
Post-spike consolidation off 0.6992 high.
AUDUSD spiked from 0.6944 to 0.6992 on the soft-USD tone after the broad US CPI miss, then settled into a 0.6967-0.6975 band through the late-NY/Asia session. Price is now leaking to the session low at 0.6967 on thinning volume, RSI(14) mid-range near 45.
Support: 0.6967, 0.6950, 0.6941
Resistance: 0.6975, 0.6992
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.6967 opens the 0.6950 round pivot
Reclaim of 0.6975 range top puts the 0.6992 session high back in play
Warsh testimony / US Core PPI later could reprice USD and break this range
21:17 UTC
Consolidating after impulsive rally · RSI 46 · price 0.69733
Tight range below session high.
AUDUSD jumped from 0.6944 to a 0.6992 session high on the soft US CPI-driven USD unwind, then faded and has coiled tightly in 0.6968-0.6976 through the Asia session. RSI(14) cooled back to the mid-40s as the impulse stalled and price hovers around the 38.2% retrace of that leg.
Support: 0.6968, 0.6950
Resistance: 0.6976, 0.6992
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6968 opens the 0.6950 pivot
Reclaim of 0.6976 range cap re-tests the 0.6992 session high
Range holds ahead of US PPI/Warsh testimony later in the session
21:17 UTC
Uptrend cooling into consolidation · RSI 50 · price 0.69733
Post-breakout coil beneath range top.
AUDUSD spiked to 0.6992 on the soft US CPI miss, a clean breakout of the 0.6944 base, then faded back. Price has since coiled in a tight 0.6970-0.6975 band through the late US into early Asia hours, RSI(14) back near 50 after the surge.
Support: 0.69683, 0.6944
Resistance: 0.6975, 0.6992
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6975 range top reopens the 0.6992 session high
Loss of 0.69683 pullback low signals the CPI breakout is being retraced
US PPI and Warsh testimony Wed could materially shift this read
AUDUSD spiked to a session high 0.6992 on the soft US CPI-driven USD unwind, then faded and has consolidated in a tight 0.6970-0.6975 band through the late NY session. RSI(14) has cooled back to neutral near 49 as price holds the 38.2% retrace of the breakout leg.
Support: 0.6970, 0.69683
Resistance: 0.6975, 0.6992
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6975 reopens the path to the 0.6992 session high
Loss of 0.6968 negates the consolidation and confirms a lower low
US PPI and Warsh testimony Wed could shift the USD read
21:04 UTC
Uptrend stalling, now flat · RSI 49 · price 0.69739
Consolidation after CPI breakout.
AUDUSD spiked off 0.6944 into the NY session on the soft US CPI miss, tagging a session high at 0.69922 before fading. Price has since coiled tight around 0.6972-0.6975, holding the 38.2% retrace of the CPI move as late-session volatility drains (ATR ~6 pips).
Support: 0.69683, 0.6950
Resistance: 0.6980, 0.69922
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.69683 swing low opens the path back toward the 0.6950 pivot
Reclaim of 0.69800 supply reopens the 0.69922 session high
US PPI + Warsh testimony Wed 12:30-14:00 UTC could break this tight range
20:47 UTC
Uptrend stalled, now flat · RSI 46 · price 0.69723
Post-spike consolidation near highs.
AUDUSD spiked to a 0.6992 session high around the NY session then faded, and price is now coiling in a tight 0.6968–0.6975 band with RSI(14) neutral near 46. The digest's 0.6975 range top is capping, in a wait-and-see tape ahead of US PPI and Warsh testimony.
Support: 0.6968, 0.6952
Resistance: 0.6975, 0.6992
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6975 reopens the 0.6992 session high
Loss of 0.6968 recent low exposes the 0.6952 prior swing
US PPI / Warsh testimony Wed could break this consolidation
A soft-USD driven spike lifted AUDUSD off 0.6944 to a session high at 0.6992 around the US data print, before fading back to the 0.6972 area. Price has since coiled into a tight 0.6970-0.6975 band through the late NY/Asia handover, RSI(14) cooled to mid-range and volatility drained to ~5 pip bars.
Support: 0.69683, 0.6966
Resistance: 0.69775, 0.6992
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.69775 reopens the 0.6992 session high
Loss of 0.69683 pullback low exposes the 0.69660 spike low
Volume typically thin into Asia — expect the tight range to persist absent a catalyst
20:32 UTC
Up-leg stalling into consolidation · RSI 47 · price 0.6971
Post-breakout balance below session high.
A single M15 candle ~8h ago ripped through the 0.6945 base to a session high of 0.6992 on the soft US CPI print. Price has since bled back and is coiling in a tight 0.6970-0.6976 band under the 0.6975 cap, RSI(14) cooling to mid-range.
Support: 0.6970, 0.6945
Resistance: 0.6975, 0.6992
What it said to watch
Close above 0.6975 cap re-opens the 0.6992 session high
Close below 0.6970 consol low exposes the 0.6945 breakout base
The soft US CPI print drove a sharp NY-session spike from 0.6944 to a 0.6992 session high, after which AUDUSD settled into a tight 0.6968-0.6975 consolidation. Price now drifts along the range floor with RSI(14) cooled to mid-40s; no fresh impulse in play.
Support: 0.6968, 0.6950
Resistance: 0.6975, 0.6992
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6968 opens the path toward 0.6950
Reclaim of 0.6975 puts the 0.6992 session high back in range
Warsh testimony / PPI risk could reprice USD and break this consolidation
20:17 UTC
Up-leg fading into consolidation · RSI 46 · price 0.69715
Coiling below session high after breakout.
AUDUSD spiked ~40 pips on the soft US CPI print, tagging 0.6992 before fading. It has since coiled in a tight 0.6968-0.6975 band through the late-NY/Asia handover, holding near the 38.2% retrace of that rally with RSI cooled back to neutral.
Support: 0.6968, 0.6950
Resistance: 0.6975, 0.6992
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6975 reopens the 0.6992 session high
loss of 0.6968 unwinds the CPI spike toward the 0.6950 pivot
20:17 UTC
Up-leg faded, now flat · RSI 46 · price 0.69715
Post-breakout consolidation above 0.6968.
AUDUSD popped from 0.6944 to a session high of 0.6992 on the soft-USD CPI read, then faded and has been coiling 0.6968-0.6980 through late NY. Price now sits mid-range at 0.6972 with RSI(14) neutral near 46 and momentum drained on thin end-of-session flow.
Support: 0.6968, 0.6944
Resistance: 0.6979, 0.6992
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.6968 swing low opens the pre-pop base at 0.6944
M15 close back above 0.6979 puts the 0.6992 session high in play
US PPI + Warsh testimony Wed could shift the USD read materially
20:03 UTC
Up off CPI spike, momentum flat · RSI 47 · price 0.69714
Post-breakout consolidation near highs.
Soft US June CPI spiked AUDUSD off 0.6944 to a session high of 0.6992 around the 12:30 UTC print, then it faded back to 0.6970. Price has coiled in a tight 0.6968-0.6976 band through late NY hours, RSI(14) neutral near 47.
Support: 0.6968, 0.6950
Resistance: 0.6976, 0.6992
What it said to watch
Close above 0.6976 range top reopens the 0.6992 session high
Loss of 0.6968 swing low exposes 0.6950
US PPI Wed 12:30 UTC could reset this range
20:03 UTC
Up-move stalled, now flat · RSI 46 · price 0.69714
Consolidation after CPI breakout.
AUDUSD spiked from 0.6944 to a 0.6992 session high on the soft US June CPI print, then faded through the NY afternoon into a tight 0.6970-0.6979 consolidation. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s and price is sitting just below EMA20 at the range floor near 0.6970.
Support: 0.6970, 0.69661, 0.6944
Resistance: 0.6979, 0.6992
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69790 reopens the 0.69920 session high
Loss of 0.69700 exposes the 0.69661 spike low
Wed US PPI and Warsh testimony could reprice USD and break this range
19:47 UTC
Up-leg from CPI spike, now flat · RSI 47 · price 0.69734
Consolidation below session high.
The soft US June CPI print spiked AUDUSD off 0.6944 to a session high of 0.6992 during NY hours before the move faded. Price has since coiled in a tight 0.6968-0.6979 band around EMA20, RSI(14) back near neutral at 47.
Support: 0.69683, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.6979, 0.6992
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6979 reopens the 0.6992 session high
Loss of 0.69683 swing low exposes the 0.6950 pivot
Warsh testimony / Wed PPI could reprice USD and break this range
Tight range under session high after CPI breakout.
Soft US June CPI drove a sharp M15 breakout from 0.6944, spiking to a 0.6992 session high before fading back to consolidate around 0.6973 through NY hours. Price now coils in a tight 0.6968-0.6978 band, RSI(14) neutral near 49 after cooling from the spike.
Support: 0.69683, 0.6944
Resistance: 0.6983, 0.6992
What it said to watch
Close above 0.6983 reopens the 0.6992 session high
Failure to hold 0.6968 opens the 0.6944 breakout base
US PPI Wed 12:30 GMT could shift this range read
19:32 UTC
Consolidating after impulsive spike · RSI 46 · price 0.69728
Post-breakout range, tight coil.
AUDUSD spiked from 0.6944 to 0.6983 on the soft US June CPI miss, extending to a 0.6992 session high before fading. Price has since coiled in a tight 0.69689–0.69788 range through late NY, RSI(14) back to neutral near 46.
Support: 0.69689, 0.69437
Resistance: 0.69788, 0.6992
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69788 range top reopens the 0.6992 session high
Break below 0.69689 range low exposes the 0.69437 spike base
US PPI Wed 12:30 GMT could reprice the post-CPI dollar move
19:32 UTC
Up-leg from CPI spike, now flat · RSI 49 · price 0.69728
Consolidation just below session high.
AUD spiked from 0.6944 to a 0.6992 session high on the soft US June CPI print around the NY open, then settled into a tight 0.6970-0.6980 consolidation. RSI has cooled back to neutral off that impulse; price is pinned just under EMA20 with no fresh direction in the last few hours.
Support: 0.6970, 0.6944
Resistance: 0.6980, 0.6992
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6992 session high extends the CPI up-leg
Failure to hold 0.6970 session base exposes 0.6944 pre-spike level
US PPI (Wed 12:30 GMT) could reset the read on the CPI-driven USD move
A soft US CPI print at 12:30 UTC spiked AUDUSD from ~0.6940 to a session high of 0.69922. Since then price has coiled into a tight 0.6970-0.6979 band through late NY hours, RSI(14) cooling back to ~47 as the impulse digests.
Support: 0.69683, 0.69405
Resistance: 0.69922
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69922 reopens the session high
Failure to hold 0.69683 breaks the consolidation lower
Soft US CPI at 12:30 UTC spiked AUDUSD ~40 pips off 0.6944 into a 0.6992 session high, tagging the range top flagged near 0.6975-0.6992. Since then price has coiled tightly between 0.6968 and 0.6992, RSI(14) back to neutral around 50 as the NY-session move digests.
Support: 0.6968, 0.6970, 0.6950
Resistance: 0.6992, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6992 opens the 0.7000 round number
Failure to hold 0.6968 confirms a lower-low back toward 0.6950
Fed Warsh testimony could re-shift USD tone this session
19:03 UTC
Post-spike, consolidating near highs · RSI 48 · price 0.69742
Sharp breakout, now flat range.
AUDUSD gapped up ~40 pips off the 12:30 UTC soft US CPI miss, tagging 0.6992 before fading into a tight 0.6968-0.6980 range through the late NY session. RSI(14) has cooled back near neutral as price coils just under the 0.6980 top.
Support: 0.69683, 0.69412
Resistance: 0.6980, 0.69922
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6980 reopens the 0.69922 session high
Loss of 0.6968 range floor unwinds the CPI move toward 0.6944
Australia Consumer Inflation Expectations (Thu 01:00 UTC) could break the range
19:03 UTC
Uptrend post-CPI, now flat · RSI 52 · price 0.69742
Consolidation below session high after impulsive breakout.
The soft US June CPI at 12:30 UTC drove a sharp AUDUSD spike from 0.6944 to a session high of 0.6992. Price has since faded into a tight 0.6968-0.6982 consolidation through the late NY session, holding well above the pre-CPI base, RSI(14) cooled back to neutral around 52.
Support: 0.69683, 0.6944
Resistance: 0.69922, 0.6982
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6992 opens continuation higher
Failure to hold 0.69683 exposes the 0.6944 breakout base
Australia Consumer Inflation Expectations Thu 01:00 UTC could shift the range
18:47 UTC
Up post-CPI, momentum flat · RSI 44 · price 0.69713
Consolidation after breakout.
AUDUSD spiked to a 0.69920 session high on the soft US June CPI miss at the NY open, then settled into a tight 0.69683-0.69800 band through the NY afternoon. Price now sits at 0.69713 just under the range top, RSI cooling into the mid-40s.
Support: 0.69683, 0.6946
Resistance: 0.6980, 0.6992
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69683 swing low opens the pre-breakout zone near 0.69460
Reclaim of 0.69800 range top puts the 0.69920 session high back in play
The soft US June CPI at 12:30 UTC drove a sharp spike, lifting AUDUSD off 0.6944 to a 0.6992 session high. Price has since drifted into a tight consolidation around 0.6970-0.6975, holding above the pre-spike base with RSI(14) back near neutral.
Support: 0.69683, 0.69437
Resistance: 0.69775, 0.6992
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69775 reopens the 0.6992 session high
Failure to hold 0.69683 confirms a deeper retrace toward pre-spike 0.6944
US PPI Wed 12:30 UTC could shift this read
18:32 UTC
Up-leg from CPI spike, now flat · RSI 49 · price 0.69743
Consolidation near session highs after breakout.
Soft US CPI at 12:30 UTC drove a sharp spike from 0.6944 to a 0.69922 session high, RSI ran hot then cooled back to neutral. Price has since consolidated in a tight 0.6972-0.6977 band into the NY afternoon, holding above the 0.69683 pullback low.
Support: 0.69683, 0.6972
Resistance: 0.69922
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69922 extends the CPI rally toward the range top
Failure to hold 0.69683 confirms a lower-low back toward 0.6945
Wed US PPI (12:30 UTC) could reprice the post-CPI USD softness
18:32 UTC
Uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 54 · price 0.69743
Post-breakout consolidation near range top.
AUD/USD ripped from 0.6944 to a session high of 0.6992 on the soft US CPI miss, then faded through the NY session. Now consolidating in a tight 0.6970-0.6978 band with RSI cooling to neutral; the 0.6982 area caps recovery attempts.
Support: 0.6970, 0.69437, 0.6932
Resistance: 0.6982, 0.6992
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.6970 range floor puts the 0.69437 breakout base back in focus
Reclaim of 0.6982 reopens the 0.6992 session high
US-Iran headlines could jolt this read intraday
18:17 UTC
Up off CPI spike, momentum flat · RSI 47 · price 0.69761
Post-breakout consolidation below session high.
The soft US June CPI print at 12:30 UTC drove a sharp spike from the 0.6944 pre-cpi base to a session high of 0.6992, extending USD softness across the board. Since then AUDUSD has bled sideways into a tight 0.6970–0.6980 consolidation with RSI cooling back toward neutral; the range floor at 0.6970 has held into the NY afternoon.
Support: 0.6970, 0.6944
Resistance: 0.6980, 0.69922
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6980 range top reopens the 0.6992 session high
Loss of the 0.6970 range floor exposes the 0.6944 pre-cpi base
Hormuz/oil headlines could revive the safe-haven USD bid and cap upside
AUDUSD spiked from 0.6944 to 0.6992 on the soft US June CPI print, then faded and has been consolidating 0.6968-0.6976 through late NY hours. Price is sitting near the 50% retrace of that impulse with RSI(14) flat around 50 and volume drying up.
Support: 0.69683, 0.6961
Resistance: 0.69866, 0.6992
What it said to watch
Close above 0.69920 reopens the breakout high
Loss of 0.69683 exposes the 0.69610 post-cpi low
AUD Consumer Inflation Expectations Thu 01:00 UTC could break this range
18:03 UTC
Up off CPI spike, momentum flat · RSI 49 · price 0.69746
Consolidating below range top after breakout.
AUDUSD spiked ~40 pips through 0.6944 during NY hours on the soft US CPI miss, tagging a session high at 0.6992 before fading. Price now consolidating around 0.6975 range top, RSI back to neutral and ATR compressed to ~6 pips.
Support: 0.69683, 0.69437
Resistance: 0.69775, 0.69922
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69775 range top reopens 0.6992 session high
Failure to hold 0.69683 pullback low unwinds the CPI breakout
Consumer Inflation Expectations Thu 01:00 UTC could shift this read
AUDUSD spiked from 0.6944 to 0.6992 on the soft US CPI print during NY hours, then faded back into a 0.6968-0.6992 range. RSI(14) has cooled toward neutral as the pair coils just under the session high.
Support: 0.6968, 0.6960
Resistance: 0.6992, 0.6986
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6968 breaks the post-spike range and threatens a fade of the CPI move
Reclaim of 0.6992 session high reopens the 0.6970/0.6975 range top noted in the macro read
Warsh Fed testimony (Jul 15 14:00 UTC) could reshape the USD side of this read
NY session soft US CPI (core 2.6% vs 2.8%) triggered a sharp breakout above 0.6944, spiking AUDUSD to a 0.6992 session high. Price has since drifted into a 0.6968–0.6982 consolidation, RSI(14) cooling back to the mid-40s as the initial thrust fades.
Support: 0.69683, 0.69437
Resistance: 0.6982, 0.6992
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6968 breaks the consolidation floor and threatens the breakout base at 0.6944
Reclaim of 0.6982 reopens the 0.6992 session high
Warsh Fed testimony Jul 15 14:00 UTC and PPI batch could reprice USD and shift this read
AUDUSD ripped ~40 pips off the 0.69437 base into the NY session on the soft US June CPI print, tagging 0.69922 before stalling. Price has since drifted back to 0.6975 and is coiling between the 0.69683 post-spike low and the 0.6992 session high, RSI cooled to mid-40s.
Support: 0.69683, 0.69437
Resistance: 0.69922
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69922 reopens the range top toward the 0.6975 macro cap noted for AUD
Loss of 0.69683 puts the 0.69437 breakout base back in play
Warsh testimony resumes Jul 15 14:00 UTC and could re-shift USD tone
17:32 UTC
Up-leg fading into consolidation · RSI 53 · price 0.69749
Post-breakout range below session high.
AUDUSD gapped up on the soft US CPI print, tagging a session high at 0.69920 before fading. Now grinding 0.69683–0.69790 with RSI back near 53; the impulse has stalled and price sits just under EMA20.
Support: 0.69683, 0.69437
Resistance: 0.6979, 0.6992
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69790 reopens the 0.69920 session high
Loss of 0.69683 exposes the 0.69437 pre-spike area
Warsh testimony + US PPI on Jul 15 could reprice the CPI-driven move
AUDUSD spiked from 0.6944 to 0.6992 during NY hours on the soft US CPI miss (core YoY 2.6% vs 2.8%), which knocked the USD. Price has since consolidated in a tight 0.6970-0.6979 band, holding above EMA20/50 with RSI cooled off its extreme; session high at 0.6992 and range top near 0.6975 are the levels in focus.
Support: 0.69704, 0.69437, 0.69316
Resistance: 0.6992
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6992 extends the breakout leg
Loss of 0.69704 session low opens pre-spike 0.6944
0.6970/0.6975 range top from macro digest still capping
AUDUSD ripped from 0.6944 to a session high of 0.69922 on the soft US CPI print (headline -0.4% MoM, core 2.6% YoY), a dovish USD miss during NY hours. Price has since faded back below EMA20 to 0.6971, holding above the 0.69683 pullback low; rally capped near the 0.6970/75 range top flagged in macro read.
Support: 0.69683, 0.6943
Resistance: 0.6978, 0.69922
What it said to watch
Close back above 0.69780 reopens the 0.69922 session high test
Failure to hold 0.69683 exposes the 0.6943 pre-spike zone
Warsh testimony and US PPI (Jul 15) could re-shift the USD read
A soft US CPI print triggered a sharp spike from 0.6944 up through 0.6980 during the NY session, tagging a session high of 0.6992. Price has since drifted back to 0.6971, holding above the 0.6968 swing low while the 0.6992 top caps the move; RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s.
Support: 0.69683, 0.6966
Resistance: 0.6977, 0.6992
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69683 confirms a lower low and unwinds the breakout
Reclaim of 0.69920 reopens the session-high test
Consumer Inflation Expectations (Thu 01:00 UTC) could shift this read
AUDUSD spiked from 0.6944 to the 0.6992 session high on the soft US CPI miss, then eased into consolidation around 0.6977 after a pullback that held above 0.69683. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-50s; the pair is grinding sideways below the session high.
Support: 0.69683, 0.6950
Resistance: 0.69866, 0.6992
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.69920 session high would extend the CPI-driven move
Failure to hold 0.69683 swing low opens the path back toward the 0.6950 round number
The soft US June CPI at 12:30 UTC ripped AUDUSD from 0.69437 to a 0.69922 session high, well above the 0.6975 range top flagged pre-print. Price has since pulled back and is coiling around 0.6977, holding above the 0.69683 swing low with RSI cooling off the highs.
Support: 0.69683, 0.69437
Resistance: 0.69922, 0.69775
What it said to watch
Close back below 0.69683 confirms the CPI breakout is fading
Close above 0.69922 opens continuation toward the day's extension
Consumer Inflation Expectations Thu 01:00 UTC could add a fresh AUD catalyst
AUDUSD gapped from 0.6944 to 0.6981 on the soft US CPI miss during NY hours, extending to a session high of 0.6992. Price has since drifted back into a 0.6968–0.6992 consolidation with RSI cooling off the highs; buyers stepped in twice near 0.6968.
Support: 0.69683, 0.69437
Resistance: 0.6992, 0.69766
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6992 opens continuation higher
Loss of 0.6968 exposes the 0.6944 pre-breakout shelf
AUDUSD spiked ~40 pips off the 0.6944 base to 0.698 on the soft US June CPI print, then extended to a 0.6992 session high before stalling. Price is now consolidating between 0.6968 and 0.6992, RSI cooling back to mid-range as the initial thrust fades.
Support: 0.69683, 0.6944
Resistance: 0.69922, 0.6983
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6968 swing low reopens the 0.6944 breakout base
Close above 0.6992 session high resumes the CPI rally
US PPI tomorrow 12:30 GMT could revive the USD hawkish trade and shift this read
Impulsive break above range, now consolidating below session high.
AUDUSD spiked through the 0.6950 cap on the soft US June CPI miss, running to a 0.6992 session high before fading. Price is now consolidating 0.6968-0.6976, RSI(14) cooled off from the spike into the mid-50s.
Support: 0.69683, 0.6944
Resistance: 0.69868, 0.69922
What it said to watch
Close below 0.6968 opens a retest of the 0.6944 pre-CPI base
Reclaim of 0.6992 needed to resume the CPI-driven leg
US PPI tomorrow and Warsh testimony could reprice the USD leg of this move
16:32 UTC
Up off CPI spike, momentum cooling · RSI 53 · price 0.69755
Range broken higher, now consolidating below session high.
AUD ripped through the 0.6950 cap on the soft US June CPI print at the NY open, spiking to 0.6992 before easing back to 0.6975. Price is consolidating above the old range, holding the 0.69683 session low into the London-NY afternoon.
Support: 0.69683, 0.6952
Resistance: 0.6992
What it said to watch
Reclaim and close above 0.69920 opens continuation higher
Failure to hold 0.69683 puts the 0.6950 breakout level back in play
Fed Warsh testimony tone could reprice the USD and shift this read
Soft US June CPI popped AUDUSD through the 0.6950 cap into a session high of 0.69922, clearing the pre-cpi low around 0.6941. Price has since drifted back to 0.6973, slipping under EMA20 as RSI cools off the highs; the 0.69811 range base has become near-term resistance and 0.69683 is the session low being tested.
Support: 0.69683, 0.69412
Resistance: 0.69811, 0.69922
What it said to watch
15m close back below 0.69683 session low opens 0.69412 pre-cpi low
Reclaim of 0.69811 range base puts the 0.69922 session high back in play
Fed speakers / Warsh testimony today could re-ignite USD and shift this read
NY session ripped through the 0.6950 cap after the soft US June CPI print, spiking to a 0.6992 session high before fading to 0.6973. RSI(14) cooled from overbought toward the mid-50s as price consolidates just under the high.
Support: 0.69683, 0.6952, 0.6944
Resistance: 0.69922, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.69683 opens a deeper retrace toward the 0.6952 range top
Reclaim of 0.69922 puts the 0.7000 round number in play
Ongoing Fed Warsh testimony / Fed speakers could reprice USD and shift this read
AUDUSD gapped higher on the soft US June CPI print at 12:30 UTC, spiking from 0.6944 to clear the 0.6950 cap and tag a session high at 0.6992. NY session has since faded the extreme back to 0.6972; the post-CPI low at 0.6966 held on the pullback while RSI cools from the spike.
Support: 0.6966, 0.6950, 0.6944
Resistance: 0.6992, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 0.6966 puts the pre-CPI base at 0.6944 back in play
M15 close above 0.6992 reopens the 0.7000 round number
US PPI (Jul 15 12:30 UTC) and ongoing Fed speakers could shift this read
AUDUSD tore through the 0.6950 cap on the soft US June CPI miss, spiking to a session high 0.6992 during NY hours before retracing to 0.6972. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-50s off the highs; 0.6966 is the first support holding the move.
Support: 0.6966, 0.6950, 0.69405
Resistance: 0.6992
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.6966 opens a retest of the 0.6950 prior cap
M15 close back below 0.6950 invalidates the breakout read
US PPI on Jul 15 12:30 UTC could reshape this move
NY session; soft US June CPI at 12:30 UTC spiked AUDUSD off 0.6944, cleared the 0.6950 cap and ran to a session high of 0.6992. Price now consolidating near 0.6977 with RSI(14) cooling from the post-spike peak; 0.6950 has flipped to support underfoot.
Support: 0.69734, 0.6966, 0.6950
Resistance: 0.6992, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.6950 negates the CPI breakout
Break above 0.6992 opens the 0.7000 psych level
Fed Warsh testimony / Fed speakers could re-shift the USD read
Range break above 0.6950, consolidating below session high.
AUDUSD spiked through the 0.6950 cap on the soft US June CPI print during NY hours, tagging a session high at 0.69922. Price has since eased to 0.69772 and is consolidating just under the highs, RSI(14) cooling from overbought.
Support: 0.69734, 0.69437
Resistance: 0.69922
What it said to watch
Hold of 0.69734 keeps the higher-low chain intact; loss of it reopens the 0.69437 breakout zone
AUD ripped out of the 0.6944 range on the 12:30 UTC US CPI miss, spiking to 0.698 as the USD softened, then extending to a session high 0.69920. Price is grinding along the highs sub-0.7000 with RSI(14) elevated near 66 but not yet stretched.
Support: 0.6966, 0.6944, 0.69834
Resistance: 0.6992, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Break and hold above 0.69920 opens the path to the 0.70000 psych level
Loss of 0.69660 spike low would signal the breakout is fading
Fed speakers (Barr, Goolsbee, Cook) this afternoon could reprice USD and shift this read
AUDUSD ripped from 0.6944 to 0.6983 on the 12:30 UTC US CPI miss, clearing the 0.6950 cap that had capped price all session. Buyers have since held ~0.6978 and pushed to a 0.6992 session high, with RSI(14) hot but not extreme.
Support: 0.69785, 0.6950, 0.6944
Resistance: 0.6992, 0.6975
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.6978 session low would stall the breakout
Close back below 0.6950 negates the CPI break
Fed speakers this afternoon (Barr, Goolsbee, Cook) could shift USD flows
NY session ripped higher off the 12:30 UTC US CPI miss, tagging 0.6983 in one 15m bar and breaking the 0.6950 cap that held all Asia/London. Price has since ground up to 0.69922 with a clean higher-low chain; RSI(14) hot near 70 but not extreme, ATR ~10 pips.
Support: 0.6980, 0.6966, 0.6950
Resistance: 0.69922, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Fed speakers (Barr, Goolsbee, Cook, Bowman) this afternoon can whipsaw USD and reset this read
Loss of 0.69800 breaks the higher-low chain
0.70000 psych level — area to watch for rejection or break
15:17 UTC
Uptrend, strong momentum · RSI 72 · price 0.69906
HH/HL chain post-breakout.
AUDUSD ripped through the 0.6950 cap on the soft US June CPI miss, spiking from 0.6944 and grinding up to a 0.6992 session high through NY hours. RSI(14) hot near 71 but the HH/HL chain is intact; 0.6980 holding as new support.
Support: 0.6980, 0.69679, 0.6950
Resistance: 0.69922
What it said to watch
Hold above 0.6970 keeps the breakout structure intact
Return below 0.6950 negates the CPI breakout
Fed speakers this afternoon (Barr, Goolsbee, Cook) could shift USD flows
NY session ripped through the 0.6950 cap and the 0.6970-0.6975 range top after a soft US June CPI print (core MoM 0%), tagging a session high at 0.6992. Price is consolidating just below the highs around 0.6986; RSI(14) elevated near 67 but not yet stretched, ATR(14) at ~10 pips reflecting the post-CPI expansion.
Support: 0.6975, 0.6966, 0.6950
Resistance: 0.69888, 0.6992
What it said to watch
Close back below 0.6975 negates the breakout and returns price into the prior range
Fed Warsh testimony and Fed speakers this afternoon could materially shift this read
Failure to reclaim 0.69888 keeps 0.6992 as session ceiling
AUDUSD gapped through the 0.6975 range top on the soft US June CPI print near NY midday, spiking to 0.6983 then holding a 0.6966 post-cpi low. Price has since ground to a 0.6992 session high, RSI(14) elevated but not yet stretched.
Support: 0.6975, 0.6966, 0.6944
Resistance: 0.6992, 0.6983
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.6975 negates the range break and returns price into the prior 0.6910-0.6975 range
Ongoing Warsh testimony and afternoon Fed speakers could shift USD tone within the next bars
14:47 UTC
Uptrend, impulsive post-CPI leg · RSI 70 · price 0.69865
Range break to new session highs.
The soft US June CPI print (~12:30 UTC) spiked AUDUSD through the 0.6950 cap in one candle, extending to a 0.6992 session high as USD faded. Price is holding above the 0.6966 post-CPI low; RSI(14) near 70 is hot but normal inside an impulse.
Support: 0.6966, 0.6952
Resistance: 0.6992, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.6966 post-cpi low would signal the breakout is being retested/faded
0.7000 psych level above session high — area to watch for rejection or break
Fed speakers and Warsh testimony this afternoon could shift the USD read
AUDUSD ripped through the 0.6950 cap on the soft US June CPI print at 12:30 UTC, spiking from 0.6944 to 0.6983 in a single bar and printing a session high at 0.6992. Price has since held the gains, grinding higher lows off 0.6966 with RSI hot near 69.
Support: 0.69661, 0.69437
Resistance: 0.6992, 0.7000
What it said to watch
A close back below 0.69661 post-cpi low would negate the breakout hold
Fed Warsh testimony and Fed speakers this afternoon could materially shift this read
0.7000 psych level directly above — area to watch for rejection or break
14:32 UTC
Uptrend post range break · RSI 64 · price 0.69791
Range break, higher highs after CPI.
A soft US June CPI print around 15:30 broker time drove a sharp break above the 0.6944 range cap, spiking to 0.6983. Buyers held the 0.6966 retest and ground to a session high 0.6988; RSI(14) elevated near 64 but not extreme.
Support: 0.6966, 0.6944
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.6966 retest low would question the breakout
M15 close back below 0.6944 invalidates the range break
Fed speakers / Warsh testimony this afternoon could shift USD and this read
14:32 UTC
Uptrend, extending after breakout · RSI 67 · price 0.69791
Breakout above range, holding near session highs.
AUDUSD tore out of the 0.6940-0.6950 cap on the soft US June CPI print (core YoY 2.6% vs 2.8%), spiking to 0.6983 then extending to a 0.6988 session high as USD sold off. Price has held the 0.69661 breakout base on the pullback and is consolidating just below the highs, RSI(14) cooling from overbought.
Support: 0.69661, 0.6944
Resistance: 0.69888, 0.6983
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.69661 would negate the breakout and signal a fade of the CPI move
Fed speakers (Barr, Goolsbee, Cook, Bowman) and Warsh testimony this session could shift the read
Sustained trade above 0.69888 opens room toward the 0.6970s range top
The soft US June CPI print at 12:30 UTC snapped AUDUSD out of its 0.6910-0.6952 session range, spiking to 0.6983 on heavy volume. Price pulled back to 0.6966 then reclaimed the highs; RSI(14) around 71 is hot but normal for a fresh breakout, with the old range cap at 0.6952 now flipped to support.
Support: 0.6966, 0.6952, 0.6944
Resistance: 0.6983, 0.6975
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.6966 followed by 0.6952 would signal the CPI breakout is fading back into range
A close above 0.6983 extends the move toward the 0.6975-0.6990 zone
Fed Warsh testimony and heavy Fed speaker slate could reprice USD and shift this read intraday
NY session ripped through the 0.6950 cap on the soft US June CPI print at 12:30 UTC, spiking to 0.6983 before a shallow pullback to 0.69661. Buyers stepped back in on the retest and price is grinding back toward the 0.69866 session high with RSI(14) elevated but not extreme.
Support: 0.69661, 0.6950
Resistance: 0.69866
What it said to watch
Fed Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) could sharply shift this read
AUDUSD ripped out of the 0.6944-0.6950 cap on the soft US June CPI print, spiking to a session high of 0.6983 before settling into a tight consol above 0.6976. RSI(14) near 69 after the surge; price holding the upper end of the range with the spike low at 0.69661 unbroken.
Support: 0.6976, 0.69661, 0.6950
Resistance: 0.6983
What it said to watch
Reclaim below 0.6976 consol low would signal the breakout is fading
A close above 0.6983 session high extends the move
Fed Warsh testimony could shift USD flows and this read
14:02 UTC
Uptrend after CPI breakout · RSI 65 · price 0.69811
Range break higher, consolidating near session high.
The soft US June CPI print at 12:30 UTC spiked AUDUSD off 0.6944, blasting through the 0.6975 range top to a session high at 0.6983. Price pulled back to a retest low at 0.69661 and is now holding just under the high near 0.6981; RSI(14) is hot but not extreme around 65.
Support: 0.69661, 0.6944
Resistance: 0.6983, 0.6975
What it said to watch
Fed Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) could reverse the USD-driven leg
Loss of 0.69661 retest low would question the breakout
A close back below the 0.6975 range top reopens the prior range
Breakout above the 0.6950 cap, holding session highs.
AUDUSD ripped through the 0.6950 cap on the soft US June CPI print (~12:30 UTC), spiking to 0.6983 before pulling back to 0.69661 and recovering to 0.698 into the NY afternoon. RSI(14) hot near 71 after the vertical move; the prior cap at 0.6950 has flipped to a reference below.
Support: 0.69661, 0.6950, 0.6944
Resistance: 0.6983
What it said to watch
Sustained hold above 0.6950 keeps the breakout intact
Fed's Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Loss of 0.69661 pullback low reopens the 0.6950 prior cap
NY session saw AUDUSD spike through the 0.6950 cap to a 0.6983 session high on the soft US June CPI print, clearing the prior 0.6910-0.6950 range. Price pulled back to 0.6966 then reclaimed toward the highs, RSI(14) running hot near 73.
Support: 0.6966, 0.6950
Resistance: 0.6983
What it said to watch
Fed Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
A close back below 0.6950 negates the breakout
Failure to hold 0.6966 opens a retest of the prior cap at 0.6950
The soft US June CPI print fired AUDUSD through the 0.6950 cap and the 0.6975 range top in one candle, peaking at 0.6983 on a volume surge. Price pulled back to 0.69660 and held, now consolidating sub-0.6980 with RSI(14) cooling from hot levels.
Support: 0.6966, 0.6950, 0.69406
Resistance: 0.6983, 0.6975
What it said to watch
Fed Warsh testimony at 14:00 GMT could sharply reprice this move
Failure to hold 0.69660 puts the old 0.6950 cap back in play
Reclaim of 0.69830 opens continuation above the range
Soft US June CPI spiked AUDUSD out of its 0.6920-0.6950 range to a session high of 0.6983 during NY hours, RSI(14) pushing near 69. First pullback found buyers at 0.6966 and price is holding above the reclaimed 0.6950 cap into Warsh testimony.
Support: 0.6966, 0.6950, 0.6941
Resistance: 0.6983, 0.6975
What it said to watch
Fed Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
Close back below 0.6950 negates the range break
Break above 0.6983 opens the path toward 0.7000 psych
The soft US June CPI miss detonated a one-bar spike through the 0.6950 cap to a session high of 0.6983 during NY hours, clearing the multi-day 0.6890-0.6975 range top. Price has since pared back to 0.6971, holding above the 0.6968 spike low with RSI(14) cooling from the impulse.
Support: 0.6968, 0.6950, 0.6944
Resistance: 0.6983, 0.6975
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.6950 negates the range break and returns price into the prior range
Warsh testimony at 14:00 GMT could materially shift this read
Sustained hold above 0.6975 keeps the 0.6983 session high in play
Soft US June CPI at 12:30 UTC spiked AUDUSD from 0.6944 to 0.6983, clearing the multi-hour range top at 0.6975. Price pulled back into the NY session and is holding ~0.6970 above the breakout zone, RSI(14) cooling from post-spike highs.
Support: 0.6966, 0.6944
Resistance: 0.6983, 0.6975
What it said to watch
Fed Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Failure to hold 0.6966 puts price back inside the prior range
Close above 0.6983 opens the path to the 0.6975 range top extension
13:03 UTC
Uptrend, fresh breakout · RSI 75 · price 0.69716
Range break above 0.6950 cap.
AUDUSD ripped through the 0.6950 cap on the soft US June CPI print, tagging 0.6983 before settling near 0.6972. RSI(14) is hot at ~74 after the impulse; the move cleared the multi-hour range top at 0.6975.
Support: 0.6968, 0.6950, 0.6944
Resistance: 0.6983, 0.6975
What it said to watch
Hold above 0.6968 keeps the breakout intact; a slide back under 0.6950 flags a false break
Fed Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) could re-shape the USD read within the next bars
Close above 0.6983 opens the path to the 0.6975 range-top extension
NY session ripped through the 0.6950 cap on the 12:30 UTC US CPI print, tagging 0.6983 before retracing to 0.6972. The pullback held the 38.2% fib near 0.6966; RSI(14) cooling from hot but still elevated around 68.
Support: 0.6966, 0.6950
Resistance: 0.6983, 0.6975
What it said to watch
Hold above 0.6966 keeps the breakout intact
M15 close back below 0.6950 negates the range break
Fed Warsh testimony and Fed speakers this session could reshape the move
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC printed soft, and AUDUSD spiked ~40 pips off 0.6944 to 0.6983, clearing the 0.6950 cap that held all session. RSI(14) is stretched near 80 into the NY open after the impulse; price is now probing the session high with no pullback yet.
Support: 0.6950, 0.6944
Resistance: 0.6983
What it said to watch
A pullback into 0.6950 former cap would test whether the breakout holds as support
Fed's Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
12:47 UTC
Range then sharp breakout, momentum hot · RSI 82 · price 0.69822
Range break above session cap.
AUDUSD spiked ~40 pips to 0.69822 on the 12:30 UTC US June CPI print, breaking cleanly out of the 0.6913-0.6953 range that held all session and clearing the 0.6950 broken cap. RSI(14) is stretched into the low-80s on the vertical move; prior range top at 0.6975 is the next area to watch.
Support: 0.6950, 0.6944
Resistance: 0.6983, 0.6975
What it said to watch
Hold above the 0.6950 broken cap keeps the breakout intact; loss of it signals a false break back into the range
Fed Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC could reset this move
Rejection at session high 0.69830 / range top 0.6975 caps the extension
AUDUSD ripped through the 0.6950 cap on the 12:30 UTC US CPI print, the soft read softening USD and driving a 37-pip surge to a session high of 0.69812. Price closed 0.69763, holding the breakout with RSI(14) hot at ~76 on the single impulse bar.
Support: 0.6952, 0.6944, 0.6930
Resistance: 0.69812, 0.6980
What it said to watch
A close back below 0.69520 invalidates the breakout and puts price back inside the prior 0.6940-0.6952 range
Fed's Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
12:32 UTC
Uptrend, sharp breakout · RSI 78 · price 0.69763
Range break above 0.6950 cap.
AUDUSD ripped through the 0.6950 range cap on the US June CPI print, spiking to 0.69812 as a soft read pressured the dollar; RSI(14) now stretched near 78. Pair had ground sideways 0.6910-0.6952 all Asia/London before the NY-session CPI break.
Support: 0.6950, 0.6940, 0.6912
Resistance: 0.69812
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 0.6950 on a pullback negates the breakout and returns price to range
Fed's Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC could sharply reprice this move
AUDUSD recovered off the 0.69123 session low back toward the 0.6950 cap, where sellers rejected at 0.69531 and the pair drifted to 0.69422. Coiling in a tight 0.6939-0.6953 band into the US June CPI print, RSI(14) neutral near 51.
Support: 0.69395, 0.69123
Resistance: 0.69531, 0.6950
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (imminent) can break this range read
M15 close above 0.6950 opens the path to the 0.69531 session high
Loss of 0.69395 exposes the 0.69123 session low
12:17 UTC
Recovery off lows, momentum slowing below cap · RSI 53 · price 0.69422
Consolidating under session high after rejection.
AUDUSD ground up from the 0.69123 session low through London and spiked to a 0.69521 session high into the NY approach, where it was rejected. Now consolidating around 0.6942 below the 0.6950 cap; US June CPI at 12:30 UTC is due imminently.
Support: 0.6938, 0.69123
Resistance: 0.6950, 0.69521
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read within minutes
Close above 0.69521 opens the path toward the 0.6975 range top
Failure to hold 0.6938 risks a retest of the 0.69123 session low
London session lifted AUDUSD off the 0.6912 low to a 0.69531 high before rejection at the 0.6950 cap; price is now consolidating near 0.6944 with RSI(14) back to neutral. US June CPI at 12:30 UTC lands within the hour and is the dominant near-term catalyst.
Support: 0.69379, 0.6928, 0.69123
Resistance: 0.69531, 0.6950, 0.6975
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (under 30min) can materially shift this read
M15 close above 0.69531 opens the 0.6975 range top
Loss of 0.69280 breaks the ascending support and the higher-low chain
12:02 UTC
Uptrend off Asia low, momentum cooling · RSI 53 · price 0.69436
Consolidating below session high after rejection at 0.6952.
London session lifted AUDUSD off the 0.69123 Asia low to a session high of 0.69521, where it was rejected and is now consolidating around 0.6944 with RSI(14) mid-range. Price sits back below the 0.6950 psych cap flagged in context ahead of US CPI.
Support: 0.6938, 0.6930, 0.69123
Resistance: 0.69521, 0.6950
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC (~30min) is the dominant near-term catalyst and could reshape this read
Close above 0.69521 clears the session high and opens the 0.6970 range top
Failure to hold 0.69380 exposes 0.6930 then the 0.69123 Asia low
11:47 UTC
Up off intraday low, momentum fading · RSI 51 · price 0.69421
Rally into 0.6952, pulling back pre-CPI.
London session lifted off the 0.69123 swing low to a session high 0.69521, where price was rejected at the well-flagged 0.6950 cap. Now consolidating near 0.6942 above EMA50, RSI(14) back to neutral ahead of US June CPI.
Support: 0.6940, 0.69123
Resistance: 0.69521, 0.6950
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 0.69521 opens the path toward 0.6975
Failure to hold the 0.6940 recent low exposes 0.69123
HH/HL off session low, pulling back below session high.
London leg drove AUDUSD to a session high of 0.69531 before rejection at the 0.6950 psych cap, and price has since retraced to 0.69421 with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s. The rally off the 0.69123 session low is still holding higher lows, but the pullback has slipped back under EMA20 ahead of US June CPI.
Support: 0.6938, 0.69281, 0.69123
Resistance: 0.6950, 0.69531
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC (<1h) could materially shift this read
M15 close above 0.6950 clears the cap toward the 0.69531 session high
Failure to hold 0.6938 exposes the 0.69281 swing low
11:32 UTC
Uptrend off Asian low, momentum fading · RSI 48 · price 0.69417
Higher lows into session high, pulling back.
London lifted AUD off the Asian low near 0.69123 to a session high of 0.69521, where the move was rejected and price has since eased back to 0.6942. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s as the pullback holds above the 0.6940 swing low, with US June CPI due in roughly an hour.
Support: 0.6940, 0.69123, 0.6890
Resistance: 0.69521, 0.6970
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC (~60min) is the dominant near-term driver and could reset this read
M15 close back above 0.69521 opens the path to the 0.6970 range top
Failure to hold 0.6940 exposes the 0.69123 session low
AUDUSD recovered through the London-NY transition from the 0.69123 session low to a session high at 0.69531, where price was rejected and eased back to 0.69417. RSI(14) has cooled to neutral as the move stalled below the session high; ATR sits near 4.6 pips.
Support: 0.6938, 0.6928, 0.69123
Resistance: 0.69531, 0.6946
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC (~60m) is the dominant near-term catalyst and could reshape this read
Close back above 0.69531 reopens the 0.6970 area
Failure to hold 0.69380 swing low exposes 0.69280 then the 0.69123 session low
11:17 UTC
Intraday rally stalling · RSI 46 · price 0.69395
Pullback from session high.
London session drove AUD to a session high at 0.6953 before rejection pared gains back to 0.6940, RSI(14) cooling into the mid-40s. Price holds above EMA50 but has slipped under EMA20 as the pullback develops ahead of US June CPI.
Support: 0.6938, 0.6928, 0.6912
Resistance: 0.6953, 0.6970
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC (~75 min) is the dominant catalyst and could shift this read
M15 close above 0.6953 reopens the 0.6970 range top
London session pushed to a 0.69521 session high before fading back to 0.69395, holding a chain of higher lows off the 0.69123 base. Price is coasting just under EMA20 with RSI(14) neutral near 52, and US June CPI at 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst.
Support: 0.6930, 0.6916, 0.69123
Resistance: 0.69521, 0.69476
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 0.69521 opens the path toward 0.69550
Loss of 0.69300 breaks the higher-low chain toward 0.69160
London session pushed AUDUSD up to a 0.69521 session high before rejection dragged price back toward the 0.6939 swing low, RSI cooling to mid-range. The rally rebuilt off the 0.6913 session low but has stalled ahead of the US CPI print at 12:30 GMT — the dominant near-term catalyst.
Support: 0.6939, 0.6913
Resistance: 0.69521, 0.6950
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 GMT (~1.5h) is the primary driver and can override this read
Close below 0.6939 reopens the 0.6913 session low
Reclaim of 0.69521 needed to resume the intraday advance
AUDUSD recovered from the 0.6916 Asian low through London to a 0.6953 session high, then rejected and eased back to 0.6940 with RSI(14) cooling to ~46. Price now sits just under EMA20 in a pullback; 0.6940 is the near-term shelf being tested.
Support: 0.6940, 0.6916
Resistance: 0.69476, 0.6953
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Loss of 0.6940 opens the path back toward the 0.6916 asia low
Reclaim of 0.69476 puts the 0.6953 session high back in play
10:47 UTC
Recovery stalling, pullback in play · RSI 47 · price 0.69421
Rally off Asian low, rejected at session high.
NY session pushed AUDUSD to a session high of 0.69521 before sellers capped it and price eased back to 0.6942. Move is a shallow pullback within the recovery off the 0.69123 Asian low; RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s.
Support: 0.6928, 0.69123
Resistance: 0.69521, 0.6949
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 GMT (~2h) is the dominant catalyst and could break this range
Close above 0.69521 reopens the upper 0.6950/0.6970 zone
Loss of 0.6928 confirms a deeper retrace toward the 0.69123 low
London session lifted AUDUSD off the Asian low near 0.6912 to a session high of 0.69521, where it was rejected twice and has since eased back to 0.6942 with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-50s. Price is now hovering on the EMA20 after the spike, holding above the 0.6936 higher low. US June CPI at 12:30 GMT is the dominant near-term catalyst.
Support: 0.69406, 0.6936, 0.69123
Resistance: 0.69521, 0.69531
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 GMT (~2h) is the primary driver and could override this read
M15 close above 0.69521 reopens the path toward 0.6970
Failure to hold 0.6936 breaks the higher-low chain
London session ground higher off the 0.6913 low, spiking to a session high of 0.69521 before easing into a 0.6946-0.6952 consolidation with RSI(14) cooling from the rally. Price holds above EMA20/50 but is coiling ahead of US June CPI.
Support: 0.6946, 0.6939, 0.69174
Resistance: 0.69521, 0.69531
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 GMT is the dominant catalyst and could override this read within the next bars
Close above 0.69531 extends the up-move toward 0.6970
Loss of 0.6946 range low exposes the 0.6939 swing low
AUDUSD ground higher through NY hours off the 0.69174 session low, tagging 0.69521 before rejecting and easing back to 0.69457. RSI cooling from the highs; price still holds above EMA20/50 with the rally's higher-low chain intact.
Support: 0.6942, 0.6930, 0.69174
Resistance: 0.69521, 0.69531
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.69420 breaks the higher-low chain and reopens 0.69300
Reclaim of 0.69521 session high resumes the recovery leg
US June CPI at 12:30 GMT (~2h) is the dominant catalyst and can override this read
Higher highs/higher lows off 0.6913 low, capped at 0.6953.
London session drove AUDUSD up from the 0.6913 low to a session high at 0.6953, but the level rejected twice and RSI(14) is cooling near 61. Price now consolidating around 0.6947, holding above the 0.6943 swing.
Support: 0.6943, 0.69281
Resistance: 0.69531, 0.6970
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 GMT (~2h) is the dominant near-term catalyst and could reset this read
Close above 0.6953 opens the path toward 0.6970
Failure to hold 0.6943 signals loss of the intraday uptrend
AUDUSD ground higher through the London session, tagging a session high at 0.6953 before easing to 0.6947, RSI cooling from the mid-60s. Move rides on pre-CPI USD squaring after the hawkish-Fed lean; the higher-low chain from the 0.6928 base is intact.
Support: 0.6943, 0.69386, 0.6930
Resistance: 0.69531, 0.6970
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 GMT (~2h) is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
Close above 0.69531 session high opens the path to 0.6970
Failure to hold 0.6943 breaks the higher-low chain toward 0.69386
London session ground higher off the 0.69166 lows, breaking the 0.6943 pullback zone with a spike to a 0.69531 session high before stalling at 0.69504. RSI(14) near 65 — hot but not stretched — with the rally holding above the 0.6932 pivot.
Support: 0.6943, 0.69326, 0.69166
Resistance: 0.69531, 0.6970
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC (~2.5h) is the dominant catalyst and can override this read
Close back below 0.6943 puts the higher-low chain at risk toward 0.69326
London session ground higher from the Asian low near 0.6913, tagging a session high at 0.69521 before easing to 0.6950; RSI(14) elevated near 64, not yet stretched. US June CPI at 12:30 GMT is the dominant near-term driver into this session.
Support: 0.6943, 0.6937, 0.6913
Resistance: 0.69521, 0.6970
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Close above 0.69521 session high opens the path to 0.6970
Loss of 0.6943 pullback low breaks the higher-low chain
London session lifted AUDUSD off the 0.69123 Asian low through a chain of higher lows to a session high of 0.69521, before easing back to 0.69486 ahead of US June CPI. RSI(14) cooling from the spike near 63; buyers stepped in repeatedly around 0.6928.
Support: 0.6943, 0.69281, 0.69123
Resistance: 0.69521, 0.6970
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 GMT (~3h) is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
Close below 0.6943 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
Break and hold above 0.69521 opens the path to the 0.6970 range top
London session lifted AUDUSD off the 0.6913 Asian low to a session high 0.69521 before a sharp rejection back near 0.6948, RSI cooling from the push. Grind higher stayed above rising support; US June CPI at 12:30 GMT is the dominant catalyst.
Support: 0.6943, 0.69386, 0.69281
Resistance: 0.69521, 0.6970
What it said to watch
Close above 0.69521 opens the path toward 0.6970
Failure to hold 0.6943 puts 0.69386 swing low back in play
AUDUSD recovered through the London session, grinding higher lows off the 0.69123 base before spiking to a session high at 0.69521 and getting rejected back to 0.6948. Price holds above EMA20/EMA50 with RSI near 62; the 0.6970 prior top remains the cap overhead.
Support: 0.6939, 0.69281, 0.69174
Resistance: 0.69521, 0.6970
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 GMT (~3h) is the dominant catalyst and could reshape this read
M15 close above 0.69521 opens the path toward the 0.6970 prior top
Failure to hold 0.69281 swing low confirms a lower low and stalls the recovery
London session extended the recovery off 0.69281, spiking to 0.69521 before sellers capped the move and price eased back to 0.69481, RSI cooling from the high 60s. Higher-low chain holding above the rising trendline; safe-haven USD bid keeps upside contained ahead of US CPI.
Support: 0.69367, 0.69281, 0.69166
Resistance: 0.69521, 0.6970
What it said to watch
Close above 0.69521 opens the 0.69700 range cap
Failure to hold the rising trendline near 0.69367 exposes 0.69281 swing low
US June CPI in ~3h could materially shift this read
London session lifted AUDUSD off the 0.6912-0.6928 base to a fresh session high at 0.69521, reclaiming the 0.6932 9-day EMA pivot flagged as the near-term line. RSI(14) is hot near 71 after the impulsive final bar. US June CPI at 12:30 GMT sits ~3h ahead and is the dominant catalyst.
Support: 0.6943, 0.6930, 0.69123
Resistance: 0.69521, 0.6970
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69521 opens the path to the 0.6970 recent top
Failure back below 0.69430 negates the breakout
US CPI at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
London session grinds higher; a clean break above the 0.6944 prior high pushed price into the session high at 0.69521, RSI(14) near 72. Recovery has been a steady chain of higher lows off the 0.6912 base, with the Aussie firming ahead of US CPI.
Support: 0.69437, 0.69281, 0.69166
Resistance: 0.69521, 0.6970
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 GMT (~3h) is the dominant catalyst and can reset this read
Sustained trade above 0.69521 opens the path toward the 0.6970 top
Failure to hold 0.69437 breaks the higher-low chain
London session recovery off the 0.69281 swing low, stair-stepping into 0.69447 with buyers defending a rising support line. RSI(14) mid-60s, price holding above EMA20/50; the 0.6948 session high caps the move ahead of US June CPI at 12:30 UTC.
Support: 0.6937, 0.69281
Resistance: 0.69447, 0.6948
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 0.6948 opens the path toward 0.6970
Failure to hold 0.6937 rising support breaks the higher-low chain
AUDUSD recovered off the 0.6912 session low through the London session, grinding back to 0.6944 on a clean chain of higher lows. RSI(14) mid-60s, no extreme; rising support intact but the 0.69447 session high is capping so far.
Support: 0.69367, 0.69306, 0.69123
Resistance: 0.69447, 0.69492, 0.6950
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC (~3.5h) could materially shift this read
Close above 0.69447 opens the path to 0.69492
Loss of 0.69306 breaks the higher-low chain
08:47 UTC
Intraday recovery, momentum up · RSI 64 · price 0.69439
Higher lows off session low, testing session high.
AUDUSD recovered from the 0.69123 session low back to the 0.69440 session high, building a chain of higher lows through London hours as the pre-CPI USD bid eased. RSI(14) mid-60s, no extreme; price is pressing the session high having reclaimed EMA20/50.
Support: 0.6930, 0.69123
Resistance: 0.6944, 0.69492
What it said to watch
US June CPI 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 0.69492 opens the path to the range top near 0.6975
Failure to hold 0.69300 breaks the rising higher-low sequence
AUDUSD recovered through the London session off the 0.69123 session low, chaining higher lows to press the session high at 0.6944 with RSI(14) near 62. Price sits above both EMA20 and EMA50; the prior swing high at 0.69490 is the immediate cap ahead of US CPI.
Support: 0.6935, 0.69281, 0.69123
Resistance: 0.6949, 0.6975
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69490 opens the path to the 0.6975 range top
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Failure to hold the 0.69350 EMA20 zone breaks the higher-low chain
Rounded base off session low, higher lows building.
AUDUSD carved a rounded base near 0.6913 through the Asian session and has ground back to 0.6940 into London hours, RSI(14) around 61 with higher lows intact. Buyers stepped in twice above 0.6928; the 0.69425 recent high is the near-term cap.
Support: 0.69281, 0.69123
Resistance: 0.69425, 0.69492
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst for this read
Close above 0.69425 opens the path back toward 0.69492
Failure to hold 0.69281 reopens the 0.6913 session low
Higher lows since 0.6912, pulling back from session high.
AUDUSD carved a base near the 0.69123 session low overnight and London hours rebuilt a chain of higher lows up to the 0.69425 session high before easing to 0.6940. RSI(14) mid-range at ~57; US June CPI at 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst and can override this intraday structure.
Support: 0.69283, 0.69123
Resistance: 0.69425, 0.69457
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC is the primary risk to this read
Close above 0.69425 session high opens the 0.69457 prior high
Failure to hold the 0.69283 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
Higher lows off session base, pulling back from swing high.
AUDUSD carved a rounded base near 0.69123 through the Asian session and has recovered into London, printing higher lows up to the 0.69425 swing high before easing to 0.6937. Price holds above EMA20/50 with RSI mid-range; move sits inside the digest's 0.6890–0.6975 cage.
Support: 0.6930, 0.69123
Resistance: 0.69425, 0.6948
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst and can override this structure
M15 close above 0.69425 extends the recovery toward the 0.6948 prior high
Loss of 0.69300 rising support reopens the session low at 0.69123
Higher lows off session low, pullback in progress.
AUDUSD carved a session low at 0.69130 during the Asia-London handover and has recovered in a chain of higher lows to a session high at 0.69425, now easing back to 0.69371 with RSI cooling from mid-60s. Price holds above both EMAs; the pullback is retesting the rising support off the swing low at 0.69280.
Support: 0.6928, 0.6913
Resistance: 0.69425, 0.6949
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst and could reset this read
Loss of 0.69280 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
M15 close above 0.69425 session high reopens the 0.69490 prior high
08:02 UTC
Recovering, higher lows building · RSI 66 · price 0.6941
HL chain off 0.6912 low, retesting prior high.
AUDUSD recovered from the 0.6912 swing low through the London session, a clean higher-low chain lifting price back to 0.6941 and into the prior-high zone near 0.6948. RSI(14) mid-60s, momentum firm but approaching the top of the recent range. US June CPI at 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst.
Support: 0.69281, 0.69123, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.69492, 0.6950
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 0.69492 prior high opens the path back toward the 0.6975 range top
Failure to hold 0.69281 higher low breaks the recovery structure
08:02 UTC
Recovery, higher lows building · RSI 62 · price 0.6941
Rebound off session low, retesting session high.
AUDUSD carved a double bottom near 0.6912 mid-window and has ground back up to the session high at 0.6942, printing a chain of higher lows through the late-Asia/London handover. RSI(14) near 62, momentum firm but not stretched. Move sits inside the broader 0.6890–0.6975 range flagged in the macro read.
Support: 0.6931, 0.6912
Resistance: 0.6942, 0.6949
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst and could reshape this read
Close above 0.6949 opens the path back toward the 0.6975 range top
Loss of 0.6931 breaks the higher-low chain and reopens the 0.6912 session low
07:47 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 61 · price 0.69393
V-recovery, higher lows into resistance.
AUDUSD carved a rounded bottom at the 0.69123 session low through thin Asia hours and has climbed back to retest the session high near 0.69402, RSI(14) mid-60s. Recovery tracks a chain of higher lows off the base; buyers stepped in repeatedly around 0.69280 into early London.
Support: 0.6928, 0.69123
Resistance: 0.69402, 0.69492
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69402 session high opens path toward the 0.69492 prior high
Failure to hold rising support / 0.69280 swing low stalls the recovery
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC (~5h) core f/c ~2.9% YoY is the primary swing factor for AUD/USD
07:47 UTC
Recovery off session low, momentum building · RSI 63 · price 0.69393
Higher lows since London base at 0.6913.
AUDUSD carved a double bottom near 0.6913 through the Asian session and has ground back to the 0.6940 session high, printing higher lows. RSI(14) mid-60s, price holding above EMA20 and EMA50 — no exhaustion yet, but US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the swing factor.
Support: 0.69281, 0.6913
Resistance: 0.69402, 0.6949
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC — dominant catalyst that can override this intraday structure
Close above 0.69402 session high opens the path back toward 0.6949 prior high
Loss of 0.69281 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
AUDUSD sold off through yesterday's session to a 0.6913 base, then carved a rounded recovery and is grinding higher into London around 0.6937 with RSI(14) near 59. Buyers have defended 0.6913 repeatedly; move is capped below the 0.6949 prior high ahead of US CPI later today.
Support: 0.6913, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6949, 0.6975
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC is the primary swing factor for this read
Close above 0.6949 opens the path to the 0.6975 range top
AUDUSD based at 0.69123 during Asia and has ground higher through the London morning to 0.6937, printing a chain of higher lows. RSI(14) near 61, no extreme; recovery is orderly but capped below the prior session high at 0.6949.
Support: 0.6931, 0.69123
Resistance: 0.6949, 0.6975
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this intraday read
Close above 0.6949 opens the path toward the 0.6975 range top
Loss of 0.6931 hl support breaks the higher-low chain
AUDUSD carved a rounded base at 0.69123 through the Asia session and ground higher into London, now retracing ~60% of the prior drop from 0.69492 and holding above the rising support line. RSI(14) mid-50s, momentum cooling as price stalls under the 0.69383 swing high. US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst.
Support: 0.69272, 0.69123
Resistance: 0.69383, 0.69492
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 0.69383 opens the path back to the 0.69492 prior high
Loss of 0.69272 swing low reopens the 0.69123 session low
Higher lows off a 0.6913 base, capped near 0.6938.
London morning saw AUDUSD grind back from the 0.6913 base that held twice, price now consolidating at 0.6934 below the 0.69383 pivot with RSI(14) mid-range. Move is a shallow, low-ATR recovery inside the broader 0.6890-0.6975 range, all in a holding pattern ahead of US CPI.
Support: 0.69272, 0.69123
Resistance: 0.69383, 0.6948
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
M15 close above 0.69383 opens the path back toward 0.6948 session high
Loss of 0.69272 puts the 0.6913 base back in focus
Consolidation inside 0.6912-0.6948, higher lows off the low.
AUDUSD is boxed between 0.6912 and 0.6948 through the London session, currently soft near 0.6928 after a recovery off the mid-window 0.6912 low stalled at 0.6938. RSI(14) sits mid-range and ATR is compressing ahead of the US June CPI print, with the Aussie held back by safe-haven USD demand.
Support: 0.6916, 0.6912
Resistance: 0.6938, 0.6948
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC is the binary near-term driver
Close below 0.6912 confirms a lower-low and breaks the range floor
Reclaim of 0.6938 reopens the 0.6948 session high
07:02 UTC
Range, mid-range drift · RSI 46 · price 0.6928
Recovered off session low, easing back.
AUDUSD bounced from the session low at 0.6912 back to a swing high of 0.6938 through the London session, then eased to 0.6928, roughly the 40% retrace of that leg. RSI neutral near 46 and price sits back below EMA20 — no directional resolution ahead of US June CPI.
Support: 0.6912, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6938, 0.6949
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC is the binary driver for the next session
Close below 0.6912 confirms a lower low toward the 0.6900 psych area
Reclaim above 0.6938 swing high reopens the 0.6949 session high
AUDUSD carved a double bottom near 0.6913 through the Asia session and has recovered to 0.6931, stalling under the 0.69383 session high. Price is boxed in a 0.6913–0.6948 range with RSI(14) around 51; no directional break yet.
Support: 0.6920, 0.69123
Resistance: 0.69383, 0.6948
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69383 opens a retest of the 0.6948 prior high
Loss of 0.69123 confirms a lower low and breaks the range floor
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC is a binary catalyst that could reset this range
AUDUSD carved a rounded base at 0.6913 through the Asia session and ground back to 0.6938 before easing to 0.6931, holding above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) neutral near 54. Recovery stalled just under the 0.6938 swing high; safe-haven USD bid keeps upside capped.
Support: 0.69123, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6938, 0.6949
What it said to watch
Close above 0.6938 opens a retest of the 0.6949 prior high
Loss of the rising support and 0.69123 session low confirms a lower low
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC is the day's binary driver — could reset this read
AUDUSD ground back from the 0.69120 session low through the Asia session to stall at 0.69380, where sellers rejected the move; price now drifts to 0.69317 as the recovery loses steam. Pair sits mid-range with the Aussie heavy sub-0.6950 on firmer USD and risk-off tone.
Support: 0.6912, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6938, 0.6949
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.69380 reopens the path to the 0.6949 prior high
M15 close below 0.69120 confirms a lower-low and exposes 0.6900
US June CPI at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
AUDUSD based around 0.6913 through the quiet Asia hours and has ground back up to retest the 0.6938 session high, RSI(14) mid-range near 54. Move sits at the ~50% retrace of the prior slide from 0.6949; US June CPI at 12:30 GMT is the dominant near-term driver.
Support: 0.69287, 0.69166, 0.69123
Resistance: 0.69383, 0.69492
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Close above 0.6938 session high opens the path to 0.6949
Failure to hold 0.69287 exposes the 0.6913 session low again
AUDUSD recovered from the overnight low at 0.6912 back to 0.6932, carving higher lows through the Asia session, with RSI(14) mid-range near 57. Price stays heavy sub-0.6950 as the pair grinds inside its range ahead of US CPI.
Support: 0.69123, 0.69166
Resistance: 0.6935, 0.69492
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT is the primary catalyst and can break this range either side
Reclaim of 0.6935 opens the path back toward the 0.6949 prior high
Loss of 0.6912 confirms a lower low and exposes downside
AUDUSD carved a rounded base at 0.6913 through the Asian session after the NY risk-off slide, and has ground back to 0.6932 on a chain of higher lows. RSI(14) mid-range near 54; price holding above EMA20/50 but capped so far below the 0.6938 swing high.
Support: 0.6913, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6938, 0.6945
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6938 opens the path back toward 0.6945
Loss of 0.6913 session low reopens the 0.6900 pivot
US June CPI at 12:30 GMT (~6h) could materially shift this read
06:02 UTC
Recovery, mild uptrend within range · RSI 58 · price 0.69339
Higher lows off session low, capped below 0.6948.
Late Asia/pre-London grind higher: price recovered from a double bottom near 0.6912 back to 0.6934, retracing about 60% of the earlier drop from the 0.6949 session high. RSI(14) mid-50s, no extreme; ATR ~19 pips. Aussie holds heavy sub-0.6950 as safe-haven USD demand caps rallies into US CPI.
Support: 0.69166, 0.69123
Resistance: 0.69383, 0.69492
What it said to watch
Close above 0.69383 keeps higher-low chain intact toward the 0.6949 session high
Loss of 0.69166 reopens the 0.6912 session low
US June CPI at 12:30 GMT can materially shift this read
06:02 UTC
Recovering off session low, momentum building · RSI 59 · price 0.69339
Micro higher highs and lows off the 0.6913 base.
AUDUSD carved a rounded base at 0.6913 through the quiet Asia hours and has climbed a chain of higher lows back to 0.6934, price now above both EMAs with RSI(14) near 59. Move fits the risk-off leg that dragged the Aussie off Friday's 0.6970 top; the session high at 0.6949 is the next reference overhead.
Support: 0.69123, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.69492, 0.6970
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 GMT is the primary catalyst and can override this micro read
Close above 0.6949 session high extends the recovery toward 0.6970
AUDUSD carved a base at 0.6912 during NY hours after sliding off the 0.6948 top, then rounded higher through the Asian session back to 0.6936, RSI(14) near 62. Higher lows are intact and price is pressing the 0.69390 recent high, with the prior-day 0.69480 supply above.
Support: 0.6924, 0.6912
Resistance: 0.6939, 0.6948
What it said to watch
Close above 0.69390 opens the path toward the 0.69480 prior high
Failure to hold 0.69240 pivot threatens a return to the 0.6912 session low
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC (~7h) could materially shift this read
Asian session has ground AUDUSD back from the 0.69123 session low to 0.6936, a chain of higher lows holding under the 0.69383 session high. Firmer USD on US-Iran risk-off capped Friday's rally near 0.6949; US June CPI in ~7h is the dominant near-term risk.
Support: 0.6928, 0.69123, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.69383, 0.6949
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69383 opens the path to the 0.69490 prior high
Loss of the 0.69280 swing low breaks the higher-low sequence
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
AUDUSD based twice near the session low at 0.6913 through late Asia and has ground back to 0.6935, reclaiming EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 61. Move is a steady chain of higher lows off the double bottom, sitting mid-range below the 0.6942 swing high.
Support: 0.6924, 0.6913, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6942, 0.6949, 0.6970
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC (~7h) can override this intraday read
Close above 0.6949 session high opens the 0.6970 range top
Loss of the 0.6924 swing low reopens 0.6913 session low
AUDUSD recovered off a double bottom at 0.6913 through the Asian session, printing a steady HH/HL chain into 0.6935 with RSI(14) mid-60s. The grind higher partly unwinds the weekend risk-off USD bid; move remains capped well below Friday's 0.6970 top.
Support: 0.6924, 0.6913, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6949, 0.6970
What it said to watch
Close above 0.69490 opens the path toward 0.6970
Loss of 0.6913 session low exposes 0.6900 pivot
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC (~7h) could materially shift this read
Higher lows since overnight base, retracing prior drop.
AUDUSD is grinding back from the overnight base near 0.69123, now ~0.69341 and roughly 60% of the way back into the 0.69492-0.69123 drop. Higher lows are stacking through the Asian session with RSI(14) mid-60s, but 0.69410 supply has capped prior attempts.
Support: 0.6928, 0.69123
Resistance: 0.6941, 0.69492
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69410 opens the path to 0.69492 session high
Failure to hold 0.69280 puts the 0.69123 range low back in play
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
AUDUSD carved a double bottom near 0.6913 through the Asian session and has ground back up on a chain of higher lows, now testing session-high resistance at 0.6935. RSI(14) around 61 with ATR near 4 pips — quiet, range-bound recovery ahead of US CPI.
Support: 0.6924, 0.69123, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6935, 0.69492
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC (~7h) could materially shift this read
Close above 0.6949 opens the path back toward Friday's 0.6970 high
AUDUSD ground down through Asian hours to a 0.69123 session low, twice-tested, then grinding back ~20 pips into the London open with RSI(14) recovering toward 63. Recovery has retraced roughly half of the 0.69492-0.69123 decline; the safe-haven USD bid from US-Iran headlines still caps the topside.
Support: 0.69123, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.69376, 0.69492
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC is the dominant driver for the next session
Close below 0.69123 exposes the 0.6900 pivot
Break above 0.69376 opens the 0.69492 session high
AUDUSD carved a rounded bottom off the 0.69123 session low and ground back to 0.6933 through thin Asian hours, holding a chain of higher lows. Move is corrective within this week's heavy sub-0.6950 tone; recent highs at 0.6935 still cap. US June CPI at 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term risk.
Support: 0.6921, 0.69123, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6935, 0.6949
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 0.6935 opens the path to 0.6948 session high
Loss of 0.6921 rising trend line breaks the higher-low chain
04:47 UTC
Recovering off session lows, momentum up · RSI 59 · price 0.69317
Higher lows off 0.6912 base.
AUDUSD carved a base near 0.6912 through Asia hours and ground back to 0.6932, retracing about half of the prior slide from 0.6949. RSI(14) mid-to-high 50s with higher lows intact, though a risk-off USD bid and pre-CPI caution are capping the recovery.
Support: 0.6923, 0.6912
Resistance: 0.6934, 0.6946
What it said to watch
Close above 0.69340 opens the path to 0.69460 prior high
Loss of 0.69230 threatens the higher-low structure, exposing 0.69120
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
AUDUSD is grinding higher through the Asia session, recovering off the 0.6912 session low toward 0.6932 with RSI(14) mid-range and price back above the EMA20/50. Move is contained below the 0.6935 swing high; US June CPI at 12:30 UTC is the next major catalyst.
Support: 0.69123, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.69354, 0.69492
What it said to watch
close above 0.6935 swing high opens the path to 0.69492 prior high
failure to hold 0.69123 session low exposes the 0.6900 pivot
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Asia session grinding a recovery off the 0.6916 base tested through the overnight lull, RSI(14) back to mid-50s and price reclaiming both EMAs. Move is corrective within a broader 0.6916–0.6949 session range; AUD stays heavy sub-0.6950 into US June CPI at 12:30 UTC.
Support: 0.6916, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6934, 0.6949
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term driver — could override this intraday structure
Close above 0.69340 swing high extends the recovery toward 0.6949
Loss of 0.69160 session low reopens the 0.6900 pivot
04:32 UTC
Recovering off lows within range · RSI 56 · price 0.69286
Double bottom at 0.6913, higher lows building.
AUDUSD carved a double bottom at 0.6913 through the Asia session and has ground back to ~0.6929, USD easing intraday as escalation fears cooled. Price sits mid-range between 0.6913 and 0.6935 with no clean break in play ahead of US CPI.
Support: 0.6913, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6935, 0.6948
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 0.6935 opens the path to the 0.6948 prior high
Failure to hold 0.6913 double bottom exposes 0.6900 psych
04:17 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 59 · price 0.69306
Based at 0.6913, chain of higher lows.
AUDUSD carved a double bottom near 0.6913 through late NY and has clawed back to 0.6930 on a chain of higher lows into early Asia. RSI(14) near 59 with ATR ~5 pips; recovery stalling into the 0.6937 swing area, still capped well below Friday's 0.6970 top. US June CPI at 12:30 UTC is the dominant driver for the next legs.
AUDUSD carved a double bottom near 0.6912 through the quiet Asia hours and has clawed back to 0.6931, retracing roughly half the earlier drop from 0.6949. Micro higher-highs into the current session, RSI(14) mid-range near 57 with room in both directions ahead of US CPI.
Support: 0.6924, 0.69123, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6935, 0.6949
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Close back below 0.69240 stalls the recovery and re-exposes 0.69123
Break above 0.69350 opens the path to the 0.69490 session high
Asia session grinding a recovery off the 0.6912 session low back toward 0.6930, carving higher lows with RSI(14) mid-60s. The prior slide from 0.6949 has stalled and buyers stepped in repeatedly around 0.6915; 0.6935 swing caps for now. US June CPI at 12:30 UTC is the dominant risk into the next bars.
Support: 0.6916, 0.6912, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6935, 0.6949
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6935 opens the path back to 0.6949
Failure to hold 0.6912 exposes the 0.6900 pivot
US June CPI 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
04:02 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 60 · price 0.69304
Higher lows after base near 0.6913.
AUDUSD based near 0.6913 through the Asian session and has ground back to 0.6930, roughly a 50% retrace of the earlier 0.6949-0.6913 slide, with RSI(14) firming near 60. Buyers stepped in twice at the 0.6913 low; 0.6935 intraday cap is the near-term hurdle. Move sits inside the digest's 0.6900-0.6970 range.
Support: 0.69123, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6935, 0.69492, 0.6970
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.6935 opens the path back toward 0.6949
Loss of 0.6913 exposes the 0.6900 pivot
US June CPI 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could reset this range
03:47 UTC
Downtrend base carving, recovering · RSI 59 · price 0.69285
Recovery off NY lows into Asian range.
AUDUSD ground down through NY hours from the 0.69492 high to a 0.69123 low, then based and recovered into the Asian session, now probing 0.69311 with price back above EMA20/50 and RSI(14) near 59. Grind higher fits the soft risk-off USD easing described in the digest; 0.69160 held on the retrace.
Support: 0.6916, 0.69123
Resistance: 0.69311, 0.6936, 0.69492
What it said to watch
close above 0.69311 session high opens 0.69360
loss of 0.69160 asian low reopens 0.69123 ny low
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC could override this intraday read
03:47 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 61 · price 0.69285
Base built at 0.6912, higher lows into Asia.
AUDUSD carved a double bottom at 0.6912 through the NY session and has ground higher into Asia, now pressing recent resistance at 0.69310 with RSI(14) near 61. Move fits the digest read of the Aussie heavy sub-0.6950 but cushioned above 0.6900 by RBA hawkishness.
Support: 0.6916, 0.6912
Resistance: 0.6931, 0.6948
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69310 opens the path toward session high 0.69480
Failure to hold 0.69160 recent base reopens 0.69120 session low
US June CPI (Tue) is the bigger near-term driver of this pair
03:32 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off the low · RSI 55 · price 0.69272
Asian-session base built after decline, grinding back up.
AUDUSD slid from the 0.6949 window high through NY into an Asian-session low near 0.69123 as a firmer USD and risk-off tone weighed. Buyers have since stepped in, lifting price back to 0.6927; RSI(14) has recovered to the mid-50s and the swing high at 0.6935 is the immediate cap.
Support: 0.6921, 0.69123
Resistance: 0.6935, 0.69492
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 0.6935 swing high would extend the recovery toward the 0.6949 window high
Loss of the 0.6921 minor low re-exposes the 0.69123 session low
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term driver and can override this intraday structure
Asia session grinding higher off the 0.6912 session low, retracing ~40% of the earlier 0.6949-to-0.6912 down leg; RSI(14) back near 57. Firmer USD after Waller's hawkish turn kept the Aussie heavy through the slide, and price is now probing the 0.6928 area with the 0.69355 swing high still capping.
Support: 0.69166, 0.69123, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.69355, 0.69492
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69355 opens a retest of the 0.6949 session high
Loss of 0.69123 session low exposes the 0.6900 psych pivot
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
03:17 UTC
Downtrend easing, base building · RSI 52 · price 0.69225
Range after decline, higher lows forming.
AUD drifted from the 0.6948 day high down to 0.6912 through the London-NY session, then based twice around 0.6913 and recovered to 0.69276 before easing back to 0.6922. Early Asia is ranging inside 0.6913–0.6928 with no conviction, consistent with the pre-CPI 0.6900–0.6975 box.
Support: 0.69174, 0.69123, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.69276, 0.6935, 0.6948
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69123 confirms a lower low and reopens 0.6900
Reclaim of 0.69276 exposes the 0.6935 prior swing
US CPI Tuesday is the dominant near-term catalyst for this range
03:17 UTC
Downtrend stalled, base building · RSI 51 · price 0.69225
Recovered off session low, consolidating mid-range.
AUD sold off through the London-NY session to a 0.69123 session low, then based twice around 0.6913-0.6916 to form a double bottom before recovering into the Asia session. Now consolidating near 0.6922 below prior supply, RSI(14) neutral around 51; a US-Iran risk premium keeps the safe-haven USD bid capping upside.
Support: 0.6916, 0.69123
Resistance: 0.69263, 0.69305
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69263 recent high opens the path back toward the 0.69305 swing high
Loss of the 0.69160 base re-exposes the 0.69123 session low
Aussie printed a double bottom near 0.6912 into the NY session low, then recovered through Asian trade to 0.69244 with RSI(14) back to mid-range. Session high 0.69276 is capping so far; the broader 0.6900–0.6975 range remains intact.
Support: 0.69123, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.69276, 0.6936
What it said to watch
Close above 0.69276 opens the path to 0.69360
Failure to hold 0.6912 base confirms a lower low toward 0.6900
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this range read
03:03 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 57 · price 0.69244
Higher lows after NY sell-off, range-bound.
NY session sold AUDUSD from 0.6949 down to 0.6912, where a double base held into the Asian session and price is grinding back toward 0.6928. RSI(14) recovered to the mid-50s; pair sits mid-range with US-Iran risk premium capping upside per the digest.
Support: 0.69123, 0.69166
Resistance: 0.69276, 0.69357, 0.69492
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69276 opens the path back toward 0.69357
Failure to hold 0.69123 confirms a fresh lower low
US CPI risk remains the dominant near-term driver for AUD
02:47 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 57 · price 0.69263
Double bottom base, higher lows forming.
AUDUSD sold off from the 0.6949 session high through NY hours to a 0.6913 double-bottom base, then ground higher in thin Asian trade to 0.6926. RSI(14) has climbed back to the mid-50s as buyers stepped in twice around 0.6913; range top at 0.6936 is the next area to watch.
Support: 0.6913, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6936, 0.69492
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.6913 confirms a fresh lower low
Break above 0.6936 swing high opens the path to the 0.6949 session high
US CPI Tuesday is the dominant AUDUSD catalyst and could override this intraday read
AUDUSD sold from 0.6949 through the US session to a 0.6912 base as a safe-haven USD bid weighed, then rounded out and is grinding back to 0.6926 in early Asia. Higher lows are building off the base but the recovery has yet to reclaim 0.6935.
Support: 0.6913, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6935, 0.6949
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6935 swing high opens the path back to 0.6949 prior high
Loss of 0.6913 session low reopens the 0.6900 psych level
US CPI later today (12:30 UTC) is the dominant driver that could override this intraday read
AUDUSD sold from the 0.6949 session high through NY down to a 0.69123 session low, then based twice and is recovering into Asia with higher lows to 0.69248. RSI(14) mid-range near 59; the 0.6926 recent high caps immediately with the 0.6935 swing high above.
Support: 0.69123, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6926, 0.6935, 0.69492
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69260 recent high extends the recovery toward the 0.6935 swing high
loss of the rising lows and 0.69123 session low reopens the 0.6900 pivot
US CPI later today (12:30 UTC) is the dominant near-term driver for this read
02:32 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 58 · price 0.69248
Grind up from 0.6912 base, below prior high.
Late Asian session: AUDUSD ground back up from the 0.6912 session low to 0.6925 in a thin, low-ATR (~4 pip) recovery, RSI(14) back to the high-50s. Buyers defended the 0.6913–0.6916 area twice while US-Iran risk-off and safe-haven USD keep the pair boxed under the 0.6949 swing high; the broader 0.6900–0.6975 range remains intact.
Support: 0.6912, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6926, 0.6949
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6926 minor cap opens the path to the 0.6949 swing high
Failure to hold 0.6912 session low exposes the 0.6900 psych pivot
US CPI Tuesday 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term driver and could break this range
Down leg from 0.6949 bottomed twice at 0.6913 during the NY-Asia transition; Asia session is grinding it back to 0.69226 with RSI(14) recovering to mid-range. Recovery holds above rising intraday lows, but 0.69236 swing high still caps.
Support: 0.69123, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.69236, 0.69357, 0.69492
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69236 swing high extends the recovery toward 0.6935
Loss of 0.69123 session low confirms fresh lower-low and reopens 0.6900 psych pivot
US CPI later today is the dominant near-term driver for AUDUSD
AUDUSD sold off through NY into Asia, bottoming at 0.69123 before grinding back to 0.6922 as the broadly soft Dollar capped losses. Price now bases below the 0.69240 recent high, RSI(14) mid-range near 55; the session-high band at 0.69492 remains well above.
Support: 0.6913, 0.69166, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6924, 0.6935, 0.69492
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69120 confirms a lower low, opens the 0.6900 psych pivot
Reclaim of 0.69240 needed to challenge the 0.69350 swing and session-high band
US CPI is the dominant near-term driver — could materially shift this read
02:02 UTC
Downtrend easing into base · RSI 51 · price 0.6920
Consolidation above session low.
London/NY sold AUDUSD from the 0.6949 session high down to 0.6913, where buyers stepped in twice to form a double bottom. Asia session is basing around 0.6920, RSI(14) back to neutral near 51 with EMA50 capping just overhead at 0.6925.
Support: 0.6913, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6925, 0.6936, 0.6949
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6925 opens the path to 0.6936
Failure to hold 0.6913 confirms a lower low toward 0.6900
AUDUSD ground lower from the 0.69492 session high through European/US hours toward a 0.69123 low, then flattened into the Asia session around 0.6920 as risk-off USD demand from US-Iran headlines eased. RSI(14) back near neutral; price is coiling above the recent low with no fresh direction.
Support: 0.69123, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.69236, 0.6936, 0.69492
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can break this consolidation
Close above 0.6936 invalidates the downtrend read
Failure to hold 0.69123 confirms a lower low toward 0.6900
AUD/USD ground lower through the session from a 0.6949 high toward a 0.69123 low, then stabilised around 0.6920 in thin Asian trade. Price is basing between 0.6916 support and 0.6924, RSI(14) recovered off the lows to mid-range.
Support: 0.69123, 0.6916
Resistance: 0.6924, 0.69357
What it said to watch
Close below 0.69123 extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 0.6924 swing high challenges the descending resistance
US June CPI Tuesday is the dominant catalyst and can reset this range
Asian session has AUDUSD grinding sideways in a tight 0.6912–0.6920 band after sliding from the 0.6949 high through the NY session, the safe-haven USD bid on US-Iran headlines capping the pair. Price is pinned at the 23.6% retracement of that down leg with RSI(14) flat near 50 — a range with no clean setup in play.
Support: 0.69123, 0.6916
Resistance: 0.6924, 0.69362, 0.69492
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.6924 would open a push back toward 0.69362
Loss of 0.69123 session low confirms a lower low
US June CPI Tuesday is the dominant catalyst and could break this range either way
AUDUSD ground lower through the Asian session from the 0.6948 session high to a 0.69123 low, then stabilised around 0.6915-0.6920 as selling stalled. Chain of lower highs still intact below the 0.69236 swing; RSI(14) mid-range near 47.
Support: 0.6912, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.69236, 0.6935, 0.6948
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.69120 session low confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence toward 0.6900 psych
M15 close back above 0.69236 swing high breaks the descending sequence
US CPI (~12:30 UTC) is the dominant near-term catalyst and could override this intraday read
01:32 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising near lows · RSI 46 · price 0.69194
Consolidation after intraday slide.
AUDUSD ground down from the 0.69492 session high through the London-NY slide, bottoming at 0.69123 before flattening into Asia hours around 0.6915-0.6920. RSI(14) has recovered off oversold to ~46 as price coils just under 0.6924; the 0.6900 psych level and 0.69123 low mark the floor.
Support: 0.69123, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.69236, 0.69295, 0.69492
What it said to watch
Break below 0.69123 exposes the 0.6900 psych level
Close above 0.69236 shifts the near-term read higher
US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the dominant driver and can override this consolidation
01:17 UTC
Downtrend, momentum flat · RSI 49 · price 0.69192
Consolidating near session lows.
AUDUSD slid from 0.6949 through the London-NY session and is now grinding sideways in a thin 0.6912-0.6920 Asian range, price back at 0.69192. RSI(14) has flattened near 49 with volume drying up into the overnight lull.
Support: 0.69123, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.69216, 0.69353
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term driver and can break this range either way
M15 close above 0.69216 would end the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.69123 opens the path toward the 0.6900 psych level
AUDUSD slid through the NY-Asia handover from 0.6949 to a 0.6912 session low, then flattened in a tight 0.6915-0.6920 band as thin Asian liquidity set in. Buyers stabilised the low twice near 0.6912 and RSI(14) has crept back to mid-range; price sits just above EMA20 but under EMA50.
Support: 0.6912, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6924, 0.6936
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6912 confirms a lower-low and opens the 0.6900 psych level
Reclaim of 0.6924 swing high needed to break the current consolidation upward
US CPI 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst and can override this intraday read
AUDUSD sold off through the NY session from 0.6949 to a 0.6912 low, then went flat overnight, coiling in a tight 0.6914-0.6920 band through Asia. RSI(14) has recovered off its lows to mid-40s as the decline stalls; no fresh direction in play ahead of US CPI.
Support: 0.69123, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.69216, 0.6936, 0.6949
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (core f/c ~2.9% YoY) is the dominant near-term driver of this range
M15 close below 0.69123 confirms a lower low and extends the decline
Reclaim of 0.69216 opens the path back toward the 0.69360 swing
01:03 UTC
Downtrend, now flat in thin Asia trade · RSI 47 · price 0.69179
Consolidation above session low after leg down from 0.6949.
AUDUSD slid from the 0.6949 NY high to an Asian-session low at 0.6912, and is now grinding sideways in the 0.6912-0.6920 band on thin early-Asia volume. RSI(14) sits neutral near 47 with price pinned to EMA20 but capped below EMA50.
Support: 0.69123, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6922, 0.69353, 0.69492
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (core f/c 2.9% YoY) is the dominant near-term catalyst and can break this range either way
Loss of 0.6912 confirms a lower-low and opens the 0.6900 psych level
M15 close above 0.6922 clears the consolidation top toward the 0.69353 pivot
00:47 UTC
Downtrend, stalling into consolidation · RSI 49 · price 0.69196
Tight Asian range after intraday slide off 0.6949.
AUDUSD is consolidating in a tight 0.6912-0.6920 band through early Asia hours after sliding from the 0.6949 mid-window high on weekend US-Iran risk-off. Price holds just above EMA20 but under EMA50, RSI neutral near 48; volume thin, no fresh direction into the session.
Support: 0.69123, 0.69144
Resistance: 0.69257, 0.69355
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69123 confirms a lower low and reopens 0.6890 downside
Reclaim of 0.69257 needed to negate the intraday slide
US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst that could break this range
00:47 UTC
Downtrend cooling into consolidation · RSI 53 · price 0.69196
Chain of lower highs, now flat near session lows.
London-NY hours bled from 0.69492 down to 0.69123, then the Asian session went quiet, flattening in a tight 0.6913-0.6920 band. ATR under 3 pips reflects the low-volume drift; RSI(14) has recovered to mid-range as buyers absorbed the 0.6912 dips.
Support: 0.69123, 0.6890
Resistance: 0.6920, 0.6936, 0.69492
What it said to watch
Close above 0.69360 negates the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.69123 extends the down-leg toward 0.6890
US CPI Tuesday 12:30 UTC is the dominant USD catalyst for this pair
AUDUSD faded from the mid-window session high at 0.69492 down to 0.69123, and is now consolidating tightly around 0.6916 in thin Asia trade with risk-off from US-Iran headlines capping upside. RSI(14) sits in the mid-40s, price under both EMAs; no setup in play inside the 0.6912–0.6920 band.
Support: 0.69123, 0.6890
Resistance: 0.6920, 0.69357, 0.69492
What it said to watch
Break below 0.69123 opens the path toward the 0.6890 range floor
Reclaim of 0.69200 needed to shift the lower-high structure
US CPI Tuesday (12:30 UTC) is the main USD catalyst that could break this range
AUDUSD ground lower through NY into early Asia, printing a session low at 0.69123 as US-Iran risk-off capped the Aussie. Price is now consolidating in a tight 0.6912-0.6920 band, with the 0.6900 psych floor still holding.
Support: 0.69123, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6920, 0.69353
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6920 breaks the lower-high chain and reopens 0.69353
Failure to hold 0.69123 exposes the 0.6900 psych floor
Westpac Consumer Confidence (Tue 00:30 UTC) imminent, could jolt the range
00:17 UTC
Downtrend faded to flat · RSI 45 · price 0.69162
Consolidating just above session low.
AUDUSD ground lower through the NY session into a 0.69131 low, then stalled — Asia now coiling in a tight 0.6913–0.6920 band with ATR bled to ~5 pips. Price sits below both EMAs, RSI flat near 45, no momentum either way.
Support: 0.69131, 0.6890
Resistance: 0.6920, 0.6936
What it said to watch
Break above 0.6920 would end the Asian coil and reopen 0.6936
Loss of 0.69131 confirms a fresh lower-low toward the 0.6890 floor
US CPI (12:30 UTC) is the dominant USD catalyst and could break this range
00:17 UTC
Intraday downtrend, now flat · RSI 46 · price 0.69162
Sold off then consolidating near lows.
AUDUSD ground lower through the NY session from 0.6948 to a 0.6913 low, then stalled into thin early-Asia trade around 0.6916. Price is pinned below EMA20/50 with volatility drying up, no fresh direction as the pair sits mid its broader 0.6890-0.6975 range.
Support: 0.6913, 0.6910, 0.6890
Resistance: 0.6920, 0.69257, 0.6937
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.69130 session low confirms continuation lower toward the 0.6890 range floor
Reclaim of 0.69200 recent high needed to unwind the intraday downtrend
US CPI (12:30 UTC) is the main USD catalyst and could override this consolidation
00:03 UTC
Downtrend stalling, now flat · RSI 53 · price 0.69193
Consolidation at session lows.
Price ground lower through the London-NY session from 0.6949, bottoming at 0.6913 as weekend US-Iran risk-off weighed on the Aussie. Thin early-Asia trade has it pinned in a tight 0.6914-0.6920 band, RSI back to neutral and ATR compressed to a few pips.
Support: 0.6913, 0.69144
Resistance: 0.6922, 0.69356
What it said to watch
Break below 0.6913 extends the downtrend toward the 0.6890 range floor
Reclaim of 0.6922 range top signals consolidation break higher
US CPI (Tue 12:30 UTC) is the dominant catalyst that could break this compression
AUDUSD drifted lower through the NY session on US-Iran risk-off, printing a 0.6913 session low before flattening around 0.6919 in thin early-Asia hours. Structure is a chain of lower highs but the 0.6913 base has held, and RSI(14) sits mid-range with no extreme.
Support: 0.6913, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6924, 0.6930
What it said to watch
Westpac Consumer Confidence (00:30 UTC) could break the flat Asia drift
Close below 0.69130 confirms continuation toward 0.6900
Reclaim of 0.69240 negates the lower-high sequence