AUD/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Wednesday, 15 July 2026

Every read JAFX AI made on the AUD/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.

23:47 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 56 · price 0.70091

Consolidating below session high after rejection.

NY session drove AUDUSD to a 0.70207 session high on soft US CPI/PPI USD weakness, then rejected back and stalled. Low-volume Asia hours have it coiling around 0.7006-0.7009, holding the 38.2% fib of the 0.69888-0.70207 leg with RSI(14) neutral near 56.

Support: 0.70048, 0.7001, 0.69888

Resistance: 0.70157, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7015-0.70207 opens continuation of the uptrend
  • Loss of 0.70010 shifts the read back toward 0.69888
  • AU Consumer Inflation Expectations 01:00 UTC (~2.5h) could shift this read

23:47 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 56 · price 0.70091

Pullback after session-high rejection, thin Asian range.

NY session extended the soft-USD (CPI/PPI miss) bounce to a session high of 0.70207, briefly clearing the 0.7015 resistance before rejecting back under it. Price now drifts in a thin Asian range around 0.7005-0.7009, holding above 0.7001 with RSI(14) cooling into the mid-50s.

Support: 0.7001, 0.6995

Resistance: 0.7015, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim and hold above 0.70150 reopens the 0.70207 session high
  • Loss of 0.70010 session low exposes the 0.6995 swing low
  • AU Consumer Inflation Expectations due ~2.5h could shift the read

23:32 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 54 · price 0.70088

Consolidating below session high after impulse.

AUDUSD extended its soft-USD bounce (CPI/PPI misses) through 0.7000 and tagged a 0.70207 session high before stalling under the 0.7015 cap. Price has since drifted into a tight 0.7004-0.7009 Asia-session consolidation on thin volume, RSI(14) easing back to mid-range.

Support: 0.7000, 0.69888

Resistance: 0.7015, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7015 opens the path to 0.7020+
  • Loss of 0.7000 round number reopens 0.6990 swing low
  • AU Consumer Inflation Expectations at 01:00 UTC (~2.5h) could shift the read

23:32 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 54 · price 0.70088

Rally stalled below 0.7015, consolidating above the figure.

AUD pushed through 0.7000 into the NY session on the soft US PPI print, peaking at 0.70207 before fading back to retest the figure. Thin Asia trade now has price coiling just above 0.7000 with RSI(14) neutral; 0.7015 continues to cap.

Support: 0.7001, 0.7000, 0.69888

Resistance: 0.70157, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • AU Consumer Inflation Expectations at 01:00 UTC (~2.5h) could move the read
  • Close above 0.7015 opens the path to the 0.70207 session high
  • Loss of 0.7000 exposes the 0.69888 swing low

23:17 UTC

Uptrend cooling into consolidation · RSI 50 · price 0.70066

Pullback from session high, tight range.

NY session pushed AUD to a 0.70207 session high on soft US CPI/PPI dollar weakness, then stalled below the 0.7015 cap. Thin Asian trade since has held a tight 0.7001–0.7007 range with RSI(14) back at neutral; the 0.7000 psych level is capping the downside for now.

Support: 0.7000, 0.69888

Resistance: 0.7015, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7015 cap opens the path back toward the 0.70207 session high
  • Loss of 0.7000 psych exposes the 0.69888 swing low
  • AU Consumer Inflation Expectations ~01:00 UTC could break the Asian range

23:17 UTC

Uptrend stalling, consolidating · RSI 52 · price 0.70066

Rally peaked, rejected at 0.7015 cap, now ranging.

AUDUSD extended soft-USD gains through London-NY to tag the session high at 0.70207, briefly poking above the 0.7015 cap before getting rejected. Price has since drained back into a tight 0.70010–0.7007 consolidation on thin Asian volume, RSI(14) cooling to neutral around 52.

Support: 0.7001, 0.6993

Resistance: 0.7015, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7015 cap reopens the path toward the 0.70207 session high
  • Loss of the 0.70010 session low exposes the 0.69930 swing low
  • AU Consumer Inflation Expectations at 01:00 UTC (~2.5h) could break the range

23:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 51 · price 0.70055

Consolidating below session high after rally.

NY session drove AUDUSD to a 0.70207 session high on soft US PPI keeping the dollar offered, clearing the 0.7015 pivot before fading. Price has since pulled back to consolidate near 0.7005, around the 50% mark of the rally leg, in a quiet Asia session with volume thinning out.

Support: 0.7001, 0.6993

Resistance: 0.7015, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.70207 session high extends the rally
  • Failure to hold 0.70010 recent low opens 0.69930 swing low
  • AU Consumer Inflation Expectations in ~2.5h could shift this read

23:02 UTC

Uptrend stalling, momentum flat · RSI 49 · price 0.70055

Consolidating below session high after rejection.

NY session drove AUD up to a session high of 0.7020 as soft US CPI/PPI kept the dollar heavy, but the move was rejected and faded into Asia. Price now consolidates tightly just above the 0.7000 psych level, RSI(14) flattened around 49 with intraday momentum spent.

Support: 0.7000, 0.69929

Resistance: 0.70157, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7015 reopens the path toward 0.7020 session high
  • Loss of 0.7000 psych level shifts the read back into the prior range
  • AU Consumer Inflation Expectations at 01:00 UTC (~2.5h) could break this coil

22:47 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 52 · price 0.70054

Pullback holding above 0.7000 after run to 0.70207.

AUDUSD ran to 0.70207 through NY on soft US CPI/PPI USD weakness, then pulled back to the 0.7000 round number where it's consolidating in a thin Asian session. RSI(14) has cooled to mid-range and price is holding a ~38% retrace of the rally; 0.7015 caps overhead.

Support: 0.7000, 0.69888

Resistance: 0.70157, 0.70207, 0.7015

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7015 opens the path toward further gains
  • Failure to hold 0.7000 exposes 0.6988 swing low
  • AU Consumer Inflation Expectations in ~2.5h could shift this read

22:47 UTC

Uptrend faded into consolidation · RSI 49 · price 0.70054

Range near session highs after failed push.

NY session drove AUDUSD to a session high of 0.70207 on the soft US CPI/PPI USD weakness before fading back below 0.7015. Price is now consolidating around 0.7005 on thin late-session volume with RSI(14) neutral near 49, holding the 0.7000 round number.

Support: 0.7000, 0.69888

Resistance: 0.7015, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7015 major resistance opens the path back to the 0.70207 session high
  • Loss of the 0.7000 round number exposes the 0.69888 swing low
  • AU Consumer Inflation Expectations due ~01:00 UTC (~2.5h) could shift this read

22:32 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalling · RSI 49 · price 0.70064

Pullback consolidating below session high.

NY session drove a rally to 0.70207 before rejecting, and price has since pulled back to consolidate near 0.7006 in thin Asia trade, holding the 0.7000 round number. The soft US CPI/PPI USD-negative move fuelled the bounce, but 0.7015 caps as flagged; RSI(14) has cooled to neutral near 49.

Support: 0.7001, 0.69929

Resistance: 0.70207, 0.7015

What it said to watch

  • AU Consumer Inflation Expectations due 01:00 UTC (~2.5h) could shift this read
  • M15 close above 0.7015 opens the path toward the 0.70207 session high
  • loss of the 0.7000 round number reopens 0.6993 swing low

22:32 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalling · RSI 49 · price 0.70064

NY rally faded, consolidating below highs.

AUDUSD rallied through NY hours to 0.70207 on soft-US-CPI/PPI dollar weakness, then rejected below the 0.7015 pivot and faded to 0.7000. Now drifting in thin Asia trade around 0.7006 with RSI(14) cooled to neutral; the 0.7015 cap remains intact.

Support: 0.7001, 0.7000, 0.6988

Resistance: 0.7015, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7015 opens path back to 0.70207 session high
  • Failure to hold 0.7000 exposes the 0.6988 swing low
  • AU Consumer Inflation Expectations in ~2.5h could shift the read

22:17 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 52 · price 0.70058

Consolidating below session high after rejection.

AUDUSD extended its soft-USD-CPI rally into the NY session, tagging 0.70207 before rejecting back under the 0.7015 major resistance flagged by UOB. Price has since settled around the 0.7000 round number in a thin early-Asia consolidation, RSI(14) cooling to the low-50s.

Support: 0.7000, 0.6995, 0.69888

Resistance: 0.7015, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • M15 close and hold above 0.7015 opens the path back to 0.70207 session high
  • Loss of 0.7000 round number exposes 0.69950 swing low
  • Australia Inflation Expectations (01:00 UTC) could inject volatility into thin Asia trade

22:17 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 52 · price 0.70058

Consolidating below session high after rally.

NY session drove AUDUSD to a 0.70207 session high on soft-US-PPI dollar weakness, but the move stalled under the 0.7015 major resistance and rejected. Asia is now consolidating around 0.7005, holding the 0.7000 psych level with RSI back near neutral.

Support: 0.7000, 0.69888

Resistance: 0.7015, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7015 opens path toward and beyond the 0.70207 session high
  • Loss of the 0.7000 psych level exposes the 0.69888 swing low
  • Australia inflation expectations (Thu 01:00 UTC) could shift this read

22:03 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 49 · price 0.70062

Broke 0.7000, pullback into consolidation.

NY session pushed AUDUSD through the 0.7000 psych level to a session high of 0.70207 on soft US CPI/PPI-driven dollar weakness, but stalled short of the 0.7015 major resistance. Price has since pulled back into a thin Asian-session consolidation between 0.7001 and 0.7007, holding above the 0.7000 pivot with RSI back near neutral.

Support: 0.7000, 0.6990

Resistance: 0.7015, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7015 opens scope beyond 0.70207 session high
  • Failure to hold 0.7000 psych exposes 0.6990 swing low
  • US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

22:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 46 · price 0.70062

Pullback off session high, holding 0.7000.

NY session drove AUDUSD to a 0.70207 session high on soft-US-PPI dollar weakness, then rolled back through the 0.7015 major resistance. Asia opened with a drift down to the 0.7000 psych level where buyers stepped in; price now retesting 0.7015 from below with RSI(14) mid-range.

Support: 0.7000, 0.6995

Resistance: 0.7015, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 0.7015 reopens the 0.70207 session high
  • Loss of 0.7000 psych exposes the 0.69950 swing low
  • US Retail Sales (Thu 12:30 UTC) is the next dollar catalyst

21:47 UTC

Uptrend stalling, pullback in play · RSI 45 · price 0.70018

Pullback from session high, holding above 0.7000.

NY session drove AUDUSD to a 0.70207 session high on the soft-US-CPI/PPI dollar unwind, then rejected into the 0.7015 major resistance flagged by the digest. Price has since drifted back to the 0.7000 psych level in thin Asia trade, RSI cooling to mid-40s and ATR compressing.

Support: 0.7000, 0.69888, 0.69797

Resistance: 0.7015, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 0.7000 psych opens 0.69888 swing low
  • M15 close above 0.7015 major res confirms upside continuation
  • US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could reset the USD tone

21:47 UTC

Uptrend fading into late session · RSI 46 · price 0.70018

Breakout above 0.7000 now retesting.

AUDUSD pushed through the 0.7000 psych level during NY on the soft-US-CPI/PPI dollar unwind, tagging a session high of 0.70207 before fading back to 0.7000 as liquidity thinned into late session. RSI(14) cooling to ~46 and the 0.7015 major resistance was never cleanly reclaimed; price now retesting the round number.

Support: 0.7000, 0.69888, 0.69832

Resistance: 0.7015, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back below 0.7000 confirms a failed breakout
  • Reclaim of 0.7015 major res reopens the 0.70207 session high
  • US Retail Sales (Thu 12:30 UTC) is the next USD catalyst that could shift this read

21:32 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 46 · price 0.7001

Pullback after session-high rejection.

NY session drove AUDUSD from 0.6983 to a 0.70207 high before stalling under the 0.7015 major resistance flagged on soft US CPI/PPI dollar weakness. Price has since retraced to the 0.7000 psych level and is drifting sideways on thin late-session volume, RSI(14) cooling back to the mid-40s.

Support: 0.7000, 0.69888, 0.69797

Resistance: 0.7015, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7015 confirms the breakout and reopens 0.70207
  • Failure to hold 0.7000 exposes the 0.69888 swing low
  • US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC is the next USD catalyst

21:32 UTC

Uptrend, pullback into psych level · RSI 44 · price 0.7001

Session high rejected, fading to 0.7000.

NY session drove AUDUSD through the 0.7000 psych level to a session high of 0.70207 on soft-US-CPI/PPI dollar weakness, but the 0.7015 UOB major resistance capped the move and price faded back to 0.7000 into the thin late/Asia hours. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s as the pullback stalls at the round number.

Support: 0.7000, 0.69888, 0.69797

Resistance: 0.70207, 0.7015

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7015 reopens the path toward the 0.70207 session high
  • Failure to hold 0.7000 psych exposes 0.69888 swing low
  • US Retail Sales (Thu 12:30 UTC) is the next USD catalyst that could shift this read

21:17 UTC

Uptrend fading, pullback in progress · RSI 46 · price 0.70039

Post-peak pullback holding above 0.7000.

NY session drove AUDUSD to a session high of 0.70207 on soft US CPI/PPI-led dollar weakness, then faded roughly 17 pips into thin late-NY hours. Price now hovering just above the 0.7000 psych level with RSI cooling to the mid-40s; the 0.7015 major resistance capped the advance.

Support: 0.7000, 0.70042, 0.69888

Resistance: 0.70157, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.7015 major res reopens the 0.70207 session high
  • Loss of 0.7000 psych exposes the 0.69888 swing low
  • US Retail Sales (Thu 12:30 UTC) is the next USD catalyst and could shift this read

21:17 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 47 · price 0.70039

Pullback after session-high rejection.

NY session drove AUDUSD to a 0.70207 session high on soft-US-CPI/PPI dollar weakness, then stalled below the 0.7015 major resistance and faded back to the 0.7000 psych pivot. Volume thinned into late-session trade with RSI(14) cooling to mid-range.

Support: 0.7000, 0.69888, 0.69797

Resistance: 0.7015, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7015 opens the path back to 0.70207 session high
  • Loss of 0.7000 psych exposes 0.69888 swing low
  • US Retail Sales (Thu 12:30 UTC) is next USD catalyst

21:04 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 54 · price 0.70058

Higher highs into 0.7020, now consolidating below 0.7015.

NY session extended a second leg higher toward 0.7020 on broad USD weakness after soft US CPI/PPI, but price was rejected at the session high and slipped back under the 0.7015 UOB cap. Now consolidating around 0.7006 into thinning late-session liquidity, RSI(14) cooling from the highs.

Support: 0.70042, 0.7000

Resistance: 0.7015, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • M15 close and hold above 0.7015 confirms the breakout and opens 0.7020+
  • Failure to hold 0.7000 psych opens the pullback toward 0.6990
  • US Retail Sales (Thu 12:30 UTC) is the next USD catalyst and could reset this read

21:03 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 56 · price 0.70058

Higher highs into NY, minor pullback.

NY session drove AUDUSD above the 0.7000 psych level and tagged 0.70207 before easing back to 0.70058, holding above the round number on soft-US-CPI/PPI dollar weakness. Price is stalling just under the 0.7015 major resistance flagged by the digest, RSI(14) cooling from the push.

Support: 0.7000, 0.6993

Resistance: 0.70157, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.70207 opens the path beyond the 0.7015 resistance band
  • Failure to hold 0.7000 negates the breakout and exposes 0.69930
  • US Retail Sales (Thu 12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read

20:47 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 50 · price 0.70065

Pullback after break above 0.7000.

NY session drove AUDUSD through the 0.7000 psych level to a session high of 0.70207 on soft US PPI dollar weakness, before fading back to ~0.7006. Price is now consolidating around the 50% retrace of that leg, RSI(14) cooled to neutral; 0.7015 caps overhead.

Support: 0.7000, 0.6994

Resistance: 0.7015, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim and hold above 0.70150 reopens the 0.70207 session high
  • Failure to hold 0.7000 psych exposes the 0.69940 swing low
  • US Retail Sales (Thu 12:30 UTC) is the next USD catalyst that could shift this read

20:47 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 55 · price 0.70065

Higher highs into 0.7015 cap, now pulling back.

NY session drove AUDUSD through the 0.7000 psych level to a session high of 0.70207 as soft US PPI kept the dollar offered, but price was rejected at the 0.7015 cap and has faded back to 0.7006. RSI(14) cooling off from the highs; price still holds above the 0.7000 pivot.

Support: 0.70042, 0.7000, 0.69888

Resistance: 0.70157, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.70207 opens scope beyond the 0.7015 cap
  • Failure to hold 0.7000 psych negates the breakout back toward 0.69888
  • US Retail Sales (Thu 12:30 UTC) could reset this read

20:32 UTC

Uptrend, momentum fading off highs · RSI 54 · price 0.70068

Pullback after false break above 0.7015.

NY session drove a push above the 0.7015 barrier to a session high 0.70207 before fading back under it, in line with soft-US-CPI/PPI dollar weakness. Price now consolidating near 0.7007 above 0.70042 support, with 0.7015 capping and RSI cooling off the highs.

Support: 0.70042, 0.7000, 0.69976

Resistance: 0.7015, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim and hold above 0.7015 reopens the 0.70207 session high
  • Loss of 0.70042 session low exposes the 0.7000 psych level
  • US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC is the next USD catalyst and could shift this read

20:32 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 52 · price 0.70068

Higher highs into session peak, pulling back.

NY session drove AUDUSD through the 0.7000 psych level to a session high of 0.70207 on soft-US-CPI/PPI dollar weakness, but the poke above 0.7015 major resistance was rejected and price is back at 0.70068. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-50s and the move is holding just above the 0.70042 swing low.

Support: 0.70042, 0.7000, 0.69888

Resistance: 0.7015, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 0.70150 reopens the 0.70207 session high
  • Loss of 0.70042 and 0.70000 psych confirms a deeper pullback
  • US Retail Sales (Thu 12:30 UTC) is the next USD catalyst and could shift this read

20:17 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 51 · price 0.70049

Higher highs into 0.7020, now retracing.

NY session pushed AUDUSD above the 0.7000 psych level and tagged 0.70207 on the soft US CPI/PPI-driven dollar softness, but the 0.7015 major resistance rejected the extension and price has retraced to 0.70049, near the 50% fib of the leg. RSI(14) cooled back toward neutral as the impulse faded.

Support: 0.7000, 0.69931, 0.69832

Resistance: 0.7015, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7015 reopens the 0.70207 session high
  • Failure to hold 0.7000 exposes the 0.69931 swing low
  • US Retail Sales (Thu 12:30 UTC) could reset this read

20:17 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling after rejection · RSI 51 · price 0.70049

Pullback from session high, holding above 0.7000.

NY session drove AUDUSD through the 0.7000 psych level to a 0.70207 spike, but the 0.7015 major resistance rejected the push and price faded back to hold near 0.7004 — a false break above the barrier. USD softness on the CPI/PPI misses underpins the bid; RSI(14) has cooled to neutral as the pullback settles.

Support: 0.70042, 0.7000, 0.69888

Resistance: 0.7015, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7015 confirms the breakout and reopens 0.70207
  • Failure to hold 0.70042/0.7000 opens a deeper pullback toward 0.69888
  • Fed's Musalem (~23:30 UTC) could shift USD tone in the next bars

20:03 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 52 · price 0.70068

Higher highs into session peak, now pulling back.

NY session drove AUDUSD through 0.7000 to a session high of 0.70207 on soft US PPI keeping the dollar offered, but the push above the 0.7015 major-resistance area was rejected and price has faded to 0.70068. Pullback holding above the 0.7000 round number so far, RSI(14) cooling back toward neutral.

Support: 0.70042, 0.7000, 0.69888

Resistance: 0.7015, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • Close below 0.70000 opens deeper retrace toward the 0.69888 swing low
  • Reclaim and hold of 0.70150 reopens the 0.70207 session high
  • US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could shift the USD-driven read

20:02 UTC

Uptrend, pulling back from session high · RSI 57 · price 0.70068

Higher highs, pullback into 0.7000.

AUDUSD pushed through the 0.7000 psych level into a session high at 0.70207 on soft-US-PPI-driven dollar weakness, then faded back toward 0.7000. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-50s as the pullback retests the breakout zone; 0.70150 major resistance still caps.

Support: 0.7000, 0.69931, 0.69832

Resistance: 0.70157, 0.70207, 0.7015

What it said to watch

  • Hold above 0.7000 psych keeps the breakout intact; loss of it opens 0.69931 swing low
  • Close above 0.70207 session high extends the uptrend toward 0.70150 major res area
  • US Retail Sales (Thu 12:30 UTC) could shift the USD-driven read

19:47 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 54 · price 0.70055

Higher highs into session high, pulling back.

NY session drove above the 0.7015 major resistance to a session high 0.70207 on soft US CPI/PPI dollar weakness, then faded back to 0.70055 — roughly the 50% mark of the rally leg. RSI(14) cooling from the highs; buyers held the 0.7000 psych level on the pullback.

Support: 0.7000, 0.6995, 0.69888

Resistance: 0.70207, 0.70157, 0.7015

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim above 0.70207 reopens the path higher
  • Loss of 0.7000 psych confirms a deeper pullback into the rally base
  • US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift the USD read

19:47 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 56 · price 0.70055

Higher highs into session high, now pulling back.

NY session drove AUDUSD through the 0.7000 psych level and 0.7015 major resistance to a session high of 0.70207 as soft US PPI extended the dollar's slide. Price has since pulled back to retest 0.7000, RSI(14) cooling from overbought toward the mid-50s.

Support: 0.7000, 0.6993, 0.69888

Resistance: 0.7015, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • Hold of 0.7000 keeps the breakout structure intact; loss opens 0.69930
  • Reclaim of 0.70150 reopens the 0.70207 session high
  • US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

19:32 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 61 · price 0.70091

Higher highs into 0.70207, now pulling back.

NY session pushed AUDUSD through the 0.7000 psych level to a 0.70207 session high on soft US PPI-driven dollar weakness, but the 0.7015 major resistance rejected the move and price has faded back to 0.7009. RSI cooling from the highs with the breakout still holding above 0.7000.

Support: 0.70076, 0.7000, 0.69822

Resistance: 0.70157, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7015 major reopens 0.70207 session high
  • Loss of 0.7000 psych negates the breakout read
  • US Retail Sales tomorrow could shift dollar tone

19:32 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 58 · price 0.70091

Higher highs into 0.7020, pulling back post-break.

NY session drove AUDUSD through the 0.7000 psych level to a session high of 0.70207 as soft US PPI extended dollar weakness. Price has since eased back to 0.70091, holding above the breakout but stalling under the 0.7015 major resistance flagged by the digest.

Support: 0.70076, 0.7000

Resistance: 0.7015, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7015 reopens the path to 0.70207 session high
  • Loss of 0.7000 psych would negate the breakout read
  • US Retail Sales (Thu 12:30 UTC) could shift USD tone materially

19:17 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 61 · price 0.70111

HH/HL chain, breakout above 0.7000, tagged 0.7015 zone.

NY session drove AUDUSD through the 0.7000 psych toward the 0.7015 major resistance flagged post soft-US-CPI/PPI, printing 0.70207 before rejection and a pullback to 0.7008. RSI(14) cooling from stretched levels, price holding above the 0.7000 breakout.

Support: 0.70077, 0.7000, 0.6993

Resistance: 0.7015, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7015 opens the path beyond the session high at 0.70207
  • Failure to hold 0.7000 negates the breakout and reopens 0.69930
  • US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

19:17 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 61 · price 0.70111

Higher highs into session high, pullback.

NY session pushed AUDUSD through the 0.7000 psych and 0.7015 major resistance on soft US CPI/PPI dollar weakness, printing a session high at 0.70207 before fading back to 0.7008. RSI(14) cooling from the rally peak; the move stalled at the barrier the digest flags.

Support: 0.70077, 0.7000, 0.69888

Resistance: 0.70207, 0.7015

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.70207 opens path beyond the 0.7015 major resistance
  • Failure to hold 0.7000 psych confirms rejection at session high
  • US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could shift this read

19:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling after rejection · RSI 58 · price 0.70085

Higher highs into 0.7020, now retesting breakout.

NY session drove AUDUSD through the 0.7000 psych level to a session high 0.70207 on soft-US-PPI dollar weakness, then pulled back to 0.70085 — a clean 38% retrace of the leg. RSI(14) cooling near 58 as the 0.7015 major resistance caps the move.

Support: 0.7000, 0.6993, 0.6980

Resistance: 0.7015, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.70207 opens the path beyond 0.7015 major resistance
  • Failure to hold 0.7000 psych negates the breakout retest
  • US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could reset this read

19:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 62 · price 0.70085

Higher highs into session high, pulling back.

NY session pushed AUDUSD above the 0.7000 psychological pivot to a session high at 0.70207 on soft-US-CPI/PPI dollar weakness, then pulled back to 0.7008 as RSI cooled from stretched levels. Uptrend intact while the pullback holds above the 0.7000 pivot.

Support: 0.7000, 0.69888, 0.6983

Resistance: 0.70207, 0.7015

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7015 major resist opens path beyond the session high
  • Failure to hold 0.7000 psych exposes 0.69888 swing low
  • US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could shift the dollar read

18:47 UTC

Uptrend, momentum strong · RSI 71 · price 0.70144

HH/HL chain, breakout above 0.7000.

NY session drove a clean breakout above the 0.7000 psych level, tagging 0.70207 as the soft-US-CPI/PPI dollar weakness fed a second leg higher. RSI(14) around 71 — hot but not extreme; price now pressing the 0.7015 major resistance flagged by the digest, last bar stalling at 0.70144.

Support: 0.7000, 0.6993, 0.69822

Resistance: 0.7015, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • M15 close and hold above 0.70207 extends the breakout
  • Loss of 0.7000 psych would signal the breakout is failing
  • US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could reset this read

18:47 UTC

Uptrend, momentum extended · RSI 74 · price 0.70144

Chain of higher highs, fresh breakout.

NY session drove a clean breakout above the 0.7000 psych level, tagging a session high at 0.70207 before easing to 0.70144, RSI(14) hot near 74. The leg is USD-driven on the soft US CPI/PPI prints; price now pressing UOB's 0.70150 major resistance.

Support: 0.7000, 0.6988

Resistance: 0.7015, 0.70207

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.70150 opens the path toward the session high at 0.70207
  • Failure to hold 0.7000 psych negates the breakout read
  • US Retail Sales tomorrow 12:30 UTC could reprice the USD leg driving this move

18:32 UTC

Uptrend, momentum extended · RSI 77 · price 0.70199

Breakout to fresh session highs.

AUDUSD broke the 0.7000 psych level and the 0.7015 prior resistance into the NY session, printing fresh highs at 0.70199 as softer US PPI kept the dollar offered. RSI(14) is hot near 77, so the move is stretched but structure remains a clean chain of higher highs off the 0.69888 swing low.

Support: 0.7015, 0.7000, 0.69888

Resistance: 0.70199

What it said to watch

  • A pullback into 0.7015 tests whether broken resistance now holds as support
  • Loss of 0.7000 psych would negate the breakout read
  • US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

18:32 UTC

Uptrend, momentum accelerating · RSI 78 · price 0.70199

Chain of higher highs, fresh breakout.

AUDUSD tore through the 0.7015 barrier and 0.7000 psych level into late NY hours after the soft US PPI print kept the dollar offered, printing a fresh session high at 0.70199. RSI(14) near 78 flags the move as hot but momentum is one-directional; the broken 0.7015 shelf now sits as first support on any pullback.

Support: 0.7015, 0.7000, 0.69888

Resistance: 0.70199

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 0.7015 on a close reopens the 0.7000 psych level
  • US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could firm the dollar and cap this leg
  • Failure to hold above 0.70000 confirms the breakout stalled

18:17 UTC

Uptrend, momentum hot · RSI 76 · price 0.70157

Higher highs, breakout above 0.7015.

Late NY session drove AUDUSD through the 0.7000 psych level and the 0.7015 major resistance on soft US PPI extending the post-CPI dollar unwind, session high 0.70171. RSI(14) near 76 — hot but consistent with the impulsive leg; breakout still holding.

Support: 0.7000, 0.69888, 0.6985

Resistance: 0.70171, 0.7015

What it said to watch

  • Hold above 0.7015 keeps the breakout intact; a close back below negates it
  • Loss of 0.7000 psych signals a false break
  • US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

18:17 UTC

Uptrend, momentum hot · RSI 76 · price 0.70157

HH/HL chain, breaking 0.7015.

NY session drove AUDUSD through the 0.7000 psych level and into the 0.7015 major resistance on continued USD weakness after soft US PPI. RSI(14) near 76 — short-term hot as price tests the barrier at session high 0.70171.

Support: 0.7000, 0.69888, 0.6983

Resistance: 0.7015, 0.70171

What it said to watch

  • M15 close and hold above 0.7015 confirms the breakout
  • Failure to hold 0.7000 psych opens a pullback to 0.69888
  • US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could shift this read

18:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum strong · price 0.70152

HH/HL, breakout above 0.7000.

NY session drove a clean breakout above the 0.7000 psych level into the 0.7015 major resistance, extending USD weakness after the soft US PPI print. RSI(14) is hot near 72 as price prints session highs; the 0.7015 barrier flagged by UOB is the immediate cap.

Support: 0.7000, 0.69888, 0.69797

Resistance: 0.7015, 0.70157

What it said to watch

  • Sustained close above 0.7015 major resistance opens the path higher
  • Loss of 0.7000 psych would negate the breakout
  • US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could shift this read

18:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum accelerating · RSI 79 · price 0.70152

Higher highs, fresh breakout.

AUDUSD punched through the 0.7000 psych level and the 0.7015 major resistance during the NY session, extending USD weakness after the soft US PPI print. RSI(14) is hot near 79 on the thrust, and price is holding session highs above both EMAs.

Support: 0.7000, 0.69888, 0.69797

Resistance: 0.70157, 0.7015, 0.7020

What it said to watch

  • Failure to hold 0.7015 on a close back below reopens the 0.7000 psych level
  • A sustained close above 0.7015 confirms the breakout toward 0.7020
  • US Retail Sales Thursday could materially shift this USD read

17:47 UTC

Uptrend, momentum accelerating · RSI 74 · price 0.7011

Higher highs, breakout above 0.7000.

NY session drove a clean breakout above the 0.7000 psychological pivot, price printing a session high at 0.70133 on soft US CPI/PPI-led dollar weakness. RSI(14) near 74 is hot but consistent with the impulsive leg; 0.7015 major resistance is the next barrier immediately overhead.

Support: 0.7000, 0.69888, 0.69797

Resistance: 0.7015, 0.70133

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7015 opens the path higher
  • Failure to hold 0.7000 negates the breakout and points back to 0.6988
  • US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could reshape the USD-driven read

17:47 UTC

Uptrend, momentum accelerating · RSI 78 · price 0.7011

Higher highs, breakout above 0.7000.

NY session drove AUDUSD through the 0.7000 psych level to a session high of 0.70133, now pressing the 0.7015 major resistance flagged by the USD-soft, PPI-miss backdrop. RSI(14) near 78 is hot after the impulsive leg; the move is USD-driven rather than domestic.

Support: 0.7000, 0.69888, 0.69797

Resistance: 0.7015, 0.70133

What it said to watch

  • M15 close and hold above 0.7015 major res opens scope beyond 0.7000 pivot
  • Failure to hold 0.7000 psych signals a fade of the breakout
  • US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could reprice the USD leg driving this

17:32 UTC

Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 71 · price 0.70047

Higher highs, HL chain intact.

AUDUSD ground higher through the NY session and cleared the 0.7000 psych level, printing a fresh session high at 0.70047 as the dollar stayed offered after soft US CPI and PPI misses. RSI(14) near 71 — hot but consistent with the trend; 0.7015 major resistance is the next hurdle above.

Support: 0.7000, 0.69888, 0.69797

Resistance: 0.7015

What it said to watch

  • Hold above 0.7000 keeps the HL chain intact; loss of it opens 0.69888
  • Close above 0.7015 major resistance extends the leg
  • US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could reprice the USD move

17:32 UTC

Uptrend, pressing new highs · RSI 71 · price 0.70047

Higher highs and higher lows, breakout above 0.7000.

AUDUSD ground higher through the NY session and just cleared the 0.7000 psychological pivot, printing a session high at 0.70047 on soft-US-CPI/PPI dollar weakness. RSI(14) near 70 and short bars stalling at the highs; 0.7015 major resistance still untested overhead.

Support: 0.7000, 0.69888, 0.69797

Resistance: 0.70047, 0.7015

What it said to watch

  • Sustained M15 close above 0.7015 opens scope beyond the round number
  • Failure to hold 0.70000 psych puts 0.69888 swing low back in play
  • Thursday US Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) could reshape the USD-driven bid

17:17 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling near 0.7000 · RSI 57 · price 0.69978

Higher highs / higher lows into psych level.

NY session pushed AUDUSD to a session high of 0.70023 and tagged the 0.7000 psych level on soft US CPI/PPI-driven dollar weakness, then faded to 0.69888. Buyers stepped back in and price is reclaiming the 0.7000 handle; RSI(14) mid-range, no extreme.

Support: 0.69888, 0.6982, 0.6980

Resistance: 0.70023, 0.7000, 0.7015

What it said to watch

  • Sustained close above 0.7000 keeps the path toward the 0.7015 major res open
  • Loss of 0.69888 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
  • US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

17:17 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling near 0.7000 · RSI 56 · price 0.69978

Higher highs into 0.7000, holding above prior swings.

AUDUSD ground higher through the NY session toward the 0.7000 psych level on soft US CPI/PPI USD weakness, tagging a session high at 0.70023 before pulling back. Price is holding above the rising swings around 0.6989 with RSI mid-range; the 0.7015 major cap flagged in context sits just overhead.

Support: 0.6993, 0.69888, 0.69797

Resistance: 0.70023, 0.7000, 0.7015

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7015 opens the path beyond the psych pivot
  • Failure to hold 0.6989 breaks the rising swing sequence
  • US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could shift this USD-driven read

17:03 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 51 · price 0.69948

Rejection at 0.7000 psych after session-high push.

NY session pushed through the 0.7000 psych level to a 0.70023 session high before rejecting back under it, RSI(14) cooling to the low-50s. The move is USD-driven off soft US CPI and today's soft PPI print; price now holding above EMA20/50 with the session low at 0.69888.

Support: 0.69888, 0.69797

Resistance: 0.70023, 0.7015

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.70023 reopens the path to the 0.7015 major resist
  • Failure to hold 0.69888 session low confirms a lower-low
  • US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could shift the USD read

17:03 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling after 0.7000 test · RSI 51 · price 0.69948

Higher highs into 0.7002, pulling back.

AUDUSD ground higher through the NY session on broad USD weakness after the soft US CPI/PPI prints, tagging 0.70023 just above the 0.7000 psych before rejecting. Price has since eased back to 0.69948, RSI(14) cooling to the mid-50s; the rising intraday support and 0.69888 swing low still hold.

Support: 0.69888, 0.69797

Resistance: 0.70023, 0.7000, 0.7015

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.70023 opens the path to 0.7015 major resistance
  • failure to hold 0.69888 swing low confirms a lower low toward 0.69800
  • US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift the USD read

16:47 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 51 · price 0.69897

HH into 0.7000 then pullback.

NY session extended the soft-US-CPI/PPI dollar-weakness bid to 0.70023, tagging the 0.7000 round number before rejecting back to 0.69897 with RSI(14) cooling off from overbought. 0.7015 major resistance held untested; pullback now probing the 0.69832 consolidation shelf.

Support: 0.69832, 0.69797

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70023, 0.7015

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7015 opens path beyond the round number
  • Failure to hold 0.69800 swing low confirms a lower-low
  • Rejection wick at 0.70000 keeps the pullback intact

16:47 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 45 · price 0.69897

Rejection at 0.7000 psych after HH sequence.

NY session drove AUDUSD above the 0.7000 psych to a session high of 0.70023 on soft US CPI/PPI-led dollar weakness, then rejected back to 0.69897. Momentum has cooled with RSI(14) mid-range and price slipping below EMA20; the 0.7000 handle capped the second push.

Support: 0.69888, 0.6983, 0.69797

Resistance: 0.70023, 0.7000, 0.7015

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim and hold above 0.7000 reopens the 0.7015 major resistance
  • Failure to hold 0.6983 confirms a lower-low off the session high
  • US Retail Sales (Thu 12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read

16:32 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 55 · price 0.69947

Higher highs into 0.7000, stalling.

NY session drove AUDUSD through the 0.6990 breakout toward the 0.7000 psych level, tagging a 0.70023 session high before rejecting back to 0.69947 — the two-day rally is USD-driven off soft US CPI/PPI. Momentum cooling as the round number caps.

Support: 0.6990, 0.69774, 0.69669

Resistance: 0.70023, 0.7000, 0.7015

What it said to watch

  • M15 close and hold above 0.7015 major res opens further upside
  • Failure to hold 0.6990 breakout returns price into the 0.6980s
  • US Retail Sales (Thu 12:30 UTC) is next USD catalyst that could shift this read

16:32 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 56 · price 0.69947

HH/HL chain, pullback after 0.7000 break.

NY session drove AUDUSD through the 0.7000 psych level to a session high of 0.70023 as soft US CPI/PPI kept the dollar offered, before cooling back to 0.6995. RSI has eased off the highs and price is now retesting the 0.7000 handle from above; 0.7015 remains the capping major resistance overhead.

Support: 0.6992, 0.69832

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70023, 0.7015

What it said to watch

  • Sustained hold above 0.7000 psych keeps the uptrend intact
  • Loss of 0.69920 swing low reopens the 0.69832 range floor
  • US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

16:17 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing at 0.7000 · RSI 61 · price 0.69962

Higher highs into psych level, stalling.

AUDUSD broke the 0.6990 range in NY hours and tapped a session high of 0.70023, the move fed by soft US PPI extending dollar weakness, but the 0.7000 psych area capped and price eased back to 0.69962. RSI cooling from the highs while price holds above EMA20/50; breakout base at 0.69832 remains the leg's floor.

Support: 0.69914, 0.69832

Resistance: 0.70023, 0.7015

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7015 major res opens further upside
  • Failure to hold 0.69914 swing low negates the breakout back into 0.69832 base
  • US Retail Sales (Thu 12:30 UTC) is the next USD catalyst for this pair

16:17 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 58 · price 0.69962

Higher highs into 0.7000, pulling back.

AUDUSD surged through the 0.6983 base on the 12:30 UTC soft US PPI print, tagging a session high of 0.70023 before rejecting the 0.7000 psych pivot. NY hours now see a shallow pullback with RSI(14) cooling from overbought toward 58; the rising structure holds while 0.6993 caps the downside.

Support: 0.6993, 0.69832

Resistance: 0.70023, 0.7015

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.70023 opens the path to the 0.7015 major resistance
  • Failure to hold 0.6993 breaks the rising-low structure
  • US Retail Sales (Thu 12:30 UTC) is the next USD catalyst that could reshape this read

16:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling near highs · RSI 61 · price 0.6998

HH/HL chain into 0.7000 psych.

NY session drove AUDUSD to a session high of 0.7002, tagging the 0.7000 psych level as soft US CPI/PPI keeps the dollar offered; price now hovers at 0.6998. RSI(14) is easing from the highs as the last two bars stalled, but buyers held above the 0.6993 pivot keeping the HL chain intact below the 0.7015 major resistance.

Support: 0.6993, 0.6983

Resistance: 0.7002, 0.7015

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7015 confirms the upside extension flagged by the digest
  • Failure to hold 0.6983 breaks the intraday HL chain
  • US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could shift the USD read materially

16:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling near psych level · RSI 64 · price 0.6998

HH/HL chain into 0.7000.

NY session pushed AUDUSD through 0.6990 to a session high of 0.7002 on the soft US PPI print, extending USD weakness. Price now hovers at 0.6998 just under the psychological 0.7000 pivot with RSI cooling from the highs; 0.7015 remains the major cap above.

Support: 0.6992, 0.6980

Resistance: 0.7002, 0.7015

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7015 confirms upside continuation
  • Failure to hold 0.6992 higher low breaks the intraday HH/HL chain
  • US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

15:47 UTC

Uptrend, pressing psych level · RSI 67 · price 0.70002

Higher highs into 0.7000.

NY session ground AUDUSD higher into the 0.7000 psych pivot, extending USD softness after the June PPI miss. Price broke the 0.6992 shelf and is now testing the session high at 0.70023 with RSI(14) around 67 — hot but not extreme. The 0.7015 major cap sits just above.

Support: 0.6995, 0.69832, 0.69797

Resistance: 0.70023, 0.7015

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.70150 major would open scope beyond the 0.7000 pivot
  • Failure to hold 0.69950 swing low breaks the higher-high chain
  • US Retail Sales tomorrow could materially shift this USD-driven read

15:47 UTC

Uptrend, momentum building · RSI 75 · price 0.70002

Chain of higher highs, breaking above 0.7000.

NY session drove AUDUSD through the 0.7000 psych level to a 0.70023 session high on broad USD weakness after soft US CPI and PPI. RSI(14) near 74 is hot but consistent with the trend; 0.7015 major resistance is the next hurdle overhead.

Support: 0.7000, 0.69832, 0.69774

Resistance: 0.70023, 0.7015

What it said to watch

  • Sustained M15 close above 0.7015 major resist opens further upside
  • Loss of 0.7000 psych level would signal momentum stalling
  • US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could shift this read

15:32 UTC

Uptrend, momentum steady · RSI 71 · price 0.70007

Higher highs, breakout above 0.6990.

NY session drove AUDUSD through 0.6990 to tag the psychological 0.7000, extending a second day of USD weakness after the soft US PPI miss. RSI(14) near 70 is hot but structure is intact, with buyers stepping in on shallow dips through the London-NY push. Session high at 0.70023 is the immediate barrier.

Support: 0.6992, 0.6983

Resistance: 0.70023, 0.7015

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.70023 opens the path to the 0.7015 major resistance
  • Failure to hold 0.6990 would negate the breakout
  • US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

15:32 UTC

Uptrend, momentum extended · RSI 71 · price 0.70007

Higher highs into session high, pressing 0.7000.

NY session drove AUDUSD through 0.6990 and into the psychological 0.7000 as USD stayed soft after the cool June PPI print. RSI(14) near 71 shows momentum extended but not extreme; session high at 0.70023 is the immediate cap with 0.7015 the major barrier above.

Support: 0.6990, 0.69832, 0.69797

Resistance: 0.70023, 0.7015

What it said to watch

  • Hold above 0.7000 keeps the intraday uptrend intact; loss of 0.69832 breakout base negates it
  • A close above 0.7015 opens room to extend
  • US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

15:17 UTC

Uptrend, pressing 0.7000 · RSI 67 · price 0.69952

Higher highs into psych level.

AUD extended a second-day rally through NY hours on broad USD weakness after soft US CPI and PPI, breaking out of the 0.69830 base toward the 0.7000 psychological barrier (session high 0.69999). RSI(14) near 67 — hot but not extreme — with price holding above EMA20/50.

Support: 0.6983, 0.69674

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7015

What it said to watch

  • Rejection at 0.7000/0.70150 with USD stabilizing would revert price back toward the 0.69830 swing low
  • A clean M15 close above 0.70150 opens room to extend the intraday leg
  • US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

15:17 UTC

Uptrend, pressing 0.7000 · RSI 68 · price 0.69952

Higher highs into psych barrier.

NY session drove AUDUSD out of the 0.6983 range and up to test the 0.7000 psych level on broad USD softness after the cool CPI/PPI prints. RSI(14) elevated near 68 but not extreme; buyers defended 0.6989 on the pullback, keeping the intraday leg intact.

Support: 0.6989, 0.69834, 0.69774

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7015

What it said to watch

  • Sustained trade above 0.7000 opens the path to the 0.7015 major resistance
  • Loss of 0.6989 broken-res would put the breakout in question
  • US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

15:02 UTC

Uptrend, pressing round number · RSI 71 · price 0.69989

Higher highs into 0.7000.

AUDUSD ground higher through NY hours on a second day of soft-US-data USD weakness (CPI/PPI misses), now pressing the 0.7000 psychological level with RSI(14) hot near 71. Clean breakout above the 0.69832 base held, printing a chain of higher lows into the figure.

Support: 0.69896, 0.69832, 0.69797

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7015

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7000 opens the path to 0.7015 major resistance
  • Loss of the 0.69896 rising low would break the higher-low chain
  • US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this USD-driven read

15:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum extended · RSI 71 · price 0.69989

Higher highs into 0.7000.

NY session pressing the 0.7000 round number after a clean breakout above 0.69832, with USD softness from cool US CPI/PPI driving the bid. RSI(14) hot near 71 but not extreme; higher-high chain intact off the 0.69797 swing low.

Support: 0.69832, 0.69797

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7015

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7000 opens the path to 0.7015 major resistance
  • Failure to hold 0.69832 breakout base negates the intraday uptrend
  • US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

14:47 UTC

Uptrend, momentum building · RSI 67 · price 0.69968

Higher highs into 0.7000 after range break.

NY session pushed AUDUSD off the 0.6980–0.6990 range top and up to press the 0.7000 psych level, extending USD weakness after the soft US PPI miss. RSI(14) elevated near 67 but not stretched; the 0.6990 breakout zone has so far held as support.

Support: 0.6990, 0.69832, 0.6977

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.69983

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.70000 opens the path toward 0.7015
  • Loss of 0.6990 breakout retest reverts into the prior range
  • US Retail Sales (Thu 12:30 UTC) could reshape the USD leg of this move

14:47 UTC

Uptrend, pressing 0.7000 · RSI 64 · price 0.69968

Higher lows, coiling under session high.

NY session drove AUDUSD through 0.6990 to press the 0.7000 psychological level, extending USD weakness after the soft June PPI miss. Price is coiling in a tight 0.6992-0.6998 band just below the session high at 0.69983, RSI elevated but not stretched.

Support: 0.69914, 0.69797, 0.69669

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.69983

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7000 opens the path toward 0.7015
  • Failure to hold 0.69914 reverts into the prior 0.6980-0.6990 range
  • US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could shift this read

14:32 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling near 0.7000 · RSI 62 · price 0.69946

Higher highs/lows, consolidating below psych level.

NY session extended the soft-US-CPI/PPI dollar-weakness leg, AUD breaking 0.69832 and pressing the 0.7000 psych level with a session high at 0.69983. RSI(14) cooling into the low 60s as price consolidates just under 0.7000; buyers held 0.69896 on the last pullback.

Support: 0.69896, 0.69832, 0.69797

Resistance: 0.69983, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69983/0.7000 opens the path toward 0.7015
  • Loss of 0.69832 breakout level negates the near-term higher-low chain
  • Warsh testimony / USD repricing could shift this dollar-driven read

14:32 UTC

Uptrend, pressing 0.7000 · RSI 63 · price 0.69946

Higher highs after breakout, stalling below psych level.

NY session pushed AUDUSD out of the 0.6985 consolidation on the soft US CPI/PPI miss weighing on the dollar, tagging a session high of 0.69983 and now stalling just under the 0.7000 psych level. RSI(14) around 63, momentum flattening as price coils below round-number resistance.

Support: 0.6983, 0.6977

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.69983

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7000 opens the path to 0.7015
  • Loss of 0.69830 breakout base negates the breakout read
  • Warsh testimony aftermath could shift USD tone in coming hours

14:17 UTC

Uptrend, pressing round number · RSI 66 · price 0.69941

Breakout above 0.6990, consolidating below 0.7000.

NY session pushed AUDUSD through 0.6990 to a session high 0.6998, pressing the 0.7000 psych level as soft US CPI/PPI keep the dollar offered. RSI(14) around 66 with price consolidating just below the round number; ATR(14) ~6 pips.

Support: 0.6990, 0.6983, 0.6977

Resistance: 0.69983, 0.7000, 0.7015

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7000 psych opens the path to 0.7015 major res
  • Failure to hold 0.6990 breakout reverts into the 0.6983 prior range
  • Warsh testimony ~14:00 UTC could shift the USD tape and this read

14:17 UTC

Uptrend, pressing 0.7000 · RSI 66 · price 0.69941

Range break, higher highs into psych level.

NY session broke the 0.6983 range top and pushed to a session high of 0.6998, pressing the 0.7000 psych level as the USD stayed soft after the CPI/PPI misses. RSI(14) around 66 — hot but not extreme; price holding above the breakout level.

Support: 0.69832, 0.69674

Resistance: 0.6998, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7000 psych opens room to extend
  • Failure back below 0.69832 breakout reverts into the prior range
  • Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) could materially shift the USD read

14:02 UTC

Uptrend, pressing psych level · RSI 68 · price 0.69943

Higher highs off intraday low, breakout in play.

AUDUSD broke the 0.69880 ceiling into NY hours and printed a session high at 0.69983, extending the soft-US-CPI/PPI dollar slide toward the 0.70000 psych level. RSI(14) near 68, momentum firm but approaching hot as price stalls just under the round number.

Support: 0.6983, 0.6977, 0.69669

Resistance: 0.69983, 0.7000, 0.7015

What it said to watch

  • Sustained M15 close above 0.70000 opens the path to 0.70150 major res
  • Rejection at session high 0.69983 risks reversion into the 0.69830 prior range
  • Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) could materially shift this read

14:02 UTC

Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 63 · price 0.69943

Higher highs, holding above breakout base.

AUDUSD broke the 0.6985 shelf into NY hours and is pressing the 0.7000 psych level, riding soft US CPI/PPI USD weakness. Price is consolidating just under 0.69983 session high, RSI mid-60s and not yet stretched.

Support: 0.6983, 0.6977

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.69983

What it said to watch

  • Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC could sharply shift USD and this read
  • Sustained M15 close above 0.70000 opens room toward 0.7015
  • Loss of 0.69830 breakout base signals failed push and reverts into 0.6985 range

13:47 UTC

Uptrend, momentum extending · RSI 65 · price 0.69923

Breakout above consolidation, pressing round number.

NY session broke the 0.6983 consolidation top into 0.6998, pressing the 0.7000 psych level on broad USD softness after the CPI/PPI misses. RSI(14) elevated near 65 but not stretched; last bar stalling just under the session high.

Support: 0.69832, 0.69774

Resistance: 0.69983, 0.7000, 0.7015

What it said to watch

  • Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
  • M15 close above 0.7000 opens the path to the 0.7015 major
  • Failure to hold 0.69832 reopens the prior 0.6977-0.6990 range

13:47 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 62 · price 0.69923

Higher highs into 0.70000, coiling below session high.

NY session drove AUDUSD to a session high of 0.69983 after the soft US PPI print at 12:30 UTC pressured the dollar. Price is now coiling just under the 0.70000 psych level, RSI(14) cooling from the push. Consolidation holding above 0.69800.

Support: 0.6980, 0.6970

Resistance: 0.69983, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.70000 opens the path toward 0.7015 resistance
  • Failure to hold 0.69800 reverts price into the prior range
  • Fed's Warsh testimony risk could shift USD tone this session

13:32 UTC

Uptrend, momentum extending · RSI 68 · price 0.69921

Breakout above 0.6990, pressing 0.7000.

NY open broke above the 0.6983 consolidation and pressed the psychological 0.7000, printing a session high at 0.69983 as soft US PPI extended dollar weakness. RSI(14) near 68, hot but not extreme; price holding above the breakout base.

Support: 0.6983, 0.69774, 0.69669

Resistance: 0.69983, 0.7000, 0.7015

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7000/0.7015 major res opens extension
  • Loss of 0.69830 breakout base negates the breakout read
  • Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read

13:32 UTC

Uptrend, momentum fresh after breakout · RSI 68 · price 0.69921

Breakout from intraday consolidation, HH/HL.

AUDUSD broke the 0.6983-0.6990 consolidation into the NY session, tagging 0.69983 just shy of the 0.7000 psychological level on cool US PPI weighing on the dollar. RSI(14) near 68, hot but not extreme; price has since eased back toward 0.6992 holding above the breakout base.

Support: 0.6983, 0.69774

Resistance: 0.69983, 0.7000, 0.7015

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7000 opens the path to 0.7015 major res
  • Loss of 0.6983 breakout base negates the breakout, reverts to range
  • Fed Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) could materially shift this read

13:17 UTC

Uptrend, pressing 0.7000 · RSI 71 · price 0.69943

Higher highs, breakout from 0.6983-0.6990 consolidation.

AUDUSD broke out of the 0.6983-0.6990 consolidation into the NY session, printing a session high at 0.69983 as soft US PPI extended dollar weakness. Price is pressing the 0.7000 psych level with RSI(14) around 71 — hot but consistent with the impulsive leg.

Support: 0.69832, 0.69797

Resistance: 0.69983, 0.7000, 0.7015

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7000 opens the path to 0.70150 major resistance
  • Failure to hold 0.69832 reverts into prior consolidation
  • Fed's Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could shift this read

13:17 UTC

Uptrend, pressing session high · RSI 68 · price 0.69943

Higher lows into 0.7000 psych.

NY session pushed AUDUSD off 0.6983 up to a session high of 0.69983, pressing the 0.7000 psych level as soft US PPI extended dollar weakness. RSI(14) around 68 — hot but not extreme; buyers stepped in repeatedly along a rising sequence of higher lows.

Support: 0.6983, 0.69774, 0.69669

Resistance: 0.69983, 0.7000, 0.7015

What it said to watch

  • Rejection at 0.69983/0.7000 psych keeps price capped below round number
  • M15 close above 0.7000 opens the path to 0.7015 major resistance
  • Loss of 0.69830 session mid negates the higher-low sequence
  • Fed Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read

13:03 UTC

Uptrend, pressing 0.7000 · RSI 68 · price 0.69948

Breakout above session ceiling, HH/HL intact.

NY session drove AUDUSD out of the 0.6980-0.6992 range to 0.69968, pressing the 0.7000 psych level as soft US PPI extended dollar weakness. RSI(14) near 68, elevated but not extreme; breakout base at 0.69832 is the first reference below.

Support: 0.69832, 0.69797

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.69968, 0.7015

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7000 psych opens the path to 0.7015 major resistance
  • Failure to hold 0.69832 breakout base reverts into the 0.6980-0.6996 range
  • Fed's Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) could materially shift the USD-driven read

13:03 UTC

Uptrend, pressing session highs · RSI 71 · price 0.69948

Higher lows into 0.7000 psych.

NY session drove AUDUSD off the 0.69800 recent low to 0.69968, breaking the intraday range as soft US PPI extended dollar weakness. Price is now pressing the 0.7000 psych level with RSI(14) hot near 71.

Support: 0.6980, 0.69674

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7015

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7000 opens the path to 0.70150 major resistance
  • Rejection at 0.7000 with failure to hold 0.69800 recent low reverts the breakout

12:47 UTC

Uptrend, fresh breakout · RSI 68 · price 0.69923

Consolidation broken to the upside.

AUDUSD spent London hours coiling in a 0.6980–0.6992 band before the 12:30 UTC US PPI batch drove a sharp pop through the prior high, now pressing the 0.7000 psych level with RSI(14) near 68. The soft-US-CPI dollar softness remains the driver; breakout holds while price stays above the session base at 0.6980.

Support: 0.6980, 0.69674

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.6993, 0.7015

What it said to watch

  • A close back below 0.6980 session base negates the breakout and reverts to range
  • Sustained trade above 0.7000 psych opens the path to 0.7015 major res
  • Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could shift the USD tone and this read

12:47 UTC

Grinding higher toward 0.7000 · RSI 68 · price 0.69923

Rising, pressing session high.

AUDUSD jumped ~10 pips on the 12:30 UTC US PPI print, breaking the 0.6980-0.6993 consolidation and printing a fresh session high at 0.6993 as the soft-CPI dollar drift extended. RSI(14) around 68, hot but not extreme; the psychological 0.7000 is the next barrier overhead.

Support: 0.6980, 0.6967

Resistance: 0.6993, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.7000 opens the path toward the 0.7015 barrier
  • Failure to hold 0.6980 reverts price back into the prior consolidation
  • Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read

12:32 UTC

Sideways, drifting toward range top · RSI 57 · price 0.69886

Range under 0.6992-0.7000, higher lows into resistance.

AUDUSD is ranging 0.6970-0.6992 beneath the 0.7000 psych level, capped repeatedly near 0.6992 through the London-NY session as a soft US CPI print keeps the dollar offered. The last bar poked to 0.69905 with RSI(14) mid-range near 57 — no extreme, no clean break yet.

Support: 0.6980, 0.6970

Resistance: 0.6992, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6992 opens the path to the 0.7000 handle
  • Failure to hold 0.6970 confirms a range break lower
  • Aus Consumer Inflation Expectations Thu 01:00 UTC could shift the read

12:32 UTC

Mild uptrend, grinding into range top · RSI 58 · price 0.69886

Consolidation below session highs near 0.6990.

AUDUSD is grinding higher on soft-US-CPI dollar weakness, coiling just under the 0.69925 session high with the 0.7000 handle overhead. Price holds above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range, no extreme; repeated stalls at 0.6990 keep the range top intact.

Support: 0.6980, 0.6970

Resistance: 0.69925, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69925 opens the path to the 0.7000 psych handle
  • Loss of 0.69800 session low points back toward the 0.69700 swing low
  • US PPI / Warsh testimony on the USD side could shift this read

12:17 UTC

Sideways, range-bound · RSI 52 · price 0.69841

Consolidation below session high.

AUDUSD is ranging 0.6967–0.6992 through the London-NY window, with the 0.6992 top capping repeated pushes as soft US CPI keeps the dollar heavy. Price is pinned near 0.6984 with RSI(14) flat around 52 — no intraday setup in play.

Support: 0.6970, 0.69674

Resistance: 0.69923, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6992 opens the path to the 0.7000 psych handle
  • Loss of 0.69700 range base exposes the 0.69674 swing low
  • US PPI and Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) could shift the USD leg and break this range

12:17 UTC

Sideways, no momentum · RSI 51 · price 0.69841

Range-bound between 0.6967 and 0.6992.

AUDUSD is coiling in a tight 0.6967-0.6992 range through the London-NY session, riding soft-US-CPI dollar weakness but stalling shy of the 0.7000 handle. RSI(14) sits near 51 and ATR is thin at ~5 pips; price is pinned at the EMA20 with no clean intraday setup in play.

Support: 0.6970, 0.69669

Resistance: 0.69923, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69923 opens a path to the 0.7000 psych handle
  • Loss of 0.6970 exposes the 0.69669 session low
  • US PPI and Warsh testimony are the immediate USD catalysts that could break this range

12:02 UTC

Uptrend stalling into consolidation · RSI 54 · price 0.69856

Ranging below session high after early rally.

AUDUSD spiked to 0.69920 early on soft-US-CPI dollar weakness, then spent the London-NY hours grinding sideways between 0.69790 and the 0.69920 session high. Momentum has cooled with RSI back to neutral; the pair sits mid-range at 0.69856 with the 0.7000 psychological barrier still untested.

Support: 0.6979, 0.6967

Resistance: 0.6992, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • US PPI 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could break this range either way
  • M15 close above 0.69920 opens the path to the 0.7000 psych level
  • Loss of 0.69790 session low exposes the 0.69670 swing low

12:02 UTC

Uptrend stalling, now flat · RSI 54 · price 0.69856

Consolidation below session high.

AUDUSD consolidating in a tight 0.6980-0.6990 band after the soft US CPI-driven leg from 0.6941 stalled just shy of the 0.6992 session high. RSI(14) neutral near 54, ATR only ~5 pips — momentum has drained as price coils below the 0.7000 psychological barrier.

Support: 0.69795, 0.6970

Resistance: 0.6992, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • US PPI at 12:30 UTC could break this coil either way
  • M15 close above 0.69920 opens a test of the 0.7000 psych level
  • Loss of 0.69795 exposes 0.69700 range low

11:47 UTC

Uptrend stalled, consolidating · RSI 46 · price 0.69836

Range below 0.7000 after early leg up.

AUDUSD spiked to 0.6992 early on soft-US-CPI dollar weakness, then spent the session grinding sideways just under the 0.7000 psych barrier. Price is coiling in a tight 0.6977–0.6992 range with RSI(14) mid-zone and ATR compressing to ~6 pips; no fresh push in play.

Support: 0.69774, 0.6941

Resistance: 0.6992, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6992 session high opens the 0.7000 psych level
  • loss of 0.69774 swing low breaks the intraday range lower
  • US PPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

11:47 UTC

Sideways after early pop, momentum flat · RSI 48 · price 0.69836

Consolidation under session high, holding above 0.6970.

AUDUSD gapped up early in the window to 0.6992 on soft-US-CPI dollar weakness, then spent the London-NY hours consolidating in a tight 0.6977–0.6992 band. RSI(14) sits neutral near 48 with price hugging EMA20; the session high has capped twice and 0.6970 has held on each dip.

Support: 0.6977, 0.6970

Resistance: 0.6992, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6992 opens the path to the 0.7000 psych level
  • Failure to hold 0.6970 confirms a range breakdown
  • US PPI at 12:30 UTC (~45m out) plus Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read

11:32 UTC

Uptrend stalled, now ranging · RSI 46 · price 0.69827

Consolidation below session high after early push.

AUDUSD spiked to 0.698 in the Asia session on soft-US-CPI dollar weakness, then spent London coiling between 0.6980 and the 0.69923 session high, capped short of the 0.7000 psych level. Momentum has flattened, RSI mid-range, and current price sits back at the range low near 0.6980.

Support: 0.6980, 0.6970

Resistance: 0.69923, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69923 opens the path to the 0.7000 psych level
  • Failure to hold 0.6980 exposes the 0.6970 swing low
  • US PPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

11:32 UTC

Uptrend stalled, now ranging · RSI 47 · price 0.69827

Consolidation under 0.6992 session high.

AUDUSD popped ~40 pips off 0.6941 early in the window on the soft US CPI-driven dollar sell-off, then stalled into a tight 0.6980-0.6992 range just below the 0.7000 psychological barrier. RSI(14) sits neutral near 47 with price coiling under the session high.

Support: 0.6980, 0.6967

Resistance: 0.6992, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • US PPI at 12:30 UTC (~1h out) could break this range
  • M15 close above 0.6992 opens the path to the 0.7000 psych level
  • Loss of 0.6980 session low exposes 0.6967 swing low

11:17 UTC

Uptrend paused, ranging under 0.6990 · RSI 51 · price 0.69843

Consolidation below session high after CPI-driven leg up.

AUDUSD gapped ~40 pips higher off the soft US June CPI print and has since gone flat, coiling in a 0.6980–0.6992 band just under the session high and the 0.7000 psych barrier. RSI(14) is neutral near 51 and ATR has compressed to ~5 pips — no intraday setup in play.

Support: 0.69774, 0.6972

Resistance: 0.69923, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • US PPI at 12:30 UTC could break this range read within the next bar
  • M15 close above 0.69923 opens the path to the 0.7000 psych level
  • Loss of 0.69774 swing low would confirm a lower low and end the consolidation

11:17 UTC

Uptrend stalling, now ranging · RSI 48 · price 0.69843

Consolidation below 0.7000 after impulsive leg up.

AUDUSD is consolidating around 0.6984, capped below the 0.6992 session high and the 0.7000 psychological barrier after soft US June CPI drove the earlier leg up. Buyers stepped in twice near 0.6977 during NY hours; RSI(14) neutral around 47 with no directional setup in play.

Support: 0.69774, 0.69669

Resistance: 0.69923, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6992 opens a test of the 0.7000 psych level
  • Failure to hold 0.69774 confirms a lower low
  • US PPI at 12:30 UTC (within the hour) could materially shift this read

11:02 UTC

Uptrend paused, consolidating near highs · RSI 49 · price 0.69835

Range below 0.7000 after CPI spike.

AUDUSD gapped ~40 pips higher on the soft US June CPI print at the 12:30 UTC bar and has since chopped in a 0.6977-0.6992 range through the NY session. Price is glued just under the 0.7000 psych barrier, RSI(14) neutral near 49 with no fresh directional impulse.

Support: 0.69774, 0.69674

Resistance: 0.69923, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6992 puts the 0.7000 psych level in play
  • Failure to hold 0.6977 swing low opens 0.6967 range low
  • US PPI at 12:30 UTC could break this range either way

11:02 UTC

Uptrend stalled, consolidating · RSI 53 · price 0.69835

Range near session highs after CPI leg.

AUDUSD spiked from 0.6944 to 0.6981 on the soft US June CPI print, then spent the session grinding between 0.6970 and the 0.6992 high without extending. Price now hovers at 0.69835, coiling just under the session high with RSI mid-range — no fresh directional impulse in play.

Support: 0.6970, 0.6967

Resistance: 0.6992, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6992 opens the path to the 0.7000 psych barrier
  • Loss of 0.6970 range floor exposes 0.6967 swing low
  • US PPI 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

10:47 UTC

Sideways after CPI leg up · RSI 46 · price 0.69823

Consolidation below range top.

AUDUSD is consolidating in a 0.6979–0.6992 range through the London session after yesterday's soft-US-CPI leg lifted it toward 0.7000. The range top at 0.6992 has capped repeated pushes and RSI(14) has cooled to mid-40s as price drifts back toward the 0.6980 support.

Support: 0.6979, 0.6970

Resistance: 0.6992, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • US PPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Close above 0.69920 opens the path to the 0.7000 psych barrier
  • Loss of 0.69790 exposes the 0.6970 swing low

10:47 UTC

Uptrend stalling, consolidating below 0.7000 · RSI 46 · price 0.69823

Range after CPI-driven leg up.

AUDUSD is consolidating in a 0.69795–0.69923 range beneath the 0.7000 psychological barrier after soft US June CPI lifted the pair ~2 big figures. Repeated pokes at 0.69923 during London hours have been capped, and the last bars are drifting back toward the session low near 0.69795. RSI(14) is neutral around 46 with no divergence.

Support: 0.69795, 0.6973

Resistance: 0.69923, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69923 opens the path to the 0.7000 psych level
  • Failure to hold 0.69795 exposes the 0.6973 swing low
  • US PPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

10:32 UTC

Uptrend stalling, pullback in play · RSI 45 · price 0.69822

Consolidation below session high, capped short of 0.7000.

AUDUSD spiked from 0.6944 to ~0.6982 on yesterday's soft US CPI print and has since consolidated in a tight 0.6977-0.6992 band, capped short of the 0.7000 psych barrier. Price has ticked back to 0.69822 and slipped under EMA20/50; RSI(14) mid-40s, no momentum in either direction. Rally is USD-driven, so US PPI at 12:30 UTC is the near-term pivot.

Support: 0.69774, 0.69683

Resistance: 0.6992, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • US PPI at 12:30 UTC could break this consolidation either way
  • M15 close above 0.69920 opens the 0.7000 psych level
  • Break below 0.69774 swing low confirms a lower low

10:32 UTC

Ranging, momentum flat · RSI 46 · price 0.69822

Range post CPI spike, top capped near 0.6992.

AUDUSD has ranged 0.6970–0.6992 since the soft US CPI print spiked the pair up ~40 pips yesterday's NY session. Repeated rejections near 0.6992 form a double top; current London pullback to 0.6982 leaves RSI mid-range and price below EMA20/50.

Support: 0.6977, 0.6967

Resistance: 0.6992, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • US PPI at 12:30 UTC could break this range
  • Close above 0.6992 opens the 0.7000 psych barrier
  • Close below 0.6977 confirms a lower low

10:17 UTC

Uptrend stalled, consolidating near highs · RSI 51 · price 0.69853

Tight range under session high.

AUD/USD spiked ~40 pips off the soft US CPI print and has since gone flat, coiling in a tight 0.6980-0.6992 band and capped well short of the 0.7000 psychological barrier. RSI(14) is neutral near 51 with ATR compressed to ~5 pips — no intraday momentum in play.

Support: 0.6980, 0.6970

Resistance: 0.6992, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • US PPI at 12:30 UTC could break this coil either way
  • M15 close above 0.6992 opens a test of 0.7000
  • Failure to hold 0.6980 exposes the 0.6970 session low

10:17 UTC

Sideways, holding near highs · RSI 53 · price 0.69853

Consolidation under session high.

AUDUSD is coiling in a tight 0.6977–0.6992 range just beneath the 0.7000 psychological barrier, the pair bid for a second session on soft-US-CPI dollar weakness. Price gapped up early in the window then stalled; RSI(14) is flat near neutral and ATR has compressed to ~4.5 pips.

Support: 0.6977, 0.6970

Resistance: 0.6992, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • US PPI at 12:30 UTC could break this range in either direction
  • M15 close above 0.6992 opens the path to the 0.7000 psych barrier
  • Failure to hold 0.6977 exposes the 0.6970 swing low

10:03 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 52 · price 0.69842

Consolidation below session high.

AUDUSD is grinding sideways between 0.69793 and the 0.69920 session high after a soft US CPI print kept the dollar offered. Momentum has flattened, RSI(14) neutral near 52, with buyers repeatedly defending the 0.6980 range low into the London session.

Support: 0.69793, 0.69674

Resistance: 0.6992, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69920 opens the path to the 0.70000 psych level
  • Failure to hold 0.69793 exposes the 0.69674 swing low
  • US PPI at 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC could shift this read

10:03 UTC

Sideways after CPI-led push, momentum flat · RSI 51 · price 0.69842

Range near session highs, 0.6977-0.6992.

AUDUSD is ranging 0.6977-0.6992 near session highs after the soft US CPI kept the dollar offered; the 12:45 UTC spike to 0.6983 has since stalled into a tight consolidation. RSI(14) sits mid-range and price is pinned around EMA20, ATR compressed to ~4 pips.

Support: 0.6977, 0.6970

Resistance: 0.6992, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6992 opens the 0.7000 psych level
  • Failure to hold 0.6977 exposes 0.6970 swing low
  • US PPI at 12:30 UTC could shift the USD-driven read

09:47 UTC

Sideways after CPI-led pop · RSI 55 · price 0.69865

Range holding below 0.6992.

AUDUSD spiked to 0.6992 on the soft US CPI USD sell-off yesterday, then coiled in a tight 0.6970–0.6992 range through Asia and into today's London hours. Price sits mid-range near 0.6986, RSI flat around 55 — no directional impulse in play.

Support: 0.6970, 0.6950

Resistance: 0.6992, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6992 opens the path to the 0.7000 psych level
  • Failure to hold 0.6970 range low reopens 0.6950 ema pivot
  • US PPI 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could shift the USD-led read

09:47 UTC

Consolidating near session highs · RSI 56 · price 0.69865

Range after early spike, holding upper half.

AUDUSD spiked to 0.6992 during the US session on soft-CPI dollar weakness, then settled into a tight range in the upper half, last at 0.69865. RSI(14) neutral near 56; the 0.6992 session high caps while 0.6970 holds the base.

Support: 0.6977, 0.6970

Resistance: 0.6992, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6992 opens the 0.7000 psych level
  • Failure to hold 0.6970 range low breaks the consolidation lower
  • US PPI 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could shift the USD-led read

09:32 UTC

Uptrend stalling, ranging near highs · RSI 55 · price 0.69865

Consolidation below session high after impulsive leg.

AUDUSD is grinding sideways between 0.6977 and 0.6992 after the earlier CPI-driven USD-weakness spike off 0.6944. Repeated highs stall near 0.6992 while dips into 0.6977 have been bought during the London session; RSI(14) mid-range, no extreme.

Support: 0.69774, 0.69669

Resistance: 0.69923, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6992 opens the path toward the 0.7000 psych level
  • Failure to hold 0.6977 exposes 0.6970 and breaks the rising support
  • US PPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

09:32 UTC

Range after CPI-driven pop · RSI 55 · price 0.69865

Consolidation near range top.

AUDUSD ran from 0.6940 to 0.6992 on the soft US CPI USD weakness ~21h ago, then went sideways, ranging 0.69774–0.69923 through Asia into the London open. Price sits near the range top at 0.69865, RSI mid-range; no fresh breakout in play.

Support: 0.69774, 0.6970

Resistance: 0.69923, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.69923 opens the path to the 0.7000 psych level
  • Failure to hold 0.69774 swing low exposes 0.69700 range low
  • US PPI at 12:30 UTC could re-arm USD and shift this read

09:17 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening near highs · RSI 58 · price 0.69889

Ranging just under session high after CPI spike.

AUDUSD jumped off 0.6944 on the soft-US-CPI dollar sell-off and has since gone sideways, coiling between 0.6977 and the 0.6992 session high through the Asia-into-London hours. Twin touches at 0.6992 have capped the upside while dips into 0.6977 held; RSI(14) mid-range, no fresh momentum.

Support: 0.6977, 0.6967

Resistance: 0.6992, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.70000 psych opens room past the 0.6992 cap
  • Failure to hold 0.69770 swing low confirms a lower-low
  • US PPI at 12:30 UTC could re-arm the dollar and shift this read

09:17 UTC

Mild uptrend, momentum flat · RSI 57 · price 0.69889

Consolidating near session highs below 0.6992.

AUDUSD grinding sideways at 0.6989, capped repeatedly at the 0.69923 session high after riding soft-US-CPI dollar weakness higher. Price holds above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) neutral near 57; range compressing into the 0.6984–0.6992 band with 0.7000 the psychological cap above.

Support: 0.6984, 0.69774, 0.69725

Resistance: 0.69923, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69923 opens the path to the 0.7000 psych level
  • Loss of 0.69840 session floor exposes 0.69774 swing low
  • US PPI 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could re-arm dollar bid and shift this read

09:03 UTC

Mild uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 58 · price 0.6988

Consolidation near session highs below 0.7000.

AUDUSD is grinding sideways in a 0.6975–0.6992 range near its session high, extending the soft-US-CPI dollar weakness that lifted it off the 0.6938 area yesterday. Price sits just under the 0.7000 psychological pivot with RSI(14) mid-range and ATR compressed near 4-5 pips.

Support: 0.6975, 0.6967, 0.6952

Resistance: 0.6992, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6992 opens the path to the 0.7000 psych level
  • US PPI at 12:30 UTC could re-arm the USD and shift this read
  • Failure to hold 0.6975 exposes the 0.6967 swing low

09:03 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling near highs · RSI 58 · price 0.6988

Consolidation under session high after breakout leg.

AUDUSD sprang from 0.6938 to 0.6992 on soft-US-CPI dollar weakness, then spent the London session grinding sideways in a tight 0.6970–0.6992 band. Price sits at 0.6988 pressing the session high, RSI(14) mid-range with the 0.7000 psychological level capping overhead.

Support: 0.6970, 0.6946

Resistance: 0.6992, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6992 opens the path to the 0.7000 psych level
  • Failure to hold 0.6970 breaks the range floor
  • US PPI at 12:30 UTC could re-arm dollar bid and shift this read

08:47 UTC

Uptrend stalling, consolidating near highs · RSI 55 · price 0.69864

Range near session highs after CPI leg.

AUDUSD is grinding in a tight 0.6977–0.6992 range near session highs, extending the soft-US-CPI USD-weakness leg from earlier. RSI(14) neutral around 55, ATR compressed to ~6 pips; 0.6992 session high caps, 0.7000 psychological pivot just above.

Support: 0.69774, 0.69669

Resistance: 0.69923, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6992 opens the path to the 0.7000 psych level
  • Failure to hold 0.69774 session low reopens 0.6967
  • US PPI at 12:30 UTC could shift this USD-led read

08:47 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 55 · price 0.69864

Consolidating below session high after CPI spike.

AUDUSD spiked from 0.6944 to 0.6983 during yesterday's session on the soft US CPI print and has since coiled in a 0.6975–0.6992 band. Price now sits mid-range at 0.6986 during London hours with RSI(14) neutral near 55; the 0.7000 psychological pivot caps the upside.

Support: 0.69774, 0.69704

Resistance: 0.69923, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69923 opens the path to the 0.7000 psych level
  • Loss of 0.69774 breaks the consolidation and exposes 0.69704
  • US PPI (12:30 UTC) and Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) could shift this USD-led read

08:32 UTC

Mild uptrend, momentum flat · RSI 56 · price 0.69881

Consolidating just under session high.

AUDUSD is grinding sideways in the London session just under the 0.6992 session high after yesterday's soft-US-CPI pop off 0.6944. ATR has compressed to ~5 pips and RSI sits mid-range — no fresh impulse, price hugging the top of the intraday range.

Support: 0.6977, 0.6970, 0.6932

Resistance: 0.6992, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6992/0.7000 opens continuation into the psych level
  • Loss of 0.6977 session low points reversion toward 0.6932 range base
  • US PPI 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could reprice USD and break this range

08:32 UTC

Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 58 · price 0.69881

Range-bound below session high after rally.

AUDUSD extended its soft-US-CPI-driven bounce and is now coiling in the 0.6975-0.6992 range, holding just under the session high. RSI(14) neutral around 58 as the 0.7000 psychological level and UOB's 0.6975 cap frame the near-term ceiling.

Support: 0.69746, 0.69683

Resistance: 0.69923, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69923 opens the path to 0.7000 psych
  • Slip back under 0.6975 cap points to reversion toward the range base
  • US PPI 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could shift this read

08:17 UTC

Uptrend stalling, now ranging · RSI 54 · price 0.6985

Consolidation under session high after CPI leg up.

AUDUSD spiked to 0.6983 on the soft US June CPI print and has since chopped sideways between 0.6970 and 0.6992, with 0.6992 repeatedly capping. Price is glued to EMA20 near 0.6985, RSI mid-range — no fresh momentum after the CPI leg.

Support: 0.6970, 0.6944

Resistance: 0.6992, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6992 opens a run at the 0.7000 psych level
  • Loss of 0.6970 swing low would confirm range breakdown toward 0.6944
  • US PPI 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could break this range

08:17 UTC

Sideways after impulsive leg up · RSI 55 · price 0.6985

Consolidation below 0.6992 following CPI spike.

AUDUSD spiked from 0.6938 into the 0.6990 zone on the soft US CPI print, then went sideways through the Asia session, ranging 0.6970–0.6992. RSI(14) mid-range with no fresh extreme; price sits just under EMA20 and above EMA50, with 0.7000 psych the near-term ceiling.

Support: 0.6975, 0.6966

Resistance: 0.6992, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6992 opens the 0.7000 psych level
  • Loss of 0.6975 prior pivot exposes 0.6966 swing low
  • Australia inflation expectations Thu 01:00 UTC could shift this read

08:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 55 · price 0.6986

Consolidation under session high after breakout.

AUDUSD gapped higher mid-window on the soft US CPI print and has since consolidated 0.6975–0.6992 through the London session, holding above EMA20/50. Buyers defended 0.6975 repeatedly while the 0.6992 session high and the 0.7000 psych level cap upside; RSI sits mid-range with momentum flattening.

Support: 0.6975, 0.6967, 0.6932

Resistance: 0.6992, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6992 opens the path to the 0.7000 psych level
  • Loss of 0.6975 uob cap shifts the read back toward the 0.6967 swing low
  • Fed Warsh testimony and US PPI later today could materially shift this read

08:02 UTC

Uptrend stalled, ranging near highs · RSI 55 · price 0.6986

Consolidation under 0.6992 after CPI spike.

AUDUSD spiked ~40 pips off the soft US June CPI print near 12:30 UTC yesterday and has since chopped sideways between 0.6970 and 0.6992. Price holds mid-range at 0.6986 with RSI(14) neutral; the 0.6992 session high and 0.7000 psychological level cap the top, former UOB 0.6975 cap now acting as support.

Support: 0.6975, 0.6970, 0.6932

Resistance: 0.6992, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6992 opens a run at 0.7000 psych
  • Failure to hold 0.6975 exposes the 0.6970 range floor
  • US PPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

07:47 UTC

Consolidation after breakout · RSI 53 · price 0.69841

Ranging below 0.7000 post-CPI pop.

AUDUSD spiked from 0.6944 to 0.6992 on yesterday's soft US CPI print and has since coiled between 0.6977 and the 0.6992 range top through the Asia and early London sessions. RSI(14) sits neutral near 53; price is holding just under the 0.7000 handle with no fresh intraday trend.

Support: 0.6977, 0.6967

Resistance: 0.6992, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6992 opens the path to the 0.7000 psych level
  • Failure to hold 0.6977 puts the 0.6967 session low back in focus
  • US PPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

07:47 UTC

Sideways after CPI pop · RSI 52 · price 0.69841

Range holding below 0.6992.

AUDUSD gapped up to ~0.6981 on the soft US CPI-driven USD selloff, then stalled in a 0.6974–0.6992 range for the rest of the session. Price is mid-range at 0.69841, RSI(14) neutral near 52 with the 0.6992 top repeatedly capping and 0.7000 untested.

Support: 0.6974, 0.69674

Resistance: 0.69923, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6992 opens a test of the 0.7000 psych level
  • Failure to hold 0.6974 range low exposes 0.69674 swing low
  • US PPI (12:30 UTC) and Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) could shift the USD read

07:32 UTC

Uptrend stalling, consolidating near highs · RSI 47 · price 0.69804

Range-bound below 0.6992 after impulsive push.

AUDUSD spiked toward 0.6992 on the soft US CPI-driven USD selloff and has since coiled in a tight 0.6977–0.6992 range through the London session. Last bar rejected off the highs back to 0.6980, RSI(14) neutral near 47 — no fresh drive in play.

Support: 0.6977, 0.6967

Resistance: 0.6992, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6992 opens the path to the 0.7000 psych level
  • Failure to hold 0.6977 confirms a lower-low back toward 0.6967
  • US PPI at 12:30 UTC could break this range

07:32 UTC

Uptrend stalling, now ranging · RSI 49 · price 0.69804

Consolidation under session high after CPI rally.

AUDUSD spiked to 0.6982 on yesterday's soft US CPI print and extended to a session high of 0.6992, but has since gone sideways between ~0.6974 and 0.6992. Last bar rejected 0.6989 back to 0.6980, RSI(14) neutral near 49 — no fresh momentum either way.

Support: 0.6974, 0.69683

Resistance: 0.69923, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6992 opens the path to the 0.7000 psych level
  • Loss of 0.6974 swing low exposes 0.6968 range floor
  • US PPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

07:17 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 57 · price 0.69882

Consolidating near highs after CPI spike.

AUDUSD spiked to 0.6983 on yesterday's soft US CPI and has since coiled in a 0.6982–0.6992 range through the London session, capped repeatedly at 0.69923 just below the 0.7000 handle. RSI(14) around 57, ATR(14) near 6 pips — momentum has flattened into balance near the highs.

Support: 0.6982, 0.6976, 0.69669

Resistance: 0.69923, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69923 opens the path to the 0.7000 psych level
  • Loss of 0.69820 range floor exposes 0.69760 swing low
  • US PPI at 12:30 UTC could reprice the USD and break this range

07:17 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 57 · price 0.69882

Consolidating below session high.

AUD/USD spiked through 0.6980 on the soft US CPI-driven USD selloff and has since coiled between 0.6970 and the 0.69923 session high through the London morning. Price is grinding just under that high with RSI(14) mid-range; the 0.7000 psychological pivot caps directly above.

Support: 0.69795, 0.6971, 0.69674

Resistance: 0.69923, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69923 opens the path to the 0.7000 psych level
  • Loss of 0.69710 swing low negates the consolidation and reopens 0.69674
  • US PPI at 12:30 UTC (~5h out) could materially shift this read

07:02 UTC

Up off CPI spike, momentum flattening · RSI 58 · price 0.69858

Consolidating below range top after breakout.

AUDUSD gapped higher off the 12:30 UTC US CPI miss, breaking from the 0.6940s to 0.6992, and has since coiled just under that range top through the London session. The 0.6990/0.6992 area has capped price three times while dips into 0.6970 held; RSI(14) mid-range with no extreme.

Support: 0.6970, 0.6932

Resistance: 0.6992, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6992 opens the path to the 0.7000 psych level
  • Failure to hold 0.6970 exposes the 0.6932 nine-day EMA
  • US PPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

07:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 57 · price 0.69858

Consolidating below session high.

AUDUSD spiked ~40 pips on the soft US CPI print during the Asia session and has since coiled between 0.69770 and 0.69923 through London hours, RSI(14) mid-range. Upside is capped near the 0.69923 session high with the 0.7000 psych level just above; the move remains a USD story rather than a genuine Aussie bid.

Support: 0.6977, 0.69674

Resistance: 0.69923, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69923 opens the path to the 0.7000 psych level
  • Loss of 0.69770 range floor exposes the 0.69674 swing low
  • US PPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

06:47 UTC

Uptrend stalling, momentum flat · RSI 56 · price 0.69867

Consolidation near session highs post-spike.

AUDUSD spiked ~40 pips into 0.6982 on the soft US CPI print yesterday, then coiled in a tight 0.6970–0.6992 band through the Asia session. Price is grinding the range top at 0.6992 with RSI(14) mid-range; upside stalling below the 0.7000 psych level with no fresh Aussie bid behind the move.

Support: 0.6970, 0.6932

Resistance: 0.6992, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6992 opens the path to the 0.7000 psych level
  • Loss of 0.6970 range base exposes the 0.6932 nine-day ema pivot
  • AU Consumer Inflation Expectations (Thu 01:00 UTC) and US Core PPI could shift this read

06:47 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 57 · price 0.69867

Consolidation near range top after CPI rally.

The USD-driven pop on the soft US CPI print carried AUDUSD to 0.6992 before stalling; price has since coiled in a tight 0.6970–0.6992 band into the London open. RSI(14) mid-range around 57 with no extreme, ATR ~17 pips — momentum has flattened at the top of the move.

Support: 0.6970, 0.69674, 0.6950

Resistance: 0.69923, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6992 opens the 0.7000 psych level
  • Failure to hold 0.6970 range floor confirms a fade back toward 0.6950
  • China GDP/Retail and AU inflation expectations could shift this read

06:32 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 60 · price 0.69875

Consolidating below session high into 0.7000.

AUD/USD is grinding sideways in a 0.6980-0.6992 band, holding onto the soft US CPI-driven USD-weakness leg that carried it up from 0.6944 via the earlier spike bar. Price stalls just under the 0.69923 session high with the 0.7000 psych level overhead; RSI(14) near 60, momentum flat in the Asian range.

Support: 0.6980, 0.69674, 0.6946

Resistance: 0.69923, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • China Q2 GDP / Retail Sales imminent — the near-term directional catalyst for AUD
  • Close above 0.69923 opens the 0.7000 psych test
  • Loss of 0.69800 range floor exposes the 0.69674 swing low

06:32 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 61 · price 0.69875

Higher lows, coiling below session high.

AUDUSD rode the soft US CPI leg to a session high at 0.69923 and is now coiling just under it, price holding above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) ~61. Buyers stepped in repeatedly off 0.6975 through the Asia-London handover; the 0.7000 psych level caps the rally overhead.

Support: 0.6975, 0.69674

Resistance: 0.69923, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69923 opens the path to the 0.7000 psych level
  • Loss of 0.69750 breaks the higher-low chain
  • China Q2 GDP / Retail Sales imminent — could materially shift this read

06:17 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 57 · price 0.69872

Consolidation just below session high.

AUD/USD spiked into ~12:30 UTC on the soft US June CPI miss and has since ground higher into the London session, stalling in a tight consolidation between 0.6983 and the 0.69923 session high. RSI(14) around 57 with ATR compressed near 4-5 pips — the pair is coiling just below the 0.7000 psychological level.

Support: 0.6983, 0.69795, 0.69683

Resistance: 0.69923, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69923 opens the path to the 0.7000 psych level
  • Loss of 0.6983 breaks the rising floor and exposes 0.69795
  • China Q2 GDP / Retail Sales imminent — a market-defining catalyst for AUD direction

06:17 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing into 0.7000 · RSI 61 · price 0.69872

Higher lows grinding into session high.

Asian session grinding higher, consolidating just below the 0.69923 session high after the post-CPI USD-weakness rally toward the 0.7000 psych level. RSI(14) mid-60s with a chain of higher lows intact; price coiling tight into the level.

Support: 0.69828, 0.69674

Resistance: 0.69923, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69923 opens the path to the 0.7000 psych level
  • Loss of 0.69828 rising support breaks the higher-low chain
  • China Q2 GDP / Retail Sales imminent — key catalyst for AUD direction

06:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalling near highs · RSI 56 · price 0.69866

Consolidation below 0.7000 after CPI-driven leg up.

AUDUSD spiked from 0.6944 to near 0.6992 on the soft US June CPI print and has since consolidated in a tight 0.6982-0.6992 band, capped just shy of the 0.7000 psych level. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-50s as the drift flattened; range floor around 0.6982 holding through the Asia session.

Support: 0.6982, 0.6967, 0.6944

Resistance: 0.69923, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • China Q2 GDP / Retail Sales imminent — the near-term directional catalyst for this pair
  • Close above 0.69923 opens the path to the 0.7000 psych level
  • Failure to hold 0.6982 exposes session low at 0.6967

06:02 UTC

Uptrend stalling into range · RSI 56 · price 0.69866

Consolidation below session high.

AUDUSD jumped from ~0.6944 to near 0.6992 on the soft US CPI print, then settled into a tight 0.6983-0.6992 band just beneath the 0.7000 psych level. RSI(14) sits mid-range and momentum has flattened as price coils under the session high.

Support: 0.6983, 0.6970, 0.69661

Resistance: 0.6992, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • China Q2 GDP/Retail Sales imminent — market-defining catalyst that could break this range
  • M15 close above 0.69920 opens the path to the 0.7000 psych level
  • Failure to hold 0.69830 exposes the 0.69700 range low

05:47 UTC

Uptrend cooling, now consolidating · RSI 54 · price 0.69869

Consolidation below session high after breakout.

AUDUSD surged on yesterday's soft US CPI (single 40+ pip bar to 0.6983) and has since ground into a tight consolidation between 0.6982 and 0.6992, holding just below the session high. RSI(14) neutral near 54 with ATR compressed to ~5 pips — momentum has stalled ahead of the 0.7000 psych level.

Support: 0.6982, 0.6971

Resistance: 0.69923, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • China Q2 GDP/Retail Sales imminent — the near-term directional catalyst for AUD
  • Close above 0.69923 session high opens the path to 0.7000 psych
  • Loss of 0.69820 range floor exposes 0.69710 swing low

05:47 UTC

Uptrend paused, consolidating near highs · RSI 57 · price 0.69869

Range below 0.6992 after CPI-driven surge.

AUDUSD spiked from the 0.6944 area to near 0.6992 on the soft US CPI print, then went sideways through the Asia session, coiling just under the 0.7000 psych level. Supply has capped the range top at 0.6992 repeatedly while dips have held above the 0.6970 session low; RSI(14) mid-50s, ATR compressed to ~4 pips.

Support: 0.6970, 0.69683

Resistance: 0.6992, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • China Q2 GDP / Retail Sales imminent — market-defining for AUD direction
  • Close above 0.6992 opens the path to the 0.7000 psych level
  • Failure to hold 0.6970 puts the swing low at 0.6968 in play

05:32 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flat after breakout · RSI 48 · price 0.69828

Consolidation just below session high.

Soft US CPI drove a sharp M15 breakout to 0.69923, which stalled twice below the 0.7000 psych level. Since then AUDUSD has coiled into a tight consolidation around 0.6983 through the quiet Asian session, with RSI(14) neutral near 48.

Support: 0.6972, 0.69683

Resistance: 0.69923, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • China Q2 GDP / Retail Sales imminent — could materially shift this read
  • Close above 0.69923 opens the path to 0.7000
  • Loss of 0.69720 breaks the consolidation floor toward 0.69683

05:32 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalling · RSI 53 · price 0.69828

Consolidating below session high after CPI breakout.

The soft US CPI print drove a sharp NY-session breakout from the 0.6940s to a session high of 0.6992. Price has since gone flat through the Asia session, coiling just below the 0.7000 psych level with RSI(14) neutral around 53.

Support: 0.6977, 0.6970

Resistance: 0.6992, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7000 opens the path higher toward the psych break
  • Failure to hold 0.6970 unwinds the CPI breakout back into range
  • China Q2 GDP / Retail Sales imminent — a directional catalyst for AUD

05:17 UTC

Uptrend stalling, consolidating below 0.7000 · RSI 47 · price 0.69832

Range post-spike, mid-range drift.

AUDUSD spiked from the 0.6944 range to 0.6992 on the soft US CPI-driven USD sell-off, and has since coiled in a tight 0.6982–0.6992 band into the Asia session. ATR has compressed hard (~5 pips) with price drifting to mid-range near 0.6983, RSI flat around 47 — energy stored ahead of China data.

Support: 0.6982, 0.69683, 0.6972

Resistance: 0.69923, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • China Q2 GDP/Retail Sales imminent — the near-term directional catalyst
  • Close above 0.6992 opens the path to the 0.7000 psych level
  • Failure to hold 0.6982 exposes the 0.6972 base and 0.6968 swing low

05:17 UTC

Consolidation after CPI surge · RSI 51 · price 0.69832

Ranging below 0.6992 session high.

AUDUSD drifting near 0.6983 after the soft US CPI print drove the leg up toward 0.6992. Price has stalled just under the session high, coiling in a tight 0.6970-0.6992 range with RSI flat near 51.

Support: 0.6970, 0.6967

Resistance: 0.6992, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • China Q2 GDP / Retail Sales imminent — a beat could break the 0.6992 session high toward the 0.7000 psych level
  • Close above 0.6992 opens the path to 0.7000
  • Failure to hold 0.6970 swing low would confirm a lower low

05:03 UTC

Uptrend stalled, consolidating · RSI 50 · price 0.69835

Range below post-CPI highs.

AUDUSD consolidating in the 0.6982–0.6992 band through the Asia session after the CPI-driven surge from 0.6944 to 0.6992 the prior day. RSI(14) has flattened near 50 as the tape stalls short of the 0.7000 psych level; session high at 0.6992 twice rejected.

Support: 0.6982, 0.69745, 0.69674

Resistance: 0.69923, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6992 opens the path to the 0.7000 psych level
  • Failure to hold 0.6975 confirms a lower low
  • China Q2 GDP/Retail Sales imminent — could materially shift this read

05:03 UTC

Uptrend paused, ranging near highs · RSI 55 · price 0.69835

Consolidation just below 0.7000 after CPI leg up.

AUDUSD is consolidating just under the 0.7000 psychological level after the soft US June CPI print drove a sharp leg up from the 0.6940s. Supply capped the pair twice near 0.6992 while 0.6976 has held on the pullbacks; RSI has cooled back to mid-range.

Support: 0.6976, 0.6967

Resistance: 0.6992, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • China Q2 GDP / Retail Sales imminent — the near-term directional catalyst for AUD
  • M15 close above 0.6992 opens the path to the 0.7000 psychological level
  • Failure to hold 0.6976 exposes the 0.6967 swing low

04:47 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalling near highs · RSI 47 · price 0.69833

Consolidation below session high after CPI rally.

AUDUSD is consolidating in the Asia session just under the 0.69922 session high, having stalled twice there after yesterday's soft US CPI drove the leg from 0.6944 toward 0.7000. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s with price slipping back below its EMA20; the 0.6975 range floor is holding for now.

Support: 0.6975, 0.69661

Resistance: 0.69922, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • China Q2 GDP / Retail Sales imminent — the near-term directional catalyst for AUD
  • A close above 0.69922 opens the path to the 0.7000 psych level
  • Failure to hold 0.69750 exposes the 0.69661 spike low

04:47 UTC

Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 53 · price 0.69833

Range below 0.7000 after CPI spike.

AUDUSD is consolidating just below the 0.7000 psych level into the Asia session after the soft US CPI print drove the spike to the 0.69923 session high. RSI sits neutral near 53 and price is holding above rising support off the 0.69674 range low.

Support: 0.6979, 0.69674

Resistance: 0.69923, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7000 psych opens continuation
  • Failure to hold 0.69790 rising support returns focus to 0.69674
  • China Q2 GDP / Retail Sales imminent — could materially shift this read

04:32 UTC

Uptrend, consolidating near session high · RSI 55 · price 0.69845

Higher lows into 0.6992 supply.

AUDUSD rallied off 0.6944 on the soft US CPI print and is now grinding sideways through the Asia session below the 0.6992 session high, with the 0.7000 psych level overhead. Supply has capped twice at 0.6992 while higher lows hold above 0.6975; RSI(14) is neutral and ATR has compressed into the range.

Support: 0.6982, 0.6975, 0.6944

Resistance: 0.6992, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6992 opens the path to 0.7000
  • China Q2 GDP/Retail Sales imminent — could materially shift this read
  • Failure to hold 0.6975 signals a lower low

04:32 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 57 · price 0.69845

Consolidating below session high after impulsive leg up.

AUDUSD is grinding sideways in the 0.6983–0.6992 band just under the session high, having spiked from ~0.6943 on the soft US CPI print that knocked the USD lower. Momentum has flattened, RSI(14) mid-range near 57, with the 0.7000 psych level capping overhead.

Support: 0.6973, 0.6967

Resistance: 0.6992, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69920 opens the path to the 0.7000 psych level
  • Failure to hold 0.69730 breaks the consolidation and exposes 0.69670 session low
  • China Q2 GDP / Retail Sales imminent — the near-term directional catalyst for AUD

04:17 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling near highs · RSI 56 · price 0.69848

Higher highs into 0.7000, consolidating below session high.

AUDUSD holding gains from yesterday's CPI-driven spike (12:30 UTC), grinding higher through Asian hours to a 0.69923 session high before stalling. Price now consolidating around 0.6985 just below the 0.7000 psych level, RSI mid-range and cooling — no fresh push yet.

Support: 0.69795, 0.69669

Resistance: 0.69923, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69923 opens the path to the 0.7000 psych level
  • Loss of the 0.69795 minor swing exposes the 0.69669 swing low
  • China Q2 GDP / Retail Sales imminent — could materially shift this read

04:17 UTC

Uptrend, momentum easing near highs · RSI 61 · price 0.69848

Grinding higher-highs below 0.7000.

AUDUSD holds the post-CPI leg up, drifting to 0.69923 during Asia as soft US June CPI keeps the USD offered. Price is stalling just under the 0.7000 psych level; buyers defended 0.69674 and the pair is carving higher-lows toward the highs.

Support: 0.6979, 0.69674

Resistance: 0.69923, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • China Q2 GDP/Retail Sales imminent — the near-term directional catalyst
  • Close above 0.69923 opens the 0.7000 psych level
  • Loss of 0.69790 range floor breaks the higher-low chain

04:03 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 61 · price 0.69874

Higher lows into session high, consolidation resolving up.

AUDUSD is grinding up through the Asia session toward the 0.69923 session high after yesterday's US CPI-driven USD selloff spiked the pair off 0.6944 to the 0.698 zone. Higher lows since 0.69670, RSI(14) mid-range around 61 — no extreme, room to extend if 0.6992 gives way.

Support: 0.6979, 0.6967

Resistance: 0.69923, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6992 opens the 0.7000 psych handle
  • Failure to hold 0.6979 breaks the rising support and stalls the recovery
  • China Q2 GDP / Retail Sales imminent — could materially shift this read

04:03 UTC

Mild uptrend, grinding toward 0.7000 · RSI 61 · price 0.69874

Higher lows into session-high resistance.

Asian-session grind higher off the post-CPI USD selloff, price stalling into the 0.69923 session high with 0.7000 just above. Chain of higher lows intact from 0.69674; RSI(14) around 61, no extreme.

Support: 0.69793, 0.69674

Resistance: 0.69923, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69923 opens the 0.7000 psych handle
  • Loss of 0.69793 breaks the higher-low chain
  • China Q2 GDP/Retail Sales imminent — could materially shift this read

03:47 UTC

Uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 58 · price 0.69843

Higher highs since CPI spike, grinding under 0.6992.

AUDUSD gapped higher on the soft US CPI-driven USD selloff during NY hours and has since ground up to a session high of 0.6992, just shy of the 0.7000 handle. Early Asia is pulling back to 0.6984 with RSI(14) cooling from prior highs, rising support off 0.6979 still intact.

Support: 0.69793, 0.69669

Resistance: 0.69923, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6992 opens the path to the 0.7000 psych level
  • China Q2 GDP/Retail Sales imminent could materially shift this read
  • Failure to hold 0.6979 breaks the rising intraday support

03:47 UTC

Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 57 · price 0.69843

Higher lows into session high, range compression.

AUDUSD is grinding back toward yesterday's post-CPI high at 0.6992 during Asia hours, RSI mid-50s with no extreme. Price has held a series of higher lows off 0.6967 since the USD-led CPI surge, coiling in a tight 0.6967–0.6992 range below the psychological 0.7000.

Support: 0.6975, 0.6967, 0.6944

Resistance: 0.6992, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6992 opens the path to the 0.7000 psych level
  • Failure to hold 0.6967 session low negates the higher-low sequence
  • China Q2 GDP / Retail Sales imminent — could materially shift this read

03:32 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 63 · price 0.69851

Higher highs / higher lows into 0.7000.

Asian session grinding higher after yesterday's CPI-driven USD selloff spiked AUDUSD off 0.694; price now presses the 0.69923 session high with the psychological 0.7000 just above. HH/HL chain intact off 0.69670, RSI(14) elevated near 63 but not stretched.

Support: 0.6979, 0.6967

Resistance: 0.69923, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7000 psych extends the up-leg
  • Failure to hold 0.69790 breaks the intraday HL chain
  • China Q2 GDP / Retail Sales imminent — could reprice AUD sharply

03:32 UTC

Uptrend, grinding into session high · RSI 63 · price 0.69851

Higher lows into a capped 0.6992 ceiling.

AUDUSD holds bid in Asia after yesterday's soft-CPI USD selloff spiked it off 0.6944 to the 0.6992 handle. Price has retested the 0.69923 session high a second time — a double-top ceiling — with RSI(14) elevated near 63 but short of extreme; higher lows off 0.69674 underpin the move.

Support: 0.6979, 0.69674

Resistance: 0.69923, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69923 opens the 0.7000 psych level
  • Failure to hold 0.69790 exposes the 0.69674 range floor
  • China Q2 GDP/Retail Sales could shift AUD proxy direction

03:17 UTC

Uptrend, grinding into range top · RSI 63 · price 0.69866

Higher lows retesting post-CPI session high.

USD dumped on yesterday's soft US CPI, spiking AUDUSD to 0.6992 (12:30 UTC bar) before it settled into a 0.6970–0.6992 range. Asia session is grinding higher lows back into the 0.6992 session high, RSI(14) near 62 — retest, not yet broken.

Support: 0.69795, 0.6967

Resistance: 0.69923, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6992 opens the path to the 0.7000 psych handle
  • Loss of rising support near 0.6980 reverts price into the 0.6970 range floor
  • US PPI 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could shift this read
  • China GDP/Retail Sales imminent as near-term AUD swing factor

03:17 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 64 · price 0.69866

Higher highs/lows since CPI spike.

AUD/USD spiked higher on yesterday's soft US CPI print, then ground up through Asia to a session high at 0.69923, RSI(14) near 64. Price holds above 0.6980 on a rising sequence of higher lows; the 0.7000 psychological handle is still untested overhead.

Support: 0.69793, 0.69674

Resistance: 0.69923, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • Close below 0.69793 breaks the rising higher-low sequence
  • 0.7000 psych is the topside area to watch for rejection or break
  • China Q2 GDP/Retail Sales imminent — could swing AUD proxy direction

03:03 UTC

Uptrend, grinding back to highs · RSI 67 · price 0.69914

Higher lows retesting session high.

AUDUSD is grinding back toward the 0.6992 session high and the 0.7000 handle after yesterday's CPI-driven USD selloff, riding a chain of higher lows off 0.69674. RSI(14) near 67 — hot but not extreme; ATR(14) ~5 pips shows the Asian-session drift is orderly, not impulsive.

Support: 0.6980, 0.69674, 0.6973

Resistance: 0.6992, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6992 opens the path to the 0.7000 psych level
  • Failure to hold 0.6980 breaks the rising-lows sequence
  • China Q2 GDP/Retail Sales imminent could shift AUD direction

03:02 UTC

Uptrend, grinding into 0.7000 · RSI 68 · price 0.69914

Higher highs, higher lows since Asia low.

Asia session grinding higher into 0.7000 psych after yesterday's soft US CPI knocked the USD and lifted AUD off 0.6944. HH/HL chain intact off the 0.69674 Asia low, RSI(14) firm near 68 but not yet stretched; session high 0.6992 the immediate cap.

Support: 0.69795, 0.69674, 0.6944

Resistance: 0.6992, 0.7000, 0.69975

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.7000 psych opens the 0.69975 range cap and beyond
  • Failure to hold 0.69674 asia low breaks the rising sequence
  • China Q2 GDP/Retail Sales imminent — near-term swing factor for AUD

02:47 UTC

Uptrend, grinding toward 0.7000 · RSI 65 · price 0.69897

Higher highs and higher lows since CPI spike.

AUDUSD spiked at the 12:30 UTC US CPI miss (bar to 0.6983) and has since ground higher through Asia, now pressing the 0.7000 psych level with the session high at 0.69922. Price is holding above the prior 0.6975 cap; RSI(14) elevated near 65 but not yet extended.

Support: 0.69795, 0.69675, 0.6944

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.69922

What it said to watch

  • Rejection at 0.7000 psych would cap the Asia rally and expose 0.69795
  • Loss of the 0.69675 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
  • China Q2 GDP / Retail Sales imminent — could drive the next AUD leg

02:47 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 65 · price 0.69897

Higher highs, higher lows into 0.7000.

Asia session grinding higher toward the 0.7000 psych level after yesterday's soft US CPI knocked the USD lower. Price is making higher lows off 0.6967, RSI(14) elevated near 65 but not yet stretched; 0.6991 session high is the near-term cap.

Support: 0.6980, 0.69674, 0.6967

Resistance: 0.6991, 0.6992, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • Break and hold above 0.6992 opens the 0.7000 psych level
  • Loss of 0.6980 session low breaks the higher-low chain
  • China Q2 GDP / Retail Sales imminent could swing AUD sharply

02:32 UTC

Uptrend, grinding into session high · RSI 64 · price 0.6985

Higher lows since CPI spike, testing prior high.

AUDUSD stair-stepped higher through the Asia session after yesterday's 12:30 GMT US CPI miss (-0.4% MoM) spiked the pair from 0.6944 to 0.6983 in one bar. Price now grinding back toward the 0.6992 session high with RSI mid-60s; higher lows intact off the 0.6967 base.

Support: 0.6970, 0.6940

Resistance: 0.6992, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6992 opens the 0.7000 psych level
  • Failure to hold 0.6970 breaks the higher-low chain
  • China Q2 GDP / Retail Sales imminent — AUD proxy risk

02:32 UTC

Uptrend, grinding into range top · RSI 61 · price 0.6985

Consolidation above CPI breakout, higher lows.

AUDUSD ripped from 0.6944 to 0.6992 on yesterday's NY session soft-US-CPI USD selloff, then consolidated 0.6970–0.6990. Asian session is grinding higher lows back toward the 0.6992 session high, with RSI(14) mid-60s and ATR compressed near 5 pips.

Support: 0.6970, 0.6960

Resistance: 0.6992, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6992 exposes the 0.7000 psych handle
  • Loss of 0.6970 range floor opens 0.6960 swing low
  • China GDP/Retail Sales imminent could break the range either way

02:17 UTC

Uptrend, consolidating near session highs · RSI 61 · price 0.69837

Post-spike range, higher lows into 0.6990.

AUDUSD ripped from 0.6944 to a 0.6992 session high after the soft US June CPI print knocked the USD lower, then consolidated between 0.6968 and 0.6990 through the quiet overnight. Buyers have stepped back toward the highs in Asia hours, price at 0.69837 holding above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-60s.

Support: 0.6972, 0.69669, 0.69437

Resistance: 0.6992, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • Break above 0.69920 opens the 0.70000 psych cap
  • Loss of 0.69669 swing low breaks the rising-support structure
  • China Q2 GDP/Retail Sales imminent — main near-term catalyst

02:17 UTC

Recovering, grinding higher into range top · RSI 61 · price 0.69837

Consolidation after CPI spike, higher lows forming.

AUD ripped higher yesterday on the soft US June CPI print, then settled into a 0.6970-0.6992 range through the NY-Asia handover. Asia session now grinding back up with a chain of higher lows off 0.6967, price at 0.6984 pressing the range top; RSI(14) firm near 61, ATR compressed around 5 pips.

Support: 0.6970, 0.6967

Resistance: 0.6992, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.6992 range high opens the 0.7000 psych cap
  • China Q2 GDP/Retail Sales imminent could materially shift this read
  • Failure to hold 0.6970 range base reasserts the consolidation

02:03 UTC

Uptrend, grinding back toward session high · RSI 63 · price 0.69851

Higher lows after post-CPI surge, consolidation 0.6975-0.6990.

AUD ripped from 0.6944 to 0.6992 on the soft US CPI miss, then spent the Asia session consolidating 0.6975-0.6990. Price is now grinding back up toward the 0.69866 session high, RSI(14) mid-60s with room before overbought; the 0.6992-0.7000 zone caps the recent range.

Support: 0.6979, 0.69674, 0.6973

Resistance: 0.6992, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6992 opens the path to the 0.7000 psych level
  • Failure to hold 0.6975 puts the session low at 0.69674 back in play
  • China Q2 GDP/Retail Sales imminent — could materially shift this read

02:03 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 64 · price 0.69851

Consolidation below session high, higher lows late.

AUDUSD spiked to 0.6992 on the soft US CPI-driven USD selloff, then coiled in a tight 0.6970-0.6975 band through the quiet hours. Asian session is grinding back toward the 0.69922 session high, RSI(14) rebuilding into the low-60s.

Support: 0.6979, 0.6970, 0.69669

Resistance: 0.69922, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69922 opens the 0.70000 psych cap
  • Loss of 0.69700 range floor confirms a lower-low
  • China Q2 GDP/Retail Sales imminent — main near-term catalyst for this read

01:47 UTC

Uptrend post-CPI, momentum cooling · RSI 61 · price 0.69796

Consolidation below session high after CPI spike.

AUDUSD gapped from 0.6945 to 0.6982 on the soft US June CPI print, then consolidated 0.6966-0.6992 through the Asia session. Price is grinding back toward the session high at 0.6992 with RSI(14) near 60; China Q2 GDP is the imminent catalyst.

Support: 0.69674, 0.6966

Resistance: 0.6992, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6992 opens the 0.7000 psych level
  • Failure to hold 0.6966 range low reopens 0.6950 downside
  • China Q2 GDP imminent — could materially shift this read

01:47 UTC

Uptrend, consolidating below session high · RSI 61 · price 0.69796

Range-bound after CPI-driven spike, edging higher.

AUDUSD spiked to a session high near 0.6992 on the soft US CPI print, then consolidated 0.6968–0.6975 through the quiet hours. Buyers have reclaimed toward 0.6987 in the current session with RSI mid-range; the 0.7000 psychological cap sits just overhead.

Support: 0.6968, 0.6974

Resistance: 0.6987, 0.6992, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.6992 opens the path to the 0.7000 psych cap
  • Failure to hold 0.6968 range low reopens the 0.6950 zone
  • China Q2 GDP/Retail Sales imminent — could materially shift this read

01:32 UTC

Micro uptrend within range · RSI 62 · price 0.69824

Consolidation after post-CPI breakout, higher lows.

Soft US June CPI gapped AUD/USD higher to 0.6992 ~13h ago, then price consolidated 0.6967-0.6987. Asia session is grinding back up toward the session high at 0.6986 on a chain of higher lows, RSI(14) mid-60s.

Support: 0.6977, 0.69674

Resistance: 0.69866, 0.6992

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6992 extends the post-CPI breakout
  • Loss of 0.6967 swing low confirms a lower-low within the range
  • AUD Consumer Inflation Expectations (Thu 01:00 UTC) could shift the range

01:32 UTC

Range, grinding toward top · RSI 61 · price 0.69824

Post-CPI range 0.6970-0.6992, near highs.

Soft US June CPI spiked AUDUSD off 0.6944 to 0.6981 yesterday, then price settled into a 0.6970-0.6992 range. Asian session is grinding back toward the top at 0.6982 with RSI(14) around 61, no fresh extreme.

Support: 0.6970, 0.69674

Resistance: 0.69922, 0.6975

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6992 session high opens the higher end of the band
  • Failure to hold 0.6970 range floor exposes the 0.6967 swing low
  • AUD Consumer Inflation Expectations Thu 01:00 UTC could shift this read

01:17 UTC

Micro-uptrend, thin Asia flow · RSI 64 · price 0.69856

Higher lows off 0.6967, grinding back to session highs.

AUDUSD is grinding back toward the 0.69922 recent high in thin early-Asia trade after the post-CPI leg up left it consolidating near 0.6975. Higher lows off 0.69674 intact; USD stayed soft into the CPI miss, keeping the Aussie pinned to the upper end of the range.

Support: 0.6972, 0.69674

Resistance: 0.69922, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.69922 opens a run at the 0.7000 psych level
  • Loss of 0.69674 session low breaks the higher-low sequence
  • Liquidity picks up at London open; thin Asia moves may not hold

01:17 UTC

Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 65 · price 0.69856

Range top retest after impulse leg.

AUDUSD spiked ~45 pips off 0.6944 on the soft US June CPI print, then coiled in a 0.6967–0.6992 range through Asia. Price is grinding back toward the session high at 0.69922, RSI(14) mid-60s with room before hot.

Support: 0.69674, 0.6941

Resistance: 0.69922

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69922 extends the impulse toward the 0.6975/0.6990 macro cap zone
  • Failure to hold 0.69674 confirms a lower-low and breaks the rising support

01:04 UTC

Recovering, micro uptrend into session high · RSI 64 · price 0.69837

Post-spike consolidation, grinding back toward day high.

AUDUSD spiked to 0.6992 on the soft US June CPI print, then consolidated through the low-volume Asian session between 0.6970 and 0.6985. Buyers stepped back in over the last few bars, lifting price toward the 0.6985 session high with RSI(14) in the mid-60s.

Support: 0.6970, 0.6966

Resistance: 0.6985, 0.6992

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6992 day high reopens the post-CPI highs
  • Loss of 0.6970 range floor exposes the 0.6966 swing low
  • Sub-0.6970 close negates the recovery back toward session high

01:03 UTC

Uptrend post-CPI, momentum easing · RSI 63 · price 0.69837

Breakout then tight consolidation, grinding higher.

A soft US June CPI drove a sharp breakout, spiking AUDUSD from 0.6944 to the 0.6992 session high mid-window. Price then consolidated through the thin Asian session in a 0.6970-0.6990 band and is now grinding back toward the session high, RSI firm near 63.

Support: 0.6967, 0.6944

Resistance: 0.69922

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69922 opens continuation of the CPI leg
  • Loss of 0.6967 asian low signals the breakout is fading back toward 0.6944
  • US PPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift USD tone

00:47 UTC

Recovering, range-bound near top · RSI 58 · price 0.69788

Consolidation above post-CPI base.

AUDUSD spiked to 0.6992 on the soft US June CPI print then consolidated 0.6970-0.6982 through the Asia session. Last hour pushed back to the session high at 0.69826, RSI(14) mid-range near 58 — still inside the recent band.

Support: 0.6970, 0.69674

Resistance: 0.69826, 0.6992

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69826 opens the path back toward the 0.6992 cpi high
  • Loss of 0.6970 range floor exposes 0.69674 swing low
  • Australia Consumer Inflation Expectations 01:00 UTC could shift this read

00:47 UTC

Range after breakout, mild bid · RSI 57 · price 0.69788

Tight range 0.6970-0.6982 above breakout base.

AUDUSD spiked to 0.6983 on the soft US June CPI print yesterday, extended to a 0.6992 day high, then settled into a tight 0.6970-0.6982 range through the quiet Asian session. Price is ticking back toward the range top with RSI mid-range; no fresh momentum yet.

Support: 0.6970, 0.6961

Resistance: 0.6982, 0.6992

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6982 range top opens the 0.6992 day high retest
  • Loss of the 0.6970 range floor exposes the 0.6961 swing low
  • US PPI 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could shift the USD leg

00:32 UTC

Recovery extending, momentum firming · RSI 64 · price 0.69819

Breakout above tight Asian range.

AUDUSD broke the tight Asian range (0.6972-0.6975) with the last two bars pushing to 0.6982, extending the recovery off yesterday's soft US CPI-driven USD selloff. RSI(14) firming from mid-range; 0.69920 spike high is the next resistance overhead.

Support: 0.6974, 0.69674

Resistance: 0.69866, 0.6992

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69920 opens continuation toward the spike high
  • Failure back below 0.69740 restores the Asian range
  • US PPI 12:30 GMT could shift USD and this read

00:32 UTC

Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 61 · price 0.69819

Post-CPI breakout, ranging under session high.

AUDUSD gapped ~40 pips higher off the soft US June CPI miss, then consolidated 0.6970-0.6982 through the quiet Asia hours. Price is now retesting the session high at 0.6982 with RSI(14) near 61, still shy of the 0.6992 spike high.

Support: 0.6970, 0.6966, 0.69437

Resistance: 0.69826, 0.6992, 0.6975

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6992 extends the CPI breakout toward the 0.6975+ band cap
  • Loss of 0.6970 range floor reopens the 0.6966 swing low
  • Australia Consumer Inflation Expectations (01:00 UTC) could shift the read within the hour

00:17 UTC

Up early, now flat · RSI 56 · price 0.69778

Post-spike consolidation above 0.6975.

Soft US June CPI spiked AUDUSD ~40 pips off 0.6941 to a session high 0.6992, clearing the 0.6975 cap. Price has since consolidated in a tight 0.6970-0.6975 band through the quiet Asia hours, now nudging back above 0.6975 into 0.6978. RSI(14) neutral near 56, ATR compressed around 5 pips.

Support: 0.6970, 0.69661, 0.69446

Resistance: 0.6992

What it said to watch

  • M15 holding above 0.6975 keeps the CPI breakout intact
  • Loss of 0.6970 floor reopens 0.6966 spike low
  • Australia Consumer Inflation Expectations at 01:00 UTC could shift this read

00:17 UTC

Uptrend paused, consolidating near highs · RSI 61 · price 0.69778

Post-spike consolidation above prior range.

AUDUSD spiked from 0.6944 to 0.6992 on the soft US June CPI print, then settled into a tight 0.6971–0.6980 consolidation through the Asia session. Price is drifting back toward the spike top at 0.6980 on thin low-volume bars, RSI(14) neutral around 60.

Support: 0.6971, 0.69674

Resistance: 0.6980, 0.6992

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6980 reopens the 0.6992 session high
  • Loss of 0.69674 swing low breaks the consolidation to the downside
  • US PPI cluster 12:30 GMT could shift this read via USD flows

00:03 UTC

Uptrend stalled, ranging · RSI 53 · price 0.69757

Consolidation after CPI breakout.

The soft US June CPI print sparked a spike off 0.6941 to a 0.6992 session high through NY hours. Price has since faded and coiled tightly around 0.6975 in thin Asia trade, sitting right on the band cap flagged by dealers.

Support: 0.6968, 0.6943

Resistance: 0.6975, 0.6992

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.6975 band cap and the 0.6992 session high opens the higher end of the range
  • Failure to hold the 0.6968 session low signals a deeper fade toward the 0.6943 pre-cpi base
  • AU Consumer Inflation Expectations near 01:00 UTC could break the quiet Asia range

00:03 UTC

Uptrend stalled, now flat · RSI 53 · price 0.69757

Tight consolidation post-breakout.

A soft US June CPI print spiked AUDUSD off 0.6944 to a session high at 0.6992, which was rejected. Price has since drifted back and is coiling tightly around 0.6970-0.6976 in thin Asia trade, RSI(14) neutral near 53.

Support: 0.6970, 0.69674

Resistance: 0.6992

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 0.6992 session high reopens the upper end of the band
  • M15 close below 0.6970 range floor exposes the 0.6967 spike low
  • AU Consumer Inflation Expectations 01:00 UTC could disturb the range

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